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On July 16 2015 06:36 opisska wrote:Curious got Ro4 GSL not long ago, that's nothing to ignore. The rest are not current champions, but there are so many players who have been to so many DH-like tourneys and they just know their business. And for example Gumi can imho beat absolutely anyone if he decides to fo so. And I just noticed that Taeja is apparently coming, that would be hilarious if he won that out of the blue, just because it is in July 
Curious yea. I don't have much faith in Taeja right now lol but I'd love to see him win again. Gumiho can beat anyone, but he often doesn't.
I almost forgot Code A tonight
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WCS Predictor 2015
GSL Code A Season 3 Day 5   jjakji vs  Trust in in GSL Code A Season 3 round of 48. jjakji is at 0.02% Blizzcon Chances, with a 50.46% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0.05%, or 0.01% if they lose. Trust is at 0.02% Blizzcon Chances, with a 49.54% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0.03%, or 0.01% if they lose. Super vs Bbyong in in GSL Code A Season 3 round of 48. Bbyong must win this match! Super is at 0.37% Blizzcon Chances, with a 39.89% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0.92%, or 0.01% if they lose. Bbyong is at 2.92% Blizzcon Chances, with a 60.11% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 4.75%, or 0.18% if they lose.  Life vs Trap in in GSL Code A Season 3 round of 48. Trap must win this match! Life is at 100% Blizzcon Chances, with a 42.15% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 100%, or 100% if they lose. Trap is at 5.24% Blizzcon Chances, with a 57.85% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 8.81%, or 0.34% if they lose. + Show Spoiler [Code A Winning Chances] + Zest has a 74.48% chance to win ----going from 96.74% to 97.98% if they get 1st, or 93.14% if they don't. herO has a 63.94% chance to win ----going from 100% to 100% if they get 1st, or 100% if they don't. Bbyong has a 60.11% chance to win ----going from 2.92% to 4.75% if they get 1st, or 0.18% if they don't. Hurricane has a 59.26% chance to win ----going from 0.07% to 0.11% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. Trap has a 57.85% chance to win ----going from 5.24% to 8.81% if they get 1st, or 0.34% if they don't. + Show Spoiler [More Winning Chances] + FanTaSy has a 57.35% chance to win ----going from 35.68% to 45.02% if they get 1st, or 23.11% if they don't. Dream has a 57.18% chance to win ----going from 100% to 100% if they get 1st, or 100% if they don't. HyuN has a 53.47% chance to win ----going from 26.95% to 34.81% if they get 1st, or 17.92% if they don't. Impact has a 51.16% chance to win ----going from 0.02% to 0.04% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. Cure has a 50.56% chance to win ----going from 0.09% to 0.18% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. jjakji has a 50.46% chance to win ----going from 0.02% to 0.05% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. Bomber has a 50.17% chance to win ----going from 0.4% to 0.78% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. First has a 49.83% chance to win ----going from 0.04% to 0.08% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. Trust has a 49.54% chance to win ----going from 0.02% to 0.03% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. Sacsri has a 49.44% chance to win ----going from 0.33% to 0.66% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. Flash has a 48.84% chance to win ----going from 0.25% to 0.51% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. GuMiho has a 46.53% chance to win ----going from 5.11% to 9.35% if they get 1st, or 1.41% if they don't. Hack has a 42.82% chance to win ----going from 0.01% to 0.01% if they get 1st, or 0% if they don't. San has a 42.65% chance to win ----going from 0.45% to 1.03% if they get 1st, or 0.02% if they don't. Life has a 42.15% chance to win ----going from 100% to 100% if they get 1st, or 100% if they don't. Symbol has a 40.74% chance to win ----going from 0.02% to 0.05% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. Super has a 39.89% chance to win ----going from 0.37% to 0.92% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. Armani has a 36.06% chance to win ----going from 0.01% to 0.02% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. Patience has a 25.52% chance to win ----going from 0.25% to 0.86% if they get 1st, or 0.04% if they don't. Solar, Trap, Bbyong, Curious, GuMiho, Sacsri, Flash, MMA, Bomber, San, Super, and Patience must win this tournament! Rain has a 8.92% chance to win ----going from 100% to 100% if they get 1st, or 100% if they don't. PartinG has a 8.22% chance to win ----going from 100% to 100% if they get 1st, or 100% if they don't. soO has a 7.94% chance to win ----going from 17.88% to 99.24% if they get 1st, or 10.87% if they don't. INnoVation has a 7.59% chance to win ----going from 83.78% to 100% if they get 1st, or 82.45% if they don't. Maru has a 6.73% chance to win ----going from 100% to 100% if they get 1st, or 100% if they don't. + Show Spoiler [More Winning Chances] + Classic has a 6.43% chance to win ----going from 99.94% to 100% if they get 1st, or 99.94% if they don't. Dark has a 5.37% chance to win ----going from 60.5% to 100% if they get 1st, or 58.26% if they don't. sOs has a 4.26% chance to win ----going from 46.54% to 100% if they get 1st, or 44.17% if they don't. Solar has a 3.88% chance to win ----going from 3.91% to 77.7% if they get 1st, or 0.93% if they don't. Zest has a 3.73% chance to win ----going from 96.74% to 100% if they get 1st, or 96.61% if they don't. Trap has a 3.5% chance to win ----going from 5.24% to 96.67% if they get 1st, or 1.92% if they don't. Dear has a 3.19% chance to win ----going from 17.39% to 99.93% if they get 1st, or 14.67% if they don't. ByuL has a 2.81% chance to win ----going from 89.69% to 100% if they get 1st, or 89.39% if they don't. Rogue has a 2.42% chance to win ----going from 62.62% to 100% if they get 1st, or 61.7% if they don't. herO has a 2.38% chance to win ----going from 100% to 100% if they get 1st, or 100% if they don't. Life has a 2.03% chance to win ----going from 100% to 100% if they get 1st, or 100% if they don't. Bbyong has a 1.93% chance to win ----going from 2.92% to 