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Newbie Student Mafia XXVIII - Page 12

Forum Index > TL Mafia
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darthfoley
Profile Blog Joined February 2011
United States8004 Posts
January 19 2018 00:02 GMT
#221
On January 19 2018 08:59 mderg wrote:
Show nested quote +
On January 19 2018 08:51 darthfoley wrote:
On January 19 2018 07:48 mderg wrote:
On January 19 2018 05:11 darthfoley wrote:
Perhaps i'll town read HF for seeing what I see. But he's good enough to do that as either alignment. I shall come back to this later.

Town: Twat/Rels

What makes Rels town?


He has seen what I see and shares some similar opinions about specific things that would not be on a mafia's priorities list at this juncture in the game

sounds kind of vague and bullshitty to me


Nah.

On January 19 2018 01:21 Rels wrote:
I also don't like BTDT's first post. Feels weird.
I also don't like rsoul being the Damdred whisperer and being bothered with him but not poking him to get a proper read


There ya go.
watch the wall collide with my fist, mostly over problems that i know i should fix
Mocsta
Profile Joined December 2012
Australia9388 Posts
January 19 2018 00:17 GMT
#222
@darthfoley
Why call me out, ignore me and then throw this?
On January 19 2018 05:10 darthfoley wrote:
Mocsta can still be scum though.
I find it peculiar that you go into detail on why you dont 'understand' BDTD motives; yet, for me, its a simple (and backtrackable): scum alignment.


On January 19 2018 05:03 darthfoley wrote:
I'm also sus of those of you who scumread me for one post where my intention was pretty clear, if you weren't trying to misrepresent me
What was this intention
darthfoley
Profile Blog Joined February 2011
United States8004 Posts
January 19 2018 00:23 GMT
#223
On January 19 2018 09:17 Mocsta wrote:
@darthfoley
Why call me out, ignore me and then throw this?
Show nested quote +
On January 19 2018 05:10 darthfoley wrote:
Mocsta can still be scum though.
I find it peculiar that you go into detail on why you dont 'understand' BDTD motives; yet, for me, its a simple (and backtrackable): scum alignment.


Show nested quote +
On January 19 2018 05:03 darthfoley wrote:
I'm also sus of those of you who scumread me for one post where my intention was pretty clear, if you weren't trying to misrepresent me
What was this intention


I haven't ignored you. I fell asleep last night and then by the time I was off work today, there were 7 pages of reading I did and I responded to them.

What I said here

On January 18 2018 12:58 darthfoley wrote:
who is this mocsta character and why is he speaking so much?


Is basically what HF said here

On January 18 2018 17:18 Holyflare wrote:
Cos I'm town.

Also don't take mocsta's enthusiasm as towny. Looks pretty forced and says nothing.


I agree with HF that you've posted a lot and yet I can't remember anything you've actually said. What do you think of the game currently?
watch the wall collide with my fist, mostly over problems that i know i should fix
darthfoley
Profile Blog Joined February 2011
United States8004 Posts
January 19 2018 00:24 GMT
#224
Also noted that you come back into the game and the first thing you do is defend yourself/deflect.
watch the wall collide with my fist, mostly over problems that i know i should fix
darthfoley
Profile Blog Joined February 2011
United States8004 Posts
January 19 2018 02:41 GMT
#225
And then don't do anything
watch the wall collide with my fist, mostly over problems that i know i should fix
Mocsta
Profile Joined December 2012
Australia9388 Posts
January 19 2018 02:55 GMT
#226
TL;DR: ##Vote: Damdred
============================
I am concerned...

I am seeing a pattern of people issuing town reads (solely) for being congruent with their reads.

Does it really bear repeating: Mafia know who the town is!


============================

If you want me to join the town circle-jerk club.
Fine: There is only one individual that gives me consitently good feelings and that is + Show Spoiler +
TWAT.

Why?

Because whilst mafia and town have the same priorites during Day1 (i.e. establish innocence); I dont believe mafia are capable of consistently simulating in parallel:
- paranoia
- confirmation bias / fixed dichotomy mindset
- willingness to throw out a position


Whilst I dont agree with the conclusions drawn by this player, I dont think the motives are malicious due to the above.

============================

But, I would rather weigh in on nulls and reds.


