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On March 03 2014 09:18 Ghanburighan wrote:Show nested quote +On March 03 2014 09:14 caelym wrote: I'm curious about a few things regarding the current situation. How is the current "government" in Kiev legitimate when it violently overthrew a democratically elected leadership? Doesn't this set up a bad precedent where the opposition party can just resort to riling up a mob whenever they lose an election? As has been discussed in this thread a large number of times, that's not an accurate description of the events. There was no coup d'etat. I'm not super well versed on the situation, but I'm pretty sure various sources reported that armed protesters took over government buildings.
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On March 03 2014 09:14 caelym wrote: I'm curious about a few things regarding the current situation. How is the current "government" in Kiev legitimate when it violently overthrew a democratically elected leadership? Doesn't this set up a bad precedent where the opposition party can just resort to riling up a mob whenever they lose an election?
It didn't violently overthrow a democratically elected leadership. Unlike in the United States, the Ukrainian parliament has the power to dissolve the cabinet.
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On March 03 2014 09:21 caelym wrote:Show nested quote +On March 03 2014 09:18 Ghanburighan wrote:On March 03 2014 09:14 caelym wrote: I'm curious about a few things regarding the current situation. How is the current "government" in Kiev legitimate when it violently overthrew a democratically elected leadership? Doesn't this set up a bad precedent where the opposition party can just resort to riling up a mob whenever they lose an election? As has been discussed in this thread a large number of times, that's not an accurate description of the events. There was no coup d'etat. I'm not super well versed on the situation, but I'm pretty sure various sources reported that armed protesters took over government buildings.
This is a solid brief overview which has been retweeted by Radek Sikorski and other who were present in the negotiations, and were still in Kyiv when Yanukovich fled.
The people were victorious as a result of sheer physical courage. The EU foreign ministers who were supposed to be treated to a bloody spectacle saw something else: the successful defense of the Maidan. The horrifying massacre provoked a general sense of outrage, even among some of the people who had been Yanukovych’s allies. He did something he probably had not, when the day began, intended to do: he signed an agreement in which he promised not to use violence. His policemen understood, perhaps better than he, what this meant: the end of the regime. They melted away, and he ran for his life. Power shifted to parliament, where a new coalition of oppositionists and dissenters from Yanukovych’s party formed a majority. Reforms began, beginning with the constitution. Presidential elections were called for May. Source.
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On March 03 2014 07:31 Sub40APM wrote:Show nested quote +On March 03 2014 07:26 a-game wrote:On March 03 2014 06:00 Sub40APM wrote:On March 03 2014 05:44 a-game wrote: After doing some digging around on the issue, it seems a lot less alarming than the headlines would have had me believe. I highly doubt Russia will step foot in any other part of Ukraine than Crimea (where they already legally had a large military presence before this dispute). While it's clear Putin is staking out a claim on Crimea, Russian officials have been careful to clarify that they want Crimea to have autonomy but they are not asking for it to become a new nation separate from Ukraine.
The fact they are choosing their words carefully suggests this whole thing is a calculated power play, rather than an attempt to start a war. You must not have been digging to far though, Crimea has been an autonomous Republic since 1993. Which is why the current 'leader' of Crimea isnt a guy from the Party of the Regions -- the Eastern Party that Yanukovich was part off and won the plurality of the votes in the last Crimean Republican elections -- but instead is a quisling -- look that word up -- from something called "Russian Unity", a party that at the last round of elections won 4% of the vote. Yes I know Crimea already has some autonomy, let me correct my wording, "Russian officials have been careful to clarify that they want Crimea to have more autonomy, but they are not asking for it to become a new nation separate from Ukraine." My point is, the Russians are being delicate in a way, they know that if they asked for a new nation that would be too inflammatory. So while newspapers are claiming hands are hovering over red buttons, in reality, this is a calculated dance going on. Anymore autonomy and Crimea is independent. It already sets its own language policy, its own budget. The only thing it doesnt have are its own foreign minister and an armed force. And I am not sure how calculated the dance is, entering Ukrainian Army bases and at gunpoint disarming troops of an independent state is an act of war, no? It doesn't matter if it's an act of war, how many times has North Korea "declared" war without actually doing anything.
