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WCS Predictor 2015 - Page 34

Forum Index > SC2 General
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Die4Ever
Profile Joined August 2010
United States17671 Posts
July 19 2015 20:57 GMT
#661
---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
DreamHack Valencia and IEM Shenzhen Completed!
Sunday, Jul 19 9:00pm GMT (GMT+00:00) (Sim #2507)


Biggest Winners and Losers during DreamHack and IEM (Sim ID #2354 vs Sim ID #2507)
Biggest Winners
kr Curious went up by 8.85%, going from 1.93% to 10.78%
kr HyuN went up by 8.67%, going from 27.47% to 36.14%
kr FanTaSy went up by 4.33%, going from 35.96% to 40.29%
kr TY went up by 1.63%, going from 9.82% to 11.45%
kr TRUE went up by 1.12%, going from 0.46% to 1.59%
kr Flash went up by 0.36%, going from 0.24% to 0.6%
kr Patience went up by 0.32%, going from 0.26% to 0.58%
fr MarineLorD went up by 0.26%, going from 3.02% to 3.28%

Biggest Losers
dk Bunny went down by 10.74%, going from 26.51% to 15.77%
fr Lilbow went down by 8.52%, going from 26.33% to 17.81%
kr GuMiho went down by 1.44%, going from 5.12% to 3.68%
kr Rogue went down by 0.69%, going from 64.86% to 64.16%
kr Dark went down by 0.64%, going from 61.06% to 60.42%
kr INnoVation went down by 0.46%, going from 83.69% to 83.23%
kr sOs went down by 0.44%, going from 46.45% to 46.01%
+ Show Spoiler [More Losers] +

kr Stats went down by 0.4%, going from 29.99% to 29.59%
pl MaNa went down by 0.33%, going from 0.61% to 0.29%
kr soO went down by 0.33%, going from 18.07% to 17.75%
kr San went down by 0.21%, going from 0.47% to 0.26%
de TLO went down by 0.2%, going from 0.83% to 0.63%
kr ByuL went down by 0.14%, going from 90.01% to 89.86%
kr viOLet went down by 0.12%, going from 0.24% to 0.12%
nl uThermal went down by 0.12%, going from 0.41% to 0.28%
kr ForGG went down by 0.12%, going from 11.98% to 11.86%
kr Zest went down by 0.12%, going from 96.48% to 96.36%


+ Show Spoiler [Top 50 players by Blizzcon Chances] +

  1. herO is at 100%, 100% AFK Chances, Min WCS Points: 5850, Median Points: 6500
  2. Life is at 100%, 100% AFK Chances, Min WCS Points: 5325, Median Points: 6125
  3. Maru is at 100%, 100% AFK Chances, Min WCS Points: 5150, Median Points: 6100
  4. PartinG is at 100%, 100% AFK Chances, Min WCS Points: 5125, Median Points: 5850
  5. Hydra is at 100%, 100% AFK Chances, Min WCS Points: 4200, Median Points: 5000
  6. Dream is at 100%, 100% AFK Chances, Min WCS Points: 4175, Median Points: 4675
  7. Rain is at 100%, 100% AFK Chances, Min WCS Points: 4125, Median Points: 5025
  8. Classic is at 99.99%, 99.99% AFK Chances, Min WCS Points: 3950, Median Points: 4850
  9. Polt is at 97.92%, 89.22% AFK Chances, Min WCS Points: 3200, Median Points: 3675
  10. Zest is at 96.36%, 44.7% AFK Chances, Min WCS Points: 2950, Median Points: 3850
  11. ByuL is at 89.86%, 29.32% AFK Chances, Min WCS Points: 2875, Median Points: 3525
  12. INnoVation is at 83.23%, 0% AFK Chances, Min WCS Points: 2250, Median Points: 3675
  13. Rogue is at 64.16%, 0.29% AFK Chances, Min WCS Points: 2525, Median Points: 3175
  14. Dark is at 60.42%, 1.54% AFK Chances, Min WCS Points: 2600, Median Points: 3100
  15. sOs is at 46.01%, 0% AFK Chances, Min WCS Points: 2200, Median Points: 2950
  16. FanTaSy is at 40.29%, 0.01% AFK Chances, Min WCS Points: 2325, Median Points: 2875
  17. HyuN is at 36.14%, 0% AFK Chances, Min WCS Points: 1900, Median Points: 2775
  18. Stats is at 29.59%, 0.01% AFK Chances, Min WCS Points: 2350, Median Points: 2700
  19. Lilbow is at 17.81%, 0% AFK Chances, Min WCS Points: 1600, Median Points: 2375
  20. soO is at 17.75%, 0% AFK Chances, Min WCS Points: 1425, Median Points: 2300
  21. Dear is at 17.56%, 0% AFK Chances, Min WCS Points: 1625, Median Points: 2300
  22. Bunny is at 15.77%, 0% AFK Chances, Min WCS Points: 1950, Median Points: 2425
  23. ForGG is at 11.86%, 0% AFK Chances, Min WCS Points: 1325, Median Points: 2050
  24. TY is at 11.45%, 0% AFK Chances, Min WCS Points: 1900, Median Points: 2250
  25. Curious is at 10.78%, 0% AFK Chances, Min WCS Points: 1900, Median Points: 2275
  26. MyuNgSiK is at 10.57%, 0% AFK Chances, Min WCS Points: 1725, Median Points: 2250
  27. Snute is at 5.5%, 0% AFK Chances, Min WCS Points: 1450, Median Points: 1825
  28. Jaedong is at 5.46%, 0% AFK Chances, Min WCS Points: 1275, Median Points: 1625
  29. Bbyong is at 4.79%, 0% AFK Chances, Min WCS Points: 1350, Median Points: 1775
  30. Solar is at 3.82%, 0% AFK Chances, Min WCS Points: 1150, Median Points: 1575
  31. GuMiho is at 3.68%, 0% AFK Chances, Min WCS Points: 1675, Median Points: 1925
  32. MarineLorD is at 3.28%, 0% AFK Chances, Min WCS Points: 950, Median Points: 1450
  33. StarDust is at 2.2%, 0% AFK Chances, Min WCS Points: 775, Median Points: 1400
  34. ShoWTimE is at 1.64%, 0% AFK Chances, Min WCS Points: 1000, Median Points: 1375
  35. TRUE is at 1.59%, 0% AFK Chances, Min WCS Points: 1625, Median Points: 1975
  36. FireCake is at 1.22%, 0% AFK Chances, Min WCS Points: 975, Median Points: 1350
  37. Happy is at 1.18%, 0% AFK Chances, Min WCS Points: 375, Median Points: 1000
  38. MMA is at 0.68%, 0% AFK Chances, Min WCS Points: 1100, Median Points: 1400
  39. TLO is at 0.63%, 0% AFK Chances, Min WCS Points: 1250, Median Points: 1500
  40. Soulkey is at 0.61%, 0% AFK Chances, Min WCS Points: 1725, Median Points: 1850
  41. Flash is at 0.6%, 0% AFK Chances, Min WCS Points: 675, Median Points: 1000
  42. Harstem is at 0.6%, 0% AFK Chances, Min WCS Points: 1025, Median Points: 1275
  43. Patience is at 0.58%, 0% AFK Chances, Min WCS Points: 1200, Median Points: 1525
  44. Petraeus is at 0.43%, 0% AFK Chances, Min WCS Points: 500, Median Points: 925
  45. Bomber is at 0.38%, 0% AFK Chances, Min WCS Points: 925, Median Points: 1150
  46. Trap is at 0.32%, 0% AFK Chances, Min WCS Points: 1350, Median Points: 1475
  47. MaNa is at 0.29%, 0% AFK Chances, Min WCS Points: 575, Median Points: 825
  48. uThermal is at 0.28%, 0% AFK Chances, Min WCS Points: 650, Median Points: 1000
  49. San is at 0.26%, 0% AFK Chances, Min WCS Points: 850, Median Points: 1000
  50. Nerchio is at 0.25%, 0% AFK Chances, Min WCS Points: 275, Median Points: 650
Full Player List


+ Show Spoiler [Foreigner Hope] +

Chances of 1+ foreigners from 58.57% down to 44.71%
Chances of 2+ foreigners from 11.11% down to 5.45%
Chances of 3+ foreigners from 0.46% down to 0.14%

fr Lilbow 14.19% chance to be the only foreigner, 17.81% chance overall.
dk Bunny 12.23% chance to be the only foreigner, 15.77% chance overall.
no Snute 4.19% chance to be the only foreigner, 5.5% chance overall.
fr MarineLorD 2.52% chance to be the only foreigner, 3.28% chance overall.
de ShoWTimE 1.25% chance to be the only foreigner, 1.64% chance overall.
fr FireCake 0.93% chance to be the only foreigner, 1.22% chance overall.
ru Happy 0.91% chance to be the only foreigner, 1.18% chance overall.
+ Show Spoiler [More Foreigner Hopes] +

de TLO 0.47% chance to be the only foreigner, 0.63% chance overall.
nl Harstem 0.46% chance to be the only foreigner, 0.6% chance overall.
nz Petraeus 0.34% chance to be the only foreigner, 0.43% chance overall.
pl MaNa 0.22% chance to be the only foreigner, 0.29% chance overall.
nl uThermal 0.22% chance to be the only foreigner, 0.28% chance overall.
pl Nerchio 0.2% chance to be the only foreigner, 0.25% chance overall.
fi Serral 0.14% chance to be the only foreigner, 0.18% chance overall.
fi Welmu 0.13% chance to be the only foreigner, 0.17% chance overall.
se NaNiwa 0.11% chance to be the only foreigner, 0.15% chance overall.
mx MajOr 0.1% chance to be the only foreigner, 0.13% chance overall.
nl Ret 0.09% chance to be the only foreigner, 0.12% chance overall.
au iaguz 0.08% chance to be the only foreigner, 0.11% chance overall.
de GunGFuBanDa 0.06% chance to be the only foreigner, 0.08% chance overall.
ca Kane 0.06% chance to be the only foreigner, 0.08% chance overall.
tw Sen 0.06% chance to be the only foreigner, 0.07% chance overall.
fi elfi 0.05% chance to be the only foreigner, 0.06% chance overall.
ca MaSa 0.04% chance to be the only foreigner, 0.05% chance overall.
se Zanster 0.04% chance to be the only foreigner, 0.05% chance overall.
cn iAsonu 0.03% chance to be the only foreigner, 0.04% chance overall.
de HeRoMaRinE 0.03% chance to be the only foreigner, 0.04% chance overall.
cn Jim 0.02% chance to be the only foreigner, 0.02% chance overall.
ca HuK 0.02% chance to be the only foreigner, 0.02% chance overall.
br Kelazhur 0.01% chance to be the only foreigner, 0.02% chance overall.
tw Has 0.01% chance to be the only foreigner, 0.02% chance overall.
ua Bly 0.01% chance to be the only foreigner, 0.01% chance overall.
us Bails 0.01% chance to be the only foreigner, 0.01% chance overall.



+ Show Spoiler [Headbands] +

kr Rain is the current #1 Headband holder with 0 defenses!
kr soO is the current #2 Headband holder with 1 defenses!
kr Dark is the current #3 Headband holder with 2 defenses!
kr sOs is the current #4 Headband holder with 1 defenses!

Defense History
kr Dark defended the #3 from kr aLive at GSL Code A Season 3
kr soO defended the #2 from kr Dark at KeSPA Cup 2
kr Dark defended the #3 from kr Dream at KeSPA Cup 2
+ Show Spoiler [More Defense History] +

kr soO won the #2 from kr Flash at KeSPA Cup 2
kr Dark won the #3 from kr ByuL at KeSPA Cup 2
kr Flash won the #2 from kr Classic at KeSPA Cup 2
kr Classic defended the #2 from kr HerO at GSL Code A Season 3
kr ByuL defended the #3 from kr Pigbaby at KeSPA Cup 2
kr Classic defended the #2 from kr Rogue at KeSPA Cup 2
kr sOs defended the #4 from kr Solar at StarLeague Season 3
kr ByuL defended the #3 from kr Shine at StarLeague Season 3
kr Rain won the #1 from kr ByuL at GSL Code S Season 2
kr Classic won the #2 from kr Dream at StarLeague Season 2
kr Rain defended the #3 from kr Curious at GSL Code S Season 2
kr ByuL defended the #1 from kr sOs at GSL Code S Season 2
kr Rain won the #3 from kr Maru at GSL Code S Season 2
kr sOs won the #4 from kr MyuNgSiK at GSL Code S Season 2
kr Dream won the #2 from kr herO at StarLeague Season 2
kr ByuL won the #1 from kr herO at GSL Code S Season 2
kr ByuL won the #2 from kr Dream at GSL Code S Season 2
kr herO won the #1 from kr Dream at GSL Code S Season 2
kr MyuNgSiK won the #4 from kr Bomber at GSL Code S Season 2
kr Bomber won the #4 from kr Life at GSL Code S Season 2
kr Maru won the #3 from kr MyuNgSiK at GSL Code S Season 2
kr MyuNgSiK defended the #3 from kr Life at GSL Code S Season 2
kr Dream won the #1 from kr Life at StarLeague Season 2
kr herO defended the #2 from kr Maru at StarLeague Season 2
kr Dream won the #4 from kr Flash at GSL Code S Season 2
kr herO defended the #2 from kr Flash at GSL Code S Season 2
kr Flash won the #4 from kr Dream at GSL Code S Season 2
kr herO defended the #2 from kr Patience at GSL Code S Season 2
kr Dream defended the #4 from kr Classic at StarLeague Season 2
kr Dream defended the #4 from kr HyuN at StarLeague Season 2



+ Show Spoiler [WCS Point Cutoffs] +

1.18% of the time 2650 points is enough to qualify for Blizzcon
10.29% of the time 2825 points is enough to qualify for Blizzcon
28.39% of the time 2950 points is enough to qualify for Blizzcon
51.91% of the time 3075 points is enough to qualify for Blizzcon
71.21% of the time 3175 points is enough to qualify for Blizzcon
89.28% of the time 3300 points is enough to qualify for Blizzcon
98.86% of the time 3525 points is enough to qualify for Blizzcon


Final Seed Stats
I also added the sections for Final Seed Stats and Final Match Stats, to show the chances of seeds for Blizzcon and the first round matches at Blizzcon. Here are the most likely players for each seed, you can see more likely seeds on the website.
+ Show Spoiler [Final Seed Stats] +

kr herO has a 33.25% chance to be the #1 seed.
kr herO has a 31.46% chance to be the #2 seed.
kr herO has a 21.58% chance to be the #3 seed.
kr PartinG has a 22.71% chance to be the #4 seed.
kr PartinG has a 20.99% chance to be the #5 seed.
kr Rain has a 16.16% chance to be the #6 seed.
kr Dream has a 18.64% chance to be the #7 seed.
kr Dream has a 22.94% chance to be the #8 seed.
kr Dream has a 18.91% chance to be the #9 seed.
kr Zest has a 12.62% chance to be the #10 seed.
kr Polt has a 14.36% chance to be the #11 seed.
kr Polt has a 15.14% chance to be the #12 seed.
kr Polt has a 14.21% chance to be the #13 seed.
kr Polt has a 11.66% chance to be the #14 seed.
kr ByuL has a 9.59% chance to be the #15 seed.
kr Dark has a 9.91% chance to be the #16 seed.


