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[June] win rates are now here! - Page 7

Forum Index > SC2 General
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IshinShishi
Profile Joined April 2012
Japan6156 Posts
July 02 2012 15:29 GMT
#121
TvP stats are wrong too, in fact, this thread should be closed or OP edited with complete graphs, I look at it and imagine Browder talking about siege tanks being too strong and terran deathballs.
So... what that make you? Good? You're not good. You just know how to hide, how to lie
canikizu
Profile Joined September 2010
4860 Posts
July 02 2012 15:31 GMT
#122
On July 03 2012 00:06 Falconblade wrote:
Show nested quote +
On July 03 2012 00:01 Ctuchik wrote:
On July 02 2012 23:53 IshinShishi wrote:
I don't trust this OP considering his posts, where* is the guy that normally does this?Which games were considered here?GSL+GSTL post patch is showing terran being ravaged without soothing.



Good on you for being skeptical, but these are indeed legit. =P

You can always check my twitter for the originals.

Here is the TVZ Korea data for reference:

June TvZ: 58-56
GSL and GSTL TvZ: 29-32
Proleague TvZ: 3-6
Kespa Exhibition TvZ: 3-4
KSL Finals TvZ: 3-1
ESV Korean Weekly 5,6,7 TvZ: 20-13
That being said TLPD is flawed. If they counted Code A qualifiers and TSL qualifiers it would skew the winrates heavily in Zergs favor and both of those tournaments are much harder then the ESV tournament but neither is in the TLPD database. Todays OSL qualifiers won't be in the database either and those qualifiers were brutally hard.
Code A qualifiers TvZ (not counting amateurs or teamless Koreans): 14-36
TSL4 KR qualifier #1 TvZ: 26-42
TSL4 KR qualifier #2 TvZ: 25-38
TSL4 KR qualifier #3 TvZ: 16-24


Soooo, ESV weekly is counted in your calculations that push TvZ winrates to Terran favored (apart from KSL the only Terran favored TvZ on your list), which is an online KR only tournament, but an online TSL4 KR only tournament isn't counted? That's pretty strange. Or Code A qualifiers?

TLDR: Sod off OP, your claim is biased on poor reporting of graphical data that nitpicked incorrectly.

TLPD only counts ESV games starting from ro8. ESV has way more Terran participated in every week, and they got walkovers left and right. For example, We have Terran participants like Jjaki, theStC, Teaja, Ganzi, while the most notable Zerg participated were Leenock, Seal (who didn't show up and were walkovered), Life (who won that ESV)
phiinix
Profile Blog Joined February 2011
United States1169 Posts
Last Edited: 2012-07-02 15:34:03
July 02 2012 15:32 GMT
#123
Holy crap I didn't know the May win rates for Korean zvt were so skewed. 120 games sucks, but at least for me it's showing that Korean balance for that mu isn't horrific. I mean if something was truly imbalanced, they'd be winning more, regardless of whether or not they're having an off day.

Edit: Although I swore more terrans were losing, apparently the statistics are buggy?
Shiori
Profile Blog Joined July 2011
3815 Posts
July 02 2012 15:32 GMT
#124
On July 03 2012 00:28 Roggay wrote:
Show nested quote +
On July 03 2012 00:09 Shiori wrote:
Incomplete set of data. Everyone who plays this game regularly knows that TvZ is utterly Zerg favoured, and that PvZ is utterly Zerg favoured if the Toss doesn't all-in. You don't need a graph to show this. Just look at the way you must play the game.

Everyone who read TL regularly knows that you are a whiner too...