They are forcing Ukrainian bases in Crimea to stand down, and if the Ukrainian leaders were so inclined, they could decide those are grounds for a military conflict. But we all know that that's not going to happen. It's an embarrassing and emasculating incident for Ukraine, but everyone knows that they will accept a certain level of bullying without retaliating.
It would take a lot to get Ukraine to actually fight back (eg. asking for Crimea to be a new nation, or moving troops into the Ukraine mainland), and Russia is clearly stipulating that they aren't going to take it to that level.
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The salient point here is that the Parliament is still democratically elected. The people calling the shots are elected representatives, not random thugs staging a coup. Ukraine's system is semi-presidential, not fully parliamentary, so they're holding new presidential elections soon.
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I really hope the Ukranian people are doing ok. Our thoughts and prayers go out to everyone there during this difficult time. It really stinks that we have such a weak president in Obama. Putin would have never tried this with a president like George W. Bush.
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On March 03 2014 09:26 unigolyn wrote: The salient point here is that the Parliament is still democratically elected. The people calling the shots are elected representatives, not random thugs staging a coup. Ukraine's system is semi-presidential, not fully parliamentary, so they're holding new presidential elections soon. I can't help but feel that some MPs were heavily influenced by the presence of the mob of protesters.
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On March 03 2014 09:33 Joedaddy wrote: I really hope the Ukranian people are doing ok. Our thoughts and prayers go out to everyone there during this difficult time. It really stinks that we have such a weak president in Obama. Putin would have never tried this with a president like George W. Bush.
Poe's Law in full effect.
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On March 03 2014 09:34 caelym wrote:Show nested quote +On March 03 2014 09:26 unigolyn wrote: The salient point here is that the Parliament is still democratically elected. The people calling the shots are elected representatives, not random thugs staging a coup. Ukraine's system is semi-presidential, not fully parliamentary, so they're holding new presidential elections soon. I can't help but feel that some MPs were heavily influenced by the presence of the mob of protesters.
So you feel that they may have been pressured into following the letter of the law and accepted procedure, appointing an interim government and calling for speedy elections, after the current president fled the country after getting nearly a hundred civilians killed?
Your reservations seem awfully biased.
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On March 03 2014 09:19 unigolyn wrote:Show nested quote +On March 03 2014 09:10 xM(Z wrote:On March 03 2014 08:37 Eisregen wrote:On March 03 2014 08:32 xM(Z wrote:On March 03 2014 08:24 Eisregen wrote:On March 03 2014 08:20 LaNague wrote:On March 03 2014 07:41 xDaunt wrote: Nice job, Germany. Way to sanction bad behavior. we are like china, we dont care as long as we get the monies. Well, we do care, but we don't do anything else than talking, because u know 70 years ago we were bad bad boys and girls. On March 03 2014 08:23 xM(Z wrote: Germany should've sided with Russia from the beginning and ditch France and the whole EU mess. they would've had balls (borrowed, but still balls), energy assured and the ex-soviet states as market for its goods. now they're just having bitchy hissy fits 'cause their allies/EU have no real balls.
historically/territorially, EU is so messed up that if a war were to begin, you'll have like 20 states claiming territories from other 30. ex soviet states as a market? ah well...doubt that would be any good for us... you expanded EU towards the east; that means you went for the ex-communist block. at the moment, a lot of those states are your market. you just miss the balls You are missing the point. Poland, Russia, Chzech rep. are markets for german goods. Thats pretty much it. Slovakia may be there as well on a way lower rank as well etc. The german export is not that dependant on ex-sovjet states as you might want to believe, especially hitech products are NOT needed in many ex sovjet states yet. you can nitpick all you want. subjective evidence: before (Romania) entering the EU, i was seeing around me, wherever i went, french, italian, czech, spanish, english language adds; adds advertising firms from those countries. after that, >75% (made up percent but the base idea is = a lot of) of what i see around me, is made in germany. from second hand busses and trains we use for public transportation to pretty much every construction material there is; everything related to interior design, pharmaceuticals, cars and so on and so forth And we've been in the EU since 2004 and there's very little German stuff being sold here, way more Swedish, Finnish, and Polish goods. Pharmaceuticals, yes, but that's just because Germany is the largest producer of pharmaceuticals in the EU. It's natural that you're seeing more German goods considering the entire point of the EU is primarily trade. There are no tariffs on EU goods, so you're going to be importing EU goods. As to your "German" cars, I'm relatively sure they're not actually produced in Germany. A lot of them are actually produced in Slovakia, once they began serious reforms after 98 they actually started to industrialize quite well. Which is good news for Ukraine once they get their shit together -- so hopefully the elites will recognize that Putin's new race politics means that Russia could occupy anything from Kiev on East since Putin will always find 'Russians under threat from fascists' if he looks hard enough
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On March 03 2014 09:33 Joedaddy wrote: I really hope the Ukranian people are doing ok. Our thoughts and prayers go out to everyone there during this difficult time. It really stinks that we have such a weak president in Obama. Putin would have never tried this with a president like George W. Bush.
