EPTThanks a lot! You are the best
WCS Predictor 2015 - Page 20
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sharkie
Austria18445 Posts
Thanks a lot! You are the best | ||
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Die4Ever
United States17677 Posts
We will be looking at 5 different scores. Champion Chances Score is the chances to win the tournament for each player in the group added together. Blizzcon Chances Score is the chances to qualify for Blizzcon for each player in the group added together. Blizzcon Chances Lost Score is how much the Blizzcon Chances Score went down by because of the group drawing. Effects Score is the sum of the amount of Blizzcon chances each player would gain if they won the group, plus the amount of Blizzcon chances each player would lose if they lost the group. Aligulac Score is the average Aligulac rating of the players in the group. Champion Chances D > C > A > B + Show Spoiler [Champion Chances] + Group A   Zest has a 9.58% chance to win StarLeague Season 2 Hurricane has a 3.13% chance to win StarLeague Season 2  Maru has a 9.17% chance to win StarLeague Season 2  Leenock has a 1.82% chance to win StarLeague Season 2Giving this match a Champion Chances Score of 23.7055 Group B HyuN has a 5.29% chance to win StarLeague Season 2 Soulkey has a 4.62% chance to win StarLeague Season 2 Dream has a 4.79% chance to win StarLeague Season 2 Classic has a 2.76% chance to win StarLeague Season 2Giving this match a Champion Chances Score of 17.4571 Group C Trap has a 9.95% chance to win StarLeague Season 2 soO has a 4.12% chance to win StarLeague Season 2 ByuL has a 2.57% chance to win StarLeague Season 2 Life has a 11.44% chance to win StarLeague Season 2Giving this match a Champion Chances Score of 28.0786 Group D PartinG has a 13.02% chance to win StarLeague Season 2 herO has a 6.81% chance to win StarLeague Season 2 Stats has a 6.49% chance to win StarLeague Season 2 Dear has a 4.45% chance to win StarLeague Season 2Giving this match a Champion Chances Score of 30.7589 Blizzcon Chances D > A > C > B + Show Spoiler [Blizzcon Chances] + Group A Zest has a 86.93% chance to qualify for Blizzcon Hurricane has a 6.3% chance to qualify for Blizzcon Maru has a 99.99% chance to qualify for Blizzcon Leenock has a 9.71% chance to qualify for BlizzconGiving this match a Blizzcon Chances Score of 202.944 Group B HyuN has a 21.02% chance to qualify for Blizzcon Soulkey has a 48.34% chance to qualify for Blizzcon Dream has a 83.2% chance to qualify for Blizzcon Classic has a 11.95% chance to qualify for BlizzconGiving this match a Blizzcon Chances Score of 164.504 Group C Trap has a 46.61% chance to qualify for Blizzcon soO has a 21.83% chance to qualify for Blizzcon ByuL has a 18.99% chance to qualify for Blizzcon Life has a 100% chance to qualify for BlizzconGiving this match a Blizzcon Chances Score of 187.446 Group D PartinG has a 99.94% chance to qualify for Blizzcon herO has a 99.99% chance to qualify for Blizzcon Stats has a 49.22% chance to qualify for Blizzcon Dear has a 33.01% chance to qualify for BlizzconGiving this match a Blizzcon Chances Score of 282.159 Blizzcon Chances Lost D > C > A > B + Show Spoiler [Blizzcon Chances Lost] + Group A Zest's Blizzcon Chances changed by 0.89% Hurricane's Blizzcon Chances changed by -0.14% Maru's Blizzcon Chances changed by -0.01% Leenock's Blizzcon Chances changed by 0.15%Giving this match a Blizzcon Chances Lost Score of -0.905428 Group B HyuN's Blizzcon Chances changed by 2.01% Soulkey's Blizzcon Chances changed by 2.81% Dream's Blizzcon Chances changed by -0.47% Classic's Blizzcon Chances changed by 0.17%Giving this match a Blizzcon Chances Lost Score of -4.50959 Group C Trap's Blizzcon Chances changed by 2.58% soO's Blizzcon Chances changed by -1.2% ByuL's Blizzcon Chances changed by -2.15% Life's Blizzcon Chances changed by 0%Giving this match a Blizzcon Chances Lost Score of 0.76496 Group D PartinG's Blizzcon Chances changed by -0.01% herO's Blizzcon Chances changed by -0.01% Stats's Blizzcon Chances changed by -0.33% Dear's Blizzcon Chances changed by -1.43%Giving this match a Blizzcon Chances Lost Score of 1.76156 Effects B > C > D > A + Show Spoiler [Effects] + Group A When Zest wins this match, their Blizzcon Chances go up by 9.58%When Zest loses this match, their Blizzcon Chances go down by 13.75%When Hurricane wins this match, their Blizzcon Chances go up by 7.04%When Hurricane loses this match, their Blizzcon Chances go down by 5.17%When Maru wins this match, their Blizzcon Chances go up by 0.01%When Maru loses this match, their Blizzcon Chances go down by 0.01%When Leenock wins this match, their Blizzcon Chances go up by 11.6%When Leenock loses this match, their Blizzcon Chances go down by 7.48%Giving this match an Effects Score of 54.6229 Group B When HyuN wins this match, their Blizzcon Chances go up by 11.93%When HyuN loses this match, their Blizzcon Chances go down by 15.41%When Soulkey wins this match, their Blizzcon Chances go up by 21.31%When Soulkey loses this match, their Blizzcon Chances go down by 24.19%When Dream wins this match, their Blizzcon Chances go up by 12.26%When Dream loses this match, their Blizzcon Chances go down by 11.42%When Classic wins this match, their Blizzcon Chances go up by 12.58%When Classic loses this match, their Blizzcon Chances go down by 9.21%Giving this match an Effects Score of 118.29 Group C When Trap wins this match, their Blizzcon Chances go up by 16.42%When Trap loses this match, their Blizzcon Chances go down by 26.95%When soO wins this match, their Blizzcon Chances go up by 15.54%When soO loses this match, their Blizzcon Chances go down by 11.77%When ByuL wins this match, their Blizzcon Chances go up by 17.89%When ByuL loses this match, their Blizzcon Chances go down by 9.52%When Life wins this match, their Blizzcon Chances go up by 0%When Life loses this match, their Blizzcon Chances go down by 0%Giving this match an Effects Score of 98.0923 Group D When PartinG wins this match, their Blizzcon Chances go up by 0.05%When PartinG loses this match, their Blizzcon Chances go down by 0.08%When herO wins this match, their Blizzcon Chances go up by 0.01%When herO loses this match, their Blizzcon Chances go down by 0.01%When Stats wins this match, their Blizzcon Chances go up by 21.21%When Stats loses this match, their Blizzcon Chances go down by 24.09%When Dear wins this match, their Blizzcon Chances go up by 23.01%When Dear loses this match, their Blizzcon Chances go down by 18.22%Giving this match an Effects Score of 86.6748 Aliglac Ratings D > C > A > B + Show Spoiler [Aligulac Ratings] + Group A Zest has an Aligulac rating of 2165 Hurricane has an Aligulac rating of 1960 Maru has an Aligulac rating of 2241 Leenock has an Aligulac rating of 1872Giving this match an Aligulac Score of 8238 Group B HyuN has an Aligulac rating of 2099 Soulkey has an Aligulac rating of 2043 Dream has an Aligulac rating of 1994 Classic has an Aligulac rating of 1915Giving this match an Aligulac Score of 8051 Group C Trap has an Aligulac rating of 2221 soO has an Aligulac rating of 2071 ByuL has an Aligulac rating of 1995 Life has an Aligulac rating of 2328Giving this match an Aligulac Score of 8615 Group D PartinG has an Aligulac rating of 2372 herO has an Aligulac rating of 2239 Stats has an Aligulac rating of 2080 Dear has an Aligulac rating of 2042Giving this match an Aligulac Score of 8733 Final Placings Group A has one 2nd place, three 3rd places, and one 4th place Group B has one 1st place, and four 4th places Group C has four 2nd places, and one 3rd place Group D has four 1st places, and one 3rd place Group D is our Group of Death! Congrats to PartinG, herO, Stats, and Dear! Group C is our 2nd place Group of Death with Trap, soO, ByuL, and Life! What do you think? Poll: Group of Death? Group D (Stats, Dear, PartinG, herO) (165) Group C (Life, ByuL, soO, Trap) (98) Group A (Maru, Hurricane, Zest, Leenock) (24) Group B (Dream, Soulkey, HyuN, Classic) (14) 301 total votes Your vote: Group of Death? (Vote): Group A (Maru, Hurricane, Zest, Leenock) | ||