Final Match Stats
Here are the top 10 most likely first round matches for Blizzcon.
+ Show Spoiler [Final Match Stats] +

kr PartinG vs kr Polt has a 12.02% chance for the first round of Blizzcon.
kr Dream vs kr Classic has a 11.48% chance for the first round of Blizzcon.
kr Dream vs kr Zest has a 10.96% chance for the first round of Blizzcon.
kr PartinG vs kr ByuL has a 10.89% chance for the first round of Blizzcon.
kr Life vs kr Polt has a 10.67% chance for the first round of Blizzcon.
kr Polt vs kr Hydra has a 10.64% chance for the first round of Blizzcon.
kr Hydra vs kr Zest has a 10.63% chance for the first round of Blizzcon.
kr Maru vs kr ByuL has a 10.61% chance for the first round of Blizzcon.
kr Polt vs kr Maru has a 10.55% chance for the first round of Blizzcon.
kr Rain vs kr Zest has a 10.48% chance for the first round of Blizzcon.


Next up is more Code A, WCS Challenger, and then SSL begins the very important round of 16 (very thick red bars around all 4 of those upcoming matches).
+ Show Spoiler [Code A Matches] +

kr Bomber vs kr First in
in GSL Code A Season 3 round of 48.
Bomber is at 0.38% Blizzcon Chances, with a 50.23% chance to win this match.
If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0.75%, or 0.01% if they lose.
First is at 0.04% Blizzcon Chances, with a 49.77% chance to win this match.
If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0.08%, or 0.01% if they lose.

kr Symbol vs kr Hurricane in
in GSL Code A Season 3 round of 48.
Symbol is at 0.01% Blizzcon Chances, with a 39.52% chance to win this match.
If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0.02%, or 0.01% if they lose.
Hurricane is at 0.07% Blizzcon Chances, with a 60.48% chance to win this match.
If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0.12%, or 0.01% if they lose.

kr Cure vs kr Sacsri in
in GSL Code A Season 3 round of 48.
Cure is at 0.09% Blizzcon Chances, with a 50.4% chance to win this match.
If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0.17%, or 0.01% if they lose.
Sacsri is at 0.23% Blizzcon Chances, with a 49.6% chance to win this match.
If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0.47%, or 0.01% if they lose.

kr San vs kr FanTaSy in
in GSL Code A Season 3 round of 48.
San is at 0.26% Blizzcon Chances, with a 41.12% chance to win this match.
If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0.62%, or 0.01% if they lose.
FanTaSy is at 40.29% Blizzcon Chances, with a 58.88% chance to win this match.
If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 50.55%, or 25.6% if they lose.

kr Patience vs kr Zest in
in GSL Code A Season 3 round of 48.
Patience must win this match!
Patience is at 0.58% Blizzcon Chances, with a 26.68% chance to win this match.
If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 1.86%, or 0.11% if they lose.
Zest is at 96.36% Blizzcon Chances, with a 73.32% chance to win this match.
If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 97.77%, or 92.47% if they lose.

kr Armani vs kr herO in
in GSL Code A Season 3 round of 48.
Armani is at 0.01% Blizzcon Chances, with a 35.93% chance to win this match.
If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0.02%, or 0.01% if they lose.
herO is at 100% Blizzcon Chances, with a 64.07% chance to win this match.
If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 100%, or 100% if they lose.

kr HyuN vs kr GuMiho in
in GSL Code A Season 3 round of 48.
GuMiho must win this match!
HyuN is at 36.14% Blizzcon Chances, with a 52.85% chance to win this match.
If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 45.77%, or 25.34% if they lose.
GuMiho is at 3.68% Blizzcon Chances, with a 47.15% chance to win this match.
If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 7.06%, or 0.67% if they lose.


+ Show Spoiler [WCS Challenger Matches] +
Oops, I didn't load in the new schedule from Liquipedia in this update. I will post these again with the schedule when we get closer to the first day.

kr Polt vs us JonSnow in
in WCS Challenger Season 3 round of 64.
Polt is at 97.92% Blizzcon Chances, with a 75.25% chance to win this match.
If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 99.02%, or 94.56% if they lose.
JonSnow is at 0.01% Blizzcon Chances, with a 24.75% chance to win this match.
If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0.01%, or 0% if they lose.

kr Jaedong vs ca Semper in
in WCS Challenger Season 3 round of 64.
Jaedong must win this match!
Jaedong is at 5.46% Blizzcon Chances, with a 67.45% chance to win this match.
If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 8.05%, or 0.09% if they lose.
Semper is at 0.01% Blizzcon Chances, with a 32.55% chance to win this match.
If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0.01%, or 0% if they lose.

kr StarDust vs us neeb in
in WCS Challenger Season 3 round of 64.
StarDust must win this match!
StarDust is at 2.2% Blizzcon Chances, with a 70.97% chance to win this match.
If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 3.09%, or 0.04% if they lose.
neeb is at 0.01% Blizzcon Chances, with a 29.03% chance to win this match.
If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0.01%, or 0% if they lose.

us qxc vs kr viOLet in
in WCS Challenger Season 3 round of 64.
qxc is at 0.01% Blizzcon Chances, with a 35.51% chance to win this match.
If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0.01%, or 0% if they lose.
viOLet is at 0.12% Blizzcon Chances, with a 64.49% chance to win this match.
If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0.18%, or 0.01% if they lose.

ca MaSa vs us Bails in
in WCS Challenger Season 3 round of 64.
MaSa is at 0.05% Blizzcon Chances, with a 50.31% chance to win this match.
If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0.1%, or 0.01% if they lose.
Bails is at 0.01% Blizzcon Chances, with a 49.69% chance to win this match.
If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0.02%, or 0% if they lose.

us Xenocider vs us Hitman in
in WCS Challenger Season 3 round of 64.
Xenocider is at 0.01% Blizzcon Chances, with a 54.72% chance to win this match.
If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0.01%, or 0% if they lose.
Hitman is at 0.01% Blizzcon Chances, with a 45.28% chance to win this match.
If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0.01%, or 0% if they lose.

ca Kane vs ca HuK in
in WCS Challenger Season 3 round of 64.
Kane is at 0.08% Blizzcon Chances, with a 43.74% chance to win this match.
If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0.17%, or 0.01% if they lose.
HuK is at 0.02% Blizzcon Chances, with a 56.26% chance to win this match.
If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0.04%, or 0% if they lose.

se SortOf vs fr Lilbow in
in WCS Challenger Season 3 round of 64.
Lilbow must win this match!
SortOf is at 0.01% Blizzcon Chances, with a 28.12% chance to win this match.
If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0.01%, or 0.01% if they lose.
Lilbow is at 17.81% Blizzcon Chances, with a 71.88% chance to win this match.
If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 23.32%, or 3.73% if they lose.

dk Bunny vs si Starbuck in
in WCS Challenger Season 3 round of 64.
Bunny must win this match!
Bunny is at 15.77% Blizzcon Chances, with a 60.94% chance to win this match.
If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 23.23%, or 4.12% if they lose.
Starbuck is at 0.01% Blizzcon Chances, with a 39.06% chance to win this match.
If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0.01%, or 0% if they lose.

ua Bly vs de TLO in
in WCS Challenger Season 3 round of 64.
TLO must win this match!
Bly is at 0.01% Blizzcon Chances, with a 49.34% chance to win this match.
If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0.02%, or 0% if they lose.
TLO is at 0.63% Blizzcon Chances, with a 50.66% chance to win this match.
If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 1.22%, or 0.02% if they lose.

fr MarineLorD vs ru DmC in
in WCS Challenger Season 3 round of 64.
MarineLorD must win this match!
MarineLorD is at 3.28% Blizzcon Chances, with a 68.33% chance to win this match.
If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 4.77%, or 0.05% if they lose.
DmC is at 0.01% Blizzcon Chances, with a 31.67% chance to win this match.
If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0.01%, or 0% if they lose.

fr FireCake vs se Zanster in
in WCS Challenger Season 3 round of 64.
FireCake must win this match!
FireCake is at 1.22% Blizzcon Chances, with a 50.3% chance to win this match.
If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 2.4%, or 0.02% if they lose.
Zanster is at 0.05% Blizzcon Chances, with a 49.7% chance to win this match.
If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0.1%, or 0.01% if they lose.

fr DnS vs de GunGFuBanDa in
in WCS Challenger Season 3 round of 64.
DnS is at 0.01% Blizzcon Chances, with a 28.49% chance to win this match.
If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0.01%, or 0% if they lose.
GunGFuBanDa is at 0.08% Blizzcon Chances, with a 71.51% chance to win this match.
If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0.12%, or 0.01% if they lose.

kr ForGG vs fr Dayshi in
in WCS Challenger Season 3 round of 64.
ForGG must win this match!
ForGG is at 11.86% Blizzcon Chances, with a 81.54% chance to win this match.
If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 14.4%, or 0.67% if they lose.
Dayshi is at 0.01% Blizzcon Chances, with a 18.46% chance to win this match.
If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0.01%, or 0% if they lose.

pl Nerchio vs nl Harstem in
in WCS Challenger Season 3 round of 64.
Harstem must win this match!
Nerchio is at 0.25% Blizzcon Chances, with a 54.27% chance to win this match.
If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0.46%, or 0.01% if they lose.
Harstem is at 0.6% Blizzcon Chances, with a 45.73% chance to win this match.
If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 1.29%, or 0.01% if they lose.

nl Ret vs de HeRoMaRinE in
in WCS Challenger Season 3 round of 64.
Ret is at 0.12% Blizzcon Chances, with a 39.53% chance to win this match.
If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0.3%, or 0.01% if they lose.
HeRoMaRinE is at 0.04% Blizzcon Chances, with a 60.47% chance to win this match.
If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0.07%, or 0.01% if they lose.

nl uThermal vs fi elfi in
in WCS Challenger Season 3 round of 64.
uThermal is at 0.28% Blizzcon Chances, with a 52.38% chance to win this match.
If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0.54%, or 0.01% if they lose.
elfi is at 0.06% Blizzcon Chances, with a 47.62% chance to win this match.
If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0.13%, or 0.01% if they lose.

fi Welmu vs pl Elazer in
in WCS Challenger Season 3 round of 64.
Welmu is at 0.17% Blizzcon Chances, with a 53.56% chance to win this match.
If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0.32%, or 0.01% if they lose.
Elazer is at 0.01% Blizzcon Chances, with a 46.44% chance to win this match.
If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0.01%, or 0% if they lose.

no Snute vs fi Serral in
in WCS Challenger Season 3 round of 64.
Snute must win this match!
Snute is at 5.5% Blizzcon Chances, with a 62.29% chance to win this match.
If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 8.69%, or 0.24% if they lose.
Serral is at 0.18% Blizzcon Chances, with a 37.71% chance to win this match.
If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0.46%, or 0.01% if they lose.

pl MaNa vs ru Happy in
in WCS Challenger Season 3 round of 64.
Happy must win this match!
MaNa is at 0.29% Blizzcon Chances, with a 45.54% chance to win this match.
If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0.63%, or 0.01% if they lose.
Happy is at 1.18% Blizzcon Chances, with a 54.46% chance to win this match.
If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 2.16%, or 0.01% if they lose.

se NaNiwa vs de ShoWTimE in
in WCS Challenger Season 3 round of 64.
ShoWTimE must win this match!
NaNiwa is at 0.15% Blizzcon Chances, with a 48.83% chance to win this match.
If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0.3%, or 0.01% if they lose.
ShoWTimE is at 1.64% Blizzcon Chances, with a 51.17% chance to win this match.
If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 3.16%, or 0.04% if they lose.


