EPTanalysis : FFFFFFFUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUU
Haunted Mafia - Page 102
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Glasse
Canada1237 Posts
analysis : FFFFFFFUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUU | ||
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annul
United States2841 Posts
analysis: LOL FRENCH CANADIAN ;D | ||
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CubEdIn
Romania5359 Posts
Just as clarification: not saying that thegilaboy is mafia, it's just ONE post that seems to be rather incriminating. That's why I'm only 60% sure he's red (mafia). I'd still rather see Aztrorisk go. | ||
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Glasse
Canada1237 Posts
On October 17 2010 11:00 annul wrote: player above me: glasse analysis: LOL FRENCH CANADIAN ;D seriously can you stop that...? | ||
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Node
United States2159 Posts
I may be making a huge mistake, but I think it would be altogether beneficial to the town if Pandain remained among the living. Even if he is red, he's done a lot more to keep the town level-headed than pretty much anyone else. It makes me laugh to think that the vampires / mafia would actually want to target Aztrorisk. He has done virtually nothing to help the town, and at this point is only sowing discord and pointless suspicion with his silly codes and baseless accusations. That's not to say that suspicion is a bad thing, but that suspicion without rationality behind it can only turn us against each other. If the ghosts are listening to this, please don't save his stupid ass. | ||
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CubEdIn
Romania5359 Posts
After he said that, I went and took a look at your profile. LIKE TO WIELD SILVERY HAMMERS MUCH? | ||
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Glasse
Canada1237 Posts
 stop picking on kirby | ||
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KhrisKruel
United States146 Posts
He's only posted once in the thread, to tell aztrorisk he's playing a dangerous game, and voted for glurio at the beginning of the day. | ||
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Coagulation
United States9633 Posts
he has 4 post's as far as i can tell analysis On October 14 2010 08:08 ghrur wrote: Hey guys, glad to join the game. I'll try and read through it when I get more free time. For the moment, however, good job on killing a red the first lynch. ^_^ Pretty darn amazing. On October 16 2010 11:19 ghrur wrote: Voting for Veldril because of bandwagon. Wasting my vote this way so I won't make uninformed decisions and I avoid mod-killing. No time this week until now. only 73 pages to go for me! :D On October 17 2010 08:46 ghrur wrote: Guys, ignore the self-claimed JoL. His code is simply being confusing right now. We can worry about it when he dies. If he dies and it is decoded: we decided if we should trust it or not based on the decoder and his role (which we get WHEN he dies) If he dies and it isn't decoded: we forget about it. If he doesn't die: we don't care and forget about it. Sounds good? On October 17 2010 08:50 ghrur wrote: Yeah, basically ignore it. I mean, when he posted it, I personally thought it was just a move to confuse the town. =/ he voted one time On October 16 2010 11:21 ghrur wrote: ##Vote Veldril nothing much going on here I dunno if hes defending Aztrorisk or trying to cover up the questionable message that he posted but its not very conclusive to anything other than he thinks Aztrorisk should be ignored like 90% of everyone else thinks. | ||
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Node
United States2159 Posts
On October 17 2010 10:34 Pandain wrote:everyone analyze the person who's just before them on the sign up list All right, I guess I'll give this a shot. The guy before me is Yogy, one of the most inactive players in the game. He's posted in the voting thread three times, and each vote has been with the bandwagon. The third vote was voting for Veldril a second time in the same day... maybe he just forgot he posted the first time? Dunno, but it's not anything that conclusions can be drawn on. As far as I can tell, none of the clues really support him as red. The possible clues from his profile would relate to surfing, photography, water, waves, maybe something StarCraft-y. I don't think any of the clues point towards any of that. Interestingly enough, none other than Veldril cast suspicious on this guy. Seeing as Veldril turned up green... who knows? Here are the two posts that Yogy has made in this thread. The second post is responding to accusations that Veldril made: On October 13 2010 01:41 Yogy wrote: I've been pretty inactive in posting I