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European Politico-economics QA Mega-thread - Page 850

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Although this thread does not function under the same strict guidelines as the USPMT, it is still a general practice on TL to provide a source with an explanation on why it is relevant and what purpose it adds to the discussion. Failure to do so will result in a mod action.
Nyxisto
Profile Joined August 2010
Germany6287 Posts
Last Edited: 2017-05-12 19:15:39
May 12 2017 19:15 GMT
#16981
On May 13 2017 04:00 Big J wrote:
The Hartz reforms made labor cheap, so more employees are working for the same sum of wages. You are only trading wage for lower unemployment with labor flexibilization. The increased production (through more labor) is then exported. Unless you are a nationalist who cares for his country being the best in a dick comparison of GDP and exports there is absolutely no gain for the people. Rather the opposite. The people that used to be unemployed now have to work for the same money. What you actually have to do is raise the wage quota. Which means forcing the capitalists to decrease their payouts or raise the taxes on them and redistribute instead of letting their money be used in useless investments that just drive the prices of scarce goods up. Neither is possible unless you close the door to economic zones that don't do the same. Which is stupid, because then you are losing out on a ton of efficiency in terms of specialization. So the capitalist wheel keeps spinning round and round and round.



just looking at the wage level is short-sighted. Work in itself is quite important and long term unemployed people are notoriously difficult to integrate back into the labour market. In many countries the barrier of entry is too high and people simply completely drop out and don't participate. This is something that the Hartz reforms tackled successfully. A poor paying job is better than no job, if only for the reason I just mentioned.

The moralization about corporate fatcats or whatever is useless, yes businesses profit form the cheap labour but that doesn't mean that the result is entirely negative for the workforce. In fact now, ten years after the reforms most of the newly created jobs have turned into regular, fully insured jobs.

This is essentially a mild form of the age old "sweatshop debate" and it reminds me of a piece that Krugman wrote almost two decades ago
Big J
Profile Joined March 2011
Austria16289 Posts
May 12 2017 19:19 GMT
#16982
On May 13 2017 04:15 Nyxisto wrote:
Show nested quote +
On May 13 2017 04:00 Big J wrote:
The Hartz reforms made labor cheap, so more employees are working for the same sum of wages. You are only trading wage for lower unemployment with labor flexibilization. The increased production (through more labor) is then exported. Unless you are a nationalist who cares for his country being the best in a dick comparison of GDP and exports there is absolutely no gain for the people. Rather the opposite. The people that used to be unemployed now have to work for the same money. What you actually have to do is raise the wage quota. Which means forcing the capitalists to decrease their payouts or raise the taxes on them and redistribute instead of letting their money be used in useless investments that just drive the prices of scarce goods up. Neither is possible unless you close the door to economic zones that don't do the same. Which is stupid, because then you are losing out on a ton of efficiency in terms of specialization. So the capitalist wheel keeps spinning round and round and round.



just looking at the wage level is short-sighted. Work in itself is quite important and long term unemployed people are notoriously difficult to integrate back into the labour market. In many countries the barrier of entry is too high and people simply completely drop out and don't participate. This is something that the Hartz reforms tackled successfully. A poor paying job is better than no job, if only for the reason I just mentioned.

The moralization about corporate fatcats or whatever is useless, yes businesses profit form the cheap labour but that doesn't mean that the result is entirely negative for the workforce. In fact now, ten years after the reforms most of the newly created jobs have turned into regular, fully insured jobs.

This is essentially a mild form of the age old "sweatshop debate" and it reminds me of a piece that Krugman wrote almost two decades ago


Yeah, of course bad jobs are better than no jobs. But if you downscale existing jobs in the process then it's bad. That's what has been happening.
Nyxisto
Profile Joined August 2010
Germany6287 Posts
Last Edited: 2017-05-12 19:41:40
May 12 2017 19:36 GMT
#16983
We've gone through a huge restructuring process beginning in the 80's to early 2000's with many lucrative, industrial jobs vanishing. That down-scaling might have been painful but in Germany it has prevented an army of long-term unemployed who will never catch up.

