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[October] TLPD Race Winrate Graphs - Page 22

Forum Index > SC2 General
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Wrathsc2
Profile Joined March 2011
United States2025 Posts
November 07 2011 13:49 GMT
#421
these graphs are not worth looking at and stating anything about balance. Needs more games, and not just tourney results where metagame shifts are everything
A marine walks into a bar and asks, "Wheres the counter?"
SeaSwift
Profile Blog Joined February 2011
Scotland4486 Posts
Last Edited: 2011-11-07 13:54:01
November 07 2011 13:53 GMT
#422
On November 07 2011 22:49 radiantshadow92 wrote:
these graphs are not worth looking at and stating anything about balance. Needs more games, and not just tourney results where metagame shifts are everything


Hahahahahaha! Look at the first page:

On November 07 2011 04:25 ZenithM wrote:
Looking balanced to me.
And even if it was not, there is not enough data to conclude anything.
And stats don't mean anything.
And you have to actually look at the gameplay and not the results to form an opinion on balance.
And Terran players are just better.

Edit: Oh yeah I forgot that one: The difference is actually not that huge guys! The scale of the Y-axis is exagerated!


I think you should probably read some of the thread before posting in it. Or maybe you are just oblivious to sarcasm, have never seen one of these statistics threads again and happen to be 12 years old.

TBH I think this post by ZenithM should be put in the OP of every one of these monthly graphs, just to stop all the original [/sarcasm] posting like radiantshadow92's.
mrafaeldie12
Profile Joined July 2011
Brazil537 Posts
November 07 2011 13:56 GMT
#423
Ignore the bars and see the numbers,there's a 13% dissiparity in ZvP,that is not balanced.I'm a zerg player btw.
"..it all comes thumbling down thumbling down thumblin down"
zanmat0
Profile Joined December 2010
188 Posts
Last Edited: 2011-11-07 14:54:06
November 07 2011 14:42 GMT
#424
On November 07 2011 17:00 MilesTeg wrote:
Show nested quote +
On November 07 2011 16:58 zanmat0 wrote:
On November 07 2011 16:04 Amui wrote:
On November 07 2011 15:48 zanmat0 wrote:
On November 07 2011 12:59 thedirtyleg wrote:
What's up with the low sample size for this month compared to past months?


Who knows, but we can clearly conclude that it makes this month's % inaccurate.

If there was a larger sample size, I'm sure we can all agree that PvT would be 50/50, maybe Protoss even being a bit OP.


I would agree with the first statement that this months statistics are potentially inaccurate due to insufficient sample size.

How you get that the first statement makes the second a fact doesn't make sense to me. That's a possibility, but it could just as easily be 40-60 in favour of terran.



Heh, I guess I was too subtle.


No, it's just that your troll backfired. Now what did you learn?


I leared that you don't know what trolling is, because I was being sarcastic, and that you should look up the proper definition of each term.

Try googling "dictionary" or "urban dictionary." I think that will help.
ToastieNL
Profile Blog Joined July 2010
Netherlands845 Posts
November 07 2011 14:51 GMT
#425
But whart do you do with a game that is clearly won with the push at the 10th minut but the finishing blow is only at the 15 min mark. That happens quite often, especcialy with Zergs, who get crippled enormously, scramble to get back and get murdered...
Zerg lategame is imbalanced as shit. Also: "Protoss is really strong recently. Perhaps, it's time for there to be some changes for Terran." -MMA. Even MMA asks for buffs. Srsly Blizzard. Srsly.
Stiluz
Profile Joined October 2010
Norway688 Posts
November 07 2011 14:56 GMT
#426
On November 07 2011 22:56 mrafaeldie12 wrote:
Ignore the bars and see the numbers,there's a 13% dissiparity in ZvP,that is not balanced.I'm a zerg player btw.


The goal of the matchup is 50% winrate. Blizzard has stated that they operate with a 5% statistical margin (like many statistics studies does). The real "imbalance" thus happens when the winrate goes above 5%. In this way, we can say that with the error margin, the winrate goes about 1-2% in favor of the Zerg... Seems fine to me with all the metagame shifts recently.
iamke55
Profile Blog Joined April 2004
United States2806 Posts
November 07 2011 14:59 GMT
#427
On November 07 2011 23:56 Stiluz wrote:
Show nested quote +
On November 07 2011 22:56 mrafaeldie12 wrote:
Ignore the bars and see the numbers,there's a 13% dissiparity in ZvP,that is not balanced.I'm a zerg player btw.