confess, new to this and trying to get the hang of it. No one has been telling me what to do or who to vote to lynch, I've come to that decision myself. On October 15 2010 10:19 Yogy wrote: So you want to vote me to be lynched because I voted for someone that the clue implicated? With all the talk of people hopping on the bandwagon I thought it'd be wise to say I wasn't being led. I was one of the early few who voted on Masq, and I voted him because I felt the clue was obvious enough to pick a first day lynch. I've been inactive in the conversations because like I said, I'm new. Would rather wade in the shallow waters instead of diving headfirst into the deep-end. He is right about being one of the first to vote for Masq. This makes it very unlikely that he is a vampire. There's no reasoning for his voting Veldril, though. Since it was widely believed that Veldril is a vampire, there's still a pretty decent chance that Yogy is mafia. All in all, I can't draw any conclusions from his posts alone. He's got a grand total of seven posts on Team Liquid, fer chrissakes. He's certainly not someone I would trust, though. I do find it a bit strange that he joins this community on October 11th, and the first thing he does is join the Mafia game. He's had zero non-Mafia related posts. It's entirely possible that we're looking at a smurf account. In that case, he could be hiding behind "newness" in order to draw suspicion away. Not a bad choice for a DT check, IMO. I can't unreservedly say that we ought to lynch him, though I also can't say that it would be a bad idea. From what I understand, it's usually worth the town's while to go after inactives -- Yogy fits that description perfectly. | ||
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Thegilaboy
United States2018 Posts
On October 17 2010 10:56 CubEdIn wrote: Fair enough. Player above me: thegilaboy Voted twice against: Veldril Got voted against by: quickstriker (day 1) Profile: nothing incriminating as far as I can tell. Some protoss photos, and other sc related lines. Posts: roughly 40, most are answers to questions about the game itself, and tips. Here are some of interest: - he seems to deflect from masq, but i had the same opinion as well (clues too obvious), so i'll let this slide - plenty of posts in, he is only giving advice, but hasn't helped the town by contributing with analysis. He added one before game was restarted, but it was just a sum-up of the clues. Seems strange that someone with this much experience is so quiet - again, suspicious that he's not saying anything outright, just generalizing, asking for opinions. seems to support Pandain, so they might be in the same team - HOLY FUCK is this incriminating. WE? WE TOOK CARE of the brute? The town lynched a spawn, the Brute was killed my Mafia. WTF? How did people miss this? Other posts are not really useful. So bottom line: I thought he could be a red or just someone who didn't have too much time to spend on the game, and that's why he was short on analysis. Until I found this post, now I'm 60% sure convinced he's mafia (which would explain support of Pandain, if he is indeed, Mafia. And I'm back. Sorry everyone for disappearing, grad school has been crazy recently. But on the plus side midterms are past us now and that will free up a bit more time for me  That's a good point though Cube, I haven't been around too much to do analyses and I hope to amend this now that a few of my more important duties have been taken care of. I want to say first off that I do not support Pandain. I acknowledged early on that it was a plus to have someone at least coordinating our blues since there was and still remains a great deal of chaos in the town. It was a special circumstance too in this game because of the existence of 3 teams, 2 of which are red and gunning for one another specifically. The whole brute thing comes down to excitement to see the brute gone, and I suppose grammatically the sentence came out the wrong way. I was trying to get the point across that we wouldn't have to worry about our blues getting hit by the brute later in the game, because he becomes more and more dangerous the longer the game lasts. Also, I'm pretty sure DrH wouldn't put in a second brute, so I saw this as a big win for town. I'll go ahead and follow the new analysis methodology everyone is using, and take a look at the person above me, I'll post that when I finish! | ||
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Thegilaboy
United States2018 Posts
