|
--------UPDATE Wednesday, Aug 06 5:35pm GMT (GMT+00:00) WCS EU Ro32 Previews and Group of Death Analysis! Here's the current Top 25 by Blizzcon Chances.
-
MC, is at ~ 100 %, Min WCS Points: 5100
-
HyuN (ROCCAT), is at ~ 100 %, Min WCS Points: 4875
-
StarDust (mYinsanity), is at ~ 100 %, Min WCS Points: 4225
-
San (Yoe), is at ~ 100 %, Min WCS Points: 4075
-
TaeJa (Liquid), is at ~ 100 %, Min WCS Points: 4025
-
Polt (CM Storm), is at ~ 100 %, Min WCS Points: 3825
-
Bomber, is at ~ 99.99 %, Min WCS Points: 3250
-
Zest (KT), is at ~ 99.93 %, Min WCS Points: 3150
-
sOs (Jinair), is at ~ 96.41 %, Min WCS Points: 2350
-
jjakji (mYinsanity), is at ~ 96.27 %, Min WCS Points: 2850
-
Jaedong (EG), is at ~ 94.78 %, Min WCS Points: 2700
-
Classic (SKT T1), is at ~ 74.3 %, Min WCS Points: 2650
-
Life (StarTale), is at ~ 70.42 %, Min WCS Points: 2750
-
herO (CJ Entus), is at ~ 54.32 %, Min WCS Points: 2300
-
soO (SKT T1), is at ~ 52.73 %, Min WCS Points: 2250
-
Pigbaby (Jinair), is at ~ 50.12 %, Min WCS Points: 2200
-
Snute (Liquid), is at ~ 21.46 %, Min WCS Points: 2000
-
Scarlett (Acer), is at ~ 20.22 %, Min WCS Points: 1300
-
Bunny (Liquid), is at ~ 13.77 %, Min WCS Points: 1550
-
INnoVation (Acer), is at ~ 13.67 %, Min WCS Points: 1325
-
PartinG (SKT T1), is at ~ 12.22 %, Min WCS Points: 1100
-
MMA (Acer), is at ~ 11.96 %, Min WCS Points: 1875
-
ForGG (Millenium), is at ~ 10.57 %, Min WCS Points: 1575
-
Rain (SKT T1), is at ~ 9.92 %, Min WCS Points: 1425
-
Solar (Galaxy), is at ~ 9.34 %, Min WCS Points: 1375
WCS Point Cutoffs + Show Spoiler [WCS Point Cutoffs] + ~ 0 % of the time 2,175 points is enough to qualify for Blizzcon ~ 0.01 % of the time 2,200 points is enough to qualify for Blizzcon ~ 0.17 % of the time 2,300 points is enough to qualify for Blizzcon ~ 2.75 % of the time 2,500 points is enough to qualify for Blizzcon ~ 45.85 % of the time 2,750 points is enough to qualify for Blizzcon ~ 50.35 % of the time 2,775 points is enough to qualify for Blizzcon ~ 69.84 % of the time 2,875 points is enough to qualify for Blizzcon ~ 82.27 % of the time 2,950 points is enough to qualify for Blizzcon ~ 94.07 % of the time 3,050 points is enough to qualify for Blizzcon ~ 100 % of the time 3,775 points is enough to qualify for Blizzcon
Biggest winners and losers + Show Spoiler [Biggest Winners] + Scarlett went up by ~ 7.21 %, going from ~ 13.01 % to ~ 20.22 % Bunny went up by ~ 6.89 %, going from ~ 6.87 % to ~ 13.77 % sOs went up by ~ 6.58 %, going from ~ 89.83 % to ~ 96.41 % Jaedong went up by ~ 6.2 %, going from ~ 88.58 % to ~ 94.78 % Pigbaby went up by ~ 5.86 %, going from ~ 44.26 % to ~ 50.12 % MajOr went up by ~ 1.87 %, going from ~ 2.73 % to ~ 4.6 % YoDa went up by ~ 1.11 %, going from ~ 1.57 % to ~ 2.68 % First went up by ~ 0.85 %, going from ~ 5.92 % to ~ 6.78 % Jim went up by ~ 0.5 %, going from ~ 1.33 % to ~ 1.83 % + Show Spoiler [Biggest Losers] + Classic went down by ~ 15.22 %, going from ~ 89.52 % to ~ 74.3 % Life went down by ~ 2.56 %, going from ~ 72.98 % to ~ 70.42 % Snute went down by ~ 2.48 %, going from ~ 23.94 % to ~ 21.46 % MMA went down by ~ 2.45 %, going from ~ 14.41 % to ~ 11.96 % soO went down by ~ 1.75 %, going from ~ 54.47 % to ~ 52.73 % herO went down by ~ 1.72 %, going from ~ 56.04 % to ~ 54.32 % Oz went down by ~ 1.44 %, going from ~ 1.57 % to ~ 0.13 % HerO went down by ~ 1.39 %, going from ~ 9.03 % to ~ 7.64 % viOLet went down by ~ 0.93 %, going from ~ 6.8 % to ~ 5.86 % Patience went down by ~ 0.87 %, going from ~ 6.09 % to ~ 5.21 % PartinG went down by ~ 0.65 %, going from ~ 12.87 % to ~ 12.22 % Solar went down by ~ 0.54 %, going from ~ 9.88 % to ~ 9.34 %
Also notice that we had some headband trades in GSL, with Effort taking the #2 headband from Classic, and then taking the #1 headband from sOs in the first ever #1 vs #2 match! Currently Effort holds the #1 headband, and sOs holds the #2 headband, hopefully we will see another #1 vs #2 match this year.
Here are the WCS EU round of 32 previews. Starts in Golden must win this! Dayshi must win this! + Show Spoiler [Golden, Dayshi, Nerchio, KrasS in WCS…] +WCS EU S3 Premier- Golden is at ~ 3.17 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014 ~ 57.85 % of the time Golden wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 5.4 %. ~ 42.15 % of the time Golden loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 0.12 %. ------------------------------------------------- - Dayshi is at ~ 1.47 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014 ~ 57.61 % of the time Dayshi wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 2.54 %. ~ 42.39 % of the time Dayshi loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 0.02 %. ------------------------------------------------- - Nerchio is at ~ 0.71 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014 ~ 53.77 % of the time Nerchio wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 1.32 %. ~ 46.23 % of the time Nerchio loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 0.01 %. ------------------------------------------------- - KrasS is at ~ 0.01 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014 ~ 30.77 % of the time KrasS wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 0.01 %. ~ 69.23 % of the time KrasS loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 0 %.
Starts in Patience must win this! This match is important for Snute! + Show Spoiler [StarDust, Snute, Patience, Miniraser i…] +WCS EU S3 Premier- StarDust is at ~ 100 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014 ~ 64.11 % of the time StarDust wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 100 %. ~ 35.89 % of the time StarDust loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 100 %. ------------------------------------------------- - Snute is at ~ 21.46 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014 ~ 61.25 % of the time Snute wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 31.42 %. ~ 38.75 % of the time Snute loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 5.72 %. ------------------------------------------------- - Patience is at ~ 5.21 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014 ~ 52.75 % of the time Patience wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 9.76 %. ~ 47.25 % of the time Patience loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 0.14 %. ------------------------------------------------- - Miniraser is at ~ 0.01 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014 ~ 21.89 % of the time Miniraser wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 0.01 %. ~ 78.11 % of the time Miniraser loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 0.01 %.
Starts in First must win this! YoDa must win this! This match is important for MMA! + Show Spoiler [First, MMA, YoDa, ShoWTimE in WCS EU S…] +WCS EU S3 Premier- First is at ~ 6.78 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014 ~ 59.07 % of the time First wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 11.19 %. ~ 40.93 % of the time First loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 0.41 %. ------------------------------------------------- - MMA is at ~ 11.96 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014 ~ 51.22 % of the time MMA wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 21.09 %. ~ 48.78 % of the time MMA loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 2.37 %. ------------------------------------------------- - YoDa is at ~ 2.68 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014 ~ 48.27 % of the time YoDa wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 5.47 %. ~ 51.73 % of the time YoDa loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 0.07 %. ------------------------------------------------- - ShoWTimE is at ~ 0.23 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014 ~ 41.44 % of the time ShoWTimE wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 0.54 %. ~ 58.56 % of the time ShoWTimE loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 0.01 %.
Starts in Welmu must win this! TLO must win this! + Show Spoiler [Welmu, TLO, uThermal, LiveZerg in WCS…] +WCS EU S3 Premier- Welmu is at ~ 2.5 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014 ~ 56.5 % of the time Welmu wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 4.31 %. ~ 43.5 % of the time Welmu loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 0.15 %. ------------------------------------------------- - TLO is at ~ 1.26 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014 ~ 52.89 % of the time TLO wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 2.33 %. ~ 47.11 % of the time TLO loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 0.06 %. ------------------------------------------------- - uThermal is at ~ 0.06 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014 ~ 50.61 % of the time uThermal wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 0.13 %. ~ 49.39 % of the time uThermal loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 0.01 %. ------------------------------------------------- - LiveZerg is at ~ 0.04 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014 ~ 39.99 % of the time LiveZerg wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 0.1 %. ~ 60.01 % of the time LiveZerg loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 0.01 %.
Starts in VortiX must win this! + Show Spoiler [jjakji, VortiX, Kas, Harstem in WCS EU…] +WCS EU S3 Premier- jjakji is at ~ 96.27 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014 ~ 67.26 % of the time jjakji wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 98.81 %. ~ 32.74 % of the time jjakji loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 91.05 %. ------------------------------------------------- - VortiX is at ~ 6.97 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014 ~ 63.14 % of the time VortiX wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 10.75 %. ~ 36.86 % of the time VortiX loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 0.51 %. ------------------------------------------------- - Kas is at ~ 0.03 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014 ~ 36.35 % of the time Kas wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 0.07 %. ~ 63.65 % of the time Kas loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 0.01 %. ------------------------------------------------- - Harstem is at ~ 0.13 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014 ~ 33.26 % of the time Harstem wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 0.38 %. ~ 66.74 % of the time Harstem loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 0.01 %.
Starts in Bunny must win this! + Show Spoiler [Bunny, San, MorroW, ToD in WCS EU S3 P…] +WCS EU S3 Premier- Bunny is at ~ 13.77 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014 ~ 73.1 % of the time Bunny wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 18.28 %. ~ 26.9 % of the time Bunny loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 1.49 %. ------------------------------------------------- - San is at ~ 100 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014 ~ 68.09 % of the time San wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 100 %. ~ 31.91 % of the time San loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 100 %. ------------------------------------------------- - MorroW is at ~ 0.01 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014 ~ 33.65 % of the time MorroW wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 0.02 %. ~ 66.35 % of the time MorroW loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 0.01 %. ------------------------------------------------- - ToD is at ~ 0.02 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014 ~ 25.15 % of the time ToD wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 0.08 %. ~ 74.85 % of the time ToD loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 0.01 %.
Starts in ForGG must win this! + Show Spoiler [ForGG, Bly, MaNa, BlinG in WCS EU S3 P…] +WCS EU S3 Premier- ForGG is at ~ 10.57 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014 ~ 66.44 % of the time ForGG wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 15.4 %. ~ 33.56 % of the time ForGG loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 1.01 %. ------------------------------------------------- - Bly is at ~ 0.03 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014 ~ 45.76 % of the time Bly wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 0.07 %. ~ 54.24 % of the time Bly loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 0.01 %. ------------------------------------------------- - MaNa is at ~ 0.88 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014 ~ 44.83 % of the time MaNa wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 1.95 %. ~ 55.17 % of the time MaNa loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 0.01 %. ------------------------------------------------- - BlinG is at ~ 0.06 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014 ~ 42.97 % of the time BlinG wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 0.13 %. ~ 57.03 % of the time BlinG loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 0.01 %.
Starts in + Show Spoiler [MC, Happy, Grubby, Serral in WCS EU S3…] +WCS EU S3 Premier- MC is at ~ 100 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014 ~ 67.25 % of the time MC wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 100 %. ~ 32.75 % of the time MC loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 100 %. ------------------------------------------------- - Happy is at ~ 0.77 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014 ~ 59.9 % of the time Happy wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 1.28 %. ~ 40.1 % of the time Happy loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 0.01 %. ------------------------------------------------- - Grubby is at ~ 0.07 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014 ~ 36.61 % of the time Grubby wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 0.2 %. ~ 63.39 % of the time Grubby loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 0.01 %. ------------------------------------------------- - Serral is at ~ 0.02 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014 ~ 36.24 % of the time Serral wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 0.07 %. ~ 63.76 % of the time Serral loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 0.01 %.
Winning Chances + Show Spoiler [Winning Chances] +WCS EU S3 Premier San has a ~ 9.94 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 100 % to ~ 100 % Bunny has a ~ 9.12 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 13.77 % to ~ 99.99 % jjakji has a ~ 8.05 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 96.27 % to ~ 100 % StarDust has a ~ 7.62 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 100 % to ~ 100 % ForGG has a ~ 6.95 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 10.57 % to ~ 99.99 % MC has a ~ 6.24 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 100 % to ~ 100 % Snute has a ~ 5.82 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 21.46 % to ~ 100 % First has a ~ 5.69 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 6.78 % to ~ 97.6 % VortiX has a ~ 5.49 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 6.97 % to ~ 99.9 % Patience has a ~ 5.14 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 5.21 % to ~ 92.72 % MMA has a ~ 3.91 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 11.96 % to ~ 100 % YoDa has a ~ 3.56 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 2.68 % to ~ 68.12 % Happy has a ~ 3.21 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 0.77 % to ~ 22.67 % Golden has a ~ 2.78 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 3.17 % to ~ 98.72 % Nerchio has a ~ 2.03 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 0.71 % to ~ 33.43 % Welmu has a ~ 1.99 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 2.5 % to ~ 99.86 % ShoWTimE has a ~ 1.99 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 0.23 % to ~ 10.78 % Dayshi has a ~ 1.93 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 1.47 % to ~ 71.82 % uThermal has a ~ 1.24 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 0.06 % to ~ 4.95 % TLO has a ~ 1.05 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 1.26 % to ~ 99.56 % MaNa has a ~ 0.92 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 0.88 % to ~ 90.5 % Bly has a ~ 0.83 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 0.03 % to ~ 3.68 % Harstem has a ~ 0.76 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 0.13 % to ~ 15.84 % Kas has a ~ 0.74 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 0.03 % to ~ 3.49 % BlinG has a ~ 0.7 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 0.06 % to ~ 7.68 % Serral has a ~ 0.66 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 0.02 % to ~ 3.44 % Grubby has a ~ 0.46 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 0.07 % to ~ 15.47 % LiveZerg has a ~ 0.41 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 0.04 % to ~ 9.69 % MorroW has a ~ 0.32 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 0.01 % to ~ 1.87 % ToD has a ~ 0.26 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 0.02 % to ~ 7.64 % Miniraser has a ~ 0.11 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 0.01 % to ~ 2.16 %
Who would gain the most by winning. + Show Spoiler [Winning Gains] +WCS EU S3 Premier TLO would gain ~ 98.3 % if they win, with a ~ 1.05 % chance to win, going from ~ 1.26 % to ~ 99.56 % Welmu would gain ~ 97.35 % if they win, with a ~ 1.99 % chance to win, going from ~ 2.5 % to ~ 99.86 % Golden would gain ~ 95.54 % if they win, with a ~ 2.78 % chance to win, going from ~ 3.17 % to ~ 98.72 % VortiX would gain ~ 92.92 % if they win, with a ~ 5.49 % chance to win, going from ~ 6.97 % to ~ 99.9 % First would gain ~ 90.82 % if they win, with a ~ 5.69 % chance to win, going from ~ 6.78 % to ~ 97.6 % MaNa would gain ~ 89.63 % if they win, with a ~ 0.92 % chance to win, going from ~ 0.88 % to ~ 90.5 % ForGG would gain ~ 89.43 % if they win, with a ~ 6.95 % chance to win, going from ~ 10.57 % to ~ 99.99 % MMA would gain ~ 88.04 % if they win, with a ~ 3.91 % chance to win, going from ~ 11.96 % to ~ 100 % Patience would gain ~ 87.51 % if they win, with a ~ 5.14 % chance to win, going from ~ 5.21 % to ~ 92.72 % Bunny would gain ~ 86.23 % if they win, with a ~ 9.12 % chance to win, going from ~ 13.77 % to ~ 99.99 % Snute would gain ~ 78.54 % if they win, with a ~ 5.82 % chance to win, going from ~ 21.46 % to ~ 100 % Dayshi would gain ~ 70.35 % if they win, with a ~ 1.93 % chance to win, going from ~ 1.47 % to ~ 71.82 % YoDa would gain ~ 65.44 % if they win, with a ~ 3.56 % chance to win, going from ~ 2.68 % to ~ 68.12 % Nerchio would gain ~ 32.72 % if they win, with a ~ 2.03 % chance to win, going from ~ 0.71 % to ~ 33.43 % Happy would gain ~ 21.9 % if they win, with a ~ 3.21 % chance to win, going from ~ 0.77 % to ~ 22.67 % Harstem would gain ~ 15.71 % if they win, with a ~ 0.76 % chance to win, going from ~ 0.13 % to ~ 15.84 % Grubby would gain ~ 15.39 % if they win, with a ~ 0.46 % chance to win, going from ~ 0.07 % to ~ 15.47 % ShoWTimE would gain ~ 10.56 % if they win, with a ~ 1.99 % chance to win, going from ~ 0.23 % to ~ 10.78 % LiveZerg would gain ~ 9.65 % if they win, with a ~ 0.41 % chance to win, going from ~ 0.04 % to ~ 9.69 % BlinG would gain ~ 7.62 % if they win, with a ~ 0.7 % chance to win, going from ~ 0.06 % to ~ 7.68 % ToD would gain ~ 7.62 % if they win, with a ~ 0.26 % chance to win, going from ~ 0.02 % to ~ 7.64 % uThermal would gain ~ 4.89 % if they win, with a ~ 1.24 % chance to win, going from ~ 0.06 % to ~ 4.95 % jjakji would gain ~ 3.73 % if they win, with a ~ 8.05 % chance to win, going from ~ 96.27 % to ~ 100 % Bly would gain ~ 3.64 % if they win, with a ~ 0.83 % chance to win, going from ~ 0.03 % to ~ 3.68 % Kas would gain ~ 3.46 % if they win, with a ~ 0.74 % chance to win, going from ~ 0.03 % to ~ 3.49 % Serral would gain ~ 3.42 % if they win, with a ~ 0.66 % chance to win, going from ~ 0.02 % to ~ 3.44 % Miniraser would gain ~ 2.16 % if they win, with a ~ 0.11 % chance to win, going from ~ 0.01 % to ~ 2.16 % MorroW would gain ~ 1.87 % if they win, with a ~ 0.32 % chance to win, going from ~ 0.01 % to ~ 1.87 % MC would gain ~ 0 % if they win, with a ~ 6.24 % chance to win, going from ~ 100 % to ~ 100 % StarDust would gain ~ 0 % if they win, with a ~ 7.62 % chance to win, going from ~ 100 % to ~ 100 % San would gain ~ 0 % if they win, with a ~ 9.94 % chance to win, going from ~ 100 % to ~ 100 %
And now let's do some analysis to see what the Group of Death is according to WCS Predictor. We will be looking at 5 different scores. Champion Chances Score is the chances to win the tournament for each player in the group added together. Blizzcon Chances Score is the chances to qualify for Blizzcon for each player in the group added together. Blizzcon Chances Lost Score is how much the Blizzcon Chances Score went down by because of the group drawing. Effects Score is the sum of the amount of Blizzcon chances each player would gain if they won the group, plus the amount of Blizzcon chances each player would lose if they lost the group. Aligulac Score is the overall Aligulac rating of every player in the group added together.
