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Die4Ever
United States17676 Posts
Code A http://sc2.4ever.tv/?page=tournament&tid=21 WCS AM Challenger http://sc2.4ever.tv/?page=tournament&tid=23 WCS EU Challenger http://sc2.4ever.tv/?page=tournament&tid=25 Note that WCS AM and EU have not finished their qualifiers yet, so those player lists are based on simulations of the qualifiers. | ||
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Die4Ever
United States17676 Posts
Here's the current Top 25 by chances. + Show Spoiler [Top 25 Chances] + #1   MC is at ~ 100 %, Min WCS Points: 4350#2 ROCCAT  HyuN is at ~ 100 %, Min WCS Points: 4025#3 Yoe San is at ~ 100 %, Min WCS Points: 3575#4 Liquid  TaeJa is at ~ 100 %, Min WCS Points: 3400#5 CM Storm Polt is at ~ 99.99 %, Min WCS Points: 3100#6 SKT T1 Classic is at ~ 99.92 %, Min WCS Points: 2900#7 KT Zest is at ~ 99.89 %, Min WCS Points: 2900#8 mYinsanity StarDust is at ~ 96.42 %, Min WCS Points: 2600#9 StarTale Life is at ~ 92.14 %, Min WCS Points: 2625#10 SKT T1 soO is at ~ 90.37 %, Min WCS Points: 2500#11 mYinsanity jjakji is at ~ 80.92 %, Min WCS Points: 2425#12 Bomber is at ~ 77.77 %, Min WCS Points: 2125#13 CJ Entus herO is at ~ 70.02 %, Min WCS Points: 2300#14 Jinair sOs is at ~ 55.11 %, Min WCS Points: 2200#15 Millenium ForGG is at ~ 53.1 %, Min WCS Points: 1575#16 EG Jaedong is at ~ 52.53 %, Min WCS Points: 2175#17 Axiom Heart is at ~ 21.85 %, Min WCS Points: 1150#18 Ai Golden is at ~ 13.8 %, Min WCS Points: 950#19 Jinair Maru is at ~ 13.28 %, Min WCS Points: 1450#20 Jinair Pigbaby is at ~ 12.93 %, Min WCS Points: 850#21 Acer MMA is at ~ 12.57 %, Min WCS Points: 1450#22 Liquid HerO is at ~ 11.39 %, Min WCS Points: 1675#23 SKT T1 PartinG is at ~ 10.85 %, Min WCS Points: 1050#24 Acer INnoVation is at ~ 9.89 %, Min WCS Points: 1025#25 SKT T1 Rain is at ~ 9.54 %, Min WCS Points: 1375Here are the biggest winners and losers from the quarterfinals. + Show Spoiler [Biggest Winners] + Bomber went up by ~ 22.25 %, going from ~ 55.52 % to ~ 77.77 % ForGG went up by ~ 13.92 %, going from ~ 39.18 % to ~ 53.1 % StarDust went up by ~ 12.96 %, going from ~ 83.45 % to ~ 96.42 % Heart went up by ~ 11.74 %, going from ~ 10.11 % to ~ 21.85 % Pigbaby went up by ~ 9.55 %, going from ~ 3.38 % to ~ 12.93 % Golden went up by ~ 6.42 %, going from ~ 7.38 % to ~ 13.8 %+ Show Spoiler [Biggest Losers] + Alicia went down by ~ 19.59 %, going from ~ 28.94 % to ~ 9.35 % VortiX went down by ~ 18.17 %, going from ~ 25.52 % to ~ 7.36 % viOLet went down by ~ 15.41 %, going from ~ 20.85 % to ~ 5.44 % First went down by ~ 15.3 %, going from ~ 21.01 % to ~ 5.7 % Welmu went down by ~ 9.14 %, going from ~ 12.27 % to ~ 3.13 %The chances of having 1+ foreigners qualify for Blizzcon went from ~ 54.91 % down to ~ 36.48 %, and the chances of having 2+ foreigners qualify went from ~ 12.03 % down to ~ 3.97 %. Snute is the new top foreign hope, with ~ 8.35 % chances, after Vortix fell from ~ 25.52 % down to ~ 7.36 %, and Welmu fell from ~ 12.27 % down to ~ 3.13 %. The previews for the WCS EU semifinals. Starts in + Show Spoiler [San, Golden in WCS EU S2 Premier] + WCS EU S2 Premier - San is at ~ 100 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014~ 69.72 % of the time San wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 100 %.~ 30.28 % of the time San loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 100 %.------------------------------------------------- - Golden is at ~ 13.8 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014~ 30.28 % of the time Golden wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 37.56 %.~ 69.72 % of the time Golden loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 3.49 %.Starts in + Show Spoiler [ForGG, StarDust in WCS EU S2 Premier] + WCS EU S2 Premier - ForGG is at ~ 53.13 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014~ 48.57 % of the time ForGG wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 84.22 %.~ 51.43 % of the time ForGG loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 23.77 %.------------------------------------------------- - StarDust is at ~ 96.42 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014~ 51.43 % of the time StarDust wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 99.99 %.~ 48.57 % of the time StarDust loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 92.63 %.+ Show Spoiler [Winning Chances] + WCS EU S2 Premier San has a ~ 37.51 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 100 % to ~ 100 % StarDust has a ~ 26.01 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 96.42 % to ~ 100 % ForGG has a ~ 25.36 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 53.13 % to ~ 99.99 % Golden has a ~ 11.12 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 13.8 % to ~ 79.76 %Consequences for each player winning WCS EU Season 2. + Show Spoiler [San Winning] + This would change Golden's Blizzcon chances from ~ 13.8 % to ~ 3.51 % This would change ForGG's Blizzcon chances from ~ 53.13 % to ~ 44.99 % This would change jjakji's Blizzcon chances from ~ 80.9 % to ~ 82.84 % + Show Spoiler [StarDust Winning] + This would change ForGG's Blizzcon chances from ~ 53.13 % to ~ 24.01 % This would change Golden's Blizzcon chances from ~ 13.8 % to ~ 7.54 % This would change jjakji's Blizzcon chances from ~ 80.9 % to ~ 84.48 % This would change Jaedong's Blizzcon chances from ~ 52.54 % to ~ 55.83 % This would change CJ herO's Blizzcon chances from ~ 70.02 % to ~ 73.15 % + Show Spoiler [ForGG Winning] + This would change Golden's Blizzcon chances from ~ 13.8 % to ~ 6.53 % This would change StarDust's Blizzcon chances from ~ 96.42 % to ~ 92.05 % This would change Jaedong's Blizzcon chances from ~ 52.54 % to ~ 48.98 % This would change CJ herO's Blizzcon chances from ~ 70.02 % to ~ 66.75 % This would change sOs's Blizzcon chances from ~ 55.11 % to ~ 51.87 % + Show Spoiler [Golden Winning] + The simulation didn't find anything significant enough to count and save. WCS EU page http://sc2.4ever.tv/?page=tournament&tid=15 Previews for the WCS AM Semifinals. Starts in + Show Spoiler [Bomber, Heart in WCS AM S2 Premier] + WCS AM S2 Premier - Bomber is at ~ 77.77 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014~ 57.22 % of the time Bomber wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 98.59 %.~ 42.78 % of the time Bomber loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 49.94 %.------------------------------------------------- - Heart is at ~ 21.85 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014~ 42.78 % of the time Heart wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 45.66 %.~ 57.22 % of the time Heart loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 4.05 %.Starts in + Show Spoiler [HyuN, Pigbaby in WCS AM S2 Premier] + WCS AM S2 Premier - HyuN is at ~ 100 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014~ 64.93 % of the time HyuN wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 100 %.~ 35.07 % of the time HyuN loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 100 %.------------------------------------------------- - Pigbaby is at ~ 12.93 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014~ 35.07 % of the time Pigbaby wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 31.61 %.~ 64.93 % of the time Pigbaby loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 2.84 %.+ Show Spoiler [Winning Chances] + WCS AM S2 Premier HyuN has a ~ 45.48 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 100 % to ~ 100 % Bomber has a ~ 26.1 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 77.77 % to ~ 100 % Heart has a ~ 15.29 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 21.85 % to ~ 95.45 % Pigbaby has a ~ 13.12 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 12.93 % to ~ 68.97 %Consequences for each player winning WCS AM Season 2. + Show Spoiler [Hyun Winning] + This would change Heart's Blizzcon chances from ~ 21.85 % to ~ 10.45 % This would change Pigbaby's Blizzcon chances from ~ 12.93 % to ~ 2.88 % This would change jjakji's Blizzcon chances from ~ 80.91 % to ~ 83.38 % This would change CJ herO's Blizzcon chances from ~ 70.03 % to ~ 72.19 % This would change sOs's Blizzcon chances from ~ 55.11 % to ~ 57.18 % + Show Spoiler [Bomber Winning] + This would change Heart's Blizzcon chances from ~ 21.85 % to ~ 4.06 % This would change Pigbaby's Blizzcon chances from ~ 12.93 % to ~ 6.43 % + Show Spoiler [Heart Winning] + This would change Bomber's Blizzcon chances from ~ 77.77 % to ~ 46.62 % This would change CJ herO's Blizzcon chances from ~ 70.03 % to ~ 66.41 % + Show Spoiler [Pigbaby Winning] + This would change Heart's Blizzcon chances from ~ 21.85 % to ~ 10.99 % This would change Bomber's Blizzcon chances from ~ 77.77 % to ~ 68.51 % WCS AM page http://sc2.4ever.tv/?page=tournament&tid=15 ----------------------- http://sc2.4ever.tv | ||
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Die4Ever
United States17676 Posts
Here's the current Top 25 by chances. + Show Spoiler [Top 25 Chances] + #1 MC is at ~ 100 %, Min WCS Points: 4225#2 mYinsanity StarDust is at ~ 100 %, Min WCS Points: 4100#3 Yoe San is at ~ 100 %, Min WCS Points: 4075#4 ROCCAT HyuN is at ~ 100 %, Min WCS Points: 4025#5 Liquid TaeJa is at ~ 99.99 %, Min WCS Points: 3275#6 CM Storm Polt is at ~ 99.99 %, Min WCS Points: 3100#7 SKT T1 Classic is at ~ 99.95 %, Min WCS Points: 2900#8 KT Zest is at ~ 99.94 %, Min WCS Points: 2900#9 StarTale Life is at ~ 94.64 %, Min WCS Points: 2625#10 SKT T1 soO is at ~ 92.72 %, Min WCS Points: 2500#11 mYinsanity jjakji is at ~ 84.8 %, Min WCS Points: 2425#12 Bomber is at ~ 79.38 %, Min WCS Points: 2125#13 CJ Entus herO is at ~ 73.39 %, Min WCS Points: 2300#14 Jinair sOs is at ~ 58.35 %, Min WCS Points: 2200#15 EG Jaedong is at ~ 56.2 %, Min WCS Points: 2175#16 Millenium ForGG is at ~ 24.16 %, Min WCS Points: 1575#17 Axiom Heart is at ~ 22.56 %, Min WCS Points: 1150#18 Jinair Maru is at ~ 14.18 %, Min WCS Points: 1450#19 Jinair Pigbaby is at ~ 13.63 %, Min WCS Points: 850#20 Acer MMA is at ~ 13.38 %, Min WCS Points: 1450#21 Liquid HerO is at ~ 12.63 %, Min WCS Points: 1675#22 SKT T1 PartinG is at ~ 11.28 %, Min WCS Points: 1050#23 Liquid  Snute is at ~ 10.45 %, Min WCS Points: 1375#24 Acer INnoVation is at ~ 10.17 %, Min WCS Points: 1025#25 Axiom Alicia is at ~ 10.1 %, Min WCS Points: 1475Starts in + Show Spoiler [Bomber, Heart in WCS AM S2 Premier] + WCS AM S2 Premier - Bomber is at ~ 79.38 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014~ 57.21 % of the time Bomber wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 99.07 %.~ 42.79 % of the time Bomber loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 53.06 %.------------------------------------------------- - Heart is at ~ 22.56 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014~ 42.79 % of the time Heart wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 47.12 %.~ 57.21 % of the time Heart loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 4.2 %.Starts in + Show Spoiler [HyuN, Pigbaby in WCS AM S2 Premier] + WCS AM S2 Premier - HyuN is at ~ 100 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014~ 64.94 % of the time HyuN wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 100 %.~ 35.06 % of the time HyuN loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 100 %.------------------------------------------------- - Pigbaby is at ~ 13.63 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014~ 35.06 % of the time Pigbaby wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 33.4 %.~ 64.94 % of the time Pigbaby loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 2.95 %.+ Show Spoiler [Winning Chances] + WCS AM S2 Premier HyuN has a ~ 45.46 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 100 % to ~ 100 % Bomber has a ~ 26.12 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 79.38 % to ~ 100 % Heart has a ~ 15.34 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 22.56 % to ~ 96.88 % Pigbaby has a ~ 13.09 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 13.63 % to ~ 72.92 %Consequences of each player winning WCS AM Season 2. + Show Spoiler [Hyun Winning] + This would change Heart's Blizzcon chances from ~ 22.56 % to ~ 11.17 % This would change Pigbaby's Blizzcon chances from ~ 13.64 % to ~ 2.99 % This would change Jaedong's Blizzcon chances from ~ 56.2 % to ~ 58.65 % This would change jjakji's Blizzcon chances from ~ 84.8 % to ~ 87.14 % This would change sOs's Blizzcon chances from ~ 58.37 % to ~ 60.68 % This would change herO's Blizzcon chances from ~ 73.41 % to ~ 75.69 % + Show Spoiler [Bomber Winning] + This would change Pigbaby's Blizzcon chances from ~ 13.64 % to ~ 6.85 % + Show Spoiler [Heart Winning] + This would change Bomber's Blizzcon chances from ~ 79.38 % to ~ 49.46 % This would change Pigbaby's Blizzcon chances from ~ 13.64 % to ~ 6.13 % This would change sOs's Blizzcon chances from ~ 58.37 % to ~ 54.49 % + Show Spoiler [Pigbaby Winning] + This would change Bomber's Blizzcon chances from ~ 79.38 % to ~ 70.65 % WCS AM page http://sc2.4ever.tv/?page=tournament&tid=15 Remember the check the website for much more frequent updates! http://sc2.4ever.tv ----------------------- | ||
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Die4Ever
United States17676 Posts
Here's the current Top 25 by chances. + Show Spoiler [Top 25 Chances] + #1 MC is at ~ 100 %, Min WCS Points: 4225#2 mYinsanity StarDust is at ~ 100 %, Min WCS Points: 4100#3 Yoe San is at ~ 100 %, Min WCS Points: 4075#4 ROCCAT HyuN is at ~ 100 %, Min WCS Points: 4025#5 Liquid TaeJa is at ~ 99.99 %, Min WCS Points: 3275#6 CM Storm Polt is at ~ 99.99 %, Min WCS Points: 3100#7 SKT T1 Classic is at ~ 99.78 %, Min WCS Points: 2900#8 KT Zest is at ~ 99.66 %, Min WCS Points: 2900#9 Bomber is at ~ 95.36 %, Min WCS Points: 2625#10 CJ Entus herO is at ~ 91.71 %, Min WCS Points: 2550#11 Jinair sOs is at ~ 86.24 %, Min WCS Points: 2450#12 StarTale Life is at ~ 86.13 %, Min WCS Points: 2625#13 SKT T1 soO is at ~ 84.18 %, Min WCS Points: 2500#14 mYinsanity jjakji is at ~ 72.19 %, Min WCS Points: 2425#15 Jinair Pigbaby is at ~ 63.72 %, Min WCS Points: 2350#16 EG Jaedong is at ~ 44.99 %, Min WCS Points: 2175#17 Millenium ForGG is at ~ 18.94 %, Min WCS Points: 1575#18 Acer MMA is at ~ 10.87 %, Min WCS Points: 1450#19 Acer INnoVation is at ~ 9.27 %, Min WCS Points: 1025#20 Liquid HerO is at ~ 8.88 %, Min WCS Points: 1675#21 Liquid Snute is at ~ 8.64 %, Min WCS Points: 1375#22 Jinair Maru is at ~ 8.46 %, Min WCS Points: 1450#23 SKT T1 Rain is at ~ 8.19 %, Min WCS Points: 1375#24 Axiom Alicia is at ~ 7.86 %, Min WCS Points: 1475#25 SKT T1 PartinG is at ~ 7.37 %, Min WCS Points: 1050Here are the biggest winners and losers from this weekend. + Show Spoiler [Biggest Winners] + Pigbaby went up by ~ 60.33 %, going from ~ 3.39 % to ~ 63.72 % Bomber went up by ~ 39.75 %, going from ~ 55.62 % to ~ 95.36 % sOs went up by ~ 31.73 %, going from ~ 54.51 % to ~ 86.24 % herO went up by ~ 21.93 %, going from ~ 69.78 % to ~ 91.71 % StarDust went up by ~ 16.53 %, going from ~ 83.47 % to ~ 100 % Bunny went up by ~ 0.54 %, going from ~ 2.01 % to ~ 2.56 %+ Show Spoiler [Biggest Losers] + Alicia went down by ~ 21.16 %, going from ~ 29.02 % to ~ 7.86 % ForGG went down by ~ 20.07 %, going from ~ 39.01 % to ~ 18.94 % VortiX went down by ~ 18.47 %, going from ~ 25.29 % to ~ 6.81 % First went down by ~ 16.44 %, going from ~ 21.57 % to ~ 5.13 % viOLet went down by ~ 15.55 %, going from ~ 20.44 % to ~ 4.89 % Welmu went down by ~ 9.67 %, going from ~ 12.29 % to ~ 2.62 % jjakji went down by ~ 8.57 %, going from ~ 80.76 % to ~ 72.19 % Jaedong went down by ~ 7.44 %, going from ~ 52.42 % to ~ 44.99 % Heart went down by ~ 6.46 %, going from ~ 10.16 % to ~ 3.7 % soO went down by ~ 6.26 %, going from ~ 90.44 % to ~ 84.18 % Life went down by ~ 6.26 %, going from ~ 92.39 % to ~ 86.13 % Maru went down by ~ 4.84 %, going from ~ 13.3 % to ~ 8.46 % Golden went down by ~ 3.95 %, going from ~ 7.15 % to ~ 3.2 % PartinG went down by ~ 3.48 %, going from ~ 10.85 % to ~ 7.37 % HerO went down by ~ 2.5 %, going from ~ 11.38 % to ~ 8.88 % MMA went down by ~ 2.43 %, going from ~ 13.29 % to ~ 10.87 % Soulkey went down by ~ 2.24 %, going from ~ 7.45 % to ~ 5.21 % Rain went down by ~ 1.3 %, going from ~ 9.49 % to ~ 8.19 % Dear went down by ~ 1.18 %, going from ~ 6.67 % to ~ 5.5 % Oz went down by ~ 0.84 %, going from ~ 4.87 % to ~ 4.04 % Sen went down by ~ 0.77 %, going from ~ 2.27 % to ~ 1.5 % Scarlett went down by ~ 0.77 %, going from ~ 1.97 % to ~ 1.2 % INnoVation went down by ~ 0.63 %, going from ~ 9.9 % to ~ 9.27 % Nerchio went down by ~ 0.56 %, going from ~ 1.39 % to ~ 0.83 % Bbyong went down by ~ 0.51 %, going from ~ 1.13 % to ~ 0.61 % Trap went down by ~ 0.5 %, going from ~ 3.79 % to ~ 3.29 %Pigbaby rising so much so quickly into the top 16 has made it tougher for everyone that is now below him. With Protoss taking the triple crown, they now hold ~ 50.44 % of the chances, breaking over the 50% mark for the first time in months. Terran is at ~ 26.91 % and Zerg is at ~ 22.65 %. The hopes of getting at least 1 foreigner into Blizzcon is now at ~ 32.63 %, and getting 2 or more is at ~ 2.77 % chances. Also I have finally added WCS Point Cutoffs to the front page! This shows the % chances that the 16th ranked player at the end of the year has X many points or less. + Show Spoiler [Point Cutoffs] + ~ 0 % of the time 2,150 points is enough to qualify for Blizzcon ~ 0.02 % of the time 2,175 points is enough to qualify for Blizzcon ~ 0.3 % of the time 2,300 points is enough to qualify for Blizzcon ~ 4.76 % of the time 2,450 points is enough to qualify for Blizzcon ~ 37.95 % of the time 2,625 points is enough to qualify for Blizzcon ~ 59.14 % of the time 2,700 points is enough to qualify for Blizzcon ~ 75.06 % of the time 2,775 points is enough to qualify for Blizzcon ~ 90.11 % of the time 2,875 points is enough to qualify for Blizzcon ~ 100 % of the time 3,550 points is enough to qualify for Blizzcon So this means that ~ 59.14 % of the time, the 16th ranked player ends up with 2,700 or less WCS Points. It also says that 2,150 points is never enough to qualify in these simulations, and 3,550 points is always enough in these simulations. If you go on the website, you can click on "+ Show All Cutoffs +" to see even more details. Remember the check the website for much more frequent updates! http://sc2.4ever.tv ----------------------- | ||
Waxangel
United States33388 Posts
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Die4Ever
United States17676 Posts
On July 07 2014 12:29 Waxangel wrote: grrr Maru so low :[ Maru basically needs to win GSL or KeSPA Cup (which has 8 qualifier spots) | ||
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Die4Ever
United States17676 Posts
Here's the new top 25 by chances + Show Spoiler [Top 25 Chances] + #1 MC is at ~ 100 %, Min WCS Points: 4225#2 ROCCAT HyuN is at ~ 100 %, Min WCS Points: 4025#3 mYinsanity StarDust is at ~ 100 %, Min WCS Points: 3850#4 Yoe San is at ~ 100 %, Min WCS Points: 3825#5 Liquid TaeJa is at ~ 99.99 %, Min WCS Points: 3275#6 CM Storm Polt is at ~ 99.99 %, Min WCS Points: 3100#7 KT Zest is at ~ 99.81 %, Min WCS Points: 2900#8 SKT T1 Classic is at ~ 97.47 %, Min WCS Points: 2650#9 StarTale Life is at ~ 90.28 %, Min WCS Points: 2625#10 Bomber is at ~ 87.24 %, Min WCS Points: 2375#11 CJ Entus herO is at ~ 84.27 %, Min WCS Points: 2300#12 Jinair sOs is at ~ 80.93 %, Min WCS Points: 2200#13 mYinsanity jjakji is at ~ 78.55 %, Min WCS Points: 2425#14 SKT T1 soO is at ~ 74.45 %, Min WCS Points: 2250#15 Jinair Pigbaby is at ~ 60.92 %, Min WCS Points: 2100#16 EG Jaedong is at ~ 49.87 %, Min WCS Points: 2175#17 Millenium ForGG is at ~ 20.92 %, Min WCS Points: 1575#18 Acer MMA is at ~ 12.05 %, Min WCS Points: 1450#19 Liquid HerO is at ~ 10.47 %, Min WCS Points: 1675#20 Jinair Maru is at ~ 10.38 %, Min WCS Points: 1450#21 Acer INnoVation is at ~ 9.68 %, Min WCS Points: 1025#22 Liquid Snute is at ~ 9.42 %, Min WCS Points: 1375#23 SKT T1 Rain is at ~ 8.99 %, Min WCS Points: 1375#24 Axiom Alicia is at ~ 8.81 %, Min WCS Points: 1475#25 SKT T1 PartinG is at ~ 7.74 %, Min WCS Points: 1050Here are the changes in this update + Show Spoiler [Biggest Winners] + jjakji went up by ~ 6.36 %, going from ~ 72.19 % to ~ 78.55 % Jaedong went up by ~ 4.92 %, going from ~ 44.95 % to ~ 49.87 % Life went up by ~ 4.17 %, going from ~ 86.11 % to ~ 90.28 % ForGG went up by ~ 1.96 %, going from ~ 18.97 % to ~ 20.92 % Maru went up by ~ 1.91 %, going from ~ 8.47 % to ~ 10.38 % HerO went up by ~ 1.58 %, going from ~ 8.89 % to ~ 10.47 % MMA went up by ~ 1.17 %, going from ~ 10.87 % to ~ 12.05 % Alicia went up by ~ 0.96 %, going from ~ 7.84 % to ~ 8.81 % Rain went up by ~ 0.79 %, going from ~ 8.2 % to ~ 8.99 % Snute went up by ~ 0.78 %, going from ~ 8.63 % to ~ 9.42 % Dear went up by ~ 0.73 %, going from ~ 5.5 % to ~ 6.23 % Oz went up by ~ 0.58 %, going from ~ 4.04 % to ~ 4.62 % Soulkey went up by ~ 0.52 %, going from ~ 5.24 % to ~ 5.75 %+ Show Spoiler [Biggest Losers] + soO went down by ~ 9.71 %, going from ~ 84.17 % to ~ 74.45 % Bomber went down by ~ 8.12 %, going from ~ 95.36 % to ~ 87.24 % herO went down by ~ 7.44 %, going from ~ 91.71 % to ~ 84.27 % sOs went down by ~ 5.31 %, going from ~ 86.24 % to ~ 80.93 % Pigbaby went down by ~ 2.76 %, going from ~ 63.68 % to ~ 60.92 % Classic went down by ~ 2.32 %, going from ~ 99.79 % to ~ 97.47 %Also Protoss fell under 50% again, going down to ~ 49.82 %, Terran is at ~ 27.27 %, Zerg is at ~ 22.9 %. http://sc2.4ever.tv/ | ||
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Die4Ever
United States17676 Posts
Added confirmed players for DreamHack Valencia Added Red Bull Atlanta Added IEM Shenzhen Added Gfinity G3 Here's the current Top 25 by chances. + Show Spoiler [Top 25 Chances] + #1 MC is at ~ 100 %, Min WCS Points: 4225#2 ROCCAT HyuN is at ~ 100 %, Min WCS Points: 4025#3 mYinsanity StarDust is at ~ 100 %, Min WCS Points: 3850#4 Yoe San is at ~ 100 %, Min WCS Points: 3825#5 Liquid TaeJa is at ~ 99.99 %, Min WCS Points: 3275#6 CM Storm Polt is at ~ 99.99 %, Min WCS Points: 3100#7 KT Zest is at ~ 99.29 %, Min WCS Points: 2900#8 SKT T1 Classic is at ~ 94.72 %, Min WCS Points: 2650#9 mYinsanity jjakji is at ~ 91.72 %, Min WCS Points: 2425#10 Bomber is at ~ 91.29 %, Min WCS Points: 2375#11 StarTale Life is at ~ 80.75 %, Min WCS Points: 2625#12 CJ Entus herO is at ~ 79.53 %, Min WCS Points: 2300#13 Jinair sOs is at ~ 75.82 %, Min WCS Points: 2200#14 SKT T1 soO is at ~ 67.61 %, Min WCS Points: 2250#15 Jinair Pigbaby is at ~ 52.85 %, Min WCS Points: 2100#16 EG Jaedong is at ~ 42.11 %, Min WCS Points: 2175#17 Acer MMA is at ~ 33.67 %, Min WCS Points: 1450#18 Millenium ForGG is at ~ 25.04 %, Min WCS Points: 1575#19 Liquid Snute is at ~ 23.89 %, Min WCS Points: 1375#20 Jinair Maru is at ~ 9.04 %, Min WCS Points: 1450#21 Acer INnoVation is at ~ 9.01 %, Min WCS Points: 1025#22 Liquid HerO is at ~ 8.12 %, Min WCS Points: 1675#23 SKT T1 Rain is at ~ 7.88 %, Min WCS Points: 1375#24 Millenium VortiX is at ~ 7.74 %, Min WCS Points: 1100#25 Axiom Alicia is at ~ 7.45 %, Min WCS Points: 1475Here are the biggest winners and losers from these changes + Show Spoiler [Biggest Winners] + MMA went up by ~ 21.63 %, going from ~ 12.04 % to ~ 33.67 % Snute went up by ~ 14.46 %, going from ~ 9.43 % to ~ 23.89 % jjakji went up by ~ 13.12 %, going from ~ 78.6 % to ~ 91.72 % ForGG went up by ~ 4.1 %, going from ~ 20.94 % to ~ 25.04 % Bomber went up by ~ 4.07 %, going from ~ 87.23 % to ~ 91.29 % viOLet went up by ~ 1.56 %, going from ~ 5.18 % to ~ 6.74 % Bunny went up by ~ 1.55 %, going from ~ 2.81 % to ~ 4.36 % VortiX went up by ~ 0.57 %, going from ~ 7.17 % to ~ 7.74 %+ Show Spoiler [Biggest Losers] + Life went down by ~ 9.53 %, going from ~ 90.27 % to ~ 80.75 % Pigbaby went down by ~ 8.05 %, going from ~ 60.9 % to ~ 52.85 % Jaedong went down by ~ 7.79 %, going from ~ 49.9 % to ~ 42.11 % soO went down by ~ 6.89 %, going from ~ 74.5 % to ~ 67.61 % sOs went down by ~ 5.06 %, going from ~ 80.88 % to ~ 75.82 % herO went down by ~ 4.73 %, going from ~ 84.26 % to ~ 79.53 % Classic went down by ~ 2.76 %, going from ~ 97.47 % to ~ 94.72 % HerO went down by ~ 2.36 %, going from ~ 10.47 % to ~ 8.12 % Maru went down by ~ 1.36 %, going from ~ 10.4 % to ~ 9.04 % Alicia went down by ~ 1.35 %, going from ~ 8.8 % to ~ 7.45 % Rain went down by ~ 1.1 %, going from ~ 8.98 % to ~ 7.88 % Dear went down by ~ 1.01 %, going from ~ 6.19 % to ~ 5.19 % Soulkey went down by ~ 0.93 %, going from ~ 5.75 % to ~ 4.82 % Oz went down by ~ 0.75 %, going from ~ 4.59 % to ~ 3.84 % INnoVation went down by ~ 0.66 %, going from ~ 9.68 % to ~ 9.01 % PartinG went down by ~ 0.56 %, going from ~ 7.74 % to ~ 7.18 % Zest went down by ~ 0.52 %, going from ~ 99.81 % to ~ 99.29 % Solar went down by ~ 0.51 %, going from ~ 4.01 % to ~ 3.5 %Tournament pages (tournaments that don't have locked-in player lists have many possible champions, thus the top list of possible champions, sorted by Blizzcon Chances, can be confusing. Look towards the bottom of the tournament page to see the winning chances) Red Bull Atlanta http://sc2.4ever.tv/?page=tournament&tid=44 IEM Shenzhen http://sc2.4ever.tv/?page=tournament&tid=45 Dreamhack Valencia http://sc2.4ever.tv/?page=tournament&tid=35 Gfinity G3 http://sc2.4ever.tv/?page=tournament&tid=46 Remember to check the website for much more frequent updates! http://sc2.4ever.tv ----------------------- | ||
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Die4Ever
United States17676 Posts
