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[ASL] Round of 8 Groups

Forum Index > BW General
103 CommentsPost a Reply
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BigFan
Profile Blog Joined December 2010
TLADT24920 Posts
December 27 2016 12:31 GMT
#1

[image loading]

Afreeca Starleague Season 2
Group A: Monday, Jan 02 10:30am GMT (GMT+00:00)


(Wiki)Afreeca Starleague Season 2
[image loading]


Facebook Twitter Reddit
Former BW EiC"Watch Bakemonogatari or I will kill you." -Toad, April 18th, 2017
FlaShFTW
Profile Blog Joined February 2010
United States10155 Posts
December 27 2016 12:33 GMT
#2
So far the reactions have been Guemchi contemplating existence and Stork being super quiet on his stream with a lot of sighing.
Writer#1 KT and FlaSh Fanboy || Woo Jung Ho Never Forget || Teamliquid Political Decision Desk
TL+ Member
Grettin
Profile Joined April 2010
42381 Posts
December 27 2016 12:41 GMT
#3
Bisu,Hero, Flash and Jaedong to advance!
"If I had force-fields in Brood War, I'd never lose." -Bisu
BigFan
Profile Blog Joined December 2010
TLADT24920 Posts
December 27 2016 12:42 GMT
#4
^ would be great!
Former BW EiC"Watch Bakemonogatari or I will kill you." -Toad, April 18th, 2017
StarscreamG1
Profile Joined February 2011
Portugal1653 Posts
December 27 2016 12:50 GMT
#5
What a wonderful bracket <3
When will the games being played?
neilmellor
Profile Joined December 2010
China49 Posts
December 27 2016 12:50 GMT
#6
JD has only chance against Stork of qualifying to Ro4 and he got this draw. He would be a happy man now.
neilmellor
Profile Joined December 2010
China49 Posts
December 27 2016 12:51 GMT
#7
On December 27 2016 21:50 StarscreamG1 wrote:
What a wonderful bracket <3
When will the games being played?


The dates are given on the picture. The time will be 7 p.m. of KST, i guess.
TheFoReveRwaR
Profile Blog Joined May 2006
United States10657 Posts
Last Edited: 2016-12-27 12:55:32
December 27 2016 12:54 GMT
#8
All of these games are dreams. It almost seems like the picks were rigged
I don't truly think that but they are a dream come true for bw fans. Especially when you consider the ro4.
Being healthy, it has been said, really consists of having the same disease as everybody else.
SCC-Faust
Profile Blog Joined November 2007
United States3736 Posts
December 27 2016 12:59 GMT
#9
I feel like this was the second best case scenario for hero. I'm very excited for the ro8.

In the month of novemBer hero has gone 6-3 against Best, 7-3 against Bisu, and 5-1 against GuemChi.

I'm really rooting for hero to win this all.
I want to fuck Soulkey with a Zelderan.
TheFoReveRwaR
Profile Blog Joined May 2006
United States10657 Posts
December 27 2016 13:00 GMT
#10
On December 27 2016 21:33 FlaShFTW wrote:
So far the reactions have been Guemchi contemplating existence and Stork being super quiet on his stream with a lot of sighing.

Lol..it makes sense. I feel bad for both of them. Quite possibly the worst result both could have hoped for. Like I said before Stork has never been too strong PvZ. Especially versus a zerg like Jaedong, despite Jae not being in top form hes a demon for a reactionary micro based protoss like Stork.

And as far as Guemchi vs Flash. It's a A class P's worst nightmare. I would expect Guemchi to try something cute...and I would imagine flash will counter is beautifully. Such is the will of the universe
Being healthy, it has been said, really consists of having the same disease as everybody else.
Favian[PaiN]
Profile Joined April 2014
United States75 Posts
December 27 2016 13:03 GMT
#11
Is BO3 or BO5?
TheFoReveRwaR
Profile Blog Joined May 2006
United States10657 Posts
December 27 2016 13:04 GMT
#12
On December 27 2016 21:59 SCC-Faust wrote:
I feel like this was the second best case scenario for hero. I'm very excited for the ro8.

In the month of novemBer hero has gone 6-3 against Best, 7-3 against Bisu, and 5-1 against GuemChi.

I'm really rooting for hero to win this all.

I really think we will see Hero struggling as the protoss prepare more precise builds against his specific play. Protoss can see very clearly the timings of zerg and exploit them. The more information they have the harder it is for the zerg to react.
Being healthy, it has been said, really consists of having the same disease as everybody else.
neilmellor
Profile Joined December 2010
China49 Posts
December 27 2016 13:08 GMT
#13
On December 27 2016 22:03 Favian[PaiN] wrote:
Is BO3 or BO5?


bo5
sabas123
Profile Blog Joined December 2010
Netherlands3122 Posts
December 27 2016 14:12 GMT
#14
This bracket is so insane, I guess this is the final battle for TaekBangLeeSsang?
The harder it becomes, the more you should focus on the basics.
zyce
Profile Blog Joined March 2011
United States649 Posts
December 27 2016 14:31 GMT
#15
It's amazing how TBLS is split apart into four groups - I'd be tempted to say it was a "perfect" draw. I'd rather see some of them matched up together before it's too late. Hopefully they all advance in storybook fashion, but it's been a weird season.

Bisu and Flash seem a cut above the rest, though. TBLS for life.
Beauty is not the goal of competitive sports, but high-level sports are a prime venue for the expression of human beauty. The relation is roughly that of courage to war.
FrostedMiniWheats
Profile Joined August 2010
United States30730 Posts
December 27 2016 14:37 GMT
#16
Flash vs Jaedong semis :x
NesTea | Mvp | MC | Leenock | Losira | Gumiho | DRG | Taeja | Jinro | Stephano | Thorzain | Sen | Idra |Polt | Bomber | Symbol | Squirtle | Fantasy | Jaedong | Maru | sOs | Seed | ByuN | ByuL | Neeb| Scarlett | Rogue | IM forever
PuckSama.
Profile Joined December 2016
23 Posts
December 27 2016 14:41 GMT
#17
What a RO8... I don't know if I've ever seen this level before... You change Guemchi by Effort and it's just just the most insane RO8 ever =D
TheFoReveRwaR
Profile Blog Joined May 2006
United States10657 Posts
Last Edited: 2016-12-27 14:44:06
December 27 2016 14:43 GMT
#18
On December 27 2016 23:41 PuckSama. wrote:
What a RO8... I don't know if I've ever seen this level before... You change Guemchi by Effort and it's just just the most insane RO8 ever =D

At some point you have to acknowledge effort's inability to preform when it matters in the post kespa era. He's simply not the best right now despite his practice results.
Being healthy, it has been said, really consists of having the same disease as everybody else.
bovienchien
Profile Joined March 2014
Vietnam1152 Posts
December 27 2016 14:46 GMT
#19
Sea, Best, Flash and Jaedong to advance!

https://www.facebook.com/StarcraftRemasteredVN/
thezanursic
Profile Blog Joined July 2011
5479 Posts
December 27 2016 14:51 GMT
#20
herO vs Flash finals

Calling it here.

herO is going to rape BeSt with his superior ZvP and then he is going to beat Bisu in a close game, move on to finals and get raped by Flash
http://i45.tinypic.com/9j2cdc.jpg Let it be so!
endy
Profile Blog Joined May 2009
Switzerland8970 Posts
December 27 2016 14:52 GMT
#21
I was hoping for a TBLS Ro4. Also no FvJ finals.
But we can't really complain, all matchups are pretty good, no hero vs JD ZvZ or other dumb mirrors.

Hype Hype Hype
ॐ
TheFoReveRwaR
Profile Blog Joined May 2006
United States10657 Posts
December 27 2016 14:53 GMT
#22
On December 27 2016 23:51 thezanursic wrote:
herO vs Flash finals

Calling it here.

herO is going to rape BeSt with his superior ZvP and then he is going to beat Bisu in a close game, move on to finals and get raped by Flash

Ill give you two to one odds on this
Being healthy, it has been said, really consists of having the same disease as everybody else.
iamho
Profile Joined June 2009
United States3347 Posts
December 27 2016 14:57 GMT
#23
According to this thread hero had second best stream record against Flash in November after Last
ZidaneTribal
Profile Joined September 2007
United States2800 Posts
December 27 2016 15:07 GMT
#24
last time people slept on guemchi he destroyed FPL
fuck lag
thezanursic
Profile Blog Joined July 2011
5479 Posts
December 27 2016 15:10 GMT
#25
On December 27 2016 23:53 TheFoReveRwaR wrote:
Show nested quote +
On December 27 2016 23:51 thezanursic wrote:
herO vs Flash finals

Calling it here.

herO is going to rape BeSt with his superior ZvP and then he is going to beat Bisu in a close game, move on to finals and get raped by Flash

Ill give you two to one odds on this

A lot can happen definitely. Stork or Jaedong COULD upset Flash.

