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Carnival Cruise Mafia - Page 71

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WaveofShadow
Profile Blog Joined April 2010
Canada31495 Posts
May 17 2013 15:36 GMT
#1401
SnB, who is scum?
twitch.tv/waveofshadow ||| Winner of AHGL's So You Think You Can Cast! ||| Juicy Dad for lyfe ||| 'idk i get a kick out of stupid things' - Jarms Yarng
kushm4sta
Profile Blog Joined July 2011
United States8878 Posts
May 17 2013 15:40 GMT
#1402
i want to know what straight up lie i told
OMGUS.net, kush sex blogs every friday night
WaveofShadow
Profile Blog Joined April 2010
Canada31495 Posts
May 17 2013 15:56 GMT
#1403
Prom:
Early suspicion on me based on meta. Seems to be an expert in meta reading and says I'm more confrontational than he's seen me (which is probably true) though I would argue that I was most confrontational well after this accusation was seemingly left behind. He says he's read my games--- I'd say I was pretty damn confrontational in [REDACTED] but again I guess that's all subjective. Can't really call this reaching, though I wonder about this:
On May 13 2013 05:35 Promethelax wrote:
WoS, that is dumb and you know it. Past statistics have nothing to do with this game. Why respond to that accusation which has no content or reasoning?

Kita: why WoS?

The 'past statistics' thing is something I do commonly, sort of as something to minimally back up what I'm saying. I explained it to Oats earlier regarding the 'Vivax being good at blue' thing. I suppose when I use it regarding myself I expect people to be able to see what I see in my play which doesn't make much sense but whatever. Seems a really easy point to bring up against me; it's done early game and if Prom's suspicion is genuine then I can't fault him for it I suppose.

I still don't agree with his Oats=town reasoning as he basically takes the vig DP kill assumption and goes from there. Oh wait a minute...we lost our vig already (I suppose it's possible for there to be another? I don't know balance) and it was likely that Vayne was the one shot. I suppose that doesn't mean anything for Oats' assumption at that point in the game but I need to keep that in mind when looking at Oats in the future. Prom when/if you read this I suggest you do, too because you said yourself he had been playing scummy.

On May 15 2013 00:30 Promethelax wrote:
Yeah WoS was made out of town in that game. I think though that the dissonance we're seeing comes from no longer being a newbie. When you think of yourself as bad and offer yourself up to die its one thing but WoS has been around long enough to get an ego about mafia. We all do eventually. That ego explains a lot...

I don't see WoS being scum based on that. Actually its a point more towards the town side of things as I can understand his play if I assume he has gained the ego of bh in the last few months. If WoS is being an egotistical maniac his angry play makes a lot of sense. Look at recent Yamato rage or something similar. This is starting to read as the reaction of someone who thinks they are better than those accusing them simply because those people are accusing them.

WoS you hostile little fuck, I think you might be town. Work with me if you are so that I can be sure of that. Stop fighting for the sake of fighting and look for scum. If you think Oats is scum convince me. Or if its someone else convince me.

Your reads are scary good bro. Like...actually. A read like this though is probably easier to come up with from a scum perspective, though since you already know I'm town and can work from there, so it's basically, do I believe you're hella smart, or scum? Honestly....probably going with hella smart. I've seen your scum game and it wasn't anything like this.

Conclusion: Town

Questions: Prom updated thoughts on OO/Oats? You seem to flip-flop back and forth a lot on them in your filter and can't make up your mind.
twitch.tv/waveofshadow ||| Winner of AHGL's So You Think You Can Cast! ||| Juicy Dad for lyfe ||| 'idk i get a kick out of stupid things' - Jarms Yarng
WaveofShadow
Profile Blog Joined April 2010
Canada31495 Posts
May 17 2013 16:01 GMT
#1404
On May 17 2013 23:04 Promethelax wrote:
Show nested quote +
On May 17 2013 16:40 VisceraEyes wrote:
Shiro is literally just following along with town sentiment. He hasn't done ANYTHING today - literally nothing but vote.

