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WCS Predictor 2015 - Page 36

Forum Index > SC2 General
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Die4Ever
Profile Joined August 2010
United States17671 Posts
August 07 2015 03:33 GMT
#701
WCS Predictor 2015
GSL Code S Season 3 Ro32 Group C


kr Stork, kr Bbyong, kr sOs, and kr Life in
in GSL Code S Season 3 round of 32.
Bbyong and sOs must win this match!
Stork is at 0.01% Blizzcon Chances, with a 27.19% chance to win this match.
If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0.01%, or 0% if they lose.
sOs is at 22.39% Blizzcon Chances, with a 59.23% chance to win this match.
If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 34.02%, or 5.49% if they lose.
Bbyong is at 3.87% Blizzcon Chances, with a 57.99% chance to win this match.
If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 6.59%, or 0.1% if they lose.
Life is at 100% Blizzcon Chances, with a 55.59% chance to win this match.
If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 100%, or 100% if they lose.

+ Show Spoiler [Remaining Ro32 Groups] +

kr Rain, kr Losira, kr Hack, and kr herO in
in GSL Code S Season 3 round of 32.
Rain has the #1 Headband.herO has the #4 Headband.
Rain is at 100% Blizzcon Chances, with a 73.46% chance to win this match.
If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 100%, or 100% if they lose.
Hack is at 0.01% Blizzcon Chances, with a 24.47% chance to win this match.
If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0.01%, or 0.01% if they lose.
Losira is at 0.08% Blizzcon Chances, with a 32.58% chance to win this match.
If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0.23%, or 0.01% if they lose.
herO is at 100% Blizzcon Chances, with a 69.5% chance to win this match.
If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 100%, or 100% if they lose.

kr Pigbaby, kr Flash, kr INnoVation, and kr Curious in
in GSL Code S Season 3 round of 32.
Curious must win this match!
Pigbaby is at 0.01% Blizzcon Chances, with a 30.61% chance to win this match.
If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0.02%, or 0% if they lose.
INnoVation is at 95.94% Blizzcon Chances, with a 64.6% chance to win this match.
If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 98.74%, or 90.81% if they lose.
Flash is at 0.3% Blizzcon Chances, with a 47.91% chance to win this match.
If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0.63%, or 0.01% if they lose.
Curious is at 10.34% Blizzcon Chances, with a 56.88% chance to win this match.
If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 17.21%, or 1.28% if they lose.

kr Sleep, kr ByuL, kr FanTaSy, and kr Dear in
in GSL Code S Season 3 round of 32.
Dear must win this match!
Sleep is at 0.01% Blizzcon Chances, with a 26.85% chance to win this match.
If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0.01%, or 0% if they lose.
FanTaSy is at 84.38% Blizzcon Chances, with a 57.99% chance to win this match.
If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 94.74%, or 70.07% if they lose.
ByuL is at 99.39% Blizzcon Chances, with a 61.78% chance to win this match.
If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 99.92%, or 98.53% if they lose.
Dear is at 4.64% Blizzcon Chances, with a 53.38% chance to win this match.
If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 8.47%, or 0.26% if they lose.

kr sKyHigh, kr Dark, kr MMA, and kr PartinG in
in GSL Code S Season 3 round of 32.
MMA must win this match!
Dark has the #3 Headband.
sKyHigh is at 0.01% Blizzcon Chances, with a 25.38% chance to win this match.
If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0.04%, or 0.01% if they lose.
MMA is at 1.07% Blizzcon Chances, with a 33.22% chance to win this match.
If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 3.07%, or 0.08% if they lose.
Dark is at 64.26% Blizzcon Chances, with a 67.47% chance to win this match.
If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 80.21%, or 31.19% if they lose.
PartinG is at 100% Blizzcon Chances, with a 73.93% chance to win this match.
If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 100%, or 100% if they lose.

kr GuMiho, kr Hurricane, kr soO, and kr Rogue in
in GSL Code S Season 3 round of 32.
GuMiho and soO must win this match!
soO has the #2 Headband.
GuMiho is at 5.22% Blizzcon Chances, with a 46.51% chance to win this match.
If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 10.71%, or 0.45% if they lose.
soO is at 16.37% Blizzcon Chances, with a 64.06% chance to win this match.
If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 24.62%, or 1.65% if they lose.
Hurricane is at 0.05% Blizzcon Chances, with a 41.37% chance to win this match.
If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0.12%, or 0.01% if they lose.
Rogue is at 66.51% Blizzcon Chances, with a 48.07% chance to win this match.
If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 84.31%, or 50.04% if they lose.

+ Show Spoiler [Code S Winning Chances] +
Solar, Bbyong, Dear, GuMiho, and MMA must win this tournament!
kr Classic has a 9.79% chance to win
----going from 100% to 100% if they get 1st, or 100% if they don't.
kr Maru has a 9.01% chance to win
----going from 100% to 100% if they get 1st, or 100% if they don't.
kr soO has a 7.95% chance to win
----going from 16.37% to 99.83% if they get 1st, or 9.15% if they don't.
kr Solar has a 7.55% chance to win
----going from 10.87% to 93.07% if they get 1st, or 4.15% if they don't.
kr INnoVation has a 7.55% chance to win
----going from 95.94% to 100% if they get 1st, or 95.6% if they don't.
+ Show Spoiler [More Winning Chances] +

kr Rain has a 7.44% chance to win
----going from 100% to 100% if they get 1st, or 100% if they don't.
kr Zest has a 6.85% chance to win
----going from 99.99% to 100% if they get 1st, or 99.99% if they don't.
kr PartinG has a 6.62% chance to win
----going from 100% to 100% if they get 1st, or 100% if they don't.
kr Dark has a 5.12% chance to win
----going from 64.26% to 100% if they get 1st, or 62.33% if they don't.
kr herO has a 4.42% chance to win
----going from 100% to 100% if they get 1st, or 100% if they don't.
kr Life has a 3.62% chance to win
----going from 100% to 100% if they get 1st, or 100% if they don't.
kr FanTaSy has a 3.25% chance to win
----going from 84.38% to 100% if they get 1st, or 83.85% if they don't.
kr sOs has a 2.91% chance to win
----going from 22.39% to 100% if they get 1st, or 20.06% if they don't.
kr Bbyong has a 2.88% chance to win
----going from 3.87% to 96.82% if they get 1st, or 1.11% if they don't.
kr ByuL has a 2.79% chance to win
----going from 99.39% to 100% if they get 1st, or 99.37% if they don't.
kr Curious has a 2.64% chance to win
----going from 10.34% to 99.99% if they get 1st, or 7.91% if they don't.
kr Dear has a 2.09% chance to win
----going from 4.64% to 99.93% if they get 1st, or 2.6% if they don't.
kr GuMiho has a 1.75% chance to win
----going from 5.22% to 99.98% if they get 1st, or 3.53% if they don't.
kr Rogue has a 1.73% chance to win
----going from 66.51% to 100% if they get 1st, or 65.92% if they don't.
kr Flash has a 1.58% chance to win
----going from 0.3% to 17.59% if they get 1st, or 0.03% if they don't.
kr Hurricane has a 0.66% chance to win
----going from 0.05% to 7.25% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't.
kr MMA has a 0.48% chance to win
----going from 1.07% to 97.96% if they get 1st, or 0.6% if they don't.
kr Losira has a 0.45% chance to win
----going from 0.08% to 15.65% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't.
kr Pigbaby has a 0.33% chance to win
----going from 0.01% to 2.18% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't.
kr Hack has a 0.18% chance to win
----going from 0.01% to 1.78% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't.
kr sKyHigh has a 0.18% chance to win
----going from 0.01% to 5.4% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't.
kr Stork has a 0.09% chance to win
----going from 0.01% to 0.49% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't.
kr Sleep has a 0.07% chance to win
----going from 0.01% to 0.36% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't.


+ Show Spoiler [Code S Placements Table] +
[image loading]







WCS Predictor 2015
IEM Gamescom Day 3

+ Show Spoiler [Changes During This Tournament] +
Biggest Winners
kr FanTaSy went up by 16.59%, going from 67.78% to 84.38%
kr MyuNgSiK went up by 5.68%, going from 3.16% to 8.84%
kr INnoVation went up by 1.9%, going from 94.03% to 95.94%
kr soO went up by 1.86%, going from 14.51% to 16.37%
de TLO went up by 0.72%, going from 1.62% to 2.34%
kr Curious went up by 0.22%, going from 10.12% to 10.34%
kr MMA went up by 0.19%, going from 0.88% to 1.07%
nl uThermal went up by 0.16%, going from 0.84% to 0.99%

Biggest Losers
kr Dear went down by 12.32%, going from 16.95% to 4.64%
fr Lilbow went down by 4.25%, going from 19.02% to 14.78%
kr HyuN went down by 1.66%, going from 27.01% to 25.35%
kr Solar went down by 1.27%, going from 12.14% to 10.87%
kr Rogue went down by 1.18%, going from 67.69% to 66.51%
kr sOs went down by 1.08%, going from 23.47% to 22.39%
pl MaNa went down by 0.8%, going from 1.32% to 0.52%
+ Show Spoiler [More Losers] +

kr Bomber went down by 0.67%, going from 0.68% to 0.01%
kr TY went down by 0.65%, going from 10.16% to 9.5%
kr GuMiho went down by 0.65%, going from 5.87% to 5.22%
kr Dark went down by 0.5%, going from 64.77% to 64.26%
kr ForGG went down by 0.45%, going from 15.94% to 15.5%
kr Bbyong went down by 0.33%, going from 4.2% to 3.87%
kr Stats went down by 0.29%, going from 7.34% to 7.06%
kr Jaedong went down by 0.24%, going from 10.18% to 9.94%
nl Harstem went down by 0.21%, going from 0.99% to 0.79%
no Snute went down by 0.16%, going from 7.83% to 7.67%


Chances of 1+ foreigners at Blizzcon went from 39.12% down to 35.15%
Chances of 2+ foreigners at Blizzcon went from 2.68% down to 1.76%


kr ForGG, us State, nl uThermal, and de Lambo in
in IEM Gamescom round of 16.
ForGG is at 15.5% Blizzcon Chances, with a 73.87% chance to win this match.
If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 17.25%, or 10.53% if they lose.
uThermal is at 0.99% Blizzcon Chances, with a 57.07% chance to win this match.
If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 1.24%, or 0.67% if they lose.
State is at 0% Blizzcon Chances, with a 31.11% chance to win this match.
If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0%, or 0% if they lose.
Lambo is at 0% Blizzcon Chances, with a 37.95% chance to win this match.
If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0%, or 0% if they lose.

kr Patience, kr StarDust, de TLO, and pl Nerchio in
in IEM Gamescom round of 16.
Patience is at 0.03% Blizzcon Chances, with a 48.69% chance to win this match.
If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0.06%, or 0.01% if they lose.
TLO is at 2.34% Blizzcon Chances, with a 39.79% chance to win this match.
If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 3.22%, or 1.77% if they lose.
StarDust is at 0.01% Blizzcon Chances, with a 54.85% chance to win this match.
If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0.01%, or 0.01% if they lose.
Nerchio is at 0.01% Blizzcon Chances, with a 56.67% chance to win this match.
If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0.01%, or 0.01% if they lose.

+ Show Spoiler [IEM Gamescom Winning Chances] +

kr soO has a 23.85% chance to win
----going from 16.37% to 26.07% if they get 1st, or 13.33% if they don't.
kr INnoVation has a 22.94% chance to win
----going from 95.94% to 99.83% if they get 1st, or 94.78% if they don't.
kr FanTaSy has a 17.59% chance to win
----going from 84.38% to 98.91% if they get 1st, or 81.28% if they don't.
kr ForGG has a 10.77% chance to win
----going from 15.5% to 28.62% if they get 1st, or 13.91% if they don't.
kr MMA has a 7.45% chance to win
----going from 1.07% to 3.25% if they get 1st, or 0.89% if they don't.
+ Show Spoiler [More Winning Chances] +

pl Nerchio has a 5.34% chance to win
----going from 0.01% to 0.01% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't.
kr Patience has a 3.56% chance to win
----going from 0.03% to 0.37% if they get 1st, or 0.02% if they don't.
kr StarDust has a 3.51% chance to win
----going from 0.01% to 0.03% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't.
nl uThermal has a 2.08% chance to win
----going from 0.99% to 2.29% if they get 1st, or 0.97% if they don't.
de TLO has a 1.78% chance to win
----going from 2.34% to 9.84% if they get 1st, or 2.21% if they don't.
de Lambo has a 0.58% chance to win
----going from 0% to 0% if they get 1st, or 0% if they don't.
us State has a 0.56% chance to win
----going from 0% to 0% if they get 1st, or 0% if they don't.