Also added hendralisk to Red Bull Atlanta. Here's the current Top 25 by Blizzcon Chances. + Show Spoiler [Top 25 Chances] + #1 MC is at ~ 100 %, Min WCS Points: 4225#2 ROCCAT HyuN is at ~ 100 %, Min WCS Points: 4025#3 mYinsanity StarDust is at ~ 100 %, Min WCS Points: 3850#4 Yoe San is at ~ 100 %, Min WCS Points: 3825#5 Liquid TaeJa is at ~ 99.99 %, Min WCS Points: 3275#6 CM Storm Polt is at ~ 99.99 %, Min WCS Points: 3100#7 KT Zest is at ~ 99.35 %, Min WCS Points: 2900#8 SKT T1 Classic is at ~ 94.65 %, Min WCS Points: 2650#9 mYinsanity jjakji is at ~ 91.93 %, Min WCS Points: 2425#10 Bomber is at ~ 91.36 %, Min WCS Points: 2375#11 StarTale Life is at ~ 82.55 %, Min WCS Points: 2625#12 CJ Entus herO is at ~ 77.85 %, Min WCS Points: 2300#13 Jinair sOs is at ~ 75.03 %, Min WCS Points: 2200#14 SKT T1 soO is at ~ 66.54 %, Min WCS Points: 2250#15 Jinair Pigbaby is at ~ 53.18 %, Min WCS Points: 2100#16 EG Jaedong is at ~ 42.22 %, Min WCS Points: 2175#17 Acer MMA is at ~ 33.8 %, Min WCS Points: 1450#18 Millenium ForGG is at ~ 25.14 %, Min WCS Points: 1575#19 Liquid Snute is at ~ 23.99 %, Min WCS Points: 1375#20 Acer INnoVation is at ~ 9.45 %, Min WCS Points: 1025#21 Jinair Maru is at ~ 8.47 %, Min WCS Points: 1450#22 Liquid HerO is at ~ 8.22 %, Min WCS Points: 1675#23 Millenium VortiX is at ~ 7.84 %, Min WCS Points: 1100#24 Axiom Alicia is at ~ 7.49 %, Min WCS Points: 1475#25 SKT T1 Rain is at ~ 7.25 %, Min WCS Points: 1375Here are the biggest winners and losers from this update. + Show Spoiler [Biggest Winners] + + Show Spoiler [Biggest Losers] + herO went down by ~ 1.69 %, going from ~ 79.54 % to ~ 77.85 % soO went down by ~ 1.07 %, going from ~ 67.61 % to ~ 66.54 % sOs went down by ~ 0.75 %, going from ~ 75.77 % to ~ 75.03 % Rain went down by ~ 0.62 %, going from ~ 7.87 % to ~ 7.25 % Maru went down by ~ 0.52 %, going from ~ 8.99 % to ~ 8.47 %+ Show Spoiler [WCS Point Cutoffs] + ~ 0 % of the time 2,075 points is enough to qualify for Blizzcon ~ 0.01 % of the time 2,100 points is enough to qualify for Blizzcon ~ 0.01 % of the time 2,175 points is enough to qualify for Blizzcon ~ 0.14 % of the time 2,250 points is enough to qualify for Blizzcon ~ 2.15 % of the time 2,375 points is enough to qualify for Blizzcon ~ 35.28 % of the time 2,650 points is enough to qualify for Blizzcon ~ 55.27 % of the time 2,725 points is enough to qualify for Blizzcon ~ 72.31 % of the time 2,800 points is enough to qualify for Blizzcon ~ 85.45 % of the time 2,875 points is enough to qualify for Blizzcon ~ 96.61 % of the time 3,000 points is enough to qualify for Blizzcon ~ 100 % of the time 3,600 points is enough to qualify for Blizzcon Code A previews. Starts in + Show Spoiler [INnoVation, Hurricane, hyvaa, Ruin in…] + GSL S3 Code A - INnoVation is at ~ 9.45 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014~ 72.87 % of the time INnoVation wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 12.72 %.~ 27.13 % of the time INnoVation loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 0.67 %.------------------------------------------------- - Hurricane is at ~ 0.05 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014~ 48.88 % of the time Hurricane wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 0.11 %.~ 51.12 % of the time Hurricane loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 0.01 %.------------------------------------------------- - hyvaa is at ~ 0.01 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014~ 39.08 % of the time hyvaa wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 0.01 %.~ 60.92 % of the time hyvaa loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 0 %.------------------------------------------------- - Ruin is at ~ 0.01 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014~ 39.17 % of the time Ruin wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 0.02 %.~ 60.83 % of the time Ruin loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 0.01 %.Starts in + Show Spoiler [DongRaeGu, TurN, MyuNgSiK, Panic in GS…] + GSL S3 Code A - DongRaeGu is at ~ 1.51 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014~ 75.52 % of the time DongRaeGu wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 1.99 %.~ 24.48 % of the time DongRaeGu loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 0.03 %.------------------------------------------------- - TurN is at ~ 0 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014~ 21.57 % of the time TurN wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 0 %.~ 78.43 % of the time TurN loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 0 %.------------------------------------------------- - MyuNgSiK is at ~ 0.01 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014~ 46.91 % of the time MyuNgSiK wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 0.02 %.~ 53.09 % of the time MyuNgSiK loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 0.01 %.------------------------------------------------- - Panic is at ~ 0.03 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014~ 55.99 % of the time Panic wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 0.05 %.~ 44.01 % of the time Panic loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 0.01 %.Starts in + Show Spoiler [Dark, RagnaroK, Billowy, Dear in GSL S…] + GSL S3 Code A - Dark is at ~ 0.11 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014~ 43.88 % of the time Dark wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 0.25 %.~ 56.12 % of the time Dark loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 0.01 %.------------------------------------------------- - RagnaroK is at ~ 0.3 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014~ 49.51 % of the time RagnaroK wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 0.61 %.~ 50.49 % of the time RagnaroK loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 0.01 %.------------------------------------------------- - Billowy is at ~ 0.02 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014~ 43.85 % of the time Billowy wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 0.04 %.~ 56.15 % of the time Billowy loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 0.01 %.------------------------------------------------- - Dear is at ~ 5.57 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014~ 62.75 % of the time Dear wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 8.3 %.~ 37.25 % of the time Dear loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 0.99 %.Starts in + Show Spoiler [Rain, Hydra, Impact, Cure in GSL S3 Co…] + GSL S3 Code A - Rain is at ~ 7.25 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014~ 64.61 % of the time Rain wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 10.57 %.~ 35.39 % of the time Rain loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 1.19 %.------------------------------------------------- - Hydra is at ~ 0.12 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014~ 44.37 % of the time Hydra wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 0.27 %.~ 55.63 % of the time Hydra loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 0.01 %.------------------------------------------------- - Impact is at ~ 0.27 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014~ 40.5 % of the time Impact wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 0.65 %.~ 59.5 % of the time Impact loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 0.01 %.------------------------------------------------- - Cure is at ~ 0.06 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014~ 50.52 % of the time Cure wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 0.11 %.~ 49.48 % of the time Cure loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 0.01 %.Starts in + Show Spoiler [TY, ByuL, sKyHigh, Shine in GSL S3 Cod…] + GSL S3 Code A - TY is at ~ 0.11 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014~ 58.88 % of the time TY wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 0.18 %.~ 41.12 % of the time TY loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 0.01 %.------------------------------------------------- - ByuL is at ~ 0.16 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014~ 60.8 % of the time ByuL wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 0.26 %.~ 39.2 % of the time ByuL loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 0.01 %.------------------------------------------------- - sKyHigh is at ~ 0.01 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014~ 37.29 % of the time sKyHigh wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 0.01 %.~ 62.71 % of the time sKyHigh loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 0 %.------------------------------------------------- - Shine is at ~ 0.02 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014~ 43.02 % of the time Shine wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 0.04 %.~ 56.98 % of the time Shine loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 0.01 %.Starts in + Show Spoiler [Symbol, Flash, TAiLS, Hush in GSL S3 C…] + GSL S3 Code A - Symbol is at ~ 0.06 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014~ 51.37 % of the time Symbol wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 0.11 %.~ 48.63 % of the time Symbol loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 0.01 %.------------------------------------------------- - Flash is at ~ 0.2 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014~ 57.92 % of the time Flash wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 0.34 %.~ 42.08 % of the time Flash loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 0.01 %.------------------------------------------------- - TAiLS is at ~ 0.01 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014~ 48.01 % of the time TAiLS wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 0.02 %.~ 51.99 % of the time TAiLS loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 0 %.------------------------------------------------- - Hush is at ~ 0.01 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014~ 42.71 % of the time Hush wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 0.01 %.~ 57.28 % of the time Hush loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 0 %.Starts in + Show Spoiler [PartinG, Sleep, Avenge, Sora in GSL S3…] + GSL S3 Code A - PartinG is at ~ 6.71 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014~ 63.37 % of the time PartinG wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 10.28 %.~ 36.63 % of the time PartinG loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 0.51 %.------------------------------------------------- - Sleep is at ~ 0.01 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014~ 39.24 % of the time Sleep wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 0.04 %.~ 60.76 % of the time Sleep loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 0.01 %.------------------------------------------------- - Avenge is at ~ 0.04 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014~ 45.22 % of the time Avenge wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 0.1 %.~ 54.78 % of the time Avenge loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 0.01 %.------------------------------------------------- - Sora is at ~ 0.34 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014~ 52.16 % of the time Sora wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 0.64 %.~ 47.84 % of the time Sora loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 0.01 %.Starts in + Show Spoiler [RorO, aLive, Bbyong, Trap in GSL S3 Co…] + GSL S3 Code A - RorO is at ~ 0.22 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014~ 52.31 % of the time RorO wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 0.42 %.~ 47.69 % of the time RorO loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 0.01 %.------------------------------------------------- - aLive is at ~ 0.01 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014~ 35.85 % of the time aLive wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 0.03 %.~ 64.15 % of the time aLive loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 0.01 %.------------------------------------------------- - Bbyong is at ~ 0.5 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014~ 49.79 % of the time Bbyong wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 0.99 %.~ 50.21 % of the time Bbyong loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 0.02 %.------------------------------------------------- - Trap is at ~ 3.3 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014~ 62.06 % of the time Trap wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 5.13 %.~ 37.94 % of the time Trap loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 0.32 %.Starts in + Show Spoiler [Super, sOs, herO, Reality in GSL S3 Co…] + GSL S3 Code A sOs has the #1 headband!- Super is at ~ 0.1 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014~ 41.14 % of the time Super wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 0.24 %.~ 58.86 % of the time Super loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 0.01 %.------------------------------------------------- - sOs is at ~ 75.03 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014~ 65.54 % of the time sOs wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 82.19 %.~ 34.46 % of the time sOs loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 61.4 %.------------------------------------------------- - herO is at ~ 77.85 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014~ 60.7 % of the time herO wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 84.86 %.~ 39.3 % of the time herO loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 67.01 %.------------------------------------------------- - Reality is at ~ 0.04 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014~ 32.61 % of the time Reality wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 0.13 %.~ 67.39 % of the time Reality loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 0.01 %.Starts in + Show Spoiler [Life, Stats, Bunny, Rogue in GSL S3 Co…] + GSL S3 Code A - Life is at ~ 82.55 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014~ 69.36 % of the time Life wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 88.93 %.~ 30.64 % of the time Life loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 68.11 %.------------------------------------------------- - Stats is at ~ 0.03 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014~ 38.8 % of the time Stats wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 0.09 %.~ 61.2 % of the time Stats loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 0.01 %.------------------------------------------------- - Bunny is at ~ 0.01 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014~ 47.15 % of the time Bunny wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 0.01 %.~ 52.85 % of the time Bunny loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 0 %.------------------------------------------------- - Rogue is at ~ 0.07 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014~ 44.7 % of the time Rogue wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 0.15 %.~ 55.3 % of the time Rogue loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 0.01 %.Starts in + Show Spoiler [Leenock, SuperNova, EffOrt, Terminator…] + GSL S3 Code A - Leenock is at ~ 0.56 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014~ 61.59 % of the time Leenock wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 0.9 %.~ 38.41 % of the time Leenock loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 0.01 %.------------------------------------------------- - SuperNova is at ~ 0.11 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014~ 53.43 % of the time SuperNova wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 0.2 %.~ 46.57 % of the time SuperNova loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 0.01 %.------------------------------------------------- - EffOrt is at ~ 0.01 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014~ 44.7 % of the time EffOrt wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 0.03 %.~ 55.3 % of the time EffOrt loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 0.01 %.------------------------------------------------- - Terminator is at ~ 0.01 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014~ 40.28 % of the time Terminator wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 0.01 %.~ 59.72 % of the time Terminator loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 0 %.Starts in + Show Spoiler [YongHwa, Stork, FanTaSy, Trust in GSL…] + GSL S3 Code A - YongHwa is at ~ 0.13 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014~ 56.5 % of the time YongHwa wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 0.23 %.~ 43.5 % of the time YongHwa loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 0.01 %.------------------------------------------------- - Stork is at ~ 0.26 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014~ 53.62 % of the time Stork wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 0.47 %.~ 46.38 % of the time Stork loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 0.01 %.------------------------------------------------- - FanTaSy is at ~ 0.01 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014~ 38.24 % of the time FanTaSy wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 0.03 %.~ 61.76 % of the time FanTaSy loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 0.01 %.------------------------------------------------- - Trust is at ~ 0.06 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014~ 51.64 % of the time Trust wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 0.12 %.~ 48.36 % of the time Trust loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 0.01 %.And now let's do some analysis to see what the Group of Death is according to WCS Predictor. Blizzcon Chances Score is the chances to qualify for Blizzcon for each player in the group added together. Blizzcon Chances Lost Score is how much the Blizzcon Chances Score went down by because of the group drawing. Effects Score is the sum of the amount of Blizzcon chances each player would gain if they won the group, plus the amount of Blizzcon chances each player would lose if they lost the group. Aligulac Score is the overall Aligulac rating of every player in the group added together. + Show Spoiler [Blizzcon Chances] + Group A INnoVation is at ~ 9.45 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014 Hurricane is at ~ 0.05 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014 hyvaa is at ~ 0.01 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014 Ruin is at ~ 0.01 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014 Giving this match a Blizzcon Chances Score of 9.51625 Group B DongRaeGu is at ~ 1.51 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014 TurN is at ~ 0 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014 MyuNgSiK is at ~ 0.01 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014 Panic is at ~ 0.03 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014 Giving this match a Blizzcon Chances Score of 1.54975 Group C Dark is at ~ 0.11 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014 RagnaroK is at ~ 0.3 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014 Billowy is at ~ 0.02 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014 Dear is at ~ 5.57 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014 Giving this match a Blizzcon Chances Score of 6.006 Group D Rain is at ~ 7.25 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014 Hydra is at ~ 0.12 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014 Impact is at ~ 0.27 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014 Cure is at ~ 0.06 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014 Giving this match a Blizzcon Chances Score of 7.69865 Group E TY is at ~ 0.11 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014 ByuL is at ~ 0.16 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014 sKyHigh is at ~ 0.01 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014 Shine is at ~ 0.02 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014 Giving this match a Blizzcon Chances Score of 0.28315 Group F Symbol is at ~ 0.06 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014 Flash is at ~ 0.2 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014 TAiLS is at ~ 0.01 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014 Hush is at ~ 0.01 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014 Giving this match a Blizzcon Chances Score of 0.26415 Group G PartinG is at ~ 6.71 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014 Sleep is at ~ 0.01 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014 Avenge is at ~ 0.04 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014 Sora is at ~ 0.34 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014 Giving this match a Blizzcon Chances Score of 7.10205 Group H RorO is at ~ 0.22 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014 aLive is at ~ 0.01 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014 Bbyong is at ~ 0.5 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014 Trap is at ~ 3.3 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014 Giving this match a Blizzcon Chances Score of 4.03795 Group I Super is at ~ 0.1 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014 sOs is at ~ 75.03 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014 herO is at ~ 77.85 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014 Reality is at ~ 0.04 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014 Giving this match a Blizzcon Chances Score of 153.016 Group J Life is at ~ 82.55 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014 Stats is at ~ 0.03 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014 Bunny is at ~ 0.01 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014 Rogue is at ~ 0.07 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014 Giving this match a Blizzcon Chances Score of 82.6539 Group K Leenock is at ~ 0.56 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014 SuperNova is at ~ 0.11 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014 EffOrt is at ~ 0.01 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014 Terminator is at ~ 0.01 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014 Giving this match a Blizzcon Chances Score of 0.682 Group L YongHwa is at ~ 0.13 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014 Stork is at ~ 0.26 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014 FanTaSy is at ~ 0.01 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014 Trust is at ~ 0.06 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014 Giving this match a Blizzcon Chances Score of 0.46265 Which means the groups go in this order for the Blizzcon Chances Scores for the top 4 I > J > A > D + Show Spoiler [Blizzcon Chances Lost] + Group A INnoVation's Blizzcon chances changed by ~ 0.45 % Hurricane's Blizzcon chances changed by ~ 0.01 % hyvaa's Blizzcon chances changed by ~ 0.01 % Ruin's Blizzcon chances changed by ~ 0.01 % Giving this match a Blizzcon Chances Lost Score of -0.454517 Group B DongRaeGu's Blizzcon chances changed by ~ 0.34 % TurN's Blizzcon chances changed by ~ 0 % MyuNgSiK's Blizzcon chances changed by ~ 0.01 % Panic's Blizzcon chances changed by ~ 0.01 % Giving this match a Blizzcon Chances Lost Score of -0.3504 Group C Dark's Blizzcon chances changed by ~ -0.01 % RagnaroK's Blizzcon chances changed by ~ -0.02 % Billowy's Blizzcon chances changed by ~ 0.01 % Dear's Blizzcon chances changed by ~ 0.35 % Giving this match a Blizzcon Chances Lost Score of -0.317817 Group D Rain's Blizzcon chances changed by ~ -0.62 % Hydra's Blizzcon chances changed by ~ -0.02 % Impact's Blizzcon chances changed by ~ -0.02 % Cure's Blizzcon chances changed by ~ -0.02 % Giving this match a Blizzcon Chances Lost Score of 0.682763 Group E TY's Blizzcon chances changed by ~ 0.02 % ByuL's Blizzcon chances changed by ~ 0.02 % sKyHigh's Blizzcon chances changed by ~ 0.01 % Shine's Blizzcon chances changed by ~ -0.01 % Giving this match a Blizzcon Chances Lost Score of -0.03718 Group F Symbol's Blizzcon chances changed by ~ 0.01 % Flash's Blizzcon chances changed by ~ 0.02 % TAiLS's Blizzcon chances changed by ~ 0.01 % Hush's Blizzcon chances changed by ~ -0.01 % Giving this match a Blizzcon Chances Lost Score of -0.0259467 Group G PartinG's Blizzcon chances changed by ~ -0.49 % Sleep's Blizzcon chances changed by ~ 0.01 % Avenge's Blizzcon chances changed by ~ -0.01 % Sora's Blizzcon chances changed by ~ -0.03 % Giving this match a Blizzcon Chances Lost Score of 0.5205 Group H RorO's Blizzcon chances changed by ~ 0.01 % aLive's Blizzcon chances changed by ~ -0.01 % Bbyong's Blizzcon chances changed by ~ -0.03 % Trap's Blizzcon chances changed by ~ 0.12 % Giving this match a Blizzcon Chances Lost Score of -0.101613 Group I Super's Blizzcon chances changed by ~ -0.02 % sOs's Blizzcon chances changed by ~ -0.75 % herO's Blizzcon chances changed by ~ -1.69 % Reality's Blizzcon chances changed by ~ -0.01 % Giving this match a Blizzcon Chances Lost Score of 2.46568 Group J Life's Blizzcon chances changed by ~ 1.81 % Stats's Blizzcon chances changed by ~ -0.01 % Bunny's Blizzcon chances changed by ~ 0.01 % Rogue's Blizzcon chances changed by ~ 0.01 % Giving this match a Blizzcon Chances Lost Score of -1.81064 Group K Leenock's Blizzcon chances changed by ~ 0.08 % SuperNova's Blizzcon chances changed by ~ 0.01 % EffOrt's Blizzcon chances changed by ~ 0.01 % Terminator's Blizzcon chances changed by ~ 0.01 % Giving this match a Blizzcon Chances Lost Score of -0.0875567 Group L YongHwa's Blizzcon chances changed by ~ 0.01 % Stork's Blizzcon chances changed by ~ 0.02 % FanTaSy's Blizzcon chances changed by ~ -0.01 % Trust's Blizzcon chances changed by ~ 0.01 % Giving this match a Blizzcon Chances Lost Score of -0.0278367 Which means the groups go in this order for the Blizzcon Chances Lost Scores for the top 4 I > D > G > F + Show Spoiler [Effects] + Group A When INnoVation wins this match, their Blizzcon chances go up by ~ 3.27 % When INnoVation loses this match, their Blizzcon chances go down by ~ 8.78 % When Hurricane wins this match, their Blizzcon chances go up by ~ 0.06 % When Hurricane loses this match, their Blizzcon chances go down by ~ 0.05 % When hyvaa wins this match, their Blizzcon chances go up by ~ 0.01 % When hyvaa loses this match, their Blizzcon chances go down by ~ 0.01 % When Ruin wins this match, their Blizzcon chances go up by ~ 0.01 % When Ruin loses this match, their Blizzcon chances go down by ~ 0.01 % Giving this match an Effects Score of 12.1914 Group B When DongRaeGu wins this match, their Blizzcon chances go up by ~ 0.48 % When DongRaeGu loses this match, their Blizzcon chances go down by ~ 1.48 % When TurN wins this match, their Blizzcon chances go up by ~ 0 % When TurN loses this match, their Blizzcon chances go down by ~ 0 % When MyuNgSiK wins this match, their Blizzcon chances go up by ~ 0.01 % When MyuNgSiK loses this match, their Blizzcon chances go down by ~ 0.01 % When Panic wins this match, their Blizzcon chances go up by ~ 0.02 % When Panic loses this match, their Blizzcon chances go down by ~ 0.03 % Giving this match an Effects Score of 2.02861 Group C When Dark wins this match, their Blizzcon chances go up by ~ 0.14 % When Dark loses this match, their Blizzcon chances go down by ~ 0.11 % When RagnaroK wins this match, their Blizzcon chances go up by ~ 0.3 % When RagnaroK loses this match, their Blizzcon chances go down by ~ 0.3 % When Billowy wins this match, their Blizzcon