EPTWCS Predictor 2014 - Page 16
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asongdotnet
United States1060 Posts
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Die4Ever
United States17744 Posts
On August 31 2014 10:34 PassionFruit wrote: So Flash needs a 2nd/2nd minimum for IEM/Kespa to make it to Blizzcon. Making 1st in Kespa is an auto-in. But a 1st in IEM would still need him to make at least 2nd in Kespa. Damn, that looks tough. If he wins KeSPA Cup he only goes to ~ 45.54 % also ~ 6.54 % of the time Flash gets 1st in KeSPA Cup Flash wins their next match in GSL S3 Code S ro16 This would change Flash's Blizzcon chances from ~ 13.58 % to ~ 64.28 % ~ 10.4 % of the time Flash gets 1st in GSL S3 Code S This would change Flash's Blizzcon chances from ~ 13.58 % to ~ 87.03 % And I added a little new feature. In the events tables (on player pages, tournament pages, race pages, all those) you can filter by >80%, <20%, >90%, or anything like that in increments of 10. You could always sort by Blizzcon Chances to get a similar effect but then you get a lot of unlikely events at the top, so I figured this would be a little more convenient. Why not try it out on Flash's page? http://sc2.4ever.tv/?page=player&player_id=55 | ||
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Die4Ever
United States17744 Posts
any more ideas for filtering? lol | ||
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asongdotnet
United States1060 Posts
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Die4Ever
United States17744 Posts
On August 31 2014 11:07 asongdotnet wrote: I would think flashes chances of going to blizzcon would be higher if he wins the 1500 points for kespa... he's already at 1000 points so the 1500 would put him at 2500. also he has a decent chance of beating taeja then whoever he would meet in the finals. and then he's in an all Z group for code s so that's another hundred or so points for going to ro8 2500 points isn't actually that good ~ 0 % of the time 2,275 points is enough to qualify for Blizzcon ~ 0.01 % of the time 2,300 points is enough to qualify for Blizzcon ~ 0.2 % of the time 2,500 points is enough to qualify for Blizzcon ~ 49.57 % of the time 2,875 points is enough to qualify for Blizzcon ~ 75.62 % of the time 3,000 points is enough to qualify for Blizzcon ~ 99.99 % of the time 3,725 points is enough to qualify for Blizzcon ~ 100 % of the time 3,750 points is enough to qualify for Blizzcon | ||
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asongdotnet
United States1060 Posts
On August 31 2014 11:08 Die4Ever wrote: 2500 points isn't actually that good ~ 0 % of the time 2,275 points is enough to qualify for Blizzcon ~ 0.01 % of the time 2,300 points is enough to qualify for Blizzcon ~ 0.2 % of the time 2,500 points is enough to qualify for Blizzcon ~ 49.57 % of the time 2,875 points is enough to qualify for Blizzcon ~ 75.62 % of the time 3,000 points is enough to qualify for Blizzcon ~ 99.99 % of the time 3,725 points is enough to qualify for Blizzcon ~ 100 % of the time 3,750 points is enough to qualify for Blizzcon well 2500 would just be the starting point but it's a pretty good starting point haha | ||
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PassionFruit
294 Posts
Edit: Also this wcs predictor thing is pretty boss. Nice work. | ||
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Die4Ever
United States17744 Posts
WCS Predictor 2014 IEM Toronto Finals Biggest Changes So Far This Tournament + Show Spoiler [Biggest Changes] + Biggest Winners   Life went up by ~ 33.87 %, going from ~ 65.15 % to ~ 99.02 %  Flash went up by ~ 9.05 %, going from ~ 6.71 % to ~ 15.76 % Snute went up by ~ 3.62 %, going from ~ 11.22 % to ~ 14.84 %Biggest Losers  herO went down by ~ 15.49 %, going from ~ 64.5 % to ~ 49.01 % sOs went down by ~ 8.64 %, going from ~ 93.34 % to ~ 84.69 % Scarlett went down by ~ 5.57 %, going from ~ 19.79 % to ~ 14.22 % Jaedong went down by ~ 2.96 %, going from ~ 97.7 % to ~ 94.73 % soO went down by ~ 2.27 %, going from ~ 63.94 % to ~ 61.67 %+ Show Spoiler [More] + jjakji went down by ~ 1.94 %, going from ~ 93.71 % to ~ 91.77 % MMA went down by ~ 1.8 %, going from ~ 15.05 % to ~ 13.25 % Pigbaby went down by ~ 1.5 %, going from ~ 30.99 % to ~ 29.5 % Bunny went down by ~ 1.37 %, going from ~ 14.58 % to ~ 13.21 % Classic went down by ~ 0.8 %, going from ~ 69.44 % to ~ 68.63 % Rain went down by ~ 0.78 %, going from ~ 31.2 % to ~ 30.42 % YoDa went down by ~ 0.59 %, going from ~ 9.04 % to ~ 8.45 % PartinG went down by ~ 0.58 %, going from ~ 9.19 % to ~ 8.61 % INnoVation went down by ~ 0.51 %, going from ~ 12.56 % to ~ 12.05 % MajOr went down by ~ 0.35 %, going from ~ 3.07 % to ~ 2.71 % Maru went down by ~ 0.31 %, going from ~ 6.63 % to ~ 6.32 % Heart went down by ~ 0.21 %, going from ~ 4.79 % to ~ 4.58 % Dayshi went down by ~ 0.14 %, going from ~ 0.93 % to ~ 0.79 % HuK went down by ~ 0.12 %, going from ~ 1.84 % to ~ 1.72 % HerO went down by ~ 0.1 %, going from ~ 7.15 % to ~ 7.05 %Flash still has the #2 headband! Starts in Flash has the #2 headband!This is a match for the #2 headband! - Flash is at ~ 15.77 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014~ 52.14 % of the time Flash wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 17.88 %.