+ Show Spoiler [Champion Chances] + Group A Nerchio has a ~ 2.03 % chance to win WCS EU S3 Premier Golden has a ~ 2.78 % chance to win WCS EU S3 Premier KrasS has a ~ 0 % chance to win WCS EU S3 Premier Dayshi has a ~ 1.93 % chance to win WCS EU S3 Premier Giving this match a Champion Chances Score of 6.73254
Group B Snute has a ~ 5.82 % chance to win WCS EU S3 Premier StarDust has a ~ 7.62 % chance to win WCS EU S3 Premier Miniraser has a ~ 0.11 % chance to win WCS EU S3 Premier Patience has a ~ 5.14 % chance to win WCS EU S3 Premier Giving this match a Champion Chances Score of 18.6908
Group C MMA has a ~ 3.91 % chance to win WCS EU S3 Premier First has a ~ 5.69 % chance to win WCS EU S3 Premier YoDa has a ~ 3.56 % chance to win WCS EU S3 Premier ShoWTimE has a ~ 1.99 % chance to win WCS EU S3 Premier Giving this match a Champion Chances Score of 15.1603
Group D LiveZerg has a ~ 0.41 % chance to win WCS EU S3 Premier TLO has a ~ 1.05 % chance to win WCS EU S3 Premier Welmu has a ~ 1.99 % chance to win WCS EU S3 Premier uThermal has a ~ 1.24 % chance to win WCS EU S3 Premier Giving this match a Champion Chances Score of 4.69641
Group E jjakji has a ~ 8.05 % chance to win WCS EU S3 Premier Kas has a ~ 0.74 % chance to win WCS EU S3 Premier VortiX has a ~ 5.49 % chance to win WCS EU S3 Premier Harstem has a ~ 0.76 % chance to win WCS EU S3 Premier Giving this match a Champion Chances Score of 15.0329
Group F San has a ~ 9.94 % chance to win WCS EU S3 Premier MorroW has a ~ 0.32 % chance to win WCS EU S3 Premier ToD has a ~ 0.26 % chance to win WCS EU S3 Premier Bunny has a ~ 9.12 % chance to win WCS EU S3 Premier Giving this match a Champion Chances Score of 19.6304
Group G ForGG has a ~ 6.95 % chance to win WCS EU S3 Premier MaNa has a ~ 0.92 % chance to win WCS EU S3 Premier Bly has a ~ 0.83 % chance to win WCS EU S3 Premier BlinG has a ~ 0.7 % chance to win WCS EU S3 Premier Giving this match a Champion Chances Score of 9.40661
Group H MC has a ~ 6.24 % chance to win WCS EU S3 Premier Happy has a ~ 3.21 % chance to win WCS EU S3 Premier Grubby has a ~ 0.46 % chance to win WCS EU S3 Premier Serral has a ~ 0.66 % chance to win WCS EU S3 Premier Giving this match a Champion Chances Score of 10.568
Which means the groups go in this order for the Champion Chances Scores F > B > C > E
+ Show Spoiler [Blizzcon Chances] + Group A Nerchio is at ~ 0.71 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014 Golden is at ~ 3.17 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014 KrasS is at ~ 0.01 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014 Dayshi is at ~ 1.47 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014 Giving this match a Blizzcon Chances Score of 5.35915
Group B Snute is at ~ 21.46 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014 StarDust is at ~ 100 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014 Miniraser is at ~ 0.01 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014 Patience is at ~ 5.21 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014 Giving this match a Blizzcon Chances Score of 126.68
Group C MMA is at ~ 11.96 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014 First is at ~ 6.78 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014 YoDa is at ~ 2.68 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014 ShoWTimE is at ~ 0.23 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014 Giving this match a Blizzcon Chances Score of 21.6404
Group D LiveZerg is at ~ 0.04 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014 TLO is at ~ 1.26 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014 Welmu is at ~ 2.5 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014 uThermal is at ~ 0.06 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014 Giving this match a Blizzcon Chances Score of 3.86621
Group E jjakji is at ~ 96.27 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014 Kas is at ~ 0.03 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014 VortiX is at ~ 6.97 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014 Harstem is at ~ 0.13 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014 Giving this match a Blizzcon Chances Score of 103.394
Group F San is at ~ 100 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014 MorroW is at ~ 0.01 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014 ToD is at ~ 0.02 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014 Bunny is at ~ 13.77 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014 Giving this match a Blizzcon Chances Score of 113.792
Group G ForGG is at ~ 10.57 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014 MaNa is at ~ 0.88 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014 Bly is at ~ 0.03 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014 BlinG is at ~ 0.06 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014 Giving this match a Blizzcon Chances Score of 11.5379
Group H MC is at ~ 100 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014 Happy is at ~ 0.77 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014 Grubby is at ~ 0.07 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014 Serral is at ~ 0.02 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014 Giving this match a Blizzcon Chances Score of 100.867
Which means the groups go in this order for the Blizzcon Chances Scores B > F > E > H
+ Show Spoiler [Blizzcon Chances Lost] + Group A Nerchio's Blizzcon chances changed by ~ 0.01 % Golden's Blizzcon chances changed by ~ 0.12 % KrasS's Blizzcon chances changed by ~ 0.01 % Dayshi's Blizzcon chances changed by ~ 0.18 % Giving this match a Blizzcon Chances Lost Score of -0.301627
Group B Snute's Blizzcon chances changed by ~ -0.29 % StarDust's Blizzcon chances changed by ~ 0 % Miniraser's Blizzcon chances changed by ~ -0.01 % Patience's Blizzcon chances changed by ~ -0.6 % Giving this match a Blizzcon Chances Lost Score of 0.884693
Group C MMA's Blizzcon chances changed by ~ -0.72 % First's Blizzcon chances changed by ~ -0.36 % YoDa's Blizzcon chances changed by ~ -0.57 % ShoWTimE's Blizzcon chances changed by ~ -0.05 % Giving this match a Blizzcon Chances Lost Score of 1.7
Group D LiveZerg's Blizzcon chances changed by ~ 0.01 % TLO's Blizzcon chances changed by ~ 0.2 % Welmu's Blizzcon chances changed by ~ 0.18 % uThermal's Blizzcon chances changed by ~ 0.01 % Giving this match a Blizzcon Chances Lost Score of -0.39356
Group E jjakji's Blizzcon chances changed by ~ 0.46 % Kas's Blizzcon chances changed by ~ -0.01 % VortiX's Blizzcon chances changed by ~ 0.04 % Harstem's Blizzcon chances changed by ~ -0.03 % Giving this match a Blizzcon Chances Lost Score of -0.464677
Group F San's Blizzcon chances changed by ~ 0 % MorroW's Blizzcon chances changed by ~ 0.01 % ToD's Blizzcon chances changed by ~ -0.01 % Bunny's Blizzcon chances changed by ~ 1.3 % Giving this match a Blizzcon Chances Lost Score of -1.29217
Group G ForGG's Blizzcon chances changed by ~ 0.2 % MaNa's Blizzcon chances changed by ~ -0.02 % Bly's Blizzcon chances changed by ~ 0.01 % BlinG's Blizzcon chances changed by ~ 0.01 % Giving this match a Blizzcon Chances Lost Score of -0.187253
Group H MC's Blizzcon chances changed by ~ 0 % Happy's Blizzcon chances changed by ~ 0.08 % Grubby's Blizzcon chances changed by ~ -0.01 % Serral's Blizzcon chances changed by ~ -0.01 % Giving this match a Blizzcon Chances Lost Score of -0.0652467
Which means the groups go in this order for the Blizzcon Chances Lost Scores C > B > H > A
+ Show Spoiler [Effects] + Group A When Nerchio wins this match, their Blizzcon chances go up by ~ 0.61 % When Nerchio loses this match, their Blizzcon chances go down by ~ 0.71 % When Golden wins this match, their Blizzcon chances go up by ~ 2.22 % When Golden loses this match, their Blizzcon chances go down by ~ 3.05 % When KrasS wins this match, their Blizzcon chances go up by ~ 0.01 % When KrasS loses this match, their Blizzcon chances go down by ~ 0.01 % When Dayshi wins this match, their Blizzcon chances go up by ~ 1.07 % When Dayshi loses this match, their Blizzcon chances go down by ~ 1.45 % Giving this match an Effects Score of 9.10676
Group B When Snute wins this match, their Blizzcon chances go up by ~ 9.96 % When Snute loses this match, their Blizzcon chances go down by ~ 15.74 % When StarDust wins this match, their Blizzcon chances go up by ~ 0 % When StarDust loses this match, their Blizzcon chances go down by ~ 0 % When Miniraser wins this match, their Blizzcon chances go up by ~ 0.01 % When Miniraser loses this match, their Blizzcon chances go down by ~ 0.01 % When Patience wins this match, their Blizzcon chances go up by ~ 4.55 % When Patience loses this match, their Blizzcon chances go down by ~ 5.08 % Giving this match an Effects Score of 35.3358
Group C When MMA wins this match, their Blizzcon chances go up by ~ 9.13 % When MMA loses this match, their Blizzcon chances go down by ~ 9.59 % When First wins this match, their Blizzcon chances go up by ~ 4.41 % When First loses this match, their Blizzcon chances go down by ~ 6.37 % When YoDa wins this match, their Blizzcon chances go up by ~ 2.79 % When YoDa loses this match, their Blizzcon chances go down by ~ 2.6 % When ShoWTimE wins this match, their Blizzcon chances go up by ~ 0.32 % When ShoWTimE loses this match, their Blizzcon chances go down by ~ 0.22 % Giving this match an Effects Score of 35.4283
Group D When LiveZerg wins this match, their Blizzcon chances go up by ~ 0.06 % When LiveZerg loses this match, their Blizzcon chances go down by ~ 0.04 % When TLO wins this match, their Blizzcon chances go up by ~ 1.07 % When TLO loses this match, their Blizzcon chances go down by ~ 1.2 % When Welmu wins this match, their Blizzcon chances go up by ~ 1.81 % When Welmu loses this match, their Blizzcon chances go down by ~ 2.35 % When uThermal wins this match, their Blizzcon chances go up by ~ 0.06 % When uThermal loses this match, their Blizzcon chances go down by ~ 0.06 % Giving this match an Effects Score of 6.6645
Group E When jjakji wins this match, their Blizzcon chances go up by ~ 2.54 % When jjakji loses this match, their Blizzcon chances go down by ~ 5.22 % When Kas wins this match, their Blizzcon chances go up by ~ 0.05 % When Kas loses this match, their Blizzcon chances go down by ~ 0.03 % When VortiX wins this match, their Blizzcon chances go up by ~ 3.77 % When VortiX loses this match, their Blizzcon chances go down by ~ 6.46 % When Harstem wins this match, their Blizzcon chances go up by ~ 0.25 % When Harstem loses this match, their Blizzcon chances go down by ~ 0.13 % Giving this match an Effects Score of 18.448
Group F When San wins this match, their Blizzcon chances go up by ~ 0 % When San loses this match, their Blizzcon chances go down by ~ 0 % When MorroW wins this match, their Blizzcon chances go up by ~ 0.01 % When MorroW loses this match, their Blizzcon chances go down by ~ 0.01 % When ToD wins this match, their Blizzcon chances go up by ~ 0.06 % When ToD loses this match, their Blizzcon chances go down by ~ 0.02 % When Bunny wins this match, their Blizzcon chances go up by ~ 4.52 % When Bunny loses this match, their Blizzcon chances go down by ~ 12.27 % Giving this match an Effects Score of 16.8887
Group G When ForGG wins this match, their Blizzcon chances go up by ~ 4.83 % When ForGG loses this match, their Blizzcon chances go down by ~ 9.57 % When MaNa wins this match, their Blizzcon chances go up by ~ 1.07 % When MaNa loses this match, their Blizzcon chances go down by ~ 0.87 % When Bly wins this match, their Blizzcon chances go up by ~ 0.04 % When Bly loses this match, their Blizzcon chances go down by ~ 0.03 % When BlinG wins this match, their Blizzcon chances go up by ~ 0.07 % When BlinG loses this match, their Blizzcon chances go down by ~ 0.06 % Giving this match an Effects Score of 16.532
Group H When MC wins this match, their Blizzcon chances go up by ~ 0 % When MC loses this match, their Blizzcon chances go down by ~ 0 % When Happy wins this match, their Blizzcon chances go up by ~ 0.51 % When Happy loses this match, their Blizzcon chances go down by ~ 0.76 % When Grubby wins this match, their Blizzcon chances go up by ~ 0.13 % When Grubby loses this match, their Blizzcon chances go down by ~ 0.07 % When Serral wins this match, their Blizzcon chances go up by ~ 0.04 % When Serral loses this match, their Blizzcon chances go down by ~ 0.02 % Giving this match an Effects Score of 1.53186
Which means the groups go in this order for Effects Scores C > B > E > F
+ Show Spoiler [Aligulac Ratings] + Group A Nerchio has an overall Aligulac rating of 1728 Golden has an overall Aligulac rating of 1773 KrasS has an overall Aligulac rating of 1339 Dayshi has an overall Aligulac rating of 1713 Giving this match an Aligulac Score of 6553
Group B Snute has an overall Aligulac rating of 1956 StarDust has an overall Aligulac rating of 1940 Miniraser has an overall Aligulac rating of 1379 Patience has an overall Aligulac rating of 1878 Giving this match an Aligulac Score of 7153
Group C MMA has an overall Aligulac rating of 1876 First has an overall Aligulac rating of 1875 YoDa has an overall Aligulac rating of 1872 ShoWTimE has an overall Aligulac rating of 1718 Giving this match an Aligulac Score of 7341
Group D LiveZerg has an overall Aligulac rating of 1496 TLO has an overall Aligulac rating of 1610 Welmu has an overall Aligulac rating of 1659 uThermal has an overall Aligulac rating of 1644 Giving this match an Aligulac Score of 6409
Group E jjakji has an overall Aligulac rating of 2006 Kas has an overall Aligulac rating of 1594 VortiX has an overall Aligulac rating of 1914 Harstem has an overall Aligulac rating of 1567 Giving this match an Aligulac Score of 7081
Group F San has an overall Aligulac rating of 2032 MorroW has an overall Aligulac rating of 1469 ToD has an overall Aligulac rating of 1446 Bunny has an overall Aligulac rating of 2027 Giving this match an Aligulac Score of 6974
Group G ForGG has an overall Aligulac rating of 1962 MaNa has an overall Aligulac rating of 1551 Bly has an overall Aligulac rating of 1591 BlinG has an overall Aligulac rating of 1514 Giving this match an Aligulac Score of 6618
Group H MC has an overall Aligulac rating of 1902 Happy has an overall Aligulac rating of 1781 Grubby has an overall Aligulac rating of 1490 Serral has an overall Aligulac rating of 1591 Giving this match an Aligulac Score of 6764
Which means the groups go in this order for Aligulac Scores C > B > E > F
Group A has a 4th place Group B has a 1st place, and 4 2nd places Group C has three 1st places, and a 3rd place Group D has no top 4 placings Group E has three 3rd places, and a 4th place Group F has a 1st place, a 2nd place, and two 4th places Group G has no top 4 placings Group H has a 3rd place, and a 4th place
Group C is our Group of Death! Congrats to MMA, First, YoDa, and ShoWTimE! Group B wins the 2nd place Group of Death with Snute, StarDust, Miniraser, and Patience.
What do you think?
Poll: Hardest group?Group A (Golden, Nerchio, Dayshi, KrasS) (7) 3% Group B (StarDust, Snute, Patience, Miniraser) (46) 21% Group C (First, YoDa, MMa, ShoWTimE) (126) 57% Group D (Welmu, LiveZerg, TLO, uThermal) (3) 1% Group E (VortiX, Harstem, jjakji, Kas) (17) 8% Group F (San, ToD, Bunny, MorroW) (7) 3% Group G (ForGG, MaNa, BlinG, Bly) (1) 0% Group H (MC, Grubby, Happy, Serral) (13) 6% 220 total votes Your vote: Hardest group? (Vote): Group A (Golden, Nerchio, Dayshi, KrasS) (Vote): Group B (StarDust, Snute, Patience, Miniraser) (Vote): Group C (First, YoDa, MMa, ShoWTimE) (Vote): Group D (Welmu, LiveZerg, TLO, uThermal) (Vote): Group E (VortiX, Harstem, jjakji, Kas) (Vote): Group F (San, ToD, Bunny, MorroW) (Vote): Group G (ForGG, MaNa, BlinG, Bly) (Vote): Group H (MC, Grubby, Happy, Serral)
Remember to check the website for much more frequent updates! http://sc2.4ever.tv -----------------------
|
--------UPDATE Tuesday, Aug 12 4:35pm GMT (GMT+00:00) IEM and Red Bull Updates! In this update I added the results of the IEM Toronto qualifiers with Zest and Flash qualifying, added Red Bull Detroit replacing Placeholder Tournament 3, and I added the seed for the winner of Red Bull Detroit to Red Bull Washington.
Here's the current Top 25 by Blizzcon Chances.
-
HyuN (ROCCAT), is at ~ 100 %, Min WCS Points: 5375
-
MC, is at ~ 100 %, Min WCS Points: 5100
-
StarDust (mYinsanity), is at ~ 100 %, Min WCS Points: 4225
-
San (Yoe), is at ~ 100 %, Min WCS Points: 4075
-
TaeJa (Liquid), is at ~ 100 %, Min WCS Points: 4025
-
Polt (CM Storm), is at ~ 100 %, Min WCS Points: 3825
-
Bomber, is at ~ 99.99 %, Min WCS Points: 3500
-
Zest (KT), is at ~ 99.99 %, Min WCS Points: 3275
-
Jaedong (EG), is at ~ 98.19 %, Min WCS Points: 2950
-
sOs (Jinair), is at ~ 95.41 %, Min WCS Points: 2350
-
jjakji (mYinsanity), is at ~ 95.17 %, Min WCS Points: 2850
-
Classic (SKT T1), is at ~ 69.93 %, Min WCS Points: 2650
-
Life (StarTale), is at ~ 63.7 %, Min WCS Points: 2750
-
herO (CJ Entus), is at ~ 50.71 %, Min WCS Points: 2300
-
soO (SKT T1), is at ~ 50.6 %, Min WCS Points: 2250
-
Pigbaby (Jinair), is at ~ 46.89 %, Min WCS Points: 2200
-
Scarlett (Acer), is at ~ 44.05 %, Min WCS Points: 1400
-
Snute (Liquid), is at ~ 18.78 %, Min WCS Points: 2000
-
INnoVation (Acer), is at ~ 17.92 %, Min WCS Points: 1425
-
Bunny (Liquid), is at ~ 13.27 %, Min WCS Points: 1550
-
viOLet, is at ~ 12.02 %, Min WCS Points: 1775
-
Maru (Jinair), is at ~ 10.65 %, Min WCS Points: 1550
-
ForGG (Millenium), is at ~ 10.2 %, Min WCS Points: 1575
-
MMA (Acer), is at ~ 10.08 %, Min WCS Points: 1875
-
Rain (SKT T1), is at ~ 9.74 %, Min WCS Points: 1425
WCS Point Cutoffs + Show Spoiler [WCS Point Cutoffs] + ~ 0 % of the time 2,175 points is enough to qualify for Blizzcon ~ 0.01 % of the time 2,200 points is enough to qualify for Blizzcon ~ 0.09 % of the time 2,300 points is enough to qualify for Blizzcon ~ 1.84 % of the time 2,500 points is enough to qualify for Blizzcon ~ 41.07 % of the time 2,750 points is enough to qualify for Blizzcon ~ 51.71 % of the time 2,825 points is enough to qualify for Blizzcon ~ 72.09 % of the time 2,900 points is enough to qualify for Blizzcon ~ 86.03 % of the time 3,000 points is enough to qualify for Blizzcon ~ 96.69 % of the time 3,125 points is enough to qualify for Blizzcon ~ 100 % of the time 3,800 points is enough to qualify for Blizzcon
Biggest winners and losers + Show Spoiler [Biggest Winners] + Scarlett went up by ~ 16.62 %, going from ~ 27.43 % to ~ 44.05 % MajOr went up by ~ 1.47 %, going from ~ 2.64 % to ~ 4.11 % + Show Spoiler [Biggest Losers] + Life went down by ~ 2.61 %, going from ~ 66.31 % to ~ 63.7 % herO went down by ~ 1.97 %, going from ~ 52.68 % to ~ 50.71 % Classic went down by ~ 1.84 %, going from ~ 71.77 % to ~ 69.93 % soO went down by ~ 1.65 %, going from ~ 52.25 % to ~ 50.6 % Pigbaby went down by ~ 1.61 %, going from ~ 48.5 % to ~ 46.89 % Snute went down by ~ 1.3 %, going from ~ 20.08 % to ~ 18.78 % viOLet went down by ~ 1.19 %, going from ~ 13.2 % to ~ 12.02 % MMA went down by ~ 0.7 %, going from ~ 10.77 % to ~ 10.08 % sOs went down by ~ 0.63 %, going from ~ 96.04 % to ~ 95.41 % HerO went down by ~ 0.52 %, going from ~ 6.54 % to ~ 6.02 % PartinG went down by ~ 0.51 %, going from ~ 9.41 % to ~ 8.9 % Bunny went down by ~ 0.5 %, going from ~ 13.77 % to ~ 13.27 % These changes had some big effects, probably mostly because of the removal of Placeholder Tournament 3, we are now down to just 2 placeholder tournaments.
