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WCS Predictor 2014 - Page 14

Forum Index > SC2 General
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Die4Ever
Profile Joined August 2010
United States17676 Posts
August 06 2014 17:36 GMT
#261
--------UPDATE Wednesday, Aug 06 5:35pm GMT (GMT+00:00) WCS EU Ro32 Previews and Group of Death Analysis!
Here's the current Top 25 by Blizzcon Chances.
  1. kr MC, is at ~ 100 %, Min WCS Points: 5100
  2. kr HyuN (ROCCAT), is at ~ 100 %, Min WCS Points: 4875
  3. kr StarDust (mYinsanity), is at ~ 100 %, Min WCS Points: 4225
  4. kr San (Yoe), is at ~ 100 %, Min WCS Points: 4075
  5. kr TaeJa (Liquid), is at ~ 100 %, Min WCS Points: 4025
  6. kr Polt (CM Storm), is at ~ 100 %, Min WCS Points: 3825
  7. kr Bomber, is at ~ 99.99 %, Min WCS Points: 3250
  8. kr Zest (KT), is at ~ 99.93 %, Min WCS Points: 3150
  9. kr sOs (Jinair), is at ~ 96.41 %, Min WCS Points: 2350
  10. kr jjakji (mYinsanity), is at ~ 96.27 %, Min WCS Points: 2850
  11. kr Jaedong (EG), is at ~ 94.78 %, Min WCS Points: 2700
  12. kr Classic (SKT T1), is at ~ 74.3 %, Min WCS Points: 2650
  13. kr Life (StarTale), is at ~ 70.42 %, Min WCS Points: 2750
  14. kr herO (CJ Entus), is at ~ 54.32 %, Min WCS Points: 2300
  15. kr soO (SKT T1), is at ~ 52.73 %, Min WCS Points: 2250
  16. kr Pigbaby (Jinair), is at ~ 50.12 %, Min WCS Points: 2200
  17. no Snute (Liquid), is at ~ 21.46 %, Min WCS Points: 2000
  18. ca Scarlett (Acer), is at ~ 20.22 %, Min WCS Points: 1300
  19. dk Bunny (Liquid), is at ~ 13.77 %, Min WCS Points: 1550
  20. kr INnoVation (Acer), is at ~ 13.67 %, Min WCS Points: 1325
  21. kr PartinG (SKT T1), is at ~ 12.22 %, Min WCS Points: 1100
  22. kr MMA (Acer), is at ~ 11.96 %, Min WCS Points: 1875
  23. kr ForGG (Millenium), is at ~ 10.57 %, Min WCS Points: 1575
  24. kr Rain (SKT T1), is at ~ 9.92 %, Min WCS Points: 1425
  25. kr Solar (Galaxy), is at ~ 9.34 %, Min WCS Points: 1375


WCS Point Cutoffs
+ Show Spoiler [WCS Point Cutoffs] +

~ 0 % of the time 2,175 points is enough to qualify for Blizzcon
~ 0.01 % of the time 2,200 points is enough to qualify for Blizzcon
~ 0.17 % of the time 2,300 points is enough to qualify for Blizzcon
~ 2.75 % of the time 2,500 points is enough to qualify for Blizzcon
~ 45.85 % of the time 2,750 points is enough to qualify for Blizzcon
~ 50.35 % of the time 2,775 points is enough to qualify for Blizzcon
~ 69.84 % of the time 2,875 points is enough to qualify for Blizzcon
~ 82.27 % of the time 2,950 points is enough to qualify for Blizzcon
~ 94.07 % of the time 3,050 points is enough to qualify for Blizzcon
~ 100 % of the time 3,775 points is enough to qualify for Blizzcon


Biggest winners and losers
+ Show Spoiler [Biggest Winners] +

ca Scarlett went up by ~ 7.21 %, going from ~ 13.01 % to ~ 20.22 %
dk Bunny went up by ~ 6.89 %, going from ~ 6.87 % to ~ 13.77 %
kr sOs went up by ~ 6.58 %, going from ~ 89.83 % to ~ 96.41 %
kr Jaedong went up by ~ 6.2 %, going from ~ 88.58 % to ~ 94.78 %
kr Pigbaby went up by ~ 5.86 %, going from ~ 44.26 % to ~ 50.12 %
mx MajOr went up by ~ 1.87 %, going from ~ 2.73 % to ~ 4.6 %
kr YoDa went up by ~ 1.11 %, going from ~ 1.57 % to ~ 2.68 %
kr First went up by ~ 0.85 %, going from ~ 5.92 % to ~ 6.78 %
cn Jim went up by ~ 0.5 %, going from ~ 1.33 % to ~ 1.83 %

+ Show Spoiler [Biggest Losers] +

kr Classic went down by ~ 15.22 %, going from ~ 89.52 % to ~ 74.3 %
kr Life went down by ~ 2.56 %, going from ~ 72.98 % to ~ 70.42 %
no Snute went down by ~ 2.48 %, going from ~ 23.94 % to ~ 21.46 %
kr MMA went down by ~ 2.45 %, going from ~ 14.41 % to ~ 11.96 %
kr soO went down by ~ 1.75 %, going from ~ 54.47 % to ~ 52.73 %
kr herO went down by ~ 1.72 %, going from ~ 56.04 % to ~ 54.32 %
kr Oz went down by ~ 1.44 %, going from ~ 1.57 % to ~ 0.13 %
kr HerO went down by ~ 1.39 %, going from ~ 9.03 % to ~ 7.64 %
kr viOLet went down by ~ 0.93 %, going from ~ 6.8 % to ~ 5.86 %
kr Patience went down by ~ 0.87 %, going from ~ 6.09 % to ~ 5.21 %
kr PartinG went down by ~ 0.65 %, going from ~ 12.87 % to ~ 12.22 %
kr Solar went down by ~ 0.54 %, going from ~ 9.88 % to ~ 9.34 %


Also notice that we had some headband trades in GSL, with Effort taking the #2 headband from Classic, and then taking the #1 headband from sOs in the first ever #1 vs #2 match! Currently Effort holds the #1 headband, and sOs holds the #2 headband, hopefully we will see another #1 vs #2 match this year.

Here are the WCS EU round of 32 previews.
Starts in
kr Golden must win this!
fr Dayshi must win this!
+ Show Spoiler [Golden, Dayshi, Nerchio, KrasS in WCS…] +
WCS EU S3 Premier
- kr Golden is at ~ 3.17 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014
~ 57.85 % of the time kr Golden wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 5.4 %.
~ 42.15 % of the time kr Golden loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 0.12 %.
-------------------------------------------------
- fr Dayshi is at ~ 1.47 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014
~ 57.61 % of the time fr Dayshi wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 2.54 %.
~ 42.39 % of the time fr Dayshi loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 0.02 %.
-------------------------------------------------
- pl Nerchio is at ~ 0.71 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014
~ 53.77 % of the time pl Nerchio wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 1.32 %.
~ 46.23 % of the time pl Nerchio loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 0.01 %.
-------------------------------------------------
- de KrasS is at ~ 0.01 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014
~ 30.77 % of the time de KrasS wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 0.01 %.
~ 69.23 % of the time de KrasS loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 0 %.


Starts in
kr Patience must win this!
This match is important for no Snute!
+ Show Spoiler [StarDust, Snute, Patience, Miniraser i…] +
WCS EU S3 Premier
- kr StarDust is at ~ 100 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014
~ 64.11 % of the time kr StarDust wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 100 %.
~ 35.89 % of the time kr StarDust loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 100 %.
-------------------------------------------------
- no Snute is at ~ 21.46 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014
~ 61.25 % of the time no Snute wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 31.42 %.
~ 38.75 % of the time no Snute loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 5.72 %.
-------------------------------------------------
- kr Patience is at ~ 5.21 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014
~ 52.75 % of the time kr Patience wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 9.76 %.
~ 47.25 % of the time kr Patience loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 0.14 %.
-------------------------------------------------
- se Miniraser is at ~ 0.01 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014
~ 21.89 % of the time se Miniraser wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 0.01 %.
~ 78.11 % of the time se Miniraser loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 0.01 %.


Starts in
kr First must win this!
kr YoDa must win this!
This match is important for kr MMA!
+ Show Spoiler [First, MMA, YoDa, ShoWTimE in WCS EU S…] +
WCS EU S3 Premier
- kr First is at ~ 6.78 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014
~ 59.07 % of the time kr First wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 11.19 %.
~ 40.93 % of the time kr First loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 0.41 %.
-------------------------------------------------
- kr MMA is at ~ 11.96 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014
~ 51.22 % of the time kr MMA wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 21.09 %.
~ 48.78 % of the time kr MMA loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 2.37 %.
-------------------------------------------------
- kr YoDa is at ~ 2.68 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014
~ 48.27 % of the time kr YoDa wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 5.47 %.
~ 51.73 % of the time kr YoDa loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 0.07 %.
-------------------------------------------------
- de ShoWTimE is at ~ 0.23 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014
~ 41.44 % of the time de ShoWTimE wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 0.54 %.
~ 58.56 % of the time de ShoWTimE loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 0.01 %.


Starts in
fi Welmu must win this!
de TLO must win this!
+ Show Spoiler [Welmu, TLO, uThermal, LiveZerg in WCS…] +
WCS EU S3 Premier
- fi Welmu is at ~ 2.5 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014
~ 56.5 % of the time fi Welmu wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 4.31 %.
~ 43.5 % of the time fi Welmu loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 0.15 %.
-------------------------------------------------
- de TLO is at ~ 1.26 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014
~ 52.89 % of the time de TLO wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 2.33 %.
~ 47.11 % of the time de TLO loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 0.06 %.
-------------------------------------------------
- nl uThermal is at ~ 0.06 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014
~ 50.61 % of the time nl uThermal wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 0.13 %.
~ 49.39 % of the time nl uThermal loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 0.01 %.
-------------------------------------------------
- ru LiveZerg is at ~ 0.04 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014
~ 39.99 % of the time ru LiveZerg wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 0.1 %.
~ 60.01 % of the time ru LiveZerg loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 0.01 %.


Starts in
es VortiX must win this!
+ Show Spoiler [jjakji, VortiX, Kas, Harstem in WCS EU…] +
WCS EU S3 Premier
- kr jjakji is at ~ 96.27 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014
~ 67.26 % of the time kr jjakji wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 98.81 %.
~ 32.74 % of the time kr jjakji loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 91.05 %.
-------------------------------------------------
- es VortiX is at ~ 6.97 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014
~ 63.14 % of the time es VortiX wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 10.75 %.
~ 36.86 % of the time es VortiX loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 0.51 %.
-------------------------------------------------
- ua Kas is at ~ 0.03 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014
~ 36.35 % of the time ua Kas wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 0.07 %.
~ 63.65 % of the time ua Kas loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 0.01 %.
-------------------------------------------------
- nl Harstem is at ~ 0.13 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014
~ 33.26 % of the time nl Harstem wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 0.38 %.
~ 66.74 % of the time nl Harstem loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 0.01 %.


Starts in
dk Bunny must win this!
+ Show Spoiler [Bunny, San, MorroW, ToD in WCS EU S3 P…] +
WCS EU S3 Premier
- dk Bunny is at ~ 13.77 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014
~ 73.1 % of the time dk Bunny wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 18.28 %.
~ 26.9 % of the time dk Bunny loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 1.49 %.
-------------------------------------------------
- kr San is at ~ 100 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014
~ 68.09 % of the time kr San wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 100 %.
~ 31.91 % of the time kr San loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 100 %.
-------------------------------------------------
- se MorroW is at ~ 0.01 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014
~ 33.65 % of the time se MorroW wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 0.02 %.
~ 66.35 % of the time se MorroW loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 0.01 %.
-------------------------------------------------
- fr ToD is at ~ 0.02 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014
~ 25.15 % of the time fr ToD wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 0.08 %.
~ 74.85 % of the time fr ToD loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 0.01 %.


Starts in
kr ForGG must win this!
+ Show Spoiler [ForGG, Bly, MaNa, BlinG in WCS EU S3 P…] +
WCS EU S3 Premier
- kr ForGG is at ~ 10.57 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014
~ 66.44 % of the time kr ForGG wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 15.4 %.
~ 33.56 % of the time kr ForGG loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 1.01 %.
-------------------------------------------------
- ua Bly is at ~ 0.03 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014
~ 45.76 % of the time ua Bly wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 0.07 %.
~ 54.24 % of the time ua Bly loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 0.01 %.
-------------------------------------------------
- pl MaNa is at ~ 0.88 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014
~ 44.83 % of the time pl MaNa wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 1.95 %.
~ 55.17 % of the time pl MaNa loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 0.01 %.
-------------------------------------------------
- uk BlinG is at ~ 0.06 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014
~ 42.97 % of the time uk BlinG wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 0.13 %.
~ 57.03 % of the time uk BlinG loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 0.01 %.


Starts in
+ Show Spoiler [MC, Happy, Grubby, Serral in WCS EU S3…] +
WCS EU S3 Premier
- kr MC is at ~ 100 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014
~ 67.25 % of the time kr MC wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 100 %.
~ 32.75 % of the time kr MC loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 100 %.
-------------------------------------------------
- ru Happy is at ~ 0.77 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014
~ 59.9 % of the time ru Happy wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 1.28 %.
~ 40.1 % of the time ru Happy loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 0.01 %.
-------------------------------------------------
- nl Grubby is at ~ 0.07 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014
~ 36.61 % of the time nl Grubby wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 0.2 %.
~ 63.39 % of the time nl Grubby loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 0.01 %.
-------------------------------------------------
- fi Serral is at ~ 0.02 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014
~ 36.24 % of the time fi Serral wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 0.07 %.
~ 63.76 % of the time fi Serral loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 0.01 %.


Winning Chances
+ Show Spoiler [Winning Chances] +

WCS EU S3 Premier
kr San has a ~ 9.94 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 100 % to ~ 100 %
dk Bunny has a ~ 9.12 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 13.77 % to ~ 99.99 %
kr jjakji has a ~ 8.05 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 96.27 % to ~ 100 %
kr StarDust has a ~ 7.62 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 100 % to ~ 100 %
kr ForGG has a ~ 6.95 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 10.57 % to ~ 99.99 %
kr MC has a ~ 6.24 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 100 % to ~ 100 %
no Snute has a ~ 5.82 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 21.46 % to ~ 100 %
kr First has a ~ 5.69 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 6.78 % to ~ 97.6 %
es VortiX has a ~ 5.49 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 6.97 % to ~ 99.9 %
kr Patience has a ~ 5.14 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 5.21 % to ~ 92.72 %
kr MMA has a ~ 3.91 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 11.96 % to ~ 100 %
kr YoDa has a ~ 3.56 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 2.68 % to ~ 68.12 %
ru Happy has a ~ 3.21 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 0.77 % to ~ 22.67 %
kr Golden has a ~ 2.78 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 3.17 % to ~ 98.72 %
pl Nerchio has a ~ 2.03 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 0.71 % to ~ 33.43 %
fi Welmu has a ~ 1.99 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 2.5 % to ~ 99.86 %
de ShoWTimE has a ~ 1.99 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 0.23 % to ~ 10.78 %
fr Dayshi has a ~ 1.93 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 1.47 % to ~ 71.82 %
nl uThermal has a ~ 1.24 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 0.06 % to ~ 4.95 %
de TLO has a ~ 1.05 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 1.26 % to ~ 99.56 %
pl MaNa has a ~ 0.92 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 0.88 % to ~ 90.5 %
ua Bly has a ~ 0.83 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 0.03 % to ~ 3.68 %
nl Harstem has a ~ 0.76 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 0.13 % to ~ 15.84 %
ua Kas has a ~ 0.74 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 0.03 % to ~ 3.49 %
uk BlinG has a ~ 0.7 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 0.06 % to ~ 7.68 %
fi Serral has a ~ 0.66 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 0.02 % to ~ 3.44 %
nl Grubby has a ~ 0.46 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 0.07 % to ~ 15.47 %
ru LiveZerg has a ~ 0.41 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 0.04 % to ~ 9.69 %
se MorroW has a ~ 0.32 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 0.01 % to ~ 1.87 %
fr ToD has a ~ 0.26 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 0.02 % to ~ 7.64 %
se Miniraser has a ~ 0.11 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 0.01 % to ~ 2.16 %


Who would gain the most by winning.
+ Show Spoiler [Winning Gains] +

WCS EU S3 Premier
de TLO would gain ~ 98.3 % if they win, with a ~ 1.05 % chance to win, going from ~ 1.26 % to ~ 99.56 %
fi Welmu would gain ~ 97.35 % if they win, with a ~ 1.99 % chance to win, going from ~ 2.5 % to ~ 99.86 %
kr Golden would gain ~ 95.54 % if they win, with a ~ 2.78 % chance to win, going from ~ 3.17 % to ~ 98.72 %
es VortiX would gain ~ 92.92 % if they win, with a ~ 5.49 % chance to win, going from ~ 6.97 % to ~ 99.9 %
kr First would gain ~ 90.82 % if they win, with a ~ 5.69 % chance to win, going from ~ 6.78 % to ~ 97.6 %
pl MaNa would gain ~ 89.63 % if they win, with a ~ 0.92 % chance to win, going from ~ 0.88 % to ~ 90.5 %
kr ForGG would gain ~ 89.43 % if they win, with a ~ 6.95 % chance to win, going from ~ 10.57 % to ~ 99.99 %
kr MMA would gain ~ 88.04 % if they win, with a ~ 3.91 % chance to win, going from ~ 11.96 % to ~ 100 %
kr Patience would gain ~ 87.51 % if they win, with a ~ 5.14 % chance to win, going from ~ 5.21 % to ~ 92.72 %
dk Bunny would gain ~ 86.23 % if they win, with a ~ 9.12 % chance to win, going from ~ 13.77 % to ~ 99.99 %
no Snute would gain ~ 78.54 % if they win, with a ~ 5.82 % chance to win, going from ~ 21.46 % to ~ 100 %
fr Dayshi would gain ~ 70.35 % if they win, with a ~ 1.93 % chance to win, going from ~ 1.47 % to ~ 71.82 %
kr YoDa would gain ~ 65.44 % if they win, with a ~ 3.56 % chance to win, going from ~ 2.68 % to ~ 68.12 %
pl Nerchio would gain ~ 32.72 % if they win, with a ~ 2.03 % chance to win, going from ~ 0.71 % to ~ 33.43 %
ru Happy would gain ~ 21.9 % if they win, with a ~ 3.21 % chance to win, going from ~ 0.77 % to ~ 22.67 %
nl Harstem would gain ~ 15.71 % if they win, with a ~ 0.76 % chance to win, going from ~ 0.13 % to ~ 15.84 %
nl Grubby would gain ~ 15.39 % if they win, with a ~ 0.46 % chance to win, going from ~ 0.07 % to ~ 15.47 %
de ShoWTimE would gain ~ 10.56 % if they win, with a ~ 1.99 % chance to win, going from ~ 0.23 % to ~ 10.78 %
ru LiveZerg would gain ~ 9.65 % if they win, with a ~ 0.41 % chance to win, going from ~ 0.04 % to ~ 9.69 %
uk BlinG would gain ~ 7.62 % if they win, with a ~ 0.7 % chance to win, going from ~ 0.06 % to ~ 7.68 %
fr ToD would gain ~ 7.62 % if they win, with a ~ 0.26 % chance to win, going from ~ 0.02 % to ~ 7.64 %
nl uThermal would gain ~ 4.89 % if they win, with a ~ 1.24 % chance to win, going from ~ 0.06 % to ~ 4.95 %
kr jjakji would gain ~ 3.73 % if they win, with a ~ 8.05 % chance to win, going from ~ 96.27 % to ~ 100 %
ua Bly would gain ~ 3.64 % if they win, with a ~ 0.83 % chance to win, going from ~ 0.03 % to ~ 3.68 %
ua Kas would gain ~ 3.46 % if they win, with a ~ 0.74 % chance to win, going from ~ 0.03 % to ~ 3.49 %
fi Serral would gain ~ 3.42 % if they win, with a ~ 0.66 % chance to win, going from ~ 0.02 % to ~ 3.44 %
se Miniraser would gain ~ 2.16 % if they win, with a ~ 0.11 % chance to win, going from ~ 0.01 % to ~ 2.16 %
se MorroW would gain ~ 1.87 % if they win, with a ~ 0.32 % chance to win, going from ~ 0.01 % to ~ 1.87 %
kr MC would gain ~ 0 % if they win, with a ~ 6.24 % chance to win, going from ~ 100 % to ~ 100 %
kr StarDust would gain ~ 0 % if they win, with a ~ 7.62 % chance to win, going from ~ 100 % to ~ 100 %
kr San would gain ~ 0 % if they win, with a ~ 9.94 % chance to win, going from ~ 100 % to ~ 100 %


And now let's do some analysis to see what the Group of Death is according to WCS Predictor.
We will be looking at 5 different scores.
Champion Chances Score is the chances to win the tournament for each player in the group added together.
Blizzcon Chances Score is the chances to qualify for Blizzcon for each player in the group added together.
Blizzcon Chances Lost Score is how much the Blizzcon Chances Score went down by because of the group drawing.
Effects Score is the sum of the amount of Blizzcon chances each player would gain if they won the group, plus the amount of Blizzcon chances each player would lose if they lost the group.
Aligulac Score is the overall Aligulac rating of every player in the group added together.

+ Show Spoiler [Champion Chances] +

Group A
Nerchio has a ~ 2.03 % chance to win WCS EU S3 Premier
Golden has a ~ 2.78 % chance to win WCS EU S3 Premier
KrasS has a ~ 0 % chance to win WCS EU S3 Premier
Dayshi has a ~ 1.93 % chance to win WCS EU S3 Premier
Giving this match a Champion Chances Score of 6.73254

Group B
Snute has a ~ 5.82 % chance to win WCS EU S3 Premier
StarDust has a ~ 7.62 % chance to win WCS EU S3 Premier
Miniraser has a ~ 0.11 % chance to win WCS EU S3 Premier
Patience has a ~ 5.14 % chance to win WCS EU S3 Premier
Giving this match a Champion Chances Score of 18.6908

Group C
MMA has a ~ 3.91 % chance to win WCS EU S3 Premier
First has a ~ 5.69 % chance to win WCS EU S3 Premier
YoDa has a ~ 3.56 % chance to win WCS EU S3 Premier
ShoWTimE has a ~ 1.99 % chance to win WCS EU S3 Premier
Giving this match a Champion Chances Score of 15.1603

Group D
LiveZerg has a ~ 0.41 % chance to win WCS EU S3 Premier
TLO has a ~ 1.05 % chance to win WCS EU S3 Premier
Welmu has a ~ 1.99 % chance to win WCS EU S3 Premier
uThermal has a ~ 1.24 % chance to win WCS EU S3 Premier
Giving this match a Champion Chances Score of 4.69641

Group E
jjakji has a ~ 8.05 % chance to win WCS EU S3 Premier
Kas has a ~ 0.74 % chance to win WCS EU S3 Premier
VortiX has a ~ 5.49 % chance to win WCS EU S3 Premier
Harstem has a ~ 0.76 % chance to win WCS EU S3 Premier
Giving this match a Champion Chances Score of 15.0329

Group F
San has a ~ 9.94 % chance to win WCS EU S3 Premier
MorroW has a ~ 0.32 % chance to win WCS EU S3 Premier
ToD has a ~ 0.26 % chance to win WCS EU S3 Premier
Bunny has a ~ 9.12 % chance to win WCS EU S3 Premier
Giving this match a Champion Chances Score of 19.6304

Group G
ForGG has a ~ 6.95 % chance to win WCS EU S3 Premier
MaNa has a ~ 0.92 % chance to win WCS EU S3 Premier
Bly has a ~ 0.83 % chance to win WCS EU S3 Premier
BlinG has a ~ 0.7 % chance to win WCS EU S3 Premier
Giving this match a Champion Chances Score of 9.40661

Group H
MC has a ~ 6.24 % chance to win WCS EU S3 Premier
Happy has a ~ 3.21 % chance to win WCS EU S3 Premier
Grubby has a ~ 0.46 % chance to win WCS EU S3 Premier
Serral has a ~ 0.66 % chance to win WCS EU S3 Premier
Giving this match a Champion Chances Score of 10.568

Which means the groups go in this order for the Champion Chances Scores
F > B > C > E

+ Show Spoiler [Blizzcon Chances] +

Group A
Nerchio is at ~ 0.71 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014
Golden is at ~ 3.17 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014
KrasS is at ~ 0.01 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014
Dayshi is at ~ 1.47 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014
Giving this match a Blizzcon Chances Score of 5.35915

Group B
Snute is at ~ 21.46 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014
StarDust is at ~ 100 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014
Miniraser is at ~ 0.01 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014
Patience is at ~ 5.21 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014
Giving this match a Blizzcon Chances Score of 126.68

Group C
MMA is at ~ 11.96 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014
First is at ~ 6.78 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014
YoDa is at ~ 2.68 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014
ShoWTimE is at ~ 0.23 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014
Giving this match a Blizzcon Chances Score of 21.6404

Group D
LiveZerg is at ~ 0.04 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014
TLO is at ~ 1.26 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014
Welmu is at ~ 2.5 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014
uThermal is at ~ 0.06 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014
Giving this match a Blizzcon Chances Score of 3.86621

Group E
jjakji is at ~ 96.27 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014
Kas is at ~ 0.03 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014
VortiX is at ~ 6.97 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014
Harstem is at ~ 0.13 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014
Giving this match a Blizzcon Chances Score of 103.394

Group F
San is at ~ 100 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014
MorroW is at ~ 0.01 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014
ToD is at ~ 0.02 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014
Bunny is at ~ 13.77 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014
Giving this match a Blizzcon Chances Score of 113.792