~ 47.86 % of the time Flash loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 13.47 %.------------------------------------------------- - Zest is at ~ 100 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014~ 47.86 % of the time Zest wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 100 %.~ 52.14 % of the time Zest loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 100 %.+ Show Spoiler [Other Interesting Stats] + WCS Point Cutoffs ~ 0 % of the time 2,275 points is enough to qualify for Blizzcon ~ 0.01 % of the time 2,300 points is enough to qualify for Blizzcon ~ 0.21 % of the time 2,500 points is enough to qualify for Blizzcon ~ 50.87 % of the time 2,875 points is enough to qualify for Blizzcon ~ 76.33 % of the time 3,000 points is enough to qualify for Blizzcon ~ 99.99 % of the time 3,675 points is enough to qualify for Blizzcon ~ 100 % of the time 3,700 points is enough to qualify for Blizzcon Flash's Top 20 Events (more here http://sc2.4ever.tv/?page=player&player_id=55 ) ~ 38.68 % of the time Flash loses their next match in GSL S3 Code S ro16 This would change Flash's Blizzcon chances from ~ 15.74 % to ~ 2.6 % ~ 61.32 % of the time Flash wins their next match in GSL S3 Code S ro16 This would change Flash's Blizzcon chances from ~ 15.74 % to ~ 24.04 % ~ 47.88 % of the time Flash loses their next match in IEM Toronto ro2 This would change Flash's Blizzcon chances from ~ 15.74 % to ~ 13.47 % ~ 52.12 % of the time Flash wins their next match in IEM Toronto ro2 This would change Flash's Blizzcon chances from ~ 15.74 % to ~ 17.83 % ~ 10.06 % of the time Flash gets 1st in GSL S3 Code S This would change Flash's Blizzcon chances from ~ 15.74 % to ~ 96.1 % ~ 10.36 % of the time Flash gets 1st in KeSPA Cup This would change Flash's Blizzcon chances from ~ 15.74 % to ~ 56.66 % ~ 89.94 % of the time Flash doesn't get 1st in GSL S3 Code S This would change Flash's Blizzcon chances from ~ 15.74 % to ~ 6.75 % ~ 27.72 % of the time Flash gets 8th in GSL S3 Code S This would change Flash's Blizzcon chances from ~ 15.74 % to ~ 6.64 % ~ 5.7 % of the time Flash gets 1st in GSL S3 Code S StarDust gets 16th in KeSPA Cup This would change Flash's Blizzcon chances from ~ 15.74 % to ~ 99.41 % ~ 43.35 % of the time Flash gets 16th in KeSPA Cup This would change Flash's Blizzcon chances from ~ 15.74 % to ~ 9.8 % ~ 56.65 % of the time Flash doesn't get 16th in KeSPA Cup This would change Flash's Blizzcon chances from ~ 15.74 % to ~ 20.29 % ~ 5.23 % of the time Flash gets 1st in IEM Toronto Flash gets 1st in GSL S3 Code S This would change Flash's Blizzcon chances from ~ 15.74 % to ~ 99.83 % ~ 5.23 % of the time Flash gets 1st in GSL S3 Code S Flash wins their next match in IEM Toronto ro2 This would change Flash's Blizzcon chances from ~ 15.74 % to ~ 99.83 % ~ 4.83 % of the time Flash gets 1st in GSL S3 Code S Zest gets 1st in IEM Toronto This would change Flash's Blizzcon chances from ~ 15.74 % to ~ 92.05 % ~ 4.83 % of the time Flash gets 1st in GSL S3 Code S Flash loses their next match in IEM Toronto ro2 This would change Flash's Blizzcon chances from ~ 15.74 % to ~ 92.05 % ~ 43.35 % of the time StarDust doesn't get 16th in KeSPA Cup This would change Flash's Blizzcon chances from ~ 15.74 % to ~ 9.8 % ~ 89.64 % of the time Flash doesn't get 1st in KeSPA Cup This would change Flash's Blizzcon chances from ~ 15.74 % to ~ 11.01 % ~ 4.24 % of the time Flash gets 1st in GSL S3 Code S INnoVation gets 8th in GSL S3 Code S This would change Flash's Blizzcon chances from ~ 15.74 % to ~ 95.97 % ~ 4.15 % of the time Flash gets 1st in GSL S3 Code S Zest gets 4th in GSL S3 Code S This would change Flash's Blizzcon chances from ~ 15.74 % to ~ 96.11 % ~ 56.65 % of the time StarDust gets 16th in KeSPA Cup This would change Flash's Blizzcon chances from ~ 15.74 % to ~ 20.29 % | ||
The_Templar
your Country52798 Posts
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Die4Ever
United States17744 Posts
On September 01 2014 03:34 The_Templar wrote: I like how this tournament has gone so far. Jaedong only gets to qualify for blizzcon at this rate if he does something or gets a bit luckier, Flash is earning his blizzcon spot, Snute has a bit of a better chance now. that's not really true about Jaedong actually This happens ~ 56.31 % of the time Jaedong loses their next match in WCS AM S3 Premier ro16 This would change Jaedong's Blizzcon chances from ~ 94.74 % to ~ 90.71 % and he isn't confirmed for any other tournament yet, so if he doesn't win any more matches he'll probably still qualify | ||
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Die4Ever
United States17744 Posts
On September 01 2014 03:38 Die4Ever wrote: that's not really true about Jaedong actually This happens ~ 56.31 % of the time Jaedong loses their next match in WCS AM S3 Premier ro16 This would change Jaedong's Blizzcon chances from ~ 94.74 % to ~ 90.71 % and he isn't confirmed for any other tournament yet, so if he doesn't win any more matches he'll probably still qualify also, Jaedong has 2950 WCS Points already ~ 71.59 % of the time 2,950 points is enough to qualify for Blizzcon | ||
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Die4Ever
United States17744 Posts
Here's the current Top 25 by Blizzcon Chances.
