|
Read the rules in the OP before posting, please.In order to ensure that this thread continues to meet TL standards and follows the proper guidelines, we will be enforcing the rules in the OP more strictly. Be sure to give them a re-read to refresh your memory! The vast majority of you are contributing in a healthy way, keep it up! NOTE: When providing a source, explain why you feel it is relevant and what purpose it adds to the discussion if it's not obvious. Also take note that unsubstantiated tweets/posts meant only to rekindle old arguments can result in a mod action. |
On March 16 2016 08:38 Nyxisto wrote: are the delegates distributed by winner takes it all or do the candidates get the delegates proportionately?
Democrats are proportional with 15% to meet viability
Republicans are weird. Winner take all in FL and OH, sort of proportional though the person with the most votes gets the lion's share.
|
On March 16 2016 08:38 Nyxisto wrote: are the delegates distributed by winner takes it all or do the candidates get the delegates proportionately?
Depends on the party and state. Most Dem states: proportional. Most remaining GOP states: winner takes all. And then there's Illinois... I ain't gonna even attempt to explain that here.
|
|
|
Does Kasich have a chance if Rubio drops out or it's only between Cruz and Trump now?
|
On March 16 2016 08:40 Sent. wrote: Does Kasich have a chance if Rubio drops out or it's only between Cruz and Trump now?
Kasich needs to win 112% of the remaining delegates to get to 1237 (50%). That 112% was calculated before today's delegates were assigned. After Trump takes all of Florida's delegates ...
|
Katich's (incredibly unlikely) path to the presidency leads outside the Republican Party, methinks.
|
On March 16 2016 08:40 Sent. wrote: Does Kasich have a chance if Rubio drops out or it's only between Cruz and Trump now? Nobody has a chance of beating Trump, period. At this point they are fighting to prevent him from taking 50%+1 of the delegates.
|
On March 16 2016 08:45 Pr0wler wrote:Show nested quote +On March 16 2016 08:40 Sent. wrote: Does Kasich have a chance if Rubio drops out or it's only between Cruz and Trump now? Nobody has a chance of beating Trump, period. At this point they are fighting to prevent him from taking 50%+1 of the delegates.
Then somehow hoping he and the party will take it well if they take the nomination from the guy with by far the most delegates.
|
On March 16 2016 08:41 CannonsNCarriers wrote:Show nested quote +On March 16 2016 08:40 Sent. wrote: Does Kasich have a chance if Rubio drops out or it's only between Cruz and Trump now? Kasich needs to win 112% of the remaining delegates to get to 1237 (50%). That 112% was calculated before today's delegates were assigned. After Trump takes all of Florida's delegates ...
No. You need delegates to vote for you at the convention. Trump may not get the majority of the deletages.
They are probably, but not quite, bond to vote for Trump the first round. But the second round, more delegates can vote for anyone.
They can nominate Romney or Rubio. And why should delegates nominate someone they don't like, have no allegiance with, and whom they believe, based on polling, has no chance even against a weak democratic candidate.
If delegates are only allowed to vote for someone who they are 'bond' to, they can never elect a candidate when there is no one with a majority.
|
I find it admiring that people think Rubio knowingly chose to leave his Senate seat. He knew he wouldn't be able to hold on to it especially with his lack of voting record then he decided to run for President which has been a disaster so he gambled and lost. And if he/when he decided to run for Governor his opponents will have though great lines where he said the Government wasn't important when while he was there especially the Senate.
|
On March 16 2016 08:45 Pr0wler wrote:Show nested quote +On March 16 2016 08:40 Sent. wrote: Does Kasich have a chance if Rubio drops out or it's only between Cruz and Trump now? Nobody has a chance of beating Trump, period. At this point they are fighting to prevent him from taking 50%+1 of the delegates.
