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Fantasy (OSL spoilers alert) - Page 7

Forum Index > BW General
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Balgrog
Profile Blog Joined March 2011
United States1221 Posts
June 01 2012 07:56 GMT
#121
This.....Is.....AWESOME!
The only way to attack structure is with chaos.
Scarecrow
Profile Blog Joined July 2009
Korea (South)9174 Posts
June 01 2012 08:02 GMT
#122
On June 01 2012 16:45 Ideas wrote:
Show nested quote +
On June 01 2012 16:44 Scarecrow wrote:
On June 01 2012 16:30 Ideas wrote:
On June 01 2012 16:26 red4ce wrote:
Doesn't matter. All BW results after last season's proleague finals are asterisked anyways.


fantasy was better than flash up to and during the proleague finals

That must've been why flash won the awards for regular season MVP and most wins -.- Agreed Fantasy beat him in 1 game in the final


that's true regular season MVP could not possibly ever be wrong

I would argue that fantasy showed more dominance in his games. they both only had 2 losses (flash to 2 protoss, fantasy to 2 terran). fantasy just played less games because his team wasn't as bad as flash's.

16-2 vs 13-2 regular season records and opponent difficulty favours flash if anyone. Having a strong team isn't an excuse, it might've saved Fantasy from dropping another game. Basically, Flash deserved MVP despite Fantasy's awesome season. Showing more dominance in the games? That's pretty subjective, alot of Flash's games looked disgustingly one sided. People forget so quickly the 14 game win streak to start the season. There was even a thread at the time trying to work out who, if anyone, could stop him.
Yhamm is the god of predictions
figq
Profile Blog Joined May 2010
12519 Posts
June 01 2012 08:11 GMT
#123
By the way, it's not meaningless that Flash's peak is higher - it means it's calculated over more games total, hence it's a more stable result, whereas Fantasy's result happens over fewer games total, hence it's more likely than Flash's to be just a really lucky streak.
If you stand next to my head, you can hear the ocean. - Day[9]
Ideas
Profile Blog Joined April 2008
United States8173 Posts
June 01 2012 08:28 GMT
#124
On June 01 2012 17:02 Scarecrow wrote:
Show nested quote +
On June 01 2012 16:45 Ideas wrote:
On June 01 2012 16:44 Scarecrow wrote:
On June 01 2012 16:30 Ideas wrote:
On June 01 2012 16:26 red4ce wrote:
Doesn't matter. All BW results after last season's proleague finals are asterisked anyways.


fantasy was better than flash up to and during the proleague finals

That must've been why flash won the awards for regular season MVP and most wins -.- Agreed Fantasy beat him in 1 game in the final


that's true regular season MVP could not possibly ever be wrong

I would argue that fantasy showed more dominance in his games. they both only had 2 losses (flash to 2 protoss, fantasy to 2 terran). fantasy just played less games because his team wasn't as bad as flash's.

16-2 vs 13-2 regular season records and opponent difficulty favours flash if anyone. Having a strong team isn't an excuse, it might've saved Fantasy from dropping another game. Basically, Flash deserved MVP despite Fantasy's awesome season. Showing more dominance in the games? That's pretty subjective, alot of Flash's games looked disgustingly one sided. People forget so quickly the 14 game win streak to start the season. There was even a thread at the time trying to work out who, if anyone, could stop him.


I get what you're saying. ultimately it just really sucks how shitty the BW scene has been since the last OSL ended. such fewer chances for players to prove their skill. had fantasy been given as much opportunity in that time as other players had before him, I would argue that he would probably be just as dominate as TBLS at their respective peaks. unfortunately, we were not given that chance to see what he was fully made of and instead we have to extrapolate from how dominate his few games have been :\
Free Palestine
WTFTerran
Profile Joined November 2011
Russian Federation286 Posts
June 01 2012 08:38 GMT
#125
oov was wright, fantasy' era coming soon
Bogus, MKP, Bomber FTW!
hitthat
Profile Joined January 2010
Poland2347 Posts
Last Edited: 2012-06-01 08:49:34
June 01 2012 08:49 GMT
#126
Guys, Fantasy still not won this OSL...jeez. Hold your hype for now.
Shameless BroodWar separatistic, elitist, fanaticaly devoted puritan fanboy.
J1.au
Profile Blog Joined July 2009
Australia3596 Posts
June 01 2012 09:05 GMT
#127
On June 01 2012 17:28 Ideas wrote:
Show nested quote +
On June 01 2012 17:02 Scarecrow wrote:
On June 01 2012 16:45 Ideas wrote:
On June 01 2012 16:44 Scarecrow wrote:
On June 01 2012 16:30 Ideas wrote:
On June 01 2012 16:26 red4ce wrote:
Doesn't matter. All BW results after last season's proleague finals are asterisked anyways.


fantasy was better than flash up to and during the proleague finals

That must've been why flash won the awards for regular season MVP and most wins -.- Agreed Fantasy beat him in 1 game in the final


that's true regular season MVP could not possibly ever be wrong

I would argue that fantasy showed more dominance in his games. they both only had 2 losses (flash to 2 protoss, fantasy to 2 terran). fantasy just played less games because his team wasn't as bad as flash's.