Priority #1: What to make of damerion/damdred case
  • Case is quite subjective to me, and presents a damned-if-you, damned-if-you-don't argument.
    Acceptable for early Day1 and overall, I catergorise this as a poke.
  • Damdred brushing off the case is only indicative of confidence, rather than alignment
  • Damerion followup is OK given the case/poke premise of meta.
  • Damdred wanting to work together is only indicative of understanding the game mechanics , rather than alignment.

Whilst I have no qualm with Damdred brushing off the case, i do have a problem with how Damdred clings to the mocsta/DF thread sentiment throughout his filter and case response.

"Why doesn't it make sense that they could be scum together (mocsta and DF), they have no real interactions together (yet)...But still a bit much to make a decision either way I suppose. But both are scummy"
"But id be happy just lynching moc today anyway."
"but also seems like a way to change conversation away from DF and moc who I guess you have at null?"

This is wishy washy at best, and non-congruent with the town-play meta argument at worst.

I think a town that is +1 bandwagoning would be more likely to get frustrated during this exchange. Especially in day1 when circles are small, and paranoia can be at its peak.
This is not present at all. Rather, whilst being poked Damdred remains calculated in response; making it even more intrigruing that a firm opinion is held without a firm base. Uncharacteristic of a measured thinker.

Overall, I observe Damdred employing an "appeal to emotion" through reconjuring thread bias without further substantiating or developing it.
Whilst, town is capable of using this (typically under confirmation bias) - at what point can it be deduced that Damdred is experiencing confirmation bias?? At what point can it be deduced that Damdred is poking somone, or laying a trap?

Rather, I prefer the simplest explanation: that an appeal to emotion is a tactic associated with lazy mafia play.

============================

Priority #2: Other comments of interest


Holyflare
Im confused by HF - until he "couldnt fathom the mindset" of kelsier, I wasnt actually sure why damdred was voted.
On one hand, I feel that HF is constantly prodding people in a constructive manner;
On the other hand, whilst he has communicated why he voted damdred, its for reasoning I dont agree with (i.e.
focusing on behaviour rather than motive).
Am i wrong to expect more?

Darthfoley
Reads like he is observing the game and commenting for funsies.
I dont know how to explain it other than its feels like he is here, yet not actually in the moment?!?!
More investigating required.

mderg
I feel that mderg is trying to post just enough to not be forgotten.
Its interesting that the biggest attempt to persuade the thread revolves around shifting the focus from damdred to
damerion. "Using the fact that Damdred left the thread is like the weakest reason to push the read I can imagine."
Given I think the poke was fair game, i think this is hyperbole from mderg.
An interesting connection with potentially interesting timing nonetheless.
Mocsta
Profile Joined December 2012
Australia9388 Posts
January 19 2018 03:31 GMT
#227
KelsierSC:
Main issue is the damdred discussion... I didn't feel he was really pushing a scum read that hard.
Is that not the point? Damdred was appealing to thread bias to push scum reads on his behalf...A soft push bruh.


KelsierSC:
I've agreed with most everything that Tina has said and I knew she would like costa. They both post in similair style.
Costa's enthusiasm is enough for a tone read pass D1.
Firstly, Tina hasnt put me in town circle?? Secondly, this is a not a logical conclusion as when reversed: If Tina is mafia and likes enthusiasm; your logic infers it would be a naturally difficult for her to call me mafia... i.e. whether rsoultin is town or mafia, I end up town.


KelsierSC:
my scummy reads come from people who agree on the damdred wagon when they should probably know better.
I dont understand how you can elicit such a strong opinion when damdred hasnt flipped? I do think Damdred is scummy, so why should others know better? The strong opinion is what makes this feel like a cheap way to open the door to target that wagon.


KelsierSC:
I don't like Mderg I think his disappointment at the thread felt fake and his 10 page hf point was not my experience of hf at all. In general I have disagreed with almost everything he said apart from his agreement that damerion is just too aggro. So I could see Mderg knowing both damdred and damerion are town and trying to get some credit later...maybe im just biased with that .
What credit? He was trying to sway the case from damdred to damerion?

Either you are using too much intraverted intuition to converge possibilities or or intentionally misinterpretting events.


