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EG-TL: An Analysis - Page 5

Forum Index > SC2 General
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boxerfred
Profile Blog Joined December 2012
Germany8360 Posts
July 10 2013 19:03 GMT
#81
That thread gave hope to me . I would've loved to see Lucifron in EG or TL (ofc in EGTL!). That might've been the strong terran player they needed. Though I'm not sure about Lucifrons true strength compared to full-time koreans. Sad to see Thorzain slumping.
True_Spike
Profile Joined July 2004
Poland3434 Posts
July 10 2013 19:04 GMT
#82
I hope that rather than pull out prematurely EG-TL will actually learn on past mistakes and improve in the next season. They already made a few decent decisions, albeit a tad too late. Leaving proleague will only hurt their players anyway.
Pazuzu
Profile Joined July 2011
United States632 Posts
July 10 2013 19:08 GMT
#83
great stats thanks! and yes Flash for scale is a fantastic new measure of most teams' success
"It is because intuition is sometimes right, that we don't know what to do with it"
ymir233
Profile Blog Joined June 2010
United States8275 Posts
July 10 2013 19:23 GMT
#84
Flash


------You must be this high to ride this ride------


TL



lolololololol


Nice work summing it up visually though.
Come motivate me to be cynical about animus at http://infinityandone.blogspot.com/ // Stork proxy gates are beautiful.
intotheheart
Profile Blog Joined January 2011
Canada33091 Posts
July 10 2013 19:35 GMT
#85
Nicely done! I loved that extra touch of adding in FlaSh.
kiss kiss fall in love
danl9rm
Profile Blog Joined July 2009
United States3111 Posts
July 10 2013 19:53 GMT
#86
On July 10 2013 21:34 Telcontar wrote:
Pulling out due to poor ROI would be a bit of a cop out, wouldn't it? Did they seriously expect to make the playoffs in their first year, or strike rich? Here I was thinking it was a long term project and they were aiming to build a legacy in the Korean scene. I guess it was just a half-hearted, or an ill-thought experiment.


These were all my same thoughts.

I want to see them again next season.
"Science has so well established that the preborn baby in the womb is a living human being that most pro-choice activists have conceded the point. ..since the abortion proponents have lost the science argument, they are now advocating an existential one."
ZackAttack
Profile Joined June 2011
United States884 Posts
July 10 2013 19:54 GMT
#87
On July 11 2013 04:04 True_Spike wrote:
I hope that rather than pull out prematurely EG-TL will actually learn on past mistakes and improve in the next season. They already made a few decent decisions, albeit a tad too late. Leaving proleague will only hurt their players anyway.


I too hope that EG-TL go balls deep next season.
It's better aerodynamics for space. - Artosis
Ender985
Profile Blog Joined August 2010
Spain910 Posts
Last Edited: 2013-07-10 22:00:39
July 10 2013 21:56 GMT
#88
Thanks everyone for the comments (and for the TL+)! I had some good fun making these statistics!

On July 10 2013 21:56 StarStruck wrote:
All I want to know is who put you up to this? lol.

I did it for Science!!

I've seen some comments regarding the lack of win ratios, like this one:
On July 11 2013 03:02 Honner wrote:
Nice write-up, but I'm not sure 'number of wins' is a good measure. Win % would be a more interesting statistic imo

which I addressed in an edit in the OP, but to reemphasize: basically I think win% is a fixed value for each player, and that a time course of it would only show fluctuations and slow convergence to that value, which to me was not very interesting. I understand it is still an informative value, and this is why I commented on its values on several parts of the analysis; but if you are missing some you can check them all in the Proleague Statistics page of Liquipedia.


On July 11 2013 03:54 tili wrote:
The only thing I'd be interested in seeing is which races/teams they performed worst against and why. Map analysis might also be interesting...

I also thought of trying to figure out if they had lost more often to some race than the others, or to some other team for that matter.. But it was already 2 in the morning and that analysis would be far more complex than what I did here, so I ruled that out. If someone is up to the challenge, it would be pretty interesting to see!


On July 11 2013 01:19 Monsen wrote:
Conclusion? Flash *zoom* AAHAAAAAAAAAAA

I was about to write exactly this in the conclusions xD


On July 10 2013 18:56 Liquid`Jinro wrote:
Uh obviously yes, because if that would have been the case the ROI would have been off the charts amazing?

