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On April 23 2012 07:45 Zephirdd wrote: Just for the record, im last minute voting VE in order to avoid a modkill; I dont recall any other candidate better than him either, although I kinda lost track since page 30 or so Yeah, your best read
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"I pledge to stop swearing for the rest of the game in the hope that we will all be nicer to each other" - layabout
BH is trying to get town cred from the lynch even though he ignored VE until it was too late for him to stop the lynch. We should lynch BlazingJitsu tomorrow.
If St. Daniel is posting in another game but not this one even though this started first then there must be a reason for this. It seems likely that this reason is that he rolled scum and is frightened to post.
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Reffering to St.Daniel: Maybe he rolled VT and got bored this game. Who knows. (PS I do think he's scum but him posting more in another game isn't necessarily a tell)
One thing I do know is you were pushing the VE lynch and I don't think you're in the position to try and lynch someone who opposed it.
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2nd part referring to layabout
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Mementoss why did you completely turn around your reads on VE, Risen and Marv?
+ Show Spoiler +On April 22 2012 23:35 Mementoss wrote:+ Show Spoiler [snip] +Your lack of focus not only annoys me but is suspicious, you can't make up your mind or stick to anything. Lets go through this for you: -Lets Lynch Gonzaw (in this fashion FOR THE TOWN LYNCH GONZAW IM SURE HES SCUM) -Lets Lynch Bill Murray ( in the same fashion) Then this: On April 22 2012 13:52 VisceraEyes wrote: Do we lynch BM or Mattchew? This is the first time you've even mentioned Mattchew in your filter since your first joke vote. You give no reasoning behind the Mattchew suspicion at all. Then this: On April 22 2012 22:06 VisceraEyes wrote: The scum are Bill Murray, gonzaw, MidnightGladius, layabout as far as I can see. I want to kill BM first. Where'd Mattchew go? Now this: On April 22 2012 23:15 VisceraEyes wrote: I'm not actually - I don't think I'm any better that anyone else - only slightly more experienced. I'm trying to use reason as a defense, but it's not really working.
Anyway, I'd like to hear EVERYONE'S thoughts on the BH/Jitsu hydra please. As hyperactive as they were pre-game, they should have been in here freaking out by now.
I actually feel like I want to lynch BH/Jitsu more than BM at this point. What do you guys think? Now you want to lynch BJ, even though they weren't on your scum team just a few posts earlier and you never even mentioned them other than, they should be all over my claim. They should be posting is your only reasoning against them. Not being in the thread at a particular time is not a case sorry to say. This is also very relevant to your scum meta in LI, odd claims, massive suspicion switches, can't keep your stories straight or keep your head on straight for that matter. You keep mentioning things such as after I flip you'll be sorry and such. As well as saying things like "THIS IS TOWNS BEST OPTION THEY WILL FLIP SCUM FOR SURE!" Your play is ridiculous to say the least. Your the most scummy in my mind right now. Unvote: marvellosity Vote: VisceraEyes
+ Show Spoiler +On April 23 2012 03:32 Mementoss wrote:+ Show Spoiler [snip] +The more I think of it, the more I agree and like Gonzaws points on why lynching Risen is better than VE or BM.
VE very well could be JK, his claim doesn't make sense either side. If we don't lynch him and his claim is true, scum will most likely take care of him either tonight or the next night. Maybe by then he can somehow prove his claim. I think its best to wait it out. Worse case by lynching him we take out our own blue. Let mafia waste KP on that.
BM should be vigged if we have a vig, claim the shot before you shoot. If he doesn't die, We know that, either the shooter or BM is GF. Hes lurking and acting scummy, but hard to tell cause he has like 3 posts. Lynching him doesn't tell us anything if hes town, shooting him is the better option.
Also I like gonzaws case on Risen. His posts lack meaning and consistency. He has a hard time to commiting to anything and his emotions are all over the place. Im happy with a Risen lynch over the other two. Risen looks scummy, and the other two cases will hopefully work themselves out with night actions/ VE somehow confirms his claim then gets killed by mafia KP. ##Unvote: VisceraEyes ##Vote: Risen
+ Show Spoiler +On April 23 2012 08:11 Mementoss wrote: Why are we lynching a JK cause hes bad again?
