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NOTE: When providing a source, please provide a very brief summary on what it's about and what purpose it adds to the discussion. The supporting statement should clearly explain why the subject is relevant and needs to be discussed. Please follow this rule especially for tweets.
Your supporting statement should always come BEFORE you provide the source. |
On June 23 2025 03:41 Mohdoo wrote:Show nested quote +On June 23 2025 03:14 Magic Powers wrote:On June 23 2025 00:44 Mohdoo wrote:On June 23 2025 00:27 Legan wrote:On June 23 2025 00:15 Mohdoo wrote:On June 23 2025 00:00 Legan wrote: If we consider Iran to be led by religious fanatics who do not care about dying, what kind of response will they make? Strikes on USA bases for sure. Marching through Iraq to liberate Muslims from Israel and the USA? Launching a dirty bomb on Israel? Surely, they will do the most insane thing and will not be rational about the consequences. They’ve already showed considerable restraint after losing the golden dream of nukes. With sovereignty completely removed as a possibility, now they are shifting to survival by trying to convince the world they are better off leaving them alone. The Hormuz Straight is their best bang for buck option and it’s what they immediately did because now their focus is raw survival efficiency. Focusing on survival does not sound like a religious fanatic who would willingly die to destroy their enemy if they just got their chance. How is it not? That’s been Hamas’s focus for quite some time. No matter how unachievable the goal, so long as big dog allah has your back, it’ll all work out in the end. If you take a glance through history, you’ll notice quite a few instances where a government surrenders after losing control of their capital for an extended period of time. Or even before that. For Iran, all that matters is continuing to fight on in whatever way they can. The only thing that can stop that is a coup from within or Iranians organizing against their government. Without either of those, jihad keeps on doing what jihad does Jihad today still needs more martyrs tomorrow. Sustainable martyrdom is a key component of any jihad strategy. Hamas wasn’t hiding in tunnels because they were atheist. They hid in tunnels because it improved their total jihad output capability Look up the actual meaning of Jihad. Extremists don't use it the same way other Muslims do. Kinda how Hitler saw "struggle" differently from other people. "Jihad output capability" is a meaningless term without context. Without the aspect of warfare, there's nothing about the tunnels in Gaza that makes sense. No moderate Muslim here in Austria would claim the Hamas tunnels are in service of Allah. They'd argue they're in service of warfare and only warfare. Some would go so far as to call them an affront to Allah. Only from an extremist perspective do Hamas' actions make sense. Extremism is not inherent in Islam or in Jihad. But it doesn't surprise me that a Western audience doesn't have this kind of understanding. Iran's leadership isn't religiously radical or extremist because of Islam. They're religiously radical or extremist because they're not secular. Otherwise they'd just... be radical or extremist. Without the religious aspect. I understand the various ways the terms are used, but I do think its important to recognize language evolves and certain words can have entirely different meanings in many different contexts. I am sure moderate Muslims in Austria would disagree with a lot of things Khameini says. But I don't think it makes sense to deprive Khameini and his followers of their own words. They use those words to mean those things, so I use their words when describing their behaviors. It would be very complicated and difficult to communicate if we replaced terminology of certain people due to deciding only one interpretation of a word is valid. But your point is well taken and I do understand and appreciate the extremely diverse opinions that exist within Muslims as a whole across the world.
That seems fair on your part, and I'm glad we're on the same page.
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On June 23 2025 04:04 Broetchenholer wrote:Show nested quote +On June 23 2025 00:07 Billyboy wrote:On June 22 2025 23:39 Broetchenholer wrote:On June 22 2025 22:41 Billyboy wrote:On June 22 2025 17:05 GreenHorizons wrote:On June 22 2025 15:33 Broetchenholer wrote:On June 22 2025 04:18 Billyboy wrote: I have been thinking a lot lately about the common argument about removing these awful leaders and government by force because of the chaos that will happen after. I do think that it is a concern, but it also feels pretty damn awful to be saying that we are going to leave you to be brutally repressed, killed and tortured to keep the problems of the area within the borders. This is a design by the dictators to make sure that there is no one ready to fill the vacuum and they are the only one that can hold it together by their awful means, which also regardless of political affiliation, involves them living in incredible wealth. In a way it is like the Nuke where it all just a means to keep them in power and keep oppressing their people and I do not know why anyone would argue it is a good thing.
Should we not be trying to find ways for the countries post dictatorship to become health democracies? Rather than just being like, well it is much easier if we just leave that horrible monster in charge because it is way easier for us.
