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US Politics Mega-thread - Page 898

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Now that we have a new thread, in order to ensure that this thread continues to meet TL standards and follows the proper guidelines, we will be enforcing the rules in the OP more strictly. Be sure to give them a complete and thorough read before posting!

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If you have any questions, comments, concern, or feedback regarding the USPMT, then please use this thread: http://www.teamliquid.net/forum/website-feedback/510156-us-politics-thread
plasmidghost
Profile Blog Joined April 2011
Belgium16168 Posts
November 06 2018 20:28 GMT
#17941
On November 07 2018 04:58 Plansix wrote:
I think it going to be tough to find exit polls this early. They don’t release them for any race until the polls close.

Ah, that's right, I had forgotten about that. Looks like I've got ~4.5 hours left of nervous anticipation
Yugoslavia will always live on in my heart
ReditusSum
Profile Joined September 2018
79 Posts
Last Edited: 2018-11-06 20:36:55
November 06 2018 20:35 GMT
#17942
On November 06 2018 21:40 farvacola wrote:
Further, the idea that technology and progress has separated people from one another is literally a bunch of loaded bullshit.

Then why do studies show a rise in social isolation whilst simultaneously showing no significant rise in loneliness?

The easiest answer is that while the apps, games, chatrooms, etc. are all connecting people and fulfilling the one side of social interaction (mitigating loneliness), they are not fulfilling the other side of social interaction, which is physically connecting with other people in common social structures with common social goals. I'm not only talking about Sunday BBQ and sandlot-baseball. Those things are good, and part of the overall idea, but they are over-emphasized when we're talking about the actual fundamentals, which is why I wasn't talking about 1950s nostalgia but specifically said "Church and Town" which goes back much, much further than 1950s. More like 1250.

Which is not to say that we should go back to 1250 or that the medieval man didn't have his own problems, just that a sense of "where do I fit into the world?" did not exist and thus was not a problem. And for most of human history, this was true. Say what you want about the caste system, but one of the primary benefits of the caste system is that you always know where you fit into the world and your specific place in society. As we move away from those systems and into the Enlightenment era of democratization we began very slowly stripping away all of those social markers that defined people for the vast, vast majority of our history. Now we've reached a point unimaginable to any previous generations in that a person has basically full control over every aspect of their social life, down to the most minute details.

Is this good? Sure. Is this bad? Sure. It's different. It has its upsides and its downsides.
Plansix
Profile Blog Joined April 2011
United States60190 Posts
Last Edited: 2018-11-06 20:41:56
November 06 2018 20:41 GMT
#17943
I think the recent rise of smart phones and ever present social media is the largest factor. Technology itself has is not bad. The nightmare rectangle filled with social platforms be specifically designed to encourage addictive behaviors has proven to be something people are not prepared for. But that has little to do with the "Town and Church" nonsense.
I have the Honor to be your Obedient Servant, P.6
TL+ Member
plasmidghost
Profile Blog Joined April 2011
Belgium16168 Posts
November 06 2018 21:21 GMT
#17944
Honestly, I would give up Dems controlling the House if it meant that Ted Cruz lost tonight. He's a man of no integrity, and how can I expect someone who bowed down to the person that called him a liar, said his dad helped assassinate JFK, and called his wife ugly to stand up for Texas?
Yugoslavia will always live on in my heart
ZerOCoolSC2
Profile Blog Joined February 2015
9025 Posts
November 06 2018 21:26 GMT
#17945
Went to vote. Waited 45 minutes because of some note on my record. Find out I can't vote or do provisional because I haven't registered since '12. So, yeah. I don't really care about this state tbh, was just gonna vote on the marijuana props anyway.
JimmiC
Profile Blog Joined May 2011
Canada22817 Posts
November 06 2018 21:31 GMT
#17946
--- Nuked ---
Kyadytim
Profile Joined March 2009
United States886 Posts
November 06 2018 21:59 GMT
#17947
On November 07 2018 05:35 ReditusSum wrote:
Show nested quote +
On November 06 2018 21:40 farvacola wrote:
Further, the idea that technology and progress has separated people from one another is literally a bunch of loaded bullshit.

