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July Winrates! - Page 8

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Stress
Profile Joined February 2011
United States980 Posts
Last Edited: 2013-08-01 20:27:23
August 01 2013 20:23 GMT
#141
The Korean sample size seems extremely small considering all the matches that have happened recently(WCS, GSTL, Proleague, IEM Qualifiers, etc..), this leads me to question the validity of the Korean graphs. I think TvZ is for the most part becoming more balanced just from the way that Zergs are adjusting. Recently there has been some pretty good TvZs that were very entertaining to watch such as Effort v Flash on Whirlwind(WCS Challenger) and Polt v Revival on Star Station(IEM Shanghai).

The thing with window mines is that if the Zerg player splits/sends a pack of zerglings in the front and has observers their engagements are 10 times better than if they don't. There is a bit of randomness/gimmick to the unit but I think we are starting to see it mitigated by players with good unit control.

Also in regards to lack of Zerg presence in the later stages of WCS KR there was 3 groups in the ro32 that had 3 Zerg players and it happened again with one group in ro16. The race distribution wasn't that great, imo.
http://wiki.teamliquid.net/starcraft2/2013_WCS_Season_2_Korea_OSL/Premier
"Touch my gosu hands." - Tastosis | | fOrGG // MC // Jaedong
Wingblade
Profile Joined April 2012
United States1806 Posts
Last Edited: 2013-08-01 21:14:04
August 01 2013 21:12 GMT
#142
On August 02 2013 05:23 Stress wrote:
The Korean sample size seems extremely small considering all the matches that have happened recently(WCS, GSTL, Proleague, IEM Qualifiers, etc..), this leads me to question the validity of the Korean graphs. I think TvZ is for the most part becoming more balanced just from the way that Zergs are adjusting. Recently there has been some pretty good TvZs that were very entertaining to watch such as Effort v Flash on Whirlwind(WCS Challenger) and Polt v Revival on Star Station(IEM Shanghai).

The thing with window mines is that if the Zerg player splits/sends a pack of zerglings in the front and has observers their engagements are 10 times better than if they don't. There is a bit of randomness/gimmick to the unit but I think we are starting to see it mitigated by players with good unit control.

Also in regards to lack of Zerg presence in the later stages of WCS KR there was 3 groups in the ro32 that had 3 Zerg players and it happened again with one group in ro16. The race distribution wasn't that great, imo.
http://wiki.teamliquid.net/starcraft2/2013_WCS_Season_2_Korea_OSL/Premier


First of all, you listed that there were a bunch of matches in Korea, but the 4 tournaments you listed were the only 4 that happened in Korea this month. Keeping in mind there werent many GSTL matches since it ended half way through the month and there weren't that many PL matches while they were in playoffs. There were 2 weeks worth of matchups total the entire month. One weekend of matches and 4 or 5 total matches from the playoffs which is about equivalent to an additional week.

So no, we didn't make this graph up. There simply weren't that many games.
PartinG fanboy to the max, Rain/Squirtle/Dear/Scarlett/Bbyong are cool too. I don't always watch Dota2 but when I do I have no clue what's going on. GOGO POWER RANGERS
Skyblueone
Profile Joined June 2012
Belgium155 Posts
August 01 2013 21:19 GMT
#143
I have other stats http://i.imgur.com/xcRY1B8.png, I think the might be more serious.
EmilA
Profile Joined October 2010
Denmark4618 Posts
August 01 2013 21:28 GMT
#144
On August 01 2013 17:53 Decendos wrote:
Show nested quote +
On August 01 2013 17:50 Snowbear wrote:
On August 01 2013 16:27 ReMinD_ wrote:
TvZ is so incredibly in T's favor that I expect the percentage to be even worse next month. But I am surprised about ZvP. All these issues could be resolved by making Hydralisk a decent unit.


If you take a bigger sample size you will notice how close the numbers are. Sorry, but you are not getting your 70% zvt WOL winrate back. Blizzard will NEVER make the same mistake.


you are embarrassing yourself with posting lies like zvt was 70% in wol. even last GSL in WoL was 61% while now we have over 70% in OSL for T (both very small sample sizes). just stop posting lies like this, its getting annoying.



I would advice anyone who even considered replying to this guy to check the last page of his posting history. It is exclusively him saying ZvT is fine past the queen-ovie patch.

