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[June] win rates are now here! - Page 6

Forum Index > SC2 General
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rysecake
Profile Joined October 2010
United States2632 Posts
Last Edited: 2012-07-02 15:10:36
July 02 2012 15:10 GMT
#101
On July 03 2012 00:07 mec wrote:
Show nested quote +
On July 03 2012 00:01 Ctuchik wrote:
On July 02 2012 23:53 IshinShishi wrote:
I don't trust this OP considering his posts, where* is the guy that normally does this?Which games were considered here?GSL+GSTL post patch is showing terran being ravaged without soothing.



Good on you for being skeptical, but these are indeed legit. =P

You can always check my twitter for the originals.

Here is the TVZ Korea data for reference:

June TvZ: 58-56
GSL and GSTL TvZ: 29-32
Proleague TvZ: 3-6
Kespa Exhibition TvZ: 3-4
KSL Finals TvZ: 3-1
ESV Korean Weekly 5,6,7 TvZ: 20-13
That being said TLPD is flawed. If they counted Code A qualifiers and TSL qualifiers it would skew the winrates heavily in Zergs favor and both of those tournaments are much harder then the ESV tournament but neither is in the TLPD database. Todays OSL qualifiers won't be in the database either and those qualifiers were brutally hard.
Code A qualifiers TvZ (not counting amateurs or teamless Koreans): 14-36
TSL4 KR qualifier #1 TvZ: 26-42
TSL4 KR qualifier #2 TvZ: 25-38
TSL4 KR qualifier #3 TvZ: 16-24


Could you make a graph with those games included? I'm just curious how it looks


139-196.

so roughly 41 % T vs 59% for Z.

edit: im too slow =(
The Notorious Winkles
mec
Profile Joined December 2010
Sweden192 Posts
July 02 2012 15:10 GMT
#102
On July 03 2012 00:09 Falconblade wrote:
Show nested quote +
On July 03 2012 00:07 mec wrote:
On July 03 2012 00:01 Ctuchik wrote:
On July 02 2012 23:53 IshinShishi wrote:
I don't trust this OP considering his posts, where* is the guy that normally does this?Which games were considered here?GSL+GSTL post patch is showing terran being ravaged without soothing.



Good on you for being skeptical, but these are indeed legit. =P

You can always check my twitter for the originals.

Here is the TVZ Korea data for reference:

June TvZ: 58-56
GSL and GSTL TvZ: 29-32
Proleague TvZ: 3-6
Kespa Exhibition TvZ: 3-4
KSL Finals TvZ: 3-1
ESV Korean Weekly 5,6,7 TvZ: 20-13
That being said TLPD is flawed. If they counted Code A qualifiers and TSL qualifiers it would skew the winrates heavily in Zergs favor and both of those tournaments are much harder then the ESV tournament but neither is in the TLPD database. Todays OSL qualifiers won't be in the database either and those qualifiers were brutally hard.
Code A qualifiers TvZ (not counting amateurs or teamless Koreans): 14-36
TSL4 KR qualifier #1 TvZ: 26-42
TSL4 KR qualifier #2 TvZ: 25-38
TSL4 KR qualifier #3 TvZ: 16-24


Could you make a graph with those games included? I'm just curious how it looks


Would be TvZ in Korea 139 - 196. Which is 41.5% T to 58.5% Z


Thanks, well that should add some fuel on the fire. Terrans, go at it!
BobMcJohnson
Profile Blog Joined October 2010
France2916 Posts
Last Edited: 2012-07-02 15:22:17
July 02 2012 15:16 GMT
#103
On July 03 2012 00:09 Falconblade wrote:
Show nested quote +
On July 03 2012 00:07 mec wrote:
On July 03 2012 00:01 Ctuchik wrote:
On July 02 2012 23:53 IshinShishi wrote:
I don't trust this OP considering his posts, where* is the guy that normally does this?Which games were considered here?GSL+GSTL post patch is showing terran being ravaged without soothing.



Good on you for being skeptical, but these are indeed legit. =P

You can always check my twitter for the originals.