[image blocked]
+ Show Spoiler +On April 23 2012 08:20 Mementoss wrote: I would also vote BM. I am beginning to think Marv is town, and since I agree with the defensive stance on VE risen took, it kinda makes me think hes town. If he was scum, he woulda just let VE die, and vote VE like a sheep.
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On April 23 2012 12:44 MidnightGladius wrote:Show nested quote +On April 23 2012 10:42 slOosh wrote: So here are MG's thoughts on the D1 main lynch candidates. He is only willing to vote johnny, and would be ok lynching VE (but letting everyone know he would be hesitant). So out of the 4 people, he says nope these guys aren't scummy I'd rather lynch johnny. I found VE's play to be ridiculously scummy, but I was hesitant to vote for a claiming jailkeeper. You clearly twisted my words and intentions here. Clearly twisted? Could you explain then how you switched from such a neutral stance on VE to finding him ridiculously scummy, even though discussion was not focused on VE between this post and the one you quoted? You say "the only problem is" but it is clear that you have quite the list of concerns.
On April 23 2012 02:24 MidnightGladius wrote: VE's claim makes absolutely no sense at all to me, and I can't see how it, or his subsequent behavior, benefits the town at all. Other players have made their cases well enough, so I'm not going to rehash their points, but VE is one of the more scummy players here right now. The only problem is, unlike LI, this claim makes no sense, doesn't advance a scum agenda, and isn't being supported by other mafia members. No one is even trying to defend him, except johnnywup, and I didn't see a scum plan out of their previous interactions. Would scum bus VE this early? It just doesn't make nearly as much sense as his actions in LI.
On April 23 2012 12:44 MidnightGladius wrote:Show nested quote +On April 23 2012 10:42 slOosh wrote: So what does MG think we should do next? He invites everyone to look into the VE voter list, the guy he thought was the scummiest out of the four D1 lynch candidates. There are some serious logical jumps made here. Either the candidates were all town, in which the scum would have no incentive to push the votes onto VE, or at least one of the candidates are scum and scum piled onto VE to avoid getting lynched, in which case he should be looking into who is that scum candidate.
However, he suggests that we all look into the VE mislynch voter list. Could scum be hiding there? Certainly. Is it logically reasonable to start looking there? No. I provided the list, because the mods in the voting thread hadn't posted a list of voters chronologically, and I thought it would for good for everyone to see. You missed my point here. Why do you think it is good for everyone to see?
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On April 24 2012 07:29 johnnywup wrote:Show nested quote +On April 23 2012 07:45 Zephirdd wrote: Just for the record, im last minute voting VE in order to avoid a modkill; I dont recall any other candidate better than him either, although I kinda lost track since page 30 or so Yeah, your best read It was my best read at the time and, if I recall correctly, of other 7 players.
Sorry, your case is weak. Too weak. And when a case is so weak, it is usually wrong. Food for thought.
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what are you suggesting sloosh? that he was hesitant to lynch VE because he didn't want to lynch a potential jailkeeper?
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On April 24 2012 07:41 johnnywup wrote: Reffering to St.Daniel: Maybe he rolled VT and got bored this game. Who knows. (PS I do think he's scum but him posting more in another game isn't necessarily a tell)
One thing I do know is you were pushing the VE lynch and I don't think you're in the position to try and lynch someone who opposed it. Hmmm?
Since when did being on a mislynch make a players opinion less valuable? There 4 scum players in this game and there were 7 players that voted for VE with unknown alignments. There are 12 other living players. Of that 12, 5 voted for BM which was the other lynch target, the other 7 votes were throwaway votes.
The players that didn't vote for VE either wasted their vote (and effectively chose not to use their vote) or voted for BM a player with no posts to analyse (an easy and safe vote to make without having to give any reasons).
How exactly are the players that didn't vote for VE so much better than the ones that did that they are in your eyes "above scrutiny".
If you want to think less of my opinions then you better think that i am scum or that i am wrong. Do not ignore what i am saying because i was wrong about VE's. Do not trust somebody because they didn't vote for him.
