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Die4Ever
United States17671 Posts
On July 28 2015 06:50 sharkie wrote: Trading is currently locked :o Yep, I had to run 2 updates, with WCS EU Challenger, and another for the Code S groups, no trading between! Trading is open now though. Group of Death analysis coming soon. | ||
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sharkie
Austria18398 Posts
I will be now gone for 3 weeks as vacation begins tomorrow! I hope Classic, Byul and Snute can carry my team in the meanwhile. ^^ | ||
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Die4Ever
United States17671 Posts
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- GSL Code S Ro32 Groups Drawn! Tuesday, Jul 28 1:40am GMT (GMT+00:00) (Sim #2743) Biggest Winners and Losers from the Code S Ro32 Group Drawing (Sim ID #2730 vs Sim ID #2743) Biggest Winners   Dark went up by 3.5%, going from 60.23% to 63.73%  FanTaSy went up by 0.69%, going from 73.13% to 73.82%  sOs went up by 0.62%, going from 44.53% to 45.15% INnoVation went up by 0.37%, going from 81.67% to 82.04% Bbyong went up by 0.17%, going from 3.99% to 4.16% Dear went up by 0.12%, going from 16.95% to 17.07% Curious went up by 0.1%, going from 9.57% to 9.67%Biggest Losers Rogue went down by 2.12%, going from 65.39% to 63.27% MyuNgSiK went down by 1.17%, going from 7.37% to 6.21% GuMiho went down by 0.43%, going from 6.65% to 6.23% soO went down by 0.39%, going from 15.31% to 14.92% Solar went down by 0.28%, going from 3.61% to 3.33% MMA went down by 0.17%, going from 1.02% to 0.85% Bunny went down by 0.15%, going from 16.09% to 15.94%+ Show Spoiler [More Losers] + + Show Spoiler [Top 50 players by Blizzcon Chances] +
+ Show Spoiler [Foreigner Hope] + Chances of 1+ foreigners from 47.9% down to 47.6% Chances of 2+ foreigners from 6.11% down to 5.99% Chances of 3+ foreigners from 0.16% down to 0.16% Top Foreigner Hopes Bunny 12.24% chance to be the only foreigner, 15.94% chance overall. Lilbow 12.2% chance to be the only foreigner, 15.69% chance overall. Snute 7.23% chance to be the only foreigner, 9.36% chance overall. MarineLorD 3.74% chance to be the only foreigner, 4.81% chance overall. ShoWTimE 1.54% chance to be the only foreigner, 1.98% chance overall. Petraeus 0.92% chance to be the only foreigner, 1.17% chance overall. FireCake 0.86% chance to be the only foreigner, 1.12% chance overall.+ Show Spoiler [More Foreigner Hopes] +  MaNa 0.72% chance to be the only foreigner, 0.91% chance overall. TLO 0.5% chance to be the only foreigner, 0.67% chance overall. Harstem 0.32% chance to be the only foreigner, 0.41% chance overall. uThermal 0.31% chance to be the only foreigner, 0.4% chance overall. Kane 0.15% chance to be the only foreigner, 0.19% chance overall. Nerchio 0.15% chance to be the only foreigner, 0.18% chance overall. Welmu 0.12% chance to be the only foreigner, 0.16% chance overall. HeRoMaRinE 0.08% chance to be the only foreigner, 0.1% chance overall. Has 0.08% chance to be the only foreigner, 0.1% chance overall. MajOr 0.08% chance to be the only foreigner, 0.1% chance overall. iaguz 0.08% chance to be the only foreigner, 0.1% chance overall. MaSa 0.07% chance to be the only foreigner, 0.09% chance overall. Sen 0.04% chance to be the only foreigner, 0.05% chance overall. elfi 0.04% chance to be the only foreigner, 0.05% chance overall. GunGFuBanDa 0.04% chance to be the only foreigner, 0.05% chance overall. Zanster 0.03% chance to be the only foreigner, 0.04% chance overall. iAsonu 0.02% chance to be the only foreigner, 0.03% chance overall. Jim 0.01% chance to be the only foreigner, 0.02% chance overall. Kelazhur 0.01% chance to be the only foreigner, 0.01% chance overall. Bly 0.01% chance to be the only foreigner, 0.01% chance overall. Happy 0.01% chance to be the only foreigner, 0.01% chance overall. Elazer 0.01% chance to be the only foreigner, 0.01% chance overall. XiGua 0.01% chance to be the only foreigner, 0.01% chance overall. Starbuck 0.01% chance to be the only foreigner, 0.01% chance overall. Hitman 0.01% chance to be the only foreigner, 0.01% chance overall. SortOf 0.01% chance to be the only foreigner, 0.01% chance overall. neeb 0.01% chance to be the only foreigner, 0.01% chance overall. DnS 0.01% chance to be the only foreigner, 0.01% chance overall. Dayshi 0.01% chance to be the only foreigner, 0.01% chance overall. Ret 0.01% chance to be the only foreigner, 0.01% chance overall.+ Show Spoiler [Headbands] + Rain is the current #1 Headband holder with 0 defenses! soO is the current #2 Headband holder with 1 defenses! Dark is the current #3 Headband holder with 2 defenses! sOs is the current #4 Headband holder with 1 defenses!Defense History Dark defended the #3 from aLive at GSL Code A Season 3 soO defended the #2 from Dark at KeSPA Cup 2 Dark defended the #3 from Dream at KeSPA Cup 2+ Show Spoiler [More Defense History] + soO won the #2 from Flash at KeSPA Cup 2 Dark won the #3 from ByuL at KeSPA Cup 2 Flash won the #2 from Classic at KeSPA Cup 2 Classic defended the #2 from HerO at GSL Code A Season 3 ByuL defended the #3 from Pigbaby at KeSPA Cup 2 Classic defended the #2 from Rogue at KeSPA Cup 2 sOs defended the #4 from Solar at StarLeague Season 3 ByuL defended the #3 from Shine at StarLeague Season 3 Rain won the #1 from ByuL at GSL Code S Season 2+ Show Spoiler [WCS Point Cutoffs] + 0.69% of the time 2575 points is enough to qualify for Blizzcon 10.69% of the time 2775 points is enough to qualify for Blizzcon 31.26% of the time 2900 points is enough to qualify for Blizzcon 51.83% of the time 3025 points is enough to qualify for Blizzcon 70.06% of the time 3125 points is enough to qualify for Blizzcon 91.42% of the time 3300 points is enough to qualify for Blizzcon 99.03% of the time 3525 points is enough to qualify for Blizzcon + Show Spoiler [Final Seed Stats] + herO has a 49.14% chance to be the #1 seed. herO has a 31.99% chance to be the #2 seed. Life has a 22.95% chance to be the #3 seed. Maru has a 23.29% chance to be the #4 seed. Maru has a 23.19% chance to be the #5 seed. Rain has a 16.37% chance to be the #6 seed. Hydra has a 17.6% chance to be the #7 seed. Dream has a 22.22% chance to be the #8 seed. Dream has a 22.08% chance to be the #9 seed. Zest has a 14.6% chance to be the #10 seed. Polt has a 15.29% chance to be the #11 seed. Polt has a 17.15% chance to be the #12 seed. Polt has a 15.65% chance to be the #13 seed. FanTaSy has a 11.97% chance to be the #14 seed. Dark has a 12.25% chance to be the #15 seed. Dark has a 13.2% chance to be the #16 seed.+ Show Spoiler [Final Match Stats] + Dream vs Classic has a 14.49% chance for the first round of Blizzcon. Dream vs Hydra has a 13.64% chance for the first round of Blizzcon. Polt vs Maru has a 13.49% chance for the first round of Blizzcon. Dream vs Zest has a 12.99% chance for the first round of Blizzcon. PartinG vs Polt has a 12.64% chance for the first round of Blizzcon. Dark vs herO has a 12.25% chance for the first round of Blizzcon. Maru vs ByuL has a 12.17% chance for the first round of Blizzcon. herO vs Rogue has a 11.69% chance for the first round of Blizzcon. PartinG vs ByuL has a 11.44% chance for the first round of Blizzcon. herO vs FanTaSy has a 11.38% chance for the first round of Blizzcon.+ Show Spoiler [Code S Ro32 Groups] + Zest, Cure, MyuNgSiK, and Solar in in GSL Code S Season 3 round of 32. Solar must win this match! Zest is at 99.88% Blizzcon Chances, with a 62.46% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 99.99%, or 99.7% if they lose. MyuNgSiK is at 6.21% Blizzcon Chances, with a 34.76% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 12.38%, or 2.92% if they lose. Cure is at 0.14% Blizzcon Chances, with a 50.12% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0.28%, or 0.01% if they lose. Solar is at 3.33% Blizzcon Chances, with a 52.66% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 6.28%, or 0.04% if they lose. Bomber, Maru, Classic, and Trust in in GSL Code S Season 3 round of 32. Bomber must win this match! Bomber is at 0.66% Blizzcon Chances, with a 41.42% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 1.58%, or 0.01% if they lose. Classic is at 100% Blizzcon Chances, with a 57.71% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 100%, or 100% if they lose. Maru is at 100% Blizzcon Chances, with a 56.46% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 100%, or 100% if they lose. Trust is at 0.04% Blizzcon Chances, with a 44.41% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0.08%, or 0.01% if they lose. Life, sOs, Bbyong, and Stork in in GSL Code S Season 3 round of 32. Bbyong must win this match! sOs has the #4 Headband. Life is at 100% Blizzcon Chances, with a 55.99% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 100%, or 100% if they lose. Bbyong is at 4.16% Blizzcon Chances, with a 57.17% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 7.2%, or 0.12% if they lose. sOs is at 45.15% Blizzcon Chances, with a 60.37% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 58.68%, or 24.53% if they lose. Stork is at 0.01% Blizzcon Chances, with a 26.47% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0.01%, or 0% if they lose. Rain, Losira, Hack, and herO in in GSL Code S Season 3 round of 32. Rain has the #1 Headband. Rain is at 100% Blizzcon Chances, with a 74.28% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 100%, or 100% if they lose. Hack is at 0.01% Blizzcon Chances, with a 25.87% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0.02%, or 0.01% if they lose. Losira is at 0.04% Blizzcon Chances, with a 29.78% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0.12%, or 0.01% if they lose. herO is at 100% Blizzcon Chances, with a 70.07% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 100%, or 100% if they lose. Curious, INnoVation, Flash, and Pigbaby in in GSL Code S Season 3 round of 32. Curious must win this match! Curious is at 9.67% Blizzcon Chances, with a 56.18% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 16.3%, or 1.17% if they lose. Flash is at 0.46% Blizzcon Chances, with a 49.03% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0.95%, or 0.01% if they lose. INnoVation is at 82.04% Blizzcon Chances, with a 63.3% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 90.25%, or 67.88% if they lose. Pigbaby is at 0.01% Blizzcon Chances, with a 31.48% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0.04%, or 0.01% if they lose. Sleep, ByuL, FanTaSy, and Dear in in GSL Code S Season 3 round of 32. Sleep is at 0.01% Blizzcon Chances, with a 26.66% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0.01%, or 0% if they lose. FanTaSy is at 73.82% Blizzcon Chances, with a 57.13% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 86.31%, or 57.18% if they lose. ByuL is at 98.78% Blizzcon Chances, with a 60.75% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 99.86%, or 97.12% if they lose. Dear is at 17.07% Blizzcon Chances, with a 55.47% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 24.82%, or 7.41% if they lose. PartinG, MMA, Dark, and sKyHigh in in GSL Code S Season 3 round of 32. MMA must win this match! Dark has the #3 Headband. PartinG is at 100% Blizzcon Chances, with a 75.48% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 100%, or 100% if they lose. Dark is at 63.73% Blizzcon Chances, with a 65.83% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 79.06%, or 34.2% if they lose. MMA is at 0.85% Blizzcon Chances, with a 33.52% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 2.46%, or 0.04% if they lose. sKyHigh is at 0.01% Blizzcon Chances, with a 25.16% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0.06%, or 0.01% if they lose. GuMiho, Hurricane, soO, and Rogue in in GSL Code S Season 3 round of 32. GuMiho and soO must win this match! soO has the #2 Headband. GuMiho is at 6.23% Blizzcon Chances, with a 48.52% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 12.25%, or 0.55% if they lose. soO is at 14.92% Blizzcon Chances, with a 62.06% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 22.95%, or 1.8% if they lose. Hurricane is at 0.08% Blizzcon Chances, with a 41.04% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0.19%, or 0.01% if they lose. Rogue is at 63.27% Blizzcon Chances, with a 48.39% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 81.1%, or 46.55% if they lose. + Show Spoiler [Code S Winning Chances] + Solar, Bbyong, GuMiho, Flash, Bomber, and MMA must win this tournament! PartinG has a 9.9% chance to win----going from 100% to 100% if they get 1st, or 100% if they don't. Rain has a 7.96% chance to win----going from 100% to 100% if they get 1st, or 100% if they don't. soO has a 7.33% chance to win----going from 14.92% to 99.2% if they get 1st, or 8.26% if they don't. INnoVation has a 7.13% chance to win----going from 82.04% to 100% if they get 1st, or 80.66% if they don't. Classic has a 5.97% chance to win----going from 100% to 100% if they get 1st, or 100% if they don't. + Show Spoiler [More Winning Chances] + Dark has a 5.54% chance to win----going from 63.73% to 100% if they get 1st, or 61.6% if they don't. Zest has a 5.4% chance to win----going from 99.88% to 100% if they get 1st, or 99.88% if they don't. Maru has a 5.13% chance to win----going from 100% to 100% if they get 1st, or 100% if they don't. herO has a 4.99% chance to win----going from 100% to 100% if they get 1st, or 100% if they don't. Life has a 4.29% chance to win----going from 100% to 100% if they get 1st, or 100% if they don't. sOs has a 4.15% chance to win----going from 45.15% to 100% if they get 1st, or 42.77% if they don't. FanTaSy has a 3.53% chance to win----going from 73.82% to 100% if they get 1st, or 72.86% if they don't. Solar has a 3.46% chance to win----going from 3.33% to 79.67% if they get 1st, or 0.59% if they don't. Dear has a 3.15% chance to win----going from 17.07% to 99.96% if they get 1st, or 14.37% if they don't. ByuL has a 3.05% chance to win----going from 98.78% to 100% if they get 1st, or 98.75% if they don't. Bbyong has a 3.05% chance to win----going from 4.16% to 95.36% if they get 1st, or 1.3% if they don't. Curious has a 2.58% chance to win----going from 9.67% to 99.99% if they get 1st, or 7.28% if they don't. GuMiho has a 2.32% chance to win----going from 6.23% to 99.96% if they get 1st, or 4.01% if they don't. Rogue has a 2.03% chance to win----going from 63.27% to 100% if they get 1st, or 62.5% if they don't. Flash has a 1.95% chance to win----going from 0.46% to 21.52% if they get 1st, or 0.05% if they don't. Cure has a 1.4% chance to win----going from 0.14% to 9.31% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. Trust has a 1.06% chance to win----going from 0.04% to 3.37% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. Bomber has a 1.05% chance to win----going from 0.66% to 53.52% if they get 1st, or 0.1% if they don't. Hurricane has a 0.81% chance to win----going from 0.08% to 8.85% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. MyuNgSiK has a 0.79% chance to win----going from 6.21% to 99.94% if they get 1st, or 5.46% if they don't. MMA has a 0.59% chance to win----going from 0.85% to 85.21% if they get 1st, or 0.35% if they don't. Pigbaby has a 0.44% chance to win----going from 0.01% to 2.77% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. Losira has a 0.32% chance to win----going from 0.04% to 10.42% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. Hack has a 0.22% chance to win----going from 0.01% to 2.15% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. sKyHigh has a 0.21% chance to win----going from 0.01% to 6.32% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. Stork has a 