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[June] win rates are now here! - Page 5

Forum Index > SC2 General
Post a Reply
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Benjamin99
Profile Joined April 2012
4176 Posts
July 02 2012 14:47 GMT
#81
On July 02 2012 23:44 rysecake wrote:
Show nested quote +
On July 02 2012 23:44 Benjamin99 wrote:
So what I could take from this discussion with Rysecake and NoDDie is they aperently dont give a shit about statistic. its all a lie and infact the game is so unbalance becuase they SAYD SO!



you don't seem to understand you cannot just look at a graph without seeing the sample size do you?


A sample is a sample what do you want a million games? they do this each month and the sample size is about the same from Korea. So if you wanna disregard this month becuase it dont suit you beliefs you have to disregard every month. Its a real bad argument
Stephano & Jaedong <-- The Pain Train. Polt and Innovation to EG plz
shizna
Profile Joined April 2011
United Kingdom803 Posts
Last Edited: 2012-07-02 14:50:18
July 02 2012 14:47 GMT
#82
a lot of people seem to be forgetting that a 55/45 tilt doesn't effectively mean that 45/100 terrans will beat a zerg at all times... there is still the underlying problem that a lot of pro terran players feel that they only win <40% versus zerg, and a lot of pro zerg players feel they win >60% against terran. there aren't many pro players advocating the opposite.

personally i think terran has become too predictable, lacking viable options since they've all been nerfed. therefore terran is overly dependent on successful coinflips to get an advantage (or to NOT get a disadvantage).
rysecake
Profile Joined October 2010
United States2632 Posts
July 02 2012 14:48 GMT
#83
On July 02 2012 23:47 Benjamin99 wrote:
Show nested quote +
On July 02 2012 23:44 rysecake wrote:
On July 02 2012 23:44 Benjamin99 wrote:
So what I could take from this discussion with Rysecake and NoDDie is they aperently dont give a shit about statistic. its all a lie and infact the game is so unbalance becuase they SAYD SO!



you don't seem to understand you cannot just look at a graph without seeing the sample size do you?


A sample is a sample what do you want a million games? they do this each month and the sample size is about the same from Korea. So if you wanna disregard this month becuase it dont suit you beliefs you have to disregard every month. Its a real bad argument


Actually no the sample is not the same as before. We have different leagues to consider now, most notably proleague.
The Notorious Winkles
RUFinalBoss
Profile Joined May 2012
United States266 Posts
July 02 2012 14:50 GMT
#84
idk how to read the graphs. help?
Story Of My SC2 Love Life, Meets ROOT. ROOT Disbands :( JOINS COL :D COL JOINS MVP :D HYPE! Col.MvP go byebye ): BUT THEN! ROOT GAMING IS BACK OMGOMGOMG qxc - Minigun - ROOTerdam - Catz - Drewbie - TaiLS - KeeN
Starshaped
Profile Blog Joined December 2009
Sweden575 Posts
July 02 2012 14:50 GMT
#85
The interesting question, in my opinion, is whether or not Blizzard will actually address the broken TvZ matchup or not.

They could well leave it alone since HotS is so close to being released. In fact, a heavily imbalanced matchup could even be a selling point for people to switch over, cynical as it may sound.
My Starcraft 2, gaming and e-sports-related blog: http://starshapedthoughts.blogspot.com/
blamekilly
Profile Joined April 2011
466 Posts
July 02 2012 14:52 GMT
#86
there's no way that graph is correct. I remember seeing wwwaaaayyyy more Zerg wins than I did with Terrans. Where were these games taken from?
IshinShishi
Profile Joined April 2012
Japan6156 Posts
Last Edited: 2012-07-02 14:56:39
July 02 2012 14:53 GMT
#87
I don't trust this OP considering his posts, where* is the guy that normally does this?Which games were considered here?GSL+GSTL post patch is showing terran being ravaged without soothing.
So... what that make you? Good? You're not good. You just know how to hide, how to lie
haffy
Profile Joined September 2010
United Kingdom430 Posts
July 02 2012 14:54 GMT
#88
On July 02 2012 23:52 blamekilly wrote:
there's no way that graph is correct. I remember seeing wwwaaaayyyy more Zerg wins than I did with Terrans. Where were these games taken from?



You've seen all the games played in the graph? Pretty impressive man.
NoDDiE
Profile Joined November 2006
Poland170 Posts
Last Edited: 2012-07-02 14:55:02
July 02 2012 14:54 GMT
#89
On July 02 2012 23:47 Benjamin99 wrote:
Show nested quote +
On July 02 2012 23:44 rysecake wrote:
On July 02 2012 23:44 Benjamin99 wrote:
So what I could take from this discussion with Rysecake and NoDDie is they aperently dont give a shit about statistic. its all a lie and infact the game is so unbalance becuase they SAYD SO!



you don't seem to understand you cannot just look at a graph without seeing the sample size do you?