chances go up by ~ 0.02 % When Billowy loses this match, their Blizzcon chances go down by ~ 0.02 % When Dear wins this match, their Blizzcon chances go up by ~ 2.72 % When Dear loses this match, their Blizzcon chances go down by ~ 4.59 % Giving this match an Effects Score of 8.19246 Group D When Rain wins this match, their Blizzcon chances go up by ~ 3.32 % When Rain loses this match, their Blizzcon chances go down by ~ 6.06 % When Hydra wins this match, their Blizzcon chances go up by ~ 0.15 % When Hydra loses this match, their Blizzcon chances go down by ~ 0.12 % When Impact wins this match, their Blizzcon chances go up by ~ 0.38 % When Impact loses this match, their Blizzcon chances go down by ~ 0.26 % When Cure wins this match, their Blizzcon chances go up by ~ 0.05 % When Cure loses this match, their Blizzcon chances go down by ~ 0.06 % Giving this match an Effects Score of 10.3923 Group E When TY wins this match, their Blizzcon chances go up by ~ 0.07 % When TY loses this match, their Blizzcon chances go down by ~ 0.1 % When ByuL wins this match, their Blizzcon chances go up by ~ 0.1 % When ByuL loses this match, their Blizzcon chances go down by ~ 0.15 % When sKyHigh wins this match, their Blizzcon chances go up by ~ 0.01 % When sKyHigh loses this match, their Blizzcon chances go down by ~ 0.01 % When Shine wins this match, their Blizzcon chances go up by ~ 0.02 % When Shine loses this match, their Blizzcon chances go down by ~ 0.02 % Giving this match an Effects Score of 0.473593 Group F When Symbol wins this match, their Blizzcon chances go up by ~ 0.05 % When Symbol loses this match, their Blizzcon chances go down by ~ 0.06 % When Flash wins this match, their Blizzcon chances go up by ~ 0.14 % When Flash loses this match, their Blizzcon chances go down by ~ 0.19 % When TAiLS wins this match, their Blizzcon chances go up by ~ 0.01 % When TAiLS loses this match, their Blizzcon chances go down by ~ 0.01 % When Hush wins this match, their Blizzcon chances go up by ~ 0.01 % When Hush loses this match, their Blizzcon chances go down by ~ 0.01 % Giving this match an Effects Score of 0.466247 Group G When PartinG wins this match, their Blizzcon chances go up by ~ 3.58 % When PartinG loses this match, their Blizzcon chances go down by ~ 6.19 % When Sleep wins this match, their Blizzcon chances go up by ~ 0.02 % When Sleep loses this match, their Blizzcon chances go down by ~ 0.01 % When Avenge wins this match, their Blizzcon chances go up by ~ 0.05 % When Avenge loses this match, their Blizzcon chances go down by ~ 0.04 % When Sora wins this match, their Blizzcon chances go up by ~ 0.3 % When Sora loses this match, their Blizzcon chances go down by ~ 0.33 % Giving this match an Effects Score of 10.5363 Group H When RorO wins this match, their Blizzcon chances go up by ~ 0.2 % When RorO loses this match, their Blizzcon chances go down by ~ 0.22 % When aLive wins this match, their Blizzcon chances go up by ~ 0.02 % When aLive loses this match, their Blizzcon chances go down by ~ 0.01 % When Bbyong wins this match, their Blizzcon chances go up by ~ 0.49 % When Bbyong loses this match, their Blizzcon chances go down by ~ 0.49 % When Trap wins this match, their Blizzcon chances go up by ~ 1.83 % When Trap loses this match, their Blizzcon chances go down by ~ 2.99 % Giving this match an Effects Score of 6.22873 Group I When Super wins this match, their Blizzcon chances go up by ~ 0.14 % When Super loses this match, their Blizzcon chances go down by ~ 0.1 % When sOs wins this match, their Blizzcon chances go up by ~ 7.16 % When sOs loses this match, their Blizzcon chances go down by ~ 13.63 % When herO wins this match, their Blizzcon chances go up by ~ 7.02 % When herO loses this match, their Blizzcon chances go down by ~ 10.84 % When Reality wins this match, their Blizzcon chances go up by ~ 0.09 % When Reality loses this match, their Blizzcon chances go down by ~ 0.04 % Giving this match an Effects Score of 39.0144 Group J When Life wins this match, their Blizzcon chances go up by ~ 6.38 % When Life loses this match, their Blizzcon chances go down by ~ 14.44 % When Stats wins this match, their Blizzcon chances go up by ~ 0.05 % When Stats loses this match, their Blizzcon chances go down by ~ 0.03 % When Bunny wins this match, their Blizzcon chances go up by ~ 0.01 % When Bunny loses this match, their Blizzcon chances go down by ~ 0.01 % When Rogue wins this match, their Blizzcon chances go up by ~ 0.08 % When Rogue loses this match, their Blizzcon chances go down by ~ 0.07 % Giving this match an Effects Score of 21.0672 Group K When Leenock wins this match, their Blizzcon chances go up by ~ 0.34 % When Leenock loses this match, their Blizzcon chances go down by ~ 0.54 % When SuperNova wins this match, their Blizzcon chances go up by ~ 0.09 % When SuperNova loses this match, their Blizzcon chances go down by ~ 0.11 % When EffOrt wins this match, their Blizzcon chances go up by ~ 0.02 % When EffOrt loses this match, their Blizzcon chances go down by ~ 0.01 % When Terminator wins this match, their Blizzcon chances go up by ~ 0.01 % When Terminator loses this match, their Blizzcon chances go down by ~ 0.01 % Giving this match an Effects Score of 1.11857 Group L When YongHwa wins this match, their Blizzcon chances go up by ~ 0.1 % When YongHwa loses this match, their Blizzcon chances go down by ~ 0.13 % When Stork wins this match, their Blizzcon chances go up by ~ 0.21 % When Stork loses this match, their Blizzcon chances go down by ~ 0.25 % When FanTaSy wins this match, their Blizzcon chances go up by ~ 0.02 % When FanTaSy loses this match, their Blizzcon chances go down by ~ 0.01 % When Trust wins this match, their Blizzcon chances go up by ~ 0.06 % When Trust loses this match, their Blizzcon chances go down by ~ 0.06 % Giving this match an Effects Score of 0.843252 Which means the groups go in this order for Effects Scores for the top 4 I > J > A > G + Show Spoiler [Aligulac Ratings] + Group A INnoVation has an overall Aligulac rating of 2122 Hurricane has an overall Aligulac rating of 1688 hyvaa has an overall Aligulac rating of 1488 Ruin has an overall Aligulac rating of 1462 Giving this match an Aligulac Score of 6760 Group B DongRaeGu has an overall Aligulac rating of 1872 TurN has an overall Aligulac rating of 1292 MyuNgSiK has an overall Aligulac rating of 1465 Panic has an overall Aligulac rating of 1568 Giving this match an Aligulac Score of 6197 Group C Dark has an overall Aligulac rating of 1720 RagnaroK has an overall Aligulac rating of 1792 Billowy has an overall Aligulac rating of 1568 Dear has an overall Aligulac rating of 1872 Giving this match an Aligulac Score of 6952 Group D Rain has an overall Aligulac rating of 1959 Hydra has an overall Aligulac rating of 1712 Impact has an overall Aligulac rating of 1669 Cure has an overall Aligulac rating of 1730 Giving this match an Aligulac Score of 7070 Group E TY has an overall Aligulac rating of 1746 ByuL has an overall Aligulac rating of 1752 sKyHigh has an overall Aligulac rating of 1487 Shine has an overall Aligulac rating of 1548 Giving this match an Aligulac Score of 6533 Group F Symbol has an overall Aligulac rating of 1685 Flash has an overall Aligulac rating of 1822 TAiLS has an overall Aligulac rating of 1491 Hush has an overall Aligulac rating of 1471 Giving this match an Aligulac Score of 6469 Group G PartinG has an overall Aligulac rating of 1996 Sleep has an overall Aligulac rating of 1595 Avenge has an overall Aligulac rating of 1688 Sora has an overall Aligulac rating of 1854 Giving this match an Aligulac Score of 7133 Group H RorO has an overall Aligulac rating of 1759 aLive has an overall Aligulac rating of 1558 Bbyong has an overall Aligulac rating of 1761 Trap has an overall Aligulac rating of 1835 Giving this match an Aligulac Score of 6913 Group I Super has an overall Aligulac rating of 1746 sOs has an overall Aligulac rating of 2081 herO has an overall Aligulac rating of 2042 Reality has an overall Aligulac rating of 1721 Giving this match an Aligulac Score of 7590 Group J Life has an overall Aligulac rating of 1953 Stats has an overall Aligulac rating of 1555 Bunny has an overall Aligulac rating of 1553 Rogue has an overall Aligulac rating of 1587 Giving this match an Aligulac Score of 6648 Group K Leenock has an overall Aligulac rating of 1842 SuperNova has an overall Aligulac rating of 1768 EffOrt has an overall Aligulac rating of 1604 Terminator has an overall Aligulac rating of 1400 Giving this match an Aligulac Score of 6614 Group L YongHwa has an overall Aligulac rating of 1722 Stork has an overall Aligulac rating of 1660 FanTaSy has an overall Aligulac rating of 1559 Trust has an overall Aligulac rating of 1693 Giving this match an Aligulac Score of 6634 Which means the groups go in this order for Aligulac Scores for the top 4 I > G > D > C I has 4 1st places J has 2 2nd places G has 1 2nd place, 1 3rd place, and 1 4th place D has 1 2nd place, 1 3rd place, and 1 4th place A has 2 3rd places C has 1 4th place F has 1 4th place Group I is our Group of Death winning in all 4 of our categories! Congrats to Super, sOs, herO, and Reality! For 2nd place Group of Death it looks like a close battle between Groups J, D, and G, but I'm giving the nod to Group J. What do you think? Poll: Group of Death? Group I (97) Group H (97) Group J (24) Group D (19) Group A (15) Group C (9) Group E (7) Group K (7) Group F (6) Group L (4) Group G (3) Group B (2) 290 total votes Your vote: Group of Death? (Vote): Group A Code A page on WCS Predictor http://sc2.4ever.tv/?page=tournament&tid=21 Remember to check the website for much more frequent updates! http://sc2.4ever.tv ----------------------- | ||
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Die4Ever
United States17676 Posts
On June 01 2014 07:06 Die4Ever wrote:+ Show Spoiler + --------UPDATE Saturday, May 31 10:05pm GMT (GMT+00:00) WCS EU Premier Round of 16 set! The round of 16 groups for WCS EU Premier have been set! Time to do an overview, look at the previews, and do an analysis of the groups to determine the group of death! Here's the current top 25 by chances. + Show Spoiler [Top 25 Chances] + #1 MC is at ~ 100 %, Min WCS Points: 3175#2 ROCCAT HyuN is at ~ 99.99 %, Min WCS Points: 3100#3 Yoe San is at ~ 99.87 %, Min WCS Points: 2650#4 KT Zest is at ~ 98.71 %, Min WCS Points: 2550#5 StarTale Life is at ~ 95.39 %, Min WCS Points: 2400#6 CM Storm Polt is at ~ 88.6 %, Min WCS Points: 2150#7 mYinsanity jjakji is at ~ 83.85 %, Min WCS Points: 2050#8 CJ Entus herO is at ~ 81.04 %, Min WCS Points: 2300#9 mYinsanity StarDust is at ~ 71.47 %, Min WCS Points: 1800#10 Liquid TaeJa is at ~ 66.49 %, Min WCS Points: 1475#11 Jinair sOs is at ~ 65.68 %, Min WCS Points: 2200#12 Liquid Snute is at ~ 50.35 %, Min WCS Points: 1250#13 EG Jaedong is at ~ 47.24 %, Min WCS Points: 1550#14 SKT T1 Rain is at ~ 40.58 %, Min WCS Points: 1375#15 SKT T1 soO is at ~ 40.55 %, Min WCS Points: 1750#16 Bomber is at ~ 39.83 %, Min WCS Points: 1200#17 Acer INnoVation is at ~ 36.31 %, Min WCS Points: 925#18 SKT T1 Classic is at ~ 27.84 %, Min WCS Points: 1150#19 Jinair Maru is at ~ 26.34 %, Min WCS Points: 1200#20 Millenium ForGG is at ~ 25.74 %, Min WCS Points: 900#21 mouz VortiX is at ~ 21.77 %, Min WCS Points: 800#22 Planetkey Oz is at ~ 20.39 %, Min WCS Points: 1300#23 Acer MMA is at ~ 19.07 %, Min WCS Points: 1200#24 NrS Welmu is at ~ 18.1 %, Min WCS Points: 1050#25 Wayi Check is at ~ 15.98 %, Min WCS Points: 525Here are the biggest winners and losers from the WCS EU round of 16 group drawings. + Show Spoiler [Biggest Winners] + + Show Spoiler [Biggest Losers] + Here are the previews for the WCS EU ro16 groups. Notice Group C has the top 2 Foreign Hopes in it, Snute and Vortix! Starts in + Show Spoiler [First, MaNa, Golden, Grubby in WCS EU…] + WCS EU S2 Premier - First is at ~ 11.85 % chances for top 16 points of 2014~ 62.59 % of the time First wins and their chances go up to ~ 17.85 %.~ 37.41 % of the time First loses and their chances go down to ~ 1.81 %.------------------------------------------------- - MaNa is at ~ 4.54 % chances for top 16 points of 2014~ 46.04 % of the time MaNa wins and their chances go up to ~ 8.46 %.~ 53.96 % of the time MaNa loses and their chances go down to ~ 1.19 %.------------------------------------------------- - Golden is at ~ 5.62 % chances for top 16 points of 2014~ 52.63 % of the time Golden wins and their chances go up to ~ 9.72 %.~ 47.37 % of the time Golden loses and their chances go down to ~ 1.08 %.------------------------------------------------- -  Grubby is at ~ 1.84 % chances for top 16 points of 2014~ 38.73 % of the time Grubby wins and their chances go up to ~ 4.18 %.~ 61.27 % of the time Grubby loses and their chances go down to ~ 0.36 %.Starts in + Show Spoiler [MC, YoDa, Welmu, ToD in WCS EU S2 Prem…] + WCS EU S2 Premier - MC is at ~ 100 % chances for top 16 points of 2014~ 60.45 % of the time MC wins and their chances go up to ~ 100 %.~ 39.55 % of the time MC loses and their chances go down to ~ 100 %.------------------------------------------------- - YoDa is at ~ 5.78 % chances for top 16 points of 2014~ 48.61 % of the time YoDa wins and their chances go up to ~ 10.66 %.~ 51.39 % of the time YoDa loses and their chances go down to ~ 1.16 %.------------------------------------------------- - Welmu is at ~ 18.1 % chances for top 16 points of 2014~ 48.86 % of the time Welmu wins and their chances go up to ~ 29.35 %.~ 51.14 % of the time Welmu loses and their chances go down to ~ 7.35 %.------------------------------------------------- -  ToD is at ~ 4.31 % chances for top 16 points of 2014~ 42.08 % of the time ToD wins and their chances go up to ~ 8.83 %.~ 57.92 % of the time ToD loses and their chances go down to ~ 1.03 %.Starts in + Show Spoiler [ForGG, VortiX, Snute, Harstem in WCS E…] + WCS EU S2 Premier - ForGG is at ~ 25.74 % chances for top 16 points of 2014~ 55.8 % of the time ForGG wins and their chances go up to ~ 37.49 %.~ 44.2 % of the time ForGG loses and their chances go down to ~ 10.9 %.------------------------------------------------- - VortiX is at ~ 21.77 % chances for top 16 points of 2014~ 58.37 % of the time VortiX wins and their chances go up to ~ 31.57 %.~ 41.63 % of the time VortiX loses and their chances go down to ~ 8.03 %.------------------------------------------------- - Snute is at ~ 50.35 % chances for top 16 points of 2014~ 54.23 % of the time Snute wins and their chances go up to ~ 66.33 %.~ 45.77 % of the time Snute loses and their chances go down to ~ 31.42 %.------------------------------------------------- - Harstem is at ~ 3.45 % chances for top 16 points of 2014~ 31.6 % of the time Harstem wins and their chances go up to ~ 9.17 %.~ 68.4 % of the time Harstem loses and their chances go down to ~ 0.8 %.Starts in + Show Spoiler [Nerchio, San, LiveZerg, StarDust in WC…] + WCS EU S2 Premier - Nerchio is at ~ 5.38 % chances for top 16 points of 2014~ 35.37 % of the time Nerchio wins and their chances go up to ~ 11.63 %.~ 64.63 % of the time Nerchio loses and their chances go down to ~ 1.96 %.------------------------------------------------- - San is at ~ 99.87 % chances for top 16 points of 2014~ 72.26 % of the time San wins and their chances go up to ~ 99.99 %.~ 27.74 % of the time San loses and their chances go down to ~ 99.52 %.------------------------------------------------- -  LiveZerg is at ~ 1.55 % chances for top 16 points of 2014~ 31.74 % of the time LiveZerg wins and their chances go up to ~ 4.27 %.~ 68.26 % of the time LiveZerg loses and their chances go down to ~ 0.28 %.------------------------------------------------- - StarDust is at ~ 71.47 % chances for top 16 points of 2014~ 60.62 % of the time StarDust wins and their chances go up to ~ 84.52 %.~ 39.38 % of the time StarDust loses and their chances go down to ~ 51.37 %.And here are the winning chances. + Show Spoiler [Winning Chances] + WCS EU S2 Premier San has a ~ 18.73 % chance to win. This would increase their chances from ~ 99.87 % to ~ 100 % StarDust has a ~ 10.87 % chance to win. This would increase their chances from ~ 71.47 % to ~ 100 % ForGG has a ~ 10.01 % chance to win. This would increase their chances from ~ 25.74 % to ~ 99.99 % MC has a ~ 9.8 % chance to win. This would increase their chances from ~ 100 % to ~ 100 % VortiX has a ~ 9.57 % chance to win. This would increase their chances from ~ 21.77 % to ~ 99.96 % Snute has a ~ 9.16 % chance to win. This would increase their chances from ~ 50.35 % to ~ 100 % First has a ~ 8.81 % chance to win. This would increase their chances from ~ 11.85 % to ~ 85.68 % YoDa has a ~ 3.82 % chance to win. This would increase their chances from ~ 5.78 % to ~ 86.25 % Welmu has a ~ 3.73 % chance to win. This would increase their chances from ~ 18.1 % to ~ 99.99 % Golden has a ~ 3.69 % chance to win. This would increase their chances from ~ 5.62 % to ~ 89.88 % ToD has a ~ 2.47 % chance to win. This would increase their chances from ~ 4.31 % to ~ 94.67 % Nerchio has a ~ 2.45 % chance to win. This would increase their chances from ~ 5.38 % to ~ 98.51 % MaNa has a ~ 2.27 % chance to win. This would increase their chances from ~ 4.54 % to ~ 94.62 % Harstem has a ~ 2.26 % chance to win. This would increase their chances from ~ 3.45 % to ~ 87.24 % LiveZerg has a ~ 1.19 % chance to win. This would increase their chances from ~ 1.55 % to ~ 85.17 % Grubby has a ~ 1.18 % chance to win. This would increase their chances from ~ 1.84 % to ~ 93.59 %Now let's look at some stats to figure out the group of death. We will look at 3 different scores the same way we did the GSL ro16 analysis. WCS EU Chances Score is the chances to win the tournament for each player in the group added together. Blizzcon Chances Score is the chances to qualify for Blizzcon for each player in the group added together. Blizzcon Chances Lost Score is how much the Blizzcon Chances Score went down by because of the group drawing. + Show Spoiler [WCS EU Chances Scores] + Group A - Grubby has a ~ 1.18 % chance to win WCS EU Season 2. First has a ~ 8.81 % chance Golden has a ~ 3.69 % chance Mana has a ~ 2.27 % chance All these chances added up gives a 15.95 WCS EU Chances Score for Group A Group B - Welmu has a ~ 3.73 % chance MC has a ~ 9.8 % chance ToD has a ~ 2.47 % chance YoDa has a ~ 3.82 % chance All these chances added up gives a 19.82 WCS EU Chances Score for Group B Group C - Harstem has a ~ 2.26 % chance Snute has a ~ 9.16 % chance ForGG has a ~ 10.01 % chance VortiX has a ~ 9.57 % chance All these chances added up gives a 31 WCS EU Chances Score for Group C Group D - LiveZerg has a ~ 1.19 % chance San has a ~ 18.73 % chance Nerchio has a ~ 2.45 % chance StarDust has a ~ 10.87 % chance All these chances added up gives a 33.24 WCS EU Chances Score for Group D Which means the groups go in this order according to the WCS EU Chances Scores D > C > B > A + Show Spoiler [Blizzcon Chances] + Group A - Grubby went up by ~ 0.13 %, from ~ 1.71 % up to ~ 1.84 % First went up by ~ 0.97 %, from ~ 10.88 % up to ~ 11.85 % Golden went up by ~ 0.41 %, from ~ 5.21 % up to ~ 5.62 % MaNa went up by ~ 0.37 %, from ~ 4.17 % up to ~ 4.54 % All these chances added up gives a 23.85 Blizzcon Chances Score, and a -1.88 Blizzcon Chances Lost Score for Group A. Group B - Welmu went up by ~ 0.49 %, from ~ 17.61 % up to ~ 18.1 % MC stayed about the same, over 99.9999%, I'll count him as ~ 99.99 % ToD went down by about ~ 0.07 %, from ~ 4.38 % down to ~ 4.31 % YoDa went up by about ~ 0.12 %, from ~ 5.66 % up to ~ 5.78 % All these chances added up gives a 128.18 Blizzcon Chances Score, and a -0.54 Blizzcon Chances Lost Score for Group B. Group C - Harstem went down by ~ 0.73 %, from ~ 4.18 % down to ~ 3.45 % Snute went down by ~ 1.84 %, from ~ 52.19 % down to ~ 50.35 % ForGG went down by ~ 0.96 %, from ~ 26.7 % down to ~ 25.74 % VortiX went down by ~ 0.18 %, from ~ 21.95 % down to ~ 21.77 % All these chances added up gives a 101.31 Blizzcon Chances Score, and a 3.71 Blizzcon Chances Lost Score for Group C. Group D - LiveZerg went down by ~ 0.15 %, from ~ 1.7 % down to ~ 1.55 % San went up by ~ 0.04 %, from ~ 99.83 % up to ~ 99.87 % Nerchio went down by ~ 0.67 %, from ~ 6.05 % down to ~ 5.38 % StarDust went up by ~ 0.57 %, from ~ 70.9 % up to ~ 71.47 % All these chances added up gives a 178.27 Blizzcon Chances Score, and a 0.21 Blizzcon Chances Lost Score for Group D. According to the Blizzcon Chances Scores the groups go in this order D > B > C > A And according to the Blizzcon Chances Lost Scores, the groups go in this order C > D > B > A So in 2/3 of our metrics we have Group D being the group of death, and it's 2nd place in the other metric, Group D is our Group of Death! Congrats to LiveZerg, San, Nerchio, and StarDust! Our 2nd place Group of Death is Group C which got huge 1st place in Blizzcon Chances Lost Score, as well as a 2nd and a 3rd placing in our metrics. What do you think? Poll: Group of Death? Group C (10) Group B (2) Group A (0) Group D (0) 12 total votes Your vote: Group of Death? (Vote): Group A Also check out the new up and down arrows next to players' chances on the lists, the top of the page says when it is comparing to, which is the same comparison that Biggest Winners and Biggest Losers use. Mouse over the arrows to see the difference. ----------------------- http://sc2.4ever.tv On May 24 2014 13:41 Die4Ever wrote:+ Show Spoiler + --------UPDATE Saturday, May 24 4:40am GMT (GMT+00:00) KeSPA Cup and GSL Code S Round of 16! Here's the current top 25 by chances. + Show Spoiler [Top 25 Chances] + #1 MC is at ~ 99.99 %, Min WCS Points: 3025#2 ROCCAT HyuN is at ~ 99.99 %, Min WCS Points: 2950#3 Yoe San is at ~ 99.94 %, Min WCS Points: 2650#4 KT Zest is at ~ 99.5 %, Min WCS Points: 2550#5 StarTale Life is at ~ 97.76 %, Min WCS Points: 2400#6 CJ Entus herO is at ~ 97.01 %, Min WCS Points: 2300#7 CM Storm Polt is at ~ 92.41 %, Min WCS Points: 2150#8 Jinair sOs is at ~ 77.32 %, Min WCS Points: 2200#9 mYinsanity jjakji is at ~ 64.59 %, Min WCS Points: 2050#10 mYinsanity StarDust is at ~ 59.2 %, Min WCS Points: 1650#11 EG Jaedong is at ~ 51.99 %, Min WCS Points: 1550#12 SKT T1 Rain is at ~ 44.61 %, Min WCS Points: 1375#13 Liquid TaeJa is at ~ 41.34 %, Min WCS Points: 1325#14 Bomber is at ~ 37.6 %, Min WCS Points: 1200#15 Acer MMA is at ~ 37.59 %, Min WCS Points: 1150#16 SKT T1 PartinG is at ~ 37.49 %, Min WCS Points: 950#17 Liquid Snute is at ~ 36.99 %, Min WCS Points: 1250#18 Acer INnoVation is at ~ 34.87 %, Min WCS Points: 925#19 Millenium ForGG is at ~ 25.55 %, Min WCS Points: 750#20 SKT T1 soO is at ~ 22.22 %, Min WCS Points: 1400#21 Jinair Maru is at ~ 17.9 %, Min WCS Points: 850#22 mouz VortiX is at ~ 17.47 %, Min WCS Points: 650#23 Ai Patience is at ~ 17.28 %, Min WCS Points: 750#24 SKT T1 Soulkey is at ~ 16.76 %, Min WCS Points: 450#25 SKT T1 Classic is at ~ 15.76 %, Min WCS Points: 800First let's look at the biggest winners and losers from adding the KeSPA Cup (after the Code S Ro32 was completed but before the Ro16 groups were set). + Show Spoiler [Biggest Winners] + PartinG went up by ~ 5.9 %, going from ~ 31.93 % to ~ 37.83 % Maru went up by ~ 4.14 %, going from ~ 12.75 % to ~ 16.89 % INnoVation went up by ~ 3.92 %, going from ~ 29.47 % to ~ 33.39 % Soulkey went up by ~ 3.53 %, going from ~ 11.78 % to ~ 15.3 % Solar went up by ~ 1.81 %, going from ~ 13.7 % to ~ 15.51 % First went up by ~ 1.64 %, going from ~ 6.6 % to ~ 8.24 % Classic went up by ~ 1.54 %, going from ~ 15.92 % to ~ 17.46 % YoDa went up by ~ 1.26 %, going from ~ 3.75 % to ~ 5.01 % ForGG went up by ~ 1.22 %, going from ~ 24.28 % to ~ 25.5 % VortiX went up by ~ 1.19 %, going from ~ 16.24 % to ~ 17.43 % Pigbaby went up by ~ 1.16 %, going from ~ 3.63 % to ~ 4.79 % Patience went up by ~ 1.07 %, going from ~ 16.13 % to ~ 17.21 % Snute went up by ~ 1.04 %, going from ~ 35.85 % to ~ 36.89 % Nerchio went up by ~ 0.93 %, going from ~ 6.3 % to ~ 7.23 % Stork went up by ~ 0.9 %, going from ~ 3.02 % to ~ 3.91 % Dark went up by ~ 0.87 %, going from ~ 3.75 % to ~ 4.62 % Harstem went up by ~ 0.85 %, going from ~ 3.39 % to ~ 4.24 % Bbyong went up by ~ 0.8 %, going from ~ 1.85 % to ~ 2.65 % ToD went up by ~ 0.77 %, going from ~ 3.53 % to ~ 4.3 % Arthur went up by ~ 0.74 %, going from ~ 8.48 % to ~ 9.21 % MaNa went up by ~ 0.72 %, going from ~ 3.1 % to ~ 3.82 % NesTea went up by ~ 0.68 %, going from ~ 2.96 % to ~ 3.63 % Revival went up by ~ 0.68 %, going from ~ 14.42 % to ~ 15.1 % viOLet went up by ~ 0.67 %, going from ~ 6.43 % to ~ 7.1 % Top went up by ~ 0.59 %, going from ~ 4.39 % to ~ 4.98 %+ Show Spoiler [Biggest Losers] + sOs went down by ~ 7.91 %, going from ~ 84.96 % to ~ 77.05 % jjakji went down by ~ 6.89 %, going from ~ 71.27 % to ~ 64.39 % StarDust went down by ~ 4.54 %, going from ~ 63.58 % to ~ 59.04 % Jaedong went down by ~ 3.88 %, going from ~ 55.7 % to ~ 51.82 % Polt went down by ~ 3.13 %, going from ~ 95.46 % to ~ 92.33 % Bomber went down by ~ 2.88 %, going from ~ 40.39 % to ~ 37.51 % soO went down by ~ 1.99 %, going from ~ 27.71 % to ~ 25.72 % Rain went down by ~ 1.9 %, going from ~ 48.12 % to ~ 46.22 % Life went down by ~ 1.63 %, going from ~ 99.17 % to ~ 97.54 % herO went down by ~ 1.23 %, going from ~ 98.4 % to ~ 97.17 % HerO went down by ~ 1.05 %, going from ~ 8.1 % to ~ 7.04 % TaeJa went down by ~ 0.86 %, going from ~ 42.08 % to ~ 41.22 % MMA went down by ~ 0.85 %, going from ~ 38.38 % to ~ 37.53 % Sen went down by ~ 0.8 %, going from ~ 13.3 % to ~ 12.5 % Dear went down by ~ 0.72 %, going from ~ 6.65 % to ~ 5.93 % Happy went down by ~ 0.71 %, going from ~ 6.16 % to ~ 5.44 % Squirtle went down by ~ 0.64 %, going from ~ 1.6 % to ~ 0.96 %As is normal when adding a new big tournament, the players who have high Aligulac ratings relative to their chances get big boosts to their chances, while players with low Aligulac ratings relative to their chances take some losses. For the KeSPA Cup's seeds for top 2 in Proleague, I just have it pick 2 from the current top 10 at random, and it does a random selection for the open qualifiers. Here are the winning chances for the KeSPA Cup. + Show Spoiler [KeSPA Cup Winning Chances] + KeSPA Cup herO has a ~ 7.69 % chance to win. This would increase their chances from ~ 97.17 % to ~ 100 % PartinG has a ~ 6.18 % chance to win. This would increase their chances from ~ 37.83 % to ~ 98.8 % San has a ~ 5.23 % chance to win. This would increase their chances from ~ 99.94 % to ~ 100 % Zest has a ~ 5.03 % chance to win. This would increase their chances from ~ 99.59 % to ~ 100 % HyuN has a ~ 4.05 % chance to win. This would increase their chances from ~ 99.99 % to ~ 