0.12% chance to win----going from 0.01% to 0.55% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. Sleep has a 0.08% chance to win----going from 0.01% to 0.52% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. And now let's do some analysis to see what the Group of Death is according to WCS Predictor. We will be looking at 5 different scores. Champion Chances Score is the chances to win the tournament for each player in the group added together. Blizzcon Chances Score is the chances to qualify for Blizzcon for each player in the group added together. Blizzcon Chances Lost Score is how much the Blizzcon Chances Score went down by because of the group drawing. Effects Score is the sum of the amount of Blizzcon chances each player would gain if they won the group, plus the amount of Blizzcon chances each player would lose if they lost the group. Aligulac Score is the average Aligulac rating of the players in the group. Champion Chances G > D > B > H > E > C > A > F + Show Spoiler [Champion Chances] + Group A Zest has a 5.4% chance to win GSL Code S Season 3 Cure has a 1.4% chance to win GSL Code S Season 3 MyuNgSiK has a 0.79% chance to win GSL Code S Season 3 Solar has a 3.46% chance to win GSL Code S Season 3 Giving this match a Champion Chances Score of 11.0535 Group B Bomber has a 1.05% chance to win GSL Code S Season 3 Maru has a 5.13% chance to win GSL Code S Season 3 Classic has a 5.97% chance to win GSL Code S Season 3 Trust has a 1.06% chance to win GSL Code S Season 3 Giving this match a Champion Chances Score of 13.2059 Group C Life has a 4.29% chance to win GSL Code S Season 3 sOs has a 4.15% chance to win GSL Code S Season 3 Bbyong has a 3.05% chance to win GSL Code S Season 3 Stork has a 0.12% chance to win GSL Code S Season 3 Giving this match a Champion Chances Score of 11.6014 Group D Rain has a 7.96% chance to win GSL Code S Season 3 Losira has a 0.32% chance to win GSL Code S Season 3 Hack has a 0.22% chance to win GSL Code S Season 3 herO has a 4.99% chance to win GSL Code S Season 3 Giving this match a Champion Chances Score of 13.4904 Group E Curious has a 2.58% chance to win GSL Code S Season 3 INnoVation has a 7.13% chance to win GSL Code S Season 3 Flash has a 1.95% chance to win GSL Code S Season 3 Pigbaby has a 0.44% chance to win GSL Code S Season 3 Giving this match a Champion Chances Score of 12.1079 Group F Sleep has a 0.08% chance to win GSL Code S Season 3 ByuL has a 3.05% chance to win GSL Code S Season 3 FanTaSy has a 3.53% chance to win GSL Code S Season 3 Dear has a 3.15% chance to win GSL Code S Season 3 Giving this match a Champion Chances Score of 9.80775 Group G PartinG has a 9.9% chance to win GSL Code S Season 3 MMA has a 0.59% chance to win GSL Code S Season 3 Dark has a 5.54% chance to win GSL Code S Season 3 sKyHigh has a 0.21% chance to win GSL Code S Season 3 Giving this match a Champion Chances Score of 16.2428 Group H GuMiho has a 2.32% chance to win GSL Code S Season 3 Hurricane has a 0.81% chance to win GSL Code S Season 3 soO has a 7.33% chance to win GSL Code S Season 3 Rogue has a 2.03% chance to win GSL Code S Season 3 Giving this match a Champion Chances Score of 12.4903 Blizzcon Chances B > D > F > G > C > A > E > H + Show Spoiler [Blizzcon Chances] + Group A Zest has a 99.88% chance to qualify for Blizzcon Cure has a 0.14% chance to qualify for Blizzcon MyuNgSiK has a 6.21% chance to qualify for Blizzcon Solar has a 3.33% chance to qualify for Blizzcon Giving this match a Blizzcon Chances Score of 109.556 Group B Bomber has a 0.66% chance to qualify for Blizzcon Maru has a 100% chance to qualify for Blizzcon Classic has a 100% chance to qualify for Blizzcon Trust has a 0.04% chance to qualify for Blizzcon Giving this match a Blizzcon Chances Score of 200.697 Group C Life has a 100% chance to qualify for Blizzcon sOs has a 45.15% chance to qualify for Blizzcon Bbyong has a 4.16% chance to qualify for Blizzcon Stork has a 0.01% chance to qualify for Blizzcon Giving this match a Blizzcon Chances Score of 149.31 Group D Rain has a 100% chance to qualify for Blizzcon Losira has a 0.04% chance to qualify for Blizzcon Hack has a 0.01% chance to qualify for Blizzcon herO has a 100% chance to qualify for Blizzcon Giving this match a Blizzcon Chances Score of 200.042 Group E Curious has a 9.67% chance to qualify for Blizzcon INnoVation has a 82.04% chance to qualify for Blizzcon Flash has a 0.46% chance to qualify for Blizzcon Pigbaby has a 0.01% chance to qualify for Blizzcon Giving this match a Blizzcon Chances Score of 92.1885 Group F Sleep has a 0.01% chance to qualify for Blizzcon ByuL has a 98.78% chance to qualify for Blizzcon FanTaSy has a 73.82% chance to qualify for Blizzcon Dear has a 17.07% chance to qualify for Blizzcon Giving this match a Blizzcon Chances Score of 189.671 Group G PartinG has a 100% chance to qualify for Blizzcon MMA has a 0.85% chance to qualify for Blizzcon Dark has a 63.73% chance to qualify for Blizzcon sKyHigh has a 0.01% chance to qualify for Blizzcon Giving this match a Blizzcon Chances Score of 164.597 Group H GuMiho has a 6.23% chance to qualify for Blizzcon Hurricane has a 0.08% chance to qualify for Blizzcon soO has a 14.92% chance to qualify for Blizzcon Rogue has a 63.27% chance to qualify for Blizzcon Giving this match a Blizzcon Chances Score of 84.4908 Blizzcon Chances Lost H > A > B > D > E > C > F > G + Show Spoiler [Blizzcon Chances Lost] + Group A Zest's Blizzcon Chances changed by 0.01% Cure's Blizzcon Chances changed by -0.01% MyuNgSiK's Blizzcon Chances changed by -1.17% Solar's Blizzcon Chances changed by -0.28% Giving this match a Blizzcon Chances Lost Score of 1.43931 Group B Bomber's Blizzcon Chances changed by -0.12% Maru's Blizzcon Chances changed by 0% Classic's Blizzcon Chances changed by 0.01% Trust's Blizzcon Chances changed by -0.01% Giving this match a Blizzcon Chances Lost Score of 0.121084 Group C Life's Blizzcon Chances changed by 0% sOs's Blizzcon Chances changed by 0.62% Bbyong's Blizzcon Chances changed by 0.17% Stork's Blizzcon Chances changed by -0.01% Giving this match a Blizzcon Chances Lost Score of -0.785812 Group D Rain's Blizzcon Chances changed by 0% Losira's Blizzcon Chances changed by -0.01% Hack's Blizzcon Chances changed by -0.01% herO's Blizzcon Chances changed by 0% Giving this match a Blizzcon Chances Lost Score of 0.01366 Group E Curious's Blizzcon Chances changed by 0.1% INnoVation's Blizzcon Chances changed by 0.37% Flash's Blizzcon Chances changed by -0.03% Pigbaby's Blizzcon Chances changed by -0.01% Giving this match a Blizzcon Chances Lost Score of -0.440548 Group F Sleep's Blizzcon Chances changed by -0.01% ByuL's Blizzcon Chances changed by 0.06% FanTaSy's Blizzcon Chances changed by 0.69% Dear's Blizzcon Chances changed by 0.12% Giving this match a Blizzcon Chances Lost Score of -0.864052 Group G PartinG's Blizzcon Chances changed by 0% MMA's Blizzcon Chances changed by -0.17% Dark's Blizzcon Chances changed by 3.5% sKyHigh's Blizzcon Chances changed by -0.01% Giving this match a Blizzcon Chances Lost Score of -3.32155 Group H GuMiho's Blizzcon Chances changed by -0.43% Hurricane's Blizzcon Chances changed by -0.01% soO's Blizzcon Chances changed by -0.39% Rogue's Blizzcon Chances changed by -2.12% Giving this match a Blizzcon Chances Lost Score of 2.94562 Effects H > F > G > C > E > A > B > D + Show Spoiler [Effects] + Group A When Zest wins this match, their Blizzcon Chances go up by 0.11% When Zest loses this match, their Blizzcon Chances go down by 0.18% When Cure wins this match, their Blizzcon Chances go up by 0.14% When Cure loses this match, their Blizzcon Chances go down by 0.14% When MyuNgSiK wins this match, their Blizzcon Chances go up by 6.17% When MyuNgSiK loses this match, their Blizzcon Chances go down by 3.29% When Solar wins this match, their Blizzcon Chances go up by 2.95% When Solar loses this match, their Blizzcon Chances go down by 3.29% Giving this match an Effects Score of 16.2735 Group B When Bomber wins this match, their Blizzcon Chances go up by 0.92% When Bomber loses this match, their Blizzcon Chances go down by 0.65% When Maru wins this match, their Blizzcon Chances go up by 0% When Maru loses this match, their Blizzcon Chances go down by 0% When Classic wins this match, their Blizzcon Chances go up by 0% When Classic loses this match, their Blizzcon Chances go down by 0% When Trust wins this match, their Blizzcon Chances go up by 0.05% When Trust loses this match, their Blizzcon Chances go down by 0.04% Giving this match an Effects Score of 1.66226 Group C When Life wins this match, their Blizzcon Chances go up by 0% When Life loses this match, their Blizzcon Chances go down by 0% When sOs wins this match, their Blizzcon Chances go up by 13.53% When sOs loses this match, their Blizzcon Chances go down by 20.62% When Bbyong wins this match, their Blizzcon Chances go up by 3.03% When Bbyong loses this match, their Blizzcon Chances go down by 4.05% When Stork wins this match, their Blizzcon Chances go up by 0.01% When Stork loses this match, their Blizzcon Chances go down by 0.01% Giving this match an Effects Score of 41.2319 Group D When Rain wins this match, their Blizzcon Chances go up by 0% When Rain loses this match, their Blizzcon Chances go down by 0% When Losira wins this match, their Blizzcon Chances go up by 0.09% When Losira loses this match, their Blizzcon Chances go down by 0.04% When Hack wins this match, their Blizzcon Chances go up by 0.01% When Hack loses this match, their Blizzcon Chances go down by 0.01% When herO wins this match, their Blizzcon Chances go up by 0% When herO loses this match, their Blizzcon Chances go down by 0% Giving this match an Effects Score of 0.14194 Group E When Curious wins this match, their Blizzcon Chances go up by 6.63% When Curious loses this match, their Blizzcon Chances go down by 8.5% When INnoVation wins this match, their Blizzcon Chances go up by 8.21% When INnoVation loses this match, their Blizzcon Chances go down by 14.16% When Flash wins this match, their Blizzcon Chances go up by 0.48% When Flash loses this match, their Blizzcon Chances go down by 0.46% When Pigbaby wins this match, their Blizzcon Chances go up by 0.03% When Pigbaby loses this match, their Blizzcon Chances go down by 0.01% Giving this match an Effects Score of 38.4754 Group F When Sleep wins this match, their Blizzcon Chances go up by 0.01% When Sleep loses this match, their Blizzcon Chances go down by 0.01% When ByuL wins this match, their Blizzcon Chances go up by 1.07% When ByuL loses this match, their Blizzcon Chances go down by 1.66% When FanTaSy wins this match, their Blizzcon Chances go up by 12.49% When FanTaSy loses this match, their Blizzcon Chances go down by 16.64% When Dear wins this match, their Blizzcon Chances go up by 7.75% When Dear loses this match, their Blizzcon Chances go down by 9.66% Giving this match an Effects Score of 49.2669 Group G When PartinG wins this match, their Blizzcon Chances go up by 0% When PartinG loses this match, their Blizzcon Chances go down by 0% When MMA wins this match, their Blizzcon Chances go up by 1.61% When MMA loses this match, their Blizzcon Chances go down by 0.81% When Dark wins this match, their Blizzcon Chances go up by 15.33% When Dark loses this match, their Blizzcon Chances go down by 29.53% When sKyHigh wins this match, their Blizzcon Chances go up by 0.04% When sKyHigh loses this match, their Blizzcon Chances go down by 0.01% Giving this match an Effects Score of 47.3398 Group H When GuMiho wins this match, their Blizzcon Chances go up by 6.02% When GuMiho loses this match, their Blizzcon Chances go down by 5.67% When Hurricane wins this match, their Blizzcon Chances go up by 0.11% When Hurricane loses this match, their Blizzcon Chances go down by 0.08% When soO wins this match, their Blizzcon Chances go up by 8.03% When soO loses this match, their Blizzcon Chances go down by 13.13% When Rogue wins this match, their Blizzcon Chances go up by 17.84% When Rogue loses this match, their Blizzcon Chances go down by 16.72% Giving this match an Effects Score of 67.5918 Aliglac Ratings H > B > E > G > A > C > D > F + Show Spoiler [Aligulac Ratings] + Group A Zest has an Aligulac rating of 2170 Cure has an Aligulac rating of 1998 MyuNgSiK has an Aligulac rating of 1882 Solar has an Aligulac rating of 2158 Giving this match an Aligulac Score of 8208 Group B Bomber has an Aligulac rating of 1964 Maru has an Aligulac rating of 2273 Classic has an Aligulac rating of 2239 Trust has an Aligulac rating of 1891 Giving this match an Aligulac Score of 8367 Group C Life has an Aligulac rating of 2206 sOs has an Aligulac rating of 2134 Bbyong has an Aligulac rating of 2129 Stork has an Aligulac rating of 1615 Giving this match an Aligulac Score of 8084 Group D Rain has an Aligulac rating of 2278 Losira has an Aligulac rating of 1794 Hack has an Aligulac rating of 1769 herO has an Aligulac rating of 2157 Giving this match an Aligulac Score of 7998 Group E Curious has an Aligulac rating of 2085 INnoVation has an Aligulac rating of 2335 Flash has an Aligulac rating of 2052 Pigbaby has an Aligulac rating of 1774 Giving this match an Aligulac Score of 8246 Group F Sleep has an Aligulac rating of 1611 ByuL has an Aligulac rating of 2104 FanTaSy has an Aligulac rating of 2171 Dear has an Aligulac rating of 2079 Giving this match an Aligulac Score of 7965 Group G PartinG has an Aligulac rating of 2334 MMA has an Aligulac rating of 1881 Dark has an Aligulac rating of 2247 sKyHigh has an Aligulac rating of 1763 Giving this match an Aligulac Score of 8225 Group H GuMiho has an Aligulac rating of 2099 Hurricane has an Aligulac rating of 1859 soO has an Aligulac rating of 2347 Rogue has an Aligulac rating of 2065 Giving this match an Aligulac Score of 8370 Final Placings Group A has one 2nd place Group B has one 1st place, one 2nd place, and two 3rd places Group C has one 4th place Group D has two 2nd places, and one 4th place Group E has one 3rd place Group F has one 2nd place, and one 3rd place Group G has one 1st place, one 3rd place, and two 4th places Group H has three 1st places, and one 4th place Group H is our Group of Death! Congrats to GuMiho, Hurricane, soO, and Rogue! The 2nd place Group of Death is Group B with Bomber, Maru, Classic, and Trust. --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- | ||
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Die4Ever
United States17671 Posts