I find the argument strange because it never seems to get any pushback and is often written as almost as if it is a kindness to the (in this case) the Iranian people. When it is really not, or at least it is far from altruistic. So, after you have stopped the terrible regime of Iran, where do you continue? Saudi Arabia? Turkey? Israel? Russia? China? USA? The world would be a better place if we just bombed a multi party system into the States, a new constitution, laws to limit money in politics... You for that too? I have never seen someone being consistent about calling for the toppling of regimes "for freedom" Wish we could all be around to see people reading/reacting to our posting about this stuff as it was happening 100, 200, 300+ years from now. The fact that Saudi Arabia is an absolute theocratic monarchy that's still chopping people's heads off for being gay but also a steadfast ally of the West will be one of the things that future junior high/high school kids spend countless hours trying to understand stoned in their basements/bunkers/vaults. So you want the US and Israel to attack SA? Or is it your opinion that you have to attack all evil regimes or none? Does it matter if one is openly making war in other nations or not? Does it matter if one is openly trying to make a nuclear weapon while openly being genocidal? We are just interested in YOUR logic which countries need to be invaded and freedom brought. You believe Iran needed to be bombed. You did not call for the bombing of similar regimes or much worse regimes. How about South Susan? The powers there cannot even claim to at one point have any way of opposing the West, yet the us are not incentivized to bomb there despite actually mass murdering going on. Saudi Arabia by the way is openly making war in another country, it's called Yemen. So only countries making nuclear weapons are to be bombed in order to free their population, even if they are far from the worst at suppressing their population? Where did you get that I wanted it from? Feel free to find the post. I'm bringing up the idea behind this all. People are so damn sure about things that they think there way is crystal clear the right way. No one bothers to actually critically think that hmmm maybe leaving 100m under oppression so they do not migrate to our cities and make them less great is not the altruistic view they think it is. It is also pretty shitty, just like al the other options. You are right, I probably saw the first post I quoted from you, conflated it with some of moohdoos and then replied to that. My apologies. Your point, if I now got it right, was still strange. You attributed to the left the idea that toppling regimes is bad because then we need to take on their refugees. Which is super weird. It's never the toppling of brutal dictators that cause the refugee crisises because finally people can flee the country. It's the civil war that will do that. And the civil war is what "the West" (the us(not the left)) had always caused by toppling dictatorships without a clue how to actually achieve peace in the land. I would argue the left would love to help the people after the dictator was bombed with rebuilding the country. The issue is just, there is a reason why these countries dipped back to chaos after their dictators were gone, you cannot mandate democracy, you need to make everyone's life better and if you have first made it terrible because you had to sanction the regime and after it was gone you were too stingy to pump billions into the country, don't expect them to suddenly become democratic. The left is against overthrowing regimes because the right that overthrows them is terrible at nation building and it results in civil war and more tragedy. In the case of Iran, at least the country is as old a nation as we get them. No 10 different people in an arbitrary created pseudo nation by the Brits. It's also decently rich in resources and has a long history of being an efficient state. It is perfect for lifting sanctions on them so that the people can prosper and eventually remove their yoke themselves. But even I see that completely normalizing relations with them for the sake of their people would be a bad move. I think a bunch of money and time was put into Iraq and Afghanistan, I do not think that was the only issue. And the reasons you are stating that regime chance could possibly come internally and work would be the same reasons that someone might say that external regime change could work. Well I'm optimistic that this will be the one that works out, I wouldn't bet money on it. I will add to your list of reasons why it might work out better is in Iraq you had countries (Iran, Syria backed by Russia) working against it from the outside and with Afghanistan you had Pakistan still supporting the Taliban. Here in theory with Russia influence completely gone maybe no one benefits from it failing and everyone locally is also working to make it work.
But my overall point is unclear, because I have not completely worked it out in my head. Some of what your talking about just comes across as Isolationist, which there are plenty of Americans on the right with this, and some just seems like over simplifying almost to look down their noses at people. This is just not a simple one choice is bad one choice is good situation. Iran's government is really really really awful to even their own people (they do 61% of the worlds executions not to mention all the extra judicial killings), women have it significantly worse now than they did 50 years ago there in a different still pretty bad dictatorship and so on. So if there ever was a place where it made sense to do regime change this is it. It just comes off as callous to handwave the fortunes of 100m people because it is better for the rest of us to not have the problems spread.
I'm also not saying oh for sure regime change lets get to bastards. Because we have forced regime change on some pretty freaking terrible assholes and it is hard to say it has worked out better for more than it worked out worse.
I'm super scattered in my post because I'm scattered in my head. This seems like a massive grey zone where every option is terrible and you are trying to figure out what is the least terrible. I wish there was some big movement of support that would be ready to support Iran if there was a regime change, but that does not exist.
What I guess I would like is when people talk about it to not act like there is a clear answer that this is bad and this one is good. Then get all mad when someone says, well what about this? I'd like some sort of two way (or more people) discussion on everything going on without the moralization of anyone who does not write the preapproved "leftist" talking point.
Again, scattered as hell. But maybe that is clearer than before?
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Yeah, sure. I am still not sure what leftist has to do with it, the biggest problem leftist movements have is that the cannot compromise with each other, ask my vegan sister...
