EPTWCS Predictor 2015 - Page 22
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sharkie
Austria18512 Posts
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Die4Ever
United States17684 Posts
WCS Predictor 2015 WCS Challenger Season 2 LatAm + Show Spoiler [Changes Since Before WCS Challenger EU] + (Sim ID #1410 vs Sim ID #1425) Biggest Winners   Bunny went up by 8.23%, going from 22.49% to 30.71%  Hydra went up by 6.94%, going from 79.43% to 86.37%  MyuNgSiK went up by 5.33%, going from 3.74% to 9.08% Jaedong went up by 4.94%, going from 14.54% to 19.47% viOLet went up by 2.41%, going from 4.33% to 6.74% MaNa went up by 2.01%, going from 2.51% to 4.52% INnoVation went up by 1.57%, going from 44.69% to 46.26%+ Show Spoiler [More Winners] +  MaSa went up by 1.53%, going from 2.97% to 4.5% FireCake went up by 1.37%, going from 1.5% to 2.87% Rain went up by 1.21%, going from 68.3% to 69.52% Trap went up by 1.14%, going from 41.17% to 42.31% Kane went up by 1.03%, going from 1.77% to 2.8% GunGFuBanDa went up by 1.01%, going from 1.1% to 2.1% StarDust went up by 0.97%, going from 1.6% to 2.56% MMA went up by 0.96%, going from 18.46% to 19.42% Bbyong went up by 0.9%, going from 21.17% to 22.07% TY went up by 0.87%, going from 16.51% to 17.38% GuMiho went up by 0.73%, going from 22.39% to 23.12% TLO went up by 0.67%, going from 2.04% to 2.71% soO went up by 0.62%, going from 19.74% to 20.37% Classic went up by 0.58%, going from 10.2% to 10.78% Snute went up by 0.55%, going from 20.64% to 21.19% Polt went up by 0.52%, going from 93.06% to 93.57% Bomber went up by 0.45%, going from 5.86% to 6.31% ForGG went up by 0.4%, going from 55.68% to 56.07% Lilbow went up by 0.37%, going from 8.46% to 8.82% Flash went up by 0.29%, going from 3.71% to 4.01% MarineLorD went up by 0.27%, going from 2.45% to 2.71% YoDa went up by 0.19%, going from 2.62% to 2.81% Leenock went up by 0.13%, going from 1.66% to 1.79% ByuN went up by 0.13%, going from 0.02% to 0.15% TargA went up by 0.12%, going from 2.73% to 2.85% Super went up by 0.12%, going from 1.2% to 1.32% Sacsri went up by 0.12%, going from 5.87% to 5.99% sOs went up by 0.12%, going from 24.11% to 24.23% Xenocider went up by 0.11%, going from 0.15% to 0.26% Elazer went up by 0.11%, going from 0.06% to 0.17%Biggest Losers Dark went down by 16.98%, going from 55.3% to 38.33% ShoWTimE went down by 11.85%, going from 13.8% to 1.95% NaNiwa went down by 5.76%, going from 6.3% to 0.55% FanTaSy went down by 2.71%, going from 53.59% to 50.88% HeRoMaRinE went down by 2.47%, going from 2.62% to 0.15% Soulkey went down by 2.36%, going from 45.43% to 43.07% Stats went down by 1.68%, going from 49.05% to 47.37%+ Show Spoiler [More Losers] + Zest went down by 1.3%, going from 96.16% to 94.86% HyuN went down by 0.69%, going from 20.65% to 19.96% Dear went down by 0.63%, going from 30.4% to 29.76% HuK went down by 0.54%, going from 0.58% to 0.03% ByuL went down by 0.44%, going from 20.81% to 20.37% Zanster went down by 0.31%, going from 0.33% to 0.01% RagnaroK went down by 0.31%, going from 0.4% to 0.09% Rogue went down by 0.31%, going from 49.11% to 48.8% TRUE went down by 0.31%, going from 1.84% to 1.53% Petraeus went down by 0.27%, going from 3.14% to 2.86% Terminator went down by 0.14%, going from 3.76% to 3.62% Symbol went down by 0.12%, going from 1.22% to 1.11% Solar went down by 0.11%, going from 4.27% to 4.16% puCK went down by 0.1%, going from 0.11% to 0.01% CatZ vs  Kelazhur in in WCS Challenger Season 2 round of 64. CatZ is at 0.01% Blizzcon Chances.20.84% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 0.01%. 79.16% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 0.01%. Kelazhur is at 0.34% Blizzcon Chances.79.16% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 0.43%. 20.84% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 0.02%.  MajOr vs Cham in in WCS Challenger Season 2 round of 64. MajOr is at 5.07% Blizzcon Chances.81.35% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 6.15%. 18.65% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 0.39%. Cham is at 0.01% Blizzcon Chances.18.65% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 0.01%. 81.35% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 0.01%. + Show Spoiler [WCS Challenger Winning Chances] + ForGG has a 86.07% chance to win----going from 56.07% to 62.55% if they get 1st, or 16.04% if they don't. MajOr has a 81.35% chance to win----going from 5.07% to 6.15% if they get 1st, or 0.39% if they don't. Kelazhur has a 79.16% chance to win----going from 0.34% to 0.43% if they get 1st, or 0.02% if they don't. Petraeus has a 60.69% chance to win----going from 2.86% to 4.62% if they get 1st, or 0.15% if they don't. TargA has a 57.36% chance to win----going from 2.85% to 4.83% if they get 1st, or 0.19% if they don't. + Show Spoiler [More Winning Chances] +  Happy has a 56.9% chance to win----going from 3.66% to 6.28% if they get 1st, or 0.21% if they don't.  Harstem has a 53.11% chance to win----going from 1.56% to 2.85% if they get 1st, or 0.1% if they don't.  Serral has a 46.89% chance to win----going from 1.56% to 3.17% if they get 1st, or 0.13% if they don't. MarineLorD has a 43.1% chance to win----going from 2.72% to 6.03% if they get 1st, or 0.2% if they don't. elfi has a 42.64% chance to win----going from 0.54% to 1.23% if they get 1st, or 0.03% if they don't. MorroW has a 39.31% chance to win----going from 0.41% to 1.01% if they get 1st, or 0.02% if they don't. CatZ has a 20.84% chance to win----going from 0.01% to 0.01% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. Cham has a 18.65% chance to win----going from 0.01% to 0.01% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. souL has a 13.93% chance to win----going from 0.01% to 0.09% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. + Show Spoiler [WCS Premier Winning Chances] + ForGG has a 15.93% chance to win----going from 56.07% to 99.73% if they get 1st, or 83.82% if they get 2nd. Hydra has a 12.85% chance to win----going from 86.36% to 100% if they get 1st, or 99.76% if they get 2nd. Polt has a 9.55% chance to win----going from 93.58% to 100% if they get 1st, or 99.99% if they get 2nd. Bunny has a 6.74% chance to win----going from 30.71% to 98.63% if they get 1st, or 64.53% if they get 2nd. Lilbow has a 5.74% chance to win----going from 8.82% to 60.21% if they get 1st, or 19.36% if they get 2nd. + Show Spoiler [More Winning Chances] + Jaedong has a 5.72% chance to win----going from 19.47% to 88.08% if they get 1st, or 43.25% if they get 2nd. Snute has a 4.53% chance to win----going from 21.19% to 97.39% if they get 1st, or 53.96% if they get 2nd. MaSa has a 3.89% chance to win----going from 4.5% to 47.12% if they get 1st, or 2.78% if they don't. MajOr has a 3.69% chance to win----going from 5.07% to 53.19% if they get 1st, or 15.22% if they get 2nd. viOLet has a 3.57% chance to win----going from 6.74% to 62.49% if they get 1st, or 18.53% if they get 2nd. Happy has a 2.51% chance to win----going from 3.66% to 56.37% if they get 1st, or 2.3% if they don't. StarDust has a 2.37% chance to win----going from 2.57% to 40.35% if they get 1st, or 1.65% if they don't. MaNa has a 2.33% chance to win----going from 4.52% to 64.35% if they get 1st, or 3.09% if they don't. GunGFuBanDa has a 2.25% chance to win----going from 2.1% to 38.34% if they get 1st, or 1.27% if they don't. Petraeus has a 2.1% chance to win----going from 2.86% to 50.23% if they get 1st, or 1.85% if they don't. MarineLorD has a 1.76% chance to win----going from 2.72% to 55.93% if they get 1st, or 1.76% if they don't. FireCake has a 1.55% chance to win----going from 2.88% to 63.52% if they get 1st, or 1.92% if they don't.  