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WCS Predictor 2015 - Page 19

Forum Index > SC2 General
Post a Reply
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Die4Ever
Profile Joined August 2010
United States17736 Posts
Last Edited: 2015-04-13 23:13:04
April 13 2015 23:10 GMT
#361
On April 14 2015 07:22 sharkie wrote:
Show nested quote +
On April 14 2015 07:16 Die4Ever wrote:
Thank you Elfi and MarineLord! Now I just need Stardust, Petraeus, and Lilbow to qualify! I might also buy Soulkey and Terminator for Code A


You picked Elfi? haha
what a random pick, he hasn't performed for months XD

WAIT WHERE IS NERCHIO ON MY team;_; ;_; ;_; ;_;
I bought him after I sold JD this morning :'(

I think you mistakenly didn't read an error message about not enough samples in the simulation? Cause the timing seems to work out in my logs, unfortunately I wasn't logging the exact error output. I'll give you the retroactive benefit of the doubt this time, since I can clearly see your attempt to buy Nerchio on the logs.
"Expert" mods4ever.com
OtherWorld
Profile Blog Joined October 2013
France17333 Posts
April 14 2015 06:40 GMT
#362
Sooo my French quartet isn't working so well so far. I'm afraid that the power of the baguette is going to fail me hard.
Used Sigs - New Sigs - Cheap Sigs - Buy the Best Cheap Sig near You at www.cheapsigforsale.com
sharkie
Profile Blog Joined April 2012
Austria18644 Posts
April 14 2015 08:13 GMT
#363
On April 14 2015 08:10 Die4Ever wrote:
Show nested quote +
On April 14 2015 07:22 sharkie wrote:
On April 14 2015 07:16 Die4Ever wrote:
Thank you Elfi and MarineLord! Now I just need Stardust, Petraeus, and Lilbow to qualify! I might also buy Soulkey and Terminator for Code A


You picked Elfi? haha
what a random pick, he hasn't performed for months XD

WAIT WHERE IS NERCHIO ON MY team;_; ;_; ;_; ;_;
I bought him after I sold JD this morning :'(

I think you mistakenly didn't read an error message about not enough samples in the simulation? Cause the timing seems to work out in my logs, unfortunately I wasn't logging the exact error output. I'll give you the retroactive benefit of the doubt this time, since I can clearly see your attempt to buy Nerchio on the logs.


Omg how kind of you :'(
Thank you a lot D4E but it wasn't really necessary, thanks again!
Die4Ever
Profile Joined August 2010
United States17736 Posts
April 15 2015 04:03 GMT
#364
WCS Predictor 2015
GSL Code A Season 2 Day 7

kr FanTaSy vs kr Pigbaby in
in GSL Code A Season 2 round of 48.
kr FanTaSy is at 41.01% Blizzcon Chances.
68.35% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 49.2%.
31.65% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 23.31%.
kr Pigbaby is at 0.1% Blizzcon Chances.
31.65% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 0.28%.
68.35% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 0.02%.

kr HerO vs kr Terminator in
in GSL Code A Season 2 round of 48.
kr HerO is at 0.19% Blizzcon Chances.
47.3% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 0.37%.
52.7% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 0.03%.
kr Terminator is at 10.72% Blizzcon Chances.
52.7% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 16.43%.
47.3% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 4.36%.

kr Creator vs kr Soulkey in
in GSL Code A Season 2 round of 48.
kr Creator is at 0.28% Blizzcon Chances.
33.5% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 0.71%.
66.5% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 0.06%.
kr Soulkey is at 61.58% Blizzcon Chances.
66.5% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 68.68%.
33.5% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 47.49%.