Then why do studies show a rise in social isolation whilst simultaneously showing no significant rise in loneliness?

The easiest answer is that while the apps, games, chatrooms, etc. are all connecting people and fulfilling the one side of social interaction (mitigating loneliness), they are not fulfilling the other side of social interaction, which is physically connecting with other people in common social structures with common social goals. I'm not only talking about Sunday BBQ and sandlot-baseball. Those things are good, and part of the overall idea, but they are over-emphasized when we're talking about the actual fundamentals, which is why I wasn't talking about 1950s nostalgia but specifically said "Church and Town" which goes back much, much further than 1950s. More like 1250.

Which is not to say that we should go back to 1250 or that the medieval man didn't have his own problems, just that a sense of "where do I fit into the world?" did not exist and thus was not a problem. And for most of human history, this was true. Say what you want about the caste system, but one of the primary benefits of the caste system is that you always know where you fit into the world and your specific place in society. As we move away from those systems and into the Enlightenment era of democratization we began very slowly stripping away all of those social markers that defined people for the vast, vast majority of our history. Now we've reached a point unimaginable to any previous generations in that a person has basically full control over every aspect of their social life, down to the most minute details.

Is this good? Sure. Is this bad? Sure. It's different. It has its upsides and its downsides.

First off, facebook is terrible for humans because we engage in comparative analysis, and most people present themselves on facebook as happier and more successful than they actually are.

Anyway, for hundreds of years in Europe, society was terribly, brutally unequal. People had no rights, were taxed based on the local lord's whims, could be drafted for wars they didn't care about and had no say in... and all of this was largely justified by everyone knowing their place in the world, as told to them by the Church and those with secular power.

The lack of people questioning their place in the world was in itself a problem.
JimmiC
Profile Blog Joined May 2011
Canada22817 Posts
November 06 2018 22:15 GMT
#17948
--- Nuked ---
Liquid`Drone
Profile Joined September 2002
Norway28743 Posts
November 06 2018 22:32 GMT
#17949
seeing the first exit polls, this looks good for democrats.

opinion of republican party : 43% favorable, 54% unfavorable
democrat : 50% favorable, 46% unfavorable
Moderator
TheTenthDoc
Profile Blog Joined February 2011
United States9561 Posts
Last Edited: 2018-11-06 22:41:18
November 06 2018 22:38 GMT
#17950
Huh, slightly worse than the generic ballot numbers. Considering the Dems need something like +7 or +8 to take the House if those numbers pan out it would come down to the wire.

That said early voting numbers and exit polls are like tea leaves, to be read with extreme caution and knowing they tell you more about your own perceptions than anything else.
plasmidghost
Profile Blog Joined April 2011
Belgium16168 Posts
November 06 2018 22:38 GMT
#17951
On November 07 2018 07:32 Liquid`Drone wrote:
seeing the first exit polls, this looks good for democrats.

opinion of republican party : 43% favorable, 54% unfavorable
democrat : 50% favorable, 46% unfavorable

That's good news, hope that translates over to the Senate races, although I'm not holding my breath for Dems to get control
Yugoslavia will always live on in my heart
Adreme
Profile Joined June 2011
United States5574 Posts
November 06 2018 22:40 GMT
#17952
I think Nevada Senate goes D. As for others its hard to say but polls tend to underestimate Dems in Nevada everytime for the past decade.
Dangermousecatdog
Profile Joined December 2010
United Kingdom7084 Posts
Last Edited: 2018-11-06 22:50:58
November 06 2018 22:45 GMT
#17953
On November 07 2018 05:35 ReditusSum wrote:
Show nested quote +
On November 06 2018 21:40 farvacola wrote:
Further, the idea that technology and progress has separated people from one another is literally a bunch of loaded bullshit.

Then why do studies show a rise in social isolation whilst simultaneously showing no significant rise in loneliness?

The easiest answer is that while the apps, games, chatrooms, etc. are all connecting people and fulfilling the one side of social interaction (mitigating loneliness), they are not fulfilling the other side of social interaction, which is physically connecting with other people in common social structures with common social goals. I'm not only talking about Sunday BBQ and sandlot-baseball. Those things are good, and part of the overall idea, but they are over-emphasized when we're talking about the actual fundamentals, which is why I wasn't talking about 1950s nostalgia but specifically said "Church and Town" which goes back much, much further than 1950s. More like 1250.