Group G
ForGG is at ~ 10.57 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014
MaNa is at ~ 0.88 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014
Bly is at ~ 0.03 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014
BlinG is at ~ 0.06 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014
Giving this match a Blizzcon Chances Score of 11.5379

Group H
MC is at ~ 100 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014
Happy is at ~ 0.77 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014
Grubby is at ~ 0.07 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014
Serral is at ~ 0.02 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014
Giving this match a Blizzcon Chances Score of 100.867

Which means the groups go in this order for the Blizzcon Chances Scores
B > F > E > H

+ Show Spoiler [Blizzcon Chances Lost] +

Group A
Nerchio's Blizzcon chances changed by ~ 0.01 %
Golden's Blizzcon chances changed by ~ 0.12 %
KrasS's Blizzcon chances changed by ~ 0.01 %
Dayshi's Blizzcon chances changed by ~ 0.18 %
Giving this match a Blizzcon Chances Lost Score of -0.301627

Group B
Snute's Blizzcon chances changed by ~ -0.29 %
StarDust's Blizzcon chances changed by ~ 0 %
Miniraser's Blizzcon chances changed by ~ -0.01 %
Patience's Blizzcon chances changed by ~ -0.6 %
Giving this match a Blizzcon Chances Lost Score of 0.884693

Group C
MMA's Blizzcon chances changed by ~ -0.72 %
First's Blizzcon chances changed by ~ -0.36 %
YoDa's Blizzcon chances changed by ~ -0.57 %
ShoWTimE's Blizzcon chances changed by ~ -0.05 %
Giving this match a Blizzcon Chances Lost Score of 1.7

Group D
LiveZerg's Blizzcon chances changed by ~ 0.01 %
TLO's Blizzcon chances changed by ~ 0.2 %
Welmu's Blizzcon chances changed by ~ 0.18 %
uThermal's Blizzcon chances changed by ~ 0.01 %
Giving this match a Blizzcon Chances Lost Score of -0.39356

Group E
jjakji's Blizzcon chances changed by ~ 0.46 %
Kas's Blizzcon chances changed by ~ -0.01 %
VortiX's Blizzcon chances changed by ~ 0.04 %
Harstem's Blizzcon chances changed by ~ -0.03 %
Giving this match a Blizzcon Chances Lost Score of -0.464677

Group F
San's Blizzcon chances changed by ~ 0 %
MorroW's Blizzcon chances changed by ~ 0.01 %
ToD's Blizzcon chances changed by ~ -0.01 %
Bunny's Blizzcon chances changed by ~ 1.3 %
Giving this match a Blizzcon Chances Lost Score of -1.29217

Group G
ForGG's Blizzcon chances changed by ~ 0.2 %
MaNa's Blizzcon chances changed by ~ -0.02 %
Bly's Blizzcon chances changed by ~ 0.01 %
BlinG's Blizzcon chances changed by ~ 0.01 %
Giving this match a Blizzcon Chances Lost Score of -0.187253

Group H
MC's Blizzcon chances changed by ~ 0 %
Happy's Blizzcon chances changed by ~ 0.08 %
Grubby's Blizzcon chances changed by ~ -0.01 %
Serral's Blizzcon chances changed by ~ -0.01 %
Giving this match a Blizzcon Chances Lost Score of -0.0652467

Which means the groups go in this order for the Blizzcon Chances Lost Scores
C > B > H > A

+ Show Spoiler [Effects] +

Group A
When Nerchio wins this match, their Blizzcon chances go up by ~ 0.61 %
When Nerchio loses this match, their Blizzcon chances go down by ~ 0.71 %
When Golden wins this match, their Blizzcon chances go up by ~ 2.22 %
When Golden loses this match, their Blizzcon chances go down by ~ 3.05 %
When KrasS wins this match, their Blizzcon chances go up by ~ 0.01 %
When KrasS loses this match, their Blizzcon chances go down by ~ 0.01 %
When Dayshi wins this match, their Blizzcon chances go up by ~ 1.07 %
When Dayshi loses this match, their Blizzcon chances go down by ~ 1.45 %
Giving this match an Effects Score of 9.10676

Group B
When Snute wins this match, their Blizzcon chances go up by ~ 9.96 %
When Snute loses this match, their Blizzcon chances go down by ~ 15.74 %
When StarDust wins this match, their Blizzcon chances go up by ~ 0 %
When StarDust loses this match, their Blizzcon chances go down by ~ 0 %
When Miniraser wins this match, their Blizzcon chances go up by ~ 0.01 %
When Miniraser loses this match, their Blizzcon chances go down by ~ 0.01 %
When Patience wins this match, their Blizzcon chances go up by ~ 4.55 %
When Patience loses this match, their Blizzcon chances go down by ~ 5.08 %
Giving this match an Effects Score of 35.3358

Group C
When MMA wins this match, their Blizzcon chances go up by ~ 9.13 %
When MMA loses this match, their Blizzcon chances go down by ~ 9.59 %
When First wins this match, their Blizzcon chances go up by ~ 4.41 %
When First loses this match, their Blizzcon chances go down by ~ 6.37 %
When YoDa wins this match, their Blizzcon chances go up by ~ 2.79 %
When YoDa loses this match, their Blizzcon chances go down by ~ 2.6 %
When ShoWTimE wins this match, their Blizzcon chances go up by ~ 0.32 %
When ShoWTimE loses this match, their Blizzcon chances go down by ~ 0.22 %
Giving this match an Effects Score of 35.4283

Group D
When LiveZerg wins this match, their Blizzcon chances go up by ~ 0.06 %
When LiveZerg loses this match, their Blizzcon chances go down by ~ 0.04 %
When TLO wins this match, their Blizzcon chances go up by ~ 1.07 %
When TLO loses this match, their Blizzcon chances go down by ~ 1.2 %
When Welmu wins this match, their Blizzcon chances go up by ~ 1.81 %
When Welmu loses this match, their Blizzcon chances go down by ~ 2.35 %
When uThermal wins this match, their Blizzcon chances go up by ~ 0.06 %
When uThermal loses this match, their Blizzcon chances go down by ~ 0.06 %
Giving this match an Effects Score of 6.6645

Group E
When jjakji wins this match, their Blizzcon chances go up by ~ 2.54 %
When jjakji loses this match, their Blizzcon chances go down by ~ 5.22 %
When Kas wins this match, their Blizzcon chances go up by ~ 0.05 %
When Kas loses this match, their Blizzcon chances go down by ~ 0.03 %
When VortiX wins this match, their Blizzcon chances go up by ~ 3.77 %
When VortiX loses this match, their Blizzcon chances go down by ~ 6.46 %
When Harstem wins this match, their Blizzcon chances go up by ~ 0.25 %
When Harstem loses this match, their Blizzcon chances go down by ~ 0.13 %
Giving this match an Effects Score of 18.448

Group F
When San wins this match, their Blizzcon chances go up by ~ 0 %
When San loses this match, their Blizzcon chances go down by ~ 0 %
When MorroW wins this match, their Blizzcon chances go up by ~ 0.01 %
When MorroW loses this match, their Blizzcon chances go down by ~ 0.01 %
When ToD wins this match, their Blizzcon chances go up by ~ 0.06 %
When ToD loses this match, their Blizzcon chances go down by ~ 0.02 %
When Bunny wins this match, their Blizzcon chances go up by ~ 4.52 %
When Bunny loses this match, their Blizzcon chances go down by ~ 12.27 %
Giving this match an Effects Score of 16.8887

Group G
When ForGG wins this match, their Blizzcon chances go up by ~ 4.83 %
When ForGG loses this match, their Blizzcon chances go down by ~ 9.57 %
When MaNa wins this match, their Blizzcon chances go up by ~ 1.07 %
When MaNa loses this match, their Blizzcon chances go down by ~ 0.87 %
When Bly wins this match, their Blizzcon chances go up by ~ 0.04 %
When Bly loses this match, their Blizzcon chances go down by ~ 0.03 %
When BlinG wins this match, their Blizzcon chances go up by ~ 0.07 %
When BlinG loses this match, their Blizzcon chances go down by ~ 0.06 %
Giving this match an Effects Score of 16.532

Group H
When MC wins this match, their Blizzcon chances go up by ~ 0 %
When MC loses this match, their Blizzcon chances go down by ~ 0 %
When Happy wins this match, their Blizzcon chances go up by ~ 0.51 %
When Happy loses this match, their Blizzcon chances go down by ~ 0.76 %
When Grubby wins this match, their Blizzcon chances go up by ~ 0.13 %
When Grubby loses this match, their Blizzcon chances go down by ~ 0.07 %
When Serral wins this match, their Blizzcon chances go up by ~ 0.04 %
When Serral loses this match, their Blizzcon chances go down by ~ 0.02 %
Giving this match an Effects Score of 1.53186

Which means the groups go in this order for Effects Scores
C > B > E > F

+ Show Spoiler [Aligulac Ratings] +

Group A
Nerchio has an overall Aligulac rating of 1728
Golden has an overall Aligulac rating of 1773
KrasS has an overall Aligulac rating of 1339
Dayshi has an overall Aligulac rating of 1713
Giving this match an Aligulac Score of 6553

Group B
Snute has an overall Aligulac rating of 1956
StarDust has an overall Aligulac rating of 1940
Miniraser has an overall Aligulac rating of 1379
Patience has an overall Aligulac rating of 1878
Giving this match an Aligulac Score of 7153

Group C
MMA has an overall Aligulac rating of 1876
First has an overall Aligulac rating of 1875
YoDa has an overall Aligulac rating of 1872
ShoWTimE has an overall Aligulac rating of 1718
Giving this match an Aligulac Score of 7341

Group D
LiveZerg has an overall Aligulac rating of 1496
TLO has an overall Aligulac rating of 1610
Welmu has an overall Aligulac rating of 1659
uThermal has an overall Aligulac rating of 1644
Giving this match an Aligulac Score of 6409

Group E
jjakji has an overall Aligulac rating of 2006
Kas has an overall Aligulac rating of 1594
VortiX has an overall Aligulac rating of 1914
Harstem has an overall Aligulac rating of 1567
Giving this match an Aligulac Score of 7081

Group F
San has an overall Aligulac rating of 2032
MorroW has an overall Aligulac rating of 1469
ToD has an overall Aligulac rating of 1446
Bunny has an overall Aligulac rating of 2027
Giving this match an Aligulac Score of 6974

Group G
ForGG has an overall Aligulac rating of 1962
MaNa has an overall Aligulac rating of 1551
Bly has an overall Aligulac rating of 1591
BlinG has an overall Aligulac rating of 1514
Giving this match an Aligulac Score of 6618

Group H
MC has an overall Aligulac rating of 1902
Happy has an overall Aligulac rating of 1781
Grubby has an overall Aligulac rating of 1490
Serral has an overall Aligulac rating of 1591
Giving this match an Aligulac Score of 6764

Which means the groups go in this order for Aligulac Scores
C > B > E > F


Group A has a 4th place
Group B has a 1st place, and 4 2nd places
Group C has three 1st places, and a 3rd place
Group D has no top 4 placings
Group E has three 3rd places, and a 4th place
Group F has a 1st place, a 2nd place, and two 4th places
Group G has no top 4 placings
Group H has a 3rd place, and a 4th place

Group C is our Group of Death! Congrats to MMA, First, YoDa, and ShoWTimE! Group B wins the 2nd place Group of Death with Snute, StarDust, Miniraser, and Patience.

What do you think?
Poll: Hardest group?

Group A (Golden, Nerchio, Dayshi, KrasS) (7)
 
3%

Group B (StarDust, Snute, Patience, Miniraser) (46)
 
21%

Group C (First, YoDa, MMa, ShoWTimE) (126)
 
57%

Group D (Welmu, LiveZerg, TLO, uThermal) (3)
 
1%

Group E (VortiX, Harstem, jjakji, Kas) (17)
 
8%

Group F (San, ToD, Bunny, MorroW) (7)
 
3%

Group G (ForGG, MaNa, BlinG, Bly) (1)
 
0%

Group H (MC, Grubby, Happy, Serral) (13)
 
6%

220 total votes

Your vote: Hardest group?

(Vote): Group A (Golden, Nerchio, Dayshi, KrasS)
(Vote): Group B (StarDust, Snute, Patience, Miniraser)
(Vote): Group C (First, YoDa, MMa, ShoWTimE)
(Vote): Group D (Welmu, LiveZerg, TLO, uThermal)
(Vote): Group E (VortiX, Harstem, jjakji, Kas)
(Vote): Group F (San, ToD, Bunny, MorroW)
(Vote): Group G (ForGG, MaNa, BlinG, Bly)
(Vote): Group H (MC, Grubby, Happy, Serral)



Remember to check the website for much more frequent updates!
http://sc2.4ever.tv
-----------------------
"Expert" mods4ever.com
Die4Ever
Profile Joined August 2010
United States17676 Posts
August 12 2014 16:35 GMT
#262
--------UPDATE Tuesday, Aug 12 4:35pm GMT (GMT+00:00) IEM and Red Bull Updates!
In this update I added the results of the IEM Toronto qualifiers with Zest and Flash qualifying, added Red Bull Detroit replacing Placeholder Tournament 3, and I added the seed for the winner of Red Bull Detroit to Red Bull Washington.

Here's the current Top 25 by Blizzcon Chances.
  1. kr HyuN (ROCCAT), is at ~ 100 %, Min WCS Points: 5375
  2. kr MC, is at ~ 100 %, Min WCS Points: 5100
  3. kr StarDust (mYinsanity), is at ~ 100 %, Min WCS Points: 4225
  4. kr San (Yoe), is at ~ 100 %, Min WCS Points: 4075
  5. kr TaeJa (Liquid), is at ~ 100 %, Min WCS Points: 4025
  6. kr Polt (CM Storm), is at ~ 100 %, Min WCS Points: 3825
  7. kr Bomber, is at ~ 99.99 %, Min WCS Points: 3500
  8. kr Zest (KT), is at ~ 99.99 %, Min WCS Points: 3275
  9. kr Jaedong (EG), is at ~ 98.19 %, Min WCS Points: 2950
  10. kr sOs (Jinair), is at ~ 95.41 %, Min WCS Points: 2350
  11. kr jjakji (mYinsanity), is at ~ 95.17 %, Min WCS Points: 2850
  12. kr Classic (SKT T1), is at ~ 69.93 %, Min WCS Points: 2650
  13. kr Life (StarTale), is at ~ 63.7 %, Min WCS Points: 2750
  14. kr herO (CJ Entus), is at ~ 50.71 %, Min WCS Points: 2300
  15. kr soO (SKT T1), is at ~ 50.6 %, Min WCS Points: 2250
  16. kr Pigbaby (Jinair), is at ~ 46.89 %, Min WCS Points: 2200
  17. ca Scarlett (Acer), is at ~ 44.05 %, Min WCS Points: 1400
  18. no Snute (Liquid), is at ~ 18.78 %, Min WCS Points: 2000
  19. kr INnoVation (Acer), is at ~ 17.92 %, Min WCS Points: 1425
  20. dk Bunny (Liquid), is at ~ 13.27 %, Min WCS Points: 1550
  21. kr viOLet, is at ~ 12.02 %, Min WCS Points: 1775
  22. kr Maru (Jinair), is at ~ 10.65 %, Min WCS Points: 1550
  23. kr ForGG (Millenium), is at ~ 10.2 %, Min WCS Points: 1575
  24. kr MMA (Acer), is at ~ 10.08 %, Min WCS Points: 1875
  25. kr Rain (SKT T1), is at ~ 9.74 %, Min WCS Points: 1425


WCS Point Cutoffs
+ Show Spoiler [WCS Point Cutoffs] +

~ 0 % of the time 2,175 points is enough to qualify for Blizzcon
~ 0.01 % of the time 2,200 points is enough to qualify for Blizzcon
~ 0.09 % of the time 2,300 points is enough to qualify for Blizzcon
~ 1.84 % of the time 2,500 points is enough to qualify for Blizzcon
~ 41.07 % of the time 2,750 points is enough to qualify for Blizzcon
~ 51.71 % of the time 2,825 points is enough to qualify for Blizzcon
~ 72.09 % of the time 2,900 points is enough to qualify for Blizzcon
~ 86.03 % of the time 3,000 points is enough to qualify for Blizzcon
~ 96.69 % of the time 3,125 points is enough to qualify for Blizzcon
~ 100 % of the time 3,800 points is enough to qualify for Blizzcon


Biggest winners and losers
+ Show Spoiler [Biggest Winners] +

ca Scarlett went up by ~ 16.62 %, going from ~ 27.43 % to ~ 44.05 %
mx MajOr went up by ~ 1.47 %, going from ~ 2.64 % to ~ 4.11 %

+ Show Spoiler [Biggest Losers] +

kr Life went down by ~ 2.61 %, going from ~ 66.31 % to ~ 63.7 %
kr herO went down by ~ 1.97 %, going from ~ 52.68 % to ~ 50.71 %
kr Classic went down by ~ 1.84 %, going from ~ 71.77 % to ~ 69.93 %
kr soO went down by ~ 1.65 %, going from ~ 52.25 % to ~ 50.6 %
kr Pigbaby went down by ~ 1.61 %, going from ~ 48.5 % to ~ 46.89 %
no Snute went down by ~ 1.3 %, going from ~ 20.08 % to ~ 18.78 %
kr viOLet went down by ~ 1.19 %, going from ~ 13.2 % to ~ 12.02 %
kr MMA went down by ~ 0.7 %, going from ~ 10.77 % to ~ 10.08 %
kr sOs went down by ~ 0.63 %, going from ~ 96.04 % to ~ 95.41 %
kr HerO went down by ~ 0.52 %, going from ~ 6.54 % to ~ 6.02 %
kr PartinG went down by ~ 0.51 %, going from ~ 9.41 % to ~ 8.9 %
dk Bunny went down by ~ 0.5 %, going from ~ 13.77 % to ~ 13.27 %

These changes had some big effects, probably mostly because of the removal of Placeholder Tournament 3, we are now down to just 2 placeholder tournaments.

IEM Toronto Winning Chances
+ Show Spoiler [Winning Chances] +

IEM Toronto
kr TaeJa has a ~ 11.76 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 100 % to ~ 100 %
kr sOs has a ~ 10.93 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 95.42 % to ~ 99.97 %
kr HyuN has a ~ 10.43 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 100 % to ~ 100 %
kr Polt has a ~ 9.01 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 100 % to ~ 100 %
kr Zest has a ~ 8.76 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 99.99 % to ~ 100 %
ca Scarlett has a ~ 8.57 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 44.04 % to ~ 73.5 %
kr MC has a ~ 6.31 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 100 % to ~ 100 %
kr First has a ~ 6.26 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 6.62 % to ~ 9.98 %
kr Flash has a ~ 5.61 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 0.64 % to ~ 2.86 %
kr YoDa has a ~ 5.34 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 2.49 % to ~ 4.75 %
kr viOLet has a ~ 3.88 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 12.02 % to ~ 38.41 %
ca MaSa has a ~ 2.52 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 0.01 % to ~ 0.02 %
kr Sacsri has a ~ 0.39 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 0.32 % to ~ 2.91 %
kr INnoVation has a ~ 0.38 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 17.91 % to ~ 39.77 %
kr herO has a ~ 0.3 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 50.72 % to ~ 98.85 %
kr Rain has a ~ 0.3 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 9.74 % to ~ 30.03 %
kr San has a ~ 0.27 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 100 % to ~ 100 %
dk Bunny has a ~ 0.25 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 13.28 % to ~ 42.41 %
kr PartinG has a ~ 0.25 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 8.9 % to ~ 30.51 %
kr Solar has a ~ 0.24 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 8.01 % to ~ 25.66 %
kr jjakji has a ~ 0.24 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 95.17 % to ~ 100 %
kr KingKong has a ~ 0.2 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 0.01 % to ~ 0.11 %
kr Maru has a ~ 0.2 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 10.66 % to ~ 37.5 %
kr ForGG has a ~ 0.2 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 10.2 % to ~ 38.37 %
kr Life has a ~ 0.19 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 63.7 % to ~ 100 %
kr Dear has a ~ 0.19 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 5.74 % to ~ 23.84 %
no Snute has a ~ 0.17 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 18.78 % to ~ 78.64 %
kr DongRaeGu has a ~ 0.16 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 1.18 % to ~ 5.32 %
es VortiX has a ~ 0.16 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 6.96 % to ~ 21.55 %
kr Soulkey has a ~ 0.15 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 1.88 % to ~ 5.97 %
kr Patience has a ~ 0.14 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 4.64 % to ~ 9.5 %
kr Classic has a ~ 0.13 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 69.92 % to ~ 99.98 %
kr Jaedong has a ~ 0.13 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 98.19 % to ~ 100 %
kr Leenock has a ~ 0.13 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 0.09 % to ~ 1.32 %
kr MMA has a ~ 0.12 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 10.08 % to ~ 54.03 %
kr soO has a ~ 0.12 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 50.6 % to ~ 98.41 %
kr TY has a ~ 0.11 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 0.15 % to ~ 2.04 %
kr Trap has a ~ 0.1 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 0.58 % to ~ 9.98 %
kr RagnaroK has a ~ 0.1 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 0.01 % to ~ 0.27 %
kr Bbyong has a ~ 0.09 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 0.6 % to ~ 3.18 %
kr Hurricane has a ~ 0.09 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 0.12 % to ~ 1.5 %
ru Happy has a ~ 0.09 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 0.65 % to ~ 4.01 %
kr Cure has a ~ 0.08 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 0.15 % to ~ 2.76 %
kr Avenge has a ~ 0.08 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 0.04 % to ~ 0.76 %
kr Golden has a ~ 0.08 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 3.2 % to ~ 10.14 %
mx MajOr has a ~ 0.08 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 4.11 % to ~ 14.74 %
kr Stats has a ~ 0.07 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 0.1 % to ~ 1.88 %
kr Trust has a ~ 0.07 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 0.06 % to ~ 0.98 %
kr Pigbaby has a ~ 0.07 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 46.89 % to ~ 97.25 %
kr TRUE has a ~ 0.07 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 1.38 % to ~ 6.74 %
cn Jim has a ~ 0.07 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 1.47 % to ~ 5.79 %


