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[September] TLPD Race Winrate Graphs - Page 9

Forum Index > SC2 General
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Aterons_toss
Profile Joined February 2011
Romania1275 Posts
October 09 2011 06:37 GMT
#161
Its sad to look at those ratios and then think Xel naga fortress /Dual sight are still in the map pool of so many tournaments.
Also i never thought TvZ was doing this bad...
A good strategy means leaving your opponent room to make mistakes
nt-rAven
Profile Joined February 2011
Canada405 Posts
Last Edited: 2011-10-09 06:41:25
October 09 2011 06:39 GMT
#162
protoss is just no longer cost effective, and the im quite sure blizzard knows this at a high level but protoss is still op at lower level... ever since they took out amulet (protoss at the that time i remember very clearly were the only race using ht, ghost or infestor yes this is general but it was actually a strat to go for hts unlike other races where it was just reaction) was the biggest blow to the protoss race, you can never come back after losing your entire army as protoss, it is not possible, where as other races can do it through macro (zerg) or defense (terran)... you cant as protoss its just not possible, they claim the protoss 'defensive unit' was the mothership but in reality the protoss defensive unit was always the ht that can warp in storm and prevent a push, to enable a comback and of course other races can just not attack and expand... every race except protoss has that capability now (sorry forcefeilds dont cut it defensivly)!~
get owned
nt-rAven
Profile Joined February 2011
Canada405 Posts
October 09 2011 07:14 GMT
#163
Ht has a problem with it right now imo, a big void in ht after losing one of its two upgrades at the temple... ghost has energy and cloak upgrade (cloak imo is extremly underused for harass vs zerg and secret nuke play on bases or defensive nukes in base trades really op upgrade that is never even used), infestor ; energy boost and neural (i know lower range but u can still burrow closer if terran doesn't have turrets or raven / snipe observe or lack of observer lol protoss).... missing 1 upgrade for ht, either it be an extra spell unlocked like hunter seeker style or be it a sheild boost or hp boost so snipe doesnt 1 shot and fungal maybe takes an extra one on them seeing as aside from feedback or storm they are quite useless unit as a unit ht... yes they morph into archons but its time and usually on the battlefield just to prevent them from dying anyways, when u make hts to storm... they are there for storm not to be archons,but its still lacking something and protoss is reflecting it, i know blizzard will evenetually add an extra upgrade for ht since they will have to for legacy of the void but it cant come soon enough~
get owned
Neelia
Profile Joined September 2010
Germany599 Posts
October 09 2011 07:27 GMT
#164
On October 09 2011 15:21 MuseMike wrote:
Show nested quote +
On October 09 2011 13:39 kodas wrote:
On October 09 2011 01:24 freetgy wrote:
On October 09 2011 01:19 Snowbear wrote:
On October 08 2011 05:21 Gatored wrote:
On October 08 2011 03:50 CuHz wrote:
if i could be able to start over; i wish i started off picking terran in BW + sc2. I sometimes offrace as terran and i dont even know their hot keys and i can easily beat top master player protsses =X.


I think every protoss feels that way.


Don't forget that there are alot of terrans I know which defeat top terran players with protoss without even trying...


replay or it didn't happen

we have seen mc off racing as terran and defeating people easily.

MKP(as protoss) vs slayersMMA, At the last GSL final.

You mean the game no one cared about? It was a showmatch where they did retarded builds. That same night Nestea did early 3 base on Antiga with the 3rd being the gold. Yeah, everyone, even the casters knew that people didn't take it seriously.


In which games someone cared about did MC smash other people as terran?
Jojo131
Profile Joined January 2011
Brazil1631 Posts
Last Edited: 2011-10-09 07:37:48
October 09 2011 07:35 GMT
#165
Granted the conclusion which can be drawn from the information given does suggest an imbalance, I would really appreciate it if the scales used for each graph showed the real (or not exaggerated) discrepancies between each race. The data for ZvT makes it appear at first as if Z is getting slaughtered on Jan 2011 (arguably true) when at the most the discrepancy was ~9%.

Just saying because it might cause people who dont observe carefully to go crazy on TL about how imbalanced ZvT is.

Edit: sorry if this was already brought up before, this is actually my first time (from what I can remember) seeing this thread. Great initiative.
decaf
Profile Joined October 2010
Austria1797 Posts
October 09 2011 07:42 GMT
#166
The patch just hit, give it another month.
Topdoller
Profile Joined March 2011
United Kingdom3860 Posts
October 09 2011 07:43 GMT
#167
On October 08 2011 02:24 zeropoint wrote:
theres only 900 games this month instead of the like 3k from the other months?



Could that not be because these stat's ignore mirror match ups, which from what I have seen recently there is a growing trend as a tournament progress it becomes more TvT orientated.

Just be thankful the Korean tournaments are not included as the stats would be even more Terran dominated
MuseMike
Profile Joined March 2011
United States1339 Posts
October 09 2011 07:49 GMT
#168
On October 09 2011 16:27 Neelia wrote:
Show nested quote +
On October 09 2011 15:21 MuseMike wrote:
On October 09 2011 13:39 kodas wrote:
On October 09 2011 01:24 freetgy wrote:
On October 09 2011 01:19 Snowbear wrote:
On October 08 2011 05:21 Gatored wrote:
On October 08 2011 03:50 CuHz wrote:
if i could be able to start over; i wish i started off picking terran in BW + sc2. I sometimes offrace as terran and i dont even know their hot keys and i can easily beat top master player protsses =X.