Which is not to say that we should go back to 1250 or that the medieval man didn't have his own problems, just that a sense of "where do I fit into the world?" did not exist and thus was not a problem. And for most of human history, this was true. Say what you want about the caste system, but one of the primary benefits of the caste system is that you always know where you fit into the world and your specific place in society. As we move away from those systems and into the Enlightenment era of democratization we began very slowly stripping away all of those social markers that defined people for the vast, vast majority of our history. Now we've reached a point unimaginable to any previous generations in that a person has basically full control over every aspect of their social life, down to the most minute details.

Is this good? Sure. Is this bad? Sure. It's different. It has its upsides and its downsides.

I'm having a hard time taking you seriously when 1250 medieval Europe was brutally violent and 90% of people knew where they fit...as basically slaves, stuck to the land they were born on, needing permission from their master and lord to marry, at the mercy of roaming bandits and mercenaries, till they were called up to a levy during one of the incessant high level conflicts endemic to the time and era, where they will probably die to disease and run away in battle to become said mercenaries and bandits in a foreign area. I'm sure they didn't think of themselves as slaves, but that's because that's what the social religious system ensures - that the peasants are content to be slaves; the chains are in their minds, not on their ankles.

Also around 1250s Europe was in the middle of a war between the Holy Roman Empire and the Papacy on who was in a postion of power, that's right the most powerful nation state in Europe was fighting the Pope, the head of the Church, the Teutonic Knights were currently conquering the conquering the area now known as Poland, and there was several crusades getting rid of upstart peasants in Belgian/Dutch lands and various "heretics" in France, killing millions of "heretics" in Europe alone. Eastern European Kingdoms had converted to Christianity maybe 100 years before, Greece the so called place of the birth of democracy was being carved up by various kingdoms, and most of Spain were ruled by Muslim Kingdoms. Lets not forget that Orthodox Christians made up about 20% of Europes population and if you think Catholic Kingdoms were intolerent of them, wait till you see what they did to the local jewish populations. I'm sure they too knew their place and where the fit in society. Lets not even get started in the Hussite wars and the Wars of Religion and reformation, where people most certainly did know where they fit into the world and their specific place in society and killed their neighbours over it.

Maybe learn a little bit about history first before you make such comment?

I haven't even started on the rest of the world.
ShoCkeyy
Profile Blog Joined July 2008
7815 Posts
November 06 2018 22:46 GMT
#17954
https://floridaelectionwatch.gov/

If you're interested in live FL results. I personally am anxious, and have been anxious all day, but have a good feeling rather than a bad one, that wasn't the same feeling when watching the results for 2016.
Life?
Kyadytim
Profile Joined March 2009
United States886 Posts
November 06 2018 22:56 GMT
#17955
On November 07 2018 07:15 JimmiC wrote:
Show nested quote +
On November 07 2018 06:59 Kyadytim wrote:
On November 07 2018 05:35 ReditusSum wrote:
On November 06 2018 21:40 farvacola wrote:
Further, the idea that technology and progress has separated people from one another is literally a bunch of loaded bullshit.

Then why do studies show a rise in social isolation whilst simultaneously showing no significant rise in loneliness?

The easiest answer is that while the apps, games, chatrooms, etc. are all connecting people and fulfilling the one side of social interaction (mitigating loneliness), they are not fulfilling the other side of social interaction, which is physically connecting with other people in common social structures with common social goals. I'm not only talking about Sunday BBQ and sandlot-baseball. Those things are good, and part of the overall idea, but they are over-emphasized when we're talking about the actual fundamentals, which is why I wasn't talking about 1950s nostalgia but specifically said "Church and Town" which goes back much, much further than 1950s. More like 1250.

Which is not to say that we should go back to 1250 or that the medieval man didn't have his own problems, just that a sense of "where do I fit into the world?" did not exist and thus was not a problem. And for most of human history, this was true. Say what you want about the caste system, but one of the primary benefits of the caste system is that you always know where you fit into the world and your specific place in society. As we move away from those systems and into the Enlightenment era of democratization we began very slowly stripping away all of those social markers that defined people for the vast, vast majority of our history. Now we've reached a point unimaginable to any previous generations in that a person has basically full control over every aspect of their social life, down to the most minute details.