Sure it was a bad development in the sense that nobody actually would do it voluntarily, but what's the alternative? Rigid, traditional employment structures are not up to the task any more. And you're not helping the losers of that development by just preaching about justice or grand social change, they need immediate measures improve the situation. It's an incremental process.

The real bummer was that the people who were actually bold enough to act against the prevailing party dogma like Blaire and Schröder are still getting flak for it years later.
lastpuritan
Profile Joined December 2014
United States540 Posts
Last Edited: 2017-05-12 21:19:32
May 12 2017 21:07 GMT
#16984
A long post to answer ZATIC and Acrofales . Looks pretty ugly if not put into spoilers.

Edit: Yeah, I can't forum properly. KINDA NEW TO ALL. : ) Don't know why there's an extra quote code on the post.


+ Show Spoiler +
On May 12 2017 14:45 zatic wrote:
Nobody is engaging with you on this board because you are not engaging in any discussion. Simberto explained to you how asylum works. Instead of addressing his post you dump a long list of things you don't like about Germany.

It's your usual posting pattern. People address what you write, in response you dump a giant gish gallop of unrelated incoherence into the thread. As long as you continue to do so no one will be willing to engage with you in conversation here.

No, that's not how it goes. People are asking for evidence, I'm posting shitload of them, but then we again proceed to the stage we crossed already, to the erdogan bashing.

But I understand it though, people in this thread gets their information from the mainstream media, when we talk about detailed cases and person names, people don't bother reading, because they don't know anything besides what global media feeds them, so their only chance in the discussion to embrace repeated criticism about Turkey while ignoring or labeling stable evidences with erdoganist propaganda.

The only weakness that you could highlight on my part was questioning where do I get my info on the fleeing generals are attempted to the coup, I already posted voice record of some high rank military officials with names (now in Germany) that they're openly ordering f-16s to shoot people, or crush them with the tanks, therefore they can't seek political asylum, but you still said that should be investigated. We can check if those records are fabricated or not, and we should, but I'm not thinking Turkey would play such dangerous wildcard on international level that would end up losing all its credibility.

On May 12 2017 15:21 Acrofales wrote:
Allies spying on one another is kind of a thing this century, but gathering intel in a country that is systematically removing independent press seems like a rather sane thing to do. So this is a good thing.


Sorry but bullshit whitewash. Remember, "Friends don't 'spy on each other'". But good excuse, then we should be spying Germany 24/7 because it arms our enemies. A better reason compared to your one.

On May 12 2017 15:21 Acrofales wrote:
- A Germany passes genocide recognition on her congress out of nowhere just to slap Turkey.

Great. Maybe acknowledge that nasty skeleton that's in your closet and move on, instead of trying to rewrite history. Another point for Germany.

It wasn't on the genocide day, it wasn't an actual-alive debate on your society. All of sudden it passed to slam Turkey, was a politic move. A sane mind should question your sincerity on that, your timing etc.

On May 12 2017 15:21 Acrofales wrote:
This is a bad idea. But it's not like the Syrian war has any good solutions. They are, imho a hell of a lot better than either Assad or ISIS, so that makes the YPG a rather unreliable ally, but for now, an ally.


It's like saying "sorry Turkish friends, some of your tanks will explode, and some PKK militants will use NATO powders to empower their suicide belts, but hey, they're somehow better than ISIS because they're only killing locals who disagree with them, not us." MMMMKAY.

But I'll leave these if you have 5 minutes to read some stuff on the issue:

https://www.theatlantic.com/international/archive/2017/05/trump-turkey-erdogan-kurds-isis-syria-raqqa/525963/?utm_content=bufferfb7b6&utm_medium=social&utm_source=twitter.com&utm_campaign=buffer



From a former marine: http://bombsdollars.com/index/index.php/2017/05/09/warped-marxist-feminist-ideology-kurdish-ypg/

It's been reported by many US officials or organizations like HRW, the YPG is a PKK offshoot and these are all documented that:

- They purge non Kurds from the areas that they land grab. They crush their homes dozers etc.
- They jail any kurdish opposition members, torture is a thing.
- Their police force open fire on peaceful protest against their purge (we have video recordings on that)
- They use child soldiers, which is an ISIS thing.

https://www.hrw.org/report/2014/06/19/under-kurdish-rule/abuses-pyd-run-enclaves-syria

Overall a good thread here:


Whataboutism isn't good, but what would you guys do if Turkish armored forces tomorrow shows up in AL QAEDA offshoot funeral while their flags all around. I think you miscalculate how Turks will feel after seeing these. But the Turks are highly nationalistic, these image will always be remembered no matter Erdogan rules them or not.