+ Show Spoiler [IEM Gamescom Placements Table] +
[image loading]


Branches
+ Show Spoiler [If Innovation loses in GSL and SSL] +
Branch #3091
-If Innovation loses in GSL and SSL (32nd place in GSL and 8th place in SSL), then he goes down to 79.98%
-If Innovation loses in GSL and SSL and gets 8th place in IEM, he goes to 67.8%
-If Innovation loses in GSL and SSL and gets 4th place in IEM, he goes to 81.85%
-If Innovation loses in GSL and SSL and gets 2nd place in IEM, he goes to 90.99%
-If Innovation loses in GSL and SSL and gets 1st place in IEM, he goes up to 98.92%

+ Show Spoiler [If Fantasy Gets 4th Place in IEM Games…] +
Branch #3088
-If Fantasy gets 4th place in IEM Gamescom, then he goes up to 85.28%
-If Fantasy gets 4th place in IEM Gamescom and loses his GSL ro32 group, he goes to 70.94%
-If Fantasy gets 4th place in IEM Gamescom and wins his GSL ro32 group, he goes up to 95.68%
-If Fantasy gets 4th place in IEM Gamescom and gets 16th place in GSL, he goes up to 91.81%
-If Fantasy gets 4th place in IEM Gamescom and gets 8th place in GSL, he goes up to 98.97%
-If Fantasy gets 4th place in IEM Gamescom and 8th in Dreamhack Stockholm, he goes up to 96.66%

+ Show Spoiler [If Fantasy Loses His GSL Ro32 Group] +
Branch #3092
-If Fantasy loses in GSL, then he goes down to 70.07%
-If Fantasy loses in GSL and gets 8th in IEM Gamescom, he goes down to 51.73%
-If Fantasy loses in GSL and gets 2nd in IEM Gamescom, he goes to 85.01%
-If Fantasy loses in GSL and gets 1st in IEM Gamescom, he goes up to 97.53%
-If Fantasy loses in GSL and gets 8th in Dreamhack Stockholm, he goes up to 91.22%

+ Show Spoiler [If soO Gets 2nd Place in IEM Gamescom] +
Branch #3089
-If soO gets 2nd place in IEM Gamescom, then he goes up to 17.37%
-If soO gets 2nd place in IEM Gamescom and wins his GSL ro32 group, he goes up to 26.31%
-If soO gets 2nd place in IEM Gamescom and 2nd place in GSL, he goes up to 71.72%
-If soO gets 2nd place in IEM Gamescom and gets 2nd place in Dreamhack Stockholm, he goes up to 35.45%
-If soO gets 2nd place in IEM Gamescom and gets 4th place in GSL, he goes up to 23.52%

+ Show Spoiler [If ForGG Gets 4th Place in IEM Gamescom] +
Branch #3090
-If ForGG gets 4th place in IEM Gamescom, then he goes up to 15.99%
-If ForGG gets 4th place in IEM Gamescom and wins his WCS ro32 group, he goes up to 24.36%
-If ForGG gets 4th place in IEM Gamescom and loses his WCS ro32 group, he goes down to 0.59%
-If ForGG gets 4th place in IEM Gamescom and 4th in WCS, he goes to 15.29%
-If ForGG gets 4th place in IEM Gamescom and 2nd in WCS, he goes up to 59.11%
-If ForGG gets 4th place in IEM Gamescom and 1st in WCS, he goes up to 99.98%
-If ForGG gets 4th place in IEM Gamescom and 2nd in Dreamhack Stockholm, he goes up to 32.14%
-If ForGG gets 4th place in IEM Gamescom and 1st in Dreamhack Stockholm, he goes up to 48.32%

"Expert" mods4ever.com
Darkdwarf
Profile Blog Joined December 2012
Sweden960 Posts
August 07 2015 07:21 GMT
#702
Come on sOs! It's time to repeat what happened in 2013 at BlizzCon!
Teams: IM, Jin Air, Invictus || Players: Maru, GuMiho, INnoVation, Ryung, sOs, Squirtle, NaNiwa, Has, Zoun, Life, Rogue, Dark
Die4Ever
Profile Joined August 2010
United States17671 Posts
August 08 2015 04:40 GMT
#703
I just added the 4Gamers tournament, replacing Placeholder #4

http://wiki.teamliquid.net/starcraft2/4Gamers_StarCraft_II_Tournament

schedule from here since it's not on Liquipedia yet http://wcs.battle.net/sc2/en/articles/4gamers-starcraft-ii-tournament-adds-1800-wcs-points-to-the-road-to-blizzcon

kr Bomber vs tw AK in
in 4Gamers round of 16.
Bomber is at 0.01% Blizzcon Chances, with a 88.97% chance to win this match.
If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0.01%, or 0.01% if they lose.
AK is at 0% Blizzcon Chances, with a 11.03% chance to win this match.
If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0%, or 0% if they lose.

tw Rex vs cn Jim in
in 4Gamers round of 16.
Rex is at 0% Blizzcon Chances, with a 18.56% chance to win this match.
If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0%, or 0% if they lose.
Jim is at 0.03% Blizzcon Chances, with a 81.44% chance to win this match.
If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0.03%, or 0.02% if they lose.

cn Rushcrazy vs tw cheetos in
in 4Gamers round of 16.
Rushcrazy is at 0% Blizzcon Chances, with a 29.37% chance to win this match.
If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0%, or 0% if they lose.
cheetos is at 0% Blizzcon Chances, with a 70.63% chance to win this match.
If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0%, or 0% if they lose.

cn MacSed vs tw Ian in
in 4Gamers round of 16.
MacSed is at 0% Blizzcon Chances, with a 48.95% chance to win this match.
If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0%, or 0% if they lose.
Ian is at 0.01% Blizzcon Chances, with a 51.05% chance to win this match.
If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0.01%, or 0% if they lose.

kr Pet vs kr HyuN in
in 4Gamers quarterfinals.
Pet is at 0% Blizzcon Chances, with a 31.62% chance to win this match.
If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0%, or 0% if they lose.
HyuN is at 33.21% Blizzcon Chances, with a 68.38% chance to win this match.
If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 35.44%, or 28.4% if they lose.

kr PartinG vs tw Has in
in 4Gamers quarterfinals.
PartinG is at 100% Blizzcon Chances, with a 76.9% chance to win this match.
If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 100%, or 100% if they lose.
Has is at 0.18% Blizzcon Chances, with a 23.1% chance to win this match.
If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0.23%, or 0.16% if they lose.

4Gamers Winning Chances
kr PartinG has a 37.3% chance to win
----going from 100% to 100% if they get 1st, or 100% if they don't.
kr HyuN has a 24.1% chance to win
----going from 33.21% to 41.53% if they get 1st, or 30.57% if they don't.
kr Bomber has a 17.45% chance to win
----going from 0.01% to 0.01% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't.
cn Jim has a 7.61% chance to win
----going from 0.03% to 0.07% if they get 1st, or 0.03% if they don't.
kr Pet has a 5.98% chance to win
----going from 0% to 0% if they get 1st, or 0% if they don't.
+ Show Spoiler [More Winning Chances] +

tw Has has a 3.18% chance to win
----going from 0.18% to 0.35% if they get 1st, or 0.17% if they don't.
tw Ian has a 2.18% chance to win
----going from 0.01% to 0.01% if they get 1st, or 0% if they don't.
cn MacSed has a 1.78% chance to win
----going from 0% to 0% if they get 1st, or 0% if they don't.
tw cheetos has a 0.33% chance to win
----going from 0% to 0% if they get 1st, or 0% if they don't.
tw AK has a 0.04% chance to win
----going from 0% to 0% if they get 1st, or 0% if they don't.
tw Rex has a 0.04% chance to win
----going from 0% to 0% if they get 1st, or 0% if they don't.
cn Rushcrazy has a 0.02% chance to win
----going from 0% to 0% if they get 1st, or 0% if they don't.
"Expert" mods4ever.com
Die4Ever
Profile Joined August 2010
United States17671 Posts
August 08 2015 05:02 GMT
#704
WCS Predictor 2015
IEM Gamescom Day 4

+ Show Spoiler [Changes During This Tournament] +
Biggest Winners
kr FanTaSy went up by 14.42%, going from 67.78% to 82.2%
kr sOs went up by 8.8%, going from 23.47% to 32.27%
kr HyuN went up by 6.2%, going from 27.01% to 33.21%
kr MyuNgSiK went up by 5.26%, going from 3.16% to 8.42%
kr soO went up by 2.48%, going from 14.51% to 16.99%
kr Bbyong went up by 1.8%, going from 4.2% to 5.99%
kr INnoVation went up by 1.52%, going from 94.03% to 95.55%

Biggest Losers
kr Dear went down by 12.84%, going from 16.95% to 4.11%
fr Lilbow went down by 5.22%, going from 19.02% to 13.8%
kr Rogue went down by 3.94%, going from 67.69% to 63.76%
kr Dark went down by 3.92%, going from 64.77% to 60.84%
kr Solar went down by 2.15%, going from 12.14% to 9.99%
kr Stats went down by 2.07%, going from 7.34% to 5.27%
kr TY went down by 1.88%, going from 10.16% to 8.27%
+ Show Spoiler [More Losers] +

kr GuMiho went down by 1.37%, going from 5.87% to 4.5%
kr Curious went down by 1.02%, going from 10.12% to 9.1%
pl MaNa went down by 0.92%, going from 1.32% to 0.4%
kr Jaedong went down by 0.83%, going from 10.18% to 9.35%
kr Bomber went down by 0.67%, going from 0.68% to 0.01%
no Snute went down by 0.66%, going from 7.83% to 7.17%
dk Bunny went down by 0.5%, going from 1.32% to 0.83%
kr ForGG went down by 0.32%, going from 15.94% to 15.62%
fr MarineLorD went down by 0.28%, going from 4.14% to 3.86%
nl Harstem went down by 0.25%, going from 0.99% to 0.75%
nl uThermal went down by 0.23%, going from 0.84% to 0.61%
nz Petraeus went down by 0.21%, going from 1.22% to 1.01%
de ShoWTimE went down by 0.18%, going from 2.39% to 2.21%
kr Soulkey went down by 0.14%, going from 0.31% to 0.16%
kr ByuL went down by 0.12%, going from 99.46% to 99.34%
kr TRUE went down by 0.12%, going from 0.26% to 0.14%
kr Flash went down by 0.12%, going from 0.37% to 0.24%
kr viOLet went down by 0.11%, going from 0.57% to 0.45%


Chances of 1+ foreigners at Blizzcon went from 39.12% down to 31.94%
Chances of 2+ foreigners at Blizzcon went from 2.68% down to 1.2%


kr soO vs de Lambo in
in IEM Gamescom quarterfinals.
soO has the #2 Headband.
soO is at 16.99% Blizzcon Chances, with a 87.97% chance to win this match.
If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 17.8%, or 11.06% if they lose.
Lambo is at 0% Blizzcon Chances, with a 12.03% chance to win this match.
If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0%, or 0% if they lose.

kr FanTaSy vs kr Patience in
in IEM Gamescom quarterfinals.
FanTaSy is at 82.2% Blizzcon Chances, with a 59.51% chance to win this match.
If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 89.33%, or 71.73% if they lose.
Patience is at 0.03% Blizzcon Chances, with a 40.49% chance to win this match.
If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0.05%, or 0.01% if they lose.

kr MMA vs pl Nerchio in
in IEM Gamescom quarterfinals.
MMA is at 0.89% Blizzcon Chances, with a 44.03% chance to win this match.
If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 1.17%, or 0.67% if they lose.
Nerchio is at 0.01% Blizzcon Chances, with a 55.97% chance to win this match.
If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0.01%, or 0.01% if they lose.

kr ForGG vs kr INnoVation in
in IEM Gamescom quarterfinals.
ForGG is at 15.62% Blizzcon Chances, with a 46.08% chance to win this match.
If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 18.96%, or 12.76% if they lose.
INnoVation is at 95.55% Blizzcon Chances, with a 53.92% chance to win this match.
If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 98.14%, or 92.51% if they lose.

+ Show Spoiler [IEM Gamescom Winning Chances] +

kr soO has a 34.29% chance to win
----going from 16.99% to 23.68% if they get 1st, or 13.49% if they don't.
kr INnoVation has a 20.45% chance to win
----going from 95.55% to 99.8% if they get 1st, or 94.46% if they don't.
kr FanTaSy has a 14.72% chance to win
----going from 82.2% to 98.82% if they get 1st, or 79.34% if they don't.
kr ForGG has a 11.37% chance to win
----going from 15.62% to 26.78% if they get 1st, or 14.19% if they don't.
pl Nerchio has a 7.67% chance to win
----going from 0.01% to 0.01% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't.
kr MMA has a 5.51% chance to win
----going from 0.89% to 2.67% if they get 1st, or 0.79% if they don't.
kr Patience has a 5.21% chance to win
----going from 0.03% to 0.22% if they get 1st, or 0.02% if they don't.
de Lambo has a 0.78% chance to win
----going from 0% to 0% if they get 1st, or 0% if they don't.