Is this good? Sure. Is this bad? Sure. It's different. It has its upsides and its downsides.

First off, facebook is terrible for humans because we engage in comparative analysis, and most people present themselves on facebook as happier and more successful than they actually are.

Anyway, for hundreds of years in Europe, society was terribly, brutally unequal. People had no rights, were taxed based on the local lord's whims, could be drafted for wars they didn't care about and had no say in... and all of this was largely justified by everyone knowing their place in the world, as told to them by the Church and those with secular power.

The lack of people questioning their place in the world was in itself a problem.


Yes I think people questioning their place in the world is more or less a luxury problem, in the sense that previously in history people only had time worry about how they were going to get food, or survive bad weather, or survive bandits or wars or what have you.
I don't disagree, but this was the point I was trying to make, in made in more detail:
On November 07 2018 07:45 Dangermousecatdog wrote:I'm having a hard time taking you seriously when 1250 medieval Europe was brutally violent and 90% of people knew where they fit...as basically slaves, stuck to the land they were born on, needing permission from their master and lord to marry, at the mercy of roaming bandits and mercenaries, till they were called up to a levy during one of the incessant high level conflicts endemic to the time and era, where they will probably die to disease and run away in battle to become said mercenaries and bandits in a foreign area. I'm sure they didn't think of themselves as slaves, but that's because that's what the social religious system ensures - that the peasants are content to be slaves; the chains are in their minds, not on their ankles.
JimmiC
Profile Blog Joined May 2011
Canada22817 Posts
November 06 2018 23:10 GMT
#17956
--- Nuked ---
plasmidghost
Profile Blog Joined April 2011
Belgium16168 Posts
November 06 2018 23:13 GMT
#17957
I wonder how many people's votes were directly influenced by the Kavanaugh debacle. Has any pollster asked that question?
Yugoslavia will always live on in my heart
Plansix
Profile Blog Joined April 2011
United States60190 Posts
Last Edited: 2018-11-06 23:16:54
November 06 2018 23:16 GMT
#17958
The moral of the story is read more history books and don’t fall prey to romanticizing the past. But most study history.
I have the Honor to be your Obedient Servant, P.6
TL+ Member
Orome
Profile Blog Joined June 2004
Switzerland11984 Posts
November 06 2018 23:27 GMT
#17959
On November 07 2018 08:13 plasmidghost wrote:
I wonder how many people's votes were directly influenced by the Kavanaugh debacle. Has any pollster asked that question?


Who do you feel it was a debacle for in the public's opinion?
On a purely personal note, I'd like to show Yellow the beauty of infinitely repeating Starcraft 2 bunkers. -Boxer
Belisarius
Profile Joined November 2010
Australia6233 Posts
Last Edited: 2018-11-06 23:39:28
November 06 2018 23:32 GMT
#17960
I mean, it's not unreasonable to say that some 1950s rural small-town society keeps tabs on people more strongly than an apartment complex in a big city in 2018. But it's not better, they just have different issues.

Crowd anonymity and social media make it much easier for people in cities to self-select and segregate the people they engage with. This isn't news, everyone know this. The supermarket cashier I ream out or the guy I cut off on the freeway aren't going to show up in my discord, or even the facebook group I use to organise playdates for my kids. Odds are, neither are any of the people who saw me do it.

In the small town, that's obviously not the case. People will hear this or that about what happened, and if I go all the way and start wandering around in a white hood, everyone will know. That keeps a lid on certain types of issues. However, it's a long way from perfect, so idolising that isn't helpful either. The church-and-town model gives way too much power to curtain-twitching, gossip and vigilantism, and the pendulum swings back against the harmless but slightly weird dude who would pass unnoticed in a city crowd. Pick your poison.

Things jumped the shark when 1250 came into it, but the discussion was about extremism originally, and the idea that youth extremism is harder to breed in small communities is quite reasonable. There's just a price to that.
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