100 % INnoVation has a ~ 3.77 % chance to win. This would increase their chances from ~ 33.39 % to ~ 99.53 % Soulkey has a ~ 3.26 % chance to win. This would increase their chances from ~ 15.3 % to ~ 77.38 % Rain has a ~ 3.24 % chance to win. This would increase their chances from ~ 46.22 % to ~ 99.99 % Maru has a ~ 2.7 % chance to win. This would increase their chances from ~ 16.89 % to ~ 93.52 % Polt has a ~ 2.64 % chance to win. This would increase their chances from ~ 92.33 % to ~ 100 % MMA has a ~ 2.54 % chance to win. This would increase their chances from ~ 37.53 % to ~ 99.96 % Life has a ~ 2.46 % chance to win. This would increase their chances from ~ 97.54 % to ~ 100 % ForGG has a ~ 2.33 % chance to win. This would increase their chances from ~ 25.5 % to ~ 98.29 % Snute has a ~ 2.25 % chance to win. This would increase their chances from ~ 36.89 % to ~ 99.99 % Bomber has a ~ 2.03 % chance to win. This would increase their chances from ~ 37.51 % to ~ 99.97 % StarDust has a ~ 2.02 % chance to win. This would increase their chances from ~ 59.04 % to ~ 100 % Jaedong has a ~ 1.82 % chance to win. This would increase their chances from ~ 51.82 % to ~ 100 % Solar has a ~ 1.81 % chance to win. This would increase their chances from ~ 15.51 % to ~ 93.75 % TaeJa has a ~ 1.73 % chance to win. This would increase their chances from ~ 41.22 % to ~ 99.99 % MC has a ~ 1.7 % chance to win. This would increase their chances from ~ 99.99 % to ~ 100 % Classic has a ~ 1.62 % chance to win. This would increase their chances from ~ 17.46 % to ~ 97.51 % VortiX has a ~ 1.56 % chance to win. This would increase their chances from ~ 17.43 % to ~ 95.02 % Bbyong has a ~ 1.45 % chance to win. This would increase their chances from ~ 2.65 % to ~ 47.27 % Flash has a ~ 1.4 % chance to win. This would increase their chances from ~ 0.35 % to ~ 9.68 % ByuL has a ~ 1.34 % chance to win. This would increase their chances from ~ 1.21 % to ~ 21.33 % Patience has a ~ 1.27 % chance to win. This would increase their chances from ~ 17.21 % to ~ 96.61 % RorO has a ~ 1.23 % chance to win. This would increase their chances from ~ 0.5 % to ~ 15.06 % TY has a ~ 0.98 % chance to win. This would increase their chances from ~ 0.19 % to ~ 7.48 % First has a ~ 0.97 % chance to win. This would increase their chances from ~ 8.24 % to ~ 82.31 % sOs has a ~ 0.76 % chance to win. This would increase their chances from ~ 77.05 % to ~ 100 % soO has a ~ 0.74 % chance to win. This would increase their chances from ~ 25.72 % to ~ 99.99 % jjakji has a ~ 0.62 % chance to win. This would increase their chances from ~ 64.39 % to ~ 100 % Welmu has a ~ 0.51 % chance to win. This would increase their chances from ~ 13.15 % to ~ 99.49 % Nerchio has a ~ 0.5 % chance to win. This would increase their chances from ~ 7.23 % to ~ 90.97 % Dark has a ~ 0.49 % chance to win. This would increase their chances from ~ 4.62 % to ~ 81.33 % Revival has a ~ 0.47 % chance to win. This would increase their chances from ~ 15.1 % to ~ 99.65 % viOLet has a ~ 0.47 % chance to win. This would increase their chances from ~ 7.1 % to ~ 83.18 % YoDa has a ~ 0.46 % chance to win. This would increase their chances from ~ 5.01 % to ~ 81.6 % Stork has a ~ 0.45 % chance to win. This would increase their chances from ~ 3.91 % to ~ 77.84 % KingKong has a ~ 0.43 % chance to win. This would increase their chances from ~ 0.51 % to ~ 12.45 % Arthur has a ~ 0.41 % chance to win. This would increase their chances from ~ 9.21 % to ~ 92.72 % Alicia has a ~ 0.4 % chance to win. This would increase their chances from ~ 14.07 % to ~ 99.28 % Happy has a ~ 0.4 % chance to win. This would increase their chances from ~ 5.44 % to ~ 79.85 % Check has a ~ 0.38 % chance to win. This would increase their chances from ~ 12.96 % to ~ 97.19 % NaNiwa has a ~ 0.37 % chance to win. This would increase their chances from ~ 0.1 % to ~ 8.68 % Dear has a ~ 0.35 % chance to win. This would increase their chances from ~ 5.93 % to ~ 99.91 % Jim has a ~ 0.35 % chance to win. This would increase their chances from ~ 4.1 % to ~ 70.34 % Mvp has a ~ 0.34 % chance to win. This would increase their chances from ~ 3.13 % to ~ 42.41 % Top has a ~ 0.34 % chance to win. This would increase their chances from ~ 4.98 % to ~ 77.07 % Sage has a ~ 0.33 % chance to win. This would increase their chances from ~ 0.26 % to ~ 8.68 % Harstem has a ~ 0.31 % chance to win. This would increase their chances from ~ 4.24 % to ~ 81.23 %Here are the biggest winners and losers from the GSL Code S Round of 16 group drawings. + Show Spoiler [Biggest Winners] + INnoVation went up by ~ 1.48 %, going from ~ 33.39 % to ~ 34.87 % Soulkey went up by ~ 1.46 %, going from ~ 15.3 % to ~ 16.76 % Maru went up by ~ 1.01 %, going from ~ 16.89 % to ~ 17.9 % Stork went up by ~ 0.8 %, going from ~ 3.91 % to ~ 4.72 % Dark went up by ~ 0.72 %, going from ~ 4.62 % to ~ 5.34 %+ Show Spoiler [Biggest Losers] + Here are all the Code S Round of 16 previews as they are now. Starts in + Show Spoiler [PartinG, soO, Classic, herO in GSL S2…] + GSL S2 Code S - PartinG is at ~ 37.49 % chances for top 16 points of 2014~ 59.45 % of the time PartinG wins and their chances go up to ~ 51.52 %.~ 40.55 % of the time PartinG loses and their chances go down to ~ 16.93 %.------------------------------------------------- - soO is at ~ 22.22 % chances for top 16 points of 2014~ 35.33 % of the time soO wins and their chances go up to ~ 44.48 %.~ 64.67 % of the time soO loses and their chances go down to ~ 10.05 %.------------------------------------------------- - Classic is at ~ 15.76 % chances for top 16 points of 2014~ 43.04 % of the time Classic wins and their chances go up to ~ 29.66 %.~ 56.96 % of the time Classic loses and their chances go down to ~ 5.26 %.------------------------------------------------- - herO is at ~ 97.01 % chances for top 16 points of 2014~ 62.17 % of the time herO wins and their chances go up to ~ 99.9 %.~ 37.83 % of the time herO loses and their chances go down to ~ 92.25 %.Starts in + Show Spoiler [Life, Rain, ParalyzE, Solar in GSL S2…] + GSL S2 Code S Life has the #2 headband!This is a match for the #2 headband! - Life is at ~ 97.76 % chances for top 16 points of 2014~ 60.38 % of the time Life wins and their chances go up to ~ 99.94 %.~ 39.62 % of the time Life loses and their chances go down to ~ 94.42 %.------------------------------------------------- - Rain is at ~ 44.61 % chances for top 16 points of 2014~ 56.35 % of the time Rain wins and their chances go up to ~ 62.05 %.~ 43.65 % of the time Rain loses and their chances go down to ~ 22.09 %.------------------------------------------------- - ParalyzE is at ~ 2.15 % chances for top 16 points of 2014~ 31.44 % of the time ParalyzE wins and their chances go up to ~ 5.91 %.~ 68.56 % of the time ParalyzE loses and their chances go down to ~ 0.42 %.------------------------------------------------- - Solar is at ~ 14.97 % chances for top 16 points of 2014~ 51.82 % of the time Solar wins and their chances go up to ~ 24.95 %.~ 48.18 % of the time Solar loses and their chances go down to ~ 4.22 %.Starts in + Show Spoiler [Maru, Dark, Stork, TRUE in GSL S2 Code S] + GSL S2 Code S - Maru is at ~ 17.9 % chances for top 16 points of 2014~ 51.79 % of the time Maru wins and their chances go up to ~ 28.51 %.~ 48.21 % of the time Maru loses and their chances go down to ~ 6.51 %.------------------------------------------------- - Dark is at ~ 5.34 % chances for top 16 points of 2014~ 53.24 % of the time Dark wins and their chances go up to ~ 9.21 %.~ 46.76 % of the time Dark loses and their chances go down to ~ 0.92 %.------------------------------------------------- - Stork is at ~ 4.72 % chances for top 16 points of 2014~ 58.04 % of the time Stork wins and their chances go up to ~ 7.63 %.~ 41.96 % of the time Stork loses and their chances go down to ~ 0.7 %.------------------------------------------------- - TRUE is at ~ 1.19 % chances for top 16 points of 2014~ 36.93 % of the time TRUE wins and their chances go up to ~ 2.92 %.~ 63.07 % of the time TRUE loses and their chances go down to ~ 0.17 %.Starts in + Show Spoiler [Soulkey, INnoVation, Zest, Shine in GS…] + GSL S2 Code S - Soulkey is at ~ 16.76 % chances for top 16 points of 2014~ 57.09 % of the time Soulkey wins and their chances go up to ~ 25.83 %.~ 42.91 % of the time Soulkey loses and their chances go down to ~ 4.7 %.------------------------------------------------- - INnoVation is at ~ 34.87 % chances for top 16 points of 2014~ 63.84 % of the time INnoVation wins and their chances go up to ~ 47.61 %.~ 36.16 % of the time INnoVation loses and their chances go down to ~ 12.37 %.------------------------------------------------- - Zest is at ~ 99.5 % chances for top 16 points of 2014~ 48.37 % of the time Zest wins and their chances go up to ~ 99.99 %.~ 51.63 % of the time Zest loses and their chances go down to ~ 99.03 %.------------------------------------------------- - Shine is at ~ 1.44 % chances for top 16 points of 2014~ 30.7 % of the time Shine wins and their chances go up to ~ 4.26 %.~ 69.3 % of the time Shine loses and their chances go down to ~ 0.2 %.Here are the winning chances for Code S. + Show Spoiler [Winning Chances Code S] + GSL S2 Code S herO has a ~ 13.72 % chance to win. This would increase their chances from ~ 97.01 % to ~ 100 % INnoVation has a ~ 12.7 % chance to win. This would increase their chances from ~ 34.87 % to ~ 100 % PartinG has a ~ 11.03 % chance to win. This would increase their chances from ~ 37.49 % to ~ 100 % Zest has a ~ 9.32 % chance to win. This would increase their chances from ~ 99.5 % to ~ 100 % Rain has a ~ 9.32 % chance to win. This would increase their chances from ~ 44.61 % to ~ 100 % Life has a ~ 8.83 % chance to win. This would increase their chances from ~ 97.76 % to ~ 100 % Soulkey has a ~ 7.42 % chance to win. This would increase their chances from ~ 16.76 % to ~ 98.8 % Solar has a ~ 6.6 % chance to win. This would increase their chances from ~ 14.97 % to ~ 99.62 % Classic has a ~ 5.15 % chance to win. This would increase their chances from ~ 15.76 % to ~ 99.99 % Maru has a ~ 4.71 % chance to win. This would increase their chances from ~ 17.9 % to ~ 99.99 % soO has a ~ 2.88 % chance to win. This would increase their chances from ~ 22.22 % to ~ 100 % Dark has a ~ 2.77 % chance to win. This would increase their chances from ~ 5.34 % to ~ 96.78 % Stork has a ~ 2.75 % chance to win. This would increase their chances from ~ 4.72 % to ~ 92.07 % ParalyzE has a ~ 1.15 % chance to win. This would increase their chances from ~ 2.15 % to ~ 95.97 % Shine has a ~ 0.97 % chance to win. This would increase their chances from ~ 1.44 % to ~ 88.85 % TRUE has a ~ 0.7 % chance to win. This would increase their chances from ~ 1.19 % to ~ 94.6 %Now let's try to figure out which is the group of death according to the stats! Let's break it down into 2 different parts for each group: total chances to win Code S, and total chances to qualify for Blizzcon. + Show Spoiler [Total Chances to Win Code S] + Group A - Parting has a ~ 11.03 % chance to win Code S Classic has a ~ 5.15 % chance herO has a ~ 13.72 % chance soO has a ~ 2.88 % chance All these chances added up gives a 32.78 Code S Chances Score Group B - Rain has a ~ 9.32 % chance Solar has a ~ 6.6 % chance Life has a ~ 8.83 % chance ParalyzE has a ~ 1.15 % chance All these chances added up gives a 25.9 Code S Chances Score Group C - Maru has a ~ 4.71 % chance Dark has a ~ 2.77 % chance TRUE has a ~ 0.7 % chance Stork has a ~ 2.75 % chance All these chances added up gives a 10.93 Code S Chances Score Group D - Soulkey has a ~ 7.42 % chance Shine has a ~ 0.97 % chance Zest has a ~ 9.32 % chance Innovation has a ~ 12.7 % chance All these chances added up gives a 30.41 Code S Chances Score Which means the groups go in this order according to the Code S Chances Scores A > D > B > C + Show Spoiler [Total Chances to Qualify for Blizzcon] + Group A - Parting went down by ~ 0.34 %, from ~ 37.83 % down to ~ 37.49 % Classic went down by ~ 1.7 %, from ~ 17.46 % down to ~ 15.76 % herO went down by ~ 0.16 %, from ~ 97.17 % down to ~ 97.01 % soO went down by ~ 3.5 %, from ~ 25.72 % down to ~ 22.22 % All these chances added up gives a 172.48 Blizzcon Chances Score, and a 5.7 Blizzcon Chances Lost Score. Group B - Rain went down by ~ 1.61 %, from ~ 46.22 % down to ~ 44.61 % Solar went down by ~ 0.55 %, from ~ 15.51 % down to ~ 14.96 % Life went up by ~ 0.22 %, from ~ 97.54 % down to ~ 97.76 % ParalyzE went down by ~ 0.21 %, from ~ 2.36 % down to ~ 2.15 % All these chances added up gives a 159.48 Blizzcon Chances Score, and a 2.15 Blizzcon Chances Lost Score. Group C - Maru went up by ~ 1.01 %, from ~ 16.89 % up to ~ 17.9 % Dark went up by ~ 0.72 %, from ~ 4.62 % up to ~ 5.34 % TRUE went up by ~ 0.12 %, from ~ 1.07 % up to ~ 1.19 % Stork went up by ~ 0.81 %, from ~ 3.91 % up to ~ 4.72 % All these chances added up gives a 29.15 Blizzcon Chances Score, and a -2.66 Blizzcon Chances Lost Score. Group D - Soulkey went up by ~ 1.46 %, from ~ 15.3 % up to ~ 16.76 % Shine stayed about the same at ~ 1.44 % Zest went down by ~ 0.09 %, from ~ 99.59 % down to ~ 99.5 % Innovation went up by ~ 1.48 %, from ~ 33.39 % up to ~ 34.87 % All these chances added up gives a 152.57 Blizzcon Chances Score, and a -2.85 Blizzcon Chances Lost Score. According to the Blizzcon Chances Scores the groups go in this order A > D > B > C And according to the Blizzcon Chances Lost Scores, the groups go in this order A > B > C > D So in all 3 of the metrics we have Group A being the group of death! Congrats to Parting, Classic, herO, and soO! 2nd place goes to Group D, 3rd place to Group B, and 4th place goes to Group C. ----------------------- http://sc2.4ever.tv To go with the analysis, here's the Group of Death poll Just noticed this, the Official WCS Predictor Round of 16 Group of Death in WCS EU Season 2 and GSL Season 2 gave us ALL 4 OF THE FINALISTS! lol. On June 24 2014 07:01 Die4Ever wrote:+ Show Spoiler + --------UPDATE Monday, Jun 23 10:00pm GMT (GMT+00:00) WCS AM Round of 16 Previews and Group of Death Analysis! Here's the current Top 25 by chances. + Show Spoiler [Top 25 Chances] + #1 MC is at ~ 100 %, Min WCS Points: 4350#2 ROCCAT HyuN is at ~ 100 %, Min WCS Points: 3475#3 Yoe San is at ~ 100 %, Min WCS Points: 3325#4 Liquid TaeJa is at ~ 99.99 %, Min WCS Points: 3100#5 KT Zest is at ~ 99.87 %, Min WCS Points: 2900#6 CM Storm Polt is at ~ 99.86 %, Min WCS Points: 2800#7 SKT T1 soO is at ~ 94.45 %, Min WCS Points: 2500#8 StarTale Life is at ~ 93.31 %, Min WCS Points: 2625#9 mYinsanity StarDust is at ~ 83.84 %, Min WCS Points: 2350#10 mYinsanity jjakji is at ~ 80.8 %, Min WCS Points: 2425#11 SKT T1 Classic is at ~ 76.53 %, Min WCS Points: 1900#12 CJ Entus herO is at ~ 73.71 %, Min WCS Points: 2300#13 Jinair sOs is at ~ 57.31 %, Min WCS Points: 2200#14 EG Jaedong is at ~ 53.23 %, Min WCS Points: 2175#15 Bomber is at ~ 41.22 %, Min WCS Points: 1575#16 Millenium ForGG is at ~ 39.77 %, Min WCS Points: 1325#17 Millenium VortiX is at ~ 24.55 %, Min WCS Points: 1100#18 First is at ~ 21.15 %, Min WCS Points: 850#19 Planetkey Oz is at ~ 20.1 %, Min WCS Points: 1425#20 Axiom Alicia is at ~ 15.4 %, Min WCS Points: 1175#21 Acer MMA is at ~ 14.63 %, Min WCS Points: 1450#22 viOLet is at ~ 13.91 %, Min WCS Points: 875#23 NrS Welmu is at ~ 13.34 %, Min WCS Points: 1350#24 Jinair Maru is at ~ 12.91 %, Min WCS Points: 1450#25 Wayi Check is at ~ 12.57 %, Min WCS Points: 700Here are the WCS AM Round of 16 Previews! Starts in + Show Spoiler [Heart, Oz, XiGua, Pigbaby in WCS AM S2…] + WCS AM S2 Premier - Heart is at ~ 6.42 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014~ 52.77 % of the time Heart wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 10.76 %.~ 47.23 % of the time Heart loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 1.57 %.------------------------------------------------- - Oz is at ~ 20.1 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014~ 56.35 % of the time Oz wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 30.45 %.~ 43.65 % of the time Oz loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 6.73 %.------------------------------------------------- - XiGua is at ~ 1.49 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014~ 41.44 % of the time XiGua wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 3.22 %.~ 58.56 % of the time XiGua loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 0.26 %.------------------------------------------------- - Pigbaby is at ~ 2.41 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014~ 49.44 % of the time Pigbaby wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 4.58 %.~ 50.56 % of the time Pigbaby loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 0.29 %.Starts in + Show Spoiler [HyuN, NesTea, Alicia, Revival in WCS A…] + WCS AM S2 Premier - HyuN is at ~ 100 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014~ 71.27 % of the time HyuN wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 100 %.~ 28.73 % of the time HyuN loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 100 %.------------------------------------------------- - NesTea is at ~ 1.81 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014~ 36.94 % of the time NesTea wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 4.35 %.~ 63.06 % of the time NesTea loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 0.32 %.------------------------------------------------- - Alicia is at ~ 15.4 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014~ 51.26 % of the time Alicia wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 25.06 %.~ 48.74 % of the time Alicia loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 5.23 %.------------------------------------------------- - Revival is at ~ 8.41 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014~ 40.53 % of the time Revival wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 16.51 %.~ 59.47 % of the time Revival loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 2.89 %.Starts in + Show Spoiler [Bomber, Polt, TooDming, Check in WCS A…] + WCS AM S2 Premier - Bomber is at ~ 41.22 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014~ 59.33 % of the time Bomber wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 55.76 %.~ 40.67 % of the time Bomber loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 20.01 %.------------------------------------------------- - Polt is at ~ 99.86 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014~ 65.03 % of the time Polt wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 99.99 %.~ 34.97 % of the time Polt loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 99.6 %.------------------------------------------------- - TooDming is at ~ 2.48 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014~ 33.3 % of the time TooDming wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 6.11 %.~ 66.7 % of the time TooDming loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 0.66 %.------------------------------------------------- - Check is at ~ 12.57 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014~ 42.35 % of the time Check wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 23.32 %.~ 57.65 % of the time Check loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 4.68 %.Starts in + Show Spoiler [TaeJa, viOLet, MajOr, Arthur in WCS AM…] + WCS AM S2 Premier - TaeJa is at ~ 99.99 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014~ 70.66 % of the time TaeJa wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 100 %.~ 29.34 % of the time TaeJa loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 99.99 %.------------------------------------------------- - viOLet is at ~ 13.91 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014~ 49.32 % of the time viOLet wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 22.88 %.~ 50.68 % of the time viOLet loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 5.18 %.------------------------------------------------- -  MajOr is at ~ 9.86 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014~ 45.95 % of the time MajOr wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 17.23 %.~ 54.05 % of the time MajOr loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 3.59 %.------------------------------------------------- - Arthur is at ~ 6.28 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014~ 34.08 % of the time Arthur wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 13.67 %.~ 65.92 % of the time Arthur loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 2.47 %.And now let's do some analysis to see what the Group of Death is according to WCS Predictor. I did this before but I have to redo it now since the groups were redrawn. This time we will be looking at 5 different scores instead of just the normal 3. Champion Chances Score is the chances to win the tournament for each player in the group added together. Blizzcon Chances Score is the chances to qualify for Blizzcon for each player in the group added together. Blizzcon Chances Lost Score is how much the Blizzcon Chances Score went down by because of the group drawing. Affects Score is the sum of the amount of Blizzcon chances each player would gain if they won the group, plus the amount of Blizzcon chances each player would lose if they lost the group. Aligulac Score is the overall Aligulac rating of every player in the group added together. + Show Spoiler [Champion Chances] + Group A Heart has a ~ 3.79 % chance to win WCS AM S2 Premier Oz has a ~ 4.31 % chance to win WCS AM S2 Premier XiGua has a ~ 1.13 % chance to win WCS AM S2 Premier Pigbaby has a ~ 2.35 % chance to win WCS AM S2 Premier Giving this match a Champion Chances Score of 11.587 Group B HyuN has a ~ 20.49 % chance to win WCS AM S2 Premier NesTea has a ~ 1.45 % chance to win WCS AM S2 Premier Alicia has a ~ 5.06 % chance to win WCS AM S2 Premier Revival has a ~ 3.02 % chance to win WCS AM S2 Premier Giving this match a Champion Chances Score of 30.0157 Group C Bomber has a ~ 8.85 % chance to win WCS AM S2 Premier Polt has a ~ 12.95 % chance to win WCS AM S2 Premier TooDming has a ~ 1.45 % chance to win WCS AM S2 Premier Check has a ~ 3.52 % chance to win WCS AM S2 Premier Giving this match a Champion Chances Score of 26.7719 Group D TaeJa has a ~ 18.85 % chance to win WCS AM S2 Premier viOLet has a ~ 5.86 % chance to win WCS AM S2 Premier MajOr has a ~ 4.27 % chance to win WCS AM S2 Premier Arthur has a ~ 2.64 % chance to win WCS AM S2 Premier Giving this match a Champion Chances Score of 31.6254 Which means the groups go in this order for the Champion Chances Scores D > B > C > A + Show Spoiler [Blizzcon Chances] + Group A Heart is at ~ 6.42 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014 Oz is at ~ 20.1 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014 XiGua is at ~ 1.49 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014 Pigbaby is at ~ 2.41 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014 Giving this match a Blizzcon Chances Score of 30.4117 Group B HyuN is at ~ 100 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014 NesTea is at ~ 1.81 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014 Alicia is at ~ 15.4 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014 Revival is at ~ 8.41 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014 Giving this match a Blizzcon Chances Score of 125.616 Group C Bomber is at ~ 41.22 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014 Polt is at ~ 99.86 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014 TooDming is at ~ 2.48 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014 Check is at ~ 12.57 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014 Giving this match a Blizzcon Chances Score of 156.13 Group D TaeJa is at ~ 99.99 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014 viOLet is at ~ 13.91 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014 MajOr is at ~ 9.86 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014 Arthur is at ~ 6.28 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014 Giving this match a Blizzcon Chances Score of 130.049 Which means the groups go in this order for the Blizzcon Chances Scores C > D > B > A + Show Spoiler [Blizzcon Chances Lost] + Group A Heart's Blizzcon chances changed by ~ 0.36 % Oz's Blizzcon chances changed by ~ 2.04 % XiGua's Blizzcon chances changed by ~ 0.17 % Pigbaby's Blizzcon chances changed by ~ 0.28 % Giving this match a Blizzcon Chances Lost Score of -2.86117 Group B HyuN's Blizzcon chances changed by ~ 0 % NesTea's Blizzcon chances changed by ~ -10.0 % Alicia's Blizzcon chances changed by ~ 0.32 % Revival's Blizzcon chances changed by ~ -10.6 % Giving this match a Blizzcon Chances Lost Score of 0.385503 Group C Bomber's Blizzcon chances changed by ~ 0.24 % Polt's Blizzcon chances changed by ~ 0.01 % TooDming's Blizzcon chances changed by ~ -10.2 % Check's Blizzcon chances changed by ~ -2 % Giving this match a Blizzcon Chances Lost Score of 0.970449 Group D TaeJa's Blizzcon chances changed by ~ 0.01 % viOLet's Blizzcon chances changed by ~ -10.6 % MajOr's Blizzcon chances changed by ~ -10.5 % Arthur's Blizzcon chances changed by ~ -20.1 % Giving this match a Blizzcon Chances Lost Score of 2.39453 Which means the groups go in this order for the Blizzcon Chances Lost Scores D > C > B > A + Show Spoiler [Effects] + Group A When Heart wins this match, their Blizzcon chances go up by ~ 4.34 % When Heart loses this match, their Blizzcon chances go down by ~ 4.85 % When Oz wins this match, their Blizzcon chances go up by ~ 10.36 % When Oz loses this match, their Blizzcon chances go down by ~ 13.37 % When XiGua wins this match, their Blizzcon chances go up by ~ 1.73 % When XiGua loses this match, their Blizzcon chances go down by ~ 1.23 % When Pigbaby wins this match, their Blizzcon chances go up by ~ 2.17 % When Pigbaby loses this match, their Blizzcon chances go down by ~ 2.12 % Giving this match an Effects Score of 40.1758 Group B When HyuN wins this match, their Blizzcon chances go up by ~ 0 % When HyuN loses this match, their Blizzcon chances go down by ~ 0 % When NesTea wins this match, their Blizzcon chances go up by ~ 2.54 % When NesTea loses this match, their Blizzcon chances go down by ~ 1.49 % When Alicia wins this match, their Blizzcon chances go up by ~ 9.67 % When Alicia loses this match, their Blizzcon chances go down by ~ 10.17 % When Revival wins this match, their Blizzcon chances go up by ~ 8.1 % When Revival loses this match, their Blizzcon chances go down by ~ 5.52 % Giving this match an Effects Score of 37.4876 Group C When Bomber wins this match, their Blizzcon chances go up by ~ 14.54 % When Bomber loses this match, their Blizzcon chances go down by ~ 21.21 % When Polt wins this match, their Blizzcon chances go up by ~ 0.14 % When Polt loses this match, their Blizzcon chances go down by ~ 0.26 % When TooDming wins this match, their Blizzcon chances go up by ~ 3.64 % When TooDming loses this match, their Blizzcon chances go down by ~ 1.81 % When Check wins this match, their Blizzcon chances go up by ~ 10.75 % When Check loses this match, their Blizzcon chances go down by ~ 7.9 % Giving this match an Effects Score of 60.2409 Group D When TaeJa wins this match, their Blizzcon chances go up by ~ 0.01 % When TaeJa loses this match, their Blizzcon chances go down by ~ 0.01 % When viOLet wins this match, their Blizzcon chances go up by ~ 8.97 % When viOLet loses this match, their Blizzcon chances go down by ~ 8.73 % When MajOr wins this match, their Blizzcon chances go up by ~ 7.37 % When MajOr loses this match, their Blizzcon chances go down by ~ 6.27 % When Arthur wins this match, their Blizzcon chances go up by ~ 7.38 % When Arthur loses this match, their Blizzcon chances go down by ~ 3.82 % Giving this match an Effects Score of 42.5468 Which means the groups go in this order for Effects Scores C > D > A > B + Show Spoiler [Aligulac Ratings] + Group A Heart has an overall Aligulac rating of 1652 Oz has an overall Aligulac rating of 1663 XiGua has an overall Aligulac rating of 1476 Pigbaby has an overall Aligulac rating of 1566 Giving this match an Aligulac Score of 6357 Group B HyuN has an overall Aligulac rating of 2101 NesTea has an overall Aligulac rating of 1523 Alicia has an overall Aligulac rating of 1709 Revival has an overall Aligulac rating of 1656 Giving this match an Aligulac Score of 6989 Group C Bomber has an overall Aligulac rating of 1885 Polt has an overall Aligulac rating of 1974 TooDming has an overall Aligulac rating of 1552 Check has an overall Aligulac rating of 1695 Giving this match an Aligulac Score of 7106 Group D TaeJa has an overall Aligulac rating of 2094 viOLet has an overall Aligulac rating of 1794 MajOr has an overall Aligulac rating of 1722 Arthur has an overall Aligulac rating of 1638 Giving this match an Aligulac Score of 7248 Which means the groups go in this order for Aligulac Scores D > C > B > A Group A has 4 4th places and a 3rd place. Group B has 3 3rd places, 1 4th place, and 1 2nd place. Group C has both of the other 2 1st places and 2 2nd places and also a 3rd place. Group D has 3 1st places and 2 2nd places in these 5 rankings. Group D is our Group of Death barely beating out Group C! Congrats to TaeJa, viOLet, MajOr, and Arthur! What do you think? Poll: Group of Death? Group D (3) Group C (1) Group A (0) Group B (0) 4 total votes Your vote: Group of Death? (Vote): Group A Also don't forget about the GSL Finals! Starts in + Show Spoiler [soO, Classic in GSL S2 Code S] + GSL S2 Code S soO has the #2 headband!This is a match for the #2 headband! - soO is at ~ 94.45 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014~ 44.62 % of the time soO wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 100 %.~ 55.38 % of the time soO loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 89.97 %.------------------------------------------------- - Classic is at ~ 76.53 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014~ 55.38 % of the time Classic wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 99.89 %.~ 44.62 % of the time Classic loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 47.55 %.----------------------- http://sc2.4ever.tv Also the 2nd place Group of Death in WCS AM Season 2 gave us the 2nd placing player. | ||