So right now we have - 8 players fully locked in (Hyun, MC, Taeja, StarDust, Polt, San, Zest, Bomber) 3 players almost certain with 90% or higher (Life, Jaedong, jjakji) 3 players with great chances over 60% (sOs, Classic, soO) 4 players with decent chances over 20% (herO, Rain, Pigbaby, viOLet) 6 players to look out for a miracle run with over 10% (Flash, Snute, Scarlett, MMA, Bunny, Innovation) 16 players with poor chances over 1% (full list of players here http://sc2.4ever.tv/?page=player_list ) + Show Spoiler [WCS Point Cutoffs] + ~ 0 % of the time 2,275 points is enough to qualify for Blizzcon ~ 0.01 % of the time 2,300 points is enough to qualify for Blizzcon ~ 0.21 % of the time 2,500 points is enough to qualify for Blizzcon ~ 50.39 % of the time 2,875 points is enough to qualify for Blizzcon ~ 75.78 % of the time 3,000 points is enough to qualify for Blizzcon ~ 99.99 % of the time 3,675 points is enough to qualify for Blizzcon ~ 100 % of the time 3,700 points is enough to qualify for Blizzcon Biggest Winners Since 3 Days Ago Life went up by ~ 33.81 %, going from ~ 65.15 % to ~ 98.97 % Flash went up by ~ 11.2 %, going from ~ 6.71 % to ~ 17.91 % Snute went up by ~ 3.5 %, going from ~ 11.22 % to ~ 14.72 %Biggest Losers Since 3 Days Ago herO went down by ~ 15.74 %, going from ~ 64.5 % to ~ 48.76 % sOs went down by ~ 8.82 %, going from ~ 93.34 % to ~ 84.52 % Scarlett went down by ~ 5.61 %, going from ~ 19.79 % to ~ 14.18 % Jaedong went down by ~ 3.12 %, going from ~ 97.7 % to ~ 94.58 % soO went down by ~ 2.53 %, going from ~ 63.94 % to ~ 61.42 %+ Show Spoiler [More] + jjakji went down by ~ 2.15 %, going from ~ 93.71 % to ~ 91.56 % MMA went down by ~ 1.87 %, going from ~ 15.05 % to ~ 13.18 % Pigbaby went down by ~ 1.66 %, going from ~ 30.99 % to ~ 29.34 % Bunny went down by ~ 1.39 %, going from ~ 14.58 % to ~ 13.19 % Classic went down by ~ 0.95 %, going from ~ 69.44 % to ~ 68.48 % Rain went down by ~ 0.85 %, going from ~ 31.2 % to ~ 30.35 % YoDa went down by ~ 0.62 %, going from ~ 9.04 % to ~ 8.42 % PartinG went down by ~ 0.62 %, going from ~ 9.19 % to ~ 8.57 % INnoVation went down by ~ 0.51 %, going from ~ 12.56 % to ~ 12.05 % MajOr went down by ~ 0.38 %, going from ~ 3.07 % to ~ 2.68 % Maru went down by ~ 0.29 %, going from ~ 6.63 % to ~ 6.34 % Heart went down by ~ 0.25 %, going from ~ 4.79 % to ~ 4.54 % Dayshi went down by ~ 0.15 %, going from ~ 0.93 % to ~ 0.78 % HuK went down by ~ 0.14 %, going from ~ 1.84 % to ~ 1.7 % viOLet went down by ~ 0.12 %, going from ~ 28.04 % to ~ 27.92 % TRUE went down by ~ 0.12 %, going from ~ 2.5 % to ~ 2.38 % HerO went down by ~ 0.11 %, going from ~ 7.15 % to ~ 7.04 % Solar went down by ~ 0.11 %, going from ~ 7.25 % to ~ 7.14 %Flash now has the #2 Headband and Effort still holds the #1 Headband. Will we see another #1 vs #2 match this year? With this tournament, the chances of 1+ foreigners qualifying for Blizzcon went from ~ 53.75 % down to ~ 51.29 %, and the chances for 2+ foreigners went from ~ 10.87 % down to ~ 9.33 %. Foreign Hopes Snute ~ 9.99 % chance to be the only foreigner, ~ 14.71 % chance overall. Scarlett ~ 9.41 % chance to be the only foreigner, ~ 14.18 % chance overall. Bunny ~ 9.35 % chance to be the only foreigner, ~ 13.17 % chance overall. VortiX ~ 3.81 % chance to be the only foreigner, ~ 5.47 % chance overall. Welmu ~ 2.57 % chance to be the only foreigner, ~ 3.68 % chance overall. + Show Spoiler [More] + MajOr ~ 1.85 % chance to be the only foreigner, ~ 2.69 % chance overall. TLO ~ 1.37 % chance to be the only foreigner, ~ 1.96 % chance overall. HuK ~ 1.13 % chance to be the only foreigner, ~ 1.7 % chance overall. Jim ~ 0.61 % chance to be the only foreigner, ~ 0.89 % chance overall. Dayshi ~ 0.57 % chance to be the only foreigner, ~ 0.79 % chance overall. MaNa ~ 0.45 % chance to be the only foreigner, ~ 0.63 % chance overall. Nerchio ~ 0.39 % chance to be the only foreigner, ~ 0.54 % chance overall. Happy ~ 0.36 % chance to be the only foreigner, ~ 0.52 % chance overall. Grubby ~ 0.02 % chance to be the only foreigner, ~ 0.03 % chance overall. Harstem ~ 0.02 % chance to be the only foreigner, ~ 0.02 % chance overall. BlinG ~ 0.02 % chance to be the only foreigner, ~ 0.02 % chance overall. iaguz ~ 0.01 % chance to be the only foreigner, ~ 0.02 % chance overall. Sen ~ 0.01 % chance to be the only foreigner, ~ 0.02 % chance overall. Bly ~ 0.01 % chance to be the only foreigner, ~ 0.01 % chance overall. neeb ~ 0.01 % chance to be the only foreigner, ~ 0.01 % chance overall. Kas ~ 0.01 % chance to be the only foreigner, ~ 0.01 % chance overall. Serral ~ 0.01 % chance to be the only foreigner, ~ 0.01 % chance overall. Miniraser ~ 0.01 % chance to be the only foreigner, ~ 0.01 % chance overall. KrasS ~ 0.01 % chance to be the only foreigner, ~ 0.01 % chance overall. puCK ~ 0.01 % chance to be the only foreigner, ~ 0.01 % chance overall. TooDming ~ 0.01 % chance to be the only foreigner, ~ 0.01 % chance overall. Has ~ 0.01 % chance to be the only foreigner, ~ 0.01 % chance overall. qxc ~ 0.01 % chance to be the only foreigner, ~ 0.01 % chance overall. XiGua ~ 0.01 % chance to be the only foreigner, ~ 0.01 % chance overall. ShoWTimE ~ 0.01 % chance to be the only foreigner, ~ 0.01 % chance overall. HeRoMaRinE ~ 0.01 % chance to be the only foreigner, ~ 0.01 % chance overall. Starbuck ~ 0.01 % chance to be the only foreigner, ~ 0.01 % chance overall. BabyKnight ~ 0.01 % chance to be the only foreigner, ~ 0.01 % chance overall. Chances for Seeds Bomber has a ~ 35.42 % chance to get the #8 seed at Blizzcon. HyuN has a ~ 32.3 % chance to get the #2 seed