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On June 11 2015 03:18 justanothertownie wrote:Show nested quote +On June 11 2015 03:16 Fecalfeast wrote:On June 11 2015 03:14 justanothertownie wrote:On June 11 2015 03:13 Fecalfeast wrote:On June 11 2015 03:11 Half the Sky wrote:On June 11 2015 03:09 Fecalfeast wrote: I don't think he's actually suspicious of me. Seems like everyone is just keeping me on the backburner as usual He's called you a lurker at least, what, three times now? Or useless or however he's phrasing it? As the only lurker in this game, oh wait... So what if there are other lurkers? The argument "but those other guys are as guilty as me" is something that mafia makes all the fucking time. And who are you even talking about? fuba mig Va off the top of my head. I said my part about mig and fuba/VA are known lurkers who do it every single game regardless of alignment. So your argument is invalid.
Alright JAT, so then (based on my previous question) am I correct here in saying that your primary argument against FF is his lurkiness?
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Fecalfeast last 3-4 games
This game - 6 page filter/80 pages after 2+ cycles
NSM11 - 6 page filter for one cycle (NKed N1 as VT) Ippo - 11 page filter for two cycles (lynched D2, was mafia) TL LXX - 22 page filter for seven cycles/last 2 cycles were 24h (endgamed D7, VT) Debauchery - 4 page filter for three cycles (NKed N3, VT)
He's low postcount as either alignment, but I don't know I could reliably say that postcount alone is a scum indicator.
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Actually I forgot Carnaval since it wasn't in the database. 12 page filter, and lynched D4 as vanilla scum. Still I think the previous point holds if you consider average pages/day.
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BF, two major flaws in your case offhand.
1 The one-liner thing is not a valid argument. First JAT does that as both alignments. Second if you don't trust what I, or anyone else, says there on JAT, case building is not the only way to go about doing things, most people on this forum generally prefer conversational approach to scumhunting, some people find it easier to detect scumtells in conversation. There are some people like Damdred, Trfel, Tictock, myself, ritoky to a lesser extent that do go the case route, but to be a truly masterful mafia player on this site, you should know how to work both conversationally and via case route.
2 A number of those points about the Artanis claim are similar to what Mig tried to do when scumreading JAT and I shot just about everything down. There are honest reasons to doubt a claim and I can tell you haven't looked into those.
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On June 11 2015 04:26 fuba wrote:Show nested quote +On June 11 2015 04:14 justanothertownie wrote: That boxerfred post is so remarkably shit that I consider lynching him over fuba. You're quite a joy to play with. Not that I think I'm any better to play with, mind you, but for different reasons. Not sure how to respond to what's been said about me. I have absolutely no idea what chez was doing at all, because it definitely seemed to me as though he was saying that when he flipped, marv would be in trouble. That, along with the comment about millers, made me think he was claiming something (specifically cop). His play that day seemed to be from the perspective of a cop who had a red check on marv. I have a lot of trouble understanding how no one else at least caught glimpses of this. Actually, didn't someone say something about chez and mad hatters? Like "cut it out with this mad hatter shit" or something? Thought it was prplhz, but I didn't see it in his filter. Oh, it was mig. So at least one other person saw some sort of claim in chez's play. Guess that means I'm not completely insane.
We went through this already. We expected a hardclaim based on him saying he had to afk even though it was 5h approx prior to EoD. Question after question we threw at him because no one could tell, I looked up his history to compare and test the "riddle" theory you brought up. Both FF and I read filters God knows how many times. And Mig I think said quite the opposite rightly or wrongly and voted him saying he wouldn't forget a game he was dt, he's screwing around or whatever, so that statement doesn't hold unless I misunderstood it.
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On June 11 2015 04:31 boxerfred wrote: ad 2: okay I can get that, but what about my TMI argument on NaCl's claim? The bolded part?
BF, that goes hand in hand what I originally said about many reasons to doubt a claim, there are conversely many reasons to accept one claim over another. The same principle applies.
That does not necessarily mean TMI.
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I'm back.
First off, GGs Marv.
Second, I'm not sure I agree with you on fuba Mig, and there's one thing you are missing. Salty pointed this before but will say it again - in Carnaval he provided reads, and here he's not doing that, at least not as readily in Carnaval. Ironically you take the same quote you provided and in Carnival, he's getting somewhere based on information he has in front of him.