+ Show Spoiler [IEM Gamescom Placements Table] +
[image loading]


Branches
+ Show Spoiler [If Innovation loses in GSL and SSL] +
Branch #3091
-If Innovation loses in GSL and SSL (32nd place in GSL and 8th place in SSL), then he goes down to 79.98%
-If Innovation loses in GSL and SSL and gets 8th place in IEM, he goes to 67.8%
-If Innovation loses in GSL and SSL and gets 4th place in IEM, he goes to 81.85%
-If Innovation loses in GSL and SSL and gets 2nd place in IEM, he goes to 90.99%
-If Innovation loses in GSL and SSL and gets 1st place in IEM, he goes up to 98.92%

+ Show Spoiler [If Fantasy Gets 4th Place in IEM Games…] +
Branch #3127
-If Fantasy gets 4th place in IEM Gamescom, then he goes up to 83.5%
-If Fantasy gets 4th place in IEM Gamescom and loses his GSL ro32 group, he goes to 67.54%
-If Fantasy gets 4th place in IEM Gamescom and wins his GSL ro32 group, he goes up to 95.07%
-If Fantasy gets 4th place in IEM Gamescom and gets 16th place in GSL, he goes up to 90.72%
-If Fantasy gets 4th place in IEM Gamescom and gets 8th place in GSL, he goes up to 98.84%
-If Fantasy gets 4th place in IEM Gamescom and 8th in Dreamhack Stockholm, he goes up to 96.31%

+ Show Spoiler [If Fantasy Loses His GSL Ro32 Group] +
Branch #3131
-If Fantasy loses in GSL, then he goes down to 66.01%
-If Fantasy loses in GSL and gets 8th in IEM Gamescom, he goes down to 47.29%
-If Fantasy loses in GSL and gets 2nd in IEM Gamescom, he goes to 83.93%
-If Fantasy loses in GSL and gets 1st in IEM Gamescom, he goes up to 97.32%
-If Fantasy loses in GSL and gets 8th in Dreamhack Stockholm, he goes up to 89.99%

+ Show Spoiler [If soO Gets 2nd Place in IEM Gamescom] +
Branch #3128
-If soO gets 2nd place in IEM Gamescom, then he goes down to 15.86%
-If soO gets 2nd place in IEM Gamescom and wins his GSL ro32 group, he goes up to 24.29%
-If soO gets 2nd place in IEM Gamescom and 2nd place in GSL, he goes up to 71.87%
-If soO gets 2nd place in IEM Gamescom and gets 2nd place in Dreamhack Stockholm, he goes up to 33.04%
-If soO gets 2nd place in IEM Gamescom and gets 4th place in GSL, he goes up to 19.12%

+ Show Spoiler [If ForGG Gets 4th Place in IEM Gamescom] +
Branch #3129
-If ForGG gets 4th place in IEM Gamescom, then he goes down to 15.19%
-If ForGG gets 4th place in IEM Gamescom and wins his WCS ro32 group, he goes up to 23.27%
-If ForGG gets 4th place in IEM Gamescom and loses his WCS ro32 group, he goes down to 0.34%
-If ForGG gets 4th place in IEM Gamescom and 4th in WCS, he goes down to 12.25%
-If ForGG gets 4th place in IEM Gamescom and 2nd in WCS, he goes up to 58.09%
-If ForGG gets 4th place in IEM Gamescom and 1st in WCS, he goes up to 99.99%
-If ForGG gets 4th place in IEM Gamescom and 2nd in Dreamhack Stockholm, he goes up to 30.85%
-If ForGG gets 4th place in IEM Gamescom and 1st in Dreamhack Stockholm, he goes up to 46.98%

"Expert" mods4ever.com
Die4Ever
Profile Joined August 2010
United States17671 Posts
August 09 2015 06:49 GMT
#705
WCS Predictor 2015
IEM Gamescom Final Day

+ Show Spoiler [Changes During This Tournament] +
Biggest Winners
kr FanTaSy went up by 20.99%, going from 67.78% to 88.78%
kr sOs went up by 8.25%, going from 23.47% to 31.72%
kr HyuN went up by 5.43%, going from 27.01% to 32.44%
kr MyuNgSiK went up by 5.1%, going from 3.16% to 8.26%
kr INnoVation went up by 3.83%, going from 94.03% to 97.86%
kr soO went up by 2.54%, going from 14.51% to 17.05%
kr Bbyong went up by 1.73%, going from 4.2% to 5.93%
kr MMA went up by 0.25%, going from 0.88% to 1.13%

Biggest Losers
kr Dear went down by 12.98%, going from 16.95% to 3.97%
fr Lilbow went down by 5.49%, going from 19.02% to 13.54%
kr Dark went down by 4.95%, going from 64.77% to 59.82%
kr Rogue went down by 4.74%, going from 67.69% to 62.96%
kr ForGG went down by 3.4%, going from 15.94% to 12.54%
kr Solar went down by 2.33%, going from 12.14% to 9.81%
kr Stats went down by 2.26%, going from 7.34% to 5.08%
+ Show Spoiler [More Losers] +

kr TY went down by 2.11%, going from 10.16% to 8.05%
kr GuMiho went down by 1.91%, going from 5.87% to 3.96%
kr Curious went down by 1.26%, going from 10.12% to 8.87%
kr Jaedong went down by 0.99%, going from 10.18% to 9.19%
pl MaNa went down by 0.93%, going from 1.32% to 0.39%
no Snute went down by 0.9%, going from 7.83% to 6.93%
kr Bomber went down by 0.67%, going from 0.68% to 0.01%
dk Bunny went down by 0.55%, going from 1.32% to 0.78%
fr MarineLorD went down by 0.4%, going from 4.14% to 3.74%
nl uThermal went down by 0.28%, going from 0.84% to 0.56%
nl Harstem went down by 0.26%, going from 0.99% to 0.74%
de ShoWTimE went down by 0.25%, going from 2.39% to 2.13%
nz Petraeus went down by 0.22%, going from 1.22% to 0.99%
kr ByuL went down by 0.21%, going from 99.46% to 99.26%
kr Soulkey went down by 0.15%, going from 0.31% to 0.16%
kr Flash went down by 0.13%, going from 0.37% to 0.23%
kr TRUE went down by 0.13%, going from 0.26% to 0.13%
kr viOLet went down by 0.13%, going from 0.57% to 0.44%


Chances of 1+ foreigners at Blizzcon went from 39.12% down to 31.18%
Chances of 2+ foreigners at Blizzcon went from 2.68% down to 1.05%


kr soO vs kr FanTaSy in
in IEM Gamescom semifinals.
soO has the #2 Headband.
soO is at 17.05% Blizzcon Chances, with a 55.7% chance to win this match.
If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 20.4%, or 12.83% if they lose.
FanTaSy is at 88.78% Blizzcon Chances, with a 44.3% chance to win this match.
If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 95.4%, or 83.51% if they lose.

kr MMA vs kr INnoVation in
in IEM Gamescom semifinals.
MMA is at 1.13% Blizzcon Chances, with a 36.91% chance to win this match.
If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 1.63%, or 0.84% if they lose.
INnoVation is at 97.86% Blizzcon Chances, with a 63.09% chance to win this match.
If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 99.01%, or 95.9% if they lose.

+ Show Spoiler [IEM Gamescom Winning Chances] +

kr INnoVation has a 34.07% chance to win
----going from 97.86% to 99.78% if they get 1st, or 96.87% if they don't.
kr soO has a 33.13% chance to win
----going from 17.05% to 23.48% if they get 1st, or 13.86% if they don't.
kr FanTaSy has a 21.53% chance to win
----going from 88.78% to 98.76% if they get 1st, or 86.04% if they don't.
kr MMA has a 11.28% chance to win
----going from 1.13% to 2.63% if they get 1st, or 0.94% if they don't.

+ Show Spoiler [IEM Gamescom Placements Table] +
[image loading]


Branches
+ Show Spoiler [If soO Wins IEM Gamescom] +
Branch #3166
-If soO wins IEM Gamescom, he goes up to 23.48%
-If soO wins IEM Gamescom and gets 8th in GSL, he goes down to 15.88%
-If soO wins IEM Gamescom and gets 4th in GSL, he goes up to 50.05%
-If soO wins IEM Gamescom and gets 2nd in GSL, he goes up to 95.12%
-If soO wins IEM Gamescom and gets 2nd in DreamHack Stockholm, he goes up to 49.46%

+ Show Spoiler [If soO Gets 2nd in IEM Gamescom] +
Branch #3172
-If soO gets 2nd in IEM Gamescom, he goes down to 15.88%
-If soO gets 2nd in IEM Gamescom and 4th in GSL, he goes up to 19.03%
-If soO gets 2nd in IEM Gamescom and 2nd in GSL, he goes up to 70.64%
-If soO gets 2nd in IEM Gamescom and 2nd in DreamHack Stockholm, he goes up to 31.92%

+ Show Spoiler [If soO Gets 4th in IEM Gamescom] +
Branch #3172
-If soO gets 4th in IEM Gamescom, he goes down to 12.83%
-If soO gets 4th in IEM Gamescom and 4nd in GSL, he goes down to 12.12%
-If soO gets 4th in IEM Gamescom and 2nd in GSL, he goes up to 45.39%
-If soO gets 4th in IEM Gamescom and 2nd in DreamHack Stockholm, he goes up to 26.55%

+ Show Spoiler [If Fantasy Wins IEM Gamescom] +
Branch #3167
-If Fantasy wins IEM Gamescom, then he goes up to 98.76%
-If Fantasy wins IEM Gamescom and gets 32nd in GSL, then he goes to 97.21%

+ Show Spoiler [If Fantasy Gets 4th in IEM Gamescom] +
Branch #3170
-If Fantasy gets 4th in IEM Gamescom, then he goes down to 83.51%
-If Fantasy gets 4th in IEM Gamescom and 32nd in GSL, he goes down to 67.72%
-If Fantasy gets 4th in IEM Gamescom and 16th in GSL, he goes to 90.47%
-If Fantasy gets 4th in IEM Gamescom and 8th in GSL, he goes up to 98.75
-If Fantasy gets 4th in IEM Gamescom and 4th in DreamHack Stockholm, he goes up to 98.52%

+ Show Spoiler [If Fantasy Gets 32nd in GSL] +
Branch #3175
-If Fantasy gets 32nd in GSL, then he goes down to 77.77%
-If Fantasy gets 32nd in GSL and 4th in IEM Gamescom, he goes down to 67.72
-If Fantasy gets 32nd in GSL and 2nd in IEM Gamescom, he goes to 83.97%
-If Fantasy gets 32nd in GSL and 1st in IEM Gamescom, he goes up to 97.21%
-If Fantasy gets 32nd in GSL and 8th in DreamHack Stockholm, he goes up to 94.77%

+ Show Spoiler [If MMA Wins IEM Gamescom] +
Branch #3168
-If MMA wins IEM Gamescom, then he goes up to 2.63%
-If MMA wins IEM Gamescom and gets 8th in GSL, he goes up to 4.13%
-If MMA wins IEM Gamescom and gets 4th in GSL, he goes up to 18.64%
-If MMA wins IEM Gamescom and gets 2nd in GSL, he goes up to 75.74%
-If MMA wins IEM Gamescom and wins GSL, he goes up to 100%
-If MMA wins IEM Gamescom and wins DreamHack Stockholm, he goes up to 27.76%

+ Show Spoiler [If Innovation loses in IEM, GSL, and SSL] +
Branch #3174
-If Innovation loses in IEM, GSL, and SSL, then he goes down to 79.43%
-If Innovation loses in IEM, GSL, and SSL and gets 16th place in MSI Masters, he goes down to 60.32%
-If Innovation loses in IEM, GSL, and SSL and gets 4th in MSI Masters, he goes to 90.95%
-If Innovation loses in IEM, GSL, and SSL and gets 4th in DreamHack Stockholm, he goes to 98.42%

"Expert" mods4ever.com
10bulgares
Profile Joined September 2013
352 Posts
August 09 2015 12:14 GMT
#706
It would be interesting to complete the page with a % of chances of winning blizzcon. Like Hyun and Fantasy have good chances of qualifying but maybe soO has better chances of winning...
Die4Ever
Profile Joined August 2010
United States17671 Posts
August 09 2015 12:16 GMT
#707
On August 09 2015 21:14 10bulgares wrote:
It would be interesting to complete the page with a % of chances of winning blizzcon. Like Hyun and Fantasy have good chances of qualifying but maybe soO has better chances of winning...