I think the question of when we have a moral reason to remove a regime by force is super hard to answer. The third Reich was obviously the one instance everybody will point to where it was necessary and went pretty well, if you don't look at eastern Europe under Russias rule for 50 years.
The Balkans I was quite young, in retrospect yeah taking sides there was good. But at the same time, valuable white people where saved, there were so many conflicts that were similar or worse at the time we did not give a shit about. Iraq and Afghanistan were a mess, and both lacked motivation as well as any plan how to improve the situation of the people.
I think what most people do not understand about the difference of Germany vs Iraq is just how defeated Germany was. The allies were able to force a regime of shame and reeducation on Germany because it was so overwhelmingly clear how bad it had been AND there was simply nothing left to fight with against the allies.
You cannot do this against Iran. Or Iraq or Afghanistan. You can go there, you can call mission accomplished and then you leave and the countries will not have changed to the better.
Of course that is a shitty situation to the people being oppressed by regimes world wide but I personally do not see an upside for them if they are "freed" by military action. And if I did it, I'd do it to civil war countries that really murder their population.
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United States42778 Posts
US gov forgets that the military aren’t social workers. You take a fucked up state of affairs and ask the military if they can do something about that and they say “yes”. But if you ask them for specifics they’ll clarify that they can set it on fire for you if you’d like.
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On June 23 2025 18:12 KwarK wrote: US gov forgets that the military aren’t social workers. You take a fucked up state of affairs and ask the military if they can do something about that and they say “yes”. But if you ask them for specifics they’ll clarify that they can set it on fire for you if you’d like.
Same with police officers that get 8 weeks of training in which 7 weeks are target practice and then be handed a gun and send to mentally unstable people having a fit.
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Interesting to mention Balkan intervention(s).
Interesting in the way that maybe those people were white, but they (on who's behalf the West intervened the most) were Muslims, Kosovars and Bosniaks.
It's also interesting that Putin explicitly mentioned those interventions, as well as US intervention in Iraq when he was doing his 2 hour diatribe about why he's allowed to invade Ukraine.
That's why I'm personally so outraged by the developing situation in Iran.
It's bad in 3 major ways:
1. A regime change war = inevitable humanitarian disaster, migration waves, a lot of dead 2. Unilateral unprovoked regime change operation = extremely dangerous precedent and further eroding of international order, if they can do it to Iran why can't China to Taiwan, why can't Trump to Mexico, Mexico is "invading" US anyway, right? 3. Economic shocks = if you just knock out Iran's oil production it's already bad, if they mine Hormuz strait that's 20 % of world oil being blocked, who knows how long that can go on, inflation will be rampant, on top of the last inflation it might be catastrophic
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Finland931 Posts
According to NYT, Iran warned Qatari and US officials in advance about the strike's target and timing. There was also an Iranian official who said that they used the same numbers of missiles as US used in its attacks, so Iran is definitely trying to push the message that this is a proportional response. Symbolic is a good way of putting it.
Back in 2020 when Iran launched missiles at US bases after the Soleimani assassination, it was also reported that US and Israeli officials knew of the attack beforehand. This is Iran basically giving everyone an off-ramp for now.
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Trump about Medvedev's recent statement:
+ Show Spoiler +
How does he keep getting away with saying stuff like this lmao
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On June 23 2025 14:38 Broetchenholer wrote: Yeah, sure. I am still not sure what leftist has to do with it, the biggest problem leftist movements have is that the cannot compromise with each other, ask my vegan sister...
I think the question of when we have a moral reason to remove a regime by force is super hard to answer. The third Reich was obviously the one instance everybody will point to where it was necessary and went pretty well, if you don't look at eastern Europe under Russias rule for 50 years.
The Balkans I was quite young, in retrospect yeah taking sides there was good. But at the same time, valuable white people where saved, there were so many conflicts that were similar or worse at the time we did not give a shit about. Iraq and Afghanistan were a mess, and both lacked motivation as well as any plan how to improve the situation of the people.
I think what most people do not understand about the difference of Germany vs Iraq is just how defeated Germany was. The allies were able to force a regime of shame and reeducation on Germany because it was so overwhelmingly clear how bad it had been AND there was simply nothing left to fight with against the allies.
You cannot do this against Iran. Or Iraq or Afghanistan. You can go there, you can call mission accomplished and then you leave and the countries will not have changed to the better.
Of course that is a shitty situation to the people being oppressed by regimes world wide but I personally do not see an upside for them if they are "freed" by military action. And if I did it, I'd do it to civil war countries that really murder their population.
I think the Vegan analogy is a great one with my frustrations on how any discussion involving Israel goes.
The rest I agree with as well. Outside of Iran which is particularly bad, even for the region. The rest of the middle east seems to have endless war fatigue and just want to move forward. Perhaps this regime will feel that and start moving forward a bit, if not then with their whole organization weakened maybe they can't cause the issues in other countries or even they are weak enough that regime change happens internally.
