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strongandbig
Profile Blog Joined October 2010
United States4858 Posts
November 18 2012 16:36 GMT
#2741
if not more
"It's the torso" "only more so!"
Djodref
Profile Joined September 2012
France3332 Posts
November 18 2012 16:36 GMT
#2742
On November 19 2012 00:55 debears wrote:
Show nested quote +
On November 18 2012 18:50 Djodref wrote:
On November 18 2012 18:18 debears wrote:
On November 18 2012 17:59 Djodref wrote:
@ debears

I disagree, it could be a good strategy for a possible SK to retain his night kills until we manage to find the last scum.
What does make you think that a possible SK would kill tonight ?


1) Assuming that the SK isn't hopeless, he could put doubt on hopeless' claim.
2) it's what, 8/7 town to 1 scum/sk or 1 scum and sk
3) The longer the game goes on, the harder it is to conceal a guilty conscience/push your agenda as sk/mafia


@ debears

1)That's actually a good point. I don't think that hopeless could be SK even with another kill because he killed Crossfire and that would have been against a SK interest. But I've just realized that there was no way for a SK Hopeless to know for sure that Cross was scum when he decided to kill. By the way, would you yourself doubt Hopeless claim if we have 2 kills again tonight ? I remember that Hopeless was on your radar during D1.
2)That's also a good point. But it depends on the strategy you would choose as a SK. I don't know about it...
3)I disagree with this one because a possible SK would not know who the last scum is better than us. He would have no other thing to do than to scumhunt hard while not killing anyone and hope to survive until lylo. You don't have any guilty conscience if you didn't kill anyone, right ?


1) I would strongly look at Hopeless if another kill showed up. However, in my thought process, it would be fucking retarded for a SK to claim vig n1. Think about it. He would paint a target on his back for the mafia by being a confirmed town
2 and 3) Djo, it's a proven fact that, the longer the game goes on, the worse it is for the anti-town alignments. It gets so much harder to hide


@ debears

1) I agree with you on this one. Would you say that your D1 history with Hopeless is over then ?
2) and 3) You got me convinced that the SK is going to kill tonight and maybe have double-stacked his kill on marv yesterday, if he exists of course.

On a side note, you said that you wanted to auto-lynch S&B tomorrow but I'm not sure if you mentioned other scum reads lately. What do you think about BH post on Clarity ?
Blazinghand *
Profile Blog Joined December 2010
United States25559 Posts
November 18 2012 16:37 GMT
#2743
snb y u so mad didue u gotta chill out is that dota screencap fake or what
When you stare into the iCCup, the iCCup stares back.
TL+ Member
Blazinghand *
Profile Blog Joined December 2010
United States25559 Posts
November 18 2012 16:38 GMT
#2744
ya i like how snb just ignored the xlarity post
When you stare into the iCCup, the iCCup stares back.
TL+ Member
strongandbig
Profile Blog Joined October 2010
United States4858 Posts
November 18 2012 16:40 GMT
#2745
On November 19 2012 01:37 Blazinghand wrote:
snb y u so mad didue u gotta chill out is that dota screencap fake or what


no its not fake

i have no idea what iamperfection was talking about, i've been assuming he has some kind of point and he'll get to it eventually

as for "y u so mad didue u gotta chill out" all i have to say is, I guess your plan to discredit me by insulting me and getting me angry is working.
"It's the torso" "only more so!"
Djodref
Profile Joined September 2012
France3332 Posts
November 18 2012 16:41 GMT
#2746
On November 19 2012 01:32 Clarity_nl wrote:
Wait Djo you think BH is JK now?


@ Clarity

No, I don't think that he is JK yet but I have some doubts since his last contributions. I'm a little less inclined that he is scum.

He was right about the blues, it has to be their decision. And I liked his contribution about your interactions with Hapa during D1.

