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WCS Predictor 2015 - Page 33

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Die4Ever
Profile Joined August 2010
United States17739 Posts
July 16 2015 22:36 GMT
#641
I made some improvements to branches, now you can click on links like player names and tournament names and stuff and it'll remember what branch you were looking at. Likewise it'll remember the fields sim_id, comp_sim_id, comp_days, and comp_hours. Clicking on the home link at the top of the page will clear all of the fields.

Right now I have a bunch of branches, so check them out and see the what-ifs inside the what-ifs
http://sc2.4ever.tv/?page=branches

Today with Lilbow and Bunny getting knocked out of Dreamhack, the chances of 1+ foreigners making it to Blizzcon fell below 50%, from 58.41% after Code A down to 47.68% after DH Valencia Day 1.

With the power of branches we can see that if Snute wins IEM Shenzhen, then the chances of 1+ foreigners qualifying for Blizzcon go back up over 50%, to 51.55%. If MarineLord wins DH Valencia then it goes up to 50.81%.
"Expert" mods4ever.com
Die4Ever
Profile Joined August 2010
United States17739 Posts
July 16 2015 22:56 GMT
#642
WCS Predictor 2015
IEM Shenzhen Day 1 Take 2


kr Losira, kr SuperNova, kr Heart, and kr TY in
in IEM Shenzhen round of 16.
Losira is at 0.06% Blizzcon Chances, with a 52.79% chance to win this match.
If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0.09%, or 0.04% if they lose.
Heart is at 0.01% Blizzcon Chances, with a 44.28% chance to win this match.
If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0.01%, or 0.01% if they lose.
SuperNova is at 0.01% Blizzcon Chances, with a 44.73% chance to win this match.
If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0.01%, or 0.01% if they lose.
TY is at 9.58% Blizzcon Chances, with a 58.2% chance to win this match.
If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 11.47%, or 6.95% if they lose.

kr Rain, kr YongHwa, no Snute, and kr Classic in
in IEM Shenzhen round of 16.
Rain has the #1 Headband.
Rain is at 100% Blizzcon Chances, with a 63.44% chance to win this match.
If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 100%, or 100% if they lose.
Snute is at 5.48% Blizzcon Chances, with a 44.41% chance to win this match.
If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 6.77%, or 4.46% if they lose.
YongHwa is at 0.01% Blizzcon Chances, with a 25.85% chance to win this match.
If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0.01%, or 0% if they lose.
Classic is at 99.94% Blizzcon Chances, with a 66.3% chance to win this match.
If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 99.99%, or 99.84% if they lose.

+ Show Spoiler [Day 2 Groups] +

kr herO, cn Jim, nl uThermal, and cn Cyan in
in IEM Shenzhen round of 16.
herO is at 100% Blizzcon Chances, with a 76.55% chance to win this match.
If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 100%, or 100% if they lose.
uThermal is at 0.39% Blizzcon Chances, with a 66.17% chance to win this match.
If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0.49%, or 0.21% if they lose.
Jim is at 0.06% Blizzcon Chances, with a 45.23% chance to win this match.
If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0.12%, or 0.02% if they lose.
Cyan is at 0% Blizzcon Chances, with a 12.05% chance to win this match.
If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0%, or 0% if they lose.

kr PartinG, cn XY, br Kelazhur, and hk Bistork in
in IEM Shenzhen round of 16.
PartinG is at 100% Blizzcon Chances, with a 90.65% chance to win this match.
If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 100%, or 100% if they lose.
Kelazhur is at 0.04% Blizzcon Chances, with a 44.95% chance to win this match.
If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0.06%, or 0.02% if they lose.
XY is at 0% Blizzcon Chances, with a 51.84% chance to win this match.
If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0%, or 0% if they lose.
Bistork is at 0% Blizzcon Chances, with a 12.56% chance to win this match.
If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0%, or 0% if they lose.

+ Show Spoiler [IEM Shenzhen Winning Chances] +

kr PartinG has a 24.79% chance to win
----going from 100% to 100% if they get 1st, or 100% if they don't.
kr Rain has a 17.5% chance to win
----going from 100% to 100% if they get 1st, or 100% if they don't.
kr Classic has a 16.6% chance to win
----going from 99.94% to 99.99% if they get 1st, or 99.93% if they don't.
kr herO has a 13.64% chance to win
----going from 100% to 100% if they get 1st, or 100% if they don't.
kr TY has a 7.14% chance to win
----going from 9.58% to 22.83% if they get 1st, or 8.57% if they don't.
no Snute has a 5.93% chance to win
----going from 5.48% to 12.22% if they get 1st, or 5.06% if they don't.
nl uThermal has a 4.19% chance to win
----going from 0.39% to 1.27% if they get 1st, or 0.35% if they don't.
kr Losira has a 2.25% chance to win
----going from 0.06% to 0.32% if they get 1st, or 0.06% if they don't.
cn Jim has a 2.22% chance to win
----going from 0.06% to 0.55% if they get 1st, or 0.05% if they don't.
kr Heart has a 1.91% chance to win
----going from 0.01% to 0.02% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't.
kr SuperNova has a 1.65% chance to win
----going from 0.01% to 0.01% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't.
kr YongHwa has a 1.14% chance to win
----going from 0.01% to 0.01% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't.
br Kelazhur has a 0.76% chance to win
----going from 0.04% to 0.35% if they get 1st, or 0.03% if they don't.
cn XY has a 0.28% chance to win
----going from 0% to 0% if they get 1st, or 0% if they don't.
cn Cyan has a 0.02% chance to win
----going from 0% to 0% if they get 1st, or 0% if they don't.