Sen has a 1.48% chance to win----going from 1.83% to 47.35% if they get 1st, or 1.15% if they don't. TargA has a 1.48% chance to win----going from 2.85% to 62.74% if they get 1st, or 1.95% if they don't. Kane has a 1.04% chance to win----going from 2.8% to 76.54% if they get 1st, or 2.03% if they don't. Harstem has a 1.04% chance to win----going from 1.56% to 53.98% if they get 1st, or 1.01% if they don't. TLO has a 0.94% chance to win----going from 2.71% to 79.2% if they get 1st, or 1.98% if they don't.  iaguz has a 0.9% chance to win----going from 0.76% to 35.25% if they get 1st, or 0.45% if they don't. Ret has a 0.74% chance to win----going from 0.66% to 34.41% if they get 1st, or 0.41% if they don't. Serral has a 0.71% chance to win----going from 1.56% to 67.86% if they get 1st, or 1.08% if they don't. Has has a 0.61% chance to win----going from 0.95% to 52.61% if they get 1st, or 0.63% if they don't. elfi has a 0.58% chance to win----going from 0.54% to 36.8% if they get 1st, or 0.33% if they don't.  iAsonu has a 0.57% chance to win----going from 0.39% to 29.04% if they get 1st, or 0.23% if they don't. Kelazhur has a 0.44% chance to win----going from 0.34% to 31.1% if they get 1st, or 0.2% if they don't. Xenocider has a 0.42% chance to win----going from 0.26% to 25.81% if they get 1st, or 0.15% if they don't. Jim has a 0.4% chance to win----going from 0.26% to 26.45% if they get 1st, or 0.15% if they don't. Elazer has a 0.39% chance to win----going from 0.17% to 19.76% if they get 1st, or 0.09% if they don't. MorroW has a 0.38% chance to win----going from 0.41% to 41.48% if they get 1st, or 0.25% if they don't. TooDming has a 0.36% chance to win----going from 0.18% to 21.11% if they get 1st, or 0.1% if they don't. NXZ has a 0.34% chance to win----going from 0.14% to 18.88% if they get 1st, or 0.07% if they don't. please vote for me http://www.teamliquid.net/forum/viewpost.php?post_id=24156925 | ||
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Die4Ever
United States17684 Posts
WCS Predictor 2015 StarLeague Season 2 PartinG, herO, Stats, and Dear in in StarLeague Season 2 round of 16. This is the Group of Death! Dear has the #4 Headband. PartinG is at 99.97% Blizzcon Chances.57.54% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 99.99%. 42.46% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 99.93%. Stats is at 47.42% Blizzcon Chances.54.77% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 67.15%. 45.23% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 23.52%. herO is at 99.96% Blizzcon Chances.43.48% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 99.99%. 56.52% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 99.94%. Dear is at 29.82% Blizzcon Chances.44.21% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 51.29%. 55.79% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 12.81%. + Show Spoiler [SSL Winning Chances] + Maru has a 16.35% chance to win----going from 100% to 100% if they get 1st, or 100% if they get 2nd. Zest has a 15.84% chance to win----going from 94.85% to 100% if they get 1st, or 99.97% if they get 2nd. PartinG has a 10.76% chance to win----going from 99.97% to 100% if they get 1st, or 100% if they get 2nd. Life has a 10.38% chance to win----going from 100% to 100% if they get 1st, or 100% if they get 2nd. Trap has a 8.05% chance to win----going from 42.32% to 99.66% if they get 1st, or 81.82% if they get 2nd. + Show Spoiler [More Winning Chances] + Stats has a 6.3% chance to win----going from 47.42% to 99.97% if they get 1st, or 91.61% if they get 2nd. herO has a 5.93% chance to win----going from 99.96% to 100% if they get 1st, or 100% if they get 2nd. HyuN has a 4.95% chance to win----going from 20.04% to 90.26% if they get 1st, or 52.07% if they get 2nd. Dream has a 4.38% chance to win----going from 81.28% to 100% if they get 1st, or 99.97% if they get 2nd. Soulkey has a 4.12% chance to win----going from 43.09% to 99.99% if they get 1st, or 93.7% if they get 2nd. Dear has a 3.96% chance to win----going from 29.82% to 99.53% if they get 1st, or 80.66% if they get 2nd. soO has a 3.79% chance to win----going from 20.41% to 88.2% if they get 1st, or 54.61% if they get 2nd. ByuL has a 2.84% chance to win----going from 20.37% to 91.84% if they get 1st, or 60.26% if they get 2nd. Classic has a 2.35% chance to win----going from 10.81% to 93.17% if they get 1st, or 46.58% if they get 2nd. please vote for me http://www.teamliquid.net/forum/viewpost.php?post_id=24156925 | ||
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OtherWorld
France17333 Posts
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sharkie
Austria18512 Posts
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Die4Ever
United States17684 Posts
On April 30 2015 22:34 sharkie wrote: You won your rematch, Die4Ever? cool yea it was close though, only won by 9 votes, and now I have an even tougher opponent did you see my stretch goals? lol http://www.teamliquid.net/forum/viewpost.php?post_id=24156925 | ||
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Die4Ever
United States17684 Posts
WCS Predictor 2015 WCS Challenger Season 2 EU Day 3 + Show Spoiler [Changes Since Before WCS Challenger EU] + (Sim ID #1410 vs Sim ID #1445) Biggest Winners Stats went up by 18.88%, going from 49.05% to 67.93% Bunny went up by 7.84%, going from 22.49% to 30.33% Hydra went up by 6.73%, going from 79.43% to 86.16% MyuNgSiK went up by 5.32%, going from 3.74% to 9.06% Jaedong went up by 4.61%, going from 14.54% to 19.15% viOLet went up by 2.24%, going from 4.33% to 6.57% MaNa went up by 2.08%, going from 2.51% to 4.59%+ Show Spoiler [More Winners] + Kane went up by 1.78%, going from 1.77% to 3.55% FireCake went up by 1.77%, going from 1.5% to 3.27% MaSa went up by 1.45%, going from 2.97% to 4.42% INnoVation went up by 1.43%, going from 44.69% to 46.12% Trap went up by 1.27%, going from 41.17% to 42.44% Rain went up by 1.14%, going from 68.3% to 69.45% GunGFuBanDa went up by 1.06%, going from 1.1% to 2.16% MMA went up by 0.92%, going from 18.46% to 19.38% MajOr went up by 0.91%, going from 5.16% to 6.07% StarDust went up by 0.89%, going from 1.6% to 2.49% Bbyong went up by 0.86%, going from 21.17% to 22.03% TY went up by 0.79%, going from 16.51% to 17.3% GuMiho went up by 0.67%, going from 22.39% to 23.07% Classic went up by 0.61%, going from 10.2% to 10.81% TLO went up by 0.6%, going from 2.04% to 2.64% soO went up by 0.49%, going from 19.74% to 20.24% Polt went up by 0.41%, going from 93.06% to 93.46% Bomber went up by 0.41%, going from 5.86% to 6.27% Flash went up by 0.29%, going from 3.71% to 4.01% MarineLorD went up by 0.19%, going from 2.45% to 2.64% Snute went up by 0.16%, going from 20.64% to 20.8% YoDa went up by 0.16%, going from 2.62% to 2.78% Lilbow went up by 0.14%, going from 8.46% to 8.6% ByuN went up by 0.12%, going from 0.02% to 0.14% Leenock went up by 0.12%, going from 1.66% to 1.78% Elazer went up by 0.12%, going from 0.06% to 0.18% Sacsri went up by 0.11%, going from 5.87% to 5.99% Super went up by 0.11%, going from 1.2% to 1.31% Kelazhur went up by 0.11%, going from 0.31% to 0.42% Xenocider went up by 0.1%, going from 0.15% to 0.25%Biggest Losers Dear went down by 18.85%, going from 30.4% to 11.55% Dark went down by 17.08%, going from 55.3% to 38.22% ShoWTimE went down by 12.22%, going from 13.8% to 1.58% NaNiwa went down by 5.81%, going from 6.3% to 0.49% FanTaSy went down by 2.87%, going from 53.59% to 50.72% Soulkey went down by 2.54%, going from 45.43% to 42.89% HeRoMaRinE went down by 2.48%, going from 2.62% to 0.15%+ Show Spoiler [More Losers] + Zest went down by 1.3%, going from 96.16% to 94.86% HyuN went down by 0.69%, going from 20.65% to 19.96% HuK went down by 0.54%, going from 0.58% to 0.03% ByuL went down by 0.48%, going from 20.81% to 20.32% Rogue went down by 0.37%, going from 49.11% to 48.73% Petraeus went down by 0.35%, going from 3.14% to 2.78% TRUE went down by 0.32%, going from 1.84% to 1.52% Zanster went down by 0.32%, going from 0.33% to 0.01% RagnaroK went down by 0.31%, going from 0.4% to 0.09% Dream went down by 0.17%, going from 81.36% to 81.19% Terminator went down by 0.16%, going from 3.76% to 3.6% Solar went down by 0.13%, going from 4.27% to 4.14% Symbol went down by 0.12%, going from 1.22% to 1.1% puCK went down by 0.1%, going from 0.11% to 0.01% Happy vs MarineLorD in in WCS Challenger Season 2 round of 64. Happy is at 3.57% Blizzcon Chances.56.87% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 6.12%. 