KelsierSC:
I like kmatt but just because his 4d chess comment was really funny.
This I do agree with.
Mocsta
Profile Joined December 2012
Australia9388 Posts
January 19 2018 04:08 GMT
#228
On January 18 2018 22:38 Damerion wrote:
[...]
.... <Darthfoley read>,....
... <Mocsta read>...
On January 19 2018 02:29 TheTwatyEvildoer wrote:
I was worried about him only seeming to have a read on damdred.
But it seems strange for him if he is mafia to exclude the other two prime vote targets at the time from his pool.
... Bear in mind this is before the damdred votes piled so it would be a major gamble from him to make it impossible to chase Mcosta Rico and Darthfoley based off current suspecious of them.

I felt he was town before, but I think this seals it. Thoughts?
Its not sealed TWAT.

This is way too convoluted.
Whether town or mafia, Damerion could have done what you were saying.
A non-alignment example is to not want to dilute a point with rambling.

Lets pretend I am mafia and Damerion is mafia.
I dont see a motive to do what you said because
      Firstly, was there actually any pressure?
      Secondly, Who actually voted me....? .. No One.

Lets pretend I am mafia and Damerion is town.
I dont see a motive to do what you said because
      why cant he focus first on someone he has familiarity with?
      why does he have to agree with your reads?

Whether town or mafia, your reasoning above is not a justification.
Which is why i keep coming back to the Damdred soft push on me.

As mafia, who wouldnt want to shift the thread Day1 onto an "Easy Target" that has somewhat polarised the thread and is in opposite timezones?
rsoultin
Profile Blog Joined November 2014
Netherlands15308 Posts
January 19 2018 05:55 GMT
#229
On January 19 2018 08:34 prplhz wrote:
I have very little time who are you voting for rsoultin?

Holyflare most likely. Not Damdred. Probably not mocsta.

Realistically might have to consider other lynches.
"rsoultin: Mafia Suicide Inducer...you have unlimited shots because you are so god-damn relentless." - marvellosity (2015)
rsoultin
Profile Blog Joined November 2014
Netherlands15308 Posts
January 19 2018 06:06 GMT
#230
@mocsta...I know how this sounds to players who are relatively new, but expecting certain players to see things differently than others isn't strange. It's a function of playing with them enough to get an idea of how they think.

I'm not going to pretend that I'm infallible. Reading Damdred is something im good at, though. And I'm pretty confident he's town here.

If you put yourself in the shoes of someone thinking a town lynch is being pushed, and you see people jumping on the wagon for flimsy reasons that you believe to be beneath their town play, the natural conclusion then is that they're probably just scum.
"rsoultin: Mafia Suicide Inducer...you have unlimited shots because you are so god-damn relentless." - marvellosity (2015)
rsoultin
Profile Blog Joined November 2014
Netherlands15308 Posts
January 19 2018 06:09 GMT
#231
If my push on holyflare isn't all Fire and Brimstone! It at least in part is because I was hoping to finally roll town together and destroy scum with him :/ and not get too tunneled when my suspicions on him started early.

Can you read my attempt to explain my scumread on him earlier and give a fleshed opinion on him?
"rsoultin: Mafia Suicide Inducer...you have unlimited shots because you are so god-damn relentless." - marvellosity (2015)
rsoultin
Profile Blog Joined November 2014
Netherlands15308 Posts
January 19 2018 06:11 GMT
#232
Nevermind. You kind of did. What is this example of constructive prodding you mentioned?
"rsoultin: Mafia Suicide Inducer...you have unlimited shots because you are so god-damn relentless." - marvellosity (2015)
Mocsta
Profile Joined December 2012
Australia9388 Posts
January 19 2018 06:12 GMT
#233
On January 19 2018 15:06 rsoultin wrote:
@mocsta...I know how this sounds to players who are relatively new, but expecting certain players to see things differently than others isn't strange. It's a function of playing with them enough to get an idea of how they think.

I'm not going to pretend that I'm infallible. Reading Damdred is something im good at, though. And I'm pretty confident he's town here.

If you put yourself in the shoes of someone thinking a town lynch is being pushed, and you see people jumping on the wagon for flimsy reasons that you believe to be beneath their town play, the natural conclusion then is that they're probably just scum.
Welcome, however Im a bit confused here, because I cant tell if you are addressing me; or responding to a comment I wrote to ?Kelsier?

As for the bold.. ppl jump on wagons all the time.
I think its quite pointless to question the antics and sequences, unless a flip connected to the wagon has occured.

With your damdred knowledge, as town, is he liable to use an appeal to emotion?
Mocsta
Profile Joined December 2012
Australia9388 Posts
January 19 2018 06:17 GMT
#234
On January 19 2018 15:11 rsoultin wrote:
Nevermind. You kind of did. What is this example of constructive prodding you mentioned?