But something about it. Like look at this post:
On May 16 2013 13:40 shirokami wrote:
+ Show Spoiler +

On May 16 2013 10:06 WaveofShadow wrote:
How the fuck does this make any sense at all?
Is this an association tell based on me as well?
The fact that Vivax afked the latter half of yesterday and left his vote on me is enough for you because BH changed it, even though BH was the main and aggressive proponent of my lynch all yesterday?

Fuck this is stupid.



I just lost my hope on BH and vivax seems like a good guy, and I also want to see you hang buddy. Im like a the tramp dog from dat disney movie, on monday I eat at this italian who gives me pizza, next day I eat at donnie's who gives me some chicken. Im not a genius, I dont make posts that are hard to read because they are too long and full of emotional or useless bullshit, I dont say someone is scum because of his meta. I just like to agree with the towniest guy there is. BUT I will tell my OWN opinion when I seem it is necessary. but now, it is N1 and thx to some stupid people there were no-lynch. The NK will tell us something, And If I have an opinion about it, I will post it. My filter is short, and rayn and vivax can already tell that im town based on it, do you know why? IT IS EASY TO READ.

Would scum SAY THIS? Like, let's remove all variables from the equation - don't factor in that he has a team - don't factor in that he's a "newbie" - just think of this from a scum-aligned standpoint. Can you think of a reason to EVER just come out and say "I just like to agree with the towniest guy there is."

UGH but his filter is SOOOOO BAD.

##Summon: Promethelax
##Summon: Blazinghand
##Summon: slOosh


You three. You three will immediately give me your opinion of shirokami. You will do this thing or you will NEVER regain your honor! Based on the observation I just made, I think town. I think new town in over his head. But I want backup on this one.


Your assessment matches mine.

## unvote

I'm liking the Play from VE today and hiro scum slipped. Points to the first person to find it.

##vote: hiropro

ooooo I wanna find it!
I'll do my BH read after, first i'ma do Hiro.
twitch.tv/waveofshadow ||| Winner of AHGL's So You Think You Can Cast! ||| Juicy Dad for lyfe ||| 'idk i get a kick out of stupid things' - Jarms Yarng
WaveofShadow
Profile Blog Joined April 2010
Canada31495 Posts
May 17 2013 16:10 GMT
#1405
Hiro:
Lays down weak suspicion on OO and absolutely ZERO followup to it whatsoever. A bunch of questions that go absolutely nowhere.
On May 15 2013 09:43 HiroPro wrote:
I don't see a lynch happening today and I won't be voting for either wave or vayne. might be around later to see if something changes.

I am aware this isn't a scumslip but why was he the only one who figured this was going to happen wayyy in advance? Honestly I think the reason he knew is because he knew the two people who were going to be modkilled were town so scum had control over the votes that day. (Alternative the no-lynch could be an attempt to frame him but that's a HUGE stretch imo)
On May 17 2013 09:00 HiroPro wrote:
to be honest, this game is kind of silly. i still haven't gone through viscera's posts but we literally cannot win (since we won't be able to get lynches) unless one of chaoser/bill/sinani is mafia.

Again, look at that. Moving on....

The most effort Hiro has put into the game thus far is a defense of himself. Not great.

Thros suspicion on VIvax which I somewhat agreed with earlier but Vivax clearly had ulterior motives as shown by the fact that he didn't flat-out kill me. And then of course the fact that he flipped town makes Hiro look worse. Again, frame attempt or just scum being outed? I lean towards the second; Hiro just hasn't put in enough effort to push for any lynches at all.

On May 17 2013 09:31 HiroPro wrote:
w/e, i'll just hope for some luck in that regard.

Voting for Viscera because:

- the early WaveOfShadow vote looks artificial ("Abnormally high ratio of gif/pics"), this has nothing to do with alignment
- he constantly emphasizes early on that Obvious is lurky and lacks skill as mafia and then somehow reaches the conclusion that it's entirely possible for obvious to be a good mafia player.
- The assertion that the townie thing for obvious to do was to self-vote and suicide is complete nonsense and seems made up.