43.13% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 0.21%. MarineLorD is at 2.63% Blizzcon Chances.43.13% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 5.84%. 56.87% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 0.2%. souL vs ForGG in in WCS Challenger Season 2 round of 64. souL is at 0.01% Blizzcon Chances.13.93% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 0.08%. 86.07% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 0.01%. ForGG is at 55.77% Blizzcon Chances.86.07% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 62.21%. 13.93% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 15.97%. elfi vs TargA in in WCS Challenger Season 2 round of 64. elfi is at 0.53% Blizzcon Chances.42.63% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 1.21%. 57.37% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 0.02%. TargA is at 2.78% Blizzcon Chances.57.37% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 4.71%. 42.63% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 0.19%. MorroW vs Petraeus in in WCS Challenger Season 2 round of 64. MorroW is at 0.39% Blizzcon Chances.39.27% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 0.97%. 60.73% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 0.02%. Petraeus is at 2.78% Blizzcon Chances.60.73% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 4.49%. 39.27% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 0.15%. Harstem vs Serral in in WCS Challenger Season 2 round of 64. Harstem is at 1.52% Blizzcon Chances.53.14% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 2.78%. 46.86% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 0.1%. Serral is at 1.51% Blizzcon Chances.46.86% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 3.07%. 53.14% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 0.13%. + Show Spoiler [WCS Premier Winning Chances] + ForGG has a 15.86% chance to win----going from 55.77% to 99.72% if they get 1st, or 83.87% if they get 2nd. Hydra has a 12.69% chance to win----going from 86.16% to 100% if they get 1st, or 99.78% if they get 2nd. Polt has a 9.43% chance to win----going from 93.46% to 100% if they get 1st, or 99.99% if they get 2nd. Bunny has a 6.65% chance to win----going from 30.33% to 98.56% if they get 1st, or 64.29% if they get 2nd. Lilbow has a 5.62% chance to win----going from 8.6% to 59.8% if they get 1st, or 19.12% if they get 2nd. + Show Spoiler [More Winning Chances] + Jaedong has a 5.58% chance to win----going from 19.15% to 88.02% if they get 1st, or 43.13% if they get 2nd. MajOr has a 4.47% chance to win----going from 6.07% to 53.01% if they get 1st, or 15.2% if they get 2nd. Snute has a 4.42% chance to win----going from 20.8% to 97.27% if they get 1st, or 53.48% if they get 2nd. MaSa has a 3.83% chance to win----going from 4.42% to 47.12% if they get 1st, or 2.71% if they don't. viOLet has a 3.49% chance to win----going from 6.57% to 62.28% if they get 1st, or 18.47% if they get 2nd. Happy has a 2.47% chance to win----going from 3.58% to 55.8% if they get 1st, or 2.26% if they don't. MaNa has a 2.37% chance to win----going from 4.59% to 64.11% if they get 1st, or 3.15% if they don't. StarDust has a 2.31% chance to win----going from 2.49% to 40.14% if they get 1st, or 1.6% if they don't. GunGFuBanDa has a 2.28% chance to win----going from 2.16% to 38.44% if they get 1st, or 1.32% if they don't. Petraeus has a 2.07% chance to win----going from 2.78% to 49.83% if they get 1st, or 1.79% if they don't. FireCake has a 1.74% chance to win----going from 3.27% to 64.66% if they get 1st, or 2.18% if they don't. MarineLorD has a 1.71% chance to win----going from 2.64% to 55.13% if they get 1st, or 1.72% if they don't. Sen has a 1.45% chance to win----going from 1.77% to 46.89% if they get 1st, or 1.1% if they don't. TargA has a 1.44% chance to win----going from 2.79% to 62.25% if they get 1st, or 1.92% if they don't. Kane has a 1.29% chance to win----going from 3.55% to 77.56% if they get 1st, or 2.58% if they don't. Harstem has a 1.01% chance to win----going from 1.52% to 53.87% if they get 1st, or 0.99% if they don't. TLO has a 0.92% chance to win----going from 2.64% to 78.94% if they get 1st, or 1.93% if they don't. iaguz has a 0.87% chance to win----going from 0.73% to 35.06% if they get 1st, or 0.43% if they don't. Ret has a 0.72% chance to win----going from 0.64% to 34.18% if they get 1st, or 0.4% if they don't. Serral has a 0.7% chance to win----going from 1.51% to 67.14% if they get 1st, or 1.05% if they don't. Has has a 0.6% chance to win----going from 0.93% to 52.54% if they get 1st, or 0.62% if they don't. elfi has a 0.58% chance to win----going from 0.53% to 36.82% if they get 1st, or 0.32% if they don't. iAsonu has a 0.55% chance to win----going from 0.38% to 28.52% if they get 1st, or 0.22% if they don't. Kelazhur has a 0.54% chance to win----going from 0.42% to 30.92% if they get 1st, or 0.25% if they don't. Xenocider has a 0.42% chance to win----going from 0.25% to 25.71% if they get 1st, or 0.15% if they don't. Elazer has a 0.4% chance to win----going from 0.18% to 20.4% if they get 1st, or 0.09% if they don't. Jim has a 0.39% chance to win----going from 0.25% to 25.98% if they get 1st, or 0.15% if they don't. MorroW has a 0.37% chance to win----going from 0.39% to 41.03% if they get 1st, or 0.24% if they don't. TooDming has a 0.35% chance to win----going from 0.18% to 20.49% if they get 1st, or 0.1% if they don't. NXZ has a 0.34% chance to win----going from 0.13% to 19.33% if they get 1st, or 0.07% if they don't. please vote for me http://www.teamliquid.net/forum/viewpost.php?post_id=24156925 | ||
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Die4Ever
United States17684 Posts
WCS Predictor 2015 GSL Code S Season 2 Ro32 Group C Trust, Rogue, FanTaSy, and soO in in GSL Code S Season 2 round of 32. This is the Group of Death! Trust is at 0.68% Blizzcon Chances.35.55% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 1.57%. 64.45% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 0.18%. FanTaSy is at 50.48% Blizzcon Chances.56.59% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 62.45%. 43.41% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 34.87%. Rogue is at 48.91% Blizzcon Chances.57.52% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 61.07%. 42.48% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 32.45%. soO is at 20.13% Blizzcon Chances.50.34% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 27.78%. 