Sea could upset Bisu (probably not), BeSt could upset herO, Bisu could take the series vs herO and I wouldn't be surprised.

I simply think that, that final is the most likely, it won't necessarily happen, if I had to bet I'd bet on Flash vs herO, however I rather wouldn't be at all
http://i45.tinypic.com/9j2cdc.jpg Let it be so!
L1ghtning
Profile Joined July 2013
Sweden353 Posts
December 27 2016 15:26 GMT
#26
Bisu, hero, Flash, JD.

Best is the only underdog who really have a good chance of winning. Sea too maybe. I think he was underrated by pretty much everybody, going into this. It's funny how everybody were saying that he was the weakest seeded player, and he was the only one who made it. But still, it's Bisu. I think Sea is strong enough to challenge Bisu, but I will be surprised if he wins. I think the A and B series will be great, while the C and D series look completely one-sided, and I expect it to really hurt the quality of the games. Flash will not lose for sure. JD could lose if Stork comes up with some great strats, which he's certainly capable of, but a lot of things would have to fall in place for him to win a whole series.

It's shaping up into a Flash vs Bisu finals, which is exactly what I wanted.
Vuk_91
Profile Joined September 2010
Serbia1690 Posts
December 27 2016 15:27 GMT
#27
-I actually think that Sea has a decent chance against Bisu (like 20%). His TvP seems to be pretty good at the moment.
-Best's PvZ is amazing, but still I give Hero like 60% to advance.
-Yeah.. Flash..
-I doubt that Stork can win against JD, I give about the same chance to him as I do to Sea.
PuckSama.
Profile Joined December 2016
23 Posts
Last Edited: 2016-12-27 15:34:59
December 27 2016 15:33 GMT
#28
On December 27 2016 23:43 TheFoReveRwaR wrote:
Show nested quote +
On December 27 2016 23:41 PuckSama. wrote:
What a RO8... I don't know if I've ever seen this level before... You change Guemchi by Effort and it's just just the most insane RO8 ever =D

At some point you have to acknowledge effort's inability to preform when it matters in the post kespa era. He's simply not the best right now despite his practice results.


I'm not totaly agree with you, it's difficult to judge the level of Effort in a group stage with BO1 format. In the post kespa era he has already won a major tournament beating great players like Zero and Bisu.

I like Guemchi, he's good player and he deserved his place but I would be much more excited in a bo3/bo5 Flash vs Effort rather than Flash vs Guemchi. Btw it's just my opinion !

Prediction : Bisu, Hero, Flash, JD => Bisu, Flash => Bisu
neptunusfisk
Profile Blog Joined July 2012
2286 Posts
December 27 2016 15:33 GMT
#29
On December 27 2016 23:51 thezanursic wrote:
herO vs Flash finals, Calling it here.

herO is going to rape BeSt with his superior ZvP and then he is going to beat Bisu in a close game, move on to finals and get raped by Flash


using both "calling it" and "rape" in 2016
maru G5L pls
handsomeTom
Profile Joined February 2015
Canada6 Posts
December 27 2016 15:42 GMT
#30
On December 27 2016 23:51 thezanursic wrote:
herO vs Flash finals

Calling it here.

herO is going to rape BeSt with his superior ZvP and then he is going to beat Bisu in a close game, move on to finals and get raped by Flash

Please do not use rape.

You should use "Wrecked" or any other word
thezanursic
Profile Blog Joined July 2011
5479 Posts
Last Edited: 2016-12-27 16:31:01
December 27 2016 16:28 GMT
#31
On December 28 2016 00:33 neptunusfisk wrote:
Show nested quote +
On December 27 2016 23:51 thezanursic wrote:
herO vs Flash finals, Calling it here.

herO is going to rape BeSt with his superior ZvP and then he is going to beat Bisu in a close game, move on to finals and get raped by Flash


using both "calling it" and "rape" in 2016

Dictating language in >Current year<

On December 28 2016 00:42 handsomeTom wrote:
Show nested quote +
On December 27 2016 23:51 thezanursic wrote:
herO vs Flash finals

Calling it here.

herO is going to rape BeSt with his superior ZvP and then he is going to beat Bisu in a close game, move on to finals and get raped by Flash

Please do not use rape.

You should use "Wrecked" or any other word


Not unless it's against forum rules, Bisu will sodomize Sea, there is no better word for it.
http://i45.tinypic.com/9j2cdc.jpg Let it be so!
CUTtheCBC
Profile Joined December 2016
Canada91 Posts
December 27 2016 16:40 GMT
#32
please don't use 'rape', even if it's not specifically against forum rules

Jaedong / Hero / Bisu / Flash t4

but Jaedong is most likely to get 'upset' imo, he's really rusty atm!!!!
Brood War's Back, YEA!
thezanursic
Profile Blog Joined July 2011
5479 Posts
Last Edited: 2016-12-27 16:45:43
December 27 2016 16:43 GMT
#33
On December 28 2016 01:40 CUTtheCBC wrote:
please don't use 'rape', even if it's not specifically against forum rules

Jaedong / Hero / Bisu / Flash t4

but Jaedong is most likely to get 'upset' imo, he's really rusty atm!!!!

No, unless one of the forum moderators/admins openly states using the word "rape" in any context is against forum rules, of their privately run website, and that the rule will be globaly enforced, no. I don't see a point in needlessly censoring myself.

Should we stop using the words "killed" "murdered" as well when talking in the context of Brood War because of "reasons"? Censoring words is precisely what gives them power over people.
http://i45.tinypic.com/9j2cdc.jpg Let it be so!
neptunusfisk
Profile Blog Joined July 2012
2286 Posts
December 27 2016 16:50 GMT
#34
On December 28 2016 01:43 thezanursic wrote:
Show nested quote +
On December 28 2016 01:40 CUTtheCBC wrote:
please don't use 'rape', even if it's not specifically against forum rules

Jaedong / Hero / Bisu / Flash t4

but Jaedong is most likely to get 'upset' imo, he's really rusty atm!!!!

No, unless one of the forum moderators/admins openly states using the word "rape" in any context is against forum rules, of their privately run website, and that the rule will be globaly enforced, no. I don't see a point in needlessly censoring myself.

Should we stop using the words "killed" "murdered" as well when talking in the context of Brood War because of "reasons"? Censoring words is precisely what gives them power over people.


Your reasoning is stupid and moronic
maru G5L pls
anandworld
Profile Joined December 2016
24 Posts
December 27 2016 16:51 GMT
#35
Most people no longer use rape in the same way most people don't use gay as a pejorative ("that DT rush is so gay"). Its certainly within your right to use that word as a synonym but there's a reason why that sort of language is often associated with teenage Call of Duty players.
2Pacalypse-
Profile Joined October 2006
Croatia9501 Posts
December 27 2016 16:53 GMT
#36
Guys, let me stop you right there. This is not the place to have this discussion.
Moderator"We're a community of geniuses because we've found how to extract 95% of the feeling of doing something amazing without actually doing anything." - Chill
thezanursic
Profile Blog Joined July 2011
5479 Posts
Last Edited: 2016-12-27 17:09:19
December 27 2016 17:03 GMT
#37
+ Show Spoiler +
On December 28 2016 01:50 neptunusfisk wrote:
Show nested quote +
On December 28 2016 01:43 thezanursic wrote:
On December 28 2016 01:40 CUTtheCBC wrote:
please don't use 'rape', even if it's not specifically against forum rules

Jaedong / Hero / Bisu / Flash t4

but Jaedong is most likely to get 'upset' imo, he's really rusty atm!!!!

No, unless one of the forum moderators/admins openly states using the word "rape" in any context is against forum rules, of their privately run website, and that the rule will be globaly enforced, no. I don't see a point in needlessly censoring myself.

Should we stop using the words "killed" "murdered" as well when talking in the context of Brood War because of "reasons"? Censoring words is precisely what gives them power over people.


Your reasoning is stupid and moronic

Not an argument

On December 28 2016 01:51 anandworld wrote:
Most people no longer use rape in the same way most people don't use gay as a pejorative ("that DT rush is so gay"). Its certainly within your right to use that word as a synonym but there's a reason why that sort of language is often associated with teenage Call of Duty players.