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Die4Ever
United States17677 Posts
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Die4Ever
United States17677 Posts
WCS Predictor 2015 GSL Code A Season 2 Day 8 MarineKing vs Patience in in GSL Code A Season 2 round of 48. MarineKing is at 1.01% Blizzcon Chances.51.47% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 1.7%. 48.53% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 0.26%. Patience is at 1.24% Blizzcon Chances.48.53% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 2.21%. 51.47% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 0.32%. Curious vs BrAvO in in GSL Code A Season 2 round of 48. Curious is at 0.68% Blizzcon Chances.60.3% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 1.05%. 39.7% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 0.11%. BrAvO is at 0.05% Blizzcon Chances.39.7% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 0.12%. 60.3% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 0.01%. MC vs Trust in in GSL Code A Season 2 round of 48. MC is at 0.64% Blizzcon Chances.36.58% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 1.47%. 63.42% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 0.16%. Trust is at 0.49% Blizzcon Chances.63.42% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 0.73%. 36.58% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 0.08%. + Show Spoiler [Code S Winning Chances] + PartinG has a 12.9% chance to win----going from 99.94% to 100% if they get 1st, or 100% if they get 2nd. Life has a 9.68% chance to win----going from 100% to 100% if they get 1st, or 100% if they get 2nd. herO has a 8.27% chance to win----going from 99.99% to 100% if they get 1st, or 100% if they get 2nd. Maru has a 6.35% chance to win----going from 100% to 100% if they get 1st, or 100% if they get 2nd. Rain has a 6.32% chance to win----going from 55.72% to 99.99% if they get 1st, or 94.27% if they get 2nd. + Show Spoiler [More Winning Chances] + Dark has a 5.69% chance to win----going from 56.71% to 99.99% if they get 1st, or 95.8% if they get 2nd. INnoVation has a 5.21% chance to win----going from 45.89% to 99.97% if they get 1st, or 89.17% if they get 2nd. Rogue has a 4.37% chance to win----going from 51.55% to 99.99% if they get 1st, or 94.84% if they get 2nd. FanTaSy has a 4.33% chance to win----going from 50.93% to 99.97% if they get 1st, or 93.17% if they get 2nd. sOs has a 4.05% chance to win----going from 21.18% to 95.26% if they get 1st, or 58.65% if they get 2nd. Bbyong has a 3.52% chance to win----going from 23.01% to 96.83% if they get 1st, or 62.98% if they get 2nd. soO has a 3.25% chance to win----going from 21.44% to 83.75% if they get 1st, or 50.31% if they get 2nd. Solar has a 3.06% chance to win----going from 13.54% to 86.86% if they get 1st, or 43.28% if they get 2nd. MMA has a 2.43% chance to win----going from 21.03% to 97.95% if they get 1st, or 65.85% if they get 2nd. GuMiho has a 2.36% chance to win----going from 16.6% to 93.67% if they get 1st, or 55.25% if they get 2nd. ByuL has a 2.26% chance to win----going from 18.63% to 87.14% if they get 1st, or 50.79% if they get 2nd. Flash has a 2.03% chance to win----going from 3.91% to 50.76% if they get 1st, or 2.94% if they don't. TY has a 1.97% chance to win----going from 17.71% to 98.63% if they get 1st, or 64.43% if they get 2nd. Sacsri has a 1.92% chance to win----going from 5.11% to 61.65% if they get 1st, or 22.08% if they get 2nd. Dream has a 1.76% chance to win----going from 82.68% to 100% if they get 1st, or 99.96% if they get 2nd. Bomber has a 1.49% chance to win----going from 5.78% to 75.54% if they get 1st, or 28.55% if they get 2nd. YoDa has a 1.08% chance to win----going from 2.91% to 59.2% if they get 1st, or 2.3% if they don't. MyuNgSiK has a 1.05% chance to win----going from 4.66% to 79.16% if they get 1st, or 3.87% if they don't. Creator has a 0.78% chance to win----going from 0.94% to 35.5% if they get 1st, or 0.67% if they don't. Symbol has a 0.75% chance to win----going from 1.36% to 48.76% if they get 1st, or 1.01% if they don't. RagnaroK has a 0.54% chance to win----going from 0.51% to 28.77% if they get 1st, or 0.36% if they don't. Curious has a 0.44% chance to win----going from 0.67% to 40.34% if they get 1st, or 0.5% if they don't. Trust has a 0.43% chance to win----going from 0.49% to 31.36% if they get 1st, or 0.36% if they don't. HerO has a 0.41% chance to win----going from 0.35% to 26.62% if they get 1st, or 0.24% if they don't. Patience has a 0.37% chance to win----going from 1.23% to 62.1% if they get 1st, or 1.01% if they don't. Sorry has a 0.3% chance to win----going from 0.28% to 25.13% if they get 1st, or 0.21% if they don't. MC has a 0.24% chance to win----going from 0.64% to 55.19% if they get 1st, or 0.51% if they don't. | ||
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sharkie
Austria18445 Posts
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Die4Ever
United States17677 Posts
WCS Predictor 2015 WCS Challenger Season 2  PiG vs NXZ in in WCS Challenger Season 2 round of 64. PiG is at 1.85% Blizzcon Chances.68.01% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 2.68%. 31.99% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 0.08%. NXZ is at 0.03% Blizzcon Chances.31.99% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 0.11%. 68.01% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 0.01%. iaguz vs  Blysk in in WCS Challenger Season 2 round of 64. iaguz is at 0.45% Blizzcon Chances.54.14% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 0.82%. 45.86% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 0.02%. Blysk is at 0.06% Blizzcon Chances.45.86% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 0.12%. 54.14% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 0.01%.  Courage vs iAsonu in in WCS Challenger Season 2 round of 64. Courage is at 0% Blizzcon Chances.31.52% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 0%. 68.48% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 0%. iAsonu is at 0.11% Blizzcon Chances.68.48% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 0.16%. 31.52% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 0.01%. Jim vs Cyan in in WCS Challenger Season 2 round of 64. Jim is at 0.49% Blizzcon Chances.82.57% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 0.58%. 17.43% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 0.04%. Cyan is at 0% Blizzcon Chances.17.43% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 0%. 82.57% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 0%. TooDming vs XiGua in in WCS Challenger Season 2 round of 64. TooDming is at 0.19% Blizzcon Chances.55.08% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 0.33%. 44.92% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 0.02%. XiGua is at 0.07% Blizzcon Chances.44.92% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 0.14%. 55.08% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 0.01%. MacSed vs Mystery in in WCS Challenger Season 2 round of 64. MacSed is at 0.76% Blizzcon Chances.67.37% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 1.09%. 32.63% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 0.08%. Mystery is at 0.01% Blizzcon Chances.32.63% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 0.01%. 67.37% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 0.01%. + Show Spoiler [WCS Challenger Winning Chances] +  MajOr has a 85.51% chance to win----going from 5.84% to 6.74% if they get 1st, or 0.53% if they don't. Jim has a 82.57% chance to win----going from 0.49% to 0.58% if they get 1st, or 0.04% if they don't. Hydra has a 76.29% chance to win----going from 75.29% to 85.19% if they get 1st, or 43.41% if they don't.  Has has a 75.28% chance to win----going from 0.86% to 1.11% if they get 1st, or 0.12% if they don't.  