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Mods can you please use [time ] tags on the OP? The deadline is 00:00 GMT (+00:00)
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On April 24 2012 07:48 layabout wrote:Mementoss why did you completely turn around your reads on VE, Risen and Marv? + Show Spoiler +On April 22 2012 23:35 Mementoss wrote:+ Show Spoiler [snip] +Your lack of focus not only annoys me but is suspicious, you can't make up your mind or stick to anything. Lets go through this for you: -Lets Lynch Gonzaw (in this fashion FOR THE TOWN LYNCH GONZAW IM SURE HES SCUM) -Lets Lynch Bill Murray ( in the same fashion) Then this: On April 22 2012 13:52 VisceraEyes wrote: Do we lynch BM or Mattchew? This is the first time you've even mentioned Mattchew in your filter since your first joke vote. You give no reasoning behind the Mattchew suspicion at all. Then this: On April 22 2012 22:06 VisceraEyes wrote: The scum are Bill Murray, gonzaw, MidnightGladius, layabout as far as I can see. I want to kill BM first. Where'd Mattchew go? Now this: On April 22 2012 23:15 VisceraEyes wrote: I'm not actually - I don't think I'm any better that anyone else - only slightly more experienced. I'm trying to use reason as a defense, but it's not really working.
Anyway, I'd like to hear EVERYONE'S thoughts on the BH/Jitsu hydra please. As hyperactive as they were pre-game, they should have been in here freaking out by now.
I actually feel like I want to lynch BH/Jitsu more than BM at this point. What do you guys think? Now you want to lynch BJ, even though they weren't on your scum team just a few posts earlier and you never even mentioned them other than, they should be all over my claim. They should be posting is your only reasoning against them. Not being in the thread at a particular time is not a case sorry to say. This is also very relevant to your scum meta in LI, odd claims, massive suspicion switches, can't keep your stories straight or keep your head on straight for that matter. You keep mentioning things such as after I flip you'll be sorry and such. As well as saying things like "THIS IS TOWNS BEST OPTION THEY WILL FLIP SCUM FOR SURE!" Your play is ridiculous to say the least. Your the most scummy in my mind right now. Unvote: marvellosity Vote: VisceraEyes + Show Spoiler +On April 23 2012 03:32 Mementoss wrote:+ Show Spoiler [snip] +The more I think of it, the more I agree and like Gonzaws points on why lynching Risen is better than VE or BM.
VE very well could be JK, his claim doesn't make sense either side. If we don't lynch him and his claim is true, scum will most likely take care of him either tonight or the next night. Maybe by then he can somehow prove his claim. I think its best to wait it out. Worse case by lynching him we take out our own blue. Let mafia waste KP on that.
BM should be vigged if we have a vig, claim the shot before you shoot. If he doesn't die, We know that, either the shooter or BM is GF. Hes lurking and acting scummy, but hard to tell cause he has like 3 posts. Lynching him doesn't tell us anything if hes town, shooting him is the better option.
Also I like gonzaws case on Risen. His posts lack meaning and consistency. He has a hard time to commiting to anything and his emotions are all over the place. Im happy with a Risen lynch over the other two. Risen looks scummy, and the other two cases will hopefully work themselves out with night actions/ VE somehow confirms his claim then gets killed by mafia KP. ##Unvote: VisceraEyes ##Vote: Risen + Show Spoiler +On April 23 2012 08:11 Mementoss wrote: Why are we lynching a JK cause hes bad again?
[image blocked] + Show Spoiler +On April 23 2012 08:20 Mementoss wrote: I would also vote BM. I am beginning to think Marv is town, and since I agree with the defensive stance on VE risen took, it kinda makes me think hes town. If he was scum, he woulda just let VE die, and vote VE like a sheep.
At the time Marv was the best case out there, and I wanted more pressure on him to keep posting more to see if we could get scumminess out of him.
At first glance, I immediately thought of VE in LI, and though hes doing this again and voted him based on not only this, but his inconsistent views. I re-read the context of VE's case, and asked myself the same questions I kept asking everyone else, why would he do this as scum? I couldn't figure it out. Then I asked myself is this bad town play or scum? The answer should have been pretty obvious to most looking at the context of the claim as well as how it was done, along with the awkward rage-quit. As well as the super fast bandwagon/sheeping of 9 people, in which almost everyone just said omg bad claim and voted him. Easy way out. Additionally, why take the risk of lynching claimed JK with no pressure day 1? There were ways he coulda confirmed his role, if he wasn't dead from scum after 2 nights it woulda been ultra suspicious.