at Blizzcon. HyuN has a ~ 31.33 % chance to get the #1 seed at Blizzcon. MC has a ~ 24.56 % chance to get the #5 seed at Blizzcon. Zest has a ~ 23.84 % chance to get the #7 seed at Blizzcon. + Show Spoiler [More] + HyuN has a ~ 23.26 % chance to get the #3 seed at Blizzcon. Life has a ~ 22.4 % chance to get the #13 seed at Blizzcon. MC has a ~ 22.14 % chance to get the #4 seed at Blizzcon. Zest has a ~ 21.35 % chance to get the #8 seed at Blizzcon. Bomber has a ~ 19.9 % chance to get the #9 seed at Blizzcon. Life has a ~ 19.68 % chance to get the #12 seed at Blizzcon. TaeJa has a ~ 18.39 % chance to get the #1 seed at Blizzcon. Life has a ~ 18.06 % chance to get the #14 seed at Blizzcon. TaeJa has a ~ 17.87 % chance to get the #5 seed at Blizzcon. TaeJa has a ~ 17.57 % chance to get the #4 seed at Blizzcon. StarDust has a ~ 17.44 % chance to get the #6 seed at Blizzcon. MC has a ~ 17.24 % chance to get the #6 seed at Blizzcon. San has a ~ 16.79 % chance to get the #7 seed at Blizzcon. San has a ~ 16.2 % chance to get the #6 seed at Blizzcon. Polt has a ~ 15.88 % chance to get the #6 seed at Blizzcon. Polt has a ~ 15.22 % chance to get the #5 seed at Blizzcon. StarDust has a ~ 15.22 % chance to get the #5 seed at Blizzcon. MC has a ~ 14.87 % chance to get the #3 seed at Blizzcon. sOs has a ~ 14.6 % chance to get the #9 seed at Blizzcon. TaeJa has a ~ 14.45 % chance to get the #3 seed at Blizzcon. StarDust has a ~ 14.45 % chance to get the #7 seed at Blizzcon. Polt has a ~ 14.28 % chance to get the #4 seed at Blizzcon. Jaedong has a ~ 14.06 % chance to get the #14 seed at Blizzcon. StarDust has a ~ 13.53 % chance to get the #4 seed at Blizzcon. TaeJa has a ~ 13.48 % chance to get the #6 seed at Blizzcon. Jaedong has a ~ 13.46 % chance to get the #13 seed at Blizzcon. Life has a ~ 13.3 % chance to get the #11 seed at Blizzcon. Polt has a ~ 13.22 % chance to get the #7 seed at Blizzcon. sOs has a ~ 13.2 % chance to get the #10 seed at Blizzcon. Jaedong has a ~ 13.06 % chance to get the #12 seed at Blizzcon. Jaedong has a ~ 12.67 % chance to get the #15 seed at Blizzcon. Polt has a ~ 12.62 % chance to get the #1 seed at Blizzcon. Jaedong has a ~ 12.57 % chance to get the #11 seed at Blizzcon. San has a ~ 12.54 % chance to get the #5 seed at Blizzcon. jjakji has a ~ 12.22 % chance to get the #15 seed at Blizzcon. Polt has a ~ 12.15 % chance to get the #3 seed at Blizzcon. San has a ~ 12.14 % chance to get the #2 seed at Blizzcon. jjakji has a ~ 11.77 % chance to get the #14 seed at Blizzcon. San has a ~ 11.74 % chance to get the #1 seed at Blizzcon. TaeJa has a ~ 11.57 % chance to get the #2 seed at Blizzcon. jjakji has a ~ 11.45 % chance to get the #11 seed at Blizzcon. StarDust has a ~ 11.4 % chance to get the #3 seed at Blizzcon. StarDust has a ~ 11.4 % chance to get the #2 seed at Blizzcon. StarDust has a ~ 11.03 % chance to get the #1 seed at Blizzcon. herO has a ~ 10.98 % chance to get the #16 seed at Blizzcon. Bomber has a ~ 10.86 % chance to get the #7 seed at Blizzcon. sOs has a ~ 10.68 % chance to get the #11 seed at Blizzcon. Classic has a ~ 10.65 % chance to get the #14 seed at Blizzcon. jjakji has a ~ 10.64 % chance to get the #12 seed at Blizzcon. jjakji has a ~ 10.57 % chance to get the #10 seed at Blizzcon. jjakji has a ~ 10.57 % chance to get the #13 seed at Blizzcon. San has a ~ 10.55 % chance to get the #4 seed at Blizzcon. Classic has a ~ 10.25 % chance to get the #13 seed at Blizzcon. Polt has a ~ 10.24 % chance to get the #2 seed at Blizzcon. Jaedong has a ~ 10.1 % chance to get the #10 seed at Blizzcon. Classic has a ~ 10.04 % chance to get the #15 seed at Blizzcon. HyuN has a ~ 9.98 % chance to get the #4 seed at Blizzcon. Life has a ~ 9.93 % chance to get the #15 seed at Blizzcon. jjakji has a ~ 9.8 % chance to get the #16 seed at Blizzcon. San has a ~ 9.78 % chance to get the #3 seed at Blizzcon. Zest has a ~ 9.76 % chance to get the #6 seed at Blizzcon. soO has a ~ 9.73 % chance to get the #16 seed at Blizzcon. Zest has a ~ 9.68 % chance to get the #2 seed at Blizzcon. Classic has a ~ 9.6 % chance to get the #16 seed at Blizzcon. Zest has a ~ 9.34 % chance to get the #3 seed at Blizzcon. Classic has a ~ 9.02 % chance to get the #12 seed at Blizzcon. soO has a ~ 8.87 % chance to get the #15 seed at Blizzcon. MC has a ~ 8.51 % chance to get the #2 seed at Blizzcon. San has a ~ 8.51 % chance to get the #8 seed at Blizzcon. Jaedong has a ~ 8.46 % chance to get the #16 seed at Blizzcon. herO has a ~ 8.43 % chance to get the #15 seed at Blizzcon. sOs has a ~ 8.34 % chance to get the #12 seed at Blizzcon. Life has a ~ 7.91 % chance to get the #10 seed at Blizzcon. soO has a ~ 7.45 % chance to get the #14 seed at Blizzcon. Classic has a ~ 7.23 % chance to get the #11 seed at Blizzcon. jjakji has a ~ 6.96 % chance to get the #9 seed at Blizzcon. Bomber has a ~ 6.92 % chance to get the #10 seed at Blizzcon. sOs has a ~ 6.76 % chance to get the #13 seed at Blizzcon. Zest has a ~ 6.76 % chance to get the #4 seed at Blizzcon. soO has a ~ 6.71 % chance to get the #13 seed at Blizzcon. soO has a ~ 6.67 % chance to get the #12 seed at Blizzcon. Pigbaby has a ~ 6.62 % chance to get the #16 seed at Blizzcon. soO has a ~ 6.54 % chance to get the #11 seed at Blizzcon. viOLet has a ~ 6.49 % chance to get the #16 seed at Blizzcon. Zest has a ~ 6.39 % chance to get the #9 seed at Blizzcon. sOs has a ~ 6.27 % chance to get the #8 seed at Blizzcon. Zest has a ~ 6.2 % chance to get the #1 seed at Blizzcon. soO has a ~ 6.18 % chance to get the #10 seed at Blizzcon. MC has a ~ 6.18 % chance to get the #7 seed at Blizzcon. sOs has a ~ 6.14 % chance to get the #14 seed at Blizzcon. sOs has a ~ 6.02 % chance to get the #15 seed at Blizzcon. herO has a ~ 5.99 % chance to get the #14 seed at Blizzcon. soO has a ~ 5.83 % chance to get the #9 seed at Blizzcon. Zest has a ~ 5.8 % chance to get the #5 seed at Blizzcon. Bomber has a ~ 5.79 % chance to get the #6 seed at Blizzcon. TaeJa has a ~ 5.71 % chance to get the #7 seed at Blizzcon. MC has a ~ 5.67 % chance to get the #1 seed at Blizzcon. sOs has a ~ 5.63 % chance to get the #16 seed at Blizzcon. Rain has a ~ 5.6 % chance to get the #10 seed at Blizzcon. Jaedong has a ~ 5.6 % chance to get the #9 seed at Blizzcon. Classic has a ~ 5.57 % chance to get the #10 seed at Blizzcon. Polt has a ~ 5.57 % chance to get the #8 seed at Blizzcon. herO has a ~ 5.48 % chance to get the #10 seed at Blizzcon. herO has a ~ 5.34 % chance to get the #9 seed at Blizzcon. Snute has a ~ 5.23 % chance to get the #16 seed at Blizzcon. StarDust has a ~ 4.99 % chance to get the #8 seed at Blizzcon. Pigbaby has a ~ 4.98 % chance to get the #15 seed at Blizzcon. viOLet has a ~ 4.91 % chance to get the #15 seed at Blizzcon. Rain has a ~ 4.68 % chance to get the #9 seed at Blizzcon. Classic has a ~ 4.65 % chance to get the #9 seed at Blizzcon. Rain has a ~ 4.39 % chance to get the #11 seed at Blizzcon. Bomber has a ~ 4.31 % chance to get the #5 seed at Blizzcon. herO has a ~ 4.3 % chance to get the #13 seed at Blizzcon. Bomber has a ~ 3.97 % chance to get the #4 seed at Blizzcon. Bomber has a ~ 3.86 % chance to get the #3 seed at Blizzcon. herO has a ~ 3.73 % chance to get the #11 seed at Blizzcon. Life has a ~ 3.66 % chance to get the #16 seed at Blizzcon. Life has a ~ 3.65 % chance to get the #9 seed at Blizzcon. Bomber has a ~ 3.62 % chance to get the #2 seed at Blizzcon. viOLet has a ~ 3.6 % chance to get the #14 seed at Blizzcon. Pigbaby has a ~ 3.52 % chance to get the #14 seed at Blizzcon. jjakji has a ~ 3.51 % chance to get the #8 seed at Blizzcon. Bunny has a ~ 3.37 % chance to get the #10 seed at Blizzcon. herO has a ~ 3.35 % chance to get the #12 seed at Blizzcon. viOLet has a ~ 3.33 % chance to get the #9 seed at Blizzcon. YoDa has a ~ 3.05 % chance to get the #16 seed at Blizzcon. Rain has a ~ 3.01 % chance to get the #12 seed at Blizzcon. Rain has a ~ 2.97 % chance to get the #16 seed at Blizzcon. Snute has a ~ 2.89 % chance to get the #15 seed at Blizzcon. MMA has a ~ 2.84 % chance to get the #10 seed at Blizzcon. Bomber has a ~ 2.82 % chance to get the #1 seed at Blizzcon. Flash has a ~ 2.81 % chance to get the #11 seed at Blizzcon. Bunny has a ~ 2.8 % chance to get the #11 seed at Blizzcon. Flash has a ~ 2.78 % chance to get the #12 seed at Blizzcon. sOs has a ~ 2.76 % chance to get the #7 seed at Blizzcon. Pigbaby has a ~ 2.76 % chance to get the #9 seed at Blizzcon. Pigbaby has a ~ 2.72 % chance to get the #10 seed at Blizzcon. INnoVation has a ~ 2.69 % chance to get the #12 seed at Blizzcon. Pigbaby has a ~ 2.68 % chance to get the #13 seed at Blizzcon. HyuN has a ~ 2.68 % chance to get the #5 seed at Blizzcon. viOLet has a ~ 2.54 % chance to get the #13 seed at Blizzcon. MMA has a ~ 2.49 % chance to get the #16 seed at Blizzcon. Rain has a ~ 2.49 % chance to get the #15 seed at Blizzcon. viOLet has a ~ 2.44 % chance to get the #10 seed at Blizzcon. Pigbaby has a ~ 2.38 % chance to get the #12 seed at Blizzcon. jjakji has a ~ 2.37 % chance to get the #7 seed at Blizzcon. Pigbaby has a ~ 2.37 % chance to get the #11 seed at Blizzcon. MMA has a ~ 2.32 % chance to get the #9 seed at Blizzcon. Scarlett has a ~ 2.31 % chance to get the #10 seed at Blizzcon. Flash has a ~ 2.31 % chance to get the #10 seed at Blizzcon. Rain has a ~ 2.3 % chance to get the #13 seed at Blizzcon. Flash has a ~ 2.29 % chance to get the #13 seed at Blizzcon. INnoVation has a ~ 2.27 % chance to get the #11 seed at Blizzcon. Jaedong has a ~ 2.25 % chance to get the #8 seed at Blizzcon. INnoVation has a ~ 2.23 % chance to get the #13 seed at Blizzcon. Rain has a ~ 2.19 % chance to get the #14 seed at Blizzcon. soO has a ~ 2.19 % chance to get the #8 seed at Blizzcon. ForGG has a ~ 2.15 % chance to get the #11 seed at Blizzcon. Scarlett has a ~ 2.08 % chance to get the #11 seed at Blizzcon. YoDa has a ~ 1.98 % chance to get the #15 seed at Blizzcon. Bomber has a ~ 1.98 % chance to get the #11 seed at Blizzcon. ForGG has a ~ 1.97 % chance to get the #10 seed at Blizzcon. Bunny has a ~ 1.97 % chance to get the #9 seed at Blizzcon. Snute has a ~ 1.83 % chance to get the #14 seed at Blizzcon. Flash has a ~ 1.83 % chance to get the #14 seed at Blizzcon. Scarlett has a ~ 1.81 % chance to get the #12 seed at Blizzcon. viOLet has a ~ 1.79 % chance to get the #12 seed at Blizzcon. Flash has a ~ 1.79 % chance to get the #16 seed at Blizzcon. Scarlett has a ~ 1.75 % chance to get the #9 seed at Blizzcon. Flash has a ~ 1.68 % chance to get the #15 seed at Blizzcon. HerO has a ~ 1.66 % chance to get the #16 seed at Blizzcon. Solar has a ~ 1.66 % chance to get the #11 seed at Blizzcon. Flash has a ~ 1.63 % chance to get the #9 seed at Blizzcon. San has a ~ 1.61 % chance to get the #9 seed at Blizzcon. Scarlett has a ~ 1.59 % chance to get the #13 seed at Blizzcon. Solar has a ~ 1.58 % chance to get the #12 seed at Blizzcon. MMA has a ~ 1.57 % chance to get the #11 seed at Blizzcon. viOLet has a ~ 1.55 % chance to get the #11 seed at Blizzcon. Scarlett has a ~ 1.54 % chance to get the #16 seed at Blizzcon. MMA has a ~ 1.5 % chance to get the #15 seed at Blizzcon. Maru has a ~ 1.5 % chance to get the #11 seed