EPTOn May 01 2014 08:13 Patton3D wrote:
Did not expect this to be so riveting so many months out. Enjoy this a lot!
Did not expect this to be so riveting so many months out. Enjoy this a lot!
thanks
WCS Predictor 2014 - Page 11
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Die4Ever
United States17676 Posts
thanks | ||
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Die4Ever
United States17676 Posts
With this update, here are the biggest winners. + Show Spoiler [Biggest Winners] +  Jaedong went up by ~ 15.81 %, going from ~ 38.58 % to ~ 54.39 % Bomber went up by ~ 12.83 %, going from ~ 17.6 % to ~ 30.44 % Polt went up by ~ 6.99 %, going from ~ 86.73 % to ~ 93.72 % Snute went up by ~ 3.7 %, going from ~ 21.63 % to ~ 25.33 % Stephano went up by ~ 0.99 %, going from ~ 0.53 % to ~ 1.52 % HuK went up by ~ 0.98 %, going from ~ 3.75 % to ~ 4.74 %Snute went up because his Aligulac rating went up from the ULTRA Invitational, which did not give WCS Points. Here are the biggest losers, most of these seem to just be because of Aligulac rating increases for WCS AM players like Jaedong, Polt, Bomber, and Violet. + Show Spoiler [Biggest Losers] + TaeJa went down by ~ 5.95 %, going from ~ 48.02 % to ~ 42.08 % HerO went down by ~ 2.44 %, going from ~ 28.53 % to ~ 26.09 % StarDust went down by ~ 2.33 %, going from ~ 62.87 % to ~ 60.54 % Patience went down by ~ 2.26 %, going from ~ 18.54 % to ~ 16.28 % MMA went down by ~ 1.83 %, going from ~ 44.06 % to ~ 42.23 % Oz went down by ~ 1.79 %, going from ~ 28.29 % to ~ 26.51 % soO went down by ~ 1.66 %, going from ~ 28.97 % to ~ 27.31 % Sen went down by ~ 1.62 %, going from ~ 8.58 % to ~ 6.96 % Has went down by ~ 1.37 %, going from ~ 3.05 % to ~ 1.68 % jjakji went down by ~ 1.35 %, going from ~ 90.36 % to ~ 89.01 % sOs went down by ~ 1.19 %, going from ~ 93.58 % to ~ 92.39 % herO went down by ~ 1.08 %, going from ~ 94.54 % to ~ 93.46 % ForGG went down by ~ 1.03 %, going from ~ 27.4 % to ~ 26.37 % VortiX went down by ~ 0.93 %, going from ~ 18.25 % to ~ 17.32 % Life went down by ~ 0.91 %, going from ~ 97.43 % to ~ 96.52 % MajOr went down by ~ 0.88 %, going from ~ 5.62 % to ~ 4.74 % INnoVation went down by ~ 0.83 %, going from ~ 21.51 % to ~ 20.68 % Rain went down by ~ 0.78 %, going from ~ 39.88 % to ~ 39.1 % Alicia went down by ~ 0.78 %, going from ~ 14.89 % to ~ 14.11 % Dear went down by ~ 0.69 %, going from ~ 7.95 % to ~ 7.26 % Welmu went down by ~ 0.68 %, going from ~ 10.66 % to ~ 9.97 % Check went down by ~ 0.58 %, going from ~ 12.99 % to ~ 12.41 % Mvp went down by ~ 0.51 %, going from ~ 12.88 % to ~ 12.37 %Here's the current Top 25 by chances. + Show Spoiler [Top 25] + #1 MC is at ~ 100 %, Min WCS Points: 3275#2 ROCCAT HyuN is at ~ 99.99 %, Min WCS Points: 2950#3 Yoe San is at ~ 99.99 %, Min WCS Points: 2575#4 KT Zest is at ~ 99.85 %, Min WCS Points: 2550#5 StarTale Life is at ~ 96.52 %, Min WCS Points: 2300#6 CM Storm Polt is at ~ 93.72 %, Min WCS Points: 2150#7 CJ Entus herO is at ~ 93.46 %, Min WCS Points: 2200#8 Jinair sOs is at ~ 92.39 %, Min WCS Points: 2150#9 mYinsanity jjakji is at ~ 89.01 %, Min WCS Points: 2050#10 mYinsanity StarDust is at ~ 60.54 %, Min WCS Points: 1650#11 EG Jaedong is at ~ 54.39 %, Min WCS Points: 1450#12 Acer MMA is at ~ 42.23 %, Min WCS Points: 1250#13 Liquid TaeJa is at ~ 42.08 %, Min WCS Points: 1325#14 SKT T1 Rain is at ~ 39.1 %, Min WCS Points: 1275#15 Bomber is at ~ 30.44 %, Min WCS Points: 1050#16 SKT T1 soO is at ~ 27.31 %, Min WCS Points: 1400#17 Planetkey Oz is at ~ 26.51 %, Min WCS Points: 1500#18 Millenium ForGG is at ~ 26.37 %, Min WCS Points: 750#19 Liquid HerO is at ~ 26.09 %, Min WCS Points: 1325#20 Liquid Snute is at ~ 25.33 %, Min WCS Points: 1100#21 SKT T1 PartinG is at ~ 22.78 %, Min WCS Points: 850#22 CM Storm Revival is at ~ 20.72 %, Min WCS Points: 1250#23 Acer INnoVation is at ~ 20.68 %, Min WCS Points: 825#24 mouz VortiX is at ~ 17.32 %, Min WCS Points: 650#25 Ai Patience is at ~ 16.28 %, Min WCS Points: 750Also, Protoss is still below 50%! ----------------------- http://sc2.4ever.tv | ||
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Die4Ever
United States17676 Posts
Here is the current top 25 by chances. + Show Spoiler [Top 25] + #1  MC is at ~ 99.99 %, Min WCS Points: 3025#2 ROCCAT HyuN is at ~ 99.99 %, Min WCS Points: 2950#3 KT Zest is at ~ 99.84 %, Min WCS Points: 2550#4 Yoe San is at ~ 99.83 %, Min WCS Points: 2500#5 StarTale Life is at ~ 98.91 %, Min WCS Points: 2400#6 CM Storm Polt is at ~ 95.24 %, Min WCS Points: 2150#7 CJ Entus herO is at ~ 93.77 %, Min WCS Points: 2200#8 Jinair sOs is at ~ 92.76 %, Min WCS Points: 2150#9 mYinsanity jjakji is at ~ 90.69 %, Min WCS Points: 2050#10 mYinsanity StarDust is at ~ 62.54 %, Min WCS Points: 1650#11 EG Jaedong is at ~ 57.21 %, Min WCS Points: 1550#12 SKT T1 Rain is at ~ 48.74 %, Min WCS Points: 1375#13 Liquid TaeJa is at ~ 41.95 %, Min WCS Points: 1325#14 Acer MMA is at ~ 38.08 %, Min WCS Points: 1150#15 Bomber is at ~ 31.67 %, Min WCS Points: 1050#16 Liquid  Snute is at ~ 27.9 %, Min WCS Points: 1100#17 SKT T1 soO is at ~ 27.24 %, Min WCS Points: 1400#18 Millenium ForGG is at ~ 26.53 %, Min WCS Points: 750#19 Liquid HerO is at ~ 23.2 %, Min WCS Points: 1175#20 SKT T1 PartinG is at ~ 22.23 %, Min WCS Points: 850#21 Acer INnoVation is at ~ 20.04 %, Min WCS Points: 825#22 mouz  VortiX is at ~ 17.86 %, Min WCS Points: 650#23 Ai Patience is at ~ 17.35 %, Min WCS Points: 750#24 SKT T1 Classic is at ~ 15.69 %, Min WCS Points: 800#25 Wayi Check is at ~ 14.23 %, Min WCS Points: 375San moved down below Zest due to him forfeiting his spot in TeSL 4. WCS EU Premier previews. + Show Spoiler [WCS EU Premier] + Starts in + Show Spoiler [Stephano, Nerchio, DeMusliM, Welmu in…] + WCS EU S2 Premier -  Stephano is at ~ 1.59 % chances for top 16 points of 2014~ 45.64 % of the time Stephano wins and their chances go up to ~ 2.91 %.~ 54.36 % of the time Stephano loses and their chances go down to ~ 0.48 %.------------------------------------------------- -  Nerchio is at ~ 5.92 % chances for top 16 points of 2014~ 62.36 % of the time Nerchio wins and their chances go up to ~ 8.28 %.~ 37.64 % of the time Nerchio loses and their chances go down to ~ 2.01 %.------------------------------------------------- -  DeMusliM is at ~ 0.11 % chances for top 16 points of 2014~ 31.93 % of the time DeMusliM wins and their chances go up to ~ 0.29 %.~ 68.07 % of the time DeMusliM loses and their chances go down to ~ 0.03 %.------------------------------------------------- -  Welmu is at ~ 9.59 % chances for top 16 points of 2014~ 60.08 % of the time Welmu wins and their chances go up to ~ 13.82 %.~ 39.92 % of the time Welmu loses and their chances go down to ~ 3.23 %.Starts in + Show Spoiler [MaNa, Snute, BlinG, Krr in WCS EU S2 P…] + WCS EU S2 Premier - MaNa is at ~ 1.87 % chances for top 16 points of 2014~ 46.02 % of the time MaNa wins and their chances go up to ~ 3.38 %.~ 53.98 % of the time MaNa loses and their chances go down to ~ 0.59 %.------------------------------------------------- - Snute is at ~ 27.9 % chances for top 16 points of 2014~ 77.54 % of the time Snute wins and their chances go up to ~ 32.99 %.~ 22.46 % of the time Snute loses and their chances go down to ~ 10.29 %.------------------------------------------------- - BlinG is at ~ 1.6 % chances for top 16 points of 2014~ 44.47 % of the time BlinG wins and their chances go up to ~ 2.95 %.~ 55.53 % of the time BlinG loses and their chances go down to ~ 0.53 %.------------------------------------------------- -  Krr is at ~ 0.25 % chances for top 16 points of 2014~ 31.97 % of the time Krr wins and their chances go up to ~ 0.63 %.~ 68.03 % of the time Krr loses and their chances go down to ~ 0.07 %.Starts in + Show Spoiler [jjakji, YoDa, Harstem, Bunny in WCS EU…] + WCS EU S2 Premier - jjakji is at ~ 90.69 % chances for top 16 points of 2014~ 73.8 % of the time jjakji wins and their chances go up to ~ 96.18 %.~ 26.2 % of the time jjakji loses and their chances go down to ~ 75.22 %.------------------------------------------------- - YoDa is at ~ 1.29 % chances for top 16 points of 2014~ 48.21 % of the time YoDa wins and their chances go up to ~ 2.32 %.~ 51.79 % of the time YoDa loses and their chances go down to ~ 0.34 %.------------------------------------------------- -  Harstem is at ~ 1.09 % chances for top 16 points of 2014~ 32.28 % of the time Harstem wins and their chances go up to ~ 2.59 %.~ 67.72 % of the time Harstem loses and their chances go down to ~ 0.37 %.------------------------------------------------- -  Bunny is at ~ 4.74 % chances for top 16 points of 2014~ 45.71 % of the time Bunny wins and their chances go up to ~ 8.21 %.~ 54.29 % of the time Bunny loses and their chances go down to ~ 1.81 %.Starts in + Show Spoiler [Mvp, San, ToD, uThermal in WCS EU S2 P…] + WCS EU S2 Premier - Mvp is at ~ 12.2 % chances for top 16 points of 2014~ 61.93 % of the time Mvp wins and their chances go up to ~ 16.72 %.~ 38.07 % of the time Mvp loses and their chances go down to ~ 4.83 %.------------------------------------------------- - San is at ~ 99.83 % chances for top 16 points of 2014~ 69.16 % of the time San wins and their chances go up to ~ 99.99 %.~ 30.84 % of the time San loses and their chances go down to ~ 99.48 %.------------------------------------------------- - ToD is at ~ 1.25 % chances for top 16 points of 2014~ 35.84 % of the time ToD wins and their chances go up to ~ 2.67 %.~ 64.16 % of the time ToD loses and their chances go down to ~ 0.46 %.------------------------------------------------- - uThermal is at ~ 0.67 % chances for top 16 points of 2014~ 33.07 % of the time uThermal wins and their chances go up to ~ 1.58 %.~ 66.93 % of the time uThermal loses and their chances go down to ~ 0.22 %.Starts in + Show Spoiler [First, BabyKnight, StarDust, FireCake…] + WCS EU S2 Premier - First is at ~ 5.28 % chances for top 16 points of 2014~ 65.42 % of the time First wins and their chances go up to ~ 7.38 %.~ 34.58 % of the time First loses and their chances go down to ~ 1.3 %.------------------------------------------------- - BabyKnight is at ~ 0.99 % chances for top 16 points of 2014~ 35.91 % of the time BabyKnight wins and their chances go up to ~ 2.13 %.~ 64.09 % of the time BabyKnight loses and their chances go down to ~ 0.36 %.------------------------------------------------- - StarDust is at ~ 62.54 % chances for top 16 points of 2014~ 74.23 % of the time StarDust wins and their chances go up to ~ 71.66 %.~ 25.77 % of the time StarDust loses and their chances go down to ~ 36.28 %.------------------------------------------------- - FireCake is at ~ 0.02 % chances for top 16 points of 2014~ 24.45 % of the time FireCake wins and their chances go up to ~ 0.07 %.~ 75.55 % of the time FireCake loses and their chances go down to ~ 0.01 %.Starts in + Show Spoiler [MC, Golden, Happy, TLO in WCS EU S2 Pr…] + WCS EU S2 Premier - MC is at ~ 99.99 % chances for top 16 points of 2014~ 70.01 % of the time MC wins and their chances go up to ~ 100 %.~ 29.99 % of the time MC loses and their chances go down to ~ 99.99 %.------------------------------------------------- - Golden is at ~ 1.74 % chances for top 16 points of 2014~ 39.94 % of the time Golden wins and their chances go up to ~ 3.47 %.~ 60.06 % of the time Golden loses and their chances go down to ~ 0.59 %.------------------------------------------------- -  Happy is at ~ 5.35 % chances for top 16 points of 2014~ 47.2 % of the time Happy wins and their chances go up to ~ 8.93 %.~ 52.8 % of the time Happy loses and their chances go down to ~ 2.15 %.------------------------------------------------- -  TLO is at ~ 2.61 % chances for top 16 points of 2014~ 42.86 % of the time TLO wins and their chances go up to ~ 4.86 %.~ 57.14 % of the time TLO loses and their chances go down to ~ 0.93 %.Starts in + Show Spoiler [MMA, ForGG, LiveZerg, Dayshi in WCS EU…] + WCS EU S2 Premier - MMA is at ~ 38.08 % chances for top 16 points of 2014~ 72.57 % of the time MMA wins and their chances go up to ~ 46.06 %.~ 27.43 % of the time MMA loses and their chances go down to ~ 16.94 %.------------------------------------------------- - ForGG is at ~ 26.53 % chances for top 16 points of 2014~ 75.62 % of the time ForGG wins and their chances go up to ~ 31.64 %.~ 24.38 % of the time ForGG loses and their chances go down to ~ 10.67 %.------------------------------------------------- - LiveZerg is at ~ 0.45 % chances for top 16 points of 2014~ 24.69 % of the time LiveZerg wins and their chances go up to ~ 1.3 %.~ 75.31 % of the time LiveZerg loses and their chances go down to ~ 0.17 %.------------------------------------------------- - Dayshi is at ~ 0.89 % chances for top 16 points of 2014~ 27.13 % of the time Dayshi wins and their chances go up to ~ 2.26 %.~ 72.87 % of the time Dayshi loses and their chances go down to ~ 0.38 %.Starts in + Show Spoiler [VortiX, Grubby, Tefel, Patience in WCS…] + WCS EU S2 Premier - VortiX is at ~ 17.86 % chances for top 16 points of 2014~ 64.87 % of the time VortiX wins and their chances go up to ~ 23.59 %.~ 35.13 % of the time VortiX loses and their chances go down to ~ 7.28 %.------------------------------------------------- - Grubby is at ~ 0.54 % chances for top 16 points of 2014~ 32.92 % of the time Grubby wins and their chances go up to ~ 1.26 %.~ 67.08 % of the time Grubby loses and their chances go down to ~ 0.19 %.------------------------------------------------- - Tefel is at ~ 0.76 % chances for top 16 points of 2014~ 37.65 % of the time Tefel wins and their chances go up to ~ 1.64 %.~ 62.35 % of the time Tefel loses and their chances go down to ~ 0.23 %.------------------------------------------------- - Patience is at ~ 17.35 % chances for top 16 points of 2014~ 64.56 % of the time Patience wins and their chances go up to ~ 23.11 %.~ 35.44 % of the time Patience loses and their chances go down to ~ 6.86 %.