49.66% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 12.37%. + Show Spoiler [GSL Winning Chances] + PartinG has a 16.41% chance to win----going from 99.95% to 100% if they get 1st, or 99.94% if they don't. Rain has a 11.19% chance to win----going from 69.35% to 99.99% if they get 1st, or 94.81% if they get 2nd. Life has a 9.01% chance to win----going from 100% to 100% if they get 1st, or 100% if they don't. herO has a 7.32% chance to win----going from 99.99% to 100% if they get 1st, or 99.99% if they don't. Maru has a 6.42% chance to win----going from 100% to 100% if they get 1st, or 100% if they don't. + Show Spoiler [More Winning Chances] + INnoVation has a 5.22% chance to win----going from 45.97% to 99.96% if they get 1st, or 89.03% if they get 2nd. FanTaSy has a 4.37% chance to win----going from 50.48% to 99.93% if they get 1st, or 91.53% if they get 2nd. GuMiho has a 4.18% chance to win----going from 22.86% to 93.52% if they get 1st, or 53.92% if they get 2nd. sOs has a 4.17% chance to win----going from 24.11% to 96.65% if they get 1st, or 63.51% if they get 2nd. Rogue has a 3.95% chance to win----going from 48.91% to 99.97% if they get 1st, or 92.78% if they get 2nd. Bbyong has a 3.21% chance to win----going from 21.92% to 96.74% if they get 1st, or 62.24% if they get 2nd. soO has a 2.79% chance to win----going from 20.13% to 83.86% if they get 1st, or 50.39% if they get 2nd. ByuL has a 2.63% chance to win----going from 20.13% to 86.02% if they get 1st, or 51.62% if they get 2nd. MyuNgSiK has a 2.54% chance to win----going from 9.01% to 77.27% if they get 1st, or 29.43% if they get 2nd. Sacsri has a 2.18% chance to win----going from 5.93% to 64.24% if they get 1st, or 24.06% if they get 2nd. Flash has a 2.11% chance to win----going from 3.94% to 50.27% if they get 1st, or 2.94% if they don't. MMA has a 2.03% chance to win----going from 19.19% to 97.92% if they get 1st, or 65.22% if they get 2nd. TY has a 1.8% chance to win----going from 17.18% to 98.77% if they get 1st, or 64.44% if they get 2nd. Dream has a 1.74% chance to win----going from 80.89% to 100% if they get 1st, or 99.91% if they get 2nd. Bomber has a 1.62% chance to win----going from 6.19% to 75.41% if they get 1st, or 28.33% if they get 2nd. YoDa has a 0.95% chance to win----going from 2.75% to 59.8% if they get 1st, or 2.21% if they don't. Curious has a 0.85% chance to win----going from 1.42% to 44.42% if they get 1st, or 1.05% if they don't. Creator has a 0.8% chance to win----going from 0.95% to 35.7% if they get 1st, or 0.67% if they don't. Patience has a 0.72% chance to win----going from 2.19% to 62.02% if they get 1st, or 1.76% if they don't. Trust has a 0.63% chance to win----going from 0.68% to 31.95% if they get 1st, or 0.48% if they don't. Symbol has a 0.59% chance to win----going from 1.09% to 47.14% if they get 1st, or 0.82% if they don't. HerO has a 0.42% chance to win----going from 0.36% to 26.31% if they get 1st, or 0.25% if they don't. Panic has a 0.15% chance to win----going from 0.09% to 20.88% if they get 1st, or 0.06% if they don't. please vote for me, I'm in the "Groups A & B Voting" section http://www.teamliquid.net/forum/viewpost.php?post_id=24123728 | ||
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sharkie
Austria18512 Posts
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Die4Ever
United States17684 Posts
Introducing Branched Simulations! I finally completed the rewrite of the simulator program, and this is one of the benefits of that. Branched Simulations allow me to filter through the samples of the normal simulation only picking out certain scenarios and calculating all the normal stats for them. This way we can look at what the stats would be if for example Bunny wins Gfinity, or Maru beats Life in the KeSPA Cup Finals. Check the branches page to see all the branches off of the current simulation http://sc2.4ever.tv/?page=branches Be careful to note the low sample counts for extremely specific branches, such as the branch for "MC wins Gfinity over Jaedong, Snute gets 8th at Dreamhack Tours, and INnoVation wins GSL S3", with only 353 samples the statistics here are fairly inaccurate. 353 out of 25,000,000 means that specific scenario only has a 0.001412% chance of happening! When you go to a branch page you will see the Simulation Info bar is red and the background is more pink to alert you that these are not the actual current stats. You will also see everything from the Top 25 Players to the Foreigner Hopes and Upcoming Matches are affected. All stats that do comparisons (the graphs, and the biggest winners/losers) will compare the branch against the base simulation that it is based on. First let's take a look at the branch where Bunny wins Gfinity http://sc2.4ever.tv/?sim_id=1482 + Show Spoiler [Bunny Wins Gfinity] + Let's look at how this branch affects the upcoming match preview for Bunny's ro16 group. Here are the actual numbers for it Bunny, Patience, Heart, and MC in in Gfinity Spring 2 round of 16. Bunny is at 29.92% Blizzcon Chances.55.8% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 33.05%. 44.2% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 25.98%. Heart is at 0.51% Blizzcon Chances.46.85% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 0.62%. 53.15% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 0.42%. Patience is at 2.19% Blizzcon Chances.54.22% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 2.5%. 45.78% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 1.83%. MC is at 0.18% Blizzcon Chances.43.13% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 0.25%. 56.88% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 0.13%. And here are the numbers inside the branch which assumes Bunny will be the champion Bunny, Patience, Heart, and MC in in Gfinity Spring 2 round of 16. Bunny is at 38.37% Blizzcon Chances. Heart is at 0.45% Blizzcon Chances.24.29% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 0.53%. 75.71% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 0.42%. Patience is at 2.05% Blizzcon Chances.43.82% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 2.38%. 56.18% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 1.8%. MC is at 0.16% Blizzcon Chances.31.88% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 0.25%. 68.12% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 0.12%. You can see everyone else's chances to win the group go down, since Bunny is assumed to take one of the advancing spots. Now let's look at the Biggest Winners section to see how the assumptions of this branch help/hurt everyone Bunny went up by 8.44%, going from 29.92% to 38.37%It helped Bunny by a significant amount. Here's the Biggest Losers Hydra went down by 1.06%, going from 85.99% to 84.93% sOs went down by 1.05%, going from 24.11% to 23.06% HyuN went down by 0.69%, going from 19.96% to 19.28% Jaedong went down by 0.39%, going from 18.66% to 18.28% Dark went down by 0.35%, going from 38.05% to 37.7% Rain went down by 0.29%, going from 69.35% to 69.05% Dream went down by 0.28%, going from 80.89% to 80.6%+ Show Spoiler [More Losers] + INnoVation went down by 0.28%, going from 45.97% to 45.69% Rogue went down by 0.27%, going from 48.91% to 48.65% Sacsri went down by 0.26%, going from 5.93% to 5.66% FanTaSy went down by 0.25%, going from 50.48% to 50.23% ForGG went down by 0.22%, going from 62.23% to 62.01% Stats went down by 0.19%, going from 69.53% to 69.34% Soulkey went down by 0.19%, going from 43.02% to 42.83% Solar went down by 0.15%, going from 4.08% to 3.93% Dear went down by 0.14%, going from 10.46% to 10.32% Patience went down by 0.14%, going from 2.19% to 2.05% Trap went down by 0.14%, going from 42.65% to 42.51% MMA went down by 0.13%, going from 19.19% to 19.06% Polt went down by 0.12%, going from 93.37% to 93.25% Snute went down by 0.12%, going from 20.66% to 20.55%Here it mostly hurt the other participants of Gfinity. And of course, Bunny winning helps the Foreigner Hope ratings. Chances of 1+ foreigners goes from 74.18% up to 77.5% Chances of 2+ foreigners goes from 27.76% up to 31.17% Now let's look at the branch for Maru winning KeSPA Cup over Life http://sc2.4ever.tv/?sim_id=1483 + Show Spoiler [Maru wins KeSPA Cup over Life] + Biggest Winners Rain went up by 0.8%, going from 69.35% to 70.14% Bbyong went up by 0.75%, going from 21.92% to 22.67% ForGG went up by 0.64%, going from 62.23% to 62.88% INnoVation went up by 0.61%, going from 45.97% to 46.58% GuMiho went up by 0.6%, going from 22.86% to 23.46% Snute went up by 0.57%, going from 20.66% to 21.24% sOs went up by 0.55%, going from 