94.69% if they get 1st, or 1.12% if they don't. Dream has a 1.81% chance to win ----going from 100% to 100% if they get 1st, or 100% if they don't. HyuN has a 1.78% chance to win ----going from 26.95% to 99.99% if they get 1st, or 25.63% if they don't. FanTaSy has a 1.71% chance to win ----going from 35.68% to 100% if they get 1st, or 34.56% if they don't. Curious has a 1.35% chance to win ----going from 1.92% to 84.32% if they get 1st, or 0.79% if they don't. MyuNgSiK has a 1.2% chance to win ----going from 11.14% to 99.99% if they get 1st, or 10.06% if they don't. GuMiho has a 1.15% chance to win ----going from 5.11% to 99.88% if they get 1st, or 4.01% if they don't. Sacsri has a 0.99% chance to win ----going from 0.33% to 27.23% if they get 1st, or 0.06% if they don't. Flash has a 0.91% chance to win ----going from 0.25% to 23.4% if they get 1st, or 0.04% if they don't. MMA has a 0.78% chance to win ----going from 0.72% to 68.69% if they get 1st, or 0.18% if they don't. Cure has a 0.73% chance to win ----going from 0.09% to 11.26% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. Pigbaby has a 0.71% chance to win ----going from 0.06% to 7.6% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. Hurricane has a 0.6% chance to win ----going from 0.07% to 10.16% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. Bomber has a 0.6% chance to win ----going from 0.4% to 51.82% if they get 1st, or 0.09% if they don't. San has a 0.54% chance to win ----going from 0.45% to 57.69% if they get 1st, or 0.14% if they don't. Losira has a 0.48% chance to win ----going from 0.07% to 11.33% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. Super has a 0.45% chance to win ----going from 0.37% to 65.05% if they get 1st, or 0.08% if they don't. Impact has a 0.42% chance to win ----going from 0.02% to 4.21% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. Trust has a 0.4% chance to win ----going from 0.02% to 3.63% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. jjakji has a 0.39% chance to win ----going from 0.02% to 5.56% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. First has a 0.37% chance to win ----going from 0.04% to 10.37% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. Armani has a 0.33% chance to win ----going from 0.01% to 2.04% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. sKyHigh has a 0.32% chance to win ----going from 0.03% to 7.19% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. Patience has a 0.18% chance to win ----going from 0.25% to 67.48% if they get 1st, or 0.13% if they don't. Stork has a 0.16% chance to win ----going from 0.01% to 0.73% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. Symbol has a 0.14% chance to win ----going from 0.02% to 12.97% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. Hack has a 0.12% chance to win ----going from 0.01% to 2.5% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. Sleep has a 0.1% chance to win ----going from 0.01% to 0.58% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't.
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Have you ever thought about measuring how good these aligulac matchup predictions are? Of course they are probabilities, so you just can't say "it gave >50% to the guy who lost, so it was utterly wrong", but one could think about a way to test the compatibility of the model and the reality, right? The most rudimentary think would really be to see in what fraction of cases the guy with >50% wins, the next step then to make so bins in predicted probablities and see how the distributions for the results are compactible with expectations and the ultimat goal would be some Bayesian monstrosity with a proper p-value that I have absolutely no idea nor intention to think about. But you already have something like that, don't you?
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On July 16 2015 07:01 opisska wrote:
Have you ever thought about measuring how good these aligulac matchup predictions are? Of course they are probabilities, so you just can't say "it gave >50% to the guy who lost, so it was utterly wrong", but one could think about a way to test the compatibility of the model and the reality, right? The most rudimentary think would really be to see in what fraction of cases the guy with >50% wins, the next step then to make so bins in predicted probablities and see how the distributions for the results are compactible with expectations and the ultimat goal would be some Bayesian monstrosity with a proper p-value that I have absolutely no idea nor intention to think about. But you already have something like that, don't you?
No that sounds more like something Aligulac themselves would do. They talk a little bit about it here http://aligulac.com/about/faq/
The TL thread for Aligulac feedback is here http://www.teamliquid.net/forum/starcraft-2/404035-aligulaccom-changelog-and-feedback-thread
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On July 16 2015 07:05 Die4Ever wrote:Show nested quote +On July 16 2015 07:01 opisska wrote:
Have you ever thought about measuring how good these aligulac matchup predictions are? Of course they are probabilities, so you just can't say "it gave >50% to the guy who lost, so it was utterly wrong", but one could think about a way to test the compatibility of the model and the reality, right? The most rudimentary think would really be to see in what fraction of cases the guy with >50% wins, the next step then to make so bins in predicted probablities and see how the distributions for the results are compactible with expectations and the ultimat goal would be some Bayesian monstrosity with a proper p-value that I have absolutely no idea nor intention to think about. But you already have something like that, don't you? No that sounds more like something Aligulac themselves would do. They talk a little bit about it here http://aligulac.com/about/faq/The TL thread for Aligulac feedback is here http://www.teamliquid.net/forum/starcraft-2/404035-aligulaccom-changelog-and-feedback-thread
Oh they did it essentially the same way I had in mind, cool I figured you would know something about it since you use it so heavily.
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IEM shenzen open bracket is over, could you open trade please?
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SSL S3 Groups Set!