+ Show Spoiler [Winning Chances] + WCS EU S2 Premier San has a ~ 10.28 % chance to win. This would increase their chances from ~ 99.83 % to ~ 100 % jjakji has a ~ 9.84 % chance to win. This would increase their chances from ~ 90.69 % to ~ 100 % ForGG has a ~ 9.8 % chance to win. This would increase their chances from ~ 26.53 % to ~ 99.96 % MMA has a ~ 8.87 % chance to win. This would increase their chances from ~ 38.08 % to ~ 100 % StarDust has a ~ 7.63 % chance to win. This would increase their chances from ~ 62.54 % to ~ 100 % MC has a ~ 6.93 % chance to win. This would increase their chances from ~ 99.99 % to ~ 100 % VortiX has a ~ 6.49 % chance to win. This would increase their chances from ~ 17.86 % to ~ 99.71 % Snute has a ~ 5.99 % chance to win. This would increase their chances from ~ 27.9 % to ~ 99.99 % Patience has a ~ 5.98 % chance to win. This would increase their chances from ~ 17.35 % to ~ 99.93 % Mvp has a ~ 5.23 % chance to win. This would increase their chances from ~ 12.2 % to ~ 95.76 % First has a ~ 3.86 % chance to win. This would increase their chances from ~ 5.28 % to ~ 65.82 % Nerchio has a ~ 2.66 % chance to win. This would increase their chances from ~ 5.92 % to ~ 94.11 % Welmu has a ~ 2.47 % chance to win. This would increase their chances from ~ 9.59 % to ~ 99.99 % Happy has a ~ 2.12 % chance to win. This would increase their chances from ~ 5.35 % to ~ 96.4 % Bunny has a ~ 1.48 % chance to win. This would increase their chances from ~ 4.74 % to ~ 99.73 % MaNa has a ~ 1.17 % chance to win. This would increase their chances from ~ 1.87 % to ~ 73.13 % YoDa has a ~ 1.06 % chance to win. This would increase their chances from ~ 1.29 % to ~ 56.49 % Golden has a ~ 1.06 % chance to win. This would increase their chances from ~ 1.74 % to ~ 71.21 % Stephano has a ~ 1.02 % chance to win. This would increase their chances from ~ 1.59 % to ~ 70.44 % BlinG has a ~ 0.91 % chance to win. This would increase their chances from ~ 1.6 % to ~ 81.24 % TLO has a ~ 0.8 % chance to win. This would increase their chances from ~ 2.61 % to ~ 99.81 % Harstem has a ~ 0.75 % chance to win. This would increase their chances from ~ 1.09 % to ~ 61.99 % ToD has a ~ 0.68 % chance to win. This would increase their chances from ~ 1.25 % to ~ 78.91 % Tefel has a ~ 0.56 % chance to win. This would increase their chances from ~ 0.76 % to ~ 60.56 % uThermal has a ~ 0.5 % chance to win. This would increase their chances from ~ 0.67 % to ~ 58.88 % BabyKnight has a ~ 0.48 % chance to win. This would increase their chances from ~ 0.99 % to ~ 91.13 % Dayshi has a ~ 0.37 % chance to win. This would increase their chances from ~ 0.89 % to ~ 91.8 % Grubby has a ~ 0.31 % chance to win. This would increase their chances from ~ 0.54 % to ~ 78.45 % LiveZerg has a ~ 0.29 % chance to win. This would increase their chances from ~ 0.45 % to ~ 65.87 % Krr has a ~ 0.26 % chance to win. This would increase their chances from ~ 0.25 % to ~ 45.25 % DeMusliM has a ~ 0.13 % chance to win. This would increase their chances from ~ 0.11 % to ~ 42.02 % FireCake has a ~ 0.03 % chance to win. This would increase their chances from ~ 0.02 % to ~ 38.59 %WCS AM Premier previews. + Show Spoiler [WCS AM Premier] + Starts in + Show Spoiler [HerO, Revival, HuK, Pigbaby in WCS AM…] + WCS AM S2 Premier - HerO is at ~ 23.2 % chances for top 16 points of 2014~ 55.03 % of the time HerO wins and their chances go up to ~ 34.26 %.~ 44.97 % of the time HerO loses and their chances go down to ~ 9.68 %.------------------------------------------------- - Revival is at ~ 9.83 % chances for top 16 points of 2014~ 52.79 % of the time Revival wins and their chances go up to ~ 15.47 %.~ 47.21 % of the time Revival loses and their chances go down to ~ 3.53 %.------------------------------------------------- -  HuK is at ~ 4.31 % chances for top 16 points of 2014~ 46.24 % of the time HuK wins and their chances go up to ~ 7.43 %.~ 53.76 % of the time HuK loses and their chances go down to ~ 1.62 %.------------------------------------------------- - Pigbaby is at ~ 1.7 % chances for top 16 points of 2014~ 45.95 % of the time Pigbaby wins and their chances go up to ~ 3.19 %.~ 54.05 % of the time Pigbaby loses and their chances go down to ~ 0.43 %.Starts in + Show Spoiler [Bomber, NesTea, CranK, MaSa in WCS AM…] + WCS AM S2 Premier - Bomber is at ~ 31.67 % chances for top 16 points of 2014~ 72.75 % of the time Bomber wins and their chances go up to ~ 38.8 %.~ 27.25 % of the time Bomber loses and their chances go down to ~ 12.64 %.------------------------------------------------- - NesTea is at ~ 0.87 % chances for top 16 points of 2014~ 35.15 % of the time NesTea wins and their chances go up to ~ 1.93 %.~ 64.85 % of the time NesTea loses and their chances go down to ~ 0.29 %.------------------------------------------------- - CranK is at ~ 3.78 % chances for top 16 points of 2014~ 47.27 % of the time CranK wins and their chances go up to ~ 6.44 %.~ 52.73 % of the time CranK loses and their chances go down to ~ 1.4 %.------------------------------------------------- - MaSa is at ~ 1.62 % chances for top 16 points of 2014~ 44.83 % of the time MaSa wins and their chances go up to ~ 3.03 %.~ 55.17 % of the time MaSa loses and their chances go down to ~ 0.48 %.Starts in + Show Spoiler [viOLet, Oz, qxc, puCK in WCS AM S2 Pre…] + WCS AM S2 Premier - viOLet is at ~ 6.7 % chances for top 16 points of 2014~ 56.73 % of the time viOLet wins and their chances go up to ~ 10.07 %.~ 43.27 % of the time viOLet loses and their chances go down to ~ 2.28 %.------------------------------------------------- - Oz is at ~ 14.21 % chances for top 16 points of 2014~ 60.79 % of the time Oz wins and their chances go up to ~ 20.39 %.~ 39.21 % of the time Oz loses and their chances go down to ~ 4.63 %.------------------------------------------------- -  qxc is at ~ 0.49 % chances for top 16 points of 2014~ 32.9 % of the time qxc wins and their chances go up to ~ 1.16 %.~ 67.1 % of the time qxc loses and their chances go down to ~ 0.17 %.------------------------------------------------- - puCK is at ~ 3.52 % chances for top 16 points of 2014~ 49.59 % of the time puCK wins and their chances go up to ~ 5.84 %.~ 50.41 % of the time puCK loses and their chances go down to ~ 1.23 %.Starts in + Show Spoiler [TaeJa, Top, Check, neeb in WCS AM S2 P…] + WCS AM S2 Premier - TaeJa is at ~ 41.95 % chances for top 16 points of 2014~ 65.21 % of the time TaeJa wins and their chances go up to ~ 53.5 %.~ 34.79 % of the time TaeJa loses and their chances go down to ~ 20.32 %.------------------------------------------------- -  Top is at ~ 4.44 % chances for top 16 points of 2014~ 52.27 % of the time Top wins and their chances go up to ~ 7.32 %.~ 47.73 % of the time Top loses and their chances go down to ~ 1.29 %.------------------------------------------------- - Check is at ~ 14.23 % chances for top 16 points of 2014~ 53.41 % of the time Check wins and their chances go up to ~ 21.79 %.~ 46.59 % of the time Check loses and their chances go down to ~ 5.57 %.------------------------------------------------- - neeb is at ~ 0.38 % chances for top 16 points of 2014~ 29.1 % of the time neeb wins and their chances go up to ~ 0.96 %.~ 70.9 % of the time neeb loses and their chances go down to ~ 0.14 %.Starts in + Show Spoiler [HyuN, Heart, Jaedong, Jim in WCS AM S2…] + WCS AM S2 Premier - HyuN is at ~ 99.99 % chances for top 16 points of 2014~ 62.58 % of the time HyuN wins and their chances go up to ~ 100 %.~ 37.42 % of the time HyuN loses and their chances go down to ~ 99.99 %.------------------------------------------------- - Heart is at ~ 3.43 % chances for top 16 points of 2014~ 37.92 % of the time Heart wins and their chances go up to ~ 6.74 %.~ 62.08 % of the time Heart loses and their chances go down to ~ 1.42 %.------------------------------------------------- - Jaedong is at ~ 57.21 % chances for top 16 points of 2014~ 60.71 % of the time Jaedong wins and their chances go up to ~ 71.59 %.~ 39.29 % of the time Jaedong loses and their chances go down to ~ 35.01 %.------------------------------------------------- - Jim is at ~ 3.08 % chances for top 16 points of 2014~ 38.79 % of the time Jim wins and their chances go up to ~ 6.35 %.~ 61.21 % of the time Jim loses and their chances go down to ~ 1.01 %.Starts in + Show Spoiler [Alicia, TooDming, Illusion, hendralisk…] + WCS AM S2 Premier - Alicia is at ~ 14.03 % chances for top 16 points of 2014~ 60.95 % of the time Alicia wins and their chances go up to ~ 20.01 %.~ 39.05 % of the time Alicia loses and their chances go down to ~ 4.7 %.------------------------------------------------- - TooDming is at ~ 1.73 % chances for top 16 points of 2014~ 45.66 % of the time TooDming wins and their chances go up to ~ 3.11 %.~ 54.34 % of the time TooDming loses and their chances go down to ~ 0.58 %.------------------------------------------------- - Illusion is at ~ 0.83 % chances for top 16 points of 2014~ 43.69 % of the time Illusion wins and their chances go up to ~ 1.58 %.~ 56.31 % of the time Illusion loses and their chances go down to ~ 0.25 %.------------------------------------------------- - hendralisk is at ~ 1.41 % chances for top 16 points of 2014~ 49.71 % of the time hendralisk wins and their chances go up to ~ 2.49 %.~ 50.29 % of the time hendralisk loses and their chances go down to ~ 0.34 %.Starts in + Show Spoiler [Polt, MacSed, MajOr, Courage in WCS AM…] + WCS AM S2 Premier - Polt is at ~ 95.24 % chances for top 16 points of 2014~ 78.29 % of the time Polt wins and their chances go up to ~ 98.34 %.~ 21.71 % of the time Polt loses and their chances go down to ~ 84.05 %.------------------------------------------------- - MacSed is at ~ 1.85 % chances for top 16 points of 2014~ 46.15 % of the time MacSed wins and their chances go up to ~ 3.33 %.~ 53.85 % of the time MacSed loses and their chances go down to ~ 0.58 %.------------------------------------------------- -  MajOr is at ~ 4.64 % chances for top 16 points of 2014~ 56.25 % of the time MajOr wins and their chances go up to ~ 7.01 %.~ 43.75 % of the time MajOr loses and their chances go down to ~ 1.58 %.------------------------------------------------- - Courage is at ~ 0.01 % chances for top 16 points of 2014~ 19.3 % of the time Courage wins and their chances go up to ~ 0.04 %.~ 80.7 % of the time Courage loses and their chances go down to ~ 0.01 %.Starts in + Show Spoiler [Sen, Suppy, XiGua, Arthur in WCS AM S2…] + WCS AM S2 Premier -  Sen is at ~ 13.91 % chances for top 16 points of 2014~ 55.54 % of the time Sen wins and their chances go up to ~ 20.88 %.~ 44.46 % of the time Sen loses and their chances go down to ~ 5.2 %.------------------------------------------------- - Suppy is at ~ 0.79 % chances for top 16 points of 2014~ 39.89 % of the time Suppy wins and their chances go up to ~ 1.65 %.~ 60.11 % of the time Suppy loses and their chances go down to ~ 0.22 %.------------------------------------------------- - XiGua is at ~ 1.13 % chances for top 16 points of 2014~ 40.42 % of the time XiGua wins and their chances go up to ~ 2.24 %.~ 59.58 % of the time XiGua loses and their chances go down to ~ 0.37 %.------------------------------------------------- - Arthur is at ~ 8.61 % chances for top 16 points of 2014~ 64.15 % of the time Arthur wins and their chances go up to ~ 11.79 %.~ 35.85 % of the time Arthur loses and their chances go down to ~ 2.92 %.+ Show Spoiler [Winning Chances] + WCS AM S2 Premier Polt has a ~ 12.98 % chance to win. This would increase their chances from ~ 95.24 % to ~ 100 % HyuN has a ~ 11.01 % chance to win. This would increase their chances from ~ 99.99 % to ~ 100 % Jaedong has a ~ 9.5 % chance to win. This would increase their chances from ~ 57.21 % to ~ 100 % Bomber has a ~ 9.16 % chance to win. This would increase their chances from ~ 31.67 % to ~ 99.99 % TaeJa has a ~ 8.39 % chance to win. This would increase their chances from ~ 41.95 % to ~ 100 % HerO has a ~ 4.79 % chance to win. This would increase their chances from ~ 23.2 % to ~ 100 % viOLet has a ~ 3.59 % chance to win. This would increase their chances from ~ 6.7 % to ~ 86.64 % Alicia has a ~ 3.54 % chance to win. This would increase their chances from ~ 14.03 % to ~ 100 % Arthur has a ~ 3.5 % chance to win. This would increase their chances from ~ 8.61 % to ~ 99.45 % Check has a ~ 3.14 % chance to win. This would increase their chances from ~ 14.23 % to ~ 99.5 % Top has a ~ 2.86 % chance to win. This would increase their chances from ~ 4.44 % to ~ 74.61 % Revival has a ~ 2.8 % chance to win. This would increase their chances from ~ 9.83 % to ~ 99.99 % Oz has a ~ 2.69 % chance to win. This would increase their chances from ~ 14.21 % to ~ 100 % Sen has a ~ 2.24 % chance to win. This would increase their chances from ~ 13.91 % to ~ 99.96 % MajOr has a ~ 2.08 % chance to win. This would increase their chances from ~ 4.64 % to ~ 97.6 % Jim has a ~ 2.06 % chance to win. This would increase their chances from ~ 3.08 % to ~ 67.48 % HuK has a ~ 2.01 % chance to win. This would increase their chances from ~ 4.31 % to ~ 93.18 % CranK has a ~ 1.78 % chance to win. This would increase their chances from ~ 3.78 % to ~ 92.8 % Heart has a ~ 1.52 % chance to win. This would increase their chances from ~ 3.43 % to ~ 93.38 % puCK has a ~ 1.52 % chance to win. This would increase their chances from ~ 3.52 % to ~ 98.1 % Pigbaby has a ~ 1.45 % chance to win. This would increase their chances from ~ 1.7 % to ~ 56.1 % hendralisk has a ~ 1.27 % chance to win. This would increase their chances from ~ 1.41 % to ~ 54.28 % MaSa has a ~ 1.13 % chance to win. This would increase their chances from ~ 1.62 % to ~ 68.46 % MacSed has a ~ 1.1 % chance to win. This would increase their chances from ~ 1.85 % to ~ 81.36 % TooDming has a ~ 0.89 % chance to win. This would increase their chances from ~ 1.73 % to ~ 91.41 % Suppy has a ~ 0.68 % chance to win. This would increase their chances from ~ 0.79 % to ~ 57.24 % XiGua has a ~ 0.67 % chance to win. This would increase their chances from ~ 1.13 % to ~ 80.34 % Illusion has a ~ 0.57 % chance to win. This would increase their chances from ~ 0.83 % to ~ 71.58 % NesTea has a ~ 0.56 % chance to win. This would increase their chances from ~ 0.87 % to ~ 72.35 % qxc has a ~ 0.32 % chance to win. This would increase their chances from ~ 0.49 % to ~ 75.07 % neeb has a ~ 0.2 % chance to win. This would increase their chances from ~ 0.38 % to ~ 89.87 % Courage has a ~ 0.02 % chance to win. This would increase their chances from ~ 0.01 % to ~ 28.14 %Remaining Code S previews. + Show Spoiler [Code S] + Starts in + Show Spoiler [DongRaeGu, Maru, ParalyzE, MyuNgSiK in…] + GSL S2 Code S - DongRaeGu is at ~ 3.92 % chances for top 16 points of 2014~ 60.25 % of the time DongRaeGu wins and their chances go up to ~ 5.68 %.