Your case ish blasted my townread to a null fwiw
Hapa yep I am full genuine here
Forum Index > TL Mafia |
Alakaslam
United States17322 Posts
May 23 2014 19:49 GMT
#3081
Your case ish blasted my townread to a null fwiw Hapa yep I am full genuine here | ||
Holyflare
United Kingdom30774 Posts
May 23 2014 19:49 GMT
#3082
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Koshi
Belgium38797 Posts
May 23 2014 19:49 GMT
#3083
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layabout
United Kingdom2600 Posts
May 23 2014 19:52 GMT
#3084
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Xatalos
Finland9673 Posts
May 23 2014 19:52 GMT
#3085
Valenius, kush and jampidampi could be good lynch candidates. Valenius for general apathy and disinterest in scumhunting. kush for casually lurking and not having much of an active role in the game. I was mistaken about some of jampidampi's filter earlier, but he's still not doing much and appears weirdly forced/angry whenever he posts. Not a good sign. | ||
austinmcc
United States6737 Posts
May 23 2014 19:53 GMT
#3086
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Hapahauli
United States9305 Posts
May 23 2014 19:54 GMT
#3087
On May 24 2014 04:46 austinmcc wrote: ... As far as defense, I'm mainly interested in post-lynch thoughts. Not the vote, not any of that, but mainly why he doesn't catch your eye like slam and co. do. On May 24 2014 04:45 Hapahauli wrote: Post lynch Valenius - didn't mention him, because my thoughts are ALWAYS on the votes first and foremost post-lynch. I almost always mulligan my reads after Day 1 and start fresh. Bad concrete actions by players (i.e. votes) ALWAYS take precedence over Day 1 meta cases on players that could be lynchbait. If you need more detail than the above, the bottom line is that I don't have concrete voting evidence against Valenius, in the same way that I do on other players. I have no evidence that Valenius has done something anti-town: all I know is that he's playing bad and different from one of his past newbie town games. I think that's reasonably good grounds to lynch someone, but not like some of the stuff I have on the other players. Like kush admitting to voting someone for reasons other than that person being mafia. Or Yell0w voting Odin for pure RNG while having actual stated scum-reads. Or tambo for throwing away his vote on a player who he had a debatable scumread on while not voting his more articulated scumread because "bunnies could flip town." I like my Valenius case, and I think it was a good Day 1 case. It does not compare to my other suspicions and evidence however. | ||
Xatalos
Finland9673 Posts
May 23 2014 19:56 GMT
#3088
On May 24 2014 04:53 austinmcc wrote: Xat, do you put zero faith in the power of the toilet read? Haha I don't really think that's much of a tell. I mean, I have read the thread in toilet as scum before. | ||
Valenius
United Kingdom1266 Posts
May 23 2014 19:58 GMT
#3089
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austinmcc
United States6737 Posts
May 23 2014 19:59 GMT
#3090
On May 24 2014 04:45 Hapahauli wrote: Post lynch Valenius - didn't mention him, because my thoughts are ALWAYS on the votes first and foremost post-lynch. I almost always mulligan my reads after Day 1 and start fresh. Bad concrete actions by players (i.e. votes) ALWAYS take precedence over Day 1 meta cases on players that could be lynchbait. How does the above mesh with the below? (I KNOW I'M KINDA SWAPPING SUBJECTS HERE BUT...BLECH) On May 23 2014 13:18 Hapahauli wrote: Hm. That lynch result was unfortunate. Though the good news is that we have a lot of material to work with - these crazy late vote swaps always generate good information. I'll be reading the buildup to the lynch tomorrow, as I just drove 8 hours and I'm dead tired. My first instinct is to look into players on the Odin wagon that followed Blazinghand's RNG lynch as opposed to lynching Odin for actually being suspicious of him. Yell0w stuck with his early RNG vote on Odin despite having several other scum-reads in his filter. Alakaslam never mentioned a scum-read on Odin either (other the RNG stuff). Not sure if that's just Slam being Slam, but that's objectively pretty terrible. Obviously there are more people to look into than the two I mentioned above - Cavalihno's case looks interesting at first glance, and I'll need to verify that myself after I get some sleep. Tambo essentially wasting his vote late in the cycle is also very bad. Since several people expressed concern about my own actions during the lynch, I can't defend myself other than simply not being able to post while driving on a highway. My travel schedule today was terrible, and I really wish I could have been around for the deadline. Instead, I had a very short time to get acquainted with BlazingHand's case, saw a bunch of reputable players follow it, and kinda just went with the flow. Given the result and hindsight, I very much regret how it played out, but there was very little I could do today to help it. On May 24 2014 00:52 Hapahauli