Thursday, Jul 16 4:30pm GMT (GMT+00:00) (Sim #2354)
Biggest Winners and Losers from SSL group selections (Sim ID #2341 vs Sim ID #2354)
Biggest Winners
Rogue went up by 1.86%, going from 63.01% to 64.86%
HyuN went up by 0.33%, going from 27.13% to 27.46%
Dark went up by 0.24%, going from 60.82% to 61.06%
FanTaSy went up by 0.16%, going from 35.81% to 35.97%
Dear went up by 0.11%, going from 17.41% to 17.52%
Biggest Losers
Stats went down by 1.09%, going from 31.08% to 29.99%
MyuNgSiK went down by 0.62%, going from 11.22% to 10.6%
TY went down by 0.54%, going from 10.36% to 9.82%
INnoVation went down by 0.38%, going from 84.07% to 83.69%
Zest went down by 0.37%, going from 96.85% to 96.48%
sOs went down by 0.33%, going from 46.77% to 46.45%
+ Show Spoiler [Top 50 players by Blizzcon Chances] +- herO is at 100%, 100% AFK Chances, Min WCS Points: 5600, Median Points: 6450
- Life is at 100%, 100% AFK Chances, Min WCS Points: 5325, Median Points: 6125
- Maru is at 100%, 100% AFK Chances, Min WCS Points: 5150, Median Points: 6100
- PartinG is at 100%, 100% AFK Chances, Min WCS Points: 4625, Median Points: 5750
- Hydra is at 100%, 100% AFK Chances, Min WCS Points: 4250, Median Points: 5000
- Dream is at 100%, 100% AFK Chances, Min WCS Points: 4175, Median Points: 4825
- Rain is at 100%, 100% AFK Chances, Min WCS Points: 4125, Median Points: 5475
- Classic is at 99.95%, 96.19% AFK Chances, Min WCS Points: 3325, Median Points: 4475
- Polt is at 97.92%, 89.21% AFK Chances, Min WCS Points: 3200, Median Points: 3675
- Zest is at 96.48%, 45.97% AFK Chances, Min WCS Points: 2950, Median Points: 3850
- ByuL is at 90.01%, 30.54% AFK Chances, Min WCS Points: 2875, Median Points: 3525
- INnoVation is at 83.69%, 0% AFK Chances, Min WCS Points: 2250, Median Points: 3675
- Rogue is at 64.86%, 0.42% AFK Chances, Min WCS Points: 2525, Median Points: 3175
- Dark is at 61.06%, 1.98% AFK Chances, Min WCS Points: 2600, Median Points: 3100
- sOs is at 46.45%, 0% AFK Chances, Min WCS Points: 2200, Median Points: 2950
- FanTaSy is at 35.97%, 0% AFK Chances, Min WCS Points: 2075, Median Points: 2825
- Stats is at 29.99%, 0.01% AFK Chances, Min WCS Points: 2350, Median Points: 2700
- HyuN is at 27.46%, 0% AFK Chances, Min WCS Points: 1525, Median Points: 2575
- Bunny is at 26.51%, 0% AFK Chances, Min WCS Points: 1950, Median Points: 2625
- Lilbow is at 26.33%, 0% AFK Chances, Min WCS Points: 1600, Median Points: 2575
- soO is at 18.08%, 0% AFK Chances, Min WCS Points: 1425, Median Points: 2300
- Dear is at 17.52%, 0% AFK Chances, Min WCS Points: 1625, Median Points: 2300
- ForGG is at 11.98%, 0% AFK Chances, Min WCS Points: 1325, Median Points: 2050
- MyuNgSiK is at 10.6%, 0% AFK Chances, Min WCS Points: 1725, Median Points: 2250
- TY is at 9.82%, 0% AFK Chances, Min WCS Points: 1650, Median Points: 2175
- Snute is at 5.6%, 0% AFK Chances, Min WCS Points: 1325, Median Points: 1825
- Jaedong is at 5.39%, 0% AFK Chances, Min WCS Points: 1275, Median Points: 1625
- GuMiho is at 5.13%, 0% AFK Chances, Min WCS Points: 1550, Median Points: 2000
- Bbyong is at 4.82%, 0% AFK Chances, Min WCS Points: 1350, Median Points: 1775
- Solar is at 3.91%, 0% AFK Chances, Min WCS Points: 1150, Median Points: 1575
- MarineLorD is at 3.01%, 0% AFK Chances, Min WCS Points: 700, Median Points: 1425
- StarDust is at 2.21%, 0% AFK Chances, Min WCS Points: 775, Median Points: 1400
- Curious is at 1.93%, 0% AFK Chances, Min WCS Points: 1150, Median Points: 1600
- ShoWTimE is at 1.64%, 0% AFK Chances, Min WCS Points: 1000, Median Points: 1375
- FireCake is at 1.2%, 0% AFK Chances, Min WCS Points: 975, Median Points: 1350
- Happy is at 1.19%, 0% AFK Chances, Min WCS Points: 375, Median Points: 1000
- TLO is at 0.83%, 0% AFK Chances, Min WCS Points: 1250, Median Points: 1625
- MMA is at 0.71%, 0% AFK Chances, Min WCS Points: 1100, Median Points: 1400
- Soulkey is at 0.63%, 0% AFK Chances, Min WCS Points: 1725, Median Points: 1850
- MaNa is at 0.61%, 0% AFK Chances, Min WCS Points: 575, Median Points: 950
- Harstem is at 0.58%, 0% AFK Chances, Min WCS Points: 900, Median Points: 1275
- San is at 0.47%, 0% AFK Chances, Min WCS Points: 850, Median Points: 1200
- TRUE is at 0.46%, 0% AFK Chances, Min WCS Points: 1125, Median Points: 1600
- uThermal is at 0.41%, 0% AFK Chances, Min WCS Points: 525, Median Points: 1025
- Bomber is at 0.4%, 0% AFK Chances, Min WCS Points: 925, Median Points: 1150
- Petraeus is at 0.4%, 0% AFK Chances, Min WCS Points: 500, Median Points: 925
- Trap is at 0.33%, 0% AFK Chances, Min WCS Points: 1350, Median Points: 1475
- Sacsri is at 0.33%, 0% AFK Chances, Min WCS Points: 500, Median Points: 875
- Patience is at 0.26%, 0% AFK Chances, Min WCS Points: 825, Median Points: 1225
- Nerchio is at 0.25%, 0% AFK Chances, Min WCS Points: 275, Median Points: 650
Full Player List
+ Show Spoiler [Foreigner Hope] +Chances of 1+ foreigners from 58.41% up to 58.57%Chances of 2+ foreigners from 11.01% up to 11.11%Chances of 3+ foreigners from 0.45% up to 0.46% Bunny 18.35% chance to be the only foreigner, 26.51% chance overall.  Lilbow 18.32% chance to be the only foreigner, 26.33% chance overall.  Snute 3.43% chance to be the only foreigner, 5.6% chance overall. MarineLorD 1.89% chance to be the only foreigner, 3.01% chance overall.  ShoWTimE 1.02% chance to be the only foreigner, 1.64% chance overall.  Happy 0.75% chance to be the only foreigner, 1.19% chance overall. FireCake 0.75% chance to be the only foreigner, 1.2% chance overall. + Show Spoiler [More Foreigner Hopes] + TLO 0.5% chance to be the only foreigner, 0.83% chance overall.  MaNa 0.39% chance to be the only foreigner, 0.61% chance overall.  Harstem 0.36% chance to be the only foreigner, 0.58% chance overall.  Petraeus 0.26% chance to be the only foreigner, 0.4% chance overall. uThermal 0.25% chance to be the only foreigner, 0.41% chance overall. Nerchio 0.16% chance to be the only foreigner, 0.25% chance overall.  Welmu 0.11% chance to be the only foreigner, 0.18% chance overall. Serral 0.11% chance to be the only foreigner, 0.17% chance overall.  