~ 39.75 % of the time DongRaeGu loses and their chances go down to ~ 1.24 %.------------------------------------------------- - Maru is at ~ 7.69 % chances for top 16 points of 2014~ 58.74 % of the time Maru wins and their chances go up to ~ 11.05 %.~ 41.26 % of the time Maru loses and their chances go down to ~ 2.9 %.------------------------------------------------- - ParalyzE is at ~ 0.96 % chances for top 16 points of 2014~ 43.07 % of the time ParalyzE wins and their chances go up to ~ 1.82 %.~ 56.93 % of the time ParalyzE loses and their chances go down to ~ 0.3 %.------------------------------------------------- - MyuNgSiK is at ~ 0.46 % chances for top 16 points of 2014~ 37.94 % of the time MyuNgSiK wins and their chances go up to ~ 0.99 %.~ 62.06 % of the time MyuNgSiK loses and their chances go down to ~ 0.14 %.Starts in + Show Spoiler [PartinG, SuperNova, ByuL, Solar in GSL…] + GSL S2 Code S - PartinG is at ~ 22.23 % chances for top 16 points of 2014~ 59.21 % of the time PartinG wins and their chances go up to ~ 30.76 %.~ 40.79 % of the time PartinG loses and their chances go down to ~ 9.86 %.------------------------------------------------- - SuperNova is at ~ 1.15 % chances for top 16 points of 2014~ 36.01 % of the time SuperNova wins and their chances go up to ~ 2.41 %.~ 63.99 % of the time SuperNova loses and their chances go down to ~ 0.44 %.------------------------------------------------- - ByuL is at ~ 2.95 % chances for top 16 points of 2014~ 45.2 % of the time ByuL wins and their chances go up to ~ 5.24 %.~ 54.8 % of the time ByuL loses and their chances go down to ~ 1.06 %.------------------------------------------------- - Solar is at ~ 11.17 % chances for top 16 points of 2014~ 59.58 % of the time Solar wins and their chances go up to ~ 15.79 %.~ 40.42 % of the time Solar loses and their chances go down to ~ 4.36 %.Starts in + Show Spoiler [YongHwa, Soulkey, sOs, Shine in GSL S2…] + GSL S2 Code S sOs has the #1 headband!- YongHwa is at ~ 3.2 % chances for top 16 points of 2014~ 47.8 % of the time YongHwa wins and their chances go up to ~ 5.54 %.~ 52.2 % of the time YongHwa loses and their chances go down to ~ 1.06 %.------------------------------------------------- - Soulkey is at ~ 6.55 % chances for top 16 points of 2014~ 53.61 % of the time Soulkey wins and their chances go up to ~ 10.14 %.~ 46.39 % of the time Soulkey loses and their chances go down to ~ 2.4 %.------------------------------------------------- - sOs is at ~ 92.76 % chances for top 16 points of 2014~ 70.55 % of the time sOs wins and their chances go up to ~ 96.99 %.~ 29.45 % of the time sOs loses and their chances go down to ~ 82.64 %.------------------------------------------------- - Shine is at ~ 0.31 % chances for top 16 points of 2014~ 28.04 % of the time Shine wins and their chances go up to ~ 0.84 %.~ 71.96 % of the time Shine loses and their chances go down to ~ 0.11 %.Starts in + Show Spoiler [Leenock, Squirtle, INnoVation, herO in…] + GSL S2 Code S - Leenock is at ~ 3.17 % chances for top 16 points of 2014~ 39.1 % of the time Leenock wins and their chances go up to ~ 5.99 %.~ 60.9 % of the time Leenock loses and their chances go down to ~ 1.36 %.------------------------------------------------- - Squirtle is at ~ 4.23 % chances for top 16 points of 2014~ 45.43 % of the time Squirtle wins and their chances go up to ~ 7.36 %.~ 54.57 % of the time Squirtle loses and their chances go down to ~ 1.63 %.------------------------------------------------- - INnoVation is at ~ 20.04 % chances for top 16 points of 2014~ 54.87 % of the time INnoVation wins and their chances go up to ~ 28.85 %.~ 45.13 % of the time INnoVation loses and their chances go down to ~ 9.33 %.------------------------------------------------- - herO is at ~ 93.77 % chances for top 16 points of 2014~ 60.6 % of the time herO wins and their chances go up to ~ 98.19 %.~ 39.4 % of the time herO loses and their chances go down to ~ 86.96 %.+ Show Spoiler [Winning Chances] + GSL S2 Code S Zest has a ~ 11.8 % chance to win. This would increase their chances from ~ 99.84 % to ~ 100 % Rain has a ~ 10.99 % chance to win. This would increase their chances from ~ 48.74 % to ~ 100 % sOs has a ~ 10.42 % chance to win. This would increase their chances from ~ 92.76 % to ~ 100 % herO has a ~ 9.41 % chance to win. This would increase their chances from ~ 93.77 % to ~ 100 % Life has a ~ 9.15 % chance to win. This would increase their chances from ~ 98.91 % to ~ 100 % PartinG has a ~ 6.88 % chance to win. This would increase their chances from ~ 22.23 % to ~ 99.99 % Classic has a ~ 6.19 % chance to win. This would increase their chances from ~ 15.69 % to ~ 99.78 % INnoVation has a ~ 6.06 % chance to win. This would increase their chances from ~ 20.04 % to ~ 99.99 % Solar has a ~ 4.99 % chance to win. This would increase their chances from ~ 11.17 % to ~ 94.15 % soO has a ~ 3.54 % chance to win. This would increase their chances from ~ 27.24 % to ~ 100 % Soulkey has a ~ 3.21 % chance to win. This would increase their chances from ~ 6.55 % to ~ 87.46 % Dark has a ~ 2.31 % chance to win. This would increase their chances from ~ 3.55 % to ~ 78.31 % Maru has a ~ 2.22 % chance to win. This would increase their chances from ~ 7.69 % to ~ 99.88 % DongRaeGu has a ~ 2.14 % chance to win. This would increase their chances from ~ 3.92 % to ~ 83.02 % Squirtle has a ~ 1.86 % chance to win. This would increase their chances from ~ 4.23 % to ~ 92.07 % YongHwa has a ~ 1.82 % chance to win. This would increase their chances from ~ 3.2 % to ~ 74.73 % Stork has a ~ 1.73 % chance to win. This would increase their chances from ~ 1.94 % to ~ 61.29 % ByuL has a ~ 1.56 % chance to win. This would increase their chances from ~ 2.95 % to ~ 79.92 % Leenock has a ~ 1.26 % chance to win. This would increase their chances from ~ 3.17 % to ~ 92.15 % TRUE has a ~ 0.63 % chance to win. This would increase their chances from ~ 0.79 % to ~ 70.79 % SuperNova has a ~ 0.62 % chance to win. This would increase their chances from ~ 1.15 % to ~ 70.82 % ParalyzE has a ~ 0.6 % chance to win. This would increase their chances from ~ 0.96 % to ~ 73.8 % MyuNgSiK has a ~ 0.35 % chance to win. This would increase their chances from ~ 0.46 % to ~ 63.7 % Shine has a ~ 0.25 % chance to win. This would increase their chances from ~ 0.31 % to ~ 55.8 %And I fixed a slight inconsistency in the rounding functions where the javascript was rounding up to 100% when the backend would never round up to 100% if it wasn't exactly 100% (out of the samples in the simulation). Remember, you can mouse over the %s on the website to see more accuracy. Also, Protoss is still below 50%! ----------------------- http://sc2.4ever.tv | ||
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magicallypuzzled
United States588 Posts
+ Show Spoiler [WCS AM Premier] + Starts in + Show Spoiler [HerO, Revival, HuK, Pigbaby in WCS AM…] + WCS AM S2 Premier - HerO is at ~ 23.2 % chances for top 16 points of 2014~ 55.03 % of the time HerO wins and their chances go up to ~ 34.26 %.~ 44.97 % of the time HerO loses and their chances go down to ~ 9.68 %.------------------------------------------------- - Revival is at ~ 9.83 % chances for top 16 points of 2014~ 52.79 % of the time Revival wins and their chances go up to ~ 15.47 %.~ 47.21 % of the time Revival loses and their chances go down to ~ 3.53 %.------------------------------------------------- - HuK is at ~ 4.31 % chances for top 16 points of 2014~ 46.24 % of the time HuK wins and their chances go up to ~ 7.43 %.~ 53.76 % of the time HuK loses and their chances go down to ~ 1.62 %.------------------------------------------------- - Pigbaby is at ~ 1.7 % chances for top 16 points of 2014~ 45.95 % of the time Pigbaby wins and their chances go up to ~ 3.19 %.~ 54.05 % of the time Pigbaby loses and their chances go down to ~ 0.43 %.Starts in + Show Spoiler [Bomber, NesTea, CranK, MaSa in WCS AM…] + WCS AM S2 Premier - Bomber is at ~ 31.67 % chances for top 16 points of 2014~ 72.75 % of the time Bomber wins and their chances go up to ~ 38.8 %.~ 27.25 % of the time Bomber loses and their chances go down to ~ 12.64 %.------------------------------------------------- - NesTea is at ~ 0.87 % chances for top 16 points of 2014~ 35.15 % of the time NesTea wins and their chances go up to ~ 1.93 %.~ 64.85 % of the time NesTea loses and their chances go down to ~ 0.29 %.------------------------------------------------- - CranK is at ~ 3.78 % chances for top 16 points of 2014~ 47.27 % of the time CranK wins and their chances go up to ~ 6.44 %.~ 52.73 % of the time CranK loses and their chances go down to ~ 1.4 %.------------------------------------------------- - MaSa is at ~ 1.62 % chances for top 16 points of 2014~ 44.83 % of the time MaSa wins and their chances go up to ~ 3.03 %.~ 55.17 % of the time MaSa loses and their chances go down to ~ 0.48 %.Starts in + Show Spoiler [viOLet, Oz, qxc, puCK in WCS AM S2 Pre…] + WCS AM S2 Premier - viOLet is at ~ 6.7 % chances for top 16 points of 2014~ 56.73 % of the time viOLet wins and their chances go up to ~ 10.07 %.~ 43.27 % of the time viOLet loses and their chances go down to ~ 2.28 %.------------------------------------------------- - Oz is at ~ 14.21 % chances for top 16 points of 2014~ 60.79 % of the time Oz wins and their chances go up to ~ 20.39 %.~ 39.21 % of the time Oz loses and their chances go down to ~ 4.63 %.------------------------------------------------- - qxc is at ~ 0.49 % chances for top 16 points of 2014~ 32.9 % of the time qxc wins and their chances go up to ~ 1.16 %.~ 67.1 % of the time qxc loses and their chances go down to ~ 0.17 %.------------------------------------------------- - puCK is at ~ 3.52 % chances for top 16 points of 2014~ 49.59 % of the time puCK wins and their chances go up to ~ 5.84 %.~ 50.41 % of the time puCK loses and their chances go down to ~ 1.23 %.Starts in + Show Spoiler [TaeJa, Top, Check, neeb in WCS AM S2 P…] + WCS AM S2 Premier - TaeJa is at ~ 41.95 % chances for top 16 points of 2014~ 65.21 % of the time TaeJa wins and their chances go up to ~ 53.5 %.~ 34.79 % of the time TaeJa loses and their chances go down to ~ 20.32 %.------------------------------------------------- - Top is at ~ 4.44 % chances for top 16 points of 2014~ 52.27 % of the time Top wins and their chances go up to ~ 7.32 %.~ 47.73 % of the time Top loses and their chances go down to ~ 1.29 %.------------------------------------------------- - Check is at ~ 14.23 % chances for top 16 points of 2014~ 53.41 % of the time Check wins and their chances go up to ~ 21.79 %.~ 46.59 % of the time Check loses and their chances go down to ~ 5.57 %.------------------------------------------------- - neeb is at ~ 0.38 % chances for top 16 points of 2014~ 29.1 % of the time neeb wins and their chances go up to ~ 0.96 %.~ 70.9 % of the time neeb loses and their chances go down to ~ 0.14 %.Starts in + Show Spoiler [HyuN, Heart, Jaedong, Jim in WCS AM S2…] + WCS AM S2 Premier - HyuN is at ~ 99.99 % chances for top 16 points of 2014~ 62.58 % of the time HyuN wins and their chances go up to ~ 100 %.~ 37.42 % of the time HyuN loses and their chances go down to ~ 99.99 %.------------------------------------------------- - Heart is at ~ 3.43 % chances for top 16 points of 2014~ 37.92 % of the time Heart wins and their chances go up to ~ 6.74 %.~ 62.08 % of the time Heart loses and their chances go down to ~ 1.42 %.------------------------------------------------- - Jaedong is at ~ 57.21 % chances for top 16 points of 2014~ 60.71 % of the time Jaedong wins and their chances go up to ~ 71.59 %.~ 39.29 % of the time Jaedong loses and their chances go down to ~ 35.01 %.------------------------------------------------- - Jim is at ~ 3.08 % chances for top 16 points of 2014~ 38.79 % of the time Jim wins and their chances go up to ~ 6.35 %.~ 61.21 % of the time Jim loses and their chances go down to ~ 1.01 %.Starts in + Show Spoiler [Alicia, TooDming, Illusion, hendralisk…] + WCS AM S2 Premier - Alicia is at ~ 14.03 % chances for top 16 points of 2014~ 60.95 % of the time Alicia wins and their chances go up to ~ 20.01 %.~ 39.05 % of the time Alicia loses and their chances go down to ~ 4.7 %.------------------------------------------------- - TooDming is at ~ 1.73 % chances for top 16 points of 2014~ 45.66 % of the time TooDming wins and their chances go up to ~ 3.11 %.~ 54.34 % of the time TooDming loses and their chances go down to ~ 0.58 %.------------------------------------------------- - Illusion is at ~ 0.83 % chances for top 16 points of 2014~ 43.69 % of the time Illusion wins and their chances go up to ~ 1.58 %.~ 56.31 % of the time Illusion loses and their chances go down to ~ 0.25 %.------------------------------------------------- - hendralisk is at ~ 1.41 % chances for top 16 points of 2014~ 49.71 % of the time hendralisk wins and their chances go up to ~ 2.49 %.