WCS Predictor 2015 WCS Challenger Season 3 EU Day 2 ForGG vs Dayshi in in WCS Challenger Season 3 round of 64. ForGG must win this match! ForGG is at 11.86% Blizzcon Chances, with a 81.52% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 14.43%, or 0.52% if they lose. Dayshi is at 0.01% Blizzcon Chances, with a 18.48% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0.01%, or 0% if they lose. Starbuck vs Bunny in in WCS Challenger Season 3 round of 64. Bunny must win this match! Starbuck is at 0.01% Blizzcon Chances, with a 39.07% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0.01%, or 0% if they lose. Bunny is at 15.94% Blizzcon Chances, with a 60.93% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 23.7%, or 3.84% if they lose. Bly vs TLO in in WCS Challenger Season 3 round of 64. TLO must win this match! Bly is at 0.01% Blizzcon Chances, with a 49.75% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0.02%, or 0% if they lose. TLO is at 0.67% Blizzcon Chances, with a 50.25% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 1.3%, or 0.03% if they lose. SortOf vs Lilbow in in WCS Challenger Season 3 round of 64. Lilbow must win this match! SortOf is at 0.01% Blizzcon Chances, with a 28.09% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0.01%, or 0% if they lose. Lilbow is at 15.69% Blizzcon Chances, with a 71.91% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 20.79%, or 2.63% if they lose. elfi vs uThermal in in WCS Challenger Season 3 round of 64. elfi is at 0.05% Blizzcon Chances, with a 47.58% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0.11%, or 0.01% if they lose. uThermal is at 0.4% Blizzcon Chances, with a 52.42% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0.76%, or 0.01% if they lose. + Show Spoiler [Day 3 Matches] + Welmu vs Elazer in in WCS Challenger Season 3 round of 64. Welmu is at 0.16% Blizzcon Chances, with a 53.58% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0.29%, or 0.01% if they lose. Elazer is at 0.01% Blizzcon Chances, with a 46.42% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0.01%, or 0% if they lose. GunGFuBanDa vs DnS in in WCS Challenger Season 3 round of 64. GunGFuBanDa is at 0.05% Blizzcon Chances, with a 70.99% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0.07%, or 0.01% if they lose. DnS is at 0.01% Blizzcon Chances, with a 29.01% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0.01%, or 0% if they lose. Nerchio vs Harstem in in WCS Challenger Season 3 round of 64. Nerchio is at 0.18% Blizzcon Chances, with a 54.98% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0.33%, or 0.01% if they lose. Harstem is at 0.41% Blizzcon Chances, with a 45.02% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0.91%, or 0.01% if they lose. FireCake vs Zanster in in WCS Challenger Season 3 round of 64. FireCake must win this match! FireCake is at 1.12% Blizzcon Chances, with a 50.29% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 2.22%, or 0.01% if they lose. Zanster is at 0.04% Blizzcon Chances, with a 49.71% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0.09%, or 0.01% if they lose. + Show Spoiler [WCS Premier Winning Chances] + ForGG, Jaedong, Snute, MarineLorD, Petraeus, MaNa, ShoWTimE, FireCake, uThermal, Kane, Harstem, Has, and TLO must win this tournament! Hydra has a 15.67% chance to win----going from 100% to 100% if they get 1st, or 100% if they don't. Polt has a 10.01% chance to win----going from 99.24% to 100% if they get 1st, or 99.15% if they don't. ForGG has a 7.39% chance to win----going from 11.86% to 98.51% if they get 1st, or 4.95% if they don't. Jaedong has a 7.23% chance to win----going from 7.76% to 92.58% if they get 1st, or 1.14% if they don't. Snute has a 5.53% chance to win----going from 9.36% to 98.88% if they get 1st, or 4.12% if they don't. + Show Spoiler [More Winning Chances] + MarineLorD has a 5.47% chance to win----going from 4.81% to 74.55% if they get 1st, or 0.77% if they don't. Lilbow has a 5.18% chance to win----going from 15.69% to 99.95% if they get 1st, or 11.08% if they don't. Petraeus has a 4.33% chance to win----going from 1.17% to 25.48% if they get 1st, or 0.07% if they don't. MaNa has a 3.84% chance to win----going from 0.91% to 22.33% if they get 1st, or 0.06% if they don't. MajOr has a 3.35% chance to win----going from 0.1% to 2.86% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. MaSa has a 3.14% chance to win----going from 0.09% to 2.76% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. viOLet has a 3.11% chance to win----going from 0.14% to 4.49% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. ShoWTimE has a 2.99% chance to win----going from 1.98% to 61.57% if they get 1st, or 0.14% if they don't. Bunny has a 2.85% chance to win----going from 15.94% to 100% if they get 1st, or 13.47% if they don't. HeRoMaRinE has a 2.81% chance to win----going from 0.1% to 3.4% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. Nerchio has a 2.32% chance to win----going from 0.18% to 7.58% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. FireCake has a 1.35% chance to win----going from 1.12% to 71.14% if they get 1st, or 0.16% if they don't. Welmu has a 1.13% chance to win----going from 0.16% to 12.95% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. iaguz has a 1.01% chance to win----going from 0.1% to 9.14% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. GunGFuBanDa has a 0.96% chance to win----going from 0.05% to 4.97% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. Zanster has a 0.91% chance to win----going from 0.04% to 4.48% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. Sen has a 0.89% chance to win----going from 0.05% to 5.91% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. uThermal has a 0.87% chance to win----going from 0.4% to 40.23% if they get 1st, or 0.05% if they don't. Kane has a 0.87% chance to win----going from 0.19% to 21.05% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. Jim has a 0.8% chance to win----going from 0.02% to 1.9% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. iAsonu has a 0.79% chance to win----going from 0.03% to 3.79% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. elfi has a 0.74% chance to win----going from 0.05% to 6.73% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. Bly has a 0.57% chance to win----going from 0.01% to 1.98% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. Harstem has a 0.48% chance to win----going from 0.41% to 73.35% if they get 1st, or 0.06% if they don't. Hitman has a 0.47% chance to win----going from 0.01% to 0.4% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. Has has a 0.43% chance to win----going from 0.1% to 21.67% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. TLO has a 0.41% chance to win----going from 0.67% to 95.1% if they get 1st, or 0.28% if they don't. Kelazhur has a 0.4% chance to win----going from 0.01% to 3.59% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. neeb has a 0.38% chance to win----going from 0.01% to 0.27% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. Starbuck has a 0.3% chance to win----going from 0.01% to 0.65% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. Elazer has a 0.28% chance to win----going from 0.01% to 1.01% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. SortOf has a 0.23% chance to win----going from 0.01% to 0.45% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. DnS has a 0.17% chance to win----going from 0.01% to 0.34% if they get 1st, or 0% if they don't. XiGua has a 0.13% chance to win----going from 0.01% to 1.66% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. Dayshi has a 0.13% chance to win----going from 0.01% to 0.41% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. Shana has a 0.06% chance to win----going from 0.01% to 0.14% if they get 1st, or 0% if they don't. | ||
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Die4Ever
United States17671 Posts
WCS Predictor 2015 WCS Challenger Season 3 EU Day 3 Welmu vs Elazer in in WCS Challenger Season 3 round of 64. Welmu is at 0.16% Blizzcon Chances, with a 53.57% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0.29%, or 0.01% if they lose. Elazer is at 0.01% Blizzcon Chances, with a 46.43% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0.01%, or 0% if they lose. GunGFuBanDa vs DnS in in WCS Challenger Season 3 round of 64. GunGFuBanDa is at 0.05% Blizzcon Chances, with a 71.01% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0.07%, or 0% if they lose. DnS is at 0.01% Blizzcon Chances, with a 28.99% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0.01%, or 0% if they lose. Nerchio vs Harstem in in WCS Challenger Season 3 round of 64. Nerchio is at 0.18% Blizzcon Chances, with a 54.98% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0.33%, or 0.01% if they lose. Harstem is at 0.42% Blizzcon Chances, with a 45.02% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0.92%, or 0.01% if they lose. FireCake vs Zanster in in WCS Challenger Season 3 round of 64. FireCake must win this match! FireCake is at 1.12% Blizzcon Chances, with a 50.28% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 2.22%, or 0.01% if they lose. Zanster is at 0.04% Blizzcon Chances, with a 49.72% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0.08%, or 0.01% if they lose. + Show Spoiler [WCS Premier Winning Chances] + Jaedong, Snute, MarineLorD, Petraeus, MaNa, ShoWTimE, uThermal, FireCake, Kane, TLO, Harstem, and Has must win this tournament! Hydra has a 15.44% chance to win----going from 100% to 100% if they get 1st, or 100% if they don't. Polt has a 9.76% chance to win----going from 99.92% to 100% if they get 1st, or 99.91% if they don't. ForGG has a 8.98% chance to win----going from 14.41% to 98.57% if they get 1st, or 6.11% if they don't. Lilbow has a 7.31% chance to win----going from 21.29% to 99.95% if they get 1st, or 15.09% if they don't. Jaedong has a 7.12% chance to win----going from 7.69% to 93.29% if they get 1st, or 1.13% if they don't. + Show Spoiler [More Winning Chances] + Snute has a 5.75% chance to win----going from 9.73% to 98.81% if they get 1st, or 4.3% if they don't. MarineLorD has a 5.61% chance to win----going from 5.03% to 76.06% if they get 1st, or 0.81% if they don't. Petraeus has a 4.25% chance to win----going from 1.17% to 25.81% if they get 1st, or 0.07% if they don't. MaNa has a 3.95% chance to win----going from 0.97% to 23.02% if they get 1st, or 0.06% if they don't. MajOr has a 3.24% chance to win----going from 0.1% to 2.89% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. ShoWTimE has a 3.06% chance to win----going from 2.08% to 63.5% if they get 1st, or 0.14% if they don't. viOLet has a 3.05% chance to win----going from 0.14% to 4.54% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. MaSa has a 3.04% chance to win----going from 0.09% to 2.78% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. HeRoMaRinE has a 2.82% chance to win----going from 0.1% to 3.55% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. Nerchio has a 2.27% chance to win----going from 0.18% to 7.78% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. uThermal has a 1.62% chance to win----going from 0.76% to 41.47% if they get 1st, or 0.09% if they don't. FireCake has a 1.33% chance to win----going from 1.12% to 72.71% if they get 1st, or 0.15% if they don't. Welmu has a 1.12% chance to win----going from 0.16% to 13.3% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. iaguz has a 0.99% chance to win----going from 0.09% to 9.32% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. GunGFuBanDa has a 0.96% chance to win----going from 0.05% to 4.96% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. Zanster has a 0.89% chance to win----going from 0.04% to 4.5% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. Sen has a 0.86% chance to win----going from 0.05% to 6.09% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. Kane has a 0.84% chance to win----going from 0.19% to 22.03% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. TLO has a 0.79% chance to win----going from 1.29% to 95.53% if they get 1st, or 0.54% if they don't. Starbuck has a 0.74% chance to win----going from 0.01% to 0.62% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. Jim has a 0.74% chance to win----going from 0.01% to 1.81% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. iAsonu has a 0.7% chance to win----going from 0.03% to 3.83% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. Harstem has a 0.48% chance to win----going from 0.42% to 74.77% if they get 1st, or 0.06% if they don't. Hitman has a 0.47% chance to win----going from 0.01% to 0.37% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. Has has a 0.42% chance to win----going from 0.1% to 22.37% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. Kelazhur has a 0.39% chance to win----going from 0.01% to 3.44% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. neeb has a 0.38% chance to win----going from 0.01% to 0.3% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. Elazer has a 0.28% chance to win----going from 0.01% to 1.06% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. DnS has a 0.16% chance to win----going from 0.01% to 0.32% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. XiGua has a 0.1% chance to win----going from 0.01% to 1.66% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. Shana has a 0.06% chance to win----going from 0.01% to 0.11% if they get 1st, or 0% if they don't. | ||
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Die4Ever
United States17671 Posts
WCS Predictor 2015 StarLeague Season 3 Ro16 Group C Life, INnoVation, sOs, and herO in in StarLeague Season 3 round of 16. sOs has the #4 Headband. This is the Group of Death! Life is at 100% Blizzcon Chances, with a 49.73% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 100%, or 100% if they lose. sOs is at 44.69% Blizzcon Chances, with a 47.08% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 64.05%, or 27.47% if they lose. INnoVation is at 82.53% Blizzcon Chances, with a 56.04% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 92.49%, or 69.83% if they lose. herO is at 100% Blizzcon Chances, with a 47.15% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 100%, or 100% if they lose. + Show Spoiler [Other Groups] + Rain, Dream, Dear, and MyuNgSiK in in StarLeague Season 3 round of 16. MyuNgSiK must win this match! Rain has the #1 Headband. Rain is at 100% Blizzcon Chances, with a 55.42% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 100%, or 100% if they lose. Dear is at 17.09% Blizzcon Chances, with a 49.3% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 27.39%, or 7.07% if they lose. Dream is at 100% Blizzcon Chances, with a 61.61% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 100%, or 100% if they lose. MyuNgSiK is at 6.19% Blizzcon Chances, with a 33.66% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 13.86%, or 2.29% if they lose. HyuN, TY, Classic, and Rogue in in StarLeague Season 3 round of 16. HyuN and TY must win this match! HyuN is at 17.41% Blizzcon Chances, with a 47.98% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 31.8%, or 4.13% if they lose. Classic is at 100% Blizzcon Chances, with a 59.7% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 100%, or 100% if they lose. TY is at 10.09% Blizzcon Chances, with a 43.36% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 21.63%, or 1.25% if they lose. Rogue is at 63.63% Blizzcon Chances, with a 48.96% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 83.64%, or 44.44% if they lose. + Show Spoiler [SSL Winning Chances] + MyuNgSiK must win this tournament! Zest has a 14.99% chance to win----going from 99.88% to 100% if they get 1st, or 99.86% if they don't. INnoVation has a 11.48% chance to win----going from 82.53% to 100% if they get 1st, or 80.27% if they don't. ByuL has a 10.49% chance to win----going from 98.95% to 100% if they get 1st, or 98.82% if they don't. Classic has a 9.37% chance to win----going from 100% to 100% if they get 1st, or 100% if they don't. Rain has a 8.7% chance to win----going from 100% to 100% if they get 1st, or 100% if they don't. Life has a 7.64% chance to win----going from 100% to 100% if they get 1st, or 100% if they don't. Dream has a 7.02% chance to win----going from 100% to 100% if they get 1st, or 100% if they don't. herO has a 5.24% chance to win----going from 100% to 100% if they get 1st, or 100% if they don't. HyuN has a 5.11% chance to win----going from 17.41% to 99.95% if they get 1st, or 12.97% if they don't. sOs has a 5.1% chance to win----going from 44.69% to 100% if they get 1st, or 41.72% if they don't. Dear has a 4.84% chance to win----going from 17.09% to 98.99% if they get 1st, or 12.92% if they don't. Rogue has a 4.26% chance to win----going from 63.63% to 100% if they get 1st, or 62.01% if they don't. TY has a 4.12% chance to win----going from 10.09% to 99.94% if they get 1st, or 6.23% if they don't. MyuNgSiK has a 1.66% chance to win----going from 6.19% to 98.83% if they get 1st, or 4.63% if they don't. + Show Spoiler [SSL Placements Table] + ![[image loading]](http://i.imgur.com/m0GOz5U.png?1) | ||