+ Show Spoiler [SSL Ro16 Matches (Very Important Match…] +
These matches are very important for Stats, sOs, INnoVation, MyuNgSiK, Dear, HyuN, TY, and Rogue.

kr Zest, kr Stats, kr ByuL, and kr Maru in
in StarLeague Season 3 round of 16.
Zest is at 96.36% Blizzcon Chances, with a 46.95% chance to win this match.
If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 99.66%, or 93.44% if they lose.
ByuL is at 89.86% Blizzcon Chances, with a 47.53% chance to win this match.
If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 98.3%, or 82.2% if they lose.
Stats is at 29.59% Blizzcon Chances, with a 45.67% chance to win this match.
If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 50.25%, or 12.22% if they lose.
Maru is at 100% Blizzcon Chances, with a 59.84% chance to win this match.
If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 100%, or 100% if they lose.

kr Life, kr INnoVation, kr sOs, and kr herO in
in StarLeague Season 3 round of 16.
sOs has the #4 Headband.
Life is at 100% Blizzcon Chances, with a 49.99% chance to win this match.
If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 100%, or 100% if they lose.
sOs is at 46.01% Blizzcon Chances, with a 47.84% chance to win this match.
If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 63.99%, or 29.51% if they lose.
INnoVation is at 83.23% Blizzcon Chances, with a 55.57% chance to win this match.
If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 92.53%, or 71.61% if they lose.
herO is at 100% Blizzcon Chances, with a 46.59% chance to win this match.
If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 100%, or 100% if they lose.

kr MyuNgSiK, kr Dear, kr Dream, and kr Rain in
in StarLeague Season 3 round of 16.
Rain has the #1 Headband.
MyuNgSiK is at 10.57% Blizzcon Chances, with a 34.38% chance to win this match.
If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 21.15%, or 5.03% if they lose.
Dream is at 100% Blizzcon Chances, with a 61.89% chance to win this match.
If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 100%, or 100% if they lose.
Dear is at 17.56% Blizzcon Chances, with a 48.87% chance to win this match.
If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 27.87%, or 7.7% if they lose.
Rain is at 100% Blizzcon Chances, with a 54.87% chance to win this match.
If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 100%, or 100% if they lose.

kr HyuN, kr TY, kr Classic, and kr Rogue in
in StarLeague Season 3 round of 16.
TY must win this match!
HyuN is at 36.14% Blizzcon Chances, with a 49.75% chance to win this match.
If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 52.63%, or 19.81% if they lose.
Classic is at 99.99% Blizzcon Chances, with a 58.34% chance to win this match.
If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 100%, or 99.99% if they lose.
TY is at 11.45% Blizzcon Chances, with a 43.02% chance to win this match.
If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 23.75%, or 2.17% if they lose.
Rogue is at 64.16% Blizzcon Chances, with a 48.89% chance to win this match.
If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 82.78%, or 46.36% if they lose.


+ Show Spoiler [SSL Winning Chances] +

kr INnoVation has a 10.65% chance to win
----going from 83.23% to 100% if they get 1st, or 81.24% if they don't.
kr Maru has a 10.21% chance to win
----going from 100% to 100% if they get 1st, or 100% if they don't.
kr Classic has a 9.15% chance to win
----going from 99.99% to 100% if they get 1st, or 99.99% if they don't.
kr Rain has a 8.68% chance to win
----going from 100% to 100% if they get 1st, or 100% if they don't.
kr Life has a 7.15% chance to win
----going from 100% to 100% if they get 1st, or 100% if they don't.
kr Dream has a 6.73% chance to win
----going from 100% to 100% if they get 1st, or 100% if they don't.
kr Zest has a 6.52% chance to win
----going from 96.36% to 100% if they get 1st, or 96.1% if they don't.
kr HyuN has a 5.71% chance to win
----going from 36.14% to 99.99% if they get 1st, or 32.27% if they don't.
kr sOs has a 5.54% chance to win
----going from 46.01% to 100% if they get 1st, or 42.84% if they don't.
kr herO has a 5.17% chance to win
----going from 100% to 100% if they get 1st, or 100% if they don't.
kr ByuL has a 4.78% chance to win
----going from 89.86% to 100% if they get 1st, or 89.35% if they don't.
kr Dear has a 4.72% chance to win
----going from 17.56% to 99.02% if they get 1st, or 13.53% if they don't.
kr Stats has a 4.61% chance to win
----going from 29.59% to 100% if they get 1st, or 26.19% if they don't.
kr Rogue has a 4.35% chance to win
----going from 64.16% to 100% if they get 1st, or 62.53% if they don't.
kr TY has a 4.28% chance to win
----going from 11.45% to 99.94% if they get 1st, or 7.5% if they don't.
kr MyuNgSiK has a 1.75% chance to win
----going from 10.57% to 99.7% if they get 1st, or 8.98% if they don't.



Check out the fantasy league WCS Wars!

---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
"Expert" mods4ever.com
Ovid
Profile Blog Joined October 2013
United Kingdom948 Posts
July 19 2015 21:27 GMT
#662
Just wanted to say how much I love the site and appreciate what you've done.
The final spot grabbing isn't as exciting as 2013 but will be interesting, I hope Jaedong pulls off a miracle but I doubt it so instead I have some hopes that Hyun will make it his Roach style is different and refreshing
I will make Yogg Saron priest work...
Die4Ever
Profile Joined August 2010
United States17671 Posts
July 20 2015 03:37 GMT
#663
I just added placement tables to the tournament pages and player pages. These show the Blizzcon Chances if a player gets a certain placement in a tournament.

On tournament pages it shows a list of players and what their chances would be if they got a place in the tournament.
http://sc2.4ever.tv/?page=tournament&tid=32#tournament-placements-section
+ Show Spoiler [picture] +
[image loading]


On the player pages it shows a list of tournaments that the player can place in and what their chances would be if they got a place in a tournament.
http://sc2.4ever.tv/?p=p&pid=63#player-tournament-placings-section
+ Show Spoiler [picture] +
[image loading]
"Expert" mods4ever.com
Die4Ever
Profile Joined August 2010
United States17671 Posts
July 20 2015 03:38 GMT
#664
On July 20 2015 06:27 Ovid wrote:
Just wanted to say how much I love the site and appreciate what you've done.
The final spot grabbing isn't as exciting as 2013 but will be interesting, I hope Jaedong pulls off a miracle but I doubt it so instead I have some hopes that Hyun will make it his Roach style is different and refreshing

Thanks
It's hard to beat 2013 considering a foreigner tied a korean only because of last minute replacements at the last tournament of the year lol.
"Expert" mods4ever.com
Hatchet_man
Profile Joined December 2013
Russian Federation249 Posts
July 20 2015 09:03 GMT
#665
Classic currently has 99.99% chances for Blizzcon, while his AFK chances are on 100%.

So basically Predictor says that Classic is so bad, that it's better not to touch keyboard at all once he climbed so high
Die4Ever
Profile Joined August 2010
United States17671 Posts
July 20 2015 17:12 GMT
#666
On July 20 2015 18:03 Hatchet_man wrote:
Classic currently has 99.99% chances for Blizzcon, while his AFK chances are on 100%.

So basically Predictor says that Classic is so bad, that it's better not to touch keyboard at all once he climbed so high

Lol. It's because he has a very low chance to go AFK, so the accuracy on that is lower, and he has a very low chance of not making it so combined with the smaller sample size of him going AFK means it missed that.
"Expert" mods4ever.com
Die4Ever
Profile Joined August 2010
United States17671 Posts
July 21 2015 22:40 GMT
#667
---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Gfinity Summer 1 No Longer Giving Points!
Tuesday, Jun 30 10:40pm GMT (GMT+00:00) (Sim #2563)


Biggest Winners and Losers from Gfinity Summer 1 not giving WCS Points (Sim ID #2556 vs Sim ID #2563)
Biggest Winners
kr Rogue went up by 1.09%, going from 64.01% to 65.1%
kr Dark went up by 1.04%, going from 60.18% to 61.23%
kr FanTaSy went up by 0.91%, going from 40.06% to 40.97%
kr sOs went up by 0.78%, going from 45.84% to 46.62%
kr ByuL went up by 0.69%, going from 89.79% to 90.48%
kr Stats went up by 0.69%, going from 29.51% to 30.19%
kr INnoVation went up by 0.51%, going from 83.29% to 83.8%
+ Show Spoiler [More Winners] +

dk Bunny went up by 0.42%, going from 15.62% to 16.04%
fr Lilbow went up by 0.36%, going from 17.73% to 18.09%
kr Zest went up by 0.31%, going from 96.31% to 96.63%
kr Dear went up by 0.3%, going from 18.18% to 18.49%
kr Curious went up by 0.3%, going from 11.31% to 11.62%
kr soO went up by 0.28%, going from 18.11% to 18.39%
kr TY went up by 0.26%, going from 11.37% to 11.63%
kr Polt went up by 0.24%, going from 97.92% to 98.16%
kr ForGG went up by 0.16%, going from 11.75% to 11.91%


Biggest Losers
kr HyuN went down by 5.92%, going from 35.93% to 30.01%
kr MyuNgSiK went down by 1.98%, going from 10.17% to 8.19%
no Snute went down by 0.71%, going from 5.47% to 4.76%
kr TRUE went down by 0.58%, going from 1.55% to 0.97%
kr Patience went down by 0.13%, going from 0.57% to 0.44%

+ Show Spoiler [Top 50 players by Blizzcon Chances] +

  1. herO is at 100%, 100% AFK Chances, Min WCS Points: 5850, Median Points: 6475
  2. Life is at 100%, 100% AFK Chances, Min WCS Points: 5325, Median Points: 6125
  3. Maru is at 100%, 100% AFK Chances, Min WCS Points: 5150, Median Points: 6075
  4. PartinG is at 100%, 100% AFK Chances, Min WCS Points: 5125, Median Points: 5675
  5. Hydra is at 100%, 100% AFK Chances, Min WCS Points: 4200, Median Points: 4950
  6. Dream is at 100%, 100% AFK Chances, Min WCS Points: 4175, Median Points: 4650
  7. Rain is at 100%, 100% AFK Chances, Min WCS Points: 4125, Median Points: 5025
  8. Classic is at 100%, 100% AFK Chances, Min WCS Points: 3950, Median Points: 4850
  9. Polt is at 98.16%, 90.66% AFK Chances, Min WCS Points: 3200, Median Points: 3675
  10. Zest is at 96.63%, 48.67% AFK Chances, Min WCS Points: 2950, Median Points: 3825
  11. ByuL is at 90.48%, 32.57% AFK Chances, Min WCS Points: 2875, Median Points: 3525
  12. INnoVation is at 83.8%, 0% AFK Chances, Min WCS Points: 2250, Median Points: 3675
  13. Rogue is at 65.1%, 0.42% AFK Chances, Min WCS Points: 2525, Median Points: 3175
  14. Dark is at 61.23%, 2.11% AFK Chances, Min WCS Points: 2600, Median Points: 3100
  15. sOs is at 46.62%, 0% AFK Chances, Min WCS Points: 2200, Median Points: 2950
  16. FanTaSy is at 40.97%, 0.01% AFK Chances, Min WCS Points: 2325, Median Points: 2875
  17. Stats is at 30.19%, 0.01% AFK Chances, Min WCS Points: 2350, Median Points: 2700
  18. HyuN is at 30.01%, 0% AFK Chances, Min WCS Points: 1825, Median Points: 2650
  19. Dear is at 18.49%, 0% AFK Chances, Min WCS Points: 1625, Median Points: 2325
  20. soO is at 18.39%, 0% AFK Chances, Min WCS Points: 1425, Median Points: 2300
  21. Lilbow is at 18.09%, 0% AFK Chances, Min WCS Points: 1600, Median Points: 2350
  22. Bunny is at 16.04%, 0% AFK Chances, Min WCS Points: 1950, Median Points: 2425
  23. ForGG is at 11.91%, 0% AFK Chances, Min WCS Points: 1325, Median Points: 2000
  24. TY is at 11.63%, 0% AFK Chances, Min WCS Points: 1900, Median Points: 2250
  25. Curious is at 11.62%, 0% AFK Chances, Min WCS Points: 1900, Median Points: 2325
  26. MyuNgSiK is at 8.19%, 0% AFK Chances, Min WCS Points: 1650, Median Points: 2150
  27. Jaedong is at 5.52%, 0% AFK Chances, Min WCS Points: 1275, Median Points: 1625
  28. Bbyong is at 4.84%, 0% AFK Chances, Min WCS Points: 1350, Median Points: 1775
  29. Snute is at 4.76%, 0% AFK Chances, Min WCS Points: 1375, Median Points: 1725
  30. Solar is at 3.75%, 0% AFK Chances, Min WCS Points: 1150, Median Points: 1575
  31. GuMiho is at 3.74%, 0% AFK Chances, Min WCS Points: 1675, Median Points: 1925
  32. MarineLorD is at 3.31%, 0% AFK Chances, Min WCS Points: 950, Median Points: 1450
  33. StarDust is at 2.39%, 0% AFK Chances, Min WCS Points: 775, Median Points: 1400
  34. ShoWTimE is at 1.69%, 0% AFK Chances, Min WCS Points: 1000, Median Points: 1375
  35. Petraeus is at 1.28%, 0% AFK Chances, Min WCS Points: 625, Median Points: 1175
  36. FireCake is at 1.25%, 0% AFK Chances, Min WCS Points: 975, Median Points: 1325
  37. Happy is at 1.21%, 0% AFK Chances, Min WCS Points: 375, Median Points: 1000
  38. TRUE is at 0.97%, 0% AFK Chances, Min WCS Points: 1550, Median Points: 1800
  39. MMA is at 0.69%, 0% AFK Chances, Min WCS Points: 1100, Median Points: 1375
  40. TLO is at 0.64%, 0% AFK Chances, Min WCS Points: 1250, Median Points: 1500
  41. Soulkey is at 0.63%, 0% AFK Chances, Min WCS Points: 1725, Median Points: 1850
  42. Harstem is at 0.62%, 0% AFK Chances, Min WCS Points: 1025, Median Points: 1275
  43. Flash is at 0.61%, 0% AFK Chances, Min WCS Points: 675, Median Points: 1000
  44. Patience is at 0.44%, 0% AFK Chances, Min WCS Points: 1125, Median Points: 1375
  45. Bomber is at 0.39%, 0% AFK Chances, Min WCS Points: 925, Median Points: 1150
  46. Trap is at 0.32%, 0% AFK Chances, Min WCS Points: 1350, Median Points: 1475
  47. MaNa is at 0.3%, 0% AFK Chances, Min WCS Points: 575, Median Points: 825
  48. uThermal is at 0.3%, 0% AFK Chances, Min WCS Points: 650, Median Points: 1000
  49. San is at 0.27%, 0% AFK Chances, Min WCS Points: 850, Median Points: 975
  50. Nerchio is at 0.26%, 0% AFK Chances, Min WCS Points: 275, Median Points: 650
Full Player List