Here is the TVZ Korea data for reference:

June TvZ: 58-56
GSL and GSTL TvZ: 29-32
Proleague TvZ: 3-6
Kespa Exhibition TvZ: 3-4
KSL Finals TvZ: 3-1
ESV Korean Weekly 5,6,7 TvZ: 20-13
That being said TLPD is flawed. If they counted Code A qualifiers and TSL qualifiers it would skew the winrates heavily in Zergs favor and both of those tournaments are much harder then the ESV tournament but neither is in the TLPD database. Todays OSL qualifiers won't be in the database either and those qualifiers were brutally hard.
Code A qualifiers TvZ (not counting amateurs or teamless Koreans): 14-36
TSL4 KR qualifier #1 TvZ: 26-42
TSL4 KR qualifier #2 TvZ: 25-38
TSL4 KR qualifier #3 TvZ: 16-24


Could you make a graph with those games included? I'm just curious how it looks


Would be TvZ in Korea 139 - 196. Which is 41.5% T to 58.5% Z


This should be added in the OP :/

That said, I still dont like these stats, 50% winrate are misleading since it doesnt reflect the content of the games, only the outcome. Having 50% winrates with only cheeses or 200supply 1a games isn't something Blizzard should be satisfied with.
Romanes eunt domus
NoDDiE
Profile Joined November 2006
Poland170 Posts
July 02 2012 15:16 GMT
#104
On July 02 2012 23:30 Benjamin99 wrote:
Game looks very balanced atm


still thinking the same ?
One for the money , two for the show , straight to hell is where i go
Mehukannu
Profile Joined October 2010
Finland421 Posts
July 02 2012 15:17 GMT
#105
On July 03 2012 00:10 mec wrote:
Show nested quote +
On July 03 2012 00:09 Falconblade wrote:
On July 03 2012 00:07 mec wrote:
On July 03 2012 00:01 Ctuchik wrote:
On July 02 2012 23:53 IshinShishi wrote:
I don't trust this OP considering his posts, where* is the guy that normally does this?Which games were considered here?GSL+GSTL post patch is showing terran being ravaged without soothing.



Good on you for being skeptical, but these are indeed legit. =P

You can always check my twitter for the originals.

Here is the TVZ Korea data for reference:

June TvZ: 58-56
GSL and GSTL TvZ: 29-32
Proleague TvZ: 3-6
Kespa Exhibition TvZ: 3-4
KSL Finals TvZ: 3-1
ESV Korean Weekly 5,6,7 TvZ: 20-13
That being said TLPD is flawed. If they counted Code A qualifiers and TSL qualifiers it would skew the winrates heavily in Zergs favor and both of those tournaments are much harder then the ESV tournament but neither is in the TLPD database. Todays OSL qualifiers won't be in the database either and those qualifiers were brutally hard.
Code A qualifiers TvZ (not counting amateurs or teamless Koreans): 14-36
TSL4 KR qualifier #1 TvZ: 26-42
TSL4 KR qualifier #2 TvZ: 25-38
TSL4 KR qualifier #3 TvZ: 16-24


Could you make a graph with those games included? I'm just curious how it looks


Would be TvZ in Korea 139 - 196. Which is 41.5% T to 58.5% Z


Thanks, well that should add some fuel on the fire. Terrans, go at it!

Let the terran buffs rain! =D
...
...
No?
...
Darn. =[
C=('. ' Q)
playa
Profile Blog Joined December 2010
United States1284 Posts
July 02 2012 15:19 GMT
#106
How does tvp look good? I'm reading it wrong or something because it looks like Terran has the advantage every month. I mean, terran players whine even when it's clear they are favored. If they aren't crying non stop, then obviously something is horribly wrong. O, no, if the game goes to 50 minutes, I lose some of my advantage. Ptff.
NoDDiE
Profile Joined November 2006
Poland170 Posts
July 02 2012 15:19 GMT
#107
they should just revert the queen changed and everything would be fine... until hots
One for the money , two for the show , straight to hell is where i go
pmp10
Profile Joined April 2012
3396 Posts
Last Edited: 2012-07-02 15:21:06
July 02 2012 15:19 GMT
#108
On July 03 2012 00:01 Ctuchik wrote:
That being said TLPD is flawed. If they counted Code A qualifiers and TSL qualifiers it would skew the winrates heavily in Zergs favor and both of those tournaments are much harder then the ESV tournament but neither is in the TLPD database. [/[/[/