The goal of the matchup is 50% winrate. Blizzard has stated that they operate with a 5% statistical margin (like many statistics studies does). The real "imbalance" thus happens when the winrate goes above 5%. In this way, we can say that with the error margin, the winrate goes about 1-2% in favor of the Zerg... Seems fine to me with all the metagame shifts recently.

Zerg is winning 29% more than Protoss in ZvP. Does that really look fine?
During practice session, I discovered very good build against zerg. -Bisu[Shield]
Kira__
Profile Joined April 2011
Sweden2672 Posts
November 07 2011 14:59 GMT
#428
I think it's actually balanced right now. I'm a protoss player btw.
The truth is, Yagami-kun, I suspect that you may in fact be Kira.
Alpino
Profile Joined June 2011
Brazil4390 Posts
November 07 2011 15:06 GMT
#429
On November 07 2011 04:29 juicyjames wrote:
Show nested quote +
On November 07 2011 04:23 TerlocSG wrote:
The Y-axis kind of makes the graphs misleading. :/ It makes the difference in win % look a lot bigger than it really is. It's good information, and I'm not saying it isn't true, just making the view from 40 to 60% makes a 5% difference look huge.

Finally someone else points this out! After learning about statistics I have begun to look at graphs and polls more carefully for this kind thing, and am very surprised at how misleading these can be due to the Y-axis alone.


In this case 5% is actually HUGE.
20/11/2015 - never forget EE's Ember
Pippi
Profile Joined March 2011
Sweden540 Posts
Last Edited: 2011-11-07 15:12:07
November 07 2011 15:11 GMT
#430
Interesting graphs, but what whould be more interesting is some data about whining. Why do people whine?

I mean this is top level play, at bronze-masters (in Eu and NA) where 99 % of TL community are at, protoss got more win % than T for example. In masters + GM Z got 40 % win against T and P... I guess if you play in GM on korean server as P you can whine?
Toast and coffe
Ctuchik
Profile Joined October 2010
Sweden91 Posts
November 07 2011 15:12 GMT
#431
On November 07 2011 21:45 tomatriedes wrote:
Show nested quote +
On November 07 2011 21:08 Sellerie wrote:
810 matches for 6 different matchups. That results in 135 games per matchup. Not that many games in my opinion. Furthermore I didn't consider that races are probably not absolutely equally distributed. This will lead to an even smaller database.


It's not just one month, the win rates have been trending this way for months and with bigger sample sizes in previous months.



Also, mirrors are not included in those numbers, so it's only 3 matchups. Total for October is around 1200 games.
http://twitter.com/sc2statistics
SeaSwift
Profile Blog Joined February 2011
Scotland4486 Posts
November 07 2011 15:16 GMT
#432
On November 08 2011 00:11 Pippi wrote:
Interesting graphs, but what whould be more interesting is some data about whining. Why do people whine?

I mean this is top level play, at bronze-masters (in Eu and NA) where 99 % of TL community are at, protoss got more win % than T for example. In masters + GM Z got 40 % win against T and P... I guess if you play in GM on korean server as P you can whine?


Sure, you can't whine about the play at your level, but you sure can whine about how bad your favourite player/s is/are doing, and/or how few PvX matchups you get because there are so few successful P players, and/or how there are few interesting games in PvX because a strategy is broken.

Just some examples. There are always reasons to whine, Pippi.
Lothargr
Profile Joined March 2011
Greece32 Posts
November 07 2011 15:23 GMT
#433
5% difference in win rate is a huge difference in a game like SCII. That is because a huge percent of the games are decided either by an overwhelming difference in skill/performance, or by an important mistake by one of the players. So a 55%-45% can be seen as a 15%-5% win rate on games by evenly matched players where no-one fucks up, while the other 40%-40% is games that are decided by factors not related to balance.

Also historically in BW a >5% imbalance in winrates usually meant that the match up was clearly favouring one of the two sides.
Snowbear
Profile Blog Joined July 2010
Korea (South)1925 Posts
November 07 2011 15:25 GMT
#434
On November 08 2011 00:11 Pippi wrote:
Interesting graphs, but what whould be more interesting is some data about whining. Why do people whine?