It can be associated with whatever it wants to be, I don't partake in politically correct language, funnily enough I used to be more politically correct as a teenager than I am now, once I stepped into the real world, got a chance to actually interact with real human beings, several of them actually experiencing rape or being gay, I learned that limiting and mandating language protects nobody, except for the easily offended.

I really don't mind talking about it, over PM,

but that's enough of that, 2pac is right, this isn't the forum to discuss this.


On December 28 2016 01:53 2Pacalypse- wrote:
Guys, let me stop you right there. This is not the place to have this discussion.


Okay, but to be clear. At the moment TL does not mandate language use in any context as long as it's not expressly hateful?
http://i45.tinypic.com/9j2cdc.jpg Let it be so!
HerbMon
Profile Blog Joined June 2009
United States460 Posts
December 27 2016 17:08 GMT
#38
Now the games will be interesting. :D
How we will win in the period ahead.
valaki
Profile Joined June 2009
Hungary2476 Posts
December 27 2016 17:29 GMT
#39
What's with the 3-6-9 poster guys telling others what to use?

Anyways, hoping for a Bisu-herO-Flash-JD Ro4
ggaemo fan
WGT-Baal
Profile Blog Joined June 2008
France3363 Posts
December 27 2016 18:18 GMT
#40
Good i m off on Jan 3rd! Great draw!
Horang2 fan
AdelSC123
Profile Joined March 2010
France362 Posts
Last Edited: 2016-12-27 18:50:26
December 27 2016 18:39 GMT
#41
Unless Bisu engage his slump mode I cant see Sea getting out victorious in a BO5 against Bisu, if Bisu isnt in slump mode I'm expecting this to be (trigger warning) total rape but as a Bisu fan I can't erase the memory of Bisu slumps. 87.5-12.5 Bisu wins.

I dont think people are giving Best enough credit, I can see him take out hero. Id rather have a Bisu vs Hero semi but I really have no idea who will advance here. 55-45 Hero wins.

Poor Mang, but Im pretty sure I would be saying the same thing if he was matched with anyone else I feel like he is a class behind every player in the RO8. 90-10 Flash wins

I'll to give this to JD, I feel like JD's current skills might be overrated but I don't see much fire inside Stork right now and you definitely need that to beat JD. If Stork can find a way to ignite the fire inside him then I'll give it to him as JD doesn't look as spotless as he should currently. 70-30 JD wins.

I expect the Finals to be Bisu vs Flash, they are both scary in all matchups. Bisu doesnt have a bad record against Flash and when Bisu is at his best I believe that he is better than Flash but Flash is way more consistent so I'm really excited if this ends up being the finals.
outscar
Profile Joined September 2014
2832 Posts
Last Edited: 2016-12-27 18:49:26
December 27 2016 18:41 GMT
#42
ASL brackets > Blizzcon SC2 brackets (where they matched two ONLY terrans who got into tournament against each other lul)

And also what's up with ppl with 3 and 9 posting history dictating here ppl who have been posting forever which words to use or not? In other hand I agree just because none of these guys are weak, none of them gonna get destroyed if they got this far. Even if someone gonna lose 0-3 at finals this doesn't mean he got raped. If Last advanced and met Flash would it be appropriate saying that Last gonna rape Flash again like last time? Think about it.
sunbeams are never made like me...
Marl
Profile Joined January 2010
United States692 Posts
Last Edited: 2016-12-29 08:11:09
December 27 2016 18:47 GMT
#43
User was warned for this post
StylishVODs
Profile Joined December 2005
Sweden5331 Posts
December 27 2016 18:48 GMT
#44
Haha, like the most awesome brackets ever! Although it would have been even better had Stork and Jaedong had another year of playing BW.
According to Reach, he is the fastest learner he has ever seen. He start bw only like 2/3 years ago. Infact, his bw history knowledge is so limited, he didn't even know what the map Guillotine was.
onlystar
Profile Joined March 2015
United States971 Posts
December 27 2016 19:51 GMT
#45
Bisu vs Flash finals its turning out an amazing post kespa rivarly
KingofdaHipHop
Profile Blog Joined October 2013
United States25602 Posts
December 27 2016 20:06 GMT
#46
holy shit is this a tournament or what
Rain | herO | sOs | Dear | Neeb | ByuN | INnoVation | Dream | ForGG | Maru | ByuL | Golden | Solar | Soulkey | Scarlett!!!
gngfn
Profile Joined January 2009
United States1726 Posts
December 27 2016 20:13 GMT
#47
As far as I can tell, there has only ever been one other standard individual league with all of TBLS in the Ro8. That was Bacchus OSL 2008, where Flash famously defeated all three of the other members to take first place. The first game of the quarterfinals took place on February 15, 2008--nearly nine years ago.

Including less prominent leagues, this phenomenon occurred most recently during WCG Korea 2009. There, the top three were Bisu, Stork, and Jaedong. (Flash lost to Bisu in the Ro8.) It also happened in the GomTV Star Invitational, where Flash's victory hinted at the eventual outcome of Bacchus '08.
Crunchums
Profile Blog Joined December 2008
United States11144 Posts
December 27 2016 20:19 GMT
#48
damn that is a sexy looking bracket
brood war for life, brood war forever
TAKK.borg
Profile Joined December 2013
Croatia93 Posts
December 27 2016 20:25 GMT
#49
Are map already picked? Cant see anything on liquipedia.
I hope for more Benzene action, such a good map, I cant stop playing it!
Vuk_91
Profile Joined September 2010
Serbia1690 Posts
December 27 2016 20:26 GMT
#50
Wow, people seriously believe that Bisu can defeat Flash in a bo5?
FlaShFTW
Profile Blog Joined February 2010
United States10155 Posts
December 27 2016 20:29 GMT
#51
The idea of best beating hero is so absurd in a bo5. Please go look at their winrates both in post kespa and kespa. Its not even close. Best will be fortunate to take one game off hero. Beating a rusty af jaedong in a bo1 twice doesnt tell me his pvz has improved at all.
Writer#1 KT and FlaSh Fanboy || Woo Jung Ho Never Forget || Teamliquid Political Decision Desk
TL+ Member
Freezard
Profile Blog Joined April 2007
Sweden1011 Posts
December 27 2016 20:33 GMT
#52
This ASL has been so much better than last season, season 1 felt more like an appetizer. I'm surprised by the production quality and I'm loving the choice of music, it really gives me vibes of the former OSL/MSLs. The crowd in the RO16 has also been impressive and I can't wait to see the future of BW, looks like the revival is for real and I'm hoping others will join in Afreeca so that perhaps there will be two starleagues again.
Crisium
Profile Blog Joined February 2010
United States1618 Posts
Last Edited: 2016-12-27 20:56:34
December 27 2016 20:52 GMT
#53
Bisu
Hero
Flash
Stork

Bisu
Stork

Stork

Disappointed we didn't get a TvZ. I know it would have meant a PvP, but that's fine as we would have gotten all 3 non-mirror matches if we swapped Guemchi and Hero. Ah well. We could get a TvZ if Sea beats Bisu or Jaedong beats Stork.

Yes, I think that Flash > Guemchi and Hero > Best are nearly sure things. The other 2 are closer, imo.
Broodwar and Stork forever! List of BW players with most Ro16, Ro8: http://tinyurl.com/BWRo16-Ro8
Lucumo
Profile Joined January 2010
6850 Posts
December 27 2016 20:57 GMT
#54
On December 27 2016 23:52 endy wrote:
I was hoping for a TBLS Ro4.
But we can't really complain, all matchups are pretty good, no hero vs JD ZvZ or other dumb mirrors.

Hype Hype Hype

Yep, I can agree with this.

On December 28 2016 03:18 WGT-Baal wrote:
Good i m off on Jan 3rd! Great draw!

Lucky bastard.
RouaF
Profile Joined October 2010
France4120 Posts
December 27 2016 21:01 GMT
#55
My boy flash with an easy road to the finals, haha ! I hope Best will show us the same level of pvz he did against jaedong. Same for sea he showed good tvp !
I don't think stork has any chance at all, if he somehow wins he will get destroyed by flash.

Prediction :
Bisu
hero
flash
jaedong

Flash
Bisu

Flash
Crisium
Profile Blog Joined February 2010
United States1618 Posts
Last Edited: 2016-12-27 21:35:24
December 27 2016 21:02 GMT
#56
On December 28 2016 05:13 gngfn wrote:
As far as I can tell, there has only ever been one other standard individual league with all of TBLS in the Ro8. That was Bacchus OSL 2008, where Flash famously defeated all three of the other members to take first place. The first game of the quarterfinals took place on February 15, 2008--nearly nine years ago.