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Die4Ever
United States17671 Posts
WCS Predictor 2015 ASUS ROG Summer Day 1 ASUS ROG Summer in ~ FanTaSy has a 10.98% chance to win----going from 74.32% to 98.27% if they get 1st, or 71.37% if they don't. HyuN has a 8.33% chance to win----going from 17.39% to 45.08% if they get 1st, or 14.88% if they don't. Lilbow has a 7.83% chance to win----going from 21.73% to 48.69% if they get 1st, or 19.44% if they don't. TRUE has a 7.68% chance to win----going from 0.9% to 5.71% if they get 1st, or 0.5% if they don't. Snute has a 6.43% chance to win----going from 9.78% to 23.72% if they get 1st, or 8.82% if they don't. + Show Spoiler [More Winning Chances] + MarineLorD has a 5.7% chance to win----going from 5.12% to 10.85% if they get 1st, or 4.78% if they don't. Happy has a 5.64% chance to win----going from 0.01% to 0.04% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. Bunny has a 5.31% chance to win----going from 3.38% to 23.19% if they get 1st, or 2.27% if they don't. NaNiwa has a 5.23% chance to win----going from 0.01% to 0.01% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. PtitDrogo has a 4.2% chance to win----going from 0.01% to 0.01% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. Patience has a 4.08% chance to win----going from 0.11% to 1.15% if they get 1st, or 0.06% if they don't. StarDust has a 3.89% chance to win----going from 0.02% to 0.23% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. Welmu has a 3.05% chance to win----going from 0.01% to 0.01% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. Apocalypse has a 2.92% chance to win----going from 0.01% to 0.01% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. uThermal has a 2.59% chance to win----going from 0.91% to 3.13% if they get 1st, or 0.85% if they don't. Zanster has a 2.56% chance to win----going from 0.1% to 1.14% if they get 1st, or 0.07% if they don't. Losira has a 2.4% chance to win----going from 0.04% to 0.29% if they get 1st, or 0.03% if they don't. Serral has a 2.09% chance to win----going from 0.01% to 0.01% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. elfi has a 2.01% chance to win----going from 0.01% to 0.01% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. Ret has a 1.83% chance to win----going from 0.01% to 0.02% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. KeeN has a 1.48% chance to win----going from 0.01% to 0.01% if they get 1st, or 0% if they don't. TLO has a 1.39% chance to win----going from 1.42% to 7.82% if they get 1st, or 1.33% if they don't. BBoongBBoong has a 0.63% chance to win----going from 0% to 0% if they get 1st, or 0% if they don't. Gamja has a 0.48% chance to win----going from 0% to 0% if they get 1st, or 0% if they don't. MiNiMaTh has a 0.35% chance to win----going from 0% to 0% if they get 1st, or 0% if they don't. Guru has a 0.29% chance to win----going from 0% to 0% if they get 1st, or 0% if they don't. Namshar has a 0.21% chance to win----going from 0% to 0% if they get 1st, or 0% if they don't. StarNaN has a 0.19% chance to win----going from 0% to 0% if they get 1st, or 0% if they don't. denver has a 0.15% chance to win----going from 0% to 0% if they get 1st, or 0% if they don't. ZhuGeLiang has a 0.06% chance to win----going from 0% to 0% if they get 1st, or 0% if they don't. Fuzer has a 0.05% chance to win----going from 0% to 0% if they get 1st, or 0% if they don't. + Show Spoiler [Ro32 Groups] + HyuN, elfi, Apocalypse, and denver in in ASUS ROG Summer round of 32. HyuN is at 17.39% Blizzcon Chances, with a 78.43% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 19.4%, or 10.09% if they lose. Apocalypse is at 0.01% Blizzcon Chances, with a 50.11% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0.01%, or 0% if they lose. elfi is at 0.01% Blizzcon Chances, with a 49.86% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0.01%, or 0.01% if they lose. denver is at 0% Blizzcon Chances, with a 21.6% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0%, or 0% if they lose. TRUE, MarineLorD, Zanster, and Calt in in ASUS ROG Summer round of 32. TRUE must win this match! TRUE is at 0.9% Blizzcon Chances, with a 77.81% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 1.12%, or 0.16% if they lose. Zanster is at 0.1% Blizzcon Chances, with a 52.06% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0.16%, or 0.03% if they lose. MarineLorD is at 5.12% Blizzcon Chances, with a 68.44% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 5.87%, or 3.5% if they lose. Calt is at 0% Blizzcon Chances, with a 1.69% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0%, or 0% if they lose. Welmu, StarNaN, Bunny, and Gamja in in ASUS ROG Summer round of 32. Bunny must win this match! Welmu is at 0.01% Blizzcon Chances, with a 62.43% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0.01%, or 0.01% if they lose. Bunny is at 3.38% Blizzcon Chances, with a 74.59% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 4.25%, or 0.81% if they lose. StarNaN is at 0% Blizzcon Chances, with a 26.01% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0%, or 0% if they lose. Gamja is at 0% Blizzcon Chances, with a 36.97% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0%, or 0% if they lose. NaNiwa, Ret, ZhuGeLiang, and Lilbow in in ASUS ROG Summer round of 32. NaNiwa is at 0.01% Blizzcon Chances, with a 59.98% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0.01%, or 0.01% if they lose. ZhuGeLiang is at 0% Blizzcon Chances, with a 16.16% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0%, or 0% if they lose. Ret is at 0.01% Blizzcon Chances, with a 50.68% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0.01%, or 0.01% if they lose. Lilbow is at 21.73% Blizzcon Chances, with a 73.17% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 24.37%, or 14.52% if they lose. KeeN, FanTaSy, Serral, and Namshar in in ASUS ROG Summer round of 32. KeeN is at 0.01% Blizzcon Chances, with a 46.04% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0.01%, or 0% if they lose. Serral is at 0.01% Blizzcon Chances, with a 53.06% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0.01%, or 0.01% if they lose. FanTaSy is at 74.32% Blizzcon Chances, with a 80.13% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 78.45%, or 57.66% if they lose. Namshar is at 0% Blizzcon Chances, with a 20.77% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0%, or 0% if they lose. BBoongBBoong, uThermal, Patience, and Guru in in ASUS ROG Summer round of 32. BBoongBBoong is at 0% Blizzcon Chances, with a 43.01% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0%, or 0% if they lose. Patience is at 0.11% Blizzcon Chances, with a 64.58% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0.15%, or 0.02% if they lose. uThermal is at 0.91% Blizzcon Chances, with a 58.6% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 1.2%, or 0.51% if they lose. Guru is at 0% Blizzcon Chances, with a 33.81% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0%, or 0% if they lose. Snute, StarDust, Fuzer, and PtitDrogo in in ASUS ROG Summer round of 32. Snute is at 9.78% Blizzcon Chances, with a 70.83% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 10.93%, or 6.99% if they lose. Fuzer is at 0% Blizzcon Chances, with a 15.32% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0%, or 0% if they lose. StarDust is at 0.02% Blizzcon Chances, with a 56.93% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0.03%, or 0.01% if they lose. PtitDrogo is at 0.01% Blizzcon Chances, with a 56.92% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0.01%, or 0.01% if they lose. Losira, Happy, TLO, and MiNiMaTh in in ASUS ROG Summer round of 32. Losira is at 0.04% Blizzcon Chances, with a 55.54% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0.05%, or 0.01% if they lose. TLO is at 1.42% Blizzcon Chances, with a 44.75% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 1.87%, or 1.06% if they lose. Happy is at 0.01% Blizzcon Chances, with a 66.84% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0.01%, or 0.01% if they lose. MiNiMaTh is at 0% Blizzcon Chances, with a 32.87% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0%, or 0% if they lose. + Show Spoiler [ASUS ROG Placements Table] + ![[image loading]](http://i.imgur.com/o0YJHv4.png) | ||
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Die4Ever
United States17671 Posts
WCS Predictor 2015 GSL Code S Season 3 Ro32 Group A Solar, MyuNgSiK, Cure, and Zest in in GSL Code S Season 3 round of 32. Solar must win this match! Solar is at 3.42% Blizzcon Chances, with a 53.15% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 6.4%, or 0.03% if they lose. Cure is at 0.13% Blizzcon Chances, with a 50.16% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0.27%, or 0.01% if they lose. MyuNgSiK is at 5.97% Blizzcon Chances, with a 34.49% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 12.13%, or 2.73% if they lose. Zest is at 99.88% Blizzcon Chances, with a 62.2% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 99.99%, or 99.69% if they lose. + Show Spoiler [Other Groups] + Bomber, Maru, Classic, and Trust in in GSL Code S Season 3 round of 32. Bomber must win this match! This is the Group of Death! Bomber is at 0.66% Blizzcon Chances, with a 41.37% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 1.58%, or 0.01% if they lose. Classic is at 100% Blizzcon Chances, with a 58.27% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 100%, or 100% if they lose. Maru is at 100% Blizzcon Chances, with a 55.93% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 100%, or 100% if they lose. Trust is at 0.04% Blizzcon Chances, with a 44.42% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0.08%, or 0% if they lose. Stork, Bbyong, sOs, and Life in in GSL Code S Season 3 round of 32. Bbyong and sOs must win this match! Stork is at 0.01% Blizzcon Chances, with a 27.14% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0.01%, or 0% if they lose. sOs is at 22.26% Blizzcon Chances, with a 59.09% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 34.04%, or 5.24% if they lose. Bbyong is at 4.06% Blizzcon Chances, with a 57.48% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 6.98%, or 0.1% if they lose. Life is at 100% Blizzcon Chances, with a 56.29% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 100%, or 100% if they lose. herO, Hack, Losira, and Rain in in GSL Code S Season 3 round of 32. herO has the #4 Headband.Rain has the #1 Headband. herO is at 100% Blizzcon Chances, with a 70.39% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 100%, or 100% if they lose. Losira is at 0.13% Blizzcon Chances, with a 30.57% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0.41%, or 0.01% if they lose. Hack is at 0.01% Blizzcon Chances, with a 24.96% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0.02%, or 0.01% if they lose. Rain is at 100% Blizzcon Chances, with a 74.08% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 100%, or 100% if they lose. Curious, INnoVation, Flash, and Pigbaby in in GSL Code S Season 3 round of 32. Curious must win this match! Curious is at 9.45% Blizzcon Chances, with a 55.87% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 16.03%, or 1.13% if they lose. Flash is at 0.43% Blizzcon Chances, with a 48.48% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0.89%, or 0.01% if they lose. INnoVation is at 93.14% Blizzcon Chances, with a 64.33% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 97.24%, or 85.75% if they lose. Pigbaby is at 0.01% Blizzcon Chances, with a 31.32% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0.04%, or 0.01% if they lose. Dear, FanTaSy, ByuL, and Sleep in in GSL Code S Season 3 round of 32. Dear is at 16.6% Blizzcon Chances, with a 54.95% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 24.37%, or 7.13% if they lose. ByuL is at 98.92% Blizzcon Chances, with a 60.52% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 99.85%, or 97.51% if they lose. FanTaSy is at 88.12% Blizzcon Chances, with a 58.01% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 95.57%, or 77.84% if they lose. Sleep is at 0.01% Blizzcon Chances, with a 26.53% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0.01%, or 0% if they lose. PartinG, MMA, Dark, and sKyHigh in in GSL Code S Season 3 round of 32. MMA must win this match! Dark has the #3 Headband. PartinG is at 100% Blizzcon Chances, with a 75.54% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 100%, or 100% if they lose. Dark is at 64.46% Blizzcon Chances, with a 65.85% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 79.78%, or 34.92% if they lose. MMA is at 0.86% Blizzcon Chances, with a 33.49% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 2.5%, or 0.04% if they lose. sKyHigh is at 0.01% Blizzcon Chances, with a 25.11% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0.06%, or 0.01% if they lose. Rogue, soO, Hurricane, and GuMiho in in GSL Code S Season 3 round of 32. soO and GuMiho must win this match! soO has the #2 Headband. This is the Group of Death! Rogue is at 63.33% Blizzcon Chances, with a 47.86% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 81.34%, or 46.81% if they lose. Hurricane is at 0.07% Blizzcon Chances, with a 40.66% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0.17%, or 0.01% if they lose. soO is at 15.46% Blizzcon Chances, with a 62.44% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 23.67%, or 1.81% if they lose. GuMiho is at 6.34% Blizzcon Chances, with a 49.05% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 12.39%, or 0.51% if they lose. + Show Spoiler [Code S Winning Chances] + Solar, Bbyong, GuMiho, Flash, Bomber, MyuNgSiK, MMA, and Losira must win this tournament! PartinG has a 9.77% chance to win----going from 100% to 100% if they get 1st, or 100% if they don't. Rain has a 8.18% chance to win----going from 100% to 100% if they get 1st, or 100% if they don't. INnoVation has a 7.75% chance to win----going from 93.14% to 100% if they get 1st, or 92.57% if they don't. soO has a 7.56% chance to win----going from 15.46% to 99.11% if they get 1st, or 8.62% if they don't. Classic has a 6.11% chance to win----going from 100% to 100% if they get 1st, or 100% if they don't. + Show Spoiler [More Winning Chances] + Dark has a 5.44% chance to win----going from 64.46% to 100% if they get 1st, or 62.42% if they don't. herO has a 5.31% chance to win----going from 100% to 100% if they get 1st, or 100% if they don't. Zest has a 5.28% chance to win----going from 99.88% to 100% if they get 1st, or 99.87% if they don't. Maru has a 4.88% chance to win----going from 100% to 100% if they get 1st, or 100% if they don't. Life has a 4.19% chance to win----going from 100% to 100% if they get 1st, or 100% if they don't. FanTaSy has a 3.69% chance to win----going from 88.12% to 100% if they get 1st, or 87.67% if they don't. Solar has a 3.55% chance to win----going from 3.42% to 80.61% if they get 1st, or 0.58% if they don't. sOs has a 3.51% chance to win----going from 22.26% to 100% if they get 1st, or 19.43% if they don't. Dear has a 3.09% chance to win----going from 16.6% to 99.94% if they get 1st, or 13.95% if they don't. Bbyong has a 2.99% chance to win----going from 4.06% to 95.48% if they get 1st, or 1.23% if they don't. ByuL has a 2.97% chance to win----going from 98.92% to 100% if they get 1st, or 98.89% if they don't. Curious has a 2.52% chance to win----going from 9.45% to 99.99% if they get 1st, or 7.11% if they don't. GuMiho has a 2.4% chance to win----going from 6.34% to 99.94% if they get 1st, or 4.04% if they don't. Rogue has a 1.9% chance to win----going from 63.33% to 100% if they get 1st, or 62.62% if they don't. Flash has a 1.9% chance to win----going from 0.43% to 20.72% if they get 1st, or 0.04% if they don't. Cure has a 1.38% chance to win----going from 0.13% to 9.01% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. Trust has a 1.04% chance to win----going from 0.04% to 3.36% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. Bomber has a 1.03% chance to win----going from 0.66% to 54.79% if they get 1st, or 0.09% if they don't. MyuNgSiK has a 0.78% chance to win----going from 5.97% to 99.93% if they get 1st, or 5.23% if they don't. Hurricane has a 0.74% chance to win----going from 0.07% to 8.65% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. MMA has a 0.58% chance to win----going from 0.86% to 86.04% if they get 1st, or 0.36% if they don't. Pigbaby has a 0.43% chance to win----going from 0.01% to 2.76% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. Losira has a 0.39% chance to win----going from 0.13% to 28.6% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. Hack has a 0.21% chance to win----going from 0.01% to 2.16% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. sKyHigh has a 0.21% chance to win----going from 0.01% to 6.35% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. Stork has a 0.12% chance to win----going from 0.01% to 0.54% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. Sleep has a 0.08% chance to win----going from 0.01% to 0.53% if they get 1st, or 0% if they don't. + Show Spoiler [Code S Placements Table] + ![[image loading]](http://i.imgur.com/t0gg0JU.png) + Show Spoiler [If Flash Makes Top 8 In GSL] + Branch #2865 -If Flash makes top 8 in GSL, then he goes up to 1.9% -If Flash gets 8th place in GSL, he goes down to 0.02% -If Flash gets 4th place in GSL, he goes down to 0.13% -If Flash gets 2nd place in GSL, he goes up to 1.1% -If Flash wins GSL, he goes up to 20.73% -If Flash wins GSL and DreamHack Stockholm, he goes up to 97.04% -If Flash wins GSL and gets 4th in DreamHack Stockholm, he goes up to 67.55% | ||
