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US Politics Mega-thread - Page 3396

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Read the rules in the OP before posting, please.

In order to ensure that this thread continues to meet TL standards and follows the proper guidelines, we will be enforcing the rules in the OP more strictly. Be sure to give them a re-read to refresh your memory! The vast majority of you are contributing in a healthy way, keep it up!

NOTE: When providing a source, explain why you feel it is relevant and what purpose it adds to the discussion if it's not obvious.
Also take note that unsubstantiated tweets/posts meant only to rekindle old arguments can result in a mod action.
Reaper9
Profile Joined January 2010
United States1724 Posts
March 18 2016 20:02 GMT
#67901
Yea, I think Garland is a good choice. Balance and a clear mind, who also cares about the community on a fundamental level is what we need right now.
I post only when my brain works.
Plansix
Profile Blog Joined April 2011
United States60190 Posts
March 18 2016 20:07 GMT
#67902
On March 19 2016 04:58 SolaR- wrote:
I dont think he deserved to be banned. Right or wrong he has a right to state his opinion. He wasn't aggressive or rude. He was only ignorant from your perspective. So you can't argue opinion unless it is the right opinon? Seems like socialism at work.

I doubt it was his opinion at all. He made numerous, clear bad faith arguments where he would just ignore posters and continued to post in the frame of “You mad bro?” He seemed to come here for the sole purpose of riling people up. There was no discussion to be had.
I have the Honor to be your Obedient Servant, P.6
TL+ Member
KwarK
Profile Blog Joined July 2006
United States43350 Posts
March 18 2016 20:08 GMT
#67903
Website Feedback for complaints or ABL for general ban related discussion. Not here.
ModeratorThe angels have the phone box
Naracs_Duc
Profile Joined August 2015
746 Posts
March 18 2016 20:14 GMT
#67904
On March 19 2016 04:44 KwarK wrote:
Show nested quote +
On March 19 2016 04:39 ErectedZenith wrote:
"Bolshevik, ( Russian: “One of the Majority”) , plural Bolsheviks, or Bolsheviki, member of a wing of the Russian Social-Democratic Workers’ Party, which, led by Lenin"

http://www.britannica.com/topic/Bolshevik

Its the first sentence.

Some of you guys are just ignoring history right and left, it is important to learn from history.


You see those capital letters in Social and Democrat. That's because it's the name, not because they're social democrats. Take the Democratic People's Republic of Korea. Is it democratic? Well by your argument of course it is, it says it right there. How could anyone disagree with that? It's right there, it's important to learn from words, right?

Of course anyone making that argument seriously would be a total idiot who somehow doesn't understand that names aren't administrated by the Ministry of Making-Sure-It's-Not-Wrong. So, right now that's what you're doing. Are you sure that's what you want to keep doing?

Or we could approach it from another angle. The Bolsheviks staged a revolutionary coup with no popular support. People who are democrats do not come to power through revolutionary coups, that would be a contradiction, however people who are communist revolutionaries are able to call themselves Democrats.


I don't want to be the one who agrees with the crazy guy--but lets just be a bit more accurate here.

Nazi's were Democratic Socialists. A lot of their programs were specifically introduced with the specific goal in mind of helping the community be better. The main difference is not that Democratic Socialists are evil, the main difference is that Democrat does not always mean Liberal--which is the main pain point when this kind of bullshit gets brought up.

When someone says they are an american democrat, no one except crazy people thinks that means they want to institute slavery to maintain their cotton fields. At one point, being a democrat simple was being conservative. Definitions change and now we understand the term Democrat as being a liberal. But the real issue with his argument is not whether Nazis actually were or actually weren't democrats--a name is just a name after all. The issue is putting more importance in what names groups have as opposed to what policies groups have. That is really what he's twisting just to get a reaction from people.
Lord Tolkien
Profile Joined November 2012
United States12083 Posts
March 18 2016 20:14 GMT
#67905
On March 19 2016 04:54 lord_nibbler wrote:
We could go in the other direction and ask if true democracy is even possible in a non-socialist society...

