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Gummy
Profile Blog Joined October 2010
United States2180 Posts
May 02 2012 23:11 GMT
#261
Just for evidence, here's a link to my word choice.
¯\_(ツ)_/¯ There are three kinds of people in the world: those who can count and those who can't.
Gummy
Profile Blog Joined October 2010
United States2180 Posts
May 02 2012 23:12 GMT
#262
On May 03 2012 08:11 Gummy wrote:
Just for evidence, here's a link to my word choice.

ctrl-f "townie"
¯\_(ツ)_/¯ There are three kinds of people in the world: those who can count and those who can't.
paschl
Profile Joined February 2011
Germany666 Posts
May 02 2012 23:12 GMT
#263
Dude i study computer science, ive posted on english messaged boards for the better part of 13 years.
I understand your theory i just dont think its applicable in a game with this much imperfect information.

You just answered my post by turning words i never used around to jump at me.
Gummy
Profile Blog Joined October 2010
United States2180 Posts
May 02 2012 23:14 GMT
#264
On May 03 2012 08:12 paschl wrote:
Dude i study computer science, ive posted on english messaged boards for the better part of 13 years.
I understand your theory i just dont think its applicable in a game with this much imperfect information.

You just answered my post by turning words i never used around to jump at me.

You're still making irrelevant points. I'm glad you've posted on "english messaged boards" for the better part of 13 years. If you understood my theory you would know that it was particularly devised specifically for dynamic games of imperfect information. And game theory and computer science have intersections in incentive compatibility and mechanism design, but not much else. I know because I double major in these two fields.
¯\_(ツ)_/¯ There are three kinds of people in the world: those who can count and those who can't.
Gummy
Profile Blog Joined October 2010
United States2180 Posts
May 02 2012 23:15 GMT
#265
45 minutes to change your votes or you will be a medic down, none the wiser and onto day 2.
¯\_(ツ)_/¯ There are three kinds of people in the world: those who can count and those who can't.
paschl
Profile Joined February 2011
Germany666 Posts
May 02 2012 23:23 GMT
#266
##VOTE: Gummy

pure spitevote.
id rather kill the medic than go on and play day2 with an obnoxiously arogant, self centered game theory whiz who thinks he is a genius.
Gummy
Profile Blog Joined October 2010
United States2180 Posts
May 02 2012 23:23 GMT
#267
On May 03 2012 08:14 Gummy wrote:
Show nested quote +
On May 03 2012 08:12 paschl wrote:
Dude i study computer science, ive posted on english messaged boards for the better part of 13 years.
I understand your theory i just dont think its applicable in a game with this much imperfect information.

You just answered my post by turning words i never used around to jump at me.

You're still making irrelevant points. I'm glad you've posted on "english messaged boards" for the better part of 13 years. If you understood my theory you would know that it was particularly devised specifically for dynamic games of imperfect information. And game theory and computer science have intersections in incentive compatibility and mechanism design, but not much else. I know because I double major in these two fields.

See link if you are interested in learning more.
¯\_(ツ)_/¯ There are three kinds of people in the world: those who can count and those who can't.
Gummy
Profile Blog Joined October 2010
United States2180 Posts
May 02 2012 23:25 GMT
#268
On May 03 2012 08:23 paschl wrote:
##VOTE: Gummy

pure spitevote.
id rather kill the medic than go on and play day2 with an obnoxiously arogant, self centered game theory whiz who thinks he is a genius.

That's grounds for a modkill, correct?
¯\_(ツ)_/¯ There are three kinds of people in the world: those who can count and those who can't.
paschl
Profile Joined February 2011
Germany666 Posts
May 02 2012 23:26 GMT
#269
god i hope so.
FirmTofu
Profile Joined March 2011
United States1956 Posts
May 02 2012 23:26 GMT
#270
On May 03 2012 08:09 Gummy wrote:
Show nested quote +
On May 03 2012 08:02 FirmTofu wrote:
On May 03 2012 07:57 Ange777 wrote:
I still don't understand. Voting no lynch will leave us in almost the same situation on day 2 as now, only difference is we will know one colour but are down one townie. I fear that this won't be sufficient to rule scum out on day 2 as well.