Who would gain the most by winning IEM Toronto.
+ Show Spoiler [Winning Gains] +

IEM Toronto
no Snute would gain ~ 59.85 % if they win, with a ~ 0.17 % chance to win, going from ~ 18.78 % to ~ 78.64 %
kr Pigbaby would gain ~ 50.36 % if they win, with a ~ 0.07 % chance to win, going from ~ 46.89 % to ~ 97.25 %
kr herO would gain ~ 48.13 % if they win, with a ~ 0.3 % chance to win, going from ~ 50.72 % to ~ 98.85 %
kr soO would gain ~ 47.81 % if they win, with a ~ 0.12 % chance to win, going from ~ 50.6 % to ~ 98.41 %
kr MMA would gain ~ 43.96 % if they win, with a ~ 0.12 % chance to win, going from ~ 10.08 % to ~ 54.03 %
kr HerO would gain ~ 41.76 % if they win, with a ~ 0.06 % chance to win, going from ~ 6.03 % to ~ 47.79 %
kr Life would gain ~ 36.3 % if they win, with a ~ 0.19 % chance to win, going from ~ 63.7 % to ~ 100 %
kr Classic would gain ~ 30.06 % if they win, with a ~ 0.13 % chance to win, going from ~ 69.92 % to ~ 99.98 %
ca Scarlett would gain ~ 29.46 % if they win, with a ~ 8.57 % chance to win, going from ~ 44.04 % to ~ 73.5 %
dk Bunny would gain ~ 29.13 % if they win, with a ~ 0.25 % chance to win, going from ~ 13.28 % to ~ 42.41 %
kr ForGG would gain ~ 28.17 % if they win, with a ~ 0.2 % chance to win, going from ~ 10.2 % to ~ 38.37 %
kr Maru would gain ~ 26.84 % if they win, with a ~ 0.2 % chance to win, going from ~ 10.66 % to ~ 37.5 %
kr viOLet would gain ~ 26.39 % if they win, with a ~ 3.88 % chance to win, going from ~ 12.02 % to ~ 38.41 %
kr INnoVation would gain ~ 21.86 % if they win, with a ~ 0.38 % chance to win, going from ~ 17.91 % to ~ 39.77 %
kr PartinG would gain ~ 21.61 % if they win, with a ~ 0.25 % chance to win, going from ~ 8.9 % to ~ 30.51 %
kr Rain would gain ~ 20.28 % if they win, with a ~ 0.3 % chance to win, going from ~ 9.74 % to ~ 30.03 %
kr Dear would gain ~ 18.1 % if they win, with a ~ 0.19 % chance to win, going from ~ 5.74 % to ~ 23.84 %
kr Solar would gain ~ 17.66 % if they win, with a ~ 0.24 % chance to win, going from ~ 8.01 % to ~ 25.66 %
es VortiX would gain ~ 14.59 % if they win, with a ~ 0.16 % chance to win, going from ~ 6.96 % to ~ 21.55 %
mx MajOr would gain ~ 10.63 % if they win, with a ~ 0.08 % chance to win, going from ~ 4.11 % to ~ 14.74 %
kr Trap would gain ~ 9.4 % if they win, with a ~ 0.1 % chance to win, going from ~ 0.58 % to ~ 9.98 %
kr Heart would gain ~ 9.31 % if they win, with a ~ 0.06 % chance to win, going from ~ 4.86 % to ~ 14.17 %
fi Welmu would gain ~ 9.3 % if they win, with a ~ 0.05 % chance to win, going from ~ 2.7 % to ~ 11.99 %
kr Golden would gain ~ 6.95 % if they win, with a ~ 0.08 % chance to win, going from ~ 3.2 % to ~ 10.14 %
kr TRUE would gain ~ 5.37 % if they win, with a ~ 0.07 % chance to win, going from ~ 1.38 % to ~ 6.74 %
kr Patience would gain ~ 4.86 % if they win, with a ~ 0.14 % chance to win, going from ~ 4.64 % to ~ 9.5 %
kr jjakji would gain ~ 4.83 % if they win, with a ~ 0.24 % chance to win, going from ~ 95.17 % to ~ 100 %
kr sOs would gain ~ 4.56 % if they win, with a ~ 10.93 % chance to win, going from ~ 95.42 % to ~ 99.97 %
cn Jim would gain ~ 4.32 % if they win, with a ~ 0.07 % chance to win, going from ~ 1.47 % to ~ 5.79 %
kr DongRaeGu would gain ~ 4.14 % if they win, with a ~ 0.16 % chance to win, going from ~ 1.18 % to ~ 5.32 %
kr Soulkey would gain ~ 4.09 % if they win, with a ~ 0.15 % chance to win, going from ~ 1.88 % to ~ 5.97 %
kr Alicia would gain ~ 3.9 % if they win, with a ~ 0.06 % chance to win, going from ~ 0.21 % to ~ 4.11 %
tw Sen would gain ~ 3.74 % if they win, with a ~ 0.05 % chance to win, going from ~ 0.18 % to ~ 3.92 %
kr First would gain ~ 3.36 % if they win, with a ~ 6.26 % chance to win, going from ~ 6.62 % to ~ 9.98 %
ru Happy would gain ~ 3.36 % if they win, with a ~ 0.09 % chance to win, going from ~ 0.65 % to ~ 4.01 %
kr Cure would gain ~ 2.61 % if they win, with a ~ 0.08 % chance to win, going from ~ 0.15 % to ~ 2.76 %
kr Bbyong would gain ~ 2.58 % if they win, with a ~ 0.09 % chance to win, going from ~ 0.6 % to ~ 3.18 %
kr Sacsri would gain ~ 2.58 % if they win, with a ~ 0.39 % chance to win, going from ~ 0.32 % to ~ 2.91 %
kr YoDa would gain ~ 2.26 % if they win, with a ~ 5.34 % chance to win, going from ~ 2.49 % to ~ 4.75 %
kr Flash would gain ~ 2.23 % if they win, with a ~ 5.61 % chance to win, going from ~ 0.64 % to ~ 2.86 %
fr Dayshi would gain ~ 1.99 % if they win, with a ~ 0.05 % chance to win, going from ~ 1.39 % to ~ 3.39 %
de ShoWTimE would gain ~ 1.99 % if they win, with a ~ 0.07 % chance to win, going from ~ 0.19 % to ~ 2.18 %
pl Nerchio would gain ~ 1.98 % if they win, with a ~ 0.06 % chance to win, going from ~ 0.61 % to ~ 2.6 %
kr Reality would gain ~ 1.91 % if they win, with a ~ 0.06 % chance to win, going from ~ 0.1 % to ~ 2.01 %
kr TY would gain ~ 1.89 % if they win, with a ~ 0.11 % chance to win, going from ~ 0.15 % to ~ 2.04 %
kr Jaedong would gain ~ 1.81 % if they win, with a ~ 0.13 % chance to win, going from ~ 98.19 % to ~ 100 %
kr Stats would gain ~ 1.78 % if they win, with a ~ 0.07 % chance to win, going from ~ 0.1 % to ~ 1.88 %
kr EffOrt would gain ~ 1.68 % if they win, with a ~ 0.06 % chance to win, going from ~ 0.08 % to ~ 1.76 %
kr Hurricane would gain ~ 1.38 % if they win, with a ~ 0.09 % chance to win, going from ~ 0.12 % to ~ 1.5 %
kr Leenock would gain ~ 1.23 % if they win, with a ~ 0.13 % chance to win, going from ~ 0.09 % to ~ 1.32 %
kr Trust would gain ~ 0.93 % if they win, with a ~ 0.07 % chance to win, going from ~ 0.06 % to ~ 0.98 %


Red Bull Detroit Winning Chances
+ Show Spoiler [Winning Chances] +

Red Bull Detroit
kr HyuN has a ~ 21.23 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 100 % to ~ 100 %
ca Scarlett has a ~ 17.84 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 44.05 % to ~ 71.97 %
mx MajOr has a ~ 9.29 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 4.11 % to ~ 12.84 %
us Bails has a ~ 1.62 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 0.01 % to ~ 0.01 %
kr Sacsri has a ~ 0.64 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 0.32 % to ~ 11.43 %
kr INnoVation has a ~ 0.63 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 17.91 % to ~ 66.81 %
kr herO has a ~ 0.59 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 50.72 % to ~ 99.56 %
kr TaeJa has a ~ 0.59 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 100 % to ~ 100 %
kr sOs has a ~ 0.59 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 95.41 % to ~ 99.99 %
kr San has a ~ 0.58 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 100 % to ~ 100 %
kr Rain has a ~ 0.55 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 9.74 % to ~ 55.6 %
dk Bunny has a ~ 0.53 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 13.28 % to ~ 69.9 %
kr KingKong has a ~ 0.52 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 0.01 % to ~ 0.4 %
kr Zest has a ~ 0.5 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 99.99 % to ~ 100 %
kr jjakji has a ~ 0.5 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 95.18 % to ~ 100 %
kr Polt has a ~ 0.49 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 100 % to ~ 100 %
kr PartinG has a ~ 0.49 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 8.9 % to ~ 30.77 %
kr Solar has a ~ 0.49 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 8.01 % to ~ 51.06 %
kr Dear has a ~ 0.48 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 5.73 % to ~ 49.02 %
kr Life has a ~ 0.47 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 63.71 % to ~ 100 %
kr StarDust has a ~ 0.46 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 100 % to ~ 100 %
no Snute has a ~ 0.45 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 18.78 % to ~ 91.02 %
kr MC has a ~ 0.44 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 100 % to ~ 100 %
kr Maru has a ~ 0.44 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 10.66 % to ~ 63.9 %
kr ForGG has a ~ 0.43 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 10.19 % to ~ 64.28 %
kr Jaedong has a ~ 0.42 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 98.19 % to ~ 100 %
kr Soulkey has a ~ 0.41 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 1.88 % to ~ 12.54 %
kr DongRaeGu has a ~ 0.41 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 1.18 % to ~ 9.68 %
es VortiX has a ~ 0.4 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 6.96 % to ~ 44.33 %
kr First has a ~ 0.4 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 6.62 % to ~ 34.5 %
kr Patience has a ~ 0.39 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 4.64 % to ~ 20.01 %
kr Classic has a ~ 0.38 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 69.93 % to ~ 99.99 %
kr YoDa has a ~ 0.38 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 2.49 % to ~ 13.99 %
uk Ourk has a ~ 0.37 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 0.01 % to ~ 0.15 %
kr Flash has a ~ 0.37 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 0.64 % to ~ 6.1 %
kr Mvp has a ~ 0.37 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 0.01 % to ~ 0.48 %
kr Bomber has a ~ 0.36 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 100 % to ~ 100 %
ca Bones has a ~ 0.36 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 0 % to ~ 0 %
kr Leenock has a ~ 0.36 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 0.09 % to ~ 6.42 %
kr soO has a ~ 0.36 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 50.6 % to ~ 99.34 %
kr Trap has a ~ 0.35 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 0.58 % to ~ 10.67 %
kr MMA has a ~ 0.35 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 10.08 % to ~ 76.55 %
kr Sora has a ~ 0.35 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 0.01 % to ~ 0.18 %
kr TY has a ~ 0.34 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 0.15 % to ~ 2.99 %
kr Pet has a ~ 0.33 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 0.01 % to ~ 0.3 %
kr RagnaroK has a ~ 0.32 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 0.01 % to ~ 0.79 %
kr Cure has a ~ 0.32 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 0.15 % to ~ 3.73 %
kr Hurricane has a ~ 0.31 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 0.12 % to ~ 2.29 %
kr viOLet has a ~ 0.31 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 12.02 % to ~ 80.4 %
kr Bbyong has a ~ 0.3 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 0.6 % to ~ 6.1 %
kr Hydra has a ~ 0.3 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 0.01 % to ~ 0.26 %


Who would gain the most by winning IEM Toronto.
+ Show Spoiler [Winning Gains] +

Red Bull Detroit
no Snute would gain ~ 72.24 % if they win, with a ~ 0.45 % chance to win, going from ~ 18.78 % to ~ 91.02 %
kr viOLet would gain ~ 68.38 % if they win, with a ~ 0.31 % chance to win, going from ~ 12.02 % to ~ 80.4 %
kr MMA would gain ~ 66.47 % if they win, with a ~ 0.35 % chance to win, going from ~ 10.08 % to ~ 76.55 %
kr HerO would gain ~ 64.66 % if they win, with a ~ 0.25 % chance to win, going from ~ 6.03 % to ~ 70.69 %
dk Bunny would gain ~ 56.62 % if they win, with a ~ 0.53 % chance to win, going from ~ 13.28 % to ~ 69.9 %
kr ForGG would gain ~ 54.09 % if they win, with a ~ 0.43 % chance to win, going from ~ 10.19 % to ~ 64.28 %
kr Maru would gain ~ 53.25 % if they win, with a ~ 0.44 % chance to win, going from ~ 10.66 % to ~ 63.9 %
kr Pigbaby would gain ~ 51.82 % if they win, with a ~ 0.26 % chance to win, going from ~ 46.88 % to ~ 98.71 %
kr INnoVation would gain ~ 48.9 % if they win, with a ~ 0.63 % chance to win, going from ~ 17.91 % to ~ 66.81 %
kr herO would gain ~ 48.84 % if they win, with a ~ 0.59 % chance to win, going from ~ 50.72 % to ~ 99.56 %
kr soO would gain ~ 48.74 % if they win, with a ~ 0.36 % chance to win, going from ~ 50.6 % to ~ 99.34 %
kr Rain would gain ~ 45.86 % if they win, with a ~ 0.55 % chance to win, going from ~ 9.74 % to ~ 55.6 %
kr Dear would gain ~ 43.29 % if they win, with a ~ 0.48 % chance to win, going from ~ 5.73 % to ~ 49.02 %
kr Solar would gain ~ 43.05 % if they win, with a ~ 0.49 % chance to win, going from ~ 8.01 % to ~ 51.06 %
es VortiX would gain ~ 37.36 % if they win, with a ~ 0.4 % chance to win, going from ~ 6.96 % to ~ 44.33 %
kr Life would gain ~ 36.29 % if they win, with a ~ 0.47 % chance to win, going from ~ 63.71 % to ~ 100 %
kr Classic would gain ~ 30.07 % if they win, with a ~ 0.38 % chance to win, going from ~ 69.93 % to ~ 99.99 %
ca Scarlett would gain ~ 27.92 % if they win, with a ~ 17.84 % chance to win, going from ~ 44.05 % to ~ 71.97 %
kr First would gain ~ 27.89 % if they win, with a ~ 0.4 % chance to win, going from ~ 6.62 % to ~ 34.5 %
fi Welmu would gain ~ 25.27 % if they win, with a ~ 0.24 % chance to win, going from ~ 2.69 % to ~ 27.97 %
kr Heart would gain ~ 23.68 % if they win, with a ~ 0.26 % chance to win, going from ~ 4.86 % to ~ 28.54 %
kr PartinG would gain ~ 21.87 % if they win, with a ~ 0.49 % chance to win, going from ~ 8.9 % to ~ 30.77 %
kr Golden would gain ~ 20.48 % if they win, with a ~ 0.29 % chance to win, going from ~ 3.2 % to ~ 23.68 %
kr TRUE would gain ~ 17.44 % if they win, with a ~ 0.28 % chance to win, going from ~ 1.38 % to ~ 18.81 %
kr Alicia would gain ~ 17.31 % if they win, with a ~ 0.23 % chance to win, going from ~ 0.21 % to ~ 17.51 %
tw Sen would gain ~ 16.21 % if they win, with a ~ 0.24 % chance to win, going from ~ 0.18 % to ~ 16.39 %
de TLO would gain ~ 16.12 % if they win, with a ~ 0.18 % chance to win, going from ~ 1.26 % to ~ 17.38 %
kr Patience would gain ~ 15.38 % if they win, with a ~ 0.39 % chance to win, going from ~ 4.64 % to ~ 20.01 %
ca HuK would gain ~ 13.75 % if they win, with a ~ 0.22 % chance to win, going from ~ 2.51 % to ~ 16.26 %
kr Oz would gain ~ 13.66 % if they win, with a ~ 0.17 % chance to win, going from ~ 0.11 % to ~ 13.78 %
kr YoDa would gain ~ 11.5 % if they win, with a ~ 0.38 % chance to win, going from ~ 2.49 % to ~ 13.99 %
kr Sacsri would gain ~ 11.11 % if they win, with a ~ 0.64 % chance to win, going from ~ 0.32 % to ~ 11.43 %
kr Soulkey would gain ~ 10.66 % if they win, with a ~ 0.41 % chance to win, going from ~ 1.88 % to ~ 12.54 %
kr Trap would gain ~ 10.09 % if they win, with a ~ 0.35 % chance to win, going from ~ 0.58 % to ~ 10.67 %
cn Jim would gain ~ 9.94 % if they win, with a ~ 0.27 % chance to win, going from ~ 1.47 % to ~ 11.41 %
mx MajOr would gain ~ 8.73 % if they win, with a ~ 9.29 % chance to win, going from ~ 4.11 % to ~ 12.84 %
kr DongRaeGu would gain ~ 8.49 % if they win, with a ~ 0.41 % chance to win, going from ~ 1.18 % to ~ 9.68 %
fr Dayshi would gain ~ 6.58 % if they win, with a ~ 0.26 % chance to win, going from ~ 1.39 % to ~ 7.98 %
kr Leenock would gain ~ 6.32 % if they win, with a ~ 0.36 % chance to win, going from ~ 0.09 % to ~ 6.42 %
ru Happy would gain ~ 5.59 % if they win, with a ~ 0.28 % chance to win, going from ~ 0.65 % to ~ 6.24 %
kr Bbyong would gain ~ 5.51 % if they win, with a ~ 0.3 % chance to win, going from ~ 0.6 % to ~ 6.1 %
kr Flash would gain ~ 5.46 % if they win, with a ~ 0.37 % chance to win, going from ~ 0.64 % to ~ 6.1 %
pl MaNa would gain ~ 5.06 % if they win, with a ~ 0.14 % chance to win, going from ~ 0.86 % to ~ 5.92 %
kr jjakji would gain ~ 4.82 % if they win, with a ~ 0.5 % chance to win, going from ~ 95.18 % to ~ 100 %
pl Nerchio would gain ~ 4.82 % if they win, with a ~ 0.25 % chance to win, going from ~ 0.61 % to ~ 5.43 %
kr sOs would gain ~ 4.57 % if they win, with a ~ 0.59 % chance to win, going from ~ 95.41 % to ~ 99.99 %
kr Check would gain ~ 3.62 % if they win, with a ~ 0.19 % chance to win, going from ~ 0.26 % to ~ 3.88 %
kr Cure would gain ~ 3.58 % if they win, with a ~ 0.32 % chance to win, going from ~ 0.15 % to ~ 3.73 %
us puCK would gain ~ 3.27 % if they win, with a ~ 0.13 % chance to win, going from ~ 0.4 % to ~ 3.67 %
kr Revival would gain ~ 2.93 % if they win, with a ~ 0.16 % chance to win, going from ~ 0.02 % to ~ 2.95 %
kr TY would gain ~ 2.85 % if they win, with a ~ 0.34 % chance to win, going from ~ 0.15 % to ~ 2.99 %


Red Bull Washington Winning Chances
+ Show Spoiler [Winning Chances] +

Red Bull Washington
kr sOs has a ~ 22.42 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 95.41 % to ~ 99.97 %
ca Scarlett has a ~ 19.6 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 44.05 % to ~ 71.46 %
kr PartinG has a ~ 18.49 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 8.9 % to ~ 14.63 %
kr Bomber has a ~ 13.59 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 99.99 % to ~ 100 %
kr Trap has a ~ 9.61 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 0.58 % to ~ 2.48 %
kr HyuN has a ~ 4.43 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 100 % to ~ 100 %
mx MajOr has a ~ 0.84 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 4.11 % to ~ 36.58 %
kr Sacsri has a ~ 0.3 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 0.33 % to ~ 14.83 %
kr INnoVation has a ~ 0.28 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 17.92 % to ~ 70.01 %
dk Bunny has a ~ 0.21 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 13.28 % to ~ 70.18 %
kr Solar has a ~ 0.21 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 8.01 % to ~ 56.69 %
kr herO has a ~ 0.21 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 50.71 % to ~ 99.52 %
kr Rain has a ~ 0.2 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 9.74 % to ~ 61.66 %
kr KingKong has a ~ 0.18 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 0.01 % to ~ 0.58 %
kr jjakji has a ~ 0.17 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 95.17 % to ~ 100 %
no Snute has a ~ 0.16 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 18.77 % to ~ 88.43 %
kr Life has a ~ 0.16 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 63.7 % to ~ 100 %
kr DongRaeGu has a ~ 0.14 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 1.18 % to ~ 12.41 %
es VortiX has a ~ 0.14 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 6.96 % to ~ 50.01 %
kr Soulkey has a ~ 0.14 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 1.88 % to ~ 15.99 %
kr Dear has a ~ 0.14 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 5.73 % to ~ 56.1 %
kr Maru has a ~ 0.14 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 10.65 % to ~ 64.89 %
kr First has a ~ 0.13 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 6.62 % to ~ 39.88 %
kr ForGG has a ~ 0.13 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 10.2 % to ~ 65.04 %
kr Jaedong has a ~ 0.13 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 98.19 % to ~ 100 %
kr Flash has a ~ 0.11 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 0.64 % to ~ 8.12 %
kr Patience has a ~ 0.11 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 4.64 % to ~ 25.49 %
kr soO has a ~ 0.11 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 50.61 % to ~ 99.08 %
kr YoDa has a ~ 0.1 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 2.5 % to ~ 18.45 %
kr Classic has a ~ 0.1 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 69.93 % to ~ 100 %
kr Pet has a ~ 0.1 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 0.01 % to ~ 0.43 %
kr Leenock has a ~ 0.1 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 0.09 % to ~ 10.46 %
kr Mvp has a ~ 0.1 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 0.01 % to ~ 0.8 %
kr RagnaroK has a ~ 0.1 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 0.01 % to ~ 1.45 %
kr MMA has a ~ 0.09 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 10.08 % to ~ 72.1 %
kr viOLet has a ~ 0.09 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 12.02 % to ~ 75.77 %
kr TY has a ~ 0.09 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 0.14 % to ~ 3.41 %
kr Bbyong has a ~ 0.08 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 0.6 % to ~ 8.52 %
kr Stats has a ~ 0.08 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 0.1 % to ~ 2.68 %
kr Golden has a ~ 0.08 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 3.2 % to ~ 28.99 %
ru Happy has a ~ 0.08 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 0.65 % to ~ 7.74 %
kr Symbol has a ~ 0.07 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 0.01 % to ~ 0.3 %
kr Hurricane has a ~ 0.07 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 0.12 % to ~ 2.86 %
kr Cure has a ~ 0.07 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 0.15 % to ~ 4.21 %
kr TRUE has a ~ 0.07 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 1.37 % to ~ 26.52 %
kr Avenge has a ~ 0.07 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 0.04 % to ~ 1.52 %
kr Pigbaby has a ~ 0.07 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 46.89 % to ~ 98.34 %
cn Jim has a ~ 0.07 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 1.47 % to ~ 15.43 %
kr Trust has a ~ 0.07 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 0.06 % to ~ 1.83 %
kr GuMiho has a ~ 0.06 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 0.01 % to ~ 0.14 %
kr EffOrt has a ~ 0.06 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 0.08 % to ~ 2.64 %


Who would gain the most by winning Red Bull Washington
+ Show Spoiler [Winning Gains] +

Red Bull Washington
no Snute would gain ~ 69.66 % if they win, with a ~ 0.16 % chance to win, going from ~ 18.77 % to ~ 88.43 %
kr viOLet would gain ~ 63.75 % if they win, with a ~ 0.09 % chance to win, going from ~ 12.02 % to ~ 75.77 %
kr MMA would gain ~ 62.02 % if they win, with a ~ 0.09 % chance to win, going from ~ 10.08 % to ~ 72.1 %
dk Bunny would gain ~ 56.9 % if they win, with a ~ 0.21 % chance to win, going from ~ 13.28 % to ~ 70.18 %
kr ForGG would gain ~ 54.84 % if they win, with a ~ 0.13 % chance to win, going from ~ 10.2 % to ~ 65.04 %
kr Maru would gain ~ 54.24 % if they win, with a ~ 0.14 % chance to win, going from ~ 10.65 % to ~ 64.89 %
kr INnoVation would gain ~ 52.09 % if they win, with a ~ 0.28 % chance to win, going from ~ 17.92 % to ~ 70.01 %
kr Rain would gain ~ 51.91 % if they win, with a ~ 0.2 % chance to win, going from ~ 9.74 % to ~ 61.66 %
kr Pigbaby would gain ~ 51.46 % if they win, with a ~ 0.07 % chance to win, going from ~ 46.89 % to ~ 98.34 %
kr Dear would gain ~ 50.37 % if they win, with a ~ 0.14 % chance to win, going from ~ 5.73 % to ~ 56.1 %
kr herO would gain ~ 48.81 % if they win, with a ~ 0.21 % chance to win, going from ~ 50.71 % to ~ 99.52 %
kr Solar would gain ~ 48.68 % if they win, with a ~ 0.21 % chance to win, going from ~ 8.01 % to ~ 56.69 %
kr soO would gain ~ 48.47 % if they win, with a ~ 0.11 % chance to win, going from ~ 50.61 % to ~ 99.08 %
es VortiX would gain ~ 43.04 % if they win, with a ~ 0.14 % chance to win, going from ~ 6.96 % to ~ 50.01 %
kr Life would gain ~ 36.3 % if they win, with a ~ 0.16 % chance to win, going from ~ 63.7 % to ~ 100 %
kr First would gain ~ 33.26 % if they win, with a ~ 0.13 % chance to win, going from ~ 6.62 % to ~ 39.88 %
mx MajOr would gain ~ 32.47 % if they win, with a ~ 0.84 % chance to win, going from ~ 4.11 % to ~ 36.58 %
kr Classic would gain ~ 30.07 % if they win, with a ~ 0.1 % chance to win, going from ~ 69.93 % to ~ 100 %
tw Sen would gain ~ 28.1 % if they win, with a ~ 0.05 % chance to win, going from ~ 0.18 % to ~ 28.28 %
ca Scarlett would gain ~ 27.41 % if they win, with a ~ 19.6 % chance to win, going from ~ 44.05 % to ~ 71.46 %
kr Golden would gain ~ 25.8 % if they win, with a ~ 0.08 % chance to win, going from ~ 3.2 % to ~ 28.99 %
kr TRUE would gain ~ 25.14 % if they win, with a ~ 0.07 % chance to win, going from ~ 1.37 % to ~ 26.52 %
kr Patience would gain ~ 20.85 % if they win, with a ~ 0.11 % chance to win, going from ~ 4.64 % to ~ 25.49 %
kr YoDa would gain ~ 15.96 % if they win, with a ~ 0.1 % chance to win, going from ~ 2.5 % to ~ 18.45 %
kr Sacsri would gain ~ 14.5 % if they win, with a ~ 0.3 % chance to win, going from ~ 0.33 % to ~ 14.83 %
kr Soulkey would gain ~ 14.11 % if they win, with a ~ 0.14 % chance to win, going from ~ 1.88 % to ~ 15.99 %
cn Jim would gain ~ 13.96 % if they win, with a ~ 0.07 % chance to win, going from ~ 1.47 % to ~ 15.43 %
kr DongRaeGu would gain ~ 11.23 % if they win, with a ~ 0.14 % chance to win, going from ~ 1.18 % to ~ 12.41 %
kr Leenock would gain ~ 10.36 % if they win, with a ~ 0.1 % chance to win, going from ~ 0.09 % to ~ 10.46 %
fr Dayshi would gain ~ 9.63 % if they win, with a ~ 0.06 % chance to win, going from ~ 1.39 % to ~ 11.03 %
kr Bbyong would gain ~ 7.93 % if they win, with a ~ 0.08 % chance to win, going from ~ 0.6 % to ~ 8.52 %
kr Flash would gain ~ 7.49 % if they win, with a ~ 0.11 % chance to win, going from ~ 0.64 % to ~ 8.12 %
ru Happy would gain ~ 7.09 % if they win, with a ~ 0.08 % chance to win, going from ~ 0.65 % to ~ 7.74 %
pl Nerchio would gain ~ 6.39 % if they win, with a ~ 0.06 % chance to win, going from ~ 0.61 % to ~ 7.01 %
kr PartinG would gain ~ 5.73 % if they win, with a ~ 18.49 % chance to win, going from ~ 8.9 % to ~ 14.63 %
kr jjakji would gain ~ 4.83 % if they win, with a ~ 0.17 % chance to win, going from ~ 95.17 % to ~ 100 %
kr sOs would gain ~ 4.56 % if they win, with a ~ 22.42 % chance to win, going from ~ 95.41 % to ~ 99.97 %
kr Cure would gain ~ 4.06 % if they win, with a ~ 0.07 % chance to win, going from ~ 0.15 % to ~ 4.21 %
de ShoWTimE would gain ~ 3.57 % if they win, with a ~ 0.06 % chance to win, going from ~ 0.19 % to ~ 3.76 %
kr Reality would gain ~ 3.29 % if they win, with a ~ 0.06 % chance to win, going from ~ 0.1 % to ~ 3.38 %
kr TY would gain ~ 3.27 % if they win, with a ~ 0.09 % chance to win, going from ~ 0.14 % to ~ 3.41 %
kr Hurricane would gain ~ 2.74 % if they win, with a ~ 0.07 % chance to win, going from ~ 0.12 % to ~ 2.86 %
kr Stats would gain ~ 2.57 % if they win, with a ~ 0.08 % chance to win, going from ~ 0.1 % to ~ 2.68 %
kr EffOrt would gain ~ 2.56 % if they win, with a ~ 0.06 % chance to win, going from ~ 0.08 % to ~ 2.64 %
kr Trap would gain ~ 1.91 % if they win, with a ~ 9.61 % chance to win, going from ~ 0.58 % to ~ 2.48 %
kr Jaedong would gain ~ 1.81 % if they win, with a ~ 0.13 % chance to win, going from ~ 98.19 % to ~ 100 %
kr Trust would gain ~ 1.78 % if they win, with a ~ 0.07 % chance to win, going from ~ 0.06 % to ~ 1.83 %
kr Avenge would gain ~ 1.48 % if they win, with a ~ 0.07 % chance to win, going from ~ 0.04 % to ~ 1.52 %
kr RagnaroK would gain ~ 1.44 % if they win, with a ~ 0.1 % chance to win, going from ~ 0.01 % to ~ 1.45 %
kr Impact would gain ~ 1.08 % if they win, with a ~ 0.06 % chance to win, going from ~ 0.01 % to ~ 1.08 %
kr Mvp would gain ~ 0.79 % if they win, with a ~ 0.1 % chance to win, going from ~ 0.01 % to ~ 0.8 %