16-2 vs 13-2 regular season records and opponent difficulty favours flash if anyone. Having a strong team isn't an excuse, it might've saved Fantasy from dropping another game. Basically, Flash deserved MVP despite Fantasy's awesome season. Showing more dominance in the games? That's pretty subjective, alot of Flash's games looked disgustingly one sided. People forget so quickly the 14 game win streak to start the season. There was even a thread at the time trying to work out who, if anyone, could stop him.


I get what you're saying. ultimately it just really sucks how shitty the BW scene has been since the last OSL ended. such fewer chances for players to prove their skill. had fantasy been given as much opportunity in that time as other players had before him, I would argue that he would probably be just as dominate as TBLS at their respective peaks. unfortunately, we were not given that chance to see what he was fully made of and instead we have to extrapolate from how dominate his few games have been :\

You absolutely cannot say that. I mean what the hell, Fantasy isn't some young rookie who has burst on the scene only to find it ending before he can prove himself. He's a fucking 5 year veteran of the game. He has had opportunity after opportunity to prove himself and has come up short the vast majority of times. You just can't pretend like he didn't have his chances and must therefore "extrapolate" from his meager success in Brood War's dying days.
Marti
Profile Joined August 2011
552 Posts
June 01 2012 10:39 GMT
#128
All i have to say is :
Is this the real life ? Is this just ... Fantasy ?
#adun giveafuck - - - "Did this guy just randomly finger me?" - Sayle
Operations
Profile Joined February 2012
115 Posts
June 01 2012 11:31 GMT
#129
guys please don't spoil it, because although fantasy's tvp and tvz are chogosu they are not rocket science and there is still a very rough road to the finals
n2o
Profile Joined April 2012
55 Posts
June 01 2012 13:29 GMT
#130
well deserved. fantasy is generally underrated but now he has something to show!
Chainedsage
Profile Joined June 2011
United States37 Posts
June 01 2012 14:53 GMT
#131
The Last Bonjwa
Juan Carlos Tena Lopez AKA Major, AKA Gosi[Terran] AKA, Terran, AKA, Princess AKA, Britney, AKA Memory, AKA Kitty, AKA CuteAngel AKA NoNge #1 based sc2 player.
1ntrigue
Profile Joined May 2012
Australia948 Posts
Last Edited: 2012-06-01 16:13:50
June 01 2012 16:12 GMT
#132
On June 01 2012 00:10 pred470r wrote:
Show nested quote +
On June 01 2012 00:05 1ntrigue wrote:
Flash says, "I'll be back."

Sadly there is no time to be back. Next proleague will be all sc2, and next osl probably as well.

Flash isn't out of the OSL yet.


On June 01 2012 23:53 Chainedsage wrote:
The Last Bonjwa

It seems the word, "bonjwa" has lost all meaning now.
revy
Profile Joined September 2009
United States1524 Posts
June 01 2012 17:04 GMT
#133
On June 01 2012 17:28 Ideas wrote:
Show nested quote +
On June 01 2012 17:02 Scarecrow wrote:
On June 01 2012 16:45 Ideas wrote:
On June 01 2012 16:44 Scarecrow wrote:
On June 01 2012 16:30 Ideas wrote:
On June 01 2012 16:26 red4ce wrote:
Doesn't matter. All BW results after last season's proleague finals are asterisked anyways.


fantasy was better than flash up to and during the proleague finals

That must've been why flash won the awards for regular season MVP and most wins -.- Agreed Fantasy beat him in 1 game in the final


that's true regular season MVP could not possibly ever be wrong

I would argue that fantasy showed more dominance in his games. they both only had 2 losses (flash to 2 protoss, fantasy to 2 terran). fantasy just played less games because his team wasn't as bad as flash's.

16-2 vs 13-2 regular season records and opponent difficulty favours flash if anyone. Having a strong team isn't an excuse, it might've saved Fantasy from dropping another game. Basically, Flash deserved MVP despite Fantasy's awesome season. Showing more dominance in the games? That's pretty subjective, alot of Flash's games looked disgustingly one sided. People forget so quickly the 14 game win streak to start the season. There was even a thread at the time trying to work out who, if anyone, could stop him.


