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US Politics Mega-thread - Page 5059

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Now that we have a new thread, in order to ensure that this thread continues to meet TL standards and follows the proper guidelines, we will be enforcing the rules in the OP more strictly. Be sure to give them a complete and thorough read before posting!

NOTE: When providing a source, please provide a very brief summary on what it's about and what purpose it adds to the discussion. The supporting statement should clearly explain why the subject is relevant and needs to be discussed. Please follow this rule especially for tweets.

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If you have any questions, comments, concern, or feedback regarding the USPMT, then please use this thread: http://www.teamliquid.net/forum/website-feedback/510156-us-politics-thread
Sadist
Profile Blog Joined October 2002
United States7291 Posts
June 24 2025 21:04 GMT
#101161
I wonder how much longer itll be until we get politicians regularly swearing on TV after Trumps "Fuck". Tbh I would kind of be for it. There are plenty of times it would be great if people could be asked "what the fuck are you talking about" or "that word salad didnt mean a fucking thing".

Truly wild times.
How do you go from where you are to where you want to be? I think you have to have an enthusiasm for life. You have to have a dream, a goal and you have to be willing to work for it. Jim Valvano
Mohdoo
Profile Joined August 2007
United States15725 Posts
June 24 2025 21:05 GMT
#101162
As this situation has evolved the last 2 weeks, I find myself sitting here wondering if a more direct solution would be to help normalize relationships with Iran. This might sound silly, but my feeling is that a ceasefire is less likely to work than full-ass normalization and "actual peace".

Maybe I am missing something, but I feel like Israel vs Iran is purely a result of momentum. If both Israel and Iran completely stopped all military stuff against each other, there would be no problem. Like Kwark described before, they have no physical reason to be at war. They don't compete against each other for anything. They could ignore each other and nothing would go wrong for either of them.
LightSpectra
Profile Blog Joined October 2011
United States1879 Posts
June 24 2025 21:16 GMT
#101163
They need each other to be threats to support their authoritarian domestic policies.

So long as polls go up when there's war, there will always be war.
2006 Shinhan Bank OSL Season 3 was the greatest tournament of all time
Jankisa
Profile Blog Joined October 2010
Croatia910 Posts
June 24 2025 21:20 GMT
#101164
Well, blessed be the peacemaker, this episode seems to be winding down, I for one am happy to be wrong in thinking it's going to be much, much worse, it still could, but so far it's looking to be calming down.

Really curious what happens in Gaza next, Nethyanahu's running out of enemies to attack and the wagons are circling.
So, are you a pessimist? - On my better days. Are you a nihilist? - Not as much as I should be.
KwarK
Profile Blog Joined July 2006
United States43247 Posts
Last Edited: 2025-06-24 22:01:16
June 24 2025 21:54 GMT
#101165
War with Israel is a critical pillar of Iran’s candidate platform for leadership of the Muslim world. And they have the unique advantage of not having a border with Israel which makes war much safer for them than their rivals. It’s not going anywhere, they’re choosing that one.

Rivalry with the US is the problem because they didn’t especially choose that one and the US doesn’t need a land border to have a proper war with someone. To deter the US they really need a nuke but they can’t have a nuke and lock it in a way that makes Israel feel comfortable. A defensive weapon vs the US is an unacceptable offensive weapon vs Israel and so they’re basically stuck in a bind.
ModeratorThe angels have the phone box
Mohdoo
Profile Joined August 2007
United States15725 Posts
June 24 2025 22:11 GMT
#101166
On June 25 2025 06:54 KwarK wrote:
War with Israel is a critical pillar of Iran’s candidate platform for leadership of the Muslim world. And they have the unique advantage of not having a border with Israel which makes war much safer for them than their rivals. It’s not going anywhere, they’re choosing that one.