Find me some professional Terrans (or honest Zergs) who think that TvZ isn't favouring Zerg right now. Besides, didn't you see the updated stats? Terran is at 41% if you factor those in.
SeaSwift
Profile Blog Joined February 2011
Scotland4486 Posts
Last Edited: 2012-07-02 15:41:44
July 02 2012 15:40 GMT
#125
On July 03 2012 00:32 Shiori wrote:
Show nested quote +
On July 03 2012 00:28 Roggay wrote:
On July 03 2012 00:09 Shiori wrote:
Incomplete set of data. Everyone who plays this game regularly knows that TvZ is utterly Zerg favoured, and that PvZ is utterly Zerg favoured if the Toss doesn't all-in. You don't need a graph to show this. Just look at the way you must play the game.

Everyone who read TL regularly knows that you are a whiner too...

Find me some professional Terrans (or honest Zergs) who think that TvZ isn't favouring Zerg right now. Besides, didn't you see the updated stats? Terran is at 41% if you factor those in.


Considering Zerg was at 39% just last month, that actually isn't too bad at all considering how much whine was going round.

edit: I was expecting something like a 25% winrate for Terran to justify all the whine. Nope, turns out that when Terran goes below 45% for the first time in the race's entire history it is enough to justify a forum explosion.
Charon1979
Profile Joined October 2010
Austria317 Posts
July 02 2012 15:41 GMT
#126
This Thread is very interesting...

last month:

"look how imbalanced it is in Korea!"
"The sample is too small and doesnt include all..."
"Doesnt matter! Zerg imba!"
"Look at the international graph, it got a bigger sample size and is pretty balanced"
"International doesnt matter!"

This month:

"wtf Korea balanced... you must have made this up!"
"its the same like every month..."
"no you made it up and besides the sample size is too small and doesnt cover all tournaments!"
"but last month you said...."
"Shut up! Just look at international!"
"but last month..."
"Doesnt matter, zerg imba!"
Frex
Profile Joined March 2012
Finland888 Posts
July 02 2012 15:41 GMT
#127
I wish win rates weren't looked at too much, but rather we should look at the match-ups more thoroughly.

From a spectator view I loved TvZ before queen patch, but now it feels that the whole match-up has been dumbed down and it's just a bad match-up overall.

Balanced or not? I don't want to take part in that, since it's not what concerns me most.
BlindKill
Profile Blog Joined July 2011
Australia1508 Posts
July 02 2012 15:42 GMT
#128
you got winrates by game time? That would be useful info
“Life is a grindstone, and whether it grinds a man down or polishes him up depends on the stuff he's made of.”
Tsubbi
Profile Joined September 2010
Germany7997 Posts
July 02 2012 15:42 GMT
#129
you could also add tvz winrates from

mlg kr open qualifier (41-41)
mlg kr invite qualifier (25-19)
ipl5 kr qualifier (11-11)

which in itself results in 77-71 (52%) winrate for terran

but then again, korean tlpd never included these kind of qualifiers, it was always gsl/gstl, korean weekly, ewm and now proleague
DougJDempsey
Profile Joined April 2010
747 Posts
July 02 2012 15:44 GMT
#130
On July 03 2012 00:40 SeaSwift wrote:
Show nested quote +
On July 03 2012 00:32 Shiori wrote:
On July 03 2012 00:28 Roggay wrote:
On July 03 2012 00:09 Shiori wrote:
Incomplete set of data. Everyone who plays this game regularly knows that TvZ is utterly Zerg favoured, and that PvZ is utterly Zerg favoured if the Toss doesn't all-in. You don't need a graph to show this. Just look at the way you must play the game.

Everyone who read TL regularly knows that you are a whiner too...

Find me some professional Terrans (or honest Zergs) who think that TvZ isn't favouring Zerg right now. Besides, didn't you see the updated stats? Terran is at 41% if you factor those in.


Considering Zerg was at 39% just last month, that actually isn't too bad at all considering how much whine was going round.

edit: I was expecting something like a 25% winrate for Terran to justify all the whine. Nope, turns out that when Terran goes below 45% for the first time in the race's entire history it is enough to justify a forum explosion.