I do think today was a good day, Iran got to respond but it was just for show. This likely means the US action is a one and done. Israel has stated they are close to their goals. So if this ends within a week with almost just military targets hit and Iran being unable to get a nuclear weapon that seems like a much more positive outcome than was expected.
Heck if Iran can't supply Hamas, maybe a new group takes over in Gaza and the Israel excuse/justification goes away and they make a deal there.
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On June 24 2025 05:12 Sent. wrote:Trump about Medvedev's recent statement: + Show Spoiler +How does he keep getting away with saying stuff like this lmao
This is incredible. Wowee. rofl
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On June 22 2025 03:23 Magic Powers wrote:Show nested quote +On June 22 2025 03:18 PremoBeats wrote:On June 22 2025 02:09 Magic Powers wrote: We have Netanyahu explicitly denying a potential future for a Palestinian state during an active war in Gaza that has resulted in what can only be described as a beta test to a full-blown famine and a genocide.
Totally not intentional though.
Bruh. International law, unlike forum culture, does not operate on exaggerations and cynicism though. All of these are literal quotes from people much better qualified than you.
I never gave appeals to authority much credit. Logic and evidence work best for me.
On June 22 2025 04:34 Gorsameth wrote:Show nested quote +On June 22 2025 03:52 PremoBeats wrote:On June 22 2025 03:23 Magic Powers wrote:On June 22 2025 03:18 PremoBeats wrote:On June 22 2025 02:09 Magic Powers wrote: We have Netanyahu explicitly denying a potential future for a Palestinian state during an active war in Gaza that has resulted in what can only be described as a beta test to a full-blown famine and a genocide.
Totally not intentional though.
Bruh. International law, unlike forum culture, does not operate on exaggerations and cynicism though. All of these are literal quotes from people much better qualified than you. ... who are completely unbiased, I presume. Or the same people you read about for knowledge on fascism? Again: we need official documents, executive orders, military protocols. Talking about the future as in statehood is not the same as talking about killing off Gazans. Something like a United Nations investigation? Show nested quote +The developments in this report lead the Special Committee to conclude that the policies and practices of Israel during the reporting period are consistent with the characteristics of genocide. SourceThat's from September last year. No wonder your not seeing genocide when your burden of proof is nothing short of a hand written note from Netanyahu saying "yes I am committing genocide"
My burden of proof is in line with international law. The UN's special committee and Amnesty International's interpretation appears to prioritize humanitarian outcome over legal thresholds, particularly with respect to intent. If you disagree with me, can you explain the difference between a war crime and genocide?
Can you further explain why your report or the genocide report of Amnesty did not once write about the facts that significantly weaken the case for INTENTIONAL mass extermination - genocide - as opposed to collateral harm within complex military context? - The CTS rate - The massive, unprecedented warning towards civilians via pamplehts, TV and radio-broadcasts, SMS, speaker announcement etc. - That Israel delayed the ground offensive to give the civilians time to prepare, which endangered their own troops as Hamas could prepare as well - Delivering electricity and water to this hostile neighbour
Or are you able to come up with an explanation how genocide is concluded without any proof of intent to kill the Gazans in whole or in part? How that is the most important thing to define the world's most extreme crime and how it was present in all genocide-classified situations in the past?
Do you accept that the Gazan Ministry of Health, which your article and the AI one, used numbers by the Gazan MoH which were inflated by 3.5k deaths ( https://www.euronews.com/2025/04/03/hamas-run-health-ministry-quietly-removes-thousands-from-gaza-death-toll-researchers-find )? That many of the deaths that are still listed, have been documented via the same procedure?
The article claims that "over 90 per cent of the Gaza population was estimated to face high levels of acute food insecurity by the end of 2023, with 40 per cent at emergency levels and over 15 per cent at catastrophe levels". At level 4, the mortality risk begins to rise, yet even though the article says that "no further crossings were opened until March" no widespread deaths of starvation occured, even until now. Meaning that despite level 4-5 famine risk classifications by IPC, actual deaths from starvation did not materialize at the expected scale, which raises legitimate questions about the calibration and credibility of the assessments.
Now how could all of these things come togehter? Do you know which countries composed the special committee that produced the article? How these countries voted in the past on Israel-related resolutions? How - if any - diplomatic relations of these countries tend to be in the middle eastern conflict?
As I said in my longer response: None of this is simple. Genocide is not people getting killed at pretty good CTS-rates for such a complicated war zone, only because a couple of politiians said bad things. We need die-hard proof: Leaked military memos, tape recordings of direct orders or executions (kill all male Gazans), military logistics, internal governmental protocols ("Final solution for the Jewish question"), executive orders, industrial complexes for extermination, mass testimonies to eliminate, forced sterilisation, enforced birth controls... we have none of that for the Gazan conflict, but several facts that weaken the genocide claim, as mentioned above. Genocide is a uniquely heinous crime that demands burden of proof we reserve for only the most extreme, systematically documented cases. In Gaza this standard has not been met. Not in evidence, not in planning and - as far as I'm concerned up until now - not in intent.