+ Show Spoiler [Foreigner Hope] +

Chances of 1+ foreigners from 45.05% up to 45.49%
Chances of 2+ foreigners from 5.54% up to 5.62%
Chances of 3+ foreigners from 0.15% down to 0.15%

Top Foreigner Hopes
fr Lilbow 14.34% chance to be the only foreigner, 18.09% chance overall.
dk Bunny 12.37% chance to be the only foreigner, 16.04% chance overall.
no Snute 3.63% chance to be the only foreigner, 4.76% chance overall.
fr MarineLorD 2.55% chance to be the only foreigner, 3.31% chance overall.
de ShoWTimE 1.28% chance to be the only foreigner, 1.69% chance overall.
nz Petraeus 0.99% chance to be the only foreigner, 1.28% chance overall.
fr FireCake 0.95% chance to be the only foreigner, 1.25% chance overall.
+ Show Spoiler [More Foreigner Hopes] +

ru Happy 0.93% chance to be the only foreigner, 1.21% chance overall.
de TLO 0.48% chance to be the only foreigner, 0.64% chance overall.
nl Harstem 0.47% chance to be the only foreigner, 0.62% chance overall.
pl MaNa 0.23% chance to be the only foreigner, 0.3% chance overall.
nl uThermal 0.23% chance to be the only foreigner, 0.3% chance overall.
pl Nerchio 0.2% chance to be the only foreigner, 0.26% chance overall.
fi Serral 0.14% chance to be the only foreigner, 0.18% chance overall.
fi Welmu 0.14% chance to be the only foreigner, 0.18% chance overall.
se NaNiwa 0.12% chance to be the only foreigner, 0.15% chance overall.
mx MajOr 0.11% chance to be the only foreigner, 0.14% chance overall.
nl Ret 0.1% chance to be the only foreigner, 0.13% chance overall.
au iaguz 0.09% chance to be the only foreigner, 0.11% chance overall.
de GunGFuBanDa 0.07% chance to be the only foreigner, 0.09% chance overall.
ca Kane 0.06% chance to be the only foreigner, 0.08% chance overall.
tw Sen 0.06% chance to be the only foreigner, 0.07% chance overall.
fi elfi 0.05% chance to be the only foreigner, 0.07% chance overall.
se Zanster 0.04% chance to be the only foreigner, 0.05% chance overall.
ca MaSa 0.04% chance to be the only foreigner, 0.05% chance overall.
de HeRoMaRinE 0.03% chance to be the only foreigner, 0.04% chance overall.
cn iAsonu 0.03% chance to be the only foreigner, 0.04% chance overall.
cn Jim 0.02% chance to be the only foreigner, 0.02% chance overall.
ca HuK 0.02% chance to be the only foreigner, 0.02% chance overall.
br Kelazhur 0.01% chance to be the only foreigner, 0.02% chance overall.
tw Has 0.01% chance to be the only foreigner, 0.02% chance overall.
ua Bly 0.01% chance to be the only foreigner, 0.01% chance overall.
us Bails 0.01% chance to be the only foreigner, 0.01% chance overall.



+ Show Spoiler [Headbands] +

kr Rain is the current #1 Headband holder with 0 defenses!
kr soO is the current #2 Headband holder with 1 defenses!
kr Dark is the current #3 Headband holder with 2 defenses!
kr sOs is the current #4 Headband holder with 1 defenses!

Defense History
kr Dark defended the #3 from kr aLive at GSL Code A Season 3
kr soO defended the #2 from kr Dark at KeSPA Cup 2
kr Dark defended the #3 from kr Dream at KeSPA Cup 2
kr soO won the #2 from kr Flash at KeSPA Cup 2
kr Dark won the #3 from kr ByuL at KeSPA Cup 2
kr Flash won the #2 from kr Classic at KeSPA Cup 2
kr Classic defended the #2 from kr HerO at GSL Code A Season 3
kr ByuL defended the #3 from kr Pigbaby at KeSPA Cup 2
kr Classic defended the #2 from kr Rogue at KeSPA Cup 2
kr sOs defended the #4 from kr Solar at StarLeague Season 3
kr ByuL defended the #3 from kr Shine at StarLeague Season 3


+ Show Spoiler [WCS Point Cutoffs] +

0.81% of the time 2625 points is enough to qualify for Blizzcon
9.23% of the time 2800 points is enough to qualify for Blizzcon
31.58% of the time 2950 points is enough to qualify for Blizzcon
50.07% of the time 3050 points is enough to qualify for Blizzcon
68.46% of the time 3150 points is enough to qualify for Blizzcon
90.55% of the time 3300 points is enough to qualify for Blizzcon
99.05% of the time 3525 points is enough to qualify for Blizzcon


+ Show Spoiler [Final Seed Stats] +

kr herO has a 34.4% chance to be the #1 seed.
kr herO has a 31.97% chance to be the #2 seed.
kr Life has a 21.42% chance to be the #3 seed.
kr PartinG has a 21.76% chance to be the #4 seed.
kr PartinG has a 23.11% chance to be the #5 seed.
kr Rain has a 15.74% chance to be the #6 seed.
kr Dream has a 18.54% chance to be the #7 seed.
kr Dream has a 23.01% chance to be the #8 seed.
kr Dream has a 18.93% chance to be the #9 seed.
kr Zest has a 12.78% chance to be the #10 seed.
kr Polt has a 14.58% chance to be the #11 seed.
kr Polt has a 15.35% chance to be the #12 seed.
kr Polt has a 14.35% chance to be the #13 seed.
kr Polt has a 11.61% chance to be the #14 seed.
kr Rogue has a 9.79% chance to be the #15 seed.
kr Dark has a 10.14% chance to be the #16 seed.


+ Show Spoiler [Final Match Stats] +

kr PartinG vs kr Polt has a 12.39% chance for the first round of Blizzcon.
kr Dream vs kr Classic has a 11.37% chance for the first round of Blizzcon.
kr PartinG vs kr ByuL has a 11.05% chance for the first round of Blizzcon.
kr Dream vs kr Zest has a 10.99% chance for the first round of Blizzcon.
kr Polt vs kr Hydra has a 10.67% chance for the first round of Blizzcon.
kr Maru vs kr ByuL has a 10.65% chance for the first round of Blizzcon.
kr Hydra vs kr Zest has a 10.65% chance for the first round of Blizzcon.
kr Life vs kr Polt has a 10.55% chance for the first round of Blizzcon.
kr Polt vs kr Maru has a 10.5% chance for the first round of Blizzcon.
kr Life vs kr ByuL has a 10.49% chance for the first round of Blizzcon.


+ Show Spoiler [Code A Matches] +

kr Bomber vs kr First in
in GSL Code A Season 3 round of 48.
Bomber is at 0.39% Blizzcon Chances, with a 50.23% chance to win this match.
If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0.77%, or 0.01% if they lose.
First is at 0.03% Blizzcon Chances, with a 49.77% chance to win this match.
If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0.06%, or 0.01% if they lose.

kr Symbol vs kr Hurricane in
in GSL Code A Season 3 round of 48.
Symbol is at 0.01% Blizzcon Chances, with a 39.66% chance to win this match.
If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0.02%, or 0.01% if they lose.
Hurricane is at 0.07% Blizzcon Chances, with a 60.34% chance to win this match.
If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0.11%, or 0.01% if they lose.

kr Sacsri vs kr Cure in
in GSL Code A Season 3 round of 48.
Sacsri is at 0.24% Blizzcon Chances, with a 49.6% chance to win this match.
If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0.48%, or 0.01% if they lose.
Cure is at 0.09% Blizzcon Chances, with a 50.4% chance to win this match.
If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0.18%, or 0.01% if they lose.

kr FanTaSy vs kr San in
in GSL Code A Season 3 round of 48.
FanTaSy is at 40.97% Blizzcon Chances, with a 58.87% chance to win this match.
If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 51.28%, or 26.21% if they lose.
San is at 0.27% Blizzcon Chances, with a 41.13% chance to win this match.
If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0.64%, or 0.01% if they lose.

kr Patience vs kr Zest in
in GSL Code A Season 3 round of 48.
Patience must win this match!
Patience is at 0.44% Blizzcon Chances, with a 26.7% chance to win this match.
If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 1.48%, or 0.06% if they lose.
Zest is at 96.63% Blizzcon Chances, with a 73.3% chance to win this match.
If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 97.95%, or 92.98% if they lose.

kr herO vs kr Armani in
in GSL Code A Season 3 round of 48.
herO is at 100% Blizzcon Chances, with a 64.06% chance to win this match.
If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 100%, or 100% if they lose.
Armani is at 0.01% Blizzcon Chances, with a 35.94% chance to win this match.
If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0.02%, or 0.01% if they lose.

kr GuMiho vs kr HyuN in
in GSL Code A Season 3 round of 48.
GuMiho must win this match!
GuMiho is at 3.74% Blizzcon Chances, with a 47.18% chance to win this match.
If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 7.16%, or 0.68% if they lose.
HyuN is at 30.01% Blizzcon Chances, with a 52.82% chance to win this match.
If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 38.94%, or 20.01% if they lose.


+ Show Spoiler [WCS Challenger AM Day 1] +

us Bails vs ca MaSa in
in WCS Challenger Season 3 round of 64.
Bails is at 0.01% Blizzcon Chances, with a 49.69% chance to win this match.
If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0.02%, or 0.01% if they lose.
MaSa is at 0.05% Blizzcon Chances, with a 50.31% chance to win this match.
If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0.11%, or 0.01% if they lose.

kr Jaedong vs ca Semper in
in WCS Challenger Season 3 round of 64.
Jaedong must win this match!
Jaedong is at 5.52% Blizzcon Chances, with a 67.44% chance to win this match.
If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 8.13%, or 0.09% if they lose.
Semper is at 0.01% Blizzcon Chances, with a 32.56% chance to win this match.
If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0.01%, or 0% if they lose.

kr StarDust vs us neeb in
in WCS Challenger Season 3 round of 64.
StarDust must win this match!
StarDust is at 2.39% Blizzcon Chances, with a 71.03% chance to win this match.
If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 3.35%, or 0.05% if they lose.
neeb is at 0.01% Blizzcon Chances, with a 28.97% chance to win this match.
If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0.01%, or 0% if they lose.


+ Show Spoiler [WCS Challenger Winning Chances] +

kr ForGG has a 81.53% chance to win
----going from 11.91% to 14.45% if they get 1st, or 0.69% if they don't.
kr Polt has a 75.2% chance to win
----going from 98.16% to 99.14% if they get 1st, or 95.19% if they don't.
fr Lilbow has a 71.89% chance to win
----going from 18.09% to 23.66% if they get 1st, or 3.83% if they don't.
de GunGFuBanDa has a 71.51% chance to win
----going from 0.09% to 0.12% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't.
kr StarDust has a 71.03% chance to win
----going from 2.39% to 3.35% if they get 1st, or 0.05% if they don't.
+ Show Spoiler [More Winning Chances] +

fr MarineLorD has a 67.85% chance to win
----going from 3.31% to 4.85% if they get 1st, or 0.06% if they don't.
kr Jaedong has a 67.44% chance to win
----going from 5.52% to 8.13% if they get 1st, or 0.09% if they don't.
kr viOLet has a 64.74% chance to win
----going from 0.12% to 0.19% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't.
no Snute has a 62.28% chance to win
----going from 4.76% to 7.57% if they get 1st, or 0.13% if they don't.
dk Bunny has a 60.92% chance to win
----going from 16.04% to 23.59% if they get 1st, or 4.27% if they don't.
de HeRoMaRinE has a 60.42% chance to win
----going from 0.04% to 0.07% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't.
ca HuK has a 56.23% chance to win
----going from 0.02% to 0.04% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't.
ru Happy has a 54.48% chance to win
----going from 1.21% to 2.21% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't.
pl Nerchio has a 54.03% chance to win
----going from 0.26% to 0.48% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't.
fi Welmu has a 53.56% chance to win
----going from 0.18% to 0.33% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't.
us Xenocider has a 53.28% chance to win
----going from 0.01% to 0.01% if they get 1st, or 0% if they don't.
nl uThermal has a 52.47% chance to win
----going from 0.3% to 0.57% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't.
de ShoWTimE has a 51.15% chance to win
----going from 1.69% to 3.26% if they get 1st, or 0.04% if they don't.
de TLO has a 50.36% chance to win
----going from 0.64% to 1.25% if they get 1st, or 0.02% if they don't.
ca MaSa has a 50.31% chance to win
----going from 0.05% to 0.11% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't.
fr FireCake has a 50.28% chance to win
----going from 1.25% to 2.46% if they get 1st, or 0.02% if they don't.
se Zanster has a 49.72% chance to win
----going from 0.05% to 0.11% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't.
us Bails has a 49.69% chance to win
----going from 0.01% to 0.02% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't.
ua Bly has a 49.64% chance to win
----going from 0.01% to 0.02% if they get 1st, or 0% if they don't.
se NaNiwa has a 48.85% chance to win
----going from 0.15% to 0.31% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't.
fi elfi has a 47.53% chance to win
----going from 0.07% to 0.14% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't.
us Hitman has a 46.72% chance to win
----going from 0.01% to 0.01% if they get 1st, or 0% if they don't.
pl Elazer has a 46.44% chance to win
----going from 0.01% to 0.01% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't.
nl Harstem has a 45.97% chance to win
----going from 0.62% to 1.33% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't.
pl MaNa has a 45.52% chance to win
----going from 0.3% to 0.66% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't.
ca Kane has a 43.77% chance to win
----going from 0.08% to 0.19% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't.
nl Ret has a 39.58% chance to win
----going from 0.13% to 0.32% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't.
si Starbuck has a 39.08% chance to win
----going from 0.01% to 0.01% if they get 1st, or 0% if they don't.
fi Serral has a 37.72% chance to win
----going from 0.18% to 0.48% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't.
us qxc has a 35.26% chance to win
----going from 0.01% to 0.01% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't.
ca Semper has a 32.56% chance to win
----going from 0.01% to 0.01% if they get 1st, or 0% if they don't.
ru DmC has a 32.15% chance to win
----going from 0.01% to 0.01% if they get 1st, or 0% if they don't.
us neeb has a 28.97% chance to win
----going from 0.01% to 0.01% if they get 1st, or 0% if they don't.
fr DnS has a 28.49% chance to win
----going from 0.01% to 0.01% if they get 1st, or 0% if they don't.
se SortOf has a 28.11% chance to win
----going from 0.01% to 0.01% if they get 1st, or 0% if they don't.
us JonSnow has a 24.8% chance to win
----going from 0.01% to 0.01% if they get 1st, or 0% if they don't.
fr Dayshi has a 18.47% chance to win
----going from 0.01% to 0.01% if they get 1st, or 0% if they don't.