Absolutely -- Citizen of Georgia (the country, not the state)
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It's officially G7 now again:
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On March 03 2014 09:24 a-game wrote:Show nested quote +On March 03 2014 07:31 Sub40APM wrote:On March 03 2014 07:26 a-game wrote:On March 03 2014 06:00 Sub40APM wrote:On March 03 2014 05:44 a-game wrote: After doing some digging around on the issue, it seems a lot less alarming than the headlines would have had me believe. I highly doubt Russia will step foot in any other part of Ukraine than Crimea (where they already legally had a large military presence before this dispute). While it's clear Putin is staking out a claim on Crimea, Russian officials have been careful to clarify that they want Crimea to have autonomy but they are not asking for it to become a new nation separate from Ukraine.
The fact they are choosing their words carefully suggests this whole thing is a calculated power play, rather than an attempt to start a war. You must not have been digging to far though, Crimea has been an autonomous Republic since 1993. Which is why the current 'leader' of Crimea isnt a guy from the Party of the Regions -- the Eastern Party that Yanukovich was part off and won the plurality of the votes in the last Crimean Republican elections -- but instead is a quisling -- look that word up -- from something called "Russian Unity", a party that at the last round of elections won 4% of the vote. Yes I know Crimea already has some autonomy, let me correct my wording, "Russian officials have been careful to clarify that they want Crimea to have more autonomy, but they are not asking for it to become a new nation separate from Ukraine." My point is, the Russians are being delicate in a way, they know that if they asked for a new nation that would be too inflammatory. So while newspapers are claiming hands are hovering over red buttons, in reality, this is a calculated dance going on. Anymore autonomy and Crimea is independent. It already sets its own language policy, its own budget. The only thing it doesnt have are its own foreign minister and an armed force. And I am not sure how calculated the dance is, entering Ukrainian Army bases and at gunpoint disarming troops of an independent state is an act of war, no? It doesn't matter if it's an act of war, how many times has North Korea "declared" war without actually doing anything. They are forcing Ukrainian bases in Crimea to stand down, and if the Ukrainian leaders were so inclined, they could decide those are grounds for a military conflict. But we all know that that's not going to happen. It's an embarrassing and emasculating incident for Ukraine, but everyone knows that they will accept a certain level of bullying without retaliating. It would take a lot to get Ukraine to actually fight back (eg. asking for Crimea to be a new nation, or moving troops into the Ukraine mainland), and Russia is clearly stipulating that they aren't going to take it to that level. When the Germans rolled into Czechoslovakia it wasnt an act of war because the Czechs choose not to actively fight?
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The rule of Ukraine’s new leaders will “end with a new revolution” amid more bloodshed, Russia’s Prime Minister Dimitry Medvedev has predicted. In a Facebook post, he accused the new government in Kiev of “seizing power”, adding that while Viktor Yanukovich had practically no authority, he remained the legitimate head of state according the constitution. So far more Russians have beaten up in Russia by Russian police protesting Russian invasion of Ukraine than Russians in Ukraine from the 'fascist nazi junta'
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Full G7 statement:
We, the leaders of Canada, France, Germany, Italy, Japan, the United Kingdom and the United States and the President of the European Council and President of the European Commission, join together today to condemn the Russian Federation’s clear violation of the sovereignty and territorial integrity of Ukraine, in contravention of Russia’s obligations under the UN Charter and its 1997 basing agreement with Ukraine. We call on Russia to address any ongoing security or human rights concerns that it has with Ukraine through direct negotiations, and/or via international observation or mediation under the auspices of the UN or the Organization for Security and Cooperation in Europe. We stand ready to assist with these efforts. We also call on all parties concerned to behave with the greatest extent of self-restraint and responsibility, and to decrease the tensions. We note that Russia’s actions in Ukraine also contravene the principles and values on which the G-7 and the G-8 operate. As such, we have decided for the time being to suspend our participation in activities associated with the preparation of the scheduled G-8 Summit in Sochi in June, until the environment comes back where the G-8 is able to have meaningful discussion. We are united in supporting Ukraine’s sovereignty and territorial integrity, and its right to choose its own future. We commit ourselves to support Ukraine in its efforts to restore unity, stability, and political and economic health to the country. To that end, we will support Ukraine’s work with the International Monetary Fund to negotiate a new program and to implement needed reforms. IMF support will be critical in unlocking additional assistance from the World Bank, other international financial institutions, the EU, and bilateral sources. Source.