Came into the game at page 56 through no fault of his own, claims he had not been given permission to access the forum until then. Also if you note in the signups thread, there were some messed up PMs by the hosts to the wrong person. Profile: Contains a picture of the comic book Calvin and Hobbes with Hobbes' face whited out. Also his signature is a line from a specific strip from C&H, as well as a title of one of their compilation books. Picture further down is presumably him amongst some hills/mountains (I have no idea what you'd call those lol). Profile states he is an aspiring game designer, likes a lot of music, and walks of the beach. No obvious clue connections that I can see right now. Posts: 14 total From the beginning didn't care much for Bill Murray, and made this supposition about his replacement. On October 13 2010 14:21 Node wrote: If I had a guess, s/he is probably just going to keep posting to a minimum. Pretty much everything would be incriminating at this point. Made a few posts clarifying the boogeyman clue On October 15 2010 01:14 Node wrote: As far as I can tell, and this is maybe the most damning evidence against him there is, Veldril has done absolutely zero to actually defend himself. All that he has done, or at least, all he is doing now is attempting to misdirect towards other people. I can't think of anything more foolish than letting a red get away when he's square in our crosshairs. And please, please don't believe his BS about how it's bad for us if he turns up vampire. Reducing their KP is huge so early in the game. Does it give the mafia an advantage? Yes -- over the vampires. Less people turning up dead isn't going to hurt the town. Made a post calling for Veldril's death, claiming that more vampires dead will essentially be beneficial for both the town and mafia (Veldril ended up being townie): On October 15 2010 01:14 Node wrote: As far as I can tell, and this is maybe the most damning evidence against him there is, Veldril has done absolutely zero to actually defend himself. All that he has done, or at least, all he is doing now is attempting to misdirect towards other people. I can't think of anything more foolish than letting a red get away when he's square in our crosshairs. And please, please don't believe his BS about how it's bad for us if he turns up vampire. Reducing their KP is huge so early in the game. Does it give the mafia an advantage? Yes -- over the vampires. Less people turning up dead isn't going to hurt the town. Also did an analysis of Kyop based on his posting and how he implicated himself (Kyop ended up being Gravedigger): On October 15 2010 11:04 Node wrote: Kpyolisis32 is pretty damn sketchy in my book. Forget the damn cat for a moment, and just look at the way he's been posting: I mean, this statement is so weird no matter how you look at it. It's just, "Yep, the clue points to me. That's all." He doesn't defend himself. He doesn't deny that it was him, or provide other potential suspects. To me, it just looks like a ploy to gain some townie cred by implicating himself just a little bit, hoping that people will move on accepting that there's no way a red would provide evidence against himself. The only defense we get is: I don't like it. I don't like it one bit. From that point on not many substantial posts, was upset to see GR died, as well as his suspect Kyop had died and he would need to look for a new suspect: On October 16 2010 13:09 Node wrote: Well shit. The real loss tonight is losing a grim reaper, though. And I'm going to have to find someone other than kpyolosis to be suspicious of. So it goes. Recently writes a post claiming he supports Pandain, even if he is red, because he keeps the town level-headed. Adds that aztrorisk is essentially spitting garbage, and does not want a ghost to protect him that night: On October 17 2010 11:02 Node wrote: Pandain, I've always thought that you seemed like, at the very least, you knew what was going on. Your posts have been significantly more constructive than, say, Aztrorisk's. Who I'm just confused about. More on him in a moment. I may be making a huge mistake, but I think it would be altogether beneficial to the town if Pandain remained among the living. Even if he is red, he's done a lot more to keep the town level-headed than pretty much anyone else. It makes me laugh to think that the vampires / mafia would actually want to target Aztrorisk. He has done virtually nothing to help the town, and at this point is only sowing discord and pointless suspicion with his silly codes and baseless accusations. That's not to say that suspicion is a bad thing, but that suspicion without rationality behind it can only turn us against each other. If the ghosts are listening to this, please don't save his stupid ass. Node came into this game late and has made a few posts but really not a big impression. The only posts that may cause any kind of splash are the one's where he condemns Veldril and Kyop, who both end up not being red. Additionally, he says he supports Pandain, even if he were red, and is very against aztrorisk and considers him disruptive. I wouldn't say he is red so far, but I would like to see him posting a bit more in the thread. | ||