That requires both a necessary definition of what constitutes a true democracy, and whether true democracy is a desirable political outcome or system of governance. I remain skeptical of such.
"His father is pretty juicy tbh." ~WaveofShadow
Naracs_Duc
Profile Joined August 2015
746 Posts
March 18 2016 20:16 GMT
#67906
On March 19 2016 05:14 Lord Tolkien wrote:
Show nested quote +
On March 19 2016 04:54 lord_nibbler wrote:
We could go in the other direction and ask if true democracy is even possible in a non-socialist society...

That requires both a necessary definition of what constitutes a true democracy, and whether true democracy is a desirable political outcome or system of governance. I remain skeptical of such.


It also requires a specific definition of what a socialist society is.

Soularion
Profile Blog Joined January 2014
Canada2764 Posts
March 18 2016 20:25 GMT
#67907
Just to address Hillary vs Bernie quickly- it's pretty much over. Yes, there is a miracle run where Bernie can magically get the nomination.. but at this point, it would require something like ~56-58% victories in all of the remaining states, of which multiple are not just 50-50 but entirely Hillary-favored right now. It would require a huge push, and considering how hard everyone went for last Tuesday, there's no factual reason to predict that somehow a push far larger than that would happen. It's not technically over, but if Bernie winning from here is far (far far far far far) less likely - I'd say it's more likely Hillary gets indicted than Bernie wins by delegates - and therefor less important than him staying in to get his message.

Not meant to offend any Bernie supports or come off as anti-Bernie or anything. I'd be saying Hillary is basically dead in the water if Bernie had gone 5-0 with the margins she did on Tuesday.
Writermaru pls
farvacola
Profile Blog Joined January 2011
United States18840 Posts
March 18 2016 20:26 GMT
#67908
On March 19 2016 05:25 Soularion wrote:
Just to address Hillary vs Bernie quickly- it's pretty much over. Yes, there is a miracle run where Bernie can magically get the nomination.. but at this point, it would require something like ~56-58% victories in all of the remaining states, of which multiple are not just 50-50 but entirely Hillary-favored right now. It would require a huge push, and considering how hard everyone went for last Tuesday, there's no factual reason to predict that somehow a push far larger than that would happen. It's not technically over, but if Bernie winning from here is far (far far far far far) less likely - I'd say it's more likely Hillary gets indicted than Bernie wins by delegates - and therefor less important than him staying in to get his message.

Not meant to offend any Bernie supports or come off as anti-Bernie or anything. I'd be saying Hillary is basically dead in the water if Bernie had gone 5-0 with the margins she did on Tuesday.

As a Bernie supporter, this seems a fair assessment of the situation.
"when the Dead Kennedys found out they had skinhead fans, they literally wrote a song titled 'Nazi Punks Fuck Off'"
Seuss
Profile Blog Joined May 2010
United States10536 Posts
March 18 2016 20:27 GMT
#67909
On March 19 2016 00:29 Ghanburighan wrote:
Also, I didn't see anyone post the Emerson poll for NY (14-16 March):

Clinton 71%, Sanders 23%
Trump 64%, Cruz 12%, Kasich 1%

Source



That poll is a pretty big deal for the Republican race. NY is a "winner-take-most" state with a 20% threshold. If that poll's even in the ballpark Trump could walk away with all of NY's delegates, and a victory that steep would likely boost Trump's numbers in the contests a week later.
"I am not able to carry all this people alone, for they are too heavy for me." -Moses (Numbers 11:14)
Nyxisto
Profile Joined August 2010
Germany6287 Posts
Last Edited: 2016-03-18 20:28:51
March 18 2016 20:28 GMT
#67910
would it be sensible for Bernie to pull out of the race right now and get his supporters behind Hillary? It seems like there's a sizable population in the Bernie camp that would not vote for Hillary and it will probably take some time to sway them over. If he stays in the race too long it might be detrimental for the Democrats.
KwarK
Profile Blog Joined July 2006
United States43350 Posts
March 18 2016 20:29 GMT
#67911
Yep, it was a good run. Not to redefine success in the face of failure but he was never meant to get this far, it was meant to be a coronation. He did a lot to raise the issues which matter to people like me and hopefully he'll have influenced the debate not just in this election but also in subsequent ones. Hillary is a far worse candidate for people like me but I'd still take her over any Republican.
ModeratorThe angels have the phone box
Naracs_Duc
Profile Joined August 2015
746 Posts
March 18 2016 20:29 GMT
#67912
On March 19 2016 05:28 Nyxisto wrote:
would it be sensible for Bernie to pull out of the race right now and get his supporters behind Hillary? It seems like there's a sizable population in the Bernie camp that would not vote for Hillary and it will probably take some time to sway them over. If he stays in the race too long it might be detrimental for the Democrats.