Yea I had that at the end of last year. Maybe it's time to add it in again.
"Expert" mods4ever.com
Die4Ever
Profile Joined August 2010
United States17671 Posts
August 09 2015 12:40 GMT
#708
WCS Predictor 2015
IEM Gamescom Finals

+ Show Spoiler [Changes During This Tournament] +
Biggest Winners
kr FanTaSy went up by 15.56%, going from 67.78% to 83.34%
kr sOs went up by 8.27%, going from 23.47% to 31.74%
kr HyuN went up by 7.44%, going from 27.01% to 34.45%
kr MyuNgSiK went up by 5.13%, going from 3.16% to 8.29%
kr INnoVation went up by 5.04%, going from 94.03% to 99.07%
kr soO went up by 5.01%, going from 14.51% to 19.52%
kr Bbyong went up by 1.74%, going from 4.2% to 5.94%
kr MMA went up by 0.18%, going from 0.88% to 1.06%

Biggest Losers
kr Dear went down by 12.97%, going from 16.95% to 3.99%
kr Dark went down by 5.59%, going from 64.77% to 59.18%
fr Lilbow went down by 5.41%, going from 19.02% to 13.62%
kr Rogue went down by 4.73%, going from 67.69% to 62.97%
kr ForGG went down by 3.42%, going from 15.94% to 12.52%
kr Solar went down by 2.29%, going from 12.14% to 9.85%
kr Stats went down by 2.24%, going from 7.34% to 5.1%
+ Show Spoiler [More Losers] +

kr TY went down by 2.07%, going from 10.16% to 8.09%
kr GuMiho went down by 1.86%, going from 5.87% to 4.01%
kr Curious went down by 1.18%, going from 10.12% to 8.95%
kr Jaedong went down by 0.94%, going from 10.18% to 9.24%
pl MaNa went down by 0.94%, going from 1.32% to 0.38%
no Snute went down by 0.87%, going from 7.83% to 6.96%
kr Bomber went down by 0.67%, going from 0.68% to 0.01%
dk Bunny went down by 0.57%, going from 1.32% to 0.76%
nl uThermal went down by 0.4%, going from 0.84% to 0.44%
fr MarineLorD went down by 0.31%, going from 4.14% to 3.83%
nl Harstem went down by 0.25%, going from 0.99% to 0.75%
nz Petraeus went down by 0.23%, going from 1.22% to 0.98%
de ShoWTimE went down by 0.22%, going from 2.39% to 2.17%
kr Soulkey went down by 0.15%, going from 0.31% to 0.15%
kr Flash went down by 0.14%, going from 0.37% to 0.23%
kr viOLet went down by 0.14%, going from 0.57% to 0.43%
kr TRUE went down by 0.13%, going from 0.26% to 0.14%
de TLO went down by 0.12%, going from 1.62% to 1.5%
kr ByuL went down by 0.11%, going from 99.46% to 99.36%


Chances of 1+ foreigners at Blizzcon went from 39.12% down to 31.16%
Chances of 2+ foreigners at Blizzcon went from 2.68% down to 1.09%


kr INnoVation vs kr soO in
in IEM Gamescom finals.
soO has the #2 Headband.
INnoVation is at 99.07% Blizzcon Chances, with a 50.94% chance to win this match.
If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 99.81%, or 98.3% if they lose.
soO is at 19.52% Blizzcon Chances, with a 49.06% chance to win this match.
If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 23.33%, or 15.85% if they lose.
"Expert" mods4ever.com
Die4Ever
Profile Joined August 2010
United States17671 Posts
August 09 2015 18:43 GMT
#709
I saw I was getting hits to my site from PlayXP. Unfortunately Google Translate doesn't work well enough for it to be readable lol.

http://www.playxp.com/sc2/bbs/view.php?article_id=5304378&page=2#!20

I wonder if they know that they're looking at the AFK Chances instead of the Blizzcon Chances and if they know the difference?
"Expert" mods4ever.com
Die4Ever
Profile Joined August 2010
United States17671 Posts
August 11 2015 00:27 GMT
#710
I removed Placeholder #3 and reduced the probability of Placeholder tournaments happening from 99% down to 75%. I also gifted back the WCS Wars points for it so no one lost any from these changes.

Biggest Winners
kr FanTaSy went up by 3.11%, going from 83.7% to 86.81%
kr Rogue went up by 2.11%, going from 64.21% to 66.32%
kr Dark went up by 1.85%, going from 60.03% to 61.87%
kr ByuL went up by 0.25%, going from 99.38% to 99.63%
fr MarineLorD went up by 0.2%, going from 3.19% to 3.4%
de ShoWTimE went up by 0.17%, going from 2.29% to 2.46%

Biggest Losers
kr Stats went down by 1.75%, going from 5.22% to 3.47%
kr soO went down by 0.97%, going from 15.04% to 14.06%
kr TY went down by 0.58%, going from 8.03% to 7.45%
kr Curious went down by 0.55%, going from 8.52% to 7.97%
kr MyuNgSiK went down by 0.46%, going from 8.27% to 7.81%
kr Bbyong went down by 0.4%, going from 6.05% to 5.65%
kr Solar went down by 0.39%, going from 10.88% to 10.49%
+ Show Spoiler [More Losers] +

fr Lilbow went down by 0.35%, going from 13.84% to 13.49%
kr ForGG went down by 0.34%, going from 12.87% to 12.53%
kr GuMiho went down by 0.32%, going from 4.05% to 3.73%
kr sOs went down by 0.32%, going from 32.59% to 32.27%
kr Dear went down by 0.3%, going from 4.03% to 3.72%
dk Bunny went down by 0.25%, going from 0.72% to 0.47%
no Snute went down by 0.21%, going from 6.69% to 6.48%
kr Jaedong went down by 0.15%, going from 7.48% to 7.34%



Also you can check out the branch of if there are no placeholder tournaments (which now has more samples due to this being much more likely)
http://sc2.4ever.tv/?sim_id=3227
"Expert" mods4ever.com
Die4Ever
Profile Joined August 2010
United States17671 Posts
August 11 2015 23:27 GMT
#711
WCS Predictor 2015
GSL Code S Season 3 Ro32 Group D


kr herO, kr Hack, kr Losira, and kr Rain in
in GSL Code S Season 3 round of 32.
herO has the #4 Headband. Rain has the #1 Headband.
herO is at 100% Blizzcon Chances, with a 68.98% chance to win this match.
If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 100%, or 100% if they lose.
Losira is at 0.06% Blizzcon Chances, with a 33.3% chance to win this match.
If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0.17%, or 0.01% if they lose.
Hack is at 0.01% Blizzcon Chances, with a 24.54% chance to win this match.
If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0.01%, or 0% if they lose.
Rain is at 100% Blizzcon Chances, with a 73.18% chance to win this match.
If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 100%, or 100% if they lose.

+ Show Spoiler [Remaining Ro32 Groups] +

kr Pigbaby, kr Flash, kr INnoVation, and kr Curious in
in GSL Code S Season 3 round of 32.
Curious must win this match!
INnoVation has the #2 Headband.
Pigbaby is at 0.01% Blizzcon Chances, with a 30.57% chance to win this match.
If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0.01%, or 0% if they lose.
INnoVation is at 99.9% Blizzcon Chances, with a 67.37% chance to win this match.
If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 99.99%, or 99.71% if they lose.
Flash is at 0.17% Blizzcon Chances, with a 46.18% chance to win this match.
If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0.36%, or 0.01% if they lose.
Curious is at 7.96% Blizzcon Chances, with a 55.88% chance to win this match.
If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 13.88%, or 0.47% if they lose.

kr Sleep, kr ByuL, kr FanTaSy, and kr Dear in
in GSL Code S Season 3 round of 32.
Dear must win this match!
Sleep is at 0.01% Blizzcon Chances, with a 27.17% chance to win this match.
If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0.01%, or 0% if they lose.
FanTaSy is at 86.78% Blizzcon Chances, with a 57.41% chance to win this match.
If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 96.3%, or 73.95% if they lose.
ByuL is at 99.63% Blizzcon Chances, with a 61.76% chance to win this match.
If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 99.96%, or 99.1% if they lose.
Dear is at 3.68% Blizzcon Chances, with a 53.66% chance to win this match.
If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 6.81%, or 0.05% if they lose.

kr sKyHigh, kr Dark, kr MMA, and kr PartinG in
in GSL Code S Season 3 round of 32.
MMA must win this match!
Dark has the #3 Headband.
sKyHigh is at 0.01% Blizzcon Chances, with a 24.89% chance to win this match.
If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0.02%, or 0% if they lose.
MMA is at 0.89% Blizzcon Chances, with a 34.88% chance to win this match.
If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 2.53%, or 0.01% if they lose.
Dark is at 62.03% Blizzcon Chances, with a 66.39% chance to win this match.
If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 80.43%, or 25.69% if they lose.
PartinG is at 100% Blizzcon Chances, with a 73.84% chance to win this match.
If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 100%, or 100% if they lose.

kr GuMiho, kr Hurricane, kr soO, and kr Rogue in
in GSL Code S Season 3 round of 32.
GuMiho and soO must win this match!
This is the Group of Death!
GuMiho is at 3.63% Blizzcon Chances, with a 45.13% chance to win this match.
If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 7.93%, or 0.1% if they lose.
soO is at 14.05% Blizzcon Chances, with a 64.12% chance to win this match.
If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 21.71%, or 0.35% if they lose.
Hurricane is at 0.03% Blizzcon Chances, with a 41.73% chance to win this match.
If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0.06%, or 0% if they lose.
Rogue is at 66.33% Blizzcon Chances, with a 49.02% chance to win this match.
If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 85.14%, or 48.25% if they lose.

+ Show Spoiler [GSL Winning Chances] +

Solar, Bbyong, Dear, GuMiho, and MMA must win this tournament!
kr Classic has a 9.78% chance to win
----going from 100% to 100% if they get 1st, or 100% if they don't.
kr INnoVation has a 9.22% chance to win
----going from 99.9% to 100% if they get 1st, or 99.89% if they don't.
kr Solar has a 8.72% chance to win
----going from 11.13% to 94.66% if they get 1st, or 3.15% if they don't.
kr Maru has a 8.48% chance to win
----going from 100% to 100% if they get 1st, or 100% if they don't.
kr soO has a 7.24% chance to win
----going from 14.05% to 99.99% if they get 1st, or 7.34% if they don't.
+ Show Spoiler [More Winning Chances] +

kr Rain has a 7.15% chance to win
----going from 100% to 100% if they get 1st, or 100% if they don't.
kr Zest has a 6.99% chance to win
----going from 99.99% to 100% if they get 1st, or 99.99% if they don't.
kr PartinG has a 6.4% chance to win
----going from 100% to 100% if they get 1st, or 100% if they don't.
kr Dark has a 5.01% chance to win
----going from 62.03% to 100% if they get 1st, or 60.03% if they don't.
kr sOs has a 4.95% chance to win
----going from 32.08% to 100% if they get 1st, or 28.54% if they don't.
kr Bbyong has a 4.86% chance to win
----going from 5.59% to 97.94% if they get 1st, or 0.87% if they don't.
kr herO has a 4.14% chance to win
----going from 100% to 100% if they get 1st, or 100% if they don't.
kr FanTaSy has a 2.93% chance to win
----going from 86.78% to 100% if they get 1st, or 86.38% if they don't.
kr ByuL has a 2.66% chance to win
----going from 99.63% to 100% if they get 1st, or 99.62% if they don't.
kr Curious has a 2.36% chance to win
----going from 7.96% to 100% if they get 1st, or 5.74% if they don't.
kr Dear has a 2.04% chance to win
----going from 3.68% to 99.98% if they get 1st, or 1.68% if they don't.
kr Rogue has a 1.79% chance to win
----going from 66.33% to 100% if they get 1st, or 65.72% if they don't.
kr Flash has a 1.45% chance to win
----going from 0.17% to 11.13% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't.
kr GuMiho has a 1.43% chance to win
----going from 3.63% to 99.99% if they get 1st, or 2.23% if they don't.
kr Hurricane has a 0.64% chance to win
----going from 0.03% to 3.9% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't.
kr MMA has a 0.57% chance to win
----going from 0.89% to 99.59% if they get 1st, or 0.33% if they don't.
kr Losira has a 0.48% chance to win
----going from 0.06% to 11.87% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't.
kr Pigbaby has a 0.32% chance to win
----going from 0.01% to 1.09% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't.
kr Hack has a 0.17% chance to win
----going from 0.01% to 0.94% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't.
kr sKyHigh has a 0.15% chance to win
----going from 0.01% to 2.66% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't.
kr Sleep has a 0.07% chance to win
----going from 0.01% to 0.24% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't.


+ Show Spoiler [Placements Table] +
[image loading]

"Expert" mods4ever.com
OtherWorld
Profile Blog Joined October 2013
France17333 Posts
August 12 2015 20:19 GMT
#712
herO's so good it was actually a bad trade to buy him just for today's group xD he only gained 75 pts
Used Sigs - New Sigs - Cheap Sigs - Buy the Best Cheap Sig near You at www.cheapsigforsale.com
Brutaxilos
Profile Blog Joined July 2010
United States2624 Posts
August 12 2015 21:35 GMT
#713
On August 13 2015 05:19 OtherWorld wrote:
herO's so good it was actually a bad trade to buy him just for today's group xD he only gained 75 pts

Buy him for what? FPL?
Jangbi favorite player. Forever~ CJ herO the King of IEM. BOMBERRRRRRRR. Sexy Boy Rogue. soO #1! Oliveira China Represent!
Die4Ever
Profile Joined August 2010
United States17671 Posts
Last Edited: 2015-08-12 21:42:40
August 12 2015 21:41 GMT
#714
On August 13 2015 06:35 Brutaxilos wrote:
Show nested quote +
On August 13 2015 05:19 OtherWorld wrote:
herO's so good it was actually a bad trade to buy him just for today's group xD he only gained 75 pts

Buy him for what? FPL?