"just give it more time guys 1½ months is not enough to judge anything"

Meanwhile you are balance whining 14 days after a patch that nerfed T.
http://dotabuff.com/players/122305951 playing other games
Nerski
Profile Blog Joined November 2010
United States1095 Posts
August 01 2013 21:29 GMT
#145
On August 01 2013 11:10 Porishan wrote:
not sure if trolling or....
OP has no source, a single post with 2 pictures which anyone can make, plus this

Show nested quote +
David Kim: I don't think there is balance problem right now, and I don't think Zerg is weak at the moment. For example, the recent Dreamhack had a ZvZ finals. Also, WCS S1 Korea Regional Final had a ZvT finals and the Zerg won (Soulkey vs Innovation). In terms of ladder's data, Zerg actually has a little advantage right now.


They key there is that DK was basing his balance numbers off ladder data, he didn't cite tournament data.
Twitter: @GoForNerski /// Youtube: Youtube.com/nerskisc
Nerski
Profile Blog Joined November 2010
United States1095 Posts
Last Edited: 2013-08-01 21:35:58
August 01 2013 21:34 GMT
#146
Here is an interesting factoid for people to discuss. In all the pro matches how often do you see zerg winning macro games in ZvX during the later stages of the tournament (ie not open brackets super early rounds etc.). A great amount of Z wins have been all ins that punished someone playing overly greedy.

Basically I'm saying if there was any credence to any balance indications what so ever for zerg players. It would be for some reason Zergs at the top level are having a difficult time getting into the late game properly. That or something with the Zerg late game isn't quite powerful enough to stay in the game.

None of this means that the game is imbalanced per say, it could be more of an indicator of forgiveness with mistakes being the more likely culprit. IE a T or P player is able to recover from a mistake more easily then a Z player.
Twitter: @GoForNerski /// Youtube: Youtube.com/nerskisc
Doublemint
Profile Joined July 2011
Austria8635 Posts
August 01 2013 21:41 GMT
#147
Game seems to be in a decent state all things considered, but what the heck is up with KR ZvP?!
in the age of "Person, Woman, Man, Camera, TV" leadership.
Gullis
Profile Joined April 2012
Sweden740 Posts
Last Edited: 2013-08-01 21:43:53
August 01 2013 21:43 GMT
#148
On August 02 2013 06:19 Skyblueone wrote:
I have other stats http://i.imgur.com/xcRY1B8.png, I think the might be more serious.


This is more accurate.
Maby marine with 7 range will be next change?
I would rather eat than see my children starve.
Skyblueone
Profile Joined June 2012
Belgium155 Posts
August 01 2013 21:52 GMT
#149
This is more accurate.
Maby marine with 7 range will be next change?
Well, you can still see a bit of blue so not soon.
rd
Profile Blog Joined July 2010
United States2586 Posts
Last Edited: 2013-08-01 23:25:34
August 01 2013 23:25 GMT
#150
On August 02 2013 06:29 Nerski wrote:
Show nested quote +
On August 01 2013 11:10 Porishan wrote:
not sure if trolling or....
OP has no source, a single post with 2 pictures which anyone can make, plus this

David Kim: I don't think there is balance problem right now, and I don't think Zerg is weak at the moment. For example, the recent Dreamhack had a ZvZ finals. Also, WCS S1 Korea Regional Final had a ZvT finals and the Zerg won (Soulkey vs Innovation). In terms of ladder's data, Zerg actually has a little advantage right now.


They key there is that DK was basing his balance numbers off ladder data, he didn't cite tournament data.


He was citing tournament data, just not super recent data, nor would anyone want him to balance off super recent data alone. We don't need another queen range patch because of a one month slump.
EpicDemente
Profile Joined November 2012
Chile202 Posts
August 01 2013 23:53 GMT
#151
I think ZvT needs to be looked upon probably is because of mines being so forgiving for the terran, and i still think Swarmhost + Static should be nerfed in some way against protoss, but then you need to buff zerg against Skytoss storm
"Fight your heart out for what you want"
mrjpark
Profile Joined March 2011
United States276 Posts
Last Edited: 2013-08-02 00:36:17
August 02 2013 00:35 GMT
#152
On August 01 2013 16:19 Ghanburighan wrote:
Show nested quote +
On August 01 2013 10:54 mrjpark wrote:
On August 01 2013 10:04 DeathProfessor wrote:
I rolled my eyes at the Zerg but hmm maybe they are slightly UP, not really sure where this comes from.


