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UK Politics Mega-thread - Page 565

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Jockmcplop
Profile Blog Joined February 2012
United Kingdom10011 Posts
Last Edited: 2019-10-22 16:07:06
October 22 2019 16:06 GMT
#11281
The tories can't really fail as long as labour is far left.
There's *some* appetite for a far left govt in the UK but not enough compared to the amount of hate there is for leftism.

I suppose there's a small opportunity for Corbyn but I doubt it.
RIP Meatloaf <3
Artisreal
Profile Joined June 2009
Germany9235 Posts
Last Edited: 2019-10-22 21:22:57
October 22 2019 20:48 GMT
#11282
On October 23 2019 00:59 Zealos wrote:
actually the tories are doing pretty well in the polls

These things are quite unrelated though.

It's unfathomable how many times BJ has already not done something he claimed he would if he didn't get his way. Boy am I glad the big baby's tantrums aren't appeased.
passive quaranstream fan
Zaros
Profile Blog Joined September 2010
United Kingdom3692 Posts
Last Edited: 2019-10-22 22:34:03
October 22 2019 22:33 GMT
#11283
On October 23 2019 01:06 Jockmcplop wrote:
The tories can't really fail as long as labour is far left.
There's *some* appetite for a far left govt in the UK but not enough compared to the amount of hate there is for leftism.

I suppose there's a small opportunity for Corbyn but I doubt it.


Conservatives got like 6% in the last nation wide election and were down to 20% in GE Polls about 6 months ago so they can certainly lose but I think Boris is in a win win situation now that he has a deal and the MPs won't even pass it, he can seem the reasonable one, it looks like he hasn't taken a hit by the extension request although might have to wait until after the 31st to see that fully.

Corbyn's only hope of recovery is to have brexit pass but without his help and then for Boris to screw up the union/economy in the next couple of years.
Artisreal
Profile Joined June 2009
Germany9235 Posts
Last Edited: 2019-10-23 04:45:35
October 23 2019 04:16 GMT
#11284
It's ridiculous to an unimaginable degree to simplify it down to "he's got a deal" but parliament won't pass it, duh. Still, nobody knows what the consequences of said deal are. Not BJ, not Cummings, not mogg, not frost. And the sad part ist at least for two of them I'm pretty sure they don't care in the slightest.
How this can be spun into a win for BJ I'm at a loss to comprehend.
I guess much of it boils down to fatigue.
Even MPs who voted agains May's ostensibly better deal now crumbled and voted for BJ's, in his own words, "surrender" deal.
That of course is challenged in the courts as being against the law regarding the Irish border questions.

Can't believe how this actually is a win.
Let's drive the bus off the cliff, BJ says it can fly, though he took the ferry over himself.

But of course, as an outsider it's hard to imagine what this process must've been like.
Get on with it, no matter the consequence, could be a valid position to hold.

Oh and now that I think of it, it wAs BJ after all who rejects (is scared shitless of) proper scrutiny of his "deal" so that even if parliament wanted to deal with it, it can't.
What a great leader. Do it my way or don't do it. Shit how can this be applauded.
passive quaranstream fan
Uldridge
Profile Blog Joined January 2011
Belgium5232 Posts
October 23 2019 05:13 GMT
#11285
To be fair, that is sometimes how a leader should act. If no one can get along or find a solution, the leader is the one to make (unsatisfactory/less than optimal) decisions. Whether they're suboptimal or not, at least he's going forward.
Taxes are for Terrans
Artisreal
Profile Joined June 2009
Germany9235 Posts
October 23 2019 05:47 GMT
#11286
This certainly doesn't apply to BJ who sabotaged more or less the same deal with a theoretically different approach to the backstop which practically though makes less sense. Just from a different leader.
Acting in the interest of himself instead of the country.
passive quaranstream fan
Gorsameth
Profile Joined April 2010
Netherlands22662 Posts
October 23 2019 09:30 GMT
#11287
If you don't care about Ireland Boris's deal is better for the UK (assuming you want Brexit in the first place) because it doesn't tie them to the EU for another decade plus. Now only Northern Ireland gets stuck forever, because even tho they have a right to vote on it they can't legal leave the EU customs union without violating the Good Friday agreement.

Turns out a lot of MP's don't care about Ireland.
It ignores such insignificant forces as time, entropy, and death
Simberto
Profile Blog Joined July 2010
Germany12028 Posts
October 23 2019 10:10 GMT
#11288
Yeah, but it is weird that this is being sold as an amazing new deal. That setup was available for the UK from the beginning, they just chose that they don't want it.
Sbrubbles
Profile Joined October 2010
Brazil5776 Posts
Last Edited: 2019-10-23 11:46:39
October 23 2019 11:41 GMT
#11289
On October 23 2019 18:30 Gorsameth wrote:
If you don't care about Ireland Boris's deal is better for the UK (assuming you want Brexit in the first place) because it doesn't tie them to the EU for another decade plus. Now only Northern Ireland gets stuck forever, because even tho they have a right to vote on it they can't legal leave the EU customs union without violating the Good Friday agreement.

Turns out a lot of MP's don't care about Ireland.


"gets stuck forever" is probably the ideal scenario for Ireland and NI. Brexit has been madness from day 1, at least now NI gets to sidestep much of the downside because of this makeshift customs union, and Ireland gets what it wants (free transit of people and goods with NI).

