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On October 31 2021 05:15 WombaT wrote:
For all they rail against ‘snowflakes’, Jesus Carlson’s cohort loves to cling to anything that makes them victims somehow.
No it can’t be a collective breakdown and tantrum over their guy losing, against all evidence that spiralled into storming the Capitol Building.
Nah it’s yet another crazy conspiracy of course! There’s always some explanatory conspiracy to redirect away from facing and having to reflect that your ideas and conduct are pretty shitty
Although Jesus I thought Carlson was mostly bad, with the odd good take, not quite this mental, granted I don’t consume much of his content
The irony is that what Tucker describes is literally what the US government actually did (and does in some ways) to communists and Black liberation movements.
What actually makes what he's pushing there so absurd is the idea that the "left" controls it and is turning it against the white supremacist capitalist hegemony.
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Carlson has gone off the deep end the moment his ratings skyrocketed. Only seen a few clips shared around, but yeah he's become something of a mix between Hannity and Glenn Beck now.
O'Reilly at least had somewhat moderate takes before he got axed. Who's left at Fox that still has sense, Cavuto?
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I liked some of Carlson's early stuff - some nice instances of "having a point" in the face of really dumb hot takes from his guests. Can't offer much praise for any of his newer stuff, though.
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Surely you meant Geralt of Rivia? ;o
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Whats even dumber is that the democrats ripped out almost everything they wanted from their bill over weeks of bad press and ugly negotiating only to get manchin to come out and say that he's never going to vote for the bill anyway and its time to give up on it.
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At this point, BBB seems to be better known for what's being removed from it, and most of the public can't even name what it wants to achieve according to some polls. On Manchin's new antics, I've read from Brian Schatz that Democrats are waiting on the CBO's report anyways and Manchin was waiting on that kind of analysis, so it's not a complete thumbs down. Doesn't look like it's passing tomorrow though because of him, despite Pelosi's intent to set the votes for both by then.
Oh yeah, also lot of big elections tomorrow like the gubernatorial races for Virginia and New Jersey, some primaries for House seats and mayoral races. Virginia's a particularly watched race because it's seen as the biggest test for a president's party after the elections and a bellwether for the midterms. Virginia's notorious for voting in the party opposite to the president to the governor's mansion as well. The polls for that race are favouring Youngkin (R) ever so slightly right now, but VA's been slowly turning bluer and early voting looks quite strong for McAuliffe (D). I expect a close race that's in toss-up territory at this rate.
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After living through 32+ years of elections, this year’s round of election advertising in Virginia has been by far the most obnoxious i have ever borne witness to, and though I hope Terry pulls it out, I am very much looking forward to what will prove to be an ephemeral break from election nonsense.
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Republicans have pulled ahead in Virginia gov election. Democrats already pointing out their classic reason for losing, low black enthusiasm. If you don't convince black people to vote for you (which happens to be difficult right now due to vax mandate position of democrats), its usually game over unless its a progressive state like Oregon.
The thing is, I think democrats will lose Virginia for reasons that don't apply very well to other states. Aside from the momentum component, I don't think VA will reflect fundamental issues with the democrat's platform. So long as they pass BBB (probably 1.5 or 1.25 T, but not this 1.75 T one) and the other bill, I think they will have done enough to barely slide by in both house and senate in 2022.
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The apparent declining prospects of the Democrats in Virginia actually come from a pretty universal factor: the declining popularity of the Biden administration itself. Sure, it was able to marginally squeeze out a win against Trump after he completely bungled most of the pandemic response, and they managed to eke out a Senate majority because of the whole election fraud bonanza. But it's clear that Biden doesn't have anywhere near the mandate he thinks he does, and approval rating numbers tell that story. Virginia is just the first in a series of down ballots that will suffer from the low popularity of a president whose pinnacle achievement seems poised to be, "distributed vaccines developed under and purchased by predecessor."
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On November 02 2021 11:04 LegalLord wrote:The apparent declining prospects of the Democrats in Virginia actually come from a pretty universal factor: the declining popularity of the Biden administration itself. Sure, it was able to marginally squeeze out a win against Trump after he completely bungled most of the pandemic response, and they managed to eke out a Senate majority because of the whole election fraud bonanza. But it's clear that Biden doesn't have anywhere near the mandate he thinks he does, and approval rating numbers tell that story. Virginia is just the first in a series of down ballots that will suffer from the low popularity of a president whose pinnacle achievement seems poised to be, "distributed vaccines developed under and purchased by predecessor."
Yeah this is true too, Biden really just isn't that popular at all. He's gonna need to stop playing so safe if he wants to bump those numbers. I still think the two bills will pass, and that will help him a lot, but he's sure banking a lot on that right now.
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On November 02 2021 11:09 Mohdoo wrote:Show nested quote +On November 02 2021 11:04 LegalLord wrote:The apparent declining prospects of the Democrats in Virginia actually come from a pretty universal factor: the declining popularity of the Biden administration itself. Sure, it was able to marginally squeeze out a win against Trump after he completely bungled most of the pandemic response, and they managed to eke out a Senate majority because of the whole election fraud bonanza. But it's clear that Biden doesn't have anywhere near the mandate he thinks he does, and approval rating numbers tell that story. Virginia is just the first in a series of down ballots that will suffer from the low popularity of a president whose pinnacle achievement seems poised to be, "distributed vaccines developed under and purchased by predecessor." Yeah this is true too, Biden really just isn't that popular at all. He's gonna need to stop playing so safe if he wants to bump those numbers. I still think the two bills will pass, and that will help him a lot, but he's sure banking a lot on that right now.