Dunno why they would do that. If they force that then end up picking someone else at the convention then the voters will be pissed (rightfully so) and that would hurt them greatly in general. Do you think the establishment would rather lose the general then nominate Trump?
|
a LOT of people said the republicans would rather lose this general then have Trump nominated. Wether that's a bluff is another question
|
On March 16 2016 08:48 Slaughter wrote:Show nested quote +On March 16 2016 08:45 Pr0wler wrote:On March 16 2016 08:40 Sent. wrote: Does Kasich have a chance if Rubio drops out or it's only between Cruz and Trump now? Nobody has a chance of beating Trump, period. At this point they are fighting to prevent him from taking 50%+1 of the delegates. Dunno why they would do that. If they force that then end up picking someone else at the convention then the voters will be pissed (rightfully so) and that would hurt them greatly in general. Do you think the establishment would rather lose the general then nominate Trump?
Short answer. Yes.
Long answer. They are terrified that his racism and bigotry will attract so many anti Trump voters that it will snowball them out of the majority in the Senate and greatly narrow there House majority so they would rather lose the White House with a safe candidate then risk losing everything with someone who they know will lose.
|
Cayman Islands24199 Posts
the gop 'establishment' is not a unified group anyway. the foreign policy guys will split and the more libertarian types too. but there's plenty of koch type to take advantage of trump, since power is always useful.
|
On March 16 2016 08:50 Adreme wrote:Show nested quote +On March 16 2016 08:48 Slaughter wrote:On March 16 2016 08:45 Pr0wler wrote:On March 16 2016 08:40 Sent. wrote: Does Kasich have a chance if Rubio drops out or it's only between Cruz and Trump now? Nobody has a chance of beating Trump, period. At this point they are fighting to prevent him from taking 50%+1 of the delegates. Dunno why they would do that. If they force that then end up picking someone else at the convention then the voters will be pissed (rightfully so) and that would hurt them greatly in general. Do you think the establishment would rather lose the general then nominate Trump? Short answer. Yes. Long answer. They are terrified that his racism and bigotry will attract so many anti Trump voters that it will snowball them out of the majority in the Senate and greatly narrow there House majority so they would rather lose the White House with a safe candidate then risk losing everything with someone who they know will lose.
I think if the establishment stopped fighting Trump and backed him they probably would have a decent shot at general. Their intense struggle against him to try to shoehorn in a long shot only hurts them.
|
I'm happy with these >1% reporting numbers. Let's just call that good and ship it.
|
Expect a Rubio drop out message pretty soon:
|
On March 16 2016 08:52 Slaughter wrote:Show nested quote +On March 16 2016 08:50 Adreme wrote:On March 16 2016 08:48 Slaughter wrote:On March 16 2016 08:45 Pr0wler wrote:On March 16 2016 08:40 Sent. wrote: Does Kasich have a chance if Rubio drops out or it's only between Cruz and Trump now? Nobody has a chance of beating Trump, period. At this point they are fighting to prevent him from taking 50%+1 of the delegates. Dunno why they would do that. If they force that then end up picking someone else at the convention then the voters will be pissed (rightfully so) and that would hurt them greatly in general. Do you think the establishment would rather lose the general then nominate Trump? Short answer. Yes. Long answer. They are terrified that his racism and bigotry will attract so many anti Trump voters that it will snowball them out of the majority in the Senate and greatly narrow there House majority so they would rather lose the White House with a safe candidate then risk losing everything with someone who they know will lose. I think if the establishment stopped fighting Trump and backed him they probably would have a decent shot at general. Their intense struggle against him to try to shoehorn in a long shot only hurts them.
They are not the reason that he can so arrogantly get up on a stage and lie to a group of people about his businesses for an hour. I know thats a strong word but he did he outright lied to them for an hour about things that he owned that he did not own and things that were his that were not his and it was laughable and a joke and aside from the racism and bigotry stuff like that is the reason that he can not win because the people who can see thru his con and its the large majority still would be ashamed of him as president and would never vote for him.
|
He lost, and lost big. The question is, does he think he has better Convention chances than Kasich?
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|