at Blizzcon. Snute has a ~ 1.47 % chance to get the #13 seed at Blizzcon. Jaedong has a ~ 1.46 % chance to get the #7 seed at Blizzcon. sOs has a ~ 1.45 % chance to get the #6 seed at Blizzcon. INnoVation has a ~ 1.44 % chance to get the #10 seed at Blizzcon. ForGG has a ~ 1.43 % chance to get the #12 seed at Blizzcon. Bunny has a ~ 1.42 % chance to get the #12 seed at Blizzcon. Rain has a ~ 1.42 % chance to get the #8 seed at Blizzcon. Snute has a ~ 1.38 % chance to get the #12 seed at Blizzcon. Scarlett has a ~ 1.37 % chance to get the #14 seed at Blizzcon. INnoVation has a ~ 1.33 % chance to get the #14 seed at Blizzcon. Scarlett has a ~ 1.31 % chance to get the #15 seed at Blizzcon. Maru has a ~ 1.29 % chance to get the #12 seed at Blizzcon. VortiX has a ~ 1.28 % chance to get the #12 seed at Blizzcon. Bunny has a ~ 1.28 % chance to get the #16 seed at Blizzcon. HerO has a ~ 1.28 % chance to get the #10 seed at Blizzcon. PartinG has a ~ 1.24 % chance to get the #10 seed at Blizzcon. Classic has a ~ 1.22 % chance to get the #8 seed at Blizzcon. PartinG has a ~ 1.22 % chance to get the #11 seed at Blizzcon. PartinG has a ~ 1.22 % chance to get the #16 seed at Blizzcon. PartinG has a ~ 1.17 % chance to get the #15 seed at Blizzcon. Solar has a ~ 1.15 % chance to get the #10 seed at Blizzcon. VortiX has a ~ 1.15 % chance to get the #11 seed at Blizzcon. Heart has a ~ 1.13 % chance to get the #15 seed at Blizzcon. Maru has a ~ 1.12 % chance to get the #10 seed at Blizzcon. Snute has a ~ 1.11 % chance to get the #11 seed at Blizzcon. MajOr has a ~ 1.09 % chance to get the #16 seed at Blizzcon. viOLet has a ~ 1.05 % chance to get the #8 seed at Blizzcon. YoDa has a ~ 1.04 % chance to get the #14 seed at Blizzcon. Solar has a ~ 1.03 % chance to get the #13 seed at Blizzcon. More on the website... Chances for 1st Round Blizzcon Matches ~ 17.29 % chance to see Life vs MC as a first match at Blizzcon. ~ 14.19 % chance to see Life vs TaeJa as a first match at Blizzcon. ~ 13.78 % chance to see Bomber vs sOs as a first match at Blizzcon. ~ 13.48 % chance to see Life vs Polt as a first match at Blizzcon. ~ 13.17 % chance to see Life vs StarDust as a first match at Blizzcon. + Show Spoiler [More] + ~ 12.87 % chance to see TaeJa vs Jaedong as a first match at Blizzcon. ~ 12.72 % chance to see HyuN vs Jaedong as a first match at Blizzcon. ~ 12.57 % chance to see MC vs Jaedong as a first match at Blizzcon. ~ 11.9 % chance to see Life vs HyuN as a first match at Blizzcon. ~ 11.78 % chance to see sOs vs Zest as a first match at Blizzcon. ~ 11.57 % chance to see HyuN vs jjakji as a first match at Blizzcon. ~ 11.53 % chance to see Jaedong vs StarDust as a first match at Blizzcon. ~ 11.51 % chance to see Polt vs Jaedong as a first match at Blizzcon. ~ 11.47 % chance to see Life vs San as a first match at Blizzcon. ~ 11.1 % chance to see jjakji vs MC as a first match at Blizzcon. ~ 11.04 % chance to see San vs Jaedong as a first match at Blizzcon. ~ 11.01 % chance to see jjakji vs StarDust as a first match at Blizzcon. ~ 10.89 % chance to see Polt vs jjakji as a first match at Blizzcon. ~ 10.84 % chance to see jjakji vs San as a first match at Blizzcon. ~ 10.78 % chance to see TaeJa vs jjakji as a first match at Blizzcon. ~ 9.93 % chance to see HyuN vs Classic as a first match at Blizzcon. ~ 9.88 % chance to see jjakji vs Zest as a first match at Blizzcon. ~ 9.52 % chance to see Jaedong vs Zest as a first match at Blizzcon. ~ 9.3 % chance to see Bomber vs jjakji as a first match at Blizzcon. ~ 9.16 % chance to see San vs sOs as a first match at Blizzcon. ~ 9.06 % chance to see TaeJa vs Classic as a first match at Blizzcon. ~ 9.05 % chance to see MC vs Classic as a first match at Blizzcon. ~ 8.99 % chance to see Polt vs sOs as a first match at Blizzcon. ~ 8.74 % chance to see sOs vs StarDust as a first match at Blizzcon. ~ 8.67 % chance to see San vs Classic as a first match at Blizzcon. ~ 8.57 % chance to see Life vs Zest as a first match at Blizzcon. ~ 8.45 % chance to see Polt vs Classic as a first match at Blizzcon. ~ 8.41 % chance to see HyuN vs soO as a first match at Blizzcon. ~ 8.34 % chance to see Bomber vs Zest as a first match at Blizzcon. ~ 8.28 % chance to see Bomber vs Jaedong as a first match at Blizzcon. ~ 8.27 % chance to see StarDust vs Classic as a first match at Blizzcon. ~ 8.07 % chance to see MC vs sOs as a first match at Blizzcon. ~ 7.79 % chance to see HyuN vs herO as a first match at Blizzcon. ~ 7.62 % chance to see TaeJa vs sOs as a first match at Blizzcon. ~ 7.54 % chance to see TaeJa vs soO as a first match at Blizzcon. ~ 7.38 % chance to see soO vs StarDust as a first match at Blizzcon. ~ 7.28 % chance to see Polt vs soO as a first match at Blizzcon. ~ 7.13 % chance to see Classic vs Zest as a first match at Blizzcon. ~ 7.13 % chance to see MC vs soO as a first match at Blizzcon. ~ 7.1 % chance to see San vs soO as a first match at Blizzcon. ~ 6.79 % chance to see soO vs Zest as a first match at Blizzcon. ~ 6.64 % chance to see Life vs Bomber as a first match at Blizzcon. ~ 6.57 % chance to see Bomber vs soO as a first match at Blizzcon. ~ 6.05 % chance to see HyuN vs sOs as a first match at Blizzcon. ~ 5.99 % chance to see TaeJa vs herO as a first match at Blizzcon. ~ 5.87 % chance to see herO vs Zest as a first match at Blizzcon. ~ 5.75 % chance to see Bomber vs Classic as a first match at Blizzcon. ~ 5.74 % chance to see StarDust vs herO as a first match at Blizzcon. ~ 5.69 % chance to see San vs herO as a first match at Blizzcon. ~ 5.6 % chance to see Polt vs herO as a first match at