This.

All I see with Gummy is a guy who thinks he is better than everyone else here and thinks he has the game figured out. He wants everyone to see how right he is, so he is pushing Claw with a single-minded focus with utter disregard for any legitimate strategy. I am not one who will vote with someone who allows his emotions to sway his decisions.

As you can see with all his bolded posts, he is simply spewing rhetoric and nonsensical arguments to get people to listen to him at this point. As I mentioned earlier, we should adopt a strict policy of ignoring Gummy until he gets his emotions in check.

You say "This." yet you seem to entirely disagree with the text you quoted. This makes me doubt your reading comprehension abilities or your allegiance.

I should have explained my position on his quote in detail. I agreed with the facts, but not the eventual conclusion drawn from it(whether it was good or bad). I think it's better to Let one townie die at night, then to be lynching one AND letting one die.

1 townie dead is better than 2 townies dead. Pretty simple concept.

Now you may argue that we will get some information about me and you if we lynch Claw, but I disagree. We still haven't had a night with night actions yet, so we don't have any contradictory claims.

No matter what Claw flips, our claims are still independent of his. If you think double medic is somehow less likely than any other combination of blue roles, that is your prerogative. I will not jump to that conclusion. Therefore, Claw is not an information lynch and we will not be better off lynching him unless he is scum.

Evidence for Claw being scum:
-Gummy counter-claims medic after Claw claims it.
-Gummy thinks Claw is scum.

Evidence for Claw being vanilla townie:
-Claw is a troll.

Evidence for Claw being vanilla townie:
-Claw claimed medic.

Conclusion:
We don't actually know anything and anyone who says he has the game figured out at this point is dead-wrong.
I lie a lot when I'm town. I never lie when I'm scum.
FirmTofu
Profile Joined March 2011
United States1956 Posts
May 02 2012 23:27 GMT
#271
On May 03 2012 08:26 FirmTofu wrote:
Show nested quote +
On May 03 2012 08:09 Gummy wrote:
On May 03 2012 08:02 FirmTofu wrote:
On May 03 2012 07:57 Ange777 wrote:
I still don't understand. Voting no lynch will leave us in almost the same situation on day 2 as now, only difference is we will know one colour but are down one townie. I fear that this won't be sufficient to rule scum out on day 2 as well.

This.

All I see with Gummy is a guy who thinks he is better than everyone else here and thinks he has the game figured out. He wants everyone to see how right he is, so he is pushing Claw with a single-minded focus with utter disregard for any legitimate strategy. I am not one who will vote with someone who allows his emotions to sway his decisions.

As you can see with all his bolded posts, he is simply spewing rhetoric and nonsensical arguments to get people to listen to him at this point. As I mentioned earlier, we should adopt a strict policy of ignoring Gummy until he gets his emotions in check.

You say "This." yet you seem to entirely disagree with the text you quoted. This makes me doubt your reading comprehension abilities or your allegiance.

I should have explained my position on his quote in detail. I agreed with the facts, but not the eventual conclusion drawn from it(whether it was good or bad). I think it's better to Let one townie die at night, then to be lynching one AND letting one die.

1 townie dead is better than 2 townies dead. Pretty simple concept.

Now you may argue that we will get some information about me and you if we lynch Claw, but I disagree. We still haven't had a night with night actions yet, so we don't have any contradictory claims.

No matter what Claw flips, our claims are still independent of his. If you think double medic is somehow less likely than any other combination of blue roles, that is your prerogative. I will not jump to that conclusion. Therefore, Claw is not an information lynch and we will not be better off lynching him unless he is scum.

Evidence for Claw being scum:
-Gummy counter-claims medic after Claw claims it.
-Gummy thinks Claw is scum.

Evidence for Claw being vanilla townie:
-Claw is a troll.

Evidence for Claw being medic:
-Claw claimed medic.

Conclusion:
We don't actually know anything and anyone who says he has the game figured out at this point is dead-wrong.