Did I make a clumsy post again ?
strongandbig
Profile Blog Joined October 2010
United States4858 Posts
November 18 2012 16:42 GMT
#2747
and when you say "the xlarity post" I assume you mean your case on clarity

i'll take a look at it eventually, right now I want keirathi to get back to us on the one-shot-role question.
"It's the torso" "only more so!"
Blazinghand *
Profile Blog Joined December 2010
United States25559 Posts
November 18 2012 16:46 GMT
#2748
well get to it tonite i want u to actually contributr not just shitty setup specukatib
When you stare into the iCCup, the iCCup stares back.
TL+ Member
Djodref
Profile Joined September 2012
France3332 Posts
November 18 2012 16:49 GMT
#2749
On November 19 2012 01:35 strongandbig wrote:
hopeless can't be fakeclaiming, because then someone would have had to be around to roleblock BH - only BH can be fakeclaiming.

And as for your other point, I think that it's not necessarily a suicidal move if you (a) think you can get away with it, or (b) don't really think you can / want to try to win normally as SK in the first place

Basically, I still think BH's claim makes as much sense from an SK as it does from an actual town jailkeeper.


@ S&B

Regarding the impossibility for Hopeless to fakeclaim in TTTTT, you have a good point, I didn't think about that.

Regarding BH being a SK with a jailkeeper claim, I cannot really believe it. You are supposed to play to win after all ^^ So I'm going to assume a third scum from now on.
Anyway, I hope that the blues are going to out themselves so we can know all this for sure.
debears
Profile Joined September 2012
United States2516 Posts
November 18 2012 16:54 GMT
#2750
On November 19 2012 01:36 Djodref wrote:
Show nested quote +
On November 19 2012 00:55 debears wrote:
On November 18 2012 18:50 Djodref wrote:
On November 18 2012 18:18 debears wrote:
On November 18 2012 17:59 Djodref wrote:
@ debears

I disagree, it could be a good strategy for a possible SK to retain his night kills until we manage to find the last scum.
What does make you think that a possible SK would kill tonight ?


1) Assuming that the SK isn't hopeless, he could put doubt on hopeless' claim.
2) it's what, 8/7 town to 1 scum/sk or 1 scum and sk
3) The longer the game goes on, the harder it is to conceal a guilty conscience/push your agenda as sk/mafia


@ debears

1)That's actually a good point. I don't think that hopeless could be SK even with another kill because he killed Crossfire and that would have been against a SK interest. But I've just realized that there was no way for a SK Hopeless to know for sure that Cross was scum when he decided to kill. By the way, would you yourself doubt Hopeless claim if we have 2 kills again tonight ? I remember that Hopeless was on your radar during D1.
2)That's also a good point. But it depends on the strategy you would choose as a SK. I don't know about it...
3)I disagree with this one because a possible SK would not know who the last scum is better than us. He would have no other thing to do than to scumhunt hard while not killing anyone and hope to survive until lylo. You don't have any guilty conscience if you didn't kill anyone, right ?


1) I would strongly look at Hopeless if another kill showed up. However, in my thought process, it would be fucking retarded for a SK to claim vig n1. Think about it. He would paint a target on his back for the mafia by being a confirmed town
2 and 3) Djo, it's a proven fact that, the longer the game goes on, the worse it is for the anti-town alignments. It gets so much harder to hide


@ debears

1) I agree with you on this one. Would you say that your D1 history with Hopeless is over then ?
2) and 3) You got me convinced that the SK is going to kill tonight and maybe have double-stacked his kill on marv yesterday, if he exists of course.

On a side note, you said that you wanted to auto-lynch S&B tomorrow but I'm not sure if you mentioned other scum reads lately. What do you think about BH post on Clarity ?


As I said, I've found clarity's posting weird lately, especially with his certainty on what z-Bo was going to flip. There was a reason z-Bo was up for lynch, there's only 1 scum/sk most likely. How was clarity so sure he was town? Why didn't he hard defend him more if he thought z-Bo was town?