Kelazhur has a 75.25% chance to win----going from 0.1% to 0.13% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. + Show Spoiler [More Winning Chances] + ForGG has a 72.72% chance to win----going from 52.12% to 65.49% if they get 1st, or 16.49% if they don't. Sen has a 72.44% chance to win----going from 1.32% to 1.74% if they get 1st, or 0.21% if they don't. iAsonu has a 68.48% chance to win----going from 0.11% to 0.16% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. PiG has a 68.01% chance to win----going from 1.85% to 2.68% if they get 1st, or 0.08% if they don't. MacSed has a 67.37% chance to win----going from 0.76% to 1.09% if they get 1st, or 0.08% if they don't.  Bunny has a 64.15% chance to win----going from 22.96% to 33.59% if they get 1st, or 3.95% if they don't. viOLet has a 63.86% chance to win----going from 3.7% to 5.62% if they get 1st, or 0.3% if they don't. Jaedong has a 60.62% chance to win----going from 9.93% to 15.53% if they get 1st, or 1.31% if they don't.  NaNiwa has a 60.4% chance to win----going from 7.85% to 12.6% if they get 1st, or 0.6% if they don't.  HuK has a 60.3% chance to win----going from 1.8% to 2.93% if they get 1st, or 0.09% if they don't.  Snute has a 59.99% chance to win----going from 15.85% to 24.71% if they get 1st, or 2.58% if they don't.  Happy has a 59.58% chance to win----going from 4.18% to 6.85% if they get 1st, or 0.25% if they don't. Kane has a 59.58% chance to win----going from 2.14% to 3.5% if they get 1st, or 0.14% if they don't.  ShoWTimE has a 56.52% chance to win----going from 10.26% to 17.08% if they get 1st, or 1.39% if they don't. StarDust has a 56.2% chance to win----going from 1.73% to 2.99% if they get 1st, or 0.1% if they don't. TargA has a 55.29% chance to win----going from 3.56% to 6.23% if they get 1st, or 0.26% if they don't. TooDming has a 55.08% chance to win----going from 0.19% to 0.33% if they get 1st, or 0.02% if they don't. iaguz has a 54.14% chance to win----going from 0.45% to 0.82% if they get 1st, or 0.02% if they don't.  Nerchio has a 53.92% chance to win----going from 2.98% to 5.37% if they get 1st, or 0.17% if they don't.  Lilbow has a 53.89% chance to win----going from 4.34% to 7.8% if they get 1st, or 0.3% if they don't.  puCK has a 52.92% chance to win----going from 0.21% to 0.4% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. HeRoMaRinE has a 52.34% chance to win----going from 3.08% to 5.74% if they get 1st, or 0.16% if they don't. MaNa has a 51.73% chance to win----going from 2.69% to 5.01% if they get 1st, or 0.2% if they don't.  uThermal has a 51.44% chance to win----going from 1.8% to 3.39% if they get 1st, or 0.12% if they don't. MarineLorD has a 51.12% chance to win----going from 3.24% to 6.14% if they get 1st, or 0.21% if they don't. Suppy has a 50.36% chance to win----going from 0.11% to 0.21% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. FireCake has a 50.28% chance to win----going from 1.88% to 3.61% if they get 1st, or 0.12% if they don't.  Serral has a 49.55% chance to win----going from 1.78% to 3.44% if they get 1st, or 0.14% if they don't.  Petraeus has a 49.21% chance to win----going from 1.5% to 2.98% if they get 1st, or 0.07% if they don't. GunGFuBanDa has a 49.08% chance to win----going from 1.47% to 2.92% if they get 1st, or 0.07% if they don't. Astrea has a 47.97% chance to win----going from 0.06% to 0.12% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. Harstem has a 47.61% chance to win----going from 1.98% to 4.01% if they get 1st, or 0.14% if they don't. Welmu has a 47.51% chance to win----going from 1.06% to 2.17% if they get 1st, or 0.06% if they don't. MorroW has a 46.46% chance to win----going from 0.49% to 1.02% if they get 1st, or 0.02% if they don't. Blysk has a 45.86% chance to win----going from 0.06% to 0.12% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't.  Bly has a 45.65% chance to win----going from 0.74% to 1.58% if they get 1st, or 0.04% if they don't. XiGua has a 44.92% chance to win----going from 0.07% to 0.14% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. elfi has a 44.16% chance to win----going from 0.68% to 1.51% if they get 1st, or 0.03% if they don't. qxc has a 43.17% chance to win----going from 0.23% to 0.53% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. Xenocider has a 42.01% chance to win----going from 0.12% to 0.28% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. TLO has a 41.8% chance to win----going from 0.7% to 1.59% if they get 1st, or 0.05% if they don't. Zanster has a 41.55% chance to win----going from 0.38% to 0.88% if they get 1st, or 0.02% if they don't. Ret has a 41.06% chance to win----going from 0.33% to 0.79% if they get 1st, or 0.02% if they don't. Elazer has a 36.72% chance to win----going from 0.08% to 0.21% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't.  PiLiPiLi has a 35.6% chance to win----going from 0.01% to 0.01% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't.  Beastyqt has a 34.85% chance to win----going from 0.09% to 0.25% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. Mystery has a 32.63% chance to win----going from 0.01% to 0.01% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. NXZ has a 31.99% chance to win----going from 0.03% to 0.11% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. Courage has a 31.52% chance to win----going from 0% to 0% if they get 1st, or 0% if they don't. souL has a 31.4% chance to win----going from 0.03% to 0.09% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. Zeal has a 31.07% chance to win----going from 0.01% to 0.01% if they get 1st, or 0% if they don't. Ian has a 21.7% chance to win----going from 0.01% to 0.03% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. Cyan has a 17.43% chance to win----going from 0% to 0% if they get 1st, or 0% if they don't. Slam has a 15.13% chance to win----going from 0.01% to 0.01% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. ReasoN has a 7.62% chance to win----going from 0.01% to 0.02% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. JimRising has a 5.87% chance to win----going from 0.01% to 0.01% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't.  CatZ has a 4.52% chance to win----going from 0.01% to 0.01% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. SoftBall has a 3.22% chance to win----going from 0% to 0% if they get 1st, or 0% if they don't. Cham has a 1.44% chance to win----going from 0% to 0% if they get 1st, or 0% if they don't.  Jarppi has a 1.39% chance to win----going from 0% to 0% if they get 1st, or 0% if they don't.  GogojOey has a 1.18% chance to win----going from 0% to 0% if they get 1st, or 0% if they don't. LsEbA has a 1.16% chance to win----going from 0% to 0% if they get 1st, or 0% if they don't. Rex has a 1.15% chance to win----going from 0% to 0% if they get 1st, or 0% if they don't. OdiN has a 1.07% chance to win----going from 0% to 0% if they get 1st, or 0% if they don't. Vanilla has a 1.02% chance to win----going from 0% to 0% if they get 1st, or 0% if they don't. cheetos has a 0.99% chance to win----going from 0% to 0% if they get 1st, or 0% if they don't. AK has a 0.83% chance to win----going from 0% to 0% if they get 1st, or 0% if they don't. Tonho has a 0.81% chance to win----going from 0% to 0% if they get 1st, or 0% if they don't. AreS has a 0.78% chance to win----going from 0% to 0% if they get 1st, or 0% if they don't. Shang has a 0.75% chance to win----going from 0% to 0% if they get 1st, or 0% if they don't. VirTues has a 0.74% chance to win----going from 0% to 0% if they get 1st, or 0% if they don't. KnOx has a 0.73% chance to win----going from 0% to 0% if they get 1st, or 0% if they don't. TeeNagerYO has a 0.73% chance to win----going from 0% to 0% if they get 1st, or 0% if they don't. Shakti has a 0.72% chance to win----going from 0% to 0% if they get 1st, or 0% if they don't. Erik has a 0.71% chance to win----going from 0% to 0% if they get 1st, or 0% if they don't. Sheep has a 0.68% chance to win----going from 0% to 0% if they get 1st, or 0% if they don't. TerraN has a 0.67% chance to win----going from 0% to 0% if they get 1st, or 0% if they don't. Bush has a 0.6% chance to win----going from 0% to 0% if they get 1st, or 0% if they don't. scv has a 0.6% chance to