On January 18 2018 17:18 Holyflare wrote:
...Also don't take mocsta's enthusiasm as towny. Looks pretty forced and says nothing.
On January 18 2018 21:36 Holyflare wrote:
On the train in I thought about taking back my Mocsta read and was gonna come in and announce that but his later posts still don't say anything other than trying to explain why his initial posts feel weird. He's defending himself instead of making the top tier reads. Don't like.
On January 18 2018 21:42 Holyflare wrote:
Why is mocsta slightly scummy anyway? Not explained it.
On January 18 2018 22:35 Holyflare wrote:
You just acknowledged he was correct lol.
On January 19 2018 04:56 Holyflare wrote:
Who are these people calling df scum?


As a web of posts, I see an effort to provide small impetus.
They arent meaningless posts, rather, they succinctly question the thought process.

I dont think in any of these examples he is trying to exert/influence the recipients view point - rather open their thoughts.
That is constructive prodding to me.
rsoultin
Profile Blog Joined November 2014
Netherlands15308 Posts
January 19 2018 06:25 GMT
#235
On January 19 2018 15:12 Mocsta wrote:
Show nested quote +
On January 19 2018 15:06 rsoultin wrote:
@mocsta...I know how this sounds to players who are relatively new, but expecting certain players to see things differently than others isn't strange. It's a function of playing with them enough to get an idea of how they think.

I'm not going to pretend that I'm infallible. Reading Damdred is something im good at, though. And I'm pretty confident he's town here.

If you put yourself in the shoes of someone thinking a town lynch is being pushed, and you see people jumping on the wagon for flimsy reasons that you believe to be beneath their town play, the natural conclusion then is that they're probably just scum.
Welcome, however Im a bit confused here, because I cant tell if you are addressing me; or responding to a comment I wrote to ?Kelsier?

As for the bold.. ppl jump on wagons all the time.
I think its quite pointless to question the antics and sequences, unless a flip connected to the wagon has occured.

With your damdred knowledge, as town, is he liable to use an appeal to emotion?


As town he gets emotional. As scum he has a hard time reproducing the feelings in his town game. It's unfair to call it an appeal to emotion when I happen to know it's not intentional and he actually was trying (at least at one point) to keep the emotion out of his town play.

And while I understand your assertion and obviously a flip provides more information, it's a legitimate way to get reads day 1. It's not what reads people have, but how they come to them that is the main focus.

That is why I think that holyflare is scum.
"rsoultin: Mafia Suicide Inducer...you have unlimited shots because you are so god-damn relentless." - marvellosity (2015)
Mocsta
Profile Joined December 2012
Australia9388 Posts
January 19 2018 06:32 GMT
#236
rsoultin, perhaps you have misunderstood "Appeal to Emotion"

I am at no point commenting of damdred becoming emotional. I am commenting on him plucking on the emotions of the thread to push his agenda.

Appeal to emotion or argumentum ad passiones is a logical fallacy characterized by the manipulation of the recipient's emotions in order to win an argument, especially in the absence of factual evidence

===
Re: wagon voters
Its not real pressure unless all town are voting. Last I checked, 5 voted, 8 did not vote.
There is no real pressure to be lynched at this stage...
Thus, I dont view assessing a non-flipped wagon on day1 as legitimate, because town and mafia are equally capable of jumping on for funsies, pressure, laziness <insert another 1000 reasons>.
===
As for HF, I see a lynch on him at this stage as a hail-mary attempt.
If hes mafia, its very destabilising, and almost game over.
If hes town, its destabilising and we lose a very good asset.

Remember, he would also have 2 team mates...
Mocsta
Profile Joined December 2012
Australia9388 Posts
January 19 2018 06:35 GMT
#237
rsoultin,

In retrospect, I would like to hear HF thoughts on my damdred observations.

Whilst I dont like HF voting damdred for behaviour instead of motive; it is also arguable I could only discern motive through a vote on behaviour.

My problem is a town or mafia HF could easily say they voted damdred because of the meta case as a prod...
where does that get us?
rsoultin
Profile Blog Joined November 2014
Netherlands15308 Posts
January 19 2018 06:36 GMT
#238
On January 19 2018 15:17 Mocsta wrote:
Show nested quote +
On January 19 2018 15:11 rsoultin wrote:
Nevermind. You kind of did. What is this example of constructive prodding you mentioned?