The only surprising thing is if this turn out to be acceptable to those who in other times would have seen this as compromising the UK's territorial integrity. May, for example, claimed such an arrangement would be unacceptable to any UK PM.
Bora Pain minha porra!
WombaT
Profile Blog Joined May 2010
Northern Ireland27464 Posts
October 23 2019 11:50 GMT
#11290
On October 23 2019 18:30 Gorsameth wrote:
If you don't care about Ireland Boris's deal is better for the UK (assuming you want Brexit in the first place) because it doesn't tie them to the EU for another decade plus. Now only Northern Ireland gets stuck forever, because even tho they have a right to vote on it they can't legal leave the EU customs union without violating the Good Friday agreement.

Turns out a lot of MP's don't care about Ireland.

Who’d have thought it?!

'You'll always be the cuddly marsupial of my heart, despite the inherent flaws of your ancestry' - Squat
TL+ Member
Artisreal
Profile Joined June 2009
Germany9235 Posts
October 23 2019 13:04 GMT
#11291
TBH im quite puzzled by the conservative party abandoning NI so abruptly and harshly while they've been kingmaker for quite some time.
I guess this could be the start of the end of the union. And that's happening during a conservative "government".
passive quaranstream fan
Zaros
Profile Blog Joined September 2010
United Kingdom3692 Posts
October 23 2019 17:09 GMT
#11292
Guys they only abandoned NI for 4 years, after 4 years the arrangements end by default unless a majority of the NI assembly want to keep them.
Simberto
Profile Blog Joined July 2010
Germany12028 Posts
October 23 2019 17:10 GMT
#11293
Yeah, but if they end, that also means a hard border between NI and ROI. Which i am pretty sure is also something that the NI don't want. So i guess the question is whether they would rather keep the weird border setup with the rest of the UK, or have a hard border to ROI.
Gorsameth
Profile Joined April 2010
Netherlands22662 Posts
October 23 2019 17:24 GMT
#11294
On October 24 2019 02:09 Zaros wrote:
Guys they only abandoned NI for 4 years, after 4 years the arrangements end by default unless a majority of the NI assembly want to keep them.
Legally it can't vote to end it as it would lead to a hard border between Ireland and Northern Ireland which is a violation of the Good Friday agreement.
Which is why everyone is talking about it being indefinitely. And no a trade deal between the UK and EU would not solve that border, checks have to happen somewhere at it can't be between Ireland and Northern Ireland so it has to be in the Irish Sea.
It ignores such insignificant forces as time, entropy, and death
Artisreal
Profile Joined June 2009
Germany9235 Posts
October 23 2019 18:31 GMT
#11295
On October 24 2019 02:09 Zaros wrote:
Guys they only abandoned NI for 4 years, after 4 years the arrangements end by default unless a majority of the NI assembly want to keep them.

That's a BJ talking point - distortingly simplified and rather far from the truth
passive quaranstream fan
Dangermousecatdog
Profile Joined December 2010
United Kingdom7084 Posts
October 24 2019 14:39 GMT
#11296
Theresa May relied on the DUP, who were adamant that no matter what happens NI and the rest of the UK must share the same rules, to pass her brexit deal as part of a minority government. For some reason she thought that the hard brexit rebels in the conservative party would just vote in line with her, and completely ignored the Labour party which led to her defeat. Boris just doesn't care. He's just playing for election. Perhaps he thinks if he wins, he can portray himself as a strong leader and if he loses, he hopes that he can spin it as a real attempt. I have no idea how customs border between NI and the rest of the UK will work, but whatever it will be, it will be terrible for NI.
schaf
Profile Joined August 2010
Germany1326 Posts
October 24 2019 14:55 GMT
#11297
Theresa May knew that to pass her deal she needed the DUP. She had no other options, she is just really bad at selling stuff and wasn't badass enough to put her foot down and say "you vote for me or you find another party" like Johnson did. I still don't really understand the position of the ERG... I listened to an interview Iain Dale conducted with Nicholas Soames, a moderate Tory, who simply couldn't understand how he voted more often to leave the EU than hardcore leavers (Iain Dale all talk on Spotify).

The only accomplishment Johnson made was to tie the status of NI to a vote in it's Parliament. And he made major concessions to get it.
Axiom wins more than it loses. Most viewers don't. - <3 TB
pmh
Profile Joined March 2016
1416 Posts
Last Edited: 2019-10-25 12:25:46
October 25 2019 12:24 GMT
#11298
On October 24 2019 02:09 Zaros wrote:
Guys they only abandoned NI for 4 years, after 4 years the arrangements end by default unless a majority of the NI assembly want to keep them.



The vast majority will want to keep the arrangement and happily extend for 8 years with 2/3rd majority. If NI economy gets a boost then that is good for everyone. Why fight when there is a lot of money to be made.

Anyway:british parliament is dumb,thinkin to have all the time of the world and then some more.
Its annoying. in or out,just get it over with.
Artisreal
Profile Joined June 2009
Germany9235 Posts
October 25 2019 14:42 GMT
#11299
That's incredibly short sighted and it's a shame that the current leader just doesn't appear to care one bit about what happens to the not rich
passive quaranstream fan
Dangermousecatdog
Profile Joined December 2010
United Kingdom7084 Posts
October 25 2019 21:07 GMT
#11300
It's not about thinking about having all the time in the world. In fact the pace taken by Theresa's May appeared to be rushed, then secretive, in her strategy to push through her version of brexit. In Boris's case, he really has little time, and he claimed originally to leave with no deal no matter what, then produced a suprise deal, which must have been one of many pre-agreed options.

British parliament is not a monolithic organisation. British Parliament is supposed to be collaborative and both PM's have chosen not to and have insisted on ignoring parliament. Then act shocked when parliament is uncooperative. For better or worse no party currently commands a majority, and the two biggest parties are trying to appeal to voters on both sides.
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