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UK Politics Mega-thread - Page 317

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KwarK
Profile Blog Joined July 2006
United States43277 Posts
April 18 2017 14:51 GMT
#6321
My constituency is the safest of safe seats (old Tory seat out in the shires, all farmers and army bases and the Conservative MP is a local GP who served as an army doctor in Afghanistan, I'd be surprised if he got less than 60% of the vote) but I think I'll vote Lib Dem against my Conservative inclinations. The lack of a functioning opposition is not healthy for democracy while it won't change my MP it may, at the very least, let him know that I'm worried about the NHS under Conservative management.
ModeratorThe angels have the phone box
KwarK
Profile Blog Joined July 2006
United States43277 Posts
April 18 2017 14:54 GMT
#6322
On April 18 2017 23:50 ahswtini wrote:
Show nested quote +
On April 18 2017 23:36 KwarK wrote:
On April 18 2017 22:39 Ayaz2810 wrote:
Ignorant, and often high, Amerifat here. Can someone more enlightened explain what is going on? Did she just basically call to get herself re-elected in the middle of a term? Or am I way off the mark?

We don't have a constitution. It's only very recently that we passed a law that says we have to call elections at all (like 5 years ago). We have elections because we know we ought to and we'd be pretty upset if they stopped having elections without a very good reason so traditionally we'd have one every four or five years.

The power to dissolve Parliament is part of what is called the Queen's Royal Prerogative. This is a set of powers that belong to the person of the monarch and are wielded on her behalf by the Prime Minister, not by Parliament (unless the tradition changes). Theresa May is the PM and can therefore invoke the power of the Queen to dismiss Parliament and hold an election to elect a new Parliament.

The power to pick the timing of the next election is obviously pretty fucking handy but traditionally there are times during which the PM is somewhat obligated to do it. If the government suffers a defeat on a manifesto pledge, a core policy that was part of their platform for becoming elected, then the government itself is considered to be discredited and incapable of ruling. Therefore they go back to the people and ask for either a stronger majority or for someone else to take over. An example of this in America would have been Trump taking the Obamacare repeal to a vote and losing the vote. If that happened in a Parliamentary system then the entire government would fall. A vote of no confidence also forces an election. A vote of no confidence is just when Parliament collectively vote that they do not have confidence in the government to rule. A government without the confidence of the house is no government but it's unlikely any other government could be formed because the makeup of the house wouldn't have changed significantly so they go to the people and either return with a strengthened majority or face defeat.

edit: I'm told this changed and now Parliament need to sign off on it

The Parliament Act 1911 set out the 5 year lifetime of parliament, not 5 years between a general election although the two effectively go hand in hand. So it's true the first piece of legislation to actually enforce calling an election was the Fixed-term parliaments act of 2011. The real purpose of that act was not to have the whole calling an election enshrined in law, but was to stop PMs calling tactical elections at times that suit them. With that act, there are now two ways an early election can be called - either a vote of no confidence in the government, or a two thirds majority of the commons vote for it

There was no general election between 1935 and 1945, for what it's worth. Elections were postponed due to national emergency (obviously by-elections continued as required).
ModeratorThe angels have the phone box
ahswtini
Profile Blog Joined June 2008
Northern Ireland22208 Posts
April 18 2017 14:55 GMT
#6323
On April 18 2017 23:54 KwarK wrote:
Show nested quote +
On April 18 2017 23:50 ahswtini wrote:
On April 18 2017 23:36 KwarK wrote:
On April 18 2017 22:39 Ayaz2810 wrote:
Ignorant, and often high, Amerifat here. Can someone more enlightened explain what is going on? Did she just basically call to get herself re-elected in the middle of a term? Or am I way off the mark?

We don't have a constitution. It's only very recently that we passed a law that says we have to call elections at all (like 5 years ago). We have elections because we know we ought to and we'd be pretty upset if they stopped having elections without a very good reason so traditionally we'd have one every four or five years.

The power to dissolve Parliament is part of what is called the Queen's Royal Prerogative. This is a set of powers that belong to the person of the monarch and are wielded on her behalf by the Prime Minister, not by Parliament (unless the tradition changes). Theresa May is the PM and can therefore invoke the power of the Queen to dismiss Parliament and hold an election to elect a new Parliament.