That, and yes, Clarity's interactions with Hapa are weird.

Djo I've been getting townie vibes from u lately, so I'm thinking it's down to SnB and Clarity right now, with SnB in the lead
Clarity_nl
Profile Joined November 2011
Netherlands6826 Posts
November 18 2012 16:58 GMT
#2751
I didn't defend him more because he was defending himself just fine. I didn't wake up to my alarm that was set for 2 am, or I would've hard defended him.
I was actually super certain you were going to lynch snb though.
FIGHT THE GOOD FIGHT AGAINST STUPIDITY CLARITY, I BELIEVE IN YOU! - Palmar
Clarity_nl
Profile Joined November 2011
Netherlands6826 Posts
November 18 2012 17:01 GMT
#2752
In fact I still don't understand why you didn't. I remember you thinking zbo was town yesterday. Actually gonna rummage through your filter a bit, debears.
FIGHT THE GOOD FIGHT AGAINST STUPIDITY CLARITY, I BELIEVE IN YOU! - Palmar
Djodref
Profile Joined September 2012
France3332 Posts
November 18 2012 17:03 GMT
#2753
On November 19 2012 01:32 Clarity_nl wrote:
Wait Djo you think BH is JK now?


@ Clarity

Were you talking about this post ?
+ Show Spoiler +

On November 19 2012 01:25 Djodref wrote:
Is it possible to know how the single-shot roles were handled ?
I was assuming that the letters have been rolled and rolled again until you got something fitting the modified rules for this game, was I correct ?


@ S&B

Show nested quote +
On November 19 2012 01:04 strongandbig wrote:
<snip>




TTTTT, I don't think we can discard. We can no longer tell any difference between the three possible scenarios: BH is lying and is the SK, BH is lying and is the last scum, and BH is telling the truth and there is a scum RB'er. This means we could have TTTTTMV, BH is the serial killer, and there are no other blue roles.




<snip>


I appreciate to have someone to speculate this setup with. I agree that we should not totally discard TTTTT because one of BH or Hopeless could be fake claiming and be a SK but it doesn't make sense for any of them. Especially a blind fake JK claim from a SK during D1, it is clearly a suicidal move. What do you think ?


If yes, TTTTT is a setup where there is no more scum but only one lonely SK left. And in this case, it would necessarily would be BH because he would be fake claiming JK. I brought up this possibility once and the only one inclined to believe it is S&B. According to me, it is just a possibility but I cannot believe in it. I know that BH has a large penis but I cannot even imagine the ball size you need to pull off a play like this.
Clarity_nl
Profile Joined November 2011
Netherlands6826 Posts
November 18 2012 17:06 GMT
#2754
Okay Djo, I just wanted to make sure, thanks.

@ debears


On November 16 2012 23:57 debears wrote:
Show nested quote +
On November 16 2012 23:42 Clarity_nl wrote:
So what you're saying is.

Hapahauli (6): Z-BosoN, Blazinghand, debears, iamperfection, Kickstart, DarthPunk

All of these people are confirmed town?


Let me help you out

Town:
Me
Iamp
Kickstart
Dp
Zbo

2 scum voted zbo. He's town.
<snip>

On November 17 2012 00:06 debears wrote:
Clarity, which has less assumptions?

Scum voting for hapa:
Wanted to bus their active, best player and godfather for town cred d1 on a last minute voteswing
Wanted to bus said player over zbo, who had 8 votes on him on a last minute voteswing
Wanted to depend on crossfire and himself to carry the team. Lol

*remember how hapa said he was afk? Why would scum do that if hapa wasnt in the thread and couldnt talk himself out of being lynched? So dumb*

Scum voting not hapa:
Easy lynch on Zbo
<snip>

On November 17 2012 00:18 debears wrote:
Show nested quote +
On November 17 2012 00:13 Clarity_nl wrote:
The two people that were lynch candidates at the very end were Hapa and Zbo.
Hapa and crossfire voted zbo.
Conclusion, zbo is town?!?