IEM Toronto Winning Chances + Show Spoiler [Winning Chances] +IEM Toronto TaeJa has a ~ 11.76 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 100 % to ~ 100 % sOs has a ~ 10.93 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 95.42 % to ~ 99.97 % HyuN has a ~ 10.43 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 100 % to ~ 100 % Polt has a ~ 9.01 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 100 % to ~ 100 % Zest has a ~ 8.76 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 99.99 % to ~ 100 % Scarlett has a ~ 8.57 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 44.04 % to ~ 73.5 % MC has a ~ 6.31 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 100 % to ~ 100 % First has a ~ 6.26 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 6.62 % to ~ 9.98 % Flash has a ~ 5.61 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 0.64 % to ~ 2.86 % YoDa has a ~ 5.34 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 2.49 % to ~ 4.75 % viOLet has a ~ 3.88 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 12.02 % to ~ 38.41 % MaSa has a ~ 2.52 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 0.01 % to ~ 0.02 % Sacsri has a ~ 0.39 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 0.32 % to ~ 2.91 % INnoVation has a ~ 0.38 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 17.91 % to ~ 39.77 % herO has a ~ 0.3 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 50.72 % to ~ 98.85 % Rain has a ~ 0.3 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 9.74 % to ~ 30.03 % San has a ~ 0.27 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 100 % to ~ 100 % Bunny has a ~ 0.25 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 13.28 % to ~ 42.41 % PartinG has a ~ 0.25 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 8.9 % to ~ 30.51 % Solar has a ~ 0.24 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 8.01 % to ~ 25.66 % jjakji has a ~ 0.24 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 95.17 % to ~ 100 % KingKong has a ~ 0.2 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 0.01 % to ~ 0.11 % Maru has a ~ 0.2 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 10.66 % to ~ 37.5 % ForGG has a ~ 0.2 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 10.2 % to ~ 38.37 % Life has a ~ 0.19 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 63.7 % to ~ 100 % Dear has a ~ 0.19 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 5.74 % to ~ 23.84 % Snute has a ~ 0.17 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 18.78 % to ~ 78.64 % DongRaeGu has a ~ 0.16 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 1.18 % to ~ 5.32 % VortiX has a ~ 0.16 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 6.96 % to ~ 21.55 % Soulkey has a ~ 0.15 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 1.88 % to ~ 5.97 % Patience has a ~ 0.14 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 4.64 % to ~ 9.5 % Classic has a ~ 0.13 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 69.92 % to ~ 99.98 % Jaedong has a ~ 0.13 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 98.19 % to ~ 100 % Leenock has a ~ 0.13 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 0.09 % to ~ 1.32 % MMA has a ~ 0.12 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 10.08 % to ~ 54.03 % soO has a ~ 0.12 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 50.6 % to ~ 98.41 % TY has a ~ 0.11 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 0.15 % to ~ 2.04 % Trap has a ~ 0.1 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 0.58 % to ~ 9.98 % RagnaroK has a ~ 0.1 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 0.01 % to ~ 0.27 % Bbyong has a ~ 0.09 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 0.6 % to ~ 3.18 % Hurricane has a ~ 0.09 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 0.12 % to ~ 1.5 % Happy has a ~ 0.09 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 0.65 % to ~ 4.01 % Cure has a ~ 0.08 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 0.15 % to ~ 2.76 % Avenge has a ~ 0.08 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 0.04 % to ~ 0.76 % Golden has a ~ 0.08 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 3.2 % to ~ 10.14 % MajOr has a ~ 0.08 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 4.11 % to ~ 14.74 % Stats has a ~ 0.07 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 0.1 % to ~ 1.88 % Trust has a ~ 0.07 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 0.06 % to ~ 0.98 % Pigbaby has a ~ 0.07 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 46.89 % to ~ 97.25 % TRUE has a ~ 0.07 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 1.38 % to ~ 6.74 % Jim has a ~ 0.07 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 1.47 % to ~ 5.79 %
Who would gain the most by winning IEM Toronto. + Show Spoiler [Winning Gains] +IEM Toronto Snute would gain ~ 59.85 % if they win, with a ~ 0.17 % chance to win, going from ~ 18.78 % to ~ 78.64 % Pigbaby would gain ~ 50.36 % if they win, with a ~ 0.07 % chance to win, going from ~ 46.89 % to ~ 97.25 % herO would gain ~ 48.13 % if they win, with a ~ 0.3 % chance to win, going from ~ 50.72 % to ~ 98.85 % soO would gain ~ 47.81 % if they win, with a ~ 0.12 % chance to win, going from ~ 50.6 % to ~ 98.41 % MMA would gain ~ 43.96 % if they win, with a ~ 0.12 % chance to win, going from ~ 10.08 % to ~ 54.03 % HerO would gain ~ 41.76 % if they win, with a ~ 0.06 % chance to win, going from ~ 6.03 % to ~ 47.79 % Life would gain ~ 36.3 % if they win, with a ~ 0.19 % chance to win, going from ~ 63.7 % to ~ 100 % Classic would gain ~ 30.06 % if they win, with a ~ 0.13 % chance to win, going from ~ 69.92 % to ~ 99.98 % Scarlett would gain ~ 29.46 % if they win, with a ~ 8.57 % chance to win, going from ~ 44.04 % to ~ 73.5 % Bunny would gain ~ 29.13 % if they win, with a ~ 0.25 % chance to win, going from ~ 13.28 % to ~ 42.41 % ForGG would gain ~ 28.17 % if they win, with a ~ 0.2 % chance to win, going from ~ 10.2 % to ~ 38.37 % Maru would gain ~ 26.84 % if they win, with a ~ 0.2 % chance to win, going from ~ 10.66 % to ~ 37.5 % viOLet would gain ~ 26.39 % if they win, with a ~ 3.88 % chance to win, going from ~ 12.02 % to ~ 38.41 % INnoVation would gain ~ 21.86 % if they win, with a ~ 0.38 % chance to win, going from ~ 17.91 % to ~ 39.77 % PartinG would gain ~ 21.61 % if they win, with a ~ 0.25 % chance to win, going from ~ 8.9 % to ~ 30.51 % Rain would gain ~ 20.28 % if they win, with a ~ 0.3 % chance to win, going from ~ 9.74 % to ~ 30.03 % Dear would gain ~ 18.1 % if they win, with a ~ 0.19 % chance to win, going from ~ 5.74 % to ~ 23.84 % Solar would gain ~ 17.66 % if they win, with a ~ 0.24 % chance to win, going from ~ 8.01 % to ~ 25.66 % VortiX would gain ~ 14.59 % if they win, with a ~ 0.16 % chance to win, going from ~ 6.96 % to ~ 21.55 % MajOr would gain ~ 10.63 % if they win, with a ~ 0.08 % chance to win, going from ~ 4.11 % to ~ 14.74 % Trap would gain ~ 9.4 % if they win, with a ~ 0.1 % chance to win, going from ~ 0.58 % to ~ 9.98 % Heart would gain ~ 9.31 % if they win, with a ~ 0.06 % chance to win, going from ~ 4.86 % to ~ 14.17 % Welmu would gain ~ 9.3 % if they win, with a ~ 0.05 % chance to win, going from ~ 2.7 % to ~ 11.99 % Golden would gain ~ 6.95 % if they win, with a ~ 0.08 % chance to win, going from ~ 3.2 % to ~ 10.14 % TRUE would gain ~ 5.37 % if they win, with a ~ 0.07 % chance to win, going from ~ 1.38 % to ~ 6.74 % Patience would gain ~ 4.86 % if they win, with a ~ 0.14 % chance to win, going from ~ 4.64 % to ~ 9.5 % jjakji would gain ~ 4.83 % if they win, with a ~ 0.24 % chance to win, going from ~ 95.17 % to ~ 100 % sOs would gain ~ 4.56 % if they win, with a ~ 10.93 % chance to win, going from ~ 95.42 % to ~ 99.97 % Jim would gain ~ 4.32 % if they win, with a ~ 0.07 % chance to win, going from ~ 1.47 % to ~ 5.79 % DongRaeGu would gain ~ 4.14 % if they win, with a ~ 0.16 % chance to win, going from ~ 1.18 % to ~ 5.32 % Soulkey would gain ~ 4.09 % if they win, with a ~ 0.15 % chance to win, going from ~ 1.88 % to ~ 5.97 % Alicia would gain ~ 3.9 % if they win, with a ~ 0.06 % chance to win, going from ~ 0.21 % to ~ 4.11 % Sen would gain ~ 3.74 % if they win, with a ~ 0.05 % chance to win, going from ~ 0.18 % to ~ 3.92 % First would gain ~ 3.36 % if they win, with a ~ 6.26 % chance to win, going from ~ 6.62 % to ~ 9.98 % Happy would gain ~ 3.36 % if they win, with a ~ 0.09 % chance to win, going from ~ 0.65 % to ~ 4.01 % Cure would gain ~ 2.61 % if they win, with a ~ 0.08 % chance to win, going from ~ 0.15 % to ~ 2.76 % Bbyong would gain ~ 2.58 % if they win, with a ~ 0.09 % chance to win, going from ~ 0.6 % to ~ 3.18 % Sacsri would gain ~ 2.58 % if they win, with a ~ 0.39 % chance to win, going from ~ 0.32 % to ~ 2.91 % YoDa would gain ~ 2.26 % if they win, with a ~ 5.34 % chance to win, going from ~ 2.49 % to ~ 4.75 % Flash would gain ~ 2.23 % if they win, with a ~ 5.61 % chance to win, going from ~ 0.64 % to ~ 2.86 % Dayshi would gain ~ 1.99 % if they win, with a ~ 0.05 % chance to win, going from ~ 1.39 % to ~ 3.39 % ShoWTimE would gain ~ 1.99 % if they win, with a ~ 0.07 % chance to win, going from ~ 0.19 % to ~ 2.18 % Nerchio would gain ~ 1.98 % if they win, with a ~ 0.06 % chance to win, going from ~ 0.61 % to ~ 2.6 % Reality would gain ~ 1.91 % if they win, with a ~ 0.06 % chance to win, going from ~ 0.1 % to ~ 2.01 % TY would gain ~ 1.89 % if they win, with a ~ 0.11 % chance to win, going from ~ 0.15 % to ~ 2.04 % Jaedong would gain ~ 1.81 % if they win, with a ~ 0.13 % chance to win, going from ~ 98.19 % to ~ 100 % Stats would gain ~ 1.78 % if they win, with a ~ 0.07 % chance to win, going from ~ 0.1 % to ~ 1.88 % EffOrt would gain ~ 1.68 % if they win, with a ~ 0.06 % chance to win, going from ~ 0.08 % to ~ 1.76 % Hurricane would gain ~ 1.38 % if they win, with a ~ 0.09 % chance to win, going from ~ 0.12 % to ~ 1.5 % Leenock would gain ~ 1.23 % if they win, with a ~ 0.13 % chance to win, going from ~ 0.09 % to ~ 1.32 % Trust would gain ~ 0.93 % if they win, with a ~ 0.07 % chance to win, going from ~ 0.06 % to ~ 0.98 %
Red Bull Detroit Winning Chances + Show Spoiler [Winning Chances] +Red Bull Detroit HyuN has a ~ 21.23 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 100 % to ~ 100 % Scarlett has a ~ 17.84 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 44.05 % to ~ 71.97 % MajOr has a ~ 9.29 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 4.11 % to ~ 12.84 % Bails has a ~ 1.62 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 0.01 % to ~ 0.01 % Sacsri has a ~ 0.64 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 0.32 % to ~ 11.43 % INnoVation has a ~ 0.63 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 17.91 % to ~ 66.81 % herO has a ~ 0.59 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 50.72 % to ~ 99.56 % TaeJa has a ~ 0.59 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 100 % to ~ 100 % sOs has a ~ 0.59 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 95.41 % to ~ 99.99 % San has a ~ 0.58 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 100 % to ~ 100 % Rain has a ~ 0.55 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 9.74 % to ~ 55.6 % Bunny has a ~ 0.53 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 13.28 % to ~ 69.9 % KingKong has a ~ 0.52 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 0.01 % to ~ 0.4 % Zest has a ~ 0.5 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 99.99 % to ~ 100 % jjakji has a ~ 0.5 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 95.18 % to ~ 100 % Polt has a ~ 0.49 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 100 % to ~ 100 % PartinG has a ~ 0.49 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 8.9 % to ~ 30.77 % Solar has a ~ 0.49 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 8.01 % to ~ 51.06 % Dear has a ~ 0.48 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 5.73 % to ~ 49.02 % Life has a ~ 0.47 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 63.71 % to ~ 100 % StarDust has a ~ 0.46 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 100 % to ~ 100 % Snute has a ~ 0.45 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 18.78 % to ~ 91.02 % MC has a ~ 0.44 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 100 % to ~ 100 % Maru has a ~ 0.44 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 10.66 % to ~ 63.9 % ForGG has a ~ 0.43 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 10.19 % to ~ 64.28 % Jaedong has a ~ 0.42 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 98.19 % to ~ 100 % Soulkey has a ~ 0.41 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 1.88 % to ~ 12.54 % DongRaeGu has a ~ 0.41 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 1.18 % to ~ 9.68 % VortiX has a ~ 0.4 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 6.96 % to ~ 44.33 % First has a ~ 0.4 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 6.62 % to ~ 34.5 % Patience has a ~ 0.39 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 4.64 % to ~ 20.01 % Classic has a ~ 0.38 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 69.93 % to ~ 99.99 % YoDa has a ~ 0.38 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 2.49 % to ~ 13.99 % Ourk has a ~ 0.37 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 0.01 % to ~ 0.15 % Flash has a ~ 0.37 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 0.64 % to ~ 6.1 % Mvp has a ~ 0.37 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 0.01 % to ~ 0.48 % Bomber has a ~ 0.36 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 100 % to ~ 100 % Bones has a ~ 0.36 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 0 % to ~ 0 % Leenock has a ~ 0.36 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 0.09 % to ~ 6.42 % soO has a ~ 0.36 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 50.6 % to ~ 99.34 % Trap has a ~ 0.35 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 0.58 % to ~ 10.67 % MMA has a ~ 0.35 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 10.08 % to ~ 76.55 % Sora has a ~ 0.35 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 0.01 % to ~ 0.18 % TY has a ~ 0.34 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 0.15 % to ~ 2.99 % Pet has a ~ 0.33 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 0.01 % to ~ 0.3 % RagnaroK has a ~ 0.32 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 0.01 % to ~ 0.79 % Cure has a ~ 0.32 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 0.15 % to ~ 3.73 % Hurricane has a ~ 0.31 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 0.12 % to ~ 2.29 % viOLet has a ~ 0.31 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 12.02 % to ~ 80.4 % Bbyong has a ~ 0.3 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 0.6 % to ~ 6.1 % Hydra has a ~ 0.3 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 0.01 % to ~ 0.26 %
Who would gain the most by winning IEM Toronto. + Show Spoiler [Winning Gains] +Red Bull Detroit Snute would gain ~ 72.24 % if they win, with a ~ 0.45 % chance to win, going from ~ 18.78 % to ~ 91.02 % viOLet would gain ~ 68.38 % if they win, with a ~ 0.31 % chance to win, going from ~ 12.02 % to ~ 80.4 % MMA would gain ~ 66.47 % if they win, with a ~ 0.35 % chance to win, going from ~ 10.08 % to ~ 76.55 % HerO would gain ~ 64.66 % if they win, with a ~ 0.25 % chance to win, going from ~ 6.03 % to ~ 70.69 % Bunny would gain ~ 56.62 % if they win, with a ~ 0.53 % chance to win, going from ~ 13.28 % to ~ 69.9 % ForGG would gain ~ 54.09 % if they win, with a ~ 0.43 % chance to win, going from ~ 10.19 % to ~ 64.28 % Maru would gain ~ 53.25 % if they win, with a ~ 0.44 % chance to win, going from ~ 10.66 % to ~ 63.9 % Pigbaby would gain ~ 51.82 % if they win, with a ~ 0.26 % chance to win, going from ~ 46.88 % to ~ 98.71 % INnoVation would gain ~ 48.9 % if they win, with a ~ 0.63 % chance to win, going from ~ 17.91 % to ~ 66.81 % herO would gain ~ 48.84 % if they win, with a ~ 0.59 % chance to win, going from ~ 50.72 % to ~ 99.56 % soO would gain ~ 48.74 % if they win, with a ~ 0.36 % chance to win, going from ~ 50.6 % to ~ 99.34 % Rain would gain ~ 45.86 % if they win, with a ~ 0.55 % chance to win, going from ~ 9.74 % to ~ 55.6 % Dear would gain ~ 43.29 % if they win, with a ~ 0.48 % chance to win, going from ~ 5.73 % to ~ 49.02 % Solar would gain ~ 43.05 % if they win, with a ~ 0.49 % chance to win, going from ~ 8.01 % to ~ 51.06 % VortiX would gain ~ 37.36 % if they win, with a ~ 0.4 % chance to win, going from ~ 6.96 % to ~ 44.33 % Life would gain ~ 36.29 % if they win, with a ~ 0.47 % chance to win, going from ~ 63.71 % to ~ 100 % Classic would gain ~ 30.07 % if they win, with a ~ 0.38 % chance to win, going from ~ 69.93 % to ~ 99.99 % Scarlett would gain ~ 27.92 % if they win, with a ~ 17.84 % chance to win, going from ~ 44.05 % to ~ 71.97 % First would gain ~ 27.89 % if they win, with a ~ 0.4 % chance to win, going from ~ 6.62 % to ~ 34.5 % Welmu would gain ~ 25.27 % if they win, with a ~ 0.24 % chance to win, going from ~ 2.69 % to ~ 27.97 % Heart would gain ~ 23.68 % if they win, with a ~ 0.26 % chance to win, going from ~ 4.86 % to ~ 28.54 % PartinG would gain ~ 21.87 % if they win, with a ~ 0.49 % chance to win, going from ~ 8.9 % to ~ 30.77 % Golden would gain ~ 20.48 % if they win, with a ~ 0.29 % chance to win, going from ~ 3.2 % to ~ 23.68 % TRUE would gain ~ 17.44 % if they win, with a ~ 0.28 % chance to win, going from ~ 1.38 % to ~ 18.81 % Alicia would gain ~ 17.31 % if they win, with a ~ 0.23 % chance to win, going from ~ 0.21 % to ~ 17.51 % Sen would gain ~ 16.21 % if they win, with a ~ 0.24 % chance to win, going from ~ 0.18 % to ~ 16.39 % TLO would gain ~ 16.12 % if they win, with a ~ 0.18 % chance to win, going from ~ 1.26 % to ~ 17.38 % Patience would gain ~ 15.38 % if they win, with a ~ 0.39 % chance to win, going from ~ 4.64 % to ~ 20.01 % HuK would gain ~ 13.75 % if they win, with a ~ 0.22 % chance to win, going from ~ 2.51 % to ~ 16.26 % Oz would gain ~ 13.66 % if they win, with a ~ 0.17 % chance to win, going from ~ 0.11 % to ~ 13.78 % YoDa would gain ~ 11.5 % if they win, with a ~ 0.38 % chance to win, going from ~ 2.49 % to ~ 13.99 % Sacsri would gain ~ 11.11 % if they win, with a ~ 0.64 % chance to win, going from ~ 0.32 % to ~ 11.43 % Soulkey would gain ~ 10.66 % if they win, with a ~ 0.41 % chance to win, going from ~ 1.88 % to ~ 12.54 % Trap would gain ~ 10.09 % if they win, with a ~ 0.35 % chance to win, going from ~ 0.58 % to ~ 10.67 % Jim would gain ~ 9.94 % if they win, with a ~ 0.27 % chance to win, going from ~ 1.47 % to ~ 11.41 % MajOr would gain ~ 8.73 % if they win, with a ~ 9.29 % chance to win, going from ~ 4.11 % to ~ 12.84 % DongRaeGu would gain ~ 8.49 % if they win, with a ~ 0.41 % chance to win, going from ~ 1.18 % to ~ 9.68 % Dayshi would gain ~ 6.58 % if they win, with a ~ 0.26 % chance to win, going from ~ 1.39 % to ~ 7.98 % Leenock would gain ~ 6.32 % if they win, with a ~ 0.36 % chance to win, going from ~ 0.09 % to ~ 6.42 % Happy would gain ~ 5.59 % if they win, with a ~ 0.28 % chance to win, going from ~ 0.65 % to ~ 6.24 % Bbyong would gain ~ 5.51 % if they win, with a ~ 0.3 % chance to win, going from ~ 0.6 % to ~ 6.1 % Flash would gain ~ 5.46 % if they win, with a ~ 0.37 % chance to win, going from ~ 0.64 % to ~ 6.1 % MaNa would gain ~ 5.06 % if they win, with a ~ 0.14 % chance to win, going from ~ 0.86 % to ~ 5.92 % jjakji would gain ~ 4.82 % if they win, with a ~ 0.5 % chance to win, going from ~ 95.18 % to ~ 100 % Nerchio would gain ~ 4.82 % if they win, with a ~ 0.25 % chance to win, going from ~ 0.61 % to ~ 5.43 % sOs would gain ~ 4.57 % if they win, with a ~ 0.59 % chance to win, going from ~ 95.41 % to ~ 99.99 % Check would gain ~ 3.62 % if they win, with a ~ 0.19 % chance to win, going from ~ 0.26 % to ~ 3.88 % Cure would gain ~ 3.58 % if they win, with a ~ 0.32 % chance to win, going from ~ 0.15 % to ~ 3.73 % puCK would gain ~ 3.27 % if they win, with a ~ 0.13 % chance to win, going from ~ 0.4 % to ~ 3.67 % Revival would gain ~ 2.93 % if they win, with a ~ 0.16 % chance to win, going from ~ 0.02 % to ~ 2.95 % TY would gain ~ 2.85 % if they win, with a ~ 0.34 % chance to win, going from ~ 0.15 % to ~ 2.99 %
Red Bull Washington Winning Chances + Show Spoiler [Winning Chances] +Red Bull Washington sOs has a ~ 22.42 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 95.41 % to ~ 99.97 % Scarlett has a ~ 19.6 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 44.05 % to ~ 71.46 % PartinG has a ~ 18.49 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 8.9 % to ~ 14.63 % Bomber has a ~ 13.59 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 99.99 % to ~ 100 % Trap has a ~ 9.61 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 0.58 % to ~ 2.48 % HyuN has a ~ 4.43 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 100 % to ~ 100 % MajOr has a ~ 0.84 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 4.11 % to ~ 36.58 % Sacsri has a ~ 0.3 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 0.33 % to ~ 14.83 % INnoVation has a ~ 0.28 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 17.92 % to ~ 70.01 % Bunny has a ~ 0.21 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 13.28 % to ~ 70.18 % Solar has a ~ 0.21 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 8.01 % to ~ 56.69 % herO has a ~ 0.21 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 50.71 % to ~ 99.52 % Rain has a ~ 0.2 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 9.74 % to ~ 61.66 % KingKong has a ~ 0.18 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 0.01 % to ~ 0.58 % jjakji has a ~ 0.17 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 95.17 % to ~ 100 % Snute has a ~ 0.16 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 18.77 % to ~ 88.43 % Life has a ~ 0.16 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 63.7 % to ~ 100 % DongRaeGu has a ~ 0.14 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 1.18 % to ~ 12.41 % VortiX has a ~ 0.14 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 6.96 % to ~ 50.01 % Soulkey has a ~ 0.14 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 1.88 % to ~ 15.99 % Dear has a ~ 0.14 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 5.73 % to ~ 56.1 % Maru has a ~ 0.14 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 10.65 % to ~ 64.89 % First has a ~ 0.13 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 6.62 % to ~ 39.88 % ForGG has a ~ 0.13 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 10.2 % to ~ 65.04 % Jaedong has a ~ 0.13 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 98.19 % to ~ 100 % Flash has a ~ 0.11 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 0.64 % to ~ 8.12 % Patience has a ~ 0.11 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 4.64 % to ~ 25.49 % soO has a ~ 0.11 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 50.61 % to ~ 99.08 % YoDa has a ~ 0.1 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 2.5 % to ~ 18.45 % Classic has a ~ 0.1 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 69.93 % to ~ 100 % Pet has a ~ 0.1 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 0.01 % to ~ 0.43 % Leenock has a ~ 0.1 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 0.09 % to ~ 10.46 % Mvp has a ~ 0.1 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 0.01 % to ~ 0.8 % RagnaroK has a ~ 0.1 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 0.01 % to ~ 1.45 % MMA has a ~ 0.09 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 10.08 % to ~ 72.1 % viOLet has a ~ 0.09 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 12.02 % to ~ 75.77 % TY has a ~ 0.09 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 0.14 % to ~ 3.41 % Bbyong has a ~ 0.08 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 0.6 % to ~ 8.52 % Stats has a ~ 0.08 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 0.1 % to ~ 2.68 % Golden has a ~ 0.08 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 3.2 % to ~ 28.99 % Happy has a ~ 0.08 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 0.65 % to ~ 7.74 % Symbol has a ~ 0.07 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 0.01 % to ~ 0.3 % Hurricane has a ~ 0.07 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 0.12 % to ~ 2.86 % Cure has a ~ 0.07 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 0.15 % to ~ 4.21 % TRUE has a ~ 0.07 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 1.37 % to ~ 26.52 % Avenge has a ~ 0.07 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 0.04 % to ~ 1.52 % Pigbaby has a ~ 0.07 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 46.89 % to ~ 98.34 % Jim has a ~ 0.07 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 1.47 % to ~ 15.43 % Trust has a ~ 0.07 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 0.06 % to ~ 1.83 % GuMiho has a ~ 0.06 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 0.01 % to ~ 0.14 % EffOrt has a ~ 0.06 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 0.08 % to ~ 2.64 %
Who would gain the most by winning Red Bull Washington + Show Spoiler [Winning Gains] +Red Bull Washington Snute would gain ~ 69.66 % if they win, with a ~ 0.16 % chance to win, going from ~ 18.77 % to ~ 88.43 % viOLet would gain ~ 63.75 % if they win, with a ~ 0.09 % chance to win, going from ~ 12.02 % to ~ 75.77 % MMA would gain ~ 62.02 % if they win, with a ~ 0.09 % chance to win, going from ~ 10.08 % to ~ 72.1 % Bunny would gain ~ 56.9 % if they win, with a ~ 0.21 % chance to win, going from ~ 13.28 % to ~ 70.18 % ForGG would gain ~ 54.84 % if they win, with a ~ 0.13 % chance to win, going from ~ 10.2 % to ~ 65.04 % Maru would gain ~ 54.24 % if they win, with a ~ 0.14 % chance to win, going from ~ 10.65 % to ~ 64.89 % INnoVation would gain ~ 52.09 % if they win, with a ~ 0.28 % chance to win, going from ~ 17.92 % to ~ 70.01 % Rain would gain ~ 51.91 % if they win, with a ~ 0.2 % chance to win, going from ~ 9.74 % to ~ 61.66 % Pigbaby would gain ~ 51.46 % if they win, with a ~ 0.07 % chance to win, going from ~ 46.89 % to ~ 98.34 % Dear would gain ~ 50.37 % if they win, with a ~ 0.14 % chance to win, going from ~ 5.73 % to ~ 56.1 % herO would gain ~ 48.81 % if they win, with a ~ 0.21 % chance to win, going from ~ 50.71 % to ~ 99.52 % Solar would gain ~ 48.68 % if they win, with a ~ 0.21 % chance to win, going from ~ 8.01 % to ~ 56.69 % soO would gain ~ 48.47 % if they win, with a ~ 0.11 % chance to win, going from ~ 50.61 % to ~ 99.08 % VortiX would gain ~ 43.04 % if they win, with a ~ 0.14 % chance to win, going from ~ 6.96 % to ~ 50.01 % Life would gain ~ 36.3 % if they win, with a ~ 0.16 % chance to win, going from ~ 63.7 % to ~ 100 % First would gain ~ 33.26 % if they win, with a ~ 0.13 % chance to win, going from ~ 6.62 % to ~ 39.88 % MajOr would gain ~ 32.47 % if they win, with a ~ 0.84 % chance to win, going from ~ 4.11 % to ~ 36.58 % Classic would gain ~ 30.07 % if they win, with a ~ 0.1 % chance to win, going from ~ 69.93 % to ~ 100 % Sen would gain ~ 28.1 % if they win, with a ~ 0.05 % chance to win, going from ~ 0.18 % to ~ 28.28 % Scarlett would gain ~ 27.41 % if they win, with a ~ 19.6 % chance to win, going from ~ 44.05 % to ~ 71.46 % Golden would gain ~ 25.8 % if they win, with a ~ 0.08 % chance to win, going from ~ 3.2 % to ~ 28.99 % TRUE would gain ~ 25.14 % if they win, with a ~ 0.07 % chance to win, going from ~ 1.37 % to ~ 26.52 % Patience would gain ~ 20.85 % if they win, with a ~ 0.11 % chance to win, going from ~ 4.64 % to ~ 25.49 % YoDa would gain ~ 15.96 % if they win, with a ~ 0.1 % chance to win, going from ~ 2.5 % to ~ 18.45 % Sacsri would gain ~ 14.5 % if they win, with a ~ 0.3 % chance to win, going from ~ 0.33 % to ~ 14.83 % Soulkey would gain ~ 14.11 % if they win, with a ~ 0.14 % chance to win, going from ~ 1.88 % to ~ 15.99 % Jim would gain ~ 13.96 % if they win, with a ~ 0.07 % chance to win, going from ~ 1.47 % to ~ 15.43 % DongRaeGu would gain ~ 11.23 % if they win, with a ~ 0.14 % chance to win, going from ~ 1.18 % to ~ 12.41 % Leenock would gain ~ 10.36 % if they win, with a ~ 0.1 % chance to win, going from ~ 0.09 % to ~ 10.46 % Dayshi would gain ~ 9.63 % if they win, with a ~ 0.06 % chance to win, going from ~ 1.39 % to ~ 11.03 % Bbyong would gain ~ 7.93 % if they win, with a ~ 0.08 % chance to win, going from ~ 0.6 % to ~ 8.52 % Flash would gain ~ 7.49 % if they win, with a ~ 0.11 % chance to win, going from ~ 0.64 % to ~ 8.12 % Happy would gain ~ 7.09 % if they win, with a ~ 0.08 % chance to win, going from ~ 0.65 % to ~ 7.74 % Nerchio would gain ~ 6.39 % if they win, with a ~ 0.06 % chance to win, going from ~ 0.61 % to ~ 7.01 % PartinG would gain ~ 5.73 % if they win, with a ~ 18.49 % chance to win, going from ~ 8.9 % to ~ 14.63 % jjakji would gain ~ 4.83 % if they win, with a ~ 0.17 % chance to win, going from ~ 95.17 % to ~ 100 % sOs would gain ~ 4.56 % if they win, with a ~ 22.42 % chance to win, going from ~ 95.41 % to ~ 99.97 % Cure would gain ~ 4.06 % if they win, with a ~ 0.07 % chance to win, going from ~ 0.15 % to ~ 4.21 % ShoWTimE would gain ~ 3.57 % if they win, with a ~ 0.06 % chance to win, going from ~ 0.19 % to ~ 3.76 % Reality would gain ~ 3.29 % if they win, with a ~ 0.06 % chance to win, going from ~ 0.1 % to ~ 3.38 % TY would gain ~ 3.27 % if they win, with a ~ 0.09 % chance to win, going from ~ 0.14 % to ~ 3.41 % Hurricane would gain ~ 2.74 % if they win, with a ~ 0.07 % chance to win, going from ~ 0.12 % to ~ 2.86 % Stats would gain ~ 2.57 % if they win, with a ~ 0.08 % chance to win, going from ~ 0.1 % to ~ 2.68 % EffOrt would gain ~ 2.56 % if they win, with a ~ 0.06 % chance to win, going from ~ 0.08 % to ~ 2.64 % Trap would gain ~ 1.91 % if they win, with a ~ 9.61 % chance to win, going from ~ 0.58 % to ~ 2.48 % Jaedong would gain ~ 1.81 % if they win, with a ~ 0.13 % chance to win, going from ~ 98.19 % to ~ 100 % Trust would gain ~ 1.78 % if they win, with a ~ 0.07 % chance to win, going from ~ 0.06 % to ~ 1.83 % Avenge would gain ~ 1.48 % if they win, with a ~ 0.07 % chance to win, going from ~ 0.04 % to ~ 1.52 % RagnaroK would gain ~ 1.44 % if they win, with a ~ 0.1 % chance to win, going from ~ 0.01 % to ~ 1.45 % Impact would gain ~ 1.08 % if they win, with a ~ 0.06 % chance to win, going from ~ 0.01 % to ~ 1.08 % Mvp would gain ~ 0.79 % if they win, with a ~ 0.1 % chance to win, going from ~ 0.01 % to ~ 0.8 %
Remember to check the website for much more frequent updates! http://sc2.4ever.tv -----------------------
|
--------UPDATE Wednesday, Aug 13 8:45pm GMT (GMT+00:00) IEM Toronto Open Bracket Players! Here's the current Top 25 by Blizzcon Chances.