wrote: I can understand immediately looking for bad actions/votes, but you notice Yellow and Slam had sort of nothing-votes.Slam - if you're around, talk to me about the lynch yesterday. You seemed to be active the hours leading up to deadline, and you had your vote on Odin. Yet I can't find anywhere in your filter that you thought Odin was suspicious. The only mentions of Odin in your filter are towards the beginning (RNG lynch stuff). Sticking with the RNG lynch all day (despite being quite active in thread) does not look very good. Ah crap. Here. Yell0w stuck with his early RNG vote on Odin despite having several other scum-reads in his filter. Yellow stuck out to you early because he had other scum-reads in his filter but voted OOP for RNGValenius, one minute before voting OOP, says this about you On May 23 2014 04:09 Valenius wrote: and one minute later votes OOPHapa: + Show Spoiler + On May 21 2014 07:54 Hapahauli wrote: Two things: @ Holyflare Why are you playing as if you have a stick up your butt? @ Everyone Let's kill Valenius: + Show Spoiler + On May 21 2014 06:22 Valenius wrote: 9 player day 1's normally confuse me. gg. On May 21 2014 06:24 Valenius wrote: Show nested quote + On May 21 2014 06:22 Koshi wrote: On May 21 2014 06:22 Valenius wrote: 9 player day 1's normally confuse me. gg. Sheep me sheeping marv. ezgame ezlife. i thought you were hosting. wtf. ##vote: Koshi On May 21 2014 06:29 Valenius wrote: Show nested quote + On May 21 2014 06:28 Koshi wrote: On May 21 2014 06:27 Koshi wrote: On May 21 2014 06:24 Valenius wrote: On May 21 2014 06:22 Koshi wrote: On May 21 2014 06:22 Valenius wrote: 9 player day 1's normally confuse me. gg. Sheep me sheeping marv. ezgame ezlife. i thought you were hosting. wtf. ##vote: Koshi Even though I am a divine being in this game. I ascended and joined the plebs. I don't have anything against plebs though, they are simple but amusing beings. I allow the smartest of them to call me Koshi. You can call me Master. I might have meant descended. It is just hard for me to grasp going downwards. It was such a nice post, I wasn't going to correct it for you. On May 21 2014 06:50 Valenius wrote: Show nested quote + On May 21 2014 06:49 Yell0w wrote: So about this whole RNG thing, aren't scum players more likely to vote for OdinofPergo if he isn't in their faction since they don't even need a reason to vote him? They can just claim they're doing it for RNG and get a lynch on someone who isn't aligned with them? Wouldn't a better way be to each claim we are RNG voting, then use the RNG on the post in which we claimed it and then vote for whomever our own post said? So that there is no way to know if you're going to lynch someone of your own faction or not so it's riskier for scum to go by RNG? Maybe I'm completely wrong here. I like that, I haven't thought it through - But I like it. RNG V2 On May 21 2014 06:52 Valenius wrote: Actually, won't it cause the same theoretical situation, just with votes more spread? On May 21 2014 07:44 Valenius wrote: + Show Spoiler + On May 21 2014 07:42 kitaman27 wrote: Show nested quote + On May 21 2014 06:17 27ninjabunnies wrote: I'd lynch HF in a heartbeat if he aligned with mafia. Show nested quote + On May 21 2014 06:23 27ninjabunnies wrote: Oh I'd lynch tamburini in a heartbeat regardless of his alignment. Show nested quote + On May 21 2014 07:28 WaveofShadow wrote: Sorry HF you've broken my heart too many times. Chalis (ハート Heart) is an antagonist in Golden Sun: Dark Dawn. Together with Blados, she is one of the commanders of a secretive military nation named Tuaparang. All three are bad guys taunting us in the thread. I rest my case. LOL ##unvoted koshi btw On May 21 2014 07:48 Valenius wrote: Show nested quote + On May 21 2014 07:47 Holyflare wrote: On May 21 2014 07:45 Steveling wrote: On May 21 2014 07:43 Holyflare wrote: On May 21 2014 07:36 marvellosity wrote: Xatalos, I really have no idea, nor do I care, because I don't particularly strive to be consistent from game to game. Honestly the fact that you're beating away at this makes you look kinda better though, so maybe I'll unvote you if I'm feeling nice On May 21 2014 07:32 Holyflare wrote: yes please do ##unvote ##vote steveling You do realise, though, that Steve's semi-ridiculous behaviour makes it less likely he's mafia though, yes? (or traditional mafia. I'm just gonna say town for town and mafia for all the other factions until something tells me otherwise) On May 21 2014 07:20 Holyflare wrote: if you're gonna play like last game i will actually policy lynch you and i honestly don't care despite me being scum in the game he was talking about we literally only won because he was doing what he was doing as town and was an easy mislynch so i'm just going to get rid of him until he learns Yes you literally only won because of my bad play as town right? Not because NO ONE, LITERALLY NO ONE VOTED FOR A SCUM IN ALL 3 DAYS. Oh wait, except me. ^^^ case in point anyway bh if you take out newbie games towns recently have a 40%+ chance of finding