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Die4Ever
United States17676 Posts
Must win matches. When WCS Predictor determines that a player must win a match, it will highlight this on the Upcoming Match preview, and put a red border around it. Here's an example of the BB Code it outputs for TL, make sure to check it out on the website too. Starts in INnoVation must win this!+ Show Spoiler [INnoVation, Hurricane, hyvaa, Ruin in…] + GSL S3 Code A - INnoVation is at ~ 9.67 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014~ 72.58 % of the time INnoVation wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 13.08 %.~ 27.42 % of the time INnoVation loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 0.66 %.------------------------------------------------- - Hurricane is at ~ 0.07 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014~ 50.57 % of the time Hurricane wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 0.14 %.~ 49.43 % of the time Hurricane loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 0.01 %.------------------------------------------------- - hyvaa is at ~ 0.01 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014~ 38.83 % of the time hyvaa wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 0.01 %.~ 61.17 % of the time hyvaa loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 0.01 %.------------------------------------------------- - Ruin is at ~ 0.01 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014~ 38.01 % of the time Ruin wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 0.02 %.~ 61.99 % of the time Ruin loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 0.01 %.On top of this, I've also made a special page where you can watch these could-be heroes with upcoming must-win matches. You'll want to bookmark this one! http://sc2.4ever.tv/?page=mustwins Currently the system determines that they "must" win if their Blizzcon chances are at least 5%, and if winning the match brings them up to at least 7% Blizzcon chances, and if losing the match brings them down below 2% Blizzcon chances. I will probably need to tweak these numbers. Feel free to leave comments on how you think this can be tweaked, or just vote in this poll. Poll: Must Win formula? It's too strict, DongRaeGu's match should count (1) It should be relative (1) It's good as it is (0) It's way too strict, even Flash's match should count (0) It's too loose, it should only count if losing would bring them under 1% Blizzcon chances (0) 2 total votes Your vote: Must Win formula? (Vote): It's good as it is What I mean by relative in the poll is like a player with 1% chances would need to fall below 0.5% when they lose in order to count, but a player with 15% chances would only need to fall below 2% when losing for it to count. | ||
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KillerDucky
United States498 Posts
ETA: With this approach there is no real need for an artificial cutoff point. Players like DongRaeGu will just be low on the list. If he makes it into Code S, this metric will naturally increase. Also later as we get into CodeS this metric will have players that are almost locked for Blizzcon still on the list, but lower. | ||
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Die4Ever
United States17676 Posts
On July 11 2014 07:51 KillerDucky wrote: I propose a slightly different approach: Biggest swing matches. A list sorted by (%ifwin - %iflose), so e.g. Innovation 13.08 - 0.67 = 12.41 will still be high on the list. But I think it's also important to highlight cases like Life: 88.95 - 67.9 = 21.05% swing on one Code A match! Sure he's not eliminated, but IMO still very important and should be highlighted somehow. ETA: With this approach there is no real need for an artificial cutoff point. Players like DongRaeGu will just be low on the list. If he makes it into Code S, this metric will naturally increase. Also later as we get into CodeS this metric will have players that are almost locked for Blizzcon still on the list, but lower. I currently have it where important matches get a red border (same highlight that must-win matches get now) and semi-important matches get a pink border, so I guess it's similar, importance being the average effect it has on the players. I probably will change it so that if it's important for even just 1 of the players then it gets highlighted like you suggest, it does sound better rather than using the average importance. I'll have to think about whether I would rather have a page for the big swing matches or for the must-win matches. I feel like must-win tells more of a story though and is more straight-forward for someone to read. The border highlighting for swing matches might be enough by itself, although I don't have such an indication in the BB code for upcoming matches, I should add something for that for sure. | ||
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Die4Ever
United States17676 Posts
Here's the current Top 25 by Blizzcon Chances. + Show Spoiler [Top 25 Chances] + #1 MC is at ~ 100 %, Min WCS Points: 4225#2 ROCCAT HyuN is at ~ 100 %, Min WCS Points: 4025#3 mYinsanity StarDust is at ~ 100 %, Min WCS Points: 3850#4 Yoe San is at ~ 100 %, Min WCS Points: 3825#5 CM Storm Polt is at ~ 100 %, Min WCS Points: 3600#6 Liquid TaeJa is at ~ 99.99 %, Min WCS Points: 3275#7 Bomber is at ~ 99.99 %, Min WCS Points: 3125#8 KT Zest is at ~ 99.66 %, Min WCS Points: 2900#9 SKT T1 Classic is at ~ 93.8 %, Min WCS Points: 2650#10 mYinsanity jjakji is at ~ 90.99 %, Min WCS Points: 2425#11 StarTale Life is at ~ 80.96 %, Min WCS Points: 2625#12 CJ Entus herO is at ~ 76.74 %, Min WCS Points: 2300#13 Jinair sOs is at ~ 72.82 %, Min WCS Points: 2200#14 SKT T1 soO is at ~ 64.48 %, Min WCS Points: 2250#15 EG Jaedong is at ~ 55.01 %, Min WCS Points: 2175#16 Jinair Pigbaby is at ~ 50.8 %, Min WCS Points: 2100#17 Acer MMA is at ~ 26.02 %, Min WCS Points: 1450#18 Liquid Snute is at ~ 22.52 %, Min WCS Points: 1375#19 Millenium ForGG is at ~ 22.5 %, Min WCS Points: 1575#20 Acer INnoVation is at ~ 12.03 %, Min WCS Points: 1025#21 Millenium VortiX is at ~ 7.7 %, Min WCS Points: 1100#22 Ai Patience is at ~ 7.42 %, Min WCS Points: 1000#23 viOLet is at ~ 7.41 %, Min WCS Points: 1550#24 Jinair Maru is at ~ 7.28 %, Min WCS Points: 1450#25 SKT T1 Rain is at ~ 7.11 %, Min WCS Points: 1375Here are the biggest winners and losers from this update. + Show Spoiler [Biggest Winners] + + Show Spoiler [Biggest Losers] + MMA went down by ~ 3.6 %, going from ~ 29.62 % to ~ 26.02 % ForGG went down by ~ 2.36 %, going from ~ 24.85 % to ~ 22.5 % soO went down by ~ 2.07 %, going from ~ 66.55 % to ~ 64.48 % Life went down by ~ 2.04 %, going from ~ 82.99 % to ~ 80.96 % Pigbaby went down by ~ 1.98 %, going from ~ 52.78 % to ~ 50.8 % Snute went down by ~ 1.82 %, going from ~ 24.34 % to ~ 22.52 % Solar went down by ~ 1.66 %, going from ~ 7.1 % to ~ 5.44 % sOs went down by ~ 1.17 %, going from ~ 73.99 % to ~ 72.82 % herO went down by ~ 1.14 %, going from ~ 77.88 % to ~ 76.74 % jjakji went down by ~ 1.04 %, going from ~ 92.04 % to ~ 90.99 % Classic went down by ~ 1.03 %, going from ~ 94.83 % to ~ 93.8 %+ Show Spoiler [WCS Point Cutoffs] + ~ 0 % of the time 2,075 points is enough to qualify for Blizzcon ~ 0.01 % of the time 2,100 points is enough to qualify for Blizzcon ~ 0.1 % of the time 2,250 points is enough to qualify for Blizzcon ~ 1.64 % of the time 2,375 points is enough to qualify for Blizzcon ~ 30.95 % of the time 2,650 points is enough to qualify for Blizzcon ~ 50.44 % of the time 2,725 points is enough to qualify for Blizzcon ~ 68.01 % of the time 2,800 points is enough to qualify for Blizzcon ~ 81.82 % of the time 2,875 points is enough to qualify for Blizzcon ~ 94.34 % of the time 3,000 points is enough to qualify for Blizzcon ~ 100 % of the time 3,675 points is enough to qualify for Blizzcon I've also made some changes to the website and the simulator. First change is I have added must win matches highlights. A must win match is a match where a player's Blizzcon Chances would fall extremely low if they were to lose the match, and they must also have a decent Blizzcon Chance to start with. Must win matches are highlighted with a bright red border around them, and text like this :kr: INnoVation must win this!.There is also a page that shows all the must win upcoming matches, and lists the players that must win as well as some other info about them. You can find a link to the must win matches page under the players table on the front page, or just click here http://sc2.4ever.tv/?page=mustwins To go along with must win matches, I have tweaked the display of upcoming matches that have big effects. These important matches are highlighted with a pink or red border, and have text like this This match is important for sOs!This match is important for herO!On the players tables and tooltips I have replaced Mode WCS Points with Median WCS Points. I think now it's becoming clear that Median WCS Points are more valuable. I also made a bunch of changes to how events are found and displayed. You can see events at the bottom of player pages, tournament pages, and player set pages. Here are some example links that have an events table at the bottom. Jaedong http://sc2.4ever.tv/?page=player&player_id=73 Non-Koreans http://sc2.4ever.tv/?page=player_set&countries=nonkorean Terrans http://sc2.4ever.tv/?page=player_set&races=t GSL Code S http://sc2.4ever.tv/?page=tournament&tid=20 I have greatly reduced redundant events. This means that where before you would see an event for [winning Code A], [winning Code S], and [winning Code A AND winning Code S], now it only shows the separate 2 events. Since the player cannot win Code S without winning Code A, the grouped together event is redundant. I tweaked the way events are scored (for the sorting) so that the likeliness of the event has less of an impact on its score. This means that a rare 2nd place that helps the player a lot will probably show up higher than an expected 16th place with a small change to their Blizzcon Chances. I also greatly increased the number of events that are counted for and displayed for each player. Currently there are 58 for Jaedong and 50 for Maru! This is a huge increase over before where it was maybe 10 to 15 for each player. And lastly I added "Or Events". An Or Event is when 2 different events of the same tournament and player are combined as in "Jaedong gets 4th or 8th in WCS AM S3 Premier". These will only happen with adjacent placings, so you will not see "1st or 16th". I might make it so Or Events could be 3 placings combined, like "Maru gets 4th, 8th, or 16th in GSL". Also try out the Search filter on events tables. The Search box is at the top of the table. Try typing in player names, tournament names, placings like "1st" or "4th". Also there are some special keywords like "or", "simple", "multiple", "other" (meaning something another player does affects my chances), "single", "double", and "triple". Remember to check the website for much more frequent updates! http://sc2.4ever.tv ----------------------- | ||
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Die4Ever
United States17676 Posts
Here's the current Top 25 by Blizzcon Chances. + Show Spoiler [Top 25 Chances] + #1 MC is at ~ 100 %, Min WCS Points: 4225#2 ROCCAT HyuN is at ~ 100 %, Min WCS Points: 4025#3 mYinsanity StarDust is at ~ 100 %, Min WCS Points: 3850#4 Yoe San is at ~ 100 %, Min WCS Points: 3825#5 CM Storm Polt is at ~ 100 %, Min WCS Points: 3600#6 Liquid TaeJa is at ~ 99.99 %, Min WCS Points: 3275#7 Bomber is at ~ 99.99 %, Min WCS Points: 3125#8 KT Zest is at ~ 99.84 %, Min WCS Points: 3025#9 mYinsanity jjakji is at ~ 92.34 %, Min WCS Points: 2425#10 SKT T1 Classic is at ~ 91.59 %, Min WCS Points: 2650#11 StarTale Life is at ~ 86.59 %, Min WCS Points: 2625#12 EG Jaedong is at ~ 77.3 %, Min WCS Points: 2175#13 CJ Entus herO is at ~ 73.36 %, Min WCS Points: 2300#14 Jinair sOs is at ~ 69.47 %, Min WCS Points: 2200#15 SKT T1 soO is at ~ 60.19 %, Min WCS Points: 2250#16 Jinair Pigbaby is at ~ 46.67 %, Min WCS Points: 2100#17 Acer MMA is at ~ 24.83 %, Min WCS Points: 1575#18 Liquid Snute is at ~ 24.01 %, Min WCS Points: 1500#19 Millenium ForGG is at ~ 19.89 %, Min WCS Points: 1575#20 Acer INnoVation is at ~ 12.38 %, Min WCS Points: 1150#21 Liquid HerO is at ~ 8.99 %, Min WCS Points: 1675#22 Millenium VortiX is at ~ 7.14 %, Min WCS Points: 1100#23 viOLet is at ~ 6.67 %, Min WCS Points: 1550#24 Jinair Maru is at ~ 6.6 %, Min WCS Points: 1450#25 SKT T1 Rain is at ~ 6.51 %, Min WCS Points: 1375Here are the biggest winners and losers from this update. + Show Spoiler [Biggest Winners] + Jaedong went up by ~ 22.3 %, going from ~ 54.99 % to ~ 77.3 % Life went up by ~ 5.63 %, going from ~ 80.96 % to ~ 86.59 % HerO went up by ~ 2.05 %, going from ~ 6.95 % to ~ 8.99 % Snute went up by ~ 1.48 %, going from ~ 22.53 % to ~ 24.01 % jjakji went up by ~ 1.33 %, going from ~ 91.01 % to ~ 92.34 % TRUE went up by ~ 0.92 %, going from ~ 1.39 % to ~ 2.31 % Leenock went up by ~ 0.73 %, going from ~ 0.87 % to ~ 1.6 %+ Show Spoiler [Biggest Losers] + soO went down by ~ 4.26 %, going from ~ 64.45 % to ~ 60.19 % Pigbaby went down by ~ 4.17 %, going from ~ 50.84 % to ~ 46.67 % herO went down by ~ 3.38 %, going from ~ 76.74 % to ~ 73.36 % sOs went down by ~ 3.34 %, going from ~ 72.81 % to ~ 69.47 % ForGG went down by ~ 2.59 %, going from ~ 22.48 % to ~ 19.89 % Classic went down by ~ 2.2 %, going from ~ 93.79 % to ~ 91.59 % Patience went down by ~ 1.34 %, going from ~ 7.42 % to ~ 6.08 % Check went down by ~ 1.3 %, going from ~ 1.84 % to ~ 0.54 % MMA went down by ~ 1.19 %, going from ~ 26.03 % to ~ 24.83 % First went down by ~ 1.19 %, going from ~ 6.57 % to ~ 5.39 % Bunny went down by ~ 0.86 %, going from ~ 4.09 % to ~ 3.24 % viOLet went down by ~ 0.74 %, going from ~ 7.41 % to ~ 6.67 % Maru went down by ~ 0.67 %, going from ~ 7.28 % to ~ 6.6 % Rain went down by ~ 0.6 %, going from ~ 7.11 % to ~ 6.51 % Soulkey went down by ~ 0.58 %, going from ~ 4.71 % to ~ 4.13 % VortiX went down by ~ 0.57 %, going from ~ 7.71 % to ~ 7.14 % Alicia went down by ~ 0.53 %, going from ~ 6.88 % to ~ 6.35 % Dear went down by ~ 0.52 %, going from ~ 5.8 % to ~ 5.27 %+ Show Spoiler [WCS Point Cutoffs] + ~ 0 % of the time 2,075 points is enough to qualify for Blizzcon ~ 0.01 % of the time 2,100 points is enough to qualify for Blizzcon ~ 0.08 % of the time 2,250 points is enough to qualify for Blizzcon ~ 1.18 % of the time 2,375 points is enough to qualify for Blizzcon ~ 23.14 % of the time 2,650 points is enough to qualify for Blizzcon ~ 47.7 % of the time 2,750 points is enough to qualify for Blizzcon ~ 68.32 % of the time 2,850 points is enough to qualify for Blizzcon ~ 80.81 % of the time 2,925 points is enough to qualify for Blizzcon ~ 91.8 % of the time 3,025 points is enough to qualify for Blizzcon ~ 100 % of the time 3,750 points is enough to qualify for Blizzcon Winning Chances for IEM Shenzhen Open Brackets, 4 players qualify. + Show Spoiler [Winning Chances IEM Open Brackets] + IEM Shenzhen Open Bracket jjakji has a ~ 62.23 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 92.34 % to ~ 95.85 % Life has a ~ 58.17 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 86.59 % to ~ 93.68 % HerO has a ~ 47.6 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 8.99 % to ~ 12.13 % Revival has a ~ 40.74 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 2.02 % to ~ 2.34 % Sen has a ~ 33.63 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 1.06 % to ~ 1.32 % Daisy has a ~ 33.62 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 0.01 % to ~ 0.01 % TRUE has a ~ 29.66 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 2.31 % to ~ 3.21 % Seed has a ~ 27.7 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 0.01 % to ~ 0.02 % Check has a ~ 25.29 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 0.54 % to ~ 0.92 % NesTea has a ~ 16.65 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 0.05 % to ~ 0.11 % Has has a ~ 13.62 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 0.01 % to ~ 0.01 % Neige has a ~ 4.98 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 0 % to ~ 0 % Bistork has a ~ 3.51 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 0 % to ~ 0 %:: Phoenix has a ~ 1.83 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 0 % to ~ 0 % Vaisravana has a ~ 0.75 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 0 % to ~ 0 %Winning Chances for IEM Shenzhen. + Show Spoiler [Winning Chances IEM] + IEM Shenzhen INnoVation has a ~ 15.04 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 12.38 % to ~ 19.87 % TaeJa has a ~ 13.56 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 99.99 % to ~ 100 % San has a ~ 11.19 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 100 % to ~ 100 % Zest has a ~ 10.72 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 99.84 % to ~ 100 % MMA has a ~ 7.29 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 24.83 % to ~ 57.48 % Jaedong has a ~ 6.99 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 77.3 % to ~ 99.25 % Snute has a ~ 6.24 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 24.01 % to ~ 53.93 % Solar has a ~ 6.17 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 5.71 % to ~ 9.91 % jjakji has a ~ 6.03 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 92.34 % to ~ 99.99 % Life has a ~ 4.21 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 86.59 % to ~ 99.99 % Jim has a ~ 2.83 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 0.4 % to ~ 1.83 % Stork has a ~ 2.46 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 0.35 % to ~ 1.11 % HerO has a ~ 1.65 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 8.99 % to ~ 41.9 % puCK has a ~ 1.18 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 0.52 % to ~ 1.34 % TRUE has a ~ 0.71 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 2.31 % to ~ 13.22 % Revival has a ~ 0.69 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 2.02 % to ~ 8.89 % Seed has a ~ 0.67 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 0.01 % to ~ 0.1 % Daisy has a ~ 0.6 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 0.01 % to ~ 0.09 % Sen has a ~ 0.56 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 1.06 % to ~ 4.75 % Illusion has a ~ 0.51 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 0.03 % to ~ 0.25 % Check has a ~ 0.44 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 0.54 % to ~ 2.4 % NesTea has a ~ 0.11 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 0.05 % to ~ 0.35 %Winning chances for Taiwan eSports Open + Show Spoiler [Winning Chances TWOP] + 2014 TWOP HyuN has a ~ 24.49 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 100 % to ~ 100 % Jaedong has a ~ 15.92 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 77.29 % to ~ 99.11 % TaeJa has a ~ 13.81 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 99.99 % to ~ 100 % Bomber has a ~ 11.66 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 99.99 % to ~ 100 % Leenock has a ~ 7.26 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 1.6 % to ~ 3.55 % TRUE has a ~ 6.77 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 2.3 % to ~ 6.47 % Pet has a ~ 6.37 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 0.04 % to ~ 0.19 % Sen has a ~ 6.08 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 1.06 % to ~ 2.08 % Has has a ~ 3.4 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 0.01 % to ~ 0.03 % Slam has a ~ 2.55 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 0.04 % to ~ 0.14 % Ian has a ~ 1.08 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 0.02 % to ~ 0.06 % DeParture has a ~ 0.43 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 0 % to ~ 0 %IEM Shenzhen Open Brackets page http://sc2.4ever.tv/?page=tournament&tid=50 IEM Shenzhen page http://sc2.4ever.tv/?page=tournament&tid=45 TWOP page http://sc2.4ever.tv/?page=tournament&tid=29 Make sure to check out the changes I talked about in the previous post if you missed it. Also make sure you don't miss the first day of Code A! Starts in PartinG must win this!+ Show Spoiler [PartinG, Sleep, Avenge, Sora in GSL S3…] + GSL S3 Code A - PartinG is at ~ 5.96 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014~ 61.41 % of the time PartinG wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 9.47 %.~ 38.59 % of the time PartinG loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 0.38 %.------------------------------------------------- - Sleep is at ~ 0.04 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014~ 45.48 % of the time Sleep wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 0.09 %.~ 54.52 % of the time Sleep loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 0.01 %.------------------------------------------------- - Avenge is at ~ 0.03 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014~ 43.03 % of the time Avenge wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 0.08 %.~ 56.97 % of the time Avenge loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 0.01 %.------------------------------------------------- - Sora is at ~ 0.25 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014~ 50.08 % of the time Sora wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 0.49 %.~ 49.92 % of the time Sora loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 0.01 %.Starts in DongRaeGu must win this!+ Show Spoiler [DongRaeGu, TurN, MyuNgSiK, Panic in GS…] + GSL S3 Code A - DongRaeGu is at ~ 1.01 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014~ 75.24 % of the time DongRaeGu wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 1.33 %.~ 24.76 % of the time DongRaeGu loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 0.02 %.------------------------------------------------- - TurN is at ~ 0 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014~ 21.22 % of the time TurN wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 0 %.~ 78.78 % of the time TurN loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 0 %.------------------------------------------------- - MyuNgSiK is at ~ 0.01 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014~ 47.7 % of the time MyuNgSiK wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 0.01 %.~ 52.3 % of the time MyuNgSiK loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 0 %.------------------------------------------------- - Panic is at ~ 0.02 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014~ 55.84 % of the time Panic wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 0.03 %.~ 44.16 % of the time Panic loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 0.01 %.Remember to check the website for much more frequent updates! http://sc2.4ever.tv ----------------------- | ||
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Die4Ever
United States17676 Posts
Here's the current Top 25 by Blizzcon Chances.