I hope they try again, but it is incredibly expensive, and the other teams are incredibly good - hard to make it worthwhile.

(Yeah Jinro in my thread! Go Jinro!!) To add to this discussion: I was unaware that iNcontroL had already said that there is a good possibility that EG-TL won't be continuing for the next season... That would be a real shame I think. For me this season was a fun ride, but I was always thinking that they would do much better next season, with the players already used to the Proleague format and with a competent coach that can keep the team together. The only thing they seem to need is to form a small and consistent core of players (current or new) whose main goal would be to focus on Proleague, rather than to fly to tournaments around the globe too often. With that, they should be set and ready to take it to the playoffs at least.

On the other hand, as some posters have already pointed out, if EG-TL was to 'disband' and leave Proleague, it's a possibility that Jaedong would then go back to Team8 (now Green Wings?) since he is technically on a lease. Stephano is going to retire this August, so that would leave the EG roster without two of their absolute best players. I don't think that would be a good move for the team, but maybe they can manage to keep Jaedong without competing in Proleague, who knows. Alternatively, if STX were to disband due to their economic problems, then EG.INnoVation would be a real possibility (which would make me an EG fan for lyfe! xD). For Liquid, personally I think they should let go of Zenio, since has been consistently underperforming for at least a year and he showcases zero personality, making him difficult to justify. And in his place grab some other Terran player, like they already attempted with Liquid`Sea which unfortunately did not pan out.

But well, I guess we'll just wait and see what ends up happening with this.
Member of the Pirate Party - direct democracy, institutional transparency, and freedom of information
Lonyo
Profile Blog Joined December 2009
United Kingdom3884 Posts
Last Edited: 2013-07-10 22:11:15
July 10 2013 22:03 GMT
#89
Total player wins doesn't say much though when people played massively different amounts of games.
OK Zenio won 2 maps since like March. How many games did he play? That 2 win increase means nothing.

Coach Park joins. Suddenly players stop winning? Stop being played? A good thing would be a summary win % for the play pre and post Park, if anything, or a cumulative games played chart as well as wins, since the player graph means absolutely nothing as-is.

On the other hand, we can clearly see why PuMa was booted from EG, winning only 1 map out of 8 that he played

No, we can't clearly see that. We can see that he had one win, total, from an unknown number of games.

Cumulative wins on the other hand show progression, and also show losses (when there is a point in the graph but the number does not increase)

No it doesn't, it shows cumulative wins. It tells you absolutely nothing about losses when there are 13 players with only up to 4 playing in any one team match. That tells you that someone won if they played, it doesn't tell you about losses.

I know it's being somewhat nit-picky, but IMO while the graphs are nice and all, they don't really say anything about EG-TLs performance, because wins in isolation mean absolutely nothing.
You could show a baseball team winning 60 games in a year, and a football (soccer) team winning 10. The baseball team could have a 25% winratio and the soccer team might also have a 25% winratio.

"But Lonyo, they play different numbers of games in a baseball season vs football (soccer) season".
Exactly, that's my point. Terran got 17 wins, Protoss got 46 or something. Does that mean the protosses were over twice as good as the terrans? No, it means they probably played over twice as many games. The text below the graphs says a lot more than the graphs say, which is unfortunate, because picture blah blah 1000 words.

The information is there, but it's not presented in a meaningful way IMO.
HOLY CHECK!
FeyFey
Profile Joined September 2010
Germany10114 Posts
July 10 2013 22:05 GMT
#90
Well everyone should have expected that their low number of players will own them. Anyway it was nice to see them make adjustments to fix that. So hope they will stick around since I think it really helped some players out.
Martacus
Profile Joined May 2011
25 Posts
July 10 2013 22:15 GMT
#91
Really interesting analysis, thanks.

Had a good out-loud chuckle at the graph of EG, TL....and Flash haha. Thanks for sharing!
bypLy
Profile Joined June 2013
757 Posts
July 10 2013 23:33 GMT
#92
simply great
WombaT
Profile Blog Joined May 2010
Northern Ireland27251 Posts
July 10 2013 23:44 GMT
#93
Speaking of RoI, if nothing else I think the practice environment and Coach Park might have additional benefits, beyond that of competing in Proleague.