I get what you're saying. ultimately it just really sucks how shitty the BW scene has been since the last OSL ended. such fewer chances for players to prove their skill. had fantasy been given as much opportunity in that time as other players had before him, I would argue that he would probably be just as dominate as TBLS at their respective peaks. unfortunately, we were not given that chance to see what he was fully made of and instead we have to extrapolate from how dominate his few games have been :\


Fanta's first game on TLPD is before Flash's first game (I understand it's a miniscule amount of time before, but it's still before). He had enough time to rise to TBLS level, he didn't. It is sad that BW is dying as Fanta is showing his best play ever, but it's kinda silly to say Fanta didn't have opportunity. That's kind of like saying if Fanta plays his last BW game and wins that implies Fanta was going to have a 100% winrate from there on.

But this is foolish, we shouldn't be arguing about things like this.

Fanta has been playing excellent starcraft for quite a while and deserves the top spot on ELO. Let's hope for some good (exciting) series play from him.
forsooth
Profile Joined February 2011
United States3648 Posts
June 01 2012 17:07 GMT
#134
Even as a fan of Fantasy, it's hard to say this means much of anything. The quality of play has dropped so sharply with all the SC2 practice going on that being the best BW player now doesn't mean nearly as much as it did even six months ago. I believe Fantasy would've eventually found his way to the top of the scene anyway if things had continued as normal, but as is, best BW player right now actually means "least amount of skill lost."
Operations
Profile Joined February 2012
115 Posts
June 01 2012 17:59 GMT
#135
On June 02 2012 02:07 forsooth wrote:
Even as a fan of Fantasy, it's hard to say this means much of anything. The quality of play has dropped so sharply with all the SC2 practice going on that being the best BW player now doesn't mean nearly as much as it did even six months ago. I believe Fantasy would've eventually found his way to the top of the scene anyway if things had continued as normal, but as is, best BW player right now actually means "least amount of skill lost."


I don't see any reasons why would any pro would play worse.
They know the maps, they know their game and they played each scenario thousands of time. they did not forget how to play.
MetalPanda
Profile Joined April 2012
Canada1152 Posts
June 01 2012 18:18 GMT
#136
On June 02 2012 02:59 Operations wrote:
Show nested quote +
On June 02 2012 02:07 forsooth wrote:
Even as a fan of Fantasy, it's hard to say this means much of anything. The quality of play has dropped so sharply with all the SC2 practice going on that being the best BW player now doesn't mean nearly as much as it did even six months ago. I believe Fantasy would've eventually found his way to the top of the scene anyway if things had continued as normal, but as is, best BW player right now actually means "least amount of skill lost."


I don't see any reasons why would any pro would play worse.
They know the maps, they know their game and they played each scenario thousands of time. they did not forget how to play.


No but they get a bit confused between the games from time to time apparently, but I believe they'll get better and better at that constant switch with time.
Mortality
Profile Blog Joined December 2005
United States4790 Posts
June 01 2012 21:38 GMT
#137
On June 01 2012 12:00 Scarecrow wrote:
Show nested quote +
On June 01 2012 11:48 Mortality wrote:
On June 01 2012 11:24 Scarecrow wrote:
On June 01 2012 10:55 Mortality wrote:
On June 01 2012 08:36 MetalPanda wrote:
On June 01 2012 08:33 Mortality wrote:
On June 01 2012 06:37 brolaf wrote:
On June 01 2012 04:10 Kiett wrote:
On June 01 2012 03:40 toopham wrote:
When he beat flash peak, 2443, tell me

He doesn't need to. Flash peaked at 2443 when there were still 3 leagues active. Now there's only 1.4, and barely that. That's like saying, "Flash sucks, let me know when he beats Bisu's 63-win PL record." He's never going to, because it's literally not possible. PL just doesn't have enough rounds and games.

Grats Fantasy <3

i dont think ElO has decay does it.. so if he wins enough games, he will get his elo, even if the games are spaced out


I'm pretty sure that even if Fantasy wins every single BW game until BW is no longer played it is still mathematically impossible for him to achieve Flash's record.

Also, the ease through which you climb the ELO ratings over a given length of time depends largely on the number of games being played. When you consider that nobody can stay on top forever, that matters a lot in determining ELO ratings. Fantasy has reached his peak right now. Over a 6 month period he has won better than 90% of his games. I'm pretty sure not even Flash has ever done this. But over the same length of time, Flash would have a higher ELO because of more games played at a win percentage almost as high.


No **** there? over 90% in a 6 month period???