24.11% to 24.66%+ Show Spoiler [More Winners] + Bunny went up by 0.53%, going from 29.92% to 30.45% TY went up by 0.48%, going from 17.18% to 17.66% MMA went up by 0.47%, going from 19.19% to 19.66% Trap went up by 0.44%, going from 42.65% to 43.09% soO went up by 0.41%, going from 20.13% to 20.54% Jaedong went up by 0.41%, going from 18.66% to 19.07% Hydra went up by 0.39%, going from 85.99% to 86.38% MajOr went up by 0.33%, going from 5.24% to 5.57% Lilbow went up by 0.33%, going from 8.19% to 8.52% Soulkey went up by 0.33%, going from 43.02% to 43.35% Polt went up by 0.32%, going from 93.37% to 93.69% Classic went up by 0.28%, going from 10.78% to 11.06% MarineLorD went up by 0.23%, going from 5.62% to 5.85% Zest went up by 0.22%, going from 94.87% to 95.09% MaNa went up by 0.21%, going from 4.39% to 4.6% Kane went up by 0.2%, going from 3.49% to 3.7% HyuN went up by 0.2%, going from 19.96% to 20.16% YoDa went up by 0.19%, going from 2.75% to 2.94% Bomber went up by 0.17%, going from 6.19% to 6.36% Solar went up by 0.17%, going from 4.08% to 4.25% MaSa went up by 0.14%, going from 4.2% to 4.34% Sen went up by 0.13%, going from 1.7% to 1.84% Petraeus went up by 0.13%, going from 4.46% to 4.6% Leenock went up by 0.12%, going from 1.77% to 1.89% ShoWTimE went up by 0.12%, going from 1.55% to 1.67% Sacsri went up by 0.11%, going from 5.93% to 6.04% TRUE went up by 0.11%, going from 1.54% to 1.65%You can see it helped a lot of players. Since Maru and Life are already locked in for Blizzcon, them gaining points means other players aren't gaining those points, so this would be good for the players not in the tournament. Biggest Losers Rogue went down by 3.61%, going from 48.91% to 45.3% ByuL went down by 3.27%, going from 20.13% to 16.86% Stats went down by 1.91%, going from 69.53% to 67.62% Dark went down by 1.56%, going from 38.05% to 36.49% Terminator went down by 1.1%, going from 3.61% to 2.5% FanTaSy went down by 0.61%, going from 50.48% to 49.87% Dream went down by 0.48%, going from 80.89% to 80.4%+ Show Spoiler [More Losers] + These players are all in the KeSPA Cup and would obviously want to make it to the finals instead of Maru/Life. Maru and Life making the finals also means that the point cutoffs go down slightly. Closest to 50% chances goes from 2975 WCS Points down to 2950. Closest to 99% chances goes from 3475 WCS Points down to 3450. And them denying the other Korean players from making the finals ironically helps the Foreigner Hope ratings. Chances of 1+ foreigners goes from 74.18% up to 75.47%. Chances of 2+ foreigners goes from 27.76% up to 29.33%. Branched simulations will help me do previews for big matches and tournaments, answer those crazy "what if" questions, and also possibly write FanFics! please vote for me to get fanfics http://www.teamliquid.net/forum/viewpost.php?post_id=24179375 | ||
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Xithryl
United States7 Posts
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Die4Ever
United States17684 Posts
WCS Predictor 2015 Gfinity Spring 2 Day 1 HyuN, Jaedong, TRUE, and ShoWTimE in in Gfinity Spring 2 round of 16. HyuN is at 19.56% Blizzcon Chances.51.98% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 21.27%. 48.02% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 17.71%. TRUE is at 1.48% Blizzcon Chances.47.52% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 1.74%. 52.48% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 1.25%. Jaedong is at 18.14% Blizzcon Chances.53.96% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 20.44%. 46.04% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 15.44%. ShoWTimE is at 1.49% Blizzcon Chances.46.54% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 1.97%. 53.46% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 1.06%. Bunny, Patience, Heart, and MC in in Gfinity Spring 2 round of 16. Bunny is at 29.26% Blizzcon Chances.55.82% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 32.28%. 44.18% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 25.45%. Heart is at 0.49% Blizzcon Chances.46.86% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 0.59%. 53.14% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 0.4%. Patience is at 2.09% Blizzcon Chances.54.17% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 2.37%. 45.83% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 1.76%. MC is at 0.17% Blizzcon Chances.43.14% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 0.24%. 56.86% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 0.12%. sOs,  BlinG, uThermal, and Sacsri in in Gfinity Spring 2 round of 16. sOs is at 23.66% Blizzcon Chances.66.54% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 25.73%. 33.46% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 19.53%. uThermal is at 0.05% Blizzcon Chances.40.36% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 0.07%. 59.64% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 0.04%. BlinG is at 0.01% Blizzcon Chances.19.8% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 0%. 80.2% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 0.01%. Sacsri is at 5.67% Blizzcon Chances.73.3% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 6.03%. 26.7% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 4.69%. Solar, Hydra, San, and Symbol in in Gfinity Spring 2 round of 16. Solar is at 3.92% Blizzcon Chances.55.26% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 4.7%. 44.74% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 2.94%. San is at 0.33% Blizzcon Chances.44.19% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 0.4%. 55.81% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 0.27%. Hydra is at 85.47% Blizzcon Chances.64.25% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 88.08%. 35.75% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 80.78%. Symbol is at 1.04% Blizzcon Chances.36.3% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 1.26%. 63.7% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 0.91%. + Show Spoiler [Gfinity Winning Chances] + Hydra has a 14.57% chance to win----going from 85.47% to 91.55% if they get 1st, or 84.44% if they don't. sOs has a 12.11% chance to win----going from 23.66% to 29.86% if they get 1st, or 22.8% if they don't. HyuN has a 9.07% chance to win----going from 19.56% to 24.66% if they get 1st, or 19.05% if they don't. Sacsri has a 8.75% chance to win----going from 5.67% to 7.68% if they get 1st, or 5.48% if they don't. Jaedong has a 8.04% chance to win----going from 18.14% to 24.24% if they get 1st, or 17.61% if they don't. + Show Spoiler [More Winning Chances] + Bunny has a 7.77% chance to win----going from 29.26% to 37.86% if they get 1st, or 28.54% if they don't. Solar has a 7.47% chance to win----going from 3.92% to 6.24% if they get 1st, or 3.73% if they don't. TRUE has a 6.05% chance to win----going from 1.48% to 2.39% if they get 1st, or 1.42% if they don't. Heart has a 4.78% chance to win----going from 0.49% to 0.91% if they get 1st, or 0.47% if they don't. ShoWTimE has a 4.76% chance to win----going from 1.49% to 2.92% if they get 1st, or 1.42% if they don't. Patience has a 4.44% chance to win----going from 2.09% to 3.29% if they get 1st, or 2.03% if they don't. San has a 4.27% chance to win----going from 0.33% to 0.58% if they get 1st, or 0.32% if they don't. MC has a 3.07% chance to win----going from 0.17% to 0.38% if they get 1st, or 0.17% if they don't. Symbol has a 2.55% chance to win----going from 1.04% to 1.77% if they get 1st, or 1.02% if they don't. uThermal has a 2.04% chance to win----going from 0.05% to 0.13% if they get 1st, or 0.05% if they don't. BlinG has a 0.26% chance to win----going from 0.01% to 0% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. please vote for me to get fanfics http://www.teamliquid.net/forum/viewpost.php?post_id=24179375 | ||