Realistically speaking--the hardcore bernie supporters are barely showing up for bernie let alone Hilary.
Soularion
Profile Blog Joined January 2014
Canada2764 Posts
March 18 2016 20:30 GMT
#67913
On March 19 2016 05:28 Nyxisto wrote:
would it be sensible for Bernie to pull out of the race right now and get his supporters behind Hillary? It seems like there's a sizable population in the Bernie camp that would not vote for Hillary and it will probably take some time to sway them over. If he stays in the race too long it might be detrimental for the Democrats.

I think now's a low point in general mood along the Bernie camp, so it might be better for Bernie to pull out his string of victories and therefor heighten the mood of his voters before pulling off a big pro-Hillary speech at the convention or something. If he drops out now his fans are just gonna be depressed.
Writermaru pls
Souma
Profile Blog Joined May 2010
2nd Worst City in CA8938 Posts
March 18 2016 20:30 GMT
#67914
Bernie is not going to get the nomination. No way he gets New York when registration closed back in October or something (and even if it didn't, it'd be rough).

But he needs to continue his campaign so progressives can identify which districts favor them for future elections and to keep the conversation going.
Writer
Gorsameth
Profile Joined April 2010
Netherlands21997 Posts
March 18 2016 20:32 GMT
#67915
On March 19 2016 05:28 Nyxisto wrote:
would it be sensible for Bernie to pull out of the race right now and get his supporters behind Hillary? It seems like there's a sizable population in the Bernie camp that would not vote for Hillary and it will probably take some time to sway them over. If he stays in the race too long it might be detrimental for the Democrats.

His goal is to influence policy and that will keep him in the race for as long as he can.

Hopefully he makes a since good speech about how they need to work together when he throws in the towel to help his more fanatic followers see that voting Trump is the last thing he would ever want ectect.
It ignores such insignificant forces as time, entropy, and death
zlefin
Profile Blog Joined October 2012
United States7689 Posts
March 18 2016 20:32 GMT
#67916
Sensible, possibly; on the other hand, he could come to an agreement with Hillary, and adjust his message, so that it's clear he'll be backing her after the votes are all in; but he wants people to have a chance to vote on his message: then he can focus on raising enthusiasm in his supporters, so that (with a few concessions from Hillary toward their goals) they'll go out to vote in November.

On a non-sensible note; I'd say he should stay in, without spending money, just so that everyone in the Primaries that have yet to happen feel their votes are being heard.
Great read: http://shorensteincenter.org/news-coverage-2016-general-election/ great book on democracy: http://press.princeton.edu/titles/10671.html zlefin is grumpier due to long term illness. Ignoring some users.
cLutZ
Profile Joined November 2010
United States19574 Posts
March 18 2016 20:37 GMT
#67917
One of my major issues with the Garland nomination is that he almost full cloth appears to adopt a Holmsian winner-takes-all approach to the law. For instance:
Politico

Inevitably, Garland’s liberalism has been more evident during the Obama administration. In the for-profit college case, the colleges claimed that an Education Department rule requiring them to deliver a minimum return on their students’ tuition investment was “arbitrary and capricious.” The D.C. circuit, headed by Garland, shot that down.
In the mercury decision, the D.C. circuit upheld a 2012 Environmental Protection Agency rule that required industrial plants to reduce their emissions regardless of cost. The Supreme Court later reversed that decision and directed the EPA to take the price tag into account. But when the case returned to the D.C. circuit, Garland and the D.C. panel decided the mercury rule could remain in effect until the EPA fixed it.
But Garland deferred similarly to federal agencies during the presidency of George W. Bush, irking many liberals with a 2003 ruling that denied Guantánamo detainees judicial review (later overturned by the Supreme Court) and with a string of pro-police rulings under Presidents Bill Clinton, Bush and Obama.
“I don’t think Garland looks at who is president,” said Chapman University law professor Ronald Rotunda, a conservative. “I think he’s deferential to executive power.”