Including less prominent leagues, this phenomenon occurred most recently during WCG Korea 2009. There, the top three were Bisu, Stork, and Jaedong. (Flash lost to Bisu in the Ro8.) It also happened in the GomTV Star Invitational, where Flash's victory hinted at the eventual outcome of Bacchus '08.


http://wiki.teamliquid.net/starcraft/EVER2007_OSL
and
http://wiki.teamliquid.net/starcraft/2008_Bacchus_OSL

Were the only 2 ever. They also had 3/4 TBLS make the top 4, and ended as one would expect (Stork silver both).

2008 Bachhus OSL Ro8 also contains 5 of the players in ASL Season 2 Ro8! So does http://wiki.teamliquid.net/starcraft/2009_Batoo_OSL !

Seriously, this top 8 is as good as any ever, even though it may be questionable how far from peak form some of them are, these could have fit in anywhere from 2007-2012 Pro BW. Only Guemchi never making a Ro8 in pro-BW really stands out.
Broodwar and Stork forever! List of BW players with most Ro16, Ro8: http://tinyurl.com/BWRo16-Ro8
blade55555
Profile Blog Joined March 2009
United States17423 Posts
December 27 2016 21:30 GMT
#57
I feel like Jaedong can beat Stork and got a nice draw. Unfortunately, no matter how much i wish was the case, I know that Jaedong still isn't in top form and hasn't had as much time as Flash to get back into it, so if they both do meet in the semifinals, I won't be surprised for a 3-0 flash .

Hoping Jaedong does beat Stork and somehow surprises in the semi finals though.
When I think of something else, something will go here
duke91
Profile Joined April 2014
Germany1458 Posts
December 27 2016 21:33 GMT
#58
On December 28 2016 06:02 Crisium wrote:
Show nested quote +
On December 28 2016 05:13 gngfn wrote:
As far as I can tell, there has only ever been one other standard individual league with all of TBLS in the Ro8. That was Bacchus OSL 2008, where Flash famously defeated all three of the other members to take first place. The first game of the quarterfinals took place on February 15, 2008--nearly nine years ago.

Including less prominent leagues, this phenomenon occurred most recently during WCG Korea 2009. There, the top three were Bisu, Stork, and Jaedong. (Flash lost to Bisu in the Ro8.) It also happened in the GomTV Star Invitational, where Flash's victory hinted at the eventual outcome of Bacchus '08.


http://wiki.teamliquid.net/starcraft/EVER2007_OSL
and
http://wiki.teamliquid.net/starcraft/2008_Bacchus_OSL

Were the only 2 ever. They also had 3/4 TBLS make the top 4, and ended as one would expect (Stork silver both).

2008 Bachhus OSL Ro8 also contains 5 of the players in ASL Season 2 Ro8! So does http://wiki.teamliquid.net/starcraft/2009_Batoo_OSL !

Seriously, this top 8 is as good as any ever, even though it may be questionable how far from peak form some of them are, these could have fit in anywhere from 2007-2012 Pro BW. Only Guemchi never making a Ro8 in pro-BW really stands out (or Bisu never making a Ro8 after early 2009 ).


Given that JD and Bisu already won against Stork with a Ro8 TBLS, it could only mean that Bisu vs Stork will be the final, with Bisu being the winner and Stork getting silver.
( ͡° ͜ʖ ͡°)STYLE START SBENU( ͡° ͜ʖ ͡°)
Improvement
Profile Joined March 2003
203 Posts
December 28 2016 00:21 GMT
#59
Wow, just wow. This tournament is so great.

My predictions:

Bisu vs Sea (65/35)
Hero vs Best (75/25)

Flash vs Guemchi (90/10) Poor Guemchi, going to get raped for sure :/
Jaedong vs Stork (70/30)

Hoping for Bisu vs Flash finals. But anything would be great tbh.
Hmm
Starlightsun
Profile Blog Joined June 2016
United States1405 Posts
December 28 2016 01:28 GMT
#60
Best vs Flash finals
Archaeo
Profile Blog Joined December 2009
United States397 Posts
December 28 2016 02:04 GMT
#61
ZvZ finals let's go! Hero v. JD
Yo my chingu!!!
darktreb
Profile Joined May 2007
United States3016 Posts
December 28 2016 02:34 GMT
#62
On December 27 2016 23:43 TheFoReveRwaR wrote:
Show nested quote +
On December 27 2016 23:41 PuckSama. wrote:
What a RO8... I don't know if I've ever seen this level before... You change Guemchi by Effort and it's just just the most insane RO8 ever =D

At some point you have to acknowledge effort's inability to preform when it matters in the post kespa era. He's simply not the best right now despite his practice results.


Umm ... he won an SSL/ASL just one year ago. Against Bisu in the finals no less.

He gets knocked out early in the next two leagues and suddenly it's "inability to perform in the post kespa era"? That's asinine.
FlaShFTW
Profile Blog Joined February 2010
United States10155 Posts
Last Edited: 2016-12-28 02:58:11
December 28 2016 02:53 GMT
#63
On December 28 2016 11:34 darktreb wrote:
Show nested quote +
On December 27 2016 23:43 TheFoReveRwaR wrote:
On December 27 2016 23:41 PuckSama. wrote:
What a RO8... I don't know if I've ever seen this level before... You change Guemchi by Effort and it's just just the most insane RO8 ever =D

At some point you have to acknowledge effort's inability to preform when it matters in the post kespa era. He's simply not the best right now despite his practice results.


Umm ... he won an SSL/ASL just one year ago. Against Bisu in the finals no less.

He gets knocked out early in the next two leagues and suddenly it's "inability to perform in the post kespa era"? That's asinine.

if i were you id go to liquipedia and look at how many times he gets knocked out of online tournaments as well. out of like the 5-6 tournaments hes been in, he won 1, placed 2nd at another, and the other 4 got knocked out of the groupstages.

Let's take a look here starting from most recent:
ASL2: Round of 24 exit (out of 24)
Thrill SL: Ro16 exit (out of 16)
NalRa SL: Ro8 exit (out of 8 players)
ASL1: Ro16 exit (out of 16)
41 Ranking: Ro8 exit (out of 12 players)
Terror NINUS: 2nd (out of 16)
41 SL: Ro32 exit (out of 32)
VANT: Winner (out of 32)
Writer#1 KT and FlaSh Fanboy || Woo Jung Ho Never Forget || Teamliquid Political Decision Desk
TL+ Member
art_of_turtle
Profile Blog Joined September 2012
United States1183 Posts
December 28 2016 03:19 GMT
#64
I'm throwing my liquibet towards Guemchi. This guy has single handedly killed every group I have betted against him.
Flash should fear Sacsri
darktreb
Profile Joined May 2007
United States3016 Posts
Last Edited: 2016-12-28 03:31:35
December 28 2016 03:29 GMT
#65
On December 28 2016 11:53 FlaShFTW wrote:
Show nested quote +
On December 28 2016 11:34 darktreb wrote:
On December 27 2016 23:43 TheFoReveRwaR wrote:
On December 27 2016 23:41 PuckSama. wrote:
What a RO8... I don't know if I've ever seen this level before... You change Guemchi by Effort and it's just just the most insane RO8 ever =D

At some point you have to acknowledge effort's inability to preform when it matters in the post kespa era. He's simply not the best right now despite his practice results.


Umm ... he won an SSL/ASL just one year ago. Against Bisu in the finals no less.

He gets knocked out early in the next two leagues and suddenly it's "inability to perform in the post kespa era"? That's asinine.

if i were you id go to liquipedia and look at how many times he gets knocked out of online tournaments as well. out of like the 5-6 tournaments hes been in, he won 1, placed 2nd at another, and the other 4 got knocked out of the groupstages.

Let's take a look here starting from most recent:
ASL2: Round of 24 exit (out of 24)
Thrill SL: Ro16 exit (out of 16)
NalRa SL: Ro8 exit (out of 8 players)
ASL1: Ro16 exit (out of 16)
41 Ranking: Ro8 exit (out of 12 players)
Terror NINUS: 2nd (out of 16)
41 SL: Ro32 exit (out of 32)
VANT: Winner (out of 32)


Yeah, I don't think anyone's claiming he's been great in leagues, or even performed near his standard. But he won the most important league once, and got second in another decent league. And yeah, he lost some BO3's or round robin 3 game / dual tournaments where he was a favorite. It's not great for sure, but those are still top ~5 results out of all players.

