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Netherlands4660 Posts
On February 15 2023 11:28 afreecaTV.Char wrote: ASL15 is pushed back to starting on February 28. The Ro24 schedule may also be a little hectic, with the last group on March 8, and group selection on March 15. So that means Group Draw on the 28th? Thanks for letting us know!
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Flash coming back from the military and keeping silent + this strange delay = sounds like a juicy coincidence.
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Bli$$ard
utter scum
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On February 15 2023 23:13 Nirli wrote: Flash coming back from the military and keeping silent + this strange delay = sounds like a juicy coincidence. Nirli remember that we already have 24 players... Maybe someone already qualified will do Flash a favour and let him play
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On February 16 2023 19:12 prosatan wrote:Show nested quote +On February 15 2023 23:13 Nirli wrote: Flash coming back from the military and keeping silent + this strange delay = sounds like a juicy coincidence. Nirli remember that we already have 24 players... Maybe someone already qualified will do Flash a favour and let him play
Some amateurs who made it through old pros such as HyuN just need to negotiate with FlaSh so he can give him some % of prize money and let him play, I think this way he gets more money instead of getting 23-28th place lol.
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On February 16 2023 19:12 prosatan wrote:Show nested quote +On February 15 2023 23:13 Nirli wrote: Flash coming back from the military and keeping silent + this strange delay = sounds like a juicy coincidence. Nirli remember that we already have 24 players... Maybe someone already qualified will do Flash a favour and let him play
I hear unexpected wrist injuries are quite common among most BW pros. Most of them don't seem to get that 400 APM action going.
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On February 16 2023 21:04 Nirli wrote:Show nested quote +On February 16 2023 19:12 prosatan wrote:On February 15 2023 23:13 Nirli wrote: Flash coming back from the military and keeping silent + this strange delay = sounds like a juicy coincidence. Nirli remember that we already have 24 players... Maybe someone already qualified will do Flash a favour and let him play I hear unexpected wrist injuries are quite common among most BW pros. Most of them don't seem to get that 400 APM action going.
they are common because they take zero care of their wrists until they get pain. zero knowledge about prevention. talked to some pros about it. most common pain comes in keyboard hand due to wonky wrist flexion and using keyboard stand. thickness of mechanical keyboards also destroys the wrist.
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We have the groups !
Group A: Mini , Inguh , Action, sSak - 28th Feb
Group B: Bisu , Hyun, Sharp, Barracks - 1st March
Group C: soma, Ample, Best, Mind - 3rd March
Group D: Snow, Bishop, Shuttle, JD! - 5th March
Group E: Queen , Ruin, Shine, Mong - 6th March
Group F: Light, Sacsri , JyJ , Stork - 8th March
First group will be on 28 february. Let's go JAEDONG!!
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ALLEYCAT BLUES49490 Posts
Finally
If someone could update LP that would be nice, unfortunately not in a position do much atm
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The groups for JD were rigged three seasons in a row. People predicted this exact group for him after the qualifiers finished lmao.
Weakest tier 1 PvZ (Snow) + weakest tier 2 player (Shuttle). The tier 4 player doesn't really matter. Last season they chose Snow + Shine thinking it was JvZ but after it didn't work out they took note this time.
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Korean msg board link to tiers and groups: https://www.fmkorea.com/5491782545
They finally gave Sharp an easy group but his TvT has been so dogcrap lately I can see him choking yet again
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Finally! Predictions:
Group A: Mini , Action
Group B: Bisu , Sharp
Group C: soma, Best
Group D: Snow, JD
Group E: Queen , Shine
Group F: Light, JyJ
On February 20 2023 21:29 TMNT wrote: The groups for JD were rigged three seasons in a row. People predicted this exact group for him after the qualifiers finished lmao.
Weakest tier 1 PvZ (Snow) + weakest tier 2 player (Shuttle). The tier 4 player doesn't really matter. Last season they chose Snow + Shine thinking it was JvZ but after it didn't work out they took note this time.
That's a lot of conspiratorial thoughts.
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Poor JD, hope he pulls through.
Excited to see "retired from ASL" Stork play once again :D
Group A: Mini, Action
Group B: Bisu, Barracks
Group C: soma, Best
Group D: Snow, JD
Group E: Queen, Shine
Group F: Light, Stork (big bias, prob be jyj)
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On February 20 2023 22:55 Miragee wrote:Show nested quote +On February 20 2023 21:29 TMNT wrote: The groups for JD were rigged three seasons in a row. People predicted this exact group for him after the qualifiers finished lmao.
Weakest tier 1 PvZ (Snow) + weakest tier 2 player (Shuttle). The tier 4 player doesn't really matter. Last season they chose Snow + Shine thinking it was JvZ but after it didn't work out they took note this time. That's a lot of conspiratorial thoughts. I mean, it's almost common knowledge that some popular players are given easy groups to advance to keep up the ratings. That happens in the qualifiers as well.
The problem with JD is he's tier 3 so the group selection for him looks more obvious than others (like, if you're tier 1 then selecting the tier 2 and 3 that you're favorable to beat is much easier). - In this case, Snow is the most doable for JD among the tier 1 because Soulkey is already seeded. Notice that Snow was given to JD last season and Soulkey the season before. - The weakest tier 2 are Shine Shuttle and JYJ. They can't give him Shine again because it'd be the exact group of last season, so it's a toss between Shuttle and JYJ and Shuttle is preferred because he's P. - Then because there's 2 Ps already the last one has to be a T, so it's either Ample Hiya or Bishop which obviously doesn't matter.
That's how people predicted this exact group (with variations of Ample/Hiya/Bishop) since the qualifiers ended.