I honestly hoped losing their airspace for a week and all the various chaos would be enough for Iran to just kinda give up on that. Who knows, maybe they are slowly giving up on it in a face-saving way. It is frustrating to me that they truly have no path to being the empire they see themselves as, yet they continue on like its their god-granted title.
micronesia
Profile Blog Joined July 2006
United States24741 Posts
June 24 2025 22:15 GMT
#101167
Mohdoo, try thinking of a belief you have... one of the core tenets of your existence. More than just about anything else, this belief is what's important to you, and nobody can talk you out of it.

I'll wait while you think of what it is.

Okay I'm done waiting.

Will you suddenly pull a 180 on it because I seized your airspace for a week?
ModeratorThere are animal crackers for people and there are people crackers for animals.
Mohdoo
Profile Joined August 2007
United States15725 Posts
June 24 2025 22:23 GMT
#101168
On June 25 2025 07:15 micronesia wrote:
Mohdoo, try thinking of a belief you have... one of the core tenets of your existence. More than just about anything else, this belief is what's important to you, and nobody can talk you out of it.

I'll wait while you think of what it is.

Okay I'm done waiting.

Will you suddenly pull a 180 on it because I seized your airspace for a week?


I'm probably not the best person to use this thought experiment on since I generally don't have any principles I would risk anything for other than "I want my family to continue to be alive and be happy". But your point makes sense. It is a sad and dumb situation. Bah humbug.
LightSpectra
Profile Blog Joined October 2011
United States1879 Posts
Last Edited: 2025-06-24 22:24:22
June 24 2025 22:23 GMT
#101169
On June 25 2025 07:11 Mohdoo wrote:
Show nested quote +
On June 25 2025 06:54 KwarK wrote:
War with Israel is a critical pillar of Iran’s candidate platform for leadership of the Muslim world. And they have the unique advantage of not having a border with Israel which makes war much safer for them than their rivals. It’s not going anywhere, they’re choosing that one.


I honestly hoped losing their airspace for a week and all the various chaos would be enough for Iran to just kinda give up on that. Who knows, maybe they are slowly giving up on it in a face-saving way. It is frustrating to me that they truly have no path to being the empire they see themselves as, yet they continue on like its their god-granted title.


By "God-granted" you mean "they saw how the U.S. fucks with countries without nukes like they're entitled to and they don't want that to happen to them", surely.

Obama gave them a way out of that conundrum, but he unfortunately had the audacity to be president while black, so Trump tore up that deal.
2006 Shinhan Bank OSL Season 3 was the greatest tournament of all time
Sermokala
Profile Blog Joined November 2010
United States14047 Posts
Last Edited: 2025-06-24 23:25:51
June 24 2025 23:20 GMT
#101170
On June 25 2025 02:33 Mohdoo wrote:
Show nested quote +
On June 25 2025 02:13 KwarK wrote:
On June 24 2025 22:49 Mohdoo wrote:

Its a huge breath of fresh air seeing this kinda actually candid answer. Not the "he says it like it is, because he said racist things and I like that". But actually saying it like it is. Iran and Israel are a couple of degenerate idiots and they are so lost in this conflict they have lost themselves entirely.

It literally started within living memory though. His living memory. This whole “nobody even remembers why they’re fighting” thing is nonsense. Trump is old as fuck, he should remember this.


England and France had plenty of disagreements between the beginning of time and modern day. They are ok now. There isn't any real reason for England and France to have closer diplomatic ties than Israel and Iran. Maybe Trump is just having one of his usual cognitive episodes. But either way its still true. Iran and Israel continuing to have military conflict is extremely distasteful and unbecoming. They are 2 drunk frat girls screaming and pulling each other's hair in a bathroom while people in the next room are trying to have a conversation.

Much of England and Frances issues with each other over the history could very charitably be described as two drunk frat girls screaming and pulling on each others hair. The bigger difference is that they both chopped the heads off the people who followed in the line of those people.