Show nested quote +
On January 18 2018 17:18 Holyflare wrote:
...Also don't take mocsta's enthusiasm as towny. Looks pretty forced and says nothing.
Show nested quote +
On January 18 2018 21:36 Holyflare wrote:
On the train in I thought about taking back my Mocsta read and was gonna come in and announce that but his later posts still don't say anything other than trying to explain why his initial posts feel weird. He's defending himself instead of making the top tier reads. Don't like.
Show nested quote +
On January 18 2018 21:42 Holyflare wrote:
Why is mocsta slightly scummy anyway? Not explained it.
Show nested quote +
On January 18 2018 22:35 Holyflare wrote:
You just acknowledged he was correct lol.
Show nested quote +
On January 19 2018 04:56 Holyflare wrote:
Who are these people calling df scum?


As a web of posts, I see an effort to provide small impetus.
They arent meaningless posts, rather, they succinctly question the thought process.

I dont think in any of these examples he is trying to exert/influence the recipients view point - rather open their thoughts.
That is constructive prodding to me.


I can see why you think that. The first two were elicited by my engaging him, though. And you'll note he was singularly not constructive when I pressed for elaboration.

Then you have a request for an explanation, the post that led to his shit reason for scumreading Damdred the likes of which I've seen in previous scum games of his, and a pretty innocuous question.

I don't call that constructive. I call that lazy at best and shallow skating by at worst. You have to understand that holyflare is considered to be one of the best players on tl. And his push on Damdred in the context of this nothingness with shit reasoning clinches it for me.

Like I agree you look bad just defending yourself but your 'crazy' entrance that contributes nothing to a game that hasn't started yet with almost no one posting and you prodding people to respond to you should not be getting scum reads in my opinion. I don't like hf pointing at that. He takes my one slight townread and shits on it for poor reasons while not commenting on any of my other reads. he just made a joke about itch cream. That has obvious scum motivation if you know that I'm town.
"rsoultin: Mafia Suicide Inducer...you have unlimited shots because you are so god-damn relentless." - marvellosity (2015)
rsoultin
Profile Blog Joined November 2014
Netherlands15308 Posts
January 19 2018 06:39 GMT
#239
On January 19 2018 15:32 Mocsta wrote:
rsoultin, perhaps you have misunderstood "Appeal to Emotion"

I am at no point commenting of damdred becoming emotional. I am commenting on him plucking on the emotions of the thread to push his agenda.

Appeal to emotion or argumentum ad passiones is a logical fallacy characterized by the manipulation of the recipient's emotions in order to win an argument, especially in the absence of factual evidence

===
Re: wagon voters
Its not real pressure unless all town are voting. Last I checked, 5 voted, 8 did not vote.
There is no real pressure to be lynched at this stage...
Thus, I dont view assessing a non-flipped wagon on day1 as legitimate, because town and mafia are equally capable of jumping on for funsies, pressure, laziness <insert another 1000 reasons>.
===
As for HF, I see a lynch on him at this stage as a hail-mary attempt.
If hes mafia, its very destabilising, and almost game over.
If hes town, its destabilising and we lose a very good asset.

Remember, he would also have 2 team mates...


I hate that reasoning. If he's my top scumread I want him lynched. No one else has as good a chance of flipping scum in my eyes. And frankly, if he is town and this is how he's going to play this game has not worth keeping, and not just because he'll be a distraction to me until one of us is removed from the game.
"rsoultin: Mafia Suicide Inducer...you have unlimited shots because you are so god-damn relentless." - marvellosity (2015)
rsoultin
Profile Blog Joined November 2014
Netherlands15308 Posts
January 19 2018 06:42 GMT
#240
On January 19 2018 15:35 Mocsta wrote:
rsoultin,

In retrospect, I would like to hear HF thoughts on my damdred observations.

Whilst I dont like HF voting damdred for behaviour instead of motive; it is also arguable I could only discern motive through a vote on behaviour.

My problem is a town or mafia HF could easily say they voted damdred because of the meta case as a prod...
where does that get us?


He voted him for admitting he says like a lot and is trying to change it. Hf can say what he wants. His filter shows this to be the reason.

Also, can you quote what you think is aoe?
"rsoultin: Mafia Suicide Inducer...you have unlimited shots because you are so god-damn relentless." - marvellosity (2015)
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