WCS Point Cutoffs + Show Spoiler [WCS Point Cutoffs] + ~ 0 % of the time 2,075 points is enough to qualify for Blizzcon ~ 0.01 % of the time 2,100 points is enough to qualify for Blizzcon ~ 0.15 % of the time 2,300 points is enough to qualify for Blizzcon ~ 3.23 % of the time 2,500 points is enough to qualify for Blizzcon ~ 36.65 % of the time 2,750 points is enough to qualify for Blizzcon ~ 47.95 % of the time 2,800 points is enough to qualify for Blizzcon ~ 64.61 % of the time 2,875 points is enough to qualify for Blizzcon ~ 78.36 % of the time 2,950 points is enough to qualify for Blizzcon ~ 91.48 % of the time 3,050 points is enough to qualify for Blizzcon ~ 100 % of the time 3,850 points is enough to qualify for Blizzcon Here are the biggest winners and losers over the past 4 days. Keep in mind this also includes WCS AM and EU qualifiers, the addition of Red Bull Washington with its seeds, and Code A matches. + Show Spoiler [Biggest Winners] + sOs went up by ~ 13.95 %, going from ~ 69.4 % to ~ 83.35 % Scarlett went up by ~ 10.97 %, going from ~ 0.91 % to ~ 11.88 % PartinG went up by ~ 7.34 %, going from ~ 5.97 % to ~ 13.31 % Jaedong went up by ~ 5.73 %, going from ~ 77.29 % to ~ 83.02 % Snute went up by ~ 4.68 %, going from ~ 24.02 % to ~ 28.7 % Dear went up by ~ 3.22 %, going from ~ 5.27 % to ~ 8.49 % Rain went up by ~ 3.13 %, going from ~ 6.51 % to ~ 9.64 % TRUE went up by ~ 1.11 %, going from ~ 2.31 % to ~ 3.41 % Trap went up by ~ 1.07 %, going from ~ 2.91 % to ~ 3.98 % First went up by ~ 0.68 %, going from ~ 5.4 % to ~ 6.08 %+ Show Spoiler [Biggest Losers] + MMA went down by ~ 13.41 %, going from ~ 24.86 % to ~ 11.45 % ForGG went down by ~ 6.41 %, going from ~ 19.89 % to ~ 13.47 % soO went down by ~ 5.14 %, going from ~ 60.2 % to ~ 55.07 % Pigbaby went down by ~ 4.57 %, going from ~ 46.73 % to ~ 42.16 % herO went down by ~ 3.48 %, going from ~ 73.43 % to ~ 69.95 % Classic went down by ~ 2.68 %, going from ~ 91.57 % to ~ 88.89 % HerO went down by ~ 2.66 %, going from ~ 8.97 % to ~ 6.31 % Life went down by ~ 2.1 %, going from ~ 86.58 % to ~ 84.48 % jjakji went down by ~ 1.62 %, going from ~ 92.33 % to ~ 90.71 % Patience went down by ~ 1.48 %, going from ~ 6.09 % to ~ 4.6 % Soulkey went down by ~ 1.07 %, going from ~ 4.13 % to ~ 3.05 % Maru went down by ~ 0.93 %, going from ~ 6.61 % to ~ 5.68 % Bunny went down by ~ 0.92 %, going from ~ 3.24 % to ~ 2.32 % viOLet went down by ~ 0.77 %, going from ~ 6.7 % to ~ 5.92 % Alicia went down by ~ 0.71 %, going from ~ 6.34 % to ~ 5.64 % Revival went down by ~ 0.56 %, going from ~ 2.01 % to ~ 1.45 %IEM Quarterfinals previews Starts in + Show Spoiler [TaeJa, Zest in IEM Shenzhen] + IEM Shenzhen - TaeJa is at ~ 99.99 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014~ 54.6 % of the time TaeJa wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 100 %.~ 45.4 % of the time TaeJa loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 99.99 %.------------------------------------------------- - Zest is at ~ 99.93 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014~ 45.4 % of the time Zest wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 99.99 %.~ 54.6 % of the time Zest loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 99.88 %.Starts in + Show Spoiler [Jaedong, Snute in IEM Shenzhen] + IEM Shenzhen - Jaedong is at ~ 83.02 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014~ 51.75 % of the time Jaedong wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 89.25 %.~ 48.25 % of the time Jaedong loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 76.34 %.------------------------------------------------- - Snute is at ~ 28.7 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014~ 48.25 % of the time Snute wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 35.43 %.~ 51.75 % of the time Snute loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 22.42 %.Starts in + Show Spoiler [San, Jim in IEM Shenzhen] + IEM Shenzhen - San is at ~ 100 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014~ 55.97 % of the time San wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 100 %.~ 44.03 % of the time San loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 100 %.------------------------------------------------- - Jim is at ~ 0.54 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014~ 44.03 % of the time Jim wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 0.78 %.~ 55.97 % of the time Jim loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 0.36 %.Starts in + Show Spoiler [INnoVation, Solar in IEM Shenzhen] + IEM Shenzhen - INnoVation is at ~ 12.57 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014~ 59.28 % of the time INnoVation wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 14.18 %.~ 40.72 % of the time INnoVation loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 10.22 %.------------------------------------------------- - Solar is at ~ 5.74 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014~ 40.72 % of the time Solar wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 6.61 %.~ 59.28 % of the time Solar loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 5.14 %.IEM winning chances + Show Spoiler [IEM Winning Chances] + IEM Shenzhen INnoVation has a ~ 21.86 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 12.57 % to ~ 17.94 % TaeJa has a ~ 18.6 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 99.99 % to ~ 100 % San has a ~ 14.08 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 100 % to ~ 100 % Zest has a ~ 12.77 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 99.93 % to ~ 100 % Snute has a ~ 9.4 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 28.7 % to ~ 53.81 % Jaedong has a ~ 9.29 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 83.02 % to ~ 98.76 % Solar has a ~ 8.98 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 5.74 % to ~ 8.8 % Jim has a ~ 5.01 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 0.54 % to ~ 1.79 %DreamHack round of 16 previews Starts in + Show Spoiler [First, Starbuck in DreamHack Valencia] + DreamHack Valencia - First is at ~ 6.08 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014~ 55.59 % of the time First wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 6.79 %.~ 44.41 % of the time First loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 5.18 %.------------------------------------------------- -  Starbuck is at ~ 0.01 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014~ 44.41 % of the time Starbuck wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 0.01 %.~ 55.59 % of the time Starbuck loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 0.01 %.Starts in + Show Spoiler [Stephano, Sacsri in DreamHack Valencia] + DreamHack Valencia - Stephano is at ~ 0.22 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014~ 52.04 % of the time Stephano wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 0.31 %.~ 47.96 % of the time Stephano loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 0.11 %.------------------------------------------------- - Sacsri is at ~ 0.11 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014~ 47.96 % of the time Sacsri wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 0.16 %.~ 52.04 % of the time Sacsri loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 0.05 %.Starts in + Show Spoiler [StarDust, YoDa in DreamHack Valencia] + DreamHack Valencia - StarDust is at ~ 100 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014~ 60.01 % of the time StarDust wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 100 %.~ 39.99 % of the time StarDust loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 100 %.------------------------------------------------- - YoDa is at ~ 0.97 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014~ 39.99 % of the time YoDa wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 1.45 %.~ 60.01 % of the time YoDa loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 0.65 %.Starts in + Show Spoiler [HyuN, Revolver in DreamHack Valencia] + DreamHack Valencia - HyuN is at ~ 100 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014~ 84.09 % of the time HyuN wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 100 %.~ 15.91 % of the time HyuN loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 100 %.------------------------------------------------- - Revolver is at ~ 0 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014~ 15.91 % of the time Revolver wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 0 %.~ 84.09 % of the time Revolver loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 0 %.Starts in + Show Spoiler [Golden, Nerchio in DreamHack Valencia] + DreamHack Valencia - Golden is at ~ 3.15 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014~ 51.92 % of the time Golden wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 3.58 %.~ 48.08 % of the time Golden loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 2.68 %.------------------------------------------------- - Nerchio is at ~ 1.12 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014~ 48.08 % of the time Nerchio wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 1.54 %.~ 51.92 % of the time Nerchio loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 0.74 %.Starts in + Show Spoiler [Leenock, Majestic in DreamHack Valencia] + DreamHack Valencia - Leenock is at ~ 1.8 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014~ 67.99 % of the time Leenock wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 2.08 %.~ 32.01 % of the time Leenock loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 1.22 %.------------------------------------------------- - Majestic is at ~ 0 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014~ 32.01 % of the time Majestic wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 0 %.~ 67.99 % of the time Majestic loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 0 %.Starts in + Show Spoiler [VortiX, MaNa in DreamHack Valencia] + DreamHack Valencia - VortiX is at ~ 7.52 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014~ 61.79 % of the time VortiX wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 8.31 %.~ 38.21 % of the time VortiX loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 6.24 %.------------------------------------------------- - MaNa is at ~ 1.53 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014~ 38.21 % of the time MaNa wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 1.77 %.~ 61.79 % of the time MaNa loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 1.37 %.Starts in + Show Spoiler [MC, Bomber in DreamHack Valencia] + DreamHack Valencia - MC is at ~ 100 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014~ 51.24 % of the time MC wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 100 %.~ 48.76 % of the time MC loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 100 %.------------------------------------------------- - Bomber is at ~ 99.99 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014~ 48.76 % of the time Bomber wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 99.99 %.~ 51.24 % of the time Bomber loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 99.99 %.DreamHack winning chances + Show Spoiler [DreamHack Winning Chances] + DreamHack Valencia HyuN has a ~ 18.9 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 100 % to ~ 100 % StarDust has a ~ 10.89 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 100 % to ~ 100 % MC has a ~ 9.39 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 100 % to ~ 100 % Leenock has a ~ 8.96 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 1.8 % to ~ 3.54 % VortiX has a ~ 8.06 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 7.52 % to ~ 14.17 % First has a ~ 7.39 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 6.08 % to ~ 9.45 % Bomber has a ~ 7.01 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 99.99 % to ~ 100 % Golden has a ~ 5.52 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 3.15 % to ~ 6.02 % Starbuck has a ~ 4.63 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 0.01 % to ~ 0.02 % Nerchio has a ~ 4.29 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 1.12 % to ~ 2.56 % Stephano has a ~ 3.96 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 0.22 % to ~ 0.87 % Sacsri has a ~ 3.68 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 0.11 % to ~ 0.64 % YoDa has a ~ 3.48 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 0.97 % to ~ 2.74 % MaNa has a ~ 2.75 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 1.53 % to ~ 3.07 % Majestic has a ~ 0.84 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 0 % to ~ 0 %Remember to check the website for much more frequent updates! http://sc2.4ever.tv ----------------------- | ||
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Die4Ever
United States17676 Posts
Here's the current Top 25 by Blizzcon Chances.
WCS Point Cutoffs + Show Spoiler [WCS Point Cutoffs] + ~ 0 % of the time 2,075 points is enough to qualify for Blizzcon ~ 0.01 % of the time 2,100 points is enough to qualify for Blizzcon ~ 0.21 % of the time 2,300 points is enough to qualify for Blizzcon ~ 3.5 % of the time 2,500 points is enough to qualify for Blizzcon ~ 40.71 % of the time 2,750 points is enough to qualify for Blizzcon ~ 53.27 % of the time 2,800 points is enough to qualify for Blizzcon ~ 68.97 % of the time 2,875 points is enough to qualify for Blizzcon ~ 82.54 % of the time 2,950 points is enough to qualify for Blizzcon ~ 93.55 % of the time 3,050 points is enough to qualify for Blizzcon ~ 100 % of the time 3,875 points is enough to qualify for Blizzcon WCS AM S3 Challenger previews Starts in + Show Spoiler [HuK, phog in WCS AM S3 Challenger] + WCS AM S3 Challenger - HuK is at ~ 0.89 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014~ 70.94 % of the time HuK wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 1.25 %.~ 29.06 % of the time HuK loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 0.02 %.------------------------------------------------- - phog is at ~ 0 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014~ 29.06 % of the time phog wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 0 %.~ 70.94 % of the time phog loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 0 %.Starts in + Show Spoiler [CranK, Shana in WCS AM S3 Challenger] + WCS AM S3 Challenger - CranK is at ~ 0.12 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014~ 75.62 % of the time CranK wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 0.16 %.~ 24.38 % of the time CranK loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 0.01 %.------------------------------------------------- - Shana is at ~ 0 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014~ 24.38 % of the time Shana wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 0 %.~ 75.62 % of the time Shana loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 0 %.Starts in + Show Spoiler [hendralisk, ViBE in WCS AM S3 Challenger] + WCS AM S3 Challenger - hendralisk is at ~ 0.02 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014~ 71.89 % of the time hendralisk wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 0.03 %.~ 28.11 % of the time hendralisk loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 0.01 %.------------------------------------------------- - ViBE is at ~ 0 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014~ 28.11 % of the time ViBE wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 0 %.~ 71.89 % of the time ViBE loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 0 %.Starts in + Show Spoiler [Suppy, Guitarcheese in WCS AM S3 Chall…] + WCS AM S3 Challenger - Suppy is at ~ 0.04 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014~ 55.48 % of the time Suppy wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 0.07 %.~ 44.52 % of the time Suppy loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 0.01 %.------------------------------------------------- - Guitarcheese is at ~ 0.01 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014~ 44.52 % of the time Guitarcheese wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 0.01 %.~ 55.48 % of the time Guitarcheese loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 0 %.Starts in + Show Spoiler [Bails, neeb in WCS AM S3 Challenger] + WCS AM S3 Challenger - Bails is at ~ 0 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014~ 52.71 % of the time Bails wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 0 %.~ 47.29 % of the time Bails loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 0 %.------------------------------------------------- - neeb is at ~ 0.01 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014~ 47.29 % of the time neeb wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 0.02 %.~ 52.71 % of the time neeb loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 0.01 %.Starts in + Show Spoiler [Ryung, MacSed in WCS AM S3 Challenger] + WCS AM S3 Challenger - Ryung is at ~ 0.04 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014~ 54.59 % of the time Ryung wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 0.07 %.~ 45.41 % of the time Ryung loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 0.01 %.------------------------------------------------- - MacSed is at ~ 0.01 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014~ 45.41 % of the time MacSed wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 0.03 %.~ 54.59 % of the time MacSed loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 0.01 %.Starts in + Show Spoiler [Arium, Courage in WCS AM S3 Challenger] + WCS AM S3 Challenger - Arium is at ~ 0 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014~ 57.26 % of the time Arium wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 0 %.~ 42.74 % of the time Arium loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 0 %.------------------------------------------------- - Courage is at ~ 0 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014~ 42.74 % of the time Courage wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 0 %.~ 57.26 % of the time Courage loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 0 %.Starts in + Show Spoiler [MaSa, Slam in WCS AM S3 Challenger] + WCS AM S3 Challenger - MaSa is at ~ 0.15 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014~ 75.6 % of the time MaSa wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 0.19 %.~ 24.4 % of the time MaSa loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 0.01 %.------------------------------------------------- - Slam is at ~ 0.02 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014~ 24.4 % of the time Slam wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 0.07 %.~ 75.6 % of the time Slam loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 0.01 %.Starts in This match is important for Jaedong!+ Show Spoiler [KingKong, Jaedong in WCS AM S3 Challen…] + WCS AM S3 Challenger - KingKong is at ~ 0.47 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014~ 53.13 % of the time KingKong wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 0.88 %.~ 46.87 % of the time KingKong loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 0.01 %.------------------------------------------------- - Jaedong is at ~ 80.56 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014~ 46.87 % of the time Jaedong wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 89.27 %.~ 53.13 % of the time Jaedong loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 72.87 %.Starts in + Show Spoiler [Seed, Top in WCS AM S3 Challenger] + WCS AM S3 Challenger - Seed is at ~ 0.08 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014~ 60.26 % of the time Seed wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 0.14 %.~ 39.74 % of the time Seed loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 0.01 %.------------------------------------------------- - Top is at ~ 0.01 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014~ 39.74 % of the time Top wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 0.02 %.~ 60.26 % of the time Top loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 0.01 %.Starts in + Show Spoiler [qxc, iaguz in WCS AM S3 Challenger] + WCS AM S3 Challenger - qxc is at ~ 0.04 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014~ 50.17 % of the time qxc wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 0.09 %.~ 49.83 % of the time qxc loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 0.01 %.------------------------------------------------- -  iaguz is at ~ 0.01 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014~ 49.83 % of the time iaguz wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 0.03 %.~ 50.17 % of the time iaguz loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 0.01 %.Starts in + Show Spoiler [Illusion, Gemini in WCS AM S3 Challenger] + WCS AM S3 Challenger - Illusion is at ~ 0.01 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014~ 74.91 % of the time Illusion wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 0.02 %.~ 25.09 % of the time Illusion loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 0.01 %.------------------------------------------------- - Gemini is at ~ 0 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014~ 25.09 % of the time Gemini wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 0 %.~ 74.91 % of the time Gemini loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 0 %.Starts in + Show Spoiler [HerO, Ian in WCS AM S3 Challenger] + WCS AM S3 Challenger - HerO is at ~ 6.39 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014~ 66.81 % of the time HerO wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 8.96 %.~ 33.19 % of the time HerO loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 1.22 %.------------------------------------------------- - Ian is at ~ 0.01 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014~ 33.19 % of the time Ian wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 0.03 %.~ 66.81 % of the time Ian loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 0.01 %.Starts in + Show Spoiler [Jim, Believe in WCS AM S3 Challenger] + WCS AM S3 Challenger - Jim is at ~ 0.61 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014~ 80.72 % of the time Jim wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 0.76 %.~ 19.28 % of the time Jim loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 0.01 %.------------------------------------------------- - Believe is at ~ 0 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014~ 19.28 % of the time Believe wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 0 %.~ 80.72 % of the time Believe loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 0 %.Starts in + Show Spoiler [puCK, Balloon in WCS AM S3 Challenger] + WCS AM S3 Challenger - puCK is at ~ 0.29 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014~ 51.86 % of the time puCK wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 0.56 %.~ 48.14 % of the time puCK loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 0.01 %.------------------------------------------------- -  Balloon is at ~ 0.01 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014~ 48.14 % of the time Balloon wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 0.01 %.~ 51.86 % of the time Balloon loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 0 %.Starts in Scarlett must win this!+ Show Spoiler [Scarlett, Sen in WCS AM S3 Challenger] + WCS AM S3 Challenger - Scarlett is at ~ 12.19 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014~ 71.14 % of the time Scarlett wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 16.45 %.~ 28.86 % of the time Scarlett loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 1.71 %.------------------------------------------------- - Sen is at ~ 0.31 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014~ 28.86 % of the time Sen wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 1.02 %.~ 71.14 % of the time Sen loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 0.02 %.WCS EU S3 Challenger starts in I'll post the previews for EU Challenger when we get closer to it, but you can see them now on the website. Remember to check the website for much more frequent updates! http://sc2.4ever.tv ----------------------- | ||
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Die4Ever
United States17676 Posts
Here's the current Top 25 by Blizzcon Chances.
WCS Point Cutoffs + Show Spoiler [WCS Point Cutoffs] + ~ 0 % of the time 2,075 points is enough to qualify for Blizzcon ~ 0.01 % of the time 2,100 points is enough to qualify for Blizzcon ~ 0.23 % of the time 2,300 points is enough to qualify for Blizzcon ~ 3.52 % of the time 2,500 points is enough to qualify for Blizzcon ~ 49.4 % of the time 2,750 points is enough to qualify for Blizzcon ~ 69.57 % of the time 2,850 points is enough to qualify for Blizzcon ~ 84.49 % of the time 2,950 points is enough to qualify for Blizzcon ~ 95.57 % of the time 3,075 points is enough to qualify for Blizzcon ~ 100 % of the time 3,650 points is enough to qualify for Blizzcon WCS AM Season 3 Premier previews. Starts in + Show Spoiler [HyuN, Arthur, neeb, Guitarcheese in WC…] + WCS AM S3 Premier - HyuN is at ~ 100 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014~ 78.97 % of the time HyuN wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 100 %.~ 21.03 % of the time HyuN loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 100 %.------------------------------------------------- - Arthur is at ~ 0.43 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014~ 51.59 % of the time Arthur wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 0.82 %.~ 48.41 % of the time Arthur loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 0.01 %.------------------------------------------------- - neeb is at ~ 0.03 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014~ 41.39 % of the time neeb wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 0.07 %.~ 58.61 % of the time neeb loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 0 %.------------------------------------------------- - Guitarcheese is at ~ 0.01 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014~ 28.04 % of the time Guitarcheese wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 0.01 %.~ 71.96 % of the time Guitarcheese loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 0 %.Starts in Alicia must win this!+ Show Spoiler [Alicia, Jim, iaguz, NesTea in WCS AM S…] + WCS AM S3 Premier - Alicia is at ~ 5.71 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014~ 61.02 % of the time Alicia wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 9.06 %.~ 38.98 % of the time Alicia loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 0.47 %.------------------------------------------------- - Jim is at ~ 0.72 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014~ 58.11 % of the time Jim wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 1.23 %.~ 41.89 % of the time Jim loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 0.01 %.------------------------------------------------- - iaguz is at ~ 0.04 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014~ 46.04 % of the time iaguz wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 0.08 %.~ 53.96 % of the time iaguz loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 0.01 %.------------------------------------------------- - NesTea is at ~ 0.04 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014~ 34.83 % of the time NesTea wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 0.11 %.~ 65.17 % of the time NesTea loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 0.01 %.Starts in Oz must win this!This match is important for Jaedong!+ Show Spoiler [Polt, Jaedong, Oz, MacSed in WCS AM S3…] + WCS AM S3 Premier - Polt is at ~ 100 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014~ 70.8 % of the time Polt wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 100 %.~ 29.2 % of the time Polt loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 100 %.------------------------------------------------- - Jaedong is at ~ 89.23 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014~ 59.85 % of the time Jaedong wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 95.61 %.~ 40.15 % of the time Jaedong loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 79.72 %.------------------------------------------------- - Oz is at ~ 1.79 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014~ 39.96 % of the time Oz wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 4.25 %.~ 60.04 % of the time Oz loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 0.16 %.