WCS Wars! http://sc2.4ever.tv/?page=gamehome


It's WCS Predictor's own fantasy league. This is from the FAQ page http://sc2.4ever.tv/?page=faq

What is WCS Wars?

WCS Wars is a fantasy league based on the median WCS points as determined by WCS Predictor (Wikipedia link for median). You currently start the game with 18,000 WCS Points to buy players with (this starting number will need to be adjusted depending on the season). Each player's value = median_wcs_points + base_cost, where the base_cost is currently 2000. Build a team of up to 5 players, hope that your players win to boost their Median WCS Points, and you can sell them to buy different players. Selling gives you 99% of their worth. There will be a winner each season and the teams will all be reset. Check the Leaderboard section at the bottom of the WCS Wars page!

-----------------------------

Can I gain points in WCS Wars even if the player is already locked in for Blizzcon?

Absolutely! Since WCS Wars value is based on median WCS Points every win helps, as opposed to % Blizzcon Chances which caps out at 100%. Their value can go up from winning a match and gaining more WCS Points, being seeded/invited into a tournament, qualifying for a tournament, a strong player being knocked out, their Aligulac rating going up, even winning in an unrelated tournament could boost their Aligulac rating enough to increase their value.
"Expert" mods4ever.com
Die4Ever
Profile Joined August 2010
United States17671 Posts
August 13 2015 03:23 GMT
#715
This group is very important for 3 players that people really haven't been talking about going to Blizzcon.

TY must win here or he's almost certainly not going to Blizzcon. What he really wants is a 2nd or 1st place here to have a good chance for Blizzcon, 4th place would only put him at 7.26%, but 2nd gives him a huge boost up to 53.26%.

If Rogue wins here then he'd be going from 2525 WCS Points up to 2825 WCS Points, which put him only 25 points behind Fantasy and give him some decent AFK Chances around 40% to 60% (I didn't make a branch for this, woops) and would put him nearly at 90% Blizzcon Chances.

Seems like people have been trying to pretend that Hyun doesn't have a chance of qualifying for Blizzcon. Well if he wins here then it's time to stop pretending as he'll shoot up to above the 50% mark up to 57.39%. Even if he loses in the next round for an 8th place finish, that still puts him at 36.5% Blizzcon Chances. From an 8th place in SSL, he would just need a 4th place at Dreamhack to get him up to 77.77%. An 8th in SSL and a 4th at the smaller MSI Masters would put him at 57.85% before even going to Dreamhack.

If you look at the winning chances, you can see that whoever wins SSL is almost surely going to Blizzcon. The same can't be said about GSL or WCS, at least not yet.

WCS Predictor 2015
StarLeague Season 3 Ro16 Group A


kr HyuN, kr TY, kr Classic, and kr Rogue in
in StarLeague Season 3 round of 16.
TY must win this match!
HyuN is at 35.78% Blizzcon Chances, with a 48.94% chance to win this match.
If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 57.39%, or 15.06% if they lose.
Classic is at 100% Blizzcon Chances, with a 60.52% chance to win this match.
If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 100%, or 100% if they lose.
TY is at 7.31% Blizzcon Chances, with a 42.01% chance to win this match.
If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 16.75%, or 0.47% if they lose.
Rogue is at 66.42% Blizzcon Chances, with a 48.54% chance to win this match.
If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 87.57%, or 46.47% if they lose.

+ Show Spoiler [SSL Winning Chances] +

MyuNgSiK and TY must win this tournament!
kr INnoVation has a 22.17% chance to win
----going from 99.9% to 100% if they get 1st, or 99.87% if they don't.
kr Rain has a 16.2% chance to win
----going from 100% to 100% if they get 1st, or 100% if they don't.
kr Zest has a 13.54% chance to win
----going from 99.99% to 100% if they get 1st, or 99.99% if they don't.
kr herO has a 13.46% chance to win
----going from 100% to 100% if they get 1st, or 100% if they don't.
kr Classic has a 9.58% chance to win
----going from 100% to 100% if they get 1st, or 100% if they don't.
kr ByuL has a 8.51% chance to win
----going from 99.64% to 100% if they get 1st, or 99.61% if they don't.
kr MyuNgSiK has a 5.18% chance to win
----going from 7.78% to 99.33% if they get 1st, or 2.77% if they don't.
kr HyuN has a 4.6% chance to win
----going from 35.78% to 100% if they get 1st, or 32.68% if they don't.
kr Rogue has a 3.55% chance to win
----going from 66.42% to 100% if they get 1st, or 65.19% if they don't.
kr TY has a 3.21% chance to win
----going from 7.31% to 99.98% if they get 1st, or 4.23% if they don't.

+ Show Spoiler [SSL Placements Table] +
[image loading]


Branches
+ Show Spoiler [If Rogue Gets 8th in SSL and 16th in GSL] +
Branch #3320
-If Rogue gets 8th in SSL and 16th in GSL, then he goes up to 91.71%
-If Rogue gets 8th in SSL and 16th in GSL and 4th in DreamHack Stockholm, he goes up to 99.83%

+ Show Spoiler [If Hyun Gets 16th in SSL] +
Branch #3321
-If Hyun gets 16th in SSL, then he goes down to 15.05%
-If Hyun gets 16th in SSL and 4th in 4Gamers, he goes down to 12.09%
-If Hyun gets 16th in SSL and 4th in MSI Masters, he goes to 17.32%
-If Hyun gets 16th in SSL and 4th in DreamHack Stockholm, he goes up to 45.16%
-If Hyun gets 16th in SSL and wins DreamHack Stockholm, he goes up to 87.32%
-If Hyun gets 16th in SSL and 16th in MSI Masters and 4th in 4Gamers, he goes down to 2.35%

+ Show Spoiler [If Hyun Gets 8th in SSL] +
Branch #3322
-If Hyun gets 8th in SSL, then he goes up to 36.5%
-If Hyun gets 8th in SSL and 8th in DreamHack Stockholm, he goes up to 64.05%
-If Hyun gets 8th in SSL and 4th in DreamHack Stockholm, he goes up to 77.77%
-If Hyun gets 8th in SSL and 2nd in DreamHack Stockholm, he goes up to 89.26%
-If Hyun gets 8th in SSL and 4th in 4Gamers, he goes to 31.42%
-If Hyun gets 8th in SSL and 1st in 4Gamers, he goes up to 46.25%
-If Hyun gets 8th in SSL and 4th in MSI Masters, he goes up to 57.85%
-If Hyun gets 8th in SSL and 1st in MSI Masters, he goes up to 96.54%

"Expert" mods4ever.com
Die4Ever
Profile Joined August 2010
United States17671 Posts
August 13 2015 17:28 GMT
#716
---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
WCS S3 Ro32 Preview!
Thursday, Aug 13 5:30pm GMT (GMT+00:00) (Sim #3349)


Biggest Winners and Losers since start of season 3 about 45 days ago (Sim ID #2114 vs Sim ID #3349)
Biggest Winners
kr INnoVation went up by 67.9%, going from 31.99% to 99.89%
kr FanTaSy went up by 42.69%, going from 43.25% to 85.93%
kr Zest went up by 25.34%, going from 74.66% to 99.99%
kr ByuL went up by 18.72%, going from 80.86% to 99.58%
kr Rogue went up by 13.25%, going from 73.66% to 86.92%
kr soO went up by 7.57%, going from 5.54% to 13.11%
kr Curious went up by 2.18%, going from 5.2% to 7.38%
+ Show Spoiler [More Winners] +

de ShoWTimE went up by 2.06%, going from 0.42% to 2.48%
kr Solar went up by 1.33%, going from 9.3% to 10.63%
kr HyuN went up by 1.16%, going from 9.56% to 10.72%
fr MarineLorD went up by 0.78%, going from 2.56% to 3.34%
nz Petraeus went up by 0.33%, going from 0.65% to 0.98%
kr Polt went up by 0.18%, going from 99.8% to 99.98%
tw Has went up by 0.13%, going from 0.1% to 0.23%
kr Classic went up by 0.13%, going from 99.87% to 100%


Biggest Losers
kr Stats went down by 40.44%, going from 43.67% to 3.23%
kr Trap went down by 25.81%, going from 25.83% to 0.02%
dk Bunny went down by 23.33%, going from 23.74% to 0.41%
no Snute went down by 21.94%, going from 28.36% to 6.42%
kr sOs went down by 10.86%, going from 43.01% to 32.15%
kr Dark went down by 7.67%, going from 68.74% to 61.07%
kr Dear went down by 6.76%, going from 10.18% to 3.42%
+ Show Spoiler [More Losers] +

kr Jaedong went down by 6.12%, going from 13.23% to 7.11%
kr Soulkey went down by 4.39%, going from 4.45% to 0.06%
kr San went down by 4.15%, going from 4.15% to 0.01%
kr ForGG went down by 3.93%, going from 15.96% to 12.04%
kr StarDust went down by 3.59%, going from 3.59% to 0.01%
kr GuMiho went down by 3.58%, going from 7.47% to 3.89%
kr TRUE went down by 2.85%, going from 2.9% to 0.05%
fr Lilbow went down by 2.81%, going from 16.49% to 13.69%
kr TY went down by 2.37%, going from 19.14% to 16.77%
kr MyuNgSiK went down by 1.36%, going from 9.53% to 8.16%
kr Leenock went down by 1.36%, going from 1.36% to 0.01%
pl MaNa went down by 1.29%, going from 1.67% to 0.37%
fr FireCake went down by 1.21%, going from 1.21% to 0.01%
kr Super went down by 1.19%, going from 1.19% to 0.01%
kr Bomber went down by 1.01%, going from 1.01% to 0.01%
kr Bbyong went down by 0.6%, going from 6.16% to 5.56%
mx MajOr went down by 0.39%, going from 0.44% to 0.05%
ca MaSa went down by 0.31%, going from 0.35% to 0.04%
kr Sacsri went down by 0.29%, going from 0.29% to 0.01%
kr Flash went down by 0.29%, going from 0.45% to 0.16%
kr Heart went down by 0.28%, going from 0.28% to 0%
de GunGFuBanDa went down by 0.27%, going from 0.33% to 0.07%
kr Hurricane went down by 0.26%, going from 0.28% to 0.02%
kr Cure went down by 0.25%, going from 0.25% to 0.01%
nl Ret went down by 0.24%, going from 0.24% to 0%
au iaguz went down by 0.22%, going from 0.29% to 0.07%
fi elfi went down by 0.21%, going from 0.23% to 0.02%
kr jjakji went down by 0.17%, going from 0.17% to 0%
tw Sen went down by 0.17%, going from 0.19% to 0.03%
ca Kane went down by 0.16%, going from 0.36% to 0.19%
kr Impact went down by 0.16%, going from 0.16% to 0%
kr First went down by 0.15%, going from 0.15% to 0%
kr Patience went down by 0.12%, going from 0.12% to 0.01%
kr Journey went down by 0.1%, going from 0.1% to 0%
cn iAsonu went down by 0.1%, going from 0.12% to 0.02%


Innovaton, Zest, and Byul have all climbed from below 85% up to over 99%. Trap and Bunny both went from over 20% to under 1%.