+ Show Spoiler [If TY Wins IEM Shenzhen] +
TY Branch #2394
-If TY wins IEM Shenzhen, then he goes up to 22.84%
-If TY wins IEM Shenzhen and his SSL ro16 group, then he goes up to 42.67%
-If TY wins IEM Shenzhen and makes top 16 in IEM Gamescom, he goes up to 41.45%
-If TY wins IEM Shenzhen and Dreamhack Stockholm, he goes up to 80.66%
-If TY wins IEM Shenzhen and gets 2nd at DH Stockholm, he goes up to 55.34%

+ Show Spoiler [If Snute Wins IEM Shenzhen] +
Snute Branch #2395
-If Snute wins IEM Shenzhen, then he goes up to 12.24%
-If Snute wins IEM Shenzhen and his WCS Challenger match, he goes up to 18.65%
-If Snute wins IEM Shenzhen and makes top 16 at IEM Gamesom, he goes up to 21.51%
-If Snute wins IEM Shenzhen and DH Stockholm, he goes up to 49.06%
-If Snute wins IEM Shenzhen and gets 2nd at DH Stockholm, he goes up to 30.63%

"Expert" mods4ever.com
Die4Ever
Profile Joined August 2010
United States17739 Posts
July 17 2015 07:32 GMT
#643
WCS Predictor 2015
GSL Code A Season 3 Day 6


kr Hack vs kr Dream in
in GSL Code A Season 3 round of 48.
Hack is at 0.01% Blizzcon Chances, with a 42.82% chance to win this match.
If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0.01%, or 0.01% if they lose.
Dream is at 100% Blizzcon Chances, with a 57.18% chance to win this match.
If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 100%, or 100% if they lose.

kr Flash vs kr Impact in
in GSL Code A Season 3 round of 48.
Flash is at 0.23% Blizzcon Chances, with a 48.83% chance to win this match.
If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0.47%, or 0.01% if they lose.
Impact is at 0.02% Blizzcon Chances, with a 51.17% chance to win this match.
If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0.03%, or 0.01% if they lose.

+ Show Spoiler [Code A Winning Chances] +

kr Zest has a 74.45% chance to win
----going from 96.15% to 97.59% if they get 1st, or 91.97% if they don't.
kr herO has a 63.94% chance to win
----going from 100% to 100% if they get 1st, or 100% if they don't.
kr Hurricane has a 59.25% chance to win
----going from 0.07% to 0.11% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't.
kr FanTaSy has a 57.37% chance to win
----going from 50.35% to 60.37% if they get 1st, or 36.87% if they don't.
kr Dream has a 57.18% chance to win
----going from 100% to 100% if they get 1st, or 100% if they don't.
+ Show Spoiler [More Winning Chances] +

kr HyuN has a 53.47% chance to win
----going from 37.78% to 47.09% if they get 1st, or 27.09% if they don't.
kr Impact has a 51.17% chance to win
----going from 0.02% to 0.03% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't.
kr Cure has a 50.55% chance to win
----going from 0.09% to 0.18% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't.
kr Bomber has a 50.19% chance to win
----going from 0.38% to 0.75% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't.
kr First has a 49.81% chance to win
----going from 0.04% to 0.08% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't.
kr Sacsri has a 49.45% chance to win
----going from 0.24% to 0.49% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't.
kr Flash has a 48.83% chance to win
----going from 0.23% to 0.47% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't.
kr GuMiho has a 46.53% chance to win
----going from 3.66% to 7.11% if they get 1st, or 0.65% if they don't.
kr Hack has a 42.82% chance to win
----going from 0.01% to 0.01% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't.
kr San has a 42.63% chance to win
----going from 0.27% to 0.63% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't.
kr Symbol has a 40.75% chance to win
----going from 0.01% to 0.02% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't.
kr Armani has a 36.06% chance to win
----going from 0.01% to 0.02% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't.
kr Patience has a 25.55% chance to win
----going from 0.47% to 1.5% if they get 1st, or 0.11% if they don't.


+ Show Spoiler [Code S Winning Chances] +

Solar, Bbyong, Curious, GuMiho, Sacsri, Flash, MMA, Bomber, San, and Patience must win this tournament!
kr Rain has a 9.06% chance to win
----going from 100% to 100% if they get 1st, or 100% if they don't.
kr PartinG has a 8.13% chance to win
----going from 100% to 100% if they get 1st, or 100% if they don't.
kr soO has a 8.01% chance to win
----going from 17.64% to 99.16% if they get 1st, or 10.54% if they don't.
kr INnoVation has a 7.5% chance to win
----going from 83.08% to 100% if they get 1st, or 81.71% if they don't.
kr Maru has a 6.63% chance to win
----going from 100% to 100% if they get 1st, or 100% if they don't.
+ Show Spoiler [More Winning Chances] +