Blizzcon. ~ 5.47 % chance to see Bomber vs herO as a first match at Blizzcon. ~ 4.77 % chance to see MC vs herO as a first match at Blizzcon. ~ 4.68 % chance to see HyuN vs Pigbaby as a first match at Blizzcon. ~ 4.61 % chance to see viOLet vs HyuN as a first match at Blizzcon. ~ 4.52 % chance to see Rain vs Bomber as a first match at Blizzcon. ~ 4.45 % chance to see Rain vs Zest as a first match at Blizzcon. ~ 3.68 % chance to see TaeJa vs Pigbaby as a first match at Blizzcon. ~ 3.54 % chance to see Rain vs San as a first match at Blizzcon. ~ 3.51 % chance to see San vs Pigbaby as a first match at Blizzcon. ~ 3.48 % chance to see Polt vs Pigbaby as a first match at Blizzcon. ~ 3.47 % chance to see TaeJa vs viOLet as a first match at Blizzcon. ~ 3.4 % chance to see Rain vs StarDust as a first match at Blizzcon. ~ 3.37 % chance to see viOLet vs Bomber as a first match at Blizzcon. ~ 3.36 % chance to see StarDust vs Pigbaby as a first match at Blizzcon. ~ 3.32 % chance to see Bomber vs San as a first match at Blizzcon. ~ 3.3 % chance to see Rain vs Polt as a first match at Blizzcon. ~ 3.2 % chance to see viOLet vs Polt as a first match at Blizzcon. ~ 3.12 % chance to see Bomber vs Pigbaby as a first match at Blizzcon. ~ 3.12 % chance to see viOLet vs San as a first match at Blizzcon. ~ 3.09 % chance to see Zest vs Pigbaby as a first match at Blizzcon. ~ 3.06 % chance to see viOLet vs Zest as a first match at Blizzcon. ~ 3.04 % chance to see viOLet vs StarDust as a first match at Blizzcon. ~ 3.03 % chance to see MC vs Pigbaby as a first match at Blizzcon. ~ 2.96 % chance to see Rain vs MC as a first match at Blizzcon. ~ 2.95 % chance to see TaeJa vs Rain as a first match at Blizzcon. ~ 2.92 % chance to see HyuN vs Snute as a first match at Blizzcon. ~ 2.67 % chance to see viOLet vs MC as a first match at Blizzcon. ~ 2.44 % chance to see Rain vs HyuN as a first match at Blizzcon. ~ 2.35 % chance to see Flash vs StarDust as a first match at Blizzcon. ~ 2.33 % chance to see MC vs Flash as a first match at Blizzcon. ~ 2.29 % chance to see TaeJa vs Snute as a first match at Blizzcon. ~ 2.22 % chance to see Polt vs Flash as a first match at Blizzcon. ~ 2.18 % chance to see TaeJa vs Flash as a first match at Blizzcon. ~ 2.17 % chance to see Bomber vs StarDust as a first match at Blizzcon. ~ 2.17 % chance to see Flash vs Zest as a first match at Blizzcon. ~ 2.16 % chance to see San vs Flash as a first match at Blizzcon. ~ 2.06 % chance to see Bomber vs Polt as a first match at Blizzcon. ~ 2.03 % chance to see HyuN vs YoDa as a first match at Blizzcon. ~ 2.01 % chance to see MC vs INnoVation as a first match at Blizzcon. ~ 1.96 % chance to see Bomber vs MMA as a first match at Blizzcon. ~ 1.95 % chance to see San vs Bunny as a first match at Blizzcon. ~ 1.92 % chance to see Bomber vs Flash as a first match at Blizzcon. ~ 1.89 % chance to see Bomber vs Bunny as a first match at Blizzcon. ~ 1.89 % chance to see Polt vs Scarlett as a first match at Blizzcon. ~ 1.88 % chance to see Snute vs StarDust as a first match at Blizzcon. ~ 1.87 % chance to see jjakji vs sOs as a first match at Blizzcon. ~ 1.87 % chance to see Polt vs Snute as a first match at Blizzcon. ~ 1.83 % chance to see San vs Snute as a first match at Blizzcon. ~ 1.83 % chance to see Bomber vs Scarlett as a first match at Blizzcon. ~ 1.82 % chance to see Zest vs Bunny as a first match at Blizzcon. ~ 1.82 % chance to see MMA vs Zest as a first match at Blizzcon. ~ 1.8 % chance to see MMA vs San as a first match at Blizzcon. ~ 1.8 % chance to see HyuN vs Flash as a first match at Blizzcon. ~ 1.78 % chance to see StarDust vs Bunny as a first match at Blizzcon. ~ 1.78 % chance to see TaeJa vs Scarlett as a first match at Blizzcon. ~ 1.71 % chance to see MC vs Snute as a first match at Blizzcon. ~ 1.7 % chance to see Scarlett vs StarDust as a first match at Blizzcon. ~ 1.7 % chance to see Scarlett vs San as a first match at Blizzcon. ~ 1.67 % chance to see Scarlett vs MC as a first match at Blizzcon. ~ 1.66 % chance to see INnoVation vs StarDust as a first match at Blizzcon. ~ 1.64 % chance to see Polt vs INnoVation as a first match at Blizzcon. ~ 1.63 % chance to see Scarlett vs Zest as a first match at Blizzcon. ~ 1.62 % chance to see TaeJa vs INnoVation as a first match at Blizzcon. ~ 1.6 % chance to see Polt vs Bunny as a first match at Blizzcon. ~ 1.58 % chance to see MMA vs StarDust as a first match at Blizzcon. ~ 1.52 % chance to see INnoVation vs San as a first match at Blizzcon. ~ 1.5 % chance to see Jaedong vs sOs as a first match at Blizzcon. ~ 1.48 % chance to see Polt vs MMA as a first match at Blizzcon. ~ 1.42 % chance to see HyuN vs MMA as a first match at Blizzcon. ~ 1.38 % chance to see MC vs Bunny as a first match at Blizzcon. ~ 1.37 % chance to see INnoVation vs Zest as a first match at Blizzcon. ~ 1.35 % chance to see TaeJa vs Bunny as a first match at Blizzcon. ~ 1.35 % chance to see Snute vs Zest as a first match at Blizzcon. ~ 1.34 % chance to see TaeJa vs MMA as a first match at Blizzcon. ~ 1.33 % chance to see TaeJa vs YoDa as a first match at Blizzcon. ~ 1.33 % chance to see ForGG vs San as a first match at Blizzcon. ~ 1.32 % chance to see HyuN vs Scarlett as a first match at Blizzcon. ~ 1.26 % chance to see ForGG vs StarDust as a first match at Blizzcon. More on the website... I know everyone is wondering about Flash now, here are the top 20 events from his page, see more here http://sc2.4ever.tv/?page=player&player_id=55 + Show Spoiler [Flash's Events] + ~ 38.65 % of the time Flash loses their next match in GSL S3 Code S ro16 This