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Statistics on HSC4, Foreigners vs. Koreans

Forum Index > SC2 General
Post a Reply
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YMCApylons
Profile Blog Joined August 2010
Taiwan359 Posts
Last Edited: 2012-01-10 00:31:29
January 09 2012 01:57 GMT
#1
Without getting into specifics, it's pretty obvious that foreigners were manhandled in this tournament. The reason this is worth putting into a post is because on TL, people are always debating the skill gap between the two groups. So it's useful to to have one place that compiles all the relevant statistics for a given tournament.

If you look at TL articles like Homestory Cup 4 Preview, or October Revolution, this is clearly relevant, and not flame-bait. If it's fair play to cheer-lead for foreigners, it's fair play to keep showing how big the gap actually is.

Now for the actual statistics:
+ Show Spoiler +

Group Stage #1 against non-Koreans (Match W/L, Game W/L):
MarineKing: 1-1, 3-2
Violet: 2-0, 4-0
Real: 3-0, 6-0
MC: 3-0, 6-1
Sound: 3-0, 6-0
JYP: 3-0, 6-1
Hero: 3-0, 6-0

Overall: 18-1, 37-4
One loss to non-Koreans: MarineKing to Delphi, 1-2. All Koreans advance.

Group Stage #2 against non-Koreans:
MarineKing: 2-0, 4-0
Violet: 1-1, 2-2 (*Violet 2-0 Naama, not in Liquipedia at time of writing)
Real: 2-0, 4-2
MC: 2-0, 4-1
Sound: 3-0, 6-3
JYP: 2-0, 4-0
Hero: 1-1, 3-2

Overall: 13-2, 27-10
Two losses to non-Koreans, Violet 0-2 Nerchio, Hero 1-2 Nerchio. Hero doesn't advance.

Play-off against non-Koreans:
JYP 3-1 Dimaga
MC 3-0 Nerchio

Complete Tournament against non-Koreans
33-3, 70-15


Looking at the individual Korean results:
+ Show Spoiler +

(1) MC: He never lost a match and dropped only two games against foreigners, Socke and Cloud. He then beat Nerchio, who defeated Hero and Violet, 3-0. His only real trouble was against JYP, a fellow Code S player.

(2) Sound: Never lost a match against foreigners, but dropped three games in the second group stage against foreigners. Played two tough series against Real and Violet, was demolished by MC in the finals.

(3) JYP: Arguably the true second place, also never lost a match against foreigners, dropped one game against Goody. Handily defeated Violet, who gave problems to Sound, and gave MC much more trouble than Sound.

(4) Violet: Defeated by Nerchio, and had some help from the Battle.net gods in beating MarineKing. Narrowly beaten by Sound.

Looking at the overall results, it's not surprising. MC, JYP are current Code S. Violet, MKP are former code S, MKP is currently code A (Edit: MKP is current Code S), Violet is training in the US. Sound is a member of StarTale, although he hasn't made a dent in GSL yet, having been knocked out first-round by MVP. Hero is code A, while Real is playing in Germany.

The hierarchy is pretty clear. Those who live in Korea, and achieve success in GSL, were clearly the best at Homestory Cup

Foreigner Hope?
+ Show Spoiler +

Not much to be found in this tournament. Obviously, Nerchio is one, beating Violet and Hero, but getting stomped by MC. As Incontrol often commented, the games were often closer than the final score.

Personally, I was pinning my hopes on Socke, but unfortunately he ran into the freight train that is MarineKing, MC in his group, though he did take a game off of MC in the unpredictable PvP matchup.

And, of course, there is the foreigner contingent currently prepping up for GSL. I'm personally excited to see how Huk does. We'll just have to see, as Code S starts up again. (Edit: Yes, I know Huk is going to be Code A, not Code S. I meant GSL in general, but Code S Groups start tomorrow.)

Edit:
On January 09 2012 11:22 Kahmoon wrote:
I think a lot of you are misunderstanding the OP. A lot of the hype beforehand, and a lot of people's predictions, said that foreigners were going to take down the Koreans. That didn't really happen. Sure, there are a lot of people claiming that "Obviously the Koreans would win" after the fact, but there were significantly fewer saying that beforehand. (Like pretty much always...) You could say that this thread is about the hope based predictions of the (foreign)-community, and the sometimes quite unreasonable foreigner bias that is the probable reason for that.

Thank you.