kr Classic has a 6.37% chance to win
----going from 99.94% to 100% if they get 1st, or 99.93% if they don't.
kr Dark has a 5.4% chance to win
----going from 59.75% to 100% if they get 1st, or 57.45% if they don't.
kr Life has a 4.87% chance to win
----going from 100% to 100% if they get 1st, or 100% if they don't.
kr sOs has a 4.23% chance to win
----going from 45.33% to 100% if they get 1st, or 42.92% if they don't.
kr Solar has a 3.84% chance to win
----going from 3.78% to 76.43% if they get 1st, or 0.88% if they don't.
kr Zest has a 3.55% chance to win
----going from 96.15% to 100% if they get 1st, or 96.01% if they don't.
kr Bbyong has a 3.37% chance to win
----going from 4.88% to 94.38% if they get 1st, or 1.76% if they don't.
kr Dear has a 3.14% chance to win
----going from 17.1% to 99.93% if they get 1st, or 14.41% if they don't.
kr ByuL has a 2.8% chance to win
----going from 89.26% to 100% if they get 1st, or 88.95% if they don't.
kr Rogue has a 2.42% chance to win
----going from 63.59% to 100% if they get 1st, or 62.69% if they don't.
kr herO has a 2.41% chance to win
----going from 100% to 100% if they get 1st, or 100% if they don't.
kr HyuN has a 1.79% chance to win
----going from 37.78% to 100% if they get 1st, or 36.65% if they don't.
kr Dream has a 1.71% chance to win
----going from 100% to 100% if they get 1st, or 100% if they don't.
kr FanTaSy has a 1.71% chance to win
----going from 50.35% to 100% if they get 1st, or 49.49% if they don't.
kr Curious has a 1.34% chance to win
----going from 2.93% to 97.54% if they get 1st, or 1.64% if they don't.
kr MyuNgSiK has a 1.2% chance to win
----going from 10.22% to 99.98% if they get 1st, or 9.13% if they don't.
kr GuMiho has a 1.13% chance to win
----going from 3.66% to 99.95% if they get 1st, or 2.55% if they don't.
kr Sacsri has a 0.98% chance to win
----going from 0.24% to 21.49% if they get 1st, or 0.03% if they don't.
kr Trust has a 0.98% chance to win
----going from 0.04% to 3.79% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't.
kr Flash has a 0.88% chance to win
----going from 0.23% to 22.43% if they get 1st, or 0.03% if they don't.
kr MMA has a 0.77% chance to win
----going from 0.68% to 66.86% if they get 1st, or 0.17% if they don't.
kr Cure has a 0.74% chance to win
----going from 0.09% to 10.85% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't.
kr Pigbaby has a 0.68% chance to win
----going from 0.03% to 3.5% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't.
kr Bomber has a 0.6% chance to win
----going from 0.38% to 50.13% if they get 1st, or 0.08% if they don't.
kr Hurricane has a 0.59% chance to win
----going from 0.07% to 10.06% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't.
kr San has a 0.55% chance to win
----going from 0.27% to 40.89% if they get 1st, or 0.05% if they don't.
kr Losira has a 0.49% chance to win
----going from 0.07% to 11.39% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't.
kr Impact has a 0.42% chance to win
----going from 0.02% to 3.92% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't.
kr First has a 0.35% chance to win
----going from 0.04% to 10.01% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't.
kr sKyHigh has a 0.33% chance to win
----going from 0.03% to 6.86% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't.
kr Armani has a 0.33% chance to win
----going from 0.01% to 1.88% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't.
kr Patience has a 0.18% chance to win
----going from 0.47% to 88.83% if they get 1st, or 0.31% if they don't.
kr Stork has a 0.15% chance to win
----going from 0.01% to 0.74% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't.
kr Symbol has a 0.14% chance to win
----going from 0.01% to 6.82% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't.
kr Hack has a 0.12% chance to win
----going from 0.01% to 2.6% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't.
kr Sleep has a 0.1% chance to win
----going from 0.01% to 0.56% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't.


"Expert" mods4ever.com
Die4Ever
Profile Joined August 2010
United States17739 Posts
July 17 2015 12:34 GMT
#644
WCS Predictor 2015
DreamHack Valencia Day 2

+ Show Spoiler [Biggest Changes During This Tournament] +

Biggest Winners
kr FanTaSy went up by 16.63%, going from 35.96% to 52.59%
kr HyuN went up by 13.85%, going from 27.47% to 41.32%
kr Curious went up by 1.86%, going from 1.93% to 3.79%
fr MarineLorD went up by 1.61%, going from 3.02% to 4.62%
no Snute went up by 1.54%, going from 5.6% to 7.14%
kr TY went up by 1.11%, going from 9.82% to 10.93%
kr TRUE went up by 0.67%, going from 0.46% to 1.13%
+ Show Spoiler [More Winners] +

kr Patience went up by 0.36%, going from 0.26% to 0.62%
kr Flash went up by 0.21%, going from 0.24% to 0.46%


Biggest Losers
dk Bunny went down by 11.44%, going from 26.51% to 15.07%
fr Lilbow went down by 9.24%, going from 26.33% to 17.09%
kr Dark went down by 2.22%, going from 61.06% to 58.84%
kr Rogue went down by 2.06%, going from 64.86% to 62.8%
kr GuMiho went down by 1.64%, going from 5.12% to 3.49%
kr Stats went down by 1.62%, going from 29.99% to 28.37%
kr sOs went down by 1.54%, going from 46.45% to 44.9%
+ Show Spoiler [More Losers] +

kr ByuL went down by 1.4%, going from 90.01% to 88.6%
kr INnoVation went down by 1.21%, going from 83.69% to 82.48%
kr Zest went down by 0.7%, going from 96.48% to 95.78%
kr soO went down by 0.65%, going from 18.07% to 17.42%
kr Polt went down by 0.54%, going from 97.92% to 97.38%
kr MyuNgSiK went down by 0.47%, going from 10.6% to 10.13%
kr ForGG went down by 0.41%, going from 11.98% to 11.58%
pl MaNa went down by 0.35%, going from 0.61% to 0.26%
kr Dear went down by 0.33%, going from 17.52% to 17.19%
de TLO went down by 0.23%, going from 0.83% to 0.6%
kr San went down by 0.23%, going from 0.47% to 0.24%
kr Solar went down by 0.18%, going from 3.91% to 3.72%
kr StarDust went down by 0.13%, going from 2.21% to 2.08%
kr viOLet went down by 0.13%, going from 0.24% to 0.11%
kr Jaedong went down by 0.1%, going from 5.39% to 5.29%
kr Sacsri went down by 0.1%, going from 0.33% to 0.22%



kr FanTaSy vs kr Patience in
in DreamHack Valencia quarterfinals.
FanTaSy is at 52.58% Blizzcon Chances, with a 56.11% chance to win this match.
If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 61.69%, or 40.93% if they lose.
Patience is at 0.62% Blizzcon Chances, with a 43.89% chance to win this match.
If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0.9%, or 0.4% if they lose.

fr MarineLorD vs kr Curious in
in DreamHack Valencia quarterfinals.
MarineLorD is at 4.63% Blizzcon Chances, with a 51.97% chance to win this match.
If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 5.59%, or 3.58% if they lose.
Curious is at 3.79% Blizzcon Chances, with a 48.03% chance to win this match.
If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 4.83%, or 2.83% if they lose.

kr HerO vs kr TRUE in
in DreamHack Valencia quarterfinals.
HerO is at 0.01% Blizzcon Chances, with a 45.23% chance to win this match.
If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0.01%, or 0.01% if they lose.
TRUE is at 1.13% Blizzcon Chances, with a 54.77% chance to win this match.
If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 1.65%, or 0.5% if they lose.

kr TaeJa vs kr HyuN in
in DreamHack Valencia quarterfinals.
TaeJa is at 0.01% Blizzcon Chances, with a 39.73% chance to win this match.
If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0.01%, or 0.01% if they lose.
HyuN is at 41.33% Blizzcon Chances, with a 60.27% chance to win this match.
If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 46.94%, or 32.83% if they lose.