------------------------------------------------- - MacSed is at ~ 0.03 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014~ 29.38 % of the time MacSed wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 0.09 %.~ 70.62 % of the time MacSed loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 0.01 %.Starts in This match is important for Pigbaby!+ Show Spoiler [Pigbaby, Check, Illusion, Shana in WCS…] + WCS AM S3 Premier - Pigbaby is at ~ 45.54 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014~ 70.02 % of the time Pigbaby wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 54.01 %.~ 29.98 % of the time Pigbaby loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 25.77 %.------------------------------------------------- - Check is at ~ 0.41 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014~ 61.82 % of the time Check wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 0.66 %.~ 38.18 % of the time Check loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 0.01 %.------------------------------------------------- - Illusion is at ~ 0.03 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014~ 46.59 % of the time Illusion wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 0.06 %.~ 53.41 % of the time Illusion loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 0 %.------------------------------------------------- - Shana is at ~ 0 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014~ 21.57 % of the time Shana wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 0 %.~ 78.43 % of the time Shana loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 0 %.Starts in viOLet must win this! Revival must win this! HuK must win this!+ Show Spoiler [viOLet, Revival, HuK, Arium in WCS AM…] + WCS AM S3 Premier - viOLet is at ~ 6.68 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014~ 70.1 % of the time viOLet wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 9.28 %.~ 29.9 % of the time viOLet loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 0.6 %.------------------------------------------------- - Revival is at ~ 1.63 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014~ 54.36 % of the time Revival wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 2.96 %.~ 45.64 % of the time Revival loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 0.05 %.------------------------------------------------- - HuK is at ~ 1.39 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014~ 51.93 % of the time HuK wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 2.65 %.~ 48.07 % of the time HuK loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 0.03 %.------------------------------------------------- - Arium is at ~ 0 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014~ 23.61 % of the time Arium wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 0 %.~ 76.39 % of the time Arium loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 0 %.Starts in Heart must win this!This match is important for Scarlett!+ Show Spoiler [Scarlett, Heart, Seed, TooDming in WCS…] + WCS AM S3 Premier - Scarlett is at ~ 16.21 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014~ 69.74 % of the time Scarlett wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 22.37 %.~ 30.26 % of the time Scarlett loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 2.01 %.------------------------------------------------- - Heart is at ~ 2.63 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014~ 49.08 % of the time Heart wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 5.27 %.~ 50.92 % of the time Heart loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 0.07 %.------------------------------------------------- - Seed is at ~ 0.15 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014~ 44.64 % of the time Seed wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 0.33 %.~ 55.36 % of the time Seed loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 0.01 %.------------------------------------------------- - TooDming is at ~ 0.73 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014~ 36.54 % of the time TooDming wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 1.97 %.~ 63.46 % of the time TooDming loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 0.01 %.Starts in HerO must win this!+ Show Spoiler [TaeJa, HerO, XiGua, hendralisk in WCS…] + WCS AM S3 Premier - TaeJa is at ~ 100 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014~ 77.38 % of the time TaeJa wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 100 %.~ 22.62 % of the time TaeJa loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 100 %.------------------------------------------------- - HerO is at ~ 9.4 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014~ 53.3 % of the time HerO wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 15.96 %.~ 46.7 % of the time HerO loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 1.9 %.------------------------------------------------- - XiGua is at ~ 0.1 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014~ 36.25 % of the time XiGua wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 0.26 %.~ 63.75 % of the time XiGua loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 0.01 %.------------------------------------------------- - hendralisk is at ~ 0.03 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014~ 33.08 % of the time hendralisk wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 0.09 %.~ 66.92 % of the time hendralisk loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 0.01 %.Starts in MajOr must win this!+ Show Spoiler [Bomber, MajOr, puCK, Slam in WCS AM S3…] + WCS AM S3 Premier - Bomber is at ~ 99.99 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014~ 73.3 % of the time Bomber wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 99.99 %.~ 26.7 % of the time Bomber loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 99.99 %.------------------------------------------------- - MajOr is at ~ 2.6 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014~ 61.52 % of the time MajOr wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 4.2 %.~ 38.48 % of the time MajOr loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 0.04 %.------------------------------------------------- - puCK is at ~ 0.5 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014~ 36.96 % of the time puCK wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 1.35 %.~ 63.04 % of the time puCK loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 0.01 %.------------------------------------------------- - Slam is at ~ 0.08 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014~ 28.23 % of the time Slam wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 0.29 %.~ 71.77 % of the time Slam loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 0.01 %.WCS AM Season 3 Premier winning chances + Show Spoiler [Winning Chances] + WCS AM S3 Premier TaeJa has a ~ 15.87 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 100 % to ~ 100 % HyuN has a ~ 14.77 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 100 % to ~ 100 % Polt has a ~ 10.17 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 100 % to ~ 100 % Scarlett has a ~ 9.86 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 16.21 % to ~ 99.39 % Bomber has a ~ 7.39 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 99.99 % to ~ 100 % Jaedong has a ~ 6.2 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 89.23 % to ~ 100 % viOLet has a ~ 3.98 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 6.68 % to ~ 99.99 % Alicia has a ~ 3.87 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 5.71 % to ~ 99.99 % Pigbaby has a ~ 3.45 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 45.54 % to ~ 100 % MajOr has a ~ 3.09 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 2.6 % to ~ 78.69 % HerO has a ~ 2.86 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 9.4 % to ~ 100 % Heart has a ~ 2.38 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 2.63 % to ~ 97.11 % Jim has a ~ 2.26 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 0.72 % to ~ 29.74 % Check has a ~ 1.86 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 0.41 % to ~ 20.62 % Revival has a ~ 1.47 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 1.63 % to ~ 96.97 % HuK has a ~ 1.4 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 1.39 % to ~ 91.44 % Seed has a ~ 1.4 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 0.15 % to ~ 10.17 % Oz has a ~ 1.22 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 1.79 % to ~ 99.96 % iaguz has a ~ 1.2 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 0.04 % to ~ 3.14 % Arthur has a ~ 0.93 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 0.43 % to ~ 43.88 % TooDming has a ~ 0.84 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 0.73 % to ~ 80.34 % hendralisk has a ~ 0.6 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 0.03 % to ~ 4.83 % puCK has a ~ 0.55 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 0.5 % to ~ 87.62 % XiGua has a ~ 0.5 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 0.1 % to ~ 18.19 % NesTea has a ~ 0.44 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 0.04 % to ~ 8.34 % MacSed has a ~ 0.4 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 0.03 % to ~ 6.4 % Illusion has a ~ 0.28 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 0.03 % to ~ 9.84 % neeb has a ~ 0.26 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 0.03 % to ~ 10.95 % Slam has a ~ 0.25 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 0.08 % to ~ 31.16 % Guitarcheese has a ~ 0.19 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 0.01 % to ~ 1.32 %WCS AM Season 3 Premier who would gain the most by winning + Show Spoiler [Winning Gains] + WCS AM S3 Premier Oz would gain ~ 98.16 % if they win, with a ~ 1.22 % chance to win, going from ~ 1.79 % to ~ 99.96 % Revival would gain ~ 95.33 % if they win, with a ~ 1.47 % chance to win, going from ~ 1.63 % to ~ 96.97 % Heart would gain ~ 94.48 % if they win, with a ~ 2.38 % chance to win, going from ~ 2.63 % to ~ 97.11 % Alicia would gain ~ 94.28 % if they win, with a ~ 3.87 % chance to win, going from ~ 5.71 % to ~ 99.99 % viOLet would gain ~ 93.31 % if they win, with a ~ 3.98 % chance to win, going from ~ 6.68 % to ~ 99.99 % HerO would gain ~ 90.6 % if they win, with a ~ 2.86 % chance to win, going from ~ 9.4 % to ~ 100 % HuK would gain ~ 90.05 % if they win, with a ~ 1.4 % chance to win, going from ~ 1.39 % to ~ 91.44 % puCK would gain ~ 87.12 % if they win, with a ~ 0.55 % chance to win, going from ~ 0.5 % to ~ 87.62 % Scarlett would gain ~ 83.18 % if they win, with a ~ 9.86 % chance to win, going from ~ 16.21 % to ~ 99.39 % TooDming would gain ~ 79.61 % if they win, with a ~ 0.84 % chance to win, going from ~ 0.73 % to ~ 80.34 % MajOr would gain ~ 76.09 % if they win, with a ~ 3.09 % chance to win, going from ~ 2.6 % to ~ 78.69 % Pigbaby would gain ~ 54.46 % if they win, with a ~ 3.45 % chance to win, going from ~ 45.54 % to ~ 100 % Arthur would gain ~ 43.46 % if they win, with a ~ 0.93 % chance to win, going from ~ 0.43 % to ~ 43.88 % Slam would gain ~ 31.08 % if they win, with a ~ 0.25 % chance to win, going from ~ 0.08 % to ~ 31.16 % Jim would gain ~ 29.02 % if they win, with a ~ 2.26 % chance to win, going from ~ 0.72 % to ~ 29.74 % Check would gain ~ 20.21 % if they win, with a ~ 1.86 % chance to win, going from ~ 0.41 % to ~ 20.62 % XiGua would gain ~ 18.1 % if they win, with a ~ 0.5 % chance to win, going from ~ 0.1 % to ~ 18.19 % neeb would gain ~ 10.92 % if they win, with a ~ 0.26 % chance to win, going from ~ 0.03 % to ~ 10.95 % Jaedong would gain ~ 10.77 % if they win, with a ~ 6.2 % chance to win, going from ~ 89.23 % to ~ 100 % Seed would gain ~ 10.02 % if they win, with a ~ 1.4 % chance to win, going from ~ 0.15 % to ~ 10.17 % Illusion would gain ~ 9.81 % if they win, with a ~ 0.28 % chance to win, going from ~ 0.03 % to ~ 9.84 % NesTea would gain ~ 8.3 % if they win, with a ~ 0.44 % chance to win, going from ~ 0.04 % to ~ 8.34 % MacSed would gain ~ 6.38 % if they win, with a ~ 0.4 % chance to win, going from ~ 0.03 % to ~ 6.4 % hendralisk would gain ~ 4.8 % if they win, with a ~ 0.6 % chance to win, going from ~ 0.03 % to ~ 4.83 % iaguz would gain ~ 3.1 % if they win, with a ~ 1.2 % chance to win, going from ~ 0.04 % to ~ 3.14 % Guitarcheese would gain ~ 1.32 % if they win, with a ~ 0.19 % chance to win, going from ~ 0.01 % to ~ 1.32 % Bomber would gain ~ 0.01 % if they win, with a ~ 7.39 % chance to win, going from ~ 99.99 % to ~ 100 % Polt would gain ~ 0 % if they win, with a ~ 10.17 % chance to win, going from ~ 100 % to ~ 100 % HyuN would gain ~ 0 % if they win, with a ~ 14.77 % chance to win, going from ~ 100 % to ~ 100 % TaeJa would gain ~ 0 % if they win, with a ~ 15.87 % chance to win, going from ~ 100 % to ~ 100 %And now let's do some analysis to see what the Group of Death is according to WCS Predictor. We will be looking at 5 different scores. Champion Chances Score is the chances to win the tournament for each player in the group added together. Blizzcon Chances Score is the chances to qualify for Blizzcon for each player in the group added together. Blizzcon Chances Lost Score is how much the Blizzcon Chances Score went down by because of the group drawing. Effects Score is the sum of the amount of Blizzcon chances each player would gain if they won the group, plus the amount of Blizzcon chances each player would lose if they lost the group. Aligulac Score is the overall Aligulac rating of every player in the group added together. + Show Spoiler [Champion Chances] + Group A HyuN has a ~ 14.77 % chance to win WCS AM S3 Premier Arthur has a ~ 0.93 % chance to win WCS AM S3 Premier Guitarcheese has a ~ 0.19 % chance to win WCS AM S3 Premier neeb has a ~ 0.26 % chance to win WCS AM S3 Premier Giving this match a Champion Chances Score of 16.1452 Group B NesTea has a ~ 0.44 % chance to win WCS AM S3 Premier Alicia has a ~ 3.87 % chance to win WCS AM S3 Premier Jim has a ~ 2.26 % chance to win WCS AM S3 Premier iaguz has a ~ 1.2 % chance to win WCS AM S3 Premier Giving this match a Champion Chances Score of 7.76324 Group C Polt has a ~ 10.17 % chance to win WCS AM S3 Premier Jaedong has a ~ 6.2 % chance to win WCS AM S3 Premier Oz has a ~ 1.22 % chance to win WCS AM S3 Premier MacSed has a ~ 0.4 % chance to win WCS AM S3 Premier Giving this match a Champion Chances Score of 17.9905 Group D Illusion has a ~ 0.28 % chance to win WCS AM S3 Premier Check has a ~ 1.86 % chance to win WCS AM S3 Premier Pigbaby has a ~ 3.45 % chance to win WCS AM S3 Premier Shana has a ~ 0 % chance to win WCS AM S3 Premier Giving this match a Champion Chances Score of 5.58316 Group E viOLet has a ~ 3.98 % chance to win WCS AM S3 Premier Revival has a ~ 1.47 % chance to win WCS AM S3 Premier HuK has a ~ 1.4 % chance to win WCS AM S3 Premier Arium has a ~ 0 % chance to win WCS AM S3 Premier Giving this match a Champion Chances Score of 6.85745 Group F Seed has a ~ 1.4 % chance to win WCS AM S3 Premier Scarlett has a ~ 9.86 % chance to win WCS AM S3 Premier Heart has a ~ 2.38 % chance to win WCS AM S3 Premier TooDming has a ~ 0.84 % chance to win WCS AM S3 Premier Giving this match a Champion Chances Score of 14.4796 Group G TaeJa has a ~ 15.87 % chance to win WCS AM S3 Premier HerO has a ~ 2.86 % chance to win WCS AM S3 Premier XiGua has a ~ 0.5 % chance to win WCS AM S3 Premier hendralisk has a ~ 0.6 % chance to win WCS AM S3 Premier Giving this match a Champion Chances Score of 19.8413 Group H Bomber has a ~ 7.39 % chance to win WCS AM S3 Premier MajOr has a ~ 3.09 % chance to win WCS AM S3 Premier puCK has a ~ 0.55 % chance to win WCS AM S3 Premier Slam has a ~ 0.25 % chance to win WCS AM S3 Premier Giving this match a Champion Chances Score of 11.284 Which means the groups go in this order for the Champion Chances Scores G > C > A > F + Show Spoiler [Blizzcon Chances] + Group A HyuN is at ~ 100 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014 Arthur is at ~ 0.43 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014 Guitarcheese is at ~ 0.01 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014 neeb is at ~ 0.03 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014 Giving this match a Blizzcon Chances Score of 100.457 Group B NesTea is at ~ 0.04 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014 Alicia is at ~ 5.71 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014 Jim is at ~ 0.72 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014 iaguz is at ~ 0.04 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014 Giving this match a Blizzcon Chances Score of 6.5072 Group C Polt is at ~ 100 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014 Jaedong is at ~ 89.23 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014 Oz is at ~ 1.79 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014 MacSed is at ~ 0.03 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014 Giving this match a Blizzcon Chances Score of 191.05 Group D Illusion is at ~ 0.03 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014 Check is at ~ 0.41 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014 Pigbaby is at ~ 45.54 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014 Shana is at ~ 0 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014 Giving this match a Blizzcon Chances Score of 45.9772 Group E viOLet is at ~ 6.68 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014 Revival is at ~ 1.63 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014 HuK is at ~ 1.39 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014 Arium is at ~ 0 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014 Giving this match a Blizzcon Chances Score of 9.70695 Group F Seed is at ~ 0.15 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014 Scarlett is at ~ 16.21 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014 Heart is at ~ 2.63 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014 TooDming is at ~ 0.73 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014 Giving this match a Blizzcon Chances Score of 19.7139 Group G TaeJa is at ~ 100 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014 HerO is at ~ 9.4 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014 XiGua is at ~ 0.1 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014 hendralisk is at ~ 0.03 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014 Giving this match a Blizzcon Chances Score of 109.521 Group H Bomber is at ~ 99.99 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014 MajOr is at ~ 2.6 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014 puCK is at ~ 0.5 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014 Slam is at ~ 0.08 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014 Giving this match a Blizzcon Chances Score of 103.187 Which means the groups go in this order for the Blizzcon Chances Scores C > G > H > A + Show Spoiler [Blizzcon Chances Lost] + Group A HyuN's Blizzcon chances changed by ~ 0 % Arthur's Blizzcon chances changed by ~ 0.01 % Guitarcheese's Blizzcon chances changed by ~ -0.01 % neeb's Blizzcon chances changed by ~ 0.01 % Giving this match a Blizzcon Chances Lost Score of -0.0135645 Group B NesTea's Blizzcon chances changed by ~ -0.01 % Alicia's Blizzcon chances changed by ~ 0.01 % Jim's Blizzcon chances changed by ~ 0.05 % iaguz's Blizzcon chances changed by ~ -0.01 % Giving this match a Blizzcon Chances Lost Score of -0.05522 Group C Polt's Blizzcon chances changed by ~ 0 % Jaedong's Blizzcon chances changed by ~ -0.48 % Oz's Blizzcon chances changed by ~ -0.47 % MacSed's Blizzcon chances changed by ~ -0.01 % Giving this match a Blizzcon Chances Lost Score of 0.952842 Group D Illusion's Blizzcon chances changed by ~ 0.01 % Check's Blizzcon chances changed by ~ 0.04 % Pigbaby's Blizzcon chances changed by ~ 3.25 % Shana's Blizzcon chances changed by ~ 0 % Giving this match a Blizzcon Chances Lost Score of -3.29698 Group E viOLet's Blizzcon chances changed by ~ 0.77 % Revival's Blizzcon chances changed by ~ 0.04 % HuK's Blizzcon chances changed by ~ 0.1 % Arium's Blizzcon chances changed by ~ 0 % Giving this match a Blizzcon Chances Lost Score of -0.911692 Group F Seed's Blizzcon chances changed by ~ -0.01 % Scarlett's Blizzcon chances changed by ~ 0.54 % Heart's Blizzcon chances changed by ~ -0.59 % TooDming's Blizzcon chances changed by ~ -0.24 % Giving this match a Blizzcon Chances Lost Score of 0.295862 Group G TaeJa's Blizzcon chances changed by ~ 0 % HerO's Blizzcon chances changed by ~ -0.17 % XiGua's Blizzcon chances changed by ~ -0.02 % hendralisk's Blizzcon chances changed by ~ -0.01 % Giving this match a Blizzcon Chances Lost Score of 0.199336 Group H Bomber's Blizzcon chances changed by ~ 0.01 % MajOr's Blizzcon chances changed by ~ -0.07 % puCK's Blizzcon chances changed by ~ -0.06 % Slam's Blizzcon chances changed by ~ -0.02 % Giving this match a Blizzcon Chances Lost Score of 0.150787 Which means the groups go in this order for the Blizzcon Chances Lost Scores C > F > G > H + Show Spoiler [Effects] + Group A When HyuN wins this match, their Blizzcon chances go up by ~ 0 % When HyuN loses this match, their Blizzcon chances go down by ~ 0 % When Arthur wins this match, their Blizzcon chances go up by ~ 0.4 % When Arthur loses this match, their Blizzcon chances go down by ~ 0.42 % When Guitarcheese wins this match, their Blizzcon chances go up by ~ 0.01 % When Guitarcheese loses this match, their Blizzcon chances go down by ~ 0.01 % When neeb wins this match, their Blizzcon chances go up by ~ 0.04 % When neeb loses this match, their Blizzcon chances go down by ~ 0.03 % Giving this match an Effects Score of 0.897795 Group B When NesTea wins this match, their Blizzcon chances go up by ~ 0.07 % When NesTea loses this match, their Blizzcon chances go down by ~ 0.04 % When Alicia wins this match, their Blizzcon chances go up by ~ 3.35 % When Alicia loses this match, their Blizzcon chances go down by ~ 5.24 % When Jim wins this match, their Blizzcon chances go up by ~ 0.51 % When Jim loses this match, their Blizzcon chances go down by ~ 0.71 % When iaguz wins this match, their Blizzcon chances go up by ~ 0.05 % When iaguz loses this match, their Blizzcon chances go down by ~ 0.04 % Giving this match an Effects Score of 10.0006 Group C When Polt wins this match, their Blizzcon chances go up by ~ 0 % When Polt loses this match, their Blizzcon chances go down by ~ 0 % When Jaedong wins this match, their Blizzcon chances go up by ~ 6.38 % When Jaedong loses this match, their Blizzcon chances go down by ~ 9.51 % When Oz wins this match, their Blizzcon chances go up by ~ 2.46 % When Oz loses this match, their Blizzcon chances go down by ~ 1.63 % When MacSed wins this match, their Blizzcon chances go up by ~ 0.06 % When MacSed loses this match, their Blizzcon chances go down by ~ 0.03 % Giving this match an Effects Score of 20.0758 Group D When Illusion wins this match, their Blizzcon chances go up by ~ 0.03 % When Illusion loses this match, their Blizzcon chances go down by ~ 0.03 % When Check wins this match, their Blizzcon chances go up by ~ 0.25 % When Check loses this match, their Blizzcon chances go down by ~ 0.4 % When Pigbaby wins this match, their Blizzcon chances go up by ~ 8.46 % When Pigbaby loses this match, their Blizzcon chances go down by ~ 19.77 % When Shana wins this match, their Blizzcon chances go up by ~ 0 % When Shana loses this match, their Blizzcon chances go down by ~ 0 % Giving this match an Effects Score of 28.9445 Group E When viOLet wins this match, their Blizzcon chances go up by ~ 2.6 % When viOLet loses this match, their Blizzcon chances go down by ~ 6.08 % When Revival wins this match, their Blizzcon chances go up by ~ 1.33 % When Revival loses this match, their Blizzcon chances go down by ~ 1.58 % When HuK wins this match, their Blizzcon chances go up by ~ 1.26 % When HuK loses this match, their Blizzcon chances go down by ~ 1.36 % When Arium wins this match, their Blizzcon chances go up by ~ 0 % When Arium loses this match, their Blizzcon chances go down by ~ 0 % Giving this match an Effects Score of 14.2191 Group F When Seed wins this match, their Blizzcon chances go up by ~ 0.18 % When Seed loses this match, their Blizzcon chances go down by ~ 0.15 % When Scarlett wins this match, their Blizzcon chances go up by ~ 6.16 % When Scarlett loses this match, their Blizzcon chances go down by ~ 14.2 % When Heart wins this match, their Blizzcon chances go up by ~ 2.65 % When Heart loses this match, their Blizzcon chances go down by ~ 2.55 % When TooDming wins this match, their Blizzcon chances go up by ~ 1.24 % When TooDming loses this match, their Blizzcon chances go down by ~ 0.71 % Giving this match an Effects Score of 27.8425 Group G When TaeJa wins this match, their Blizzcon chances go up by ~ 0 % When TaeJa loses this match, their Blizzcon chances go down by ~ 0 % When HerO wins this match, their Blizzcon chances go up by ~ 6.57 % When HerO loses this match, their Blizzcon chances go down by ~ 7.5 % When XiGua wins this match, their Blizzcon chances go up by ~ 0.17 % When XiGua loses this match, their Blizzcon chances go down by ~ 0.09 % When hendralisk wins this match, their Blizzcon chances go up by ~ 0.06 % When hendralisk loses this match, their Blizzcon chances go down by ~ 0.03 % Giving this match an Effects Score of 14.4165 Group H When Bomber wins this match, their Blizzcon chances go up by ~ 0.01 % When Bomber loses this match, their Blizzcon chances go down by ~ 0.01 % When MajOr wins this match, their Blizzcon chances go up by ~ 1.6 % When MajOr loses this match, their Blizzcon chances go down by ~ 2.56 % When puCK wins this match, their Blizzcon chances go up by ~ 0.85 % When puCK loses this match, their Blizzcon chances go down by ~ 0.5 % When Slam wins this match, their Blizzcon chances go up by ~ 0.21 % When Slam loses this match, their Blizzcon chances go down by ~ 0.08 % Giving this match an Effects Score of 5.80037 Which means the groups go in this order for Effects Scores D > F > C > G + Show Spoiler [Aligulac Ratings] + Group A HyuN has an overall Aligulac rating of 2102 Arthur has an overall Aligulac rating of 1517 Guitarcheese has an overall Aligulac rating of 1399 neeb has an overall Aligulac rating of 1372 Giving this match an Aligulac Score of 6390 Group B NesTea has an overall Aligulac rating of 1486 Alicia has an overall Aligulac rating of 1767 Jim has an overall Aligulac rating of 1669 iaguz has an overall Aligulac rating of 1594 Giving this match an Aligulac Score of 6516 Group C Polt has an overall Aligulac rating of 2016 Jaedong has an overall Aligulac rating of 1914 Oz has an overall Aligulac rating of 1609 MacSed has an overall Aligulac rating of 1471 Giving this match an Aligulac Score of 7010 Group D Illusion has an overall Aligulac rating of 1372 Check has an overall Aligulac rating of 1644 Pigbaby has an overall Aligulac rating of 1716 Shana has an overall Aligulac rating of 1151 Giving this match an Aligulac Score of 5883 Group E viOLet has an overall Aligulac rating of 1775 Revival has an overall Aligulac rating of 1625 HuK has an overall Aligulac rating of 1591 Arium has an overall Aligulac rating of 1210 Giving this match an Aligulac Score of 6201 Group F Seed has an overall Aligulac rating of 1622 Scarlett has an overall Aligulac rating of 2020 Heart has an overall Aligulac rating of 1711 TooDming has an overall Aligulac rating of 1592 Giving this match an Aligulac Score of 6945 Group G TaeJa has an overall Aligulac rating of 2132 HerO has an overall Aligulac rating of 1730 XiGua has an overall Aligulac rating of 1508 hendralisk has an overall Aligulac rating of 1534 Giving this match an Aligulac Score of 6904 Group H Bomber has an overall Aligulac rating of 1910 MajOr has an overall Aligulac rating of 1732 puCK has an overall Aligulac rating of 1482 Slam has an overall Aligulac rating of 1434 Giving this match an Aligulac Score of 6558 Which means the groups go in this order for Aligulac Scores C > F > G > H Group A has a 3rd and a 4th place Group B has no top 4 places Group C has three 1sts, one 2nd, and one 3rd place Group D has a 1st place Group E has no top 4 places Group F has three 2nds, and a 4th place Group G has a 1st, a 2nd, two 3rds, and a 4th place Group H has a 3rd and two 4th places Group C is our Group of Death! Congrats to Polt, Jaedong, Oz, and MacSed! Group G wins the 2nd place Group of Death with TaeJa, HerO, XiGua, and hendralisk. What do you think? Poll: Group of Death? C (41) A (2) F (2) D (1) B (0) E (0) G (0) H (0) 46 total votes Your vote: Group of Death? (Vote): A Remember to check the website for much more frequent updates! http://sc2.4ever.tv ----------------------- | ||
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Die4Ever
United States17676 Posts
Here's the current Top 25 by Blizzcon Chances.
