Yeah gf could be messing with checks but I don't think it's worth thinking about that quite yet.

Sl looks town thankfully though.

Games almost on auto soon at least.

nnn_thekushmountains

1501 Posts

May 31 2016 13:31 GMT

#2045

except if ls or tumble are gf we lose?

sicklucker

Canada16987 Posts

May 31 2016 13:49 GMT

#2046

well you lynch in the other group untill you find at least one mafia first regardless. there can not be two god fathers probably..

sicklucker

Canada16987 Posts

May 31 2016 13:50 GMT

#2047

then you just kind of weight options of how much those two seem town vs the chance of them actually being that one specific role..

nnn_thekushmountains

1501 Posts

May 31 2016 13:52 GMT

#2048

sl, if you were scum, would you see a path to victory?

Damdred

15669 Posts

May 31 2016 13:58 GMT

#2049

There is a clear path to victory if super is town. Then it just gets difficult.

But yeah if I had to wager I'd say tumble over ls thoigh.

Palmar

Iceland22631 Posts

May 31 2016 14:04 GMT

#2050

On May 31 2016 19:43 Superbia wrote:
I'm not sure how much time I'll actually have today. I'm swamped at work and I'm not sure how much time I'll have this evening. I'll try to leave some thoughts.

I also feel like my lynch has been unfortunately inevitable since d1. Especially now that pretty much all the 'confirmed towns' feel the same way. So unless people specifically ask me to, I won't defend myself. We can discuss certain things in post-game.

if you're town you should defend yourself violently until you're dead.

Palmar

Iceland22631 Posts

May 31 2016 14:04 GMT

#2051

To be honest, I had written LS off as town, and I never really paid much attention to tumblewood. In addition I saw several things from kush that I liked early as town so I'm just gonna believe the blues.

Palmar

Iceland22631 Posts

May 31 2016 14:05 GMT

#2052

Like I have currently very little reason to challenge the blue things.

Palmar

Iceland22631 Posts

May 31 2016 14:05 GMT

#2053

On May 31 2016 19:50 sicklucker wrote:
if you are town theres really no reason to defend your lynch since we have auto anyway. UNLESS you feel two people outside of rels or palmar is mafia. then you should probably say something because that would be 3 mislynches inarow. or if you feel someone fake claimed...

This is of course wrong and bad.

sicklucker

Canada16987 Posts

May 31 2016 14:09 GMT

#2054

On May 31 2016 22:52 nnn_thekushmountains wrote:
sl, if you were scum, would you see a path to victory?

ya. i woudnt put much effort in tho

sicklucker

Canada16987 Posts

May 31 2016 14:10 GMT

#2055

whats wrong about it. godfathers are a thing. if you think one of lightnight strike or tumbleweed are the last mafia after we flip one. by all means go for it

Palmar

Iceland22631 Posts

May 31 2016 14:15 GMT

#2056

essentially, here's where I'm at (big picture).

With no 4th claim, I believe the blues. I also believe the checks, or at least I see no reason to immediately discount them.

This means that there's really 4 people I'm looking at.

I have completely ignored vivax/ritoky. The only thing that's noticable is that Vivax has little activity and seems to not be doing the stand-off-ish Vivax thing. In addition ritoky's game in the beginning was boring and bad and nothing came of it which makes it more likely it was facetious.

Rels I am very, very confident is mafia. I have already explained why in big picture. If it was up to me I'd kill him today.

sicklucker I'm slightly more conflicted on. If he's mafia he's borderline trolling the game. Activity and sass (I'm better at townreading people than you (which is of course bs, I'm best)) point to him being town. repeatedly claiming mafia in a boring way and calling the game auto when it really, really isn't, points towards mafia.

superbia I have mostly ignored. I called him 100% town at some point because I sort of felt like he was a consensus shitty lynch that mafia would agree on. I have no idea if he actually is town or scum. If I were a betting man I'd say town because I think it's more likely just because of circumstances and associations, but it's super weak and bad.

I think the correct play today is to lynch Rels, not superbia. I feel like he has done nothing to push the game onward, his reads are inconsistent and he's been supremely useless/bad given how good he is capable of playing.

I might even try to write a case on him tonight, but I can't guarantee I'll have the time.

Palmar

Iceland22631 Posts

May 31 2016 14:18 GMT

#2057

On May 31 2016 23:10 sicklucker wrote:
whats wrong about it. godfathers are a thing. if you think one of lightnight strike or tumbleweed are the last mafia after we flip one. by all means go for it

You have played mafia before. People were crying "lol auto" in normal game for jat too and it didn't work out. All it takes is one decently hidden mafia (blue claimer? townie looking non-confirmed? godfather?) to fuck things over.

If there is a hidden mafia, we need time and mislynches to deal with it. Every lynch matters.