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Die4Ever
United States17671 Posts
WCS Predictor 2015 ASUS ROG Summer Finals + Show Spoiler [Changes During This Tournament] + Biggest Winners HyuN went up by 6.56%, going from 17.78% to 24.34% Solar went up by 3.86%, going from 3.57% to 7.43% FanTaSy went up by 3.8%, going from 75.56% to 79.35% ForGG went up by 0.66%, going from 15.62% to 16.28% INnoVation went up by 0.46%, going from 93.16% to 93.62% Dark went up by 0.25%, going from 66.17% to 66.42% GuMiho went up by 0.21%, going from 6.38% to 6.6%+ Show Spoiler [More Winners] + Biggest Losers Lilbow went down by 4.19%, going from 22.32% to 18.13% MyuNgSiK went down by 3.05%, going from 6.28% to 3.23% Snute went down by 3.01%, going from 9.99% to 6.99% Bunny went down by 2.02%, going from 3.62% to 1.59% sOs went down by 1.7%, going from 24.43% to 22.73% MarineLorD went down by 1.02%, going from 5.29% to 4.28% Dear went down by 0.57%, going from 17.39% to 16.82%+ Show Spoiler [More Losers] + Losira vs PtitDrogo in in ASUS ROG Summer finals. Losira is at 0.23% Blizzcon Chances, with a 28.09% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0.35%, or 0.18% if they lose. PtitDrogo is at 0.01% Blizzcon Chances, with a 71.91% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0.01%, or 0.01% if they lose. | ||
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Die4Ever
United States17671 Posts
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- WCS Ro32 Groups Set and Group of Death Analysis! Saturday, Aug 01 2:00am GMT (GMT+00:00) (Sim #2912) Biggest Winners and Losers since (Sim ID #2901 vs Sim ID #2912) Biggest Winners Lilbow went up by 1.81%, going from 18.12% to 19.93% Snute went up by 1.27%, going from 6.94% to 8.21% MaNa went up by 0.18%, going from 1.08% to 1.26%Biggest Losers ForGG went down by 0.72%, going from 16.29% to 15.57% Dark went down by 0.3%, going from 66.37% to 66.07% Jaedong went down by 0.27%, going from 7.54% to 7.26% Rogue went down by 0.26%, going from 64.99% to 64.74% Harstem went down by 0.26%, going from 1.21% to 0.95% FanTaSy went down by 0.22%, going from 79.34% to 79.12% Petraeus went down by 0.17%, going from 1.27% to 1.09%+ Show Spoiler [More Losers] + + Show Spoiler [Top 50 players by Blizzcon Chances] +
+ Show Spoiler [Foreigner Hope] + Chances of 1+ foreigners from 37.86% up to 40.09% Chances of 2+ foreigners from 2.53% up to 2.86% Top Foreigner Hopes Lilbow 17.66% chance to be the only foreigner, 19.93% chance overall. Snute 7.02% chance to be the only foreigner, 8.21% chance overall. MarineLorD 3.61% chance to be the only foreigner, 4.19% chance overall. ShoWTimE 1.9% chance to be the only foreigner, 2.21% chance overall. TLO 1.36% chance to be the only foreigner, 1.64% chance overall. Bunny 1.16% chance to be the only foreigner, 1.57% chance overall. MaNa 1.1% chance to be the only foreigner, 1.26% chance overall.+ Show Spoiler [More Foreigner Hopes] + Petraeus 0.95% chance to be the only foreigner, 1.09% chance overall. Harstem 0.81% chance to be the only foreigner, 0.95% chance overall. uThermal 0.78% chance to be the only foreigner, 0.9% chance overall. Kane 0.17% chance to be the only foreigner, 0.2% chance overall. Has 0.1% chance to be the only foreigner, 0.11% chance overall. GunGFuBanDa 0.1% chance to be the only foreigner, 0.11% chance overall. HeRoMaRinE 0.1% chance to be the only foreigner, 0.11% chance overall. iaguz 0.09% chance to be the only foreigner, 0.1% chance overall. MajOr 0.08% chance to be the only foreigner, 0.1% chance overall. MaSa 0.07% chance to be the only foreigner, 0.08% chance overall. Sen 0.04% chance to be the only foreigner, 0.05% chance overall. Zanster 0.04% chance to be the only foreigner, 0.04% chance overall. iAsonu 0.03% chance to be the only foreigner, 0.03% chance overall. Kelazhur 0.02% chance to be the only foreigner, 0.03% chance overall. Jim 0.01% chance to be the only foreigner, 0.01% chance overall. Elazer 0.01% chance to be the only foreigner, 0.01% chance overall. Starbuck 0.01% chance to be the only foreigner, 0.01% chance overall. FireCake 0.01% chance to be the only foreigner, 0.01% chance overall. PtitDrogo 0.01% chance to be the only foreigner, 0.01% chance overall. Hitman 0.01% chance to be the only foreigner, 0.01% chance overall. XiGua 0.01% chance to be the only foreigner, 0.01% chance overall. neeb 0.01% chance to be the only foreigner, 0.01% chance overall. Happy 0.01% chance to be the only foreigner, 0.01% chance overall. Ret 0.01% chance to be the only foreigner, 0.01% chance overall. Shana 0.01% chance to be the only foreigner, 0.01% chance overall. Nerchio 0.01% chance to be the only foreigner, 0.01% chance overall. Serral 0.01% chance to be the only foreigner, 0.01% chance overall. NaNiwa 0.01% chance to be the only foreigner, 0.01% chance overall. Welmu 0.01% chance to be the only foreigner, 0.01% chance overall. Bly 0.01% chance to be the only foreigner, 0.01% chance overall. MorroW 0.01% chance to be the only foreigner, 0.01% chance overall. HuK 0.01% chance to be the only foreigner, 0.01% chance overall. MacSed 0.01% chance to be the only foreigner, 0.01% chance overall.+ Show Spoiler [Headbands] + Rain is the current #1 Headband holder with 0 defenses! soO is the current #2 Headband holder with 1 defenses! Dark is the current #3 Headband holder with 2 defenses! herO is the current #4 Headband holder with 0 defenses!Defense History herO won the #4 from Life at StarLeague Season 3 Life won the #4 from sOs at StarLeague Season 3 Dark defended the #3 from aLive at GSL Code A Season 3+ Show Spoiler [More Defense History] + soO defended the #2 from Dark at KeSPA Cup 2 Dark defended the #3 from Dream at KeSPA Cup 2 soO won the #2 from Flash at KeSPA Cup 2 Dark won the #3 from ByuL at KeSPA Cup 2 Flash won the #2 from Classic at KeSPA Cup 2 Classic defended the #2 from HerO at GSL Code A Season 3 ByuL defended the #3 from Pigbaby at KeSPA Cup 2 Classic defended the #2 from Rogue at KeSPA Cup 2+ Show Spoiler [WCS Point Cutoffs] + 0.82% of the time 2550 points is enough to qualify for Blizzcon 9.85% of the time 2700 points is enough to qualify for Blizzcon 28.4% of the time 2850 points is enough to qualify for Blizzcon 50.28% of the time 2975 points is enough to qualify for Blizzcon 67.38% of the time 3075 points is enough to qualify for Blizzcon 89.54% of the time 3250 points is enough to qualify for Blizzcon 98.99% of the time 3500 points is enough to qualify for Blizzcon + Show Spoiler [Final Seed Stats] + herO has a 69.64% chance to be the #1 seed. herO has a 24.02% chance to be the #2 seed. Life has a 26.07% chance to be the #3 seed. Life has a 25.58% chance to be the #4 seed. Maru has a 21.84% chance to be the #5 seed. Hydra has a 16.71% chance to be the #6 seed. Hydra has a 17.5% chance to be the #7 seed. Dream has a 20.37% chance to be the #8 seed. Dream has a 23.08% chance to be the #9 seed. Dream has a 16.39% chance to be the #10 seed. Polt has a 18.83% chance to be the #11 seed. Polt has a 17.79% chance to be the #12 seed. ByuL has a 16.34% chance to be the #13 seed. FanTaSy has a 15.09% chance to be the #14 seed. FanTaSy has a 14.84% chance to be the #15 seed. Dark has a 14.75% chance to be the #16 seed.+ Show Spoiler [Final Match Stats] + Dream vs Classic has a 15.2% chance for the first round of Blizzcon. Dark vs herO has a 14.5% chance for the first round of Blizzcon. herO vs Rogue has a 13.65% chance for the first round of Blizzcon. herO vs FanTaSy has a 13.39% chance for the first round of Blizzcon. Maru vs ByuL has a 13.13% chance for the first round of Blizzcon. Life vs ByuL has a 12.93% chance for the first round of Blizzcon. Dream vs Zest has a 12.89% chance for the first round of Blizzcon. Rain vs Dream has a 12.68% chance for the first round of Blizzcon. Life vs FanTaSy has a 12.51% chance for the first round of Blizzcon. PartinG vs ByuL has a 12.34% chance for the first round of Blizzcon.+ Show Spoiler [WCS Ro2 Groups] + Polt, MajOr, Harstem, and Petraeus in in WCS Premier Season 3 round of 32. Harstem and Petraeus must win this match! Polt is at 99.94% Blizzcon Chances, with a 62.37% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 99.99%, or 99.84% if they lose. Harstem is at 0.95% Blizzcon Chances, with a 35.84% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 2.65%, or 0.01% if they lose. MajOr is at 0.1% Blizzcon Chances, with a 50.83% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0.19%, or 0.01% if they lose. Petraeus is at 1.09% Blizzcon Chances, with a 50.96% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 2.14%, or 0.01% if they lose. Kelazhur, Starbuck, Hydra, and uThermal in in WCS Premier Season 3 round of 32. uThermal must win this match! Kelazhur is at 0.03% Blizzcon Chances, with a 32.67% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0.08%, or 0% if they lose. Hydra is at 100% Blizzcon Chances, with a 76.01% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 100%, or 100% if they lose. Starbuck is at 0.01% Blizzcon Chances, with a 44.24% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0.01%, or 0% if they lose. uThermal is at 0.9% Blizzcon Chances, with a 47.09% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 1.92%, or 0.01% if they lose. ShoWTimE, HeRoMaRinE, Jaedong, and Sen in in WCS Premier Season 3 round of 32. ShoWTimE and Jaedong must win this match! ShoWTimE is at 2.21% Blizzcon Chances, with a 55.32% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 3.99%, or 0.01% if they lose. Jaedong is at 7.26% Blizzcon Chances, with a 60.85% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 11.89%, or 0.06% if they lose. HeRoMaRinE is at 0.11% Blizzcon Chances, with a 47.81% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0.23%, or 0.01% if they lose. Sen is at 0.05% Blizzcon Chances, with a 36.02% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0.14%, or 0.01% if they lose. MaSa, iaguz, MarineLorD, and Has in in WCS Premier Season 3 round of 32. MarineLorD must win this match! MaSa is at 0.08% Blizzcon Chances, with a 55.55% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0.15%, or 0.01% if they lose. MarineLorD is at 4.19% Blizzcon Chances, with a 59.26% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 7.06%, or 0.01% if they lose. iaguz is at 0.1% Blizzcon Chances, with a 44.46% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0.23%, or 0.01% if they lose. Has is at 0.11% Blizzcon Chances, with a 40.74% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0.27%, or 0.01% if they lose. Shana, Lilbow, neeb, and GunGFuBanDa in in WCS Premier Season 3 round of 32. Lilbow must win this match! Shana is at 0.01% Blizzcon Chances, with a 31.01% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0.01%, or 0% if they lose. neeb is at 0.01% Blizzcon Chances, with a 34.04% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0.01%, or 0% if they lose. Lilbow is at 19.94% Blizzcon Chances, with a 71.23% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 27.27%, or 1.78% if they lose. GunGFuBanDa is at 0.11% Blizzcon Chances, with a 63.72% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0.17%, or 0.01% if they lose. iAsonu, Zanster, Kane, and ForGG in in WCS Premier Season 3 round of 32. ForGG must win this match! iAsonu is at 0.03% Blizzcon Chances, with a 40.07% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0.07%, or 0.01% if they lose. Kane is at 0.2% Blizzcon Chances, with a 38.08% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0.52%, or 0.01% if they lose. Zanster is at 0.04% Blizzcon Chances, with a 57.04% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0.07%, or 0.01% if they lose. ForGG is at 15.57% Blizzcon Chances, with a 64.81% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 23.53%, or 0.9% if they lose. Hitman, Elazer, Jim, and Snute in in WCS Premier Season 3 round of 32. Snute must win this match! Hitman is at 0.01% Blizzcon Chances, with a 41.42% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0.01%, or 0% if they lose. Jim is at 0.01% Blizzcon Chances, with a 39.18% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0.04%, or 0.01% if they lose. Elazer is at 0.01% Blizzcon Chances, with a 48.55% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0.02%, or 0% if they lose. Snute is at 8.21% Blizzcon Chances, with a 70.85% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 11.53%, or 0.14% if they lose. viOLet, MaNa, TLO, and XiGua in in WCS Premier Season 3 round of 32. MaNa and TLO must win this match! viOLet is at 0.17% Blizzcon Chances, with a 59.51% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0.28%, or 0.01% if they lose. TLO is at 1.64% Blizzcon Chances, with a 45.07% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 3.59%, or 0.05% if they lose. MaNa is at 1.26% Blizzcon Chances, with a 68.55% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 1.84%, or 0.01% if they lose. XiGua is at 0.01% Blizzcon Chances, with a 26.87% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0.01%, or 0% if they lose. + Show Spoiler [WCS Winning Chances] + Jaedong, Snute, MarineLorD, MaNa, Petraeus, ShoWTimE, uThermal, Harstem, TLO, Kane, and Has must win this tournament! Hydra has a 16.58% chance to win----going from 100% to 100% if they get 1st, or 100% if they don't. Polt has a 9.87% chance to win----going from 99.94% to 100% if they get 1st, or 99.93% if they don't. ForGG has a 9.24% chance