-
HyuN (ROCCAT), is at ~ 100 %, Min WCS Points: 5375
-
MC, is at ~ 100 %, Min WCS Points: 5100
-
StarDust (mYinsanity), is at ~ 100 %, Min WCS Points: 4225
-
TaeJa (Liquid), is at ~ 100 %, Min WCS Points: 4125
-
San (Yoe), is at ~ 100 %, Min WCS Points: 4075
-
Polt (CM Storm), is at ~ 100 %, Min WCS Points: 3825
-
Bomber, is at ~ 99.99 %, Min WCS Points: 3500
-
Zest (KT), is at ~ 99.99 %, Min WCS Points: 3275
-
Jaedong (EG), is at ~ 98.48 %, Min WCS Points: 2950
-
sOs (Jinair), is at ~ 95.03 %, Min WCS Points: 2350
-
jjakji (mYinsanity), is at ~ 94.86 %, Min WCS Points: 2850
-
Classic (SKT T1), is at ~ 70.19 %, Min WCS Points: 2650
-
Life (StarTale), is at ~ 61.5 %, Min WCS Points: 2750
-
herO (CJ Entus), is at ~ 48.07 %, Min WCS Points: 2300
-
soO (SKT T1), is at ~ 48.02 %, Min WCS Points: 2250
-
Pigbaby (Jinair), is at ~ 47.62 %, Min WCS Points: 2200
-
Scarlett (Acer), is at ~ 42.56 %, Min WCS Points: 1400
-
Snute (Liquid), is at ~ 24.1 %, Min WCS Points: 2000
-
INnoVation (Acer), is at ~ 17.48 %, Min WCS Points: 1425
-
Bunny (Liquid), is at ~ 16.38 %, Min WCS Points: 1550
-
Maru (Jinair), is at ~ 12.16 %, Min WCS Points: 1550
-
viOLet, is at ~ 11.21 %, Min WCS Points: 1775
-
HerO (Liquid), is at ~ 10.53 %, Min WCS Points: 1950
-
ForGG (Millenium), is at ~ 10.06 %, Min WCS Points: 1575
-
MMA (Acer), is at ~ 9.74 %, Min WCS Points: 1875
WCS Point Cutoffs + Show Spoiler [WCS Point Cutoffs] + ~ 0 % of the time 2,175 points is enough to qualify for Blizzcon ~ 0.01 % of the time 2,200 points is enough to qualify for Blizzcon ~ 0.06 % of the time 2,300 points is enough to qualify for Blizzcon ~ 1.54 % of the time 2,500 points is enough to qualify for Blizzcon ~ 40.19 % of the time 2,750 points is enough to qualify for Blizzcon ~ 51.15 % of the time 2,825 points is enough to qualify for Blizzcon ~ 71.64 % of the time 2,900 points is enough to qualify for Blizzcon ~ 85.28 % of the time 3,000 points is enough to qualify for Blizzcon ~ 96.41 % of the time 3,125 points is enough to qualify for Blizzcon ~ 100 % of the time 3,750 points is enough to qualify for Blizzcon
Biggest winners and losers + Show Spoiler [Biggest Winners] + Snute went up by ~ 5.37 %, going from ~ 18.73 % to ~ 24.1 % Bunny went up by ~ 3.1 %, going from ~ 13.28 % to ~ 16.38 % Maru went up by ~ 1.73 %, going from ~ 10.43 % to ~ 12.16 % Jaedong went up by ~ 0.61 %, going from ~ 97.88 % to ~ 98.48 % Stats went up by ~ 0.19 %, going from ~ 0.19 % to ~ 0.38 % HuK went up by ~ 0.15 %, going from ~ 2.3 % to ~ 2.45 % + Show Spoiler [Biggest Losers] + Life went down by ~ 1.51 %, going from ~ 63.01 % to ~ 61.5 % herO went down by ~ 1.11 %, going from ~ 49.18 % to ~ 48.07 % Classic went down by ~ 1.01 %, going from ~ 71.19 % to ~ 70.19 % soO went down by ~ 0.96 %, going from ~ 48.97 % to ~ 48.02 % Patience went down by ~ 0.87 %, going from ~ 4.66 % to ~ 3.8 % Scarlett went down by ~ 0.83 %, going from ~ 43.38 % to ~ 42.56 % Pigbaby went down by ~ 0.76 %, going from ~ 48.38 % to ~ 47.62 % INnoVation went down by ~ 0.47 %, going from ~ 17.95 % to ~ 17.48 % viOLet went down by ~ 0.41 %, going from ~ 11.62 % to ~ 11.21 % HerO went down by ~ 0.35 %, going from ~ 10.88 % to ~ 10.53 % jjakji went down by ~ 0.3 %, going from ~ 95.16 % to ~ 94.86 % Soulkey went down by ~ 0.29 %, going from ~ 2.99 % to ~ 2.71 % PartinG went down by ~ 0.28 %, going from ~ 8.53 % to ~ 8.25 % Rain went down by ~ 0.28 %, going from ~ 9.28 % to ~ 9.01 % sOs went down by ~ 0.23 %, going from ~ 95.26 % to ~ 95.03 % Solar went down by ~ 0.22 %, going from ~ 7.71 % to ~ 7.5 % MMA went down by ~ 0.2 %, going from ~ 9.94 % to ~ 9.74 % Dear went down by ~ 0.2 %, going from ~ 5.52 % to ~ 5.32 % Golden went down by ~ 0.13 %, going from ~ 3.19 % to ~ 3.06 % ForGG went down by ~ 0.1 %, going from ~ 10.16 % to ~ 10.06 %
IEM Toronto Open Bracket Winning Chances + Show Spoiler [Winning Chances] +IEM Toronto Open Brackets Bunny has a ~ 51.04 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 16.38 % to ~ 19.51 % StarDust has a ~ 43.85 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 100 % to ~ 100 % Maru has a ~ 43.84 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 12.16 % to ~ 14.85 % Snute has a ~ 40.32 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 24.1 % to ~ 32.5 % Jaedong has a ~ 36.03 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 98.48 % to ~ 99.74 % Leenock has a ~ 33.43 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 0.15 % to ~ 0.3 % HuK has a ~ 27.2 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 2.45 % to ~ 2.91 % Oz has a ~ 22.79 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 0.14 % to ~ 0.27 % Kane has a ~ 22.26 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 0.01 % to ~ 0.01 % Revival has a ~ 21.34 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 0.03 % to ~ 0.08 % puCK has a ~ 19.32 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 0.38 % to ~ 0.48 % hendralisk has a ~ 16.68 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 0.01 % to ~ 0.01 % desRow has a ~ 9.41 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 0 % to ~ 0 % Believe has a ~ 6.41 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 0 % to ~ 0 % Bones has a ~ 4.92 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 0 % to ~ 0 % Sasquatch has a ~ 1.17 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 0 % to ~ 0 %
Who would gain the most by winning IEM Toronto Open Bracket. + Show Spoiler [Winning Gains] +IEM Toronto Open Brackets Snute would gain ~ 8.39 % if they win, with a ~ 40.32 % chance to win, going from ~ 24.1 % to ~ 32.5 % Bunny would gain ~ 3.13 % if they win, with a ~ 51.04 % chance to win, going from ~ 16.38 % to ~ 19.51 % Maru would gain ~ 2.69 % if they win, with a ~ 43.84 % chance to win, going from ~ 12.16 % to ~ 14.85 % Jaedong would gain ~ 1.26 % if they win, with a ~ 36.03 % chance to win, going from ~ 98.48 % to ~ 99.74 % HuK would gain ~ 0.45 % if they win, with a ~ 27.2 % chance to win, going from ~ 2.45 % to ~ 2.91 % Leenock would gain ~ 0.14 % if they win, with a ~ 33.43 % chance to win, going from ~ 0.15 % to ~ 0.3 % Oz would gain ~ 0.13 % if they win, with a ~ 22.79 % chance to win, going from ~ 0.14 % to ~ 0.27 % puCK would gain ~ 0.09 % if they win, with a ~ 19.32 % chance to win, going from ~ 0.38 % to ~ 0.48 % Revival would gain ~ 0.04 % if they win, with a ~ 21.34 % chance to win, going from ~ 0.03 % to ~ 0.08 % Kane would gain ~ 0.01 % if they win, with a ~ 22.26 % chance to win, going from ~ 0.01 % to ~ 0.01 % hendralisk would gain ~ 0.01 % if they win, with a ~ 16.68 % chance to win, going from ~ 0.01 % to ~ 0.01 % StarDust would gain ~ 0 % if they win, with a ~ 43.85 % chance to win, going from ~ 100 % to ~ 100 % desRow would gain ~ 0 % if they win, with a ~ 9.41 % chance to win, going from ~ 0 % to ~ 0 % Believe would gain ~ 0 % if they win, with a ~ 6.41 % chance to win, going from ~ 0 % to ~ 0 % Bones would gain ~ 0 % if they win, with a ~ 4.92 % chance to win, going from ~ 0 % to ~ 0 % Sasquatch would gain ~ 0 % if they win, with a ~ 1.17 % chance to win, going from ~ 0 % to ~ 0 %
IEM Toronto Winning Chances + Show Spoiler [Winning Chances] +IEM Toronto TaeJa has a ~ 10.8 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 100 % to ~ 100 % sOs has a ~ 10.08 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 95.03 % to ~ 99.97 % HyuN has a ~ 9.47 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 100 % to ~ 100 % Zest has a ~ 8.55 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 99.99 % to ~ 100 % Polt has a ~ 8.47 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 100 % to ~ 100 % Scarlett has a ~ 7.72 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 42.56 % to ~ 72.91 % Flash has a ~ 6.06 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 0.77 % to ~ 3.37 % MC has a ~ 5.89 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 100 % to ~ 100 % First has a ~ 5.67 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 6.56 % to ~ 9.95 % YoDa has a ~ 5.01 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 2.44 % to ~ 4.75 % Bunny has a ~ 3.88 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 16.38 % to ~ 42.82 % viOLet has a ~ 3.39 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 11.23 % to ~ 37.41 % Maru has a ~ 2.94 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 12.16 % to ~ 36.58 % StarDust has a ~ 2.87 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 100 % to ~ 100 % MaSa has a ~ 2.34 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 0.01 % to ~ 0.02 % Snute has a ~ 2.23 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 24.1 % to ~ 79.33 % Leenock has a ~ 1.53 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 0.15 % to ~ 1.29 % Jaedong has a ~ 1.47 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 98.48 % to ~ 100 % HuK has a ~ 0.5 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 2.45 % to ~ 6.56 % Oz has a ~ 0.32 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 0.14 % to ~ 3.02 % Revival has a ~ 0.28 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 0.03 % to ~ 0.57 % Kane has a ~ 0.26 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 0.01 % to ~ 0 % puCK has a ~ 0.16 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 0.38 % to ~ 1.2 %
Who would gain the most by winning IEM Toronto. + Show Spoiler [Winning Gains] +IEM Toronto Snute would gain ~ 55.23 % if they win, with a ~ 2.23 % chance to win, going from ~ 24.1 % to ~ 79.33 % Scarlett would gain ~ 30.35 % if they win, with a ~ 7.72 % chance to win, going from ~ 42.56 % to ~ 72.91 % Bunny would gain ~ 26.44 % if they win, with a ~ 3.88 % chance to win, going from ~ 16.38 % to ~ 42.82 % viOLet would gain ~ 26.18 % if they win, with a ~ 3.39 % chance to win, going from ~ 11.23 % to ~ 37.41 % Maru would gain ~ 24.41 % if they win, with a ~ 2.94 % chance to win, going from ~ 12.16 % to ~ 36.58 % sOs would gain ~ 4.94 % if they win, with a ~ 10.08 % chance to win, going from ~ 95.03 % to ~ 99.97 % HuK would gain ~ 4.11 % if they win, with a ~ 0.5 % chance to win, going from ~ 2.45 % to ~ 6.56 % First would gain ~ 3.39 % if they win, with a ~ 5.67 % chance to win, going from ~ 6.56 % to ~ 9.95 % Oz would gain ~ 2.88 % if they win, with a ~ 0.32 % chance to win, going from ~ 0.14 % to ~ 3.02 % Flash would gain ~ 2.6 % if they win, with a ~ 6.06 % chance to win, going from ~ 0.77 % to ~ 3.37 % YoDa would gain ~ 2.32 % if they win, with a ~ 5.01 % chance to win, going from ~ 2.44 % to ~ 4.75 % Jaedong would gain ~ 1.52 % if they win, with a ~ 1.47 % chance to win, going from ~ 98.48 % to ~ 100 % Leenock would gain ~ 1.14 % if they win, with a ~ 1.53 % chance to win, going from ~ 0.15 % to ~ 1.29 % puCK would gain ~ 0.82 % if they win, with a ~ 0.16 % chance to win, going from ~ 0.38 % to ~ 1.2 % Revival would gain ~ 0.54 % if they win, with a ~ 0.28 % chance to win, going from ~ 0.03 % to ~ 0.57 % MaSa would gain ~ 0.02 % if they win, with a ~ 2.34 % chance to win, going from ~ 0.01 % to ~ 0.02 % Zest would gain ~ 0.01 % if they win, with a ~ 8.55 % chance to win, going from ~ 99.99 % to ~ 100 % StarDust would gain ~ 0 % if they win, with a ~ 2.87 % chance to win, going from ~ 100 % to ~ 100 % MC would gain ~ 0 % if they win, with a ~ 5.89 % chance to win, going from ~ 100 % to ~ 100 % Polt would gain ~ 0 % if they win, with a ~ 8.47 % chance to win, going from ~ 100 % to ~ 100 % HyuN would gain ~ 0 % if they win, with a ~ 9.47 % chance to win, going from ~ 100 % to ~ 100 % TaeJa would gain ~ 0 % if they win, with a ~ 10.8 % chance to win, going from ~ 100 % to ~ 100 % Kane would gain ~ -0.01 % if they win, with a ~ 0.26 % chance to win, going from ~ 0.01 % to ~ 0 %
Remember to check the website for much more frequent updates! http://sc2.4ever.tv -----------------------
|
--------UPDATE Thursday, Aug 14 4:05am GMT (GMT+00:00) WCS AM Round of 16 Previews and Group of Death Analysis! Here's the current Top 25 by Blizzcon Chances.
-
HyuN (ROCCAT), is at ~ 100 %, Min WCS Points: 5375
-
MC, is at ~ 100 %, Min WCS Points: 5100
-
StarDust (mYinsanity), is at ~ 100 %, Min WCS Points: 4225
-
TaeJa (Liquid), is at ~ 100 %, Min WCS Points: 4125
-
San (Yoe), is at ~ 100 %, Min WCS Points: 4075
-
Polt (CM Storm), is at ~ 100 %, Min WCS Points: 3825
-
Bomber, is at ~ 100 %, Min WCS Points: 3600
-
Zest (KT), is at ~ 99.99 %, Min WCS Points: 3275
-
Jaedong (EG), is at ~ 98.28 %, Min WCS Points: 2950
-
jjakji (mYinsanity), is at ~ 95.09 %, Min WCS Points: 2850
-
sOs (Jinair), is at ~ 95.08 %, Min WCS Points: 2350
-
Classic (SKT T1), is at ~ 70.49 %, Min WCS Points: 2650
-
Life (StarTale), is at ~ 62.41 %, Min WCS Points: 2750
-
herO (CJ Entus), is at ~ 48.54 %, Min WCS Points: 2300
-
soO (SKT T1), is at ~ 48.35 %, Min WCS Points: 2250
-
Scarlett (Acer), is at ~ 43.26 %, Min WCS Points: 1400
-
Pigbaby (Jinair), is at ~ 42.71 %, Min WCS Points: 2200
-
Snute (Liquid), is at ~ 24.31 %, Min WCS Points: 2000
-
INnoVation (Acer), is at ~ 17.56 %, Min WCS Points: 1425
-
Bunny (Liquid), is at ~ 16.02 %, Min WCS Points: 1550
-
Maru (Jinair), is at ~ 12.22 %, Min WCS Points: 1550
-
viOLet, is at ~ 11.11 %, Min WCS Points: 1775
-
HerO (Liquid), is at ~ 10.61 %, Min WCS Points: 1950
-
ForGG (Millenium), is at ~ 10.12 %, Min WCS Points: 1575
-
MMA (Acer), is at ~ 9.85 %, Min WCS Points: 1875
WCS Point Cutoffs + Show Spoiler [WCS Point Cutoffs] + ~ 0 % of the time 2,175 points is enough to qualify for Blizzcon ~ 0.01 % of the time 2,200 points is enough to qualify for Blizzcon ~ 0.06 % of the time 2,300 points is enough to qualify for Blizzcon ~ 0.96 % of the time 2,475 points is enough to qualify for Blizzcon ~ 18.84 % of the time 2,700 points is enough to qualify for Blizzcon ~ 45.47 % of the time 2,775 points is enough to qualify for Blizzcon ~ 47.79 % of the time 2,800 points is enough to qualify for Blizzcon ~ 65.03 % of the time 2,875 points is enough to qualify for Blizzcon ~ 80.46 % of the time 2,950 points is enough to qualify for Blizzcon ~ 86.1 % of the time 3,000 points is enough to qualify for Blizzcon ~ 96.77 % of the time 3,125 points is enough to qualify for Blizzcon ~ 100 % of the time 3,775 points is enough to qualify for Blizzcon
Biggest winners and losers + Show Spoiler [Biggest Winners] + Scarlett went up by ~ 0.84 %, going from ~ 42.42 % to ~ 43.26 % Life went up by ~ 0.81 %, going from ~ 61.6 % to ~ 62.41 % MajOr went up by ~ 0.44 %, going from ~ 5.68 % to ~ 6.13 % herO went up by ~ 0.36 %, going from ~ 48.18 % to ~ 48.54 % HerO went up by ~ 0.28 %, going from ~ 10.33 % to ~ 10.61 % Classic went up by ~ 0.28 %, going from ~ 70.21 % to ~ 70.49 % soO went up by ~ 0.27 %, going from ~ 48.08 % to ~ 48.35 % jjakji went up by ~ 0.2 %, going from ~ 94.88 % to ~ 95.09 % Heart went up by ~ 0.17 %, going from ~ 4.13 % to ~ 4.3 % Snute went up by ~ 0.16 %, going from ~ 24.15 % to ~ 24.31 % + Show Spoiler [Biggest Losers] + Pigbaby went down by ~ 4.27 %, going from ~ 46.98 % to ~ 42.71 % Jaedong went down by ~ 0.18 %, going from ~ 98.46 % to ~ 98.28 % HuK went down by ~ 0.15 %, going from ~ 2.3 % to ~ 2.15 %
Here are the previews for the round of 16 groups. No countdowns since they aren't scheduled yet.
HerO must win this! This match is important for viOLet! This match is important for Scarlett! + Show Spoiler [Scarlett, HerO, viOLet, iaguz in WCS A…] +WCS AM S3 Premier- Scarlett is at ~ 43.25 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014 ~ 61.98 % of the time Scarlett wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 57.23 %. ~ 38.02 % of the time Scarlett loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 20.46 %. ------------------------------------------------- - HerO is at ~ 10.62 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014 ~ 48.59 % of the time HerO wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 19.85 %. ~ 51.41 % of the time HerO loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 1.89 %. ------------------------------------------------- - viOLet is at ~ 11.1 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014 ~ 48.03 % of the time viOLet wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 20.93 %. ~ 51.97 % of the time viOLet loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 2.02 %. ------------------------------------------------- - iaguz is at ~ 0.04 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014 ~ 41.4 % of the time iaguz wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 0.09 %. ~ 58.6 % of the time iaguz loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 0.01 %.
This match is important for Pigbaby! + Show Spoiler [TaeJa, HyuN, Jaedong, Pigbaby in WCS A…] +WCS AM S3 Premier- TaeJa is at ~ 100 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014 ~ 63.13 % of the time TaeJa wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 100 %. ~ 36.87 % of the time TaeJa loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 100 %. ------------------------------------------------- - HyuN is at ~ 100 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014 ~ 55.91 % of the time HyuN wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 100 %. ~ 44.09 % of the time HyuN loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 100 %. ------------------------------------------------- - Jaedong is at ~ 98.28 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014 ~ 44.8 % of the time Jaedong wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 99.96 %. ~ 55.2 % of the time Jaedong loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 96.92 %. ------------------------------------------------- - Pigbaby is at ~ 42.71 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014 ~ 36.15 % of the time Pigbaby wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 66.04 %. ~ 63.85 % of the time Pigbaby loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 29.5 %.
Jim must win this! HuK must win this! + Show Spoiler [Bomber, Jim, Check, HuK in WCS AM S3 P…] +WCS AM S3 Premier- Bomber is at ~ 100 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014 ~ 66.33 % of the time Bomber wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 100 %. ~ 33.67 % of the time Bomber loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 100 %. ------------------------------------------------- - Jim is at ~ 1.33 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014 ~ 50.11 % of the time Jim wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 2.63 %. ~ 49.89 % of the time Jim loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 0.02 %. ------------------------------------------------- - Check is at ~ 0.24 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014 ~ 44.52 % of the time Check wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 0.53 %. ~ 55.48 % of the time Check loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 0.01 %. ------------------------------------------------- - HuK is at ~ 2.15 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014 ~ 39.04 % of the time HuK wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 5.4 %. ~ 60.96 % of the time HuK loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 0.07 %.