I think every protoss feels that way.


Don't forget that there are alot of terrans I know which defeat top terran players with protoss without even trying...


replay or it didn't happen

we have seen mc off racing as terran and defeating people easily.

MKP(as protoss) vs slayersMMA, At the last GSL final.

You mean the game no one cared about? It was a showmatch where they did retarded builds. That same night Nestea did early 3 base on Antiga with the 3rd being the gold. Yeah, everyone, even the casters knew that people didn't take it seriously.


In which games someone cared about did MC smash other people as terran?


No one offraces in games that mean anything.
Neelia
Profile Joined September 2010
Germany599 Posts
October 09 2011 07:51 GMT
#169
On October 09 2011 16:43 Topdoller wrote:
Show nested quote +
On October 08 2011 02:24 zeropoint wrote:
theres only 900 games this month instead of the like 3k from the other months?



Could that not be because these stat's ignore mirror match ups, which from what I have seen recently there is a growing trend as a tournament progress it becomes more TvT orientated.

Just be thankful the Korean tournaments are not included as the stats would be even more Terran dominated


"This Chart both contains the International and Korean data"

Korean Data is basically GS(T)L, AoL, Iccup Korean Weekly, WCG and FXO Koth.
Topdoller
Profile Joined March 2011
United Kingdom3860 Posts
October 09 2011 07:59 GMT
#170
Well if that's the case then the game is reasonably balanced at Pro level, which is good considering Blizzard is aiming the game at Esports
InFi.asc
Profile Joined May 2010
Germany518 Posts
October 09 2011 08:06 GMT
#171
On October 09 2011 16:59 Topdoller wrote:
Well if that's the case then the game is reasonably balanced at Pro level, which is good considering Blizzard is aiming the game at Esports


http://www.gomtv.net/records/index.gom?searchType=3&race=T&vsrace=P&season=2011&leaguetype=20&leagueid=23717&gamever=0&mapid=0

yeah. this is pro level.

seriously is there no korean chart?
* Liquid'Hero * Liquid'TLO * oGsMC * oGsFin *
Sabu113
Profile Blog Joined August 2009
United States11094 Posts
October 09 2011 08:12 GMT
#172
On October 08 2011 03:53 windsupernova wrote:
Show nested quote +
On October 08 2011 02:19 Sabu113 wrote:
On October 08 2011 01:56 MilesTeg wrote:
Well, I still think using your brain > any stat. I don't think TvZ favours Terran that much and I think PvZ favours Protoss.

But even if you only look at stats it's not that bad, people overreact as usual.


Tell me the race of the person likely to win IPL, MLG (top 3), and the next 2-3 GSLs (caveated if there's another patch).

Blizzcon too though I would be content with throwing that tournament out.


yeah lets not take player skill into account. GSL will probably will be MVP, IPL dunno maybe MC? He looked really good yesterday.

+ Show Spoiler +

He beat 1 (one!!) Korean Terran!!!!!!


Blizzcon will prob be MVP or Nestea(prob MVP because he has a good record against the Tea)

GSL if MVP is still as dominant as he is will prob go to Terran. But thats because MVP is a fucking Beast. But hey lets look at championships in BW!

OSL # of champions

14 T(!!!)
10 Zerg
9 P

Well... maybe MSL is more balanced

12 T
10 Z
4 P

... Welp I guess BW is a broken game. Someone tell Flash that he is being carried by his race.

Did I make a valid point? No! The thing is that balance is something much more complicated that watching the # of champions of each race.But its obvious that you have your mind set so I guess I am just wasting time. I am not even saying the game is balanced but basing your conclusions based on solely stuff as winrates(those can change based on the strategies used, look at how TvZ evolved through the years in BW) or # of championships is just... moronic.



Well if you just started watching last year I understand it might be hard for you to compare broodwar with SC2. Lets be honest here. If you actually knew what a good balanced game looked like you wouldn't be so obstinate and concede that in the current state of the game no protoss is going to win a tournament within the next year unless there is a change.

Cute though saying you're not commenting about the balance of the game. Try posting in good faith and not being purposely obstinate please.
Biomine is a drunken chick who is on industrial strength amphetamines and would just grab your dick and jerk it as hard and violently as she could while screaming 'OMG FUCK ME', because she saw it in a Sasha Grey video ...-Wombat_Ni
etrensce
Profile Joined April 2011
Australia337 Posts
October 09 2011 08:14 GMT
#173
ZvT is very balanced at the Korean level in the last few months. International games are greatly inflating ZvT statistics.
If life gives you lemons, burn lifes house down
ToastieNL
Profile Blog Joined July 2010
Netherlands845 Posts
Last Edited: 2011-10-09 08:25:12
October 09 2011 08:21 GMT
#174
On October 09 2011 16:59 Topdoller wrote:
Well if that's the case then the game is reasonably balanced at Pro level, which is good considering Blizzard is aiming the game at Esports

From a Terran POV, definitely.