to win----going from 15.57% to 98.94% if they get 1st, or 7.08% if they don't. Lilbow has a 8.35% chance to win----going from 19.94% to 99.98% if they get 1st, or 12.65% if they don't. Jaedong has a 6.6% chance to win----going from 7.26% to 94.7% if they get 1st, or 1.09% if they don't. + Show Spoiler [More Winning Chances] + Snute has a 5.66% chance to win----going from 8.21% to 99.41% if they get 1st, or 2.74% if they don't. MarineLorD has a 5.04% chance to win----going from 4.19% to 76.68% if they get 1st, or 0.34% if they don't. MaNa has a 4.63% chance to win----going from 1.26% to 25.54% if they get 1st, or 0.08% if they don't. Petraeus has a 3.81% chance to win----going from 1.09% to 27.09% if they get 1st, or 0.06% if they don't. viOLet has a 3.37% chance to win----going from 0.17% to 4.83% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. ShoWTimE has a 3.06% chance to win----going from 2.21% to 67.4% if they get 1st, or 0.15% if they don't. MajOr has a 3.06% chance to win----going from 0.1% to 3.1% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. MaSa has a 2.86% chance to win----going from 0.08% to 2.9% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. HeRoMaRinE has a 2.57% chance to win----going from 0.11% to 4.13% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. Zanster has a 2.27% chance to win----going from 0.04% to 1.78% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. GunGFuBanDa has a 1.89% chance to win----going from 0.11% to 5.55% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. uThermal has a 1.68% chance to win----going from 0.9% to 49.3% if they get 1st, or 0.08% if they don't. Harstem has a 1.05% chance to win----going from 0.95% to 78.37% if they get 1st, or 0.13% if they don't. iaguz has a 1.01% chance to win----going from 0.1% to 10.04% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. TLO has a 0.94% chance to win----going from 1.64% to 98.47% if they get 1st, or 0.73% if they don't. Starbuck has a 0.86% chance to win----going from 0.01% to 0.73% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. Elazer has a 0.85% chance to win----going from 0.01% to 1.3% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. Kane has a 0.75% chance to win----going from 0.2% to 25.37% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. Sen has a 0.73% chance to win----going from 0.05% to 6.67% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. Jim has a 0.67% chance to win----going from 0.01% to 2.09% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. iAsonu has a 0.67% chance to win----going from 0.03% to 4.29% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. Kelazhur has a 0.53% chance to win----going from 0.03% to 4.66% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. Hitman has a 0.49% chance to win----going from 0.01% to 0.42% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. Has has a 0.43% chance to win----going from 0.11% to 24.64% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. neeb has a 0.31% chance to win----going from 0.01% to 0.32% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. XiGua has a 0.09% chance to win----going from 0.01% to 1.82% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. Shana has a 0.07% chance to win----going from 0.01% to 0.1% if they get 1st, or 0% if they don't. + Show Spoiler [WCS Placements Table] + ![[image loading]](http://i.imgur.com/IQpQcZ6.png) And now let's do some analysis to see what the Group of Death is according to WCS Predictor. We will be looking at 5 different scores. Champion Chances Score is the chances to win the tournament for each player in the group added together. Blizzcon Chances Score is the chances to qualify for Blizzcon for each player in the group added together. Blizzcon Chances Lost Score is how much the Blizzcon Chances Score went down by because of the group drawing. Effects Score is the sum of the amount of Blizzcon chances each player would gain if they won the group, plus the amount of Blizzcon chances each player would lose if they lost the group. Aligulac Score is the average Aligulac rating of the players in the group. Champion Chances B > A > C > F > E > D > H > G + Show Spoiler [Champion Chances] + Group A Polt has a 9.87% chance to win WCS Premier Season 3 MajOr has a 3.06% chance to win WCS Premier Season 3 Harstem has a 1.05% chance to win WCS Premier Season 3 Petraeus has a 3.81% chance to win WCS Premier Season 3 Giving this match a Champion Chances Score of 17.7923 Group B Kelazhur has a 0.53% chance to win WCS Premier Season 3 Starbuck has a 0.86% chance to win WCS Premier Season 3 Hydra has a 16.58% chance to win WCS Premier Season 3 uThermal has a 1.68% chance to win WCS Premier Season 3 Giving this match a Champion Chances Score of 19.6512 Group C ShoWTimE has a 3.06% chance to win WCS Premier Season 3 HeRoMaRinE has a 2.57% chance to win WCS Premier Season 3 Jaedong has a 6.6% chance to win WCS Premier Season 3 Sen has a 0.73% chance to win WCS Premier Season 3 Giving this match a Champion Chances Score of 12.9616 Group D MaSa has a 2.86% chance to win WCS Premier Season 3 iaguz has a 1.01% chance to win WCS Premier Season 3 MarineLorD has a 5.04% chance to win WCS Premier Season 3 Has has a 0.43% chance to win WCS Premier Season 3 Giving this match a Champion Chances Score of 9.33464 Group E Shana has a 0.07% chance to win WCS Premier Season 3 Lilbow has a 8.35% chance to win WCS Premier Season 3 neeb has a 0.31% chance to win WCS Premier Season 3 GunGFuBanDa has a 1.89% chance to win WCS Premier Season 3 Giving this match a Champion Chances Score of 10.6203 Group F iAsonu has a 0.67% chance to win WCS Premier Season 3 Zanster has a 2.27% chance to win WCS Premier Season 3 Kane has a 0.75% chance to win WCS Premier Season 3 ForGG has a 9.24% chance to win WCS Premier Season 3 Giving this match a Champion Chances Score of 12.9353 Group G Hitman has a 0.49% chance to win WCS Premier Season 3 Elazer has a 0.85% chance to win WCS Premier Season 3 Jim has a 0.67% chance to win WCS Premier Season 3 Snute has a 5.66% chance to win WCS Premier Season 3 Giving this match a Champion Chances Score of 7.66813 Group H viOLet has a 3.37% chance to win WCS Premier Season 3 MaNa has a 4.63% chance to win WCS Premier Season 3 TLO has a 0.94% chance to win WCS Premier Season 3 XiGua has a 0.09% chance to win WCS Premier Season 3 Giving this match a Champion Chances Score of 9.0366 Blizzcon Chances A > B > E > F > C > G > D > H + Show Spoiler [Blizzcon Chances] + Group A Polt has a 99.94% chance to qualify for Blizzcon MajOr has a 0.1% chance to qualify for Blizzcon Harstem has a 0.95% chance to qualify for Blizzcon Petraeus has a 1.09% chance to qualify for Blizzcon Giving this match a Blizzcon Chances Score of 102.079 Group B Kelazhur has a 0.03% chance to qualify for Blizzcon Starbuck has a 0.01% chance to qualify for Blizzcon Hydra has a 100% chance to qualify for Blizzcon uThermal has a 0.9% chance to qualify for Blizzcon Giving this match a Blizzcon Chances Score of 100.936 Group C ShoWTimE has a 2.21% chance to qualify for Blizzcon HeRoMaRinE has a 0.11% chance to qualify for Blizzcon Jaedong has a 7.26% chance to qualify for Blizzcon Sen has a 0.05% chance to qualify for Blizzcon Giving this match a Blizzcon Chances Score of 9.63489 Group D MaSa has a 0.08% chance to qualify for Blizzcon iaguz has a 0.1% chance to qualify for Blizzcon MarineLorD has a 4.19% chance to qualify for Blizzcon Has has a 0.11% chance to qualify for Blizzcon Giving this match a Blizzcon Chances Score of 4.48891 Group E Shana has a 0.01% chance to qualify for Blizzcon Lilbow has a 19.94% chance to qualify for Blizzcon neeb has a 0.01% chance to qualify for Blizzcon GunGFuBanDa has a 0.11% chance to qualify for Blizzcon Giving this match a Blizzcon Chances Score of 20.0448 Group F iAsonu has a 0.03% chance to qualify for Blizzcon Zanster has a 0.04% chance to qualify for Blizzcon Kane has a 0.2% chance to qualify for Blizzcon ForGG has a 15.57% chance to qualify for Blizzcon Giving this match a Blizzcon Chances Score of 15.8337 Group G Hitman has a 0.01% chance to qualify for Blizzcon Elazer has a 0.01% chance to qualify for Blizzcon Jim has a 0.01% chance to qualify for Blizzcon Snute has a 8.21% chance to qualify for Blizzcon Giving this match a Blizzcon Chances Score of 8.24042 Group H viOLet has a 0.17% chance to qualify for Blizzcon MaNa has a 1.26% chance to qualify for Blizzcon TLO has a 1.64% chance to qualify for Blizzcon XiGua has a 0.01% chance to qualify for Blizzcon Giving this match a Blizzcon Chances Score of 3.07565 Blizzcon Chances Lost F > A > C > D > B > H > G > E + Show Spoiler [Blizzcon Chances Lost] + Group A Polt's Blizzcon Chances changed by -0.01% MajOr's Blizzcon Chances changed by -0.01% Harstem's Blizzcon Chances changed by -0.26% Petraeus's Blizzcon Chances changed by -0.17% Giving this match a Blizzcon Chances Lost Score of 0.452967 Group B Kelazhur's Blizzcon Chances changed by -0.01% Starbuck's Blizzcon Chances changed by 0.01% Hydra's Blizzcon Chances changed by 0% uThermal's Blizzcon Chances changed by -0.06% Giving this match a Blizzcon Chances Lost Score of 0.0692 Group C ShoWTimE's Blizzcon Chances changed by -0.02% HeRoMaRinE's Blizzcon Chances changed by -0.02% Jaedong's Blizzcon Chances changed by -0.28% Sen's Blizzcon Chances changed by -0.01% Giving this match a Blizzcon Chances Lost Score of 0.323153 Group D MaSa's Blizzcon Chances changed by 0.01% iaguz's Blizzcon Chances changed by -0.01% MarineLorD's Blizzcon Chances changed by -0.09% Has's Blizzcon Chances changed by 0.01% Giving this match a Blizzcon Chances Lost Score of 0.0938473 Group E Shana's Blizzcon Chances changed by -0.01% Lilbow's Blizzcon Chances changed by 1.81% neeb's Blizzcon Chances changed by -0.01% GunGFuBanDa's Blizzcon Chances changed by 0.02% Giving this match a Blizzcon Chances Lost Score of -1.83316 Group F iAsonu's Blizzcon Chances changed by -0.01% Zanster's Blizzcon Chances changed by 0.01% Kane's Blizzcon Chances changed by -0.03% ForGG's Blizzcon Chances changed by -0.72% Giving this match a Blizzcon Chances Lost Score of 0.754969 Group G Hitman's Blizzcon Chances changed by 0.01% Elazer's Blizzcon Chances changed by 0.01% Jim's Blizzcon Chances changed by -0.01% Snute's Blizzcon Chances changed by 1.27% Giving this match a Blizzcon Chances Lost Score of -1.27017 Group H viOLet's Blizzcon Chances changed by 0.01% MaNa's Blizzcon Chances changed by 0.18% TLO's Blizzcon Chances changed by -0.01% XiGua's Blizzcon Chances changed by 0.01% Giving this match a Blizzcon Chances Lost Score of -0.178108 Effects E > F > C > G > D > H > A > B + Show Spoiler [Effects] + Group A When Polt wins this match, their Blizzcon Chances go up by 0.06% When Polt loses this match, their Blizzcon Chances go down by 0.1% When MajOr wins this match, their Blizzcon Chances go up by 0.09% When MajOr loses this match, their Blizzcon Chances go down by 0.1% When Harstem wins this match, their Blizzcon Chances go up by 1.69% When Harstem loses this match, their Blizzcon Chances go down by 0.95% When Petraeus wins this match, their Blizzcon Chances go up by 1.05% When Petraeus loses this match, their Blizzcon Chances go down by 1.09% Giving this match an Effects Score of 5.13618 Group B When Kelazhur wins this match, their Blizzcon Chances go up by 0.05% When Kelazhur loses this match, their Blizzcon Chances go down by 0.03% When Starbuck wins this match, their Blizzcon Chances go up by 0.01% When Starbuck loses this match, their Blizzcon Chances go down by 0.01% When Hydra wins this match, their Blizzcon Chances go up by 0% When Hydra loses this match, their Blizzcon Chances go down by 0% When uThermal wins this match, their Blizzcon Chances go up by 1.01% When uThermal loses this match, their Blizzcon Chances go down by 0.9% Giving this match an Effects Score of 2.00536 Group C When ShoWTimE wins this match, their Blizzcon Chances go up by 1.78% When ShoWTimE loses this match, their Blizzcon Chances go down by 2.21% When HeRoMaRinE wins this match, their Blizzcon Chances go up by 0.12% When HeRoMaRinE loses this match, their Blizzcon Chances go down by 0.11% When Jaedong wins this match, their Blizzcon Chances go up by 4.63% When Jaedong loses this match, their Blizzcon Chances go down by 7.2% When Sen wins this match, their Blizzcon Chances go up by 0.09% When Sen loses this match, their Blizzcon Chances go down by 0.05% Giving this match an Effects Score of 16.192 Group D When MaSa wins this match, their Blizzcon Chances go up by 0.07% When MaSa loses this match, their Blizzcon Chances go down by 0.08% When iaguz wins this match, their Blizzcon Chances go up by 0.13% When iaguz loses this match, their Blizzcon Chances go down by 0.1% When MarineLorD wins this match, their Blizzcon Chances go up by 2.87% When MarineLorD loses this match, their Blizzcon Chances go down by 4.18% When Has wins this match, their Blizzcon Chances go up by 0.16% When Has loses this match, their Blizzcon Chances go down by 0.11% Giving this match an Effects Score of 7.70839 Group E When Shana wins this match, their Blizzcon Chances go up by 0.01% When Shana loses this match, their Blizzcon Chances go down by 0.01% When Lilbow wins this match, their Blizzcon Chances go up by 7.33% When Lilbow loses this match, their Blizzcon Chances go down by 18.16% When neeb wins this match, their Blizzcon Chances go up by 0.01% When neeb loses this match, their Blizzcon Chances go down by 0.01% When GunGFuBanDa wins this match, their Blizzcon Chances go up by 0.06% When GunGFuBanDa loses this match, their Blizzcon Chances go down by 0.11% Giving this match an Effects Score of 25.665 Group F When iAsonu wins this match, their Blizzcon Chances go up by 0.04% When iAsonu loses this match, their Blizzcon Chances go down by 0.03% When Zanster wins this match, their Blizzcon Chances go up by 0.03% When Zanster loses this match, their Blizzcon Chances go down by 0.04% When Kane wins this match, their Blizzcon Chances go up by 0.32% When Kane loses this match, their Blizzcon Chances go down by 0.2% When ForGG wins this match, their Blizzcon Chances go up by 7.96% When ForGG loses this match, their Blizzcon Chances go down by 14.66% Giving this match an Effects Score of 23.291 Group G When Hitman wins this match, their Blizzcon Chances go up by 0.01% When Hitman loses this match, their Blizzcon Chances go down by 0.01% When Elazer wins this match, their Blizzcon Chances go up by 0.01% When Elazer loses this match, their Blizzcon Chances go down by 0.01% When Jim wins this match, their Blizzcon Chances go up by 0.02% When Jim loses this match, their Blizzcon Chances go down by 0.01% When Snute wins this match, their Blizzcon Chances go up by 3.32% When Snute loses this match, their Blizzcon Chances go down by 8.07% Giving this match an Effects Score of 11.4545 Group H When viOLet wins this match, their Blizzcon Chances go up by 0.11% When viOLet loses this match, their Blizzcon Chances go down by 0.17% When MaNa wins this match, their Blizzcon Chances go up by 0.58% When MaNa loses this match, their Blizzcon Chances go down by 1.26% When TLO wins this match, their Blizzcon Chances go up by 1.95% When TLO loses this match, their Blizzcon Chances go down by 1.6% When XiGua wins this match, their Blizzcon Chances go up by 0.01% When XiGua loses this match, their Blizzcon Chances go down by 0.01% Giving this match an Effects Score of 5.67346 Aliglac Ratings A > C > B > F > D > H > G > E + Show Spoiler [Aligulac Ratings] + Group A Polt has an Aligulac rating of 2144 MajOr has an Aligulac rating of 1851 Harstem has an Aligulac rating of 1716 Petraeus has an Aligulac rating of 1964 Giving this match an Aligulac Score of 7675 Group B Kelazhur has an Aligulac rating of 1596 Starbuck has an Aligulac rating of 1688 Hydra has an Aligulac rating of 2299 uThermal has an Aligulac rating of 1762 Giving this match an Aligulac Score of 7345 Group C ShoWTimE has an Aligulac rating of 1862 HeRoMaRinE has an Aligulac rating of 1838 Jaedong has an Aligulac rating of 2054 Sen has an Aligulac rating of 1686 Giving this match an Aligulac Score of 7440 Group D MaSa has an Aligulac rating of 1817 iaguz has an Aligulac rating of 1655 MarineLorD has an Aligulac rating of 1939 Has has an Aligulac rating of 1562 Giving this match an Aligulac Score of 6973 Group E Shana has an Aligulac rating of 1354 Lilbow has an Aligulac rating of 2038 neeb has an Aligulac rating of 1526 GunGFuBanDa has an Aligulac rating of 1750 Giving this match an Aligulac Score of 6668 Group F iAsonu has an Aligulac rating of 1656 Zanster has an Aligulac rating of 1818 Kane has an Aligulac rating of 1699 ForGG has an Aligulac rating of 2095 Giving this match an Aligulac Score of 7268 Group G Hitman has an Aligulac rating of 1579 Elazer has an Aligulac rating of 1678 Jim has an Aligulac rating of 1639 Snute has an Aligulac rating of 1999 Giving this match an Aligulac Score of 6895 Group H viOLet has an Aligulac rating of 1898 MaNa has an Aligulac rating of 1900 TLO has an Aligulac rating of 1694 XiGua has an Aligulac rating of 1443 Giving this match an Aligulac Score of 6935 Final Placings Group A has two 1st places, and two 2nd places Group B has one 1st place, one 2nd place, and one 3rd place Group C has one 2nd place, and three 3rd places Group D has one 4th place Group E has one 1st place, and one 3rd place Group F has one 1st place, one 2nd place, and three 4th places Group G has one 4th place Group H has no top 4 placements With two 1st places and two 2nd places, Group A is our Group of Death! Congratulations to Polt, MajOr, Harstem, and Petraeus! The 2nd place Group of Death is Group B with Kelazhur, Starbuck, Hydra, and uThermal. --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- | ||