MajOr must win this! Heart must win this! + Show Spoiler [Polt, MajOr, Heart, neeb in WCS AM S3…] +WCS AM S3 Premier- Polt is at ~ 100 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014 ~ 72.31 % of the time Polt wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 100 %. ~ 27.69 % of the time Polt loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 100 %. ------------------------------------------------- - MajOr is at ~ 6.12 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014 ~ 54.97 % of the time MajOr wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 10.69 %. ~ 45.03 % of the time MajOr loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 0.54 %. ------------------------------------------------- - Heart is at ~ 4.3 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014 ~ 50.09 % of the time Heart wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 8.46 %. ~ 49.91 % of the time Heart loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 0.13 %. ------------------------------------------------- - neeb is at ~ 0.02 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014 ~ 22.63 % of the time neeb wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 0.09 %. ~ 77.37 % of the time neeb loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 0.01 %.
Winning Chances + Show Spoiler [Winning Chances] +WCS AM S3 Premier TaeJa has a ~ 15.65 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 100 % to ~ 100 % Polt has a ~ 14.1 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 100 % to ~ 100 % HyuN has a ~ 13.25 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 100 % to ~ 100 % Scarlett has a ~ 11.84 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 43.25 % to ~ 99.99 % Bomber has a ~ 8.91 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 100 % to ~ 100 % Jaedong has a ~ 5.62 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 98.28 % to ~ 100 % MajOr has a ~ 5.02 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 6.12 % to ~ 88.75 % viOLet has a ~ 4.55 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 11.1 % to ~ 100 % Heart has a ~ 4.16 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 4.3 % to ~ 94.2 % HerO has a ~ 4.04 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 10.62 % to ~ 100 % Jim has a ~ 3.65 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 1.33 % to ~ 33.55 % Pigbaby has a ~ 2.99 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 42.71 % to ~ 100 % HuK has a ~ 2.19 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 2.15 % to ~ 88.47 % iaguz has a ~ 1.87 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 0.04 % to ~ 1.97 % Check has a ~ 1.81 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 0.24 % to ~ 12.2 % neeb has a ~ 0.34 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 0.02 % to ~ 5.78 %
Who would gain the most by winning WCS AM + Show Spoiler [Winning Gains] +WCS AM S3 Premier Heart would gain ~ 89.9 % if they win, with a ~ 4.16 % chance to win, going from ~ 4.3 % to ~ 94.2 % HerO would gain ~ 89.38 % if they win, with a ~ 4.04 % chance to win, going from ~ 10.62 % to ~ 100 % viOLet would gain ~ 88.9 % if they win, with a ~ 4.55 % chance to win, going from ~ 11.1 % to ~ 100 % HuK would gain ~ 86.31 % if they win, with a ~ 2.19 % chance to win, going from ~ 2.15 % to ~ 88.47 % MajOr would gain ~ 82.63 % if they win, with a ~ 5.02 % chance to win, going from ~ 6.12 % to ~ 88.75 % Pigbaby would gain ~ 57.29 % if they win, with a ~ 2.99 % chance to win, going from ~ 42.71 % to ~ 100 % Scarlett would gain ~ 56.74 % if they win, with a ~ 11.84 % chance to win, going from ~ 43.25 % to ~ 99.99 % Jim would gain ~ 32.23 % if they win, with a ~ 3.65 % chance to win, going from ~ 1.33 % to ~ 33.55 % Check would gain ~ 11.96 % if they win, with a ~ 1.81 % chance to win, going from ~ 0.24 % to ~ 12.2 % neeb would gain ~ 5.76 % if they win, with a ~ 0.34 % chance to win, going from ~ 0.02 % to ~ 5.78 % iaguz would gain ~ 1.93 % if they win, with a ~ 1.87 % chance to win, going from ~ 0.04 % to ~ 1.97 % Jaedong would gain ~ 1.72 % if they win, with a ~ 5.62 % chance to win, going from ~ 98.28 % to ~ 100 % TaeJa would gain ~ 0 % if they win, with a ~ 15.65 % chance to win, going from ~ 100 % to ~ 100 % Polt would gain ~ 0 % if they win, with a ~ 14.1 % chance to win, going from ~ 100 % to ~ 100 % HyuN would gain ~ 0 % if they win, with a ~ 13.25 % chance to win, going from ~ 100 % to ~ 100 % Bomber would gain ~ 0 % if they win, with a ~ 8.91 % chance to win, going from ~ 100 % to ~ 100 %
And now let's do some analysis to see what the Group of Death is according to WCS Predictor. This one seems obvious, but keep in mind this is the group of death for Blizzcon Chances, so the effects on Blizzcon Chances are a big factor here, and if you're already at 100% chances then you can't go up or down. We will be looking at 5 different scores. Champion Chances Score is the chances to win the tournament for each player in the group added together. Blizzcon Chances Score is the chances to qualify for Blizzcon for each player in the group added together. Blizzcon Chances Lost Score is how much the Blizzcon Chances Score went down by because of the group drawing. Effects Score is the sum of the amount of Blizzcon chances each player would gain if they won the group, plus the amount of Blizzcon chances each player would lose if they lost the group. Aligulac Score is the overall Aligulac rating of every player in the group added together.
+ Show Spoiler [Champion Chances] + Group A viOLet has a ~ 4.54 % chance to win WCS AM S3 Premier HerO has a ~ 4.05 % chance to win WCS AM S3 Premier Scarlett has a ~ 11.83 % chance to win WCS AM S3 Premier iaguz has a ~ 1.87 % chance to win WCS AM S3 Premier Giving this match a Champion Chances Score of 22.2918
Group B TaeJa has a ~ 15.66 % chance to win WCS AM S3 Premier HyuN has a ~ 13.25 % chance to win WCS AM S3 Premier Jaedong has a ~ 5.62 % chance to win WCS AM S3 Premier Pigbaby has a ~ 2.99 % chance to win WCS AM S3 Premier Giving this match a Champion Chances Score of 37.5178
Group C Bomber has a ~ 8.9 % chance to win WCS AM S3 Premier HuK has a ~ 2.19 % chance to win WCS AM S3 Premier Jim has a ~ 3.66 % chance to win WCS AM S3 Premier Check has a ~ 1.81 % chance to win WCS AM S3 Premier Giving this match a Champion Chances Score of 16.5604
Group D Polt has a ~ 14.1 % chance to win WCS AM S3 Premier Heart has a ~ 4.16 % chance to win WCS AM S3 Premier MajOr has a ~ 5.02 % chance to win WCS AM S3 Premier neeb has a ~ 0.35 % chance to win WCS AM S3 Premier Giving this match a Champion Chances Score of 23.6301
Which means the groups go in this order for the Champion Chances Scores B > D > A > C
+ Show Spoiler [Blizzcon Chances] + Group A viOLet is at ~ 11.09 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014 HerO is at ~ 10.62 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014 Scarlett is at ~ 43.24 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014 iaguz is at ~ 0.04 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014 Giving this match a Blizzcon Chances Score of 64.9971
Group B TaeJa is at ~ 100 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014 HyuN is at ~ 100 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014 Jaedong is at ~ 98.28 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014 Pigbaby is at ~ 42.72 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014 Giving this match a Blizzcon Chances Score of 341.004
Group C Bomber is at ~ 100 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014 HuK is at ~ 2.15 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014 Jim is at ~ 1.34 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014 Check is at ~ 0.24 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014 Giving this match a Blizzcon Chances Score of 103.726
Group D Polt is at ~ 100 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014 Heart is at ~ 4.3 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014 MajOr is at ~ 6.12 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014 neeb is at ~ 0.02 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014 Giving this match a Blizzcon Chances Score of 110.447
Which means the groups go in this order for the Blizzcon Chances Scores B >>>>>>>> D > C > A
+ Show Spoiler [Blizzcon Chances Lost] + Group A viOLet's Blizzcon chances changed by ~ 0.03 % HerO's Blizzcon chances changed by ~ 0.3 % Scarlett's Blizzcon chances changed by ~ 0.82 % iaguz's Blizzcon chances changed by ~ 0.01 % Giving this match a Blizzcon Chances Lost Score of -1.15254
Group B TaeJa's Blizzcon chances changed by ~ 0 % HyuN's Blizzcon chances changed by ~ 0 % Jaedong's Blizzcon chances changed by ~ -0.18 % Pigbaby's Blizzcon chances changed by ~ -4.26 % Giving this match a Blizzcon Chances Lost Score of 4.43723
Group C Bomber's Blizzcon chances changed by ~ 0 % HuK's Blizzcon chances changed by ~ -0.15 % Jim's Blizzcon chances changed by ~ 0.05 % Check's Blizzcon chances changed by ~ 0.02 % Giving this match a Blizzcon Chances Lost Score of 0.0777651
Group D Polt's Blizzcon chances changed by ~ 0 % Heart's Blizzcon chances changed by ~ 0.17 % MajOr's Blizzcon chances changed by ~ 0.44 % neeb's Blizzcon chances changed by ~ -0.01 % Giving this match a Blizzcon Chances Lost Score of -0.607589
Which means the groups go in this order for the Blizzcon Chances Lost Scores B > C > D > A
+ Show Spoiler [Effects] + Group A When viOLet wins this match, their Blizzcon chances go up by ~ 9.82 % When viOLet loses this match, their Blizzcon chances go down by ~ 9.07 % When HerO wins this match, their Blizzcon chances go up by ~ 9.24 % When HerO loses this match, their Blizzcon chances go down by ~ 8.73 % When Scarlett wins this match, their Blizzcon chances go up by ~ 13.99 % When Scarlett loses this match, their Blizzcon chances go down by ~ 22.81 % When iaguz wins this match, their Blizzcon chances go up by ~ 0.06 % When iaguz loses this match, their Blizzcon chances go down by ~ 0.04 % Giving this match an Effects Score of 73.7545
Group B When TaeJa wins this match, their Blizzcon chances go up by ~ 0 % When TaeJa loses this match, their Blizzcon chances go down by ~ 0 % When HyuN wins this match, their Blizzcon chances go up by ~ 0 % When HyuN loses this match, their Blizzcon chances go down by ~ 0 % When Jaedong wins this match, their Blizzcon chances go up by ~ 1.68 % When Jaedong loses this match, their Blizzcon chances go down by ~ 1.36 % When Pigbaby wins this match, their Blizzcon chances go up by ~ 23.33 % When Pigbaby loses this match, their Blizzcon chances go down by ~ 13.22 % Giving this match an Effects Score of 39.5928
Group C When Bomber wins this match, their Blizzcon chances go up by ~ 0 % When Bomber loses this match, their Blizzcon chances go down by ~ 0 % When HuK wins this match, their Blizzcon chances go up by ~ 3.25 % When HuK loses this match, their Blizzcon chances go down by ~ 2.08 % When Jim wins this match, their Blizzcon chances go up by ~ 1.31 % When Jim loses this match, their Blizzcon chances go down by ~ 1.31 % When Check wins this match, their Blizzcon chances go up by ~ 0.29 % When Check loses this match, their Blizzcon chances go down by ~ 0.23 % Giving this match an Effects Score of 8.46533
Group D When Polt wins this match, their Blizzcon chances go up by ~ 0 % When Polt loses this match, their Blizzcon chances go down by ~ 0 % When Heart wins this match, their Blizzcon chances go up by ~ 4.16 % When Heart loses this match, their Blizzcon chances go down by ~ 4.17 % When MajOr wins this match, their Blizzcon chances go up by ~ 4.58 % When MajOr loses this match, their Blizzcon chances go down by ~ 5.59 % When neeb wins this match, their Blizzcon chances go up by ~ 0.07 % When neeb loses this match, their Blizzcon chances go down by ~ 0.02 % Giving this match an Effects Score of 18.5807
Which means the groups go in this order for Effects Scores A > B > D > C
+ Show Spoiler [Aligulac Ratings] + Group A viOLet has an overall Aligulac rating of 1793 HerO has an overall Aligulac rating of 1722 Scarlett has an overall Aligulac rating of 2003 iaguz has an overall Aligulac rating of 1621 Giving this match an Aligulac Score of 7139
Group B TaeJa has an overall Aligulac rating of 2095 HyuN has an overall Aligulac rating of 2071 Jaedong has an overall Aligulac rating of 1858 Pigbaby has an overall Aligulac rating of 1738 Giving this match an Aligulac Score of 7762
Group C Bomber has an overall Aligulac rating of 1888 HuK has an overall Aligulac rating of 1635 Jim has an overall Aligulac rating of 1723 Check has an overall Aligulac rating of 1621 Giving this match an Aligulac Score of 6867
Group D Polt has an overall Aligulac rating of 2015 Heart has an overall Aligulac rating of 1723 MajOr has an overall Aligulac rating of 1762 neeb has an overall Aligulac rating of 1370 Giving this match an Aligulac Score of 6870
Which means the groups go in this order for Aligulac Scores B > A > D > C
Group A has a 1st place, a 2nd place, a 3rd place, and two 4th places Group B has four 1st places, and a 2nd place Group C has a 2nd place, a 3rd place, and three 4th places Group D has two 2nd places, and three 3rd places
Group B is our Group of Death! Congrats to TaeJa, HyuN, Jaedong, and Pigbaby! Group A is our 2nd place Group of Death with viOLet, HerO, Scarlett, and iaguz, look out for this group too as it has by far the biggest effect on the Blizzcon Chances!
What do you think?
Poll: Group of Death?Group B: HyuN, Jaedong, TaeJa, Pigbaby (345) 92% Group A: viOLet, Scarlett, Iaguz, HerO (13) 3% Group C: Check, Jim, Bomber, HuK (8) 2% Group D: Polt, Neeb, Heart, MajOr (5) 1% All of the groups are equally difficult. (4) 1% 375 total votes Your vote: Group of Death? (Vote): Group A: viOLet, Scarlett, Iaguz, HerO (Vote): Group B: HyuN, Jaedong, TaeJa, Pigbaby (Vote): Group C: Check, Jim, Bomber, HuK (Vote): Group D: Polt, Neeb, Heart, MajOr (Vote): All of the groups are equally difficult.
Remember to check the website for much more frequent updates! http://sc2.4ever.tv -----------------------
|
Poor Pigbaby. Placed in a group with 4 people who are almost certainly going to Blizzcon. On the other hand some of my favourite players Scarlett and Maru are on the edge, so maybe its for a good cause.
|
People were saying in the WCS EU LR, that Scarlett canceled Detroit, updating that probably changes a lot.
|
On August 20 2014 05:14 Xoronius wrote: People were saying in the WCS EU LR, that Scarlett canceled Detroit, updating that probably changes a lot. Thanks I didn't catch that, on vacation this week so not completely on top of everything. Just did the update along with today's WCS EU group.
chances of 1+ foreigners went from ~ 72.25 % down to ~ 56.24 % chances of 2+ foreigners went from ~ 23.05 % down to ~ 11.93 %
Current top 5 foreigner hopes Scarlett ~ 16.65 % chance to be the only foreigner, ~ 24.38 % chance overall. Bunny ~ 8.37 % chance to be the only foreigner, ~ 13.2 % chance overall. MajOr ~ 4.11 % chance to be the only foreigner, ~ 6.63 % chance overall. VortiX ~ 4.1 % chance to be the only foreigner, ~ 6.67 % chance overall. Snute ~ 3.86 % chance to be the only foreigner, ~ 6.64 % chance overall.
Biggest Winners since 3 days ago
Rain went up by ~ 20.32 %, going from ~ 14.41 % to ~ 34.74 %
Life went up by ~ 9.54 %, going from ~ 59.02 % to ~ 68.55 %
Flash went up by ~ 3.2 %, going from ~ 0.64 % to ~ 3.84 %
jjakji went up by ~ 2.44 %, going from ~ 94.26 % to ~ 96.7 %
viOLet went up by ~ 1.43 %, going from ~ 10.57 % to ~ 12.01 % + Show Spoiler [More Biggest Winners] + YoDa went up by ~ 1.15 %, going from ~ 5.73 % to ~ 6.88 % Heart went up by ~ 1.12 %, going from ~ 4.35 % to ~ 5.47 % soO went up by ~ 1.01 %, going from ~ 63.29 % to ~ 64.29 % Jaedong went up by ~ 0.9 %, going from ~ 97.99 % to ~ 98.89 % MMA went up by ~ 0.79 %, going from ~ 8.55 % to ~ 9.34 % Reality went up by ~ 0.76 %, going from ~ 0.07 % to ~ 0.82 % Classic went up by ~ 0.53 %, going from ~ 68.43 % to ~ 68.96 % Pigbaby went up by ~ 0.51 %, going from ~ 40.98 % to ~ 41.48 % Soulkey went up by ~ 0.36 %, going from ~ 2.24 % to ~ 2.6 % First went up by ~ 0.35 %, going from ~ 6.64 % to ~ 6.99 % PartinG went up by ~ 0.25 %, going from ~ 7.32 % to ~ 7.56 % HuK went up by ~ 0.24 %, going from ~ 1.88 % to ~ 2.12 % Nerchio went up by ~ 0.22 %, going from ~ 0.51 % to ~ 0.73 % Golden went up by ~ 0.17 %, going from ~ 2.85 % to ~ 3.02 % Jim went up by ~ 0.17 %, going from ~ 1.21 % to ~ 1.38 % sOs went up by ~ 0.16 %, going from ~ 94.47 % to ~ 94.63 % Dayshi went up by ~ 0.16 %, going from ~ 1.26 % to ~ 1.42 % MajOr went up by ~ 0.13 %, going from ~ 6.5 % to ~ 6.63 %
Biggest Losers since 3 days ago
Scarlett went down by ~ 18.9 %, going from ~ 43.28 % to ~ 24.38 %
Snute went down by ~ 15.99 %, going from ~ 22.63 % to ~ 6.64 %
Patience went down by ~ 4.35 %, going from ~ 4.36 % to ~ 0.01 %
Solar went down by ~ 1.67 %, going from ~ 7.03 % to ~ 5.35 %
Dear went down by ~ 1.09 %, going from ~ 4.69 % to ~ 3.6 % + Show Spoiler [More Biggest Losers] + INnoVation went down by ~ 1.09 %, going from ~ 15.81 % to ~ 14.71 % Maru went down by ~ 1.02 %, going from ~ 10.81 % to ~ 9.78 % HerO went down by ~ 0.38 %, going from ~ 9.4 % to ~ 9.02 % herO went down by ~ 0.38 %, going from ~ 48.72 % to ~ 48.34 % Bunny went down by ~ 0.21 %, going from ~ 13.41 % to ~ 13.2 % Trap went down by ~ 0.18 %, going from ~ 0.47 % to ~ 0.29 % DongRaeGu went down by ~ 0.17 %, going from ~ 1.31 % to ~ 1.15 % Sacsri went down by ~ 0.16 %, going from ~ 0.21 % to ~ 0.05 % Welmu went down by ~ 0.1 %, going from ~ 2.5 % to ~ 2.4 %
Current top 25 by chances
-
HyuN (ROCCAT), is at ~ 100 %, Min WCS Points: 5375
-
MC, is at ~ 100 %, Min WCS Points: 5100
-
StarDust (mYinsanity), is at ~ 100 %, Min WCS Points: 4325
-
TaeJa (Liquid), is at ~ 100 %, Min WCS Points: 4125
-
San (Yoe), is at ~ 100 %, Min WCS Points: 4075
-
Polt (CM Storm), is at ~ 100 %, Min WCS Points: 3825
-
Zest (KT), is at ~ 100 %, Min WCS Points: 3625
-
Bomber, is at ~ 100 %, Min WCS Points: 3600
-
Jaedong (EG), is at ~ 98.89 %, Min WCS Points: 2950
-
jjakji (mYinsanity), is at ~ 96.7 %, Min WCS Points: 2850
-
sOs (Jinair), is at ~ 94.63 %, Min WCS Points: 2350
-
Classic (SKT T1), is at ~ 68.96 %, Min WCS Points: 2650
-
Life (StarTale), is at ~ 68.55 %, Min WCS Points: 2750
-
soO (SKT T1), is at ~ 64.29 %, Min WCS Points: 2350
-
herO (CJ Entus), is at ~ 48.34 %, Min WCS Points: 2300
-
Pigbaby (Jinair), is at ~ 41.48 %, Min WCS Points: 2200
-
Rain (SKT T1), is at ~ 34.74 %, Min WCS Points: 1775
-
Scarlett (Acer), is at ~ 24.38 %, Min WCS Points: 1400
-
INnoVation (Acer), is at ~ 14.71 %, Min WCS Points: 1425
-
Bunny (Liquid), is at ~ 13.2 %, Min WCS Points: 1550
-
viOLet, is at ~ 12.01 %, Min WCS Points: 1775
-
Maru (Jinair), is at ~ 9.78 %, Min WCS Points: 1550
-
ForGG (Millenium), is at ~ 9.71 %, Min WCS Points: 1575
-
MMA (Acer), is at ~ 9.34 %, Min WCS Points: 1875
-
HerO (Liquid), is at ~ 9.02 %, Min WCS Points: 1950
WCS Predictor 2014
|
|
it's up on the website now
|
I just discover your site (I saw the prediction last year). It's incredible, great work, cannot wait for Flash to qualify for Blizcon
|