+ Show Spoiler [Code A Winning Chances] +

kr FanTaSy has a 68.35% chance to win
----going from 41.01% to 49.2% if they get 1st, or 23.31% if they don't.
kr Soulkey has a 66.5% chance to win
----going from 61.58% to 68.68% if they get 1st, or 47.49% if they don't.
kr Trust has a 63.47% chance to win
----going from 0.52% to 0.77% if they get 1st, or 0.08% if they don't.
kr Curious has a 60.34% chance to win
----going from 0.71% to 1.11% if they get 1st, or 0.12% if they don't.
kr MarineKing has a 53.54% chance to win
----going from 1.11% to 1.83% if they get 1st, or 0.28% if they don't.
+ Show Spoiler [More Winning Chances] +

kr Terminator has a 52.7% chance to win
----going from 10.72% to 16.43% if they get 1st, or 4.36% if they don't.
kr HerO has a 47.3% chance to win
----going from 0.19% to 0.37% if they get 1st, or 0.03% if they don't.
kr Patience has a 46.46% chance to win
----going from 0.85% to 1.59% if they get 1st, or 0.21% if they don't.
kr BrAvO has a 39.66% chance to win
----going from 0.06% to 0.14% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't.
kr MC has a 36.53% chance to win
----going from 0.67% to 1.53% if they get 1st, or 0.18% if they don't.
kr Creator has a 33.5% chance to win
----going from 0.28% to 0.71% if they get 1st, or 0.06% if they don't.
kr Pigbaby has a 31.65% chance to win
----going from 0.1% to 0.28% if they get 1st, or 0.02% if they don't.


+ Show Spoiler [Code S Winning Chances] +

kr PartinG has a 13.11% chance to win
----going from 99.94% to 100% if they get 1st, or 100% if they get 2nd.
kr Life has a 9.64% chance to win
----going from 100% to 100% if they get 1st, or 100% if they get 2nd.
kr herO has a 8.28% chance to win
----going from 99.99% to 100% if they get 1st, or 100% if they get 2nd.
kr Rain has a 6.3% chance to win
----going from 49.37% to 99.99% if they get 1st, or 91.53% if they get 2nd.
kr Maru has a 6.25% chance to win
----going from 99.99% to 100% if they get 1st, or 100% if they get 2nd.
+ Show Spoiler [More Winning Chances] +

kr Dark has a 5.64% chance to win
----going from 56.57% to 99.99% if they get 1st, or 95.99% if they get 2nd.
kr INnoVation has a 5.21% chance to win
----going from 45.84% to 99.97% if they get 1st, or 89.37% if they get 2nd.
kr Rogue has a 4.32% chance to win
----going from 43.25% to 99.99% if they get 1st, or 91.26% if they get 2nd.
kr sOs has a 4.01% chance to win
----going from 21.05% to 95.67% if they get 1st, or 58.6% if they get 2nd.
kr Bbyong has a 3.56% chance to win
----going from 23.1% to 96.95% if they get 1st, or 63.61% if they get 2nd.
kr soO has a 3.24% chance to win
----going from 23.35% to 85.09% if they get 1st, or 53.14% if they get 2nd.
kr Solar has a 3.04% chance to win
----going from 13.56% to 87.16% if they get 1st, or 43.55% if they get 2nd.
kr FanTaSy has a 2.82% chance to win
----going from 41.01% to 99.99% if they get 1st, or 92.7% if they get 2nd.
kr GuMiho has a 2.56% chance to win
----going from 17.66% to 94.24% if they get 1st, or 56.43% if they get 2nd.
kr MMA has a 2.41% chance to win
----going from 20.86% to 97.9% if they get 1st, or 65.67% if they get 2nd.
kr ByuL has a 2.17% chance to win
----going from 21.38% to 89.46% if they get 1st, or 55.94% if they get 2nd.
kr Flash has a 2.01% chance to win
----going from 3.98% to 51.35% if they get 1st, or 3.01% if they don't.
kr Soulkey has a 1.96% chance to win
----going from 61.58% to 100% if they get 1st, or 98.9% if they get 2nd.
kr TY has a 1.95% chance to win
----going from 17.96% to 98.77% if they get 1st, or 65.27% if they get 2nd.
kr Dream has a 1.77% chance to win
----going from 83.75% to 100% if they get 1st, or 99.96% if they get 2nd.
kr Sacsri has a 1.73% chance to win
----going from 4.54% to 60.95% if they get 1st, or 3.54% if they don't.
kr Bomber has a 1.47% chance to win
----going from 5.87% to 75.92% if they get 1st, or 29.31% if they get 2nd.
kr YoDa has a 1.09% chance to win
----going from 3.06% to 60.73% if they get 1st, or 2.43% if they don't.
kr MyuNgSiK has a 1.05% chance to win
----going from 4.82% to 80.35% if they get 1st, or 4.02% if they don't.
kr Terminator has a 0.83% chance to win
----going from 10.72% to 99.23% if they get 1st, or 67.55% if they get 2nd.
kr Symbol has a 0.56% chance to win
----going from 1.08% to 47.91% if they get 1st, or 0.82% if they don't.
kr RagnaroK has a 0.54% chance to win
----going from 0.55% to 30.85% if they get 1st, or 0.39% if they don't.
kr Trust has a 0.43% chance to win
----going from 0.52% to 32.84% if they get 1st, or 0.38% if they don't.
kr Curious has a 0.42% chance to win
----going from 0.71% to 41.9% if they get 1st, or 0.54% if they don't.