It's most likely due to Zergs being able to take maps against Terrans, but not series. I don't honestly remember the last time in the GSL/OSL a Zerg beat a Terran in a best of series where the Terran wasn't completely outmatched. Like Life vs. jjakji, Life will win that every time unless the game is terribly imbalanced. But it's not. I feel like there's just the slightest advantage for Terran right now, and that's all you really need at that level of play.


Hyvaa > Fantasy 2-1 July 11th
KangHo > Maru 2-0 July 18th


Okay, I'm sorry. I know this is really arbitrary...but Hyvaa vs Fantasy needs to be thrown out the window. That was the most absurd series of games and Fantasy essentially threw that. Also, I'm not really on the Maru hype train. He's pretty good, but I think he kind of lucked his way into the finals. A lot of people in his way just...played worse. I don't think he's a GSL/OSL finals caliber player. And we'll probably see that when he gets 4-0'd or 4-1'd in the finals in decimating fashion. I honestly think Losira versus Maru is a mismatch and Losira will win that 9x out of 10 in a balanced game. Edit: My second point being, I think the Losira/Maru matchup falls under my initial point where Zergs will take series when they're just that much better than the Terran.
midnight999
Profile Blog Joined December 2012
United States257 Posts
August 02 2013 00:44 GMT
#153
On August 02 2013 04:12 Decendos wrote:
Show nested quote +
On August 02 2013 04:10 Snowbear wrote:
On August 02 2013 04:08 Vestige wrote:
they need to either decrease cost or build time for lair or make hydra den and hydra build time faster. They function like a teir 1.5 unit but cant get them until teir 2.


They also need to give the tank +30 damage and give the old ghost snipe back.

No. They have to do 0. Because the game is actually balanced. And any small buff, like for example a queen buff (hehe ;d), will break the game. Never learned a lesson from WOL?


great argument. never buff Z again because once uppon a time blizz made a bad buff.

dude srsly...hydras are way UP in any MU and desperately need a buff. just give them some +bio dmg and reduce spore +bio dmg. you are probably....once again...the only one that says hydras are fine. your bias and ignorance is insane.


Hydras are fine. Stop whining.
jj33
Profile Joined April 2011
802 Posts
August 02 2013 03:11 GMT
#154
On August 02 2013 09:44 jkim91 wrote:
Show nested quote +
On August 02 2013 04:12 Decendos wrote:
On August 02 2013 04:10 Snowbear wrote:
On August 02 2013 04:08 Vestige wrote:
they need to either decrease cost or build time for lair or make hydra den and hydra build time faster. They function like a teir 1.5 unit but cant get them until teir 2.


They also need to give the tank +30 damage and give the old ghost snipe back.

No. They have to do 0. Because the game is actually balanced. And any small buff, like for example a queen buff (hehe ;d), will break the game. Never learned a lesson from WOL?


great argument. never buff Z again because once uppon a time blizz made a bad buff.

dude srsly...hydras are way UP in any MU and desperately need a buff. just give them some +bio dmg and reduce spore +bio dmg. you are probably....once again...the only one that says hydras are fine. your bias and ignorance is insane.


Hydras are fine. Stop whining.



hydras are not fine.

two upgrades to make them just decent. they don't even beat air many times, something they are supposed to do..

corruptors are even worse though
dgwow
Profile Blog Joined December 2010
Canada1024 Posts
August 02 2013 03:32 GMT
#155
Buff nydus. That is all.
Don't let those anti-cheese advocates tell you what to do. Rush to meet life head on!
TyrantPotato
Profile Blog Joined August 2010
Australia1541 Posts
August 02 2013 03:38 GMT
#156
On August 02 2013 12:11 jj33 wrote:
Show nested quote +
On August 02 2013 09:44 jkim91 wrote:
On August 02 2013 04:12 Decendos wrote:
On August 02 2013 04:10 Snowbear wrote:
On August 02 2013 04:08 Vestige wrote:
they need to either decrease cost or build time for lair or make hydra den and hydra build time faster. They function like a teir 1.5 unit but cant get them until teir 2.