NaNiwa 0.09% chance to be the only foreigner, 0.15% chance overall.  MajOr 0.09% chance to be the only foreigner, 0.14% chance overall.  iaguz 0.08% chance to be the only foreigner, 0.12% chance overall. Zanster 0.07% chance to be the only foreigner, 0.1% chance overall. Ret 0.06% chance to be the only foreigner, 0.09% chance overall. GunGFuBanDa 0.05% chance to be the only foreigner, 0.08% chance overall.  Kane 0.05% chance to be the only foreigner, 0.07% chance overall.  Jim 0.05% chance to be the only foreigner, 0.07% chance overall. HuK 0.04% chance to be the only foreigner, 0.07% chance overall. elfi 0.04% chance to be the only foreigner, 0.06% chance overall.  Sen 0.03% chance to be the only foreigner, 0.05% chance overall. MaSa 0.03% chance to be the only foreigner, 0.05% chance overall. HeRoMaRinE 0.03% chance to be the only foreigner, 0.04% chance overall.  Kelazhur 0.02% chance to be the only foreigner, 0.04% chance overall. iAsonu 0.02% chance to be the only foreigner, 0.04% chance overall. Has 0.01% chance to be the only foreigner, 0.01% chance overall.  Bly 0.01% chance to be the only foreigner, 0.01% chance overall.  Bails 0.01% chance to be the only foreigner, 0.01% chance overall.
+ Show Spoiler [Headbands] +
+ Show Spoiler [WCS Point Cutoffs] +
0.77% of the time 2625 points is enough to qualify for Blizzcon
11.12% of the time 2825 points is enough to qualify for Blizzcon
29.35% of the time 2950 points is enough to qualify for Blizzcon
52.37% of the time 3075 points is enough to qualify for Blizzcon
71.23% of the time 3175 points is enough to qualify for Blizzcon
89.23% of the time 3300 points is enough to qualify for Blizzcon
98.91% of the time 3525 points is enough to qualify for Blizzcon
+ Show Spoiler [SSL S3 Ro16 Groups] + Maru, ByuL, Stats, and Zest in in StarLeague Season 3 round of 16. Maru is at 100% Blizzcon Chances, with a 59.81% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 100%, or 100% if they lose. Stats is at 29.99% Blizzcon Chances, with a 45.67% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 50.75%, or 12.52% if they lose. ByuL is at 90.01% Blizzcon Chances, with a 47.55% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 98.31%, or 82.48% if they lose. Zest is at 96.48% Blizzcon Chances, with a 46.97% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 99.67%, or 93.66% if they lose. Life, INnoVation, sOs, and herO in in StarLeague Season 3 round of 16. sOs has the #4 Headband. Life is at 100% Blizzcon Chances, with a 49.32% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 100%, or 100% if they lose. sOs is at 46.45% Blizzcon Chances, with a 48.46% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 64.26%, or 29.7% if they lose. INnoVation is at 83.69% Blizzcon Chances, with a 55.78% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 92.75%, or 72.27% if they lose. herO is at 100% Blizzcon Chances, with a 46.44% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 100%, or 100% if they lose. Rain, Dream, Dear, and MyuNgSiK in in StarLeague Season 3 round of 16. Rain has the #1 Headband. Rain is at 100% Blizzcon Chances, with a 56.6% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 100%, or 100% if they lose. Dear is at 17.52% Blizzcon Chances, with a 47.91% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 28.12%, or 7.78% if they lose. Dream is at 100% Blizzcon Chances, with a 61.71% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 100%, or 100% if they lose. MyuNgSiK is at 10.6% Blizzcon Chances, with a 33.78% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 21.42%, or 5.09% if they lose. HyuN, TY, Classic, and Rogue in in StarLeague Season 3 round of 16. TY must win this match! HyuN is at 27.47% Blizzcon Chances, with a 49.29% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 41.34%, or 13.99% if they lose. Classic is at 99.95% Blizzcon Chances, with a 58.82% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 99.99%, or 99.87% if they lose. TY is at 9.82% Blizzcon Chances, with a 42.42% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 20.6%, or 1.88% if they lose. Rogue is at 64.86% Blizzcon Chances, with a 49.47% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 82.9%, or 47.19% if they lose.
+ Show Spoiler [SSL S3 Winning Chances] + INnoVation has a 10.56% chance to win ----going from 83.69% to 100% if they get 1st, or 81.77% if they don't. Rain has a 10.3% chance to win ----going from 100% to 100% if they get 1st, or 100% if they don't. Maru has a 10.05% chance to win ----going from 100% to 100% if they get 1st, or 100% if they don't. Classic has a 8.84% chance to win ----going from 99.95% to 100% if they get 1st, or 99.94% if they don't. Dream has a 6.9% chance to win ----going from 100% to 100% if they get 1st, or 100% if they don't. + Show Spoiler [More Winning Chances] + Life has a 6.74% chance to win ----going from 100% to 100% if they get 1st, or 100% if they don't. Zest has a 6.59% chance to win ----going from 96.48% to 100% if they get 1st, or 96.23% if they don't. sOs has a 5.61% chance to win ----going from 46.45% to 99.99% if they get 1st, or 43.26% if they don't. HyuN has a 5.37% chance to win ----going from 27.47% to 99.51% if they get 1st, or 23.38% if they don't. herO has a 4.97% chance to win ----going from 100% to 100% if they get 1st, or 100% if they don't. ByuL has a 4.69% chance to win ----going from 90.01% to 100% if they get 1st, or 89.52% if they don't. Dear has a 4.68% chance to win ----going from 17.52% to 99.01% if they get 1st, or 13.52% if they don't. Stats has a 4.64% chance to win ----going from 29.99% to 100% if they get 1st, or 26.58% if they don't. Rogue has a 4.3% chance to win ----going from 64.86% to 100% if they get 1st, or 63.28% if they don't. TY has a 4.02% chance to win ----going from 9.82% to 99.18% if they get 1st, or 6.08% if they don't. MyuNgSiK has a 1.74% chance to win ----going from 10.6% to 99.72% if they get 1st, or 9.03% if they don't.