Both nations are in a very messy state that neither chose to be in without massive influence by the west. Much like why lincoln was a shitty president the only thing worse than being a tyrant is being a half measure tyrant. Failing to destroy Irans nuclear program is simply another half measure to solve the problem.
A wise man will say that he knows nothing. We're gona party like its 2752 Hail Dark Brandon
LightSpectra
Profile Blog Joined October 2011
United States1879 Posts
June 24 2025 23:43 GMT
#101171
Lincoln was such a tyrant, people were practically enslaved under him.
2006 Shinhan Bank OSL Season 3 was the greatest tournament of all time
Billyboy
Profile Joined September 2024
1266 Posts
June 25 2025 00:00 GMT
#101172
On June 25 2025 04:32 LightSpectra wrote:
CNN: Early US intel assessment suggests strikes on Iran did not destroy nuclear sites, sources say

Times of Israel: Israeli intel assesses that Iran’s nuclear program set back ‘several years,’ but not destroyed — official and Tehran will restore its nuclear program, Iranian atomic chief vows

Newsweek: Lindsey Graham says "I'm looking at regime change" in Iran

Anyone here still wanna defend war with Iran?

The intel we here is whatever they want us to here. That is why you can have Hegsmeth say obliterated a whole bunch and then some other source say not destroyed. It probably makes sense to keep somethings top secret not that I these are the people I would trust. And then the intel can be spun whatever way anyone wants. If Israel goes back, they can say point to this and say not destroyed, and people who disagree can say it was and quote the other.

This one, as far as wars go because they are all full of negatives, has been a good one. Mostly military hit, no chaos of regime change, lots of decision makers offed all who are almost certainly terrible humans, non military infrastructure mostly un harmed, Russia losing a lot of reputation both as a military contractor and ally, Iran much less able to spread instability and violence outside of there boarders.

Time will tell but this is no Gaza.
On June 25 2025 05:11 Gorsameth wrote:
Show nested quote +
On June 25 2025 04:56 oBlade wrote:
"Number one, I'm not advocating us invading Iran to take down the regime. I don't see American boots on the ground." - Lindsey Graham, Tuesday
https://www.foxnews.com/video/6374823720112 - play from 3:30

Senator Graham has not backstabbed Trump on this yet. He was twisting the question to use the phrase "regime change" as a form of wordplay, saying he wants the regime in Iran to change its behavior of mainly not wanting to kill all the Jews and being okay with Israel existing, which he repeated several times on that show or on Hannity where he also appeared Tuesday (give or take a day, my clock is off).

I definitely am fine with bombing them again in a few years if they continue down this road and get back to where they were last week. A minor thorn in the world's side, but it's manageable.

Bolton has actually been the one all over TV asking for regime change, but that's Bolton, and that's why his job is being on TV now.
The problem is that Iran has been shown that the only option they have is a nuke.
They are going to keep trying because nothing else will safeguard them from the next time an Israeli PM with falling ratings needs a war to divert attention.

There is a clear and way better option for all the Iranian people and even their leadership. Stay within the boarder and chill on the genocidal rhetoric, don't try to build a nuke. Basically just stop trying to be a super villain and just be a regular villain and they will be fine . They could be like SA, UAE, Qatar and so on, none of them are scared of being invaded and none have a nuke.

On June 25 2025 06:16 LightSpectra wrote:
They need each other to be threats to support their authoritarian domestic policies.

So long as polls go up when there's war, there will always be war.

I do not think Iran gives two shits about polls.

On June 25 2025 06:20 Jankisa wrote:
Well, blessed be the peacemaker, this episode seems to be winding down, I for one am happy to be wrong in thinking it's going to be much, much worse, it still could, but so far it's looking to be calming down.

Really curious what happens in Gaza next, Nethyanahu's running out of enemies to attack and the wagons are circling.

With Hamas likely being cut off from Iran's support it should take away the excuse/justification for the attacks. But long term I have no idea what happens, they have way to many people, no industry and no natural resources. They are going to need so much money to rebuild, and if they had infrastructure I still do not think they could support it internally given their location and demographics.