So if you're making a legal claim, you need to prove genocidal intent through concrete evidence, not inferred outcomes. If it is a moral claim, then say so. But don't conflate this tragedy with genocide unless you can show - like it has been the case in any other recognized genocide unter international law - deliberate intent to exterminate.
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On June 24 2025 05:32 PremoBeats wrote:Show nested quote +On June 22 2025 03:23 Magic Powers wrote:On June 22 2025 03:18 PremoBeats wrote:On June 22 2025 02:09 Magic Powers wrote: We have Netanyahu explicitly denying a potential future for a Palestinian state during an active war in Gaza that has resulted in what can only be described as a beta test to a full-blown famine and a genocide.
Totally not intentional though.
Bruh. International law, unlike forum culture, does not operate on exaggerations and cynicism though. All of these are literal quotes from people much better qualified than you. I never gave appeals to authority much credit. Logic and evidence work best for me. Show nested quote +On June 22 2025 04:34 Gorsameth wrote:On June 22 2025 03:52 PremoBeats wrote:On June 22 2025 03:23 Magic Powers wrote:On June 22 2025 03:18 PremoBeats wrote:On June 22 2025 02:09 Magic Powers wrote: We have Netanyahu explicitly denying a potential future for a Palestinian state during an active war in Gaza that has resulted in what can only be described as a beta test to a full-blown famine and a genocide.
Totally not intentional though.
Bruh. International law, unlike forum culture, does not operate on exaggerations and cynicism though. All of these are literal quotes from people much better qualified than you. ... who are completely unbiased, I presume. Or the same people you read about for knowledge on fascism? Again: we need official documents, executive orders, military protocols. Talking about the future as in statehood is not the same as talking about killing off Gazans. Something like a United Nations investigation? The developments in this report lead the Special Committee to conclude that the policies and practices of Israel during the reporting period are consistent with the characteristics of genocide. SourceThat's from September last year. No wonder your not seeing genocide when your burden of proof is nothing short of a hand written note from Netanyahu saying "yes I am committing genocide" My burden of proof is in line with international law. The UN's special committee and Amnesty International's interpretation appears to prioritize humanitarian outcome over legal thresholds, particularly with respect to intent. If you disagree with me, can you explain the difference between a war crime and genocide? Can you further explain why your report or the genocide report of Amnesty did not once write about the facts that significantly weaken the case for INTENTIONAL mass extermination - genocide - as opposed to collateral harm within complex military context? - The CTS rate - The massive, unprecedented warning towards civilians via pamplehts, TV and radio-broadcasts, SMS, speaker announcement etc. - That Israel delayed the ground offensive to give the civilians time to prepare, which endangered their own troops as Hamas could prepare as well - Delivering electricity and water to this hostile neighbour Or are you able to come up with an explanation how genocide is concluded without any proof of intent to kill the Gazans in whole or in part? How that is the most important thing to define the world's most extreme crime and how it was present in all genocide-classified situations in the past? Do you accept that the Gazan Ministry of Health, which your article and the AI one, used numbers by the Gazan MoH which were inflated by 3.5k deaths ( https://www.euronews.com/2025/04/03/hamas-run-health-ministry-quietly-removes-thousands-from-gaza-death-toll-researchers-find )? That many of the deaths that are still listed, have been documented via the same procedure? The article claims that "over 90 per cent of the Gaza population was estimated to face high levels of acute food insecurity by the end of 2023, with 40 per cent at emergency levels and over 15 per cent at catastrophe levels". At level 4, the mortality risk begins to rise, yet even though the article says that "no further crossings were opened until March" no widespread deaths of starvation occured, even until now. Meaning that despite level 4-5 famine risk classifications by IPC, actual deaths from starvation did not materialize at the expected scale, which raises legitimate questions about the calibration and credibility of the assessments. Now how could all of these things come togehter? Do you know which countries composed the special committee that produced the article? How these countries voted in the past on Israel-related resolutions? How - if any - diplomatic relations of these countries tend to be in the middle eastern conflict? As I said in my longer response: None of this is simple. Genocide is not people getting killed at pretty good CTS-rates for such a complicated war zone, only because a couple of politiians said bad things. We need die-hard proof: Leaked military memos, tape recordings of direct orders or executions (kill all male Gazans), military logistics, internal governmental protocols ("Final solution for the Jewish question"), executive orders, industrial complexes for extermination, mass testimonies to eliminate, forced sterilisation, enforced birth controls... we have none of that for the Gazan conflict, but several facts that weaken the genocide claim, as mentioned above. Genocide is a uniquely heinous crime that demands burden of proof we reserve for only the most extreme, systematically documented cases. In Gaza this standard has not been met. Not in evidence, not in planning and - as far as I'm concerned up until now - not in intent. So if you're making a legal claim, you need to prove genocidal intent through concrete evidence, not inferred outcomes. If it is a moral claim, then say so. But don't conflate this tragedy with genocide unless you can show - like it has been the case in any other recognized genocide unter international law - deliberate intent to exterminate.