+ Show Spoiler [Top 50 players by Blizzcon Chances] +

  1. herO is at 100%, 100% AFK Chances, Min WCS Points: 6400, Median Points: 7000
  2. Life is at 100%, 100% AFK Chances, Min WCS Points: 5475, Median Points: 5475
  3. Maru is at 100%, 100% AFK Chances, Min WCS Points: 5450, Median Points: 5750
  4. PartinG is at 100%, 100% AFK Chances, Min WCS Points: 5275, Median Points: 5975
  5. Rain is at 100%, 100% AFK Chances, Min WCS Points: 4625, Median Points: 5375
  6. Hydra is at 100%, 100% AFK Chances, Min WCS Points: 4375, Median Points: 5125
  7. Dream is at 100%, 100% AFK Chances, Min WCS Points: 4275, Median Points: 4275
  8. Classic is at 100%, 100% AFK Chances, Min WCS Points: 4250, Median Points: 4550
  9. Zest is at 99.99%, 99.95% AFK Chances, Min WCS Points: 3500, Median Points: 4225
  10. Polt is at 99.98%, 99.76% AFK Chances, Min WCS Points: 3375, Median Points: 3875
  11. INnoVation is at 99.89%, 97.74% AFK Chances, Min WCS Points: 3175, Median Points: 4250
  12. ByuL is at 99.58%, 97.84% AFK Chances, Min WCS Points: 3175, Median Points: 3675
  13. Rogue is at 86.92%, 54.32% AFK Chances, Min WCS Points: 2825, Median Points: 3175
  14. FanTaSy is at 85.93%, 60.7% AFK Chances, Min WCS Points: 2850, Median Points: 3100
  15. Dark is at 61.07%, 13.64% AFK Chances, Min WCS Points: 2600, Median Points: 2900
  16. sOs is at 32.15%, 0.59% AFK Chances, Min WCS Points: 2400, Median Points: 2700
  17. TY is at 16.77%, 0% AFK Chances, Min WCS Points: 2200, Median Points: 2500
  18. Lilbow is at 13.69%, 0% AFK Chances, Min WCS Points: 1725, Median Points: 2100
  19. soO is at 13.11%, 0% AFK Chances, Min WCS Points: 1800, Median Points: 2100
  20. ForGG is at 12.04%, 0% AFK Chances, Min WCS Points: 1625, Median Points: 1925
  21. HyuN is at 10.72%, 0% AFK Chances, Min WCS Points: 2125, Median Points: 2375
  22. Solar is at 10.63%, 0% AFK Chances, Min WCS Points: 1350, Median Points: 1950
  23. MyuNgSiK is at 8.16%, 0% AFK Chances, Min WCS Points: 2000, Median Points: 2125
  24. Curious is at 7.38%, 0% AFK Chances, Min WCS Points: 1900, Median Points: 2100
  25. Jaedong is at 7.11%, 0% AFK Chances, Min WCS Points: 1325, Median Points: 1825
  26. Snute is at 6.42%, 0% AFK Chances, Min WCS Points: 1500, Median Points: 1800
  27. Bbyong is at 5.56%, 0% AFK Chances, Min WCS Points: 1550, Median Points: 1850
  28. GuMiho is at 3.89%, 0% AFK Chances, Min WCS Points: 1725, Median Points: 1925
  29. Dear is at 3.42%, 0% AFK Chances, Min WCS Points: 1625, Median Points: 1825
  30. MarineLorD is at 3.34%, 0% AFK Chances, Min WCS Points: 1075, Median Points: 1375
  31. Stats is at 3.23%, 0% AFK Chances, Min WCS Points: 2350, Median Points: 2350
  32. ShoWTimE is at 2.48%, 0% AFK Chances, Min WCS Points: 1050, Median Points: 1250
  33. TLO is at 1.48%, 0% AFK Chances, Min WCS Points: 1500, Median Points: 1700
  34. Petraeus is at 0.98%, 0% AFK Chances, Min WCS Points: 625, Median Points: 950
  35. Harstem is at 0.85%, 0% AFK Chances, Min WCS Points: 1075, Median Points: 1275
  36. MMA is at 0.83%, 0% AFK Chances, Min WCS Points: 1475, Median Points: 1525
  37. viOLet is at 0.42%, 0% AFK Chances, Min WCS Points: 400, Median Points: 850
  38. Bunny is at 0.41%, 0% AFK Chances, Min WCS Points: 2025, Median Points: 2025
  39. MaNa is at 0.37%, 0% AFK Chances, Min WCS Points: 625, Median Points: 925
  40. Has is at 0.23%, 0% AFK Chances, Min WCS Points: 825, Median Points: 1025
  41. Kane is at 0.19%, 0% AFK Chances, Min WCS Points: 800, Median Points: 850
  42. Flash is at 0.16%, 0% AFK Chances, Min WCS Points: 675, Median Points: 875
  43. iaguz is at 0.07%, 0% AFK Chances, Min WCS Points: 650, Median Points: 775
  44. GunGFuBanDa is at 0.07%, 0% AFK Chances, Min WCS Points: 500, Median Points: 800
  45. Soulkey is at 0.06%, 0% AFK Chances, Min WCS Points: 1725, Median Points: 1725
  46. TRUE is at 0.05%, 0% AFK Chances, Min WCS Points: 1650, Median Points: 1650
  47. MajOr is at 0.05%, 0% AFK Chances, Min WCS Points: 300, Median Points: 500
  48. HeRoMaRinE is at 0.05%, 0% AFK Chances, Min WCS Points: 325, Median Points: 525
  49. MaSa is at 0.04%, 0% AFK Chances, Min WCS Points: 300, Median Points: 500
  50. Kelazhur is at 0.03%, 0% AFK Chances, Min WCS Points: 525, Median Points: 575
Full Player List


+ Show Spoiler [Foreigner Hope] +

Chances of 1+ foreigners from 63.96% down to 30.14%
Chances of 2+ foreigners from 15.59% down to 0.74%

Top Foreigner Hopes
fr Lilbow 13.08% chance to be the only foreigner, 13.69% chance overall.
no Snute 6.1% chance to be the only foreigner, 6.42% chance overall.
fr MarineLorD 3.18% chance to be the only foreigner, 3.34% chance overall.
de ShoWTimE 2.35% chance to be the only foreigner, 2.48% chance overall.
de TLO 1.4% chance to be the only foreigner, 1.48% chance overall.
nz Petraeus 0.94% chance to be the only foreigner, 0.98% chance overall.
nl Harstem 0.8% chance to be the only foreigner, 0.85% chance overall.
+ Show Spoiler [More Foreigner Hopes] +

pl MaNa 0.36% chance to be the only foreigner, 0.37% chance overall.
dk Bunny 0.36% chance to be the only foreigner, 0.41% chance overall.
tw Has 0.22% chance to be the only foreigner, 0.23% chance overall.
ca Kane 0.19% chance to be the only foreigner, 0.19% chance overall.
au iaguz 0.07% chance to be the only foreigner, 0.07% chance overall.
de GunGFuBanDa 0.06% chance to be the only foreigner, 0.07% chance overall.
mx MajOr 0.05% chance to be the only foreigner, 0.05% chance overall.
de HeRoMaRinE 0.04% chance to be the only foreigner, 0.05% chance overall.
ca MaSa 0.04% chance to be the only foreigner, 0.04% chance overall.
br Kelazhur 0.03% chance to be the only foreigner, 0.03% chance overall.
cn Jim 0.03% chance to be the only foreigner, 0.03% chance overall.
tw Sen 0.03% chance to be the only foreigner, 0.03% chance overall.
se Zanster 0.02% chance to be the only foreigner, 0.02% chance overall.
fi elfi 0.02% chance to be the only foreigner, 0.02% chance overall.
cn iAsonu 0.02% chance to be the only foreigner, 0.02% chance overall.
pl Elazer 0.01% chance to be the only foreigner, 0.01% chance overall.
si Starbuck 0.01% chance to be the only foreigner, 0.01% chance overall.
us Hitman 0.01% chance to be the only foreigner, 0.01% chance overall.
fr FireCake 0.01% chance to be the only foreigner, 0.01% chance overall.
cn XiGua 0.01% chance to be the only foreigner, 0.01% chance overall.
us neeb 0.01% chance to be the only foreigner, 0.01% chance overall.
nl uThermal 0.01% chance to be the only foreigner, 0.01% chance overall.
cn Shana 0.01% chance to be the only foreigner, 0.01% chance overall.



+ Show Spoiler [Headbands] +

kr Rain is the current #1 Headband holder with 0 defenses!
kr INnoVation is the current #2 Headband holder with 0 defenses!
kr Dark is the current #3 Headband holder with 2 defenses!
kr herO is the current #4 Headband holder with 2 defenses!

Defense History
kr herO defended the #4 from kr Losira at GSL Code S Season 3
kr herO defended the #4 from kr Hack at GSL Code S Season 3
kr INnoVation won the #2 from kr soO at IEM Gamescom
+ Show Spoiler [More Defense History] +

kr soO defended the #2 from kr FanTaSy at IEM Gamescom
kr soO defended the #2 from de Lambo at IEM Gamescom
kr soO defended the #2 from kr MMA at IEM Gamescom
kr soO defended the #2 from de HeRoMaRinE at IEM Gamescom
kr herO won the #4 from kr Life at StarLeague Season 3
kr Life won the #4 from kr sOs at StarLeague Season 3
kr Dark defended the #3 from kr aLive at GSL Code A Season 3
kr soO defended the #2 from kr Dark at KeSPA Cup 2
kr Dark defended the #3 from kr Dream at KeSPA Cup 2
kr soO won the #2 from kr Flash at KeSPA Cup 2
kr Dark won the #3 from kr ByuL at KeSPA Cup 2
kr Flash won the #2 from kr Classic at KeSPA Cup 2
kr Classic defended the #2 from kr HerO at GSL Code A Season 3
kr ByuL defended the #3 from kr Pigbaby at KeSPA Cup 2
kr Classic defended the #2 from kr Rogue at KeSPA Cup 2
kr sOs defended the #4 from kr Solar at StarLeague Season 3
kr ByuL defended the #3 from kr Shine at StarLeague Season 3



+ Show Spoiler [WCS Point Cutoffs] +

1.06% of the time 2500 points is enough to qualify for Blizzcon
9.66% of the time 2675 points is enough to qualify for Blizzcon
28.22% of the time 2825 points is enough to qualify for Blizzcon
45.75% of the time 2875 points is enough to qualify for Blizzcon
68.99% of the time 3000 points is enough to qualify for Blizzcon
89.39% of the time 3150 points is enough to qualify for Blizzcon
99.03% of the time 3400 points is enough to qualify for Blizzcon

The 99% line went from 3400 points to 3400 points.
The 50% line went from 2900 points down to 2875 points.
The 1% line went from 2500 points to 2500 points.


+ Show Spoiler [Final Seed Stats] +

kr herO has a 77.93% chance to be the #1 seed.
kr PartinG has a 29.39% chance to be the #2 seed.
kr PartinG has a 29.4% chance to be the #3 seed.
kr Life has a 29.1% chance to be the #4 seed.
kr Life has a 36.92% chance to be the #5 seed.
kr Rain has a 20.36% chance to be the #6 seed.
kr Hydra has a 22.32% chance to be the #7 seed.
kr Classic has a 26.62% chance to be the #8 seed.
kr Dream has a 37.06% chance to be the #9 seed.
kr Dream has a 29.34% chance to be the #10 seed.
kr Polt has a 21.87% chance to be the #11 seed.
kr Polt has a 20.92% chance to be the #12 seed.
kr ByuL has a 18.47% chance to be the #13 seed.
kr FanTaSy has a 19.04% chance to be the #14 seed.
kr FanTaSy has a 23.13% chance to be the #15 seed.
kr FanTaSy has a 18.49% chance to be the #16 seed.


+ Show Spoiler [Final Match Stats] +

kr Dream vs kr Classic has a 27.05% chance for the first round of Blizzcon.
kr herO vs kr FanTaSy has a 19.99% chance for the first round of Blizzcon.
kr Life vs kr Polt has a 17.69% chance for the first round of Blizzcon.
kr Dark vs kr herO has a 17.36% chance for the first round of Blizzcon.
kr PartinG vs kr FanTaSy has a 16.53% chance for the first round of Blizzcon.
kr Life vs kr ByuL has a 16.22% chance for the first round of Blizzcon.
kr herO vs kr Rogue has a 15.86% chance for the first round of Blizzcon.
kr PartinG vs kr Rogue has a 14.81% chance for the first round of Blizzcon.
kr Dream vs kr Hydra has a 14.15% chance for the first round of Blizzcon.
kr Maru vs kr ByuL has a 14.06% chance for the first round of Blizzcon.


WCS S3 Ro32
There are many players who really need points from this tournament, unfortunately for most of them they'll need at least a 2nd place to really benefit in terms of Blizzcon Chances.
Hydra is already at 100%, Polt is at 99.98%. The only other players who would be over 5% with a 4th place here are Lilbow, Jaedong, and ForGG. Snute would be at just 2.32% with a 4th place.
2nd place is a big jump for all of them, with Lilbow going up to 52.31%, ForGG going up to 31.52%, Jaedong up to 25.84%, Snute up to 15.82%, and TLO going up to 13.55%.
With a 1st place Lilbow, ForGG, Jaedong, Snute, and TLO would all go above 98%.
With a 1st place MarineLord would go up to 77.77%, Showtime up to 75.91%, Harstem up to 84.22%, Has up to 40.36%, Kane up to 24.82%, Petraeus up to 23.02%, violet up to 12.35%, and everyone else would be below 10%.