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On March 03 2014 09:33 Joedaddy wrote: I really hope the Ukranian people are doing ok. Our thoughts and prayers go out to everyone there during this difficult time. It really stinks that we have such a weak president in Obama. Putin would have never tried this with a president like George W. Bush.
Funniest thing I've read all day lol. Sure happened with Georgia when Saakashvili was hoping Bush would come rescue him after he decided killing South Ossetian civilians and Russian soldiers was a good idea.
Also, would you prefer Vlady does things the George W. Bush way and blow everything in Ukraine to smithereens just for the hell of it, maybe even throw in some imaginary WMDs, to conquer a place of strategic interest? hehe
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On March 03 2014 09:55 Ghanburighan wrote:Full G7 statement: Show nested quote +We, the leaders of Canada, France, Germany, Italy, Japan, the United Kingdom and the United States and the President of the European Council and President of the European Commission, join together today to condemn the Russian Federation’s clear violation of the sovereignty and territorial integrity of Ukraine, in contravention of Russia’s obligations under the UN Charter and its 1997 basing agreement with Ukraine. We call on Russia to address any ongoing security or human rights concerns that it has with Ukraine through direct negotiations, and/or via international observation or mediation under the auspices of the UN or the Organization for Security and Cooperation in Europe. We stand ready to assist with these efforts. We also call on all parties concerned to behave with the greatest extent of self-restraint and responsibility, and to decrease the tensions. We note that Russia’s actions in Ukraine also contravene the principles and values on which the G-7 and the G-8 operate. As such, we have decided for the time being to suspend our participation in activities associated with the preparation of the scheduled G-8 Summit in Sochi in June, until the environment comes back where the G-8 is able to have meaningful discussion. We are united in supporting Ukraine’s sovereignty and territorial integrity, and its right to choose its own future. We commit ourselves to support Ukraine in its efforts to restore unity, stability, and political and economic health to the country. To that end, we will support Ukraine’s work with the International Monetary Fund to negotiate a new program and to implement needed reforms. IMF support will be critical in unlocking additional assistance from the World Bank, other international financial institutions, the EU, and bilateral sources. Source. Thats interesting. So German Foreign Minister is not on the same page as the German Chancellor?
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http://www.theguardian.com/world/2014/mar/02/ukraine-crisis-russia-crimea-standoff
The Russians arrived at the base early in the morning with a blunt message: give up your weapons within the hour or face the consequences. But the elite Ukrainian battalion, based outside the Crimean town of Feodosia, told them politely but firmly to get lost.
"We gave an oath to the state of Ukraine, not an oath to one particular general, and certainly not one from another country," Major Rostislav Lomtev told the Guardian from inside the base. The Russians duly disappeared. But not for long. They would be back later. The resolution to this standoff remains precariously inconclusive.
As Major Lomtev in Feodosia put it: "We know a lot of them, because we have done a lot of joint exercises together and have close links with them. To be honest, I don't think they are very proud of the orders they are carrying out at the moment."
"Fuck off with your disgusting Ukraine," shouted one of the men, and she scurried off in distress. "I am so sad, so sad for Ukraine, it hurts to watch all of this, it's such an obvious provocation," she said, fighting back tears "I know that you westerners with your disgusting media will turn everything upside down, but thank God Putin is here to save us"
One marine, carrying his kalashnikov through the grounds of the base late in the evening, did not want to be identified but was happy to share his allegiances.
Asked what would happen if, next time, the Russians came with orders rather than requests, the men claimed to have no doubt. "I am Russian myself, I was born there," he said. "But we are professional soldiers and we have given an oath of duty. We will not give up this place without a fight."