Bruh. The UN isn't "authority". They're strictly more knowledgeable than you on the matter of genocide.
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Trump is announcing a ceasefire, no one else has. Here is hoping this is one of the rare times he is not full of shit.
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On June 24 2025 06:34 Magic Powers wrote:Show nested quote +On June 24 2025 05:32 PremoBeats wrote:On June 22 2025 03:23 Magic Powers wrote:On June 22 2025 03:18 PremoBeats wrote:On June 22 2025 02:09 Magic Powers wrote: We have Netanyahu explicitly denying a potential future for a Palestinian state during an active war in Gaza that has resulted in what can only be described as a beta test to a full-blown famine and a genocide.
Totally not intentional though.
Bruh. International law, unlike forum culture, does not operate on exaggerations and cynicism though. All of these are literal quotes from people much better qualified than you. I never gave appeals to authority much credit. Logic and evidence work best for me. On June 22 2025 04:34 Gorsameth wrote:On June 22 2025 03:52 PremoBeats wrote:On June 22 2025 03:23 Magic Powers wrote:On June 22 2025 03:18 PremoBeats wrote:On June 22 2025 02:09 Magic Powers wrote: We have Netanyahu explicitly denying a potential future for a Palestinian state during an active war in Gaza that has resulted in what can only be described as a beta test to a full-blown famine and a genocide.
Totally not intentional though.
Bruh. International law, unlike forum culture, does not operate on exaggerations and cynicism though. All of these are literal quotes from people much better qualified than you. ... who are completely unbiased, I presume. Or the same people you read about for knowledge on fascism? Again: we need official documents, executive orders, military protocols. Talking about the future as in statehood is not the same as talking about killing off Gazans. Something like a United Nations investigation? The developments in this report lead the Special Committee to conclude that the policies and practices of Israel during the reporting period are consistent with the characteristics of genocide. SourceThat's from September last year. No wonder your not seeing genocide when your burden of proof is nothing short of a hand written note from Netanyahu saying "yes I am committing genocide" My burden of proof is in line with international law. The UN's special committee and Amnesty International's interpretation appears to prioritize humanitarian outcome over legal thresholds, particularly with respect to intent. If you disagree with me, can you explain the difference between a war crime and genocide? Can you further explain why your report or the genocide report of Amnesty did not once write about the facts that significantly weaken the case for INTENTIONAL mass extermination - genocide - as opposed to collateral harm within complex military context? - The CTS rate - The massive, unprecedented warning towards civilians via pamplehts, TV and radio-broadcasts, SMS, speaker announcement etc. - That Israel delayed the ground offensive to give the civilians time to prepare, which endangered their own troops as Hamas could prepare as well - Delivering electricity and water to this hostile neighbour Or are you able to come up with an explanation how genocide is concluded without any proof of intent to kill the Gazans in whole or in part? How that is the most important thing to define the world's most extreme crime and how it was present in all genocide-classified situations in the past? Do you accept that the Gazan Ministry of Health, which your article and the AI one, used numbers by the Gazan MoH which were inflated by 3.5k deaths ( https://www.euronews.com/2025/04/03/hamas-run-health-ministry-quietly-removes-thousands-from-gaza-death-toll-researchers-find )? That many of the deaths that are still listed, have been documented via the same procedure? The article claims that "over 90 per cent of the Gaza population was estimated to face high levels of acute food insecurity by the end of 2023, with 40 per cent at emergency levels and over 15 per cent at catastrophe levels". At level 4, the mortality risk begins to rise, yet even though the article says that "no further crossings were opened until March" no widespread deaths of starvation occured, even until now. Meaning that despite level 4-5 famine risk classifications by IPC, actual deaths from starvation did not materialize at the expected scale, which raises legitimate questions about the calibration and credibility of the assessments. Now how could all of these things come togehter? Do you know which countries composed the special committee that produced the article? How these countries voted in the past on Israel-related resolutions? How - if any - diplomatic relations of these countries tend to be in the middle eastern conflict? As I said in my longer response: None of this is simple. Genocide is not people getting killed at pretty good CTS-rates for such a complicated war zone, only because a couple of politiians said bad things. We need die-hard proof: Leaked military memos, tape recordings of direct orders or executions (kill all male Gazans), military logistics, internal governmental protocols ("Final solution for the Jewish question"), executive orders, industrial complexes for extermination, mass testimonies to eliminate, forced sterilisation, enforced birth controls... we have none of that for the Gazan conflict, but several facts that weaken the genocide claim, as mentioned above. Genocide is a uniquely heinous crime that demands burden of proof we reserve for only the most extreme, systematically documented cases. In Gaza this standard has not been met. Not in evidence, not in planning and - as far as I'm concerned up until now - not in intent. So if you're making a legal claim, you need to prove genocidal intent through concrete evidence, not inferred outcomes. If it is a moral claim, then say so. But don't conflate this tragedy with genocide unless you can show - like it has been the case in any other recognized genocide unter international law - deliberate intent to exterminate. Bruh. The UN isn't "authority". They're strictly more knowledgeable than you on the matter of genocide.