WCS Predictor 2014Red Bull Detroit starts in Match Previews+ Show Spoiler [Match Previews] +This match is important for Bunny!+ Show Spoiler [HyuN, Bunny in Red Bull Detroit] +Red Bull Detroit- HyuN is at ~ 100 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014 ~ 51.27 % of the time HyuN wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 100 %. ~ 48.73 % of the time HyuN loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 100 %. ------------------------------------------------- - Bunny is at ~ 25.31 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014 ~ 48.73 % of the time Bunny wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 34.23 %. ~ 51.27 % of the time Bunny loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 16.83 %. + Show Spoiler [Suppy, EJK in Red Bull Detroit] +Red Bull Detroit- Suppy is at ~ 0.01 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014 ~ 74.01 % of the time Suppy wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 0.01 %. ~ 25.99 % of the time Suppy loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 0 %. ------------------------------------------------- - EJK is at ~ 0 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014 ~ 25.99 % of the time EJK wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 0 %. ~ 74.01 % of the time EJK loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 0 %. + Show Spoiler [Trust, Honeybear in Red Bull Detroit] +Red Bull Detroit- Trust is at ~ 0.01 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014 ~ 80.45 % of the time Trust wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 0.01 %. ~ 19.55 % of the time Trust loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 0 %. ------------------------------------------------- - Honeybear is at ~ 0 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014 ~ 19.55 % of the time Honeybear wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 0 %. ~ 80.45 % of the time Honeybear loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 0 %. + Show Spoiler [viOLet, Apocalypse in Red Bull Detroit] +Red Bull Detroit- viOLet is at ~ 19.17 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014 ~ 60.38 % of the time viOLet wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 24.52 %. ~ 39.62 % of the time viOLet loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 11.03 %. ------------------------------------------------- - Apocalypse is at ~ 0.01 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014 ~ 39.62 % of the time Apocalypse wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 0.01 %. ~ 60.38 % of the time Apocalypse loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 0 %. + Show Spoiler [San, HuK in Red Bull Detroit] +Red Bull Detroit- San is at ~ 100 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014 ~ 61.37 % of the time San wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 100 %. ~ 38.63 % of the time San loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 100 %. ------------------------------------------------- - HuK is at ~ 2.49 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014 ~ 38.63 % of the time HuK wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 3.25 %. ~ 61.37 % of the time HuK loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 2.01 %. + Show Spoiler [puCK, Minigun in Red Bull Detroit] +Red Bull Detroit- puCK is at ~ 0.01 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014 ~ 57.62 % of the time puCK wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 0.02 %. ~ 42.38 % of the time puCK loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 0.01 %. ------------------------------------------------- - Minigun is at ~ 0 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014 ~ 42.38 % of the time Minigun wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 0 %. ~ 57.62 % of the time Minigun loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 0 %. + Show Spoiler [ViBE, Bails in Red Bull Detroit] +Red Bull Detroit- ViBE is at ~ 0 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014 ~ 50.03 % of the time ViBE wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 0 %. ~ 49.97 % of the time ViBE loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 0 %. ------------------------------------------------- - Bails is at ~ 0 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014 ~ 49.97 % of the time Bails wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 0 %. ~ 50.03 % of the time Bails loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 0 %. + Show Spoiler [Polt, Schnitzel in Red Bull Detroit] +Red Bull Detroit- Polt is at ~ 100 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014 ~ 88.49 % of the time Polt wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 100 %. ~ 11.51 % of the time Polt loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 100 %. ------------------------------------------------- - Schnitzel is at ~ 0 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014 ~ 11.51 % of the time Schnitzel wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 0 %. ~ 88.49 % of the time Schnitzel loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 0 %. + Show Spoiler [StarDust, Oz in Red Bull Detroit] +Red Bull Detroit- StarDust is at ~ 100 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014 ~ 63.85 % of the time StarDust wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 100 %. ~ 36.15 % of the time StarDust loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 100 %. ------------------------------------------------- - Oz is at ~ 0.3 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014 ~ 36.15 % of the time Oz wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 0.78 %. ~ 63.85 % of the time Oz loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 0.03 %. + Show Spoiler [Kane, Illusion in Red Bull Detroit] +Red Bull Detroit- Kane is at ~ 0.01 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014 ~ 53.46 % of the time Kane wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 0.01 %. ~ 46.54 % of the time Kane loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 0 %. ------------------------------------------------- - Illusion is at ~ 0.01 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014 ~ 46.54 % of the time Illusion wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 0.01 %. ~ 53.46 % of the time Illusion loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 0 %. + Show Spoiler [CatZ, Bones in Red Bull Detroit] +Red Bull Detroit- CatZ is at ~ 0 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014 ~ 57.38 % of the time CatZ wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 0 %. ~ 42.62 % of the time CatZ loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 0 %. ------------------------------------------------- - Bones is at ~ 0 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014 ~ 42.62 % of the time Bones wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 0 %. ~ 57.38 % of the time Bones loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 0 %. + Show Spoiler [Snute, Moosegills in Red Bull Detroit] +Red Bull Detroit- Snute is at ~ 20.6 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014 ~ 81.32 % of the time Snute wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 24.07 %. ~ 18.68 % of the time Snute loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 5.54 %. ------------------------------------------------- - Moosegills is at ~ 0 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014 ~ 18.68 % of the time Moosegills wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 0 %. ~ 81.32 % of the time Moosegills loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 0 %. + Show Spoiler [TaeJa, Revival in Red Bull Detroit] +Red Bull Detroit- TaeJa is at ~ 100 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014 ~ 63.38 % of the time TaeJa wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 100 %. ~ 36.62 % of the time TaeJa loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 100 %. ------------------------------------------------- - Revival is at ~ 0.08 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014 ~ 36.62 % of the time Revival wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 0.21 %. ~ 63.38 % of the time Revival loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 0.01 %. + Show Spoiler [qxc, RuFF in Red Bull Detroit] +Red Bull Detroit- qxc is at ~ 0.01 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014 ~ 68.95 % of the time qxc wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 0.01 %. ~ 31.05 % of the time qxc loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 0 %. ------------------------------------------------- - RuFF is at ~ 0 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014 ~ 31.05 % of the time RuFF wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 0 %. ~ 68.95 % of the time RuFF loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 0 %. + Show Spoiler [Petraeus, Gamja in Red Bull Detroit] +Red Bull Detroit- Petraeus is at ~ 0.01 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014 ~ 61.28 % of the time Petraeus wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 0.01 %. ~ 38.72 % of the time Petraeus loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 0 %. ------------------------------------------------- - Gamja is at ~ 0 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014 ~ 38.72 % of the time Gamja wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 0 %. ~ 61.28 % of the time Gamja loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 0 %. + Show Spoiler [Jaedong, SuperNova in Red Bull Detroit] +Red Bull Detroit- Jaedong is at ~ 99.18 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014 ~ 51.74 % of the time Jaedong wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 99.88 %. ~ 48.26 % of the time Jaedong loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 98.42 %. ------------------------------------------------- - SuperNova is at ~ 0.01 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014 ~ 48.26 % of the time SuperNova wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 0.01 %. ~ 51.74 % of the time SuperNova loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 0 %. Winning Chances Polt has a ~ 13.81 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 100 % to ~ 100 % TaeJa has a ~ 10.66 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 100 % to ~ 100 % San has a ~ 9.19 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 100 % to ~ 100 % Snute has a ~ 9.18 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 20.6 % to ~ 89.28 % HyuN has a ~ 8.09 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 100 % to ~ 100 %+ Show Spoiler [More Winning Chances] + StarDust has a ~ 7.53 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 100 % to ~ 100 % Bunny has a ~ 6.65 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 25.31 % to ~ 82.22 % Jaedong has a ~ 4.38 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 99.18 % to ~ 100 % viOLet has a ~ 4.32 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 19.17 % to ~ 80.16 % Trust has a ~ 4.29 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 0.01 % to ~ 0.02 % SuperNova has a ~ 3.59 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 0.01 % to ~ 0.04 % Petraeus has a ~ 2.67 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 0.01 % to ~ 0.03 % HuK has a ~ 2.16 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 2.49 % to ~ 16.15 % Kane has a ~ 1.82 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 0.01 % to ~ 0.01 % Revival has a ~ 1.7 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 0.08 % to ~ 3.99 % Suppy has a ~ 1.47 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 0.01 % to ~ 0.02 % Oz has a ~ 1.46 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 0.3 % to ~ 15.3 % Apocalypse has a ~ 1.44 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 0.01 % to ~ 0.02 % puCK has a ~ 1.25 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 0.01 % to ~ 0.84 % qxc has a ~ 1.2 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 0.01 % to ~ 0.03 % Illusion has a ~ 0.68 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 0.01 % to ~ 0.01 % CatZ has a ~ 0.54 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 0 % to ~ 0 % Bails has a ~ 0.51 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 0 % to ~ 0 % Minigun has a ~ 0.45 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 0 % to ~ 0 % Gamja has a ~ 0.42 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 0 % to ~ 0 % ViBE has a ~ 0.26 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 0 % to ~ 0 % Winning Gains Snute would gain ~ 68.68 % if they win, with a ~ 9.18 % chance to win, going from ~ 20.6 % to ~ 89.28 % viOLet would gain ~ 60.99 % if they win, with a ~ 4.32 % chance to win, going from ~ 19.17 % to ~ 80.16 % Bunny would gain ~ 56.9 % if they win, with a ~ 6.65 % chance to win, going from ~ 25.31 % to ~ 82.22 % Oz would gain ~ 15.01 % if they win, with a ~ 1.46 % chance to win, going from ~ 0.3 % to ~ 15.3 % HuK would gain ~ 13.66 % if they win, with a ~ 2.16 % chance to win, going from ~ 2.49 % to ~ 16.15 %+ Show Spoiler [More Winning Gains] + Revival would gain ~ 3.91 % if they win, with a ~ 1.7 % chance to win, going from ~ 0.08 % to ~ 3.99 % puCK would gain ~ 0.83 % if they win, with a ~ 1.25 % chance to win, going from ~ 0.01 % to ~ 0.84 % Jaedong would gain ~ 0.82 % if they win, with a ~ 4.38 % chance to win, going from ~ 99.18 % to ~ 100 % qxc would gain ~ 0.03 % if they win, with a ~ 1.2 % chance to win, going from ~ 0.01 % to ~ 0.03 % SuperNova would gain ~ 0.03 % if they win, with a ~ 3.59 % chance to win, going from ~ 0.01 % to ~ 0.04 % Petraeus would gain ~ 0.03 % if they win, with a ~ 2.67 % chance to win, going from ~ 0.01 % to ~ 0.03 % Suppy would gain ~ 0.02 % if they win, with a ~ 1.47 % chance to win, going from ~ 0.01 % to ~ 0.02 % Trust would gain ~ 0.02 % if they win, with a ~ 4.29 % chance to win, going from ~ 0.01 % to ~ 0.02 % Apocalypse would gain ~ 0.02 % if they win, with a ~ 1.44 % chance to win, going from ~ 0.01 % to ~ 0.02 % Illusion would gain ~ 0.01 % if they win, with a ~ 0.68 % chance to win, going from ~ 0.01 % to ~ 0.01 % Kane would gain ~ 0.01 % if they win, with a ~ 1.82 % chance to win, going from ~ 0.01 % to ~ 0.01 % Bails would gain ~ 0 % if they win, with a ~ 0.51 % chance to win, going from ~ 0 % to ~ 0 % Minigun would gain ~ 0 % if they win, with a ~ 0.45 % chance to win, going from ~ 0 % to ~ 0 % Gamja would gain ~ 0 % if they win, with a ~ 0.42 % chance to win, going from ~ 0 % to ~ 0 % Polt would gain ~ 0 % if they win, with a ~ 13.81 % chance to win, going from ~ 100 % to ~ 100 % ViBE would gain ~ 0 % if they win, with a ~ 0.26 % chance to win, going from ~ 0 % to ~ 0 % CatZ would gain ~ 0 % if they win, with a ~ 0.54 % chance to win, going from ~ 0 % to ~ 0 % StarDust would gain ~ 0 % if they win, with a ~ 7.53 % chance to win, going from ~ 100 % to ~ 100 % HyuN would gain ~ 0 % if they win, with a ~ 8.09 % chance to win, going from ~ 100 % to ~ 100 % San would gain ~ 0 % if they win, with a ~ 9.19 % chance to win, going from ~ 100 % to ~ 100 % TaeJa would gain ~ 0 % if they win, with a ~ 10.66 % chance to win, going from ~ 100 % to ~ 100 % Other Interesting Stuff+ Show Spoiler [Other Interesting Stuff] + ~ 24.93 % of the time Snute gets 8th in Red Bull Detroit. This would change Snute's Blizzcon chances from ~ 20.6 % to ~ 13.24 % ------------------------------------------------- ~ 4.23 % of the time viOLet gets 2nd in Red Bull Detroit. This would change viOLet's Blizzcon chances from ~ 19.17 % to ~ 36.12 % ------------------------------------------------- ~ 9.18 % of the time Snute gets 1st in Red Bull Detroit. This would change Life's Blizzcon chances from ~ 60.78 % to ~ 44.99 % ------------------------------------------------- ~ 48.73 % of the time Bunny wins their next match in Red Bull Detroit ro32 (beating Hyun). This would change Life's Blizzcon chances from ~ 60.78 % to ~ 58.65 % ------------------------------------------------- ~ 51.27 % of the time HyuN wins their next match in Red Bull Detroit ro32 (beating Bunny). This would change Life's Blizzcon chances from ~ 60.78 % to ~ 62.79 % ------------------------------------------------- ~ 9.18 % of the time Snute gets 1st in Red Bull Detroit. This would change jjakji's Blizzcon chances from ~ 95.31 % to ~ 91.66 %
On August 22 2014 03:50 vinsang1000 wrote:I just discover your site (I saw the prediction last year). It's incredible, great work, cannot wait for Flash to qualify for Blizcon  Thanks!
|
China6329 Posts
Snute will need to win Redbull to have a decent chance, Pigbaby still has WCS AM and KeSPA cup, herO still has KeSPA cup.
|
--------UPDATE Monday, Aug 25 1:50am GMT (GMT+00:00) Red Bull Detroit Finished! Here's the current Top 25 by Blizzcon Chances.
-
HyuN (ROCCAT), is at ~ 100 %, Min WCS Points: 5625
-
MC, is at ~ 100 %, Min WCS Points: 5100
-
StarDust (mYinsanity), is at ~ 100 %, Min WCS Points: 4700
-
TaeJa (Liquid), is at ~ 100 %, Min WCS Points: 4625
-
Polt (CM Storm), is at ~ 100 %, Min WCS Points: 4575
-
San (Yoe), is at ~ 100 %, Min WCS Points: 4425
-
Zest (KT), is at ~ 100 %, Min WCS Points: 3625
-
Bomber, is at ~ 100 %, Min WCS Points: 3600
-
Jaedong (EG), is at ~ 98.36 %, Min WCS Points: 2950
-
jjakji (mYinsanity), is at ~ 95.15 %, Min WCS Points: 2850
-
sOs (Jinair), is at ~ 92.82 %, Min WCS Points: 2350
-
Life (StarTale), is at ~ 70.8 %, Min WCS Points: 2750
-
Classic (SKT T1), is at ~ 64.48 %, Min WCS Points: 2650
-
soO (SKT T1), is at ~ 60.7 %, Min WCS Points: 2350
-
herO (CJ Entus), is at ~ 44.64 %, Min WCS Points: 2300
-
Pigbaby (Jinair), is at ~ 37.43 %, Min WCS Points: 2200
-
Rain (SKT T1), is at ~ 31.95 %, Min WCS Points: 1775
-
viOLet, is at ~ 30.5 %, Min WCS Points: 2150
-
Scarlett (Acer), is at ~ 20.68 %, Min WCS Points: 1400
-
MMA (Acer), is at ~ 16.82 %, Min WCS Points: 1975
-
Bunny (Liquid), is at ~ 14.74 %, Min WCS Points: 1650
-
INnoVation (Acer), is at ~ 13.6 %, Min WCS Points: 1425
-
Snute (Liquid), is at ~ 11.98 %, Min WCS Points: 2300
-
PartinG (SKT T1), is at ~ 9.82 %, Min WCS Points: 1200
-
YoDa, is at ~ 9.46 %, Min WCS Points: 875
WCS Point Cutoffs + Show Spoiler [WCS Point Cutoffs] + ~ 0 % of the time 2,275 points is enough to qualify for Blizzcon ~ 0.02 % of the time 2,300 points is enough to qualify for Blizzcon ~ 0.57 % of the time 2,450 points is enough to qualify for Blizzcon ~ 10.23 % of the time 2,650 points is enough to qualify for Blizzcon ~ 39.45 % of the time 2,750 points is enough to qualify for Blizzcon ~ 52.82 % of the time 2,825 points is enough to qualify for Blizzcon ~ 67.87 % of the time 2,875 points is enough to qualify for Blizzcon ~ 83.01 % of the time 2,950 points is enough to qualify for Blizzcon ~ 88.32 % of the time 3,000 points is enough to qualify for Blizzcon ~ 98.79 % of the time 3,175 points is enough to qualify for Blizzcon ~ 100 % of the time 3,775 points is enough to qualify for Blizzcon
Biggest Winners
viOLet went up by ~ 19.26 %, going from ~ 11.23 % to ~ 30.5 %
MMA went up by ~ 8.51 %, going from ~ 8.31 % to ~ 16.82 %
Life went up by ~ 8.14 %, going from ~ 62.67 % to ~ 70.8 %
YoDa went up by ~ 3.31 %, going from ~ 6.15 % to ~ 9.46 %
DongRaeGu went up by ~ 1.56 %, going from ~ 0.97 % to ~ 2.53 % + Show Spoiler [More Biggest Winners] + Flash went up by ~ 1.22 %, going from ~ 6.05 % to ~ 7.26 % Cure went up by ~ 0.55 %, going from ~ 0.19 % to ~ 0.74 %
Biggest Losers
Bunny went down by ~ 13.79 %, going from ~ 28.53 % to ~ 14.74 %
First went down by ~ 6.4 %, going from ~ 6.46 % to ~ 0.06 %
Snute went down by ~ 4.16 %, going from ~ 16.14 % to ~ 11.98 %
Scarlett went down by ~ 2.54 %, going from ~ 23.22 % to ~ 20.68 %
MajOr went down by ~ 2.11 %, going from ~ 5.53 % to ~ 3.42 % + Show Spoiler [More Biggest Losers] + Pigbaby went down by ~ 1.78 %, going from ~ 39.21 % to ~ 37.43 % Classic went down by ~ 1.49 %, going from ~ 65.97 % to ~ 64.48 % herO went down by ~ 1.33 %, going from ~ 45.97 % to ~ 44.64 % soO went down by ~ 1.15 %, going from ~ 61.84 % to ~ 60.7 % sOs went down by ~ 1.07 %, going from ~ 93.89 % to ~ 92.82 % Jaedong went down by ~ 1.06 %, going from ~ 99.42 % to ~ 98.36 % Rain went down by ~ 0.96 %, going from ~ 32.91 % to ~ 31.95 % PartinG went down by ~ 0.78 %, going from ~ 10.6 % to ~ 9.82 % HerO went down by ~ 0.54 %, going from ~ 8.24 % to ~ 7.7 % INnoVation went down by ~ 0.44 %, going from ~ 14.05 % to ~ 13.6 % Solar went down by ~ 0.41 %, going from ~ 8.04 % to ~ 7.63 % VortiX went down by ~ 0.37 %, going from ~ 5.97 % to ~ 5.6 % jjakji went down by ~ 0.36 %, going from ~ 95.51 % to ~ 95.15 % Heart went down by ~ 0.27 %, going from ~ 5.32 % to ~ 5.04 % Dayshi went down by ~ 0.22 %, going from ~ 1.21 % to ~ 0.99 % Jim went down by ~ 0.16 %, going from ~ 1.19 % to ~ 1.03 % Golden went down by ~ 0.15 %, going from ~ 2.67 % to ~ 2.53 % Maru went down by ~ 0.11 %, going from ~ 9.12 % to ~ 9.01 %
Remember to check the website for much more frequent updates! http://sc2.4ever.tv -----------------------
|
Have these numbers been updated to reflect Life's addition into IEM Toronto?
|
On August 25 2014 10:50 Die4Ever wrote:+ Show Spoiler +--------UPDATE Monday, Aug 25 1:50am GMT (GMT+00:00) Red Bull Detroit Finished!Here's the current Top 25 by Blizzcon Chances. -
HyuN (ROCCAT), is at ~ 100 %, Min WCS Points: 5625
-
MC, is at ~ 100 %, Min WCS Points: 5100
-
StarDust (mYinsanity), is at ~ 100 %, Min WCS Points: 4700
-
TaeJa (Liquid), is at ~ 100 %, Min WCS Points: 4625
-
Polt (CM Storm), is at ~ 100 %, Min WCS Points: 4575
-
San (Yoe), is at ~ 100 %, Min WCS Points: 4425
-
Zest (KT), is at ~ 100 %, Min WCS Points: 3625
-
Bomber, is at ~ 100 %, Min WCS Points: 3600
-
Jaedong (EG), is at ~ 98.36 %, Min WCS Points: 2950
-
jjakji (mYinsanity), is at ~ 95.15 %, Min WCS Points: 2850
-
sOs (Jinair), is at ~ 92.82 %, Min WCS Points: 2350
-
Life (StarTale), is at ~ 70.8 %, Min WCS Points: 2750
-
Classic (SKT T1), is at ~ 64.48 %, Min WCS Points: 2650
-
soO (SKT T1), is at ~ 60.7 %, Min WCS Points: 2350
-
herO (CJ Entus), is at ~ 44.64 %, Min WCS Points: 2300
-
Pigbaby (Jinair), is at ~ 37.43 %, Min WCS Points: 2200
-
Rain (SKT T1), is at ~ 31.95 %, Min WCS Points: 1775
-
viOLet, is at ~ 30.5 %, Min WCS Points: 2150
-
Scarlett (Acer), is at ~ 20.68 %, Min WCS Points: 1400
-
MMA (Acer), is at ~ 16.82 %, Min WCS Points: 1975
-
Bunny (Liquid), is at ~ 14.74 %, Min WCS Points: 1650
-
INnoVation (Acer), is at ~ 13.6 %, Min WCS Points: 1425
-
Snute (Liquid), is at ~ 11.98 %, Min WCS Points: 2300
-
PartinG (SKT T1), is at ~ 9.82 %, Min WCS Points: 1200
-
YoDa, is at ~ 9.46 %, Min WCS Points: 875
WCS Point Cutoffs + Show Spoiler [WCS Point Cutoffs] + ~ 0 % of the time 2,275 points is enough to qualify for Blizzcon ~ 0.02 % of the time 2,300 points is enough to qualify for Blizzcon ~ 0.57 % of the time 2,450 points is enough to qualify for Blizzcon ~ 10.23 % of the time 2,650 points is enough to qualify for Blizzcon ~ 39.45 % of the time 2,750 points is enough to qualify for Blizzcon ~ 52.82 % of the time 2,825 points is enough to qualify for Blizzcon ~ 67.87 % of the time 2,875 points is enough to qualify for Blizzcon ~ 83.01 % of the time 2,950 points is enough to qualify for Blizzcon ~ 88.32 % of the time 3,000 points is enough to qualify for Blizzcon ~ 98.79 % of the time 3,175 points is enough to qualify for Blizzcon ~ 100 % of the time 3,775 points is enough to qualify for Blizzcon
Biggest Winners viOLet went up by ~ 19.26 %, going from ~ 11.23 % to ~ 30.5 % MMA went up by ~ 8.51 %, going from ~ 8.31 % to ~ 16.82 % Life went up by ~ 8.14 %, going from ~ 62.67 % to ~ 70.8 % YoDa went up by ~ 3.31 %, going from ~ 6.15 % to ~ 9.46 % DongRaeGu went up by ~ 1.56 %, going from ~ 0.97 % to ~ 2.53 %+ Show Spoiler [More Biggest Winners] + Flash went up by ~ 1.22 %, going from ~ 6.05 % to ~ 7.26 % Cure went up by ~ 0.55 %, going from ~ 0.19 % to ~ 0.74 % Biggest Losers Bunny went down by ~ 13.79 %, going from ~ 28.53 % to ~ 14.74 % First went down by ~ 6.4 %, going from ~ 6.46 % to ~ 0.06 % Snute went down by ~ 4.16 %, going from ~ 16.14 % to ~ 11.98 % Scarlett went down by ~ 2.54 %, going from ~ 23.22 % to ~ 20.68 % MajOr went down by ~ 2.11 %, going from ~ 5.53 % to ~ 3.42 %+ Show Spoiler [More Biggest Losers] + Pigbaby went down by ~ 1.78 %, going from ~ 39.21 % to ~ 37.43 % Classic went down by ~ 1.49 %, going from ~ 65.97 % to ~ 64.48 % herO went down by ~ 1.33 %, going from ~ 45.97 % to ~ 44.64 % soO went down by ~ 1.15 %, going from ~ 61.84 % to ~ 60.7 % sOs went down by ~ 1.07 %, going from ~ 93.89 % to ~ 92.82 % Jaedong went down by ~ 1.06 %, going from ~ 99.42 % to ~ 98.36 % Rain went down by ~ 0.96 %, going from ~ 32.91 % to ~ 31.95 % PartinG went down by ~ 0.78 %, going from ~ 10.6 % to ~ 9.82 % HerO went down by ~ 0.54 %, going from ~ 8.24 % to ~ 7.7 % INnoVation went down by ~ 0.44 %, going from ~ 14.05 % to ~ 13.6 % Solar went down by ~ 0.41 %, going from ~ 8.04 % to ~ 7.63 % VortiX went down by ~ 0.37 %, going from ~ 5.97 % to ~ 5.6 % jjakji went down by ~ 0.36 %, going from ~ 95.51 % to ~ 95.15 % Heart went down by ~ 0.27 %, going from ~ 5.32 % to ~ 5.04 % Dayshi went down by ~ 0.22 %, going from ~ 1.21 % to ~ 0.99 % Jim went down by ~ 0.16 %, going from ~ 1.19 % to ~ 1.03 % Golden went down by ~ 0.15 %, going from ~ 2.67 % to ~ 2.53 % Maru went down by ~ 0.11 %, going from ~ 9.12 % to ~ 9.01 %Remember to check the website for much more frequent updates! http://sc2.4ever.tv-----------------------
Dang, that foreigner drop-off.