SSL S3 Group of Death
And now let's do some analysis to see what the Group of Death is according to WCS Predictor.
We will be looking at 5 different scores.
Champion Chances Score is the chances to win the tournament for each player in the group added together.
Blizzcon Chances Score is the chances to qualify for Blizzcon for each player in the group added together.
Blizzcon Chances Lost Score is how much the Blizzcon Chances Score went down by because of the group drawing.
Effects Score is the sum of the amount of Blizzcon chances each player would gain if they won the group, plus the amount of Blizzcon chances each player would lose if they lost the group.
Aligulac Score is the average Aligulac rating of the players in the group.
Champion Chances
C > D > B > A
+ Show Spoiler [Champion Chances] +Group DMaru has a 10.05% chance to win StarLeague Season 3 ByuL has a 4.69% chance to win StarLeague Season 3 Stats has a 4.64% chance to win StarLeague Season 3 Zest has a 6.59% chance to win StarLeague Season 3 Giving this match a Champion Chances Score of 25.9668 Group CLife has a 6.74% chance to win StarLeague Season 3 INnoVation has a 10.56% chance to win StarLeague Season 3 sOs has a 5.61% chance to win StarLeague Season 3 herO has a 4.97% chance to win StarLeague Season 3 Giving this match a Champion Chances Score of 27.8832 Group BRain has a 10.3% chance to win StarLeague Season 3 Dream has a 6.9% chance to win StarLeague Season 3 Dear has a 4.68% chance to win StarLeague Season 3 MyuNgSiK has a 1.74% chance to win StarLeague Season 3 Giving this match a Champion Chances Score of 23.6208 Group AHyuN has a 5.37% chance to win StarLeague Season 3 TY has a 4.02% chance to win StarLeague Season 3 Classic has a 8.84% chance to win StarLeague Season 3 Rogue has a 4.3% chance to win StarLeague Season 3 Giving this match a Champion Chances Score of 22.5292
Blizzcon Chances
C > D > B > A
+ Show Spoiler [Blizzcon Chances] +Group DMaru has a 100% chance to qualify for Blizzcon ByuL has a 90.01% chance to qualify for Blizzcon Stats has a 29.99% chance to qualify for Blizzcon Zest has a 96.48% chance to qualify for Blizzcon Giving this match a Blizzcon Chances Score of 316.473 Group CLife has a 100% chance to qualify for Blizzcon INnoVation has a 83.69% chance to qualify for Blizzcon sOs has a 46.45% chance to qualify for Blizzcon herO has a 100% chance to qualify for Blizzcon Giving this match a Blizzcon Chances Score of 330.136 Group BRain has a 100% chance to qualify for Blizzcon Dream has a 100% chance to qualify for Blizzcon Dear has a 17.52% chance to qualify for Blizzcon MyuNgSiK has a 10.6% chance to qualify for Blizzcon Giving this match a Blizzcon Chances Score of 228.128 Group AHyuN has a 27.47% chance to qualify for Blizzcon TY has a 9.82% chance to qualify for Blizzcon Classic has a 99.95% chance to qualify for Blizzcon Rogue has a 64.86% chance to qualify for Blizzcon Giving this match a Blizzcon Chances Score of 202.093
Blizzcon Chances Lost
D > C > B > A
+ Show Spoiler [Blizzcon Chances Lost] +Group DMaru's Blizzcon Chances changed by 0%ByuL's Blizzcon Chances changed by 0.04%Stats's Blizzcon Chances changed by -1.09%Zest's Blizzcon Chances changed by -0.37%Giving this match a Blizzcon Chances Lost Score of 1.41984 Group CLife's Blizzcon Chances changed by 0%INnoVation's Blizzcon Chances changed by -0.38%sOs's Blizzcon Chances changed by -0.32%herO's Blizzcon Chances changed by 0%Giving this match a Blizzcon Chances Lost Score of 0.699204 Group BRain's Blizzcon Chances changed by 0%Dream's Blizzcon Chances changed by 0%Dear's Blizzcon Chances changed by 0.11%MyuNgSiK's Blizzcon Chances changed by -0.62%Giving this match a Blizzcon Chances Lost Score of 0.511313 Group AHyuN's Blizzcon Chances changed by 0.34%TY's Blizzcon Chances changed by -0.54%Classic's Blizzcon Chances changed by 0.01%Rogue's Blizzcon Chances changed by 1.85%Giving this match a Blizzcon Chances Lost Score of -1.65528
Effects
A > D > C > B
+ Show Spoiler [Effects] +Group DWhen Maru wins this match, their Blizzcon Chances go up by 0%When Maru loses this match, their Blizzcon Chances go down by 0%When ByuL wins this match, their Blizzcon Chances go up by 8.3%When ByuL loses this match, their Blizzcon Chances go down by 7.53%When Stats wins this match, their Blizzcon Chances go up by 20.77%When Stats loses this match, their Blizzcon Chances go down by 17.46%When Zest wins this match, their Blizzcon Chances go up by 3.19%When Zest loses this match, their Blizzcon Chances go down by 2.82%Giving this match an Effects Score of 60.0686 Group CWhen Life wins this match, their Blizzcon Chances go up by 0%When Life loses this match, their Blizzcon Chances go down by 0%When INnoVation wins this match, their Blizzcon Chances go up by 9.06%When INnoVation loses this match, their Blizzcon Chances go down by 11.42%When sOs wins this match, their Blizzcon Chances go up by 17.81%When sOs loses this match, their Blizzcon Chances go down by 16.75%When herO wins this match, their Blizzcon Chances go up by 0%When herO loses this match, their Blizzcon Chances go down by 0%Giving this match an Effects Score of 55.0382 Group BWhen Rain wins this match, their Blizzcon Chances go up by 0%When Rain loses this match, their Blizzcon Chances go down by 0%When Dream wins this match, their Blizzcon Chances go up by 0%When Dream loses this match, their Blizzcon Chances go down by 0%When Dear wins this match, their Blizzcon Chances go up by 10.6%When Dear loses this match, their Blizzcon Chances go down by 9.75%When MyuNgSiK wins this match, their Blizzcon Chances go up by 10.82%When MyuNgSiK loses this match, their Blizzcon Chances go down by 5.52%Giving this match an Effects Score of 36.6752 Group AWhen HyuN wins this match, their Blizzcon Chances go up by 13.87%When HyuN loses this match, their Blizzcon Chances go down by 13.48%When TY wins this match, their Blizzcon Chances go up by 10.78%When TY loses this match, their Blizzcon Chances go down by 7.94%When Classic wins this match, their Blizzcon Chances go up by 0.05%When Classic loses this match, their Blizzcon Chances go down by 0.08%When Rogue wins this match, their Blizzcon Chances go up by 18.04%When Rogue loses this match, their Blizzcon Chances go down by 17.66%Giving this match an Effects Score of 81.9074