Ro32 Groups Week 1
nz Petraeus, nl Harstem, mx MajOr, and kr Polt in
in WCS Premier Season 3 round of 32.
Petraeus and Harstem must win this match!
This is the Group of Death!
Petraeus is at 0.98% Blizzcon Chances, with a 53.01% chance to win this match.
If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 1.84%, or 0.01% if they lose.
MajOr is at 0.05% Blizzcon Chances, with a 51.87% chance to win this match.
If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0.1%, or 0% if they lose.
Harstem is at 0.84% Blizzcon Chances, with a 34.56% chance to win this match.
If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 2.44%, or 0.01% if they lose.
Polt is at 99.98% Blizzcon Chances, with a 60.57% chance to win this match.
If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 99.99%, or 99.94% if they lose.

fi elfi, kr Hydra, si Starbuck, and br Kelazhur in
in WCS Premier Season 3 round of 32.
This is the 2nd place Group of Death! (or at least it was before uThermal was replaced by elfi)
elfi is at 0.02% Blizzcon Chances, with a 45.81% chance to win this match.
If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0.04%, or 0% if they lose.
Starbuck is at 0.01% Blizzcon Chances, with a 40.33% chance to win this match.
If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0.01%, or 0% if they lose.
Hydra is at 100% Blizzcon Chances, with a 75.81% chance to win this match.
If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 100%, or 100% if they lose.
Kelazhur is at 0.03% Blizzcon Chances, with a 38.06% chance to win this match.
If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0.07%, or 0% if they lose.

de ShoWTimE, de HeRoMaRinE, kr Jaedong, and tw Sen in
in WCS Premier Season 3 round of 32.
ShoWTimE and Jaedong must win this match!
ShoWTimE is at 2.48% Blizzcon Chances, with a 56.27% chance to win this match.
If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 4.4%, or 0.01% if they lose.
Jaedong is at 7.11% Blizzcon Chances, with a 57.94% chance to win this match.
If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 12.2%, or 0.09% if they lose.
HeRoMaRinE is at 0.05% Blizzcon Chances, with a 49.94% chance to win this match.
If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0.09%, or 0% if they lose.
Sen is at 0.03% Blizzcon Chances, with a 35.85% chance to win this match.
If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0.07%, or 0% if they lose.

ca MaSa, au iaguz, fr MarineLorD, and tw Has in
in WCS Premier Season 3 round of 32.
MarineLorD must win this match!
MaSa is at 0.04% Blizzcon Chances, with a 56.42% chance to win this match.
If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0.07%, or 0% if they lose.
MarineLorD is at 3.35% Blizzcon Chances, with a 57.01% chance to win this match.
If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 5.87%, or 0.01% if they lose.
iaguz is at 0.07% Blizzcon Chances, with a 43.51% chance to win this match.
If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0.17%, or 0% if they lose.
Has is at 0.23% Blizzcon Chances, with a 43.06% chance to win this match.
If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0.54%, or 0.01% if they lose.

+ Show Spoiler [Ro32 Groups Week 2] +

cn Shana, fr Lilbow, us neeb, and de GunGFuBanDa in
in WCS Premier Season 3 round of 32.
Lilbow must win this match!
Shana is at 0.01% Blizzcon Chances, with a 30.4% chance to win this match.
If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0.01%, or 0% if they lose.
neeb is at 0.01% Blizzcon Chances, with a 34.14% chance to win this match.
If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0.01%, or 0% if they lose.
Lilbow is at 13.69% Blizzcon Chances, with a 71.34% chance to win this match.
If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 19.14%, or 0.12% if they lose.
GunGFuBanDa is at 0.07% Blizzcon Chances, with a 64.11% chance to win this match.
If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0.1%, or 0% if they lose.

kr ForGG, ca Kane, se Zanster, and cn iAsonu in
in WCS Premier Season 3 round of 32.
ForGG must win this match!
ForGG is at 12.04% Blizzcon Chances, with a 64.7% chance to win this match.
If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 18.57%, or 0.07% if they lose.
Zanster is at 0.02% Blizzcon Chances, with a 57.01% chance to win this match.
If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0.03%, or 0% if they lose.
Kane is at 0.19% Blizzcon Chances, with a 38.13% chance to win this match.
If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0.51%, or 0.01% if they lose.
iAsonu is at 0.02% Blizzcon Chances, with a 40.15% chance to win this match.
If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0.04%, or 0% if they lose.

us Hitman, pl Elazer, cn Jim, and no Snute in
in WCS Premier Season 3 round of 32.
Snute must win this match!
Hitman is at 0.01% Blizzcon Chances, with a 40.69% chance to win this match.
If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0.01%, or 0% if they lose.
Jim is at 0.03% Blizzcon Chances, with a 44.29% chance to win this match.
If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0.06%, or 0% if they lose.
Elazer is at 0.01% Blizzcon Chances, with a 47.26% chance to win this match.
If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0.01%, or 0% if they lose.
Snute is at 6.42% Blizzcon Chances, with a 67.76% chance to win this match.
If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 9.46%, or 0.02% if they lose.

kr viOLet, pl MaNa, de TLO, and cn XiGua in
in WCS Premier Season 3 round of 32.
TLO must win this match!
viOLet is at 0.42% Blizzcon Chances, with a 59.08% chance to win this match.
If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0.71%, or 0.01% if they lose.
TLO is at 1.48% Blizzcon Chances, with a 46.36% chance to win this match.
If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 3.19%, or 0.01% if they lose.
MaNa is at 0.38% Blizzcon Chances, with a 67.84% chance to win this match.
If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0.55%, or 0% if they lose.
XiGua is at 0.01% Blizzcon Chances, with a 26.73% chance to win this match.
If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0.01%, or 0% if they lose.

+ Show Spoiler [WCS Winning Chances] +

ForGG, Snute, Jaedong, MarineLorD, Petraeus, ShoWTimE, TLO, Harstem, Kane, and Has must win this tournament!
kr Hydra has a 18.61% chance to win
----going from 100% to 100% if they get 1st, or 100% if they don't.
kr ForGG has a 9.19% chance to win
----going from 12.04% to 99.93% if they get 1st, or 3.15% if they don't.
kr Polt has a 8.86% chance to win
----going from 99.98% to 100% if they get 1st, or 99.97% if they don't.
fr Lilbow has a 8.75% chance to win
----going from 13.69% to 99.99% if they get 1st, or 5.41% if they don't.
no Snute has a 5.24% chance to win
----going from 6.42% to 99.64% if they get 1st, or 1.26% if they don't.
+ Show Spoiler [More Winning Chances] +

kr Jaedong has a 5.12% chance to win
----going from 7.11% to 98.55% if they get 1st, or 2.18% if they don't.
pl MaNa has a 4.41% chance to win
----going from 0.38% to 8.4% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't.
fr MarineLorD has a 4.19% chance to win
----going from 3.35% to 77.77% if they get 1st, or 0.09% if they don't.
nz Petraeus has a 4.13% chance to win
----going from 0.98% to 23.02% if they get 1st, or 0.03% if they don't.
mx MajOr has a 3.35% chance to win
----going from 0.05% to 1.58% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't.
kr viOLet has a 3.31% chance to win
----going from 0.42% to 12.34% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't.
de ShoWTimE has a 3.18% chance to win
----going from 2.48% to 75.91% if they get 1st, or 0.07% if they don't.
ca MaSa has a 2.89% chance to win
----going from 0.04% to 1.39% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't.
de HeRoMaRinE has a 2.81% chance to win
----going from 0.05% to 1.64% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't.
se Zanster has a 2.29% chance to win
----going from 0.02% to 0.86% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't.
de GunGFuBanDa has a 2.11% chance to win
----going from 0.07% to 3.12% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't.
cn Jim has a 1.27% chance to win
----going from 0.03% to 2.08% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't.
fi elfi has a 1.16% chance to win
----going from 0.02% to 1.59% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't.
de TLO has a 1.12% chance to win
----going from 1.48% to 99.62% if they get 1st, or 0.37% if they don't.
au iaguz has a 0.93% chance to win
----going from 0.07% to 7.92% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't.
nl Harstem has a 0.93% chance to win
----going from 0.84% to 84.2% if they get 1st, or 0.06% if they don't.
br Kelazhur has a 0.9% chance to win
----going from 0.03% to 3.03% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't.
pl Elazer has a 0.85% chance to win
----going from 0.01% to 0.68% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't.
ca Kane has a 0.77% chance to win
----going from 0.19% to 24.83% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't.
si Starbuck has a 0.74% chance to win
----going from 0.01% to 0.32% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't.
cn iAsonu has a 0.67% chance to win
----going from 0.02% to 2.5% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't.
tw Sen has a 0.67% chance to win
----going from 0.03% to 3.85% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't.
tw Has has a 0.56% chance to win
----going from 0.23% to 40.33% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't.
us Hitman has a 0.5% chance to win
----going from 0.01% to 0.17% if they get 1st, or 0% if they don't.
us neeb has a 0.34% chance to win
----going from 0.01% to 0.19% if they get 1st, or 0% if they don't.
cn XiGua has a 0.09% chance to win
----going from 0.01% to 0.84% if they get 1st, or 0% if they don't.
cn Shana has a 0.07% chance to win
----going from 0.01% to 0.04% if they get 1st, or 0% if they don't.


+ Show Spoiler [WCS Placements Table] +
[image loading]



Check out the fantasy league WCS Wars!

---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
"Expert" mods4ever.com
[UoN]Sentinel
Profile Blog Joined November 2009
United States11320 Posts
August 13 2015 18:38 GMT
#717
Nice. Exactly one person who "must win" each group in D2.
Нас зовет дух отцов, память старых бойцов, дух Москвы и твердыня Полтавы
Die4Ever
Profile Joined August 2010
United States17671 Posts
August 14 2015 02:57 GMT
#718
Here in GSL Ro32 Group E, Curious is the only one who can make a big change to his Blizzcon Chances. Innovation is mostly locked with over 99% chance even if he loses, and 97.72% AFK Chances.

Pigbaby is only at 275 WCS Points, he would need to win GSL and Dreamhack just to get to 2925 points and then have a good chance, but even that would still put him at just 72.95% chances.

And then we have Flash. Flash is at 675 WCS Points, with a GSL win putting him at 2575 points it's very unlikely that will be enough. A 1st place in GSL and 4th place in Dreamhack Stockholm would put him at 75.53% and the double championship would put him at 98.4%.

Curious, on the other hand, actually has a realistic chance. At 1900 WCS Points, an 8th place in GSL would put him at 2400 points, a 4th place at 2700 points, a 2nd place up to 3050, and a 1st place would guarantee his Blizzcon spot with 3800 points. A 4th place in GSL and a 4th in Dreamhack would put him in a really good spot with 3075 points and 82.26% chances.

WCS Predictor 2015
GSL Code S Season 3 Ro32 Group E


kr Pigbaby, kr Flash, kr INnoVation, and kr Curious in
in GSL Code S Season 3 round of 32.
Curious must win this match!
INnoVation has the #2 Headband.
Pigbaby is at 0.01% Blizzcon Chances, with a 30.56% chance to win this match.
If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0.01%, or 0% if they lose.
INnoVation is at 99.88% Blizzcon Chances, with a 66.99% chance to win this match.
If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 99.99%, or 99.68% if they lose.
Flash is at 0.16% Blizzcon Chances, with a 46.64% chance to win this match.
If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0.35%, or 0.01% if they lose.
Curious is at 7.42% Blizzcon Chances, with a 55.8% chance to win this match.
If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 12.95%, or 0.44% if they lose.

+ Show Spoiler [Other Ro32 Groups] +

kr Sleep, kr ByuL, kr FanTaSy, and kr Dear in
in GSL Code S Season 3 round of 32.
Dear must win this match!
Sleep is at 0.01% Blizzcon Chances, with a 27.21% chance to win this match.
If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0.01%, or 0% if they lose.
FanTaSy is at 86.03% Blizzcon Chances, with a 57.27% chance to win this match.
If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 95.97%, or 72.71% if they lose.
ByuL is at 99.57% Blizzcon Chances, with a 61.88% chance to win this match.
If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 99.94%, or 98.97% if they lose.
Dear is at 3.46% Blizzcon Chances, with a 53.64% chance to win this match.
If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 6.4%, or 0.05% if they lose.

kr sKyHigh, kr Dark, kr MMA, and kr PartinG in
in GSL Code S Season 3 round of 32.
MMA must win this match!
Dark has the #3 Headband.
sKyHigh is at 0.01% Blizzcon Chances, with a 25.23% chance to win this match.
If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0.01%, or 0% if they lose.
MMA is at 0.83% Blizzcon Chances, with a 35.05% chance to win this match.
If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 2.35%, or 0.01% if they lose.
Dark is at 61.26% Blizzcon Chances, with a 66.56% chance to win this match.
If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 79.03%, or 25.88% if they lose.
PartinG is at 100% Blizzcon Chances, with a 73.16% chance to win this match.
If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 100%, or 100% if they lose.

kr GuMiho, kr Hurricane, kr soO, and kr Rogue in
in GSL Code S Season 3 round of 32.
GuMiho and soO must win this match!
This is the Group of Death!
GuMiho is at 3.93% Blizzcon Chances, with a 46.47% chance to win this match.
If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 8.32%, or 0.11% if they lose.
soO is at 13.06% Blizzcon Chances, with a 63.12% chance to win this match.
If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 20.48%, or 0.37% if they lose.
Hurricane is at 0.02% Blizzcon Chances, with a 39.94% chance to win this match.
If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0.05%, or 0.01% if they lose.
Rogue is at 87.78% Blizzcon Chances, with a 50.47% chance to win this match.
If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 97.27%, or 78.11% if they lose.