On May 12 2017 15:21 Acrofales wrote:
They also don't crackdown on people waving swastikas at neo-nazi rallies. It's almost as if free speech is important.


So you're claiming Germany has the US model free speech, that's BREAKING NEWS for me.

On May 12 2017 15:21 Acrofales wrote:
Incoherent word salad. But you seem to be complaining that most of the refugees from the Syrian conflict are fleeing across land borders into neighbouring countries, who don't have the means to deal with tgat. It's a tragedy. I agree. But what does Germany have to do with that? The best would be to work towards an end to the Syrian war asap, so all those people can go back home and try to rebuild their country.


Was Merkel's plan.

On May 12 2017 15:21 Acrofales wrote:
Huh? Kurds didn't migrate to Kurdistan. They've been there for centuries. Context matters when looking at cultural rights. Maybe if Germany has still done a terrible job of integrating immigrant Turks into German society in another 150 years, we can revisit this point.


Are we granting rights with a medieval mindset based on who stepped the x land first?

On May 12 2017 15:21 Acrofales wrote:
And why do you care about German opinion polls?

Because it makes me sad to hear once an ally nation who fought a world war together, now trusts the Nato's first enemy more than the TR.
On May 12 2017 15:21 Acrofales wrote:
Not really. I'm not quite sure why your hated of Germany is so big. You have plenty of enemies far closer to home to worry about. Turkey leaving NATO seems like it'll really hurt Turkey. But hey, to each their own.

I don't hate Germany, got no reason to hate it if we are talking about the German public or the state. But yes, I hate MERKEL like you hate Erdogan.
On May 12 2017 15:21 Acrofales wrote:
Anyway, I'll now go back to not reading your posts, because this about as weird a jumble of accusations and whataboutism as I can stand.

At least accept my small farewell song.

[/QUOTE]
Artisreal
Profile Joined June 2009
Germany9235 Posts
Last Edited: 2017-05-12 21:09:36
May 12 2017 21:08 GMT
#16985
Ayyy please use the preview function when quoting multiple posts
E:thx
passive quaranstream fan
mahrgell
Profile Blog Joined December 2009
Germany3943 Posts
May 12 2017 21:14 GMT
#16986
Uh yeah, this bonding experience of fighting world wars together is why Germany should love Turkey :D :D :D

lastpuritan
Profile Joined December 2014
United States540 Posts
May 12 2017 21:17 GMT
#16987
I mean yeah, compared to a nation had some sorta plans to nuke your capital like few years ago. WHY NOT.
stilt
Profile Joined October 2012
France2754 Posts
Last Edited: 2017-05-12 21:44:14
May 12 2017 21:42 GMT
#16988
On May 13 2017 04:15 Nyxisto wrote:
Show nested quote +
On May 13 2017 04:00 Big J wrote:
The Hartz reforms made labor cheap, so more employees are working for the same sum of wages. You are only trading wage for lower unemployment with labor flexibilization. The increased production (through more labor) is then exported. Unless you are a nationalist who cares for his country being the best in a dick comparison of GDP and exports there is absolutely no gain for the people. Rather the opposite. The people that used to be unemployed now have to work for the same money. What you actually have to do is raise the wage quota. Which means forcing the capitalists to decrease their payouts or raise the taxes on them and redistribute instead of letting their money be used in useless investments that just drive the prices of scarce goods up. Neither is possible unless you close the door to economic zones that don't do the same. Which is stupid, because then you are losing out on a ton of efficiency in terms of specialization. So the capitalist wheel keeps spinning round and round and round.



just looking at the wage level is short-sighted. Work in itself is quite important and long term unemployed people are notoriously difficult to integrate back into the labour market. In many countries the barrier of entry is too high and people simply completely drop out and don't participate. This is something that the Hartz reforms tackled successfully. A poor paying job is better than no job, if only for the reason I just mentioned.