~ 50.29 % of the time hendralisk loses and their chances go down to ~ 0.34 %.Starts in + Show Spoiler [Polt, MacSed, MajOr, Courage in WCS AM…] + WCS AM S2 Premier - Polt is at ~ 95.24 % chances for top 16 points of 2014~ 78.29 % of the time Polt wins and their chances go up to ~ 98.34 %.~ 21.71 % of the time Polt loses and their chances go down to ~ 84.05 %.------------------------------------------------- - MacSed is at ~ 1.85 % chances for top 16 points of 2014~ 46.15 % of the time MacSed wins and their chances go up to ~ 3.33 %.~ 53.85 % of the time MacSed loses and their chances go down to ~ 0.58 %.------------------------------------------------- - MajOr is at ~ 4.64 % chances for top 16 points of 2014~ 56.25 % of the time MajOr wins and their chances go up to ~ 7.01 %.~ 43.75 % of the time MajOr loses and their chances go down to ~ 1.58 %.------------------------------------------------- - Courage is at ~ 0.01 % chances for top 16 points of 2014~ 19.3 % of the time Courage wins and their chances go up to ~ 0.04 %.~ 80.7 % of the time Courage loses and their chances go down to ~ 0.01 %.Starts in + Show Spoiler [Sen, Suppy, XiGua, Arthur in WCS AM S2…] + WCS AM S2 Premier - Sen is at ~ 13.91 % chances for top 16 points of 2014~ 55.54 % of the time Sen wins and their chances go up to ~ 20.88 %.~ 44.46 % of the time Sen loses and their chances go down to ~ 5.2 %.------------------------------------------------- - Suppy is at ~ 0.79 % chances for top 16 points of 2014~ 39.89 % of the time Suppy wins and their chances go up to ~ 1.65 %.~ 60.11 % of the time Suppy loses and their chances go down to ~ 0.22 %.------------------------------------------------- - XiGua is at ~ 1.13 % chances for top 16 points of 2014~ 40.42 % of the time XiGua wins and their chances go up to ~ 2.24 %.~ 59.58 % of the time XiGua loses and their chances go down to ~ 0.37 %.------------------------------------------------- - Arthur is at ~ 8.61 % chances for top 16 points of 2014~ 64.15 % of the time Arthur wins and their chances go up to ~ 11.79 %.~ 35.85 % of the time Arthur loses and their chances go down to ~ 2.92 %.+ Show Spoiler [Winning Chances] + WCS AM S2 Premier Polt has a ~ 12.98 % chance to win. This would increase their chances from ~ 95.24 % to ~ 100 % HyuN has a ~ 11.01 % chance to win. This would increase their chances from ~ 99.99 % to ~ 100 % Jaedong has a ~ 9.5 % chance to win. This would increase their chances from ~ 57.21 % to ~ 100 % Bomber has a ~ 9.16 % chance to win. This would increase their chances from ~ 31.67 % to ~ 99.99 % TaeJa has a ~ 8.39 % chance to win. This would increase their chances from ~ 41.95 % to ~ 100 % HerO has a ~ 4.79 % chance to win. This would increase their chances from ~ 23.2 % to ~ 100 % viOLet has a ~ 3.59 % chance to win. This would increase their chances from ~ 6.7 % to ~ 86.64 % Alicia has a ~ 3.54 % chance to win. This would increase their chances from ~ 14.03 % to ~ 100 % Arthur has a ~ 3.5 % chance to win. This would increase their chances from ~ 8.61 % to ~ 99.45 % Check has a ~ 3.14 % chance to win. This would increase their chances from ~ 14.23 % to ~ 99.5 % Top has a ~ 2.86 % chance to win. This would increase their chances from ~ 4.44 % to ~ 74.61 % Revival has a ~ 2.8 % chance to win. This would increase their chances from ~ 9.83 % to ~ 99.99 % Oz has a ~ 2.69 % chance to win. This would increase their chances from ~ 14.21 % to ~ 100 % Sen has a ~ 2.24 % chance to win. This would increase their chances from ~ 13.91 % to ~ 99.96 % MajOr has a ~ 2.08 % chance to win. This would increase their chances from ~ 4.64 % to ~ 97.6 % Jim has a ~ 2.06 % chance to win. This would increase their chances from ~ 3.08 % to ~ 67.48 % HuK has a ~ 2.01 % chance to win. This would increase their chances from ~ 4.31 % to ~ 93.18 % CranK has a ~ 1.78 % chance to win. This would increase their chances from ~ 3.78 % to ~ 92.8 % Heart has a ~ 1.52 % chance to win. This would increase their chances from ~ 3.43 % to ~ 93.38 % puCK has a ~ 1.52 % chance to win. This would increase their chances from ~ 3.52 % to ~ 98.1 % Pigbaby has a ~ 1.45 % chance to win. This would increase their chances from ~ 1.7 % to ~ 56.1 % hendralisk has a ~ 1.27 % chance to win. This would increase their chances from ~ 1.41 % to ~ 54.28 % MaSa has a ~ 1.13 % chance to win. This would increase their chances from ~ 1.62 % to ~ 68.46 % MacSed has a ~ 1.1 % chance to win. This would increase their chances from ~ 1.85 % to ~ 81.36 % TooDming has a ~ 0.89 % chance to win. This would increase their chances from ~ 1.73 % to ~ 91.41 % Suppy has a ~ 0.68 % chance to win. This would increase their chances from ~ 0.79 % to ~ 57.24 % XiGua has a ~ 0.67 % chance to win. This would increase their chances from ~ 1.13 % to ~ 80.34 % Illusion has a ~ 0.57 % chance to win. This would increase their chances from ~ 0.83 % to ~ 71.58 % NesTea has a ~ 0.56 % chance to win. This would increase their chances from ~ 0.87 % to ~ 72.35 % qxc has a ~ 0.32 % chance to win. This would increase their chances from ~ 0.49 % to ~ 75.07 % neeb has a ~ 0.2 % chance to win. This would increase their chances from ~ 0.38 % to ~ 89.87 % Courage has a ~ 0.02 % chance to win. This would increase their chances from ~ 0.01 % to ~ 28.14 %i have wondered this for a while but how do you read this? | ||
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Die4Ever
United States17676 Posts
On May 13 2014 13:52 magicallypuzzled wrote: WCS AM Premier previews. + Show Spoiler [WCS AM Premier] + Starts in + Show Spoiler [HerO, Revival, HuK, Pigbaby in WCS AM…] + WCS AM S2 Premier - HerO is at ~ 23.2 % chances for top 16 points of 2014~ 55.03 % of the time HerO wins and their chances go up to ~ 34.26 %.~ 44.97 % of the time HerO loses and their chances go down to ~ 9.68 %.------------------------------------------------- - Revival is at ~ 9.83 % chances for top 16 points of 2014~ 52.79 % of the time Revival wins and their chances go up to ~ 15.47 %.~ 47.21 % of the time Revival loses and their chances go down to ~ 3.53 %.------------------------------------------------- - HuK is at ~ 4.31 % chances for top 16 points of 2014~ 46.24 % of the time HuK wins and their chances go up to ~ 7.43 %.~ 53.76 % of the time HuK loses and their chances go down to ~ 1.62 %.------------------------------------------------- - Pigbaby is at ~ 1.7 % chances for top 16 points of 2014~ 45.95 % of the time Pigbaby wins and their chances go up to ~ 3.19 %.~ 54.05 % of the time Pigbaby loses and their chances go down to ~ 0.43 %.Starts in + Show Spoiler [Bomber, NesTea, CranK, MaSa in WCS AM…] + WCS AM S2 Premier - Bomber is at ~ 31.67 % chances for top 16 points of 2014~ 72.75 % of the time Bomber wins and their chances go up to ~ 38.8 %.~ 27.25 % of the time Bomber loses and their chances go down to ~ 12.64 %.------------------------------------------------- - NesTea is at ~ 0.87 % chances for top 16 points of 2014~ 35.15 % of the time NesTea wins and their chances go up to ~ 1.93 %.~ 64.85 % of the time NesTea loses and their chances go down to ~ 0.29 %.------------------------------------------------- - CranK is at ~ 3.78 % chances for top 16 points of 2014~ 47.27 % of the time CranK wins and their chances go up to ~ 6.44 %.~ 52.73 % of the time CranK loses and their chances go down to ~ 1.4 %.------------------------------------------------- - MaSa is at ~ 1.62 % chances for top 16 points of 2014~ 44.83 % of the time MaSa wins and their chances go up to ~ 3.03 %.~ 55.17 % of the time MaSa loses and their chances go down to ~ 0.48 %.Starts in + Show Spoiler [viOLet, Oz, qxc, puCK in WCS AM S2 Pre…] + WCS AM S2 Premier - viOLet is at ~ 6.7 % chances for top 16 points of 2014~ 56.73 % of the time viOLet wins and their chances go up to ~ 10.07 %.~ 43.27 % of the time viOLet loses and their chances go down to ~ 2.28 %.------------------------------------------------- - Oz is at ~ 14.21 % chances for top 16 points of 2014~ 60.79 % of the time Oz wins and their chances go up to ~ 20.39 %.~ 39.21 % of the time Oz loses and their chances go down to ~ 4.63 %.------------------------------------------------- - qxc is at ~ 0.49 % chances for top 16 points of 2014~ 32.9 % of the time qxc wins and their chances go up to ~ 1.16 %.~ 67.1 % of the time qxc loses and their chances go down to ~ 0.17 %.------------------------------------------------- - puCK is at ~ 3.52 % chances for top 16 points of 2014~ 49.59 % of the time puCK wins and their chances go up to ~ 5.84 %.~ 50.41 % of the time puCK loses and their chances go down to ~ 1.23 %.Starts in + Show Spoiler [TaeJa, Top, Check, neeb in WCS AM S2 P…] + WCS AM S2 Premier - TaeJa is at ~ 41.95 % chances for top 16 points of 2014~ 65.21 % of the time TaeJa wins and their chances go up to ~ 53.5 %.~ 34.79 % of the time TaeJa loses and their chances go down to ~ 20.32 %.------------------------------------------------- - Top is at ~ 4.44 % chances for top 16 points of 2014~ 52.27 % of the time Top wins and their chances go up to ~ 7.32 %.~ 47.73 % of the time Top loses and their chances go down to ~ 1.29 %.------------------------------------------------- - Check is at ~ 14.23 % chances for top 16 points of 2014~ 53.41 % of the time Check wins and their chances go up to ~ 21.79 %.~ 46.59 % of the time Check loses and their chances go down to ~ 5.57 %.------------------------------------------------- - neeb is at ~ 0.38 % chances for top 16 points of 2014~ 29.1 % of the time neeb wins and their chances go up to ~ 0.96 %.~ 70.9 % of the time neeb loses and their chances go down to ~ 0.14 %.Starts in + Show Spoiler [HyuN, Heart, Jaedong, Jim in WCS AM S2…] + WCS AM S2 Premier - HyuN is at ~ 99.99 % chances for top 16 points of 2014~ 62.58 % of the time HyuN wins and their chances go up to ~ 100 %.~ 37.42 % of the time HyuN loses and their chances go down to ~ 99.99 %.------------------------------------------------- - Heart is at ~ 3.43 % chances for top 16 points of 2014~ 37.92 % of the time Heart wins and their chances go up to ~ 6.74 %.~ 62.08 % of the time Heart loses and their chances go down to ~ 1.42 %.------------------------------------------------- - Jaedong is at ~ 57.21 % chances for top 16 points of 2014~ 60.71 % of the time Jaedong wins and their chances go up to ~ 71.59 %.~ 39.29 % of the time Jaedong loses and their chances go down to ~ 35.01 %.------------------------------------------------- - Jim is at ~ 3.08 % chances for top 16 points of 2014~ 38.79 % of the time Jim wins and their chances go up to ~ 6.35 %.~ 61.21 % of the time Jim loses and their chances go down to ~ 1.01 %.Starts in + Show Spoiler [Alicia, TooDming, Illusion, hendralisk…] + WCS AM S2 Premier - Alicia is at ~ 14.03 % chances for top 16 points of 2014~ 60.95 % of the time Alicia wins and their chances go up to ~ 20.01 %.~ 39.05 % of the time Alicia loses and their chances go down to ~ 4.7 %.------------------------------------------------- - TooDming is at ~ 1.73 % chances for top 16 points of 2014~ 45.66 % of the time TooDming wins and their chances go up to ~ 3.11 %.~ 54.34 % of the time TooDming loses and their chances go down to ~ 0.58 %.------------------------------------------------- - Illusion is at ~ 0.83 % chances for top 16 points of 2014~ 43.69 % of the time Illusion wins and their chances go up to ~ 1.58 %.~ 56.31 % of the time Illusion loses and their chances go down to ~ 0.25 %.------------------------------------------------- - hendralisk is at ~ 1.41 % chances for top 16 points of 2014~ 49.71 % of the time hendralisk wins and their chances go up to ~ 2.49 %.~ 50.29 % of the time hendralisk loses and their chances go down to ~ 0.34 %.Starts in + Show Spoiler [Polt, MacSed, MajOr, Courage in WCS AM…] + WCS AM S2 Premier - Polt is at ~ 95.24 % chances for top 16 points of 2014~ 78.29 % of the time Polt wins and their chances go up to ~ 98.34 %.~ 21.71 % of the time Polt loses and their chances go down to ~ 84.05 %.------------------------------------------------- - MacSed is at ~ 1.85 % chances for top 16 points of 2014~ 46.15 % of the time MacSed wins and their chances go up to ~ 3.33 %.~ 53.85 % of the time MacSed loses and their chances go down to ~ 0.58 %.------------------------------------------------- - MajOr is at ~ 4.64 % chances for top 16 points of 2014~ 56.25 % of the time MajOr wins and their chances go up to ~ 7.01 %.~ 43.75 % of the time MajOr loses and their chances go down to ~ 1.58 %.------------------------------------------------- - Courage is at ~ 0.01 % chances for top 16 points of 2014~ 19.3 % of the time Courage wins and their chances go up to ~ 0.04 %.~ 80.7 % of the time Courage loses and their chances go down to ~ 0.01 %.Starts in + Show Spoiler [Sen, Suppy, XiGua, Arthur in WCS AM S2…] + WCS AM S2 Premier - Sen is at ~ 13.91 % chances for top 16 points of 2014~ 55.54 % of the time Sen wins and their chances go up to ~ 20.88 %.~ 44.46 % of the time Sen loses and their chances go down to ~ 5.2 %.------------------------------------------------- - Suppy is at ~ 0.79 % chances for top 16 points of 2014~ 39.89 % of the time Suppy wins and their chances go up to ~ 1.65 %.~ 60.11 % of the time Suppy loses and their chances go down to ~ 0.22 %.------------------------------------------------- - XiGua is at ~ 1.13 % chances for top 16 points of 2014~ 40.42 % of the time XiGua wins and their chances go up to ~ 2.24 %.~ 59.58 % of the time XiGua loses and their chances go down to ~ 0.37 %.------------------------------------------------- - Arthur is at ~ 8.61 % chances for top 16 points of 2014~ 64.15 % of the time Arthur wins and their chances go up to ~ 11.79 %.~ 35.85 % of the time Arthur loses and their chances go down to ~ 2.92 %.