FIXED!
I lie a lot when I'm town. I never lie when I'm scum.
Gummy
Profile Blog Joined October 2010
United States2180 Posts
May 02 2012 23:28 GMT
#272
On May 03 2012 08:26 paschl wrote:
god i hope so.

If you're going to vote for me, then do so not out of spite and make up a reason. People call me childish, but at every point in the game my actions have been consistent with the objective of the town's eventual victory. Don't blatantly make a vote for me and then admit to it being out of spite.
¯\_(ツ)_/¯ There are three kinds of people in the world: those who can count and those who can't.
Gummy
Profile Blog Joined October 2010
United States2180 Posts
May 02 2012 23:30 GMT
#273
On May 03 2012 08:27 FirmTofu wrote:
Show nested quote +
On May 03 2012 08:26 FirmTofu wrote:
On May 03 2012 08:09 Gummy wrote:
On May 03 2012 08:02 FirmTofu wrote:
On May 03 2012 07:57 Ange777 wrote:
I still don't understand. Voting no lynch will leave us in almost the same situation on day 2 as now, only difference is we will know one colour but are down one townie. I fear that this won't be sufficient to rule scum out on day 2 as well.

This.

All I see with Gummy is a guy who thinks he is better than everyone else here and thinks he has the game figured out. He wants everyone to see how right he is, so he is pushing Claw with a single-minded focus with utter disregard for any legitimate strategy. I am not one who will vote with someone who allows his emotions to sway his decisions.

As you can see with all his bolded posts, he is simply spewing rhetoric and nonsensical arguments to get people to listen to him at this point. As I mentioned earlier, we should adopt a strict policy of ignoring Gummy until he gets his emotions in check.

You say "This." yet you seem to entirely disagree with the text you quoted. This makes me doubt your reading comprehension abilities or your allegiance.

I should have explained my position on his quote in detail. I agreed with the facts, but not the eventual conclusion drawn from it(whether it was good or bad). I think it's better to Let one townie die at night, then to be lynching one AND letting one die.

1 townie dead is better than 2 townies dead. Pretty simple concept.

Now you may argue that we will get some information about me and you if we lynch Claw, but I disagree. We still haven't had a night with night actions yet, so we don't have any contradictory claims.

No matter what Claw flips, our claims are still independent of his. If you think double medic is somehow less likely than any other combination of blue roles, that is your prerogative. I will not jump to that conclusion. Therefore, Claw is not an information lynch and we will not be better off lynching him unless he is scum.

Evidence for Claw being scum:
-Gummy counter-claims medic after Claw claims it.
-Gummy thinks Claw is scum.
-Gummy has used careful and stepwise game theoretic logic that you can freely examine to further the claim that Claw's play is not consistent with any townie objective.

Evidence for Claw being vanilla townie:
-Claw is a troll.

Evidence for Claw being medic:
-Claw claimed medic.

Conclusion:
We don't actually know anything and anyone who says he has the game figured out at this point is dead-wrong.

FIXED!


None of your evidence includes any of my painstakingly crafted game theoretic models.
¯\_(ツ)_/¯ There are three kinds of people in the world: those who can count and those who can't.
Gummy
Profile Blog Joined October 2010
United States2180 Posts
May 02 2012 23:32 GMT
#274

I should have explained my position on his quote in detail. I agreed with the facts, but not the eventual conclusion drawn from it(whether it was good or bad). I think it's better to Let one townie die at night, then to be lynching one AND letting one die.

1 townie dead is better than 2 townies dead. Pretty simple concept.

Now you may argue that we will get some information about me and you if we lynch Claw, but I disagree. We still haven't had a night with night actions yet, so we don't have any contradictory claims.

No matter what Claw flips, our claims are still independent of his. If you think double medic is somehow less likely than any other combination of blue roles, that is your prerogative. I will not jump to that conclusion. Therefore, Claw is not an information lynch and we will not be better off lynching him unless he is scum.

Evidence for Claw being scum:
-Gummy counter-claims medic after Claw claims it.
-Gummy thinks Claw is scum.
-Gummy has used careful and stepwise game theoretic logic that you can freely examine to further the claim that Claw's play is not consistent with any townie objective.

Evidence for Claw being vanilla townie:
-Claw is a troll.