+ Show Spoiler [DH Valencia Winning Chances] +

kr HyuN has a 18.88% chance to win
----going from 41.33% to 60.28% if they get 1st, or 36.93% if they don't.
kr FanTaSy has a 18.19% chance to win
----going from 52.58% to 79.64% if they get 1st, or 46.56% if they don't.
kr TRUE has a 12.18% chance to win
----going from 1.13% to 3.88% if they get 1st, or 0.75% if they don't.
fr MarineLorD has a 11.77% chance to win
----going from 4.63% to 8.12% if they get 1st, or 4.16% if they don't.
kr Curious has a 11.4% chance to win
----going from 3.79% to 8.16% if they get 1st, or 3.23% if they don't.
kr TaeJa has a 10.31% chance to win
----going from 0.01% to 0.01% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't.
kr Patience has a 9.37% chance to win
----going from 0.62% to 1.79% if they get 1st, or 0.5% if they don't.
kr HerO has a 7.91% chance to win
----going from 0.01% to 0.01% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't.

Branches
"Expert" mods4ever.com
sharkie
Profile Blog Joined April 2012
Austria18686 Posts
July 17 2015 17:01 GMT
#645
*sighs*
Die4Ever
Profile Joined August 2010
United States17739 Posts
July 17 2015 19:20 GMT
#646
WCS Predictor 2015
DreamHack Valencia Semifinals

+ Show Spoiler [Biggest Changes During This Tournament] +

Biggest Winners
kr HyuN went up by 20.54%, going from 27.47% to 48.01%
kr FanTaSy went up by 4.46%, going from 35.96% to 40.42%
kr Curious went up by 3.01%, going from 1.93% to 4.93%
no Snute went up by 1.64%, going from 5.6% to 7.23%
kr TRUE went up by 1.24%, going from 0.46% to 1.71%
kr TY went up by 1.24%, going from 9.82% to 11.06%
fr MarineLorD went up by 0.62%, going from 3.02% to 3.63%
+ Show Spoiler [More Winners] +

kr Patience went up by 0.6%, going from 0.26% to 0.85%
kr Flash went up by 0.21%, going from 0.24% to 0.46%


Biggest Losers
dk Bunny went down by 11.19%, going from 26.51% to 15.31%
fr Lilbow went down by 9.06%, going from 26.33% to 17.28%
kr Dark went down by 1.76%, going from 61.06% to 59.3%
kr Rogue went down by 1.62%, going from 64.86% to 63.23%
kr GuMiho went down by 1.57%, going from 5.12% to 3.56%
kr Stats went down by 1.2%, going from 29.99% to 28.79%
kr sOs went down by 1.13%, going from 46.45% to 45.32%
+ Show Spoiler [More Losers] +

kr ByuL went down by 0.99%, going from 90.01% to 89.01%
kr INnoVation went down by 0.94%, going from 83.69% to 82.76%
kr Zest went down by 0.52%, going from 96.48% to 95.96%
kr soO went down by 0.44%, going from 18.07% to 17.64%
pl MaNa went down by 0.35%, going from 0.61% to 0.26%
kr Polt went down by 0.35%, going from 97.92% to 97.57%
kr ForGG went down by 0.29%, going from 11.98% to 11.69%
kr MyuNgSiK went down by 0.29%, going from 10.6% to 10.32%
de TLO went down by 0.22%, going from 0.83% to 0.61%
kr San went down by 0.22%, going from 0.47% to 0.25%
kr Dear went down by 0.21%, going from 17.52% to 17.32%
kr viOLet went down by 0.13%, going from 0.24% to 0.11%
kr Solar went down by 0.13%, going from 3.91% to 3.78%
kr StarDust went down by 0.12%, going from 2.21% to 2.09%
kr Sacsri went down by 0.1%, going from 0.33% to 0.22%



kr Curious vs kr Patience in
in DreamHack Valencia semifinals.
Curious is at 4.93% Blizzcon Chances, with a 52.78% chance to win this match.
If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 6.16%, or 3.57% if they lose.
Patience is at 0.85% Blizzcon Chances, with a 47.22% chance to win this match.
If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 1.18%, or 0.56% if they lose.

kr TRUE vs kr HyuN in
in DreamHack Valencia semifinals.
TRUE is at 1.71% Blizzcon Chances, with a 44.29% chance to win this match.
If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 2.84%, or 0.81% if they lose.
HyuN is at 48.01% Blizzcon Chances, with a 55.71% chance to win this match.
If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 54.99%, or 39.22% if they lose.

+ Show Spoiler [DH Valencia Winning Chances] +

kr HyuN has a 32.96% chance to win
----going from 48.01% to 61.08% if they get 1st, or 41.58% if they don't.
kr Curious has a 23.51% chance to win
----going from 4.93% to 8.22% if they get 1st, or 3.92% if they don't.
kr TRUE has a 23.32% chance to win
----going from 1.71% to 4.03% if they get 1st, or 1.01% if they don't.
kr Patience has a 20.22% chance to win
----going from 0.85% to 1.71% if they get 1st, or 0.64% if they don't.


Branches
+ Show Spoiler [If Curious Wins DH Valencia] +
Branch #2430
-If Curious wins DH Valencia, then he goes up to 8.22%
-If Curious wins DH Valencia and gets 16th place in GSL, he goes down to 3.69%
-If Curious wins DH Valencia and DH Stockholm, he goes up to 41.52%

+ Show Spoiler [If TRUE Wins DH Valencia] +
Branch #2429
-If TRUE wins DH Valencia, then he goes up to 4.03%
-If TRUE wins DH Valencia and ASUS ROG Summer, he goes up to 22.93%
-If TRUE wins DH Valencia and DH Stockholm, he goes up to 38.16%

+ Show Spoiler [If HyuN Wins DH Valencia] +
Branch #2426
-If Hyun wins DH Valencia, then he goes up to 61.08%
-If Hyun wins DH Valencia and his Code A match, he goes up to 70.99%
-If Hyun wins DH Valencia and ASUS ROG Summer, he goes up to 94.51%