+ Show Spoiler [GSL Winning Chances] +

Solar, Bbyong, Dear, GuMiho, and MMA must win this tournament!
kr INnoVation has a 8.83% chance to win
----going from 99.88% to 100% if they get 1st, or 99.87% if they don't.
kr Classic has a 8.74% chance to win
----going from 100% to 100% if they get 1st, or 100% if they don't.
kr Rain has a 8.62% chance to win
----going from 100% to 100% if they get 1st, or 100% if they don't.
kr Solar has a 8.46% chance to win
----going from 10.7% to 94.37% if they get 1st, or 2.97% if they don't.
kr Maru has a 8.1% chance to win
----going from 100% to 100% if they get 1st, or 100% if they don't.
+ Show Spoiler [More Winning Chances] +

kr Zest has a 7.07% chance to win
----going from 99.99% to 100% if they get 1st, or 99.99% if they don't.
kr soO has a 6.7% chance to win
----going from 13.06% to 99.99% if they get 1st, or 6.82% if they don't.
kr herO has a 6.41% chance to win
----going from 100% to 100% if they get 1st, or 100% if they don't.
kr PartinG has a 5.87% chance to win
----going from 100% to 100% if they get 1st, or 100% if they don't.
kr sOs has a 5.43% chance to win
----going from 32.3% to 100% if they get 1st, or 28.41% if they don't.
kr Bbyong has a 4.88% chance to win
----going from 5.59% to 97.58% if they get 1st, or 0.88% if they don't.
kr Dark has a 4.76% chance to win
----going from 61.26% to 100% if they get 1st, or 59.32% if they don't.
kr FanTaSy has a 2.76% chance to win
----going from 86.03% to 100% if they get 1st, or 85.63% if they don't.
kr ByuL has a 2.54% chance to win
----going from 99.57% to 100% if they get 1st, or 99.56% if they don't.
kr Curious has a 2.2% chance to win
----going from 7.42% to 100% if they get 1st, or 5.34% if they don't.
kr Rogue has a 1.99% chance to win
----going from 87.78% to 100% if they get 1st, or 87.53% if they don't.
kr Dear has a 1.98% chance to win
----going from 3.46% to 99.95% if they get 1st, or 1.51% if they don't.
kr GuMiho has a 1.63% chance to win
----going from 3.93% to 99.99% if they get 1st, or 2.33% if they don't.
kr Flash has a 1.43% chance to win
----going from 0.16% to 11.09% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't.
kr Hurricane has a 0.55% chance to win
----going from 0.02% to 3.62% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't.
kr MMA has a 0.53% chance to win
----going from 0.83% to 99.51% if they get 1st, or 0.3% if they don't.
kr Pigbaby has a 0.31% chance to win
----going from 0.01% to 1.13% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't.
kr sKyHigh has a 0.14% chance to win
----going from 0.01% to 2.68% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't.
kr Sleep has a 0.06% chance to win
----going from 0.01% to 0.15% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't.


+ Show Spoiler [GSL Placements Table] +
[image loading]

"Expert" mods4ever.com
Die4Ever
Profile Joined August 2010
United States17671 Posts
August 14 2015 17:11 GMT
#719
WCS Predictor 2015
WCS Premier Season 3 Ro32 Group B

+ Show Spoiler [Biggest Changes WCS Ro32 Week 1] +
Biggest Winners
kr Dark went up by 2.23%, going from 61.07% to 63.3%
kr Rogue went up by 1.86%, going from 86.94% to 88.8%
kr FanTaSy went up by 1.43%, going from 85.92% to 87.36%
kr TY went up by 1.26%, going from 16.77% to 18.03%
kr sOs went up by 1.01%, going from 32.14% to 33.14%
kr HyuN went up by 0.84%, going from 10.71% to 11.55%
nz Petraeus went up by 0.78%, going from 0.97% to 1.75%
+ Show Spoiler [More Winners] +

kr GuMiho went up by 0.42%, going from 3.89% to 4.31%
kr Stats went up by 0.16%, going from 3.23% to 3.39%
kr Flash went up by 0.16%, going from 0.16% to 0.32%
kr INnoVation went up by 0.1%, going from 99.89% to 99.99%


Biggest Losers
kr Curious went down by 6.87%, going from 7.38% to 0.51%
nl Harstem went down by 0.84%, going from 0.84% to 0.01%
kr ForGG went down by 0.56%, going from 12.05% to 11.5%
kr Bbyong went down by 0.47%, going from 5.56% to 5.09%
kr soO went down by 0.35%, going from 13.11% to 12.76%
fr Lilbow went down by 0.34%, going from 13.69% to 13.34%
de ShoWTimE went down by 0.2%, going from 2.48% to 2.28%
+ Show Spoiler [More Losers] +

fr MarineLorD went down by 0.19%, going from 3.34% to 3.15%
no Snute went down by 0.18%, going from 6.41% to 6.23%



br Kelazhur, si Starbuck, kr Hydra, and fi elfi in
in WCS Premier Season 3 round of 32.
This is the 2nd place Group of Death! (or at least it was before uThermal was replaced by elfi)
Kelazhur is at 0.03% Blizzcon Chances, with a 37.92% chance to win this match.
If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0.07%, or 0% if they lose.
Hydra is at 100% Blizzcon Chances, with a 76.11% chance to win this match.
If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 100%, or 100% if they lose.
Starbuck is at 0.01% Blizzcon Chances, with a 40.26% chance to win this match.
If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0.01%, or 0% if they lose.
elfi is at 0.02% Blizzcon Chances, with a 45.71% chance to win this match.
If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0.04%, or 0.01% if they lose.

+ Show Spoiler [Other Week 1 Groups] +

tw Sen, kr Jaedong, de HeRoMaRinE, and de ShoWTimE in
in WCS Premier Season 3 round of 32.
Jaedong and ShoWTimE must win this match!
Sen is at 0.03% Blizzcon Chances, with a 35.86% chance to win this match.
If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0.07%, or 0% if they lose.
HeRoMaRinE is at 0.04% Blizzcon Chances, with a 49.92% chance to win this match.
If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0.09%, or 0% if they lose.
Jaedong is at 7.03% Blizzcon Chances, with a 57.96% chance to win this match.
If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 12.06%, or 0.09% if they lose.
ShoWTimE is at 2.28% Blizzcon Chances, with a 56.26% chance to win this match.
If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 4.06%, or 0.01% if they lose.

tw Has, fr MarineLorD, au iaguz, and ca MaSa in
in WCS Premier Season 3 round of 32.
MarineLorD must win this match!
Has is at 0.19% Blizzcon Chances, with a 43.08% chance to win this match.
If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0.44%, or 0% if they lose.
iaguz is at 0.08% Blizzcon Chances, with a 43.47% chance to win this match.
If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0.18%, or 0% if they lose.
MarineLorD is at 3.16% Blizzcon Chances, with a 57.07% chance to win this match.
If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 5.54%, or 0.01% if they lose.
MaSa is at 0.04% Blizzcon Chances, with a 56.38% chance to win this match.
If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0.07%, or 0% if they lose.

+ Show Spoiler [Week 2 Groups] +

de GunGFuBanDa, us neeb, fr Lilbow, and cn Shana in
in WCS Premier Season 3 round of 32.
Lilbow must win this match!
GunGFuBanDa is at 0.06% Blizzcon Chances, with a 64.12% chance to win this match.
If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0.09%, or 0% if they lose.
Lilbow is at 13.33% Blizzcon Chances, with a 71.33% chance to win this match.
If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 18.64%, or 0.13% if they lose.
neeb is at 0.01% Blizzcon Chances, with a 34.16% chance to win this match.
If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0.01%, or 0% if they lose.
Shana is at 0.01% Blizzcon Chances, with a 30.4% chance to win this match.
If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0.01%, or 0% if they lose.

cn iAsonu, se Zanster, ca Kane, and kr ForGG in
in WCS Premier Season 3 round of 32.
ForGG must win this match!
iAsonu is at 0.02% Blizzcon Chances, with a 40.14% chance to win this match.
If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0.04%, or 0% if they lose.
Kane is at 0.2% Blizzcon Chances, with a 38.08% chance to win this match.
If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0.51%, or 0.01% if they lose.
Zanster is at 0.02% Blizzcon Chances, with a 57.07% chance to win this match.
If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0.04%, or 0% if they lose.
ForGG is at 11.51% Blizzcon Chances, with a 64.71% chance to win this match.
If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 17.75%, or 0.07% if they lose.

us Hitman, pl Elazer, cn Jim, and no Snute in
in WCS Premier Season 3 round of 32.
Snute must win this match!
Hitman is at 0.01% Blizzcon Chances, with a 40.67% chance to win this match.
If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0.01%, or 0% if they lose.
Jim is at 0.02% Blizzcon Chances, with a 44.31% chance to win this match.
If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0.05%, or 0% if they lose.
Elazer is at 0.01% Blizzcon Chances, with a 47.29% chance to win this match.
If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0.01%, or 0% if they lose.
Snute is at 6.23% Blizzcon Chances, with a 67.74% chance to win this match.
If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 9.19%, or 0.02% if they lose.

kr viOLet, pl MaNa, de TLO, and cn XiGua in
in WCS Premier Season 3 round of 32.
TLO must win this match!
viOLet is at 0.38% Blizzcon Chances, with a 59.07% chance to win this match.
If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0.65%, or 0.01% if they lose.
TLO is at 1.48% Blizzcon Chances, with a 46.38% chance to win this match.
If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 3.19%, or 0.01% if they lose.
MaNa is at 0.37% Blizzcon Chances, with a 67.79% chance to win this match.
If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0.54%, or 0% if they lose.
XiGua is at 0.01% Blizzcon Chances, with a 26.75% chance to win this match.
If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0.01%, or 0% if they lose.

+ Show Spoiler [WCS Winning Chances] +

ForGG, Petraeus, Jaedong, Snute, MarineLorD, ShoWTimE, TLO, Kane, and Has must win this tournament!
kr Hydra has a 18.59% chance to win
----going from 100% to 100% if they get 1st, or 100% if they don't.
kr Polt has a 14.5% chance to win
----going from 99.99% to 100% if they get 1st, or 99.99% if they don't.
kr ForGG has a 8.47% chance to win
----going from 11.51% to 99.91% if they get 1st, or 3.33% if they don't.
fr Lilbow has a 8.11% chance to win
----going from 13.33% to 99.98% if they get 1st, or 5.68% if they don't.
nz Petraeus has a 7.51% chance to win
----going from 1.75% to 22.68% if they get 1st, or 0.05% if they don't.
+ Show Spoiler [More Winning Chances] +

kr Jaedong has a 4.98% chance to win
----going from 7.03% to 98.53% if they get 1st, or 2.23% if they don't.
no Snute has a 4.94% chance to win
----going from 6.23% to 99.57% if they get 1st, or 1.38% if they don't.
pl MaNa has a 3.99% chance to win
----going from 0.37% to 9.07% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't.
fr MarineLorD has a 3.87% chance to win
----going from 3.16% to 79.37% if they get 1st, or 0.1% if they don't.
kr viOLet has a 3.18% chance to win
----going from 0.38% to 11.72% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't.
de ShoWTimE has a 2.85% chance to win
----going from 2.28% to 77.68% if they get 1st, or 0.07% if they don't.
ca MaSa has a 2.68% chance to win
----going from 0.04% to 1.44% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't.
de HeRoMaRinE has a 2.53% chance to win
----going from 0.04% to 1.68% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't.
se Zanster has a 2.23% chance to win
----going from 0.02% to 0.91% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't.
de GunGFuBanDa has a 1.82% chance to win
----going from 0.06% to 3.26% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't.
cn Jim has a 1.11% chance to win
----going from 0.02% to 2.11% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't.
de TLO has a 1.08% chance to win
----going from 1.48% to 99.56% if they get 1st, or 0.42% if they don't.
fi elfi has a 1.02% chance to win
----going from 0.02% to 1.72% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't.
au iaguz has a 0.85% chance to win
----going from 0.08% to 8.88% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't.
br Kelazhur has a 0.81% chance to win
----going from 0.03% to 3.25% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't.
pl Elazer has a 0.8% chance to win
----going from 0.01% to 0.71% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't.
ca Kane has a 0.71% chance to win
----going from 0.2% to 27.01% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't.
si Starbuck has a 0.69% chance to win
----going from 0.01% to 0.34% if they get 1st, or 0% if they don't.
cn iAsonu has a 0.64% chance to win
----going from 0.02% to 2.38% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't.
tw Sen has a 0.64% chance to win
----going from 0.03% to 4.06% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't.
tw Has has a 0.49% chance to win
----going from 0.19% to 37.76% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't.
us Hitman has a 0.45% chance to win
----going from 0.01% to 0.18% if they get 1st, or 0% if they don't.
us neeb has a 0.31% chance to win
----going from 0.01% to 0.2% if they get 1st, or 0% if they don't.
cn XiGua has a 0.09% chance to win
----going from 0.01% to 0.94% if they get 1st, or 0% if they don't.
cn Shana has a 0.06% chance to win
----going from 0.01% to 0.09% if they get 1st, or 0% if they don't.


+ Show Spoiler [WCS Placements Table] +
[image loading]

"Expert" mods4ever.com
Hot_Ice
Profile Joined January 2013
139 Posts
August 15 2015 00:34 GMT
#720
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