Zbo had 8 votes on him with 5 minutes left. 2 of those votes were scum. Yeah theyd surely bus him d1


And all of that led to.....

On November 18 2012 01:31 debears wrote:
##unvote
##vote zbo


1) zbo a lot of us have noticed your meta is different. And it isn't your amount of posting that's it. Its how you have not pursued your scumreads. You tunneled me to death when I played with you. You haven't done shit this game
2) you're a liability heading into lylo. With your difference in meta and the miller claim, there will always be that doubt in the back of our heads
3) you chose to make a case on thrawn/djo. Its curteousy to allow replacements time to get in the game, especially when 2 scum are already gone. Also, you're reasoning is bullshit. Replacing out of a game cuz one of your scum partners being killed would result in penalties. Its unsportsmanlike.
4) early d1, you had your suspicions on me. Yet, when I pointed out snbs claim, you jumped on him while continueing to be suspicious of me and lecture me
5) after your vote on snb, hapa attacked dp for voting snb and ignored your vote on snb, although you voted first

Can't post more right now our internet is down in our dorms. Yay 3g on phone


"Zbo you are a liability and more likely scum than snb"

?????? I don't understand.
FIGHT THE GOOD FIGHT AGAINST STUPIDITY CLARITY, I BELIEVE IN YOU! - Palmar
Djodref
Profile Joined September 2012
France3332 Posts
November 18 2012 17:20 GMT
#2755
@ S&B

Would you agree that if our setup is TTTTT and that BH is SK then he automatically loses this game ?
I mean, you have a "confirmed" JK going into MYLO or LYLO, getting role blocked every night with no evidence of any other blue role, then this "confirmed" JK has to go.



BH at LYLO + no other blue (dead or alive) = automatically lynch BH




If people remember this, then we can safely forget the TTTTT setup for the moment
Clarity_nl
Profile Joined November 2011
Netherlands6826 Posts
November 18 2012 17:23 GMT
#2756
Anything to get you to stop setup speculation.
FIGHT THE GOOD FIGHT AGAINST STUPIDITY CLARITY, I BELIEVE IN YOU! - Palmar
Djodref
Profile Joined September 2012
France3332 Posts
November 18 2012 17:29 GMT
#2757
Actually your last post against debears is good. I'm quite interested in debears myself right now so I'm waiting for his answers but I'm getting bored in the meantime so I'm speculating about the setup because I found a good partner at setup speculating in the person of S&B

It's getting late in Korea though and I have to work tomorrow. But this game is keeping me awake so I'll wait.

In the meantime

@ Clarity

You did ask me about Kickstart and I hope that my answer satisfied you. What is your read on him ?
strongandbig
Profile Blog Joined October 2010
United States4858 Posts
November 18 2012 17:33 GMT
#2758
It depends on how Keirathi resolved one-shot roles.

If he just turned them into VTs, then BH would say that the setup is TTMVVDC or TTMVVDD, and that he's still "confirmed jailkeeper" but there were no other blues.

If Keirathi either (a) turned one-shot roles into full roles, or (b) re-rolled any setup that had one-shot roles in it, then yes I agree, a serial killer automatically loses at LYLO when there are no more blue roles.
"It's the torso" "only more so!"
Clarity_nl
Profile Joined November 2011
Netherlands6826 Posts
November 18 2012 17:37 GMT
#2759
I made a post a while back. I used to have a much stronger townread on him than I do now.
I find his disappearing act quite annoying. His D1 play seemed legitimate but the more people said they had a townread on him the more he faded away into the background, where he is supposedly reading everything yet "nothing changed since last I gave my opinion"

I still think he's town, but I'm doubting.
FIGHT THE GOOD FIGHT AGAINST STUPIDITY CLARITY, I BELIEVE IN YOU! - Palmar
Djodref
Profile Joined September 2012
France3332 Posts
November 18 2012 17:40 GMT
#2760
On November 19 2012 00:47 debears wrote:
Show nested quote +
On November 18 2012 18:40 Djodref wrote:
@ debears

Shit, I have just missed you. Anyway, it was a long time ago but I still want have some details about what happened in your head during the exchange between S&B and BH at D2. Especially I want to know why you posted this.