"Expert" mods4ever.com
Die4Ever
Profile Joined August 2010
United States17739 Posts
July 17 2015 21:46 GMT
#647
WCS Predictor 2015
DreamHack Valencia Finals

+ Show Spoiler [Biggest Changes During This Tournament] +

Biggest Winners
kr HyuN went up by 11.76%, going from 27.47% to 39.23%
kr FanTaSy went up by 5.06%, going from 35.96% to 41.02%
kr Curious went up by 4.42%, going from 1.93% to 6.35%
kr TRUE went up by 2.25%, going from 0.46% to 2.71%
no Snute went up by 1.7%, going from 5.6% to 7.29%
kr TY went up by 1.49%, going from 9.82% to 11.31%
fr MarineLorD went up by 0.66%, going from 3.02% to 3.68%
+ Show Spoiler [More Winners] +

kr Patience went up by 0.33%, going from 0.26% to 0.59%
kr Flash went up by 0.22%, going from 0.24% to 0.47%


Biggest Losers
dk Bunny went down by 10.94%, going from 26.51% to 15.57%
fr Lilbow went down by 8.72%, going from 26.33% to 17.61%
kr GuMiho went down by 1.53%, going from 5.12% to 3.6%
kr Dark went down by 1.08%, going from 61.06% to 59.98%
kr Rogue went down by 0.82%, going from 64.86% to 64.04%
kr sOs went down by 0.68%, going from 46.45% to 45.76%
kr Stats went down by 0.68%, going from 29.99% to 29.31%
+ Show Spoiler [More Losers] +

kr ByuL went down by 0.57%, going from 90.01% to 89.43%
kr INnoVation went down by 0.56%, going from 83.69% to 83.13%
pl MaNa went down by 0.33%, going from 0.61% to 0.28%
kr Zest went down by 0.3%, going from 96.48% to 96.18%
kr San went down by 0.21%, going from 0.47% to 0.25%
de TLO went down by 0.21%, going from 0.83% to 0.62%
kr ForGG went down by 0.17%, going from 11.98% to 11.81%
kr soO went down by 0.17%, going from 18.07% to 17.9%
kr Polt went down by 0.16%, going from 97.92% to 97.76%
kr MyuNgSiK went down by 0.16%, going from 10.6% to 10.45%
kr viOLet went down by 0.13%, going from 0.24% to 0.11%



kr Curious vs kr TRUE in
in DreamHack Valencia finals.
Curious is at 6.35% Blizzcon Chances, with a 48.78% chance to win this match.
If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 8.2%, or 4.58% if they lose.
TRUE is at 2.71% Blizzcon Chances, with a 51.22% chance to win this match.
If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 3.92%, or 1.44% if they lose.

+ Show Spoiler [If Curious Wins] +
Branch #2454
-If Curious wins, then he goes up to 8.2%
-If Curious wins this and DH Stockholm, he goes up to 43.52%
-If Curious wins this and gets 4th place in GSL, he goes up to 24.81%

+ Show Spoiler [If TRUE Wins] +
Branch #2453
-If TRUE wins, then he goes up to 3.92%
-If TRUE wins this and DH Stockholm, he goes up to 36.84%
-If TRUE wins this and gets 2nd place in DH Stockholm, he goes up to 18.28%

"Expert" mods4ever.com
Die4Ever
Profile Joined August 2010
United States17739 Posts
July 18 2015 00:08 GMT
#648
WCS Predictor 2015
IEM Shenzhen Day 3

+ Show Spoiler [Biggest Changes During This Tournament] +
Also including DreamHack and Code A in the same time period.
Biggest Winners
kr Curious went up by 5.29%, going from 2.93% to 8.22%
no Snute went up by 1.83%, going from 5.47% to 7.3%
kr TY went up by 1.67%, going from 9.58% to 11.26%
kr HyuN went up by 1.41%, going from 37.78% to 39.19%
kr Dear went up by 0.44%, going from 17.1% to 17.53%
kr sOs went up by 0.42%, going from 45.33% to 45.75%
kr TRUE went up by 0.38%, going from 1.1% to 1.48%
+ Show Spoiler [More Winners] +

kr Rogue went up by 0.36%, going from 63.59% to 63.96%
kr MyuNgSiK went up by 0.25%, going from 10.22% to 10.47%
kr Flash went up by 0.24%, going from 0.23% to 0.47%
kr Dark went up by 0.21%, going from 59.75% to 59.97%
kr ByuL went up by 0.18%, going from 89.26% to 89.44%
kr soO went up by 0.16%, going from 17.64% to 17.8%
kr Stats went up by 0.15%, going from 29.07% to 29.22%
kr Patience went up by 0.12%, going from 0.47% to 0.59%
kr Polt went up by 0.11%, going from 97.67% to 97.77%


Biggest Losers
kr FanTaSy went down by 9.35%, going from 50.35% to 40.99%
dk Bunny went down by 2.52%, going from 18.06% to 15.54%
fr Lilbow went down by 0.85%, going from 18.4% to 17.54%
fr MarineLorD went down by 0.82%, going from 4.53% to 3.7%


kr herO, cn Jim, nl uThermal, and cn Cyan in
in IEM Shenzhen round of 16.
herO is at 100% Blizzcon Chances, with a 76.52% chance to win this match.
If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 100%, or 100% if they lose.
uThermal is at 0.38% Blizzcon Chances, with a 66.15% chance to win this match.
If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0.48%, or 0.2% if they lose.
Jim is at 0.06% Blizzcon Chances, with a 45.26% chance to win this match.
If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0.12%, or 0.02% if they lose.
Cyan is at 0% Blizzcon Chances, with a 12.07% chance to win this match.
If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0%, or 0% if they lose.

hk Bistork, br Kelazhur, cn XY, and kr PartinG in
in IEM Shenzhen round of 16.
Bistork is at 0% Blizzcon Chances, with a 12.58% chance to win this match.
If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0%, or 0% if they lose.
XY is at 0% Blizzcon Chances, with a 51.81% chance to win this match.
If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0%, or 0% if they lose.
Kelazhur is at 0.03% Blizzcon Chances, with a 44.95% chance to win this match.
If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0.05%, or 0.02% if they lose.
PartinG is at 100% Blizzcon Chances, with a 90.66% chance to win this match.
If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 100%, or 100% if they lose.