The power to pick the timing of the next election is obviously pretty fucking handy but traditionally there are times during which the PM is somewhat obligated to do it. If the government suffers a defeat on a manifesto pledge, a core policy that was part of their platform for becoming elected, then the government itself is considered to be discredited and incapable of ruling. Therefore they go back to the people and ask for either a stronger majority or for someone else to take over. An example of this in America would have been Trump taking the Obamacare repeal to a vote and losing the vote. If that happened in a Parliamentary system then the entire government would fall. A vote of no confidence also forces an election. A vote of no confidence is just when Parliament collectively vote that they do not have confidence in the government to rule. A government without the confidence of the house is no government but it's unlikely any other government could be formed because the makeup of the house wouldn't have changed significantly so they go to the people and either return with a strengthened majority or face defeat.

edit: I'm told this changed and now Parliament need to sign off on it

The Parliament Act 1911 set out the 5 year lifetime of parliament, not 5 years between a general election although the two effectively go hand in hand. So it's true the first piece of legislation to actually enforce calling an election was the Fixed-term parliaments act of 2011. The real purpose of that act was not to have the whole calling an election enshrined in law, but was to stop PMs calling tactical elections at times that suit them. With that act, there are now two ways an early election can be called - either a vote of no confidence in the government, or a two thirds majority of the commons vote for it

There was no general election between 1935 and 1945, for what it's worth. Elections were postponed due to national emergency (obviously by-elections continued as required).

well yeah parliament enacted special legislation during both world wars to extend the lives of those parliaments
"As I've said, balance isn't about strategies or counters, it's about probability and statistics." - paralleluniverse
Pandemona *
Profile Blog Joined March 2011
Charlie Sheens House51493 Posts
April 18 2017 15:34 GMT
#6324
On April 18 2017 23:51 KwarK wrote:
My constituency is the safest of safe seats (old Tory seat out in the shires, all farmers and army bases and the Conservative MP is a local GP who served as an army doctor in Afghanistan, I'd be surprised if he got less than 60% of the vote) but I think I'll vote Lib Dem against my Conservative inclinations. The lack of a functioning opposition is not healthy for democracy while it won't change my MP it may, at the very least, let him know that I'm worried about the NHS under Conservative management.

Whilst this makes sense, i would rather see the conservatives get us into a brexit world over the next 4-5 years and then start fighting around after that. The brexit vote won, even me a person who voted to stay in can see that the best solution is for this to be sorted quickly so we can see what happens. Then the next election in 2021/22 we can start seeing what can be done and what not so that is why i hope May gets those 100 seats she is predicted to gain and we can get on with brexit at as fast as possible pace.
ModeratorTeam Liquid Football Thread Guru! - Chelsea FC ♥
RvB
Profile Blog Joined December 2010
Netherlands6257 Posts
April 18 2017 15:40 GMT
#6325
Sorted quickly? You're negotiating with the EU. CETA took 7 years and this isn't going to be any shorter.
farvacola
Profile Blog Joined January 2011
United States18839 Posts
April 18 2017 15:41 GMT
#6326
Yeah, all things considered, I would think that stability among the leadership of the UK can only speed things up so much.
"when the Dead Kennedys found out they had skinhead fans, they literally wrote a song titled 'Nazi Punks Fuck Off'"
Zaros
Profile Blog Joined September 2010
United Kingdom3692 Posts
April 18 2017 15:42 GMT
#6327
On April 19 2017 00:40 RvB wrote:
Sorted quickly? You're negotiating with the EU. CETA took 7 years and this isn't going to be any shorter.


There is a fixed 2 year limit on the deal so it can't take any longer than that, if it does take 2 years than Britain just drops out of the EU without any deal.
KwarK
Profile Blog Joined July 2006
United States43277 Posts
April 18 2017 15:42 GMT
#6328
On April 19 2017 00:42 Zaros wrote:
Show nested quote +
On April 19 2017 00:40 RvB wrote:
Sorted quickly? You're negotiating with the EU. CETA took 7 years and this isn't going to be any shorter.


There is a fixed 2 year limit on the deal so it can't take any longer than that, if it does take 2 years than Britain just drops out of the EU without any deal.

They'd almost certainly grant an extension. They have the power to.
ModeratorThe angels have the phone box
Zaros
Profile Blog Joined September 2010
United Kingdom3692 Posts
April 18 2017 15:44 GMT
#6329
On April 19 2017 00:42 KwarK wrote:
Show nested quote +
On April 19 2017 00:42 Zaros wrote:
On April 19 2017 00:40 RvB wrote:
Sorted quickly? You're negotiating with the EU. CETA took 7 years and this isn't going to be any shorter.


There is a fixed 2 year limit on the deal so it can't take any longer than that, if it does take 2 years than Britain just drops out of the EU without any deal.

They'd almost certainly grant an extension. They have the power to.


I assume they need all 27 to agree to the extension which i dont think will happen.
farvacola
Profile Blog Joined January 2011
United States18839 Posts
April 18 2017 15:45 GMT
#6330
Given how uncharted this territory is, whether or not the two year sunset period would pass without exception seems like more of an open question than you're making it seem.
"when the Dead Kennedys found out they had skinhead fans, they literally wrote a song titled 'Nazi Punks Fuck Off'"
KwarK
Profile Blog Joined July 2006
United States43277 Posts
April 18 2017 15:49 GMT
#6331
On April 19 2017 00:45 farvacola wrote:
Given how uncharted this territory is, whether or not the two year sunset period would pass without exception seems like more of an open question than you're making it seem.