##Vote VisceraEyes

These reasons to vote VE just seem terrible to me. I'm not seing a scumslip but I feel like it's in here somewhere and I don't think I can go more in depth than this right now. Either way I'm pretty sure I'd be comfortable voting Hiro today, but ideally I'd like for him to come back and do something just to see first. I also want to read into BH before I vote (not that I really would want to push BH today because it's just going to start another shitstorm with him and distract the thread).
twitch.tv/waveofshadow ||| Winner of AHGL's So You Think You Can Cast! ||| Juicy Dad for lyfe ||| 'idk i get a kick out of stupid things' - Jarms Yarng
WaveofShadow
Profile Blog Joined April 2010
Canada31495 Posts
May 17 2013 16:11 GMT
#1406
EBWOP: three people that were going to be modkilled
twitch.tv/waveofshadow ||| Winner of AHGL's So You Think You Can Cast! ||| Juicy Dad for lyfe ||| 'idk i get a kick out of stupid things' - Jarms Yarng
strongandbig
Profile Blog Joined October 2010
United States4858 Posts
May 17 2013 16:46 GMT
#1407
that could only be a scumslip if he knew they were going to be modkilled too, but it didn't seem like that, it seemed more like he thought they would be modkilled after the end of day 1 and then they weren't. Anyway, my problem with calling it a "scumslip" is that it doesn't necessarily signal that he had extra information, there are other interpretations.
"It's the torso" "only more so!"
Blazinghand *
Profile Blog Joined December 2010
United States25553 Posts
May 17 2013 16:47 GMT
#1408
please WoS when have I ever caused a shitstorm
When you stare into the iCCup, the iCCup stares back.
TL+ Member
strongandbig
Profile Blog Joined October 2010
United States4858 Posts
May 17 2013 16:57 GMT
#1409
On May 18 2013 00:36 WaveofShadow wrote:
SnB, who is scum?


- one (or both) of oats and OO, most likely oats imo (for reasons look earlier in my filter)

- I'm finding it harder and harder to believe that shirokami is town. Like, if he just wasn't posting at all, that's one thing; but he has a three page filter, without actually having said much of anything. I have a three page filter, three pages is plenty of attention to the thread to have made an impact. He hasn't.

- Still think there's a chance of VE being scum, but he's sounding a lot more town than he was before. For my full thoughts on VE, there's a big post from me up above in the thread.

- okay now we come to the hiropro question. give me a few minutes to figure out where i stand on that one and read his filter and stuff.
"It's the torso" "only more so!"
Blazinghand *
Profile Blog Joined December 2010
United States25553 Posts
May 17 2013 17:05 GMT
#1410
On May 18 2013 00:34 prplhz wrote:
Show nested quote +
On May 17 2013 23:55 Blazinghand wrote:
On May 17 2013 18:33 prplhz wrote:
Okay I really want to lynch kushm4sta.

The guy hasn't notably pushed anything hard this game. He's fine being lurkish and just poking in here and there. I don't really find that to be scummy in itself but it's not a town tell either.

What my problem with kusm4sta is is how he's focused on himself and how he himself appears and not about other people. This is especially prevalent in his early game with posts like this and this and this. Those posts have only one purpose: showing people that he doesn't care about how he appears, but by being so blatant about it becomes apparent that he very much cares about how he appears to other players.

Contrast his early posts from Dessert Mini Mafia where he was town. In this post which is one of his very first he comes out pretty strong with a "I'm going to tell you a scum read in a second", there's no focus on how he appears but focus only on contributing.

Read for yourself, the filters are pretty short:
Dessert Mini Mafia
This game

I also find this post very off. First of all he is promising us something very insubstantial: "more activity", it's really hard to hold people up on that. He's also promising it to us "second half of the game" but when is that? This game could end in a few days or it could drag on until 3 players left. He's promising us nothing and at a time no townie knows when is. I imagine townies who were busy would say "I am busy this weekend, will post something after" or something like that, not say "I am busy for the first half of the game"?!