mafia day 1 by lynching and so it's obv far better not to rng If you add in newbie games, we just lynch town/any claimed power roles. ezpz 6 posts, all of them a mixture of "+1'ing" other people and irrelevant comments. His filter reads a lot like someone who's artificially trying to insert himself in discussion. ##Vote: Valenius & + Show Spoiler + On May 21 2014 08:06 Hapahauli wrote: Can we stop troll voting and talk about someone that's actually scummy? Show nested quote + On May 21 2014 07:54 Hapahauli wrote: ... @ Everyone Let's kill Valenius: + Show Spoiler + On May 21 2014 06:22 Valenius wrote: 9 player day 1's normally confuse me. gg. On May 21 2014 06:24 Valenius wrote: Show nested quote + On May 21 2014 06:22 Koshi wrote: On May 21 2014 06:22 Valenius wrote: 9 player day 1's normally confuse me. gg. Sheep me sheeping marv. ezgame ezlife. i thought you were hosting. wtf. ##vote: Koshi On May 21 2014 06:29 Valenius wrote: Show nested quote + On May 21 2014 06:28 Koshi wrote: On May 21 2014 06:27 Koshi wrote: On May 21 2014 06:24 Valenius wrote: On May 21 2014 06:22 Koshi wrote: On May 21 2014 06:22 Valenius wrote: 9 player day 1's normally confuse me. gg. Sheep me sheeping marv. ezgame ezlife. i thought you were hosting. wtf. ##vote: Koshi Even though I am a divine being in this game. I ascended and joined the plebs. I don't have anything against plebs though, they are simple but amusing beings. I allow the smartest of them to call me Koshi. You can call me Master. I might have meant descended. It is just hard for me to grasp going downwards. It was such a nice post, I wasn't going to correct it for you. On May 21 2014 06:50 Valenius wrote: Show nested quote + On May 21 2014 06:49 Yell0w wrote: So about this whole RNG thing, aren't scum players more likely to vote for OdinofPergo if he isn't in their faction since they don't even need a reason to vote him? They can just claim they're doing it for RNG and get a lynch on someone who isn't aligned with them? Wouldn't a better way be to each claim we are RNG voting, then use the RNG on the post in which we claimed it and then vote for whomever our own post said? So that there is no way to know if you're going to lynch someone of your own faction or not so it's riskier for scum to go by RNG? Maybe I'm completely wrong here. I like that, I haven't thought it through - But I like it. RNG V2 On May 21 2014 06:52 Valenius wrote: Actually, won't it cause the same theoretical situation, just with votes more spread? On May 21 2014 07:44 Valenius wrote: + Show Spoiler + On May 21 2014 07:42 kitaman27 wrote: Show nested quote + On May 21 2014 06:17 27ninjabunnies wrote: I'd lynch HF in a heartbeat if he aligned with mafia. Show nested quote + On May 21 2014 06:23 27ninjabunnies wrote: Oh I'd lynch tamburini in a heartbeat regardless of his alignment. Show nested quote + On May 21 2014 07:28 WaveofShadow wrote: Sorry HF you've broken my heart too many times. Chalis (ハート Heart) is an antagonist in Golden Sun: Dark Dawn. Together with Blados, she is one of the commanders of a secretive military nation named Tuaparang. All three are bad guys taunting us in the thread. I rest my case. LOL ##unvoted koshi btw On May 21 2014 07:48 Valenius wrote: Show nested quote + On May 21 2014 07:47 Holyflare wrote: On May 21 2014 07:45 Steveling wrote: On May 21 2014 07:43 Holyflare wrote: On May 21 2014 07:36 marvellosity wrote: Xatalos, I really have no idea, nor do I care, because I don't particularly strive to be consistent from game to game. Honestly the fact that you're beating away at this makes you look kinda better though, so maybe I'll unvote you if I'm feeling nice On May 21 2014 07:32 Holyflare wrote: yes please do ##unvote ##vote steveling You do realise, though, that Steve's semi-ridiculous behaviour makes it less likely he's mafia though, yes? (or traditional mafia. I'm just gonna say town for town and mafia for all the other factions until something tells me otherwise) On May 21 2014 07:20 Holyflare wrote: if you're gonna play like last game i will actually policy lynch you and i honestly don't care despite me being scum in the game he was talking about we literally only won because he was doing what he was doing as town and was an easy mislynch so i'm just going to get rid of him until he learns Yes you literally only won because of my bad play as town right? Not because NO ONE, LITERALLY NO ONE VOTED FOR A SCUM IN ALL 3 DAYS. Oh wait, except me. ^^^ case in point anyway bh if you take out newbie games towns recently have a 40%+ chance of finding mafia day 1 by lynching and so it's obv far better not to rng If you add in newbie games, we just lynch town/any claimed power roles. ezpz 6 posts, all of them a mixture of "+1'ing" other people and irrelevant comments. His filter reads a lot like someone who's artificially trying to insert himself in discussion. ##Vote: Valenius He then jumps over onto mtamburini after his/her bunnies post, which is later followed by: + Show Spoiler + On May 22 2014 07:02 Hapahauli wrote: Alright finished