19/21 = .90476 or in other words 90.5%

Flash went 20/21 from christmas to mid-february 2011 and 15-0 in August 2010 (incuding 4 consecutive wins over fantasy). If anything maintaining that sort of winrate over a shorter period of time is harder due to less preparation and leagues running simultaneously. Even in 2012 Flash was looking like he'd go undefeated throughout proleague but they ended up with similar records. Congrats to Fantasy but don't kid yourselves that barely getting ahead on ELO after years of trailing means he's in any way matched flash's achievements. If anything he's just in peak form atm and is still only one ezmode OSL group ahead. Beating Flash in 1 game doesn't mean that much considering the history between the two (Flash 13-6 H2H). I really hope they meet in a Bo5 one last time because that will really decide the best player of 2012.


However, no, you are absolutely wrong in assuming that maintaining a high win percentage over a shorter period of time is more difficult. History has shown us that progamers tend to be very streaky -- and for good reason. Achieving monstrously high win rates requires you to be ahead of the curve in metagame, and the more time that passes the easier it is for other players to break down your metagame, meaning that you have to make new metagame. Your assumption would only be correct if metagame were static -- that is to say if there was absolutely no new timings or strategies left to be discovered!


I know which Fantasy would prefer. 21 games spread out or 21 games played over a short period of time in simultaneous leagues. Preparation counts for alot, it gives more time to adjust and come up with new timings/strategies. Especially if you throw in that Flash had to prepare and win ace/osl matches during his peak periods against players who had more time to prepare counters to how he was playing. 19/21 over 6 months (averages at slightly less than 1 game a week, no ace matches, only 1 map to prepare for) is impressive but in no way is it more impressive than similar records over a shorter time period.


Preparation cuts BOTH ways. Progamers are streaky. This is fact. Players like Lucifer and Shine have wracked up 12+ game win streaks. Why? It's not just caliber of competition. They developed metagame advantages that worked for a while, but then they got figured out. Soo is the same way, although he's been much better about reworking his timings to maintain success. But at the end of the day, Soo depends heavily on the fact that once he develops a timing for his hydra break, it takes Protoss a while before they can shut down his timing.

The fact is that preparation does not start the moment you find out about an upcoming match. Preparation is CONSTANT. Flash's massive win records came not from preparing specifically for specific opponents or specific maps, but from preparing strategies with the flexibility to not only generalize to many different maps, but to allow Flash the advantage of many different timing options.

The genius of Flash is that every time his metagame advantages were figured out and negated he was ready with a new change. Like everyone else, he certainly did get some help from other Terrans who were pioneering effectively, just as Fantasy is getting today.

But I am not talking about Flash. I am not comparing Fantasy to Flash or Oov or any past bonjwa or anybody. I am not comparing the league situation, the SC2 situation, or the quality of competition. Not to Flash, not to anybody. If this is what you want to argue, then argue it elsewhere because it's not my point and never has been my point.

MY POINT is that if a 90% win rate were successfully maintained over a period of length in time that has been this long during a period where more games were played, then Fantasy would have a much higher ELO rating. Against the same caliber competition Fantasy is facing now with the same number of games as Flash was playing at his peak, probably about 2400. The reality is that he has only increased in ELO by approximately 80 points (approx 2250 to 2330) even though his opponents have had a respectable average ELO rating.

Hence my original argument: Fantasy does not have time to replace Flash's ELO peak even if he can maintain this current level of dominance.
Even though this Proleague bullshit has been completely bogus, I really, really, really do not see how Khan can lose this. I swear I will kill myself if they do. - nesix before KHAN lost to eNature
oneofthem
Profile Blog Joined November 2005
Cayman Islands24199 Posts
June 01 2012 23:01 GMT
#138
yet there were still people who don't think he's S class just a few short months ago.
We have fed the heart on fantasies, the heart's grown brutal from the fare, more substance in our enmities than in our love
Zona
Profile Blog Joined May 2007
40426 Posts
June 02 2012 03:36 GMT
#139
It's amazing how some fans of a certain player can't accept that he's not clearly best anymore.
"If you try responding to those absurd posts every day, you become more damaged. So I pay no attention to them at all." Jung Myung Hoon (aka Fantasy), as translated by Kimoleon
wassbix
Profile Joined October 2009
Canada499 Posts
June 02 2012 05:04 GMT
#140
On June 02 2012 12:36 Zona wrote:
It's amazing how some fans of a certain player can't accept that he's not clearly best anymore.


On the other hand, its so weird watching Fantasy play nowadays. I'm no longer nervous about fantasy doing some weird build and dying to the most standard things, instead I just sit back grab a drink and watch some scrub get dismantled ezpz. This must be what Flash fans felt ; _ ;

(feels goood)
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