Remember to check the website for much more frequent updates!
http://sc2.4ever.tv
-----------------------
"Expert" mods4ever.com
Die4Ever
Profile Joined August 2010
United States17676 Posts
August 13 2014 20:46 GMT
#263
--------UPDATE Wednesday, Aug 13 8:45pm GMT (GMT+00:00) IEM Toronto Open Bracket Players!
Here's the current Top 25 by Blizzcon Chances.
  1. kr HyuN (ROCCAT), is at ~ 100 %, Min WCS Points: 5375
  2. kr MC, is at ~ 100 %, Min WCS Points: 5100
  3. kr StarDust (mYinsanity), is at ~ 100 %, Min WCS Points: 4225
  4. kr TaeJa (Liquid), is at ~ 100 %, Min WCS Points: 4125
  5. kr San (Yoe), is at ~ 100 %, Min WCS Points: 4075
  6. kr Polt (CM Storm), is at ~ 100 %, Min WCS Points: 3825
  7. kr Bomber, is at ~ 99.99 %, Min WCS Points: 3500
  8. kr Zest (KT), is at ~ 99.99 %, Min WCS Points: 3275
  9. kr Jaedong (EG), is at ~ 98.48 %, Min WCS Points: 2950
  10. kr sOs (Jinair), is at ~ 95.03 %, Min WCS Points: 2350
  11. kr jjakji (mYinsanity), is at ~ 94.86 %, Min WCS Points: 2850
  12. kr Classic (SKT T1), is at ~ 70.19 %, Min WCS Points: 2650
  13. kr Life (StarTale), is at ~ 61.5 %, Min WCS Points: 2750
  14. kr herO (CJ Entus), is at ~ 48.07 %, Min WCS Points: 2300
  15. kr soO (SKT T1), is at ~ 48.02 %, Min WCS Points: 2250
  16. kr Pigbaby (Jinair), is at ~ 47.62 %, Min WCS Points: 2200
  17. ca Scarlett (Acer), is at ~ 42.56 %, Min WCS Points: 1400
  18. no Snute (Liquid), is at ~ 24.1 %, Min WCS Points: 2000
  19. kr INnoVation (Acer), is at ~ 17.48 %, Min WCS Points: 1425
  20. dk Bunny (Liquid), is at ~ 16.38 %, Min WCS Points: 1550
  21. kr Maru (Jinair), is at ~ 12.16 %, Min WCS Points: 1550
  22. kr viOLet, is at ~ 11.21 %, Min WCS Points: 1775
  23. kr HerO (Liquid), is at ~ 10.53 %, Min WCS Points: 1950
  24. kr ForGG (Millenium), is at ~ 10.06 %, Min WCS Points: 1575
  25. kr MMA (Acer), is at ~ 9.74 %, Min WCS Points: 1875


WCS Point Cutoffs
+ Show Spoiler [WCS Point Cutoffs] +

~ 0 % of the time 2,175 points is enough to qualify for Blizzcon
~ 0.01 % of the time 2,200 points is enough to qualify for Blizzcon
~ 0.06 % of the time 2,300 points is enough to qualify for Blizzcon
~ 1.54 % of the time 2,500 points is enough to qualify for Blizzcon
~ 40.19 % of the time 2,750 points is enough to qualify for Blizzcon
~ 51.15 % of the time 2,825 points is enough to qualify for Blizzcon
~ 71.64 % of the time 2,900 points is enough to qualify for Blizzcon
~ 85.28 % of the time 3,000 points is enough to qualify for Blizzcon
~ 96.41 % of the time 3,125 points is enough to qualify for Blizzcon
~ 100 % of the time 3,750 points is enough to qualify for Blizzcon


Biggest winners and losers
+ Show Spoiler [Biggest Winners] +

no Snute went up by ~ 5.37 %, going from ~ 18.73 % to ~ 24.1 %
dk Bunny went up by ~ 3.1 %, going from ~ 13.28 % to ~ 16.38 %
kr Maru went up by ~ 1.73 %, going from ~ 10.43 % to ~ 12.16 %
kr Jaedong went up by ~ 0.61 %, going from ~ 97.88 % to ~ 98.48 %
kr Stats went up by ~ 0.19 %, going from ~ 0.19 % to ~ 0.38 %
ca HuK went up by ~ 0.15 %, going from ~ 2.3 % to ~ 2.45 %

+ Show Spoiler [Biggest Losers] +

kr Life went down by ~ 1.51 %, going from ~ 63.01 % to ~ 61.5 %
kr herO went down by ~ 1.11 %, going from ~ 49.18 % to ~ 48.07 %
kr Classic went down by ~ 1.01 %, going from ~ 71.19 % to ~ 70.19 %
kr soO went down by ~ 0.96 %, going from ~ 48.97 % to ~ 48.02 %
kr Patience went down by ~ 0.87 %, going from ~ 4.66 % to ~ 3.8 %
ca Scarlett went down by ~ 0.83 %, going from ~ 43.38 % to ~ 42.56 %
kr Pigbaby went down by ~ 0.76 %, going from ~ 48.38 % to ~ 47.62 %
kr INnoVation went down by ~ 0.47 %, going from ~ 17.95 % to ~ 17.48 %
kr viOLet went down by ~ 0.41 %, going from ~ 11.62 % to ~ 11.21 %
kr HerO went down by ~ 0.35 %, going from ~ 10.88 % to ~ 10.53 %
kr jjakji went down by ~ 0.3 %, going from ~ 95.16 % to ~ 94.86 %
kr Soulkey went down by ~ 0.29 %, going from ~ 2.99 % to ~ 2.71 %
kr PartinG went down by ~ 0.28 %, going from ~ 8.53 % to ~ 8.25 %
kr Rain went down by ~ 0.28 %, going from ~ 9.28 % to ~ 9.01 %
kr sOs went down by ~ 0.23 %, going from ~ 95.26 % to ~ 95.03 %
kr Solar went down by ~ 0.22 %, going from ~ 7.71 % to ~ 7.5 %
kr MMA went down by ~ 0.2 %, going from ~ 9.94 % to ~ 9.74 %
kr Dear went down by ~ 0.2 %, going from ~ 5.52 % to ~ 5.32 %
kr Golden went down by ~ 0.13 %, going from ~ 3.19 % to ~ 3.06 %
kr ForGG went down by ~ 0.1 %, going from ~ 10.16 % to ~ 10.06 %



IEM Toronto Open Bracket Winning Chances
+ Show Spoiler [Winning Chances] +

IEM Toronto Open Brackets
dk Bunny has a ~ 51.04 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 16.38 % to ~ 19.51 %
kr StarDust has a ~ 43.85 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 100 % to ~ 100 %
kr Maru has a ~ 43.84 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 12.16 % to ~ 14.85 %
no Snute has a ~ 40.32 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 24.1 % to ~ 32.5 %
kr Jaedong has a ~ 36.03 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 98.48 % to ~ 99.74 %
kr Leenock has a ~ 33.43 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 0.15 % to ~ 0.3 %
ca HuK has a ~ 27.2 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 2.45 % to ~ 2.91 %
kr Oz has a ~ 22.79 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 0.14 % to ~ 0.27 %
ca Kane has a ~ 22.26 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 0.01 % to ~ 0.01 %
kr Revival has a ~ 21.34 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 0.03 % to ~ 0.08 %
us puCK has a ~ 19.32 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 0.38 % to ~ 0.48 %
ca hendralisk has a ~ 16.68 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 0.01 % to ~ 0.01 %
ca desRow has a ~ 9.41 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 0 % to ~ 0 %
kr Believe has a ~ 6.41 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 0 % to ~ 0 %
ca Bones has a ~ 4.92 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 0 % to ~ 0 %
us Sasquatch has a ~ 1.17 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 0 % to ~ 0 %


Who would gain the most by winning IEM Toronto Open Bracket.
+ Show Spoiler [Winning Gains] +

IEM Toronto Open Brackets
no Snute would gain ~ 8.39 % if they win, with a ~ 40.32 % chance to win, going from ~ 24.1 % to ~ 32.5 %
dk Bunny would gain ~ 3.13 % if they win, with a ~ 51.04 % chance to win, going from ~ 16.38 % to ~ 19.51 %
kr Maru would gain ~ 2.69 % if they win, with a ~ 43.84 % chance to win, going from ~ 12.16 % to ~ 14.85 %
kr Jaedong would gain ~ 1.26 % if they win, with a ~ 36.03 % chance to win, going from ~ 98.48 % to ~ 99.74 %
ca HuK would gain ~ 0.45 % if they win, with a ~ 27.2 % chance to win, going from ~ 2.45 % to ~ 2.91 %
kr Leenock would gain ~ 0.14 % if they win, with a ~ 33.43 % chance to win, going from ~ 0.15 % to ~ 0.3 %
kr Oz would gain ~ 0.13 % if they win, with a ~ 22.79 % chance to win, going from ~ 0.14 % to ~ 0.27 %
us puCK would gain ~ 0.09 % if they win, with a ~ 19.32 % chance to win, going from ~ 0.38 % to ~ 0.48 %
kr Revival would gain ~ 0.04 % if they win, with a ~ 21.34 % chance to win, going from ~ 0.03 % to ~ 0.08 %
ca Kane would gain ~ 0.01 % if they win, with a ~ 22.26 % chance to win, going from ~ 0.01 % to ~ 0.01 %
ca hendralisk would gain ~ 0.01 % if they win, with a ~ 16.68 % chance to win, going from ~ 0.01 % to ~ 0.01 %
kr StarDust would gain ~ 0 % if they win, with a ~ 43.85 % chance to win, going from ~ 100 % to ~ 100 %
ca desRow would gain ~ 0 % if they win, with a ~ 9.41 % chance to win, going from ~ 0 % to ~ 0 %
kr Believe would gain ~ 0 % if they win, with a ~ 6.41 % chance to win, going from ~ 0 % to ~ 0 %
ca Bones would gain ~ 0 % if they win, with a ~ 4.92 % chance to win, going from ~ 0 % to ~ 0 %
us Sasquatch would gain ~ 0 % if they win, with a ~ 1.17 % chance to win, going from ~ 0 % to ~ 0 %



IEM Toronto Winning Chances
+ Show Spoiler [Winning Chances] +

IEM Toronto
kr TaeJa has a ~ 10.8 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 100 % to ~ 100 %
kr sOs has a ~ 10.08 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 95.03 % to ~ 99.97 %
kr HyuN has a ~ 9.47 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 100 % to ~ 100 %
kr Zest has a ~ 8.55 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 99.99 % to ~ 100 %
kr Polt has a ~ 8.47 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 100 % to ~ 100 %
ca Scarlett has a ~ 7.72 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 42.56 % to ~ 72.91 %
kr Flash has a ~ 6.06 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 0.77 % to ~ 3.37 %
kr MC has a ~ 5.89 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 100 % to ~ 100 %
kr First has a ~ 5.67 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 6.56 % to ~ 9.95 %
kr YoDa has a ~ 5.01 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 2.44 % to ~ 4.75 %
dk Bunny has a ~ 3.88 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 16.38 % to ~ 42.82 %
kr viOLet has a ~ 3.39 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 11.23 % to ~ 37.41 %
kr Maru has a ~ 2.94 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 12.16 % to ~ 36.58 %
kr StarDust has a ~ 2.87 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 100 % to ~ 100 %
ca MaSa has a ~ 2.34 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 0.01 % to ~ 0.02 %
no Snute has a ~ 2.23 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 24.1 % to ~ 79.33 %
kr Leenock has a ~ 1.53 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 0.15 % to ~ 1.29 %
kr Jaedong has a ~ 1.47 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 98.48 % to ~ 100 %
ca HuK has a ~ 0.5 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 2.45 % to ~ 6.56 %
kr Oz has a ~ 0.32 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 0.14 % to ~ 3.02 %
kr Revival has a ~ 0.28 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 0.03 % to ~ 0.57 %
ca Kane has a ~ 0.26 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 0.01 % to ~ 0 %
us puCK has a ~ 0.16 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 0.38 % to ~ 1.2 %


Who would gain the most by winning IEM Toronto.
+ Show Spoiler [Winning Gains] +

IEM Toronto
no Snute would gain ~ 55.23 % if they win, with a ~ 2.23 % chance to win, going from ~ 24.1 % to ~ 79.33 %
ca Scarlett would gain ~ 30.35 % if they win, with a ~ 7.72 % chance to win, going from ~ 42.56 % to ~ 72.91 %
dk Bunny would gain ~ 26.44 % if they win, with a ~ 3.88 % chance to win, going from ~ 16.38 % to ~ 42.82 %
kr viOLet would gain ~ 26.18 % if they win, with a ~ 3.39 % chance to win, going from ~ 11.23 % to ~ 37.41 %
kr Maru would gain ~ 24.41 % if they win, with a ~ 2.94 % chance to win, going from ~ 12.16 % to ~ 36.58 %
kr sOs would gain ~ 4.94 % if they win, with a ~ 10.08 % chance to win, going from ~ 95.03 % to ~ 99.97 %
ca HuK would gain ~ 4.11 % if they win, with a ~ 0.5 % chance to win, going from ~ 2.45 % to ~ 6.56 %
kr First would gain ~ 3.39 % if they win, with a ~ 5.67 % chance to win, going from ~ 6.56 % to ~ 9.95 %
kr Oz would gain ~ 2.88 % if they win, with a ~ 0.32 % chance to win, going from ~ 0.14 % to ~ 3.02 %
kr Flash would gain ~ 2.6 % if they win, with a ~ 6.06 % chance to win, going from ~ 0.77 % to ~ 3.37 %
kr YoDa would gain ~ 2.32 % if they win, with a ~ 5.01 % chance to win, going from ~ 2.44 % to ~ 4.75 %
kr Jaedong would gain ~ 1.52 % if they win, with a ~ 1.47 % chance to win, going from ~ 98.48 % to ~ 100 %
kr Leenock would gain ~ 1.14 % if they win, with a ~ 1.53 % chance to win, going from ~ 0.15 % to ~ 1.29 %
us puCK would gain ~ 0.82 % if they win, with a ~ 0.16 % chance to win, going from ~ 0.38 % to ~ 1.2 %
kr Revival would gain ~ 0.54 % if they win, with a ~ 0.28 % chance to win, going from ~ 0.03 % to ~ 0.57 %
ca MaSa would gain ~ 0.02 % if they win, with a ~ 2.34 % chance to win, going from ~ 0.01 % to ~ 0.02 %
kr Zest would gain ~ 0.01 % if they win, with a ~ 8.55 % chance to win, going from ~ 99.99 % to ~ 100 %
kr StarDust would gain ~ 0 % if they win, with a ~ 2.87 % chance to win, going from ~ 100 % to ~ 100 %
kr MC would gain ~ 0 % if they win, with a ~ 5.89 % chance to win, going from ~ 100 % to ~ 100 %
kr Polt would gain ~ 0 % if they win, with a ~ 8.47 % chance to win, going from ~ 100 % to ~ 100 %
kr HyuN would gain ~ 0 % if they win, with a ~ 9.47 % chance to win, going from ~ 100 % to ~ 100 %
kr TaeJa would gain ~ 0 % if they win, with a ~ 10.8 % chance to win, going from ~ 100 % to ~ 100 %
ca Kane would gain ~ -0.01 % if they win, with a ~ 0.26 % chance to win, going from ~ 0.01 % to ~ 0 %



Remember to check the website for much more frequent updates!
http://sc2.4ever.tv
-----------------------
"Expert" mods4ever.com
Die4Ever
Profile Joined August 2010
United States17676 Posts
August 14 2014 04:06 GMT
#264
--------UPDATE Thursday, Aug 14 4:05am GMT (GMT+00:00) WCS AM Round of 16 Previews and Group of Death Analysis!
Here's the current Top 25 by Blizzcon Chances.
  1. kr HyuN (ROCCAT), is at ~ 100 %, Min WCS Points: 5375
  2. kr MC, is at ~ 100 %, Min WCS Points: 5100
  3. kr StarDust (mYinsanity), is at ~ 100 %, Min WCS Points: 4225
  4. kr TaeJa (Liquid), is at ~ 100 %, Min WCS Points: 4125
  5. kr San (Yoe), is at ~ 100 %, Min WCS Points: 4075
  6. kr Polt (CM Storm), is at ~ 100 %, Min WCS Points: 3825
  7. kr Bomber, is at ~ 100 %, Min WCS Points: 3600
  8. kr Zest (KT), is at ~ 99.99 %, Min WCS Points: 3275
  9. kr Jaedong (EG), is at ~ 98.28 %, Min WCS Points: 2950
  10. kr jjakji (mYinsanity), is at ~ 95.09 %, Min WCS Points: 2850
  11. kr sOs (Jinair), is at ~ 95.08 %, Min WCS Points: 2350
  12. kr Classic (SKT T1), is at ~ 70.49 %, Min WCS Points: 2650
  13. kr Life (StarTale), is at ~ 62.41 %, Min WCS Points: 2750
  14. kr herO (CJ Entus), is at ~ 48.54 %, Min WCS Points: 2300
  15. kr soO (SKT T1), is at ~ 48.35 %, Min WCS Points: 2250
  16. ca Scarlett (Acer), is at ~ 43.26 %, Min WCS Points: 1400
  17. kr Pigbaby (Jinair), is at ~ 42.71 %, Min WCS Points: 2200
  18. no Snute (Liquid), is at ~ 24.31 %, Min WCS Points: 2000
  19. kr INnoVation (Acer), is at ~ 17.56 %, Min WCS Points: 1425
  20. dk Bunny (Liquid), is at ~ 16.02 %, Min WCS Points: 1550
  21. kr Maru (Jinair), is at ~ 12.22 %, Min WCS Points: 1550
  22. kr viOLet, is at ~ 11.11 %, Min WCS Points: 1775
  23. kr HerO (Liquid), is at ~ 10.61 %, Min WCS Points: 1950
  24. kr ForGG (Millenium), is at ~ 10.12 %, Min WCS Points: 1575
  25. kr MMA (Acer), is at ~ 9.85 %, Min WCS Points: 1875


WCS Point Cutoffs
+ Show Spoiler [WCS Point Cutoffs] +

~ 0 % of the time 2,175 points is enough to qualify for Blizzcon
~ 0.01 % of the time 2,200 points is enough to qualify for Blizzcon
~ 0.06 % of the time 2,300 points is enough to qualify for Blizzcon
~ 0.96 % of the time 2,475 points is enough to qualify for Blizzcon
~ 18.84 % of the time 2,700 points is enough to qualify for Blizzcon
~ 45.47 % of the time 2,775 points is enough to qualify for Blizzcon
~ 47.79 % of the time 2,800 points is enough to qualify for Blizzcon
~ 65.03 % of the time 2,875 points is enough to qualify for Blizzcon
~ 80.46 % of the time 2,950 points is enough to qualify for Blizzcon
~ 86.1 % of the time 3,000 points is enough to qualify for Blizzcon
~ 96.77 % of the time 3,125 points is enough to qualify for Blizzcon
~ 100 % of the time 3,775 points is enough to qualify for Blizzcon


Biggest winners and losers
+ Show Spoiler [Biggest Winners] +

ca Scarlett went up by ~ 0.84 %, going from ~ 42.42 % to ~ 43.26 %
kr Life went up by ~ 0.81 %, going from ~ 61.6 % to ~ 62.41 %
mx MajOr went up by ~ 0.44 %, going from ~ 5.68 % to ~ 6.13 %
kr herO went up by ~ 0.36 %, going from ~ 48.18 % to ~ 48.54 %
kr HerO went up by ~ 0.28 %, going from ~ 10.33 % to ~ 10.61 %
kr Classic went up by ~ 0.28 %, going from ~ 70.21 % to ~ 70.49 %
kr soO went up by ~ 0.27 %, going from ~ 48.08 % to ~ 48.35 %
kr jjakji went up by ~ 0.2 %, going from ~ 94.88 % to ~ 95.09 %
kr Heart went up by ~ 0.17 %, going from ~ 4.13 % to ~ 4.3 %
no Snute went up by ~ 0.16 %, going from ~ 24.15 % to ~ 24.31 %

+ Show Spoiler [Biggest Losers] +

kr Pigbaby went down by ~ 4.27 %, going from ~ 46.98 % to ~ 42.71 %
kr Jaedong went down by ~ 0.18 %, going from ~ 98.46 % to ~ 98.28 %
ca HuK went down by ~ 0.15 %, going from ~ 2.3 % to ~ 2.15 %


Here are the previews for the round of 16 groups. No countdowns since they aren't scheduled yet.

kr HerO must win this!
This match is important for kr viOLet!
This match is important for ca Scarlett!
+ Show Spoiler [Scarlett, HerO, viOLet, iaguz in WCS A…] +
WCS AM S3 Premier
- ca Scarlett is at ~ 43.25 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014
~ 61.98 % of the time ca Scarlett wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 57.23 %.
~ 38.02 % of the time ca Scarlett loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 20.46 %.
-------------------------------------------------
- kr HerO is at ~ 10.62 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014
~ 48.59 % of the time kr HerO wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 19.85 %.
~ 51.41 % of the time kr HerO loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 1.89 %.
-------------------------------------------------
- kr viOLet is at ~ 11.1 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014
~ 48.03 % of the time kr viOLet wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 20.93 %.
~ 51.97 % of the time kr viOLet loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 2.02 %.
-------------------------------------------------
- au iaguz is at ~ 0.04 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014
~ 41.4 % of the time au iaguz wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 0.09 %.
~ 58.6 % of the time au iaguz loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 0.01 %.


This match is important for kr Pigbaby!
+ Show Spoiler [TaeJa, HyuN, Jaedong, Pigbaby in WCS A…] +
WCS AM S3 Premier
- kr TaeJa is at ~ 100 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014
~ 63.13 % of the time kr TaeJa wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 100 %.
~ 36.87 % of the time kr TaeJa loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 100 %.
-------------------------------------------------
- kr HyuN is at ~ 100 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014
~ 55.91 % of the time kr HyuN wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 100 %.
~ 44.09 % of the time kr HyuN loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 100 %.
-------------------------------------------------
- kr Jaedong is at ~ 98.28 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014
~ 44.8 % of the time kr Jaedong wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 99.96 %.
~ 55.2 % of the time kr Jaedong loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 96.92 %.
-------------------------------------------------
- kr Pigbaby is at ~ 42.71 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014
~ 36.15 % of the time kr Pigbaby wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 66.04 %.
~ 63.85 % of the time kr Pigbaby loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 29.5 %.


cn Jim must win this!
ca HuK must win this!
+ Show Spoiler [Bomber, Jim, Check, HuK in WCS AM S3 P…] +
WCS AM S3 Premier
- kr Bomber is at ~ 100 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014
~ 66.33 % of the time kr Bomber wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 100 %.
~ 33.67 % of the time kr Bomber loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 100 %.
-------------------------------------------------
- cn Jim is at ~ 1.33 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014
~ 50.11 % of the time cn Jim wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 2.63 %.
~ 49.89 % of the time cn Jim loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 0.02 %.
-------------------------------------------------
- kr Check is at ~ 0.24 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014
~ 44.52 % of the time kr Check wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 0.53 %.
~ 55.48 % of the time kr Check loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 0.01 %.
-------------------------------------------------
- ca HuK is at ~ 2.15 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014
~ 39.04 % of the time ca HuK wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 5.4 %.
~ 60.96 % of the time ca HuK loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 0.07 %.


mx MajOr must win this!
kr Heart must win this!
+ Show Spoiler [Polt, MajOr, Heart, neeb in WCS AM S3…] +
WCS AM S3 Premier
- kr Polt is at ~ 100 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014
~ 72.31 % of the time kr Polt wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 100 %.
~ 27.69 % of the time kr Polt loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 100 %.
-------------------------------------------------
- mx MajOr is at ~ 6.12 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014
~ 54.97 % of the time mx MajOr wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 10.69 %.
~ 45.03 % of the time mx MajOr loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 0.54 %.
-------------------------------------------------
- kr Heart is at ~ 4.3 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014
~ 50.09 % of the time kr Heart wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 8.46 %.
~ 49.91 % of the time kr Heart loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 0.13 %.
-------------------------------------------------
- us neeb is at ~ 0.02 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014
~ 22.63 % of the time us neeb wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 0.09 %.
~ 77.37 % of the time us neeb loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 0.01 %.