Gonzaw posted what appeared to be a good case on Risen. Risen hadn't posted much as of late and Marv was posting somewhat better. So I voted Risen, being my best scum read atm, also knowing that I didn't want VE to die AT ALL.
Once I realized there was 0 chance of Marv or Risen dieing, I voted BM. The second most votes. Was I sure he was scum? Nope. Would I rather mislynch a vanilla than a JK. Your damn right. And a lurking one at that. Onto that, the way Risen was pushing people to get off VE and mentioning some similar things to what I was thinking/saying earlier I thought he was town for this action. Marv I initially thought this was the case too, but I realized he just took his vote off to make himself look concerned. And ultimately, he put that vote back there with tonnes of showing of why it was a bad idea at the end of the thread, by me Risen and Mattchew. Still looking weird in my eyes.
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not above scrutiny but I think unless you have an actual case against blazing you're more suspicious than him because you were on the VE lynch. obviously there were townies on the VE lynch but there were almost definitely scum on that lynch. Which makes you more likely to be scum than him. You didn't give an argument, you gave an opinion, and opinions of people on the VE lynch are worth less than others right now. So unless you come up with a good ARGUMENT against him, you're more likely to be under scrutiny than him.
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EBWOP: above referring to layabout
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On April 24 2012 08:07 johnnywup wrote: not above scrutiny but I think unless you have an actual case against blazing you're more suspicious than him because you were on the VE lynch. obviously there were townies on the VE lynch but there were almost definitely scum on that lynch. Which makes you more likely to be scum than him. You didn't give an argument, you gave an opinion, and opinions of people on the VE lynch are worth less than others right now. So unless you come up with a good ARGUMENT against him, you're more likely to be under scrutiny than him. What do you think of what i said a few posts ago?
You know, the argument i repeated about how him waiting until it was too late to stop the lynch before offering his opinion is suspicious.
Even if you think there are scum on the the votelist, you cannot treat everyone on it like scum. You scruntinise them, make some sort of judgement then respond accordingly. You should not be trying to discredit everyone on that list for being wrong if you are town.
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On April 24 2012 08:02 Zephirdd wrote:Show nested quote +On April 24 2012 07:29 johnnywup wrote:On April 23 2012 07:45 Zephirdd wrote: Just for the record, im last minute voting VE in order to avoid a modkill; I dont recall any other candidate better than him either, although I kinda lost track since page 30 or so Yeah, your best read It was my best read at the time and, if I recall correctly, of other 7 players. Sorry, your case is weak. Too weak. And when a case is so weak, it is usually wrong. Food for thought. you voted him so you wouldn't get modkilled, right before (what you thought was) the deadline. That's not your "best read". That's not "A read" at all. That's you trying to ninjavote and get a lynch on a jailkeeper.
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Okay, major thoughts after spending like 3 hours reading the thread:
About Risen:
First of all, I'll deal with your "rebuttal" (if you can call it that) of my case here:
+ Show Spoiler +On April 23 2012 06:45 Risen wrote:Show nested quote +On April 23 2012 01:16 gonzaw wrote:Risen:I'd like to lynch Risen and I'll tell you why On April 22 2012 02:22 Risen wrote:On April 22 2012 01:42 layabout wrote:How are you feeling VE? Any thoughts on marvellosity paqman or mattchew? we need Risen to rise and get posting we need ghost 403 to de-cloak we need St.Daniel to grace us with his presence we need Janaan to get out of bed we need slOosh to stop fapping to Beethoven *we need BroodkingEXE to execute som scum for us we need Bill Murray to get his head in the game we need Zephirrd to tell you guys to stop posting shit we need layabout to stop with the puns lead us to victory Yeah I'm sorry. Just woke up. I'll get posting. Posting lots is pro-town and from what I've read I don't find anyone really all that scummy. I'd rather we put pressure on someone who isn't posting. I messed up last game with my pressure on ET so I'm not sure how to get everyone posting. From the last page I do have a problem with mementoss' idea. It seems solid but as you said on this page, all vigs would have to get on board. I don't like directing blues in the first place (i realize this game has special stuff going on, though, so I don't think forwarding the idea is scummy. I just don't think we should do it). Another problem with your plan mt is your directing of jailkeepers. By directing jk away from targets and the vigis you give scum a potential three kill night. They can kill the vig, another person, and then if the vigi target is town they get to laugh at us. To sum, don't direct blues. I think there's been enough discussion about it and with no clearly best plan there's no way to get everyone behind one