reading the thread, and my thoughts haven't changed too much. mtamburini's still my lynch of choice today. I've already made some thoughts on her larger quote-bomb post... http://www.teamliquid.net/forum/mafia/440546-golden-sun-the-lost-age-mafia-djinn-edition?page=38#745 http://www.teamliquid.net/forum/mafia/440546-golden-sun-the-lost-age-mafia-djinn-edition?page=40#787 ...and foolishness has a post on her as well... http://www.teamliquid.net/forum/mafia/440546-golden-sun-the-lost-age-mafia-djinn-edition?page=55#1087 Just to add to this though, I found this post which is all sorts of WAT: Show nested quote + On May 21 2014 12:39 mtamburini wrote: + Show Spoiler + On May 21 2014 11:45 Cephiro wrote: First up, the thoughts behind my questioning. While initially reading the thread I noticed 27ninja is a very cooperative person. Which is why I started the whole exchange with her. Show nested quote + On May 21 2014 06:52 27ninjabunnies wrote: If I'm avoiding your question, it's because I have a pretty good damn reason as to why. But because you are being persistant, the ones I have my eye on are Steveling, WaveofShadow and Tehpoofter. She takes part in the discussion a lot and actively, aiming to contribute (or look like contributing.) Show nested quote + On May 21 2014 07:30 27ninjabunnies wrote: On May 21 2014 07:28 jampidampi wrote: Before I continue, were you annoyed with my guestions? No, questions are good. They get reads. Reads are good. So the questions were not annoying. I was more annoyed by the fact you said I was avoiding what you were asking. I think I had made it clear as to why. But please continue. I want to hear more. Her intention is to try and play as honestly as possible. Which again, is not a bad thing from a town perspective, but if you roll scum and try to play with the least amount of lies possible, it will be hard. The point of interest here is her admitting her annoyance to being called out on her play. She encourages others to share the reasons on hers, yet withholds her own for "reasons", are excused as: Show nested quote + On May 21 2014 06:52 27ninjabunnies wrote: But this doesn't necessarily mean they are scum. I rather read more of their play and interactions before I straight out call someone mafia. The majority of these people I haven't played with, and this is my second forum game. If I don't have logic behind my reads, where does that put me? As a freaking town more likely to get mislynched. So hold your horses, let me get my reads, and then we'll talk. While I definitely agree with the logic behind it, her reasoning doesn't seem sincere. It's as if she wants to put content into the thread, but avoid (for now), making any decisions that may come to haunt her play later. Specifically: She doesn't want to be read as scum. Obviously, no town player does, but her play is (even self-admittingly) aimed at not being read as scum. Even if you are read as scum as a townie, it doesn't mean you can't manage to prove your town-ness. Surely, it's an uphill battle, but for someone putting as much effort as her in the game seems unlikely to be _that_ scared of being a misread as a town. Rather, I feel the fear comes from other players correctly reading her as scum. Analysis break: My questions, the reasons behind it, and my conclusions of her replies. Show nested quote + On May 21 2014 10:28 27ninjabunnies wrote: On May 21 2014 10:27 Cephiro wrote: Confirming one thing, are you asking for my reasons as for: 1) Why I'm reading you as mafia? 2) Why I'm voting on you? Well I assume you are voting me because you are reading me as mafia. So, why are you reading me as mafia? The first exchange. My question here aims at finding the natural level of her thought process. It may not be the best comparison, but think about chess. What I'm aiming to find here is whether she thinks about: 1) The current move 2) The reasons behind the current move 3) The follow-up to the current move Or a multitude of the above. As you can see, she instantly jumps into an assumption that I vote her because I read her as mafia. She doesn't take her thought process further (into different possibilities), into questions such as: "Would he vote for me for a reason other than suspecting me as mafia?" Instead, she takes it for granted that I suspect her to be mafia. It fits well with her wanting to play as honestly as possible, trying not to doubt the claims of others. This I feel is a trait belonging to the person. So here I establish the fact that she doesn't think things ahead. Her thought process is not zero though, but considering the current step with the information given to her comes more naturally. (There are people who naturally start thinking multiple steps ahead.) Show nested quote + On May 21 2014 10:46 27ninjabunnies wrote: On May 21 2014 10:39 Cephiro wrote: I will have to respond to your question with another to stay true to my motives. If I didn't consider you as mafia, why would I be voting for you? Even if my replies seem very off to you, please do respond. You're under