On November 17 2012 14:08 Djodref wrote:
On November 17 2012 09:36 debears wrote:
Can we double lynch BH and SnB????


@ debears

Can you explain me this post and your latest vote and unvote against BH in details ?


For two vets, they have both ridiculously underperformed. They have been obnoxious. I was getting tired of it.

And hell, chances are one of them is scum (more likely SnB imo)


On November 19 2012 01:54 debears wrote:
Show nested quote +
On November 19 2012 01:36 Djodref wrote:
On November 19 2012 00:55 debears wrote:
On November 18 2012 18:50 Djodref wrote:
On November 18 2012 18:18 debears wrote:
On November 18 2012 17:59 Djodref wrote:
@ debears

I disagree, it could be a good strategy for a possible SK to retain his night kills until we manage to find the last scum.
What does make you think that a possible SK would kill tonight ?


1) Assuming that the SK isn't hopeless, he could put doubt on hopeless' claim.
2) it's what, 8/7 town to 1 scum/sk or 1 scum and sk
3) The longer the game goes on, the harder it is to conceal a guilty conscience/push your agenda as sk/mafia


@ debears

1)That's actually a good point. I don't think that hopeless could be SK even with another kill because he killed Crossfire and that would have been against a SK interest. But I've just realized that there was no way for a SK Hopeless to know for sure that Cross was scum when he decided to kill. By the way, would you yourself doubt Hopeless claim if we have 2 kills again tonight ? I remember that Hopeless was on your radar during D1.
2)That's also a good point. But it depends on the strategy you would choose as a SK. I don't know about it...
3)I disagree with this one because a possible SK would not know who the last scum is better than us. He would have no other thing to do than to scumhunt hard while not killing anyone and hope to survive until lylo. You don't have any guilty conscience if you didn't kill anyone, right ?


1) I would strongly look at Hopeless if another kill showed up. However, in my thought process, it would be fucking retarded for a SK to claim vig n1. Think about it. He would paint a target on his back for the mafia by being a confirmed town
2 and 3) Djo, it's a proven fact that, the longer the game goes on, the worse it is for the anti-town alignments. It gets so much harder to hide


@ debears

1) I agree with you on this one. Would you say that your D1 history with Hopeless is over then ?
2) and 3) You got me convinced that the SK is going to kill tonight and maybe have double-stacked his kill on marv yesterday, if he exists of course.

On a side note, you said that you wanted to auto-lynch S&B tomorrow but I'm not sure if you mentioned other scum reads lately. What do you think about BH post on Clarity ?


As I said, I've found clarity's posting weird lately, especially with his certainty on what z-Bo was going to flip. There was a reason z-Bo was up for lynch, there's only 1 scum/sk most likely. How was clarity so sure he was town? Why didn't he hard defend him more if he thought z-Bo was town?

That, and yes, Clarity's interactions with Hapa are weird.

Djo I've been getting townie vibes from u lately, so I'm thinking it's down to SnB and Clarity right now, with SnB in the lead


@ debears

I'm a little sad that you switched from S&B and BH to S&B and Clarity. Could you tell me what changed your mind ?
Are you dropping BH for real or just for the moment ?

I've been thinking about BH lately and I think that we can get him setup-wise at the end if he is a bad guy. I mean, SK or scum, he would have to go at LYLO and his fake claim could be proved because the rightful blues would have been revealed at this point (dead or claimed blues). What do you think ?
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