"Expert" mods4ever.com
sharkie
Profile Blog Joined April 2012
Austria18644 Posts
April 15 2015 06:32 GMT
#365
WCS Am a big disappointment lol
sharkie
Profile Blog Joined April 2012
Austria18644 Posts
April 15 2015 13:05 GMT
#366
ouch, Soulkey losing will hurt a lot
sharkie
Profile Blog Joined April 2012
Austria18644 Posts
April 15 2015 23:19 GMT
#367
Only Lilbow has not disappointed us within the last 24hours D4E :p
HelpMeGetBetter
Profile Blog Joined November 2012
United States764 Posts
April 15 2015 23:22 GMT
#368
Did the first qualifier for Copa América 2015 happen yesterday? or when are those happening?
Die4Ever
Profile Joined August 2010
United States17736 Posts
April 15 2015 23:28 GMT
#369
On April 16 2015 08:19 sharkie wrote:
Only Lilbow has not disappointed us within the last 24hours D4E :p

haha yea

On April 16 2015 08:22 HelpMeGetBetter wrote:
Did the first qualifier for Copa América 2015 happen yesterday? or when are those happening?

starts on the 23rd, I don't know how long it'll take to get the WCS Challenger and Premier players set, but the overall tournament ends May 7th
http://wiki.teamliquid.net/starcraft2/Copa_America_2015/season_1
"Expert" mods4ever.com
HelpMeGetBetter
Profile Blog Joined November 2012
United States764 Posts
April 15 2015 23:30 GMT
#370
On April 16 2015 08:28 Die4Ever wrote:
Show nested quote +
On April 16 2015 08:19 sharkie wrote:
Only Lilbow has not disappointed us within the last 24hours D4E :p

haha yea

Show nested quote +
On April 16 2015 08:22 HelpMeGetBetter wrote:
Did the first qualifier for Copa América 2015 happen yesterday? or when are those happening?

starts on the 23rd, I don't know how long it'll take to get the WCS Challenger and Premier players set, but the overall tournament ends May 7th
http://wiki.teamliquid.net/starcraft2/Copa_America_2015/season_1



HA AH. SHould of known the dates on blizzard's website were wrong...
Die4Ever
Profile Joined August 2010
United States17736 Posts
April 15 2015 23:33 GMT
#371
On April 16 2015 08:30 HelpMeGetBetter wrote:
Show nested quote +
On April 16 2015 08:28 Die4Ever wrote:
On April 16 2015 08:19 sharkie wrote:
Only Lilbow has not disappointed us within the last 24hours D4E :p

haha yea

On April 16 2015 08:22 HelpMeGetBetter wrote:
Did the first qualifier for Copa América 2015 happen yesterday? or when are those happening?

starts on the 23rd, I don't know how long it'll take to get the WCS Challenger and Premier players set, but the overall tournament ends May 7th
http://wiki.teamliquid.net/starcraft2/Copa_America_2015/season_1



HA AH. SHould of known the dates on blizzard's website were wrong...