evaluation. If you don't consider me as mafia, you shouldn't be voting me. The only reason outside of you considering me as mafia for why you would vote for me is this: you want to get a read on me via my reactions to your voting on me to see if I react poorly or more town favored. This is only used if you don't have a read on me from what I've previously posted. This can also lead to reads from other people if they begin questioning you or agreeing with you. So again, why are you reading me as mafia? Here is my followup. My question is intentionally aimed to hint at a possibility of thinking outside the box. As I came into the conclusion that she doesn't naturally by instinct start thinking things too many steps ahead, I wanted to see the reaction that would come after hinted towards doing such. Her response is quite interesting. She does correctly analyze on scenario, that is, if I didn't have a proper read and wanted to gain more information on her. There are many others she does not think about however. What I'm most interested in, is this crucial miss: She does not at all consider a possibility where I am scum. Ding ding, alarm bells anyone? Note how she points out that if I don't really consider her as mafia, I shouldn't be voting for her. Yet at the end of her post, she asks why I'm reading her as mafia. This means that she thinks (knows?) of me being a town player suspecting her, rather than any other possibility. Why could I not be a scum player trying to start a wagon on her? She doesn't even go through this option at all, even after being hinted to think outside the box. It's as if she knows I'm town. That's not possible unless she's scum. On to my third question: Show nested quote + On May 21 2014 11:08 27ninjabunnies wrote: On May 21 2014 10:54 Cephiro wrote: One last question before I will answer your question. I already know you read me as town. If you had a strong scumread on me however, would you go all-out to make me the lynch of the day right away? I like how confident you are in yourself. As for reading you as town, that's yet to be determined. If I had a strong scumread on you, yes, I would probably push on you to get you lynched. As for right away, it depends. If I think I can have support, I'll push right away. If I don't think I'll have any support, I'd need t find evidence that can prove or atleast put into speculation that you are mafia. So, your answer? This question was mainly to confirm. I was fairly certain that she does not intentionally downplay her ability to mislead her opponent. Combined with the logical deduction of her naturally not thinking ahead, and with her honest tendency to answer questions, I have no reason to believe she'd be lying about this one either. It would be possible to downplay or not reveal your scumread to try and trap a person into a situation which essentially confirms them as scum to other players, or many shenanigans of the kind. Her response however is strictly related to her own confidence about her read. If she's sure about her read, she'll go for it (no downplaying). If she's unsure, she'll work to be able to trust her read enough to convince others. (Upping her own play.) With this I come into the conclusion that she is not downplaying her abilities when responding to others, or in any questions that she replied to me. This is exactly why I consider the 2nd question where she does NOT EVEN CONSIDER ME AS POSSIBLE SCUM extremely alarming. Also take in consideration how interested in she is in the reasons why I suspect her to be mafia. She doesn't just ignore and wait for me to actually provide something, but she actively asks for it again and again. If not combined with the above, I would see this as a townie trait, but I feel she is trying to get to know her mistakes/flaws in early play so she doesn't make the same mistakes later on. TLDR: 1) Is afraid of being seen as scum 2) Extremely co-operative due to not wanting to be looked upon badly, refer to point 1. 3) Ignores the possibility of the player questioning her being scum. 4) When suspected, wants to know the flaws in her play to not repeat the mistake later Like literally, for one moment she doesn't think I could be scum trying to push her for mislynch. 27ninjabunnies is mafia, and needs to be lynched. My vote stays where it is. Opinions? Goddamn bunnies back to scummy now, I need you to pretend your formaled and defend yourself. He brings up all the points I wanted to kill yellow in other game. Do I need to claim Bird Jesus again and say im going to shoot you and see if I get roleblocked? She quote's ceph's giant case on Bunnies and basically blindly agrees with it. There's no indication in this post that she's actually read the damn thing - it's almost like she looks at the case, sees it's big, and just sheeps it. Furthermore, the bolded comment is incredibly strange, given that yellow flipped town in the game in-question. You'd think she would exhibit more pause after wanting to lynch a townie for similar rationale, but instead she bolsters her suspicions