Just feels like this has turned into one of those situations where you start with a small sample size --> big narrative --> now everyone's on the lookout for the narrative, thus further amplifying it.
Jealous
Profile Blog Joined December 2011
10149 Posts
December 28 2016 03:51 GMT
#66
On December 28 2016 05:29 FlaShFTW wrote:
The idea of best beating hero is so absurd in a bo5. Please go look at their winrates both in post kespa and kespa. Its not even close. Best will be fortunate to take one game off hero. Beating a rusty af jaedong in a bo1 twice doesnt tell me his pvz has improved at all.

I'm sorry but I'm going to have to disagree with you here. There was a point in I believe SPL '11 where Best had a monstrous PvZ record that was actually better than Bisu's. He was consistently beating top Zergs. Of course it is 2017 and not 2011 and ASL and not SPL but Best has demonstrated time and again the ability to defeat top Zergs. His laughable OSL vs. July and consequent slump paint a worse picture than the more recent reality.

On December 28 2016 06:30 blade55555 wrote:
I feel like Jaedong can beat Stork and got a nice draw. Unfortunately, no matter how much i wish was the case, I know that Jaedong still isn't in top form and hasn't had as much time as Flash to get back into it, so if they both do meet in the semifinals, I won't be surprised for a 3-0 flash .

Hoping Jaedong does beat Stork and somehow surprises in the semi finals though.

Someone said that JD has been playing BW much longer than has been publicized. I'll try to grab a source rn.
"The right to vote is only the oar of the slaveship, I wanna be free." -- бум бум сучка!
Varbind
Profile Joined January 2010
Canada113 Posts
December 28 2016 03:54 GMT
#67
Keep in mind Jaedong plays last, two weeks from now. I imagine he will be pumped for this and will be in form by that time.
one_step
Profile Joined December 2016
Russian Federation3 Posts
December 28 2016 03:55 GMT
#68
We are all united by watxhing thr same evebt on pc. Now i'm far fron bw player but abyway bw is the one of the best thing and yeah i'm rooting for Jaedong , wish him good luck
usopsama
Profile Joined April 2008
6502 Posts
Last Edited: 2016-12-28 04:13:09
December 28 2016 04:12 GMT
#69
As expected from God, the RO8 hasn't even started and he is basically already in the RO4.
ZoW
Profile Blog Joined January 2009
United States3983 Posts
December 28 2016 04:19 GMT
#70
bisu vs stork finals :D
the courage to be a lazy bum
Broodwar4lyf
Profile Blog Joined February 2016
304 Posts
December 28 2016 04:50 GMT
#71
Flash vs Bisu again. Who are we kidding here?
https://cinesnipe.com
Turbovolver
Profile Blog Joined January 2009
Australia2394 Posts
December 28 2016 05:04 GMT
#72
You can do it Storky~
The original Bogus fan.
IntoTheEmo
Profile Joined February 2009
Singapore1169 Posts
December 28 2016 05:22 GMT
#73
On December 28 2016 12:54 Varbind wrote:
Keep in mind Jaedong plays last, two weeks from now. I imagine he will be pumped for this and will be in form by that time.


That's true. Hope you're right. Waited 5 years for LeeSsangRok!
MMOs kill APM. However Proleague plus BW Proscene music increase APM -> 100. 이제동 Fighting! Highest ranked Jaedong owner in FPL10 = clearly #1 Jaedong fan~! <- Keeping my sig from 2010
konadora *
Profile Blog Joined February 2009
Singapore66161 Posts
December 28 2016 05:42 GMT
#74
TBLS in the top 8

what a time
POGGERS
konadora *
Profile Blog Joined February 2009
Singapore66161 Posts
December 28 2016 05:43 GMT
#75
also no mirror matches!!
POGGERS
gngfn
Profile Joined January 2009
United States1726 Posts
December 28 2016 07:04 GMT
#76
On December 28 2016 06:02 Crisium wrote:
Show nested quote +
On December 28 2016 05:13 gngfn wrote:
As far as I can tell, there has only ever been one other standard individual league with all of TBLS in the Ro8. That was Bacchus OSL 2008, where Flash famously defeated all three of the other members to take first place. The first game of the quarterfinals took place on February 15, 2008--nearly nine years ago.

Including less prominent leagues, this phenomenon occurred most recently during WCG Korea 2009. There, the top three were Bisu, Stork, and Jaedong. (Flash lost to Bisu in the Ro8.) It also happened in the GomTV Star Invitational, where Flash's victory hinted at the eventual outcome of Bacchus '08.


http://wiki.teamliquid.net/starcraft/EVER2007_OSL
and
http://wiki.teamliquid.net/starcraft/2008_Bacchus_OSL

Were the only 2 ever. They also had 3/4 TBLS make the top 4, and ended as one would expect (Stork silver both).

2008 Bachhus OSL Ro8 also contains 5 of the players in ASL Season 2 Ro8! So does http://wiki.teamliquid.net/starcraft/2009_Batoo_OSL !

Seriously, this top 8 is as good as any ever, even though it may be questionable how far from peak form some of them are, these could have fit in anywhere from 2007-2012 Pro BW. Only Guemchi never making a Ro8 in pro-BW really stands out.

Oh, I totally forgot that Bisu was in the Ro8 of EVER as well. Thanks for catching.

The most interesting thing to me is that this never happened in the MSL, even though it had a format more conducive than OSL to stacking the best players in the bracket stage.
r33k
Profile Blog Joined March 2009
Italy3402 Posts
December 28 2016 07:13 GMT
#77
On December 28 2016 11:53 FlaShFTW wrote:
Show nested quote +
On December 28 2016 11:34 darktreb wrote:
On December 27 2016 23:43 TheFoReveRwaR wrote:
On December 27 2016 23:41 PuckSama. wrote:
What a RO8... I don't know if I've ever seen this level before... You change Guemchi by Effort and it's just just the most insane RO8 ever =D

At some point you have to acknowledge effort's inability to preform when it matters in the post kespa era. He's simply not the best right now despite his practice results.


Umm ... he won an SSL/ASL just one year ago. Against Bisu in the finals no less.

He gets knocked out early in the next two leagues and suddenly it's "inability to perform in the post kespa era"? That's asinine.

if i were you id go to liquipedia and look at how many times he gets knocked out of online tournaments as well. out of like the 5-6 tournaments hes been in, he won 1, placed 2nd at another, and the other 4 got knocked out of the groupstages.

Let's take a look here starting from most recent:
ASL2: Round of 24 exit (out of 24)
Thrill SL: Ro16 exit (out of 16)
NalRa SL: Ro8 exit (out of 8 players)
ASL1: Ro16 exit (out of 16)
41 Ranking: Ro8 exit (out of 12 players)
Terror NINUS: 2nd (out of 16)
41 SL: Ro32 exit (out of 32)
VANT: Winner (out of 32)

Ehh 120 is the top ranked WC3 player in the world and he gets knocked out of everything. If anything the guy's lacking motivation, you don't just get butterflies out of nowhere. His FP play is the only real example of someone matching up to Flash's skill level.
Jealous
Profile Blog Joined December 2011
10149 Posts
December 28 2016 10:14 GMT
#78
On December 28 2016 16:13 r33k wrote:
Show nested quote +
On December 28 2016 11:53 FlaShFTW wrote:
On December 28 2016 11:34 darktreb wrote:
On December 27 2016 23:43 TheFoReveRwaR wrote:
On December 27 2016 23:41 PuckSama. wrote:
What a RO8... I don't know if I've ever seen this level before... You change Guemchi by Effort and it's just just the most insane RO8 ever =D

At some point you have to acknowledge effort's inability to preform when it matters in the post kespa era. He's simply not the best right now despite his practice results.


Umm ... he won an SSL/ASL just one year ago. Against Bisu in the finals no less.

He gets knocked out early in the next two leagues and suddenly it's "inability to perform in the post kespa era"? That's asinine.

if i were you id go to liquipedia and look at how many times he gets knocked out of online tournaments as well. out of like the 5-6 tournaments hes been in, he won 1, placed 2nd at another, and the other 4 got knocked out of the groupstages.

Let's take a look here starting from most recent:
ASL2: Round of 24 exit (out of 24)
Thrill SL: Ro16 exit (out of 16)
NalRa SL: Ro8 exit (out of 8 players)
ASL1: Ro16 exit (out of 16)
41 Ranking: Ro8 exit (out of 12 players)
Terror NINUS: 2nd (out of 16)
41 SL: Ro32 exit (out of 32)
VANT: Winner (out of 32)

Ehh 120 is the top ranked WC3 player in the world and he gets knocked out of everything. If anything the guy's lacking motivation, you don't just get butterflies out of nowhere. His FP play is the only real example of someone matching up to Flash's skill level.