Hmm I don't know if we can be sure which is right without confirmation.
"Expert" mods4ever.com
OtherWorld
Profile Blog Joined October 2013
France17333 Posts
Last Edited: 2015-04-16 06:03:23
April 16 2015 06:00 GMT
#372
Pff terrible qualifiers for me
e : wait how did Stephano gain 250 in value, not bad
Used Sigs - New Sigs - Cheap Sigs - Buy the Best Cheap Sig near You at www.cheapsigforsale.com
sharkie
Profile Blog Joined April 2012
Austria18644 Posts
April 16 2015 14:26 GMT
#373
Why did Stephano gain value? o.O
Die4Ever
Profile Joined August 2010
United States17736 Posts
April 16 2015 14:48 GMT
#374
On April 16 2015 15:00 OtherWorld wrote:
Pff terrible qualifiers for me
e : wait how did Stephano gain 250 in value, not bad

On April 16 2015 23:26 sharkie wrote:
Why did Stephano gain value? o.O


It's cause his Aligulac status went from idle to active.
"Expert" mods4ever.com
Hatchet_man
Profile Joined December 2013
Russian Federation249 Posts
April 16 2015 14:56 GMT
#375
WCS Qualifiers Season 2  in ~ 8 hours and 10 minutes

Ian has a 55.13% chance to win, going from 0.01% to 0.01% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't.

Zeal has a 50.06% chance to win, going from 0.01% to 0.01% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't.

Jaedong has a 50.02% chance to win, going from 10.13% to 9.85% if they get 1st, or 10.41% if they don't.

qxc has a 49.96% chance to win, going from 0.22% to 0.23% if they get 1st, or 0.21% if they don't.


Jaedong's chances gone wild
Die4Ever
Profile Joined August 2010
United States17736 Posts
April 16 2015 15:05 GMT
#376
On April 16 2015 23:56 Hatchet_man wrote:
Show nested quote +
WCS Qualifiers Season 2  in ~ 8 hours and 10 minutes

Ian has a 55.13% chance to win, going from 0.01% to 0.01% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't.

Zeal has a 50.06% chance to win, going from 0.01% to 0.01% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't.

Jaedong has a 50.02% chance to win, going from 10.13% to 9.85% if they get 1st, or 10.41% if they don't.

qxc has a 49.96% chance to win, going from 0.22% to 0.23% if they get 1st, or 0.21% if they don't.


Jaedong's chances gone wild

Yea I'm fixing that now actually lol, thanks.
"Expert" mods4ever.com
sharkie
Profile Blog Joined April 2012
Austria18644 Posts
April 16 2015 21:47 GMT
#377
why is trading locked?
Die4Ever
Profile Joined August 2010
United States17736 Posts
Last Edited: 2015-04-16 21:59:22
April 16 2015 21:58 GMT
#378
On April 17 2015 06:47 sharkie wrote:
why is trading locked?

Dreamhack announcement, will be able to update it soon but at work lol. If you want to buy or sell unrelated players I can put them in manually, since WCS quals is about to start.
(maybe I didn't need to lock for it though)
"Expert" mods4ever.com
sharkie
Profile Blog Joined April 2012
Austria18644 Posts
April 16 2015 21:59 GMT
#379
On April 17 2015 06:58 Die4Ever wrote:
Show nested quote +
On April 17 2015 06:47 sharkie wrote:
why is trading locked?

Dreamhack announcement, will be able to update it soon but at work lol. If you want to buy or sell unrelated players I can put them in manually, since WCS quals is about to start.


Scarlett and Masa please!
Die4Ever
Profile Joined August 2010
United States17736 Posts
April 16 2015 22:02 GMT
#380
On April 17 2015 06:59 sharkie wrote:
Show nested quote +
On April 17 2015 06:58 Die4Ever wrote:
On April 17 2015 06:47 sharkie wrote:
why is trading locked?

Dreamhack announcement, will be able to update it soon but at work lol. If you want to buy or sell unrelated players I can put them in manually, since WCS quals is about to start.


Scarlett and Masa please!

on your team now
"Expert" mods4ever.com
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