|
On August 25 2014 10:52 Circumstance wrote: Have these numbers been updated to reflect Life's addition into IEM Toronto? yes that's where his big boost comes from, also Cure's qualification to Red Bull Washington
|
On August 25 2014 10:53 SetGuitarsToKill wrote:Show nested quote +On August 25 2014 10:50 Die4Ever wrote:+ Show Spoiler +--------UPDATE Monday, Aug 25 1:50am GMT (GMT+00:00) Red Bull Detroit Finished!Here's the current Top 25 by Blizzcon Chances. -
HyuN (ROCCAT), is at ~ 100 %, Min WCS Points: 5625
-
MC, is at ~ 100 %, Min WCS Points: 5100
-
StarDust (mYinsanity), is at ~ 100 %, Min WCS Points: 4700
-
TaeJa (Liquid), is at ~ 100 %, Min WCS Points: 4625
-
Polt (CM Storm), is at ~ 100 %, Min WCS Points: 4575
-
San (Yoe), is at ~ 100 %, Min WCS Points: 4425
-
Zest (KT), is at ~ 100 %, Min WCS Points: 3625
-
Bomber, is at ~ 100 %, Min WCS Points: 3600
-
Jaedong (EG), is at ~ 98.36 %, Min WCS Points: 2950
-
jjakji (mYinsanity), is at ~ 95.15 %, Min WCS Points: 2850
-
sOs (Jinair), is at ~ 92.82 %, Min WCS Points: 2350
-
Life (StarTale), is at ~ 70.8 %, Min WCS Points: 2750
-
Classic (SKT T1), is at ~ 64.48 %, Min WCS Points: 2650
-
soO (SKT T1), is at ~ 60.7 %, Min WCS Points: 2350
-
herO (CJ Entus), is at ~ 44.64 %, Min WCS Points: 2300
-
Pigbaby (Jinair), is at ~ 37.43 %, Min WCS Points: 2200
-
Rain (SKT T1), is at ~ 31.95 %, Min WCS Points: 1775
-
viOLet, is at ~ 30.5 %, Min WCS Points: 2150
-
Scarlett (Acer), is at ~ 20.68 %, Min WCS Points: 1400
-
MMA (Acer), is at ~ 16.82 %, Min WCS Points: 1975
-
Bunny (Liquid), is at ~ 14.74 %, Min WCS Points: 1650
-
INnoVation (Acer), is at ~ 13.6 %, Min WCS Points: 1425
-
Snute (Liquid), is at ~ 11.98 %, Min WCS Points: 2300
-
PartinG (SKT T1), is at ~ 9.82 %, Min WCS Points: 1200
-
YoDa, is at ~ 9.46 %, Min WCS Points: 875
WCS Point Cutoffs + Show Spoiler [WCS Point Cutoffs] + ~ 0 % of the time 2,275 points is enough to qualify for Blizzcon ~ 0.02 % of the time 2,300 points is enough to qualify for Blizzcon ~ 0.57 % of the time 2,450 points is enough to qualify for Blizzcon ~ 10.23 % of the time 2,650 points is enough to qualify for Blizzcon ~ 39.45 % of the time 2,750 points is enough to qualify for Blizzcon ~ 52.82 % of the time 2,825 points is enough to qualify for Blizzcon ~ 67.87 % of the time 2,875 points is enough to qualify for Blizzcon ~ 83.01 % of the time 2,950 points is enough to qualify for Blizzcon ~ 88.32 % of the time 3,000 points is enough to qualify for Blizzcon ~ 98.79 % of the time 3,175 points is enough to qualify for Blizzcon ~ 100 % of the time 3,775 points is enough to qualify for Blizzcon
Biggest Winners viOLet went up by ~ 19.26 %, going from ~ 11.23 % to ~ 30.5 % MMA went up by ~ 8.51 %, going from ~ 8.31 % to ~ 16.82 % Life went up by ~ 8.14 %, going from ~ 62.67 % to ~ 70.8 % YoDa went up by ~ 3.31 %, going from ~ 6.15 % to ~ 9.46 % DongRaeGu went up by ~ 1.56 %, going from ~ 0.97 % to ~ 2.53 %+ Show Spoiler [More Biggest Winners] + Flash went up by ~ 1.22 %, going from ~ 6.05 % to ~ 7.26 % Cure went up by ~ 0.55 %, going from ~ 0.19 % to ~ 0.74 % Biggest Losers Bunny went down by ~ 13.79 %, going from ~ 28.53 % to ~ 14.74 % First went down by ~ 6.4 %, going from ~ 6.46 % to ~ 0.06 % Snute went down by ~ 4.16 %, going from ~ 16.14 % to ~ 11.98 % Scarlett went down by ~ 2.54 %, going from ~ 23.22 % to ~ 20.68 % MajOr went down by ~ 2.11 %, going from ~ 5.53 % to ~ 3.42 %+ Show Spoiler [More Biggest Losers] + Pigbaby went down by ~ 1.78 %, going from ~ 39.21 % to ~ 37.43 % Classic went down by ~ 1.49 %, going from ~ 65.97 % to ~ 64.48 % herO went down by ~ 1.33 %, going from ~ 45.97 % to ~ 44.64 % soO went down by ~ 1.15 %, going from ~ 61.84 % to ~ 60.7 % sOs went down by ~ 1.07 %, going from ~ 93.89 % to ~ 92.82 % Jaedong went down by ~ 1.06 %, going from ~ 99.42 % to ~ 98.36 % Rain went down by ~ 0.96 %, going from ~ 32.91 % to ~ 31.95 % PartinG went down by ~ 0.78 %, going from ~ 10.6 % to ~ 9.82 % HerO went down by ~ 0.54 %, going from ~ 8.24 % to ~ 7.7 % INnoVation went down by ~ 0.44 %, going from ~ 14.05 % to ~ 13.6 % Solar went down by ~ 0.41 %, going from ~ 8.04 % to ~ 7.63 % VortiX went down by ~ 0.37 %, going from ~ 5.97 % to ~ 5.6 % jjakji went down by ~ 0.36 %, going from ~ 95.51 % to ~ 95.15 % Heart went down by ~ 0.27 %, going from ~ 5.32 % to ~ 5.04 % Dayshi went down by ~ 0.22 %, going from ~ 1.21 % to ~ 0.99 % Jim went down by ~ 0.16 %, going from ~ 1.19 % to ~ 1.03 % Golden went down by ~ 0.15 %, going from ~ 2.67 % to ~ 2.53 % Maru went down by ~ 0.11 %, going from ~ 9.12 % to ~ 9.01 %Remember to check the website for much more frequent updates! http://sc2.4ever.tv----------------------- Dang, that foreigner drop-off. Yea I guess I should've mentioned that lol, was rushing cause I'm on vacation but w/e lol.
Chances of 1+ foreigners making it went from ~ 66.95 % yesterday down to ~ 53.79 % Chances of 2+ foreigners went from ~ 19.63 % down to ~ 10.94 %
I'll be doing the GSL ro16 previews and Group of Death analysis tomorrow night (in about 24 hours)
|
--------UPDATE Tuesday, Aug 26 5:30am GMT (GMT+00:00) GSL Round of 16 Previews and Group of Death Analysis! Here's the current Top 25 by Blizzcon Chances.
-
HyuN (ROCCAT), is at ~ 100 %, Min WCS Points: 5625
-
MC, is at ~ 100 %, Min WCS Points: 5100
-
StarDust (mYinsanity), is at ~ 100 %, Min WCS Points: 4700
-
TaeJa (Liquid), is at ~ 100 %, Min WCS Points: 4625
-
Polt (CM Storm), is at ~ 100 %, Min WCS Points: 4575
-
San (Yoe), is at ~ 100 %, Min WCS Points: 4425
-
Zest (KT), is at ~ 100 %, Min WCS Points: 3625
-
Bomber, is at ~ 100 %, Min WCS Points: 3600
-
Jaedong (EG), is at ~ 98.17 %, Min WCS Points: 2950
-
jjakji (mYinsanity), is at ~ 94.76 %, Min WCS Points: 2850
-
sOs (Jinair), is at ~ 92.63 %, Min WCS Points: 2350
-
Life (StarTale), is at ~ 68.24 %, Min WCS Points: 2750
-
Classic (SKT T1), is at ~ 64.1 %, Min WCS Points: 2650
-
soO (SKT T1), is at ~ 60.2 %, Min WCS Points: 2350
-
herO (CJ Entus), is at ~ 56.01 %, Min WCS Points: 2300
-
Pigbaby (Jinair), is at ~ 36.86 %, Min WCS Points: 2200
-
Rain (SKT T1), is at ~ 31.81 %, Min WCS Points: 1775
-
viOLet, is at ~ 29.09 %, Min WCS Points: 2150
-
Scarlett (Acer), is at ~ 20.32 %, Min WCS Points: 1400
-
MMA (Acer), is at ~ 16.62 %, Min WCS Points: 1975
-
Bunny (Liquid), is at ~ 14.74 %, Min WCS Points: 1650
-
INnoVation (Acer), is at ~ 12.53 %, Min WCS Points: 1425
-
Snute (Liquid), is at ~ 11.38 %, Min WCS Points: 2300
-
PartinG (SKT T1), is at ~ 9.82 %, Min WCS Points: 1200
-
YoDa, is at ~ 9.41 %, Min WCS Points: 875
WCS Point Cutoffs - I simplified the WCS Point Cutoffs view a bit. Now it only shows 7 different points: the highest points with 0% chances, the lowest points with better than 0% chances, 2500 points, the points closest to 50% chances, 3000 points, the highest points with less than 100% chances, and the lowest points with 100% chances. You can still click "+ Show All Cutoffs +" to show more. + Show Spoiler [WCS Point Cutoffs] + ~ 0 % of the time 2,275 points is enough to qualify for Blizzcon ~ 0.01 % of the time 2,300 points is enough to qualify for Blizzcon ~ 1.07 % of the time 2,500 points is enough to qualify for Blizzcon ~ 51.82 % of the time 2,825 points is enough to qualify for Blizzcon ~ 87.44 % of the time 3,000 points is enough to qualify for Blizzcon ~ 99.99 % of the time 3,725 points is enough to qualify for Blizzcon ~ 100 % of the time 3,750 points is enough to qualify for Blizzcon
Biggest Winners Since 4 Days Ago
viOLet went up by ~ 17.85 %, going from ~ 11.23 % to ~ 29.08 %
herO went up by ~ 10.02 %, going from ~ 45.97 % to ~ 55.99 %
MMA went up by ~ 8.31 %, going from ~ 8.31 % to ~ 16.63 %
Life went up by ~ 5.56 %, going from ~ 62.67 % to ~ 68.23 %
YoDa went up by ~ 3.28 %, going from ~ 6.15 % to ~ 9.42 % + Show Spoiler [More Biggest Winners] + DongRaeGu went up by ~ 1.55 %, going from ~ 0.97 % to ~ 2.52 % Flash went up by ~ 1.2 %, going from ~ 6.05 % to ~ 7.24 % Cure went up by ~ 0.54 %, going from ~ 0.19 % to ~ 0.73 %
Biggest Losers Since 4 Days Ago
Bunny went down by ~ 13.8 %, going from ~ 28.53 % to ~ 14.74 %
First went down by ~ 6.4 %, going from ~ 6.46 % to ~ 0.06 %
Snute went down by ~ 4.76 %, going from ~ 16.14 % to ~ 11.38 %
Scarlett went down by ~ 2.89 %, going from ~ 23.22 % to ~ 20.33 %
Pigbaby went down by ~ 2.35 %, going from ~ 39.21 % to ~ 36.86 % + Show Spoiler [More Biggest Losers] + MajOr went down by ~ 2.25 %, going from ~ 5.53 % to ~ 3.28 % Maru went down by ~ 1.96 %, going from ~ 9.12 % to ~ 7.17 % Classic went down by ~ 1.88 %, going from ~ 65.97 % to ~ 64.1 % soO went down by ~ 1.64 %, going from ~ 61.84 % to ~ 60.2 % INnoVation went down by ~ 1.52 %, going from ~ 14.05 % to ~ 12.53 % Jaedong went down by ~ 1.26 %, going from ~ 99.42 % to ~ 98.17 % sOs went down by ~ 1.25 %, going from ~ 93.89 % to ~ 92.64 % Rain went down by ~ 1.11 %, going from ~ 32.91 % to ~ 31.8 % HerO went down by ~ 0.8 %, going from ~ 8.24 % to ~ 7.44 % PartinG went down by ~ 0.79 %, going from ~ 10.6 % to ~ 9.82 % jjakji went down by ~ 0.75 %, going from ~ 95.51 % to ~ 94.76 % Heart went down by ~ 0.44 %, going from ~ 5.32 % to ~ 4.87 % VortiX went down by ~ 0.42 %, going from ~ 5.97 % to ~ 5.55 % Solar went down by ~ 0.4 %, going from ~ 8.04 % to ~ 7.64 % Dayshi went down by ~ 0.23 %, going from ~ 1.21 % to ~ 0.98 % Jim went down by ~ 0.21 %, going from ~ 1.19 % to ~ 0.98 % HuK went down by ~ 0.16 %, going from ~ 2.05 % to ~ 1.89 % Golden went down by ~ 0.16 %, going from ~ 2.67 % to ~ 2.52 %
GSL Code S Round of 16 Group Previews Starts in Soulkey must win this! + Show Spoiler [Zest, Soulkey, Cure, Reality in GSL S3…] +GSL S3 Code S- Zest is at ~ 100 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014 ~ 13.91 % of the time Zest wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 100 %. ~ 11.08 % of the time Zest loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 100 %. ------------------------------------------------- - Soulkey is at ~ 2.25 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014 ~ 12.26 % of the time Soulkey wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 4.61 %. ~ 12.75 % of the time Soulkey loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 0.01 %. ------------------------------------------------- - Cure is at ~ 0.73 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014 ~ 12.18 % of the time Cure wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 1.48 %. ~ 12.8 % of the time Cure loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 0.01 %. ------------------------------------------------- - Reality is at ~ 0.67 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014 ~ 11.1 % of the time Reality wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 1.49 %. ~ 13.9 % of the time Reality loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 0.02 %.
Starts in INnoVation must win this! PartinG must win this! Maru must win this! + Show Spoiler [INnoVation, PartinG, Maru, Stats in GS…] +GSL S3 Code S- INnoVation is at ~ 12.53 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014 ~ 14.64 % of the time INnoVation wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 21.22 %. ~ 10.36 % of the time INnoVation loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 0.22 %. ------------------------------------------------- - PartinG is at ~ 9.82 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014 ~ 13.42 % of the time PartinG wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 17.86 %. ~ 11.56 % of the time PartinG loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 0.53 %. ------------------------------------------------- - Maru is at ~ 7.16 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014 ~ 12.67 % of the time Maru wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 13.91 %. ~ 12.33 % of the time Maru loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 0.19 %. ------------------------------------------------- - Stats is at ~ 0.14 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014 ~ 11.11 % of the time Stats wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 0.32 %. ~ 13.89 % of the time Stats loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 0 %.
Starts in Solar must win this!
EffOrt has the #1 headband!
sOs has the #2 headband! This is a match for the #1 headband! + Show Spoiler [Rain, sOs, Solar, EffOrt in GSL S3 Cod…] +GSL S3 Code S- Rain is at ~ 31.81 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014 ~ 14.87 % of the time Rain wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 43.39 %. ~ 10.13 % of the time Rain loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 14.87 %. ------------------------------------------------- - sOs is at ~ 92.64 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014 ~ 14.2 % of the time sOs wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 97.49 %. ~ 10.81 % of the time sOs loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 86.28 %. ------------------------------------------------- - Solar is at ~ 7.64 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014 ~ 12.77 % of the time Solar wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 14.83 %. ~ 12.23 % of the time Solar loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 0.15 %. ------------------------------------------------- - EffOrt is at ~ 0.03 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014 ~ 9.65 % of the time EffOrt wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 0.08 %. ~ 15.34 % of the time EffOrt loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 0 %.
Starts in Flash must win this! DongRaeGu must win this! TRUE must win this! + Show Spoiler [Flash, soO, DongRaeGu, TRUE in GSL S3…] +GSL S3 Code S- Flash is at ~ 7.24 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014 ~ 13.58 % of the time Flash wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 12.76 %. ~ 11.4 % of the time Flash loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 0.72 %. ------------------------------------------------- - soO is at ~ 60.2 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014 ~ 11.64 % of the time soO wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 79.27 %. ~ 13.35 % of the time soO loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 43.51 %. ------------------------------------------------- - DongRaeGu is at ~ 2.52 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014 ~ 11.55 % of the time DongRaeGu wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 5.43 %. ~ 13.46 % of the time DongRaeGu loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 0.02 %. ------------------------------------------------- - TRUE is at ~ 2.75 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014 ~ 10.41 % of the time TRUE wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 6.56 %. ~ 14.6 % of the time TRUE loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 0.03 %.
And now let's do some analysis to see what the Group of Death is according to WCS Predictor. We will be looking at 5 different scores. Champion Chances Score is the chances to win the tournament for each player in the group added together. Blizzcon Chances Score is the chances to qualify for Blizzcon for each player in the group added together. Blizzcon Chances Lost Score is how much the Blizzcon Chances Score went down by because of the group drawing. Effects Score is the sum of the amount of Blizzcon chances each player would gain if they won the group, plus the amount of Blizzcon chances each player would lose if they lost the group. Aligulac Score is the overall Aligulac rating of every player in the group added together.
+ Show Spoiler [Champion Chances] + Group A Soulkey has a ~ 5.25 % chance to win GSL S3 Code S Reality has a ~ 3.15 % chance to win GSL S3 Code S Zest has a ~ 9.11 % chance to win GSL S3 Code S Cure has a ~ 4.74 % chance to win GSL S3 Code S Giving this match a Champion Chances Score of 22.2616
Group B Rain has a ~ 11.99 % chance to win GSL S3 Code S sOs has a ~ 9.72 % chance to win GSL S3 Code S EffOrt has a ~ 1.81 % chance to win GSL S3 Code S Solar has a ~ 6.63 % chance to win GSL S3 Code S Giving this match a Champion Chances Score of 30.1485
Group C PartinG has a ~ 7.69 % chance to win GSL S3 Code S INnoVation has a ~ 11.38 % chance to win GSL S3 Code S Maru has a ~ 5.99 % chance to win GSL S3 Code S Stats has a ~ 3.38 % chance to win GSL S3 Code S Giving this match a Champion Chances Score of 28.4353
Group D DongRaeGu has a ~ 4.2 % chance to win GSL S3 Code S Flash has a ~ 8.16 % chance to win GSL S3 Code S soO has a ~ 4.23 % chance to win GSL S3 Code S TRUE has a ~ 2.55 % chance to win GSL S3 Code S Giving this match a Champion Chances Score of 19.1546
Which means the groups go in this order for the Champion Chances Scores B > C > A > D
+ Show Spoiler [Blizzcon Chances] + Group A Soulkey is at ~ 2.25 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014 Reality is at ~ 0.67 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014 Zest is at ~ 100 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014 Cure is at ~ 0.73 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014 Giving this match a Blizzcon Chances Score of 103.642
Group B Rain is at ~ 31.81 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014 sOs is at ~ 92.64 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014 EffOrt is at ~ 0.03 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014 Solar is at ~ 7.64 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014 Giving this match a Blizzcon Chances Score of 132.129
Group C PartinG is at ~ 9.82 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014 INnoVation is at ~ 12.53 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014 Maru is at ~ 7.16 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014 Stats is at ~ 0.14 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014 Giving this match a Blizzcon Chances Score of 29.6558
Group D DongRaeGu is at ~ 2.52 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014 Flash is at ~ 7.24 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014 soO is at ~ 60.2 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014 TRUE is at ~ 2.75 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014 Giving this match a Blizzcon Chances Score of 72.7052
Which means the groups go in this order for the Blizzcon Chances Scores B > A > D > C
+ Show Spoiler [Blizzcon Chances Lost] + Group A Soulkey's Blizzcon chances changed by ~ 0.01 % Reality's Blizzcon chances changed by ~ 0.01 % Zest's Blizzcon chances changed by ~ 0 % Cure's Blizzcon chances changed by ~ -0.01 % Giving this match a Blizzcon Chances Lost Score of -0.00530617
Group B Rain's Blizzcon chances changed by ~ 0.02 % sOs's Blizzcon chances changed by ~ 0.02 % EffOrt's Blizzcon chances changed by ~ -0.01 % Solar's Blizzcon chances changed by ~ -0.03 % Giving this match a Blizzcon Chances Lost Score of -0.0117416
Group C PartinG's Blizzcon chances changed by ~ 0.03 % INnoVation's Blizzcon chances changed by ~ -0.02 % Maru's Blizzcon chances changed by ~ -0.01 % Stats's Blizzcon chances changed by ~ -0.01 % Giving this match a Blizzcon Chances Lost Score of -0.00244307
Group D DongRaeGu's Blizzcon chances changed by ~ 0.01 % Flash's Blizzcon chances changed by ~ 0.01 % soO's Blizzcon chances changed by ~ -0.03 % TRUE's Blizzcon chances changed by ~ -0.01 % Giving this match a Blizzcon Chances Lost Score of 0.0104394
Which means the groups go in this order for the Blizzcon Chances Lost Scores D > C > A > B
+ Show Spoiler [Effects] + Group A When Soulkey wins this match, their Blizzcon chances go up by ~ 2.36 % When Soulkey loses this match, their Blizzcon chances go down by ~ 2.24 % When Reality wins this match, their Blizzcon chances go up by ~ 0.82 % When Reality loses this match, their Blizzcon chances go down by ~ 0.65 % When Zest wins this match, their Blizzcon chances go up by ~ 0 % When Zest loses this match, their Blizzcon chances go down by ~ 0 % When Cure wins this match, their Blizzcon chances go up by ~ 0.75 % When Cure loses this match, their Blizzcon chances go down by ~ 0.73 % Giving this match an Effects Score of 7.5537
Group B When Rain wins this match, their Blizzcon chances go up by ~ 11.58 % When Rain loses this match, their Blizzcon chances go down by ~ 16.94 % When sOs wins this match, their Blizzcon chances go up by ~ 4.84 % When sOs loses this match, their Blizzcon chances go down by ~ 6.36 % When EffOrt wins this match, their Blizzcon chances go up by ~ 0.05 % When EffOrt loses this match, their Blizzcon chances go down by ~ 0.03 % When Solar wins this match, their Blizzcon chances go up by ~ 7.19 % When Solar loses this match, their Blizzcon chances go down by ~ 7.49 % Giving this match an Effects Score of 54.476
Group C When PartinG wins this match, their Blizzcon chances go up by ~ 8.05 % When PartinG loses this match, their Blizzcon chances go down by ~ 9.28 % When INnoVation wins this match, their Blizzcon chances go up by ~ 8.69 % When INnoVation loses this match, their Blizzcon chances go down by ~ 12.31 % When Maru wins this match, their Blizzcon chances go up by ~ 6.75 % When Maru loses this match, their Blizzcon chances go down by ~ 6.97 % When Stats wins this match, their Blizzcon chances go up by ~ 0.17 % When Stats loses this match, their Blizzcon chances go down by ~ 0.14 % Giving this match an Effects Score of 52.3616
Group D When DongRaeGu wins this match, their Blizzcon chances go up by ~ 2.91 % When DongRaeGu loses this match, their Blizzcon chances go down by ~ 2.5 % When Flash wins this match, their Blizzcon chances go up by ~ 5.52 % When Flash loses this match, their Blizzcon chances go down by ~ 6.52 % When soO wins this match, their Blizzcon chances go up by ~ 19.07 % When soO loses this match, their Blizzcon chances go down by ~ 16.69 % When TRUE wins this match, their Blizzcon chances go up by ~ 3.81 % When TRUE loses this match, their Blizzcon chances go down by ~ 2.72 % Giving this match an Effects Score of 59.7334
Which means the groups go in this order for Effects Scores D > B > C > A
+ Show Spoiler [Aligulac Ratings] + Group A Soulkey has an overall Aligulac rating of 1938 Reality has an overall Aligulac rating of 1814 Zest has an overall Aligulac rating of 2030 Cure has an overall Aligulac rating of 1898 Giving this match an Aligulac Score of 7680
Group B Rain has an overall Aligulac rating of 2110 sOs has an overall Aligulac rating of 2049 EffOrt has an overall Aligulac rating of 1740 Solar has an overall Aligulac rating of 1988 Giving this match an Aligulac Score of 7887
Group C PartinG has an overall Aligulac rating of 1989 INnoVation has an overall Aligulac rating of 2102 Maru has an overall Aligulac rating of 1944 Stats has an overall Aligulac rating of 1812 Giving this match an Aligulac Score of 7847
Group D DongRaeGu has an overall Aligulac rating of 1891 Flash has an overall Aligulac rating of 2014 soO has an overall Aligulac rating of 1894 TRUE has an overall Aligulac rating of 1797 Giving this match an Aligulac Score of 7596
Which means the groups go in this order for Aligulac Scores B > C > A > D
Group A has a 2nd place, two 3 places, and a 4th place Group B has three 1st places, a 2nd place, and a 4th place Group C has three 2nd places, a 3rd place, and a 4th place Group D has two 1st places, a 3rd place, and two 4th places
Group B is our Group of Death! Congrats to Rain, sOs, EffOrt, and Solar! Group D is our 2nd place Group of Death with DongRaeGu, Flash, soO, and TRUE!