FP as in first person? I don't know if I can agree with that. Sorry if I misunderstood though, maybe you can correct me?
"The right to vote is only the oar of the slaveship, I wanna be free." -- бум бум сучка!
phosphorylation
Profile Blog Joined July 2009
United States2935 Posts
December 28 2016 10:45 GMT
#79
sickest line up ever
i hope stork makes it...at least to play flash
Buy prints of my photographs at Redbubble -> http://www.redbubble.com/people/shoenberg3
sixfour
Profile Blog Joined December 2009
England11061 Posts
December 28 2016 11:46 GMT
#80
Damn that sneaky OP title making me think it might not be a straight knockout and there's another group stage
p: stats, horang2, free, jangbi z: soulkey, zero, shine, hydra t: leta, hiya, sea
classicyellow83
Profile Joined June 2016
United States2393 Posts
Last Edited: 2016-12-28 17:37:22
December 28 2016 17:36 GMT
#81
Guemchi has no chance.
Flash vs Guemchi: 20-4 (Spon Matches)
Flash's TvP this month: 38-8 (82.3%)
4-1 vs Bisu, 3-2 vs Best, 12-3 vs Shuttle, 2-1 vs Rain, 5-0 vs Free, 2-0 vs Snow, 6-0 vs Stork, 3-1 vs Tyson, 1-0 vs Sky
Reach!!! Come back to BW!!
PVJ
Profile Blog Joined July 2012
Hungary5214 Posts
December 28 2016 18:04 GMT
#82
Do we know anything about the map pool?

If it's a BO5 all the way I guess they'll use 3 from the group stages (one of them possibly twice for the 5th match) but that still means that oen map has to be added. I'm wondering if this is announced already and it's just me who didn't notice anything in this regard.
The heart's eternal vow
endy
Profile Blog Joined May 2009
Switzerland8970 Posts
December 28 2016 18:08 GMT
#83
On December 29 2016 02:36 classicyellow83 wrote:
Guemchi has no chance.
Flash vs Guemchi: 20-4 (Spon Matches)
Flash's TvP this month: 38-8 (82.3%)
4-1 vs Bisu, 3-2 vs Best, 12-3 vs Shuttle, 2-1 vs Rain, 5-0 vs Free, 2-0 vs Snow, 6-0 vs Stork, 3-1 vs Tyson, 1-0 vs Sky


After all this time BeSt is still the one with the better record against Flash.
6-0 vs Stork is brutal
ॐ
classicyellow83
Profile Joined June 2016
United States2393 Posts
December 28 2016 18:15 GMT
#84
On December 29 2016 03:08 endy wrote:
Show nested quote +
On December 29 2016 02:36 classicyellow83 wrote:
Guemchi has no chance.
Flash vs Guemchi: 20-4 (Spon Matches)
Flash's TvP this month: 38-8 (82.3%)
4-1 vs Bisu, 3-2 vs Best, 12-3 vs Shuttle, 2-1 vs Rain, 5-0 vs Free, 2-0 vs Snow, 6-0 vs Stork, 3-1 vs Tyson, 1-0 vs Sky


After all this time BeSt is still the one with the better record against Flash.
6-0 vs Stork is brutal

Top 3 vs Flash
#1 Effort: 54-65
#2 Best: 52-71
#3 Bisu: 41-57

And yes. Flash has winning record against everyone.
Reach!!! Come back to BW!!
classicyellow83
Profile Joined June 2016
United States2393 Posts
Last Edited: 2016-12-28 18:18:41
December 28 2016 18:16 GMT
#85
On December 29 2016 03:04 PVJ wrote:
Do we know anything about the map pool?

If it's a BO5 all the way I guess they'll use 3 from the group stages (one of them possibly twice for the 5th match) but that still means that oen map has to be added. I'm wondering if this is announced already and it's just me who didn't notice anything in this regard.

Each player picks 1 map to take out for game 1 and 5. So the map orders will be different for all groups. Far as i know Best took out CB and Hero took out Benzene.
The maps are Circuit Breaker, Eye of the Storm, Benzene, and Demian.
Reach!!! Come back to BW!!
classicyellow83
Profile Joined June 2016
United States2393 Posts
Last Edited: 2016-12-28 18:33:24
December 28 2016 18:23 GMT
#86
My guesses are ... Zergs is gonna take out Benzene against protoss and protoss is gonna take out Eye of the Storm vs Zergs(Best is regretting not taking out Eye of the Storm), and Terran is gonna take out Eye of the Storm or Benzene against Protoss.
Everyone is gonna take out Circuit Breaker against Flash. Maybe not JD. JD loves himself some circuit breaker.
Reach!!! Come back to BW!!
Jealous
Profile Blog Joined December 2011
10149 Posts
December 28 2016 20:53 GMT
#87
On December 29 2016 03:15 classicyellow83 wrote:
Show nested quote +
On December 29 2016 03:08 endy wrote:
On December 29 2016 02:36 classicyellow83 wrote:
Guemchi has no chance.
Flash vs Guemchi: 20-4 (Spon Matches)
Flash's TvP this month: 38-8 (82.3%)
4-1 vs Bisu, 3-2 vs Best, 12-3 vs Shuttle, 2-1 vs Rain, 5-0 vs Free, 2-0 vs Snow, 6-0 vs Stork, 3-1 vs Tyson, 1-0 vs Sky


After all this time BeSt is still the one with the better record against Flash.
6-0 vs Stork is brutal

Top 3 vs Flash
#1 Effort: 54-65
#2 Best: 52-71
#3 Bisu: 41-57

And yes. Flash has winning record against everyone.

We should keep in mind that players probably prepare differently for pre-determined MU in ASL than they do for sponsored matches. I feel like this could work in the favor of some of Flash's opponents.
"The right to vote is only the oar of the slaveship, I wanna be free." -- бум бум сучка!
shaggles
Profile Joined October 2011
Poland108 Posts
December 28 2016 21:25 GMT
#88
Four players looked very solid in the Ro16, unfortunately two of them meet on January, 2nd. This is by far the most interesting match (I will root for Sea to make it more balanced)

Hero is in my opinion good candidate for the final match. I would like to see if there are any other robust counters to proxy BBS apart from 3Hatch.b.P. Hero's focus on playing vs P may work to his advantage in semis if Bisu is through. Will it do? Hope it will.

I hope Guemchi will not lose the match in his head before games start. But odds are surely against him.

The fourth match is the second interesting one, considered current skill level of both players. I will give the edge to JD, but that's only because I play Z. In the current form JD probably fall to Flash like 1-3. I hope not, but...

And it would be fun, if Hero is able to dismantle Flash since almost no one is calling that
I play the Chess of Computer Age
classicyellow83
Profile Joined June 2016
United States2393 Posts
December 29 2016 02:27 GMT
#89
OK. Flash took out Benzene.
Flash: "I lost more than I won on Benzene during practice preparing for ASL.
Reach!!! Come back to BW!!
FlaShFTW
Profile Blog Joined February 2010
United States10155 Posts
December 29 2016 02:28 GMT
#90
On December 28 2016 12:29 darktreb wrote:
Show nested quote +
On December 28 2016 11:53 FlaShFTW wrote:
On December 28 2016 11:34 darktreb wrote:
On December 27 2016 23:43 TheFoReveRwaR wrote:
On December 27 2016 23:41 PuckSama. wrote:
What a RO8... I don't know if I've ever seen this level before... You change Guemchi by Effort and it's just just the most insane RO8 ever =D

At some point you have to acknowledge effort's inability to preform when it matters in the post kespa era. He's simply not the best right now despite his practice results.


Umm ... he won an SSL/ASL just one year ago. Against Bisu in the finals no less.

He gets knocked out early in the next two leagues and suddenly it's "inability to perform in the post kespa era"? That's asinine.

if i were you id go to liquipedia and look at how many times he gets knocked out of online tournaments as well. out of like the 5-6 tournaments hes been in, he won 1, placed 2nd at another, and the other 4 got knocked out of the groupstages.

Let's take a look here starting from most recent:
ASL2: Round of 24 exit (out of 24)
Thrill SL: Ro16 exit (out of 16)
NalRa SL: Ro8 exit (out of 8 players)
ASL1: Ro16 exit (out of 16)
41 Ranking: Ro8 exit (out of 12 players)
Terror NINUS: 2nd (out of 16)
41 SL: Ro32 exit (out of 32)
VANT: Winner (out of 32)


Yeah, I don't think anyone's claiming he's been great in leagues, or even performed near his standard. But he won the most important league once, and got second in another decent league. And yeah, he lost some BO3's or round robin 3 game / dual tournaments where he was a favorite. It's not great for sure, but those are still top ~5 results out of all players.