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Hyperbola
United States2530 Posts
Let's get back to discussing clues. With Kyplosis dead I think the cat clue directly points to YummyBlaBla. The meowing and huge claws all correspond with a tiger and is just as obvious as the carved pear clue. I think that unless something big comes up tonight, we should lynch Blabla the next day. | ||
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Coagulation
United States9633 Posts
On October 17 2010 12:19 Hyperbola wrote: What the fuck is going on? First spam and now super-secret codes? Let's get back to discussing clues. With Kyplosis dead I think the cat clue directly points to YummyBlaBla. The meowing and huge claws all correspond with a tiger and is just as obvious as the carved pear clue. I think that unless something big comes up tonight, we should lynch Blabla the next day. more like not so secret codes. tigers dont "meow" either. I think brownbears profile would hold more weight on that note | ||
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YummyBlaBla
Canada72 Posts
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YummyBlaBla
Canada72 Posts
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YummyBlaBla
Canada72 Posts
During the day, people die. When people die, clues are left behind by the dastardly mafia (or monsters) that killed them. Clues may refer to a persons profile, name, and signature. They can be taken from anywhere and won't always be so obvious. Keep a sharp and open mind when looking for clues. Remember, clues often times hurt the town more than they help. Analyze but don't go overboard in trying to use clues to your advantage, you may just run yourself in circles. Mafia is a game of deception, guesswork, and manipulation before it is a game of clue analysis. Keep that in mind. I'm just putting that out there. (Not a red) | ||
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KhrisKruel
United States146 Posts
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Lucktar
United States526 Posts
Profile Summary: Picture of Calvin from Calvin and Hobbes. Quote from The Sandlot, something something follow your heart. Then in his public profile, he has what look like song lyrics. They seem to refer to The Office, but nothing there really jumps out at me. On to the quotes. Basically, the great majority of his posts are in 1 of 2 categories: 1. Arguing with/about aztrorisk over his JoL claim, and whether he should be protected, etc, etc. 2. Posting a list of post counts in the thread, pointing out who has yet to post, who the lead posters are, etc. More on that in a bit, but there was one post that definitely jumped out at me. On October 13 2010 12:49 jaminz wrote: BTW the "detective" Bill Murray thinks he has is me. Is it true? O_o If jaminz isn't just making things up here, it seems to indicate that jaminz false claimed DT to BM, and was claiming it here. Bill Murray responds almost instantly, saying that he has a real DT, and then we get this exchange: On October 13 2010 12:52 jaminz wrote: Haha I'm not, don't worry. Just messing with Bill Is this just jaminz screwing around with BM? Is it a soft claim for DT, that he immediately tries to backpedal on? Or is it some kind of disinformation ploy? I'm not sure what to think. Other than the above exchange, jaminz's posting has been fairly unremarkable. I'm curious whether there's any relation between him and aztrorisk, given the exchange between the two, but I don't know of anything else that would indicate that. His posts summarizing post counts could be a way to try to get townies to trust him without giving anything away, or it could just be an attempt to be helpful. Voting History: Day 1. Initial vote Veldril, changed to BM. Interesting thing to note, jaminz switched his vote to BM approximately 9 hours before he made his DT 'claim.' 6 hours later, though, he switched his vote from BM to Pandain. Day 2. Voted Pandain again, switched to glurio (BM's replacement) about 18 hours later. That's all I can think of for now, nothing in his profile that seems to link up to the clues. I'll post again if I find anything there. | ||
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Nemesis
Canada2568 Posts
On October 17 2010 12:25 Coagulation wrote: more like not so secret codes. tigers dont "meow" either. I think brownbears profile would hold more weight on that note We don't necessarily know if the "meow" is part of the clue or just red herring | ||
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