with it... that just makes very little sense from a town perspective. Of all the points against her, I think this is the most compelling. Ritoky/Valenius I've seen these two mentioned as possible scum candidates. Austin's case on Ritoky is somewhat compelling, however I don't think it takes into account the sheer difference between a mini-newbie game and a 32-person monster-spamfest. The wishy-washiness to me could be explained by how intimidating/confusing this thread is to a newer player. Hell I'm having problems keeping track of this myself, and I'm considered a "vet." All and all, I agree that they're playing differently than their town metas have shown in the past, but I think that it could be explained by the difference in gametypes. "I've seen these two mentioned as possible scum candidates." - What?!? You were pushing me early on when nobody else except MZ really was, and you seem like you've just rediscovered that you think im scummy? You then seem to completely drop off me: + Show Spoiler + On May 22 2014 08:15 Hapahauli wrote: Show nested quote + On May 22 2014 08:09 layabout wrote: If marv convinces yall to lynch me, which i am rather tempted to just let happen you should flip this guy: On May 21 2014 22:55 jampidampi wrote: So after skimming the thread I realize that I'm left with less time than I'd like to have, so I'll just make a list that will probably never be explained. Would not lynch today: Meapak Hapa Holy poofter BlueyD austin Koshi BH fool geript bkq ceph wave xatalos Preffered lynch: layabout Could lynch today: Valenius thrawn bunnies sqrt Yellow tamburini MysteryMeat No clue: slam marv steveling kitaman cavalinho If I forgot someone then I'm sorry, they belong probably to the no clue list. ##Vote: layabout this is his first and only mention of me. it is unsubstantiated but follows the tone of the thread. a list takes a significant amount of time to produce compared to a sentence or two to explain your vote, he is putting in time but missing out the important bit for a towny. it looks very much like a mafia vote to get a wagon rolling he is giving momentum to a trail of thoughts without adding anything of substance to it whatsoever. I am dissapointed in you guys Be dissappointed in your own play. This is literally the first read of any substance you've made all game. Talk to me about some other people - mtamburini and ritoky are a good start. Surely if you think i'm scummy, you'd be mentioning me in that list? You then come back onto me when: + Show Spoiler + On May 23 2014 01:54 Hapahauli wrote: Mystermeat's meh. Not only is it a coinflip, but we're going to get absolutely nothing out of that lynch information-wise, so let's not do that. I'm back to Valenius right now. Show nested quote + On May 23 2014 01:45 OnceKing wrote: On May 23 2014 01:37 Hapahauli wrote: On May 23 2014 01:31 OnceKing wrote: also i could buy a ritoky lynch over a layabout lynch atm or valenius Cool. Why? I'm sorta thinking about lynching you right now to be honest. layabout actually pushing his scum read instead of just wasting time waffling about in his posts, ritoky doesn't valenius doesn't either but he's even worse because he hasn't got any reads other than town and null, there are just so many polarizing people in the thread i don't see how you can come away with nothing This is a pretty good observation by OnceKing, and Valenius has slipped my mind for a while. Val really hasn't done much this game at all - a majority of his filter are short posts that have nothing to do with reads or scumhunting. A lot of +1's and idle questions. He does have one scum-hunting post... Show nested quote + On May 22 2014 04:15 Valenius wrote: Onegu, that's terrible; Really hope it get's better quickly. I'm not sure how many posts, and this applies for all of you 'vets', are serious and how many are little in jokes between yourselves.. so if I miss out something it's probably because i didnt want to make a read based on something that could be common in your games. Make sense? As always with me, i just read through filters. Backtracking thread is too hard. So.. + Show Spoiler + Yell0w. + Show Spoiler + Despite how much everyone seems to hate the whole RNGesus plan, his initial post on it was solid. It's misguided in that it would require everyone to take part.. which won't happen; but the theory is sound. It's easy enough for someone to test everyone else's post to make sure there's no tomfoolery occurring. Any switches (early or late) would draw suspicion. Somebody pulled him up on his switch to BH's plan 'with no posts in between', but that was bullshit. He'd been shown how it wouldn't work, so his switch was logical. His first big post mostly makes sense. I agree with his points on RNG not being totally alignment indicative, and for me it's probably more like 60% town indicative. With most of the players in here, I don't think experienced scum would have much trouble causing a mislynch on day1. RNG is imo more likely to hit them than a lynch through the normal course of play - Unless