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July TLPD Win Rates - Page 14

Forum Index > SC2 General
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Vearo
Profile Blog Joined November 2010
Canada168 Posts
Last Edited: 2012-08-08 20:34:53
August 08 2012 20:34 GMT
#261
Edit:
Was beat to it.

+ Show Spoiler +
On August 09 2012 05:31 hunts wrote:
Show nested quote +
On August 09 2012 05:21 ragz_gt wrote:
Well, Zerg is getting nerfed and Terran buffed.

The changes seems to be minor and reasonable. I think creep tumor change is alot more important in late game TvZ. I'm not sure how much Raven speed buff does, as I think a buff seeker missile rather than raven itself is more needed.

We will see how it turns out.


Did I miss some patch or something or where are you getting this?


There's a PTR for a creep tumor nerf and a raven speed & acceleration buff:

http://www.teamliquid.net/forum/viewmessage.php?topic_id=359152
"Smooth as Pie" - Day[9]
ragz_gt
Profile Blog Joined April 2012
9172 Posts
August 08 2012 20:34 GMT
#262
On August 09 2012 05:32 Qwerty85 wrote:
Show nested quote +
On August 09 2012 05:21 ragz_gt wrote:
Well, Zerg is getting nerfed and Terran buffed.

The changes seems to be minor and reasonable. I think creep tumor change is alot more important in late game TvZ. I'm not sure how much Raven speed buff does, as I think a buff seeker missile rather than raven itself is more needed.

We will see how it turns out.


At least they noticed something is wrong instead of saying things like "we are happy with tournament results".
I like the idea of buffing ravens both in terms of speed but also acceleration. It was too easy to lose them to
a fungal.

Hope they really implement the changes.


They said they plan to implement them in a week, so it's a pretty safe bet.
I'm not an otaku, I'm a specialist.
whatevername
Profile Joined June 2012
471 Posts
August 08 2012 20:38 GMT
#263
On August 09 2012 02:27 ragz_gt wrote:
Show nested quote +
On August 09 2012 02:20 whatevername wrote:
On August 08 2012 23:35 CaptainCrush wrote:
On August 08 2012 23:27 iiGreetings wrote:
Whoa pretty danm balanced... because i heard that terran was struggling, but it turns out its dead even with zerg basically. Thanks for this grapefruit!

EDIT:i speak of the korean ladder, as they are ahead of the meta game on average.


Unfortunately their metagame is to cheese or 1-base all in most of the time. The international terran win rate shows you what happens if you go beyond the early game :/
5 percent imbalance is hardly that bad. No one complains at pvt 52%, with reason I'd say. Two percent is trivial. So a 3 percent increase on that is room for despair? I think lower level terrans need to merely accept: 1) they clearly havent been adopting the strategies of pro terrans as much as they should have 2) terran probably has the higher skill curve in the game.

It seems to be a sc2 thing to say something like "terran is underpowered at lower levels". Thats nonsensical. Terran is weaker than other races when you play it really incompetently. OK. That doesnt matter; stop playing it incompetently. Terran probably had a higher skill curve in broodwar and the community never talked about imbalance at the lower levels in that way, it was merely accepted that if you wanted to play terran there would have to be quite a few mechanical/timing things youd have to iron out before you could really fly up the ranks, and it would be frustrating. C'est la vie.


When by "lower level" you mean where people can reasonable expected to pass, like plat+, it's acceptable even if not ideal. But if the "balanced" zone only consistent Korean pro-gamers, that becomes ridiculous. Is SC2 Terran learning curve so high that only people who are BETTER THAN FOREIGN PRO GAMERS can pass it? If it is, that's a pretty broken system.
And you really think thats the skill curve? Clearly it isnt. Top foreign terrans are behind top foreign zergs, that doesnt imply master terrans cant beat master zergs, ecetera. I have no problem off racing as terran and beating low masters, its not any harder a match up for me whether I off race or not.
fuzzz
Profile Joined October 2010
267 Posts
August 08 2012 20:40 GMT
#264
UP is UP ;D
usa lol
ThePlayer33
Profile Joined October 2011
Australia2378 Posts
August 08 2012 20:44 GMT
#265
game is balanced but foreigners are bad
| Idra | YuGiOh | Leenock | Coca |
ThePlayer33
Profile Joined October 2011
Australia2378 Posts
August 08 2012 20:46 GMT
#266
On August 08 2012 23:40 aTnClouD wrote:
Show nested quote +
On August 08 2012 23:39 nkr wrote:
On August 08 2012 23:38 aTnClouD wrote:
On August 08 2012 23:36 ragz_gt wrote:
Holy just realized that international includes Korean... Foreign TvZ must be like 40% win rate.