+ Show Spoiler [SSL Ro16 Groups] +

kr Zest, kr Stats, kr ByuL, and kr Maru in
in StarLeague Season 3 round of 16.
Zest is at 96.63% Blizzcon Chances, with a 47.11% chance to win this match.
If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 99.7%, or 93.89% if they lose.
ByuL is at 90.48% Blizzcon Chances, with a 47.52% chance to win this match.
If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 98.49%, or 83.23% if they lose.
Stats is at 30.19% Blizzcon Chances, with a 45.74% chance to win this match.
If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 51.08%, or 12.59% if they lose.
Maru is at 100% Blizzcon Chances, with a 59.64% chance to win this match.
If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 100%, or 100% if they lose.

kr herO, kr sOs, kr INnoVation, and kr Life in
in StarLeague Season 3 round of 16.
sOs has the #4 Headband.
herO is at 100% Blizzcon Chances, with a 46.5% chance to win this match.
If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 100%, or 100% if they lose.
INnoVation is at 83.8% Blizzcon Chances, with a 55.74% chance to win this match.
If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 92.9%, or 72.34% if they lose.
sOs is at 46.62% Blizzcon Chances, with a 47.79% chance to win this match.
If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 64.75%, or 30.03% if they lose.
Life is at 100% Blizzcon Chances, with a 49.98% chance to win this match.
If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 100%, or 100% if they lose.

kr MyuNgSiK, kr Dear, kr Dream, and kr Rain in
in StarLeague Season 3 round of 16.
Rain has the #1 Headband.
MyuNgSiK is at 8.19% Blizzcon Chances, with a 33.85% chance to win this match.
If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 17.05%, or 3.66% if they lose.
Dream is at 100% Blizzcon Chances, with a 61.75% chance to win this match.
If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 100%, or 100% if they lose.
Dear is at 18.49% Blizzcon Chances, with a 49.52% chance to win this match.
If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 28.99%, or 8.18% if they lose.
Rain is at 100% Blizzcon Chances, with a 54.88% chance to win this match.
If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 100%, or 100% if they lose.

kr HyuN, kr TY, kr Classic, and kr Rogue in
in StarLeague Season 3 round of 16.
TY must win this match!
HyuN is at 30.01% Blizzcon Chances, with a 49.76% chance to win this match.
If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 45.23%, or 14.93% if they lose.
Classic is at 100% Blizzcon Chances, with a 58.35% chance to win this match.
If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 100%, or 100% if they lose.
TY is at 11.63% Blizzcon Chances, with a 43.01% chance to win this match.
If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 24.1%, or 2.22% if they lose.
Rogue is at 65.1% Blizzcon Chances, with a 48.88% chance to win this match.
If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 83.6%, or 47.41% if they lose.


+ Show Spoiler [SSL Winning Chances] +

kr INnoVation has a 10.85% chance to win
----going from 83.8% to 100% if they get 1st, or 81.83% if they don't.
kr Maru has a 9.98% chance to win
----going from 100% to 100% if they get 1st, or 100% if they don't.
kr Classic has a 9.15% chance to win
----going from 100% to 100% if they get 1st, or 100% if they don't.
kr Rain has a 8.68% chance to win
----going from 100% to 100% if they get 1st, or 100% if they don't.
kr Life has a 7.11% chance to win
----going from 100% to 100% if they get 1st, or 100% if they don't.
+ Show Spoiler [More Winning Chances] +

kr Dream has a 6.73% chance to win
----going from 100% to 100% if they get 1st, or 100% if they don't.
kr Zest has a 6.54% chance to win
----going from 96.63% to 100% if they get 1st, or 96.39% if they don't.
kr HyuN has a 5.69% chance to win
----going from 30.01% to 99.97% if they get 1st, or 25.79% if they don't.
kr sOs has a 5.53% chance to win
----going from 46.62% to 99.99% if they get 1st, or 43.5% if they don't.
kr herO has a 5.15% chance to win
----going from 100% to 100% if they get 1st, or 100% if they don't.
kr Dear has a 4.94% chance to win
----going from 18.49% to 99.19% if they get 1st, or 14.29% if they don't.
kr ByuL has a 4.75% chance to win
----going from 90.48% to 100% if they get 1st, or 90.01% if they don't.
kr Stats has a 4.62% chance to win
----going from 30.19% to 100% if they get 1st, or 26.82% if they don't.
kr Rogue has a 4.34% chance to win
----going from 65.1% to 100% if they get 1st, or 63.52% if they don't.
kr TY has a 4.28% chance to win
----going from 11.63% to 99.95% if they get 1st, or 7.68% if they don't.
kr MyuNgSiK has a 1.67% chance to win
----going from 8.19% to 99.11% if they get 1st, or 6.65% if they don't.



+ Show Spoiler [SSL Placements Table] +

[image loading]


I also made a new branch for if Innovation wins SSL, ForGG wins WCS, and soO wins GSL. With the recent addition of Final Seed Stats and Final Match Stats, branches will get really interesting closer to the end of the year since we'll be able to look at how the different scenarios affect who plays who at Blizzcon. Be sure to keep an eye on the branches page and feel free to make requests for branches, they're easy for me to add!


Check out the fantasy league WCS Wars!

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"Expert" mods4ever.com
Die4Ever
Profile Joined August 2010
United States17671 Posts
July 21 2015 23:19 GMT
#668
WCS Predictor 2015
GSL Code A Season 3 Day 7


kr Bomber vs kr First in
in GSL Code A Season 3 round of 48.
Bomber is at 0.39% Blizzcon Chances, with a 50.23% chance to win this match.
If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0.77%, or 0.01% if they lose.
First is at 0.03% Blizzcon Chances, with a 49.77% chance to win this match.
If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0.06%, or 0.01% if they lose.

kr Symbol vs kr Hurricane in
in GSL Code A Season 3 round of 48.
Symbol is at 0.01% Blizzcon Chances, with a 39.66% chance to win this match.
If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0.02%, or 0.01% if they lose.
Hurricane is at 0.07% Blizzcon Chances, with a 60.34% chance to win this match.
If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0.11%, or 0.01% if they lose.

kr Sacsri vs kr Cure in
in GSL Code A Season 3 round of 48.
Sacsri is at 0.24% Blizzcon Chances, with a 49.6% chance to win this match.
If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0.48%, or 0.01% if they lose.
Cure is at 0.09% Blizzcon Chances, with a 50.4% chance to win this match.
If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0.18%, or 0.01% if they lose.

kr FanTaSy vs kr San in
in GSL Code A Season 3 round of 48.
FanTaSy is at 40.97% Blizzcon Chances, with a 58.87% chance to win this match.
If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 51.28%, or 26.21% if they lose.
San is at 0.27% Blizzcon Chances, with a 41.13% chance to win this match.
If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0.64%, or 0.01% if they lose.

+ Show Spoiler [Code A Winning Chances] +

kr Zest has a 73.3% chance to win
----going from 96.63% to 97.95% if they get 1st, or 92.98% if they don't.
kr herO has a 64.06% chance to win
----going from 100% to 100% if they get 1st, or 100% if they don't.
kr Hurricane has a 60.34% chance to win
----going from 0.07% to 0.11% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't.
kr FanTaSy has a 58.87% chance to win
----going from 40.97% to 51.28% if they get 1st, or 26.21% if they don't.
kr HyuN has a 52.82% chance to win
----going from 30.01% to 38.94% if they get 1st, or 20.01% if they don't.
+ Show Spoiler [More Winning Chances] +

kr Cure has a 50.4% chance to win
----going from 0.09% to 0.18% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't.
kr Bomber has a 50.23% chance to win
----going from 0.39% to 0.77% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't.
kr First has a 49.77% chance to win
----going from 0.03% to 0.06% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't.
kr Sacsri has a 49.6% chance to win
----going from 0.24% to 0.48% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't.
kr GuMiho has a 47.18% chance to win
----going from 3.74% to 7.16% if they get 1st, or 0.68% if they don't.
kr San has a 41.13% chance to win
----going from 0.27% to 0.64% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't.
kr Symbol has a 39.66% chance to win
----going from 0.01% to 0.02% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't.
kr Armani has a 35.94% chance to win
----going from 0.01% to 0.02% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't.
kr Patience has a 26.7% chance to win
----going from 0.44% to 1.48% if they get 1st, or 0.06% if they don't.


+ Show Spoiler [Code S Winning Chances] +

Solar, Bbyong, Flash, GuMiho, Sacsri, MMA, Bomber, San, and Patience must win this tournament!
kr PartinG has a 9.23% chance to win
----going from 100% to 100% if they get 1st, or 100% if they don't.
kr soO has a 8.18% chance to win
----going from 18.39% to 99.39% if they get 1st, or 11.17% if they don't.
kr INnoVation has a 7.4% chance to win
----going from 83.8% to 100% if they get 1st, or 82.51% if they don't.
kr Rain has a 7.36% chance to win
----going from 100% to 100% if they get 1st, or 100% if they don't.
kr Classic has a 6.72% chance to win
----going from 100% to 100% if they get 1st, or 100% if they don't.
+ Show Spoiler [More Winning Chances] +

kr Maru has a 6.27% chance to win
----going from 100% to 100% if they get 1st, or 100% if they don't.
kr Dark has a 5.32% chance to win
----going from 61.23% to 100% if they get 1st, or 59.05% if they don't.
kr Life has a 4.78% chance to win
----going from 100% to 100% if they get 1st, or 100% if they don't.
kr sOs has a 4.29% chance to win
----going from 46.62% to 100% if they get 1st, or 44.23% if they don't.
kr Solar has a 3.64% chance to win
----going from 3.75% to 79.36% if they get 1st, or 0.89% if they don't.
kr Zest has a 3.51% chance to win
----going from 96.63% to 100% if they get 1st, or 96.5% if they don't.
kr Dear has a 3.34% chance to win
----going from 18.49% to 99.95% if they get 1st, or 15.67% if they don't.
kr Bbyong has a 3.23% chance to win
----going from 4.84% to 95.68% if they get 1st, or 1.81% if they don't.
kr Curious has a 2.94% chance to win
----going from 11.62% to 99.99% if they get 1st, or 8.94% if they don't.
kr ByuL has a 2.76% chance to win
----going from 90.48% to 100% if they get 1st, or 90.21% if they don't.
kr herO has a 2.52% chance to win
----going from 100% to 100% if they get 1st, or 100% if they don't.
kr Rogue has a 2.38% chance to win
----going from 65.1% to 100% if they get 1st, or 64.25% if they don't.
kr Flash has a 2.11% chance to win
----going from 0.61% to 24.82% if they get 1st, or 0.09% if they don't.
kr FanTaSy has a 1.97% chance to win
----going from 40.97% to 100% if they get 1st, or 39.78% if they don't.
kr HyuN has a 1.83% chance to win
----going from 30.01% to 99.99% if they get 1st, or 28.7% if they don't.
kr MyuNgSiK has a 1.16% chance to win
----going from 8.19% to 99.94% if they get 1st, or 7.11% if they don't.
kr GuMiho has a 1.09% chance to win
----going from 3.74% to 99.96% if they get 1st, or 2.67% if they don't.
kr Trust has a 0.99% chance to win
----going from 0.04% to 4.12% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't.
kr Sacsri has a 0.91% chance to win
----going from 0.24% to 22.63% if they get 1st, or 0.03% if they don't.
kr MMA has a 0.73% chance to win
----going from 0.69% to 70.71% if they get 1st, or 0.18% if they don't.
kr Cure has a 0.7% chance to win
----going from 0.09% to 11.62% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't.
kr Pigbaby has a 0.6% chance to win
----going from 0.02% to 3.43% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't.
kr Hurricane has a 0.58% chance to win
----going from 0.07% to 10.38% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't.
kr Bomber has a 0.57% chance to win
----going from 0.39% to 53.6% if they get 1st, or 0.09% if they don't.
kr San has a 0.51% chance to win
----going from 0.27% to 43.52% if they get 1st, or 0.05% if they don't.
kr Losira has a 0.47% chance to win
----going from 0.07% to 11.99% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't.
kr First has a 0.36% chance to win
----going from 0.03% to 7.09% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't.
kr Hack has a 0.32% chance to win
----going from 0.01% to 2.81% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't.
kr sKyHigh has a 0.31% chance to win
----going from 0.03% to 7.46% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't.
kr Armani has a 0.3% chance to win
----going from 0.01% to 2.02% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't.
kr Patience has a 0.25% chance to win
----going from 0.44% to 89.07% if they get 1st, or 0.22% if they don't.
kr Stork has a 0.15% chance to win
----going from 0.01% to 0.76% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't.
kr Symbol has a 0.11% chance to win
----going from 0.01% to 7.16% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't.
kr Sleep has a 0.1% chance to win
----going from 0.01% to 0.55% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't.