Aliglac Ratings
C > D > A > B
+ Show Spoiler [Aligulac Ratings] +Group DMaru has an Aligulac rating of 2294 ByuL has an Aligulac rating of 2091 Stats has an Aligulac rating of 2071 Zest has an Aligulac rating of 2145 Giving this match an Aligulac Score of 8601 Group CLife has an Aligulac rating of 2196 INnoVation has an Aligulac rating of 2328 sOs has an Aligulac rating of 2134 herO has an Aligulac rating of 2131 Giving this match an Aligulac Score of 8789 Group BRain has an Aligulac rating of 2341 Dream has an Aligulac rating of 2103 Dear has an Aligulac rating of 2068 MyuNgSiK has an Aligulac rating of 1888 Giving this match an Aligulac Score of 8400 Group AHyuN has an Aligulac rating of 2133 TY has an Aligulac rating of 2065 Classic has an Aligulac rating of 2229 Rogue has an Aligulac rating of 2065 Giving this match an Aligulac Score of 8492
Final Placings
Group D has one 1st place, and four 2nd places
Group C has three 1st places, one 2nd place, and one 3rd place
Group B has three 3rd places, and two 4th places
Group A has one 1st place, one 3rd place, and three 4th places
Group C is our Group of Death, congratulations to Life, INnoVation, sOs, and herO! Our 2nd place Group of Death is Group D with Maru, ByuL, Stats, and Zest.
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WCS Predictor 2015
DreamHack Valencia Ro32DH Valencia Winning Chances FanTaSy has a 7.14% chance to win ----going from 35.14% to 78.88% if they get 1st, or 31.78% if they don't. HyuN has a 6.97% chance to win ----going from 28.04% to 57.95% if they get 1st, or 25.8% if they don't. MarineLorD has a 6.91% chance to win ----going from 3.47% to 8.25% if they get 1st, or 3.12% if they don't. GuMiho has a 6.72% chance to win ----going from 5.17% to 17.91% if they get 1st, or 4.25% if they don't. TRUE has a 5.82% chance to win ----going from 0.64% to 4.11% if they get 1st, or 0.42% if they don't. + Show Spoiler [More Winning Chances] + Bunny has a 5.62% chance to win ----going from 27.87% to 67.46% if they get 1st, or 25.51% if they don't. Sacsri has a 5.31% chance to win ----going from 0.36% to 1.37% if they get 1st, or 0.31% if they don't. TaeJa has a 5.08% chance to win ----going from 0.01% to 0.01% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. Curious has a 4.13% chance to win ----going from 2.06% to 7.08% if they get 1st, or 1.85% if they don't. PtitDrogo has a 4.13% chance to win ----going from 0.01% to 0.03% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. San has a 3.85% chance to win ----going from 0.45% to 1.62% if they get 1st, or 0.41% if they don't. MaNa has a 3.73% chance to win ----going from 0.6% to 2.83% if they get 1st, or 0.52% if they don't. Leenock has a 3.54% chance to win ----going from 0.09% to 0.99% if they get 1st, or 0.05% if they don't. Patience has a 3.48% chance to win ----going from 0.29% to 1.47% if they get 1st, or 0.25% if they don't. Pigbaby has a 2.94% chance to win ----going from 0.07% to 0.5% if they get 1st, or 0.05% if they don't. Verdi has a 2.93% chance to win ----going from 0% to 0% if they get 1st, or 0% if they don't. Terminator has a 2.48% chance to win ----going from 0.04% to 0.61% if they get 1st, or 0.02% if they don't. Harstem has a 2.36% chance to win ----going from 0.65% to 2.55% if they get 1st, or 0.61% if they don't. Zanster has a 2.15% chance to win ----going from 0.11% to 0.81% if they get 1st, or 0.1% if they don't. Symbol has a 2.05% chance to win ----going from 0.02% to 0.15% if they get 1st, or 0.02% if they don't. HerO has a 1.99% chance to win ----going from 0.01% to 0% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. Ryung has a 1.84% chance to win ----going from 0.01% to 0% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. Serral has a 1.77% chance to win ----going from 0.18% to 1.02% if they get 1st, or 0.17% if they don't. TLO has a 1.27% chance to win ----going from 0.9% to 5.47% if they get 1st, or 0.84% if they don't. Ret has a 1.14% chance to win ----going from 0.1% to 0.61% if they get 1st, or 0.09% if they don't. Dayshi has a 1.13% chance to win ----going from 0.01% to 0.02% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. MorroW has a 0.98% chance to win ----going from 0% to 0% if they get 1st, or 0% if they don't. Arium has a 0.81% chance to win ----going from 0% to 0% if they get 1st, or 0% if they don't.  Blysk has a 0.61% chance to win ----going from 0% to 0% if they get 1st, or 0% if they don't. Lambo has a 0.55% chance to win ----going from 0% to 0% if they get 1st, or 0% if they don't. Jona has a 0.53% chance to win ----going from 0% to 0% if they get 1st, or 0% if they don't.  