LightSpectra
Profile Blog Joined October 2011
United States1879 Posts
June 25 2025 00:08 GMT
#101173
Not literally polls in Iran, but their regime hangs on a lot longer if they make enough people more afraid of Israel and the U.S. than they hate the theocracy.
2006 Shinhan Bank OSL Season 3 was the greatest tournament of all time
Mohdoo
Profile Joined August 2007
United States15725 Posts
June 25 2025 00:13 GMT
#101174
Happy birthday LightSpectra!
LightSpectra
Profile Blog Joined October 2011
United States1879 Posts
June 25 2025 00:33 GMT
#101175
Thank you
2006 Shinhan Bank OSL Season 3 was the greatest tournament of all time
Severedevil
Profile Blog Joined April 2009
United States4839 Posts
June 25 2025 00:35 GMT
#101176
On June 25 2025 08:43 LightSpectra wrote:
Lincoln was such a tyrant, people were practically enslaved under him.

Yeah, Lincoln was the least tyrannical president of the first 16 presidents by an absurdly wide margin. He was the first one to free the slaves!
My strategy is to fork people.
ZerOCoolSC2
Profile Blog Joined February 2015
9005 Posts
June 25 2025 00:45 GMT
#101177
On June 25 2025 09:35 Severedevil wrote:
Show nested quote +
On June 25 2025 08:43 LightSpectra wrote:
Lincoln was such a tyrant, people were practically enslaved under him.

Yeah, Lincoln was the least tyrannical president of the first 16 presidents by an absurdly wide margin. He was the first one to free the slaves!

Who was the second? :p
Sermokala
Profile Blog Joined November 2010
United States14047 Posts
June 25 2025 00:52 GMT
#101178
Lincoln never freed the slaves and waited to make a toothless proclamation about it until after another bloody draw in order to secure his relection. He could have called up slaves to revolt against their masters and reward them with the land they work, he could have started military units staffed with former or current slaves promising land and citizenship in exchange for service to manage his manpower issues instead of drafting from new York.

The amendment never outlawed slavery it just solidified the institution in the state instead of in private hands. He never gave a shit about what would happen to the slaves after they were freed and never gave truth to the order of 40 acres and a mule. The way to break the south forever would be to create a class of people who were militantly against what the confederacy was about. Black militias In the south armed with the castoffs from demonilized units after the war would have solved the nation's ills.

A wise man will say that he knows nothing. We're gona party like its 2752 Hail Dark Brandon
Billyboy
Profile Joined September 2024
1266 Posts
June 25 2025 00:57 GMT
#101179
On June 25 2025 09:08 LightSpectra wrote:
Not literally polls in Iran, but their regime hangs on a lot longer if they make enough people more afraid of Israel and the U.S. than they hate the theocracy.

The other dictorship's seem to be holding onto to power, getting richer, not under threat of attack or sanctions all without that. To me it looks a blunder not a wise strategy.
KwarK
Profile Blog Joined July 2006
United States43247 Posts
June 25 2025 01:05 GMT
#101180
On June 25 2025 09:52 Sermokala wrote:
Lincoln never freed the slaves and waited to make a toothless proclamation about it until after another bloody draw in order to secure his relection. He could have called up slaves to revolt against their masters and reward them with the land they work, he could have started military units staffed with former or current slaves promising land and citizenship in exchange for service to manage his manpower issues instead of drafting from new York.

The amendment never outlawed slavery it just solidified the institution in the state instead of in private hands. He never gave a shit about what would happen to the slaves after they were freed and never gave truth to the order of 40 acres and a mule. The way to break the south forever would be to create a class of people who were militantly against what the confederacy was about. Black militias In the south armed with the castoffs from demonilized units after the war would have solved the nation's ills.


Eh, obviously the south wasn’t fixed under Lincoln and obviously arming the oppressed would have given them more options for self defence but I feel like it wouldn’t have all just somehow worked out. You’ve got two groups of people who hate and fear each other and it’s immediately obvious which group a given person falls into. The problem is that one group is heavily armed and is abusing the other. Your proposal is to make both heavily armed so that neither would risk mistreating the other. It’s a very American solution but I can’t think of a single historical example of that actually working as intended. Wouldn’t it just escalate to a full intergenerational race war?
ModeratorThe angels have the phone box
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