And then look at his latest post:

On May 17 2013 10:49 kushm4sta wrote:
On May 17 2013 10:25 WaveofShadow wrote:
On May 17 2013 09:25 kushm4sta wrote:
I will vote VE.

But in regards to WoS, people need to realize he spams as scum. So spamming doesn't make him town.

##vote VE

I've never been scum you derp.

But if you did get scum, you would still spam.

First kushm4sta says that WaveofShadow spams as scum but he has absolutely no way to know this as WaveofShadow has never been scum. He is literally making things up here and there is NO townie motivation for this. His response also seems really nervous in that he makes a weird jokish comment on it like it means nothing when WaveofShadow has actually caught him in a direct lie that no townie would ever make.

Would you as town ever say that someone is acting like last time he was scum, when he has never rolled scum before? He also says it in a weirdly reassuring manner "Don't worry guys, just lynch him".

Anyway, lets lynch kushm4sta.

##Vote kushm4sta


Although you've noted a small thing that he did in one game as town that he's not doing this game, you have failed horribly at meta because you haven't shown that it's something kush does as scum. Meta cases can't just be "I usually see him do this as town and he's not", it has to be "He does X as town and Y as scum, and this game he is doing Y". This is because people's play varies from game to game even within their alignment. People are busier or more or less active or just have good or bad analysis games.

Kush hasn't written as much about others as he has in one or two town games. So what?!

Show me where he does this as scum OR tell me you have a red check on him OR tell me this is a policy lynch.

Until then I will not unvote

##unvote
##vote prplhz

LOL are you kidding me?

This isn't a meta case, this is me saying that kushm4sta's early game doesn't look like his town game and contains general traits that are indisputably scummy AND he has been caught in a straight up lie that no townie would ever do.

No I'm not going to make this into a pure meta case because you vote me. Jesus christ.

Seriously look at it:

"Kush hasn't written as much about others as he has in one or two town games. So what?!"

So what?! So that's a pretty good sign that something might be up.

Can anybody tell BlazingHand that he's being completely ludicrous.


you clearly don't understnad hwat i'm tlaking about and haven't been reading the thread. You say he's indisputably scummy and has been lying like no townie would ever do but that straight up is NOT GOOD ENOUG. literally every game this happens with kush. he plays like scum, people say "herp depr kush is scum" and then lynch him and he flips town. Unless you show me he's doing something he does as scum, you are bad.

every game kush plays he is objectivly scummy. you need to do better. You need a check, a policy lynch, or a LEGIT meta case, or you're clearly scum looking for low hanging fruit of kush mislynch or town who's so bad he can't be allowed to live

When you stare into the iCCup, the iCCup stares back.
TL+ Member
strongandbig
Profile Blog Joined October 2010
United States4858 Posts
May 17 2013 17:12 GMT
#1411
On May 18 2013 01:57 strongandbig wrote:
Show nested quote +
On May 18 2013 00:36 WaveofShadow wrote:
SnB, who is scum?


- one (or both) of oats and OO, most likely oats imo (for reasons look earlier in my filter)

- I'm finding it harder and harder to believe that shirokami is town. Like, if he just wasn't posting at all, that's one thing; but he has a three page filter, without actually having said much of anything. I have a three page filter, three pages is plenty of attention to the thread to have made an impact. He hasn't.

- Still think there's a chance of VE being scum, but he's sounding a lot more town than he was before. For my full thoughts on VE, there's a big post from me up above in the thread.

- okay now we come to the hiropro question. give me a few minutes to figure out where i stand on that one and read his filter and stuff.


So on hiro

First, I find VE's original case only moderately convincing. Summarizing his points with my comments:
- Hiro asks a lot of questions that don't help find scum
--- that's true, and there is a scum motivation for doing this, but chaoser was doing the same thing and flipped town; this could be a townie trying and failing to be a 'leader' type
- Hiro is wrong about some theory (whether scum or town explain their actions)
--- okay whatever not a scum tell unless you can connect it to scum motivated behavior.
- Hiro's case on vivax was poorly reasoned
--- okay also true but not necessarily a scum tell

So from VE's original case we have some circumstantial evidence or scummy behavior, but nothing really strong.