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Die4Ever
United States17684 Posts
HyuN, Jaedong, TRUE, and ShoWTimE in in Gfinity Spring 2 round of 16. HyuN is at 19.56% Blizzcon Chances, with a 51.98% chance to win this match.If they win their Blizzcon Chances go to 21.27%, or 17.71% if they lose. TRUE is at 1.48% Blizzcon Chances, with a 47.52% chance to win this match.If they win this match their Blizzcon Chances go to 1.74%, or 1.25% if they lose. Jaedong is at 18.14% Blizzcon Chances, with a 53.96% chance to win this match.If they win this match their Blizzcon Chances go to 20.44%, or 15.44% if they lose. ShoWTimE is at 1.49% Blizzcon Chances, with a 46.54% chance to win this match.If they win this match their Blizzcon Chances go to 1.97%, or 1.06% if they lose. | ||
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OtherWorld
France17333 Posts
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Die4Ever
United States17684 Posts
WCS Predictor 2015 Gfinity Spring 2 Day 1 HyuN, Jaedong, TRUE, and ShoWTimE in in Gfinity Spring 2 round of 16. HyuN is at 19.6% Blizzcon Chances, with a 51.99% chance to win this match.If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 21.34%, or 17.72% if they lose. TRUE is at 1.47% Blizzcon Chances, with a 47.52% chance to win this match.If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 1.74%, or 1.23% if they lose. Jaedong is at 18.13% Blizzcon Chances, with a 53.93% chance to win this match.If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 20.47%, or 15.39% if they lose. ShoWTimE is at 1.48% Blizzcon Chances, with a 46.56% chance to win this match.If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 1.96%, or 1.06% if they lose. Bunny, Patience, Heart, and MC in in Gfinity Spring 2 round of 16. Bunny is at 29.26% Blizzcon Chances, with a 55.81% chance to win this match.If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 32.32%, or 25.38% if they lose. Heart is at 0.48% Blizzcon Chances, with a 46.85% chance to win this match.If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0.59%, or 0.39% if they lose. Patience is at 2.1% Blizzcon Chances, with a 54.23% chance to win this match.If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 2.39%, or 1.75% if they lose. MC is at 0.17% Blizzcon Chances, with a 43.12% chance to win this match.If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0.24%, or 0.12% if they lose. sOs, BlinG, uThermal, and Sacsri in in Gfinity Spring 2 round of 16. sOs is at 23.64% Blizzcon Chances, with a 66.56% chance to win this match.If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 25.68%, or 19.56% if they lose. uThermal is at 0.05% Blizzcon Chances, with a 40.35% chance to win this match.If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0.07%, or 0.04% if they lose. BlinG is at 0.01% Blizzcon Chances, with a 19.78% chance to win this match.If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0.01%, or 0.01% if they lose. Sacsri is at 5.65% Blizzcon Chances, with a 73.31% chance to win this match.If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 6.01%, or 4.66% if they lose. Solar, Hydra, San, and Symbol in in Gfinity Spring 2 round of 16. Solar is at 3.93% Blizzcon Chances, with a 55.26% chance to win this match.If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 4.71%, or 2.96% if they lose. San is at 0.33% Blizzcon Chances, with a 44.21% chance to win this match.If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0.41%, or 0.27% if they lose. Hydra is at 85.5% Blizzcon Chances, with a 64.23% chance to win this match.If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 88.1%, or 80.82% if they lose. Symbol is at 1.03% Blizzcon Chances, with a 36.3% chance to win this match.If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 1.26%, or 0.9% if they lose. + Show Spoiler [Gfinity Winning Chances] + Hydra has a 14.59% chance to win----going from 85.5% to 91.48% if they get 1st, or 84.47% if they don't. sOs has a 12.12% chance to win----going from 23.64% to 29.85% if they get 1st, or 22.78% if they don't. HyuN has a 9.03% chance to win----going from 19.6% to 24.89% if they get 1st, or 19.08% if they don't. Sacsri has a 8.78% chance to win----going from 5.65% to 7.65% if they get 1st, or 5.45% if they don't. Jaedong has a 8.02% chance to win----going from 18.13% to 24.22% if they get 1st, or 17.6% if they don't. + Show Spoiler [More Winning Chances] + Bunny has a 7.74% chance to win----going from 29.26% to 37.54% if they get 1st, or 28.56% if they don't. Solar has a 7.48% chance to win----going from 3.93% to 6.16% if they get 1st, or 3.75% if they don't. TRUE has a 6.06% chance to win----going from 1.47% to 2.38% if they get 1st, or 1.41% if they don't. Heart has a 4.77% chance to win----going from 0.48% to 0.86% if they get 1st, or 0.47% if they don't. ShoWTimE has a 4.76% chance to win----going from 1.48% to 2.91% if they get 1st, or 1.41% if they don't. Patience has a 4.45% chance to win----going from 2.1% to 3.34% if they get 1st, or 2.04% if they don't. San has a 4.29% chance to win----going from 0.33% to 0.61% if they get 1st, or 0.32% if they don't. MC has a 3.06% chance to win----going from 0.17% to 0.37% if they get 1st, or 0.16% if they don't. Symbol has a 2.54% chance to win----going from 1.03% to 1.77% if they get 1st, or 1.02% if they don't. uThermal has a 2.04% chance to win----going from 0.05% to 0.13% if they get 1st, or 0.05% if they don't. BlinG has a 0.26% chance to win----going from 0.01% to 0% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. How do you guys like the new format? please vote for me to get fanfics http://www.teamliquid.net/forum/viewpost.php?post_id=24179375 | ||
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Die4Ever
United States17684 Posts
WCS Predictor 2015 Gfinity Spring 2 Day 2 + Show Spoiler [Changes During This Tournament] + (Sim ID #1485 vs #1493) Biggest Winners FanTaSy went up by 4.07%, going from 61.84% to 65.91% Bunny went up by 2.79%, going from 29.26% to 32.05% Jaedong went up by 2.53%, going from 18.14% to 20.66% Solar went up by 0.99%, going from 3.93% to 4.92% Sacsri went up by 0.54%, going from 5.65% to 6.19% sOs went up by 0.46%, going from 23.64% to 24.1% Patience went up by 0.38%, going from 2.1% to 2.48%+ Show Spoiler [More Winners] + Biggest Losers Hydra went down by 3.13%, going from 85.5% to 82.37% HyuN went down by 3.07%, going from 19.6% to 16.53% soO went down by 2.26%, going from 11.75% to 9.49% ShoWTimE went down by 0.38%, going from 1.48% to 1.1% Rain went down by 0.32%, going from 68.58% to 68.26% Symbol went down by 0.26%, going from 1.04% to 0.77% INnoVation went down by 0.26%, going from 45.08% to 44.81%+ Show Spoiler [More Losers] + Dark went down by 0.26%, going from 37.3% to 37.04% Rogue went down by 0.25%, going from 60.68% to 60.43% MMA went down by 0.21%, going from 18.61% to 18.41% MyuNgSiK went down by 0.15%, going from 8.64% to 8.49% TY went down by 0.15%, going from 16.65% to 16.51% Stats went down by 0.13%, going from 68.93% to 68.8% Zest went down by 0.13%, going from 94.65% to 94.52% GuMiho went down by 0.12%, going from 22.88% to 22.76% Heart went down by 0.12%, going from 0.48% to 0.37% Snute went down by 0.1%, going from 20.1% to 19.99% HyuN, Jaedong, TRUE, and ShoWTimE in in Gfinity Spring 2 round of 16. HyuN is at 16.53% Blizzcon Chances, with a 27.17% chance to win this match.If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 18.95%, or 15.63% if they lose. TRUE is at 1.82% Blizzcon Chances, with a 71.58% chance to win this match.If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 1.98%, or 1.42% if they lose. Jaedong is at 20.66% Blizzcon Chances, with a 79.32% chance to win this