win----going from 0% to 0% if they get 1st, or 0% if they don't. Nice has a 0.59% chance to win----going from 0% to 0% if they get 1st, or 0% if they don't. Azure has a 0.58% chance to win----going from 0% to 0% if they get 1st, or 0% if they don't. JIN has a 0.57% chance to win----going from 0% to 0% if they get 1st, or 0% if they don't. Duolonn has a 0.54% chance to win----going from 0% to 0% if they get 1st, or 0% if they don't. IMMvp has a 0.51% chance to win----going from 0% to 0% if they get 1st, or 0% if they don't. Hitman has a 0.47% chance to win----going from 0.01% to 0.22% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. State has a 0.46% chance to win----going from 0.01% to 0.2% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. Bails has a 0.45% chance to win----going from 0.01% to 0.56% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. Guitarcheese has a 0.44% chance to win----going from 0.01% to 0.06% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. KoNtiNuE has a 0.43% chance to win----going from 0.01% to 0.06% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. neeb has a 0.43% chance to win----going from 0.01% to 0.06% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. Semper has a 0.43% chance to win----going from 0.01% to 0.33% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. Cristiger has a 0.42% chance to win----going from 0% to 0% if they get 1st, or 0% if they don't. Illusion has a 0.42% chance to win----going from 0.01% to 0.05% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. Eren has a 0.42% chance to win----going from 0% to 0% if they get 1st, or 0% if they don't. DARKING has a 0.42% chance to win----going from 0% to 0% if they get 1st, or 0% if they don't. + Show Spoiler [WCS Premier Winning Chances] + ForGG has a 14.39% chance to win----going from 52.12% to 99.72% if they get 1st, or 85.28% if they get 2nd. Polt has a 11.11% chance to win----going from 94.08% to 100% if they get 1st, or 99.99% if they get 2nd. Hydra has a 10.98% chance to win----going from 75.29% to 100% if they get 1st, or 99.69% if they get 2nd. Bunny has a 5.16% chance to win----going from 22.96% to 98.49% if they get 1st, or 64.75% if they get 2nd. NaNiwa has a 4.36% chance to win----going from 7.85% to 68.3% if they get 1st, or 24.73% if they get 2nd. + Show Spoiler [More Winning Chances] + MajOr has a 4.31% chance to win----going from 5.84% to 54.05% if they get 1st, or 15.58% if they get 2nd. Snute has a 3.31% chance to win----going from 15.86% to 97.37% if they get 1st, or 56.95% if they get 2nd. Jaedong has a 3.09% chance to win----going from 9.93% to 84.84% if they get 1st, or 36.43% if they get 2nd. Happy has a 3.04% chance to win----going from 4.18% to 57.61% if they get 1st, or 2.51% if they don't. Lilbow has a 2.94% chance to win----going from 4.34% to 58.33% if they get 1st, or 2.7% if they don't. HeRoMaRinE has a 2.61% chance to win----going from 3.08% to 50.59% if they get 1st, or 1.81% if they don't. ShoWTimE has a 2.51% chance to win----going from 10.26% to 96.72% if they get 1st, or 45.88% if they get 2nd. Nerchio has a 2.5% chance to win----going from 2.98% to 50.09% if they get 1st, or 1.77% if they don't. MarineLorD has a 2.25% chance to win----going from 3.24% to 55.82% if they get 1st, or 2.03% if they don't. viOLet has a 2.08% chance to win----going from 3.7% to 59.93% if they get 1st, or 2.51% if they don't. TargA has a 1.84% chance to win----going from 3.56% to 64.55% if they get 1st, or 2.42% if they don't. StarDust has a 1.6% chance to win----going from 1.73% to 41.79% if they get 1st, or 1.08% if they don't. GunGFuBanDa has a 1.55% chance to win----going from 1.47% to 40.78% if they get 1st, or 0.85% if they don't. MaNa has a 1.49% chance to win----going from 2.69% to 65.25% if they get 1st, or 1.75% if they don't. Petraeus has a 1.33% chance to win----going from 1.5% to 45.07% if they get 1st, or 0.92% if they don't. PiG has a 1.31% chance to win----going from 1.85% to 55.24% if they get 1st, or 1.14% if they don't. Harstem has a 1.28% chance to win----going from 1.98% to 56.46% if they get 1st, or 1.28% if they don't. HuK has a 1.21% chance to win----going from 1.8% to 54.82% if they get 1st, or 1.16% if they don't. Sen has a 1.1% chance to win----going from 1.32% to 46.17% if they get 1st, or 0.82% if they don't. uThermal has a 1.04% chance to win----going from 1.8% to 61.36% if they get 1st, or 1.18% if they don't. FireCake has a 0.97% chance to win----going from 1.88% to 63.89% if they get 1st, or 1.27% if they don't. Serral has a 0.86% chance to win----going from 1.78% to 67.69% if they get 1st, or 1.2% if they don't. Kane has a 0.84% chance to win----going from 2.14% to 77.03% if they get 1st, or 1.5% if they don't. Welmu has a 0.81% chance to win----going from 1.06% to 52.91% if they get 1st, or 0.64% if they don't. Bly has a 0.8% chance to win----going from 0.74% to 37.74% if they get 1st, or 0.44% if they don't. elfi has a 0.77% chance to win----going from 0.68% to 38.48% if they get 1st, or 0.39% if they don't. Jim has a 0.68% chance to win----going from 0.48% to 30.66% if they get 1st, or 0.28% if they don't. Has has a 0.57% chance to win----going from 0.86% to 52.57% if they get 1st, or 0.57% if they don't. iaguz has a 0.54% chance to win----going from 0.45% to 35.31% if they get 1st, or 0.26% if they don't. MorroW has a 0.5% chance to win----going from 0.49% to 41.43% if they get 1st, or 0.28% if they don't. MacSed has a 0.44% chance to win----going from 0.76% to 56.39% if they get 1st, or 0.51% if they don't. Zanster has a 0.43% chance to win----going from 0.38% to 36.36% if they get 1st, or 0.22% if they don't. Ret has a 0.39% chance to win----going from 0.33% to 34.6% if they get 1st, or 0.2% if they don't. TooDming has a 0.33% chance to win----going from 0.19% to 23.68% if they get 1st, or 0.11% if they don't. qxc has a 0.29% chance to win----going from 0.23% to 33.27% if they get 1st, or 0.14% if they don't. puCK has a 0.29% chance to win----going from 0.21% to 30.15% if they get 1st, or 0.13% if they don't. TLO has a 0.25% chance to win----going from 0.69% to 74.5% if they get 1st, or 0.51% if they don't. iAsonu has a 0.22% chance to win----going from 0.11% to 21.95% if they get 1st, or 0.06% if they don't. Xenocider has a 0.2% chance to win----going from 0.12% to 24.43% if they get 1st, or 0.07% if they don't. | ||
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Hatchet_man
Russian Federation249 Posts
I was looking at Gfinity Spring 2 and DreamHack Tours and noticed that in both tournaments Naniwa has better chances to win than Snute. Brief Aligulac research shows me that Snute has better stats than Naniwa, better chances in head-to-head match and better chances to win against highest ranked players in both tournaments. It looks wrong, isn't it? | ||
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Die4Ever
United States17677 Posts
On April 19 2015 05:42 Hatchet_man wrote: So please explain me a few things: I was looking at Gfinity Spring 2 and DreamHack Tours and noticed that in both tournaments Naniwa has better chances to win than Snute. Brief Aligulac research shows me that Snute has better stats than Naniwa, better chances in head-to-head match and better chances to win against highest ranked players in both tournaments. It looks wrong, isn't it? I think the difference is that Naniwa has the much stronger vs Terran rating, while Snute has the stronger vs Protoss, and there are more threatening Terrans than Protosses at these tournaments. They're pretty close vs Zerg. Also remember that it matters what races the other players are strong and weak against. Like for Dreamhack, Parting is the #1 most likely winner, and he has a better rating vs Zerg than vs Protoss, same thing for Hyun with Gfinity. | ||
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sharkie
Austria18445 Posts
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Die4Ever
United States17677 Posts
On April 19 2015 22:24 sharkie wrote: Hmm the site is down? was it? it's usually not down for long if it is | ||