.... Zerg was at 39% just last month? June? Please link me to the thread with that.
SeaSwift
Profile Blog Joined February 2011
Scotland4486 Posts
July 02 2012 15:45 GMT
#131
On July 03 2012 00:42 BlindKill wrote:
you got winrates by game time? That would be useful info


Yeah, I'd love this. I reckon all non-mirror matchups would be heavily skewed.
SeaSwift
Profile Blog Joined February 2011
Scotland4486 Posts
Last Edited: 2012-07-02 15:47:02
July 02 2012 15:46 GMT
#132
On July 03 2012 00:44 Digamma wrote:
Show nested quote +
On July 03 2012 00:40 SeaSwift wrote:
On July 03 2012 00:32 Shiori wrote:
On July 03 2012 00:28 Roggay wrote:
On July 03 2012 00:09 Shiori wrote:
Incomplete set of data. Everyone who plays this game regularly knows that TvZ is utterly Zerg favoured, and that PvZ is utterly Zerg favoured if the Toss doesn't all-in. You don't need a graph to show this. Just look at the way you must play the game.

Everyone who read TL regularly knows that you are a whiner too...

Find me some professional Terrans (or honest Zergs) who think that TvZ isn't favouring Zerg right now. Besides, didn't you see the updated stats? Terran is at 41% if you factor those in.


Considering Zerg was at 39% just last month, that actually isn't too bad at all considering how much whine was going round.

edit: I was expecting something like a 25% winrate for Terran to justify all the whine. Nope, turns out that when Terran goes below 45% for the first time in the race's entire history it is enough to justify a forum explosion.


.... Zerg was at 39% just last month? June? Please link me to the thread with that.


May. Last month before the month which just had stats released. Don't be facetious.

edit: boy was I wrong. My bad, that was Terran xD
{ToT}ColmA
Profile Joined November 2007
Japan3260 Posts
July 02 2012 15:47 GMT
#133
well the only important things i watch from kr are gsl code a / s and their quali and those things terran did poorly vs zerg

I dont think the list is complete when u just take random stuff...from one tourney and leave out other stuff, thats just not complete and makes for a poor list and should not be worth the effort (only worth it if u wanna fuck up other peoples perception....but who is that retarded?)
The only virgins in kpop left are the fans
IshinShishi
Profile Joined April 2012
Japan6156 Posts
July 02 2012 15:48 GMT
#134
On July 03 2012 00:45 SeaSwift wrote:
Show nested quote +
On July 03 2012 00:42 BlindKill wrote:
you got winrates by game time? That would be useful info


Yeah, I'd love this. I reckon all non-mirror matchups would be heavily skewed.

Yes, we need to take out those walkovers that I'm sure won't help that 41%.
So... what that make you? Good? You're not good. You just know how to hide, how to lie
Deckkie
Profile Blog Joined July 2010
Netherlands1595 Posts
July 02 2012 15:48 GMT
#135
On July 03 2012 00:41 Charon1979 wrote:
This Thread is very interesting...

last month:

"look how imbalanced it is in Korea!"
"The sample is too small and doesnt include all..."
"Doesnt matter! Zerg imba!"
"Look at the international graph, it got a bigger sample size and is pretty balanced"
"International doesnt matter!"

This month:

"wtf Korea balanced... you must have made this up!"
"its the same like every month..."
"no you made it up and besides the sample size is too small and doesnt cover all tournaments!"
"but last month you said...."
"Shut up! Just look at international!"
"but last month..."
"Doesnt matter, zerg imba!"


haha.
Why stop at last month?
Could have done this for the last year.
Always look on the bright side of life
Adonminus
Profile Joined January 2012
Israel543 Posts
July 02 2012 15:49 GMT
#136
Even though I'm a protoss player, and all my match ups are quite balanced. (at least according to the states before some zerg or terran runs in and cries that protoss is op).

However I'm interested on how TvZ has been going to the last half a year. It seems they have been overnerfed, from one side from having either lategame weakened with the ghost nerf and from other side having their early game weakened by the queen range buff.