Edit:
More stats, from 26 tournaments.
+ Show Spoiler +
On January 10 2012 08:16 JinDesu wrote:
Alright, I don't think this was done before, but using the Premier Tournaments Page on Liquidpedia, and selecting foreign tournaments (no GSL, no special GSL events, no events with only koreans), I made this below. For the MLGs, I selected only from the Final Tournament brackets and not included open (because that'd just skew it towards Koreans even more). For every other tournament, I used the brackets shown (usually Ro32).

And before anyone complain about which koreans I selected - I discounted Moonan and Select, but included Puma and Hero as Koreans.

2010
Dreamhack Winter - 30 Foreigners, 2 Koreans, Winner Naama, 1 Korean in Top 8

2011
IEM Season V World Championship - 9 Foreigners, 3 Koreans, Winner Ace, 3 Koreans in Top 8
TSL 3 - 25 Foreigners, 7 Koreans, Winner Thorzain, 2 Koreans in Top 8
Dreamhack Stockholm - 7 Foreigners, 1 Korean, Winner MC
NASL Season 1 - 16 Foreigners, 8 Koreans, Winner Puma, 5 Koreans in Top 8
Copenhagen Games - 57 Foreigners, 3 Koreans, Winner MC, 1 Korean in Top 8
Starwars Killer 6 - 18 Foreigners, 14 Koreans, Winner MC, 2 Koreans in Top 8
MLG Columbus - 19 Foreigners, 5 Koreans, Winner MMA, 4 Koreans in Top 8
Dreamhack Summer - 44 Foreigners, 4 Koreans, Winner Huk, 4 Koreans in Top 8
MLG Anaheim - 18 Foreigners, 6 Koreans, Winner MVP, 6 Koreans in Top 8
Assembly Summer - 31 Foreigners, 1 Korean, Winner Dimaga, 0 Koreans in Top 8
IEM Cologne - 13 Foreigners, 3 Koreans, Winner Puma, 2 Koreans in Top 8
MLG Raleigh - 15 Foreigners, 9 Koreans, Winner Bomber, 6 koreans in Top 8
MLG Invitationals - 2 Foreigners, 2 Koreans, Winner Naniwa
NASL 2 - 13 Foreigners, 3 Koreans, Winner Puma, 2 Koreans in Top 8
Dreamhack Valencia - 5 Foreigners, 3 koreans, Winner Dongraegu
IPL Season 3 - 19 Foreigners, 13 Koreans, Winner Stephano, 5 Koreans in Top 8
IEM Guangzhou[/b] - 12 Foreigners, 4 Koreans, Winner IdrA, 3 Koreans in Top 8
IEM New York - 12 Foreigners, 4 koreans, Winner Dongraegu, 4 Koreans in Top 8
MLG Orlando - 14 Foreigners, 10 koreans, Winner Huk, 6 Koreans in Top 8
Blizzcon Invitationals - 14 Foreigners, 2 Koreans, Winner MVP, 2 Koreans in Top 8
MLG Providence - 17 Foreigners, 15 Koreans, Winner Leenock, 4 Koreans in Top 8
Dreamhack Winter - 12 Foreigners, 4 Koreans, Winner Hero, 3 Koreans in Top 8
World Cybergames - 45 Foreigners, 3 Koreans, Winner MVP, 3 Koreans in Top 8
Blizzard Cup - 2 Foreigners, 8 Koreans, Winner MMA

2012
Homestory Cup - 25 Foreigners, 7 Koreans, Winner MC, 6 koreans in Top 8

To my recollection, TSL 3 and Starwars were online and people keep saying lag is a factor. And the World Cybergames, even though it's 45 foreigners, had a lotta crappy foreigners because of their invite system. Otherwise, everything else should be accurate.

So from the above, the Koreans have won 18 out of 26 foreign premier tournaments.

Sorry for the terrible format, it's freezing cold and I wanted to whip this up in a jiffy.


Analysis:
+ Show Spoiler +
And we get these results:

Overall Participants
Foreigner: 494 (77.4%)
Korean: 144 (22.6%)

Top 8 finishes
Foreigner: 117 (57.4%)
Korean: 87 (42.6%)

Champion:
Foreigner: 8 (31%)
Korean: 18 (69%)

Average Korean Participant Chances:
60.4% chance of top 8 finish
12.5% chance of being champion

Average Foreigner Participant Chances:
23.7% chance of top 8 finish
1.6% chance of being champion

Average Korean vs. Foreigner Participant Chances:
2.55 times more likely to be a top 8 finisher
7.72 times more likely to be the champion.

(*) Keep in mind that these are not all the participants, these are just the "final bracket" contestants, the top 32, top 60, top 16, whatever may apply. There are 638 total participants tabulated, out of 26 events, so that's an average of 24.3 participants per event. So, call it top-24.
You must construct additional pylons.
Fionn
Profile Blog Joined October 2009
United States23455 Posts
January 09 2012 01:58 GMT
#2
Koreans are better than foreigners.