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OtherWorld
France17333 Posts
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Die4Ever
United States17671 Posts
On August 05 2015 05:47 OtherWorld wrote: Why did PtitDrogo lose so many WW points lately? Oo Sorry I had to do a fix for the ASUS ROG points. | ||
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OtherWorld
France17333 Posts
On August 05 2015 05:49 Die4Ever wrote: Sorry I had to do a fix for the ASUS ROG points. But now he's worth less than before the ASUS ROG playoffs? D: | ||
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Die4Ever
United States17671 Posts
On August 05 2015 05:50 OtherWorld wrote: But now he's worth less than before the ASUS ROG playoffs? D: Yea unfortunately I can't think of a good way around this. The tournament was treated as a tier 2 but was actually only a tier 3. If you sell him then I'll adjust the sale to make it for a 100 point profit, which is probably about what it would've been considering when you bought him. | ||
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OtherWorld
France17333 Posts
On August 05 2015 05:59 Die4Ever wrote: Yea unfortunately I can't think of a good way around this. The tournament was treated as a tier 2 but was actually only a tier 3. If you sell him then I'll adjust the sale to make it for a 100 point profit, which is probably about what it would've been considering when you bought him. I plan to only sell him after the open bracket of IEM gamescom, but yeah that would be a cool move from you (: | ||
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Die4Ever
United States17671 Posts
On August 05 2015 06:04 OtherWorld wrote: I plan to only sell him after the open bracket of IEM gamescom, but yeah that would be a cool move from you (: Then I'll put in the sale for him and rebuy him for you. Cause it's already complicated as-is, and delaying it would make it more complicated lol. There won't be any loss from selling since I'm adjusting the sale amount. edit: Done. Had to do some work to fix up the WCS Wars graphs lol, things get complicated with refunds and stuff. | ||
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Die4Ever
United States17671 Posts
WCS Predictor 2015 GSL Code S Season 3 Ro32 Group B Trust, Classic, Maru, and Bomber in in GSL Code S Season 3 round of 32. Bomber must win this match! This is the 2nd place Group of Death! Trust is at 0.03% Blizzcon Chances, with a 44.36% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0.06%, or 0.01% if they lose. Maru is at 100% Blizzcon Chances, with a 55.82% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 100%, or 100% if they lose. Classic is at 100% Blizzcon Chances, with a 58.5% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 100%, or 100% if they lose. Bomber is at 0.68% Blizzcon Chances, with a 41.33% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 1.63%, or 0.01% if they lose. + Show Spoiler [Code S Winning Chances] + Solar, Bbyong, GuMiho, Bomber, and MMA must win this tournament! Solar has a 8.52% chance to win----going from 12.14% to 93.91% if they get 1st, or 4.52% if they don't. PartinG has a 8.31% chance to win----going from 100% to 100% if they get 1st, or 100% if they don't. soO has a 7.7% chance to win----going from 14.51% to 99.49% if they get 1st, or 7.42% if they don't. INnoVation has a 7.66% chance to win----going from 94.03% to 100% if they get 1st, or 93.54% if they don't. Zest has a 7.4% chance to win----going from 99.99% to 100% if they get 1st, or 99.99% if they don't. + Show Spoiler [More Winning Chances] + Rain has a 7.38% chance to win----going from 100% to 100% if they get 1st, or 100% if they don't. Classic has a 5.73% chance to win----going from 100% to 100% if they get 1st, or 100% if they don't. Dark has a 5.42% chance to win----going from 64.77% to 100% if they get 1st, or 62.75% if they don't. herO has a 4.83% chance to win----going from 100% to 100% if they get 1st, or 100% if they don't. Maru has a 4.78% chance to win----going from 100% to 100% if they get 1st, or 100% if they don't. Life has a 4.21% chance to win----going from 100% to 100% if they get 1st, or 100% if they don't. FanTaSy has a 3.16% chance to win----going from 67.78% to 100% if they get 1st, or 66.73% if they don't. sOs has a 3.16% chance to win----going from 23.47% to 100% if they get 1st, or 20.97% if they don't. Bbyong has a 3.14% chance to win----going from 4.2% to 97.31% if they get 1st, or 1.17% if they don't. ByuL has a 3.03% chance to win----going from 99.46% to 100% if they get 1st, or 99.45% if they don't. Dear has a 2.82% chance to win----going from 16.95% to 99.99% if they get 1st, or 14.55% if they don't. Curious has a 2.5% chance to win----going from 10.12% to 99.99% if they get 1st, or 7.82% if they don't. GuMiho has a 2.03% chance to win----going from 5.87% to 99.98% if they get 1st, or 3.92% if they don't. Rogue has a 1.85% chance to win----going from 67.69% to 100% if they get 1st, or 67.08% if they don't. Flash has a 1.81% chance to win----going from 0.37% to 18.54% if they get 1st, or 0.03% if they don't. Bomber has a 0.99% chance to win----going from 0.68% to 60.22% if they get 1st, or 0.08% if they don't. Trust has a 0.89% chance to win----going from 0.03% to 2.74% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. Hurricane has a 0.66% chance to win----going from 0.05% to 7.31% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. MMA has a 0.55% chance to win----going from 0.88% to 90.46% if they get 1st, or 0.38% if they don't. Losira has a 0.5% chance to win----going from 0.09% to 16.91% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. Pigbaby has a 0.38% chance to win----going from 0.01% to 2.41% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. Hack has a 0.21% chance to win----going from 0.01% to 1.92% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. sKyHigh has a 0.21% chance to win----going from 0.01% to 5.79% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. Stork has a 0.1% chance to win----going from 0.01% to 0.57% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. Sleep has a 0.08% chance to win----going from 0.01% to 0.41% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. + Show Spoiler [Code S Placements Table] + ![[image loading]](http://i.imgur.com/VeS09Em.png) WCS Predictor 2015 IEM Gamescom Open Bracket IEM Gamescom Open Bracket in ~ PtitDrogo has a 58.16% chance to win----going from 0.01% to 0.01% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. MaNa has a 50.67% chance to win----going from 1.32% to 2.02% if they get 1st, or 0.61% if they don't. uThermal has a 43.75% chance to win----going from 0.84% to 1.08% if they get 1st, or 0.65% if they don't. HeRoMaRinE has a 43.01% chance to win----going from 0.12% to 0.21% if they get 1st, or 0.05% if they don't. Patience has a 40.37% chance to win----going from 0.01% to 0.03% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. + Show Spoiler [More Winning Chances] + Ret has a 37.6% chance to win----going from 0.01% to 0.01% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. TLO has a 34.38% chance to win----going from 1.62% to 1.97% if they get 1st, or 1.44% if they don't. Bly has a 29.57% chance to win----going from 0% to 0% if they get 1st, or 0% if they don't. Rail has a 27.32% chance to win----going from 0% to 0% if they get 1st, or 0% if they don't. GoOdy has a 15.32% chance to win----going from 0% to 0% if they get 1st, or 0% if they don't. Tarrantius has a 5.18% chance to win----going from 0% to 0% if they get 1st, or 0% if they don't. Jade has a 3.85% chance to win----going from 0% to 0% if they get 1st, or 0% if they don't. Ziggy has a 3.72% chance to win----going from 0% to 0% if they get 1st, or 0% if they don't. CPU has a 3.22% chance to win----going from 0% to 0% if they get 1st, or 0% if they don't. InZaNe has a 3.17% chance to win----going from 0% to 0% if they get 1st, or 0% if they don't.  BlackCat has a 0.7% chance to win----going from 0% to 0% if they get 1st, or 0% if they don't. + Show Spoiler [IEM Open Bracket Matches] + Patience vs InZaNe in in IEM Gamescom Open Bracket quarterfinals. Patience is at 0.01% Blizzcon Chances, with a 78.3% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0.02%, or 0.01% if they lose. InZaNe is at 0% Blizzcon Chances, with a 21.7% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0%, or 0% if they lose. Bly vs Rail in in IEM Gamescom Open Bracket quarterfinals. Bly is at 0% Blizzcon Chances, with a 49.36% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0%, or 0% if they lose. Rail is at 0% Blizzcon Chances, with a 50.64% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0%, or 0% if they lose. Tarrantius vs HeRoMaRinE in in IEM Gamescom Open Bracket quarterfinals. Tarrantius is at 0% Blizzcon Chances, with a 24.97% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0%, or 0% if they lose. HeRoMaRinE is at 0.12% Blizzcon Chances, with a 75.03% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0.13%, or 0.08% if they lose. MaNa vs BlackCat in in IEM Gamescom Open Bracket quarterfinals. MaNa is at 1.32% Blizzcon Chances, with a 89.15% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 1.38%, or 0.83% if they lose. BlackCat is at 0% Blizzcon Chances, with a 10.85% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0%, or 0% if they lose. TLO vs CPU in in IEM Gamescom Open Bracket quarterfinals. TLO is at 1.62% Blizzcon Chances, with a 75.97% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 1.7%, or 1.37% if they lose. CPU is at 0% Blizzcon Chances, with a 24.03% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0%, or 0% if they lose. Jade vs PtitDrogo in in IEM Gamescom Open Bracket quarterfinals. Jade is at 0% Blizzcon Chances, with a 20.63% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0%, or 0% if they lose. PtitDrogo is at 0.01% Blizzcon Chances, with a 79.37% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0.01%, or 0.01% if they lose. GoOdy vs uThermal in in IEM Gamescom Open Bracket quarterfinals. GoOdy is at 0% Blizzcon Chances, with a 34.4% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0%, or 0% if they lose. uThermal is at 0.84% Blizzcon Chances, with a 65.6% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0.95%, or 0.63% if they lose. Ret vs Ziggy in in IEM Gamescom Open Bracket quarterfinals. Ret is at 0.01% Blizzcon Chances, with a 75.56% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0.01%, or 0.01% if they lose. Ziggy is at 0% Blizzcon Chances, with a 24.44% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0%, or 0% if they lose. + Show Spoiler [IEM Gamescom Ro16 Groups] + soO, Happy, and MMA in in IEM Gamescom round of 16. soO has the #2 Headband. soO is at 14.51% Blizzcon Chances, with a 69.45% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 16.4%, or 10.21% if they lose. MMA is at 0.88% Blizzcon Chances, with a 49.37% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 1.23%, or 0.54% if they lose. Happy is at 0.01% Blizzcon Chances, with a 43.9% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0.01%, or 0.01% if they lose. INnoVation, FanTaSy, and Lilbow in in IEM Gamescom round of 16. INnoVation is at 94.03% Blizzcon Chances, with a 66.45% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 96.72%, or 88.72% if they lose. Lilbow is at 19.02% Blizzcon Chances, with a 44.54% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 24.54%, or 14.59% if they lose. FanTaSy is at 67.78% Blizzcon Chances, with a 58.99% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 82.63%, or 46.43% if they lose. Lambo, State, and ForGG in in IEM Gamescom round of 16. Lambo is at 0% Blizzcon Chances, with a 40.42% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0%, or 0% if they lose. ForGG is at 15.94% Blizzcon Chances, with a 71.83% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 18.04%, or 10.6% if they lose. State is at 0.01% Blizzcon Chances, with a 40.23% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0.01%, or 0% if they lose. Nerchio vs StarDust in in IEM Gamescom round of 16. Nerchio is at 0.01% Blizzcon Chances, with a 54.47% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0.01%, or 0.01% if they lose. StarDust is at 0.01% Blizzcon Chances, with a 56.16% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0.01%, or 0.01% if they lose. + Show Spoiler [IEM Gamescom Winning Chances] + IEM Gamescom in ~ INnoVation has a 19.17% chance to win----going from 94.03% to 99.84% if they get 1st, or 92.66% if they don't. soO has a 17.3% chance to win----going from 14.51% to 25.78% if they get 1st, or 12.15% if they don't. ForGG has a 12.63% chance to win----going from 15.94% to 29.05% if they get 1st, or 14.05% if they don't. FanTaSy has a 11.05% chance to win----going from 67.78% to 98.79% if they get 1st, or 63.93% if they don't. Lilbow has a 6.88% chance to win----going from 19.02% to 42.88% if they get 1st, or 17.26% if they don't. + Show Spoiler [More Winning Chances] + Nerchio has a 5.17% chance to win----going from 0.01% to 0.01% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. StarDust has a 4.49% chance to win----going from 0.01% to 0.03% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. Happy has a 4.34% chance to win----going from 0.01% to 0.01% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. MMA has a 4.33% chance to win----going from 0.88% to 3.55% if they get 1st, or 0.76% if they don't. PtitDrogo has a 3.43% chance to win----going from 0.01% to 0.01% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. MaNa has a 2.47% chance to