They also need to give the tank +30 damage and give the old ghost snipe back.

No. They have to do 0. Because the game is actually balanced. And any small buff, like for example a queen buff (hehe ;d), will break the game. Never learned a lesson from WOL?


great argument. never buff Z again because once uppon a time blizz made a bad buff.

dude srsly...hydras are way UP in any MU and desperately need a buff. just give them some +bio dmg and reduce spore +bio dmg. you are probably....once again...the only one that says hydras are fine. your bias and ignorance is insane.


Hydras are fine. Stop whining.



hydras are not fine.

two upgrades to make them just decent. they don't even beat air many times, something they are supposed to do..

corruptors are even worse though


Take it to the balance thread. Im sure they would enjoy the attention you would provide them.
Forever ZeNEX.
F.O.A.D.
Profile Joined July 2013
Canada100 Posts
August 02 2013 03:55 GMT
#157
On August 02 2013 06:19 Skyblueone wrote:
I have other stats http://i.imgur.com/xcRY1B8.png, I think the might be more serious.

Those must be lossrates.
Reenock | Gumibro | Soulkey | sC | jjakji | Mvp | Innovation | Seed | Hurricane | Sniper | Dream | Maru
opterown *
Profile Blog Joined August 2011
Australia54784 Posts
August 02 2013 05:00 GMT
#158
On August 02 2013 09:35 mrjpark wrote:
Show nested quote +
On August 01 2013 16:19 Ghanburighan wrote:
On August 01 2013 10:54 mrjpark wrote:
On August 01 2013 10:04 DeathProfessor wrote:
I rolled my eyes at the Zerg but hmm maybe they are slightly UP, not really sure where this comes from.


It's most likely due to Zergs being able to take maps against Terrans, but not series. I don't honestly remember the last time in the GSL/OSL a Zerg beat a Terran in a best of series where the Terran wasn't completely outmatched. Like Life vs. jjakji, Life will win that every time unless the game is terribly imbalanced. But it's not. I feel like there's just the slightest advantage for Terran right now, and that's all you really need at that level of play.


Hyvaa > Fantasy 2-1 July 11th
KangHo > Maru 2-0 July 18th


Okay, I'm sorry. I know this is really arbitrary...but Hyvaa vs Fantasy needs to be thrown out the window. That was the most absurd series of games and Fantasy essentially threw that. Also, I'm not really on the Maru hype train. He's pretty good, but I think he kind of lucked his way into the finals. A lot of people in his way just...played worse. I don't think he's a GSL/OSL finals caliber player. And we'll probably see that when he gets 4-0'd or 4-1'd in the finals in decimating fashion. I honestly think Losira versus Maru is a mismatch and Losira will win that 9x out of 10 in a balanced game. Edit: My second point being, I think the Losira/Maru matchup falls under my initial point where Zergs will take series when they're just that much better than the Terran.

joke post
ModeratorRetired LR Bonjwa
TL+ Member
TAMinator
Profile Joined February 2011
Australia2706 Posts
August 02 2013 05:02 GMT
#159
If zerg is gonna get buffed itll probably be the viper, ive seen 2 interviews where d kim has eluded that the viper would be their priority if zergs were having trouble
BamBam
Profile Blog Joined November 2009
745 Posts
August 03 2013 09:55 GMT
#160
On August 02 2013 14:02 TAMinator wrote:
If zerg is gonna get buffed itll probably be the viper, ive seen 2 interviews where d kim has eluded that the viper would be their priority if zergs were having trouble


That, and they cant really touch any of the other zerg units without affecting zvz/zvp (or just dont want to). I suppose if they were to stick with the viper they could end up increasing the blinding cloud range, but aside from that I'm not to sure what else they could realistically buff for the viper that would end up helping zerg. After all when you watch zvt games, most of them are ended when zerg still has lair tech.

That said, if they were to buff zerg in the midgame it would need to be something that gives zerg sustainability for them to get to hive but isnt so overpowered that just gives zerg a free path to hive. Currently I can only think of one such unit : The infestor. Maayyybe the zergling (such as an increased attack speed), but I wouldn't expect that from blizzard this much into hots.
"two is way better than twice as one" - artosis
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