they made a monumental slip-up. Summary: Probably Town, like his thought process. Blazinghand + Show Spoiler + Dude, drop the RNG. I was a believer, but it's not going to happen. Again, the logic behind it was solid (imo - see above), as is the setup talk and effectiveness of the scummers. The wording of this post was a little bit off to me: + Show Spoiler + On May 21 2014 07:52 Blazinghand wrote: Good point, also it doesn't matter, we need to kill them all. So are you on board, jampidampi? or are you busy thinking of another excuse not to lynch In the post he was replying to, i'd put the win condition was "Eliminate all Factions, which endanger town". The 'we need to kill them all' seems to have just ignored that. Not sure if slip, but thought i'd mention it.. 'when in Rome' and all. Overall: I don't like how you've continued pushing the RNG as it's getting to the stage where most are ignoring you, although If anything I think it makes you more town than scum at this point. Alakaslam + Show Spoiler + I don't get you. You know what stop putting Vaseline in your car and diesel does not improve your lips. Neither does motor oil work for lubrication of human anatom- Actually, I am unsure of that Anyway dat GASOLINE more specific than PETROL bro Putting plastic in the car or what? Loo Heheh Alyoominnium If course to you we like a-LOO-minnum sqrtofneg1 + Show Spoiler + Seems reasonably in line with newbie games i've played/obs'd with him, although slightly Odd post time: "All other factions are anti town. That's confirmed." - Forgive me if I missed the page, but where was this confirmed? Your vote on Holyflare was about as useful as my vote on Koshi. +e$ports 20 for the recent geript comment. Summary: Stay vigilant sqrt, newbie bro. These guys will promise you the world, and just end up taking your bottle-cap collection. (Probably town, but a bit too easily swayed) Cavalinho + Show Spoiler + You could pretty much pull out in a black Ford Model 18 "V-8" (1932-1934)* and wave your tommy gun around and I still probably wouldn't lynch you today. You're a survivor Cav, I believe in you. * Thanks GQ slideshow Oh, actual 'analysis' time? + Show Spoiler + On May 21 2014 14:12 Cavalinho wrote: Because he's scum. And also because he's trying to hide and he's posting a lot of questions aimed at making people feel superior. Hence, he is a mafia trying to get people to ignore him and blend in. I pretty much fully disagree. Steveling's done anything but try and blend in. The lover's tiff between him and Holyflare is one of the more dominant things that have happened so far. Maybe people will laugh, and maybe I'm overestimating the ability of some of you regulars/overusing my newbie reads, but it doesn't seem massively scummy. You haven't defecated today. Summary: Pale Mafia. A light shade of pink. 27ninjabunnies + Show Spoiler + + Show Spoiler + On May 21 2014 06:39 27ninjabunnies wrote: Show nested quote + On May 21 2014 06:27 jampidampi wrote: On May 21 2014 06:21 27ninjabunnies wrote: -- It's also obvious who are going to jump out in the front and try and lead town one way or another. We definitely have a mafia or two in the first couple of pages. You sound confident, enough that I think you have your eye on someone already. Care to share as to who it may be? I may have my eye on a few people. From my experience, there are two type of mafia people: the lurkers, and the ones who like to ome out first day and take control of town. I'm focusing on the latter because they are the ones to likely talk more, you can easily find their slips (if any), and they are also more likely to last longer than the lurker mafia. I find the last sentence a little bit contradictory. If you assume that you're in a game with people who will catch slips most of the time, then surely the talkative slippy mafia wouldn't last longer than the lurkers due to the talkative slippy nature of themselves? I don't know, maybe it's just my interpretation of the line, and maybe im understating the {if any) part. + Show Spoiler + If I'm avoiding your question, it's because I have a pretty good damn reason as to why. But because you are being persistant, the ones I have my eye on are Steveling, WaveofShadow and Tehpoofter. The fuck? It's early in the game, and there's pretty much 0 pressure on you to give out your reads to him. Saying you're then looking at them will surely change their behaviour, rendering the whole thing invalid? The whole post by matamburini is too big and had too many capitals, so I havent and probably wont read it. Meapak_Ziphh + Show Spoiler + You still have your vote on me, and i think you've spelled my name about 6 different ways. Apart from me, who do you think's scummy? bkqyrldp + Show Spoiler + I don't have a clue what to expect from a 2-player player, but his post on how players enters the thread is alright. His quotes on jampidampi back this up. When the game started last night i couldnt really care, and i plan to return to that after this post for today. Previous newbie games i tried hard to