Winning Chances
+ Show Spoiler [Winning Chances] +

WCS AM S3 Premier
kr TaeJa has a ~ 15.65 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 100 % to ~ 100 %
kr Polt has a ~ 14.1 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 100 % to ~ 100 %
kr HyuN has a ~ 13.25 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 100 % to ~ 100 %
ca Scarlett has a ~ 11.84 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 43.25 % to ~ 99.99 %
kr Bomber has a ~ 8.91 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 100 % to ~ 100 %
kr Jaedong has a ~ 5.62 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 98.28 % to ~ 100 %
mx MajOr has a ~ 5.02 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 6.12 % to ~ 88.75 %
kr viOLet has a ~ 4.55 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 11.1 % to ~ 100 %
kr Heart has a ~ 4.16 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 4.3 % to ~ 94.2 %
kr HerO has a ~ 4.04 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 10.62 % to ~ 100 %
cn Jim has a ~ 3.65 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 1.33 % to ~ 33.55 %
kr Pigbaby has a ~ 2.99 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 42.71 % to ~ 100 %
ca HuK has a ~ 2.19 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 2.15 % to ~ 88.47 %
au iaguz has a ~ 1.87 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 0.04 % to ~ 1.97 %
kr Check has a ~ 1.81 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 0.24 % to ~ 12.2 %
us neeb has a ~ 0.34 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 0.02 % to ~ 5.78 %


Who would gain the most by winning WCS AM
+ Show Spoiler [Winning Gains] +

WCS AM S3 Premier
kr Heart would gain ~ 89.9 % if they win, with a ~ 4.16 % chance to win, going from ~ 4.3 % to ~ 94.2 %
kr HerO would gain ~ 89.38 % if they win, with a ~ 4.04 % chance to win, going from ~ 10.62 % to ~ 100 %
kr viOLet would gain ~ 88.9 % if they win, with a ~ 4.55 % chance to win, going from ~ 11.1 % to ~ 100 %
ca HuK would gain ~ 86.31 % if they win, with a ~ 2.19 % chance to win, going from ~ 2.15 % to ~ 88.47 %
mx MajOr would gain ~ 82.63 % if they win, with a ~ 5.02 % chance to win, going from ~ 6.12 % to ~ 88.75 %
kr Pigbaby would gain ~ 57.29 % if they win, with a ~ 2.99 % chance to win, going from ~ 42.71 % to ~ 100 %
ca Scarlett would gain ~ 56.74 % if they win, with a ~ 11.84 % chance to win, going from ~ 43.25 % to ~ 99.99 %
cn Jim would gain ~ 32.23 % if they win, with a ~ 3.65 % chance to win, going from ~ 1.33 % to ~ 33.55 %
kr Check would gain ~ 11.96 % if they win, with a ~ 1.81 % chance to win, going from ~ 0.24 % to ~ 12.2 %
us neeb would gain ~ 5.76 % if they win, with a ~ 0.34 % chance to win, going from ~ 0.02 % to ~ 5.78 %
au iaguz would gain ~ 1.93 % if they win, with a ~ 1.87 % chance to win, going from ~ 0.04 % to ~ 1.97 %
kr Jaedong would gain ~ 1.72 % if they win, with a ~ 5.62 % chance to win, going from ~ 98.28 % to ~ 100 %
kr TaeJa would gain ~ 0 % if they win, with a ~ 15.65 % chance to win, going from ~ 100 % to ~ 100 %
kr Polt would gain ~ 0 % if they win, with a ~ 14.1 % chance to win, going from ~ 100 % to ~ 100 %
kr HyuN would gain ~ 0 % if they win, with a ~ 13.25 % chance to win, going from ~ 100 % to ~ 100 %
kr Bomber would gain ~ 0 % if they win, with a ~ 8.91 % chance to win, going from ~ 100 % to ~ 100 %


And now let's do some analysis to see what the Group of Death is according to WCS Predictor. This one seems obvious, but keep in mind this is the group of death for Blizzcon Chances, so the effects on Blizzcon Chances are a big factor here, and if you're already at 100% chances then you can't go up or down.
We will be looking at 5 different scores.
Champion Chances Score is the chances to win the tournament for each player in the group added together.
Blizzcon Chances Score is the chances to qualify for Blizzcon for each player in the group added together.
Blizzcon Chances Lost Score is how much the Blizzcon Chances Score went down by because of the group drawing.
Effects Score is the sum of the amount of Blizzcon chances each player would gain if they won the group, plus the amount of Blizzcon chances each player would lose if they lost the group.
Aligulac Score is the overall Aligulac rating of every player in the group added together.

+ Show Spoiler [Champion Chances] +

Group A
viOLet has a ~ 4.54 % chance to win WCS AM S3 Premier
HerO has a ~ 4.05 % chance to win WCS AM S3 Premier
Scarlett has a ~ 11.83 % chance to win WCS AM S3 Premier
iaguz has a ~ 1.87 % chance to win WCS AM S3 Premier
Giving this match a Champion Chances Score of 22.2918

Group B
TaeJa has a ~ 15.66 % chance to win WCS AM S3 Premier
HyuN has a ~ 13.25 % chance to win WCS AM S3 Premier
Jaedong has a ~ 5.62 % chance to win WCS AM S3 Premier
Pigbaby has a ~ 2.99 % chance to win WCS AM S3 Premier
Giving this match a Champion Chances Score of 37.5178

Group C
Bomber has a ~ 8.9 % chance to win WCS AM S3 Premier
HuK has a ~ 2.19 % chance to win WCS AM S3 Premier
Jim has a ~ 3.66 % chance to win WCS AM S3 Premier
Check has a ~ 1.81 % chance to win WCS AM S3 Premier
Giving this match a Champion Chances Score of 16.5604

Group D
Polt has a ~ 14.1 % chance to win WCS AM S3 Premier
Heart has a ~ 4.16 % chance to win WCS AM S3 Premier
MajOr has a ~ 5.02 % chance to win WCS AM S3 Premier
neeb has a ~ 0.35 % chance to win WCS AM S3 Premier
Giving this match a Champion Chances Score of 23.6301

Which means the groups go in this order for the Champion Chances Scores
B > D > A > C

+ Show Spoiler [Blizzcon Chances] +

Group A
viOLet is at ~ 11.09 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014
HerO is at ~ 10.62 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014
Scarlett is at ~ 43.24 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014
iaguz is at ~ 0.04 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014
Giving this match a Blizzcon Chances Score of 64.9971

Group B
TaeJa is at ~ 100 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014
HyuN is at ~ 100 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014
Jaedong is at ~ 98.28 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014
Pigbaby is at ~ 42.72 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014
Giving this match a Blizzcon Chances Score of 341.004

Group C
Bomber is at ~ 100 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014
HuK is at ~ 2.15 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014
Jim is at ~ 1.34 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014
Check is at ~ 0.24 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014
Giving this match a Blizzcon Chances Score of 103.726

Group D
Polt is at ~ 100 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014
Heart is at ~ 4.3 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014
MajOr is at ~ 6.12 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014
neeb is at ~ 0.02 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014
Giving this match a Blizzcon Chances Score of 110.447

Which means the groups go in this order for the Blizzcon Chances Scores
B >>>>>>>> D > C > A

+ Show Spoiler [Blizzcon Chances Lost] +

Group A
viOLet's Blizzcon chances changed by ~ 0.03 %
HerO's Blizzcon chances changed by ~ 0.3 %
Scarlett's Blizzcon chances changed by ~ 0.82 %
iaguz's Blizzcon chances changed by ~ 0.01 %
Giving this match a Blizzcon Chances Lost Score of -1.15254

Group B
TaeJa's Blizzcon chances changed by ~ 0 %
HyuN's Blizzcon chances changed by ~ 0 %
Jaedong's Blizzcon chances changed by ~ -0.18 %
Pigbaby's Blizzcon chances changed by ~ -4.26 %
Giving this match a Blizzcon Chances Lost Score of 4.43723

Group C
Bomber's Blizzcon chances changed by ~ 0 %
HuK's Blizzcon chances changed by ~ -0.15 %
Jim's Blizzcon chances changed by ~ 0.05 %
Check's Blizzcon chances changed by ~ 0.02 %
Giving this match a Blizzcon Chances Lost Score of 0.0777651

Group D
Polt's Blizzcon chances changed by ~ 0 %
Heart's Blizzcon chances changed by ~ 0.17 %
MajOr's Blizzcon chances changed by ~ 0.44 %
neeb's Blizzcon chances changed by ~ -0.01 %
Giving this match a Blizzcon Chances Lost Score of -0.607589

Which means the groups go in this order for the Blizzcon Chances Lost Scores
B > C > D > A

+ Show Spoiler [Effects] +

Group A
When viOLet wins this match, their Blizzcon chances go up by ~ 9.82 %
When viOLet loses this match, their Blizzcon chances go down by ~ 9.07 %
When HerO wins this match, their Blizzcon chances go up by ~ 9.24 %
When HerO loses this match, their Blizzcon chances go down by ~ 8.73 %
When Scarlett wins this match, their Blizzcon chances go up by ~ 13.99 %
When Scarlett loses this match, their Blizzcon chances go down by ~ 22.81 %
When iaguz wins this match, their Blizzcon chances go up by ~ 0.06 %
When iaguz loses this match, their Blizzcon chances go down by ~ 0.04 %
Giving this match an Effects Score of 73.7545

Group B
When TaeJa wins this match, their Blizzcon chances go up by ~ 0 %
When TaeJa loses this match, their Blizzcon chances go down by ~ 0 %
When HyuN wins this match, their Blizzcon chances go up by ~ 0 %
When HyuN loses this match, their Blizzcon chances go down by ~ 0 %
When Jaedong wins this match, their Blizzcon chances go up by ~ 1.68 %
When Jaedong loses this match, their Blizzcon chances go down by ~ 1.36 %
When Pigbaby wins this match, their Blizzcon chances go up by ~ 23.33 %
When Pigbaby loses this match, their Blizzcon chances go down by ~ 13.22 %
Giving this match an Effects Score of 39.5928

Group C
When Bomber wins this match, their Blizzcon chances go up by ~ 0 %
When Bomber loses this match, their Blizzcon chances go down by ~ 0 %
When HuK wins this match, their Blizzcon chances go up by ~ 3.25 %
When HuK loses this match, their Blizzcon chances go down by ~ 2.08 %
When Jim wins this match, their Blizzcon chances go up by ~ 1.31 %
When Jim loses this match, their Blizzcon chances go down by ~ 1.31 %
When Check wins this match, their Blizzcon chances go up by ~ 0.29 %
When Check loses this match, their Blizzcon chances go down by ~ 0.23 %
Giving this match an Effects Score of 8.46533

Group D
When Polt wins this match, their Blizzcon chances go up by ~ 0 %
When Polt loses this match, their Blizzcon chances go down by ~ 0 %
When Heart wins this match, their Blizzcon chances go up by ~ 4.16 %
When Heart loses this match, their Blizzcon chances go down by ~ 4.17 %
When MajOr wins this match, their Blizzcon chances go up by ~ 4.58 %
When MajOr loses this match, their Blizzcon chances go down by ~ 5.59 %
When neeb wins this match, their Blizzcon chances go up by ~ 0.07 %
When neeb loses this match, their Blizzcon chances go down by ~ 0.02 %
Giving this match an Effects Score of 18.5807

Which means the groups go in this order for Effects Scores
A > B > D > C

+ Show Spoiler [Aligulac Ratings] +

Group A
viOLet has an overall Aligulac rating of 1793
HerO has an overall Aligulac rating of 1722
Scarlett has an overall Aligulac rating of 2003
iaguz has an overall Aligulac rating of 1621
Giving this match an Aligulac Score of 7139

Group B
TaeJa has an overall Aligulac rating of 2095
HyuN has an overall Aligulac rating of 2071
Jaedong has an overall Aligulac rating of 1858
Pigbaby has an overall Aligulac rating of 1738
Giving this match an Aligulac Score of 7762

Group C
Bomber has an overall Aligulac rating of 1888
HuK has an overall Aligulac rating of 1635
Jim has an overall Aligulac rating of 1723
Check has an overall Aligulac rating of 1621
Giving this match an Aligulac Score of 6867

Group D
Polt has an overall Aligulac rating of 2015
Heart has an overall Aligulac rating of 1723
MajOr has an overall Aligulac rating of 1762
neeb has an overall Aligulac rating of 1370
Giving this match an Aligulac Score of 6870

Which means the groups go in this order for Aligulac Scores
B > A > D > C


Group A has a 1st place, a 2nd place, a 3rd place, and two 4th places
Group B has four 1st places, and a 2nd place
Group C has a 2nd place, a 3rd place, and three 4th places
Group D has two 2nd places, and three 3rd places

Group B is our Group of Death! Congrats to TaeJa, HyuN, Jaedong, and Pigbaby! Group A is our 2nd place Group of Death with viOLet, HerO, Scarlett, and iaguz, look out for this group too as it has by far the biggest effect on the Blizzcon Chances!

What do you think?
Poll: Group of Death?

Group B: HyuN, Jaedong, TaeJa, Pigbaby (345)
 
92%

Group A: viOLet, Scarlett, Iaguz, HerO (13)
 
3%

Group C: Check, Jim, Bomber, HuK (8)
 
2%

Group D: Polt, Neeb, Heart, MajOr (5)
 
1%

All of the groups are equally difficult. (4)
 
1%

375 total votes

Your vote: Group of Death?

(Vote): Group A: viOLet, Scarlett, Iaguz, HerO
(Vote): Group B: HyuN, Jaedong, TaeJa, Pigbaby
(Vote): Group C: Check, Jim, Bomber, HuK
(Vote): Group D: Polt, Neeb, Heart, MajOr
(Vote): All of the groups are equally difficult.




Remember to check the website for much more frequent updates!
http://sc2.4ever.tv
-----------------------
"Expert" mods4ever.com
ZigguratOfUr
Profile Blog Joined April 2012
Iraq16955 Posts
August 14 2014 05:14 GMT
#265
Poor Pigbaby. Placed in a group with 4 people who are almost certainly going to Blizzcon. On the other hand some of my favourite players Scarlett and Maru are on the edge, so maybe its for a good cause.
Xoronius
Profile Joined July 2011
Germany6362 Posts
August 19 2014 20:14 GMT
#266
People were saying in the WCS EU LR, that Scarlett canceled Detroit, updating that probably changes a lot.
Die4Ever
Profile Joined August 2010
United States17676 Posts
August 19 2014 20:44 GMT
#267
On August 20 2014 05:14 Xoronius wrote:
People were saying in the WCS EU LR, that Scarlett canceled Detroit, updating that probably changes a lot.

Thanks I didn't catch that, on vacation this week so not completely on top of everything. Just did the update along with today's WCS EU group.

chances of 1+ foreigners went from ~ 72.25 % down to ~ 56.24 %
chances of 2+ foreigners went from ~ 23.05 % down to ~ 11.93 %

Current top 5 foreigner hopes
Scarlett ~ 16.65 % chance to be the only foreigner, ~ 24.38 % chance overall.
Bunny ~ 8.37 % chance to be the only foreigner, ~ 13.2 % chance overall.
MajOr ~ 4.11 % chance to be the only foreigner, ~ 6.63 % chance overall.
VortiX ~ 4.1 % chance to be the only foreigner, ~ 6.67 % chance overall.
Snute ~ 3.86 % chance to be the only foreigner, ~ 6.64 % chance overall.

Biggest Winners since 3 days ago
kr Rain went up by ~ 20.32 %, going from ~ 14.41 % to ~ 34.74 %
kr Life went up by ~ 9.54 %, going from ~ 59.02 % to ~ 68.55 %
kr Flash went up by ~ 3.2 %, going from ~ 0.64 % to ~ 3.84 %
kr jjakji went up by ~ 2.44 %, going from ~ 94.26 % to ~ 96.7 %
kr viOLet went up by ~ 1.43 %, going from ~ 10.57 % to ~ 12.01 %
+ Show Spoiler [More Biggest Winners] +

kr YoDa went up by ~ 1.15 %, going from ~ 5.73 % to ~ 6.88 %
kr Heart went up by ~ 1.12 %, going from ~ 4.35 % to ~ 5.47 %
kr soO went up by ~ 1.01 %, going from ~ 63.29 % to ~ 64.29 %
kr Jaedong went up by ~ 0.9 %, going from ~ 97.99 % to ~ 98.89 %
kr MMA went up by ~ 0.79 %, going from ~ 8.55 % to ~ 9.34 %
kr Reality went up by ~ 0.76 %, going from ~ 0.07 % to ~ 0.82 %
kr Classic went up by ~ 0.53 %, going from ~ 68.43 % to ~ 68.96 %
kr Pigbaby went up by ~ 0.51 %, going from ~ 40.98 % to ~ 41.48 %
kr Soulkey went up by ~ 0.36 %, going from ~ 2.24 % to ~ 2.6 %
kr First went up by ~ 0.35 %, going from ~ 6.64 % to ~ 6.99 %
kr PartinG went up by ~ 0.25 %, going from ~ 7.32 % to ~ 7.56 %
ca HuK went up by ~ 0.24 %, going from ~ 1.88 % to ~ 2.12 %
pl Nerchio went up by ~ 0.22 %, going from ~ 0.51 % to ~ 0.73 %
kr Golden went up by ~ 0.17 %, going from ~ 2.85 % to ~ 3.02 %
cn Jim went up by ~ 0.17 %, going from ~ 1.21 % to ~ 1.38 %
kr sOs went up by ~ 0.16 %, going from ~ 94.47 % to ~ 94.63 %
fr Dayshi went up by ~ 0.16 %, going from ~ 1.26 % to ~ 1.42 %
mx MajOr went up by ~ 0.13 %, going from ~ 6.5 % to ~ 6.63 %


Biggest Losers since 3 days ago
ca Scarlett went down by ~ 18.9 %, going from ~ 43.28 % to ~ 24.38 %
no Snute went down by ~ 15.99 %, going from ~ 22.63 % to ~ 6.64 %
kr Patience went down by ~ 4.35 %, going from ~ 4.36 % to ~ 0.01 %
kr Solar went down by ~ 1.67 %, going from ~ 7.03 % to ~ 5.35 %
kr Dear went down by ~ 1.09 %, going from ~ 4.69 % to ~ 3.6 %
+ Show Spoiler [More Biggest Losers] +

kr INnoVation went down by ~ 1.09 %, going from ~ 15.81 % to ~ 14.71 %
kr Maru went down by ~ 1.02 %, going from ~ 10.81 % to ~ 9.78 %
kr HerO went down by ~ 0.38 %, going from ~ 9.4 % to ~ 9.02 %
kr herO went down by ~ 0.38 %, going from ~ 48.72 % to ~ 48.34 %
dk Bunny went down by ~ 0.21 %, going from ~ 13.41 % to ~ 13.2 %
kr Trap went down by ~ 0.18 %, going from ~ 0.47 % to ~ 0.29 %
kr DongRaeGu went down by ~ 0.17 %, going from ~ 1.31 % to ~ 1.15 %
kr Sacsri went down by ~ 0.16 %, going from ~ 0.21 % to ~ 0.05 %
fi Welmu went down by ~ 0.1 %, going from ~ 2.5 % to ~ 2.4 %


Current top 25 by chances
  1. kr HyuN (ROCCAT), is at ~ 100 %, Min WCS Points: 5375
  2. kr MC, is at ~ 100 %, Min WCS Points: 5100
  3. kr StarDust (mYinsanity), is at ~ 100 %, Min WCS Points: 4325
  4. kr TaeJa (Liquid), is at ~ 100 %, Min WCS Points: 4125
  5. kr San (Yoe), is at ~ 100 %, Min WCS Points: 4075
  6. kr Polt (CM Storm), is at ~ 100 %, Min WCS Points: 3825
  7. kr Zest (KT), is at ~ 100 %, Min WCS Points: 3625
  8. kr Bomber, is at ~ 100 %, Min WCS Points: 3600
  9. kr Jaedong (EG), is at ~ 98.89 %, Min WCS Points: 2950
  10. kr jjakji (mYinsanity), is at ~ 96.7 %, Min WCS Points: 2850
  11. kr sOs (Jinair), is at ~ 94.63 %, Min WCS Points: 2350
  12. kr Classic (SKT T1), is at ~ 68.96 %, Min WCS Points: 2650
  13. kr Life (StarTale), is at ~ 68.55 %, Min WCS Points: 2750
  14. kr soO (SKT T1), is at ~ 64.29 %, Min WCS Points: 2350
  15. kr herO (CJ Entus), is at ~ 48.34 %, Min WCS Points: 2300
  16. kr Pigbaby (Jinair), is at ~ 41.48 %, Min WCS Points: 2200
  17. kr Rain (SKT T1), is at ~ 34.74 %, Min WCS Points: 1775
  18. ca Scarlett (Acer), is at ~ 24.38 %, Min WCS Points: 1400
  19. kr INnoVation (Acer), is at ~ 14.71 %, Min WCS Points: 1425
  20. dk Bunny (Liquid), is at ~ 13.2 %, Min WCS Points: 1550
  21. kr viOLet, is at ~ 12.01 %, Min WCS Points: 1775
  22. kr Maru (Jinair), is at ~ 9.78 %, Min WCS Points: 1550
  23. kr ForGG (Millenium), is at ~ 9.71 %, Min WCS Points: 1575
  24. kr MMA (Acer), is at ~ 9.34 %, Min WCS Points: 1875
  25. kr HerO (Liquid), is at ~ 9.02 %, Min WCS Points: 1950


WCS Predictor 2014
"Expert" mods4ever.com
SNSeigifried
Profile Joined April 2013
United States1640 Posts
August 19 2014 21:16 GMT
#268
Can you add the outcome with the new list for redbull detroit??? http://wiki.teamliquid.net/starcraft2/2014_Red_Bull_Battle_Grounds:_Detroit
Icebound Esports
Die4Ever
Profile Joined August 2010
United States17676 Posts
Last Edited: 2014-08-19 21:53:55
August 19 2014 21:43 GMT
#269
it's up on the website now
"Expert" mods4ever.com
vinsang1000
Profile Joined January 2012
Belgium365 Posts
August 21 2014 18:50 GMT
#270
I just discover your site (I saw the prediction last year). It's incredible, great work, cannot wait for Flash to qualify for Blizcon
Die4Ever
Profile Joined August 2010
United States17676 Posts
August 23 2014 07:36 GMT
#271
WCS Predictor 2014

Red Bull Detroit starts in

Match Previews
+ Show Spoiler [Match Previews] +

This match is important for dk Bunny!
+ Show Spoiler [HyuN, Bunny in Red Bull Detroit] +
Red Bull Detroit
- kr HyuN is at ~ 100 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014
~ 51.27 % of the time kr HyuN wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 100 %.
~ 48.73 % of the time kr HyuN loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 100 %.
-------------------------------------------------
- dk Bunny is at ~ 25.31 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014
~ 48.73 % of the time dk Bunny wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 34.23 %.
~ 51.27 % of the time dk Bunny loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 16.83 %.

+ Show Spoiler [Suppy, EJK in Red Bull Detroit] +
Red Bull Detroit
- us Suppy is at ~ 0.01 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014
~ 74.01 % of the time us Suppy wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 0.01 %.
~ 25.99 % of the time us Suppy loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 0 %.
-------------------------------------------------
- kr EJK is at ~ 0 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014
~ 25.99 % of the time kr EJK wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 0 %.
~ 74.01 % of the time kr EJK loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 0 %.

+ Show Spoiler [Trust, Honeybear in Red Bull Detroit] +
Red Bull Detroit
- kr Trust is at ~ 0.01 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014
~ 80.45 % of the time kr Trust wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 0.01 %.
~ 19.55 % of the time kr Trust loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 0 %.
-------------------------------------------------
- us Honeybear is at ~ 0 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014
~ 19.55 % of the time us Honeybear wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 0 %.
~ 80.45 % of the time us Honeybear loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 0 %.

+ Show Spoiler [viOLet, Apocalypse in Red Bull Detroit] +
Red Bull Detroit
- kr viOLet is at ~ 19.17 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014
~ 60.38 % of the time kr viOLet wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 24.52 %.
~ 39.62 % of the time kr viOLet loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 11.03 %.
-------------------------------------------------
- kr Apocalypse is at ~ 0.01 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014
~ 39.62 % of the time kr Apocalypse wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 0.01 %.
~ 60.38 % of the time kr Apocalypse loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 0 %.

+ Show Spoiler [San, HuK in Red Bull Detroit] +
Red Bull Detroit
- kr San is at ~ 100 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014
~ 61.37 % of the time kr San wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 100 %.
~ 38.63 % of the time kr San loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 100 %.
-------------------------------------------------
- ca HuK is at ~ 2.49 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014
~ 38.63 % of the time ca HuK wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 3.25 %.
~ 61.37 % of the time ca HuK loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 2.01 %.

+ Show Spoiler [puCK, Minigun in Red Bull Detroit] +
Red Bull Detroit
- us puCK is at ~ 0.01 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014
~ 57.62 % of the time us puCK wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 0.02 %.
~ 42.38 % of the time us puCK loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 0.01 %.
-------------------------------------------------
- us Minigun is at ~ 0 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014
~ 42.38 % of the time us Minigun wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 0 %.
~ 57.62 % of the time us Minigun loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 0 %.

+ Show Spoiler [ViBE, Bails in Red Bull Detroit] +
Red Bull Detroit
- us ViBE is at ~ 0 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014
~ 50.03 % of the time us ViBE wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 0 %.
~ 49.97 % of the time us ViBE loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 0 %.
-------------------------------------------------
- us Bails is at ~ 0 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014
~ 49.97 % of the time us Bails wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 0 %.
~ 50.03 % of the time us Bails loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 0 %.