HerO started terribly in HoTS and has really come on, won WCS NA, and a top 4 in an MLG and a Dreamhack. Oz and Alive are being rehabilitated after poor spells on Fnatic etc. Yeah perhaps PL is too much of a drain, but equally the training environment that their players benefit from can snowball into benefits for the teams in terms of individual results and exposure.

'You'll always be the cuddly marsupial of my heart, despite the inherent flaws of your ancestry' - Squat
Boucot
Profile Blog Joined October 2011
France15997 Posts
July 11 2013 00:03 GMT
#94
I really hope EG-TL will try again to compete in Proleague. Besides the round 3 (1-6), they made a decent record in every round (3-4 each time).

And it was pretty obvious that the ROI wouldn't be good as only the finalists earn money (and I don't even know if the prize pool covers all the expenses of the season).
Former SC2 writer for Millenium - twitter.com/Boucot
Neemi
Profile Joined August 2012
Netherlands656 Posts
July 11 2013 00:17 GMT
#95
Now that it is mentioned.. Since Coach Park was hired:

Hero won WCS NA, top 4 MLG & Dreamhack
Jaedong got pretty far at MLG, second at Dreamhack, top 4 at another Dreamhack, only losing to Protoss
Oz and Alive are actually pretty competitive again
Revival took second in WCS NA.
Taeja won HSC, top 4 in Dreamhack
Snute took second in HSC & won ESET UK

So while Zenio + JYP don't have many notable accomplishments outside PL since then, JYP did play well at PL and I'd say most players are actually in an upward swing or remaining pretty consistent. Even Ret and especially TLO seem to be doing better than before Park haha

Anyway, I hope they try for at least one more season. There's no arguing they had a bad start but now they know what to expect. I don't see Innovation coming over to EGTL as he doesn't really seem to care for foreign tournaments, but either way, with 1 or 2 additions to the team they can actually make it far. I'm just going to hope (:
Cute
IamHobbyless
Profile Joined June 2012
Germany29 Posts
July 11 2013 00:18 GMT
#96
It would be really sad if EG-TL would not compete next season Also i still want a unholy alliance tshirts :D
Stephano winning a cup souber isnt fun Stephano winning a cup drunk is a chellange -Stephano
GenesisX
Profile Blog Joined February 2010
Canada4267 Posts
July 11 2013 00:28 GMT
#97
thanks for this, pretty funny to see flash do better than whole TL team combined
133 221 333 123 111
Ender985
Profile Blog Joined August 2010
Spain910 Posts
Last Edited: 2013-07-11 10:25:20
July 11 2013 10:04 GMT
#98
Hm now that I've realized that the SC2 League announcement was posted by iNcontroL himself, stating that "We want the SC2L to become the Western world's premier team league", and announcing that both Liquid and EG will compete in it, I find it more and more likely that they have already ditched the idea of a second Proleague round.

Sad that they rather be the big fish in a small pond.
Member of the Pirate Party - direct democracy, institutional transparency, and freedom of information
gingerfluffmuff
Profile Joined January 2011
Austria4570 Posts
July 11 2013 10:27 GMT
#99
On July 11 2013 19:04 Ender985 wrote:
Hm now that I've realized that the SC2 League announcement was posted by iNcontroL himself, stating that "We want the SC2L to become the Western world's premier team league", and announcing that both Liquid and EG will compete in it, I find it more and more likely that they have already ditched the idea of a second Proleague round.

Sad that they rather be the big fish in a small pond.

I dont think such a league can be successful. The best teams have lots of koreans in them, who are also their best players. Who is the target audience?

People watching to see high level sc2 --> SPL/GSL
People watching to be entertained --> will mostly see foreigners getting slaughtered by Hero/MMA/JD
People watching to see foreigners --> will get old pretty quick after realising the skill gap
・゚✧:・゚+..。✧・゚:・..。 ✧・゚ :・゚ ゜・:・ ✧・゚:・゚:.。 ✧・゚ SPARKULING *・゜・:・゚✧:・゚✧。゚+..。 ✧・゚: ✧・゚:・゜・:・゚✧::・・:・゚・゚
ArchDC
Profile Joined May 2011
Malaysia1996 Posts
July 15 2013 23:29 GMT
#100
Cool stuff!
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