Not sure about code A qualifiers (weren't they all in may anyway?) but KR TSL qualifier data is in international TLPD (due to this being international tournament - same story with homestorycup qualifiers).

[]Phase[]
Profile Joined September 2010
Belgium927 Posts
July 02 2012 15:21 GMT
#109
give terrans some time, and it'll be a lot closer.
Shiori
Profile Blog Joined July 2011
3815 Posts
July 02 2012 15:21 GMT
#110
On July 03 2012 00:19 pmp10 wrote:
Show nested quote +
On July 03 2012 00:01 Ctuchik wrote:
That being said TLPD is flawed. If they counted Code A qualifiers and TSL qualifiers it would skew the winrates heavily in Zergs favor and both of those tournaments are much harder then the ESV tournament but neither is in the TLPD database. [/[/[/

Not sure about code A qualifiers (weren't they all in may anyway?) but KR TSL qualifier data is in international TLPD (due to this being international tournament - same story with homestorycup qualifiers).


It's still 99% Korean players in the TSL Kr qualies, so it gives useful data for how the game is working in Korea.
Mehukannu
Profile Joined October 2010
Finland421 Posts
July 02 2012 15:22 GMT
#111
On July 03 2012 00:19 playa wrote:
How does tvp look good? I'm reading it wrong or something because it looks like Terran has the advantage every month. I mean, terran players whine even when it's clear they are favored. If they aren't crying non stop, then obviously something is horribly wrong. O, no, if the game goes to 50 minutes, I lose some of my advantage. Ptff.

It has been said a ton of times already, but terrans are complaining about the bad late-game that terrans have in the match-up, also it is the most stale match-up ever. That in it self would make people complain about it.
C=('. ' Q)
BobMcJohnson
Profile Blog Joined October 2010
France2916 Posts
Last Edited: 2012-07-02 15:23:50
July 02 2012 15:23 GMT
#112
On July 03 2012 00:19 pmp10 wrote:
Show nested quote +
On July 03 2012 00:01 Ctuchik wrote:
That being said TLPD is flawed. If they counted Code A qualifiers and TSL qualifiers it would skew the winrates heavily in Zergs favor and both of those tournaments are much harder then the ESV tournament but neither is in the TLPD database. [/[/[/

Not sure about code A qualifiers (weren't they all in may anyway?) but KR TSL qualifier data is in international TLPD (due to this being international tournament - same story with homestorycup qualifiers).



nvm, misread.
Romanes eunt domus
playa
Profile Blog Joined December 2010
United States1284 Posts
July 02 2012 15:24 GMT
#113
On July 03 2012 00:22 Mehukannu wrote:
Show nested quote +
On July 03 2012 00:19 playa wrote:
How does tvp look good? I'm reading it wrong or something because it looks like Terran has the advantage every month. I mean, terran players whine even when it's clear they are favored. If they aren't crying non stop, then obviously something is horribly wrong. O, no, if the game goes to 50 minutes, I lose some of my advantage. Ptff.

It has been said a ton of times already, but terrans are complaining about the bad late-game that terrans have in the match-up, also it is the most stale match-up ever. That in it self would make people complain about it.


If that's the case, then toss players need to start crying that it's impossible/hard to make it to the late game, because obviously that's either not happening that much or it's a bs premise to begin with.
Adreme
Profile Joined June 2011
United States5574 Posts
July 02 2012 15:25 GMT
#114
This chart has been and probably will be in the future nothing more than a giant distraction. Anything that isnt code S player vs code S player is virtually useless and even then you have to factor in so many variables that getting good data is very very hard (maps opening etc.).