Evidence for Claw being medic:
-Claw claimed medic.

Conclusion:
We don't actually know anything and anyone who says he has the game figured out at this point is dead-wrong.

Oops. Reposting previous post without spoilers so you can see my asinine insertion.
¯\_(ツ)_/¯ There are three kinds of people in the world: those who can count and those who can't.
FirmTofu
Profile Joined March 2011
United States1956 Posts
May 02 2012 23:33 GMT
#275
On May 03 2012 08:30 Gummy wrote:
Show nested quote +
On May 03 2012 08:27 FirmTofu wrote:
On May 03 2012 08:26 FirmTofu wrote:
On May 03 2012 08:09 Gummy wrote:
On May 03 2012 08:02 FirmTofu wrote:
On May 03 2012 07:57 Ange777 wrote:
I still don't understand. Voting no lynch will leave us in almost the same situation on day 2 as now, only difference is we will know one colour but are down one townie. I fear that this won't be sufficient to rule scum out on day 2 as well.

This.

All I see with Gummy is a guy who thinks he is better than everyone else here and thinks he has the game figured out. He wants everyone to see how right he is, so he is pushing Claw with a single-minded focus with utter disregard for any legitimate strategy. I am not one who will vote with someone who allows his emotions to sway his decisions.

As you can see with all his bolded posts, he is simply spewing rhetoric and nonsensical arguments to get people to listen to him at this point. As I mentioned earlier, we should adopt a strict policy of ignoring Gummy until he gets his emotions in check.

You say "This." yet you seem to entirely disagree with the text you quoted. This makes me doubt your reading comprehension abilities or your allegiance.

I should have explained my position on his quote in detail. I agreed with the facts, but not the eventual conclusion drawn from it(whether it was good or bad). I think it's better to Let one townie die at night, then to be lynching one AND letting one die.

1 townie dead is better than 2 townies dead. Pretty simple concept.

Now you may argue that we will get some information about me and you if we lynch Claw, but I disagree. We still haven't had a night with night actions yet, so we don't have any contradictory claims.

No matter what Claw flips, our claims are still independent of his. If you think double medic is somehow less likely than any other combination of blue roles, that is your prerogative. I will not jump to that conclusion. Therefore, Claw is not an information lynch and we will not be better off lynching him unless he is scum.

Evidence for Claw being scum:
-Gummy counter-claims medic after Claw claims it.
-Gummy thinks Claw is scum.
-Gummy has used careful and stepwise game theoretic logic that you can freely examine to further the claim that Claw's play is not consistent with any townie objective.

Evidence for Claw being vanilla townie:
-Claw is a troll.

Evidence for Claw being medic:
-Claw claimed medic.

Conclusion:
We don't actually know anything and anyone who says he has the game figured out at this point is dead-wrong.

FIXED!


None of your evidence includes any of my painstakingly crafted game theoretic models.

That's probably because I see no reason to apply your painstakingly crafted game theoretic models to this game. This is a game that is dependent more on psychology than anything else. As you said, it is a game of limited information and we should acknowledge that.

I see no reason to believe you can model the individual psychologies of all players with your extensive knowledge of game theory. Bragging about your major isn't exactly helping your case.
I lie a lot when I'm town. I never lie when I'm scum.
paschl
Profile Joined February 2011
Germany666 Posts
May 02 2012 23:34 GMT
#276
On May 03 2012 08:28 Gummy wrote:
Show nested quote +
On May 03 2012 08:26 paschl wrote:
god i hope so.