Don't worry Blizzard is hiring diamond random people for game balance, justice will be done soon.


are you ignoring the TvZ winrates of korea?

Well the graphs just show that zerg is way easier to play if anything. That's why they are hiring low league players for game balance, so they can also work on balancing difficulty.

care to explain how you can come to that conclusion?
| Idra | YuGiOh | Leenock | Coca |
Vari
Profile Joined September 2010
United States532 Posts
August 08 2012 20:57 GMT
#267
UGH blizz is overreacting to the problem IMO.

just like they should have buffed ovies but not queens IMO, the raven buff is cool but they DON'T need to nerf creep on top of it.

the level of complaining I guessis what's pushing them but it's a shame. small changes blizz! don't double solve problems, especially without giving them time to work themselves out.
Stroke Me Lady Fame
ragz_gt
Profile Blog Joined April 2012
9172 Posts
Last Edited: 2012-08-08 21:02:54
August 08 2012 21:02 GMT
#268
On August 09 2012 05:38 whatevername wrote:
Show nested quote +
On August 09 2012 02:27 ragz_gt wrote:
On August 09 2012 02:20 whatevername wrote:
On August 08 2012 23:35 CaptainCrush wrote:
On August 08 2012 23:27 iiGreetings wrote:
Whoa pretty danm balanced... because i heard that terran was struggling, but it turns out its dead even with zerg basically. Thanks for this grapefruit!

EDIT:i speak of the korean ladder, as they are ahead of the meta game on average.


Unfortunately their metagame is to cheese or 1-base all in most of the time. The international terran win rate shows you what happens if you go beyond the early game :/
5 percent imbalance is hardly that bad. No one complains at pvt 52%, with reason I'd say. Two percent is trivial. So a 3 percent increase on that is room for despair? I think lower level terrans need to merely accept: 1) they clearly havent been adopting the strategies of pro terrans as much as they should have 2) terran probably has the higher skill curve in the game.

It seems to be a sc2 thing to say something like "terran is underpowered at lower levels". Thats nonsensical. Terran is weaker than other races when you play it really incompetently. OK. That doesnt matter; stop playing it incompetently. Terran probably had a higher skill curve in broodwar and the community never talked about imbalance at the lower levels in that way, it was merely accepted that if you wanted to play terran there would have to be quite a few mechanical/timing things youd have to iron out before you could really fly up the ranks, and it would be frustrating. C'est la vie.


When by "lower level" you mean where people can reasonable expected to pass, like plat+, it's acceptable even if not ideal. But if the "balanced" zone only consistent Korean pro-gamers, that becomes ridiculous. Is SC2 Terran learning curve so high that only people who are BETTER THAN FOREIGN PRO GAMERS can pass it? If it is, that's a pretty broken system.
And you really think thats the skill curve? Clearly it isnt. Top foreign terrans are behind top foreign zergs, that doesnt imply master terrans cant beat master zergs, ecetera. I have no problem off racing as terran and beating low masters, its not any harder a match up for me whether I off race or not.


Of course I don't think that, that's just dumb. But that's what people say "Foreign Terran just bad, compare to foreign Z/P, look at Koreans" are suggesting.
I'm not an otaku, I'm a specialist.
Qwerty85
Profile Joined June 2012
Croatia5536 Posts
August 08 2012 21:03 GMT
#269
On August 09 2012 05:57 Vari wrote:
UGH blizz is overreacting to the problem IMO.

just like they should have buffed ovies but not queens IMO, the raven buff is cool but they DON'T need to nerf creep on top of it.

the level of complaining I guessis what's pushing them but it's a shame. small changes blizz! don't double solve problems, especially without giving them time to work themselves out.


They didn't do anything for 3 months after the patch. Also, queen change was obviously bigger than they thought since it revealed how strong fast creep pushing can be when zergs get more than 1 queen per hatch.

Since zerg early game buff was pretty big, there are only 2 options in my opinion:
1. Give equally strong buff to terran late game - something like buffing both bc and raven
2. Give slight nerf to zerg in the earlier stages of the game (like slowing down creep) and give slight buff to terran late game.

Yes I play terran but I think those changes are reasonable. Of course, there is always a possibility that some new raven strats will reveal imbalance (like it was the case with queens) but blizzard will hopefully act if that problem appears.
Deckkie
Profile Blog Joined July 2010
Netherlands1595 Posts
August 08 2012 21:08 GMT
#270
On August 09 2012 05:44 ThePlayer33 wrote:
game is balanced but foreigners are bad


Koreans are just too good
The cup can be half full.

+ Show Spoiler +
espacially since we have nightend :D:D
Always look on the bright side of life
zmansman17
Profile Joined March 2011
United States2567 Posts
Last Edited: 2012-08-08 21:30:01
August 08 2012 21:29 GMT
#271
International Terran is still so bad.