On June 11 2015 12:44 Mig wrote:Not feeling the case against fuba at all. The interaction around chez's lynch feels completely counter intuitive for how a mafia lurker fuba would play. He isn't hard defending chez but is more probing, asking questions etc. Why even bother if he were mafia and he thinks there is even a tiny chance that chez could be a cop when he is for sure going to be lynched? Just for town credit? In general people who lurk as mafia are more likely to coast and not worry about drawing attention to themselves to try and earn town cred. Show nested quote +On June 10 2015 00:21 fuba wrote: Oh, and regarding the explanation for my BF read flipping:
In all honesty, the thing that swayed me most is that he just seemed genuine. That isn't typically an acceptable answer, so I tried to fluff it up with "reasoning" and such. This post feels super townie to me also. Mafia are more careful about being honest about things like this. Posts like this draw attention to mafia and you could see fuba instantly got shit about it. + Show Spoiler +On May 25 2015 08:27 fuba wrote: Wishy-washiness is kind of my trademark town play (at least until end game). I used to post a lot more, but every time I would give a giant wall of wishy-washy reads I felt like I was painting a bulls-eye on my back, so I mostly try to think things through on my own now.
In an effort to contribute more, I'll try to get some legit reads into the thread by tomorrow. I don't work today, so I should have time to get it done. I wouldn't get your hopes up for definite town/scum reads, but at least I'll put some of my thoughts on "paper".
I'm up for a nb lynch. It's true that as a vet, it made little sense to claim during the night. The entire situation seems silly as either alignment, but that remains true. The fact that she was supposedly afraid of dying last night despite being sure that mafia wouldn't also attack her would seem to indicate that her fear was feigned. And she still hasn't explained how she flipped from geript/sandroba scum to sandroba scum + geript absolutely town. Despite being asked multiple times. Many of us had this little feeling that geript was actually town, but she seemed sure of it.
##Vote 17ninjabunnies You can see the same thing from fuba here in carnival as town. He openly admits to trying to craft his posts to avoid suspicion, which is generally a mafia trait but something mafia wont ever post because they don't want to draw attention to themselves.
There's nothing wrong with probing and asking questions but where are those questions leading? Here's a look at how he voted for Chezinu.
On June 10 2015 00:52 fuba wrote:Show nested quote +On June 10 2015 00:26 justanothertownie wrote:On June 10 2015 00:24 fuba wrote:On June 10 2015 00:18 justanothertownie wrote:On June 10 2015 00:15 Half the Sky wrote:
Someone (you marv?) said he had a hard time posting as scum and a quote like that with a response like that (second quote) makes me think (if what you are saying is correct) he's posting just to post.
That's the impression I get from reviewing those last two things of his filter.
He says Vayne is scummy and I'm having a tough time seeing why, you are having a tough time seeing why and then he says "I never said....etc....it's pretty much all I can say."
The quotes alone don't make him mafia but based on what you (or whoever said it) know about him, that he has trouble posting or in this case explaining his position on Vayne. Exactly. Right now, I'm still thinking BF is town. Though I'm gonna read his previous game to see if I get the same feeling from him there as I do here. And I have little idea about Vayne. The only thing I directly remember about him is his reaction to yamato flipping (which was either just an honest town reaction or scum wifom) and the fact that he reposted his post about me from our last game together (which would seem to indicate he's a survivor XD). So... my current VA read is a whole lot of *shrugs* Do you have any reads that do not consists only of shrugs? Mmmmmm mostly town reads. I'll put in the effort of deciding who, among people I don't know how to read, is scum, when the lynch isn't already decided. On that note: ##Vote ChezinuI want to see what his death promises us.
And then if for whatever reason he wanted to give Chezinu the benefit of the doubt, why didn't he explore other wagons? At least that would have been the expectation I had to some degree. Granted I think by the time a bunch of us were going back and forth on the whole thing with the Chez non-claim, Chez I think had nearly everyone on him, so I'm guessing (at least on this quote) that contributed to fuba backing down the way he did.
In any case, the sticking point is the lack of reads here with him. Right I get he's bringing out his weaknesses out in the open but why isn't he doing anything about it like he did in Carnaval?
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On fuba regarding the reads he has he has one read on BF and that was based on a change in tone (saying something was genuine). Thing is, BF has done loads since so commenting on the updated information would go a long way.
I also generally consider tone reads fairly weak.