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On February 21 2023 00:20 TMNT wrote:Show nested quote +On February 20 2023 22:55 Miragee wrote:On February 20 2023 21:29 TMNT wrote: The groups for JD were rigged three seasons in a row. People predicted this exact group for him after the qualifiers finished lmao.
Weakest tier 1 PvZ (Snow) + weakest tier 2 player (Shuttle). The tier 4 player doesn't really matter. Last season they chose Snow + Shine thinking it was JvZ but after it didn't work out they took note this time. That's a lot of conspiratorial thoughts. I mean, it's almost common knowledge that some popular players are given easy groups to advance to keep up the ratings. That happens in the qualifiers as well. The problem with JD is he's tier 3 so the group selection for him looks more obvious than others (like, if you're tier 1 then selecting the tier 2 and 3 that you're favorable to beat is much easier). - In this case, Snow is the most doable for JD among the tier 1 because Soulkey is already seeded. Notice that Snow was given to JD last season and Soulkey the season before. - The weakest tier 2 are Shine Shuttle and JYJ. They can't give him Shine again because it'd be the exact group of last season, so it's a toss between Shuttle and JYJ and Shuttle is preferred because he's P. - Then because there's 2 Ps already the last one has to be a T, so it's either Ample Hiya or Bishop which obviously doesn't matter. That's how people predicted this exact group (with variations of Ample/Hiya/Bishop) since the qualifiers ended.
Seeding is common in qualifiers so we don't run into a scenario where half the top dogs eliminate each other and the main tournament is flooded with less skilled players.
I don't know how it went this time but usually these groups are drawn as far as I'm aware. It's either randomised or they do a group selection ceremony where they draw the original groups and then allow the players to switch some. Also, only because a particular outcome lines up it doesn't mean they selected the groups by hand to the benefit of certain players. It is possible if they don't draw the groups in public and it has happened accross different sports for sure. I just don't see any evidence in this case (yet), hence I call it a conspiracy for now.
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Jaedong has been ranked #1 or #2 on eloboard the past few weeks, i dont think he needs afreeca to slide him an easy group to advance, hes in very good form atm. I hope to see him in RO8+ this season
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On February 21 2023 01:34 Miragee wrote: It is possible if they don't draw the groups in public So you're not aware that this is literally the case for every ASL Ro24 group (and qualifiers)?
It's either randomised or they do a group selection ceremony where they draw the original groups and then allow the players to switch some. And this is Ro16 that you're talking about.
Seeding is common in qualifiers so we don't run into a scenario where half the top dogs eliminate each other and the main tournament is flooded with less skilled players. And this is bordering on Captain Obvious territory. We're not talking about the no.1 or no.2 seeds in qualifiers. We're talking about the whole group(s). Just take a look no further than the groups of this ASL qualifier and see what an abomination it was.
Obviously no one can ever definitely prove that the groups were rigged, but "coincidences" have happened too many times that this is almost common knowledge now. And the funny thing is, very few are against it because honestly (me neither), who doesn't want popular players to go deep in tournaments?
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On February 21 2023 01:34 Miragee wrote:Show nested quote +On February 21 2023 00:20 TMNT wrote:On February 20 2023 22:55 Miragee wrote:On February 20 2023 21:29 TMNT wrote: The groups for JD were rigged three seasons in a row. People predicted this exact group for him after the qualifiers finished lmao.
Weakest tier 1 PvZ (Snow) + weakest tier 2 player (Shuttle). The tier 4 player doesn't really matter. Last season they chose Snow + Shine thinking it was JvZ but after it didn't work out they took note this time. That's a lot of conspiratorial thoughts. I mean, it's almost common knowledge that some popular players are given easy groups to advance to keep up the ratings. That happens in the qualifiers as well. The problem with JD is he's tier 3 so the group selection for him looks more obvious than others (like, if you're tier 1 then selecting the tier 2 and 3 that you're favorable to beat is much easier). - In this case, Snow is the most doable for JD among the tier 1 because Soulkey is already seeded. Notice that Snow was given to JD last season and Soulkey the season before. - The weakest tier 2 are Shine Shuttle and JYJ. They can't give him Shine again because it'd be the exact group of last season, so it's a toss between Shuttle and JYJ and Shuttle is preferred because he's P. - Then because there's 2 Ps already the last one has to be a T, so it's either Ample Hiya or Bishop which obviously doesn't matter. That's how people predicted this exact group (with variations of Ample/Hiya/Bishop) since the qualifiers ended. Seeding is common in qualifiers so we don't run into a scenario where half the top dogs eliminate each other and the main tournament is flooded with less skilled players. I don't know how it went this time but usually these groups are drawn as far as I'm aware. It's either randomised or they do a group selection ceremony where they draw the original groups and then allow the players to switch some. Also, only because a particular outcome lines up it doesn't mean they selected the groups by hand to the benefit of certain players. It is possible if they don't draw the groups in public and it has happened accross different sports for sure. I just don't see any evidence in this case (yet), hence I call it a conspiracy for now. It is not random.
Former player and current Afreeca employee 910 makes the groups. He also makes the qualifying groups. Round of 24 groups are made based on the 4 tiers corresponding to ASL points.
Group selection ceremony is only Round of 16.
Also the Korean community itself believes there are biased groups made to favor certain players, they even have a term for it "부커조" = 부커 (booker / booking) + 조 (Group).
Why wouldn't Afreeca manipulate it so that the more popular streamers made it to ASL and thus get more interest/viewership?
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By the way: - the first game is on Neo Heartbreak Ridge (Terrans already crying haha) - winners and losers match on Dark Origin/76/Nemesis with each player bans 1 of the 3 (so either Dark Origin or Nemesis then) - decider match on Sylphid/Retro/Vermeer.
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Honestly, all these groups seem pretty competitive. Good crop of players for this. I'm especially excited to see what sort of shape Mind is in.
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