To me, at least, it appears he imagines the government as more of a parliamentary system than one that envisions two separate political branches, which is antithetical to the role of the judiciary as an intermediary to ensure neither usurps the power of the other (I would guess he would have voted the other way in the line item veto case Clinton v. City of New York), and as a shield against either infringing on people's rights (I don't think he would have come out in the majority in Jones). People keep calling him a "Judge's Judge", I'd really say he is more of the "Executive's Judge" which is the job of the SG and AG, not a SCOTUS Justice.
Freeeeeeedom
Lord Tolkien
Profile Joined November 2012
United States12083 Posts
March 18 2016 20:40 GMT
#67918
On March 19 2016 05:16 Naracs_Duc wrote:
Show nested quote +
On March 19 2016 05:14 Lord Tolkien wrote:
On March 19 2016 04:54 lord_nibbler wrote:
We could go in the other direction and ask if true democracy is even possible in a non-socialist society...

That requires both a necessary definition of what constitutes a true democracy, and whether true democracy is a desirable political outcome or system of governance. I remain skeptical of such.


It also requires a specific definition of what a socialist society is.


Let's not ask impossible-to-answer questions here.


On March 19 2016 05:28 Nyxisto wrote:
would it be sensible for Bernie to pull out of the race right now and get his supporters behind Hillary? It seems like there's a sizable population in the Bernie camp that would not vote for Hillary and it will probably take some time to sway them over. If he stays in the race too long it might be detrimental for the Democrats.

No.

The longer he stays in, the more leeway he has over the convention and the 2016 Democratic political platform. There is no real incentive for him to drop out: while it can be a positive for the Democratic party to unify earlier, it has no benefit for him and his campaign at this point, and there is always ample time after the convention for reconciliation in the face of HIGH ENERGY.
"His father is pretty juicy tbh." ~WaveofShadow
farvacola
Profile Blog Joined January 2011
United States18840 Posts
Last Edited: 2016-03-18 20:42:46
March 18 2016 20:40 GMT
#67919
On March 19 2016 05:28 Nyxisto wrote:
would it be sensible for Bernie to pull out of the race right now and get his supporters behind Hillary? It seems like there's a sizable population in the Bernie camp that would not vote for Hillary and it will probably take some time to sway them over. If he stays in the race too long it might be detrimental for the Democrats.

This is a complicated question for a few reasons. First, predicting the number of Bernie supporters who would switch their vote to Hillary should he pull out now is not easy, particularly given the vehemence and volume of the "bernie bros" represented chiefly on platforms such as reddit. I firmly believe that they are very over-represented in the popular spotlight and should be accordingly discounted when considering the utility of Bernie remaining in the race, which brings me to my second point.

Bernie, and his campaign more generally, is about furthering the idea that the Democratic party ought be harsher on Wall Street, more cognizant of the influence of money in politics, and more focused on infrastructure/domestic policy. Accordingly, to the extent that Bernie's presence exerts ideological and political pressure on both Hillary and the party more generally, Bernie's remaining in the race is a clear positive. Furthermore, Trump's ability to energize voters who cannot stand him counsels in favor of Bernie remaining in the race as it gives him room with which to effect his message without harming general election turnout in a material way.

All in all, I definitely think Bernie should stick it out for at least a while longer.
"when the Dead Kennedys found out they had skinhead fans, they literally wrote a song titled 'Nazi Punks Fuck Off'"
Deleted User 137586
Profile Joined January 2011
7859 Posts
March 18 2016 20:56 GMT
#67920
I don't think there's merit to the "high point" argument. Losing hurts, people will not be more enthusiastic losing after a month of despair (look at Bernie's reddit (posted here), it's full of negativity already). Also, Bernie isn't about to change, so his rhetoric will become more and more toxic, character assassination (dishonest, lying, greedy) will deepen, frustration will leave a mark. This means he'll damage Hillary's image more the longer this goes on.

On other news, there's plenty of evidence that the Dem message is currently too far to the left for the population to accept. Whatever your personal preference, there's need to realign after the primaries for a new electorate with different tastes. A Dem or GOP candidate isn't the most electable candidate. (For example, the following Vox tweet about Trump applies to both democrats currently as well.) But realigning takes time. Trump (the very likely GOP candidate) seems to be getting away with saying contradictory stuff, but I doubt the liberal crowd will be quite that accepting.



Cry 'havoc' and let slip the dogs of war
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