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sharkie
Austria18445 Posts
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Die4Ever
United States17677 Posts
On April 21 2015 02:36 sharkie wrote: Slam doesn't get me more points than he currently has? :| he gained 75 points by qualifying, if he wins in challenger then I imagine he'd gain another 75 probably, he's got a really low Aligulac rating | ||
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Die4Ever
United States17677 Posts
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Code S Ro32 Groups Set With Group of Death Analysis and WCS EU/AM Challenger Set Tuesday, Apr 21 6:30pm GMT (GMT+00:00) (Sim #1393) Biggest Winners and Losers (Sim ID #1391 vs Sim ID #1393) (from Tuesday, Apr 21 1:06pm GMT (GMT+00:00) to Tuesday, Apr 21 6:02pm GMT (GMT+00:00)) Biggest Winners Hydra went up by 4.88%, going from 73.04% to 77.91% ForGG went up by 4.63%, going from 51.95% to 56.58% Jaedong went up by 1.96%, going from 10.75% to 12.71% INnoVation went up by 1.27%, going from 44.69% to 45.96% sOs went up by 0.97%, going from 20.9% to 21.88% ShoWTimE went up by 0.94%, going from 9.52% to 10.46% Bomber went up by 0.51%, going from 5.69% to 6.2%+ Show Spoiler [More Winners] + Lilbow went up by 0.41%, going from 3.7% to 4.11% MaSa went up by 0.37%, going from 3.03% to 3.41% Nerchio went up by 0.31%, going from 2.89% to 3.2% Kane went up by 0.26%, going from 1.75% to 2.01% Flash went up by 0.25%, going from 3.71% to 3.95% GuMiho went up by 0.17%, going from 16.49% to 16.66% Petraeus went up by 0.16%, going from 1.89% to 2.05% ByuL went up by 0.11%, going from 18.63% to 18.74%Biggest Losers NaNiwa went down by 1.38%, going from 7.78% to 6.4% Snute went down by 1.33%, going from 14.62% to 13.29% Trap went down by 1.2%, going from 45.78% to 44.57% Rogue went down by 1.08%, going from 51.41% to 50.33% MMA went down by 1.06%, going from 20.73% to 19.66% Rain went down by 0.84%, going from 55.48% to 54.64% Stats went down by 0.77%, going from 51.54% to 50.77%+ Show Spoiler [More Losers] + Zest went down by 0.77%, going from 86.34% to 85.57% soO went down by 0.73%, going from 21.45% to 20.72% FanTaSy went down by 0.48%, going from 58.37% to 57.89% Bunny went down by 0.44%, going from 22.49% to 22.05% MajOr went down by 0.42%, going from 5.72% to 5.3% Dark went down by 0.42%, going from 56.95% to 56.53% HeRoMaRinE went down by 0.39%, going from 3.01% to 2.62% Dream went down by 0.38%, going from 82.71% to 82.33% HuK went down by 0.34%, going from 1.69% to 1.35% Solar went down by 0.33%, going from 12.94% to 12.61% Soulkey went down by 0.28%, going from 47.13% to 46.84% Polt went down by 0.28%, going from 93.88% to 93.6% Happy went down by 0.27%, going from 4.08% to 3.8% FireCake went down by 0.27%, going from 1.85% to 1.58% Serral went down by 0.25%, going from 1.82% to 1.57% MarineLorD went down by 0.21%, going from 3.08% to 2.87% TLO went down by 0.21%, going from 0.69% to 0.48% Bbyong went down by 0.21%, going from 22.91% to 22.7% Symbol went down by 0.2%, going from 1.35% to 1.15% HyuN went down by 0.18%, going from 20.99% to 20.82% Patience went down by 0.17%, going from 2.46% to 2.29% Dear went down by 0.16%, going from 32.03% to 31.87% MyuNgSiK went down by 0.14%, going from 4.13% to 3.99% TY went down by 0.14%, going from 17.49% to 17.36% uThermal went down by 0.13%, going from 1.96% to 1.82% Sen went down by 0.13%, going from 1.43% to 1.3% Bly went down by 0.13%, going from 0.71% to 0.59% TargA went down by 0.12%, going from 3.48% to 3.36% Classic went down by 0.12%, going from 11.23% to 11.11% Hurricane went down by 0.11%, going from 6.04% to 5.93%+ Show Spoiler [Top 50 players by Blizzcon Chances] +
+ Show Spoiler [Foreigner Hope] + Chances of 1+ foreigners from 75.26% down to 73.47% Chances of 2+ foreigners from 29.51% down to 27.63% Chances of 3+ foreigners from 5.24% down to 4.71% Chances of 4+ foreigners from 0.42% down to 0.37% Bunny 10.32% chance to be the only foreigner, 22.05% chance overall. Snute 5.64% chance to be the only foreigner, 13.29% chance overall. ShoWTimE 4.39% chance to be the only foreigner, 10.46% chance overall. NaNiwa 2.76% chance to be the only foreigner, 6.4% chance overall. MajOr 2.27% chance to be the only foreigner, 5.3% chance overall. Lilbow 1.77% chance to be the only foreigner, 4.11% chance overall. Happy 1.63% chance to be the only foreigner, 3.8% chance overall.+ Show Spoiler [More Foreigner Hopes] + MaSa 1.46% chance to be the only foreigner, 3.41% chance overall. TargA 1.4% chance to be the only foreigner, 3.36% chance overall. Nerchio 1.38% chance to be the only foreigner, 3.2% chance overall. MarineLorD 1.22% chance to be the only foreigner, 2.87% chance overall. HeRoMaRinE 1.13% chance to be the only foreigner, 2.62% chance overall. MaNa 1.1% chance to be the only foreigner, 2.67% chance overall. Petraeus 0.86% chance to be the only foreigner, 2.05% chance overall. Harstem 0.81% chance to be the only foreigner, 1.95% chance overall. Kane 0.8% chance to be the only foreigner, 2.01% chance overall. uThermal 0.75% chance to be the only foreigner, 1.82% chance overall. Serral 0.64% chance to be the only foreigner, 1.57% chance overall. FireCake 0.64% chance to be the only foreigner, 1.58% chance overall. GunGFuBanDa 0.57% chance to be the only foreigner, 1.32% chance overall. HuK 0.55% chance to be the only foreigner, 1.35% chance overall. Sen 0.54% chance to be the only foreigner, 1.3% chance overall. Welmu 0.4% chance to be the only foreigner, 0.97% chance overall. iaguz 0.34% chance to be the only foreigner, 0.82% chance overall. Has 0.31% chance to be the only foreigner, 0.74% chance overall. Bly 0.26% chance to be the only foreigner, 0.59% chance overall. elfi 0.26% chance to be the only foreigner, 0.6% chance overall. TLO 0.19% chance to be the only foreigner, 0.48% chance overall. Jim 0.18% chance to be the only foreigner, 0.42% chance overall. iAsonu 0.17% chance to be the only foreigner, 0.41% chance overall. MorroW 0.17% chance to be the only foreigner, 0.41% chance overall. Zanster 0.17% chance to be the only foreigner, 0.39% chance overall.+ Show Spoiler [Headbands] + Life is the current #1 Headband holder with 2 defenses! PartinG is the current #2 Headband holder with 14 defenses! Zest is the current #3 Headband holder with 2 defenses! Dear is the current #4 Headband holder with 0 defenses!Defense History PartinG defended the #2 from MacSed at StarLeague Season 2 Dear won the #4 from sOs at StarLeague Season 2 Zest defended the #3 from Bbyong at StarLeague Season 2+ Show Spoiler [More Defense History] + PartinG defended the #2 from FanTaSy at Copenhagen Spring PartinG defended the #2 from Ryung at Copenhagen Spring PartinG defended the #2 from elfi at Copenhagen Spring sOs defended the #4 from Heart at GSL Code A Season 2 PartinG defended the #2 from SuperNova at Copenhagen Spring PartinG defended the #2 from TargA at Copenhagen Spring PartinG defended the #2 from Ryung at Copenhagen Spring PartinG defended the #2 from PappiJoe at Copenhagen Spring PartinG defended the #2 from Hydra at Gfinity Spring 1 PartinG defended the #2 from Rain at Gfinity Spring 1 PartinG defended the #2 from Soulkey at Gfinity Spring 1 PartinG defended the #2 from Snute at Gfinity Spring 1 PartinG defended the #2 from TRUE at Gfinity Spring 1 Life defended the #1 from PartinG at GSL Code S Season 1 Zest defended the #3 from Trap at IEM Katowice Zest won the #3 from Bbyong at IEM Katowice Bbyong won the #3 from herO at IEM Katowice herO defended the #3 from Cure at IEM Katowice PartinG defended the #2 from MMA at GSL Code S Season 1 herO defended the #3 from Rogue at GSL Code S Season 1 PartinG won the #2 from Solar at GSL Code S Season 1 herO won the #3 from Maru at GSL Code S Season 1 Maru won the #3 from PartinG at GSL Code S Season 1 Solar defended the #2 from Rogue at GSL Code S Season 1 Solar won the #2 from Dream at GSL Code S Season 1 Dream won the #2 from Dark at StarLeague Season 1 Dark defended the #2 from TY at StarLeague Season 1 Life