Just feels like this has turned into one of those situations where you start with a small sample size --> big narrative --> now everyone's on the lookout for the narrative, thus further amplifying it.

"some bo3s or round robin" is an understatement. when you play in 8 tournaments and lose in the group stages in 6 of them, yeah, your win looks like a fluke. consistency proves results, not a random fluke win in an offline tournament. shuttle's win looks more and more like a fluke after he got smashed in groups in asl2. same with sharp.
Writer#1 KT and FlaSh Fanboy || Woo Jung Ho Never Forget || Teamliquid Political Decision Desk
TL+ Member
Jealous
Profile Blog Joined December 2011
10149 Posts
December 29 2016 08:13 GMT
#91
On December 29 2016 11:28 FlaShFTW wrote:
Show nested quote +
On December 28 2016 12:29 darktreb wrote:
On December 28 2016 11:53 FlaShFTW wrote:
On December 28 2016 11:34 darktreb wrote:
On December 27 2016 23:43 TheFoReveRwaR wrote:
On December 27 2016 23:41 PuckSama. wrote:
What a RO8... I don't know if I've ever seen this level before... You change Guemchi by Effort and it's just just the most insane RO8 ever =D

At some point you have to acknowledge effort's inability to preform when it matters in the post kespa era. He's simply not the best right now despite his practice results.


Umm ... he won an SSL/ASL just one year ago. Against Bisu in the finals no less.

He gets knocked out early in the next two leagues and suddenly it's "inability to perform in the post kespa era"? That's asinine.

if i were you id go to liquipedia and look at how many times he gets knocked out of online tournaments as well. out of like the 5-6 tournaments hes been in, he won 1, placed 2nd at another, and the other 4 got knocked out of the groupstages.

Let's take a look here starting from most recent:
ASL2: Round of 24 exit (out of 24)
Thrill SL: Ro16 exit (out of 16)
NalRa SL: Ro8 exit (out of 8 players)
ASL1: Ro16 exit (out of 16)
41 Ranking: Ro8 exit (out of 12 players)
Terror NINUS: 2nd (out of 16)
41 SL: Ro32 exit (out of 32)
VANT: Winner (out of 32)


Yeah, I don't think anyone's claiming he's been great in leagues, or even performed near his standard. But he won the most important league once, and got second in another decent league. And yeah, he lost some BO3's or round robin 3 game / dual tournaments where he was a favorite. It's not great for sure, but those are still top ~5 results out of all players.

Just feels like this has turned into one of those situations where you start with a small sample size --> big narrative --> now everyone's on the lookout for the narrative, thus further amplifying it.

"some bo3s or round robin" is an understatement. when you play in 8 tournaments and lose in the group stages in 6 of them, yeah, your win looks like a fluke. consistency proves results, not a random fluke win in an offline tournament. shuttle's win looks more and more like a fluke after he got smashed in groups in asl2. same with sharp.

It's hard to compare the two tournaments because of the vastly different player pool. Sharp and Shuttle may indeed have been the best players in ASL1 on gameday, but that is no longer the case because of the influx of TBLS and co. On the grand scale of things we can say Shuttle is lucky to have won, but to say it is a fluke is not appropriate I think. Maybe I am digging too deep into semantics, but I think you see where I'm going with this. Iris beating Bisu in game 5 on RotK or Byzantium or whatever it was and continuing to not be relevant thereafter is a fluke. ForGG becoming godlike and crushing some of the best players at the time then fading immediately after his title win was a fluke. Shuttle winning ASL1 when his playing field was relatively insignificant compared to what ASL2 offers is not a fluke, it's just fortune.
"The right to vote is only the oar of the slaveship, I wanna be free." -- бум бум сучка!
CUTtheCBC
Profile Joined December 2016
Canada91 Posts
December 29 2016 12:35 GMT
#92
hero vs flash in the finals
Brood War's Back, YEA!
c3rberUs
Profile Blog Joined December 2010
Japan11286 Posts
December 29 2016 12:55 GMT
#93
Is January 2 a holiday in Korea?
WriterMovie, 진영화 : "StarCraft will never die".
Ilikestarcraft
Profile Blog Joined November 2004
Korea (South)17726 Posts
December 29 2016 13:37 GMT
#94
No
"Nana is a goddess. Or at very least, Nana is my goddess." - KazeHydra
jinyung2
Profile Joined November 2014
Luxembourg1455 Posts
December 29 2016 17:14 GMT
#95
go jaedong!
Argentina
FlaShFTW
Profile Blog Joined February 2010
United States10155 Posts
December 29 2016 17:57 GMT
#96
On December 29 2016 17:13 Jealous wrote:
Show nested quote +
On December 29 2016 11:28 FlaShFTW wrote:
On December 28 2016 12:29 darktreb wrote:
On December 28 2016 11:53 FlaShFTW wrote:
On December 28 2016 11:34 darktreb wrote:
On December 27 2016 23:43 TheFoReveRwaR wrote:
On December 27 2016 23:41 PuckSama. wrote:
What a RO8... I don't know if I've ever seen this level before... You change Guemchi by Effort and it's just just the most insane RO8 ever =D

At some point you have to acknowledge effort's inability to preform when it matters in the post kespa era. He's simply not the best right now despite his practice results.


Umm ... he won an SSL/ASL just one year ago. Against Bisu in the finals no less.

He gets knocked out early in the next two leagues and suddenly it's "inability to perform in the post kespa era"? That's asinine.

if i were you id go to liquipedia and look at how many times he gets knocked out of online tournaments as well. out of like the 5-6 tournaments hes been in, he won 1, placed 2nd at another, and the other 4 got knocked out of the groupstages.

Let's take a look here starting from most recent:
ASL2: Round of 24 exit (out of 24)
Thrill SL: Ro16 exit (out of 16)
NalRa SL: Ro8 exit (out of 8 players)
ASL1: Ro16 exit (out of 16)
41 Ranking: Ro8 exit (out of 12 players)
Terror NINUS: 2nd (out of 16)
41 SL: Ro32 exit (out of 32)
VANT: Winner (out of 32)


Yeah, I don't think anyone's claiming he's been great in leagues, or even performed near his standard. But he won the most important league once, and got second in another decent league. And yeah, he lost some BO3's or round robin 3 game / dual tournaments where he was a favorite. It's not great for sure, but those are still top ~5 results out of all players.

Just feels like this has turned into one of those situations where you start with a small sample size --> big narrative --> now everyone's on the lookout for the narrative, thus further amplifying it.

"some bo3s or round robin" is an understatement. when you play in 8 tournaments and lose in the group stages in 6 of them, yeah, your win looks like a fluke. consistency proves results, not a random fluke win in an offline tournament. shuttle's win looks more and more like a fluke after he got smashed in groups in asl2. same with sharp.

It's hard to compare the two tournaments because of the vastly different player pool. Sharp and Shuttle may indeed have been the best players in ASL1 on gameday, but that is no longer the case because of the influx of TBLS and co. On the grand scale of things we can say Shuttle is lucky to have won, but to say it is a fluke is not appropriate I think. Maybe I am digging too deep into semantics, but I think you see where I'm going with this. Iris beating Bisu in game 5 on RotK or Byzantium or whatever it was and continuing to not be relevant thereafter is a fluke. ForGG becoming godlike and crushing some of the best players at the time then fading immediately after his title win was a fluke. Shuttle winning ASL1 when his playing field was relatively insignificant compared to what ASL2 offers is not a fluke, it's just fortune.

Effort's VANT run through featured 2 super easy groups to advance from. He had to play Hiya, Zelot, and Pure in the Ro32 and still lost to Hiya. His Ro16 group was ZerO, July, and Rush and lost to ZerO but it's ZvZ so whatever. In the Round of 8 he faced Guemchi so el oh el rofl 3-1. Ro4 was a ZvZ vs ZerO so ok whatever, it's ZvZ anything can happen, and yeah, he beat Bisu 3-1. If those results weren't fluked, he should be stomping people. Seriously, 3-1 over Bisu and you can't make it out of groups anymore? That, and Bisu was probably super tilted in BoX with Zergs after an embarrassing 0-3 to Hero in the SSL11 as well. Yeah, it's a fluke from anyone who isn't a super big fanboy of EffOrt right now.