I simply refer to my answer addressed at Gorsameth, bruh (and yes, you are making an appeal to authority, instead of addressing my arguments) TLDR: The committee isn't neutral, it didn't analyze facts speaking against genocode and most importantly made no legal case for genocide in the sense of proving intent, which is the defining characteristic.
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On June 24 2025 13:47 PremoBeats wrote:Show nested quote +On June 24 2025 06:34 Magic Powers wrote:On June 24 2025 05:32 PremoBeats wrote:On June 22 2025 03:23 Magic Powers wrote:On June 22 2025 03:18 PremoBeats wrote:On June 22 2025 02:09 Magic Powers wrote: We have Netanyahu explicitly denying a potential future for a Palestinian state during an active war in Gaza that has resulted in what can only be described as a beta test to a full-blown famine and a genocide.
Totally not intentional though.
Bruh. International law, unlike forum culture, does not operate on exaggerations and cynicism though. All of these are literal quotes from people much better qualified than you. I never gave appeals to authority much credit. Logic and evidence work best for me. On June 22 2025 04:34 Gorsameth wrote:On June 22 2025 03:52 PremoBeats wrote:On June 22 2025 03:23 Magic Powers wrote:On June 22 2025 03:18 PremoBeats wrote:On June 22 2025 02:09 Magic Powers wrote: We have Netanyahu explicitly denying a potential future for a Palestinian state during an active war in Gaza that has resulted in what can only be described as a beta test to a full-blown famine and a genocide.
Totally not intentional though.
Bruh. International law, unlike forum culture, does not operate on exaggerations and cynicism though. All of these are literal quotes from people much better qualified than you. ... who are completely unbiased, I presume. Or the same people you read about for knowledge on fascism? Again: we need official documents, executive orders, military protocols. Talking about the future as in statehood is not the same as talking about killing off Gazans. Something like a United Nations investigation? The developments in this report lead the Special Committee to conclude that the policies and practices of Israel during the reporting period are consistent with the characteristics of genocide. SourceThat's from September last year. No wonder your not seeing genocide when your burden of proof is nothing short of a hand written note from Netanyahu saying "yes I am committing genocide" My burden of proof is in line with international law. The UN's special committee and Amnesty International's interpretation appears to prioritize humanitarian outcome over legal thresholds, particularly with respect to intent. If you disagree with me, can you explain the difference between a war crime and genocide? Can you further explain why your report or the genocide report of Amnesty did not once write about the facts that significantly weaken the case for INTENTIONAL mass extermination - genocide - as opposed to collateral harm within complex military context? - The CTS rate - The massive, unprecedented warning towards civilians via pamplehts, TV and radio-broadcasts, SMS, speaker announcement etc. - That Israel delayed the ground offensive to give the civilians time to prepare, which endangered their own troops as Hamas could prepare as well - Delivering electricity and water to this hostile neighbour Or are you able to come up with an explanation how genocide is concluded without any proof of intent to kill the Gazans in whole or in part? How that is the most important thing to define the world's most extreme crime and how it was present in all genocide-classified situations in the past? Do you accept that the Gazan Ministry of Health, which your article and the AI one, used numbers by the Gazan MoH which were inflated by 3.5k deaths ( https://www.euronews.com/2025/04/03/hamas-run-health-ministry-quietly-removes-thousands-from-gaza-death-toll-researchers-find )? That many of the deaths that are still listed, have been documented via the same procedure? The article claims that "over 90 per cent of the Gaza population was estimated to face high levels of acute food insecurity by the end of 2023, with 40 per cent at emergency levels and over 15 per cent at catastrophe levels". At level 4, the mortality risk begins to rise, yet even though the article says that "no further crossings were opened until March" no widespread deaths of starvation occured, even until now. Meaning that despite level 4-5 famine risk classifications by IPC, actual deaths from starvation did not materialize at the expected scale, which raises legitimate questions about the calibration and credibility of the assessments. Now how could all of these things come togehter? Do you know which countries composed the special committee that produced the article? How these countries voted in the past on Israel-related resolutions? How - if any - diplomatic relations of these countries tend to be in the middle eastern conflict? As I said in my longer response: None of this is simple. Genocide is not people getting killed at pretty good CTS-rates for such a complicated war zone, only because a couple of politiians said bad things. We need die-hard proof: Leaked military memos, tape recordings of direct orders or executions (kill all male Gazans), military logistics, internal governmental protocols ("Final solution for the Jewish question"), executive orders, industrial complexes for extermination, mass testimonies to eliminate, forced sterilisation, enforced birth controls... we have none of that for the Gazan conflict, but several facts that weaken the genocide claim, as mentioned above. Genocide is a uniquely heinous crime that demands burden of proof we reserve for only the most extreme, systematically documented cases. In Gaza this standard has not been met. Not in evidence, not in planning and - as far as I'm concerned up until now - not in intent. So if you're making a legal claim, you need to prove genocidal intent through concrete evidence, not inferred outcomes. If it is a moral claim, then say so. But don't conflate this tragedy with genocide unless you can show - like it has been the case in any other recognized genocide unter international law - deliberate intent to exterminate. Bruh. The UN isn't "authority". They're strictly more knowledgeable than you on the matter of genocide. I simply refer to my answer addressed at Gorsameth, bruh (and yes, you are making an appeal to authority, instead of addressing my arguments) TLDR: The committee isn't neutral, it didn't analyze facts speaking against genocode and most importantly made no legal case for genocide in the sense of proving intent, which is the defining characteristic.