+ Show Spoiler [Winning Chances] + WCS AM S2 Premier Polt has a ~ 12.98 % chance to win. This would increase their chances from ~ 95.24 % to ~ 100 % HyuN has a ~ 11.01 % chance to win. This would increase their chances from ~ 99.99 % to ~ 100 % Jaedong has a ~ 9.5 % chance to win. This would increase their chances from ~ 57.21 % to ~ 100 % Bomber has a ~ 9.16 % chance to win. This would increase their chances from ~ 31.67 % to ~ 99.99 % TaeJa has a ~ 8.39 % chance to win. This would increase their chances from ~ 41.95 % to ~ 100 % HerO has a ~ 4.79 % chance to win. This would increase their chances from ~ 23.2 % to ~ 100 % viOLet has a ~ 3.59 % chance to win. This would increase their chances from ~ 6.7 % to ~ 86.64 % Alicia has a ~ 3.54 % chance to win. This would increase their chances from ~ 14.03 % to ~ 100 % Arthur has a ~ 3.5 % chance to win. This would increase their chances from ~ 8.61 % to ~ 99.45 % Check has a ~ 3.14 % chance to win. This would increase their chances from ~ 14.23 % to ~ 99.5 % Top has a ~ 2.86 % chance to win. This would increase their chances from ~ 4.44 % to ~ 74.61 % Revival has a ~ 2.8 % chance to win. This would increase their chances from ~ 9.83 % to ~ 99.99 % Oz has a ~ 2.69 % chance to win. This would increase their chances from ~ 14.21 % to ~ 100 % Sen has a ~ 2.24 % chance to win. This would increase their chances from ~ 13.91 % to ~ 99.96 % MajOr has a ~ 2.08 % chance to win. This would increase their chances from ~ 4.64 % to ~ 97.6 % Jim has a ~ 2.06 % chance to win. This would increase their chances from ~ 3.08 % to ~ 67.48 % HuK has a ~ 2.01 % chance to win. This would increase their chances from ~ 4.31 % to ~ 93.18 % CranK has a ~ 1.78 % chance to win. This would increase their chances from ~ 3.78 % to ~ 92.8 % Heart has a ~ 1.52 % chance to win. This would increase their chances from ~ 3.43 % to ~ 93.38 % puCK has a ~ 1.52 % chance to win. This would increase their chances from ~ 3.52 % to ~ 98.1 % Pigbaby has a ~ 1.45 % chance to win. This would increase their chances from ~ 1.7 % to ~ 56.1 % hendralisk has a ~ 1.27 % chance to win. This would increase their chances from ~ 1.41 % to ~ 54.28 % MaSa has a ~ 1.13 % chance to win. This would increase their chances from ~ 1.62 % to ~ 68.46 % MacSed has a ~ 1.1 % chance to win. This would increase their chances from ~ 1.85 % to ~ 81.36 % TooDming has a ~ 0.89 % chance to win. This would increase their chances from ~ 1.73 % to ~ 91.41 % Suppy has a ~ 0.68 % chance to win. This would increase their chances from ~ 0.79 % to ~ 57.24 % XiGua has a ~ 0.67 % chance to win. This would increase their chances from ~ 1.13 % to ~ 80.34 % Illusion has a ~ 0.57 % chance to win. This would increase their chances from ~ 0.83 % to ~ 71.58 % NesTea has a ~ 0.56 % chance to win. This would increase their chances from ~ 0.87 % to ~ 72.35 % qxc has a ~ 0.32 % chance to win. This would increase their chances from ~ 0.49 % to ~ 75.07 % neeb has a ~ 0.2 % chance to win. This would increase their chances from ~ 0.38 % to ~ 89.87 % Courage has a ~ 0.02 % chance to win. This would increase their chances from ~ 0.01 % to ~ 28.14 %i have wondered this for a while but how do you read this? Let's look at this one. Starts in + Show Spoiler [Stephano, Nerchio, DeMusliM, Welmu in…] + WCS EU S2 Premier - Stephano is at ~ 1.59 % chances for top 16 points of 2014~ 45.64 % of the time Stephano wins and their chances go up to ~ 2.91 %.~ 54.36 % of the time Stephano loses and their chances go down to ~ 0.48 %.------------------------------------------------- - Nerchio is at ~ 5.92 % chances for top 16 points of 2014~ 62.36 % of the time Nerchio wins and their chances go up to ~ 8.28 %.~ 37.64 % of the time Nerchio loses and their chances go down to ~ 2.01 %.------------------------------------------------- - DeMusliM is at ~ 0.11 % chances for top 16 points of 2014~ 31.93 % of the time DeMusliM wins and their chances go up to ~ 0.29 %.~ 68.07 % of the time DeMusliM loses and their chances go down to ~ 0.03 %.------------------------------------------------- - Welmu is at ~ 9.59 % chances for top 16 points of 2014~ 60.08 % of the time Welmu wins and their chances go up to ~ 13.82 %.~ 39.92 % of the time Welmu loses and their chances go down to ~ 3.23 %.It says that Stephano currently has ~ 1.59 % chance to qualify for Blizzcon. He has ~ 45.64 % chance to advance from this group. If he does advance from the group then his chances to qualify for Blizzcon change to ~ 2.91%. He has ~ 54.36 % chance to fail to advance from this group. When he does fail to advance from this group, his chances to qualify for Blizzcon change to ~ 0.48 %. | ||
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Die4Ever
United States17676 Posts
Here's the current top 25 by chances. + Show Spoiler [Top 25 Chances] + #1 MC is at ~ 99.99 %, Min WCS Points: 3025#2 ROCCAT HyuN is at ~ 99.99 %, Min WCS Points: 2950#3 Yoe San is at ~ 99.94 %, Min WCS Points: 2650#4 KT Zest is at ~ 99.5 %, Min WCS Points: 2550#5 StarTale Life is at ~ 97.76 %, Min WCS Points: 2400#6 CJ Entus herO is at ~ 97.01 %, Min WCS Points: 2300#7 CM Storm Polt is at ~ 92.41 %, Min WCS Points: 2150#8 Jinair sOs is at ~ 77.32 %, Min WCS Points: 2200#9 mYinsanity jjakji is at ~ 64.59 %, Min WCS Points: 2050#10 mYinsanity StarDust is at ~ 59.2 %, Min WCS Points: 1650#11 EG Jaedong is at ~ 51.99 %, Min WCS Points: 1550#12 SKT T1 Rain is at ~ 44.61 %, Min WCS Points: 1375#13 Liquid TaeJa is at ~ 41.34 %, Min WCS Points: 1325#14 Bomber is at ~ 37.6 %, Min WCS Points: 1200#15 Acer MMA is at ~ 37.59 %, Min WCS Points: 1150#16 SKT T1 PartinG is at ~ 37.49 %, Min WCS Points: 950#17 Liquid Snute is at ~ 36.99 %, Min WCS Points: 1250#18 Acer INnoVation is at ~ 34.87 %, Min WCS Points: 925#19 Millenium ForGG is at ~ 25.55 %, Min WCS Points: 750#20 SKT T1 soO is at ~ 22.22 %, Min WCS Points: 1400#21 Jinair Maru is at ~ 17.9 %, Min WCS Points: 850#22 mouz VortiX is at ~ 17.47 %, Min WCS Points: 650#23 Ai Patience is at ~ 17.28 %, Min WCS Points: 750#24 SKT T1 Soulkey is at ~ 16.76 %, Min WCS Points: 450#25 SKT T1 Classic is at ~ 15.76 %, Min WCS Points: 800First let's look at the biggest winners and losers from adding the KeSPA Cup (after the Code S Ro32 was completed but before the Ro16 groups were set). + Show Spoiler [Biggest Winners] + PartinG went up by ~ 5.9 %, going from ~ 31.93 % to ~ 37.83 % Maru went up by ~ 4.14 %, going from ~ 12.75 % to ~ 16.89 % INnoVation went up by ~ 3.92 %, going from ~ 29.47 % to ~ 33.39 % Soulkey went up by ~ 3.53 %, going from ~ 11.78 % to ~ 15.3 % Solar went up by ~ 1.81 %, going from ~ 13.7 % to ~ 15.51 % First went up by ~ 1.64 %, going from ~ 6.6 % to ~ 8.24 % Classic went up by ~ 1.54 %, going from ~ 15.92 % to ~ 17.46 % YoDa went up by ~ 1.26 %, going from ~ 3.75 % to ~ 5.01 % ForGG went up by ~ 1.22 %, going from ~ 24.28 % to ~ 25.5 % VortiX went up by ~ 1.19 %, going from ~ 16.24 % to ~ 17.43 % Pigbaby went up by ~ 1.16 %, going from ~ 3.63 % to ~ 4.79 % Patience went up by ~ 1.07 %, going from ~ 16.13 % to ~ 17.21 % Snute went up by ~ 1.04 %, going from ~ 35.85 % to ~ 36.89 % Nerchio went up by ~ 0.93 %, going from ~ 6.3 % to ~ 7.23 % Stork went up by ~ 0.9 %, going from ~ 3.02 % to ~ 3.91 % Dark went up by ~ 0.87 %, going from ~ 3.75 % to ~ 4.62 % Harstem went up by ~ 0.85 %, going from ~ 3.39 % to ~ 4.24 % Bbyong went up by ~ 0.8 %, going from ~ 1.85 % to ~ 2.65 % ToD went up by ~ 0.77 %, going from ~ 3.53 % to ~ 4.3 % Arthur went up by ~ 0.74 %, going from ~ 8.48 % to ~ 9.21 % MaNa went up by ~ 0.72 %, going from ~ 3.1 % to ~ 3.82 % NesTea went up by ~ 0.68 %, going from ~ 2.96 % to ~ 3.63 % Revival went up by ~ 0.68 %, going from ~ 14.42 % to ~ 15.1 % viOLet went up by ~ 0.67 %, going from ~ 6.43 % to ~ 7.1 % Top went up by ~ 0.59 %, going from ~ 4.39 % to ~ 4.98 %+ Show Spoiler [Biggest Losers] + sOs went down by ~ 7.91 %, going from ~ 84.96 % to ~ 77.05 % jjakji went down by ~ 6.89 %, going from ~ 71.27 % to ~ 64.39 % StarDust went down by ~ 4.54 %, going from ~ 63.58 % to ~ 59.04 % Jaedong went down by ~ 3.88 %, going from ~ 55.7 % to ~ 51.82 % Polt went down by ~ 3.13 %, going from ~ 95.46 % to ~ 92.33 % Bomber went down by ~ 2.88 %, going from ~ 40.39 % to ~ 37.51 % soO went down by ~ 1.99 %, going from ~ 27.71 % to ~ 25.72 % Rain went down by ~ 1.9 %, going from ~ 48.12 % to ~ 46.22 % Life went down by ~ 1.63 %, going from ~ 99.17 % to ~ 97.54 % herO went down by ~ 1.23 %, going from ~ 98.4 % to ~ 97.17 % HerO went down by ~ 1.05 %, going from ~ 8.1 % to ~ 7.04 % TaeJa went down by ~ 0.86 %, going from ~ 42.08 % to ~ 41.22 % MMA went down by ~ 0.85 %, going from ~ 38.38 % to ~ 37.53 % Sen went down by ~ 0.8 %, going from ~ 13.3 % to ~ 12.5 % Dear went down by ~ 0.72 %, going from ~ 6.65 % to ~ 5.93 % Happy went down by ~ 0.71 %, going from ~ 6.16 % to ~ 5.44 % Squirtle went down by ~ 0.64 %, going from ~ 1.6 % to ~ 0.96 %As is normal when adding a new big tournament, the players who have high Aligulac ratings relative to their chances get big boosts to their chances, while players with low Aligulac ratings relative to their chances take some losses. For the KeSPA Cup's seeds for top 2 in Proleague, I just have it pick 2 from the current top 10 at random, and it does a random selection for the open qualifiers. Here are the winning chances for the KeSPA Cup. + Show Spoiler [KeSPA Cup Winning Chances] + KeSPA Cup herO has a ~ 7.69 % chance to win. This would increase their chances from ~ 97.17 % to ~ 100 % PartinG has a ~ 6.18 % chance to win. This would increase their chances from ~ 37.83 % to ~ 98.8 % San has a ~ 5.23 % chance to win. This would increase their chances from ~ 99.94 % to ~ 100 % Zest has a ~ 5.03 % chance to win. This would increase their chances from ~ 99.59 % to ~ 100 % HyuN has a ~ 4.05 % chance to win. This would increase their chances from ~ 99.99 % to ~ 100 % INnoVation has a ~ 3.77 % chance to win. This would increase their chances from ~ 33.39 % to ~ 99.53 % Soulkey has a ~ 3.26 % chance to win. This would increase their chances from ~ 15.3 % to ~ 77.38 % Rain has a ~ 3.24 % chance to win. This would increase their chances from ~ 46.22 % to ~ 99.99 % Maru has a ~ 2.7 % chance to win. This would increase their chances from ~ 16.89 % to ~ 93.52 % Polt has a ~ 2.64 % chance to win. This would increase their chances from ~ 92.33 % to ~ 100 % MMA has a ~ 2.54 % chance to win. This would increase their chances from ~ 37.53 % to ~ 99.96 % Life has a ~ 2.46 % chance to win. This would increase their chances from ~ 97.54 % to ~ 100 % ForGG has a ~ 2.33 % chance to win. This would increase their chances from ~ 25.5 % to ~ 98.29 % Snute has a ~ 2.25 % chance to win. This would increase their chances from ~ 36.89 % to ~ 99.99 % Bomber has a ~ 2.03 % chance to win. This would increase their chances from ~ 37.51 % to ~ 99.97 % StarDust has a ~ 2.02 % chance to win. This would increase their chances from ~ 59.04 % to ~ 100 % Jaedong has a ~ 1.82 % chance to win. This would increase their chances from ~ 51.82 % to ~ 100 % Solar has a ~ 1.81 % chance to win. This would increase their chances from ~ 15.51 % to ~ 93.75 % TaeJa has a ~ 1.73 % chance to win. This would increase their chances from ~ 41.22 % to ~ 99.99 % MC has a ~ 1.7 % chance to win. This would increase their chances from ~ 99.99 % to ~ 100 % Classic has a ~ 1.62 % chance to win. This would increase their chances from ~ 17.46 % to ~ 97.51 % VortiX has a ~ 1.56 % chance to win. This would increase their chances from ~ 17.43 % to ~ 95.02 % Bbyong has a ~ 1.45 % chance to win. This would increase their chances from ~ 2.65 % to ~ 47.27 % Flash has a ~ 1.4 % chance to win. This would increase their chances from ~ 0.35 % to ~ 9.68 % ByuL has a ~ 1.34 % chance to win. This would increase their chances from ~ 1.21 % to ~ 21.33 % Patience has a ~ 1.27 % chance to win. This would increase their chances from ~ 17.21 % to ~ 96.61 % RorO has a ~ 1.23 % chance to win. This would increase their chances from ~ 0.5 % to ~ 15.06 % TY has a ~ 0.98 % chance to win. This would increase their chances from ~ 0.19 % to ~ 7.48 % First has a ~ 0.97 % chance to win. This would increase their chances from ~ 8.24 % to ~ 82.31 % sOs has a ~ 0.76 % chance to win. This would increase their chances from ~ 77.05 % to ~ 100 % soO has a ~ 0.74 % chance to win. This would increase their chances from ~ 25.72 % to ~ 99.99 % jjakji has a ~ 0.62 % chance to win. This would increase their chances from ~ 64.39 % to ~ 100 % Welmu has a ~ 0.51 % chance to win. This would increase their chances from ~ 13.15 % to ~ 99.49 % Nerchio has a ~ 0.5 % chance to win. This would increase their chances from ~ 7.23 % to ~ 90.97 % Dark has a ~ 0.49 % chance to win. This would increase their chances from ~ 4.62 % to ~ 81.33 % Revival has a ~ 0.47 % chance to win. This would increase their chances from ~ 15.1 % to ~ 99.65 % viOLet has a ~ 0.47 % chance to win. This would increase their chances from ~ 7.1 % to ~ 83.18 % YoDa has a ~ 0.46 % chance to win. This would increase their chances from ~ 5.01 % to ~ 81.6 % Stork has a ~ 0.45 % chance to win. This would increase their chances from ~ 3.91 % to ~ 77.84 % KingKong has a ~ 0.43 % chance to win. This would increase their chances from ~ 0.51 % to ~ 12.45 % Arthur has a ~ 0.41 % chance to win. This would increase their chances from ~ 9.21 % to ~ 92.72 % Alicia has a ~ 0.4 % chance to win. This would increase their chances from ~ 14.07 % to ~ 99.28 % Happy has a ~ 0.4 % chance to win. This would increase their chances from ~ 5.44 % to ~ 79.85 % Check has a ~ 0.38 % chance to win. This would increase their chances from ~ 12.96 % to ~ 97.19 % NaNiwa has a ~ 0.37 % chance to win. This would increase their chances from ~ 0.1 % to ~ 8.68 % Dear has a ~ 0.35 % chance to win. This would increase their chances from ~ 5.93 % to ~ 99.91 % Jim has a ~ 0.35 % chance to win. This would increase their chances from ~ 4.1 % to ~ 70.34 % Mvp has a ~ 0.34 % chance to win. This would increase their chances from ~ 3.13 % to ~ 42.41 % Top has a ~ 0.34 % chance to win. This would increase their chances from ~ 4.98 % to ~ 77.07 % Sage has a ~ 0.33 % chance to win. This would increase their chances from ~ 0.26 % to ~ 8.68 % Harstem has a ~ 0.31 % chance to win. This would increase their chances from ~ 4.24 % to ~ 81.23 %Here are the biggest winners and losers from the GSL Code S Round of 16 group drawings. + Show Spoiler [Biggest Winners] + INnoVation went up by ~ 1.48 %, going from ~ 33.39 % to ~ 34.87 % Soulkey went up by ~ 1.46 %, going from ~ 15.3 % to ~ 16.76 % Maru went up by ~ 1.01 %, going from ~ 16.89 % to ~ 17.9 % Stork went up by ~ 0.8 %, going from ~ 3.91 % to ~ 4.72 % Dark went up by ~ 0.72 %, going from ~ 4.62 % to ~ 5.34 %+ Show Spoiler [Biggest Losers] + Here are all the Code S Round of 16 previews as they are now. Starts in + Show Spoiler [PartinG, soO, Classic, herO in GSL S2…] + GSL S2 Code S - PartinG is at ~ 37.49 % chances for top 16 points of 2014~ 59.45 % of the time PartinG wins and their chances go up to ~ 51.52 %.