defended the #1 from PartinG at IEM Taipei PartinG defended the #3 from Classic at IEM Taipei PartinG won the #3 from Maru at IEM Taipei Maru won the #3 from TRUE at IEM Taipei Dark defended the #2 from Dear at GSL Code S Season 1 Dark won the #2 from MMA at GSL Code S Season 1 TRUE won the #3 from Leenock at IEM Taipei Stage 1 Leenock defended the #3 from jjakji at IEM Taipei Stage 1 Leenock defended the #3 from Sacsri at IEM Taipei Stage 1 Leenock won the #3 from Terminator at StarLeague Season 1 Terminator defended the #3 from FanTaSy at StarLeague Season 1 Terminator won the #3 from TaeJa at StarLeague Season 1 sOs won the #4 from MarineKing at Hot6ix Cup MarineKing won the #4 from Zest at Hot6ix Cup Zest won the #4 from Soulkey at Hot6ix Cup Soulkey won the #4 from Flash at Hot6ix Cup Flash won the #4 from Classic at Hot6ix Cup Life won the #1 from MMA at WCS Global Finals 2014 MMA won the #2 from Classic at WCS Global Finals 2014 Classic won the #4 from herO at WCS Global Finals 2014 TaeJa won the #3 from INnoVation at WCS Global Finals 2014+ Show Spoiler [WCS Point Cutoffs] + 0.92% of the time 2550 points is enough to qualify for Blizzcon 8.88% of the time 2725 points is enough to qualify for Blizzcon 29.37% of the time 2875 points is enough to qualify for Blizzcon 48.9% of the time 2975 points is enough to qualify for Blizzcon 68.23% of the time 3075 points is enough to qualify for Blizzcon 90.45% of the time 3250 points is enough to qualify for Blizzcon 98.96% of the time 3475 points is enough to qualify for Blizzcon Post was too long for the upcoming matches, check the OP or the website And now let's do some analysis to see what the Group of Death is according to WCS Predictor. We will be looking at 5 different scores. Champion Chances Score is the chances to win the tournament for each player in the group added together. Blizzcon Chances Score is the chances to qualify for Blizzcon for each player in the group added together. Blizzcon Chances Lost Score is how much the Blizzcon Chances Score went down by because of the group drawing. Effects Score is the sum of the amount of Blizzcon chances each player would gain if they won the group, plus the amount of Blizzcon chances each player would lose if they lost the group. Aligulac Score is the average Aligulac rating of the players in the group. Champion Chances B > F > C > G > A > E > H > D + Show Spoiler [Champion Chances] + Group A Rain has a 6.06% chance to win GSL Code S Season 2 GuMiho has a 2.42% chance to win GSL Code S Season 2 Solar has a 2.83% chance to win GSL Code S Season 2 Sorry has a 0.29% chance to win GSL Code S Season 2Giving this match a Champion Chances Score of 11.5945 Group B MyuNgSiK has a 0.9% chance to win GSL Code S Season 2 RagnaroK has a 0.45% chance to win GSL Code S Season 2 Dark has a 5.77% chance to win GSL Code S Season 2 PartinG has a 11.78% chance to win GSL Code S Season 2Giving this match a Champion Chances Score of 18.8918 Group C soO has a 3.02% chance to win GSL Code S Season 2 FanTaSy has a 5.83% chance to win GSL Code S Season 2 Rogue has a 4.2% chance to win GSL Code S Season 2 Trust has a 0.6% chance to win GSL Code S Season 2Giving this match a Champion Chances Score of 13.6498 Group D Panic has a 0% chance to win GSL Code S Season 2 INnoVation has a 5.38% chance to win GSL Code S Season 2 Bomber has a 1.7% chance to win GSL Code S Season 2 Creator has a 0.81% chance to win GSL Code S Season 2Giving this match a Champion Chances Score of 7.8994 Group E HerO has a 0.39% chance to win GSL Code S Season 2 Maru has a 6.39% chance to win GSL Code S Season 2 TY has a 1.92% chance to win GSL Code S Season 2 ByuL has a 2.31% chance to win GSL Code S Season 2Giving this match a Champion Chances Score of 11.0048 Group F Bbyong has a 3.51% chance to win GSL Code S Season 2 YoDa has a 1.06% chance to win GSL Code S Season 2 Symbol has a 0.61% chance to win GSL Code S Season 2 Life has a 9.95% chance to win GSL Code S Season 2Giving this match a Champion Chances Score of 15.1393 Group G Patience has a 0.75% chance to win GSL Code S Season 2 herO has a 7.83% chance to win GSL Code S Season 2 Dream has a 1.7% chance to win GSL Code S Season 2 Flash has a 2.13% chance to win GSL Code S Season 2Giving this match a Champion Chances Score of 12.4044 Group H Curious has a 0.92% chance to win GSL Code S Season 2 MMA has a 2.19% chance to win GSL Code S Season 2 sOs has a 4.19% chance to win GSL Code S Season 2 Sacsri has a 1.96% chance to win GSL Code S Season 2Giving this match a Champion Chances Score of 9.26078 Blizzcon Chances G > B > E > C > F > A > D > H + Show Spoiler [Blizzcon Chances] + Group A Rain has a 54.98% chance to qualify for Blizzcon GuMiho has a 16.83% chance to qualify for Blizzcon Solar has a 12.74% chance to qualify for Blizzcon Sorry has a 0.26% chance to qualify for BlizzconGiving this match a Blizzcon Chances Score of 84.8122 Group B MyuNgSiK has a 4.05% chance to qualify for Blizzcon RagnaroK has a 0.43% chance to qualify for Blizzcon Dark has a 56.88% chance to qualify for Blizzcon PartinG has a 99.93% chance to qualify for BlizzconGiving this match a Blizzcon Chances Score of 161.306 Group C soO has a 20.83% chance to qualify for Blizzcon FanTaSy has a 58.25% chance to qualify for Blizzcon Rogue has a 50.69% chance to qualify for Blizzcon Trust has a 0.67% chance to qualify for BlizzconGiving this match a Blizzcon Chances Score of 130.436 Group D Panic has a 0.1% chance to qualify for Blizzcon INnoVation has a 46.3% chance to qualify for Blizzcon Bomber has a 6.29% chance to qualify for Blizzcon Creator has a 0.97% chance to qualify for BlizzconGiving this match a Blizzcon Chances Score of 53.6628 Group E HerO has a 0.34% chance to qualify for Blizzcon Maru has a 100% chance to qualify for Blizzcon TY has a 17.34% chance to qualify for Blizzcon ByuL has a 18.87% chance to qualify for BlizzconGiving this match a Blizzcon Chances Score of 136.553 Group F Bbyong has a 22.9% chance to qualify for Blizzcon YoDa has a 2.87% chance to qualify for Blizzcon Symbol has a 1.16% chance to qualify for Blizzcon Life has a 100% chance to qualify for BlizzconGiving this match a Blizzcon Chances Score of 126.923 Group G Patience has a 2.29% chance to qualify for Blizzcon herO has a 99.99% chance to qualify for Blizzcon Dream has a 82.51% chance to qualify for Blizzcon Flash has a 3.99% chance to qualify for BlizzconGiving this match a Blizzcon Chances Score of 188.781 Group H Curious has a 1.48% chance to qualify for Blizzcon MMA has a 19.94% chance to qualify for Blizzcon sOs has a 21.66% chance to qualify for Blizzcon Sacsri has a 5.23% chance to qualify for BlizzconGiving this match a Blizzcon Chances Score of 48.3159 Blizzcon Chances Lost C > A > B > F > G > H > E > D + Show Spoiler [Blizzcon Chances Lost] + Group A Rain's Blizzcon Chances changed by -0.5% GuMiho's Blizzcon Chances changed by 0.35% Solar's Blizzcon Chances changed by -0.2% Sorry's Blizzcon Chances changed by 0.01%Giving this match a Blizzcon Chances Lost Score of 0.351708 Group B MyuNgSiK's Blizzcon Chances changed by -0.08% RagnaroK's Blizzcon Chances changed by -0.07% Dark's Blizzcon Chances changed by -0.06% PartinG's Blizzcon Chances changed by 0.01%Giving this match a Blizzcon Chances Lost Score of 0.20986 Group C soO's Blizzcon Chances changed by -0.62% FanTaSy's Blizzcon Chances changed by -0.12% Rogue's Blizzcon Chances changed by -0.72% Trust's Blizzcon Chances changed by -0.05%Giving this match a Blizzcon Chances Lost Score of 1.51524 Group D Panic's Blizzcon Chances changed by 0.01% INnoVation's Blizzcon Chances changed by 1.61% Bomber's Blizzcon Chances changed by 0.6% Creator's Blizzcon Chances changed by 0.05%Giving this match a Blizzcon Chances Lost Score of -2.26435 Group E HerO's Blizzcon Chances changed by -0.01% Maru's Blizzcon Chances changed by 0.01% TY's Blizzcon Chances changed by -0.15% ByuL's Blizzcon Chances changed by 0.24%Giving this match a Blizzcon Chances Lost Score of -0.09074 Group F Bbyong's Blizzcon Chances changed by -0.01% YoDa's Blizzcon Chances