If you're going to vote for me, then do so not out of spite and make up a reason. People call me childish, but at every point in the game my actions have been consistent with the objective of the town's eventual victory. Don't blatantly make a vote for me and then admit to it being out of spite.


no.
i dont function in the atmosphere youre creating so youre detrimental to my game.
spite.
Gummy
Profile Blog Joined October 2010
United States2180 Posts
May 02 2012 23:35 GMT
#277
Since I appear to have trouble communicating myself clearly, please see this link for further information on the nature of the analysis I am considering.
¯\_(ツ)_/¯ There are three kinds of people in the world: those who can count and those who can't.
Clawtrocity
Profile Joined April 2012
United States21 Posts
May 02 2012 23:36 GMT
#278
I don't see how being medic and claiming medic hurt my chances of winning when the mafia are quite aware of a thing called WIFOM. By virtue of me claiming medic they don't think I'm medic at all and I'm allowed to heal whomever I please.
Gummy
Profile Blog Joined October 2010
United States2180 Posts
May 02 2012 23:38 GMT
#279
On May 03 2012 08:33 FirmTofu wrote:
Show nested quote +
On May 03 2012 08:30 Gummy wrote:
On May 03 2012 08:27 FirmTofu wrote:
On May 03 2012 08:26 FirmTofu wrote:
On May 03 2012 08:09 Gummy wrote:
On May 03 2012 08:02 FirmTofu wrote:
On May 03 2012 07:57 Ange777 wrote:
I still don't understand. Voting no lynch will leave us in almost the same situation on day 2 as now, only difference is we will know one colour but are down one townie. I fear that this won't be sufficient to rule scum out on day 2 as well.

This.

All I see with Gummy is a guy who thinks he is better than everyone else here and thinks he has the game figured out. He wants everyone to see how right he is, so he is pushing Claw with a single-minded focus with utter disregard for any legitimate strategy. I am not one who will vote with someone who allows his emotions to sway his decisions.

As you can see with all his bolded posts, he is simply spewing rhetoric and nonsensical arguments to get people to listen to him at this point. As I mentioned earlier, we should adopt a strict policy of ignoring Gummy until he gets his emotions in check.

You say "This." yet you seem to entirely disagree with the text you quoted. This makes me doubt your reading comprehension abilities or your allegiance.

I should have explained my position on his quote in detail. I agreed with the facts, but not the eventual conclusion drawn from it(whether it was good or bad). I think it's better to Let one townie die at night, then to be lynching one AND letting one die.

1 townie dead is better than 2 townies dead. Pretty simple concept.

Now you may argue that we will get some information about me and you if we lynch Claw, but I disagree. We still haven't had a night with night actions yet, so we don't have any contradictory claims.

No matter what Claw flips, our claims are still independent of his. If you think double medic is somehow less likely than any other combination of blue roles, that is your prerogative. I will not jump to that conclusion. Therefore, Claw is not an information lynch and we will not be better off lynching him unless he is scum.

Evidence for Claw being scum:
-Gummy counter-claims medic after Claw claims it.
-Gummy thinks Claw is scum.
-Gummy has used careful and stepwise game theoretic logic that you can freely examine to further the claim that Claw's play is not consistent with any townie objective.

Evidence for Claw being vanilla townie:
-Claw is a troll.

Evidence for Claw being medic:
-Claw claimed medic.

Conclusion:
We don't actually know anything and anyone who says he has the game figured out at this point is dead-wrong.

FIXED!


None of your evidence includes any of my painstakingly crafted game theoretic models.

That's probably because I see no reason to apply your painstakingly crafted game theoretic models to this game. This is a game that is dependent more on psychology than anything else. As you said, it is a game of limited information and we should acknowledge that.

I see no reason to believe you can model the individual psychologies of all players with your extensive knowledge of game theory. Bragging about your major isn't exactly helping your case.


I cannot model the individual psychologies. I can make assumptions like "Townspeople want to win by eliminating Mafia" and "Mafia want to win by eliminating Townspeople." From there I can make assumptions such as "If a townie wants to win, he or she will take actions that should maximize the probability of winning" and vice versa.

If you think that this type of modeling is outside the realm of game theory, please see the link I posted above. The notation and terminology used is a little excessive, but the insights are very well-rooted in common sense.
¯\_(ツ)_/¯ There are three kinds of people in the world: those who can count and those who can't.
FirmTofu
Profile Joined March 2011
United States1956 Posts
May 02 2012 23:39 GMT
#280
See, the main reason I don't think your game theoretic models apply to this game is because I am a town detective and your game theoretic models directly oppose this fact.

Why would I believe they work on Claw if they don't work on me?
I lie a lot when I'm town. I never lie when I'm scum.
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