I actually like Sloosh's point here a lot better:
On May 17 2013 14:49 slOosh wrote:
I also agree with his lynch choice of HiroPro. He fits the Day 1 heuristic very tightly. The core of his day 1 play revolved around ObviousOne, but totally drops it with no explanation, and picks up the new thread sentiment of VE, and the rest of his posts seemed more concerned with mechanics explanations, but not with the intent of finding scum.
Show nested quote +
On May 17 2013 03:03 HiroPro wrote:
I'm not interested in killing ObviousOne right now. i'll decide who to lynch later when I have time to read. probably viscera, but we'll see.

Show nested quote +
On May 17 2013 03:31 HiroPro wrote:
there's nothing about the politician that says they have to be mafia. it's entirely possible that they're town - i can think of at least two games that I've played in with a town politician. second, the deadline is at such a unusual time that even if the politician was mafia and obviousone was town, they simply might not have been around to move it from me to obvious. then there are some people in this game who seem to believe that it's better to lynch someone that's town than to have a no-lynch on d1, a mafia politician like that might even think it's a good idea to leave a town player alive.


these are much stronger reasons to suspect someone.
- mechanics focus is a great way for scum to hide
- following thread sentiment. we all know the point here.

Then we've got VE's NK analysis about the Vivax death. not conclusive, not even very strong on its own, but the logic is valid. So this adds another piece of 'circumstantial evidence' to the puzzle.

Then we've got WoS attacking hiro's vote post on VE. This is also a decent point - his vote post is just rehashing stuff other people said (specifically prome) AND he raises three bullet points of which none are strongly attached to scum motivation. Another piece of the puzzle.

So what we have here is a preponderance of circumstantial evidence. I guess the best point, imo, is the one sloosh raises about the weird change in orientation.

All of that taken together, I am willing to
##vote: hiropro
"It's the torso" "only more so!"
strongandbig
Profile Blog Joined October 2010
United States4858 Posts
May 17 2013 17:14 GMT
#1412
On May 17 2013 20:49 strongandbig wrote:
Hummm. I'll read all this stuff About hero when I get into work in a few hours but what I want to know now is from VE what do you think about my speculation on the obvious one/oatsmaster split? I still think it's really likely that one of them is scum, I mean I guess I can kind of see the argument some people have been putting forward about why I know Lynch helps them but I still think I missed lunch on day one helps more there's plenty of people they could've been pushing after a myslynch. It's not like 00 has been the main focus of today anyway and so I still think it's pretty likely that either one or the other is scum, for the reasons I talked about above.

still waiting on this. although i guess ve hasn't really been around since the first time i posted this.
"It's the torso" "only more so!"
kushm4sta
Profile Blog Joined July 2011
United States8878 Posts
May 17 2013 17:19 GMT
#1413
snb earns a town read
OMGUS.net, kush sex blogs every friday night
kushm4sta
Profile Blog Joined July 2011
United States8878 Posts
May 17 2013 17:19 GMT
#1414
wait nvm
OMGUS.net, kush sex blogs every friday night
grush57
Profile Joined March 2011
Korea (South)2582 Posts
May 17 2013 18:32 GMT
#1415
I wanted to lynch hiro d1 so I'll lynch him today. Low profile scum.
Also S&B is scum for similar reasons, and him keep bringing up excuses to leave the thread.
Prphlz is also scum for similar reasons, plus trying to put a bandwagon on kush that is easily mislynchable because he seems scum, he flips town and prphlz all be like " he was scummy". Can't let that happen.