A sample is a sample what do you want a million games? they do this each month and the sample size is about the same from Korea. So if you wanna disregard this month becuase it dont suit you beliefs you have to disregard every month. Its a real bad argument


1 game diffrence leading to 1% winrate diffrence is trustworthy sample size for you ? [kr]
One for the money , two for the show , straight to hell is where i go
zezamer
Profile Joined March 2011
Finland5701 Posts
Last Edited: 2012-07-02 14:56:19
July 02 2012 14:55 GMT
#90
On July 02 2012 23:50 RUFinalBoss wrote:
idk how to read the graphs. help?

1. click on the link
2.choose which graph you wanna browse by clicking it
3. click "view original (1612px by 1033px)
4. click the picture with your mouse to zoom-in

well at least that's how I inspect the graphs
Hypemeup
Profile Joined February 2011
Sweden2783 Posts
July 02 2012 14:59 GMT
#91
Why is it hosted on that weird minus website? Whats wrong with imgur?
Ctuchik
Profile Joined October 2010
Sweden91 Posts
Last Edited: 2012-07-02 16:57:42
July 02 2012 15:01 GMT
#92
On July 02 2012 23:53 IshinShishi wrote:
I don't trust this OP considering his posts, where* is the guy that normally does this?Which games were considered here?GSL+GSTL post patch is showing terran being ravaged without soothing.



Good on you for being skeptical, but these are indeed legit. =P

You can always check my twitter for the originals.

Here is the TVZ Korea data for reference:

June TvZ: 58-56
GSL and GSTL TvZ: 29-32
Proleague TvZ: 3-6
Kespa Exhibition TvZ: 3-4
KSL Finals TvZ: 3-1
ESV Korean Weekly 5,6,7 TvZ: 20-13
http://twitter.com/sc2statistics
Ctuchik
Profile Joined October 2010
Sweden91 Posts
July 02 2012 15:02 GMT
#93
On July 02 2012 23:59 Hypemeup wrote:
Why is it hosted on that weird minus website? Whats wrong with imgur?


Imgur upload was broken, still seems to be. =(
http://twitter.com/sc2statistics
solidONE
Profile Joined August 2010
United States160 Posts
July 02 2012 15:02 GMT
#94
This graph is a useless metric considering the sample. I'd have to see thousands to make an opinion, not 100.
rysecake
Profile Joined October 2010
United States2632 Posts
Last Edited: 2012-07-02 15:07:13
July 02 2012 15:03 GMT
#95
On July 03 2012 00:01 Ctuchik wrote:
Show nested quote +
On July 02 2012 23:53 IshinShishi wrote:
I don't trust this OP considering his posts, where* is the guy that normally does this?Which games were considered here?GSL+GSTL post patch is showing terran being ravaged without soothing.



Good on you for being skeptical, but these are indeed legit. =P

You can always check my twitter for the originals.

Here is the TVZ Korea data for reference:

June TvZ: 58-56
GSL and GSTL TvZ: 29-32
Proleague TvZ: 3-6
Kespa Exhibition TvZ: 3-4
KSL Finals TvZ: 3-1
ESV Korean Weekly 5,6,7 TvZ: 20-13
That being said TLPD is flawed. If they counted Code A qualifiers and TSL qualifiers it would skew the winrates heavily in Zergs favor and both of those tournaments are much harder then the ESV tournament but neither is in the TLPD database. Todays OSL qualifiers won't be in the database either and those qualifiers were brutally hard.
Code A qualifiers TvZ (not counting amateurs or teamless Koreans): 14-36
TSL4 KR qualifier #1 TvZ: 26-42
TSL4 KR qualifier #2 TvZ: 25-38
TSL4 KR qualifier #3 TvZ: 16-24


Thank you for posting the actual data. That graph is missing roughly another 200 games...

not to mention the osl qualifiers
The Notorious Winkles
Falconblade
Profile Joined December 2011
United States1035 Posts
Last Edited: 2012-07-02 15:07:51
July 02 2012 15:06 GMT
#96
On July 03 2012 00:01 Ctuchik wrote:
Show nested quote +
On July 02 2012 23:53 IshinShishi wrote:
I don't trust this OP considering his posts, where* is the guy that normally does this?Which games were considered here?GSL+GSTL post patch is showing terran being ravaged without soothing.



Good on you for being skeptical, but these are indeed legit. =P

You can always check my twitter for the originals.