changed by -0.01% Symbol's Blizzcon Chances changed by -0.19% Life's Blizzcon Chances changed by 0%Giving this match a Blizzcon Chances Lost Score of 0.201764 Group G Patience's Blizzcon Chances changed by -0.16% herO's Blizzcon Chances changed by 0.01% Dream's Blizzcon Chances changed by -0.2% Flash's Blizzcon Chances changed by 0.28%Giving this match a Blizzcon Chances Lost Score of 0.08266 Group H Curious's Blizzcon Chances changed by -0.03% MMA's Blizzcon Chances changed by -0.78% sOs's Blizzcon Chances changed by 0.76% Sacsri's Blizzcon Chances changed by 0.11%Giving this match a Blizzcon Chances Lost Score of -0.063264 Effects C > A > H > D > B > E > F > G + Show Spoiler [Effects] + Group A When Rain wins this match, their Blizzcon Chances go up by 12.44%When Rain loses this match, their Blizzcon Chances go down by 17.02%When GuMiho wins this match, their Blizzcon Chances go up by 7.75%When GuMiho loses this match, their Blizzcon Chances go down by 8.62%When Solar wins this match, their Blizzcon Chances go up by 6.1%When Solar loses this match, their Blizzcon Chances go down by 7.37%When Sorry wins this match, their Blizzcon Chances go up by 0.35%When Sorry loses this match, their Blizzcon Chances go down by 0.19%Giving this match an Effects Score of 59.8421 Group B When MyuNgSiK wins this match, their Blizzcon Chances go up by 3.58%When MyuNgSiK loses this match, their Blizzcon Chances go down by 2.48%When RagnaroK wins this match, their Blizzcon Chances go up by 0.7%When RagnaroK loses this match, their Blizzcon Chances go down by 0.31%When Dark wins this match, their Blizzcon Chances go up by 12.04%When Dark loses this match, their Blizzcon Chances go down by 17.47%When PartinG wins this match, their Blizzcon Chances go up by 0.06%When PartinG loses this match, their Blizzcon Chances go down by 0.13%Giving this match an Effects Score of 36.7497 Group C When soO wins this match, their Blizzcon Chances go up by 8.1%When soO loses this match, their Blizzcon Chances go down by 7.87%When FanTaSy wins this match, their Blizzcon Chances go up by 11.67%When FanTaSy loses this match, their Blizzcon Chances go down by 16.67%When Rogue wins this match, their Blizzcon Chances go up by 12.81%When Rogue loses this match, their Blizzcon Chances go down by 16.94%When Trust wins this match, their Blizzcon Chances go up by 0.89%When Trust loses this match, their Blizzcon Chances go down by 0.48%Giving this match an Effects Score of 75.4157 Group D When Panic wins this match, their Blizzcon Chances go up by 0.14%When Panic loses this match, their Blizzcon Chances go down by 0.08%When INnoVation wins this match, their Blizzcon Chances go up by 9.58%When INnoVation loses this match, their Blizzcon Chances go down by 18.44%When Bomber wins this match, their Blizzcon Chances go up by 3.36%When Bomber loses this match, their Blizzcon Chances go down by 4.05%When Creator wins this match, their Blizzcon Chances go up by 0.91%When Creator loses this match, their Blizzcon Chances go down by 0.72%Giving this match an Effects Score of 37.2892 Group E When HerO wins this match, their Blizzcon Chances go up by 0.45%When HerO loses this match, their Blizzcon Chances go down by 0.25%When Maru wins this match, their Blizzcon Chances go up by 0%When Maru loses this match, their Blizzcon Chances go down by 0%When TY wins this match, their Blizzcon Chances go up by 8.56%When TY loses this match, their Blizzcon Chances go down by 8.76%When ByuL wins this match, their Blizzcon Chances go up by 6.84%When ByuL loses this match, their Blizzcon Chances go down by 7.47%Giving this match an Effects Score of 32.3324 Group F When Bbyong wins this match, their Blizzcon Chances go up by 9.12%When Bbyong loses this match, their Blizzcon Chances go down by 10.92%When YoDa wins this match, their Blizzcon Chances go up by 2.43%When YoDa loses this match, their Blizzcon Chances go down by 1.87%When Symbol wins this match, their Blizzcon Chances go up by 1.61%When Symbol loses this match, their Blizzcon Chances go down by 0.78%When Life wins this match, their Blizzcon Chances go up by 0%When Life loses this match, their Blizzcon Chances go down by 0%Giving this match an Effects Score of 26.7346 Group G When Patience wins this match, their Blizzcon Chances go up by 2.42%When Patience loses this match, their Blizzcon Chances go down by 1.45%When herO wins this match, their Blizzcon Chances go up by 0.01%When herO loses this match, their Blizzcon Chances go down by 0.01%When Dream wins this match, their Blizzcon Chances go up by 7.93%When Dream loses this match, their Blizzcon Chances go down by 6.84%When Flash wins this match, their Blizzcon Chances go up by 2.26%When Flash loses this match, their Blizzcon Chances go down by 2.74%Giving this match an Effects Score of 23.6598 Group H When Curious wins this match, their Blizzcon Chances go up by 1.47%When Curious loses this match, their Blizzcon Chances go down by 1.06%When MMA wins this match, their Blizzcon Chances go up by 9.72%When MMA loses this match, their Blizzcon Chances go down by 9.28%When sOs wins this match, their Blizzcon Chances go up by 8.1%When sOs loses this match, their Blizzcon Chances go down by 11.56%When Sacsri wins this match, their Blizzcon Chances go up by 3.31%When Sacsri loses this match, their Blizzcon Chances go down by 3.4%Giving this match an Effects Score of 47.902 Aliglac Ratings C > F > B > G > A > E > H > D + Show Spoiler [Aligulac Ratings] + Group A Rain has an Aligulac rating of 2180 GuMiho has an Aligulac rating of 2034 Solar has an Aligulac rating of 2050 Sorry has an Aligulac rating of 1703Giving this match an Aligulac Score of 7967 Group B MyuNgSiK has an Aligulac rating of 1820 RagnaroK has an Aligulac rating of 1770 Dark has an Aligulac rating of 2201 PartinG has an Aligulac rating of 2335Giving this match an Aligulac Score of 8126 Group C soO has an Aligulac rating of 2071 FanTaSy has an Aligulac rating of 2226 Rogue has an Aligulac rating of 2121 Trust has an Aligulac rating of 1770Giving this match an Aligulac Score of 8188 Group D Panic has an Aligulac rating of 1567 INnoVation has an Aligulac rating of 2176 Bomber has an Aligulac rating of 1939 Creator has an Aligulac rating of 1785Giving this match an Aligulac Score of 7467 Group E HerO has an Aligulac rating of 1701 Maru has an Aligulac rating of 2262 TY has an Aligulac rating of 1982 ByuL has an Aligulac rating of 1995Giving this match an Aligulac Score of 7940 Group F Bbyong has an Aligulac rating of 2117 YoDa has an Aligulac rating of 1888 Symbol has an Aligulac rating of 1809 Life has an Aligulac rating of 2320Giving this match an Aligulac Score of 8134 Group G Patience has an Aligulac rating of 1798 herO has an Aligulac rating of 2239 Dream has an Aligulac rating of 1994 Flash has an Aligulac rating of 1986Giving this match an Aligulac Score of 8017 Group H Curious has an Aligulac rating of 1849 MMA has an Aligulac rating of 2017 sOs has an Aligulac rating of 2078 Sacsri has an Aligulac rating of 1974Giving this match an Aligulac Score of 7918 Final Placings Group A has two 2nd places Group B has one 1st place, one 2nd place, and two 3rd places Group C has three 1st places, one 3rd place, and one 4th place Group D has one 4th place Group E has one 3rd place Group F has two 2nd places, and one 4th place Group G has one 1st place, and two 4th places Group H has one 3rd place Group C is our Group of Death! Congrats to soO, FanTaSy, Rogue, and Trust! Group B is our 2nd place Group of Death with MyuNgSiK, RagnaroK, Dark, and PartinG! What do you think? Poll: Group of Death? Group A: Solar / Sorry / Rain / GuMiho (5) Group B: PartinG / Ragnarok / Dark / MyuNgSiK (7) Group C: Rogue / Trust / FanTaSy / soO (6) Group D: INnoVation / Creator / Bomber / Panic (8) Group E: TY / HerO / Maru / ByuL (119) Group F: Life / Symbol / YoDa / Bbyong (7) Group G: herO / Patience / Dream / Flash (80) Group H: MMA / Sacsri / Curious / sOs (7) No Group of Death (215) 454 total votes Your vote: Group of Death? (Vote): Group A: Solar / Sorry / Rain / GuMiho --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- | ||