+ Show Spoiler [Code S Placements Table] +
(I had to take out the players that are already 100% to make it fit)

[image loading]

"Expert" mods4ever.com
XPA
Profile Joined January 2013
Germany242 Posts
July 22 2015 08:27 GMT
#669
Finally I was able to find a time where no game is running so i could create my team for wcs wars. Now I have something that makes me chear for players like fpl. Thank you Die4Ever!
Die4Ever
Profile Joined August 2010
United States17671 Posts
July 22 2015 17:39 GMT
#670
WCS Predictor 2015
WCS Challenger Season 3 NA Day 1


ca MaSa vs us Bails in
in WCS Challenger Season 3 round of 64.
MaSa is at 0.05% Blizzcon Chances, with a 50.31% chance to win this match.
If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0.1%, or 0.01% if they lose.
Bails is at 0.01% Blizzcon Chances, with a 49.69% chance to win this match.
If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0.02%, or 0% if they lose.

kr Jaedong vs ca Semper in
in WCS Challenger Season 3 round of 64.
Jaedong must win this match!
Jaedong is at 5.44% Blizzcon Chances, with a 67.43% chance to win this match.
If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 8.03%, or 0.09% if they lose.
Semper is at 0.01% Blizzcon Chances, with a 32.57% chance to win this match.
If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0.01%, or 0% if they lose.

kr StarDust vs us neeb in
in WCS Challenger Season 3 round of 64.
StarDust must win this match!
StarDust is at 2.33% Blizzcon Chances, with a 71.03% chance to win this match.
If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 3.27%, or 0.05% if they lose.
neeb is at 0.01% Blizzcon Chances, with a 28.97% chance to win this match.
If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0.01%, or 0% if they lose.

+ Show Spoiler [WCS Challenger Winning Chances] +

kr ForGG has a 81.52% chance to win
----going from 11.77% to 14.28% if they get 1st, or 0.66% if they don't.
kr Polt has a 75.22% chance to win
----going from 97.99% to 99.05% if they get 1st, or 94.78% if they don't.
fr Lilbow has a 71.89% chance to win
----going from 17.78% to 23.3% if they get 1st, or 3.67% if they don't.
de GunGFuBanDa has a 71.52% chance to win
----going from 0.08% to 0.12% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't.
kr StarDust has a 71.03% chance to win
----going from 2.33% to 3.27% if they get 1st, or 0.05% if they don't.
+ Show Spoiler [More Winning Chances] +

fr MarineLorD has a 67.85% chance to win
----going from 3.24% to 4.75% if they get 1st, or 0.05% if they don't.
kr Jaedong has a 67.43% chance to win
----going from 5.44% to 8.03% if they get 1st, or 0.09% if they don't.
kr viOLet has a 64.75% chance to win
----going from 0.12% to 0.18% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't.
no Snute has a 62.28% chance to win
----going from 4.71% to 7.48% if they get 1st, or 0.12% if they don't.
dk Bunny has a 60.93% chance to win
----going from 15.7% to 23.15% if they get 1st, or 4.07% if they don't.
de HeRoMaRinE has a 60.42% chance to win
----going from 0.04% to 0.06% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't.
ca HuK has a 56.23% chance to win
----going from 0.02% to 0.04% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't.
ru Happy has a 54.48% chance to win
----going from 1.18% to 2.15% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't.
pl Nerchio has a 54.04% chance to win
----going from 0.25% to 0.46% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't.
fi Welmu has a 53.56% chance to win
----going from 0.17% to 0.32% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't.
us Xenocider has a 53.29% chance to win
----going from 0.01% to 0.01% if they get 1st, or 0% if they don't.
nl uThermal has a 52.45% chance to win
----going from 0.29% to 0.54% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't.
de ShoWTimE has a 51.15% chance to win
----going from 1.65% to 3.18% if they get 1st, or 0.04% if they don't.
de TLO has a 50.36% chance to win
----going from 0.62% to 1.22% if they get 1st, or 0.02% if they don't.
ca MaSa has a 50.31% chance to win
----going from 0.05% to 0.1% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't.
fr FireCake has a 50.29% chance to win
----going from 1.22% to 2.41% if they get 1st, or 0.02% if they don't.
se Zanster has a 49.71% chance to win
----going from 0.05% to 0.1% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't.
us Bails has a 49.69% chance to win
----going from 0.01% to 0.02% if they get 1st, or 0% if they don't.
ua Bly has a 49.64% chance to win
----going from 0.01% to 0.02% if they get 1st, or 0% if they don't.
se NaNiwa has a 48.85% chance to win
----going from 0.15% to 0.3% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't.
fi elfi has a 47.55% chance to win
----going from 0.06% to 0.13% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't.
us Hitman has a 46.71% chance to win
----going from 0.01% to 0.01% if they get 1st, or 0% if they don't.
pl Elazer has a 46.44% chance to win
----going from 0.01% to 0.01% if they get 1st, or 0% if they don't.
nl Harstem has a 45.96% chance to win
----going from 0.6% to 1.29% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't.
pl MaNa has a 45.52% chance to win
----going from 0.28% to 0.62% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't.
ca Kane has a 43.77% chance to win
----going from 0.08% to 0.18% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't.
nl Ret has a 39.58% chance to win
----going from 0.12% to 0.3% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't.
si Starbuck has a 39.07% chance to win
----going from 0.01% to 0.01% if they get 1st, or 0% if they don't.
fi Serral has a 37.72% chance to win
----going from 0.18% to 0.46% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't.
us qxc has a 35.25% chance to win
----going from 0.01% to 0.01% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't.
ca Semper has a 32.57% chance to win
----going from 0.01% to 0.01% if they get 1st, or 0% if they don't.
ru DmC has a 32.15% chance to win
----going from 0.01% to 0.01% if they get 1st, or 0% if they don't.
us neeb has a 28.97% chance to win
----going from 0.01% to 0.01% if they get 1st, or 0% if they don't.
fr DnS has a 28.48% chance to win
----going from 0.01% to 0.01% if they get 1st, or 0% if they don't.
se SortOf has a 28.11% chance to win
----going from 0.01% to 0.01% if they get 1st, or 0% if they don't.
us JonSnow has a 24.78% chance to win
----going from 0.01% to 0.01% if they get 1st, or 0% if they don't.
fr Dayshi has a 18.48% chance to win
----going from 0.01% to 0.01% if they get 1st, or 0% if they don't.


+ Show Spoiler [WCS Premier Winning Chances] +

ForGG, Jaedong, Petraeus, MarineLorD, Snute, Happy, StarDust, ShoWTimE, FireCake, uThermal, Harstem, Serral, Ret, and TLO must win this tournament!
kr Hydra has a 16.57% chance to win
----going from 100% to 100% if they get 1st, or 100% if they don't.
kr ForGG has a 7.62% chance to win
----going from 11.77% to 97.77% if they get 1st, or 4.67% if they don't.
kr Polt has a 7.32% chance to win
----going from 97.99% to 100% if they get 1st, or 97.83% if they don't.
fr Lilbow has a 5.56% chance to win
----going from 17.78% to 99.96% if they get 1st, or 12.94% if they don't.
kr Jaedong has a 4.84% chance to win
----going from 5.44% to 92.18% if they get 1st, or 1.03% if they don't.
+ Show Spoiler [More Winning Chances] +

nz Petraeus has a 4.47% chance to win
----going from 1.24% to 25.36% if they get 1st, or 0.11% if they don't.
fr MarineLorD has a 3.78% chance to win
----going from 3.24% to 69.55% if they get 1st, or 0.63% if they don't.
no Snute has a 3.67% chance to win
----going from 4.71% to 96.9% if they get 1st, or 1.19% if they don't.
ru Happy has a 3.49% chance to win
----going from 1.18% to 29.56% if they get 1st, or 0.15% if they don't.
mx MajOr has a 3.46% chance to win
----going from 0.13% to 3.69% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't.
dk Bunny has a 2.99% chance to win
----going from 15.7% to 99.99% if they get 1st, or 13.1% if they don't.
kr StarDust has a 2.99% chance to win
----going from 2.33% to 61.32% if they get 1st, or 0.52% if they don't.
se NaNiwa has a 2.89% chance to win
----going from 0.15% to 4.85% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't.
pl Nerchio has a 2.49% chance to win
----going from 0.25% to 9.5% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't.
kr viOLet has a 2.07% chance to win
----going from 0.12% to 5.51% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't.
pl MaNa has a 2.04% chance to win
----going from 0.28% to 13.19% if they get 1st, or 0.02% if they don't.
de ShoWTimE has a 1.79% chance to win
----going from 1.65% to 72.9% if they get 1st, or 0.35% if they don't.
de HeRoMaRinE has a 1.72% chance to win
----going from 0.04% to 2.17% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't.
fr FireCake has a 1.51% chance to win
----going from 1.22% to 67.23% if they get 1st, or 0.21% if they don't.
ca MaSa has a 1.5% chance to win
----going from 0.05% to 3.37% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't.
de GunGFuBanDa has a 1.29% chance to win
----going from 0.08% to 6.19% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't.
fi Welmu has a 1.28% chance to win
----going from 0.17% to 12.37% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't.
au iaguz has a 1.06% chance to win
----going from 0.11% to 9.53% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't.
tw Sen has a 0.99% chance to win
----going from 0.07% to 6.67% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't.
se Zanster has a 0.98% chance to win
----going from 0.05% to 4.95% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't.
nl uThermal has a 0.96% chance to win
----going from 0.29% to 26.62% if they get 1st, or 0.03% if they don't.
cn Jim has a 0.9% chance to win
----going from 0.02% to 2.29% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't.
cn iAsonu has a 0.85% chance to win
----going from 0.04% to 4.35% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't.
fi elfi has a 0.82% chance to win
----going from 0.06% to 7.25% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't.
us Bails has a 0.76% chance to win
----going from 0.01% to 1.05% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't.
nl Harstem has a 0.71% chance to win
----going from 0.6% to 70.34% if they get 1st, or 0.1% if they don't.
ca HuK has a 0.69% chance to win
----going from 0.02% to 2.86% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't.
fi Serral has a 0.65% chance to win
----going from 0.18% to 24.45% if they get 1st, or 0.02% if they don't.
ua Bly has a 0.62% chance to win
----going from 0.01% to 1.48% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't.
nl Ret has a 0.52% chance to win
----going from 0.12% to 20.89% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't.
de TLO has a 0.44% chance to win
----going from 0.62% to 92.81% if they get 1st, or 0.21% if they don't.
br Kelazhur has a 0.43% chance to win
----going from 0.02% to 3.72% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't.
ca Kane has a 0.38% chance to win
----going from 0.08% to 19.01% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't.
si Starbuck has a 0.33% chance to win
----going from 0.01% to 0.75% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't.
pl Elazer has a 0.32% chance to win
----going from 0.01% to 1.13% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't.
tw Has has a 0.31% chance to win
----going from 0.02% to 4.88% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't.
se SortOf has a 0.25% chance to win
----going from 0.01% to 0.62% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't.
us Hitman has a 0.24% chance to win
----going from 0.01% to 0.43% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't.
us Xenocider has a 0.22% chance to win
----going from 0.01% to 1.11% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't.
ca Semper has a 0.21% chance to win
----going from 0.01% to 0.64% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't.
us qxc has a 0.21% chance to win
----going from 0.01% to 1.63% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't.
fr DnS has a 0.18% chance to win
----going from 0.01% to 0.37% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't.
cn XiGua has a 0.15% chance to win
----going from 0.01% to 1.8% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't.
ru DmC has a 0.15% chance to win
----going from 0.01% to 0.88% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't.
fr Dayshi has a 0.14% chance to win
----going from 0.01% to 0.53% if they get 1st, or 0% if they don't.
us neeb has a 0.09% chance to win
----going from 0.01% to 0.32% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't.
cn Shana has a 0.07% chance to win
----going from 0.01% to 0.1% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't.
us JonSnow has a 0.05% chance to win
----going from 0.01% to 0.26% if they get 1st, or 0% if they don't.


"Expert" mods4ever.com
opisska
Profile Blog Joined February 2011
Poland8852 Posts
July 22 2015 17:43 GMT
#671
What an impactful set of matches!
"Jeez, that's far from ideal." - Serral, the king of mild trashtalk
TL+ Member
Die4Ever
Profile Joined August 2010
United States17671 Posts
July 22 2015 17:43 GMT
#672
On July 23 2015 02:43 opisska wrote:
What an impactful set of matches!