+ Show Spoiler [IEM Shenzhen Winning Chances] +

kr Classic has a 26.48% chance to win
----going from 99.99% to 100% if they get 1st, or 99.99% if they don't.
kr PartinG has a 23.18% chance to win
----going from 100% to 100% if they get 1st, or 100% if they don't.
kr herO has a 13.04% chance to win
----going from 100% to 100% if they get 1st, or 100% if they don't.
no Snute has a 12.9% chance to win
----going from 7.3% to 13.33% if they get 1st, or 6.41% if they don't.
kr TY has a 12.71% chance to win
----going from 11.26% to 22.21% if they get 1st, or 9.66% if they don't.
kr Losira has a 4.73% chance to win
----going from 0.1% to 0.39% if they get 1st, or 0.09% if they don't.
nl uThermal has a 3.99% chance to win
----going from 0.38% to 1.28% if they get 1st, or 0.35% if they don't.
cn Jim has a 1.87% chance to win
----going from 0.06% to 0.57% if they get 1st, or 0.05% if they don't.
br Kelazhur has a 0.83% chance to win
----going from 0.03% to 0.34% if they get 1st, or 0.03% if they don't.
cn XY has a 0.25% chance to win
----going from 0% to 0% if they get 1st, or 0% if they don't.
cn Cyan has a 0.01% chance to win
----going from 0% to 0% if they get 1st, or 0% if they don't.


Branches
+ Show Spoiler [If TY Wins IEM Shenzhen] +
Branch #2460
-If TY wins IEM Shenzhen, then he goes up to 22.21%
-If TY wins IEM Shenzhen and gets 16th place in SSL, he goes down to 8.2%
-If TY wins IEM Shenzhen and gets 4th place in SSL, he goes up to 47.97%
-If TY wins IEM Shenzhen and wins DreamHack Stockholm, he goes up to 80.74%

+ Show Spoiler [If TY Gets 8th Place] +
Branch #2461
-If TY gets 8th place in IEM Shenzhen, then he goes down to 8.13%
-If TY gets 8th place in IEM Shenzhen and wins DreamHack Stockholm, he goes up to 34.3%
-If TY gets 8th place in IEM Shenzhen and 8th place in SSL, he goes down to 3.6%

+ Show Spoiler [If Snute Wins IEM Shenzhen] +
Branch #2462
-If Snute wins IEM Shenzhen, then he goes up to 13.33%
-If Snute wins IEM Shenzhen and WCS Challenger, he goes up to 20.01%
-If Snute wins IEM Shenzhen and wins Gfinity Summer 1, he goes up to 18.58%
-If Snute wins IEM Shenzhen and gets 4th place in WCS, he goes up to 39.92%
-If Snute wins IEM Shenzhen and gets 8th place in WCS, he goes up to 15.94%

+ Show Spoiler [If Snute Gets 8th Place] +
Branch #2463
-If Snute gets 8th place in IEM Shenzhen, then he goes down to 5.73%
-If Snute gets 8th place in IEM Shenzhen and wins in WCS Challenger, he goes up to 9.02%
-If Snute gets 8th place in IEM Shenzhen and wins DreamHack Stockholm, he goes up to 20.31%

+ Show Spoiler [If Snute Gets 2nd Place] +
Branch #2464
-If Snute gets 2nd place in IEM Shenzhen, then he goes up to 8.4%
-If Snute gets 2nd place in IEM Shenzhen and wins in WCS Challenger, he goes up to 12.99%
-If Snute gets 2nd place in IEM Shenzhen and wins Gfinity Summer 1, he goes up to 11.53%
-If Snute gets 2nd place in IEM Shenzhen and 16th place in WCS, he goes down to 2.72%
-If Snute gets 2nd place in IEM Shenzhen and 4th place in WCS, he goes up to 18.48%

"Expert" mods4ever.com
[UoN]Sentinel
Profile Blog Joined November 2009
United States11320 Posts
July 18 2015 02:47 GMT
#649
Loving all these Snute stats.
Нас зовет дух отцов, память старых бойцов, дух Москвы и твердыня Полтавы
sharkie
Profile Blog Joined April 2012
Austria18686 Posts
July 18 2015 07:49 GMT
#650
Gimme points :D
Die4Ever
Profile Joined August 2010
United States17739 Posts
July 18 2015 09:14 GMT
#651
On July 18 2015 16:49 sharkie wrote:
Gimme points :D

don't worry, I set an alarm to wake up to do this update lol, can't wait to go back to sleep though
"Expert" mods4ever.com
sharkie
Profile Blog Joined April 2012
Austria18686 Posts
July 18 2015 09:17 GMT
#652
On July 18 2015 18:14 Die4Ever wrote:
Show nested quote +
On July 18 2015 16:49 sharkie wrote:
Gimme points :D

don't worry, I set an alarm to wake up to do this update lol, can't wait to go back to sleep though


there was no need for that! No more SC2 today
sharkie
Profile Blog Joined April 2012
Austria18686 Posts
July 18 2015 16:02 GMT
#653
How does Parting gain only 50 points? o.o
Die4Ever
Profile Joined August 2010
United States17739 Posts
July 18 2015 17:37 GMT
#654
On July 19 2015 01:02 sharkie wrote:
How does Parting gain only 50 points? o.o

EZ group lol, he had a 90% chance to advance
"Expert" mods4ever.com
sharkie
Profile Blog Joined April 2012
Austria18686 Posts
July 18 2015 17:39 GMT
#655
On July 19 2015 02:37 Die4Ever wrote:
Show nested quote +
On July 19 2015 01:02 sharkie wrote:
How does Parting gain only 50 points? o.o

EZ group lol, he had a 90% chance to advance


But herO's group was as easy and he got way more points :o
Die4Ever
Profile Joined August 2010
United States17739 Posts
Last Edited: 2015-07-18 17:46:07
July 18 2015 17:45 GMT
#656
On July 19 2015 02:39 sharkie wrote:
Show nested quote +
On July 19 2015 02:37 Die4Ever wrote:
On July 19 2015 01:02 sharkie wrote:
How does Parting gain only 50 points? o.o

