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US Politics Mega-thread - Page 6023

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Read the rules in the OP before posting, please.

In order to ensure that this thread continues to meet TL standards and follows the proper guidelines, we will be enforcing the rules in the OP more strictly. Be sure to give them a re-read to refresh your memory! The vast majority of you are contributing in a healthy way, keep it up!

NOTE: When providing a source, explain why you feel it is relevant and what purpose it adds to the discussion if it's not obvious.
Also take note that unsubstantiated tweets/posts meant only to rekindle old arguments can result in a mod action.
iPlaY.NettleS
Profile Blog Joined June 2010
Australia4462 Posts
November 09 2016 02:21 GMT
#120441
Trump closing in New Hampshire
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=e7PvoI6gvQs
KwarK
Profile Blog Joined July 2006
United States44440 Posts
November 09 2016 02:22 GMT
#120442
On November 09 2016 10:33 IyMoon wrote:
So if dems were really excited about flordia and they lose, what is this saying for the rest of the country?

Clinton has a safe base of 270, enough for a default win. Trump has a safe base of about 190. 80 are in play among 6 key swing states. The election press has turned these 6 into constant news coverage but the reality is that they're not important for Clinton, only for Trump who needs to win all 6 and flip a 7th from Clinton's safe states. If the 6 are performing roughly as expected then we shouldn't expect large polling errors which means Clinton's 270 base should be fine.
ModeratorThe angels have the phone box
GGTeMpLaR
Profile Blog Joined June 2009
United States7226 Posts
November 09 2016 02:22 GMT
#120443
He's tied in NH now too

http://edition.cnn.com/election/results/states/new-hampshire#president

This is looking more and more like a Trump win, as I predicted
Luolis
Profile Blog Joined May 2012
Finland7201 Posts
November 09 2016 02:22 GMT
#120444
I don't get this. Maybe my question was written right afterall when i said "wtf is wrong with americans".
pro cheese woman / Its never Sunny in Finland. Perkele / FinnishStarcraftTrivia
{CC}StealthBlue
Profile Blog Joined January 2003
United States41117 Posts
November 09 2016 02:22 GMT
#120445
Detroit Free Press is calling Michigan for Clinton. Not sure how though...
"Smokey, this is not 'Nam, this is bowling. There are rules."
The_Red_Viper
Profile Blog Joined August 2013
19533 Posts
November 09 2016 02:23 GMT
#120446
For anyone who has an idea about this, would it be as close if it wouldn't be winner takes all?
IU | Sohyang || There is no God and we are his prophets | For if ‘Thou mayest’—it is also true that ‘Thou mayest not.” | Ignorance is the parent of fear |
GreenHorizons
Profile Blog Joined April 2011
United States24505 Posts
November 09 2016 02:23 GMT
#120447
On November 09 2016 11:21 Wegandi wrote:
What did I tell you guys about the polls. They're ANTIQUATED.


It's looking like what I predicted on black turnout being down and white males up (cubans in florida were big too, hearing Janet Reno reminding them about Elian had an impact)
"People like to look at history and think 'If that was me back then, I would have...' We're living through history, and the truth is, whatever you are doing now is probably what you would have done then" "Scratch a Liberal..."
iPlaY.NettleS
Profile Blog Joined June 2010
Australia4462 Posts
Last Edited: 2016-11-09 02:25:18
November 09 2016 02:23 GMT
#120448
On November 09 2016 11:19 CorsairHero wrote:
so at what point do we start buying gold guys

If Trump wins buy whenever you can as soon as you can.
A Trump victory will bring economic chaos.
You CANNOT just impose a 35% tarriff on stuff imported from Mexico without some SERIOUS economic issues coming from that.