Mzrk has a 0.02% chance to win ----going from 0% to 0% if they get 1st, or 0% if they don't. GuMiho vs Terminator in in DreamHack Valencia round of 32. GuMiho is at 5.17% Blizzcon Chances, with a 57.21% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 6.81%, or 2.97% if they lose. Terminator is at 0.04% Blizzcon Chances, with a 42.79% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0.07%, or 0.01% if they lose. Blysk vs Patience in in DreamHack Valencia round of 32. Blysk is at 0% Blizzcon Chances, with a 37.21% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0%, or 0% if they lose. Patience is at 0.29% Blizzcon Chances, with a 62.79% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0.37%, or 0.16% if they lose. MaNa vs FanTaSy in in DreamHack Valencia round of 32. MaNa is at 0.6% Blizzcon Chances, with a 45.75% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0.94%, or 0.32% if they lose. FanTaSy is at 35.14% Blizzcon Chances, with a 54.25% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 44.07%, or 24.56% if they lose. Ret vs PtitDrogo in in DreamHack Valencia round of 32. Ret is at 0.1% Blizzcon Chances, with a 38.16% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0.15%, or 0.06% if they lose. PtitDrogo is at 0.01% Blizzcon Chances, with a 61.84% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0.01%, or 0.01% if they lose. Verdi vs Mzrk in in DreamHack Valencia round of 32. Verdi is at 0% Blizzcon Chances, with a 80.65% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0%, or 0% if they lose. Mzrk is at 0% Blizzcon Chances, with a 19.35% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0%, or 0% if they lose. MarineLorD vs Lambo in in DreamHack Valencia round of 32. MarineLorD is at 3.47% Blizzcon Chances, with a 68.9% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 4.09%, or 2.1% if they lose. Lambo is at 0% Blizzcon Chances, with a 31.1% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0%, or 0% if they lose. Serral vs Bunny in in DreamHack Valencia round of 32. Serral is at 0.18% Blizzcon Chances, with a 41.37% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0.28%, or 0.11% if they lose. Bunny is at 27.87% Blizzcon Chances, with a 58.63% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 33.86%, or 19.37% if they lose. Curious vs Dayshi in in DreamHack Valencia round of 32. Curious is at 2.06% Blizzcon Chances, with a 57.91% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 2.56%, or 1.38% if they lose. Dayshi is at 0.01% Blizzcon Chances, with a 42.09% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0.01%, or 0.01% if they lose. TRUE vs Jona in in DreamHack Valencia round of 32. TRUE is at 0.64% Blizzcon Chances, with a 67.77% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0.86%, or 0.16% if they lose. Jona is at 0% Blizzcon Chances, with a 32.23% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0%, or 0% if they lose. Symbol vs Arium in in DreamHack Valencia round of 32. Symbol is at 0.02% Blizzcon Chances, with a 52.88% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0.03%, or 0.01% if they lose. Arium is at 0% Blizzcon Chances, with a 47.12% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0%, or 0% if they lose. Leenock vs HerO in in DreamHack Valencia round of 32. Leenock is at 0.09% Blizzcon Chances, with a 55.92% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0.14%, or 0.02% if they lose. HerO is at 0.01% Blizzcon Chances, with a 44.08% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0.01%, or 0% if they lose. Ryung vs Sacsri in in DreamHack Valencia round of 32. Ryung is at 0.01% Blizzcon Chances, with a 40.39% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0.01%, or 0% if they lose. Sacsri is at 0.36% Blizzcon Chances, with a 59.61% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0.49%, or 0.18% if they lose. TaeJa vs San in in DreamHack Valencia round of 32. TaeJa is at 0.01% Blizzcon Chances, with a 53.77% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0.01%, or 0.01% if they lose. San is at 0.45% Blizzcon Chances, with a 46.23% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0.64%, or 0.29% if they lose. MorroW vs Pigbaby in in DreamHack Valencia round of 32. MorroW is at 0% Blizzcon Chances, with a 44.83% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0%, or 0% if they lose. Pigbaby is at 0.07% Blizzcon Chances, with a 55.17% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0.1%, or 0.03% if they lose. HyuN vs Zanster in in DreamHack Valencia round of 32. HyuN is at 28.04% Blizzcon Chances, with a 58.42% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 33.2%, or 20.79% if they lose. Zanster is at 0.11% Blizzcon Chances, with a 41.58% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0.19%, or 0.06% if they lose. TLO vs Harstem in in DreamHack Valencia round of 32. TLO is at 0.9% Blizzcon Chances, with a 44.08% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 1.21%, or 0.64% if they lose. Harstem is at 0.65% Blizzcon Chances, with a 55.92% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0.81%, or 0.45% if they lose.
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pffft, you bought fantasy while blocking the rest of us to buy before DH started =(
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On July 17 2015 02:26 sharkie wrote:
pffft, you bought fantasy while blocking the rest of us to buy before DH started =(
lol no I didn't, bought him days ago
FanTaSy bought for 4825 points on Tue 7/14/2015, 7:49:25 PM.
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Oh, then I am sorry!
Still I was blocked from trading in the morning D:
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On July 17 2015 02:29 sharkie wrote:
Oh, then I am sorry!
Still I was blocked from trading in the morning D:
Yea sorry about that. Many complications with IEM, and I was sleeping, then Code A was on, and Dreamhack and SSL group selections.
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Yeah busy day! Not too upset with it and of course I understand you not being on all the day ^^
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On July 17 2015 02:31 sharkie wrote:
Yeah busy day! Not too upset with it and of course I understand you not being on all the day ^^
It's too bad they didn't announce the ro32 bracket quickly enough for me to update before they started. Maybe the ro16 will give me a chance.