What do you think?
Poll: Group of Death?Group C (416) 67% Group D (89) 14% Group B (81) 13% Group A (36) 6% 622 total votes Your vote: Group of Death? (Vote): Group A (Vote): Group B (Vote): Group C (Vote): Group D
Remember to check the website for much more frequent updates! http://sc2.4ever.tv -----------------------
|
I made an error in the GSL ro16 group of death analysis gonna redo it soon
|
--------UPDATE Tuesday, Aug 26 11:40pm GMT (GMT+00:00) GSL Round of 16 Previews and Group of Death Analysis Redo! Oops I messed up the previous one....REDO! Here's the current Top 25 by Blizzcon Chances.
-
HyuN (ROCCAT), is at ~ 100 %, Min WCS Points: 5625
-
MC, is at ~ 100 %, Min WCS Points: 5100
-
StarDust (mYinsanity), is at ~ 100 %, Min WCS Points: 4700
-
TaeJa (Liquid), is at ~ 100 %, Min WCS Points: 4625
-
Polt (CM Storm), is at ~ 100 %, Min WCS Points: 4575
-
San (Yoe), is at ~ 100 %, Min WCS Points: 4425
-
Zest (KT), is at ~ 100 %, Min WCS Points: 3625
-
Bomber, is at ~ 100 %, Min WCS Points: 3600
-
Jaedong (EG), is at ~ 98.04 %, Min WCS Points: 2950
-
jjakji (mYinsanity), is at ~ 94.44 %, Min WCS Points: 2850
-
sOs (Jinair), is at ~ 92.36 %, Min WCS Points: 2350
-
Life (StarTale), is at ~ 67.17 %, Min WCS Points: 2750
-
Classic (SKT T1), is at ~ 63.56 %, Min WCS Points: 2650
-
soO (SKT T1), is at ~ 61.78 %, Min WCS Points: 2350
-
herO (CJ Entus), is at ~ 55.59 %, Min WCS Points: 2300
-
Pigbaby (Jinair), is at ~ 36.47 %, Min WCS Points: 2200
-
Rain (SKT T1), is at ~ 32.66 %, Min WCS Points: 1775
-
viOLet, is at ~ 28.75 %, Min WCS Points: 2150
-
Scarlett (Acer), is at ~ 20.18 %, Min WCS Points: 1400
-
MMA (Acer), is at ~ 16.18 %, Min WCS Points: 1975
-
Bunny (Liquid), is at ~ 14.78 %, Min WCS Points: 1650
-
INnoVation (Acer), is at ~ 13.08 %, Min WCS Points: 1425
-
Snute (Liquid), is at ~ 11.18 %, Min WCS Points: 2300
-
PartinG (SKT T1), is at ~ 9.68 %, Min WCS Points: 1200
-
YoDa, is at ~ 9.28 %, Min WCS Points: 875
WCS Point Cutoffs - I simplified the WCS Point Cutoffs view a bit. Now it only shows 7 different points: the highest points with 0% chances, the lowest points with better than 0% chances, 2500 points, the points closest to 50% chances, 3000 points, the highest points with less than 100% chances, and the lowest points with 100% chances. You can still click "+ Show All Cutoffs +" to show more. + Show Spoiler [WCS Point Cutoffs] + ~ 0 % of the time 2,275 points is enough to qualify for Blizzcon ~ 0.01 % of the time 2,300 points is enough to qualify for Blizzcon ~ 0.95 % of the time 2,500 points is enough to qualify for Blizzcon ~ 50.39 % of the time 2,825 points is enough to qualify for Blizzcon ~ 86.68 % of the time 3,000 points is enough to qualify for Blizzcon ~ 99.99 % of the time 3,775 points is enough to qualify for Blizzcon ~ 100 % of the time 3,800 points is enough to qualify for Blizzcon
Biggest Winners Since 3 Days Ago
herO went up by ~ 11.09 %, going from ~ 44.5 % to ~ 55.59 %
Life went up by ~ 8.1 %, going from ~ 59.07 % to ~ 67.17 %
DongRaeGu went up by ~ 1.65 %, going from ~ 0.88 % to ~ 2.52 %
Welmu went up by ~ 1.53 %, going from ~ 2.09 % to ~ 3.62 %
soO went up by ~ 1.25 %, going from ~ 60.53 % to ~ 61.78 % + Show Spoiler [More Biggest Winners] + TLO went up by ~ 0.82 %, going from ~ 0.96 % to ~ 1.78 % Rain went up by ~ 0.63 %, going from ~ 32.04 % to ~ 32.66 % Cure went up by ~ 0.56 %, going from ~ 0.17 % to ~ 0.73 % Solar went up by ~ 0.33 %, going from ~ 7.66 % to ~ 7.99 %
Biggest Losers Since 3 Days Ago
Snute went down by ~ 10.83 %, going from ~ 22.01 % to ~ 11.18 %
Scarlett went down by ~ 2.35 %, going from ~ 22.54 % to ~ 20.18 %
Maru went down by ~ 2.26 %, going from ~ 9.17 % to ~ 6.91 %
sOs went down by ~ 1.37 %, going from ~ 93.72 % to ~ 92.36 %
Pigbaby went down by ~ 1.34 %, going from ~ 37.81 % to ~ 36.47 % + Show Spoiler [More Biggest Losers] + viOLet went down by ~ 1.16 %, going from ~ 29.91 % to ~ 28.75 % jjakji went down by ~ 0.84 %, going from ~ 95.28 % to ~ 94.44 % YoDa went down by ~ 0.75 %, going from ~ 10.03 % to ~ 9.28 % INnoVation went down by ~ 0.65 %, going from ~ 13.74 % to ~ 13.08 % Classic went down by ~ 0.62 %, going from ~ 64.18 % to ~ 63.56 % PartinG went down by ~ 0.52 %, going from ~ 10.2 % to ~ 9.68 % Bunny went down by ~ 0.51 %, going from ~ 15.29 % to ~ 14.78 % HerO went down by ~ 0.46 %, going from ~ 7.79 % to ~ 7.33 % MajOr went down by ~ 0.42 %, going from ~ 3.64 % to ~ 3.22 % Jaedong went down by ~ 0.39 %, going from ~ 98.43 % to ~ 98.04 % Heart went down by ~ 0.36 %, going from ~ 5.21 % to ~ 4.85 % ForGG went down by ~ 0.26 %, going from ~ 8.97 % to ~ 8.71 % HuK went down by ~ 0.19 %, going from ~ 2.06 % to ~ 1.87 % Soulkey went down by ~ 0.1 %, going from ~ 2.14 % to ~ 2.03 %
GSL Code S Round of 16 Group Previews Starts in Soulkey must win this! + Show Spoiler [Zest, Cure, Soulkey, Reality in GSL S3…] +GSL S3 Code S- Zest is at ~ 100 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014 ~ 57.65 % of the time Zest wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 100 %. ~ 42.35 % of the time Zest loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 100 %. ------------------------------------------------- - Cure is at ~ 0.73 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014 ~ 53.32 % of the time Cure wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 1.37 %. ~ 46.68 % of the time Cure loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 0.01 %. ------------------------------------------------- - Soulkey is at ~ 2.03 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014 ~ 45.22 % of the time Soulkey wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 4.49 %. ~ 54.78 % of the time Soulkey loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 0.01 %. ------------------------------------------------- - Reality is at ~ 0.62 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014 ~ 43.81 % of the time Reality wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 1.4 %. ~ 56.19 % of the time Reality loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 0.02 %.
Starts in INnoVation must win this! PartinG must win this! Maru must win this! + Show Spoiler [INnoVation, PartinG, Maru, Stats in GS…] +GSL S3 Code S- INnoVation is at ~ 13.08 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014 ~ 62.12 % of the time INnoVation wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 20.93 %. ~ 37.88 % of the time INnoVation loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 0.21 %. ------------------------------------------------- - PartinG is at ~ 9.68 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014 ~ 52.83 % of the time PartinG wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 17.87 %. ~ 47.17 % of the time PartinG loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 0.51 %. ------------------------------------------------- - Maru is at ~ 6.91 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014 ~ 49.52 % of the time Maru wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 13.76 %. ~ 50.48 % of the time Maru loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 0.19 %. ------------------------------------------------- - Stats is at ~ 0.12 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014 ~ 35.53 % of the time Stats wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 0.34 %. ~ 64.47 % of the time Stats loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 0.01 %.
Starts in Solar must win this! This match is important for Rain! + Show Spoiler [Rain, sOs, Solar, EffOrt in GSL S3 Cod…] +GSL S3 Code S EffOrt has the #1 headband! sOs has the #2 headband! This is a match for the #1 headband! - Rain is at ~ 32.66 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014 ~ 61.5 % of the time Rain wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 43.82 %. ~ 38.5 % of the time Rain loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 14.84 %. ------------------------------------------------- - sOs is at ~ 92.36 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014 ~ 54.58 % of the time sOs wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 97.55 %. ~ 45.42 % of the time sOs loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 86.12 %. ------------------------------------------------- - Solar is at ~ 7.99 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014 ~ 52.33 % of the time Solar wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 15.12 %. ~ 47.67 % of the time Solar loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 0.16 %. ------------------------------------------------- - EffOrt is at ~ 0.03 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014 ~ 31.59 % of the time EffOrt wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 0.08 %. ~ 68.41 % of the time EffOrt loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 0 %.
Starts in Flash must win this! DongRaeGu must win this! TRUE must win this! This match is important for soO! + Show Spoiler [Flash, soO, DongRaeGu, TRUE in GSL S3…] +GSL S3 Code S- Flash is at ~ 7.3 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014 ~ 57.25 % of the time Flash wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 12.22 %. ~ 42.75 % of the time Flash loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 0.71 %. ------------------------------------------------- - soO is at ~ 61.78 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014 ~ 51.94 % of the time soO wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 78.71 %. ~ 48.06 % of the time soO loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 43.49 %. ------------------------------------------------- - DongRaeGu is at ~ 2.52 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014 ~ 46.74 % of the time DongRaeGu wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 5.37 %. ~ 53.26 % of the time DongRaeGu loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 0.02 %. ------------------------------------------------- - TRUE is at ~ 2.73 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014 ~ 44.07 % of the time TRUE wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 6.15 %. ~ 55.93 % of the time TRUE loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 0.03 %.
Winning Chances
Rain has a ~ 12.69 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 32.66 % to ~ 100 %
INnoVation has a ~ 11.88 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 13.08 % to ~ 99.87 %
sOs has a ~ 9.45 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 92.36 % to ~ 100 %
Zest has a ~ 9.08 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 100 % to ~ 100 %
Flash has a ~ 8.24 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 7.3 % to ~ 64.08 % + Show Spoiler [More Winning Chances] + PartinG has a ~ 7.6 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 9.68 % to ~ 97.61 % Solar has a ~ 6.96 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 7.99 % to ~ 99.96 % Maru has a ~ 5.77 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 6.91 % to ~ 99.99 % Soulkey has a ~ 4.87 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 2.03 % to ~ 41.12 % Cure has a ~ 4.85 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 0.73 % to ~ 14.8 % soO has a ~ 4.42 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 61.78 % to ~ 100 % DongRaeGu has a ~ 4.19 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 2.52 % to ~ 56.55 % Reality has a ~ 3.01 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 0.62 % to ~ 17.97 % Stats has a ~ 2.9 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 0.12 % to ~ 4.19 % TRUE has a ~ 2.53 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 2.73 % to ~ 99.4 % EffOrt has a ~ 1.57 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 0.03 % to ~ 1.69 %
Winning Gains
TRUE would gain ~ 96.68 % if they win, with a ~ 2.53 % chance to win, going from ~ 2.73 % to ~ 99.4 %
Maru would gain ~ 93.08 % if they win, with a ~ 5.77 % chance to win, going from ~ 6.91 % to ~ 99.99 %
Solar would gain ~ 91.97 % if they win, with a ~ 6.96 % chance to win, going from ~ 7.99 % to ~ 99.96 %
PartinG would gain ~ 87.92 % if they win, with a ~ 7.6 % chance to win, going from ~ 9.68 % to ~ 97.61 %
INnoVation would gain ~ 86.78 % if they win, with a ~ 11.88 % chance to win, going from ~ 13.08 % to ~ 99.87 % + Show Spoiler [More Winning Gains] + Rain would gain ~ 67.34 % if they win, with a ~ 12.69 % chance to win, going from ~ 32.66 % to ~ 100 % Flash would gain ~ 56.79 % if they win, with a ~ 8.24 % chance to win, going from ~ 7.3 % to ~ 64.08 % DongRaeGu would gain ~ 54.03 % if they win, with a ~ 4.19 % chance to win, going from ~ 2.52 % to ~ 56.55 % Soulkey would gain ~ 39.08 % if they win, with a ~ 4.87 % chance to win, going from ~ 2.03 % to ~ 41.12 % soO would gain ~ 38.22 % if they win, with a ~ 4.42 % chance to win, going from ~ 61.78 % to ~ 100 % Reality would gain ~ 17.34 % if they win, with a ~ 3.01 % chance to win, going from ~ 0.62 % to ~ 17.97 % Cure would gain ~ 14.08 % if they win, with a ~ 4.85 % chance to win, going from ~ 0.73 % to ~ 14.8 % sOs would gain ~ 7.64 % if they win, with a ~ 9.45 % chance to win, going from ~ 92.36 % to ~ 100 % Stats would gain ~ 4.07 % if they win, with a ~ 2.9 % chance to win, going from ~ 0.12 % to ~ 4.19 % EffOrt would gain ~ 1.66 % if they win, with a ~ 1.57 % chance to win, going from ~ 0.03 % to ~ 1.69 % Zest would gain ~ 0 % if they win, with a ~ 9.08 % chance to win, going from ~ 100 % to ~ 100 %
And now let's do some analysis to see what the Group of Death is according to WCS Predictor. We will be looking at 5 different scores. Champion Chances Score is the chances to win the tournament for each player in the group added together. Blizzcon Chances Score is the chances to qualify for Blizzcon for each player in the group added together. Blizzcon Chances Lost Score is how much the Blizzcon Chances Score went down by because of the group drawing. Effects Score is the sum of the amount of Blizzcon chances each player would gain if they won the group, plus the amount of Blizzcon chances each player would lose if they lost the group. Aligulac Score is the overall Aligulac rating of every player in the group added together.
+ Show Spoiler [Champion Chances] + Group A Soulkey has a ~ 4.87 % chance to win GSL S3 Code S Reality has a ~ 3.01 % chance to win GSL S3 Code S Zest has a ~ 9.08 % chance to win GSL S3 Code S Cure has a ~ 4.85 % chance to win GSL S3 Code S Giving this match a Champion Chances Score of 21.8036
Group B Rain has a ~ 12.69 % chance to win GSL S3 Code S sOs has a ~ 9.45 % chance to win GSL S3 Code S EffOrt has a ~ 1.57 % chance to win GSL S3 Code S Solar has a ~ 6.96 % chance to win GSL S3 Code S Giving this match a Champion Chances Score of 30.6749
Group C PartinG has a ~ 7.6 % chance to win GSL S3 Code S INnoVation has a ~ 11.88 % chance to win GSL S3 Code S Maru has a ~ 5.77 % chance to win GSL S3 Code S Stats has a ~ 2.9 % chance to win GSL S3 Code S Giving this match a Champion Chances Score of 28.1467
Group D DongRaeGu has a ~ 4.19 % chance to win GSL S3 Code S Flash has a ~ 8.24 % chance to win GSL S3 Code S soO has a ~ 4.42 % chance to win GSL S3 Code S TRUE has a ~ 2.53 % chance to win GSL S3 Code S Giving this match a Champion Chances Score of 19.3749
Which means the groups go in this order for the Champion Chances Scores B > C > A > D
+ Show Spoiler [Blizzcon Chances] + Group A Soulkey is at ~ 2.03 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014 Reality is at ~ 0.62 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014 Zest is at ~ 100 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014 Cure is at ~ 0.73 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014 Giving this match a Blizzcon Chances Score of 103.387
Group B Rain is at ~ 32.66 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014 sOs is at ~ 92.36 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014 EffOrt is at ~ 0.03 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014 Solar is at ~ 7.99 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014 Giving this match a Blizzcon Chances Score of 133.033
Group C PartinG is at ~ 9.68 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014 INnoVation is at ~ 13.08 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014 Maru is at ~ 6.91 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014 Stats is at ~ 0.12 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014 Giving this match a Blizzcon Chances Score of 29.8007
Group D DongRaeGu is at ~ 2.52 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014 Flash is at ~ 7.3 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014 soO is at ~ 61.78 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014 TRUE is at ~ 2.73 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014 Giving this match a Blizzcon Chances Score of 74.3261
Which means the groups go in this order for the Blizzcon Chances Scores B > A > D > C
+ Show Spoiler [Blizzcon Chances Lost] + Group A Soulkey's Blizzcon chances changed by ~ -0.18 % Reality's Blizzcon chances changed by ~ -0.04 % Zest's Blizzcon chances changed by ~ 0 % Cure's Blizzcon chances changed by ~ 0.01 % Giving this match a Blizzcon Chances Lost Score of 0.209437
Group B Rain's Blizzcon chances changed by ~ 0.95 % sOs's Blizzcon chances changed by ~ -0.23 % EffOrt's Blizzcon chances changed by ~ -0.01 % Solar's Blizzcon chances changed by ~ -0.17 % Giving this match a Blizzcon Chances Lost Score of -0.545097
Group C PartinG's Blizzcon chances changed by ~ -0.06 % INnoVation's Blizzcon chances changed by ~ 0.6 % Maru's Blizzcon chances changed by ~ -0.22 % Stats's Blizzcon chances changed by ~ -0.02 % Giving this match a Blizzcon Chances Lost Score of -0.296031
Group D DongRaeGu's Blizzcon chances changed by ~ 0.03 % Flash's Blizzcon chances changed by ~ 0.1 % soO's Blizzcon chances changed by ~ 1.79 % TRUE's Blizzcon chances changed by ~ -0.01 % Giving this match a Blizzcon Chances Lost Score of -1.91951
Which means the groups go in this order for the Blizzcon Chances Lost Scores A > C > B > D
+ Show Spoiler [Effects] + Group A When Soulkey wins this match, their Blizzcon chances go up by ~ 2.46 % When Soulkey loses this match, their Blizzcon chances go down by ~ 2.03 % When Reality wins this match, their Blizzcon chances go up by ~ 0.78 % When Reality loses this match, their Blizzcon chances go down by ~ 0.61 % When Zest wins this match, their Blizzcon chances go up by ~ 0 % When Zest loses this match, their Blizzcon chances go down by ~ 0 % When Cure wins this match, their Blizzcon chances go up by ~ 0.64 % When Cure loses this match, their Blizzcon chances go down by ~ 0.73 % Giving this match an Effects Score of 7.24434
Group B When Rain wins this match, their Blizzcon chances go up by ~ 11.16 % When Rain loses this match, their Blizzcon chances go down by ~ 17.82 % When sOs wins this match, their Blizzcon chances go up by ~ 5.19 % When sOs loses this match, their Blizzcon chances go down by ~ 6.24 % When EffOrt wins this match, their Blizzcon chances go up by ~ 0.06 % When EffOrt loses this match, their Blizzcon chances go down by ~ 0.03 % When Solar wins this match, their Blizzcon chances go up by ~ 7.13 % When Solar loses this match, their Blizzcon chances go down by ~ 7.83 % Giving this match an Effects Score of 55.4508
Group C When PartinG wins this match, their Blizzcon chances go up by ~ 8.19 % When PartinG loses this match, their Blizzcon chances go down by ~ 9.17 % When INnoVation wins this match, their Blizzcon chances go up by ~ 7.85 % When INnoVation loses this match, their Blizzcon chances go down by ~ 12.87 % When Maru wins this match, their Blizzcon chances go up by ~ 6.85 % When Maru loses this match, their Blizzcon chances go down by ~ 6.72 % When Stats wins this match, their Blizzcon chances go up by ~ 0.22 % When Stats loses this match, their Blizzcon chances go down by ~ 0.12 % Giving this match an Effects Score of 51.9908
Group D When DongRaeGu wins this match, their Blizzcon chances go up by ~ 2.85 % When DongRaeGu loses this match, their Blizzcon chances go down by ~ 2.5 % When Flash wins this match, their Blizzcon chances go up by ~ 4.92 % When Flash loses this match, their Blizzcon chances go down by ~ 6.59 % When soO wins this match, their Blizzcon chances go up by ~ 16.93 % When soO loses this match, their Blizzcon chances go down by ~ 18.29 % When TRUE wins this match, their Blizzcon chances go up by ~ 3.42 % When TRUE loses this match, their Blizzcon chances go down by ~ 2.7 % Giving this match an Effects Score of 58.2083
Which means the groups go in this order for Effects Scores D > B > C > A
+ Show Spoiler [Aligulac Ratings] + Group A Soulkey has an overall Aligulac rating of 1938 Reality has an overall Aligulac rating of 1814 Zest has an overall Aligulac rating of 2030 Cure has an overall Aligulac rating of 1898 Giving this match an Aligulac Score of 7680
Group B Rain has an overall Aligulac rating of 2110 sOs has an overall Aligulac rating of 2049 EffOrt has an overall Aligulac rating of 1740 Solar has an overall Aligulac rating of 2006 Giving this match an Aligulac Score of 7905
Group C PartinG has an overall Aligulac rating of 1989 INnoVation has an overall Aligulac rating of 2102 Maru has an overall Aligulac rating of 1944 Stats has an overall Aligulac rating of 1812 Giving this match an Aligulac Score of 7847
Group D DongRaeGu has an overall Aligulac rating of 1891 Flash has an overall Aligulac rating of 2014 soO has an overall Aligulac rating of 1894 TRUE has an overall Aligulac rating of 1797 Giving this match an Aligulac Score of 7596
Which means the groups go in this order for Aligulac Scores B > C > A > D
Group A has a 1st place, a 2nd place, two 3rd places, and a 4th place Group B has three 1st places, a 2nd place, and a 3rd place Group C has three 2nd places, a 3rd place, and a 4th place Group D has a 1st place, a 3rd place, and three 4th places
Group B is our Group of Death! Congrats to Rain, sOs, EffOrt, and Solar! Group A is our NEW 2nd place Group of Death with Zest, Soulkey, Reality, and Cure!
What do you think?
Poll: Group of Death?Group C (416) 67% Group D (89) 14% Group B (81) 13% Group A (36) 6% 622 total votes Your vote: Group of Death? (Vote): Group A (Vote): Group B (Vote): Group C (Vote): Group D
Remember to check the website for much more frequent updates! http://sc2.4ever.tv -----------------------
|
|
|
|