Shock, awe and jaw drops commence.
Writerhttps://twitter.com/FionnOnFire
Yoshi Kirishima
Profile Blog Joined July 2009
United States10380 Posts
January 09 2012 01:59 GMT
#3
As Incontrol often commented, the games were often closer than the final score.


Can you explain what you mean by this? Are you saying he favored the foreigners in his casting so it felt closer? (I didn't watch)
Mid-master streaming MECH ONLY + commentary www.twitch.tv/yoshikirishima +++ "If all-in fails, all-in again."
Chargelot
Profile Blog Joined December 2010
2275 Posts
January 09 2012 02:00 GMT
#4
On January 09 2012 10:58 Fionn wrote:
Koreans are better than foreigners.

Shock, awe and jaw drops commence.


Korean bronze league vs. IdrA show match gogogo
if (post == "stupid") { document.getElementById('post').style.display = 'none'; }
Spicy_Curry
Profile Blog Joined March 2011
United States10573 Posts
January 09 2012 02:01 GMT
#5
On January 09 2012 10:58 Fionn wrote:
Koreans are better than foreigners.

Shock, awe and jaw drops commence.


Shocked.

Maybe it is because they have better practice?
High Risk Low Reward
Archybaldie
Profile Joined June 2011
United Kingdom818 Posts
January 09 2012 02:02 GMT
#6
On January 09 2012 10:59 Yoshi Kirishima wrote:
Show nested quote +
As Incontrol often commented, the games were often closer than the final score.


Can you explain what you mean by this? Are you saying he favored the foreigners in his casting so it felt closer? (I didn't watch)


Just means that the games themselves were close, I'd say go watch them when you have a chance. Nerchio almost won quite a few of the games he lost.
I'm in the bubblewrap league ... i just keep getting popped
mtn
Profile Blog Joined August 2011
729 Posts
January 09 2012 02:03 GMT
#7
On January 09 2012 11:02 Archybaldie wrote:
Show nested quote +
On January 09 2012 10:59 Yoshi Kirishima wrote:
As Incontrol often commented, the games were often closer than the final score.


Can you explain what you mean by this? Are you saying he favored the foreigners in his casting so it felt closer? (I didn't watch)


Just means that the games themselves were close, I'd say go watch them when you have a chance. Nerchio almost won quite a few of the games he lost.


Sure, but he lost.

Would've, Could've is pointless...
SkimGuy
Profile Joined December 2010
Canada709 Posts
January 09 2012 02:03 GMT
#8
Practice leads to success? Who woulda thunk it
chipmonklord17
Profile Joined February 2011
United States11944 Posts
January 09 2012 02:04 GMT
#9
On January 09 2012 10:59 Yoshi Kirishima wrote:
Show nested quote +
As Incontrol often commented, the games were often closer than the final score.


Can you explain what you mean by this? Are you saying he favored the foreigners in his casting so it felt closer? (I didn't watch)


Basically just because the score was 3-0 or 3-1 in a best of 5 between player A and player B, that does not mean that player A dominated player B, it simply means that player A won 3 games.
hoby2000
Profile Blog Joined April 2010
United States918 Posts
January 09 2012 02:05 GMT
#10
Guys, isn't it obvious now? The koreans are born this this talent and there's nothing else to it. No amount of hard work or practice or studying of Starcraft will ever make you good as them. We should all just give up playing, and just watch the Koreans duke it out.... but Bling (because of his amazing ability to explain the significant details in a game) has to cast all of said Korean matches, with guest appearances by Mr. Bitter, InControl, and Rotterdamn!


But in all seriousness.... HSC IV is one event. While these statistics are interesting, I want to see a couple more tournaments in 2012 before I decide to say that 2012 is going to be a Korean year of Starcraft.
A lesson without pain is meaningless for nothing can be gained without giving something in return.
Abort Retry Fail
Profile Joined December 2011
2636 Posts
January 09 2012 02:05 GMT
#11
Koreans are lightyears ahead of any foreigner, at least for now.
I honestly cant tell if foreigners are closing the gap since 12-6 months ago,
but 100% you can always bet Koreans will win any tournament they are on.
BSOD
Gladiator6
Profile Joined June 2010
Sweden7024 Posts
January 09 2012 02:06 GMT
#12
On January 09 2012 10:57 YMCApylons wrote:
(3) JYP: Arguably the true second place, also never lost a match against foreigners, dropped one game against Goody. Handily defeated Violet, who gave problems to Sound, and gave MC much more trouble than Sound.