It seems it's really hard to play terran against zerg, from all my offrace match ups, TvZ seems the hardest. Zerg gets their creep across all the map, gets early broodlords and infestors and I can't pressure him because of the queens. While going macro doesn't look effective because late game is at zerg's favor while the ghost.

Personally, I dislike those changes and think that at least one of them should be reverted for TvZ balance. Either ghost snipe being back or queen range going away. This is from a protoss player point of view though.
Jono7272
Profile Joined November 2010
United Kingdom6330 Posts
July 02 2012 15:49 GMT
#137
On July 03 2012 00:46 SeaSwift wrote:
Show nested quote +
On July 03 2012 00:44 Digamma wrote:
On July 03 2012 00:40 SeaSwift wrote:
On July 03 2012 00:32 Shiori wrote:
On July 03 2012 00:28 Roggay wrote:
On July 03 2012 00:09 Shiori wrote:
Incomplete set of data. Everyone who plays this game regularly knows that TvZ is utterly Zerg favoured, and that PvZ is utterly Zerg favoured if the Toss doesn't all-in. You don't need a graph to show this. Just look at the way you must play the game.

Everyone who read TL regularly knows that you are a whiner too...

Find me some professional Terrans (or honest Zergs) who think that TvZ isn't favouring Zerg right now. Besides, didn't you see the updated stats? Terran is at 41% if you factor those in.


Considering Zerg was at 39% just last month, that actually isn't too bad at all considering how much whine was going round.

edit: I was expecting something like a 25% winrate for Terran to justify all the whine. Nope, turns out that when Terran goes below 45% for the first time in the race's entire history it is enough to justify a forum explosion.


.... Zerg was at 39% just last month? June? Please link me to the thread with that.


May. Last month before the month which just had stats released. Don't be facetious.

You're reading it wrong -_-
Innovation | Flash | Mvp | Byun | TY
Sent.
Profile Joined June 2012
Poland9331 Posts
July 02 2012 15:50 GMT
#138
Proxy barracks keeping Terrans in shape.
You're now breathing manually
platonichat
Profile Joined April 2012
3 Posts
Last Edited: 2012-07-02 15:54:54
July 02 2012 15:54 GMT
#139
On July 03 2012 00:40 SeaSwift wrote:
Show nested quote +
On July 03 2012 00:32 Shiori wrote:
On July 03 2012 00:28 Roggay wrote:
On July 03 2012 00:09 Shiori wrote:
Incomplete set of data. Everyone who plays this game regularly knows that TvZ is utterly Zerg favoured, and that PvZ is utterly Zerg favoured if the Toss doesn't all-in. You don't need a graph to show this. Just look at the way you must play the game.

Everyone who read TL regularly knows that you are a whiner too...

Find me some professional Terrans (or honest Zergs) who think that TvZ isn't favouring Zerg right now. Besides, didn't you see the updated stats? Terran is at 41% if you factor those in.


Considering Zerg was at 39% just last month, that actually isn't too bad at all considering how much whine was going round.

edit: I was expecting something like a 25% winrate for Terran to justify all the whine. Nope, turns out that when Terran goes below 45% for the first time in the race's entire history it is enough to justify a forum explosion.

Even forgetting about the fact that it was Terran at 39-41% last month, not Zerg, the fact that you expect a 25% winrate in TvZ in order to justify the MU being imbalanced shows you have no idea how this stuff works. This reddit post should be required reading for people to talk about these graphs. There is no way any race could get a 25% winrate especially not in the month after a change.
Warpish
Profile Joined June 2011
834 Posts
July 02 2012 15:55 GMT
#140
On July 03 2012 00:50 Sent. wrote:
Proxy barracks keeping Terrans in shape.


Actually, I have seen a lot of proxy rax and 2 rax recently. In my opinion, this trend is develping again because Terrans try to avoid the late game.
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