~ 40.55 % of the time PartinG loses and their chances go down to ~ 16.93 %.------------------------------------------------- - soO is at ~ 22.22 % chances for top 16 points of 2014~ 35.33 % of the time soO wins and their chances go up to ~ 44.48 %.~ 64.67 % of the time soO loses and their chances go down to ~ 10.05 %.------------------------------------------------- - Classic is at ~ 15.76 % chances for top 16 points of 2014~ 43.04 % of the time Classic wins and their chances go up to ~ 29.66 %.~ 56.96 % of the time Classic loses and their chances go down to ~ 5.26 %.------------------------------------------------- - herO is at ~ 97.01 % chances for top 16 points of 2014~ 62.17 % of the time herO wins and their chances go up to ~ 99.9 %.~ 37.83 % of the time herO loses and their chances go down to ~ 92.25 %.Starts in + Show Spoiler [Life, Rain, ParalyzE, Solar in GSL S2…] + GSL S2 Code S Life has the #2 headband!This is a match for the #2 headband! - Life is at ~ 97.76 % chances for top 16 points of 2014~ 60.38 % of the time Life wins and their chances go up to ~ 99.94 %.~ 39.62 % of the time Life loses and their chances go down to ~ 94.42 %.------------------------------------------------- - Rain is at ~ 44.61 % chances for top 16 points of 2014~ 56.35 % of the time Rain wins and their chances go up to ~ 62.05 %.~ 43.65 % of the time Rain loses and their chances go down to ~ 22.09 %.------------------------------------------------- - ParalyzE is at ~ 2.15 % chances for top 16 points of 2014~ 31.44 % of the time ParalyzE wins and their chances go up to ~ 5.91 %.~ 68.56 % of the time ParalyzE loses and their chances go down to ~ 0.42 %.------------------------------------------------- - Solar is at ~ 14.97 % chances for top 16 points of 2014~ 51.82 % of the time Solar wins and their chances go up to ~ 24.95 %.~ 48.18 % of the time Solar loses and their chances go down to ~ 4.22 %.Starts in + Show Spoiler [Maru, Dark, Stork, TRUE in GSL S2 Code S] + GSL S2 Code S - Maru is at ~ 17.9 % chances for top 16 points of 2014~ 51.79 % of the time Maru wins and their chances go up to ~ 28.51 %.~ 48.21 % of the time Maru loses and their chances go down to ~ 6.51 %.------------------------------------------------- - Dark is at ~ 5.34 % chances for top 16 points of 2014~ 53.24 % of the time Dark wins and their chances go up to ~ 9.21 %.~ 46.76 % of the time Dark loses and their chances go down to ~ 0.92 %.------------------------------------------------- - Stork is at ~ 4.72 % chances for top 16 points of 2014~ 58.04 % of the time Stork wins and their chances go up to ~ 7.63 %.~ 41.96 % of the time Stork loses and their chances go down to ~ 0.7 %.------------------------------------------------- - TRUE is at ~ 1.19 % chances for top 16 points of 2014~ 36.93 % of the time TRUE wins and their chances go up to ~ 2.92 %.~ 63.07 % of the time TRUE loses and their chances go down to ~ 0.17 %.Starts in + Show Spoiler [Soulkey, INnoVation, Zest, Shine in GS…] + GSL S2 Code S - Soulkey is at ~ 16.76 % chances for top 16 points of 2014~ 57.09 % of the time Soulkey wins and their chances go up to ~ 25.83 %.~ 42.91 % of the time Soulkey loses and their chances go down to ~ 4.7 %.------------------------------------------------- - INnoVation is at ~ 34.87 % chances for top 16 points of 2014~ 63.84 % of the time INnoVation wins and their chances go up to ~ 47.61 %.~ 36.16 % of the time INnoVation loses and their chances go down to ~ 12.37 %.------------------------------------------------- - Zest is at ~ 99.5 % chances for top 16 points of 2014~ 48.37 % of the time Zest wins and their chances go up to ~ 99.99 %.~ 51.63 % of the time Zest loses and their chances go down to ~ 99.03 %.------------------------------------------------- - Shine is at ~ 1.44 % chances for top 16 points of 2014~ 30.7 % of the time Shine wins and their chances go up to ~ 4.26 %.~ 69.3 % of the time Shine loses and their chances go down to ~ 0.2 %.Here are the winning chances for Code S. + Show Spoiler [Winning Chances Code S] + GSL S2 Code S herO has a ~ 13.72 % chance to win. This would increase their chances from ~ 97.01 % to ~ 100 % INnoVation has a ~ 12.7 % chance to win. This would increase their chances from ~ 34.87 % to ~ 100 % PartinG has a ~ 11.03 % chance to win. This would increase their chances from ~ 37.49 % to ~ 100 % Zest has a ~ 9.32 % chance to win. This would increase their chances from ~ 99.5 % to ~ 100 % Rain has a ~ 9.32 % chance to win. This would increase their chances from ~ 44.61 % to ~ 100 % Life has a ~ 8.83 % chance to win. This would increase their chances from ~ 97.76 % to ~ 100 % Soulkey has a ~ 7.42 % chance to win. This would increase their chances from ~ 16.76 % to ~ 98.8 % Solar has a ~ 6.6 % chance to win. This would increase their chances from ~ 14.97 % to ~ 99.62 % Classic has a ~ 5.15 % chance to win. This would increase their chances from ~ 15.76 % to ~ 99.99 % Maru has a ~ 4.71 % chance to win. This would increase their chances from ~ 17.9 % to ~ 99.99 % soO has a ~ 2.88 % chance to win. This would increase their chances from ~ 22.22 % to ~ 100 % Dark has a ~ 2.77 % chance to win. This would increase their chances from ~ 5.34 % to ~ 96.78 % Stork has a ~ 2.75 % chance to win. This would increase their chances from ~ 4.72 % to ~ 92.07 % ParalyzE has a ~ 1.15 % chance to win. This would increase their chances from ~ 2.15 % to ~ 95.97 % Shine has a ~ 0.97 % chance to win. This would increase their chances from ~ 1.44 % to ~ 88.85 % TRUE has a ~ 0.7 % chance to win. This would increase their chances from ~ 1.19 % to ~ 94.6 %Now let's try to figure out which is the group of death according to the stats! Let's break it down into 2 different parts for each group: total chances to win Code S, and total chances to qualify for Blizzcon. + Show Spoiler [Total Chances to Win Code S] + Group A - Parting has a ~ 11.03 % chance to win Code S Classic has a ~ 5.15 % chance herO has a ~ 13.72 % chance soO has a ~ 2.88 % chance All these chances added up gives a 32.78 Code S Chances Score Group B - Rain has a ~ 9.32 % chance Solar has a ~ 6.6 % chance Life has a ~ 8.83 % chance ParalyzE has a ~ 1.15 % chance All these chances added up gives a 25.9 Code S Chances Score Group C - Maru has a ~ 4.71 % chance Dark has a ~ 2.77 % chance TRUE has a ~ 0.7 % chance Stork has a ~ 2.75 % chance All these chances added up gives a 10.93 Code S Chances Score Group D - Soulkey has a ~ 7.42 % chance Shine has a ~ 0.97 % chance Zest has a ~ 9.32 % chance Innovation has a ~ 12.7 % chance All these chances added up gives a 30.41 Code S Chances Score Which means the groups go in this order according to the Code S Chances Scores A > D > B > C + Show Spoiler [Total Chances to Qualify for Blizzcon] + Group A - Parting went down by ~ 0.34 %, from ~ 37.83 % down to ~ 37.49 % Classic went down by ~ 1.7 %, from ~ 17.46 % down to ~ 15.76 % herO went down by ~ 0.16 %, from ~ 97.17 % down to ~ 97.01 % soO went down by ~ 3.5 %, from ~ 25.72 % down to ~ 22.22 % All these chances added up gives a 172.48 Blizzcon Chances Score, and a 5.7 Blizzcon Chances Lost Score. Group B - Rain went down by ~ 1.61 %, from ~ 46.22 % down to ~ 44.61 % Solar went down by ~ 0.55 %, from ~ 15.51 % down to ~ 14.96 % Life went up by ~ 0.22 %, from ~ 97.54 % down to ~ 97.76 % ParalyzE went down by ~ 0.21 %, from ~ 2.36 % down to ~ 2.15 % All these chances added up gives a 159.48 Blizzcon Chances Score, and a 2.15 Blizzcon Chances Lost Score. Group C - Maru went up by ~ 1.01 %, from ~ 16.89 % up to ~ 17.9 % Dark went up by ~ 0.72 %, from ~ 4.62 % up to ~ 5.34 % TRUE went up by ~ 0.12 %, from ~ 1.07 % up to ~ 1.19 % Stork went up by ~ 0.81 %, from ~ 3.91 % up to ~ 4.72 % All these chances added up gives a 29.15 Blizzcon Chances Score, and a -2.66 Blizzcon Chances Lost Score. Group D - Soulkey went up by ~ 1.46 %, from ~ 15.3 % up to ~ 16.76 % Shine stayed about the same at ~ 1.44 % Zest went down by ~ 0.09 %, from ~ 99.59 % down to ~ 99.5 % Innovation went up by ~ 1.48 %, from ~ 33.39 % up to ~ 34.87 % All these chances added up gives a 152.57 Blizzcon Chances Score, and a -2.85 Blizzcon Chances Lost Score. According to the Blizzcon Chances Scores the groups go in this order A > D > B > C And according to the Blizzcon Chances Lost Scores, the groups go in this order A > B > C > D So in all 3 of the metrics we have Group A being the group of death! Congrats to Parting, Classic, herO, and soO! 2nd place goes to Group D, 3rd place to Group B, and 4th place goes to Group C. ----------------------- http://sc2.4ever.tv To go with the analysis, here's the Group of Death poll | ||
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pure.Wasted
Canada4701 Posts
Wow, Korea's getting fucked pretty hard by the WCS system. ForGG has a higher chance of making the top 16 than Maru at this rate. That's an awful, awful joke. | ||
Shellshock
United States97276 Posts
On May 24 2014 14:08 pure.Wasted wrote: Thanks for putting this together! Wow, Korea's getting fucked pretty hard by the WCS system. ForGG has a higher chance of making the top 16 than Maru at this rate. That's an awful, awful joke. Koreans that dont/cant travel to the extra foreign tournaments were hurt the most by the removal of the season finals. We probably won't see those types of players at Blizzcon unless they make a GSL final then again even that isn't enough if you look at soO | ||
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Die4Ever
United States17676 Posts
You can now view players and their upcoming matches by race, team, country, or just a list of player IDs. In the future I plan to add more things to these pages like biggest winners and losers, and make similar pages for tournaments. You can click on a team name, country flag, or race flag to view the matching set of players. Some examples - Random players http://sc2.4ever.tv/?page=player_set&races=r USA players http://sc2.4ever.tv/?page=player_set&countries=us Team Liquid players http://sc2.4ever.tv/?page=player_set&teams=18 You can also do combinations SKT and KT players http://sc2.4ever.tv/?page=player_set&teams=12 10 Korean Terran players http://sc2.4ever.tv/?page=player_set&countries=kr&races=t Chinese and Taiwanese Protoss and Terran players http://sc2.4ever.tv/?page=player_set&countries=cn tw&races=p t A manual set of players by listing out their Aligulac IDs http://sc2.4ever.tv/?page=player_set&pids=1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 You can use the manual list of player IDs and bookmark it to keep track of your favorite players! | ||
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Die4Ever
United States17676 Posts
Non Koreans http://sc2.4ever.tv/?page=player_set&countries=nonkorean | ||
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BaneRiders
Sweden3630 Posts
On May 25 2014 04:03 Die4Ever wrote: And I just added this exception because I'm sure some people will want it. Non Koreans http://sc2.4ever.tv/?page=player_set&countries=nonkorean Very cool! Accordingly, the Swede with the largest chances of making it is Nani. Doesn't look good for Sweden this year.  | ||
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urboss
Austria1223 Posts
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Circumstance
United States11403 Posts
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carlfish
Australia57 Posts
On May 25 2014 16:35 Circumstance wrote: I think it should be noted that there is some kind of discrepancy between the WCS scores on Liquipedia and the ones on the official Blizzard site. This could affect the odds significantly. The Liquipedia scores include points a player is already guaranteed via seeding if they take part in the next season. The official scores do not. The liquipedia page is more pragmatic, as it shows how many points each player has "earned" so long as they continue in the competition. The official page is more technically correct, as the points aren't really earned until the player shows up for the round they are seeded into, and awarding only half of the points from a particular round in advance unnecessarily biases the rankings towards incumbent players. Changing the subject, what surprises me most about the stats right now is how much higher a chance the algorithm is giving Innovation than the TL commentariat seems to be rating him. | ||
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Circumstance
United States11403 Posts
On May 25 2014 16:50 carlfish wrote: The Liquipedia scores include points a player is already guaranteed via seeding if they take part in the next season. The official scores do not. I thought that as well, but Jjakji, Stardust, San, and sOs all have the same points on both sites while Polt, Snute, soO, and Taeja don't. It isn't adding up. | ||