What? LOL

Yeah we already knew this, I believe someone else said that only 12% of the participants were Koreans and yet in ro8 it was 75% of them.
Flying, sOs, free, Light, Soulkey & ZerO
ilsamsamchil
Profile Joined September 2010
155 Posts
Last Edited: 2012-01-09 02:06:56
January 09 2012 02:06 GMT
#13
I just lost a $3000 bet I made after reading TL preview =\
https://www.twitch.tv/ShowbuTV
red4ce
Profile Blog Joined January 2011
United States7313 Posts
January 09 2012 02:07 GMT
#14
Can't argue that the Koreans didn't deserve this one. Foreigners were relaxing during the holidays and seemed to care more about poker and drinking at HSC. Nothing wrong with that at all, but you only get what you put in and it should have come as no surprise when the Koreans cleaned house.
Corvi
Profile Blog Joined July 2008
Germany1406 Posts
Last Edited: 2012-01-09 02:09:28
January 09 2012 02:07 GMT
#15
be happy sc2 isnt as difficult as bw or it would be even worse. currently there is at least hope of a foreigner taking a game now and then. in bw flash, jaedong or bisu would probably not lose 1 out of 100. only a minimum chance for idra, ret and nony at their best bw days.
jpark4g
Profile Blog Joined November 2011
United States101 Posts
Last Edited: 2012-01-09 02:16:00
January 09 2012 02:08 GMT
#16
finally, people can stop talking about how foreigners are closing the skill gap. thing is, only real top korean here was mkp and mc. people like mvp, nestea, drg, leenock, mma, etc come in, GG.

On January 09 2012 11:05 hoby2000 wrote:
But in all seriousness.... HSC IV is one event. While these statistics are interesting, I want to see a couple more tournaments in 2012 before I decide to say that 2012 is going to be a Korean year of Starcraft.


what...? did u just start watching sc this year? pretty sure EVERY tournament in 2011 was dominated by koreans. to be perfectly frank, only foreigners who really even have a shot a competition in the gsl are naniwa and huk. THATS IT PERIOD.

we'll see how idra does in his group cuz he has like the top 2 koreans in mvp, nestea. if idra makes it out, he gets added to the above two. otherwise, throw out idra like the rest of the foriegners who only had good runnings in 2011 because no one knew who they were (stepano, thorzain).

when a foreigner makes a good run, they are unknowns to the koreans. once koreans find out about them, they study them, and that person gets thrown out like the rest. truth might hurt, but faster u learn to accept it, the better.
nam nam
Profile Joined June 2010
Sweden4672 Posts
January 09 2012 02:09 GMT
#17
On January 09 2012 11:05 Abort Retry Fail wrote:
Koreans are lightyears ahead of any foreigner, at least for now.
I honestly cant tell if foreigners are closing the gap since 12-6 months ago,
but 100% you can always bet Koreans will win any tournament they are on.

Since foreigners have won tournaments with Koreans in them in the last 12-6 months, your hyperbolic double reinforced last line is a bit silly.
mango_destroyer
Profile Joined August 2010
Canada3914 Posts
Last Edited: 2012-01-09 02:13:03
January 09 2012 02:09 GMT
#18
Well koreans are much better because they work much harder. I am not saying foreign players don`t work hard (because they certainly do), but compared to koreans the work ethic is not the same. They are pretty crazy and deserve any bit of success they achieve. All the hard work should pay off.

I don`t really like the whole foreigner vs korean angle. It seems so played out I just don`t care anymore and want to see players play at the top of their game. This isn`t some war.
Zealously
Profile Blog Joined October 2011
East Gorteau22261 Posts
January 09 2012 02:09 GMT
#19
On January 09 2012 11:05 Abort Retry Fail wrote:
Koreans are lightyears ahead of any foreigner, at least for now.
I honestly cant tell if foreigners are closing the gap since 12-6 months ago,
but 100% you can always bet Koreans will win any tournament they are on.


IPL3, MLG Orlando, MLG Global Invitational, Dreamhack (not the latest one, though), TSL3 and a bunch of other high prestige tournaments all wanted to say hi.
AdministratorBreak the chains
Newbistic
Profile Blog Joined August 2006
China2912 Posts
January 09 2012 02:12 GMT
#20
With the exception of Thorzain/Stephano there weren't any real Korean slayers at this tournament. Thorzain/Stephano both ran into a rough patch in the beginning due to lack of preparation or w/e.

All the other players were people who could potentially put up a fight but aren't actually good enough to consistently beat Koreans.
Logic is Overrated
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