I'm sure they'll get some duo of infrastructure bills through. Funding the least controversial stuff and an ever diminishing grab-bag of Democratic priorities. I have to agree with PhoenixVoid though that it seems much more famous for what is getting removed than for what remains inside the bill. Don't know if it was the intent, but the Republicans couldn't have planned for a better outcome in supporting the bipartisan bill and watching the rest get brutalized in some depressing "house divided upon itself" scenario. I suspect it won't be the popularity boost some would hope for; it does too little and there will be too many ways to paint it as a blunder.
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On November 02 2021 11:21 LegalLord wrote:Show nested quote +On November 02 2021 11:09 Mohdoo wrote:On November 02 2021 11:04 LegalLord wrote:The apparent declining prospects of the Democrats in Virginia actually come from a pretty universal factor: the declining popularity of the Biden administration itself. Sure, it was able to marginally squeeze out a win against Trump after he completely bungled most of the pandemic response, and they managed to eke out a Senate majority because of the whole election fraud bonanza. But it's clear that Biden doesn't have anywhere near the mandate he thinks he does, and approval rating numbers tell that story. Virginia is just the first in a series of down ballots that will suffer from the low popularity of a president whose pinnacle achievement seems poised to be, "distributed vaccines developed under and purchased by predecessor." Yeah this is true too, Biden really just isn't that popular at all. He's gonna need to stop playing so safe if he wants to bump those numbers. I still think the two bills will pass, and that will help him a lot, but he's sure banking a lot on that right now. I'm sure they'll get some duo of infrastructure bills through. Funding the least controversial stuff and an ever diminishing grab-bag of Democratic priorities. I have to agree with PhoenixVoid though that it seems much more famous for what is getting removed than for what remains inside the bill. Don't know if it was the intent, but the Republicans couldn't have planned for a better outcome in supporting the bipartisan bill and watching the rest get brutalized in some depressing "house divided upon itself" scenario. I suspect it won't be the popularity boost some would hope for; it does too little and there will be too many ways to paint it as a blunder.
I think a lot of people pearl clenching over what's been cut are losing touch of how amazing the existing stuff is. Growing up, if my mom had an extra $300/month, I'd have eaten differently and had a very different life. All this other stuff is of course great and beneficial, but I think many of the Twitter communists who insist this is a republican bill have never lived a poor day in their lives.
Child tax credit + universal pre-k would have a gigantic impact on millions of kids. Maybe its just that I had a particularly unpleasant early years, but I look at that and I'm deeply appreciative. People need to remember an extra $300/month is a game changer for many families.
Does the country's poor deserve more? 100x. But will even a scaled down version of this bill transform life for millions of people? yes.
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On November 02 2021 11:21 LegalLord wrote:Show nested quote +On November 02 2021 11:09 Mohdoo wrote:On November 02 2021 11:04 LegalLord wrote:The apparent declining prospects of the Democrats in Virginia actually come from a pretty universal factor: the declining popularity of the Biden administration itself. Sure, it was able to marginally squeeze out a win against Trump after he completely bungled most of the pandemic response, and they managed to eke out a Senate majority because of the whole election fraud bonanza. But it's clear that Biden doesn't have anywhere near the mandate he thinks he does, and approval rating numbers tell that story. Virginia is just the first in a series of down ballots that will suffer from the low popularity of a president whose pinnacle achievement seems poised to be, "distributed vaccines developed under and purchased by predecessor." Yeah this is true too, Biden really just isn't that popular at all. He's gonna need to stop playing so safe if he wants to bump those numbers. I still think the two bills will pass, and that will help him a lot, but he's sure banking a lot on that right now. I'm sure they'll get some duo of infrastructure bills through. Funding the least controversial stuff and an ever diminishing grab-bag of Democratic priorities. I have to agree with PhoenixVoid though that it seems much more famous for what is getting removed than for what remains inside the bill. Don't know if it was the intent, but the Republicans couldn't have planned for a better outcome in supporting the bipartisan bill and watching the rest get brutalized in some depressing "house divided upon itself" scenario. I suspect it won't be the popularity boost some would hope for; it does too little and there will be too many ways to paint it as a blunder.
I'm pretty confident it won't be much of a bump and likely won't be sustained. The $300 a month is something people are already getting so it's not likely to be perceived as "extra" despite Democrats intentionally making it temporary so they could call it "extra" now.
I'm curious when Democrat's progressive caucus is going to cave and for what. They avoided falling for the scam Pelosi tried last month and this last week but I still have the sinking feeling whenever they fold it will be in an embarrassing fashion.
edit: Totally within Democrats capabilities to fail to get anything through too.
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It feels like Biden's first two years have been filled with crisis after crisis. Pandemic, Afghanistan, immigrant surge, and bunch of natural disasters. And this is on top of inheriting the disjointed mess of incompetence and malice that previous administration left, crowned by January 6th. Combined with an obstinate congress with insufficient majority, I don't know what people are expecting him to do besides be some kind of FDR or something which I don't know is even possible in this age. I still hold hope that with 4 years they will make some progress at least rather than fling us all into the abyss.
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Democrats made a pretty big deal about how much they'd get done and how important it was for them to take the Senate, they look incompetent and incapable of delivering on promises at this point.
Its probably going to be a long while before they have control over Congress once the midterms are done.
Biden was a bad choice as president, I hope to god they dont try and put him up to run again. He's going to wind up a Jimmy Carter but without being such a good person like Jimmy Carter was/is.
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EPT