I mean this is top level play, at bronze-masters (in Eu and NA) where 99 % of TL community are at, protoss got more win % than T for example. In masters + GM Z got 40 % win against T and P... I guess if you play in GM on korean server as P you can whine?


No you can't.

Korea grandmaster:
- Protoss: 39.5% (75)
- Terran: 35.8% (68)
- Zerg: 24.2% (46)
kofman
Profile Joined August 2011
Andorra698 Posts
November 07 2011 15:26 GMT
#435
On November 07 2011 18:09 karlkarlson wrote:
Show nested quote +
On November 07 2011 17:39 Topdoller wrote:
On November 07 2011 17:06 Gheed wrote:
On November 07 2011 17:00 Topdoller wrote:
I wish the mod would lock or delete this thread, for 3 reasons

1. All it does is promote balance whine and QQ.

2. It has nothing to do with the current state of the game. Tournaments don't play on the current ladder map pool, so the results dont reflect 99.9% of total games played

3. HOTS will be here soon


1. So come up with something constructive to say instead of whining yourself.

2. That is not the purpose of the information being presented. It is clearly intended only as a representation of professional level play, not ladder matches. Whether any meaningful conclusions can be drawn for it is debatable.

3. Soom(tm)

edit: lol



I am not whining , the game is balanced


Oh good grief, no it's actually not. No one that knows anything is claiming that it's balanced

Again, please try to make your silly reasonless case to these pros:

Show nested quote +

IMMVP 'I think the 1-1-1 should make you be disqualified from GSL.' Basically he's saying that terrans are OP but what part of the 1-1-1 that is OP is left to the imagination.

PoltPrime 'Many of these terrans are in Code S because the race is OP so I will knock them out.' So here Polt Prime is saying that terran is easier to win with basically. You have an easier time beating protoss or zerg players as terran.

EGDeMuslim 'I can't believe that Blizzard isn't looking at the ghost. I mean they nerfed rax build time by 5 seconds but they didn't look at the ghost. Greg (IdrA) keeps telling me to use ghosts more, and I have. Now I know why he thinks they need to be changed.' So EGDeMuslim is kinda hinting at the fact that ghosts should be looked at by Blizzard. This was in SotG episode 50 or 51.

WhiteRa 'I think the ghost have too many good spells. I think they do too good with everything protoss make and I think they need to be looked at by Blizzard. Too many good spells.' So WhiteRa the guy that popularized the statement More GG More Skill is saying that he thinks ghosts are a bit too good at the moment.

Huk 'I wish I played Terran.' This was also in a SotG episode where HuK says that playing terran seems to be a bigger benefit than playing protoss. His reasonings for why terran is a better choice for pro players isn't given but he feels being terran would help him.

IMNesTea 'Everyone knows that terran is much easier than zerg. If he didn't play terran he wouldn't have won so many championships. If I played terran I'd have won a lot more, if he played zerg I don't think he'd win.' This is NesTea talking about his teammate who after the match, looked depressed about winning.

FruitDealer 'You can't beat terran with this s*@$ race! This game is broken!' I hope you can figure out what he said. And maybe figure out why he said this.

oGsMC, 'Protoss is weak right now against terran.' Typically when one race is weaker than other we call that imbalanced. Maybe not though, maybe you can spin this.

Bisu 'Who would ever play that game? I hear it's terran favored. If protoss is so weak why even have them in the game? Just get rid of them. If I had to play it though, I would still pick protoss though.'

LiquidTLO 'Look how easy this race is. You build some rax and make marines. Don't stop making marines and keep pushing. It's not very hard. I stayed with terran because it's much easier.' I think he's saying it's easier to win with terran than zerg or protoss. Just a guess. He stated this on his stream one time.

IdrA and iNcontrol have said lots of things on terran being OP but you can disregard everything they said. IrdA is actually pretty smart and doesn't want to see things broken in this game. I think he needs to change his style a bit and that's why he loses, not his mechanics.

So I think you should tell all those pros, some of those quoted are also GSL champions, others have done well in MLG or other foregin tournaments.