plan. This post is wishy washy as hell. First he starts by being unnecessary apologetic when laya called him out. He posts a very wishy washy statement like "from what I've read I don't find anyone really all that scummy". Really? That's not the town Risen I know of. The town Risen I know of would instantly find people scummy and try to create discussion. Town Risen wouldn't stay neutral and spout wishy washy shit like "I'm not sure who's scummy". Then he keeps trying to appear more "innocent" and neutral by saying things like "I messed up last game with my pressure on ET so I'm not sure how to get everyone posting". Then the rest of the post is fluff about Mementos' plan. He doesn't seem to have a solid stance on the matter (says things like "I don't like directing blues, though I realize this game has special stuff going on") yet he just keeps talking about it. Also, please note the tone of his post. It seems neutral, but most of all it's not aggressive at all. It seems submisive. Layabout called him out and he seems afraid and posts only because he was called out. Also take notice of the bolded "Posting lots is pro-town" bit, I'll use it later. On April 22 2012 02:28 Risen wrote: I don't get your reasoning mt or anyone else's voting for marvel. He's posting and it's very early day 1. There isn't that much to go off of so I don't think he's scummy. I hate lurkers, they always fuck us and it isn't pro-town at all. I'd rather not lynch someone who's here day 1. Posting is pro-town and I don't think we should be scaring people away from posting day 1 bc it just gives people an excuse to be worthless He just barely comments on the marvel issue, but doesn't really take any stances. He keeps up with his "I still don't think anybody is scummy" excuse to avoid taking stances on people. He also doesn't comment on other things happening in the thread, like VE's "case" on me, or my case against VE, or the Paqman/Mattchew issue, nothing. Again, note the bolded bit too. On April 22 2012 03:04 Risen wrote:On April 22 2012 02:54 layabout wrote: Anybody feel like Risen is hustlin' us? I think you're making up bullshit to try and push an easy wagon on me. ##vote layabout I'm done for now. I'll change my vote if someone does something scummy but I don't see anything and I think someone trying to push a wagon at this point is our best bet. I'll vote for the hydra too. Now here's the kicker. Here he goes against layabout and votes him, and his reason is "I think you're making up bullshit to try and push an easy wagon on me"... ...really? I already said how this seems like Toad's play from LI. He ignores current discussion, he avoids taking a stance on the current events, and instead decides to FoS someone completely irrelevant for shitty reasons, and keeps his vote there. This vote only disrupts town because he fails to justify it and derails current discussions. Not only that, but it makes it so he can "justify" his vote and just leave it there, so he can fake trying to contribute. But there's another important thing to take into account: Notice how aggressive he's become against layabout.Why did the tone of his post and his behaviour change so much? In that first post he sounded afraid. Laya called him out and he sounded submissive against him, he was the opposite of aggressive. He posted trying to please laya, had a very neutral tone, was wishy-washy and didn't take any stances. Yet now that layabout points out Risen being suspicious, he flips and goes all crazy against him? Really? I don't buy that change of behaviour, it's inconsisent, it's way too sudden and doesn't make sense with the way he was posting before. Hey, remember that bolded bits I was mentioning before? Here: Posting lots is pro-town He says that posting a lot is pro-town, yet he's not following his own advice and is barely posting!So really people, Risen is scum because: - He barely posts at all even though he said posting a lot is pro-town and people should be encouraged to do it
- Starts off wishy washy as hell, sounds very submissive and afraid of being called out, ignores current discussions and doesn't take stances on them, posts uninteresting fluff about directing blues while not even taking a solid stance on the matter
- Makes a very flimsy vote on layabout and doesn't justify it at all
- Has a very sudden change of behaviour. He becomes aggressive very quickly while his previous behaviour was the opposite of that
- He doesn't play like when he does as town at all. As town he posts without fear or hesitation, he actively calls people out and tries whatever he can to get some discussion going. As town he posts more and pushes people more, as town he doesn't park a vote on someone irrelevant for irrelevant reasons and remains hidden for the rest of the day