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sharkie
Austria18445 Posts
You knew that forgg's and hydra's value would raise after the challengers! | ||
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Die4Ever
United States17677 Posts
On April 22 2015 03:54 sharkie wrote: omgg you cheater! You knew that forgg's and hydra's value would raise after the challengers! lol it's not cheating, they had high seeds so I expected them to make easy picks | ||
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Die4Ever
United States17677 Posts
http://www.teamliquid.net/forum/viewpost.php?post_id=24125997 Voting Ends In: | ||
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felisconcolori
United States6168 Posts
On April 23 2015 04:16 Die4Ever wrote: Please vote for me in the TLCMAT! http://www.teamliquid.net/forum/viewpost.php?post_id=24125997 Voting Ends In: Your shameless self-promotion... worked. | ||
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Die4Ever
United States17677 Posts
WCS Predictor 2015 StarLeague Season 2 Zest, Hurricane, Maru, and Leenock in in StarLeague Season 2 round of 16. Zest has the #3 Headband. Zest is at 85.58% Blizzcon Chances.58.17% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 96.06%. 41.83% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 71.01%. Maru is at 100% Blizzcon Chances.60.62% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 100%. 39.38% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 100%. Hurricane is at 5.92% Blizzcon Chances.41.78% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 12.74%. 58.22% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 1.02%. Leenock is at 9.86% Blizzcon Chances.39.43% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 21.55%. 60.57% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 2.24%. + Show Spoiler [SSL Winning Chances] + PartinG has a 11.87% chance to win----going from 99.93% to 100% if they get 1st, or 100% if they get 2nd. Life has a 11.32% chance to win----going from 100% to 100% if they get 1st, or 100% if they get 2nd. Maru has a 9.99% chance to win----going from 100% to 100% if they get 1st, or 100% if they get 2nd. Trap has a 9.69% chance to win----going from 44.58% to 99.65% if they get 1st, or 82.21% if they get 2nd. Zest has a 9.24% chance to win----going from 85.58% to 100% if they get 1st, or 99.99% if they get 2nd. + Show Spoiler [More Winning Chances] + Stats has a 7.19% chance to win----going from 50.68% to 99.99% if they get 1st, or 94.49% if they get 2nd. herO has a 6.89% chance to win----going from 99.99% to 100% if they get 1st, or 100% if they get 2nd. HyuN has a 5.39% chance to win----going from 20.84% to 90.69% if they get 1st, or 52.99% if they get 2nd. Dream has a 4.84% chance to win----going from 82.32% to 100% if they get 1st, or 99.99% if they get 2nd. Soulkey has a 4.6% chance to win----going from 46.85% to 99.99% if they get 1st, or 96.26% if they get 2nd. Dear has a 4.45% chance to win----going from 31.85% to 99.84% if they get 1st, or 83.69% if they get 2nd. soO has a 4.18% chance to win----going from 20.73% to 87.82% if they get 1st, or 54.05% if they get 2nd. Hurricane has a 3.11% chance to win----going from 5.92% to 62.03% if they get 1st, or 22.4% if they get 2nd. Classic has a 2.69% chance to win----going from 11.1% to 92.61% if they get 1st, or 46.04% if they get 2nd. ByuL has a 2.64% chance to win----going from 18.74% to 92.84% if they get 1st, or 59.9% if they get 2nd. Leenock has a 1.9% chance to win----going from 9.86% to 94.71% if they get 1st, or 48.45% if they get 2nd. | ||
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LimeNade
United States2125 Posts
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Die4Ever
United States17677 Posts
WCS Predictor 2015 GSL Code S Season 2 Rain, GuMiho, Solar, and Sorry in in GSL Code S Season 2 round of 32. Rain is at 55.89% Blizzcon Chances.58.29% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 68.23%. 41.71% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 38.65%. Solar is at 12.56% Blizzcon Chances.54.51% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 18.65%. 45.49% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 5.26%. GuMiho is at 16.61% Blizzcon Chances.52.41% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 24.3%. 47.59% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 8.15%. Sorry is at 0.25% Blizzcon Chances.34.78% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 0.61%. 65.22% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 0.07%. + Show Spoiler [Code S Winning Chances] + PartinG has a 11.69% chance to win----going from 99.93% to 100% if they get 1st, or 100% if they get 2nd. Life has a 9.58% chance to win----going from 100% to 100% if they get 1st, or 100% if they get 2nd. herO has a 7.72% chance to win----going from 99.99% to 100% if they get 1st, or 100% if they get 2nd. Maru has a 7.12% chance to win----going from 100% to 100% if they get 1st, or 100% if they get 2nd. Rain has a 6.31% chance to win----going from 55.89% to 99.99% if they get 1st, or 94.46% if they get 2nd. + Show Spoiler [More Winning Chances] + FanTaSy has a 5.76% chance to win----going from 58.01% to 99.98% if they get 1st, or 94.75% if they get 2nd. Dark has a 5.73% chance to win----going from 56.57% to 99.99% if they get 1st, or 95.85% if they get 2nd. INnoVation has a 5.33% chance to win----going from 46.03% to 99.97% if they get 1st, or 88.92% if they get 2nd. sOs has a 4.28% chance to win----going from 21.81% to 95.46% if they get 1st, or 58.34% if they get 2nd. Rogue has a 4.18% chance to win----going from 50.38% to 99.99% if they get 1st, or 94.77% if they get 2nd. Bbyong has a 3.47% chance to win----going from 22.66% to 96.7% if they get 1st, or 62.69% if they get 2nd. soO has a 2.99% chance to win----going from 20.28% to 83.88% if they get 1st, or 50.29% if they get 2nd. Solar has a 2.82% chance to win----going from 12.56% to 86.72% if they get 1st, or 42.37% if they get 2nd. GuMiho has a 2.38% chance to win----going from 16.61% to 93.82% if they get 1st, or 55.44% if they get 2nd. ByuL has a 2.29% chance to win----going from 18.49% to 87.34% if they get 1st, or 50.73% if they get 2nd. MMA has a 2.16% chance to win----going from 19.71% to 98.01% if they get 1st, or 65.55% if they get 2nd. Flash has a 2.11% chance to win----going from 3.93% to 49.97% if they get 1st, or 2.94% if they don't. Sacsri has a 1.95% chance to win----going from 5.53% to 65.04% if they get 1st, or 23.68% if they get 2nd. TY has a 1.91% chance to win----going from 17.37% to 98.63% if they get 1st, or 64.2% if they get 2nd. Dream has a 1.68% chance to win----going from 82.41% to 100% if they get 1st, or 99.96% if they get 2nd. Bomber has a 1.68% chance to win----going from 6.21% to 75.37% if they get 1st, or 28.12% if they get 2nd. YoDa has a 1.04% chance to win----going from 2.81% to 59.54% if they get 1st, or 2.21% if they don't. Curious has a 0.92% chance to win----going from 1.45% to 43.76% if they get 1st, or 1.05% if they don't. MyuNgSiK has a 0.88% chance to win----going from 3.97% to 78.94% if they get 1st, or 3.3% if they don't. Creator has a 0.81% chance to win----going from 0.96% to 35.35% if they get 1st, or 0.68% if they don't. Patience has a 0.74% chance to win----going from 2.52% to 66.82% if they get 1st, or 2.04% if they don't. Symbol has a 0.61% chance to win----going from 1.3% to 52.57% if they get 1st, or 0.98% if they don't. Trust has a 0.59% chance to win----going from 0.65% to 31.95% if they get 1st, or 0.46% if they don't. RagnaroK has a 0.45% chance to win----going from 0.43% to 28.59% if they get 1st, or 0.3% if they don't. HerO has a 0.39% chance to win----going from 0.33% to 25.81% if they get 1st, or 0.23% if they don't. Sorry has a 0.28% chance to win----going from 0.25% to 25.29% if they get 1st, or 0.19% if they don't. Only left to vote for me! http://www.teamliquid.net/forum/viewpost.php?post_id=24131281 | ||
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