The UN is not the only institution that has determined either full-blown genocide or a quasi genocide. You're in the wrong here. You can reasonably argue we "only" reached 80% genocide, but you can absolutely not reasonably argue against that 80%
Your defiance is entirely based on your pro-Israel bias, not based on facts.
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The Dutch paper reviewed 25 recent academic articles published in the Journal of Genocide Research, the field’s leading journal, and found that “all eight academics from the field of genocide studies see genocide or at least genocidal violence in Gaza”.
More experts are joining the ranks. More information about the war in Gaza leads to more genocide accusations (never the other way around).
“Contrary to public opinion, leading genocide researchers are surprisingly unanimous: the Netanyahu government, they say, is in that process - according to the majority, even in its final stages,” the investigation concluded. “That is why most (*!) researchers no longer speak only of 'genocidal violence', but of 'genocide'.”
It took only ONE WEEK for 57 children to die of malnutrition caused entirely by Israel's genocidal intent - not just by the war itself. These would be entirely preventable deaths IF and ONLY IF Israel were in fact NOT on a genocidal campaign.
The World Health Organisation reported this week that 57 children have died of malnutrition since Israel's total ban on humanitarian aid, in effect since 2 March.
Researchers are finally coming around to the idea that Israel is committing genocide (in my opinion a very late conclusion, but better late than never).
The report noted that even researchers who had previously hesitated to use the term have since changed their position, such as Shmuel Lederman of the Open University of Israel.
It also referred to the opinion of Canadian international law scholar William Schabas that Israel is committing genocide, although he is considered otherwise conservative with respect to genocide labelling.
In an interview with Middle East Eye last month, Schabas said Israel's campaign in Gaza was "absolutely" a genocide.
Israel's intent is clear not only from their publicly known speech, but also from their open refusal to follow humanitarian efforts, and instead actively endangering Gazans and very deliberately depriving them of safe zones, nutrition, medical aid and otherwise.
Israel’s inaction following the January 2024 interim ruling by the International Court of Justice (ICJ) was a decisive factor in leading many scholars to conclude that its conduct in Gaza amounts to genocide, NRC reported.
Lederman initially opposed the use of the genocide label. However, following Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu’s dismissal of the ICJ’s ruling, the continued closure of land crossings to Gaza and a letter by 99 US health workers stating that the death toll in Gaza exceeded 100,000, he was convinced that Israel’s actions do in fact constitute genocide.
https://www.middleeasteye.net/news/top-genocide-scholars-unanimous-israel-committing-genocide-gaza-investigation-finds
At this point ignorance of the genocide in Gaza is akin to ignorance of the Holocaust. There is no excuse for this denial anymore.
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This was posted on an official Israeli Twitter account on June 11 in 2024.
In an open letter published in October 2023, scholars wrote that Israeli officials' statements since 7 October indicate intent to commit genocide.[253] On 11 June 2024, the official Israeli X account tweeted that "Gazan civilians participated in the horrific events of October 7", later citing a statement that "there are no innocent civilians there".
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Gaza_genocide
In the video accompanying the statement, former captive Mia Shem is heard saying, "There are no innocent civilians there" - a quote that is repeated in bold font in the video's captions.
https://www.middleeasteye.net/news/israel-gaza-social-media-account-no-innocent-civilians
This is not a rare admission of Israel's genocidal intent, it's only one of many examples. Other people have posted various other examples in this thread.
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So we are in now the 'everybody won' phase. It's hard to imagine any workable agreement with Iran after this. I'd say next round is just a question of time.
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