The moralization about corporate fatcats or whatever is useless, yes businesses profit form the cheap labour but that doesn't mean that the result is entirely negative for the workforce. In fact now, ten years after the reforms most of the newly created jobs have turned into regular, fully insured jobs.

This is essentially a mild form of the age old "sweatshop debate" and it reminds me of a piece that Krugman wrote almost two decades ago


Didn't know we were already a "third world country" but at least, we are pretty clear in what kind of misery you want put workers for their "own goods".
Your "mental health" problem go with poverty just because a not well paid and harassing job with a scornful human ressource director who can throw you up at will is an alienation, the one who drives ppl mad and you have absolutely no idea of the violence who gets in the heart in the lower class, otherwise, you would shit so much on your pants that you will be way more "reasonnable" as you like to designate urself. Or call a private milicia for a good slaughter like the good old times when they were no worker rights. :S
Anyway, as far as I know, Germany has still a stronger poverty line than France and a system who encourages extremely high inequality, one day, they will pay for it just like UE is not gonna explode.
warding
Profile Joined August 2005
Portugal2394 Posts
May 12 2017 22:11 GMT
#16989
Scornful HR directors are a lesser problem when the unemployment rate is below 3.9%. Lower unemployment rates give workers greater leverage/bargaining power against employers.
Big J
Profile Joined March 2011
Austria16289 Posts
May 12 2017 22:43 GMT
#16990
For fucks sake, look at the wage quota. Look at it onw damn time. Look at the growing quota that is being paid to people who lend money that is eating up the part of the wages that used to be paid out. We have goddamn neoliberal lobbies like the IMF talking about it being a problem, obviously without a solution but at least they are getting that maybe money shouldn't just run upwards to those who already have a ton of it. Stop talking about this microeconomy bullshit. Maybe it is better to have less unemployment and lower wages, I don't give a fuck. We have a system that first and foremost pays you for being rich, not for being hardworking or welleducated. And it has been getting worse for 50 years and it will not stop.
warding
Profile Joined August 2005
Portugal2394 Posts
May 12 2017 23:18 GMT
#16991
Microeconomics are the tools you use if you want to have any meaningful policy debate on this subject. As for ideological diatribes, I don't see the value they bring to the discussion.
Poopi
Profile Blog Joined November 2010
France12908 Posts
May 13 2017 01:16 GMT
#16992
I don't know how you guys can keep posting about such matters over time wow.
I read a lot of related stuff here and on French forums as well and the whole thing is pretty anxiety inducing, because there doesn't seem to be a clear path/truth, therefore picking side is only possible if you accept that you can't really evaluate who has the most chances of being right, but then you can't really pick a side rationally.

What a mindfuck.
WriterMaru
TheDwf
Profile Joined November 2011
France19747 Posts
Last Edited: 2017-05-13 13:43:18
May 13 2017 13:43 GMT
#16993
To add to yesterday's conversation...

http://www.lemonde.fr/europe/article/2017/05/13/varoufakis-combattra-la-politique-de-deregulation-et-d-austerite-pronee-par-macron_5127284_3214.html

Varoufakis warns against Macron's “neoliberal ‘solution’” and criticizes his future deregulation/austerity policies, saying it will simply “redistribute the misery between French workers”. Then:

Selon M. Varoufakis, qui argue de conversations personnelles avec M. Macron, ce dernier a conscience de la casse qu’il va provoquer mais persiste dans cette voie « pour convaincre Berlin d’avancer vers une fédéralisation de la zone euro ». « C’est là que réside la grande erreur d’Emmanuel [Macron] » car « Berlin ne lui donnera rien », tranche M. Varoufakis.