+ Show Spoiler [Polt, Schnitzel in Red Bull Detroit] +
Red Bull Detroit
- kr Polt is at ~ 100 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014
~ 88.49 % of the time kr Polt wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 100 %.
~ 11.51 % of the time kr Polt loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 100 %.
-------------------------------------------------
- us Schnitzel is at ~ 0 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014
~ 11.51 % of the time us Schnitzel wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 0 %.
~ 88.49 % of the time us Schnitzel loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 0 %.

+ Show Spoiler [StarDust, Oz in Red Bull Detroit] +
Red Bull Detroit
- kr StarDust is at ~ 100 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014
~ 63.85 % of the time kr StarDust wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 100 %.
~ 36.15 % of the time kr StarDust loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 100 %.
-------------------------------------------------
- kr Oz is at ~ 0.3 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014
~ 36.15 % of the time kr Oz wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 0.78 %.
~ 63.85 % of the time kr Oz loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 0.03 %.

+ Show Spoiler [Kane, Illusion in Red Bull Detroit] +
Red Bull Detroit
- ca Kane is at ~ 0.01 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014
~ 53.46 % of the time ca Kane wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 0.01 %.
~ 46.54 % of the time ca Kane loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 0 %.
-------------------------------------------------
- us Illusion is at ~ 0.01 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014
~ 46.54 % of the time us Illusion wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 0.01 %.
~ 53.46 % of the time us Illusion loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 0 %.

+ Show Spoiler [CatZ, Bones in Red Bull Detroit] +
Red Bull Detroit
- pe CatZ is at ~ 0 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014
~ 57.38 % of the time pe CatZ wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 0 %.
~ 42.62 % of the time pe CatZ loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 0 %.
-------------------------------------------------
- ca Bones is at ~ 0 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014
~ 42.62 % of the time ca Bones wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 0 %.
~ 57.38 % of the time ca Bones loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 0 %.

+ Show Spoiler [Snute, Moosegills in Red Bull Detroit] +
Red Bull Detroit
- no Snute is at ~ 20.6 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014
~ 81.32 % of the time no Snute wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 24.07 %.
~ 18.68 % of the time no Snute loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 5.54 %.
-------------------------------------------------
- us Moosegills is at ~ 0 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014
~ 18.68 % of the time us Moosegills wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 0 %.
~ 81.32 % of the time us Moosegills loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 0 %.

+ Show Spoiler [TaeJa, Revival in Red Bull Detroit] +
Red Bull Detroit
- kr TaeJa is at ~ 100 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014
~ 63.38 % of the time kr TaeJa wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 100 %.
~ 36.62 % of the time kr TaeJa loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 100 %.
-------------------------------------------------
- kr Revival is at ~ 0.08 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014
~ 36.62 % of the time kr Revival wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 0.21 %.
~ 63.38 % of the time kr Revival loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 0.01 %.

+ Show Spoiler [qxc, RuFF in Red Bull Detroit] +
Red Bull Detroit
- us qxc is at ~ 0.01 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014
~ 68.95 % of the time us qxc wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 0.01 %.
~ 31.05 % of the time us qxc loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 0 %.
-------------------------------------------------
- us RuFF is at ~ 0 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014
~ 31.05 % of the time us RuFF wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 0 %.
~ 68.95 % of the time us RuFF loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 0 %.

+ Show Spoiler [Petraeus, Gamja in Red Bull Detroit] +
Red Bull Detroit
- nz Petraeus is at ~ 0.01 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014
~ 61.28 % of the time nz Petraeus wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 0.01 %.
~ 38.72 % of the time nz Petraeus loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 0 %.
-------------------------------------------------
- kr Gamja is at ~ 0 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014
~ 38.72 % of the time kr Gamja wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 0 %.
~ 61.28 % of the time kr Gamja loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 0 %.

+ Show Spoiler [Jaedong, SuperNova in Red Bull Detroit] +
Red Bull Detroit
- kr Jaedong is at ~ 99.18 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014
~ 51.74 % of the time kr Jaedong wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 99.88 %.
~ 48.26 % of the time kr Jaedong loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 98.42 %.
-------------------------------------------------
- kr SuperNova is at ~ 0.01 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014
~ 48.26 % of the time kr SuperNova wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 0.01 %.
~ 51.74 % of the time kr SuperNova loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 0 %.



Winning Chances
kr Polt has a ~ 13.81 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 100 % to ~ 100 %
kr TaeJa has a ~ 10.66 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 100 % to ~ 100 %
kr San has a ~ 9.19 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 100 % to ~ 100 %
no Snute has a ~ 9.18 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 20.6 % to ~ 89.28 %
kr HyuN has a ~ 8.09 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 100 % to ~ 100 %
+ Show Spoiler [More Winning Chances] +

kr StarDust has a ~ 7.53 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 100 % to ~ 100 %
dk Bunny has a ~ 6.65 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 25.31 % to ~ 82.22 %
kr Jaedong has a ~ 4.38 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 99.18 % to ~ 100 %
kr viOLet has a ~ 4.32 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 19.17 % to ~ 80.16 %
kr Trust has a ~ 4.29 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 0.01 % to ~ 0.02 %
kr SuperNova has a ~ 3.59 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 0.01 % to ~ 0.04 %
nz Petraeus has a ~ 2.67 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 0.01 % to ~ 0.03 %
ca HuK has a ~ 2.16 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 2.49 % to ~ 16.15 %
ca Kane has a ~ 1.82 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 0.01 % to ~ 0.01 %
kr Revival has a ~ 1.7 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 0.08 % to ~ 3.99 %
us Suppy has a ~ 1.47 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 0.01 % to ~ 0.02 %
kr Oz has a ~ 1.46 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 0.3 % to ~ 15.3 %
kr Apocalypse has a ~ 1.44 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 0.01 % to ~ 0.02 %
us puCK has a ~ 1.25 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 0.01 % to ~ 0.84 %
us qxc has a ~ 1.2 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 0.01 % to ~ 0.03 %
us Illusion has a ~ 0.68 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 0.01 % to ~ 0.01 %
pe CatZ has a ~ 0.54 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 0 % to ~ 0 %
us Bails has a ~ 0.51 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 0 % to ~ 0 %
us Minigun has a ~ 0.45 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 0 % to ~ 0 %
kr Gamja has a ~ 0.42 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 0 % to ~ 0 %
us ViBE has a ~ 0.26 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 0 % to ~ 0 %


Winning Gains
no Snute would gain ~ 68.68 % if they win, with a ~ 9.18 % chance to win, going from ~ 20.6 % to ~ 89.28 %
kr viOLet would gain ~ 60.99 % if they win, with a ~ 4.32 % chance to win, going from ~ 19.17 % to ~ 80.16 %
dk Bunny would gain ~ 56.9 % if they win, with a ~ 6.65 % chance to win, going from ~ 25.31 % to ~ 82.22 %
kr Oz would gain ~ 15.01 % if they win, with a ~ 1.46 % chance to win, going from ~ 0.3 % to ~ 15.3 %
ca HuK would gain ~ 13.66 % if they win, with a ~ 2.16 % chance to win, going from ~ 2.49 % to ~ 16.15 %
+ Show Spoiler [More Winning Gains] +

kr Revival would gain ~ 3.91 % if they win, with a ~ 1.7 % chance to win, going from ~ 0.08 % to ~ 3.99 %
us puCK would gain ~ 0.83 % if they win, with a ~ 1.25 % chance to win, going from ~ 0.01 % to ~ 0.84 %
kr Jaedong would gain ~ 0.82 % if they win, with a ~ 4.38 % chance to win, going from ~ 99.18 % to ~ 100 %
us qxc would gain ~ 0.03 % if they win, with a ~ 1.2 % chance to win, going from ~ 0.01 % to ~ 0.03 %
kr SuperNova would gain ~ 0.03 % if they win, with a ~ 3.59 % chance to win, going from ~ 0.01 % to ~ 0.04 %
nz Petraeus would gain ~ 0.03 % if they win, with a ~ 2.67 % chance to win, going from ~ 0.01 % to ~ 0.03 %
us Suppy would gain ~ 0.02 % if they win, with a ~ 1.47 % chance to win, going from ~ 0.01 % to ~ 0.02 %
kr Trust would gain ~ 0.02 % if they win, with a ~ 4.29 % chance to win, going from ~ 0.01 % to ~ 0.02 %
kr Apocalypse would gain ~ 0.02 % if they win, with a ~ 1.44 % chance to win, going from ~ 0.01 % to ~ 0.02 %
us Illusion would gain ~ 0.01 % if they win, with a ~ 0.68 % chance to win, going from ~ 0.01 % to ~ 0.01 %
ca Kane would gain ~ 0.01 % if they win, with a ~ 1.82 % chance to win, going from ~ 0.01 % to ~ 0.01 %
us Bails would gain ~ 0 % if they win, with a ~ 0.51 % chance to win, going from ~ 0 % to ~ 0 %
us Minigun would gain ~ 0 % if they win, with a ~ 0.45 % chance to win, going from ~ 0 % to ~ 0 %
kr Gamja would gain ~ 0 % if they win, with a ~ 0.42 % chance to win, going from ~ 0 % to ~ 0 %
kr Polt would gain ~ 0 % if they win, with a ~ 13.81 % chance to win, going from ~ 100 % to ~ 100 %
us ViBE would gain ~ 0 % if they win, with a ~ 0.26 % chance to win, going from ~ 0 % to ~ 0 %
pe CatZ would gain ~ 0 % if they win, with a ~ 0.54 % chance to win, going from ~ 0 % to ~ 0 %
kr StarDust would gain ~ 0 % if they win, with a ~ 7.53 % chance to win, going from ~ 100 % to ~ 100 %
kr HyuN would gain ~ 0 % if they win, with a ~ 8.09 % chance to win, going from ~ 100 % to ~ 100 %
kr San would gain ~ 0 % if they win, with a ~ 9.19 % chance to win, going from ~ 100 % to ~ 100 %
kr TaeJa would gain ~ 0 % if they win, with a ~ 10.66 % chance to win, going from ~ 100 % to ~ 100 %


Other Interesting Stuff
+ Show Spoiler [Other Interesting Stuff] +

~ 24.93 % of the time Snute gets 8th in Red Bull Detroit.
This would change Snute's Blizzcon chances from ~ 20.6 % to ~ 13.24 %
-------------------------------------------------
~ 4.23 % of the time viOLet gets 2nd in Red Bull Detroit.
This would change viOLet's Blizzcon chances from ~ 19.17 % to ~ 36.12 %
-------------------------------------------------
~ 9.18 % of the time Snute gets 1st in Red Bull Detroit.
This would change Life's Blizzcon chances from ~ 60.78 % to ~ 44.99 %
-------------------------------------------------
~ 48.73 % of the time Bunny wins their next match in Red Bull Detroit ro32 (beating Hyun).
This would change Life's Blizzcon chances from ~ 60.78 % to ~ 58.65 %
-------------------------------------------------
~ 51.27 % of the time HyuN wins their next match in Red Bull Detroit ro32 (beating Bunny).
This would change Life's Blizzcon chances from ~ 60.78 % to ~ 62.79 %
-------------------------------------------------
~ 9.18 % of the time Snute gets 1st in Red Bull Detroit.
This would change jjakji's Blizzcon chances from ~ 95.31 % to ~ 91.66 %





On August 22 2014 03:50 vinsang1000 wrote:
I just discover your site (I saw the prediction last year). It's incredible, great work, cannot wait for Flash to qualify for Blizcon

Thanks!
"Expert" mods4ever.com
digmouse
Profile Blog Joined November 2010
China6329 Posts
August 24 2014 09:45 GMT
#272
Snute will need to win Redbull to have a decent chance, Pigbaby still has WCS AM and KeSPA cup, herO still has KeSPA cup.
TranslatorIf you want to ask anything about Chinese esports, send me a PM or follow me @nerddigmouse.
Die4Ever
Profile Joined August 2010
United States17676 Posts
August 25 2014 01:50 GMT
#273
--------UPDATE Monday, Aug 25 1:50am GMT (GMT+00:00) Red Bull Detroit Finished!
Here's the current Top 25 by Blizzcon Chances.
  1. kr HyuN (ROCCAT), is at ~ 100 %, Min WCS Points: 5625
  2. kr MC, is at ~ 100 %, Min WCS Points: 5100
  3. kr StarDust (mYinsanity), is at ~ 100 %, Min WCS Points: 4700
  4. kr TaeJa (Liquid), is at ~ 100 %, Min WCS Points: 4625
  5. kr Polt (CM Storm), is at ~ 100 %, Min WCS Points: 4575
  6. kr San (Yoe), is at ~ 100 %, Min WCS Points: 4425
  7. kr Zest (KT), is at ~ 100 %, Min WCS Points: 3625
  8. kr Bomber, is at ~ 100 %, Min WCS Points: 3600
  9. kr Jaedong (EG), is at ~ 98.36 %, Min WCS Points: 2950
  10. kr jjakji (mYinsanity), is at ~ 95.15 %, Min WCS Points: 2850
  11. kr sOs (Jinair), is at ~ 92.82 %, Min WCS Points: 2350
  12. kr Life (StarTale), is at ~ 70.8 %, Min WCS Points: 2750
  13. kr Classic (SKT T1), is at ~ 64.48 %, Min WCS Points: 2650
  14. kr soO (SKT T1), is at ~ 60.7 %, Min WCS Points: 2350
  15. kr herO (CJ Entus), is at ~ 44.64 %, Min WCS Points: 2300
  16. kr Pigbaby (Jinair), is at ~ 37.43 %, Min WCS Points: 2200
  17. kr Rain (SKT T1), is at ~ 31.95 %, Min WCS Points: 1775
  18. kr viOLet, is at ~ 30.5 %, Min WCS Points: 2150
  19. ca Scarlett (Acer), is at ~ 20.68 %, Min WCS Points: 1400
  20. kr MMA (Acer), is at ~ 16.82 %, Min WCS Points: 1975
  21. dk Bunny (Liquid), is at ~ 14.74 %, Min WCS Points: 1650
  22. kr INnoVation (Acer), is at ~ 13.6 %, Min WCS Points: 1425
  23. no Snute (Liquid), is at ~ 11.98 %, Min WCS Points: 2300
  24. kr PartinG (SKT T1), is at ~ 9.82 %, Min WCS Points: 1200
  25. kr YoDa, is at ~ 9.46 %, Min WCS Points: 875


WCS Point Cutoffs
+ Show Spoiler [WCS Point Cutoffs] +

~ 0 % of the time 2,275 points is enough to qualify for Blizzcon
~ 0.02 % of the time 2,300 points is enough to qualify for Blizzcon
~ 0.57 % of the time 2,450 points is enough to qualify for Blizzcon
~ 10.23 % of the time 2,650 points is enough to qualify for Blizzcon
~ 39.45 % of the time 2,750 points is enough to qualify for Blizzcon
~ 52.82 % of the time 2,825 points is enough to qualify for Blizzcon
~ 67.87 % of the time 2,875 points is enough to qualify for Blizzcon
~ 83.01 % of the time 2,950 points is enough to qualify for Blizzcon
~ 88.32 % of the time 3,000 points is enough to qualify for Blizzcon
~ 98.79 % of the time 3,175 points is enough to qualify for Blizzcon
~ 100 % of the time 3,775 points is enough to qualify for Blizzcon


Biggest Winners
kr viOLet went up by ~ 19.26 %, going from ~ 11.23 % to ~ 30.5 %
kr MMA went up by ~ 8.51 %, going from ~ 8.31 % to ~ 16.82 %
kr Life went up by ~ 8.14 %, going from ~ 62.67 % to ~ 70.8 %
kr YoDa went up by ~ 3.31 %, going from ~ 6.15 % to ~ 9.46 %
kr DongRaeGu went up by ~ 1.56 %, going from ~ 0.97 % to ~ 2.53 %
+ Show Spoiler [More Biggest Winners] +

kr Flash went up by ~ 1.22 %, going from ~ 6.05 % to ~ 7.26 %
kr Cure went up by ~ 0.55 %, going from ~ 0.19 % to ~ 0.74 %


Biggest Losers
dk Bunny went down by ~ 13.79 %, going from ~ 28.53 % to ~ 14.74 %
kr First went down by ~ 6.4 %, going from ~ 6.46 % to ~ 0.06 %
no Snute went down by ~ 4.16 %, going from ~ 16.14 % to ~ 11.98 %
ca Scarlett went down by ~ 2.54 %, going from ~ 23.22 % to ~ 20.68 %
mx MajOr went down by ~ 2.11 %, going from ~ 5.53 % to ~ 3.42 %
+ Show Spoiler [More Biggest Losers] +

kr Pigbaby went down by ~ 1.78 %, going from ~ 39.21 % to ~ 37.43 %
kr Classic went down by ~ 1.49 %, going from ~ 65.97 % to ~ 64.48 %
kr herO went down by ~ 1.33 %, going from ~ 45.97 % to ~ 44.64 %
kr soO went down by ~ 1.15 %, going from ~ 61.84 % to ~ 60.7 %
kr sOs went down by ~ 1.07 %, going from ~ 93.89 % to ~ 92.82 %
kr Jaedong went down by ~ 1.06 %, going from ~ 99.42 % to ~ 98.36 %
kr Rain went down by ~ 0.96 %, going from ~ 32.91 % to ~ 31.95 %
kr PartinG went down by ~ 0.78 %, going from ~ 10.6 % to ~ 9.82 %
kr HerO went down by ~ 0.54 %, going from ~ 8.24 % to ~ 7.7 %
kr INnoVation went down by ~ 0.44 %, going from ~ 14.05 % to ~ 13.6 %
kr Solar went down by ~ 0.41 %, going from ~ 8.04 % to ~ 7.63 %
es VortiX went down by ~ 0.37 %, going from ~ 5.97 % to ~ 5.6 %
kr jjakji went down by ~ 0.36 %, going from ~ 95.51 % to ~ 95.15 %
kr Heart went down by ~ 0.27 %, going from ~ 5.32 % to ~ 5.04 %
fr Dayshi went down by ~ 0.22 %, going from ~ 1.21 % to ~ 0.99 %
cn Jim went down by ~ 0.16 %, going from ~ 1.19 % to ~ 1.03 %
kr Golden went down by ~ 0.15 %, going from ~ 2.67 % to ~ 2.53 %
kr Maru went down by ~ 0.11 %, going from ~ 9.12 % to ~ 9.01 %



Remember to check the website for much more frequent updates!
http://sc2.4ever.tv
-----------------------
"Expert" mods4ever.com
Circumstance
Profile Blog Joined March 2014
United States11403 Posts
August 25 2014 01:52 GMT
#274
Have these numbers been updated to reflect Life's addition into IEM Toronto?
The world is better when every background has a chance.
SetGuitarsToKill
Profile Blog Joined December 2013
Canada28396 Posts
August 25 2014 01:53 GMT
#275
On August 25 2014 10:50 Die4Ever wrote:
+ Show Spoiler +
--------UPDATE Monday, Aug 25 1:50am GMT (GMT+00:00) Red Bull Detroit Finished!
Here's the current Top 25 by Blizzcon Chances.
  1. kr HyuN (ROCCAT), is at ~ 100 %, Min WCS Points: 5625
  2. kr MC, is at ~ 100 %, Min WCS Points: 5100
  3. kr StarDust (mYinsanity), is at ~ 100 %, Min WCS Points: 4700
  4. kr TaeJa (Liquid), is at ~ 100 %, Min WCS Points: 4625
  5. kr Polt (CM Storm), is at ~ 100 %, Min WCS Points: 4575
  6. kr San (Yoe), is at ~ 100 %, Min WCS Points: 4425
  7. kr Zest (KT), is at ~ 100 %, Min WCS Points: 3625
  8. kr Bomber, is at ~ 100 %, Min WCS Points: 3600
  9. kr Jaedong (EG), is at ~ 98.36 %, Min WCS Points: 2950
  10. kr jjakji (mYinsanity), is at ~ 95.15 %, Min WCS Points: 2850
  11. kr sOs (Jinair), is at ~ 92.82 %, Min WCS Points: 2350
  12. kr Life (StarTale), is at ~ 70.8 %, Min WCS Points: 2750
  13. kr Classic (SKT T1), is at ~ 64.48 %, Min WCS Points: 2650
  14. kr soO (SKT T1), is at ~ 60.7 %, Min WCS Points: 2350
  15. kr herO (CJ Entus), is at ~ 44.64 %, Min WCS Points: 2300
  16. kr Pigbaby (Jinair), is at ~ 37.43 %, Min WCS Points: 2200
  17. kr Rain (SKT T1), is at ~ 31.95 %, Min WCS Points: 1775
  18. kr viOLet, is at ~ 30.5 %, Min WCS Points: 2150
  19. ca Scarlett (Acer), is at ~ 20.68 %, Min WCS Points: 1400
  20. kr MMA (Acer), is at ~ 16.82 %, Min WCS Points: 1975
  21. dk Bunny (Liquid), is at ~ 14.74 %, Min WCS Points: 1650
  22. kr INnoVation (Acer), is at ~ 13.6 %, Min WCS Points: 1425
  23. no Snute (Liquid), is at ~ 11.98 %, Min WCS Points: 2300
  24. kr PartinG (SKT T1), is at ~ 9.82 %, Min WCS Points: 1200
  25. kr YoDa, is at ~ 9.46 %, Min WCS Points: 875


WCS Point Cutoffs
+ Show Spoiler [WCS Point Cutoffs] +

~ 0 % of the time 2,275 points is enough to qualify for Blizzcon
~ 0.02 % of the time 2,300 points is enough to qualify for Blizzcon
~ 0.57 % of the time 2,450 points is enough to qualify for Blizzcon
~ 10.23 % of the time 2,650 points is enough to qualify for Blizzcon
~ 39.45 % of the time 2,750 points is enough to qualify for Blizzcon
~ 52.82 % of the time 2,825 points is enough to qualify for Blizzcon
~ 67.87 % of the time 2,875 points is enough to qualify for Blizzcon
~ 83.01 % of the time 2,950 points is enough to qualify for Blizzcon
~ 88.32 % of the time 3,000 points is enough to qualify for Blizzcon
~ 98.79 % of the time 3,175 points is enough to qualify for Blizzcon
~ 100 % of the time 3,775 points is enough to qualify for Blizzcon


Biggest Winners
kr viOLet went up by ~ 19.26 %, going from ~ 11.23 % to ~ 30.5 %
kr MMA went up by ~ 8.51 %, going from ~ 8.31 % to ~ 16.82 %
kr Life went up by ~ 8.14 %, going from ~ 62.67 % to ~ 70.8 %
kr YoDa went up by ~ 3.31 %, going from ~ 6.15 % to ~ 9.46 %
kr DongRaeGu went up by ~ 1.56 %, going from ~ 0.97 % to ~ 2.53 %
+ Show Spoiler [More Biggest Winners] +

kr Flash went up by ~ 1.22 %, going from ~ 6.05 % to ~ 7.26 %
kr Cure went up by ~ 0.55 %, going from ~ 0.19 % to ~ 0.74 %


Biggest Losers
dk Bunny went down by ~ 13.79 %, going from ~ 28.53 % to ~ 14.74 %
kr First went down by ~ 6.4 %, going from ~ 6.46 % to ~ 0.06 %
no Snute went down by ~ 4.16 %, going from ~ 16.14 % to ~ 11.98 %
ca Scarlett went down by ~ 2.54 %, going from ~ 23.22 % to ~ 20.68 %
mx MajOr went down by ~ 2.11 %, going from ~ 5.53 % to ~ 3.42 %
+ Show Spoiler [More Biggest Losers] +

kr Pigbaby went down by ~ 1.78 %, going from ~ 39.21 % to ~ 37.43 %
kr Classic went down by ~ 1.49 %, going from ~ 65.97 % to ~ 64.48 %
kr herO went down by ~ 1.33 %, going from ~ 45.97 % to ~ 44.64 %
kr soO went down by ~ 1.15 %, going from ~ 61.84 % to ~ 60.7 %
kr sOs went down by ~ 1.07 %, going from ~ 93.89 % to ~ 92.82 %
kr Jaedong went down by ~ 1.06 %, going from ~ 99.42 % to ~ 98.36 %
kr Rain went down by ~ 0.96 %, going from ~ 32.91 % to ~ 31.95 %
kr PartinG went down by ~ 0.78 %, going from ~ 10.6 % to ~ 9.82 %
kr HerO went down by ~ 0.54 %, going from ~ 8.24 % to ~ 7.7 %
kr INnoVation went down by ~ 0.44 %, going from ~ 14.05 % to ~ 13.6 %
kr Solar went down by ~ 0.41 %, going from ~ 8.04 % to ~ 7.63 %
es VortiX went down by ~ 0.37 %, going from ~ 5.97 % to ~ 5.6 %
kr jjakji went down by ~ 0.36 %, going from ~ 95.51 % to ~ 95.15 %
kr Heart went down by ~ 0.27 %, going from ~ 5.32 % to ~ 5.04 %
fr Dayshi went down by ~ 0.22 %, going from ~ 1.21 % to ~ 0.99 %
cn Jim went down by ~ 0.16 %, going from ~ 1.19 % to ~ 1.03 %
kr Golden went down by ~ 0.15 %, going from ~ 2.67 % to ~ 2.53 %
kr Maru went down by ~ 0.11 %, going from ~ 9.12 % to ~ 9.01 %



Remember to check the website for much more frequent updates!
http://sc2.4ever.tv
-----------------------