EZ group lol, he had a 90% chance to advance


But herO's group was as easy and he got way more points :o

no it wasn't, only 76.52% chance to advance

herO is at 100% Blizzcon Chances, with a 76.52% chance to win this match.

it was probably herO's relatively poor PvP rating, and Jim, that made the difference there
"Expert" mods4ever.com
sharkie
Profile Blog Joined April 2012
Austria18686 Posts
July 18 2015 17:48 GMT
#657
Ah ok, weird Aligulac ^^
I guess it also helped that Parting had two terrans in his group
Die4Ever
Profile Joined August 2010
United States17739 Posts
July 18 2015 21:58 GMT
#658
WCS Predictor 2015
IEM Shenzhen Day 4

+ Show Spoiler [Biggest Changes During This Tournament] +

Biggest Winners
kr Curious went up by 6.96%, going from 3.79% to 10.75%
kr Rogue went up by 1.6%, going from 62.79% to 64.4%
kr Dark went up by 1.28%, going from 58.79% to 60.08%
kr ByuL went up by 0.98%, going from 88.62% to 89.6%
kr Stats went up by 0.98%, going from 28.4% to 29.38%
kr sOs went up by 0.92%, going from 44.92% to 45.84%
kr INnoVation went up by 0.67%, going from 82.49% to 83.16%
+ Show Spoiler [More Winners] +

dk Bunny went up by 0.62%, going from 15.05% to 15.68%
fr Lilbow went up by 0.59%, going from 17.1% to 17.69%
kr Zest went up by 0.46%, going from 95.76% to 96.22%
kr Polt went up by 0.44%, going from 97.39% to 97.83%
kr TRUE went up by 0.44%, going from 1.13% to 1.56%
kr Dear went up by 0.41%, going from 17.16% to 17.57%
kr MyuNgSiK went up by 0.38%, going from 10.14% to 10.53%
kr soO went up by 0.3%, going from 17.43% to 17.73%
kr ForGG went up by 0.28%, going from 11.57% to 11.85%
kr GuMiho went up by 0.21%, going from 3.49% to 3.7%
kr TY went up by 0.18%, going from 10.94% to 11.12%
kr Jaedong went up by 0.16%, going from 5.29% to 5.45%
kr Flash went up by 0.15%, going from 0.46% to 0.6%
no Snute went up by 0.12%, going from 7.14% to 7.25%
kr Solar went up by 0.1%, going from 3.73% to 3.83%
kr StarDust went up by 0.1%, going from 2.07% to 2.17%


Biggest Losers
kr FanTaSy went down by 12.56%, going from 52.59% to 40.03%
kr HyuN went down by 4.99%, going from 41.33% to 36.33%
fr MarineLorD went down by 1.37%, going from 4.63% to 3.25%


kr herO vs cn XY in
in IEM Shenzhen quarterfinals.
herO is at 100% Blizzcon Chances, with a 85.64% chance to win this match.
If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 100%, or 100% if they lose.
XY is at 0% Blizzcon Chances, with a 14.36% chance to win this match.
If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0%, or 0% if they lose.

kr Losira vs kr Classic in
in IEM Shenzhen quarterfinals.
Losira is at 0.1% Blizzcon Chances, with a 27.69% chance to win this match.
If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0.17%, or 0.07% if they lose.
Classic is at 99.99% Blizzcon Chances, with a 72.31% chance to win this match.
If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 99.99%, or 99.97% if they lose.

nl uThermal vs kr PartinG in
in IEM Shenzhen quarterfinals.
uThermal is at 0.39% Blizzcon Chances, with a 28.37% chance to win this match.
If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0.6%, or 0.3% if they lose.
PartinG is at 100% Blizzcon Chances, with a 71.63% chance to win this match.
If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 100%, or 100% if they lose.

kr TY vs no Snute in
in IEM Shenzhen quarterfinals.
TY is at 11.12% Blizzcon Chances, with a 52.79% chance to win this match.
If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 13.64%, or 8.3% if they lose.
Snute is at 7.25% Blizzcon Chances, with a 47.21% chance to win this match.
If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 8.9%, or 5.78% if they lose.

+ Show Spoiler [IEM Shenzhen Winning Chances] +

kr PartinG has a 25.79% chance to win
----going from 100% to 100% if they get 1st, or 100% if they don't.
kr Classic has a 24.77% chance to win
----going from 99.99% to 100% if they get 1st, or 99.99% if they don't.
kr herO has a 20.57% chance to win
----going from 100% to 100% if they get 1st, or 100% if they don't.
no Snute has a 11.29% chance to win
----going from 7.25% to 13.46% if they get 1st, or 6.46% if they don't.
kr TY has a 10.29% chance to win
----going from 11.12% to 22.52% if they get 1st, or 9.81% if they don't.
kr Losira has a 3.73% chance to win
----going from 0.1% to 0.39% if they get 1st, or 0.09% if they don't.
nl uThermal has a 3.29% chance to win
----going from 0.39% to 1.24% if they get 1st, or 0.36% if they don't.
cn XY has a 0.27% chance to win
----going from 0% to 0% if they get 1st, or 0% if they don't.