BAM 3 SCUM CAUGHT
STARSENSES
STARSENSES
STARSENSES
STARSENSES
STARSENSES
STARSENSES
STARSENSES

##Vote: HiroPro
"Every thing is either simply awful or awfully simple." | "Weaklings can't pick... their way of death."
Dandel Ion
Profile Joined November 2010
Austria17960 Posts
May 17 2013 18:34 GMT
#1416
Day 2 wagoons

With 13 alive it takes 7 to lynch.

ObviousOne[L-7]: Blazinghand, VisceraEyes
WaveofShadow[L-7]: Oatsmaster, shirokami
Oatsmaster[L-7]: WaveofShadow
VisceraEyes[L-6]: Promethelax, ObviousOne, kushmasta, HiroPro, Oatsmaster, shirokami
HiroPro[L-2]: VisceraEyes, kushmasta, Promethelax, strongandbig, grush57
kushmasta[L-6]: prplhz
prplhz[L-6]: Blazinghand

Day 2 ends Saturday, May 18 4:00am GMT (GMT+00:00) if no majority is reached


Due to majority being shortened by 2 votes, there is a 18 hour grace period where no matter what the votes no one can be lynched. Basically 6 hours before deadline ((==22:00 GMT (+00:00)))is the fastest anyone can die. This is to give everyone ample time to read the thread and change votes if they want due to the new threshold. Good luck!
A backwards poet writes inverse.
strongandbig
Profile Blog Joined October 2010
United States4858 Posts
May 17 2013 18:58 GMT
#1417
grush how much do i have to post to not be "low profile"?
"It's the torso" "only more so!"
grush57
Profile Joined March 2011
Korea (South)2582 Posts
May 17 2013 19:02 GMT
#1418
well the problem was you already are/were, so if you're just being active to be active and not townie contribution it won't matter.
JUST BE A TOWN CHAMP S&B.
We are lynching Hiro today anyways so you got some time bro
"Every thing is either simply awful or awfully simple." | "Weaklings can't pick... their way of death."
WaveofShadow
Profile Blog Joined April 2010
Canada31495 Posts
May 17 2013 19:14 GMT
#1419
I want to be a part of this lynch but I haven't had time to read BH yet like I promised so I'm still waiting.
(I also really like hammering.)
twitch.tv/waveofshadow ||| Winner of AHGL's So You Think You Can Cast! ||| Juicy Dad for lyfe ||| 'idk i get a kick out of stupid things' - Jarms Yarng
slOosh
Profile Joined October 2009
3291 Posts
May 17 2013 19:38 GMT
#1420
On May 17 2013 15:02 Oatsmaster wrote:
Show nested quote +
Another player that fits the bill is Oatsmaster. His voting patterns always parrot someone else's and give off the impression that he just wants to see people flip rather than finding scum. The day 1 vote thing is a red flag as it 1) easily aids the goal of no-lynch, and more importantly 2) let's him escape the responsibility and stance taking that a vote forces. There is no reason to think that this was a town votestealer, since the only use would be to take a suspected scum's vote and make him vote himself. Rather the vote was tossed away. A scum votestealer in a day 1 environment would have used the role defensively, since there is no point in stealing a town vote (no fear in consolidation on scumbuddy) and there could be the potential backlash of making the target look more town for it.

You played with me in nomination. Did you get the same feel here as in there? Or since you think im scum, whats different?
Also why steal my vote if Im scum? Im pretty sure I took plenty of obvious stands that wouldve been accompanied by a vote if I had one. Im pretty sure I did actually vote for people even if It didnt count.

Can you quote the portions where you think I am more interested in the flip than scumhunting?

Nomination was far from a normal game. All I remember from that game is that you couldn't trust me and toward the end I had to kill myself for you to trust me. None of my points are meta.

I explain in the post you quote why there is ample reason for scum to steal their own vote. Your day 1 stances don't mean much since you move on to a totally new batch of new suspects day 2.

As for the last point, I don't know how to quote attitude and tone. I think you are lackadaisical in your approach to lynches and NKs, which is at total odds with the current condition that we are in.

So Oats, can you provide original content on any of your day 1 suspects, or even the current day 2 suspects?
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