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KCM 2021 season 1 - Page 4

Forum Index > Brood War Tournaments
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Magic Powers
Profile Joined April 2012
Austria4478 Posts
Last Edited: 2021-04-22 12:27:00
April 22 2021 12:24 GMT
#61
I analyzed some parts of the game Bisu played against Zero. It appears to me that there were two key situations that pretty much determined the outcome of the game.
First was when Bisu attacked the bottom left base with five slow zealots, saw one sunken and decided to go in. Zero pulled off a very successful drone drill that made the zealots look completely inferior. It seemed to me like he had figured out a strong configuration in which he could entrap the zealots and crush them seemingly with ease, and I strongly doubt Bisu expected it to be that powerful. After that failed attack Zero didn't rebuild the sunken because he figured the expansion looked safe enough.
Later Bisu tried to sneak a DT into the main base. Again Zero pulled off an incredible drone drill that completely disabled the DT. Bisu just barely couldn't make it escape that trap and it was killed off before it could do any sort of damage.
After those two failed attempts Zero figured he was so much ahead in supply that he should pump out a lot of hydras and go for a killing blow. At that point it didn't look like Bisu stood a realistic chance anymore. He hunted down overlords with sairs and also tried to kill the remaining one at his natural to save the game with a lone DT, but Zero's forces were too overwhelming.

This didn't look like a game that Bisu lost unavoidably. It was a game that Zero won with very precise play. He was very well prepared for everything that Bisu threw at him. Bisu didn't have an answer to it and he didn't get lucky when it mattered the most (talking about the second drone drill disabling his DT). Had Zero been only slightly less well prepared or if his reaction time was only slightly off, he could've lost this game.
What people often fail to realize is that, at the top level, the difference between a win and a loss is sometimes a split second reaction or a detail in the preparation.
If you want to do the right thing, 80% of your job is done if you don't do the wrong thing.
TMNT
Profile Joined January 2021
3221 Posts
April 22 2021 12:31 GMT
#62
On April 22 2021 20:24 Avi-Love wrote:

So why has protoss performed below par in KCM? I won't presume to know the answer, but there are many avenues one could persue. I think the main issue is the lack of a consistent 3rd/4th protoss. Bisu and Best tend to do okay, and then the last slot rotated between Mini Shuttle Snow and Stork through the regular season, and they did not really perform well. Shuttle being their 4th spot in the playoffs is quite telling, he's not even a top 20 player in sponbbang, regardless of how well he performed in the finals.

To be fair, Terran doesn't have a consistent 3rd, let alone 4th player either. Royal only doing better recently, but really not significant at all. But then they have Light who is basically the Flash of this tournament. And he's good whether it's TvP or TvZ. Last year he had a winning streak of 10 in UBE which is insane.

And then needless to say about the Zerg lineup. Soma didn't even have to play in this final.

It all comes down to which race has the MVP really.
Djabanete
Profile Blog Joined May 2008
United States2786 Posts
Last Edited: 2021-04-22 18:40:12
April 22 2021 18:37 GMT
#63
On April 21 2021 21:55 Rainalcar wrote:
What else is new?

Correct me if I am wrong:
KCM Race wins: 8T 7Z and... 1P

Out of curiosity, I computed that the chance for one of the three races to win 1 or 0 KCM leagues, out of 16, if each race has an equal chance of winning a league, is 4%.

Make of that whatever you want.

{{ 16 * [ 1/3 * (2/3)^15 ]
+
(2/3)^16 }} * 3
~=~ 4%,

where we make the approximation that two races will never both win only 1 or 0 KCM leagues.
May the BeSt man win.
PVJ
Profile Blog Joined July 2012
Hungary5221 Posts
Last Edited: 2021-04-23 09:06:30
April 23 2021 09:05 GMT
#64
I managed to catch youtube live replays Wednesday around 1900 CEST with Kcm whispering over the original stream which made me think this is last season's replay or something.

Shuttle was amazing in all of his matches. First I just listened, then I had to drop what I was doing and watch, then I had to put it on theater mode, then switch to full-screen. Nothing can be done against an in-form Queen though so in my book P won this season.
The heart's eternal vow
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