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Die4Ever
United States17676 Posts
On May 25 2014 16:35 Circumstance wrote: I think it should be noted that there is some kind of discrepancy between the WCS scores on Liquipedia and the ones on the official Blizzard site. This could affect the odds significantly. I'm actually not using the WCS Points listed in Liquipedia. The simulation runs through all the tournaments, using the old results if they've already been played, and simulates unplayed matches millions of times, and assigns WCS Points as the players earn them. If you see a player that seems to have an incorrect Minimum WCS Points then please post in this thread. | ||
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Die4Ever
United States17676 Posts
On May 25 2014 17:16 Circumstance wrote: I thought that as well, but Jjakji, Stardust, San, and sOs all have the same points on both sites while Polt, Snute, soO, and Taeja don't. It isn't adding up. I'll take a look at these players soon. | ||
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Die4Ever
United States17676 Posts
On May 25 2014 17:16 Circumstance wrote: I thought that as well, but Jjakji, Stardust, San, and sOs all have the same points on both sites while Polt, Snute, soO, and Taeja don't. It isn't adding up. Ok here's the reason for this. The WCS website breaks down the number of points a player has or will get from each tournament, similar to Liquipedia. The difference is they show points won from Premier league separately from the points won in Challenger league. Which means that they cannot show the points a player will get for season 3 unless it is known whether they will start in Premier or Challenger. For example, Jjakji and sOs already lost, so it is known that they will start in Challenger next season and they will get at least 50 points from Challenger league. Stardust and San already advanced to the round of 16, so they will start next season in Premier league and will get at least 100 points for that. Polt, Snute, soO, and Taeja have not gotten far enough to know for sure if they will start in Challenger league or Premier league. So even though we know they will get at least 50 points from WCS Season 3, we don't know if they will be getting points from Challenger league or Premier league, and since the Blizzard WCS website specifies which one, they can't show that yet. That explains this weirdness lol. WCS Predictor's Minimum WCS Points seems to be in line with what Liquidpedia has, which are the correct numbers. | ||
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Die4Ever
United States17676 Posts
Here's the current top 25 by chances. + Show Spoiler [Top 25 Chances] + #1 ROCCAT HyuN is at ~ 99.99 %, Min WCS Points: 3100#2 MC is at ~ 99.99 %, Min WCS Points: 3175#3 Yoe San is at ~ 99.82 %, Min WCS Points: 2650#4 KT Zest is at ~ 98.62 %, Min WCS Points: 2550#5 StarTale Life is at ~ 95.19 %, Min WCS Points: 2400#6 CM Storm Polt is at ~ 87.4 %, Min WCS Points: 2150#7 mYinsanity jjakji is at ~ 83.52 %, Min WCS Points: 2050#8 CJ Entus herO is at ~ 80.44 %, Min WCS Points: 2300#9 mYinsanity StarDust is at ~ 70.51 %, Min WCS Points: 1800#10 Liquid TaeJa is at ~ 66.17 %, Min WCS Points: 1475#11 Jinair sOs is at ~ 65.06 %, Min WCS Points: 2200#12 Liquid Snute is at ~ 51.73 %, Min WCS Points: 1250#13 EG Jaedong is at ~ 47.05 %, Min WCS Points: 1550#14 SKT T1 Rain is at ~ 40.24 %, Min WCS Points: 1375#15 SKT T1 soO is at ~ 40.18 %, Min WCS Points: 1750#16 Bomber is at ~ 39.55 %, Min WCS Points: 1200#17 Acer INnoVation is at ~ 36.15 %, Min WCS Points: 925#18 SKT T1 Classic is at ~ 27.63 %, Min WCS Points: 1150#19 Millenium ForGG is at ~ 26.31 %, Min WCS Points: 900#20 Jinair Maru is at ~ 26.17 %, Min WCS Points: 1200#21 Planetkey Oz is at ~ 20.16 %, Min WCS Points: 1300#22 Acer MMA is at ~ 18.71 %, Min WCS Points: 1200#23 Wayi Check is at ~ 17.72 %, Min WCS Points: 525#24 NrS Welmu is at ~ 17.7 %, Min WCS Points: 1050#25 Ai Patience is at ~ 17.43 %, Min WCS Points: 750I added the player list for HomeStory Cup 9 yesterday but wasn't able to post about it. Here are the biggest winners and losers from the HomeStory Cup 9 player list. Remember that this is slightly old info and their chances are not the same anymore, so just check out how their chances changed. + Show Spoiler [Biggest Winners] + jjakji went up by ~ 12.5 %, going from ~ 63.43 % to ~ 75.93 % Jaedong went up by ~ 8.99 %, going from ~ 28.98 % to ~ 37.97 % Snute went up by ~ 8.99 %, going from ~ 35.05 % to ~ 44.04 % TaeJa went up by ~ 7.98 %, going from ~ 51.95 % to ~ 59.94 % Bomber went up by ~ 6.39 %, going from ~ 35.75 % to ~ 42.13 % ForGG went up by ~ 4.14 %, going from ~ 25.13 % to ~ 29.27 % Patience went up by ~ 3.3 %, going from ~ 15.38 % to ~ 18.68 % Welmu went up by ~ 2.72 %, going from ~ 12.38 % to ~ 15.1 % LiveZerg went up by ~ 0.88 %, going from ~ 0.42 % to ~ 1.3 % YoDa went up by ~ 0.78 %, going from ~ 4.74 % to ~ 5.51 % Stork went up by ~ 0.58 %, going from ~ 5.22 % to ~ 5.8 % ToD went up by ~ 0.51 %, going from ~ 4.03 % to ~ 4.55 % Bunny went up by ~ 0.51 %, going from ~ 1.97 % to ~ 2.48 %+ Show Spoiler [Biggest Losers] + MMA went down by ~ 13.03 %, going from ~ 36.66 % to ~ 23.63 % sOs went down by ~ 5.01 %, going from ~ 75.66 % to ~ 70.65 % herO went down by ~ 3.43 %, going from ~ 87.95 % to ~ 84.52 % soO went down by ~ 3.32 %, going from ~ 46.46 % to ~ 43.14 % StarDust went down by ~ 3.3 %, going from ~ 65.84 % to ~ 62.53 % Rain went down by ~ 2.77 %, going from ~ 45.67 % to ~ 42.9 % Polt went down by ~ 1.91 %, going from ~ 91.7 % to ~ 89.79 % Oz went down by ~ 1.76 %, going from ~ 19.2 % to ~ 17.44 % Check went down by ~ 1.76 %, going from ~ 21.5 % to ~ 19.74 % INnoVation went down by ~ 1.74 %, going from ~ 37.01 % to ~ 35.26 % Classic went down by ~ 1.62 %, going from ~ 31.71 % to ~ 30.09 % Alicia went down by ~ 1.45 %, going from ~ 13.36 % to ~ 11.9 % PartinG went down by ~ 1.41 %, going from ~ 16.3 % to ~ 14.89 % Maru went down by ~ 1.34 %, going from ~ 17.76 % to ~ 16.42 % Sen went down by ~ 1.19 %, going from ~ 11.56 % to ~ 10.37 % Revival went down by ~ 1.17 %, going from ~ 14.21 % to ~ 13.04 % Dear went down by ~ 1.12 %, going from ~ 5.69 % to ~ 4.57 % Life went down by ~ 0.99 %, going from ~ 97.54 % to ~ 96.55 % Soulkey went down by ~ 0.82 %, going from ~ 17.05 % to ~ 16.23 % VortiX went down by ~ 0.81 %, going from ~ 17.41 % to ~ 16.6 % HerO went down by ~ 0.76 %, going from ~ 6.42 % to ~ 5.66 % Solar went down by ~ 0.74 %, going from ~ 15.38 % to ~ 14.65 % viOLet went down by ~ 0.59 %, going from ~ 10.77 % to ~ 10.19 % Dayshi went down by ~ 0.58 %, going from ~ 0.91 % to ~ 0.32 % Arthur went down by ~ 0.52 %, going from ~ 8.49 % to ~ 7.97 %Here are the biggest winners and losers with the addition of the Dreamhack Summer player list. These numbers are current. + Show Spoiler [Biggest Winners] + Jaedong went up by ~ 9.03 %, going from ~ 38.01 % to ~ 47.05 % StarDust went up by ~ 7.99 %, going from ~ 62.52 % to ~ 70.51 % Snute went up by ~ 7.52 %, going from ~ 44.21 % to ~ 51.73 % jjakji went up by ~ 7.49 %, going from ~ 76.03 % to ~ 83.52 % TaeJa went up by ~ 6.31 %, going from ~ 59.86 % to ~ 66.17 % Dear went up by ~ 2.94 %, going from ~ 4.58 % to ~ 7.52 % Oz went up by ~ 2.79 %, going from ~ 17.37 % to ~ 20.16 % Welmu went up by ~ 2.73 %, going from ~ 14.98 % to ~ 17.7 % HerO went up by ~ 1.56 %, going from ~ 5.62 % to ~ 7.18 % INnoVation went up by ~ 1.15 %, going from ~ 34.99 % to ~ 36.15 % TRUE went up by ~ 0.78 %, going from ~ 3.41 % to ~ 4.18 % Bunny went up by ~ 0.61 %, going from ~ 2.5 % to ~ 3.12 %+ Show Spoiler [Biggest Losers] + sOs went down by ~ 5.71 %, going from ~ 70.77 % to ~ 65.06 % herO went down by ~ 4.21 %, going from ~ 84.65 % to ~ 80.44 % soO went down by ~ 3.72 %, going from ~ 43.9 % to ~ 40.18 % MMA went down by ~ 3.06 %, going from ~ 21.77 % to ~ 18.71 % Rain went down by ~ 2.84 %, going from ~ 43.08 % to ~ 40.24 % Bomber went down by ~ 2.45 %, going from ~ 42.01 % to ~ 39.55 % Polt went down by ~ 2.37 %, going from ~ 89.77 % to ~ 87.4 % Classic went down by ~ 2.04 %, going from ~ 29.67 % to ~ 27.63 % Check went down by ~ 1.96 %, going from ~ 19.68 % to ~ 17.72 % Soulkey went down by ~ 1.44 %, going from ~ 16.49 % to ~ 15.05 % PartinG went down by ~ 1.41 %, going from ~ 14.94 % to ~ 13.53 % Life went down by ~ 1.39 %, going from ~ 96.58 % to ~ 95.19 % Patience went down by ~ 1.28 %, going from ~ 18.71 % to ~ 17.43 % ForGG went down by ~ 1.23 %, going from ~ 27.54 % to ~ 26.31 % Sen went down by ~ 1.16 %, going from ~ 10.35 % to ~ 9.19 % Revival went down by ~ 1.04 %, going from ~ 12.93 % to ~ 11.89 % Solar went down by ~ 0.99 %, going from ~ 14.81 % to ~ 13.82 % Alicia went down by ~ 0.96 %, going from ~ 11.82 % to ~ 10.86 % VortiX went down by ~ 0.86 %, going from ~ 16.74 % to ~ 15.88 % First went down by ~ 0.82 %, going from ~ 11.9 % to ~ 11.08 % viOLet went down by ~ 0.55 %, going from ~ 10.07 % to ~ 9.52 % Zest went down by ~ 0.52 %, going from ~ 99.15 % to ~ 98.62 % Nerchio went down by ~ 0.52 %, going from ~ 6.38 % to ~ 5.87 %And here are the current winning chances for HomeStory Cup 9. + Show Spoiler [Winning Chances] + HomeStory Cup 9 jjakji has a ~ 11.4 % chance to win. This would increase their chances from ~ 83.52 % to ~ 99.98 % MMA has a ~ 10.31 % chance to win. This would increase their chances from ~ 18.71 % to ~ 46.08 % MC has a ~ 9.61 % chance to win. This would increase their chances from ~ 99.99 % to ~ 100 % Snute has a ~ 8.05 % chance to win. This would increase their chances from ~ 51.73 % to ~ 85.54 % Jaedong has a ~ 7.88 % chance to win. This would increase their chances from ~ 47.05 % to ~ 90.29 % TaeJa has a ~ 7.57 % chance to win. This would increase their chances from ~ 66.17 % to ~ 95.41 % Patience has a ~ 6.91 % chance to win. This would increase their chances from ~ 17.43 % to ~ 35.7 % Bomber has a ~ 6.67 % chance to win. This would increase their chances from ~ 39.55 % to ~ 73.19 % Scarlett has a ~ 3.09 % chance to win. This would increase their chances from ~ 0.13 % to ~ 0.57 % Stork has a ~ 2.98 % chance to win. This would increase their chances from ~ 0.74 % to ~ 2.49 % Welmu has a ~ 2.63 % chance to win. This would increase their chances from ~ 17.7 % to ~ 52.82 % Bunny has a ~ 2.59 % chance to win. This would increase their chances from ~ 3.12 % to ~ 14.41 % YoDa has a ~ 2.56 % chance to win. This would increase their chances from ~ 5.1 % to ~ 11.22 % HasuObs has a ~ 2.52 % chance to win. This would increase their chances from ~ 0.03 % to ~ 0.25 % Harstem has a ~ 1.96 % chance to win. This would increase their chances from ~ 4.45 % to ~ 10.34 % Stephano has a ~ 1.73 % chance to win. This would increase their chances from ~ 0.47 % to ~ 1.76 % ToD has a ~ 1.63 % chance to win. This would increase their chances from ~ 4.26 % to ~ 11.03 % MaNa has a ~ 1.62 % chance to win. This would increase their chances from ~ 4.07 % to ~ 12.07 % TLO has a ~ 1.59 % chance to win. This would increase their chances from ~ 1.46 % to ~ 8.96 % Armani has a ~ 1.47 % chance to win. This would increase their chances from ~ 0.03 % to ~ 0.23 % BlinG has a ~ 1.24 % chance to win. This would increase their chances from ~ 0.38 % to ~ 1.38 % TargA has a ~ 1.11 % chance to win. This would increase their chances from ~ 0.01 % to ~ 0.09 % Dayshi has a ~ 0.88 % chance to win. This would increase their chances from ~ 0.39 % to ~ 2.27 % Grubby has a ~ 0.62 % chance to win. This would increase their chances from ~ 0.68 % to ~ 2.45 % Socke has a ~ 0.54 % chance to win. This would increase their chances from ~ 0.01 % to ~ 0.05 % NightEnD has a ~ 0.28 % chance to win. This would increase their chances from ~ 0.01 % to ~ 0.04 %Current winning chances for DreamHack Summer. + Show Spoiler [Winning Chances] + DreamHack Summer HyuN has a ~ 12.92 % chance to win. This would increase their chances from ~ 99.99 % to ~ 100 % jjakji has a ~ 10.56 % chance to win. This would increase their chances from ~ 83.52 % to ~ 99.94 % Jaedong has a ~ 7.7 % chance to win. This would increase their chances from ~ 47.05 % to ~ 85.27 % Snute has a ~ 7.59 % chance to win. This would increase their chances from ~ 51.73 % to ~ 82.13 % StarDust has a ~ 7.52 % chance to win. This would increase their chances from ~ 70.51 % to ~ 98.63 % TaeJa has a ~ 7.42 % chance to win. This would increase their chances from ~ 66.17 % to ~ 93.02 % Dear has a ~ 6.41 % chance to win. This would increase their chances from ~ 7.52 % to ~ 29.36 % PiG has a ~ 4.05 % chance to win. This would increase their chances from ~ 0.05 % to ~ 0.24 % HerO has a ~ 3.68 % chance to win. This would increase their chances from ~ 7.18 % to ~ 27.16 % Bunny has a ~ 3.38 % chance to win. This would increase their chances from ~ 3.12 % to ~ 12.2 % Welmu has a ~ 3.14 % chance to win. This would increase their chances from ~ 17.7 % to ~ 47.34 % Oz has a ~ 2.47 % chance to win. This would increase their chances from ~ 20.16 % to ~ 58.2 % ShoWTimE has a ~ 2.12 % chance to win. This would increase their chances from ~ 0.01 % to ~ 0.12 % HuK has a ~ 2.06 % chance to win. This would increase their chances from ~ 1.11 % to ~ 2.73 % MaNa has a ~ 2.02 % chance to win. This would increase their chances from ~ 4.07 % to ~ 10.56 % TLO has a ~ 2.01 % chance to win. This would increase their chances from ~ 1.46 % to ~ 7.15 % Tefel has a ~ 1.93 % chance to win. This would increase their chances from ~ 1.48 % to ~ 3.62 % uThermal has a ~ 1.7 % chance to win. This would increase their chances from ~ 0.21 % to ~ 0.8 % Dayshi has a ~ 1.54 % chance to win. This would increase their chances from ~ 0.39 % to ~ 1.79 % Serral has a ~ 1.31 % chance to win. This would increase their chances from ~ 0.01 % to ~ 0.04 % ThorZaIN has a ~ 1.27 % chance to win. This would increase their chances from ~ 0.01 % to ~ 0.02 % Zanster has a ~ 1.07 % chance