For example: 41 Ranking he couldn't even get out of a group with a rusty Kal, Hiya, and a shitty TvZ in Mong.
In ASL 1 he couldn't make it out of a group with mediocre PvZ free, shitty PvZ Shuttle, and meh TvZ ssak.
He then lost to Bisu 1-2 in Nal_Ra which again, if 3-1 wasn't a fluke, he should have won this one.
And in Thrill, he didn't even make it out of a group with Sky, Hoejja, and Sharp.
I don't think I need to remind you what happened in the asl 2 either.
Writer#1 KT and FlaSh Fanboy || Woo Jung Ho Never Forget || Teamliquid Political Decision Desk
TL+ Member
ThreeActPlay
Profile Joined April 2011
United States249 Posts
December 30 2016 09:49 GMT
#97
I'm surprised that Sea's TvP was good enough to get through that group. I'm still watching old 2012 proleague VOD's and his TvP is dreadful.
twitter.com/haethos
Barneyk
Profile Joined November 2008
Sweden305 Posts
December 30 2016 11:03 GMT
#98
I feel liked Flash messed up last season by not specifically preparing and having his builds countered so well by Last who had studied Flashs games.
This season he seems to have adapted better and changing things up a bit.
nah
zelderan
Profile Joined May 2013
United States163 Posts
December 30 2016 15:35 GMT
#99
DUDE these brackets might give us the ultimate timeline finals! Flash vs. Jaedong would be a wet dream. Let's go boys!!
"Pumpkin mut-muts!" ~ Tasteless
Jae Zedong
Profile Joined September 2016
407 Posts
Last Edited: 2016-12-30 15:41:21
December 30 2016 15:40 GMT
#100
On December 30 2016 18:49 ThreeActPlay wrote:
I'm surprised that Sea's TvP was good enough to get through that group. I'm still watching old 2012 proleague VOD's and his TvP is dreadful.

Don't watch vods from 2012 then, that year was a joke for BW and players didn't take it seriously. It was just sad to see formerly great players phoning in mediocre performances while practicing 80% SC2.
Tyrant.
slappy
Profile Blog Joined March 2010
United States1271 Posts
December 30 2016 18:41 GMT
#101
On December 28 2016 12:54 Varbind wrote:
Keep in mind Jaedong plays last, two weeks from now. I imagine he will be pumped for this and will be in form by that time.


I pray for this! JD certainly did look rusty. I'm still rooting for him
jaedong imba
classicyellow83
Profile Joined June 2016
United States2393 Posts
Last Edited: 2016-12-31 02:22:17
December 31 2016 02:21 GMT
#102
5 out of 8 players are in [NeOx].
Reach!!! Come back to BW!!
PVJ
Profile Blog Joined July 2012
Hungary5214 Posts
December 31 2016 18:08 GMT
#103
On December 29 2016 03:16 classicyellow83 wrote:
Show nested quote +
On December 29 2016 03:04 PVJ wrote:
Do we know anything about the map pool?

If it's a BO5 all the way I guess they'll use 3 from the group stages (one of them possibly twice for the 5th match) but that still means that oen map has to be added. I'm wondering if this is announced already and it's just me who didn't notice anything in this regard.

Each player picks 1 map to take out for game 1 and 5. So the map orders will be different for all groups. Far as i know Best took out CB and Hero took out Benzene.
The maps are Circuit Breaker, Eye of the Storm, Benzene, and Demian.


Eye of the Storm! Thanks.

God, that will be vetoed the fuck out for many vPs I guess. Good map pool overall though, I think. Can't wait!
The heart's eternal vow
Jealous
Profile Blog Joined December 2011
10149 Posts
December 31 2016 22:19 GMT
#104
On December 30 2016 02:57 FlaShFTW wrote:
Show nested quote +
On December 29 2016 17:13 Jealous wrote:
On December 29 2016 11:28 FlaShFTW wrote:
On December 28 2016 12:29 darktreb wrote:
On December 28 2016 11:53 FlaShFTW wrote:
On December 28 2016 11:34 darktreb wrote:
On December 27 2016 23:43 TheFoReveRwaR wrote:
On December 27 2016 23:41 PuckSama. wrote:
What a RO8... I don't know if I've ever seen this level before... You change Guemchi by Effort and it's just just the most insane RO8 ever =D

At some point you have to acknowledge effort's inability to preform when it matters in the post kespa era. He's simply not the best right now despite his practice results.


Umm ... he won an SSL/ASL just one year ago. Against Bisu in the finals no less.

He gets knocked out early in the next two leagues and suddenly it's "inability to perform in the post kespa era"? That's asinine.

if i were you id go to liquipedia and look at how many times he gets knocked out of online tournaments as well. out of like the 5-6 tournaments hes been in, he won 1, placed 2nd at another, and the other 4 got knocked out of the groupstages.

Let's take a look here starting from most recent:
ASL2: Round of 24 exit (out of 24)
Thrill SL: Ro16 exit (out of 16)
NalRa SL: Ro8 exit (out of 8 players)
ASL1: Ro16 exit (out of 16)
41 Ranking: Ro8 exit (out of 12 players)
Terror NINUS: 2nd (out of 16)
41 SL: Ro32 exit (out of 32)
VANT: Winner (out of 32)


Yeah, I don't think anyone's claiming he's been great in leagues, or even performed near his standard. But he won the most important league once, and got second in another decent league. And yeah, he lost some BO3's or round robin 3 game / dual tournaments where he was a favorite. It's not great for sure, but those are still top ~5 results out of all players.

Just feels like this has turned into one of those situations where you start with a small sample size --> big narrative --> now everyone's on the lookout for the narrative, thus further amplifying it.

"some bo3s or round robin" is an understatement. when you play in 8 tournaments and lose in the group stages in 6 of them, yeah, your win looks like a fluke. consistency proves results, not a random fluke win in an offline tournament. shuttle's win looks more and more like a fluke after he got smashed in groups in asl2. same with sharp.

It's hard to compare the two tournaments because of the vastly different player pool. Sharp and Shuttle may indeed have been the best players in ASL1 on gameday, but that is no longer the case because of the influx of TBLS and co. On the grand scale of things we can say Shuttle is lucky to have won, but to say it is a fluke is not appropriate I think. Maybe I am digging too deep into semantics, but I think you see where I'm going with this. Iris beating Bisu in game 5 on RotK or Byzantium or whatever it was and continuing to not be relevant thereafter is a fluke. ForGG becoming godlike and crushing some of the best players at the time then fading immediately after his title win was a fluke. Shuttle winning ASL1 when his playing field was relatively insignificant compared to what ASL2 offers is not a fluke, it's just fortune.

Effort's VANT run through featured 2 super easy groups to advance from. He had to play Hiya, Zelot, and Pure in the Ro32 and still lost to Hiya. His Ro16 group was ZerO, July, and Rush and lost to ZerO but it's ZvZ so whatever. In the Round of 8 he faced Guemchi so el oh el rofl 3-1. Ro4 was a ZvZ vs ZerO so ok whatever, it's ZvZ anything can happen, and yeah, he beat Bisu 3-1. If those results weren't fluked, he should be stomping people. Seriously, 3-1 over Bisu and you can't make it out of groups anymore? That, and Bisu was probably super tilted in BoX with Zergs after an embarrassing 0-3 to Hero in the SSL11 as well. Yeah, it's a fluke from anyone who isn't a super big fanboy of EffOrt right now.

For example: 41 Ranking he couldn't even get out of a group with a rusty Kal, Hiya, and a shitty TvZ in Mong.
In ASL 1 he couldn't make it out of a group with mediocre PvZ free, shitty PvZ Shuttle, and meh TvZ ssak.
He then lost to Bisu 1-2 in Nal_Ra which again, if 3-1 wasn't a fluke, he should have won this one.
And in Thrill, he didn't even make it out of a group with Sky, Hoejja, and Sharp.
I don't think I need to remind you what happened in the asl 2 either.

I wasn't talking about Effort but I guess I'll address that. I think Effort is one of the best Zergs to ever play the game and he looks incredibly impressive on stream. But in tournament I think he flubs a lot. He's just not consistent enough. I wouldn't call any win of his a fluke but I'm not surprised when he drops out either. Losing 1-2 to Bisu after going 3-1 just puts them at roughly 50%, which is what I'd expect tbh. Bisu played pretty bad in the 1-3 finals against Effort imo, didn't adapt well to Effort whereas Effort had pretty safely countered Bisu's Zealot-first aggression.
"The right to vote is only the oar of the slaveship, I wanna be free." -- бум бум сучка!
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