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Toadesstern

Germany16350 Posts

November 07 2018 01:29 GMT

#17981

yeah 538 is fluctuating but going from a 90% down to a 50/50 (more or less) is quite something

Adreme

United States5574 Posts

November 07 2018 01:32 GMT

#17982

They explained why. In FL a bunch of red seats stayed red and Dems haven't had chance to do same so system is overcompensating

micronesia

United States24740 Posts

November 07 2018 01:33 GMT

#17983

Yeah I would ignore all that forecasting for now. I'm sticking to keeping an eye on results which only show called races, and it's much less frustrating.

plasmidghost

Belgium16168 Posts

November 07 2018 01:46 GMT

#17984

I'm following the CNN tracking and having O'Rourke with a decent lead without Houston or El Paso reporting is a good sign to me
I know El Paso is still voting so it may be a bit before they report

farvacola

United States18839 Posts

November 07 2018 01:47 GMT

#17985

Sherrod Brown held onto his Ohio Senate seat handily, though Renacci was a long shot to begin with.

Edit: Looks like Menendez holds onto his NJ Senate seat as well.

Zambrah

United States7384 Posts

November 07 2018 01:49 GMT

#17986

Cruz vs. O'Rourke is looking relatively tight, which is a good sign.

https://www.nytimes.com/elections/results/texas-senate?smid=fb-nytimes&smtyp=cur&fbclid=IwAR2javHA6tSKQsLR0Rua_QP_dbBvbjvqB6cDZV0Excc4D8SNhul31boxdss

Im not really familiar with how much of TX is blue or red, but I get the feeling from the look of the map that Cruz will probably take it in the end.

Oo, and my district in VA has Spanberger up by 0.2 I hope she gets through. :X

LuckyFool

United States9015 Posts

November 07 2018 01:49 GMT

#17987

Feeling a lot like that Tuesday night in 2016 suddenly...looks like it’s going to be a grind for the Democrats at this point. If they don’t at least win the House in such favorable conditions yeesh.

Mohdoo

United States15725 Posts

November 07 2018 01:51 GMT

#17988

Donneley should have voted for Kavanaugh.

Zambrah

United States7384 Posts

November 07 2018 01:53 GMT

#17989

Corey Stewart got bodied, I feel good.

Mohdoo

United States15725 Posts

November 07 2018 02:07 GMT

#17990

I'm thinking we aren't taking the house. Oh god.

DarkPlasmaBall

United States45049 Posts

November 07 2018 02:09 GMT

#17991

So far, my fellow New Jerseyans are pulling through with Menendez over Hugin with 25% of the votes counted so far (I just keep clicking refresh on https://search.yahoo.com/search?ei=utf-8&fr=tightropetb&p=nj senate race results&type=107415_030818 ).

LuckyFool

United States9015 Posts

November 07 2018 02:11 GMT

#17992

Manchin’s Kavanaugh vote looking pretty smart right now, winning in deep Trump territory is big

plasmidghost

Belgium16168 Posts

November 07 2018 02:11 GMT

#17993

Not looking good for O'Rourke, I'm getting pretty nervous

darthfoley

United States8004 Posts

November 07 2018 02:12 GMT

#17994

On November 07 2018 11:11 plasmidghost wrote:
Not looking good for O'Rourke, I'm getting pretty nervous

It was pretty unlikely that O'Rourke was going to win

On_Slaught

United States12190 Posts

November 07 2018 02:13 GMT

#17995

I'm pretty apathetic at this point. If the Dems cant even win the house in these conditions then America really has made its choice and we deserve everything coming our way, as fucked up as that is. Still, the night is young. 538 has switched back to projecting the Dems take the house, even if slightly.

Edit: Grats to Manchin. Also, sad that Cruz will likely stay. I know it was unlikely he'd lose but I got my hopes up.

Zambrah

United States7384 Posts

November 07 2018 02:13 GMT

#17996

where are you guys keeping tabs on this, the NY Times feels behind