match.If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 21.75%, or 16.5% if they lose. ShoWTimE is at 1.1% Blizzcon Chances, with a 21.94% chance to win this match.If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 1.73%, or 0.92% if they lose. sOs, BlinG, uThermal, and Sacsri in in Gfinity Spring 2 round of 16. sOs is at 24.1% Blizzcon Chances, with a 82.56% chance to win this match.If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 25.15%, or 19.14% if they lose. uThermal is at 0.04% Blizzcon Chances, with a 23.27% chance to win this match.If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0.06%, or 0.04% if they lose. BlinG is at 0.01% Blizzcon Chances, with a 10.11% chance to win this match.If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0.01%, or 0.01% if they lose. Sacsri is at 6.19% Blizzcon Chances, with a 84.06% chance to win this match.If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 6.42%, or 4.98% if they lose. Bunny, Patience, Heart, and MC in in Gfinity Spring 2 round of 16. Bunny is at 32.05% Blizzcon Chances, with a 79.87% chance to win this match.If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 33.46%, or 26.45% if they lose. Heart is at 0.37% Blizzcon Chances, with a 22.65% chance to win this match.If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0.49%, or 0.33% if they lose. Patience is at 2.48% Blizzcon Chances, with a 75.33% chance to win this match.If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 2.65%, or 1.96% if they lose. MC is at 0.11% Blizzcon Chances, with a 22.14% chance to win this match.If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0.19%, or 0.09% if they lose. Solar, Hydra, San, and Symbol in in Gfinity Spring 2 round of 16. Solar is at 4.92% Blizzcon Chances, with a 77.49% chance to win this match.If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 5.35%, or 3.44% if they lose. San is at 0.45% Blizzcon Chances, with a 70.81% chance to win this match.If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0.5%, or 0.33% if they lose. Hydra is at 82.37% Blizzcon Chances, with a 37.42% chance to win this match.If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 87.1%, or 79.54% if they lose. Symbol is at 0.77% Blizzcon Chances, with a 14.28% chance to win this match.If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 1.02%, or 0.73% if they lose. + Show Spoiler [Gfinity Winning Chances] + sOs has a 14.29% chance to win----going from 24.1% to 29.36% if they get 1st, or 23.23% if they don't. Jaedong has a 11.81% chance to win----going from 20.66% to 25.5% if they get 1st, or 20.02% if they don't. Bunny has a 11.48% chance to win----going from 32.05% to 38.74% if they get 1st, or 31.18% if they don't. Solar has a 10.96% chance to win----going from 4.92% to 6.99% if they get 1st, or 4.66% if they don't. Sacsri has a 10.05% chance to win----going from 6.19% to 8.08% if they get 1st, or 5.98% if they don't. + Show Spoiler [More Winning Chances] + TRUE has a 9.12% chance to win----going from 1.82% to 2.69% if they get 1st, or 1.73% if they don't. Hydra has a 7.67% chance to win----going from 82.37% to 90.83% if they get 1st, or 81.67% if they don't. San has a 6.75% chance to win----going from 0.45% to 0.74% if they get 1st, or 0.43% if they don't. Patience has a 6.1% chance to win----going from 2.48% to 3.69% if they get 1st, or 2.4% if they don't. HyuN has a 4.14% chance to win----going from 16.53% to 22.47% if they get 1st, or 16.28% if they don't. Heart has a 2.17% chance to win----going from 0.37% to 0.75% if they get 1st, or 0.36% if they don't. ShoWTimE has a 1.99% chance to win----going from 1.1% to 2.65% if they get 1st, or 1.07% if they don't. MC has a 1.32% chance to win----going from 0.11% to 0.35% if they get 1st, or 0.11% if they don't. uThermal has a 1.13% chance to win----going from 0.04% to 0.11% if they get 1st, or 0.04% if they don't. Symbol has a 0.91% chance to win----going from 0.77% to 1.47% if they get 1st, or 0.77% if they don't. BlinG has a 0.12% chance to win----going from 0.01% to 0% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. How do you guys like the new format? please vote for me to get fanfics http://www.teamliquid.net/forum/viewpost.php?post_id=24179375 | ||
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Die4Ever
United States17684 Posts
WCS Predictor 2015 KeSPA Cup 1 Day 1 FanTaSy vs Zest in in KeSPA Cup 1 round of 16. FanTaSy is at 65.49% Blizzcon Chances, with a 52.87% chance to win this match.If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 73.1%, or 56.95% if they lose. Zest is at 94.39% Blizzcon Chances, with a 47.13% chance to win this match.If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 98.49%, or 90.74% if they lose. Losira vs Dark in in KeSPA Cup 1 round of 16. Losira is at 0.1% Blizzcon Chances, with a 38.36% chance to win this match.If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0.19%, or 0.05% if they lose. Dark is at 36.68% Blizzcon Chances, with a 61.64% chance to win this match.If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 99.99%, or 27.01% if they lose. Terminator vs Life in in KeSPA Cup 1 round of 16. Life has the #1 Headband. Terminator is at 3.37% Blizzcon Chances, with a 43.7% chance to win this match.If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 4.88%, or 2.19% if they lose. Life is at 100% Blizzcon Chances, with a 56.3% chance to win this match.If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 100%, or 100% if they lose. Dream vs Stats in in KeSPA Cup 1 round of 16. Stats has the #4 Headband. Dream is at 80.27% Blizzcon Chances, with a 53.37% chance to win this match.If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 88.75%, or 70.56% if they lose. Stats is at 68.52% Blizzcon Chances, with a 46.63% chance to win this match.If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 77.12%, or 61.02% if they lose. PartinG vs Soulkey in in KeSPA Cup 1 round of 16. PartinG is at 99.94% Blizzcon Chances, with a 57.93% chance to win this match.If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 99.99%, or 99.85% if they lose. Soulkey is at 42.51% Blizzcon Chances, with a 42.07% chance to win this match.If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 51.11%, or 99.99% if they lose. Dear vs herO in in KeSPA Cup 1 round of 16. Dear is at 9.95% Blizzcon Chances, with a 48.81% chance to win this match.If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 13.3%, or 6.75% if they lose. herO is at 99.99% Blizzcon Chances, with a 51.19% chance to win this match.If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 100%, or 99.99% if they lose. + Show Spoiler [More Upcoming Matches] + Rogue vs MyuNgSiK in in KeSPA Cup 1 round of 16. MyuNgSiK has the #2 Headband. Rogue is at 59.94% Blizzcon Chances, with a 52.45% chance to win this match.If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 70.95%, or 47.79% if they lose. MyuNgSiK is at 8.33% Blizzcon Chances, with a 47.55% chance to win this match.If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 11.09%, or 5.82% if they lose. Maru vs ByuL in in KeSPA Cup 1 round of 16. Maru has the #3 Headband. Maru is at 100% Blizzcon Chances, with a 53.45% chance to win this match.If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 100%, or 100% if they lose. ByuL is at 19.51% Blizzcon Chances, with a 46.55% chance to win this match.If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 23.6%, or 15.95% if they lose. + Show Spoiler [KeSPA Cup Winning Chances] + PartinG has a 11.79% chance to win----going from 99.94% to 100% if they get 1st, or 99.93% if they don't. Life has a 10.61% chance to win----going from 100% to 100% if they get 1st, or 100% if they don't. Maru has a 8.94% chance to win----going from 100% to 100% if they get 1st, or 100% if they don't. Zest