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Polt somehow gained me points o.o
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WCS Predictor 2015
DreamHack Valencia Ro16+ Show Spoiler [Biggest Changes During This Tournament] +Biggest Winners FanTaSy went up by 8.82%, going from 35.96% to 44.79% HyuN went up by 5.39%, going from 27.47% to 32.86% GuMiho went up by 1.21%, going from 5.12% to 6.33% MarineLorD went up by 0.94%, going from 3.02% to 3.95% Curious went up by 0.52%, going from 1.93% to 2.45% TRUE went up by 0.37%, going from 0.46% to 0.83% Harstem went up by 0.2%, going from 0.58% to 0.78%+ Show Spoiler [More Winners] + Sacsri went up by 0.16%, going from 0.33% to 0.48% Bbyong went up by 0.14%, going from 4.82% to 4.96% went down by 7.96%, going from 26.51% to 18.55% Lilbow went down by 7.47%, going from 26.33% to 18.86% sOs went down by 0.32%, going from 46.45% to 46.13% MaNa went down by 0.3%, going from 0.61% to 0.31% TLO went down by 0.21%, going from 0.83% to 0.62% Stats went down by 0.21%, going from 29.99% to 29.78% Rogue went down by 0.19%, going from 64.86% to 64.67%+ Show Spoiler [More Losers] + San went down by 0.19%, going from 0.47% to 0.28% Dark went down by 0.17%, going from 61.06% to 60.89% Dear went down by 0.15%, going from 17.52% to 17.37% viOLet went down by 0.12%, going from 0.24% to 0.12% MyuNgSiK went down by 0.1%, going from 10.6% to 10.5% Chances of 1+ Foreigners from 58.57% down to 48.49% Chances of 2+ Foreigners from 11.11% down to 6.65% has a 13.01% chance to win ----going from 44.8% to 79.08% if they get 1st, or 39.68% if they don't. HyuN has a 11.91% chance to win ----going from 32.88% to 57.62% if they get 1st, or 29.54% if they don't. GuMiho has a 9.71% chance to win ----going from 6.32% to 17.74% if they get 1st, or 5.1% if they don't. Sacsri has a 9.09% chance to win ----going from 0.48% to 1.32% if they get 1st, or 0.4% if they don't. TaeJa has a 9.05% chance to win ----going from 0.01% to 0.01% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. + Show Spoiler [More Winning Chances] + MarineLorD has a 8.68% chance to win ----going from 3.95% to 8.07% if they get 1st, or 3.56% if they don't. TRUE has a 8.41% chance to win ----going from 0.82% to 3.96% if they get 1st, or 0.53% if they don't. Curious has a 6.65% chance to win ----going from 2.47% to 6.99% if they get 1st, or 2.15% if they don't. Patience has a 4.65% chance to win ----going from 0.35% to 1.48% if they get 1st, or 0.29% if they don't. HerO has a 3.62% chance to win ----going from 0.01% to 0.01% if they get 1st, or 0% if they don't. Serral has a 3.48% chance to win ----going from 0.26% to 0.9% if they get 1st, or 0.23% if they don't. Harstem has a 3.33% chance to win ----going from 0.78% to 2.4% if they get 1st, or 0.73% if they don't. Verdi has a 3.1% chance to win ----going from 0% to 0% if they get 1st, or 0% if they don't. Ret has a 2.19% chance to win ----going from 0.13% to 0.64% if they get 1st, or 0.12% if they don't. MorroW has a 1.75% chance to win ----going from 0% to 0% if they get 1st, or 0% if they don't. Arium has a 1.38% chance to win ----going from 0% to 0% if they get 1st, or 0% if they don't. GuMiho vs Patience in in DreamHack Valencia round of 16. GuMiho is at 6.32% Blizzcon Chances, with a 56.72% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 8.23%, or 3.82% if they lose. Patience is at 0.35% Blizzcon Chances, with a 43.28% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0.51%, or 0.22% if they lose. Ret vs FanTaSy in in DreamHack Valencia round of 16. Ret is at 0.13% Blizzcon Chances, with a 31.09% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0.23%, or 0.09% if they lose. FanTaSy is at 44.8% Blizzcon Chances, with a 68.91% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 50.97%, or 31.14% if they lose. Verdi vs MarineLorD in in DreamHack Valencia round of 16. Verdi is at 0% Blizzcon Chances, with a 40.9% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0%, or 0% if they lose. MarineLorD is at 3.95% Blizzcon Chances, with a 59.1% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 4.8%, or 2.73% if they lose. Curious vs Serral in in DreamHack Valencia round of 16. Curious is at 2.47% Blizzcon Chances, with a 53.65% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 3.09%, or 1.74% if they lose. Serral is at 0.26% Blizzcon Chances, with a 46.35% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0.36%, or 0.17% if they lose. TRUE vs Arium in in DreamHack Valencia round of 16. TRUE is at 0.82% Blizzcon Chances, with a 61.33% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 1.17%, or 0.27% if they lose. Arium is at 0% Blizzcon Chances, with a 38.67% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0%, or 0% if they lose. HerO vs Sacsri in in DreamHack Valencia round of 16. HerO is at 0.01% Blizzcon Chances, with a 39.41% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0.01%, or 0% if they lose. Sacsri is at 0.48% Blizzcon Chances, with a 60.59% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0.63%, or 0.26% if they lose. TaeJa vs MorroW in in DreamHack Valencia round of 16. TaeJa is at 0.01% Blizzcon Chances, with a 66.15% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0.01%, or 0% if they lose. MorroW is at 0% Blizzcon Chances, with a 33.85% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0%, or 0% if they lose. HyuN vs Harstem in in DreamHack Valencia round of 16. HyuN is at 32.88% Blizzcon Chances, with a 57.82% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 38.87%, or 24.67% if they lose. Harstem is at 0.78% Blizzcon Chances, with a 42.18% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 1.04%, or 0.59% if they lose.
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I fucked up my picks for this DH lol
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On July 17 2015 06:35 sharkie wrote:
open tradeeeee please!
Update is running. Should just be a few minutes, I have a bunch of branches on this one so it'll be a bit slower than usual.
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On July 17 2015 03:33 Die4Ever wrote:Biggest Losers Bunny went down by 7.96%, going from 26.51% to 18.55% Lilbow went down by 7.47%, going from 26.33% to 18.86%
Yeah, they really got fucked.
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EPT