As for Korea, I think if you don't have Gumiho or Taeja TvZ is still below what it should be considering all of the other best players in the world who play Terran and only boast >50% TvZ win rates.
♞ - His EKG is flattening get me a defib stat! Prepped and Ready! - ♞
zmansman17
Profile Joined March 2011
United States2567 Posts
Last Edited: 2012-08-08 21:32:08
August 08 2012 21:31 GMT
#272
On August 09 2012 05:38 whatevername wrote:
Show nested quote +
On August 09 2012 02:27 ragz_gt wrote:
On August 09 2012 02:20 whatevername wrote:
On August 08 2012 23:35 CaptainCrush wrote:
On August 08 2012 23:27 iiGreetings wrote:
Whoa pretty danm balanced... because i heard that terran was struggling, but it turns out its dead even with zerg basically. Thanks for this grapefruit!

EDIT:i speak of the korean ladder, as they are ahead of the meta game on average.


Unfortunately their metagame is to cheese or 1-base all in most of the time. The international terran win rate shows you what happens if you go beyond the early game :/
5 percent imbalance is hardly that bad. No one complains at pvt 52%, with reason I'd say. Two percent is trivial. So a 3 percent increase on that is room for despair? I think lower level terrans need to merely accept: 1) they clearly havent been adopting the strategies of pro terrans as much as they should have 2) terran probably has the higher skill curve in the game.

It seems to be a sc2 thing to say something like "terran is underpowered at lower levels". Thats nonsensical. Terran is weaker than other races when you play it really incompetently. OK. That doesnt matter; stop playing it incompetently. Terran probably had a higher skill curve in broodwar and the community never talked about imbalance at the lower levels in that way, it was merely accepted that if you wanted to play terran there would have to be quite a few mechanical/timing things youd have to iron out before you could really fly up the ranks, and it would be frustrating. C'est la vie.


When by "lower level" you mean where people can reasonable expected to pass, like plat+, it's acceptable even if not ideal. But if the "balanced" zone only consistent Korean pro-gamers, that becomes ridiculous. Is SC2 Terran learning curve so high that only people who are BETTER THAN FOREIGN PRO GAMERS can pass it? If it is, that's a pretty broken system.
And you really think thats the skill curve? Clearly it isnt. Top foreign terrans are behind top foreign zergs, that doesnt imply master terrans cant beat master zergs, ecetera. I have no problem off racing as terran and beating low masters, its not any harder a match up for me whether I off race or not.


This evidence might only suggest that playing Zerg is simply easier than playing Terran as a foreigner. I don't think it necessarily suggests Zergs being better than Terrans as foreigners at all. I think most people would agree the reverse is true since most Terrans can offrace with Zerg at least at their MMR or much higher with very little play.
♞ - His EKG is flattening get me a defib stat! Prepped and Ready! - ♞
Assirra
Profile Joined August 2010
Belgium4169 Posts
August 08 2012 21:33 GMT
#273
On August 09 2012 06:29 zmansman17 wrote:
International Terran is still so bad.

As for Korea, I think if you don't have Gumiho or Taeja TvZ is still below what it should be considering all of the other best players in the world who play Terran and only boast >50% TvZ win rates.

How about we removing every terran win this month.
OMG ZERG 100% winrate, imbalance!
You can't just remove stats to fit your need.
Charon1979
Profile Joined October 2010
Austria317 Posts
August 08 2012 21:37 GMT
#274

This evidence might only suggest that playing Zerg is simply easier than playing Terran as a foreigner. I don't think it necessarily suggests Zergs being better than Terrans as foreigners at all. I think most people would agree the reverse is true since most Terrans can offrace with Zerg at least at their MMR or much higher with very little play.


If that where true, Terrans would do that in tournaments where money is on the line.
Yes they do offrace from time to time on stream but so do Zerg, also with a decent winrate. No reason to pick a "shitty" race with a low winrate if your offrace is "so much better".
zmansman17
Profile Joined March 2011
United States2567 Posts
August 08 2012 21:39 GMT
#275
On August 09 2012 06:33 Assirra wrote:
Show nested quote +
On August 09 2012 06:29 zmansman17 wrote:
International Terran is still so bad.

As for Korea, I think if you don't have Gumiho or Taeja TvZ is still below what it should be considering all of the other best players in the world who play Terran and only boast >50% TvZ win rates.

How about we removing every terran win this month.
OMG ZERG 100% winrate, imbalance!
You can't just remove stats to fit your need.