Dang, that foreigner drop-off.
Community News"As long as you have a warp prism you can't be bad at harassment" - Maru | @SetGuitars2Kill
Die4Ever
Profile Joined August 2010
United States17676 Posts
August 25 2014 01:55 GMT
#276
On August 25 2014 10:52 Circumstance wrote:
Have these numbers been updated to reflect Life's addition into IEM Toronto?

yes that's where his big boost comes from, also Cure's qualification to Red Bull Washington
"Expert" mods4ever.com
Die4Ever
Profile Joined August 2010
United States17676 Posts
August 25 2014 02:01 GMT
#277
On August 25 2014 10:53 SetGuitarsToKill wrote:
Show nested quote +
On August 25 2014 10:50 Die4Ever wrote:
+ Show Spoiler +
--------UPDATE Monday, Aug 25 1:50am GMT (GMT+00:00) Red Bull Detroit Finished!
Here's the current Top 25 by Blizzcon Chances.
  1. kr HyuN (ROCCAT), is at ~ 100 %, Min WCS Points: 5625
  2. kr MC, is at ~ 100 %, Min WCS Points: 5100
  3. kr StarDust (mYinsanity), is at ~ 100 %, Min WCS Points: 4700
  4. kr TaeJa (Liquid), is at ~ 100 %, Min WCS Points: 4625
  5. kr Polt (CM Storm), is at ~ 100 %, Min WCS Points: 4575
  6. kr San (Yoe), is at ~ 100 %, Min WCS Points: 4425
  7. kr Zest (KT), is at ~ 100 %, Min WCS Points: 3625
  8. kr Bomber, is at ~ 100 %, Min WCS Points: 3600
  9. kr Jaedong (EG), is at ~ 98.36 %, Min WCS Points: 2950
  10. kr jjakji (mYinsanity), is at ~ 95.15 %, Min WCS Points: 2850
  11. kr sOs (Jinair), is at ~ 92.82 %, Min WCS Points: 2350
  12. kr Life (StarTale), is at ~ 70.8 %, Min WCS Points: 2750
  13. kr Classic (SKT T1), is at ~ 64.48 %, Min WCS Points: 2650
  14. kr soO (SKT T1), is at ~ 60.7 %, Min WCS Points: 2350
  15. kr herO (CJ Entus), is at ~ 44.64 %, Min WCS Points: 2300
  16. kr Pigbaby (Jinair), is at ~ 37.43 %, Min WCS Points: 2200
  17. kr Rain (SKT T1), is at ~ 31.95 %, Min WCS Points: 1775
  18. kr viOLet, is at ~ 30.5 %, Min WCS Points: 2150
  19. ca Scarlett (Acer), is at ~ 20.68 %, Min WCS Points: 1400
  20. kr MMA (Acer), is at ~ 16.82 %, Min WCS Points: 1975
  21. dk Bunny (Liquid), is at ~ 14.74 %, Min WCS Points: 1650
  22. kr INnoVation (Acer), is at ~ 13.6 %, Min WCS Points: 1425
  23. no Snute (Liquid), is at ~ 11.98 %, Min WCS Points: 2300
  24. kr PartinG (SKT T1), is at ~ 9.82 %, Min WCS Points: 1200
  25. kr YoDa, is at ~ 9.46 %, Min WCS Points: 875


WCS Point Cutoffs
+ Show Spoiler [WCS Point Cutoffs] +

~ 0 % of the time 2,275 points is enough to qualify for Blizzcon
~ 0.02 % of the time 2,300 points is enough to qualify for Blizzcon
~ 0.57 % of the time 2,450 points is enough to qualify for Blizzcon
~ 10.23 % of the time 2,650 points is enough to qualify for Blizzcon
~ 39.45 % of the time 2,750 points is enough to qualify for Blizzcon
~ 52.82 % of the time 2,825 points is enough to qualify for Blizzcon
~ 67.87 % of the time 2,875 points is enough to qualify for Blizzcon
~ 83.01 % of the time 2,950 points is enough to qualify for Blizzcon
~ 88.32 % of the time 3,000 points is enough to qualify for Blizzcon
~ 98.79 % of the time 3,175 points is enough to qualify for Blizzcon
~ 100 % of the time 3,775 points is enough to qualify for Blizzcon


Biggest Winners
kr viOLet went up by ~ 19.26 %, going from ~ 11.23 % to ~ 30.5 %
kr MMA went up by ~ 8.51 %, going from ~ 8.31 % to ~ 16.82 %
kr Life went up by ~ 8.14 %, going from ~ 62.67 % to ~ 70.8 %
kr YoDa went up by ~ 3.31 %, going from ~ 6.15 % to ~ 9.46 %
kr DongRaeGu went up by ~ 1.56 %, going from ~ 0.97 % to ~ 2.53 %
+ Show Spoiler [More Biggest Winners] +

kr Flash went up by ~ 1.22 %, going from ~ 6.05 % to ~ 7.26 %
kr Cure went up by ~ 0.55 %, going from ~ 0.19 % to ~ 0.74 %


Biggest Losers
dk Bunny went down by ~ 13.79 %, going from ~ 28.53 % to ~ 14.74 %
kr First went down by ~ 6.4 %, going from ~ 6.46 % to ~ 0.06 %
no Snute went down by ~ 4.16 %, going from ~ 16.14 % to ~ 11.98 %
ca Scarlett went down by ~ 2.54 %, going from ~ 23.22 % to ~ 20.68 %
mx MajOr went down by ~ 2.11 %, going from ~ 5.53 % to ~ 3.42 %
+ Show Spoiler [More Biggest Losers] +

kr Pigbaby went down by ~ 1.78 %, going from ~ 39.21 % to ~ 37.43 %
kr Classic went down by ~ 1.49 %, going from ~ 65.97 % to ~ 64.48 %
kr herO went down by ~ 1.33 %, going from ~ 45.97 % to ~ 44.64 %
kr soO went down by ~ 1.15 %, going from ~ 61.84 % to ~ 60.7 %
kr sOs went down by ~ 1.07 %, going from ~ 93.89 % to ~ 92.82 %
kr Jaedong went down by ~ 1.06 %, going from ~ 99.42 % to ~ 98.36 %
kr Rain went down by ~ 0.96 %, going from ~ 32.91 % to ~ 31.95 %
kr PartinG went down by ~ 0.78 %, going from ~ 10.6 % to ~ 9.82 %
kr HerO went down by ~ 0.54 %, going from ~ 8.24 % to ~ 7.7 %
kr INnoVation went down by ~ 0.44 %, going from ~ 14.05 % to ~ 13.6 %
kr Solar went down by ~ 0.41 %, going from ~ 8.04 % to ~ 7.63 %
es VortiX went down by ~ 0.37 %, going from ~ 5.97 % to ~ 5.6 %
kr jjakji went down by ~ 0.36 %, going from ~ 95.51 % to ~ 95.15 %
kr Heart went down by ~ 0.27 %, going from ~ 5.32 % to ~ 5.04 %
fr Dayshi went down by ~ 0.22 %, going from ~ 1.21 % to ~ 0.99 %
cn Jim went down by ~ 0.16 %, going from ~ 1.19 % to ~ 1.03 %
kr Golden went down by ~ 0.15 %, going from ~ 2.67 % to ~ 2.53 %
kr Maru went down by ~ 0.11 %, going from ~ 9.12 % to ~ 9.01 %



Remember to check the website for much more frequent updates!
http://sc2.4ever.tv
-----------------------


Dang, that foreigner drop-off.

Yea I guess I should've mentioned that lol, was rushing cause I'm on vacation but w/e lol.

Chances of 1+ foreigners making it went from ~ 66.95 % yesterday down to ~ 53.79 %
Chances of 2+ foreigners went from ~ 19.63 % down to ~ 10.94 %

I'll be doing the GSL ro16 previews and Group of Death analysis tomorrow night (in about 24 hours)
"Expert" mods4ever.com
Die4Ever
Profile Joined August 2010
United States17676 Posts
August 26 2014 05:44 GMT
#278
--------UPDATE Tuesday, Aug 26 5:30am GMT (GMT+00:00) GSL Round of 16 Previews and Group of Death Analysis!
Here's the current Top 25 by Blizzcon Chances.
  1. kr HyuN (ROCCAT), is at ~ 100 %, Min WCS Points: 5625
  2. kr MC, is at ~ 100 %, Min WCS Points: 5100
  3. kr StarDust (mYinsanity), is at ~ 100 %, Min WCS Points: 4700
  4. kr TaeJa (Liquid), is at ~ 100 %, Min WCS Points: 4625
  5. kr Polt (CM Storm), is at ~ 100 %, Min WCS Points: 4575
  6. kr San (Yoe), is at ~ 100 %, Min WCS Points: 4425
  7. kr Zest (KT), is at ~ 100 %, Min WCS Points: 3625
  8. kr Bomber, is at ~ 100 %, Min WCS Points: 3600
  9. kr Jaedong (EG), is at ~ 98.17 %, Min WCS Points: 2950
  10. kr jjakji (mYinsanity), is at ~ 94.76 %, Min WCS Points: 2850
  11. kr sOs (Jinair), is at ~ 92.63 %, Min WCS Points: 2350
  12. kr Life (StarTale), is at ~ 68.24 %, Min WCS Points: 2750
  13. kr Classic (SKT T1), is at ~ 64.1 %, Min WCS Points: 2650
  14. kr soO (SKT T1), is at ~ 60.2 %, Min WCS Points: 2350
  15. kr herO (CJ Entus), is at ~ 56.01 %, Min WCS Points: 2300
  16. kr Pigbaby (Jinair), is at ~ 36.86 %, Min WCS Points: 2200
  17. kr Rain (SKT T1), is at ~ 31.81 %, Min WCS Points: 1775
  18. kr viOLet, is at ~ 29.09 %, Min WCS Points: 2150
  19. ca Scarlett (Acer), is at ~ 20.32 %, Min WCS Points: 1400
  20. kr MMA (Acer), is at ~ 16.62 %, Min WCS Points: 1975
  21. dk Bunny (Liquid), is at ~ 14.74 %, Min WCS Points: 1650
  22. kr INnoVation (Acer), is at ~ 12.53 %, Min WCS Points: 1425
  23. no Snute (Liquid), is at ~ 11.38 %, Min WCS Points: 2300
  24. kr PartinG (SKT T1), is at ~ 9.82 %, Min WCS Points: 1200
  25. kr YoDa, is at ~ 9.41 %, Min WCS Points: 875


WCS Point Cutoffs - I simplified the WCS Point Cutoffs view a bit. Now it only shows 7 different points: the highest points with 0% chances, the lowest points with better than 0% chances, 2500 points, the points closest to 50% chances, 3000 points, the highest points with less than 100% chances, and the lowest points with 100% chances. You can still click "+ Show All Cutoffs +" to show more.
+ Show Spoiler [WCS Point Cutoffs] +

~ 0 % of the time 2,275 points is enough to qualify for Blizzcon
~ 0.01 % of the time 2,300 points is enough to qualify for Blizzcon
~ 1.07 % of the time 2,500 points is enough to qualify for Blizzcon
~ 51.82 % of the time 2,825 points is enough to qualify for Blizzcon
~ 87.44 % of the time 3,000 points is enough to qualify for Blizzcon
~ 99.99 % of the time 3,725 points is enough to qualify for Blizzcon
~ 100 % of the time 3,750 points is enough to qualify for Blizzcon


Biggest Winners Since 4 Days Ago
kr viOLet went up by ~ 17.85 %, going from ~ 11.23 % to ~ 29.08 %
kr herO went up by ~ 10.02 %, going from ~ 45.97 % to ~ 55.99 %
kr MMA went up by ~ 8.31 %, going from ~ 8.31 % to ~ 16.63 %
kr Life went up by ~ 5.56 %, going from ~ 62.67 % to ~ 68.23 %
kr YoDa went up by ~ 3.28 %, going from ~ 6.15 % to ~ 9.42 %
+ Show Spoiler [More Biggest Winners] +

kr DongRaeGu went up by ~ 1.55 %, going from ~ 0.97 % to ~ 2.52 %
kr Flash went up by ~ 1.2 %, going from ~ 6.05 % to ~ 7.24 %
kr Cure went up by ~ 0.54 %, going from ~ 0.19 % to ~ 0.73 %


Biggest Losers Since 4 Days Ago
dk Bunny went down by ~ 13.8 %, going from ~ 28.53 % to ~ 14.74 %
kr First went down by ~ 6.4 %, going from ~ 6.46 % to ~ 0.06 %
no Snute went down by ~ 4.76 %, going from ~ 16.14 % to ~ 11.38 %
ca Scarlett went down by ~ 2.89 %, going from ~ 23.22 % to ~ 20.33 %
kr Pigbaby went down by ~ 2.35 %, going from ~ 39.21 % to ~ 36.86 %
+ Show Spoiler [More Biggest Losers] +

mx MajOr went down by ~ 2.25 %, going from ~ 5.53 % to ~ 3.28 %
kr Maru went down by ~ 1.96 %, going from ~ 9.12 % to ~ 7.17 %
kr Classic went down by ~ 1.88 %, going from ~ 65.97 % to ~ 64.1 %
kr soO went down by ~ 1.64 %, going from ~ 61.84 % to ~ 60.2 %
kr INnoVation went down by ~ 1.52 %, going from ~ 14.05 % to ~ 12.53 %
kr Jaedong went down by ~ 1.26 %, going from ~ 99.42 % to ~ 98.17 %
kr sOs went down by ~ 1.25 %, going from ~ 93.89 % to ~ 92.64 %
kr Rain went down by ~ 1.11 %, going from ~ 32.91 % to ~ 31.8 %
kr HerO went down by ~ 0.8 %, going from ~ 8.24 % to ~ 7.44 %
kr PartinG went down by ~ 0.79 %, going from ~ 10.6 % to ~ 9.82 %
kr jjakji went down by ~ 0.75 %, going from ~ 95.51 % to ~ 94.76 %
kr Heart went down by ~ 0.44 %, going from ~ 5.32 % to ~ 4.87 %
es VortiX went down by ~ 0.42 %, going from ~ 5.97 % to ~ 5.55 %
kr Solar went down by ~ 0.4 %, going from ~ 8.04 % to ~ 7.64 %
fr Dayshi went down by ~ 0.23 %, going from ~ 1.21 % to ~ 0.98 %
cn Jim went down by ~ 0.21 %, going from ~ 1.19 % to ~ 0.98 %
ca HuK went down by ~ 0.16 %, going from ~ 2.05 % to ~ 1.89 %
kr Golden went down by ~ 0.16 %, going from ~ 2.67 % to ~ 2.52 %


GSL Code S Round of 16 Group Previews
Starts in
kr Soulkey must win this!
+ Show Spoiler [Zest, Soulkey, Cure, Reality in GSL S3…] +
GSL S3 Code S
- kr Zest is at ~ 100 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014
~ 13.91 % of the time kr Zest wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 100 %.
~ 11.08 % of the time kr Zest loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 100 %.
-------------------------------------------------
- kr Soulkey is at ~ 2.25 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014
~ 12.26 % of the time kr Soulkey wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 4.61 %.
~ 12.75 % of the time kr Soulkey loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 0.01 %.
-------------------------------------------------
- kr Cure is at ~ 0.73 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014
~ 12.18 % of the time kr Cure wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 1.48 %.
~ 12.8 % of the time kr Cure loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 0.01 %.
-------------------------------------------------
- kr Reality is at ~ 0.67 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014
~ 11.1 % of the time kr Reality wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 1.49 %.
~ 13.9 % of the time kr Reality loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 0.02 %.


Starts in
kr INnoVation must win this!
kr PartinG must win this!
kr Maru must win this!
+ Show Spoiler [INnoVation, PartinG, Maru, Stats in GS…] +
GSL S3 Code S
- kr INnoVation is at ~ 12.53 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014
~ 14.64 % of the time kr INnoVation wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 21.22 %.
~ 10.36 % of the time kr INnoVation loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 0.22 %.
-------------------------------------------------
- kr PartinG is at ~ 9.82 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014
~ 13.42 % of the time kr PartinG wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 17.86 %.
~ 11.56 % of the time kr PartinG loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 0.53 %.
-------------------------------------------------
- kr Maru is at ~ 7.16 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014
~ 12.67 % of the time kr Maru wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 13.91 %.
~ 12.33 % of the time kr Maru loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 0.19 %.
-------------------------------------------------
- kr Stats is at ~ 0.14 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014
~ 11.11 % of the time kr Stats wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 0.32 %.
~ 13.89 % of the time kr Stats loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 0 %.


Starts in
kr Solar must win this!
kr EffOrt has the #1 headband!
kr sOs has the #2 headband!
This is a match for the #1 headband!
+ Show Spoiler [Rain, sOs, Solar, EffOrt in GSL S3 Cod…] +
GSL S3 Code S
- kr Rain is at ~ 31.81 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014
~ 14.87 % of the time kr Rain wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 43.39 %.
~ 10.13 % of the time kr Rain loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 14.87 %.
-------------------------------------------------
- kr sOs is at ~ 92.64 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014
~ 14.2 % of the time kr sOs wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 97.49 %.
~ 10.81 % of the time kr sOs loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 86.28 %.
-------------------------------------------------
- kr Solar is at ~ 7.64 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014
~ 12.77 % of the time kr Solar wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 14.83 %.
~ 12.23 % of the time kr Solar loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 0.15 %.
-------------------------------------------------
- kr EffOrt is at ~ 0.03 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014
~ 9.65 % of the time kr EffOrt wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 0.08 %.
~ 15.34 % of the time kr EffOrt loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 0 %.


Starts in
kr Flash must win this!
kr DongRaeGu must win this!
kr TRUE must win this!
+ Show Spoiler [Flash, soO, DongRaeGu, TRUE in GSL S3…] +
GSL S3 Code S
- kr Flash is at ~ 7.24 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014
~ 13.58 % of the time kr Flash wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 12.76 %.
~ 11.4 % of the time kr Flash loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 0.72 %.
-------------------------------------------------
- kr soO is at ~ 60.2 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014
~ 11.64 % of the time kr soO wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 79.27 %.
~ 13.35 % of the time kr soO loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 43.51 %.
-------------------------------------------------
- kr DongRaeGu is at ~ 2.52 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014
~ 11.55 % of the time kr DongRaeGu wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 5.43 %.
~ 13.46 % of the time kr DongRaeGu loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 0.02 %.
-------------------------------------------------
- kr TRUE is at ~ 2.75 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014
~ 10.41 % of the time kr TRUE wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 6.56 %.
~ 14.6 % of the time kr TRUE loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 0.03 %.


And now let's do some analysis to see what the Group of Death is according to WCS Predictor.
We will be looking at 5 different scores.
Champion Chances Score is the chances to win the tournament for each player in the group added together.
Blizzcon Chances Score is the chances to qualify for Blizzcon for each player in the group added together.
Blizzcon Chances Lost Score is how much the Blizzcon Chances Score went down by because of the group drawing.
Effects Score is the sum of the amount of Blizzcon chances each player would gain if they won the group, plus the amount of Blizzcon chances each player would lose if they lost the group.
Aligulac Score is the overall Aligulac rating of every player in the group added together.

+ Show Spoiler [Champion Chances] +

Group A
Soulkey has a ~ 5.25 % chance to win GSL S3 Code S
Reality has a ~ 3.15 % chance to win GSL S3 Code S
Zest has a ~ 9.11 % chance to win GSL S3 Code S
Cure has a ~ 4.74 % chance to win GSL S3 Code S
Giving this match a Champion Chances Score of 22.2616

Group B
Rain has a ~ 11.99 % chance to win GSL S3 Code S
sOs has a ~ 9.72 % chance to win GSL S3 Code S
EffOrt has a ~ 1.81 % chance to win GSL S3 Code S
Solar has a ~ 6.63 % chance to win GSL S3 Code S
Giving this match a Champion Chances Score of 30.1485

Group C
PartinG has a ~ 7.69 % chance to win GSL S3 Code S
INnoVation has a ~ 11.38 % chance to win GSL S3 Code S
Maru has a ~ 5.99 % chance to win GSL S3 Code S
Stats has a ~ 3.38 % chance to win GSL S3 Code S
Giving this match a Champion Chances Score of 28.4353

Group D
DongRaeGu has a ~ 4.2 % chance to win GSL S3 Code S
Flash has a ~ 8.16 % chance to win GSL S3 Code S
soO has a ~ 4.23 % chance to win GSL S3 Code S
TRUE has a ~ 2.55 % chance to win GSL S3 Code S
Giving this match a Champion Chances Score of 19.1546

Which means the groups go in this order for the Champion Chances Scores
B > C > A > D

+ Show Spoiler [Blizzcon Chances] +

Group A
Soulkey is at ~ 2.25 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014
Reality is at ~ 0.67 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014
Zest is at ~ 100 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014
Cure is at ~ 0.73 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014
Giving this match a Blizzcon Chances Score of 103.642

Group B
Rain is at ~ 31.81 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014
sOs is at ~ 92.64 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014
EffOrt is at ~ 0.03 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014
Solar is at ~ 7.64 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014
Giving this match a Blizzcon Chances Score of 132.129

Group C
PartinG is at ~ 9.82 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014
INnoVation is at ~ 12.53 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014
Maru is at ~ 7.16 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014
Stats is at ~ 0.14 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014
Giving this match a Blizzcon Chances Score of 29.6558

Group D
DongRaeGu is at ~ 2.52 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014
Flash is at ~ 7.24 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014
soO is at ~ 60.2 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014
TRUE is at ~ 2.75 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014
Giving this match a Blizzcon Chances Score of 72.7052

Which means the groups go in this order for the Blizzcon Chances Scores
B > A > D > C

+ Show Spoiler [Blizzcon Chances Lost] +

Group A
Soulkey's Blizzcon chances changed by ~ 0.01 %
Reality's Blizzcon chances changed by ~ 0.01 %
Zest's Blizzcon chances changed by ~ 0 %
Cure's Blizzcon chances changed by ~ -0.01 %
Giving this match a Blizzcon Chances Lost Score of -0.00530617

Group B
Rain's Blizzcon chances changed by ~ 0.02 %
sOs's Blizzcon chances changed by ~ 0.02 %
EffOrt's Blizzcon chances changed by ~ -0.01 %
Solar's Blizzcon chances changed by ~ -0.03 %
Giving this match a Blizzcon Chances Lost Score of -0.0117416

Group C
PartinG's Blizzcon chances changed by ~ 0.03 %
INnoVation's Blizzcon chances changed by ~ -0.02 %
Maru's Blizzcon chances changed by ~ -0.01 %
Stats's Blizzcon chances changed by ~ -0.01 %
Giving this match a Blizzcon Chances Lost Score of -0.00244307

Group D
DongRaeGu's Blizzcon chances changed by ~ 0.01 %
Flash's Blizzcon chances changed by ~ 0.01 %
soO's Blizzcon chances changed by ~ -0.03 %
TRUE's Blizzcon chances changed by ~ -0.01 %
Giving this match a Blizzcon Chances Lost Score of 0.0104394

Which means the groups go in this order for the Blizzcon Chances Lost Scores
D > C > A > B

+ Show Spoiler [Effects] +

Group A
When Soulkey wins this match, their Blizzcon chances go up by ~ 2.36 %
When Soulkey loses this match, their Blizzcon chances go down by ~ 2.24 %
When Reality wins this match, their Blizzcon chances go up by ~ 0.82 %
When Reality loses this match, their Blizzcon chances go down by ~ 0.65 %
When Zest wins this match, their Blizzcon chances go up by ~ 0 %
When Zest loses this match, their Blizzcon chances go down by ~ 0 %
When Cure wins this match, their Blizzcon chances go up by ~ 0.75 %
When Cure loses this match, their Blizzcon chances go down by ~ 0.73 %
Giving this match an Effects Score of 7.5537

Group B
When Rain wins this match, their Blizzcon chances go up by ~ 11.58 %
When Rain loses this match, their Blizzcon chances go down by ~ 16.94 %
When sOs wins this match, their Blizzcon chances go up by ~ 4.84 %
When sOs loses this match, their Blizzcon chances go down by ~ 6.36 %
When EffOrt wins this match, their Blizzcon chances go up by ~ 0.05 %
When EffOrt loses this match, their Blizzcon chances go down by ~ 0.03 %
When Solar wins this match, their Blizzcon chances go up by ~ 7.19 %
When Solar loses this match, their Blizzcon chances go down by ~ 7.49 %
Giving this match an Effects Score of 54.476

Group C
When PartinG wins this match, their Blizzcon chances go up by ~ 8.05 %
When PartinG loses this match, their Blizzcon chances go down by ~ 9.28 %
When INnoVation wins this match, their Blizzcon chances go up by ~ 8.69 %
When INnoVation loses this match, their Blizzcon chances go down by ~ 12.31 %
When Maru wins this match, their Blizzcon chances go up by ~ 6.75 %
When Maru loses this match, their Blizzcon chances go down by ~ 6.97 %
When Stats wins this match, their Blizzcon chances go up by ~ 0.17 %
When Stats loses this match, their Blizzcon chances go down by ~ 0.14 %
Giving this match an Effects Score of 52.3616

Group D
When DongRaeGu wins this match, their Blizzcon chances go up by ~ 2.91 %
When DongRaeGu loses this match, their Blizzcon chances go down by ~ 2.5 %
When Flash wins this match, their Blizzcon chances go up by ~ 5.52 %
When Flash loses this match, their Blizzcon chances go down by ~ 6.52 %
When soO wins this match, their Blizzcon chances go up by ~ 19.07 %
When soO loses this match, their Blizzcon chances go down by ~ 16.69 %
When TRUE wins this match, their Blizzcon chances go up by ~ 3.81 %
When TRUE loses this match, their Blizzcon chances go down by ~ 2.72 %
Giving this match an Effects Score of 59.7334

Which means the groups go in this order for Effects Scores
D > B > C > A

+ Show Spoiler [Aligulac Ratings] +

Group A
Soulkey has an overall Aligulac rating of 1938
Reality has an overall Aligulac rating of 1814
Zest has an overall Aligulac rating of 2030
Cure has an overall Aligulac rating of 1898
Giving this match an Aligulac Score of 7680

Group B
Rain has an overall Aligulac rating of 2110
sOs has an overall Aligulac rating of 2049
EffOrt has an overall Aligulac rating of 1740
Solar has an overall Aligulac rating of 1988
Giving this match an Aligulac Score of 7887

Group C
PartinG has an overall Aligulac rating of 1989
INnoVation has an overall Aligulac rating of 2102
Maru has an overall Aligulac rating of 1944
Stats has an overall Aligulac rating of 1812
Giving this match an Aligulac Score of 7847

Group D
DongRaeGu has an overall Aligulac rating of 1891
Flash has an overall Aligulac rating of 2014
soO has an overall Aligulac rating of 1894
TRUE has an overall Aligulac rating of 1797
Giving this match an Aligulac Score of 7596

Which means the groups go in this order for Aligulac Scores
B > C > A > D


Group A has a 2nd place, two 3 places, and a 4th place
Group B has three 1st places, a 2nd place, and a 4th place
Group C has three 2nd places, a 3rd place, and a 4th place
Group D has two 1st places, a 3rd place, and two 4th places

Group B is our Group of Death! Congrats to Rain, sOs, EffOrt, and Solar! Group D is our 2nd place Group of Death with DongRaeGu, Flash, soO, and TRUE!