win----going from 1.32% to 5.38% if they get 1st, or 1.22% if they don't. HeRoMaRinE has a 1.52% chance to win----going from 0.12% to 1.63% if they get 1st, or 0.1% if they don't. uThermal has a 1.5% chance to win----going from 0.84% to 2.68% if they get 1st, or 0.81% if they don't. Patience has a 1.36% chance to win----going from 0.01% to 0.41% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. Ret has a 0.92% chance to win----going from 0.01% to 0.01% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. State has a 0.89% chance to win----going from 0.01% to 0% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. TLO has a 0.82% chance to win----going from 1.62% to 9.26% if they get 1st, or 1.56% if they don't. Lambo has a 0.69% chance to win----going from 0% to 0% if they get 1st, or 0% if they don't. Rail has a 0.57% chance to win----going from 0% to 0% if they get 1st, or 0% if they don't. Bly has a 0.44% chance to win----going from 0% to 0% if they get 1st, or 0% if they don't. GoOdy has a 0.05% chance to win----going from 0% to 0% if they get 1st, or 0% if they don't. + Show Spoiler [IEM Gamescom Placements Table] + ![[image loading]](http://i.imgur.com/LItqvYs.png) Branches + Show Spoiler [If Innovation loses in GSL and SSL] + Branch #3019 -If Innovation loses in GSL and SSL (32nd place in GSL and 8th place in SSL), then he goes down to 73.22% -If Innovation loses in GSL and SSL and IEM ro16, he goes down to 52.67% -If Innovation loses in GSL and SSL and advances from his IEM ro16 group, he goes to 83.59% -If Innovation loses in GSL and SSL and gets 2nd place in IEM, he goes to 91.49% -If Innovation loses in GSL and SSL and gets 1st place in IEM, he goes up to 98.99% + Show Spoiler [If Lilbow Gets 4th Place in IEM Gamescom] + Branch #3014 -If Lilbow gets 4th place in IEM Gamescom, then he goes up to 22.66% -If Lilbow gets 4th place in IEM and wins his WCS ro32 group, he goes up to 31.1% -If Lilbow gets 4th place in IEM and 4th place in WCS, he goes up to 42.49% -If Lilbow gets 4th place in IEM and 2nd place in WCS, he goes up to 90.4% -If Lilbow gets 4th place in IEM and 2nd place in Dreamhack Stockholm, he goes up to 50.53% -If Lilbow gets 4th place in IEM and 1st place in Dreamhack Stockholm, he goes up to 74.32% + Show Spoiler [If Lilbow wins IEM Gamescom] + Branch #3015 -If Lilbow wins IEM Gamescom, then he goes up to 42.88% -If Lilbow wins IEM Gamescom and gets 8th place in WCS, he goes up to 56.04% -If Lilbow wins IEM Gamescom and gets 4th place in WCS, he goes up to 92.07% -If Lilbow wins IEM Gamescom and gets 16th in Dreamhack Stockholm, he goes up to 50.3% -If Lilbow wins IEM Gamescom and gets 4th in Dreamhack Stockholm, he goes up to 74.45% + Show Spoiler [If Fantasy Gets 4th Place in IEM Games…] + Branch #3016 -If Fantasy gets 4th place in IEM Gamescom, then he goes up to 83.78% -If Fantasy gets 4th place in IEM Gamescom and loses his GSL ro32 group, he goes to 68.7% -If Fantasy gets 4th place in IEM Gamescom and wins his GSL ro32 group, he goes up to 95.51% -If Fantasy gets 4th place in IEM Gamescom and gets 16th place in GSL, he goes up to 91.42% -If Fantasy gets 4th place in IEM Gamescom and 8th in Dreamhack Stockholm, he goes up to 96.29% + Show Spoiler [If Fantasy Loses His GSL Ro32 Group] + Branch #3020 -If Fantasy loses in GSL, then he goes down to 47.41% -If Fantasy loses in GSL and gets 8th in IEM Gamescom, he goes to 68.7% -If Fantasy loses in GSL and gets 2nd in IEM Gamescom, he goes to 83.51% -If Fantasy loses in GSL and gets 1st in IEM Gamescom, he goes up to 97.35% + Show Spoiler [If soO Gets 2nd Place in IEM Gamescom] + Branch #3017 -If soO gets 2nd place in IEM Gamescom, then he goes up to 17.13% -If soO gets 2nd place in IEM Gamescom and wins his GSL ro32 group, he goes up to 26.39% -If soO gets 2nd place in IEM Gamescom and 2nd place in GSL, he goes up to 74.63% -If soO gets 2nd place in IEM Gamescom and gets 2nd place in Dreamhack Stockholm, he goes up to 35.17% -If soO gets 2nd place in IEM Gamescom and gets 4th place in GSL, he goes up to 23.89% + Show Spoiler [If ForGG Gets 4th Place in IEM Gamescom] + Branch #3018 -If ForGG gets 4th place in IEM Gamescom, then he goes up to 16.27% -If ForGG gets 4th place in IEM Gamescom and wins his WCS ro32 group, he goes up to 24.76% -If ForGG gets 4th place in IEM Gamescom and loses his WCS ro32 group, he goes down to 0.61% -If ForGG gets 4th place in IEM Gamescom and 4th in WCS, he goes to 15.95% -If ForGG gets 4th place in IEM Gamescom and 2nd in WCS, he goes up to 61.88% -If ForGG gets 4th place in IEM Gamescom and 2nd in Dreamhack Stockholm, he goes up to 33.09% | ||
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karl1ok
Norway85 Posts
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[UoN]Sentinel
United States11320 Posts
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Die4Ever
United States17671 Posts
WCS Predictor 2015 StarLeague Season 3 Ro16 Group B Rain, Dream, Dear, and MyuNgSiK in in StarLeague Season 3 round of 16. MyuNgSiK must win this match! Rain has the #1 Headband. Rain is at 100% Blizzcon Chances, with a 55.36% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 100%, or 100% if they lose. Dear is at 16.61% Blizzcon Chances, with a 49.22% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 26.99%, or 6.55% if they lose. Dream is at 100% Blizzcon Chances, with a 60.88% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 100%, or 100% if they lose. MyuNgSiK is at 3.18% Blizzcon Chances, with a 34.54% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 8.69%, or 0.26% if they lose. + Show Spoiler [Ro16 Group A] + Rogue, Classic, TY, and HyuN in in StarLeague Season 3 round of 16. TY must win this match! Rogue is at 68.16% Blizzcon Chances, with a 48.27% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 88.07%, or 49.59% if they lose. TY is at 10.11% Blizzcon Chances, with a 42.6% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 21.86%, or 1.4% if they lose. Classic is at 100% Blizzcon Chances, with a 60.25% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 100%, or 100% if they lose. HyuN is at 26.56% Blizzcon Chances, with a 48.88% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 44.73%, or 9.18% if they lose. + Show Spoiler [SSL Winning Chances] + StarLeague Season 3 in ~ MyuNgSiK must win this tournament! INnoVation has a 20.22% chance to win----going from 94.43% to 100% if they get 1st, or 93.02% if they don't. Zest has a 13.78% chance to win----going from 99.99% to 100% if they get 1st, or 99.99% if they don't. herO has a 11.52% chance to win----going from 100% to 100% if they get 1st, or 100% if they don't. ByuL has a 10.53% chance to win----going from 99.49% to 100% if they get 1st, or 99.43% if they don't. Classic has a 9.66% chance to win----going from 100% to 100% if they get 1st, or 100% if they don't. + Show Spoiler [More Winning Chances] + Rain has a 8.35% chance to win----going from 100% to 100% if they get 1st, or 100% if they don't. Dream has a 6.33% chance to win----going from 100% to 100% if they get 1st, or 100% if they don't. HyuN has a 5.35% chance to win----going from 26.56% to 99.99% if they get 1st, or 22.41% if they don't. Dear has a 4.61% chance to win----going from 16.61% to 99.24% if they get 1st, or 12.61% if they don't. Rogue has a 4.16% chance to win----going from 68.16% to 100% if they get 1st, or 66.78% if they don't. TY has a 3.82% chance to win----going from 10.11% to 99.97% if they get 1st, or 6.54% if they don't. MyuNgSiK has a 1.66% chance to win----going from 3.18% to 99.23% if they get 1st, or 1.55% if they don't. + Show Spoiler [SSL Placements Table] + ![[image loading]](http://i.imgur.com/I0tfK6J.png) WCS Predictor 2015 IEM Gamescom Day 2 MMA, Happy, soO, and HeRoMaRinE in in IEM Gamescom round of 16. soO has the #2 Headband. MMA is at 0.8% Blizzcon Chances, with a 47.19% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 1.15%, or 0.49% if they lose. soO is at 14.07% Blizzcon Chances, with a 69.97% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 15.95%, or 9.67% if they lose. Happy is at 0.01% Blizzcon Chances, with a 45.11% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0.01%, or 0.01% if they lose. HeRoMaRinE is at 0.23% Blizzcon Chances, with a 37.73% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0.41%, or 0.12% if they lose. Lilbow, FanTaSy, Ret, and INnoVation in in IEM Gamescom round of 16. Lilbow is at 19.31% Blizzcon Chances, with a 47.21% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 24.67%, or 14.52% if they lose. Ret is at 0.01% Blizzcon Chances, with a 24.01% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0.01%, or 0.01% if they lose. FanTaSy is at 66.81% Blizzcon Chances, with a 57.02% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 82.5%, or 45.99% if they lose. INnoVation is at 94.43% Blizzcon Chances, with a 71.76% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 96.66%, or 88.75% if they lose. + Show Spoiler [Day 3 Groups] + Lambo, uThermal, State, and ForGG in in IEM Gamescom round of 16. Lambo is at 0% Blizzcon Chances, with a 37.96% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0%, or 0% if they lose. State is at 0% Blizzcon Chances, with a 31.11% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0%, or 0% if they lose. uThermal is at 1.04% Blizzcon Chances, with a 57.07% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 1.29%, or 0.71% if they lose. ForGG is at 15.93% Blizzcon Chances, with a 73.86% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 17.81%, or 10.6% if they lose. Nerchio, TLO, StarDust, and Patience in in IEM Gamescom round of 16. Nerchio is at 0.01% Blizzcon Chances, with a 56.67% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0.01%, or 0.01% if they lose. StarDust is at 0.01% Blizzcon Chances, with a 54.84% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0.01%, or 0.01% if they lose. TLO is at 2.48% Blizzcon Chances, with a 39.78% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 3.44%, or 1.84% if they lose. Patience is at 0.04% Blizzcon Chances, with a 48.71% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0.06%, or 0.01% if they lose. + Show Spoiler [IEM Gamescom Winning Chances] + INnoVation has a 20.01% chance to win----going from 94.43% to 99.85% if they get 1st, or 93.07% if they don't. soO has a 17.95% chance to win----going from 14.07% to 25.3% if they get 1st, or 11.61% if they don't. ForGG has a 12.28% chance to win----going from 15.93% to 29.12% if they get 1st, or 14.08% if they don't. FanTaSy has a 10.33% chance to win----going from 66.81% to 98.81% if they get 1st, or 63.13% if they don't. Lilbow has a 6.95% chance to win----going from 19.31% to 43.43% if they get 1st, or 17.51% if they don't. + Show Spoiler [More Winning Chances] + Nerchio has a 5.96% chance to win----going from 0.01% to 0.01% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. Happy has a 4.24% chance to win----going from 0.01% to 0.01% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. MMA has a 4.05% chance to win----going from 0.8% to 3.4% if they get 1st, or 0.69% if they don't. StarDust has a 4.05% chance to win----going from 0.01% to 0.03% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. Patience has a 3.98% chance to win----going from 0.04% to 0.4% if they get 1st, or 0.02% if they don't. HeRoMaRinE has a 2.96% chance to win----going from 0.23% to 1.94% if they get 1st, or 0.17% if they don't. uThermal has a 2.7% chance to win----going from 1.04% to 2.41% if they get 1st, or 1.01% if they don't. TLO has a 2.03% chance to win----going from 2.48% to 10.29% if they get 1st, or 2.32% if they don't. Ret has a 1.13% chance to win----going from 0.01% to 0.01% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. Lambo has a 0.72% chance to win----going from 0% to 0% if they get 1st, or 0% if they don't. State has a 0.67% chance to win----going from 0% to 0% if they get 1st, or 0% if they don't. + Show Spoiler [IEM Gamescom Placements Table] + ![[image loading]](http://i.imgur.com/0NzVdOk.png) Branches + Show Spoiler [If Innovation loses in GSL and SSL] + Branch #3065 -If Innovation loses in GSL and SSL (32nd place in GSL and 8th place in SSL), then he goes down to 74.84% -If Innovation loses in GSL and SSL and IEM ro16, he goes down to 53.03% -If Innovation loses in GSL and SSL and advances from his IEM ro16 group, he goes to 83.43% -If Innovation loses in GSL and SSL and gets 2nd place in IEM, he goes to 91.62% -If Innovation loses in GSL and SSL and gets 1st place in IEM, he goes up to 99.08% + Show Spoiler [If Lilbow Gets 4th Place in IEM Gamescom] + Branch #3060 -If Lilbow gets 4th place in IEM Gamescom, then he goes up to 22.97% -If Lilbow gets 4th place in IEM and loses his WCS ro32 group, he goes down to 2.14% -If Lilbow gets 4th place in IEM and wins his WCS ro32 group, he goes up to 31.52% -If Lilbow gets 4th place in IEM and 4th place in WCS, he goes up to 43.94% -If Lilbow gets 4th place in IEM and 2nd place in WCS, he goes up to 91.06% -If Lilbow gets 4th place in IEM and 2nd place in Dreamhack Stockholm, he goes up to 51.38% -If Lilbow gets 4th place in IEM and 1st place in Dreamhack Stockholm, he goes up to 75.09% + Show Spoiler [If Lilbow wins IEM Gamescom] + Branch #3061 -If Lilbow wins IEM Gamescom, then he goes up to 43.43% -If Lilbow wins IEM Gamescom and gets 8th place in WCS, he goes up to 57.69% -If Lilbow wins IEM Gamescom and gets 4th place in WCS, he goes up to 92.59% -If Lilbow wins IEM Gamescom and gets 16th in Dreamhack Stockholm, he goes up to 51.14% -If Lilbow wins IEM Gamescom and gets 4th in Dreamhack Stockholm, he goes up to 74.5% + Show Spoiler [If Fantasy Gets 4th Place in IEM Games…] + Branch #3062 -If Fantasy gets 4th place in IEM Gamescom, then he goes up to 83.96% -If Fantasy gets 4th place in IEM Gamescom and loses his GSL ro32 group, he goes to 69.17% -If Fantasy gets 4th place in IEM Gamescom and wins his GSL ro32 group, he goes up to 95.46% -If Fantasy gets 4th place in IEM Gamescom and gets 16th place in GSL, he goes up to 91.53% -If Fantasy gets 4th place in IEM Gamescom and 8th in Dreamhack Stockholm, he goes up to 96.56% + Show Spoiler [If Fantasy Loses His GSL Ro32 Group] + Branch #3066 -If Fantasy loses in GSL, then he goes down to 46.37% -If Fantasy loses in GSL and gets 8th in IEM Gamescom, he goes to 49.32% -If Fantasy loses in GSL and gets 2nd in IEM Gamescom, he goes to 83.74% -If Fantasy loses in GSL and gets 1st in IEM Gamescom, he goes up to 97.38% + Show Spoiler [If soO Gets 2nd Place in IEM Gamescom] + Branch #3063 -If soO gets 2nd place in IEM Gamescom, then he goes up to 16.63% -If soO gets 2nd place in IEM Gamescom and wins his GSL ro32 group, he goes up to 25.49% -If soO gets 2nd place in IEM Gamescom and 2nd place in GSL, he goes up to 74.8% -If soO gets 2nd place in IEM Gamescom and gets 2nd place in Dreamhack Stockholm, he goes up to 35.54% -If soO gets 2nd place in IEM Gamescom and gets 4th place in GSL, he goes up to 24.19% + Show Spoiler [If ForGG Gets 4th Place in IEM Gamescom] + Branch #3064 -If ForGG gets 4th place in IEM Gamescom, then he goes up to 16.3% -If ForGG gets 4th place in IEM Gamescom and wins his WCS ro32 group, he goes up to 24.83% -If ForGG gets 4th place in IEM Gamescom and loses his WCS ro32 group, he goes down to 0.62% -If ForGG gets 4th place in IEM Gamescom and 4th in WCS, he goes to 16.11% -If ForGG gets 4th place in IEM Gamescom and 2nd in WCS, he goes up to 62.34% -If ForGG gets 4th place in IEM Gamescom and 2nd in Dreamhack Stockholm, he goes up to 33.34% -If ForGG gets 4th place in IEM Gamescom and 1st in Dreamhack Stockholm, he goes up to 50.36% | ||
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EPT