has a 8.61% chance to win----going from 94.39% to 99.94% if they get 1st, or 99.43% if they get 2nd. herO has a 8.51% chance to win----going from 99.99% to 100% if they get 1st, or 99.99% if they don't. + Show Spoiler [More Winning Chances] + FanTaSy has a 8.35% chance to win----going from 65.49% to 86.07% if they get 1st, or 77.42% if they get 2nd. Dark has a 7.66% chance to win----going from 36.68% to 62.44% if they get 1st, or 48.92% if they get 2nd. Stats has a 6.96% chance to win----going from 68.52% to 89.42% if they get 1st, or 81.52% if they get 2nd. Rogue has a 5.68% chance to win----going from 59.94% to 87.21% if they get 1st, or 76.86% if they get 2nd. Dream has a 4.69% chance to win----going from 80.27% to 97.99% if they get 1st, or 93.28% if they get 2nd. Dear has a 4.56% chance to win----going from 9.95% to 25.64% if they get 1st, or 16.58% if they get 2nd. Soulkey has a 3.69% chance to win----going from 42.51% to 69.81% if they get 1st, or 57.91% if they get 2nd. ByuL has a 3.68% chance to win----going from 19.51% to 35.13% if they get 1st, or 27.45% if they get 2nd. MyuNgSiK has a 2.69% chance to win----going from 8.33% to 21.41% if they get 1st, or 14.16% if they get 2nd. Terminator has a 2.3% chance to win----going from 3.37% to 12.55% if they get 1st, or 3.15% if they don't. Losira has a 1.28% chance to win----going from 0.1% to 0.63% if they get 1st, or 0.09% if they don't. please vote for me to get fanfics http://www.teamliquid.net/forum/viewpost.php?post_id=24179375 | ||
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Die4Ever
United States17684 Posts
WCS Predictor 2015 Gfinity Spring 2 Day 3 + Show Spoiler [Changes During This Tournament] + (Sim ID #1485 vs #1539) Biggest Winners Bunny went up by 4.17%, going from 29.26% to 33.43% FanTaSy went up by 3.65%, going from 61.84% to 65.49% sOs went up by 3.14%, going from 23.64% to 26.77% Jaedong went up by 3.06%, going from 18.14% to 21.19% Solar went up by 1.7%, going from 3.93% to 5.63% Hydra went up by 1.59%, going from 85.5% to 87.08% Sacsri went up by 1.19%, going from 5.65% to 6.83%+ Show Spoiler [More Winners] + Biggest Losers HyuN went down by 7.29%, going from 19.6% to 12.32% soO went down by 2.3%, going from 11.75% to 9.45% Rain went down by 0.77%, going from 68.58% to 67.81% Rogue went down by 0.72%, going from 60.68% to 59.96% MMA went down by 0.66%, going from 18.61% to 17.96% ShoWTimE went down by 0.62%, going from 1.48% to 0.86% INnoVation went down by 0.61%, going from 45.08% to 44.47%+ Show Spoiler [More Losers] + Dark went down by 0.61%, going from 37.3% to 36.69% GuMiho went down by 0.55%, going from 22.88% to 22.33% ForGG went down by 0.45%, going from 62.51% to 62.06% TY went down by 0.42%, going from 16.65% to 16.24% Stats went down by 0.39%, going from 68.93% to 68.53% Symbol went down by 0.38%, going from 1.04% to 0.66% Polt went down by 0.36%, going from 93.01% to 92.64% Bbyong went down by 0.31%, going from 21.23% to 20.91% MyuNgSiK went down by 0.3%, going from 8.64% to 8.34% Zest went down by 0.27%, going from 94.65% to 94.39% Lilbow went down by 0.24%, going from 7.87% to 7.64% Trap went down by 0.24%, going from 42.13% to 41.89% Dear went down by 0.23%, going from 10.18% to 9.95% Heart went down by 0.18%, going from 0.48% to 0.3% Bomber went down by 0.18%, going from 5.95% to 5.77% MajOr went down by 0.18%, going from 5.63% to 5.45% viOLet went down by 0.17%, going from 6.15% to 5.99% ByuL went down by 0.16%, going from 19.67% to 19.51% MaNa went down by 0.14%, going from 4.21% to 4.07% Flash went down by 0.13%, going from 3.78% to 3.65% Petraeus went down by 0.13%, going from 4.7% to 4.58% Terminator went down by 0.11%, going from 3.48% to 3.37% MaSa went down by 0.1%, going from 4.01% to 3.91% Jaedong vs Patience in in Gfinity Spring 2 quarterfinals. Jaedong is at 21.19% Blizzcon Chances, with a 52.6% chance to win this match.If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 22.31%, or 19.95% if they lose. Patience is at 2.75% Blizzcon Chances, with a 47.4% chance to win this match.If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 3.01%, or 2.53% if they lose. sOs vs Hydra in in Gfinity Spring 2 quarterfinals. sOs is at 26.77% Blizzcon Chances, with a 48.62% chance to win this match.If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 28.49%, or 25.15% if they lose. Hydra is at 87.08% Blizzcon Chances, with a 51.38% chance to win this match.If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 88.68%, or 85.4% if they lose. TRUE vs Bunny in in Gfinity Spring 2 quarterfinals. TRUE is at 2.17% Blizzcon Chances, with a 51.12% chance to win this match.If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 2.4%, or 1.93% if they lose. Bunny is at 33.43% Blizzcon Chances, with a 48.88% chance to win this match.If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 35.17%, or 31.77% if they lose. Solar vs Sacsri in in Gfinity Spring 2 quarterfinals. Solar is at 5.63% Blizzcon Chances, with a 53.11% chance to win this match.If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 6.09%, or 5.11% if they lose. Sacsri is at 6.83% Blizzcon Chances, with a 46.89% chance to win this match.If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 7.39%, or 6.34% if they lose. + Show Spoiler [Gfinity Winning Chances] + Hydra has a 18.48% chance to win----going from 87.08% to 90.94% if they get 1st, or 86.21% if they don't. sOs has a 15.47% chance to win----going from 26.77% to 31.28% if they get 1st, or 25.95% if they don't. Jaedong has a 13.38% chance to win----going from 21.19% to 25.06% if they get 1st, or 20.6% if they don't. Bunny has a 12.29% chance to win----going from 33.43% to 38.72% if they get 1st, or 32.69% if they don't. Solar has a 12.24% chance to win----going from 5.63% to 7.28% if they get 1st, or 5.4% if they don't. TRUE has a 11.47% chance to win----going from 2.17% to 2.96% if they get 1st, or 2.07% if they don't. Sacsri has a 9.93% chance to win----going from 6.83% to 8.7% if they get 1st, or 6.63% if they don't. Patience has a 6.74% chance to win----going from 2.75% to 3.77% if they get 1st, or 2.68% if they don't. please vote for me to get fanfics http://www.teamliquid.net/forum/viewpost.php?post_id=24179375 | ||
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mahrgell
Germany3943 Posts
Losira is at 0.1% Blizzcon Chances, with a 61.63% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0.05%, or 0.19% if they lose. VS Dark is at 36.69% Blizzcon Chances, with a 38.37% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 99.99%, or 42.72% if they lose. So Losira improves his chances by losing, but they worsen if he wins? And no matter, whether Dark wins or loses, his chances after the game will be certainly better then before? Actually, he is now basically qualified, as he won the game? I doubt it. And not just this match, but all matches look broken. | ||
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Die4Ever
United States17684 Posts
On May 03 2015 22:45 mahrgell wrote: Currently your site seems completely broken, I would say: Losira is at 0.1% Blizzcon Chances, with a 61.63% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0.05%, or 0.19% if they lose. VS Dark is at 36.69% Blizzcon Chances, with a 38.37% chance to win this match. If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 99.99%, or 42.72% if they lose. So Losira improves his chances by losing, but they worsen if he wins? And no matter, whether Dark wins or loses, his chances after the game will be certainly better then before? Actually, he is now basically qualified, as he won the game? I doubt it. And not just this match, but all matches look broken. That's what I get for messing with things while tired, thanks it's fixed now | ||
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