You make quite a leap in logic. Removing every game is not the same as removing 2 players who had SUCH an impact on TvZ TLPD in Korea that they drastically change the stats. It's worth considering as a more honest metric of the rest of Korea. Considering their win rates, they are more or less outliers.
♞ - His EKG is flattening get me a defib stat! Prepped and Ready! - ♞
canikizu
Profile Joined September 2010
4860 Posts
August 08 2012 21:46 GMT
#276
On August 09 2012 06:33 Assirra wrote:
Show nested quote +
On August 09 2012 06:29 zmansman17 wrote:
International Terran is still so bad.

As for Korea, I think if you don't have Gumiho or Taeja TvZ is still below what it should be considering all of the other best players in the world who play Terran and only boast >50% TvZ win rates.

How about we removing every terran win this month.
OMG ZERG 100% winrate, imbalance!
You can't just remove stats to fit your need.

On August 09 2012 01:04 canikizu wrote:
Show nested quote +
On August 09 2012 00:18 lichter wrote:
On August 09 2012 00:13 canikizu wrote:
On August 09 2012 00:00 Pazuzu wrote:
On August 08 2012 23:55 canikizu wrote:
On August 08 2012 23:45 ELA wrote:
KR TvZ winrate explained:

[image loading]

July games v. Z: 10 wins, 1 loss (90.91% winrate)


You forgot Gumiho vs Zerg 12-3 (80% winrate)

These two alone skew the Terran winrate like 10% or something.


2 players out of how many in korea? skew a winrate 10%? sorry but the math nowhere near checks out

there're 321 Korean games, so essentially 3 games ~ 1%
if Taeja and Gumiho only won half of their game (Taeja lose 4 more, Gumiho lose 4 more), that were ~ 3% more for Zerg and 3% less for Terran, and ZvT in Korea would be 53%-47%.
Oh hey, that's not nice anymore.


You can't pick stats like this, because it becomes meaningless.

If you suggest that, then what about removing the two Zergs with the best ZvT as well?

And then the cycle continues. Really bad terrans or really bad zergs skewing the numbers. Meaningless arguments because removing all outliers will leave you with the median or mean, more or less. Back to square one.

Yes you can pick stats like that. That's the very basic fundamental when you look at chart and statistic. If you trade stock and stuff, and you don't know the source of why the that stock is flying so high, you will get perceived and get burn.

The reasons Taeja and Gumiho are counted as outliners because they contributed a significant number of games in TvZ, and have siginicant higher win rate than other Terran.
Now compared to Zerg players, we have Leenock, Curious, Symbol (100% winrate), Horror (80%), Shine, Life, Sniper, Losira, DRG, Hyun (60%-70%). There are too many players that have good winrate against Terran, and most of them didn't contribue significant number of games to count as outliners. Among the Zerg there're only 2 players that contribute good number of games vT, such as Coca (14-5 73% winrate), and Nestea (4-9, 30%). But comparing between Coca's winnrate and others, he doesn't have any significant winrate that can be counted as outliner. On the other hand, Nestea can be counted as outliner because his winrrate was significantly lower than the rest of the Zerg. But that just proved that if you took Nestea out, ZvT winrate should even be higher.


Assirra
Profile Joined August 2010
Belgium4169 Posts
Last Edited: 2012-08-08 21:53:36
August 08 2012 21:46 GMT
#277
edit: since cherrypicking and skewing the system is somehow ok now, this whole system became pointless since you can turn it any way you want from now on and people will do it .
xrapture
Profile Blog Joined December 2011
United States1644 Posts
August 08 2012 21:55 GMT
#278
I've never understood how, when Korea always has 1/5th (sometimes less) the sample size of the international, people put more into the Korean graphs
Everyone is either delusional, a nihlilst, or dead from suicide.
blade55555
Profile Blog Joined March 2009
United States17423 Posts
August 08 2012 21:58 GMT
#279
On August 09 2012 06:55 xrapture wrote:
I've never understood how, when Korea always has 1/5th (sometimes less) the sample size of the international, people put more into the Korean graphs


Because the koreans play at the upper most level. Foreign international counts I believe every match up in tournaments which could have stephano vs no name joe, or Kas vs no name bob. It skews results because no name joe/bob could be absolutely awful and it would skew results in favor of w/e race.

You will notice international tvz has always been different then in kr just because of the skill difference. In the KR sample size is ALL top players. In international it's not. That is a huge difference and this game should be balanced around top level play not mid level.
When I think of something else, something will go here
zmansman17
Profile Joined March 2011
United States2567 Posts
August 08 2012 22:13 GMT
#280
On August 09 2012 06:55 xrapture wrote:
I've never understood how, when Korea always has 1/5th (sometimes less) the sample size of the international, people put more into the Korean graphs


Koreans represent the highest level of play, so balance is most relevant at their level. Granted, sample size must be taken into account.
♞ - His EKG is flattening get me a defib stat! Prepped and Ready! - ♞
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