Every party has a vested interest in a smooth transition. There isn't going to be a period of uncertainty right up until the night before goods can no longer be freely moved from the UK to the EU at which point the negotiators finally get everyone to agree to extend the negotiation. There is far too much business being carried out for that kind of incompetence to actually happen, uncertainty is bad business. Whatever decisions are made, they will be made well in advance of any deadline, even if the decision is just to push back the deadline.

Feel free to quote this post if it turns out I was wrong.
ModeratorThe angels have the phone box
farvacola
Profile Blog Joined January 2011
United States18839 Posts
Last Edited: 2017-04-18 15:52:56
April 18 2017 15:52 GMT
#6332
The funny part is that the smoothness of the transition correlates negatively with many of the complaints that lay at the base of the Brexit vote in the first place. Surely, the lumbering beast of the EU that has slowed down the UK by association will muck up the negotiations one way or the other?
"when the Dead Kennedys found out they had skinhead fans, they literally wrote a song titled 'Nazi Punks Fuck Off'"
Gorsameth
Profile Joined April 2010
Netherlands21963 Posts
April 18 2017 16:01 GMT
#6333
On April 19 2017 00:44 Zaros wrote:
Show nested quote +
On April 19 2017 00:42 KwarK wrote:
On April 19 2017 00:42 Zaros wrote:
On April 19 2017 00:40 RvB wrote:
Sorted quickly? You're negotiating with the EU. CETA took 7 years and this isn't going to be any shorter.


There is a fixed 2 year limit on the deal so it can't take any longer than that, if it does take 2 years than Britain just drops out of the EU without any deal.

They'd almost certainly grant an extension. They have the power to.


I assume they need all 27 to agree to the extension which i dont think will happen.

Yeah it requires a unanimous vote to extend.
It ignores such insignificant forces as time, entropy, and death
Ghostcom
Profile Joined March 2010
Denmark4782 Posts
April 18 2017 16:20 GMT
#6334
We haven't even begun the actual negotiations yet, and the Brits are already delivering hilarious material: David Davis, Brexit secretary, does not accept that the two agencies and roughly 1,000 staff will have to move from London’s Canary Wharf, even though the EU is about to run a competition to relocate them.
Plansix
Profile Blog Joined April 2011
United States60190 Posts
Last Edited: 2017-04-18 16:25:37
April 18 2017 16:25 GMT
#6335
Are those EU agencies, funded by the EU?(article is paywalled)
I have the Honor to be your Obedient Servant, P.6
TL+ Member
bardtown
Profile Joined June 2011
England2313 Posts
April 18 2017 16:34 GMT
#6336
Yes they are. The article also features not a single quote from David Davis. All they have said is that the future of the agencies has not been decided and will be a part of the negotiation.

Meanwhile DB are using the election as an excuse to start buying sterling again. The IMF have also revised growth for 2017. "In its latest assessment of prospects for global growth, published on Tuesday, the IMF predicted the UK economy will expand this year by 2 per cent, a sharp increase of 0.5 percentage points from the forecast it made in January."

https://www.ft.com/content/5213d9fc-227c-11e7-8691-d5f7e0cd0a16
Plansix
Profile Blog Joined April 2011
United States60190 Posts
April 18 2017 16:38 GMT
#6337
Depending on the nature of those agencies, I question how long those negotiations are going to be.
I have the Honor to be your Obedient Servant, P.6
TL+ Member
bardtown
Profile Joined June 2011
England2313 Posts
April 18 2017 16:43 GMT
#6338
They will go. Don't think anybody seriously doubts it.
Jockmcplop
Profile Blog Joined February 2012
United Kingdom9733 Posts
April 18 2017 17:06 GMT
#6339
http://www.independent.co.uk/news/uk/politics/theresa-may-general-election-debates-not-take-part-jeremy-corbyn-tory-party-leader-conservatives-lib-a7689361.html

No awkward questions about all her lies then.
RIP Meatloaf <3
showstealer1829
Profile Blog Joined May 2014
Australia3123 Posts
April 18 2017 17:13 GMT
#6340
On April 18 2017 23:43 bardtown wrote:
Show nested quote +
On April 18 2017 23:33 KwarK wrote:
Corbyn cannot survive an electoral massacre. Do Labour have anyone standing ready to follow him?

Tom Watson or Hilary Benn seem to be the best candidates off the top of my head. Neither stood last time but I think it was clear that the party was just going to vote Corbyn in again so that may have been a tactical decision. Maybe David Miliband could return. What I am concerned about is the far left, who still dominate the party membership, voting for Diane Abbott. That would be catastrophic.

On the other hand I think the time is near for new parties. After Brexit, though, please.



You mean Ed Milliband. Although I agree he was so similar to Cameron at the last election you may as well have called him David Milliband
There is no understanding. There is only Choya. Choya is the way. Choya is Love. Choya is Life. Has is the Light in the Protoss Dark and Nightmare is his chosen Acolyte
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