would change Flash's Blizzcon chances from ~ 17.91 % to ~ 3.75 % ~ 61.35 % of the time Flash wins their next match in GSL S3 Code S ro16 This would change Flash's Blizzcon chances from ~ 17.91 % to ~ 26.83 % ~ 10.07 % of the time Flash gets 1st in GSL S3 Code S This would change Flash's Blizzcon chances from ~ 17.91 % to ~ 99.83 % ~ 10.36 % of the time Flash gets 1st in KeSPA Cup This would change Flash's Blizzcon chances from ~ 17.91 % to ~ 68.26 % ~ 89.93 % of the time Flash doesn't get 1st in GSL S3 Code S This would change Flash's Blizzcon chances from ~ 17.91 % to ~ 8.74 % ~ 43.29 % of the time Flash gets 16th in KeSPA Cup This would change Flash's Blizzcon chances from ~ 17.91 % to ~ 10.89 % ~ 56.71 % of the time Flash doesn't get 16th in KeSPA Cup This would change Flash's Blizzcon chances from ~ 17.91 % to ~ 23.27 % ~ 89.64 % of the time Flash doesn't get 1st in KeSPA Cup This would change Flash's Blizzcon chances from ~ 17.91 % to ~ 12.09 % ~ 5.72 % of the time Flash gets 1st in GSL S3 Code S StarDust gets 16th in KeSPA Cup This would change Flash's Blizzcon chances from ~ 17.91 % to ~ 99.99 % ~ 43.29 % of the time StarDust doesn't get 16th in KeSPA Cup This would change Flash's Blizzcon chances from ~ 17.91 % to ~ 10.89 % ~ 27.69 % of the time Flash gets 8th in GSL S3 Code S This would change Flash's Blizzcon chances from ~ 17.91 % to ~ 9.43 % ~ 56.71 % of the time StarDust gets 16th in KeSPA Cup This would change Flash's Blizzcon chances from ~ 17.91 % to ~ 23.27 % ~ 6.36 % of the time Flash gets 1st in KeSPA Cup Flash wins their next match in GSL S3 Code S ro16 This would change Flash's Blizzcon chances from ~ 17.91 % to ~ 90.63 % ~ 4.35 % of the time Flash gets 1st in GSL S3 Code S Flash gets 16th in KeSPA Cup This would change Flash's Blizzcon chances from ~ 17.91 % to ~ 99.62 % ~ 4.25 % of the time Flash gets 1st in GSL S3 Code S INnoVation gets 8th in GSL S3 Code S This would change Flash's Blizzcon chances from ~ 17.91 % to ~ 99.81 % ~ 4.17 % of the time Flash gets 1st in GSL S3 Code S Zest gets 4th in GSL S3 Code S This would change Flash's Blizzcon chances from ~ 17.91 % to ~ 99.84 % ~ 3.74 % of the time Flash gets 1st in GSL S3 Code S PartinG gets 8th in GSL S3 Code S This would change Flash's Blizzcon chances from ~ 17.91 % to ~ 99.83 % ~ 3.67 % of the time Flash gets 1st in GSL S3 Code S Maru gets 8th in GSL S3 Code S This would change Flash's Blizzcon chances from ~ 17.91 % to ~ 99.82 % ~ 3.55 % of the time Flash gets 1st in GSL S3 Code S Cure gets 4th in GSL S3 Code S This would change Flash's Blizzcon chances from ~ 17.91 % to ~ 99.84 % ~ 1.49 % of the time Flash gets 1st in DreamHack Stockholm This would change Flash's Blizzcon chances from ~ 17.91 % to ~ 40.97 % We're now running out of tournaments, only the 3 WCS regions, 2 Dreamhacks, KeSPA Cup, Red Bull Washington, and the 2 placeholders left. I may have to remove the 2 placeholders soon if they don't get filled or at least 1 of them, any feedback on this? Remember to check the website for much more frequent updates! http://sc2.4ever.tv ----------------------- | ||
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Aeceus
United Kingdom1278 Posts
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The_Templar
your Country52798 Posts
On September 01 2014 09:33 Aeceus wrote: Interesting how Solar has a 6.35% chance to win GSL but soO has 4.04%. Not sure if that is correct hmm Solar is a lot higher rated by Aligulac than soO. | ||
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Aeceus
United Kingdom1278 Posts
On September 01 2014 09:52 The_Templar wrote: Solar is a lot higher rated by Aligulac than soO. Yeah I understand, I just think soO is slightly under rated by it. *shrug* | ||
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The_Templar
your Country52798 Posts
On September 01 2014 09:59 Aeceus wrote: Yeah I understand, I just think soO is slightly under rated by it. *shrug* What I meant is that it's an aligulac problem  | ||
digmouse
China6331 Posts
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ZigguratOfUr
Iraq16955 Posts
On September 01 2014 15:22 digmouse wrote: Snute probably need another top 4 finish or two at WCS T2 events to secure a spot. Or a first or second place. If he goes to Dreamhack Moscow that sounds eminently doable. | ||
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Circumstance
United States11403 Posts
On September 01 2014 15:22 digmouse wrote: Snute probably need another top 4 finish or two at WCS T2 events to secure a spot. On August 31 2014 11:08 Die4Ever wrote: ~ 0 % of the time 2,275 points is enough to qualify for Blizzcon ~ 0.01 % of the time 2,300 points is enough to qualify for Blizzcon ~ 0.2 % of the time 2,500 points is enough to qualify for Blizzcon ~ 49.57 % of the time 2,875 points is enough to qualify for Blizzcon ~ 75.62 % of the time 3,000 points is enough to qualify for Blizzcon ~ 99.99 % of the time 3,725 points is enough to qualify for Blizzcon ~ 100 % of the time 3,750 points is enough to qualify for Blizzcon Snute currently has 2,550 points. If he attends and makes Top 8 at both of the last Dreamhacks, that'd put him at 3,050, meaning well over 75% chances to make Blizzcon. | ||
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digmouse
China6331 Posts
On September 01 2014 15:47 Circumstance wrote: Snute currently has 2,550 points. If he attends and makes Top 8 at both of the last Dreamhacks, that'd put him at 3,050, meaning well over 75% chances to make Blizzcon. That's definitely doable. | ||
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