Jaedong and Stardust though!
"Expert" mods4ever.com
[UoN]Sentinel
Profile Blog Joined November 2009
United States11320 Posts
July 22 2015 17:51 GMT
#673
JD needs to get this. I believe that he will win!
Нас зовет дух отцов, память старых бойцов, дух Москвы и твердыня Полтавы
Die4Ever
Profile Joined August 2010
United States17671 Posts
July 23 2015 01:17 GMT
#674
WCS Predictor 2015
StarLeague Season 3 Ro16 Group D


kr Maru, kr ByuL, kr Stats, and kr Zest in
in StarLeague Season 3 round of 16.
This is the 2nd place Group of Death!
Maru is at 100% Blizzcon Chances, with a 59.45% chance to win this match.
If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 100%, or 100% if they lose.
Stats is at 29.16% Blizzcon Chances, with a 45.61% chance to win this match.
If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 49.71%, or 11.94% if they lose.
ByuL is at 89.68% Blizzcon Chances, with a 47.29% chance to win this match.
If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 98.26%, or 81.98% if they lose.
Zest is at 96.41% Blizzcon Chances, with a 47.66% chance to win this match.
If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 99.66%, or 93.45% if they lose.

+ Show Spoiler [SSL Winning Chances] +

kr INnoVation has a 10.88% chance to win
----going from 83.23% to 100% if they get 1st, or 81.18% if they don't.
kr Maru has a 9.95% chance to win
----going from 100% to 100% if they get 1st, or 100% if they don't.
kr Classic has a 9.15% chance to win
----going from 100% to 100% if they get 1st, or 100% if they don't.
kr Rain has a 8.69% chance to win
----going from 100% to 100% if they get 1st, or 100% if they don't.
kr Life has a 7.46% chance to win
----going from 100% to 100% if they get 1st, or 100% if they don't.
+ Show Spoiler [More Winning Chances] +

kr Dream has a 6.73% chance to win
----going from 100% to 100% if they get 1st, or 100% if they don't.
kr Zest has a 6.7% chance to win
----going from 96.41% to 100% if they get 1st, or 96.15% if they don't.
kr HyuN has a 5.67% chance to win
----going from 29.33% to 99.96% if they get 1st, or 25.09% if they don't.
kr sOs has a 5.52% chance to win
----going from 45.77% to 100% if they get 1st, or 42.6% if they don't.
kr herO has a 4.95% chance to win
----going from 100% to 100% if they get 1st, or 100% if they don't.
kr Dear has a 4.93% chance to win
----going from 18.07% to 99.07% if they get 1st, or 13.87% if they don't.
kr ByuL has a 4.63% chance to win
----going from 89.68% to 100% if they get 1st, or 89.18% if they don't.
kr Stats has a 4.48% chance to win
----going from 29.16% to 99.99% if they get 1st, or 25.84% if they don't.
kr Rogue has a 4.33% chance to win
----going from 63.91% to 100% if they get 1st, or 62.28% if they don't.
kr TY has a 4.27% chance to win
----going from 11.34% to 99.94% if they get 1st, or 7.38% if they don't.
kr MyuNgSiK has a 1.67% chance to win
----going from 7.89% to 99.01% if they get 1st, or 6.35% if they don't.


+ Show Spoiler [SSL Placements Table] +

[image loading]

Branches
+ Show Spoiler [If Stats Wins SSL S3] +
Branch #2605
Then he goes up to 99.99%

-and-

Chances of final Blizzcon seeds
Stats has a 1.4% chance to be the #5 seed.
Stats has a 3.87% chance to be the #6 seed.
Stats has a 7.23% chance to be the #7 seed.
Stats has a 11.19% chance to be the #8 seed.
Stats has a 22.56% chance to be the #9 seed.
Stats has a 27.61% chance to be the #10 seed.
Stats has a 17.85% chance to be the #11 seed.
Stats has a 6.37% chance to be the #12 seed.
Stats has a 1.31% chance to be the #13 seed.

Chances of first round Blizzcon Matches
Stats vs Dream has a 20.77% chance for the first round of Blizzcon.
Stats vs Classic has a 16.31% chance for the first round of Blizzcon.
Stats vs Hydra has a 14.59% chance for the first round of Blizzcon.
Stats vs Rain has a 14.57% chance for the first round of Blizzcon.
Stats vs Zest has a 4.64% chance for the first round of Blizzcon.

"Expert" mods4ever.com
sharkie
Profile Blog Joined April 2012
Austria18401 Posts
July 23 2015 17:05 GMT
#675
Byul is my hero! =)
OtherWorld
Profile Blog Joined October 2013
France17333 Posts
July 23 2015 17:12 GMT
#676
Now I regret buying only Zest xD
Used Sigs - New Sigs - Cheap Sigs - Buy the Best Cheap Sig near You at www.cheapsigforsale.com
Die4Ever
Profile Joined August 2010
United States17671 Posts
July 23 2015 17:36 GMT
#677
WCS Predictor 2015
WCS Challenger Season 3 NA Day 2


ca Kane vs ca HuK in
in WCS Challenger Season 3 round of 64.
Kane is at 0.08% Blizzcon Chances, with a 43.73% chance to win this match.
If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0.18%, or 0.01% if they lose.
HuK is at 0.02% Blizzcon Chances, with a 56.27% chance to win this match.
If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0.04%, or 0.01% if they lose.

kr Polt vs us JonSnow in
in WCS Challenger Season 3 round of 64.
Polt is at 97.8% Blizzcon Chances, with a 75.23% chance to win this match.
If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 98.96%, or 94.28% if they lose.
JonSnow is at 0.01% Blizzcon Chances, with a 24.77% chance to win this match.
If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0.01%, or 0% if they lose.

kr viOLet vs us qxc in
in WCS Challenger Season 3 round of 64.
viOLet is at 0.12% Blizzcon Chances, with a 64.75% chance to win this match.
If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0.19%, or 0.01% if they lose.
qxc is at 0.01% Blizzcon Chances, with a 35.25% chance to win this match.
If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0.01%, or 0% if they lose.

us Xenocider vs us Hitman in
in WCS Challenger Season 3 round of 64.
Xenocider is at 0.01% Blizzcon Chances, with a 53.29% chance to win this match.
If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0.01%, or 0% if they lose.
Hitman is at 0.01% Blizzcon Chances, with a 46.71% chance to win this match.
If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0.01%, or 0% if they lose.

+ Show Spoiler [WCS Premier Winning Chances] +

ForGG, Jaedong, Petraeus, MarineLorD, Snute, Happy, ShoWTimE, FireCake, uThermal, Harstem, Serral, Ret, TLO, and Kane must win this tournament!
kr Hydra has a 16.3% chance to win
----going from 100% to 100% if they get 1st, or 100% if they don't.
kr ForGG has a 7.71% chance to win
----going from 11.99% to 97.5% if they get 1st, or 4.84% if they don't.
kr Jaedong has a 7.3% chance to win
----going from 8.16% to 91.43% if they get 1st, or 1.61% if they don't.
kr Polt has a 7.22% chance to win
----going from 97.8% to 100% if they get 1st, or 97.63% if they don't.
fr Lilbow has a 5.69% chance to win
----going from 18.17% to 99.94% if they get 1st, or 13.24% if they don't.
+ Show Spoiler [More Winning Chances] +

nz Petraeus has a 4.41% chance to win
----going from 1.27% to 26.34% if they get 1st, or 0.12% if they don't.
fr MarineLorD has a 3.79% chance to win
----going from 3.3% to 70.16% if they get 1st, or 0.66% if they don't.
no Snute has a 3.55% chance to win
----going from 4.6% to 96.28% if they get 1st, or 1.23% if they don't.
mx MajOr has a 3.52% chance to win
----going from 0.14% to 3.83% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't.
ru Happy has a 3.49% chance to win
----going from 1.21% to 30.11% if they get 1st, or 0.16% if they don't.
ca MaSa has a 3.06% chance to win
----going from 0.11% to 3.53% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't.
dk Bunny has a 2.98% chance to win
----going from 16.01% to 99.99% if they get 1st, or 13.43% if they don't.
se NaNiwa has a 2.97% chance to win
----going from 0.16% to 5.04% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't.
pl Nerchio has a 2.48% chance to win
----going from 0.26% to 9.95% if they get 1st, or 0.02% if they don't.
pl MaNa has a 2.08% chance to win
----going from 0.31% to 14.01% if they get 1st, or 0.02% if they don't.
kr viOLet has a 2.05% chance to win
----going from 0.12% to 5.77% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't.
de HeRoMaRinE has a 1.77% chance to win
----going from 0.04% to 2.41% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't.
de ShoWTimE has a 1.72% chance to win
----going from 1.6% to 72.96% if they get 1st, or 0.35% if they don't.
fr FireCake has a 1.45% chance to win
----going from 1.2% to 67.74% if they get 1st, or 0.22% if they don't.
fi Welmu has a 1.3% chance to win
----going from 0.18% to 12.91% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't.
de GunGFuBanDa has a 1.12% chance to win
----going from 0.07% to 6.25% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't.
au iaguz has a 1.07% chance to win
----going from 0.12% to 10.36% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't.
tw Sen has a 0.99% chance to win
----going from 0.07% to 7.14% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't.
se Zanster has a 0.97% chance to win
----going from 0.06% to 5.35% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't.
nl uThermal has a 0.93% chance to win
----going from 0.29% to 27.69% if they get 1st, or 0.03% if they don't.
cn Jim has a 0.89% chance to win
----going from 0.02% to 2.51% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't.
fi elfi has a 0.85% chance to win
----going from 0.07% to 7.76% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't.
cn iAsonu has a 0.85% chance to win
----going from 0.04% to 4.71% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't.
ca HuK has a 0.72% chance to win
----going from 0.02% to 3.06% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't.
nl Harstem has a 0.71% chance to win
----going from 0.61% to 70.34% if they get 1st, or 0.11% if they don't.
fi Serral has a 0.64% chance to win
----going from 0.18% to 25.47% if they get 1st, or 0.02% if they don't.
ua Bly has a 0.6% chance to win
----going from 0.01% to 1.5% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't.
nl Ret has a 0.5% chance to win
----going from 0.12% to 22.12% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't.
br Kelazhur has a 0.48% chance to win
----going from 0.02% to 4.45% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't.
de TLO has a 0.44% chance to win
----going from 0.63% to 92.09% if they get 1st, or 0.23% if they don't.
us neeb has a 0.39% chance to win
----going from 0.01% to 0.38% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't.
ca Kane has a 0.37% chance to win
----going from 0.08% to 20.46% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't.
si Starbuck has a 0.33% chance to win
----going from 0.01% to 0.91% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't.
tw Has has a 0.32% chance to win
----going from 0.02% to 5.6% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't.
pl Elazer has a 0.31% chance to win
----going from 0.01% to 1.28% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't.
se SortOf has a 0.25% chance to win
----going from 0.01% to 0.7% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't.
us Hitman has a 0.24% chance to win
----going from 0.01% to 0.53% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't.
us Xenocider has a 0.22% chance to win
----going from 0.01% to 1.28% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't.
us qxc has a 0.21% chance to win
----going from 0.01% to 1.74% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't.
fr DnS has a 0.19% chance to win
----going from 0.01% to 0.49% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't.
ru DmC has a 0.15% chance to win
----going from 0.01% to 1.08% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't.
cn XiGua has a 0.15% chance to win
----going from 0.01% to 1.92% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't.
fr Dayshi has a 0.14% chance to win
----going from 0.01% to 0.59% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't.
cn Shana has a 0.07% chance to win
----going from 0.01% to 0.19% if they get 1st, or 0% if they don't.
us JonSnow has a 0.05% chance to win
----going from 0.01% to 0.22% if they get 1st, or 0% if they don't.


"Expert" mods4ever.com
Die4Ever
Profile Joined August 2010
United States17671 Posts
July 24 2015 01:16 GMT
#678
WCS Predictor 2015
GSL Code A Season 3 Day 8


kr Patience vs kr Zest in
in GSL Code A Season 3 round of 48.
Patience must win this match!
Patience is at 0.5% Blizzcon Chances, with a 27.22% chance to win this match.
If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 1.62%, or 0.08% if they lose.
Zest is at 99.59% Blizzcon Chances, with a 72.78% chance to win this match.
If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 99.79%, or 99.06% if they lose.

kr herO vs kr Armani in
in GSL Code A Season 3 round of 48.
herO is at 100% Blizzcon Chances, with a 63.86% chance to win this match.
If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 100%, or 100% if they lose.
Armani is at 0.01% Blizzcon Chances, with a 36.14% chance to win this match.
If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0.02%, or 0.01% if they lose.

kr HyuN vs kr GuMiho in
in GSL Code A Season 3 round of 48.
GuMiho must win this match!
HyuN is at 30.15% Blizzcon Chances, with a 52.85% chance to win this match.
If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 38.83%, or 20.42% if they lose.
GuMiho is at 3.69% Blizzcon Chances, with a 47.15% chance to win this match.
If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 7.05%, or 0.69% if they lose.