So people, let's lynch Risen ##Unvote: VisceraEyes ##Vote: Risen What kind of stupid shit is this? By request of jubjub Pac I'll respond. Wishy washy? What the hell do you want from me not even a day into the game? How the hell could ANYONE have true feelings of someone being scum that early on. You can have policies that guide you, such as kill every idiot you see, like anyone on VE or lynch lurkers like BM, but you can't possibly have feelings of people being scummy that early on. Only people who are atrocious at this game would take that point seriously. Oh look, we have pac taking it seriously. I'm so shocked. You say this posting looks like Toad from LI? Awesome. I'm not Toad. Also, where do you get me being SUBMISSIVE to layabout. The guy was playing like an idiot and I called him out on it. If you count me apologizing for cursing as being "submissive" then you need to get your head checked. How can you go from me voting layabout to trying to get approval from him. Stupidity at it's finest. BUT Pac wants me to address this piece of shit case so lets keep going. Wtf? Risen, as soon as LI started you pressured people (ET, johnny, others), you FoSed them and started discussion. And it was like 2 hours into D1You can't possibly use the "what the hell do you want from me not even a day into the game?" excuse at all when you don't don't do that when you are town. Yes, you were being submissive, before you called laya out, not after (geez read my fucking post I specifically quote the post I'm talking about) On to your little bullets. 1) I've been busy as all hell, but I've been trying to come in and read and post instead of lurk. Screw it, I should have just lurked. You're right, posting in the thread is anti-town. My bad, I was wrong. I'll stop posting. Thanks for the sarcasm that doesn't accomplish anything. Okay, so you pull off the "busy" excuse...does that justify your lack of activity until then? If you are busy/go away/etc you should tell us so we know about it before we even have to point that out to you. 2) Not taking a solid stance? I SAID DONT DIRECT BLUES. IT IS BAD. How much more solid does it get? What do I have to do to make it more solid? It seemed to me you were just talking just to talk there. You said things like "Well, but I don't see how pointing that out is scummy, but well..", spent talking quite a lot about Mementoss' plan, and all that just to say "don't direct blues". Don't worry though, this is not that important 3) A flimsy vote on layabout? You right... because votes before a day has passed in the game are going to be super solid. Oh wait. They're not. Only an idiot or scum would try and say something like this. I'm leaning idiot because at least your vote isn't with the derps on VE. Yes it's a flimsy vote, and don't use that excuse again, you know it doesn't work like that and it doesn't justify your vote AT ALL. For instance, there were PLENTY of JUSTIFIED votes from other players before you voted layabout, so your point is rendered moot and only serves to make it seem you are avoiding justifying your vote at all and misdirecting it. 4) I like how you call me passive and then point number 4 is saying I'm being too aggressive. This case is air tight guys, let's all get on the Risen choo choo. Right Janaan? Read my case. You were extremely passive until layabout called you out. Then you became extremely aggressive ALMOST INSTANTLY 5) People don't have lives my b I always forget about that. I wasn't supposed to head back to Vegas until next weekend and when I signed up for this game it didn't matter anyways. It took two years to start, though, and I've only been able to read the thread from my phone. Now I'm able to type on a keyboard and tear this horrid case to shreds. Excuses, excuses, excuses. You can't possibly tell me that you think people calling you out because you are not posting means we are idiots because we didn't know that you "weren't supposed to head back to Vegas" or you were "busy" right? Yes, it's possible you were busy, it's possible that Vegas thing happened and you were away or something. However, it's very possible that you had tiny bits of free time between those times to post too. It's entirely possible that you are scum, you were "busy", but when you had free time you just said "Oh fuck it, supposedly I'm still "busy" so I'll just not post for a while". I did it in Newbie IV for instance, where I just said things like "I'm going to uni and I'll be busy this week so I won't be able to post too much". I was busy and going to uni, but when I came back home I just read the thread, read the scum QT and talked to some people there and then did nothing at all and keep lurking. Then every other time I posted I'd say "Oh I'm back from uni/I'm not that busy anymore/blablabla". I wasn't lying, but I was exaggerating it so I was justified in not posting. So you making these kind of excuses doesn't let you off the hook at all. And like I said, if you are going to be legitimately busy, or going away to Vegas (or coming back to Vegas, I didn't really understand that part), then if you don't want misunderstandings you point it out to us. It's not required if you are able to establish your innocence before it, but since you completely failed at that in your case, yes you should have. Also, here's his filter from LI (was town): http://www.teamliquid.net/forum/viewmessage.php?topic_id=325046&user=62525The fact that I could almost instantly peg him as town in that game, while I'm having lots of doubts about his alignment this game should indicate something, at least regarding Risen's earlier behaviour (before he went through that AFK period)
I'm kind of torn about this now. Before he started being "active" again, he was scummy as fuck. However, he started using his usual "townie" aggressive act after being called out. He started being assholes to everybody, posting actively, and FoSing everybody without any reasoning at all and just being a dick.