Yes. I can see why Russians needed to surround and annex the Ukrainian bases. Its a positive hive of neo nazi fascists. I can just imagine the extermination of the innocent Russian race brave President Putin has prevented.
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On March 03 2014 10:05 Sub40APM wrote:Show nested quote +On March 03 2014 09:55 Ghanburighan wrote:Full G7 statement: We, the leaders of Canada, France, Germany, Italy, Japan, the United Kingdom and the United States and the President of the European Council and President of the European Commission, join together today to condemn the Russian Federation’s clear violation of the sovereignty and territorial integrity of Ukraine, in contravention of Russia’s obligations under the UN Charter and its 1997 basing agreement with Ukraine. We call on Russia to address any ongoing security or human rights concerns that it has with Ukraine through direct negotiations, and/or via international observation or mediation under the auspices of the UN or the Organization for Security and Cooperation in Europe. We stand ready to assist with these efforts. We also call on all parties concerned to behave with the greatest extent of self-restraint and responsibility, and to decrease the tensions. We note that Russia’s actions in Ukraine also contravene the principles and values on which the G-7 and the G-8 operate. As such, we have decided for the time being to suspend our participation in activities associated with the preparation of the scheduled G-8 Summit in Sochi in June, until the environment comes back where the G-8 is able to have meaningful discussion. We are united in supporting Ukraine’s sovereignty and territorial integrity, and its right to choose its own future. We commit ourselves to support Ukraine in its efforts to restore unity, stability, and political and economic health to the country. To that end, we will support Ukraine’s work with the International Monetary Fund to negotiate a new program and to implement needed reforms. IMF support will be critical in unlocking additional assistance from the World Bank, other international financial institutions, the EU, and bilateral sources. Source. Thats interesting. So German Foreign Minister is not on the same page as the German Chancellor?
They probably compromised with Germany for the G7 statement by excluding language referring to the Budapest Memorandum.
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On March 03 2014 10:05 Sub40APM wrote:Show nested quote +On March 03 2014 09:55 Ghanburighan wrote:Full G7 statement: We, the leaders of Canada, France, Germany, Italy, Japan, the United Kingdom and the United States and the President of the European Council and President of the European Commission, join together today to condemn the Russian Federation’s clear violation of the sovereignty and territorial integrity of Ukraine, in contravention of Russia’s obligations under the UN Charter and its 1997 basing agreement with Ukraine. We call on Russia to address any ongoing security or human rights concerns that it has with Ukraine through direct negotiations, and/or via international observation or mediation under the auspices of the UN or the Organization for Security and Cooperation in Europe. We stand ready to assist with these efforts. We also call on all parties concerned to behave with the greatest extent of self-restraint and responsibility, and to decrease the tensions. We note that Russia’s actions in Ukraine also contravene the principles and values on which the G-7 and the G-8 operate. As such, we have decided for the time being to suspend our participation in activities associated with the preparation of the scheduled G-8 Summit in Sochi in June, until the environment comes back where the G-8 is able to have meaningful discussion. We are united in supporting Ukraine’s sovereignty and territorial integrity, and its right to choose its own future. We commit ourselves to support Ukraine in its efforts to restore unity, stability, and political and economic health to the country. To that end, we will support Ukraine’s work with the International Monetary Fund to negotiate a new program and to implement needed reforms. IMF support will be critical in unlocking additional assistance from the World Bank, other international financial institutions, the EU, and bilateral sources. Source. Thats interesting. So German Foreign Minister is not on the same page as the German Chancellor?
What you say should be done =/= what you do in a group Proving that the G-7 can't even make a decission together would have been one of the most stupid things possible here, if "The West" wants to make any threats towards Russia in the future and stay believable then they have to be able to work together and actually make things happen together, I'm sure Merkel knows that. And as was mentioned before already by somebody else, I'm sure every other country knew exactly what statement Merkel would make in regards to the crisis, being in constant contact is pretty important in situations like these. Why she decided not to threaten and actually do something instead to calm the situation down (which may have actually been a success as you can see from a statement of the russian government in a post a bit earlier in this thread) can only be speculated on, since we can't be sure yet due to a lack of information in regards to that. Maybe the western powers need a good cop in this.
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