analyse everything, and ended up being wrong and getting stressed, so it's carefree all the way for this game. Erm, summary: Town. Kitaman27 + Show Spoiler + The heart post was funny, not much else in his filter. He hosted my first game, so I always thought he'd be super pro. Kita, warm my little heart and show me you're pro. I'm bored now and hungry and i suck at analysis and nobody will probably read it ::longpost:: and all. back to short-shitposting for now. I'll talk about others tomorrow. ...that doesn't really say much about anything. He calls Cav a "slight shade of pink", and that's the closest he gets to a scumread. Everything else is a bunch of town reads, null reads, or posed questions. I also really dont' like the last bit of this post... Show nested quote + I'm bored now and hungry and i suck at analysis and nobody will probably read it ::longpost:: and all. back to short-shitposting for now. I'll talk about others tomorrow. ... for a number of reasons. Lack of confidence, lack of willingness to do analysis, openly declares intentions to shitpost... meh. OnceKing posts his 'observation' which ive already said i think is a ridiculously easy one to make. I even bolded my own town/null reads for ease of viewing. Anyway, you're the closest read i have to scum at the moment. Just flipping about and pushing whoever seems to be flavour of the hour. On May 23 2014 04:10 Valenius wrote: but actually mentions you right before the lynch (btw, I read Valenius asking about his scumread and if anyone had read it right before the deadline to be pretty durn townie)##Vote: OdinOfPergo On May 23 2014 04:50 Valenius wrote: Does anyone have any thoughts on hapa? Not for today's lynch (obv), but going forwards? Not only does Valenius have...I guess just one scumread, not a filter-full. But it's on YOU. How is Yellow the guy you pick up on having scumreads but voting OOP for no real reason, over Valenius, the dude you thought was scum, think is scum, and had a scumread on YOU that he was even pushing 10 min before the deadline while voting BH as sheep>? | ||
Steveling
Greece10806 Posts
May 23 2014 19:59 GMT
#3091
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Alakaslam
United States17322 Posts
May 23 2014 20:00 GMT
#3092
On May 24 2014 04:38 Hapahauli wrote: It's not a fucking falsified read goddamnit. Just because I don't have time to post my justifications for a vote swap FROM FUCKING I-90 doesn't mean that I don't have justifications. Saxon that's not even the case's point And I-90 does not hold candles to the hellfire of I-10 Or the 101 Or the 91 Or the grapevine (I-5), whence my truck was destroyed and so also will my job likely be destroyed. Or even the 60 at times! SSON i even find traphix makes for ez-er maphia in DA car, what is hard is when everyone is flying along and you gotta watch | ||
ShiaoPi
TAIWAN NUMBAH WAN5955 Posts
May 23 2014 20:00 GMT
#3093
Day 2 Another day beckons to the gathered Adepts, who slowly awoke from their uneasy slumber. Some had hoped to wake up and find out that it all had just been an unpleasant dream. Unfortunately for them, the day could not have been off to a worse start. On the northern side of the camp a giant rock was found, which most certainly was not there the day before. Upon closer inspection they could make out the lifeless figure of Koshi beneath it. Meanwhile to the south the ghastly sight of a blackened corpse greeted the adepts to the new dawn. Identifying the unfortunate victim was only possible due to his height as even in death bkqyrldp remained the tallest of them. If all those horrors had not been enough, the most terrifying sight was right in the middle of the camp. Another charred corpse, but this time the killer seemed to taunt them, for besides his corpse was written: "This was Meapak_Ziphh, he did not seem to partake much in my enjoyment..." The nightmare had just begun.... Koshi, aligned to Mercury was crushed by solid rock! bkqyrldp, aligned with the Adepts was charred to a crisp! Meapak_Ziphh, aligned with the Adepts was electrocuted! Day 2 has begun! You have 48 hours to the next deadline! Deadline is in THIS GAME USES PLURALITY LYNCH! VOTES GO HERE AND WILL ONLY BE COUNTED THERE: VOTING THREAD | ||
Koshi
Belgium38797 Posts
May 23 2014 20:00 GMT
#3094
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Xatalos
Finland9673 Posts
May 23 2014 20:01 GMT
#3095
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Xatalos
Finland9673 Posts
May 23 2014 20:01 GMT
#3096
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geript
10024 Posts
May 23 2014 20:01 GMT
#3097
1. Why would not-town Hapa respond to me the way he did and get pissy at me and how I was playing? 2. Why do you even think I could be not-town? | ||
geript
10024 Posts
May 23 2014 20:02 GMT
#3098
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Xatalos
Finland9673 Posts
May 23 2014 20:02 GMT
#3099
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Xatalos
Finland9673 Posts
May 23 2014 20:03 GMT
#3100
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