I know, oGsMC, IMMVP, Polt, TLO, Idra, Huk, et .al should just "suck it up, and L2P", right? What a joke your argument is. pathetic.

Lol, a lot of these quotes don't even say that Terran is imba. Your just interpreting it like that. Their balance has nothing to do with your balanced. At your bronze level, the game is balanced. So please, stop spreading this bullshit that somehow, game imbalance effects you.
kofman
Profile Joined August 2011
Andorra698 Posts
November 07 2011 15:26 GMT
#436
On November 08 2011 00:11 Pippi wrote:
Interesting graphs, but what whould be more interesting is some data about whining. Why do people whine?

I mean this is top level play, at bronze-masters (in Eu and NA) where 99 % of TL community are at, protoss got more win % than T for example. In masters + GM Z got 40 % win against T and P... I guess if you play in GM on korean server as P you can whine?

... If you play Protoss in general you are given your rights to whine
Holophonist
Profile Joined December 2010
United States297 Posts
November 07 2011 15:29 GMT
#437
On November 07 2011 20:17 Sated wrote:
Show nested quote +
On November 07 2011 17:39 Topdoller wrote:
On November 07 2011 17:06 Gheed wrote:
On November 07 2011 17:00 Topdoller wrote:
I wish the mod would lock or delete this thread, for 3 reasons

1. All it does is promote balance whine and QQ.

2. It has nothing to do with the current state of the game. Tournaments don't play on the current ladder map pool, so the results dont reflect 99.9% of total games played

3. HOTS will be here soon


1. So come up with something constructive to say instead of whining yourself.

2. That is not the purpose of the information being presented. It is clearly intended only as a representation of professional level play, not ladder matches. Whether any meaningful conclusions can be drawn for it is debatable.

3. Soom(tm)

edit: lol



I am not whining , the game is balanced

Clearly not. Look at the graphs. The game should be balanced for the highest level of play, not scrubs like me.


You're wrong. Almost everybody buying their product is a scrub. Also, at the highest levels of play, meta game counts for a lot more than how balanced the game is at the core. For instance, what if protoss players are doing poorly because playing protoss was easy as shit before people learned how to stop a lot of their gay stuff? Top players never had to innovate or think outside the box if every game could be won with either 4gate, 6gate or stargate play. This is true for terran as well except they're still the best because even if you figure out what they're doing, it's still hard to stop most of their junk.

The bottom line is even if zerg starts to win, it's only because we've been forced to explore every single aspect of every different tech given to us. Seriously, what unit/strat hasn't zerg tried? Whereas you really don't see a lot of different stuff from protoss becuase you simply... don't need to. Well maybe now you do. maybe now you have to get creative and get a mothership or even carriers! or get really sick with your warp prism multitasking.
Just like my Grandpa used to say, "Never forget that the... thing.. and there was like.... a guy with this. Hmmm......"
Pippi
Profile Joined March 2011
Sweden540 Posts
November 07 2011 15:31 GMT
#438
On November 08 2011 00:16 SeaSwift wrote:
Show nested quote +
On November 08 2011 00:11 Pippi wrote:
Interesting graphs, but what whould be more interesting is some data about whining. Why do people whine?

I mean this is top level play, at bronze-masters (in Eu and NA) where 99 % of TL community are at, protoss got more win % than T for example. In masters + GM Z got 40 % win against T and P... I guess if you play in GM on korean server as P you can whine?


Sure, you can't whine about the play at your level, but you sure can whine about how bad your favourite player/s is/are doing, and/or how few PvX matchups you get because there are so few successful P players, and/or how there are few interesting games in PvX because a strategy is broken.

Just some examples. There are always reasons to whine, Pippi.


Nice, now make a graph out of it please :D
Toast and coffe
galivet
Profile Joined February 2011
288 Posts
Last Edited: 2011-11-07 15:31:48
November 07 2011 15:31 GMT
#439
When the game is finally balanced professional protoss players are going to be so dominant, having played SC2 with one hand tied behind their backs for so long. Today's imbalanced gameplay is just the crucible that refines and perfects tomorrow's bonjwa.
Sated
Profile Blog Joined March 2011
England4983 Posts
Last Edited: 2011-11-07 15:40:45
November 07 2011 15:38 GMT
#440
--- Nuked ---
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