+ Show Spoiler [Code S Winning Chances] +

Solar, Bbyong, Flash, Bomber, GuMiho, MMA, and Patience must win this tournament!
kr PartinG has a 9.37% chance to win
----going from 100% to 100% if they get 1st, or 100% if they don't.
kr soO has a 7.83% chance to win
----going from 17.87% to 99.07% if they get 1st, or 10.97% if they don't.
kr Rain has a 7.36% chance to win
----going from 100% to 100% if they get 1st, or 100% if they don't.
kr INnoVation has a 7.19% chance to win
----going from 83.66% to 100% if they get 1st, or 82.4% if they don't.
kr Classic has a 6.63% chance to win
----going from 100% to 100% if they get 1st, or 100% if they don't.
+ Show Spoiler [More Winning Chances] +

kr Maru has a 5.82% chance to win
----going from 100% to 100% if they get 1st, or 100% if they don't.
kr Dark has a 5.22% chance to win
----going from 61.03% to 100% if they get 1st, or 58.88% if they don't.
kr Life has a 4.83% chance to win
----going from 100% to 100% if they get 1st, or 100% if they don't.
kr sOs has a 4.27% chance to win
----going from 46.36% to 99.99% if they get 1st, or 43.97% if they don't.
kr Solar has a 3.78% chance to win
----going from 3.88% to 78.22% if they get 1st, or 0.96% if they don't.
kr FanTaSy has a 3.6% chance to win
----going from 53.31% to 100% if they get 1st, or 51.57% if they don't.
kr Zest has a 3.43% chance to win
----going from 99.59% to 100% if they get 1st, or 99.58% if they don't.
kr Dear has a 3.27% chance to win
----going from 18.26% to 99.93% if they get 1st, or 15.5% if they don't.
kr Bbyong has a 2.92% chance to win
----going from 4.44% to 94.3% if they get 1st, or 1.74% if they don't.
kr ByuL has a 2.87% chance to win
----going from 98.27% to 100% if they get 1st, or 98.22% if they don't.
kr Curious has a 2.8% chance to win
----going from 11.32% to 99.99% if they get 1st, or 8.76% if they don't.
kr herO has a 2.42% chance to win
----going from 100% to 100% if they get 1st, or 100% if they don't.
kr Rogue has a 2.34% chance to win
----going from 64.99% to 100% if they get 1st, or 64.15% if they don't.
kr Flash has a 2.15% chance to win
----going from 0.64% to 25.15% if they get 1st, or 0.1% if they don't.
kr HyuN has a 1.77% chance to win
----going from 30.15% to 99.99% if they get 1st, or 28.89% if they don't.
kr Cure has a 1.46% chance to win
----going from 0.19% to 11.76% if they get 1st, or 0.02% if they don't.
kr Bomber has a 1.24% chance to win
----going from 0.86% to 53.95% if they get 1st, or 0.19% if they don't.
kr Trust has a 1.14% chance to win
----going from 0.06% to 4.55% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't.
kr MyuNgSiK has a 1.12% chance to win
----going from 8.12% to 99.88% if they get 1st, or 7.08% if they don't.
kr GuMiho has a 1.05% chance to win
----going from 3.69% to 99.93% if they get 1st, or 2.66% if they don't.
kr Hurricane has a 0.94% chance to win
----going from 0.11% to 10.6% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't.
kr MMA has a 0.73% chance to win
----going from 0.68% to 69.4% if they get 1st, or 0.18% if they don't.
kr Pigbaby has a 0.57% chance to win
----going from 0.02% to 3.68% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't.
kr Losira has a 0.43% chance to win
----going from 0.06% to 11.91% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't.
kr Hack has a 0.32% chance to win
----going from 0.01% to 3.02% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't.
kr sKyHigh has a 0.3% chance to win
----going from 0.03% to 7.48% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't.
kr Armani has a 0.28% chance to win
----going from 0.01% to 2.11% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't.
kr Patience has a 0.28% chance to win
----going from 0.5% to 87.16% if they get 1st, or 0.25% if they don't.
kr Stork has a 0.15% chance to win
----going from 0.01% to 0.79% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't.
kr Sleep has a 0.09% chance to win
----going from 0.01% to 0.74% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't.


"Expert" mods4ever.com
Die4Ever
Profile Joined August 2010
United States17671 Posts
July 27 2015 15:46 GMT
#679
WCS Predictor 2015
WCS Challenger Season 3 EU Day 1


fr MarineLorD vs ru DmC in
in WCS Challenger Season 3 round of 64.
MarineLorD must win this match!
MarineLorD is at 3.25% Blizzcon Chances, with a 67.84% chance to win this match.
If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 4.77%, or 0.03% if they lose.
DmC is at 0.01% Blizzcon Chances, with a 32.16% chance to win this match.
If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0.01%, or 0% if they lose.

pl MaNa vs ru Happy in
in WCS Challenger Season 3 round of 64.
Happy must win this match!
MaNa is at 0.44% Blizzcon Chances, with a 45.06% chance to win this match.
If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0.98%, or 0.01% if they lose.
Happy is at 0.98% Blizzcon Chances, with a 54.94% chance to win this match.
If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 1.78%, or 0.01% if they lose.

no Snute vs fi Serral in
in WCS Challenger Season 3 round of 64.
Snute must win this match!
Snute is at 6.05% Blizzcon Chances, with a 62.29% chance to win this match.
If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 9.5%, or 0.35% if they lose.
Serral is at 0.18% Blizzcon Chances, with a 37.71% chance to win this match.
If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0.47%, or 0.01% if they lose.

nl Ret vs de HeRoMaRinE in
in WCS Challenger Season 3 round of 64.
Ret is at 0.17% Blizzcon Chances, with a 39.65% chance to win this match.
If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0.42%, or 0.01% if they lose.
HeRoMaRinE is at 0.06% Blizzcon Chances, with a 60.35% chance to win this match.
If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0.1%, or 0.01% if they lose.

se NaNiwa vs de ShoWTimE in
in WCS Challenger Season 3 round of 64.
ShoWTimE must win this match!
NaNiwa is at 0.31% Blizzcon Chances, with a 48.92% chance to win this match.
If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0.63%, or 0.01% if they lose.
ShoWTimE is at 1.05% Blizzcon Chances, with a 51.08% chance to win this match.
If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 2.06%, or 0.01% if they lose.

+ Show Spoiler [WCS Challenger Winning Chances] +

kr ForGG has a 81.52% chance to win
----going from 11.95% to 14.54% if they get 1st, or 0.53% if they don't.
fr Lilbow has a 71.9% chance to win
----going from 16.21% to 21.48% if they get 1st, or 2.74% if they don't.
de GunGFuBanDa has a 71.01% chance to win
----going from 0.05% to 0.07% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't.
fr MarineLorD has a 67.84% chance to win
----going from 3.25% to 4.77% if they get 1st, or 0.03% if they don't.
no Snute has a 62.29% chance to win
----going from 6.05% to 9.5% if they get 1st, or 0.35% if they don't.
+ Show Spoiler [More Winning Chances] +

dk Bunny has a 60.93% chance to win
----going from 16.3% to 24.17% if they get 1st, or 4.01% if they don't.
de HeRoMaRinE has a 60.35% chance to win
----going from 0.06% to 0.1% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't.
pl Nerchio has a 54.98% chance to win
----going from 0.19% to 0.35% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't.
ru Happy has a 54.94% chance to win
----going from 0.98% to 1.78% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't.
fi Welmu has a 53.57% chance to win
----going from 0.16% to 0.31% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't.
nl uThermal has a 52.43% chance to win
----going from 0.4% to 0.77% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't.
de ShoWTimE has a 51.08% chance to win
----going from 1.05% to 2.06% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't.
fr FireCake has a 50.28% chance to win
----going from 1.16% to 2.3% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't.
de TLO has a 50.24% chance to win
----going from 0.7% to 1.37% if they get 1st, or 0.03% if they don't.
ua Bly has a 49.76% chance to win
----going from 0.01% to 0.02% if they get 1st, or 0% if they don't.
se Zanster has a 49.72% chance to win
----going from 0.05% to 0.09% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't.
se NaNiwa has a 48.92% chance to win
----going from 0.31% to 0.63% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't.
fi elfi has a 47.57% chance to win
----going from 0.06% to 0.12% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't.
pl Elazer has a 46.43% chance to win
----going from 0.01% to 0.01% if they get 1st, or 0% if they don't.
pl MaNa has a 45.06% chance to win
----going from 0.44% to 0.98% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't.
nl Harstem has a 45.02% chance to win
----going from 0.44% to 0.97% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't.
nl Ret has a 39.65% chance to win
----going from 0.17% to 0.42% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't.
si Starbuck has a 39.07% chance to win
----going from 0.01% to 0.01% if they get 1st, or 0% if they don't.
fi Serral has a 37.71% chance to win
----going from 0.18% to 0.47% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't.
ru DmC has a 32.16% chance to win
----going from 0.01% to 0.01% if they get 1st, or 0% if they don't.
fr DnS has a 28.99% chance to win
----going from 0.01% to 0.01% if they get 1st, or 0% if they don't.
se SortOf has a 28.1% chance to win
----going from 0.01% to 0.01% if they get 1st, or 0% if they don't.
fr Dayshi has a 18.48% chance to win
----going from 0.01% to 0.01% if they get 1st, or 0% if they don't.


+ Show Spoiler [WCS Premier Winning Chances] +

Jaedong, ForGG, Petraeus, MarineLorD, Snute, Happy, MaNa, ShoWTimE, FireCake, Kane, uThermal, Serral, Harstem, Ret, Has, and TLO must win this tournament!
kr Hydra has a 15.99% chance to win
----going from 100% to 100% if they get 1st, or 100% if they don't.
kr Polt has a 9.84% chance to win
----going from 99.31% to 100% if they get 1st, or 99.24% if they don't.
kr Jaedong has a 7.47% chance to win
----going from 8.06% to 92.89% if they get 1st, or 1.21% if they don't.
kr ForGG has a 7.31% chance to win
----going from 11.95% to 98.55% if they get 1st, or 5.12% if they don't.
fr Lilbow has a 5.35% chance to win
----going from 16.21% to 99.96% if they get 1st, or 11.48% if they don't.
+ Show Spoiler [More Winning Chances] +

nz Petraeus has a 4.46% chance to win
----going from 1.23% to 26.01% if they get 1st, or 0.08% if they don't.
fr MarineLorD has a 3.63% chance to win
----going from 3.25% to 75.15% if they get 1st, or 0.54% if they don't.
no Snute has a 3.47% chance to win
----going from 6.05% to 98.93% if they get 1st, or 2.71% if they don't.
ru Happy has a 3.34% chance to win
----going from 0.98% to 26.61% if they get 1st, or 0.09% if they don't.
mx MajOr has a 3.32% chance to win
----going from 0.1% to 2.95% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't.
kr viOLet has a 3.21% chance to win
----going from 0.15% to 4.61% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't.
ca MaSa has a 3.14% chance to win
----going from 0.09% to 2.82% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't.
dk Bunny has a 2.81% chance to win
----going from 16.3% to 99.99% if they get 1st, or 13.87% if they don't.
se NaNiwa has a 2.76% chance to win
----going from 0.31% to 10.66% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't.
pl Nerchio has a 2.4% chance to win
----going from 0.19% to 7.74% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't.
pl MaNa has a 1.82% chance to win
----going from 0.44% to 22.76% if they get 1st, or 0.03% if they don't.
de HeRoMaRinE has a 1.65% chance to win
----going from 0.06% to 3.5% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't.
de ShoWTimE has a 1.57% chance to win
----going from 1.05% to 62.19% if they get 1st, or 0.08% if they don't.
fr FireCake has a 1.39% chance to win
----going from 1.16% to 71.71% if they get 1st, or 0.17% if they don't.
fi Welmu has a 1.17% chance to win
----going from 0.16% to 13.2% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't.
au iaguz has a 1.02% chance to win
----going from 0.1% to 9.32% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't.
de GunGFuBanDa has a 0.99% chance to win
----going from 0.05% to 5.15% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't.
se Zanster has a 0.95% chance to win
----going from 0.05% to 4.64% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't.
tw Sen has a 0.92% chance to win
----going from 0.06% to 6.15% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't.
ca Kane has a 0.89% chance to win
----going from 0.2% to 21.76% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't.
nl uThermal has a 0.86% chance to win
----going from 0.4% to 40.68% if they get 1st, or 0.05% if they don't.
cn Jim has a 0.83% chance to win
----going from 0.02% to 1.96% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't.
cn iAsonu has a 0.82% chance to win
----going from 0.03% to 3.97% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't.
fi elfi has a 0.77% chance to win
----going from 0.06% to 6.86% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't.
fi Serral has a 0.62% chance to win
----going from 0.18% to 26.83% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't.
ua Bly has a 0.59% chance to win
----going from 0.01% to 2.02% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't.
nl Harstem has a 0.51% chance to win
----going from 0.44% to 74.06% if they get 1st, or 0.06% if they don't.
us Hitman has a 0.5% chance to win
----going from 0.01% to 0.38% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't.
nl Ret has a 0.48% chance to win
----going from 0.17% to 31.01% if they get 1st, or 0.02% if they don't.
tw Has has a 0.45% chance to win
----going from 0.1% to 22.31% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't.
de TLO has a 0.43% chance to win
----going from 0.7% to 95.33% if they get 1st, or 0.3% if they don't.
us neeb has a 0.4% chance to win
----going from 0.01% to 0.3% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't.
br Kelazhur has a 0.4% chance to win
----going from 0.02% to 3.77% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't.
si Starbuck has a 0.31% chance to win
----going from 0.01% to 0.69% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't.
pl Elazer has a 0.29% chance to win
----going from 0.01% to 1.02% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't.
se SortOf has a 0.24% chance to win
----going from 0.01% to 0.48% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't.
fr DnS has a 0.17% chance to win
----going from 0.01% to 0.36% if they get 1st, or 0% if they don't.
cn XiGua has a 0.14% chance to win
----going from 0.01% to 1.7% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't.
fr Dayshi has a 0.13% chance to win
----going from 0.01% to 0.48% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't.
ru DmC has a 0.13% chance to win
----going from 0.01% to 0.25% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't.
cn Shana has a 0.06% chance to win
----going from 0.01% to 0.13% if they get 1st, or 0% if they don't.


"Expert" mods4ever.com
sharkie
Profile Blog Joined April 2012
Austria18401 Posts
July 27 2015 21:50 GMT
#680
Trading is currently locked :o
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