For example lets say you want to argue the 6 queen build is imbalance using data. You get 100 games that have a TvZ record of like 48-52 but of those games lets say 44 have the 6 queen build and lets say they went 30-14. Even that data isnt enough to prove anything because maps still play a role and who is playing in those games still play a role. So in order to see anything you would have to watch each game which sort of defeats purpose of this chart anyway.
BobMcJohnson
Profile Blog Joined October 2010
France2916 Posts
July 02 2012 15:26 GMT
#115
On July 03 2012 00:24 playa wrote:
Show nested quote +
On July 03 2012 00:22 Mehukannu wrote:
On July 03 2012 00:19 playa wrote:
How does tvp look good? I'm reading it wrong or something because it looks like Terran has the advantage every month. I mean, terran players whine even when it's clear they are favored. If they aren't crying non stop, then obviously something is horribly wrong. O, no, if the game goes to 50 minutes, I lose some of my advantage. Ptff.

It has been said a ton of times already, but terrans are complaining about the bad late-game that terrans have in the match-up, also it is the most stale match-up ever. That in it self would make people complain about it.


If that's the case, then toss players need to start crying that it's impossible/hard to make it to the late game, because obviously that's either not happening that much or it's a bs premise to begin with.


Balance and bad design are two different things. Terrans are crying about TvP because of bad design. Sure we can get 50% win, but the matchup is just not interesting/fun to play on the terran side of things.
Romanes eunt domus
Shiori
Profile Blog Joined July 2011
3815 Posts
July 02 2012 15:26 GMT
#116
On July 03 2012 00:24 playa wrote:
Show nested quote +
On July 03 2012 00:22 Mehukannu wrote:
On July 03 2012 00:19 playa wrote:
How does tvp look good? I'm reading it wrong or something because it looks like Terran has the advantage every month. I mean, terran players whine even when it's clear they are favored. If they aren't crying non stop, then obviously something is horribly wrong. O, no, if the game goes to 50 minutes, I lose some of my advantage. Ptff.

It has been said a ton of times already, but terrans are complaining about the bad late-game that terrans have in the match-up, also it is the most stale match-up ever. That in it self would make people complain about it.


If that's the case, then toss players need to start crying that it's impossible/hard to make it to the late game, because obviously that's either not happening that much or it's a bs premise to begin with.

I think TvP is a stale matchup, but balance concerns arise out of the fact that at sub high-Masters level, the matchup is next to impossible because people either don't have the crispness of play (Protoss) or the APM to micro late (Terran). At the highest level, the matchup is completely fine.
radscorpion9
Profile Blog Joined March 2011
Canada2252 Posts
July 02 2012 15:26 GMT
#117
Looks like its fairly balanced overall. Its just a chaotic type of balance; each race seems to have its turn in the sun each month (except protoss ). But still they're not that much lower
DidYuhim
Profile Joined September 2011
Ukraine1905 Posts
July 02 2012 15:27 GMT
#118
There's a huge difference between tournaments and ladder matches. For those of you who still think ladder winrates matter.
rysecake
Profile Joined October 2010
United States2632 Posts
July 02 2012 15:27 GMT
#119
On July 03 2012 00:27 DidYuhim wrote:
There's a huge difference between tournaments and ladder matches. For those of you who still think ladder winrates matter.


because clearly code a and osl qualifiers are ladder matches
The Notorious Winkles
Roggay
Profile Joined April 2010
Switzerland6320 Posts
Last Edited: 2012-07-02 15:29:52
July 02 2012 15:28 GMT
#120
On July 03 2012 00:09 Shiori wrote:
Incomplete set of data. Everyone who plays this game regularly knows that TvZ is utterly Zerg favoured, and that PvZ is utterly Zerg favoured if the Toss doesn't all-in. You don't need a graph to show this. Just look at the way you must play the game.

Everyone who read TL regularly knows that you are a whiner too...

User was warned for this post
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