Here is the TVZ Korea data for reference:

June TvZ: 58-56
GSL and GSTL TvZ: 29-32
Proleague TvZ: 3-6
Kespa Exhibition TvZ: 3-4
KSL Finals TvZ: 3-1
ESV Korean Weekly 5,6,7 TvZ: 20-13
That being said TLPD is flawed. If they counted Code A qualifiers and TSL qualifiers it would skew the winrates heavily in Zergs favor and both of those tournaments are much harder then the ESV tournament but neither is in the TLPD database. Todays OSL qualifiers won't be in the database either and those qualifiers were brutally hard.
Code A qualifiers TvZ (not counting amateurs or teamless Koreans): 14-36
TSL4 KR qualifier #1 TvZ: 26-42
TSL4 KR qualifier #2 TvZ: 25-38
TSL4 KR qualifier #3 TvZ: 16-24


Soooo, ESV weekly is counted in your calculations that push TvZ winrates to Terran favored (apart from KSL the only Terran favored TvZ on your list), which is an online KR only tournament, but an online TSL4 KR only tournament isn't counted? That's pretty strange. Or Code A qualifiers?

TLDR: Sod off OP, your claim is biased on poor reporting of graphical data that nitpicked incorrectly.
mec
Profile Joined December 2010
Sweden192 Posts
July 02 2012 15:07 GMT
#97
On July 03 2012 00:01 Ctuchik wrote:
Show nested quote +
On July 02 2012 23:53 IshinShishi wrote:
I don't trust this OP considering his posts, where* is the guy that normally does this?Which games were considered here?GSL+GSTL post patch is showing terran being ravaged without soothing.



Good on you for being skeptical, but these are indeed legit. =P

You can always check my twitter for the originals.

Here is the TVZ Korea data for reference:

June TvZ: 58-56
GSL and GSTL TvZ: 29-32
Proleague TvZ: 3-6
Kespa Exhibition TvZ: 3-4
KSL Finals TvZ: 3-1
ESV Korean Weekly 5,6,7 TvZ: 20-13
That being said TLPD is flawed. If they counted Code A qualifiers and TSL qualifiers it would skew the winrates heavily in Zergs favor and both of those tournaments are much harder then the ESV tournament but neither is in the TLPD database. Todays OSL qualifiers won't be in the database either and those qualifiers were brutally hard.
Code A qualifiers TvZ (not counting amateurs or teamless Koreans): 14-36
TSL4 KR qualifier #1 TvZ: 26-42
TSL4 KR qualifier #2 TvZ: 25-38
TSL4 KR qualifier #3 TvZ: 16-24


Could you make a graph with those games included? I'm just curious how it looks
sjperera
Profile Blog Joined April 2011
Canada349 Posts
July 02 2012 15:08 GMT
#98
Wow... Terrans are ripping TvP pretty bad... how was it that a month ago Terrans were whinning like crazy... should let the ZvT match-up go on a lil longer to see how things balance out there as well...
Stormbringer!!!
Shiori
Profile Blog Joined July 2011
3815 Posts
July 02 2012 15:09 GMT
#99
Incomplete set of data. Everyone who plays this game regularly knows that TvZ is utterly Zerg favoured, and that PvZ is utterly Zerg favoured if the Toss doesn't all-in. You don't need a graph to show this. Just look at the way you must play the game.
Falconblade
Profile Joined December 2011
United States1035 Posts
July 02 2012 15:09 GMT
#100
On July 03 2012 00:07 mec wrote:
Show nested quote +
On July 03 2012 00:01 Ctuchik wrote:
On July 02 2012 23:53 IshinShishi wrote:
I don't trust this OP considering his posts, where* is the guy that normally does this?Which games were considered here?GSL+GSTL post patch is showing terran being ravaged without soothing.



Good on you for being skeptical, but these are indeed legit. =P

You can always check my twitter for the originals.

Here is the TVZ Korea data for reference:

June TvZ: 58-56
GSL and GSTL TvZ: 29-32
Proleague TvZ: 3-6
Kespa Exhibition TvZ: 3-4
KSL Finals TvZ: 3-1
ESV Korean Weekly 5,6,7 TvZ: 20-13
That being said TLPD is flawed. If they counted Code A qualifiers and TSL qualifiers it would skew the winrates heavily in Zergs favor and both of those tournaments are much harder then the ESV tournament but neither is in the TLPD database. Todays OSL qualifiers won't be in the database either and those qualifiers were brutally hard.
Code A qualifiers TvZ (not counting amateurs or teamless Koreans): 14-36
TSL4 KR qualifier #1 TvZ: 26-42
TSL4 KR qualifier #2 TvZ: 25-38
TSL4 KR qualifier #3 TvZ: 16-24


Could you make a graph with those games included? I'm just curious how it looks


Would be TvZ in Korea 139 - 196. Which is 41.5% T to 58.5% Z
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