to win. This would increase their chances from ~ 0.01 % to ~ 0.05 % Socke has a ~ 0.92 % chance to win. This would increase their chances from ~ 0.01 % to ~ 0.03 % MorroW has a ~ 0.68 % chance to win. This would increase their chances from ~ 0.01 % to ~ 0.03 %  Balloon has a ~ 0.56 % chance to win. This would increase their chances from ~ 0.01 % to ~ 0.01 % SortOf has a ~ 0.53 % chance to win. This would increase their chances from ~ 0.01 % to ~ 0.02 % DeMusliM has a ~ 0.43 % chance to win. This would increase their chances from ~ 0.02 % to ~ 0.14 % GoOdy has a ~ 0.37 % chance to win. This would increase their chances from ~ 0.01 % to ~ 0.02 % herO has a ~ 0.03 % chance to win. This would increase their chances from ~ 80.44 % to ~ 100 % MMA has a ~ 0.03 % chance to win. This would increase their chances from ~ 18.71 % to ~ 61.04 % KingKong has a ~ 0.02 % chance to win. This would increase their chances from ~ 0.33 % to ~ 2.12 % Mvp has a ~ 0.02 % chance to win. This would increase their chances from ~ 2.31 % to ~ 6.55 % Arthur has a ~ 0.01 % chance to win. This would increase their chances from ~ 7.63 % to ~ 21.65 % YoDa has a ~ 0.01 % chance to win. This would increase their chances from ~ 5.1 % to ~ 11.6 % Heart has a ~ 0.01 % chance to win. This would increase their chances from ~ 8.85 % to ~ 21.86 % Revival has a ~ 0.01 % chance to win. This would increase their chances from ~ 11.89 % to ~ 33.59 % ToD has a ~ 0.01 % chance to win. This would increase their chances from ~ 4.26 % to ~ 9.63 % Sen has a ~ 0.01 % chance to win. This would increase their chances from ~ 9.19 % to ~ 44.26 % Panic has a ~ 0.01 % chance to win. This would increase their chances from ~ 0.02 % to ~ 0.98 % LiveZerg has a ~ 0.01 % chance to win. This would increase their chances from ~ 1.66 % to ~ 7.79 %Also here's a tip if you want to see what your favorite player needs to do at the next tournament. Just go on their page, go down to the events section, and use the search box to type in the name of the tournament. The events list will instantly be filtered down to just events that have to do with that tournament! Here's an example screenshot of Jaedong for HomeStory Cup + Show Spoiler + ![[image loading]](http://i.imgur.com/ENU9YIq.png) ----------------------- http://sc2.4ever.tv | ||
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Die4Ever
United States17676 Posts
The round of 16 groups for WCS EU Premier have been set! Time to do an overview, look at the previews, and do an analysis of the groups to determine the group of death! Here's the current top 25 by chances. + Show Spoiler [Top 25 Chances] + #1 MC is at ~ 100 %, Min WCS Points: 3175#2 ROCCAT HyuN is at ~ 99.99 %, Min WCS Points: 3100#3 Yoe San is at ~ 99.87 %, Min WCS Points: 2650#4 KT Zest is at ~ 98.71 %, Min WCS Points: 2550#5 StarTale Life is at ~ 95.39 %, Min WCS Points: 2400#6 CM Storm Polt is at ~ 88.6 %, Min WCS Points: 2150#7 mYinsanity jjakji is at ~ 83.85 %, Min WCS Points: 2050#8 CJ Entus herO is at ~ 81.04 %, Min WCS Points: 2300#9 mYinsanity StarDust is at ~ 71.47 %, Min WCS Points: 1800#10 Liquid TaeJa is at ~ 66.49 %, Min WCS Points: 1475#11 Jinair sOs is at ~ 65.68 %, Min WCS Points: 2200#12 Liquid Snute is at ~ 50.35 %, Min WCS Points: 1250#13 EG Jaedong is at ~ 47.24 %, Min WCS Points: 1550#14 SKT T1 Rain is at ~ 40.58 %, Min WCS Points: 1375#15 SKT T1 soO is at ~ 40.55 %, Min WCS Points: 1750#16 Bomber is at ~ 39.83 %, Min WCS Points: 1200#17 Acer INnoVation is at ~ 36.31 %, Min WCS Points: 925#18 SKT T1 Classic is at ~ 27.84 %, Min WCS Points: 1150#19 Jinair Maru is at ~ 26.34 %, Min WCS Points: 1200#20 Millenium ForGG is at ~ 25.74 %, Min WCS Points: 900#21 mouz VortiX is at ~ 21.77 %, Min WCS Points: 800#22 Planetkey Oz is at ~ 20.39 %, Min WCS Points: 1300#23 Acer MMA is at ~ 19.07 %, Min WCS Points: 1200#24 NrS Welmu is at ~ 18.1 %, Min WCS Points: 1050#25 Wayi Check is at ~ 15.98 %, Min WCS Points: 525Here are the biggest winners and losers from the WCS EU round of 16 group drawings. + Show Spoiler [Biggest Winners] + + Show Spoiler [Biggest Losers] + Here are the previews for the WCS EU ro16 groups. Notice Group C has the top 2 Foreign Hopes in it, Snute and Vortix! Starts in + Show Spoiler [First, MaNa, Golden, Grubby in WCS EU…] + WCS EU S2 Premier - First is at ~ 11.85 % chances for top 16 points of 2014~ 62.59 % of the time First wins and their chances go up to ~ 17.85 %.~ 37.41 % of the time First loses and their chances go down to ~ 1.81 %.------------------------------------------------- - MaNa is at ~ 4.54 % chances for top 16 points of 2014~ 46.04 % of the time MaNa wins and their chances go up to ~ 8.46 %.~ 53.96 % of the time MaNa loses and their chances go down to ~ 1.19 %.------------------------------------------------- - Golden is at ~ 5.62 % chances for top 16 points of 2014~ 52.63 % of the time Golden wins and their chances go up to ~ 9.72 %.~ 47.37 % of the time Golden loses and their chances go down to ~ 1.08 %.------------------------------------------------- - Grubby is at ~ 1.84 % chances for top 16 points of 2014~ 38.73 % of the time Grubby wins and their chances go up to ~ 4.18 %.~ 61.27 % of the time Grubby loses and their chances go down to ~ 0.36 %.Starts in + Show Spoiler [MC, YoDa, Welmu, ToD in WCS EU S2 Prem…] + WCS EU S2 Premier - MC is at ~ 100 % chances for top 16 points of 2014~ 60.45 % of the time MC wins and their chances go up to ~ 100 %.~ 39.55 % of the time MC loses and their chances go down to ~ 100 %.------------------------------------------------- - YoDa is at ~ 5.78 % chances for top 16 points of 2014~ 48.61 % of the time YoDa wins and their chances go up to ~ 10.66 %.~ 51.39 % of the time YoDa loses and their chances go down to ~ 1.16 %.------------------------------------------------- - Welmu is at ~ 18.1 % chances for top 16 points of 2014~ 48.86 % of the time Welmu wins and their chances go up to ~ 29.35 %.~ 51.14 % of the time Welmu loses and their chances go down to ~ 7.35 %.------------------------------------------------- - ToD is at ~ 4.31 % chances for top 16 points of 2014~ 42.08 % of the time ToD wins and their chances go up to ~ 8.83 %.~ 57.92 % of the time ToD loses and their chances go down to ~ 1.03 %.Starts in + Show Spoiler [ForGG, VortiX, Snute, Harstem in WCS E…] + WCS EU S2 Premier - ForGG is at ~ 25.74 % chances for top 16 points of 2014~ 55.8 % of the time ForGG wins and their chances go up to ~ 37.49 %.~ 44.2 % of the time ForGG loses and their chances go down to ~ 10.9 %.------------------------------------------------- - VortiX is at ~ 21.77 % chances for top 16 points of 2014~ 58.37 % of the time VortiX wins and their chances go up to ~ 31.57 %.~ 41.63 % of the time VortiX loses and their chances go down to ~ 8.03 %.------------------------------------------------- - Snute is at ~ 50.35 % chances for top 16 points of 2014~ 54.23 % of the time Snute wins and their chances go up to ~ 66.33 %.~ 45.77 % of the time Snute loses and their chances go down to ~ 31.42 %.------------------------------------------------- - Harstem is at ~ 3.45 % chances for top 16 points of 2014~ 31.6 % of the time Harstem wins and their chances go up to ~ 9.17 %.~ 68.4 % of the time Harstem loses and their chances go down to ~ 0.8 %.Starts in + Show Spoiler [Nerchio, San, LiveZerg, StarDust in WC…] + WCS EU S2 Premier - Nerchio is at ~ 5.38 % chances for top 16 points of 2014~ 35.37 % of the time Nerchio wins and their chances go up to ~ 11.63 %.~ 64.63 % of the time Nerchio loses and their chances go down to ~ 1.96 %.------------------------------------------------- - San is at ~ 99.87 % chances for top 16 points of 2014~ 72.26 % of the time San wins and their chances go up to ~ 99.99 %.~ 27.74 % of the time San loses and their chances go down to ~ 99.52 %.------------------------------------------------- - LiveZerg is at ~ 1.55 % chances for top 16 points of 2014~ 31.74 % of the time LiveZerg wins and their chances go up to ~ 4.27 %.~ 68.26 % of the time LiveZerg loses and their chances go down to ~ 0.28 %.------------------------------------------------- - StarDust is at ~ 71.47 % chances for top 16 points of 2014~ 60.62 % of the time StarDust wins and their chances go up to ~ 84.52 %.~ 39.38 % of the time StarDust loses and their chances go down to ~ 51.37 %.And here are the winning chances. + Show Spoiler [Winning Chances] + WCS EU S2 Premier San has a ~ 18.73 % chance to win. This would increase their chances from ~ 99.87 % to ~ 100 % StarDust has a ~ 10.87 % chance to win. This would increase their chances from ~ 71.47 % to ~ 100 % ForGG has a ~ 10.01 % chance to win. This would increase their chances from ~ 25.74 % to ~ 99.99 % MC has a ~ 9.8 % chance to win. This would increase their chances from ~ 100 % to ~ 100 % VortiX has a ~ 9.57 % chance to win. This would increase their chances from ~ 21.77 % to ~ 99.96 % Snute has a ~ 9.16 % chance to win. This would increase their chances from ~ 50.35 % to ~ 100 % First has a ~ 8.81 % chance to win. This would increase their chances from ~ 11.85 % to ~ 85.68 % YoDa has a ~ 3.82 % chance to win. This would increase their chances from ~ 5.78 % to ~ 86.25 % Welmu has a ~ 3.73 % chance to win. This would increase their chances from ~ 18.1 % to ~ 99.99 % Golden has a ~ 3.69 % chance to win. This would increase their chances from ~ 5.62 % to ~ 89.88 % ToD has a ~ 2.47 % chance to win. This would increase their chances from ~ 4.31 % to ~ 94.67 % Nerchio has a ~ 2.45 % chance to win. This would increase their chances from ~ 5.38 % to ~ 98.51 % MaNa has a ~ 2.27 % chance to win. This would increase their chances from ~ 4.54 % to ~ 94.62 % Harstem has a ~ 2.26 % chance to win. This would increase their chances from ~ 3.45 % to ~ 87.24 % LiveZerg has a ~ 1.19 % chance to win. This would increase their chances from ~ 1.55 % to ~ 85.17 % Grubby has a ~ 1.18 % chance to win. This would increase their chances from ~ 1.84 % to ~ 93.59 %Now let's look at some stats to figure out the group of death. We will look at 3 different scores the same way we did the GSL ro16 analysis. WCS EU Chances Score is the chances to win the tournament for each player in the group added together. Blizzcon Chances Score is the chances to qualify for Blizzcon for each player in the group added together. Blizzcon Chances Lost Score is how much the Blizzcon Chances Score went down by because of the group drawing. + Show Spoiler [WCS EU Chances Scores] + Group A - Grubby has a ~ 1.18 % chance to win WCS EU Season 2. First has a ~ 8.81 % chance Golden has a ~ 3.69 % chance Mana has a ~ 2.27 % chance All these chances added up gives a 15.95 WCS EU Chances Score for Group A Group B - Welmu has a ~ 3.73 % chance MC has a ~ 9.8 % chance ToD has a ~ 2.47 % chance YoDa has a ~ 3.82 % chance All these chances added up gives a 19.82 WCS EU Chances Score for Group B Group C - Harstem has a ~ 2.26 % chance Snute has a ~ 9.16 % chance ForGG has a ~ 10.01 % chance VortiX has a ~ 9.57 % chance All these chances added up gives a 31 WCS EU Chances Score for Group C Group D - LiveZerg has a ~ 1.19 % chance San has a ~ 18.73 % chance Nerchio has a ~ 2.45 % chance StarDust has a ~ 10.87 % chance All these chances added up gives a 33.24 WCS EU Chances Score for Group D Which means the groups go in this order according to the WCS EU Chances Scores D > C > B > A + Show Spoiler [Blizzcon Chances] + Group A - Grubby went up by ~ 0.13 %, from ~ 1.71 % up to ~ 1.84 % First went up by ~ 0.97 %, from ~ 10.88 % up to ~ 11.85 % Golden went up by ~ 0.41 %, from ~ 5.21 % up to ~ 5.62 % MaNa went up by ~ 0.37 %, from ~ 4.17 % up to ~ 4.54 % All these chances added up gives a 23.85 Blizzcon Chances Score, and a -1.88 Blizzcon Chances Lost Score for Group A. Group B - Welmu went up by ~ 0.49 %, from ~ 17.61 % up to ~ 18.1 % MC stayed about the same, over 99.9999%, I'll count him as ~ 99.99 % ToD went down by about ~ 0.07 %, from ~ 4.38 % down to ~ 4.31 % YoDa went up by about ~ 0.12 %, from ~ 5.66 % up to ~ 5.78 % All these chances added up gives a 128.18 Blizzcon Chances Score, and a -0.54 Blizzcon Chances Lost Score for Group B. Group C - Harstem went down by ~ 0.73 %, from ~ 4.18 % down to ~ 3.45 % Snute went down by ~ 1.84 %, from ~ 52.19 % down to ~ 50.35 % ForGG went down by ~ 0.96 %, from ~ 26.7 % down to ~ 25.74 % VortiX went down by ~ 0.18 %, from ~ 21.95 % down to ~ 21.77 % All these chances added up gives a 101.31 Blizzcon Chances Score, and a 3.71 Blizzcon Chances Lost Score for Group C. Group D - LiveZerg went down by ~ 0.15 %, from ~ 1.7 % down to ~ 1.55 % San went up by ~ 0.04 %, from ~ 99.83 % up to ~ 99.87 % Nerchio went down by ~ 0.67 %, from ~ 6.05 % down to ~ 5.38 % StarDust went up by ~ 0.57 %, from ~ 70.9 % up to ~ 71.47 % All these chances added up gives a 178.27 Blizzcon Chances Score, and a 0.21 Blizzcon Chances Lost Score for Group D. According to the Blizzcon Chances Scores the groups go in this order D > B > C > A And according to the Blizzcon Chances Lost Scores, the groups go in this order C > D > B > A So in 2/3 of our metrics we have Group D being the group of death, and it's 2nd place in the other metric, Group D is our Group of Death! Congrats to LiveZerg, San, Nerchio, and StarDust! Our 2nd place Group of Death is Group C which got huge 1st place in Blizzcon Chances Lost Score, as well as a 2nd and a 3rd placing in our metrics. What do you think? Poll: Group of Death? Group C (10) Group B (2) Group A (0) Group D (0) 12 total votes Your vote: Group of Death? (Vote): Group A Also check out the new up and down arrows next to players' chances on the lists, the top of the page says when it is comparing to, which is the same comparison that Biggest Winners and Biggest Losers use. Mouse over the arrows to see the difference. ----------------------- http://sc2.4ever.tv | ||
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