Branches
+ Show Spoiler [If TY Wins IEM Shenzhen] +
Branch #2481
-If TY wins IEM Shenzhen, then he goes up to 22.52%
-If TY wins IEM Shenzhen and gets 16th place in SSL, he goes down to 8.29%
-If TY wins IEM Shenzhen and gets 4th place in SSL, he goes up to 48.04%
-If TY wins IEM Shenzhen and wins DreamHack Stockholm, he goes up to 80.75%
-If TY wins IEM Shenzhen and gets 2nd place in DreamHack Stockholm, he goes up to 55.31%

+ Show Spoiler [If TY Gets 8th Place] +
Branch #2482
-If TY gets 8th place in IEM Shenzhen, then he goes down to 8.3%
-If TY gets 8th place in IEM Shenzhen and wins DreamHack Stockholm, he goes up to 35.09%
-If TY gets 8th place in IEM Shenzhen and 8th place in SSL, he goes down to 3.63%
-If TY gets 8th place in IEM Shenzhen and 2nd place in SSL, he goes up to 36.76%

+ Show Spoiler [If Snute Wins IEM Shenzhen] +
Branch #2483
-If Snute wins IEM Shenzhen, then he goes up to 13.46%
-If Snute wins IEM Shenzhen and WCS Challenger, he goes up to 20.19%
-If Snute wins IEM Shenzhen and wins Gfinity Summer 1, he goes up to 18.54%
-If Snute wins IEM Shenzhen and gets 4th place in WCS, he goes up to 40.48%
-If Snute wins IEM Shenzhen and gets 8th place in WCS, he goes up to 15.87%
-If Snute wins IEM Shenzhen and gets 2nd place in WCS, he goes up to 85.53%

+ Show Spoiler [If Snute Gets 8th Place] +
Branch #2484
-If Snute gets 8th place in IEM Shenzhen, then he goes down to 5.78%
-If Snute gets 8th place in IEM Shenzhen and wins in WCS Challenger, he goes up to 9.1%
-If Snute gets 8th place in IEM Shenzhen and wins DreamHack Stockholm, he goes up to 20.29%
-If Snute gets 8th place in IEM Shenzhen and gets 2nd place in WCS, he goes up to 25.46%
-If Snute gets 8th place in IEM Shenzhen and wins WCS, he goes up to 98.89%

+ Show Spoiler [If Snute Gets 2nd Place] +
Branch #2485
-If Snute gets 2nd place in IEM Shenzhen, then he goes up to 8.48%
-If Snute gets 2nd place in IEM Shenzhen and wins in WCS Challenger, he goes up to 13.12%
-If Snute gets 2nd place in IEM Shenzhen and wins Gfinity Summer 1, he goes up to 11.43%
-If Snute gets 2nd place in IEM Shenzhen and 16th place in WCS, he goes down to 2.8%
-If Snute gets 2nd place in IEM Shenzhen and 4th place in WCS, he goes up to 18.42%
-If Snute gets 2nd place in IEM Shenzhen and 2nd place in WCS, he goes up to 54.42%
-If Snute gets 2nd place in IEM Shenzhen and wins WCS, he goes up to 99.97%

+ Show Spoiler [If Snute Blessing] +
Branch #2486 (If Snute loses to the eventual champion before the finals)
-If Snute blessing, PartinG has a 48.63% chance to win IEM Shenzhen
-If Snute blessing, TY has a 44.15% chance to win IEM Shenzhen
-If Snute blessing, uThermal has a 7.22% chance to win IEM Shenzhen
-If Snute blessing, then Snute goes down to 6.41%
-If Snute blessing and Snute wins WCS Challenger, he goes up to 10.05%
-If Snute blessing and Snute gets 2nd place in WCS, he goes up to 32.12%

"Expert" mods4ever.com
[UoN]Sentinel
Profile Blog Joined November 2009
United States11320 Posts
July 18 2015 22:32 GMT
#659
#yearofuthermal
Нас зовет дух отцов, память старых бойцов, дух Москвы и твердыня Полтавы
Die4Ever
Profile Joined August 2010
United States17739 Posts
July 19 2015 04:29 GMT
#660
WCS Predictor
IEM Shenzhen Semifinals

+ Show Spoiler [Biggest Changes During Quarterfinals] +

Biggest Winners
kr TY went up by 3.34%, going from 11.12% to 14.46%

Biggest Losers
no Snute went down by 1.79%, going from 7.25% to 5.47%
kr Rogue went down by 0.61%, going from 64.4% to 63.78%
kr HyuN went down by 0.34%, going from 36.33% to 35.99%
nl uThermal went down by 0.11%, going from 0.39% to 0.28%


kr Classic vs kr herO in
in IEM Shenzhen semifinals.
Classic is at 99.99% Blizzcon Chances, with a 59.1% chance to win this match.
If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 99.99%, or 99.99% if they lose.
herO is at 100% Blizzcon Chances, with a 40.9% chance to win this match.
If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 100%, or 100% if they lose.

kr PartinG vs kr TY in
in IEM Shenzhen semifinals.
PartinG is at 100% Blizzcon Chances, with a 63.53% chance to win this match.
If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 100%, or 100% if they lose.
TY is at 14.46% Blizzcon Chances, with a 36.46% chance to win this match.
If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 18.99%, or 11.87% if they lose.

IEM Shenzhen Winning Chances
kr PartinG has a 35.8% chance to win
----going from 100% to 100% if they get 1st, or 100% if they don't.
kr Classic has a 30.27% chance to win
----going from 99.99% to 100% if they get 1st, or 99.99% if they don't.
kr herO has a 18.3% chance to win
----going from 100% to 100% if they get 1st, or 100% if they don't.
kr TY has a 15.63% chance to win
----going from 14.46% to 24.43% if they get 1st, or 12.62% if they don't.

Branches
+ Show Spoiler [If TY Wins IEM Shenzhen] +
Branch #2492
-If TY wins IEM Shenzhen, then he goes up to 24.43%
-If TY wins IEM Shenzhen and gets 4th place in SSL, he goes up to 49.48%
-If TY wins IEM Shenzhen and gets 8th place in SSL, he goes up to 20.11%
-If TY wins IEM Shenzhen and wins DreamHack Stockholm, he goes up to 82.45%
-If TY wins IEM Shenzhen and gets 2nd place in DreamHack Stockholm, he goes up to 57.7%

+ Show Spoiler [If TY Gets 2nd Place] +
Branch #2493
-If TY gets 2nd place at IEM Shenzhen, then he goes up to 14.88%
-If TY gets 2nd place at IEM Shenzhen and gets 4th place at SSL, he goes up to 23.36%
-If TY gets 2nd place at IEM Shenzhen and gets 8th place at SSL, he goes down to 9.77%
-If TY gets 2nd place at IEM Shenzhen and wins DreamHack Stockholm, he goes up to 58.29%

"Expert" mods4ever.com
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