Rough translation:

According to Mr. Varoufakis, who says he had personal conversations with Mr. Macron, the latter is aware of the breakage [damage] he's going to cause but persists in this way in order to “convince Berlin to advance towards a federalization of the eurozone”. “This is Macron's big mistake” because “Berlin will give him nothing,” judges Mr. Varoufakis.
Gorsameth
Profile Joined April 2010
Netherlands22084 Posts
May 13 2017 13:46 GMT
#16994
On May 13 2017 22:43 TheDwf wrote:
To add to yesterday's conversation...

http://www.lemonde.fr/europe/article/2017/05/13/varoufakis-combattra-la-politique-de-deregulation-et-d-austerite-pronee-par-macron_5127284_3214.html

Varoufakis warns against Macron's “neoliberal ‘solution’” and criticizes his future deregulation/austerity policies, saying it will simply “redistribute the misery between French workers”. Then:

Show nested quote +
Selon M. Varoufakis, qui argue de conversations personnelles avec M. Macron, ce dernier a conscience de la casse qu’il va provoquer mais persiste dans cette voie « pour convaincre Berlin d’avancer vers une fédéralisation de la zone euro ». « C’est là que réside la grande erreur d’Emmanuel [Macron] » car « Berlin ne lui donnera rien », tranche M. Varoufakis.

Rough translation:

According to Mr. Varoufakis, who says he had personal conversations with Mr. Macron, the latter is aware of the breakage [damage] he's going to cause but persists in this way in order to “convince Berlin to advance towards a federalization of the eurozone”. “This is Macron's big mistake” because “Berlin will give him nothing,” judges Mr. Varoufakis.

Good thing then that Varoufakis's word is pretty damn meaningless after his fumbling around during the Greek crisis.
It ignores such insignificant forces as time, entropy, and death
RvB
Profile Blog Joined December 2010
Netherlands6263 Posts
May 13 2017 13:52 GMT
#16995
What he's saying makes no sense. Why would Macron follow policy only to convince Berlin to federalize the eurozone lol.
TheDwf
Profile Joined November 2011
France19747 Posts
May 13 2017 14:18 GMT
#16996
On May 13 2017 22:52 RvB wrote:
What he's saying makes no sense. Why would Macron follow policy only to convince Berlin to federalize the eurozone lol.

Because you can't have a single currency without some kind of unified political space and a certain consent to transfers to fix existing imbalances. The eurozone, which was supposed to make economies converge, actually produced more divergences than ever, and will naturally explode in a few years (most likely at the next big crisis) if no change happens. Macron is aware of that, but foolishly thinks that he will get something from Berlin after France plays the model student; while Germany blocks not because “France didn't do its reforms,” but because they don't want (and can't afford it anyway).
RvB
Profile Blog Joined December 2010
Netherlands6263 Posts
May 13 2017 15:47 GMT
#16997
So Macron is going to implement policy he thinks is damaging only to convince Germany to federalise. You don't think that is incredibly far fetched?

THe eurozone doesn't cause more divergences than ever. It first converged then diverged during the crisis and it's converging yet again now.
TheDwf
Profile Joined November 2011
France19747 Posts
May 13 2017 15:52 GMT
#16998
On May 14 2017 00:47 RvB wrote:
So Macron is going to implement policy he thinks is damaging only to convince Germany to federalise. You don't think that is incredibly far fetched?

Damaging for workers... Obviously he thinks his policy is overall good.
LegalLord
Profile Blog Joined April 2013
United States13779 Posts
May 13 2017 16:30 GMT
#16999
So when does Macron assume his responsibilities as president? Or did he already?
History will sooner or later sweep the European Union away without mercy.
Poopi
Profile Blog Joined November 2010
France12908 Posts
May 13 2017 16:47 GMT
#17000
On May 14 2017 00:52 TheDwf wrote:
Show nested quote +
On May 14 2017 00:47 RvB wrote:
So Macron is going to implement policy he thinks is damaging only to convince Germany to federalise. You don't think that is incredibly far fetched?

Damaging for workers... Obviously he thinks his policy is overall good.

So what's the problem if it's actually good overall?
o_o
WriterMaru
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