What do you think?
Poll: Group of Death?

Group C (416)
 
67%

Group D (89)
 
14%

Group B (81)
 
13%

Group A (36)
 
6%

622 total votes

Your vote: Group of Death?

(Vote): Group A
(Vote): Group B
(Vote): Group C
(Vote): Group D




Remember to check the website for much more frequent updates!
http://sc2.4ever.tv
-----------------------
"Expert" mods4ever.com
Die4Ever
Profile Joined August 2010
United States17676 Posts
August 26 2014 23:15 GMT
#279
I made an error in the GSL ro16 group of death analysis gonna redo it soon
"Expert" mods4ever.com
Die4Ever
Profile Joined August 2010
United States17676 Posts
August 26 2014 23:40 GMT
#280
--------UPDATE Tuesday, Aug 26 11:40pm GMT (GMT+00:00) GSL Round of 16 Previews and Group of Death Analysis Redo!
Oops I messed up the previous one....REDO!
Here's the current Top 25 by Blizzcon Chances.
  1. kr HyuN (ROCCAT), is at ~ 100 %, Min WCS Points: 5625
  2. kr MC, is at ~ 100 %, Min WCS Points: 5100
  3. kr StarDust (mYinsanity), is at ~ 100 %, Min WCS Points: 4700
  4. kr TaeJa (Liquid), is at ~ 100 %, Min WCS Points: 4625
  5. kr Polt (CM Storm), is at ~ 100 %, Min WCS Points: 4575
  6. kr San (Yoe), is at ~ 100 %, Min WCS Points: 4425
  7. kr Zest (KT), is at ~ 100 %, Min WCS Points: 3625
  8. kr Bomber, is at ~ 100 %, Min WCS Points: 3600
  9. kr Jaedong (EG), is at ~ 98.04 %, Min WCS Points: 2950
  10. kr jjakji (mYinsanity), is at ~ 94.44 %, Min WCS Points: 2850
  11. kr sOs (Jinair), is at ~ 92.36 %, Min WCS Points: 2350
  12. kr Life (StarTale), is at ~ 67.17 %, Min WCS Points: 2750
  13. kr Classic (SKT T1), is at ~ 63.56 %, Min WCS Points: 2650
  14. kr soO (SKT T1), is at ~ 61.78 %, Min WCS Points: 2350
  15. kr herO (CJ Entus), is at ~ 55.59 %, Min WCS Points: 2300
  16. kr Pigbaby (Jinair), is at ~ 36.47 %, Min WCS Points: 2200
  17. kr Rain (SKT T1), is at ~ 32.66 %, Min WCS Points: 1775
  18. kr viOLet, is at ~ 28.75 %, Min WCS Points: 2150
  19. ca Scarlett (Acer), is at ~ 20.18 %, Min WCS Points: 1400
  20. kr MMA (Acer), is at ~ 16.18 %, Min WCS Points: 1975
  21. dk Bunny (Liquid), is at ~ 14.78 %, Min WCS Points: 1650
  22. kr INnoVation (Acer), is at ~ 13.08 %, Min WCS Points: 1425
  23. no Snute (Liquid), is at ~ 11.18 %, Min WCS Points: 2300
  24. kr PartinG (SKT T1), is at ~ 9.68 %, Min WCS Points: 1200
  25. kr YoDa, is at ~ 9.28 %, Min WCS Points: 875


WCS Point Cutoffs - I simplified the WCS Point Cutoffs view a bit. Now it only shows 7 different points: the highest points with 0% chances, the lowest points with better than 0% chances, 2500 points, the points closest to 50% chances, 3000 points, the highest points with less than 100% chances, and the lowest points with 100% chances. You can still click "+ Show All Cutoffs +" to show more.
+ Show Spoiler [WCS Point Cutoffs] +

~ 0 % of the time 2,275 points is enough to qualify for Blizzcon
~ 0.01 % of the time 2,300 points is enough to qualify for Blizzcon
~ 0.95 % of the time 2,500 points is enough to qualify for Blizzcon
~ 50.39 % of the time 2,825 points is enough to qualify for Blizzcon
~ 86.68 % of the time 3,000 points is enough to qualify for Blizzcon
~ 99.99 % of the time 3,775 points is enough to qualify for Blizzcon
~ 100 % of the time 3,800 points is enough to qualify for Blizzcon


Biggest Winners Since 3 Days Ago
kr herO went up by ~ 11.09 %, going from ~ 44.5 % to ~ 55.59 %
kr Life went up by ~ 8.1 %, going from ~ 59.07 % to ~ 67.17 %
kr DongRaeGu went up by ~ 1.65 %, going from ~ 0.88 % to ~ 2.52 %
fi Welmu went up by ~ 1.53 %, going from ~ 2.09 % to ~ 3.62 %
kr soO went up by ~ 1.25 %, going from ~ 60.53 % to ~ 61.78 %
+ Show Spoiler [More Biggest Winners] +

de TLO went up by ~ 0.82 %, going from ~ 0.96 % to ~ 1.78 %
kr Rain went up by ~ 0.63 %, going from ~ 32.04 % to ~ 32.66 %
kr Cure went up by ~ 0.56 %, going from ~ 0.17 % to ~ 0.73 %
kr Solar went up by ~ 0.33 %, going from ~ 7.66 % to ~ 7.99 %


Biggest Losers Since 3 Days Ago
no Snute went down by ~ 10.83 %, going from ~ 22.01 % to ~ 11.18 %
ca Scarlett went down by ~ 2.35 %, going from ~ 22.54 % to ~ 20.18 %
kr Maru went down by ~ 2.26 %, going from ~ 9.17 % to ~ 6.91 %
kr sOs went down by ~ 1.37 %, going from ~ 93.72 % to ~ 92.36 %
kr Pigbaby went down by ~ 1.34 %, going from ~ 37.81 % to ~ 36.47 %
+ Show Spoiler [More Biggest Losers] +

kr viOLet went down by ~ 1.16 %, going from ~ 29.91 % to ~ 28.75 %
kr jjakji went down by ~ 0.84 %, going from ~ 95.28 % to ~ 94.44 %
kr YoDa went down by ~ 0.75 %, going from ~ 10.03 % to ~ 9.28 %
kr INnoVation went down by ~ 0.65 %, going from ~ 13.74 % to ~ 13.08 %
kr Classic went down by ~ 0.62 %, going from ~ 64.18 % to ~ 63.56 %
kr PartinG went down by ~ 0.52 %, going from ~ 10.2 % to ~ 9.68 %
dk Bunny went down by ~ 0.51 %, going from ~ 15.29 % to ~ 14.78 %
kr HerO went down by ~ 0.46 %, going from ~ 7.79 % to ~ 7.33 %
mx MajOr went down by ~ 0.42 %, going from ~ 3.64 % to ~ 3.22 %
kr Jaedong went down by ~ 0.39 %, going from ~ 98.43 % to ~ 98.04 %
kr Heart went down by ~ 0.36 %, going from ~ 5.21 % to ~ 4.85 %
kr ForGG went down by ~ 0.26 %, going from ~ 8.97 % to ~ 8.71 %
ca HuK went down by ~ 0.19 %, going from ~ 2.06 % to ~ 1.87 %
kr Soulkey went down by ~ 0.1 %, going from ~ 2.14 % to ~ 2.03 %


GSL Code S Round of 16 Group Previews
Starts in
kr Soulkey must win this!
+ Show Spoiler [Zest, Cure, Soulkey, Reality in GSL S3…] +
GSL S3 Code S
- kr Zest is at ~ 100 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014
~ 57.65 % of the time kr Zest wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 100 %.
~ 42.35 % of the time kr Zest loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 100 %.
-------------------------------------------------
- kr Cure is at ~ 0.73 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014
~ 53.32 % of the time kr Cure wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 1.37 %.
~ 46.68 % of the time kr Cure loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 0.01 %.
-------------------------------------------------
- kr Soulkey is at ~ 2.03 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014
~ 45.22 % of the time kr Soulkey wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 4.49 %.
~ 54.78 % of the time kr Soulkey loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 0.01 %.
-------------------------------------------------
- kr Reality is at ~ 0.62 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014
~ 43.81 % of the time kr Reality wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 1.4 %.
~ 56.19 % of the time kr Reality loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 0.02 %.


Starts in
kr INnoVation must win this!
kr PartinG must win this!
kr Maru must win this!
+ Show Spoiler [INnoVation, PartinG, Maru, Stats in GS…] +
GSL S3 Code S
- kr INnoVation is at ~ 13.08 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014
~ 62.12 % of the time kr INnoVation wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 20.93 %.
~ 37.88 % of the time kr INnoVation loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 0.21 %.
-------------------------------------------------
- kr PartinG is at ~ 9.68 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014
~ 52.83 % of the time kr PartinG wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 17.87 %.
~ 47.17 % of the time kr PartinG loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 0.51 %.
-------------------------------------------------
- kr Maru is at ~ 6.91 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014
~ 49.52 % of the time kr Maru wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 13.76 %.
~ 50.48 % of the time kr Maru loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 0.19 %.
-------------------------------------------------
- kr Stats is at ~ 0.12 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014
~ 35.53 % of the time kr Stats wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 0.34 %.
~ 64.47 % of the time kr Stats loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 0.01 %.


Starts in
kr Solar must win this!
This match is important for kr Rain!
+ Show Spoiler [Rain, sOs, Solar, EffOrt in GSL S3 Cod…] +
GSL S3 Code S
kr EffOrt has the #1 headband!
kr sOs has the #2 headband!
This is a match for the #1 headband!
- kr Rain is at ~ 32.66 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014
~ 61.5 % of the time kr Rain wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 43.82 %.
~ 38.5 % of the time kr Rain loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 14.84 %.
-------------------------------------------------
- kr sOs is at ~ 92.36 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014
~ 54.58 % of the time kr sOs wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 97.55 %.
~ 45.42 % of the time kr sOs loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 86.12 %.
-------------------------------------------------
- kr Solar is at ~ 7.99 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014
~ 52.33 % of the time kr Solar wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 15.12 %.
~ 47.67 % of the time kr Solar loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 0.16 %.
-------------------------------------------------
- kr EffOrt is at ~ 0.03 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014
~ 31.59 % of the time kr EffOrt wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 0.08 %.
~ 68.41 % of the time kr EffOrt loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 0 %.


Starts in
kr Flash must win this!
kr DongRaeGu must win this!
kr TRUE must win this!
This match is important for kr soO!
+ Show Spoiler [Flash, soO, DongRaeGu, TRUE in GSL S3…] +
GSL S3 Code S
- kr Flash is at ~ 7.3 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014
~ 57.25 % of the time kr Flash wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 12.22 %.
~ 42.75 % of the time kr Flash loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 0.71 %.
-------------------------------------------------
- kr soO is at ~ 61.78 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014
~ 51.94 % of the time kr soO wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 78.71 %.
~ 48.06 % of the time kr soO loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 43.49 %.
-------------------------------------------------
- kr DongRaeGu is at ~ 2.52 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014
~ 46.74 % of the time kr DongRaeGu wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 5.37 %.
~ 53.26 % of the time kr DongRaeGu loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 0.02 %.
-------------------------------------------------
- kr TRUE is at ~ 2.73 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014
~ 44.07 % of the time kr TRUE wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 6.15 %.
~ 55.93 % of the time kr TRUE loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 0.03 %.


Winning Chances
kr Rain has a ~ 12.69 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 32.66 % to ~ 100 %
kr INnoVation has a ~ 11.88 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 13.08 % to ~ 99.87 %
kr sOs has a ~ 9.45 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 92.36 % to ~ 100 %
kr Zest has a ~ 9.08 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 100 % to ~ 100 %
kr Flash has a ~ 8.24 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 7.3 % to ~ 64.08 %
+ Show Spoiler [More Winning Chances] +

kr PartinG has a ~ 7.6 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 9.68 % to ~ 97.61 %
kr Solar has a ~ 6.96 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 7.99 % to ~ 99.96 %
kr Maru has a ~ 5.77 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 6.91 % to ~ 99.99 %
kr Soulkey has a ~ 4.87 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 2.03 % to ~ 41.12 %
kr Cure has a ~ 4.85 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 0.73 % to ~ 14.8 %
kr soO has a ~ 4.42 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 61.78 % to ~ 100 %
kr DongRaeGu has a ~ 4.19 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 2.52 % to ~ 56.55 %
kr Reality has a ~ 3.01 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 0.62 % to ~ 17.97 %
kr Stats has a ~ 2.9 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 0.12 % to ~ 4.19 %
kr TRUE has a ~ 2.53 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 2.73 % to ~ 99.4 %
kr EffOrt has a ~ 1.57 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 0.03 % to ~ 1.69 %


Winning Gains
kr TRUE would gain ~ 96.68 % if they win, with a ~ 2.53 % chance to win, going from ~ 2.73 % to ~ 99.4 %
kr Maru would gain ~ 93.08 % if they win, with a ~ 5.77 % chance to win, going from ~ 6.91 % to ~ 99.99 %
kr Solar would gain ~ 91.97 % if they win, with a ~ 6.96 % chance to win, going from ~ 7.99 % to ~ 99.96 %
kr PartinG would gain ~ 87.92 % if they win, with a ~ 7.6 % chance to win, going from ~ 9.68 % to ~ 97.61 %
kr INnoVation would gain ~ 86.78 % if they win, with a ~ 11.88 % chance to win, going from ~ 13.08 % to ~ 99.87 %
+ Show Spoiler [More Winning Gains] +

kr Rain would gain ~ 67.34 % if they win, with a ~ 12.69 % chance to win, going from ~ 32.66 % to ~ 100 %
kr Flash would gain ~ 56.79 % if they win, with a ~ 8.24 % chance to win, going from ~ 7.3 % to ~ 64.08 %
kr DongRaeGu would gain ~ 54.03 % if they win, with a ~ 4.19 % chance to win, going from ~ 2.52 % to ~ 56.55 %
kr Soulkey would gain ~ 39.08 % if they win, with a ~ 4.87 % chance to win, going from ~ 2.03 % to ~ 41.12 %
kr soO would gain ~ 38.22 % if they win, with a ~ 4.42 % chance to win, going from ~ 61.78 % to ~ 100 %
kr Reality would gain ~ 17.34 % if they win, with a ~ 3.01 % chance to win, going from ~ 0.62 % to ~ 17.97 %
kr Cure would gain ~ 14.08 % if they win, with a ~ 4.85 % chance to win, going from ~ 0.73 % to ~ 14.8 %
kr sOs would gain ~ 7.64 % if they win, with a ~ 9.45 % chance to win, going from ~ 92.36 % to ~ 100 %
kr Stats would gain ~ 4.07 % if they win, with a ~ 2.9 % chance to win, going from ~ 0.12 % to ~ 4.19 %
kr EffOrt would gain ~ 1.66 % if they win, with a ~ 1.57 % chance to win, going from ~ 0.03 % to ~ 1.69 %
kr Zest would gain ~ 0 % if they win, with a ~ 9.08 % chance to win, going from ~ 100 % to ~ 100 %


And now let's do some analysis to see what the Group of Death is according to WCS Predictor.
We will be looking at 5 different scores.
Champion Chances Score is the chances to win the tournament for each player in the group added together.
Blizzcon Chances Score is the chances to qualify for Blizzcon for each player in the group added together.
Blizzcon Chances Lost Score is how much the Blizzcon Chances Score went down by because of the group drawing.
Effects Score is the sum of the amount of Blizzcon chances each player would gain if they won the group, plus the amount of Blizzcon chances each player would lose if they lost the group.
Aligulac Score is the overall Aligulac rating of every player in the group added together.

+ Show Spoiler [Champion Chances] +

Group A
Soulkey has a ~ 4.87 % chance to win GSL S3 Code S
Reality has a ~ 3.01 % chance to win GSL S3 Code S
Zest has a ~ 9.08 % chance to win GSL S3 Code S
Cure has a ~ 4.85 % chance to win GSL S3 Code S
Giving this match a Champion Chances Score of 21.8036

Group B
Rain has a ~ 12.69 % chance to win GSL S3 Code S
sOs has a ~ 9.45 % chance to win GSL S3 Code S
EffOrt has a ~ 1.57 % chance to win GSL S3 Code S
Solar has a ~ 6.96 % chance to win GSL S3 Code S
Giving this match a Champion Chances Score of 30.6749

Group C
PartinG has a ~ 7.6 % chance to win GSL S3 Code S
INnoVation has a ~ 11.88 % chance to win GSL S3 Code S
Maru has a ~ 5.77 % chance to win GSL S3 Code S
Stats has a ~ 2.9 % chance to win GSL S3 Code S
Giving this match a Champion Chances Score of 28.1467

Group D
DongRaeGu has a ~ 4.19 % chance to win GSL S3 Code S
Flash has a ~ 8.24 % chance to win GSL S3 Code S
soO has a ~ 4.42 % chance to win GSL S3 Code S
TRUE has a ~ 2.53 % chance to win GSL S3 Code S
Giving this match a Champion Chances Score of 19.3749

Which means the groups go in this order for the Champion Chances Scores
B > C > A > D

+ Show Spoiler [Blizzcon Chances] +

Group A
Soulkey is at ~ 2.03 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014
Reality is at ~ 0.62 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014
Zest is at ~ 100 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014
Cure is at ~ 0.73 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014
Giving this match a Blizzcon Chances Score of 103.387

Group B
Rain is at ~ 32.66 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014
sOs is at ~ 92.36 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014
EffOrt is at ~ 0.03 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014
Solar is at ~ 7.99 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014
Giving this match a Blizzcon Chances Score of 133.033

Group C
PartinG is at ~ 9.68 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014
INnoVation is at ~ 13.08 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014
Maru is at ~ 6.91 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014
Stats is at ~ 0.12 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014
Giving this match a Blizzcon Chances Score of 29.8007

Group D
DongRaeGu is at ~ 2.52 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014
Flash is at ~ 7.3 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014
soO is at ~ 61.78 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014
TRUE is at ~ 2.73 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014
Giving this match a Blizzcon Chances Score of 74.3261

Which means the groups go in this order for the Blizzcon Chances Scores
B > A > D > C

+ Show Spoiler [Blizzcon Chances Lost] +

Group A
Soulkey's Blizzcon chances changed by ~ -0.18 %
Reality's Blizzcon chances changed by ~ -0.04 %
Zest's Blizzcon chances changed by ~ 0 %
Cure's Blizzcon chances changed by ~ 0.01 %
Giving this match a Blizzcon Chances Lost Score of 0.209437

Group B
Rain's Blizzcon chances changed by ~ 0.95 %
sOs's Blizzcon chances changed by ~ -0.23 %
EffOrt's Blizzcon chances changed by ~ -0.01 %
Solar's Blizzcon chances changed by ~ -0.17 %
Giving this match a Blizzcon Chances Lost Score of -0.545097

Group C
PartinG's Blizzcon chances changed by ~ -0.06 %
INnoVation's Blizzcon chances changed by ~ 0.6 %
Maru's Blizzcon chances changed by ~ -0.22 %
Stats's Blizzcon chances changed by ~ -0.02 %
Giving this match a Blizzcon Chances Lost Score of -0.296031

Group D
DongRaeGu's Blizzcon chances changed by ~ 0.03 %
Flash's Blizzcon chances changed by ~ 0.1 %
soO's Blizzcon chances changed by ~ 1.79 %
TRUE's Blizzcon chances changed by ~ -0.01 %
Giving this match a Blizzcon Chances Lost Score of -1.91951

Which means the groups go in this order for the Blizzcon Chances Lost Scores
A > C > B > D

+ Show Spoiler [Effects] +

Group A
When Soulkey wins this match, their Blizzcon chances go up by ~ 2.46 %
When Soulkey loses this match, their Blizzcon chances go down by ~ 2.03 %
When Reality wins this match, their Blizzcon chances go up by ~ 0.78 %
When Reality loses this match, their Blizzcon chances go down by ~ 0.61 %
When Zest wins this match, their Blizzcon chances go up by ~ 0 %
When Zest loses this match, their Blizzcon chances go down by ~ 0 %
When Cure wins this match, their Blizzcon chances go up by ~ 0.64 %
When Cure loses this match, their Blizzcon chances go down by ~ 0.73 %
Giving this match an Effects Score of 7.24434

Group B
When Rain wins this match, their Blizzcon chances go up by ~ 11.16 %
When Rain loses this match, their Blizzcon chances go down by ~ 17.82 %
When sOs wins this match, their Blizzcon chances go up by ~ 5.19 %
When sOs loses this match, their Blizzcon chances go down by ~ 6.24 %
When EffOrt wins this match, their Blizzcon chances go up by ~ 0.06 %
When EffOrt loses this match, their Blizzcon chances go down by ~ 0.03 %
When Solar wins this match, their Blizzcon chances go up by ~ 7.13 %
When Solar loses this match, their Blizzcon chances go down by ~ 7.83 %
Giving this match an Effects Score of 55.4508

Group C
When PartinG wins this match, their Blizzcon chances go up by ~ 8.19 %
When PartinG loses this match, their Blizzcon chances go down by ~ 9.17 %
When INnoVation wins this match, their Blizzcon chances go up by ~ 7.85 %
When INnoVation loses this match, their Blizzcon chances go down by ~ 12.87 %
When Maru wins this match, their Blizzcon chances go up by ~ 6.85 %
When Maru loses this match, their Blizzcon chances go down by ~ 6.72 %
When Stats wins this match, their Blizzcon chances go up by ~ 0.22 %
When Stats loses this match, their Blizzcon chances go down by ~ 0.12 %
Giving this match an Effects Score of 51.9908

Group D
When DongRaeGu wins this match, their Blizzcon chances go up by ~ 2.85 %
When DongRaeGu loses this match, their Blizzcon chances go down by ~ 2.5 %
When Flash wins this match, their Blizzcon chances go up by ~ 4.92 %
When Flash loses this match, their Blizzcon chances go down by ~ 6.59 %
When soO wins this match, their Blizzcon chances go up by ~ 16.93 %
When soO loses this match, their Blizzcon chances go down by ~ 18.29 %
When TRUE wins this match, their Blizzcon chances go up by ~ 3.42 %
When TRUE loses this match, their Blizzcon chances go down by ~ 2.7 %
Giving this match an Effects Score of 58.2083

Which means the groups go in this order for Effects Scores
D > B > C > A

+ Show Spoiler [Aligulac Ratings] +

Group A
Soulkey has an overall Aligulac rating of 1938
Reality has an overall Aligulac rating of 1814
Zest has an overall Aligulac rating of 2030
Cure has an overall Aligulac rating of 1898
Giving this match an Aligulac Score of 7680

Group B
Rain has an overall Aligulac rating of 2110
sOs has an overall Aligulac rating of 2049
EffOrt has an overall Aligulac rating of 1740
Solar has an overall Aligulac rating of 2006
Giving this match an Aligulac Score of 7905

Group C
PartinG has an overall Aligulac rating of 1989
INnoVation has an overall Aligulac rating of 2102
Maru has an overall Aligulac rating of 1944
Stats has an overall Aligulac rating of 1812
Giving this match an Aligulac Score of 7847

Group D
DongRaeGu has an overall Aligulac rating of 1891
Flash has an overall Aligulac rating of 2014
soO has an overall Aligulac rating of 1894
TRUE has an overall Aligulac rating of 1797
Giving this match an Aligulac Score of 7596

Which means the groups go in this order for Aligulac Scores
B > C > A > D


Group A has a 1st place, a 2nd place, two 3rd places, and a 4th place
Group B has three 1st places, a 2nd place, and a 3rd place
Group C has three 2nd places, a 3rd place, and a 4th place
Group D has a 1st place, a 3rd place, and three 4th places

Group B is our Group of Death! Congrats to Rain, sOs, EffOrt, and Solar! Group A is our NEW 2nd place Group of Death with Zest, Soulkey, Reality, and Cure!

What do you think?
Poll: Group of Death?

Group C (416)
 
67%

Group D (89)
 
14%

Group B (81)
 
13%

Group A (36)
 
6%

622 total votes

Your vote: Group of Death?

(Vote): Group A
(Vote): Group B
(Vote): Group C
(Vote): Group D




Remember to check the website for much more frequent updates!
http://sc2.4ever.tv
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