There are 2 interesting aspects I found:
- Heavily defending VE:
This is interesting, because as we all know VE flipped blue. For scum, this seems the best scenario to easily jump on the wagon of a claimed blue (that was scummy as fuck and ragequitted) and get him lynched on D1, instead of having to deal with him throughout the whole game, and either having to waste their KP on him at night, or having to deal with VE's saves each night in an attempt to get him lynched D2 and onwards. Yet he went the opposite way and heavily opposed VE's lynch. He was VERY VOCAL about it too. He begged people to get off VE. I'm trying to find scum motivations on this, and I can, but it seems kind of like a conspiracy theory, because it would be a fucking great scum play from Risen, and this is why:
Risen was under heavy fire from some people, mainly Paqman, me, Janaan, and some others that found him suspicious as well. He was FoSing everybody, acting shitty, etc, and nobody was listening to him. He had almost 0% thread presence. Him "begging" people to stay off VE would not convince anybody at all, specially not if he would just try to convince others to lynch BM using "Why aren't we voting BM? He's useless" as the sole reasoning to lynch BM (parabole here). Now, if he's scum, he knows he's under fire. He knows his voice doesn't have any presence, and he knows that he can't sway town into doing shit. Knowing that VE will possibly get lynched (probably with the help of his buddies), he knows that if he wants to save his ass, he has to oppose the VE lynch. Since he knows he has 0% sway over anybody, he can yell at people, he can beg them to not lynch VE, and he knows nobody would listen to him. After VE is lynched, he would gain immense amounts of town cred and be out of the spotlight. This would be fucking great scumplay. Of course, it would also need superb scumplay from him to "fake" that aggressiveness and dickish behaviour he has put since being called out.
It's worrying how sure he was about not voting VE though. His "We don't lynch a claimed doctor" reasoning would make sense for him to oppose his lynch...but I still find it odd how he was so confident about not lynching VE, yet he doesn't really state anything about VE's behaviour or if he thinks he's actually town or not, he just says VE is an "emo idiot", implies VE is just bad, and begs people to not vote for him. He doesn't mention anything about VE's actual play, doesn't mention if he thinks he's scum fake-claiming or a legit claim (although his wording implies he thinks VE is town, but he doesn't explicitely mention it). He just opposes the VE lynch for the sake of opposing it, and seems to ignore everything else that had to do with VE and VE's behaviour. It makes it seem like he wouldn't even care about VE at all and only cared about opposing his lynch.
- Fosing those that voted VE, but only a small group of them:
Now, this is another interesting thing. These are 2 posts I'll be refering too: http://www.teamliquid.net/forum/viewmessage.php?topic_id=329128¤tpage=32#628 http://www.teamliquid.net/forum/viewmessage.php?topic_id=329128¤tpage=33#655
He starts his "Everybody voting VE is scum/idiot" thing (just like he did the "Everybody NOT voting VE is scum/idiot" thing in LI). However, he just fixates on marv and BM. He FoSes marv just for voting the claimed doctor...something 6 more players did and he didn't mention them at all at that point(he does briefly mention BM though). He does mention all of them in the 2nd post....but he doesn't make a lot of conclusive stands on them. He mentions that he thinks sloosh and layabout are just idiots, good. He mentions that he thinks marv and BM are scum..good I guess? He still doesn't state why he thinks marv is scum out of all those players just for voting VE (marv had stated reasons for voting VE before, just like most that voted VE by that point). He mentions BM and then starts the crusades to get him lynched, good. However...he mentions that Sentinel and Oxxolul are being "derps" for voting VE and mentions scummy things about them...but then he never mentions them again.