WCS Point Cutoffs + Show Spoiler [WCS Point Cutoffs] + ~ 0 % of the time 2,075 points is enough to qualify for Blizzcon ~ 0.01 % of the time 2,100 points is enough to qualify for Blizzcon ~ 0.22 % of the time 2,300 points is enough to qualify for Blizzcon ~ 4.07 % of the time 2,525 points is enough to qualify for Blizzcon ~ 47.27 % of the time 2,750 points is enough to qualify for Blizzcon ~ 51.34 % of the time 2,775 points is enough to qualify for Blizzcon ~ 66.85 % of the time 2,850 points is enough to qualify for Blizzcon ~ 82.09 % of the time 2,950 points is enough to qualify for Blizzcon ~ 93.17 % of the time 3,050 points is enough to qualify for Blizzcon ~ 100 % of the time 3,725 points is enough to qualify for Blizzcon Here are the GSL Round of 32 previews. With sOs and Classic in the same group, we might finally see a #1 vs #2 headband match! Starts in + Show Spoiler [sOs, Classic, EffOrt, Shine in GSL S3…] + GSL S3 Code S sOs has the #1 headband! Classic has the #2 headband!This is a match for the #1 headband! - sOs is at ~ 89.8 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014~ 72.05 % of the time sOs wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 93.47 %.~ 27.95 % of the time sOs loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 80.32 %.------------------------------------------------- - Classic is at ~ 89.62 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014~ 62.44 % of the time Classic wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 95.21 %.~ 37.56 % of the time Classic loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 80.33 %.------------------------------------------------- - EffOrt is at ~ 0.02 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014~ 35.12 % of the time EffOrt wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 0.06 %.~ 64.88 % of the time EffOrt loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 0.01 %.------------------------------------------------- - Shine is at ~ 0.03 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014~ 30.39 % of the time Shine wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 0.09 %.~ 69.61 % of the time Shine loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 0.01 %.Starts in INnoVation must win this!+ Show Spoiler [INnoVation, ParalyzE, Cure, MyuNgSiK i…] + GSL S3 Code S - INnoVation is at ~ 14.01 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014~ 74.58 % of the time INnoVation wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 18.35 %.~ 25.42 % of the time INnoVation loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 1.29 %.------------------------------------------------- - ParalyzE is at ~ 0.51 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014~ 51.95 % of the time ParalyzE wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 0.97 %.~ 48.05 % of the time ParalyzE loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 0.01 %.------------------------------------------------- - Cure is at ~ 0.07 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014~ 45.02 % of the time Cure wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 0.15 %.~ 54.98 % of the time Cure loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 0.01 %.------------------------------------------------- - MyuNgSiK is at ~ 0.01 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014~ 28.45 % of the time MyuNgSiK wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 0.02 %.~ 71.55 % of the time MyuNgSiK loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 0.01 %.Starts in Maru must win this! Trap must win this!+ Show Spoiler [Maru, Trap, Reality, Hush in GSL S3 Co…] + GSL S3 Code S - Maru is at ~ 6.37 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014~ 62.15 % of the time Maru wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 9.78 %.~ 37.85 % of the time Maru loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 0.76 %.------------------------------------------------- - Trap is at ~ 5.97 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014~ 59.01 % of the time Trap wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 9.46 %.~ 40.99 % of the time Trap loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 0.95 %.------------------------------------------------- - Reality is at ~ 0.08 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014~ 42.95 % of the time Reality wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 0.18 %.~ 57.05 % of the time Reality loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 0.01 %.------------------------------------------------- - Hush is at ~ 0.01 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014~ 35.89 % of the time Hush wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 0.01 %.~ 64.11 % of the time Hush loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 0.01 %.Starts in Soulkey must win this!+ Show Spoiler [Soulkey, Bbyong, Stats, Terminator in…] + GSL S3 Code S - Soulkey is at ~ 3.1 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014~ 65.49 % of the time Soulkey wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 4.69 %.~ 34.51 % of the time Soulkey loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 0.07 %.------------------------------------------------- - Bbyong is at ~ 0.87 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014~ 59.98 % of the time Bbyong wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 1.44 %.~ 40.02 % of the time Bbyong loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 0.02 %.------------------------------------------------- - Stats is at ~ 0.13 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014~ 46.36 % of the time Stats wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 0.28 %.~ 53.64 % of the time Stats loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 0.01 %.------------------------------------------------- - Terminator is at ~ 0.01 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014~ 28.17 % of the time Terminator wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 0.01 %.~ 71.83 % of the time Terminator loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 0.01 %.Starts in Rain must win this!+ Show Spoiler [Zest, Rain, Hurricane, Rogue in GSL S3…] + GSL S3 Code S - Zest is at ~ 99.92 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014~ 66.26 % of the time Zest wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 99.99 %.~ 33.74 % of the time Zest loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 99.8 %.------------------------------------------------- - Rain is at ~ 10.38 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014~ 61.56 % of the time Rain wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 16.08 %.~ 38.44 % of the time Rain loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 1.26 %.------------------------------------------------- - Hurricane is at ~ 0.11 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014~ 39.8 % of the time Hurricane wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 0.27 %.~ 60.2 % of the time Hurricane loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 0.01 %.------------------------------------------------- - Rogue is at ~ 0.06 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014~ 32.38 % of the time Rogue wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 0.19 %.~ 67.62 % of the time Rogue loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 0.01 %.Starts in DongRaeGu must win this!This match is important for soO!+ Show Spoiler [DongRaeGu, soO, Trust, Stork in GSL S3…] + GSL S3 Code S - DongRaeGu is at ~ 1.25 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014~ 56.37 % of the time DongRaeGu wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 2.19 %.~ 43.63 % of the time DongRaeGu loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 0.03 %.------------------------------------------------- - soO is at ~ 54.9 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014~ 53.34 % of the time soO wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 67.37 %.~ 46.66 % of the time soO loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 40.65 %.------------------------------------------------- - Trust is at ~ 0.07 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014~ 47.83 % of the time Trust wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 0.15 %.~ 52.17 % of the time Trust loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 0.01 %.------------------------------------------------- - Stork is at ~ 0.23 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014~ 42.45 % of the time Stork wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 0.52 %.~ 57.55 % of the time Stork loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 0.01 %.Starts in PartinG must win this! Dear must win this! TRUE must win this!+ Show Spoiler [PartinG, Dear, TY, TRUE in GSL S3 Code S] + GSL S3 Code S - PartinG is at ~ 12.81 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014~ 61.74 % of the time PartinG wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 19.6 %.~ 38.26 % of the time PartinG loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 1.84 %.------------------------------------------------- - Dear is at ~ 7.72 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014~ 53.2 % of the time Dear wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 13.51 %.~ 46.8 % of the time Dear loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 1.13 %.------------------------------------------------- - TY is at ~ 0.13 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014~ 43.33 % of the time TY wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 0.3 %.~ 56.67 % of the time TY loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 0.01 %.------------------------------------------------- - TRUE is at ~ 2.96 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014~ 41.73 % of the time TRUE wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 6.4 %.~ 58.27 % of the time TRUE loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 0.49 %.Starts in Solar must win this!+ Show Spoiler [Solar, Flash, Dark, Avenge in GSL S3 C…] + GSL S3 Code S - Solar is at ~ 10.62 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014~ 63.58 % of the time Solar wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 16.07 %.~ 36.42 % of the time Solar loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 1.09 %.------------------------------------------------- - Flash is at ~ 0.23 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014~ 48.38 % of the time Flash wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 0.48 %.~ 51.62 % of the time Flash loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 0.01 %.------------------------------------------------- - Dark is at ~ 0.15 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014~ 45.41 % of the time Dark wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 0.32 %.~ 54.59 % of the time Dark loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 0.01 %.------------------------------------------------- - Avenge is at ~ 0.07 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014~ 42.63 % of the time Avenge wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 0.17 %.~ 57.37 % of the time Avenge loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 0.01 %.Winning Chances + Show Spoiler [Winning Chances] + GSL S3 Code S INnoVation has a ~ 10.82 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 14.01 % to ~ 99.84 % sOs has a ~ 10.32 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 89.8 % to ~ 100 % Zest has a ~ 7.99 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 99.92 % to ~ 100 % Solar has a ~ 7.74 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 10.62 % to ~ 99.95 % PartinG has a ~ 7.74 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 12.81 % to ~ 98.78 % Rain has a ~ 7.03 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 10.38 % to ~ 99.97 % Soulkey has a ~ 4.99 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 3.1 % to ~ 56.7 % Dear has a ~ 4.72 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 7.72 % to ~ 99.99 % Classic has a ~ 4.45 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 89.62 % to ~ 100 % Maru has a ~ 4.01 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 6.37 % to ~ 99.98 % DongRaeGu has a ~ 3.15 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 1.25 % to ~ 36.37 % Trap has a ~ 2.99 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 5.97 % to ~ 99.41 % soO has a ~ 2.56 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 54.9 % to ~ 100 % Flash has a ~ 2.35 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 0.23 % to ~ 9.25 % Bbyong has a ~ 2.33 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 0.87 % to ~ 34.15 % Hurricane has a ~ 1.74 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 0.11 % to ~ 5.94 % Avenge has a ~ 1.66 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 0.07 % to ~ 4.16 % Stats has a ~ 1.62 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 0.13 % to ~ 7.67 % TRUE has a ~ 1.58 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 2.96 % to ~ 99.68 % TY has a ~ 1.47 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 0.13 % to ~ 8.25 % Trust has a ~ 1.36 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 0.07 % to ~ 4.94 % Reality has a ~ 1.24 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 0.08 % to ~ 5.87 % Cure has a ~ 1.14 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 0.07 % to ~ 5.69 % ParalyzE has a ~ 1.12 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 0.51 % to ~ 41.84 % Dark has a ~ 1.04 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 0.15 % to ~ 13.38 % Stork has a ~ 0.98 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 0.23 % to ~ 21.28 % EffOrt has a ~ 0.56 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 0.02 % to ~ 3.45 % Rogue has a ~ 0.42 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 0.06 % to ~ 13.97 % Shine has a ~ 0.39 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 0.03 % to ~ 6.45 % Hush has a ~ 0.24 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 0.01 % to ~ 1.6 % MyuNgSiK has a ~ 0.14 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 0.01 % to ~ 3.48 % Terminator has a ~ 0.12 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 0.01 % to ~ 1.17 %Who would gain the most by winning. + Show Spoiler [Winning Gains] + GSL S3 Code S TRUE would gain ~ 96.72 % if they win, with a ~ 1.58 % chance to win, going from ~ 2.96 % to ~ 99.68 % Maru would gain ~ 93.61 % if they win, with a ~ 4.01 % chance to win, going from ~ 6.37 % to ~ 99.98 % Trap would gain ~ 93.44 % if they win, with a ~ 2.99 % chance to win, going from ~ 5.97 % to ~ 99.41 % Dear would gain ~ 92.27 % if they win, with a ~ 4.72 % chance to win, going from ~ 7.72 % to ~ 99.99 % Rain would gain ~ 89.6 % if they win, with a ~ 7.03 % chance to win, going from ~ 10.38 % to ~ 99.97 % Solar would gain ~ 89.33 % if they win, with a ~ 7.74 % chance to win, going from ~ 10.62 % to ~ 99.95 % PartinG would gain ~ 85.97 % if they win, with a ~ 7.74 % chance to win, going from ~ 12.81 % to ~ 98.78 % INnoVation would gain ~ 85.83 % if they win, with a ~ 10.82 % chance to win, going from ~ 14.01 % to ~ 99.84 % Soulkey would gain ~ 53.6 % if they win, with a ~ 4.99 % chance to win, going from ~ 3.1 % to ~ 56.7 % soO would gain ~ 45.1 % if they win, with a ~ 2.56 % chance to win, going from ~ 54.9 % to ~ 100 % ParalyzE would gain ~ 41.33 % if they win, with a ~ 1.12 % chance to win, going from ~ 0.51 % to ~ 41.84 % DongRaeGu would gain ~ 35.13 % if they win, with a ~ 3.15 % chance to win, going from ~ 1.25 % to ~ 36.37 % Bbyong would gain ~ 33.28 % if they win, with a ~ 2.33 % chance to win, going from ~ 0.87 % to ~ 34.15 % Stork would gain ~ 21.06 % if they win, with a ~ 0.98 % chance to win, going from ~ 0.23 % to ~ 21.28 % Rogue would gain ~ 13.91 % if they win, with a ~ 0.42 % chance to win, going from ~ 0.06 % to ~ 13.97 % Dark would gain ~ 13.23 % if they win, with a ~ 1.04 % chance to win, going from ~ 0.15 % to ~ 13.38 % Classic would gain ~ 10.38 % if they win, with a ~ 4.45 % chance to win, going from ~ 89.62 % to ~ 100 % sOs would gain ~ 10.2 % if they win, with a ~ 10.32 % chance to win, going from ~ 89.8 % to ~ 100 % Flash would gain ~ 9.02 % if they win, with a ~ 2.35 % chance to win, going from ~ 0.23 % to ~ 9.25 % TY would gain ~ 8.12 % if they win, with a ~ 1.47 % chance to win, going from ~ 0.13 % to ~ 8.25 % Stats would gain ~ 7.53 % if they win, with a ~ 1.62 % chance to win, going from ~ 0.13 % to ~ 7.67 % Shine would gain ~ 6.43 % if they win, with a ~ 0.39 % chance to win, going from ~ 0.03 % to ~ 6.45 % Hurricane would gain ~ 5.83 % if they win, with a ~ 1.74 % chance to win, going from ~ 0.11 % to ~ 5.94 % Reality would gain ~ 5.79 % if they win, with a ~ 1.24 % chance to win, going from ~ 0.08 % to ~ 5.87 % Cure would gain ~ 5.63 % if they win, with a ~ 1.14 % chance to win, going from ~ 0.07 % to ~ 5.69 % Trust would gain ~ 4.87 % if they win, with a ~ 1.36 % chance to win, going from ~ 0.07 % to ~ 4.94 % Avenge would gain ~ 4.09 % if they win, with a ~ 1.66 % chance to win, going from ~ 0.07 % to ~ 4.16 % MyuNgSiK would gain ~ 3.47 % if they win, with a ~ 0.14 % chance to win, going from ~ 0.01 % to ~ 3.48 % EffOrt would gain ~ 3.43 % if they win, with a ~ 0.56 % chance to win, going from ~ 0.02 % to ~ 3.45 % Hush would gain ~ 1.59 % if they win, with a ~ 0.24 % chance to win, going from ~ 0.01 % to ~ 1.6 % Terminator would gain ~ 1.17 % if they win, with a ~ 0.12 % chance to win, going from ~ 0.01 % to ~ 1.17 % Zest would gain ~ 0.08 % if they win, with a ~ 7.99 % chance to win, going from ~ 99.92 % to ~ 100 %And now let's do some analysis to see what the Group of Death is according to WCS Predictor. We will be looking at 5 different scores. Champion Chances Score is the chances to win the tournament for each player in the group added together. Blizzcon Chances Score is the chances to qualify for Blizzcon for each player in the group added together. Blizzcon Chances Lost Score is how much the Blizzcon Chances Score went down by because of the group drawing. Effects Score is the sum of the amount of Blizzcon chances each player would gain if they won the group, plus the amount of Blizzcon chances each player would lose if they lost the group. Aligulac Score is the overall Aligulac rating of every player in the group added together. + Show Spoiler [Champion Chances] + Group A sOs has a ~ 10.33 % chance to win GSL S3 Code S EffOrt has a ~ 0.56 % chance to win GSL S3 Code S Classic has a ~ 4.45 % chance to win GSL S3 Code S Shine has a ~ 0.39 % chance to win GSL S3 Code S Giving this match a Champion Chances Score of 15.7284 Group B INnoVation has a ~ 10.84 % chance to win GSL S3 Code S ParalyzE has a ~ 1.12 % chance to win GSL S3 Code S Cure has a ~ 1.14 % chance to win GSL S3 Code S MyuNgSiK has a ~ 0.14 % chance to win GSL S3 Code S Giving this match a Champion Chances Score of 13.2346 Group C Maru has a ~ 4.01 % chance to win GSL S3 Code S Trap has a ~ 2.99 % chance to win GSL S3 Code S Reality has a ~ 1.24 % chance to win GSL S3 Code S Hush has a ~ 0.24 % chance to win GSL S3 Code S Giving this match a Champion Chances Score of 8.48762 Group D Soulkey has a ~ 4.99 % chance to win GSL S3 Code S Bbyong has a ~ 2.32 % chance to win GSL S3 Code S Terminator has a ~ 0.12 % chance to win GSL S3 Code S Stats has a ~ 1.62 % chance to win GSL S3 Code S Giving this match a Champion Chances Score of 9.04097 Group E Rain has a ~ 7.04 % chance to win GSL S3 Code S Hurricane has a ~ 1.74 % chance to win GSL S3 Code S Zest has a ~ 7.97 % chance to win GSL S3 Code S Rogue has a ~ 0.41 % chance to win GSL S3 Code S Giving this match a Champion Chances Score of 17.1567 Group F DongRaeGu has a ~ 3.15 % chance to win GSL S3 Code S soO has a ~ 2.56 % chance to win GSL S3 Code S Stork has a ~ 0.98 % chance to win GSL S3 Code S Trust has a ~ 1.36 % chance to win GSL S3 Code S Giving this match a Champion Chances Score of 8.04137 Group G PartinG has a ~ 7.74 % chance to win GSL S3 Code S TY has a ~ 1.47 % chance to win GSL S3 Code S TRUE has a ~ 1.58 % chance to win GSL S3 Code S Dear has a ~ 4.73 % chance to win GSL S3 Code S Giving this match a Champion Chances Score of 15.5115 Group H Flash has a ~ 2.36 % chance to win GSL S3 Code S Dark has a ~ 1.04 % chance to win GSL S3 Code S Avenge has a ~ 1.66 % chance to win GSL S3 Code S Solar has a ~ 7.75 % chance to win GSL S3 Code S Giving this match a Champion Chances Score of 12.7989 Which means the groups go in this order for the Champion Chances Scores E > A > G > B + Show Spoiler [Blizzcon Chances] + Group A sOs is at ~ 89.79 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014 EffOrt is at ~ 0.02 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014 Classic is at ~ 89.63 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014 Shine is at ~ 0.03 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014 Giving this match a Blizzcon Chances Score of 179.466 Group B INnoVation is at ~ 14.03 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014 ParalyzE is at ~ 0.51 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014 Cure is at ~ 0.07 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014 MyuNgSiK is at ~ 0.01 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014 Giving this match a Blizzcon Chances Score of 14.6106 Group C Maru is at ~ 6.38 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014 Trap is at ~ 5.98 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014 Reality is at ~ 0.08 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014 Hush is at ~ 0.01 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014 Giving this match a Blizzcon Chances Score of 12.4336 Group D Soulkey is at ~ 3.09 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014 Bbyong is at ~ 0.87 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014 Terminator is at ~ 0.01 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014 Stats is at ~ 0.13 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014 Giving this match a Blizzcon Chances Score of 4.08969 Group E Rain is at ~ 10.38 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014 Hurricane is at ~ 0.11 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014 Zest is at ~ 99.92 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014 Rogue is at ~ 0.06 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014 Giving this match a Blizzcon Chances Score of 110.467 Group F DongRaeGu is at ~ 1.24 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014 soO is at ~ 54.89 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014 Stork is at ~ 0.23 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014 Trust is at ~ 0.07 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014 Giving this match a Blizzcon Chances Score of 56.4315 Group G PartinG is at ~ 12.81 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014 TY is at ~ 0.13 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014 TRUE is at ~ 2.96 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014 Dear is at ~ 7.73 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014 Giving this match a Blizzcon Chances Score of 23.6284 Group H Flash is at ~ 0.24 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014 Dark is at ~ 0.15 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014 Avenge is at ~ 0.07 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014 Solar is at ~ 10.63 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014 Giving this match a Blizzcon Chances Score of 11.0828 Which means the groups go in this order for the Blizzcon Chances Scores A > E > F > G + Show Spoiler [Blizzcon Chances Lost] + Group A sOs's Blizzcon chances changed by ~ 0.82 % EffOrt's Blizzcon chances changed by ~ -0.01 % Classic's Blizzcon chances changed by ~ 0.45 % Shine's Blizzcon chances changed by ~ -0.01 % Giving this match a Blizzcon Chances Lost Score of -1.26601 Group B INnoVation's Blizzcon chances changed by ~ 1.57 % ParalyzE's Blizzcon chances changed by ~ 0.03 % Cure's Blizzcon chances changed by ~ -0.01 % MyuNgSiK's Blizzcon chances changed by ~ -0.01 % Giving this match a Blizzcon Chances Lost Score of -1.59313 Group C Maru's Blizzcon chances changed by ~ 0.44 % Trap's Blizzcon chances changed by ~ 0.35 % Reality's Blizzcon chances changed by ~ -0.01 % Hush's Blizzcon chances changed by ~ -0.01 % Giving this match a Blizzcon Chances Lost Score of -0.779078 Group D Soulkey's Blizzcon chances changed by ~ 0.26 % Bbyong's Blizzcon chances changed by ~ 0.12 % Terminator's Blizzcon chances changed by ~ -0.01 % Stats's Blizzcon chances changed by ~ -0.01 % Giving this match a Blizzcon Chances Lost Score of -0.36173 Group E Rain's Blizzcon chances changed by ~ -0.28 % Hurricane's Blizzcon chances changed by ~ -0.03 % Zest's Blizzcon chances changed by ~ -0.01 % Rogue's Blizzcon chances changed by ~ -0.01 % Giving this match a Blizzcon Chances Lost Score of 0.316672 Group F DongRaeGu's Blizzcon chances changed by ~ 0.06 % soO's Blizzcon chances changed by ~ -0.09 % Stork's Blizzcon chances changed by ~ -0.02 % Trust's Blizzcon chances changed by ~ -0.01 % Giving this match a Blizzcon Chances Lost Score of 0.0582876 Group G PartinG's Blizzcon chances changed by ~ -0.54 % TY's Blizzcon chances changed by ~ -0.01 % TRUE's Blizzcon chances changed by ~ -0.48 % Dear's Blizzcon chances changed by ~ -0.89 % Giving this match a Blizzcon Chances Lost Score of 1.91867 Group H Flash's Blizzcon chances changed by ~ -0.02 % Dark's Blizzcon chances changed by ~ 0.01 % Avenge's Blizzcon chances changed by ~ -0.01 % Solar's Blizzcon chances changed by ~ -0.22 % Giving this match a Blizzcon Chances Lost Score of 0.251547 Which means the groups go in this order for the Blizzcon Chances Lost Scores G > E > H > F + Show Spoiler [Effects] + Group A When sOs wins this match, their Blizzcon chances go up by ~ 3.68 % When sOs loses this match, their Blizzcon chances go down by ~ 9.48 % When EffOrt wins this match, their Blizzcon chances go up by ~ 0.04 % When EffOrt loses this match, their Blizzcon chances go down by ~ 0.02 % When Classic wins this match, their Blizzcon chances go up by ~ 5.59 % When Classic loses this match, their Blizzcon chances go down by ~ 9.29 % When Shine wins this match, their Blizzcon chances go up by ~ 0.06 % When Shine loses this match, their Blizzcon chances go down by ~ 0.03 % Giving this match an Effects Score of 28.1888 Group B When INnoVation wins this match, their Blizzcon chances go up by ~ 4.35 % When INnoVation loses this match, their Blizzcon chances go down by ~ 12.75 % When ParalyzE wins this match, their Blizzcon chances go up by ~ 0.46 % When ParalyzE loses this match, their Blizzcon chances go down by ~ 0.5 % When Cure wins this match, their Blizzcon chances go up by ~ 0.08 % When Cure loses this match, their Blizzcon chances go down by ~ 0.07 % When MyuNgSiK wins this match, their Blizzcon chances go up by ~ 0.01 % When MyuNgSiK loses this match, their Blizzcon chances go down by ~ 0.01 % Giving this match an Effects Score of 18.2219 Group C When Maru wins this match, their Blizzcon chances go up by ~ 3.42 % When Maru loses this match, their Blizzcon chances go down by ~ 5.62 % When Trap wins this match, their Blizzcon chances go up by ~ 3.49 % When Trap loses this match, their Blizzcon chances go down by ~ 5.02 % When Reality wins this match, their Blizzcon chances go up by ~ 0.1 % When Reality loses this match, their Blizzcon chances go down by ~ 0.08 % When Hush wins this match, their Blizzcon chances go up by ~ 0.01 % When Hush loses this match, their Blizzcon chances go down by ~ 0.01 % Giving this match an Effects Score of 17.7308 Group D When Soulkey wins this match, their Blizzcon chances go up by ~ 1.59 % When Soulkey loses this match, their Blizzcon chances go down by ~ 3.02 % When Bbyong wins this match, their Blizzcon chances go up by ~ 0.57 % When Bbyong loses this match, their Blizzcon chances go down by ~ 0.85 % When Terminator wins this match, their Blizzcon chances go up by ~ 0.01 % When Terminator loses this match, their Blizzcon chances go down by ~ 0.01 % When Stats wins this match, their Blizzcon chances go up by ~ 0.15 % When Stats loses this match, their Blizzcon chances go down by ~ 0.13 % Giving this match an Effects Score of 6.3069 Group E When Rain wins this match, their Blizzcon chances go up by ~ 5.7 % When Rain loses this match, their Blizzcon chances go down by ~ 9.13 % When Hurricane wins this match, their Blizzcon chances go up by ~ 0.16 % When Hurricane loses this match, their Blizzcon chances go down by ~ 0.11 % When Zest wins this match, their Blizzcon chances go up by ~ 0.06 % When Zest loses this match, their Blizzcon chances go down by ~ 0.12 % When Rogue wins this match, their Blizzcon chances go up by ~ 0.12 % When Rogue loses this match, their Blizzcon chances go down by ~ 0.06 % Giving this match an Effects Score of 15.4746 Group F When DongRaeGu wins this match, their Blizzcon chances go up by ~ 0.94 % When DongRaeGu loses this match, their Blizzcon chances go down by ~ 1.22 % When soO wins this match, their Blizzcon chances go up by ~ 12.48 % When soO loses this match, their Blizzcon chances go down by ~ 14.25 % When Stork wins this match, their Blizzcon chances go up by ~ 0.3 % When Stork loses this match, their Blizzcon chances go down by ~ 0.22 % When Trust wins this match, their Blizzcon chances go up by ~ 0.08 % When Trust loses this match, their Blizzcon chances go down by ~ 0.07 % Giving this match an Effects Score of 29.5619 Group G When PartinG wins this match, their Blizzcon chances go up by ~ 6.79 % When PartinG loses this match, their Blizzcon chances go down by ~ 10.96 % When TY wins this match, their Blizzcon chances go up by ~ 0.17 % When TY loses this match, their Blizzcon chances go down by ~ 0.13 % When TRUE wins this match, their Blizzcon chances go up by ~ 3.45 % When TRUE loses this match, their Blizzcon chances go down by ~ 2.47 % When Dear wins this match, their Blizzcon chances go up by ~ 5.8 % When Dear loses this match, their Blizzcon chances go down by ~ 6.6 % Giving this match an Effects Score of 36.3615 Group H When Flash wins this match, their Blizzcon chances go up by ~ 0.25 % When Flash loses this match, their Blizzcon chances go down by ~ 0.23 % When Dark wins this match, their Blizzcon chances go up by ~ 0.17 % When Dark loses this match, their Blizzcon chances go down by ~ 0.14 % When Avenge wins this match, their Blizzcon chances go up by ~ 0.1 % When Avenge loses this match, their Blizzcon chances go down by ~ 0.07 % When Solar wins this match, their Blizzcon chances go up by ~ 5.46 % When Solar loses this match, their Blizzcon chances go down by ~ 9.53 % Giving this match an Effects Score of 15.961 Which means the groups go in this order for Effects Scores G > F > A > B + Show Spoiler [Aligulac Ratings] + Group A sOs has an overall Aligulac rating of 2067 EffOrt has an overall Aligulac rating of 1652 Classic has an overall Aligulac rating of 1895 Shine has an overall Aligulac rating of 1585 Giving this match an Aligulac Score of 7199 Group B INnoVation has an overall Aligulac rating of 2105 ParalyzE has an overall Aligulac rating of 1657 Cure has an overall Aligulac rating of 1762 MyuNgSiK has an overall Aligulac rating of 1432 Giving this match an Aligulac Score of 6956 Group C Maru has an overall Aligulac rating of 1930 Trap has an overall Aligulac rating of 1828 Reality has an overall Aligulac rating of 1748 Hush has an overall Aligulac rating of 1484 Giving this match an Aligulac Score of 6990 Group D Soulkey has an overall Aligulac rating of 1931 Bbyong has an overall Aligulac rating of 1787 Terminator has an overall Aligulac rating of 1445 Stats has an overall Aligulac rating of 1684 Giving this match an Aligulac Score of 6847 Group E Rain has an overall Aligulac rating of 2022 Hurricane has an overall Aligulac rating of 1787 Zest has an overall Aligulac rating of 1986 Rogue has an overall Aligulac rating of 1587 Giving this match an Aligulac Score of 7382 Group F DongRaeGu has an overall Aligulac rating of 1865 soO has an overall Aligulac rating of 1842 Stork has an overall Aligulac rating of 1657 Trust has an overall Aligulac rating of 1713 Giving this match an Aligulac Score of 7077 Group G PartinG has an overall Aligulac rating of 2019 TY has an overall Aligulac rating of 1786 TRUE has an overall Aligulac rating of 1788 Dear has an overall Aligulac rating of 1956 Giving this match an Aligulac Score of 7549 Group H Flash has an overall Aligulac rating of 1843 Dark has an overall Aligulac rating of 1729 Avenge has an overall Aligulac rating of 1750 Solar has an overall Aligulac rating of 2030 Giving this match an Aligulac Score of 7352 Which means the groups go in this order for Aligulac Scores G > E > H > A Group A has one 1st place, one 2nd place, one 3rd place, and one 4th place Group B has two 4th places Group C has no top 4 placings Group D has no top 4 placings Group E has one 1st place, and three 2nd places Group F has one 2nd place, one 3rd place, and one 4th place Group G has three 1st places, one 3rd place, and one 4th place Group H has two 3rd places Group G is our Group of Death! Congrats to Parting, TY, TRUE, and Dear! Group E wins the 2nd place Group of Death with Rain, Hurricane, Zest, and Rogue. What do you think? Poll: Hardest group? Group A (Classic, EffOrt, Shine, sOs) (29) Group B (Paralyze, Cure, MyuNgSiK, INnoVation) (3) Group C (Maru, Hush, Reality, Trap) (4) Group D (Soulkey, Terminator, Stats, Bbyong) (22) Group E (Zest, Hurricane, Rogue, Rain) (49) Group F (soO, Trust, DongRaeGu, Stork) (23) Group G (TRUE, TY, Dear, PartinG) (254) Group H (Solar, Avenge, Flash, Dark) (11) 395 total votes Your vote: Hardest group? (Vote): Group A (Classic, EffOrt, Shine, sOs) Remember to check the website for much more frequent updates! http://sc2.4ever.tv ----------------------- | ||
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Die4Ever
United States17676 Posts
Starts in This match is important for Classic!sOs, Classic, EffOrt, Shine in GSL S3 Code S sOs has the #1 headband! Classic has the #2 headband!This is a match for the #1 headband! - sOs is at ~ 94.18 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014~ 72.08 % of the time sOs wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 96.46 %.~ 27.92 % of the time sOs loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 88.29 %.------------------------------------------------- - Classic is at ~ 87.85 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014~ 62.43 % of the time Classic wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 94.22 %.~ 37.57 % of the time Classic loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 77.24 %.------------------------------------------------- - EffOrt is at ~ 0.02 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014~ 35.11 % of the time EffOrt wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 0.05 %.~ 64.89 % of the time EffOrt loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 0.01 %.------------------------------------------------- - Shine is at ~ 0.02 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014~ 30.38 % of the time Shine wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 0.07 %.~ 69.62 % of the time Shine loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 0.01 %.Reminder about what the headbands are + Show Spoiler + If you've ever seen Afro Samurai, I want to copy the headbands idea. http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Afro_samurai#Plot It's kind of an extension of the Unofficial World Champion thing. The number 1 headband currently belongs to sOs for winning Blizzcon, the number 2 headband belongs to Jaedong for getting 2nd. If the #2 beats the #1 then they switch headbands. If someone without a headband beats the #2 then they take it. The #1 can only lose their headband to someone with the #2. This will be tracked for any tournament that gives WCS points. So at the beginning of the year sOs had the #1 headband and Jaedong had the #2 headband. Jaedong's first WCS matches were at ASUS ROG Winter, where he defended the #2 headband against GunGFuBanDa, elfi, and Liquid Hero. But then Life beat Jaedong to take the #2 headband, and then San beat Life to take the #2 headband. From there San won the tournament and still has the #2 headband. So now we have sOs still with the #1 headband, and San with the #2 headband with 2 defenses (StarDust and Dear). The only way for sOs to lose his #1 headband is if the player with the #2 headband beats him in a WCS Tournament. So if San keeps defending and holds on to his #2 headband, and then he beats sOs at IEM Cologne, then San will take the #1 headband and sOs will get the #2 headband. | ||
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StarCraft 2 StarCraft: Brood War Dota 2 League of Legends Super Smash Bros Other Games Organizations StarCraft: Brood War Other Games StarCraft: Brood War StarCraft 2 StarCraft: Brood War |
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