Coronavirus and You - Page 90

On March 30 2020 03:12 Gorsameth wrote:
The fact that hasn't been suspended during this crisis is mind boggling.

On March 30 2020 07:01 Emnjay808 wrote:
...some people take advantage of the system at the cost of other honest-living people

On March 30 2020 07:16 Emnjay808 wrote:
That’s besides the point, people are scum.

On March 30 2020 05:33 Nakajin wrote:
Number of reported cases falling in Spain/Italy could just be their health systems testing less people for various reason (people not wanting to go out, health systems priority changing, lack of personnel/meltdown of the chain of organisation.

On March 30 2020 08:37 LegalLord wrote:

You linked an article that largely concluded that there's not likely to be much seasonality in this particular context as evidence that summer will cause it to dissipate? Because that's largely the conclusions it comes to, despite talking some about the virus's vulnerability to warmer temperatures. And, as a real world example: seems like there's plenty of virus to go around in the southern hemisphere and in places known for very warm temperatures as well. Iran, Israel, Brazil, Chile, South Africa, and Australia all certainly seem like they're getting their fair share of the virus despite having little resembling winter weather this time of year.

Frankly it seems like the best correlation to infection has been the density of air travel, which in fairness the article does point out as a key factor in its analysis.

Stopping contact between people should also bring down the infection rates. This is exactly what many governments have been attempting to do with the escalating lockdown of public places around the world.

On March 30 2020 07:41 warding wrote:

Actually the number of tests has been up in Italy in the last few days, so it is indeed good news. Also, deaths were significantly down today vs the peak two days ago.

Portugal also has been ramping up tests and the curve seems to be bending. The scary thing about small countries is that if way bigger countries like Italy start having serious shortages in hospital capacity at 10k cases, I can't imagine how we would fare. So far its looking like we might avoid that fate.

On March 30 2020 09:00 SC-Shield wrote:


You might be right, but the article also says:



So far I don't see infections declining despite lockdown. Why is that? The only possible explanation I have is asymptomatic people or people not following quarantine. It's been 2 weeks (!) on lockdown here and infections don't stop.



I have a friend who's lived in Italy for more than 10 years. She says healthcare has been underfunded for years.

Edit: Also, here's an interesting thing that I've heard from head of Bulgarian coronavirus task force. He says that Spain messed up big time to buy quick tests (they cost millions allegedly) because they're only right about 30% of the time. He says that these tests are only good to be used after outbreak to see how many of the population have been infected. He seems to believe in other type of tests, which are slower but more reliable. I'm not sure how that type of test could be translated. He also says that he thinks a quick test with high confidence rate will be developed, but there isn't one at the moment.

And here's how we're doing at the moment: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2020_coronavirus_pandemic_in_Bulgaria

Edit 2: I think patient 0 might never be found because that person could be asymptomatic. How can you find such a person...