If he FoSes marv for voting VE for shitty reasons, and he keeps picking up fights with him because of it, why doesn't he call Sentinel or Oxxolul out? I mean, we know that when he's town he just rages against EVERYBODY that does something he doesn't want to do or something he disapproves. Why does he completely ignore Sentinel and Oxxolul from then on? Why does he totally fixate on marv and BM, yet FoSes them using reasoning that applies to those other 2? He even implied he thought Oxo/Sentinel were suspicious or he was having doubts about them, it doesn't make any sense for him to ignore them. However, he just decides to "pick" the players that have more votes on them: marv and BM. That's quite a coincidence. Sentinel nor Oxxo had votes or suspicions on them, while marv and BM had votes and a lot of suspicions on them. It seems too much of a coincidence, specially since he doesn't mention anything about voting for marv/BM because they are more likely to get lynched or anything.
What's the scum motivation for this? Well, the obvious one is that Otto and/or Sentinel are scum, marv and BM are town, and Risen decides to oppose the VE lynch to gain more town cred now that he's been called out. Since he decides to oppose the hell out of the VE lynch, he has to play to his town meta and FoS those that voted for VE, so he decides to FoS the townies that are under heavy suspicion from the ones that voted VE to blend in with other players. It may seem unlikely, but I don't see a town motivation for Risen to IGNORE both Sentinel and Ottolul throughout the whole game since that post of his, specially considering his heavy stance regarding VE, and those that voted for VE.
Now, this may seem like a conspiracy theory, but even though Risen's past actions would "exonerate" him in many people's eyes (because he's playing to his meta, posting actively, going against the VE lynch and trying to lynch BM, etc), the way he performed said actions, and the way he's been acting regarding those other players make me very uneasy. I find it possible Risen is scum, decided to go all "Fuck this shit I'll FoS everybody, play to my town meta and oppose the VE lynch to gain cred", which is why I'm pointing this out.
Holy shit this post is gigantic, I'll post my thoughts on other players in a minute
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On April 24 2012 08:17 johnnywup wrote:Show nested quote +On April 24 2012 08:02 Zephirdd wrote:On April 24 2012 07:29 johnnywup wrote:On April 23 2012 07:45 Zephirdd wrote: Just for the record, im last minute voting VE in order to avoid a modkill; I dont recall any other candidate better than him either, although I kinda lost track since page 30 or so Yeah, your best read It was my best read at the time and, if I recall correctly, of other 7 players. Sorry, your case is weak. Too weak. And when a case is so weak, it is usually wrong. Food for thought. you voted him so you wouldn't get modkilled, right before (what you thought was) the deadline. That's not your "best read". That's not "A read" at all. That's you trying to ninjavote and get a lynch on a jailkeeper.
OH yeah it's much better to get modkilled AMIRITE? No. Also, I stated earlier and I guess I'll have to actually quote myself.
http://www.teamliquid.net/forum/viewmessage.php?topic_id=329128¤tpage=29#561
On April 23 2012 00:17 Zephirdd wrote: God damnit layabout. I was about to post how VE's claim made sense and how he was town, but then you convince me the opposite. Geez.
And this martyring post from VE only makes sense from two PoVs: - He really is a JK and he will let town use his flip information to deal with what happened during the day - He is scum trying to sound like that.
Also, right now, I see no reason to lynch Bill Murray - he should be vigged, not lynched if he doesn't contribute soon.
VE, what is your stance on gonzaw, especially after his series of (Seemingly) drunk posts? Also, please make the case against the certain scum you are talking about. Should you flip JK, we got something solid to work from. In fact, I'll take you are claiming scum if you don't do that. He didn't do that, I took it as if he was claiming scum.
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Why don't you make cases so you don't have to vote at the last minute to avoid getting modkilled? and:
how can one post make you flip 180 and think ve is scum from thinking he is town.
what solid information do we have to work from from him flipping jk
how can you take him NOT posting as him claiming scum.
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Would you all do me a favour and make this commitment?
"I pledge to stop swearing for the rest of the game in the hope that we will all be nicer to each other"
You don't need to post it but please try to stick to it.
If we continue being at each others throats we will ruin Igrok's game.
Let's try to be civil and stick to what will probably be terrible analysis that will cause other players and observers alike to recoil in horror.
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seeing this from the other thread I'm announcing it I guess. Any bad behavior is instant modkill.
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