Edit : Gold up another $15 in the past 10 minutes.
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=e7PvoI6gvQs
1tym
Profile Joined April 2005
Korea (South)2425 Posts
November 09 2016 02:24 GMT
#120449
Hey I heard the early votes had tendency to favor Clinton in FL. Is early votes not being factored into the current polling results? Will that be factored in after the polls close?
1tym is one time for your mind
Toadesstern
Profile Blog Joined October 2008
Germany16350 Posts
November 09 2016 02:24 GMT
#120450
NYT calling it a 57% chance to win for Clinton. They had her hat 80+ earlier
<Elem> >toad in charge of judging lewdness <Elem> how bad can it be <Elem> also wew, that is actually p lewd.
TheTenthDoc
Profile Blog Joined February 2011
United States9561 Posts
November 09 2016 02:24 GMT
#120451
On November 09 2016 11:22 GGTeMpLaR wrote:
He's tied in NH now too

http://edition.cnn.com/election/results/states/new-hampshire#president

This is looking more and more like a Trump win, as I predicted


Almost none of NH has even reported

Why would you even care what the vote totals are
ragz_gt
Profile Blog Joined April 2012
9172 Posts
Last Edited: 2016-11-09 02:25:04
November 09 2016 02:24 GMT
#120452
On November 09 2016 11:22 GGTeMpLaR wrote:
He's tied in NH now too

http://edition.cnn.com/election/results/states/new-hampshire#president

This is looking more and more like a Trump win, as I predicted


It is still going from not very likely to somewhat likely, The trajectory is a close-ish Clinton win ATM.
I'm not an otaku, I'm a specialist.
Doodsmack
Profile Blog Joined August 2010
United States7224 Posts
November 09 2016 02:24 GMT
#120453
ITT: people don't understand the concept of early returns.
Wegandi
Profile Joined March 2011
United States2455 Posts
November 09 2016 02:24 GMT
#120454
On November 09 2016 11:23 GreenHorizons wrote:
Show nested quote +
On November 09 2016 11:21 Wegandi wrote:
What did I tell you guys about the polls. They're ANTIQUATED.


It's looking like what I predicted on black turnout being down and white males up (cubans in florida were big too, hearing Janet Reno reminding them about Elian had an impact)


I figured and said as much as well when everyone gave me shit.
Thank you bureaucrats for all your hard work, your commitment to public service and public good is essential to the lives of so many. Also, for Pete's sake can we please get some gun control already, no need for hand guns and assault rifles for the public
ZigguratOfUr
Profile Blog Joined April 2012
Iraq16955 Posts
November 09 2016 02:25 GMT
#120455
On November 09 2016 11:23 The_Red_Viper wrote:
For anyone who has an idea about this, would it be as close if it wouldn't be winner takes all?


Even now Clinton is favoured to win the popular vote.
{CC}StealthBlue
Profile Blog Joined January 2003
United States41117 Posts
November 09 2016 02:25 GMT
#120456
The Libertarian/Greens the spear that struck the Democrat Party ribs...

"Smokey, this is not 'Nam, this is bowling. There are rules."
CAPSLOCKED
Profile Joined April 2011
563 Posts
November 09 2016 02:25 GMT
#120457
Craziness if Repubs manage to keep their Senate majority. 2018 is going to be an absolute bloodbath for Democrats
Deleted User 173346
Profile Blog Joined April 2011
16169 Posts
November 09 2016 02:25 GMT
#120458
--- Nuked ---
Introvert
Profile Joined April 2011
United States5083 Posts
November 09 2016 02:25 GMT
#120459
On November 09 2016 11:23 The_Red_Viper wrote:
For anyone who has an idea about this, would it be as close if it wouldn't be winner takes all?


You mean by state? Yes, since almost every state is WTA, each swing state is very important.
"But, as the conservative understands it, modification of the rules should always reflect, and never impose, a change in the activities and beliefs of those who are subject to them, and should never on any occasion be so great as to destroy the ensemble."
Howie_Dewitt
Profile Joined March 2014
United States1416 Posts
November 09 2016 02:25 GMT
#120460
At least my state isn't in danger of flipping. That is the only thing keeping me even slightly not depressed.
Sisyphus had a good gig going, the disappointment was predictable. | Visions of the Country (1978) is for when you're lost.
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