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But that's just me, I know they carry some weight at the beginning of the game, when everyone is just getting started, but to consider that over some of the things BF may have done before and that others are bringing up makes me wonder how he thinks tone is stronger and how he's so sure that BF isn't fooling him. Especially when he voted him before on this -
On June 06 2015 15:59 fuba wrote:Sorry, I was really out of it today. First, regarding the claims... I can't find a reason to really disbelieve NaCl's claim. Was at least leaning town on him before it (mostly because of the case that people seem to agree seems accurate, though I haven't had the time to look into mig's previous games myself). That being said, I can't really decide what to make of Artanis's claim. My instinct is to believe him, though that instinct has bitten me in the ass before. Like prplhz said, his story does have a consistency to it that leads me to believe he's telling the truth. The fact that prplhz's view suddenly seemed to flip on the subject makes me... uncomfortable. Show nested quote +On June 05 2015 20:40 boxerfred wrote:On June 05 2015 18:10 Mig wrote: boxerfred what do you think of me? Fecal?
Is your vote for yamato a serious one? You believe he's most likely to be scum just because he voted you? No thought on you or fecal thus far On yamato? Given that he lurks, only to make a vote on me, only to leave another short, lurky comment? Yeah could very well be. That's not too solid however. I tend to no-vote currently. I think I'd prefer to lynch this guy. Gives reasons to see yamato as scummy>says yamato could be scummy>backs off on it>prefers no-lynch over guy he thinks could be scum. I mean, I understand wishy-washiness better than anyone, but he definitely seems to just be coasting by. Like... if he'd really given enough thought to preferring a no-lynch over a yamato lynch, why didn't he then switch his vote? He seems to just be saying things to say things, giving the appearance of participation, and disappearing. ##Vote boxerfredGotta get some sleep, but I'll get up an hour or two early to read/talk.
And you could argue to some extent the same thing is happening with BF now.
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I'm leaning more towards fuba tbh but I'm looking at FF's case on BF atm to make sure I didn't miss anything.
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On June 11 2015 21:13 justanothertownie wrote: And if you read what happened today so far - what do you think of Mig?
Getting there.
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Most of the same points are there re: BF. I hated his voting switches D2 that I know. And you had the D1 no lynch/yamato thing. Which all in all are really bad.
The one thing I did not catch before however, would appear how he switched his stance on you JAT.
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I'm reading up on Mig atm but I really need to see WHY BF switched stances. Or more importantly, what was the basis for his townread and the switch. That's why I'm not liking fuba at all, because weighting a tone read over more substantive information that happened before AND after (though I'm not sure fuba was quite active after even) doesn't make a lot of sense.
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EBWOP - why BF switched stances on you.
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Alright, so I looked at Mig's post, namely the Yamato interaction post. Here's my take.
Second half I really don't like. You have a different style of play - conversational play. You said you only played one game with him, IIRC.
But I've also played with you enough to know that to some extent, he has to evaluate you differently. Aperture was very different because to some extent it was a PM game, so any digging was not done by filter hunting it was via PM. That's a big thing I think he's missing when making that meta comparison.
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Yamato calling you "town" JAT at that stage in the game could be TMI on his part actually - that could actually discredit anything Mig says about soft pushes from Yamato. Why would he call you town (even if stupid town) for lynching into obvious claims when Artanis' claim was questionable in the first place? And from reading your own filter, you had established both on a claim analysis front AND a behaviour/gameplay front why Artanis' claim was questionable.
That's potentially another flaw in his case.
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But all in all, it's a weak case. I can see where he demonstrates about the soft pushes but that alone to me would not be enough to call someone mafia. Something similar happened to me in Titanic 7 when both town and mafia jumped on LightningStrike for something he said about him and me and immediately everyone assumed both of us (who were town) were mafia.
The only question from his POV that could be valid is him asking why you took so long to focus on Yamato because he's actually focusing on something you did or didn't do. But Yamato's pushes though I can see where he initially comes from the potential TMI quote where he talks about lynching into obvious claims should create enough doubt that he was going soft pushing on a mafia JAT.
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On June 11 2015 21:49 justanothertownie wrote: Sure. The fact that his case is bad isn't in question here. The question is do you think he is town playing very sloppily or mafia?
Here's what bugs me about Mig - does he have any scumreads other than you? He's considering all possibilities but where does he stand on people other than you? he lynched chez for what I'm assuming appeared a meta-based reason which could be good or bad - he dropped you who he felt strongly about for chez after nearly everyone had piled on Chez. Blending in? Could be.
He tried to post bad cases re the Artanis claim and this case isn't very good either, if he's mafia, he's flailing because he can't build a case against anyone else using the argument "considering all possibilities" to buy some time, he could be finding weak/poor reasons to defend Fuba. He still hasn't considered the read progression of fuba, which I find quite interesting when he's apparently looked him over at Carnaval.
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The other problem is how he hopped on Yamato right at the very end d1.
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He calls the marv/yam interaction forced early on, ribs yam for not doing anything but only starts considering yam only 2h prior to EoD. Wagon was underway I think, could definitely be blending in at that point.
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