I think that the way to go is by fixing (I mean NERFING, BIGTIME) the Ghost. It's just not a fun and balanced unit any more.

What does the Ghost do:

vs Zerg:

Infestors: Nullified
Broodlord: Very easy to take out
Ultralisk: Lose their Infestor support, so they can get kited
Mutalisk: Snipe 3- shots on huge range. Counters muta- harass
Banelings: in small groups, can be sniped very easilly
Zerglings: regular attack
Hydra's: get 2 shot, but don't really matter :-p

vs Protoss:

Zealot: Loses 50 HP (33.3%) + Snipeable
Sentry: Loses any utility it has, and 40 HP (50%)
Stalker: Loses 80 HP (50%)
Dark Templar: Loses cloak and 80 HP (66.6%)
High Templar: Completely nullified + Snipeable
Observer: loses cloak -> dead
Immortals: Lose their special beef ability, and 100 Health
Collosi: Lose 150 Health
Archons: Lose 300 health !!!!!!!
Phoenix: Lose all their AtG capability and lose 100 Health
Voidrays: Lose 150 health
Carriers: Unusable (Viking)
Mothership: Loses any utility it had, her Cloak effect and 350 Health.

I would argue, that once Terran start to use the Ghost effectively in every matchup, like, 20 Ghost on top of their normal army composition, with Snipe micro, Terrans winrate raises to easily over 65%, causing the game to plumit into all- ins before Ghost are out.

The problem of Ghosts vs Z is that you can't kill them, they blend in with Marines and your army lacks capability's to shoot them.

The problem vs P is that they are SUPERIOR in any way in the Caster battle (2x Snipe = 50 Energy, Range 10 IIRC) and EMP is 75 Energy, range (effectively) 12. On top of that, they have higher movement speed, don't need to fear splash and have the highest HP of any caster on top of immediate healing.

Ghost are supperior in a support role, a anti- caster role and the ability to cause damage all alone.

Ghosts are imbalanced as hell. It takes no skill to blanket EMP a Protoss army, stim, a- move and win. Protoss can't retreat (Concussive, Stim, no FF) and just loses.
Zerg cannot engage when Terran has Ghosts, because Ghosts break their entire end- game composition.

We're just waiting for Terran to figure this out, mark my words.

Kind regards

PS: I recently made a thread "EMP v Protoss" in which I asked advice on how to play the battle vs EMP. The answer was:
- if u get emped, sacrifice Zealots and retreat.
- Just don't use Sentry / High templar
- Split pre- emptively
- Don't attack a terran that has Ghosts
Sounds imbalanced as hell to me? What does Terran do vs Templar? 1a and blanket EMP ftw? Ezpz. Gogo Terrancraft!

TL;DR - Nerf Ghosts, they will break the game once Terran figures out.
Zerg lategame is imbalanced as shit. Also: "Protoss is really strong recently. Perhaps, it's time for there to be some changes for Terran." -MMA. Even MMA asks for buffs. Srsly Blizzard. Srsly.
Primadog
Profile Blog Joined April 2010
United States4411 Posts
October 09 2011 08:25 GMT
#175
Thank you for the error bars and color-blind version. I love you guys.
Thank God and gunrun.
AnxiousHippo
Profile Blog Joined January 2011
Australia1451 Posts
October 09 2011 08:27 GMT
#176
Lol, ZvT is still my best MU and ZvP my worst.
An apple a day keeps the Protoss away | TLHF
Namu
Profile Joined February 2011
United States826 Posts
October 09 2011 08:42 GMT
#177
On October 09 2011 15:37 Aterons_toss wrote:
Its sad to look at those ratios and then think Xel naga fortress /Dual sight are still in the map pool of so many tournaments.
Also i never thought TvZ was doing this bad...


you do realize dual sight is considered as zerg favored right
daybreak + dualsight was the reason why so few terrans made it through code A quals for sept.
why would you want to remove it... unless you're talking about pvz only?
cause it's an awful map for toss to play on vs zerg
arbitrageur
Profile Joined December 2010
Australia1202 Posts
October 09 2011 08:52 GMT
#178
These stats mean 0 until controlledf for Koreans.

Korean Terrans and Zergs been in pretty much every foreign tourney. Korean protoss? like 10% of the representation.
Gotmog
Profile Joined October 2010
Serbia899 Posts
October 09 2011 09:23 GMT
#179
How should maps look so that they are good for P>Z>T in that order ?

I am not sure, since it looks like you can either have map that is good for T/P or good for Z ? Meaning, easy expos, barren lands for surrounds etc...

Maybe, by removing any viable elevator play from Terran ? And keeping chokes so P can keep using FF and not get surrounded so easily ?
"When you play the game of drones, you win or you die. There is no middle ground"
JerKy
Profile Blog Joined January 2011
Korea (South)3013 Posts
October 09 2011 09:38 GMT
#180
Sigh, Aiur is a sad place nowadays
You can type "StarCraft" with just your left hand.
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