Who needs 72 hours anyway! [M][T] - Page 118

On July 26 2016 02:16 Lunaticman wrote:
So might this be the reason Kruppe cleared SL?

"If the jailkeeper target is a mafia killing someone, his target won't be able to carry the kill (IE no mafia kill will happen"

I wish he just said who he targeted in plain text, can someone figure that out since if he targeted a mafia there would not have been a nk?

On July 26 2016 02:21 Koshi wrote:
He said he targeted TW. And he was probably RB'ed.

On July 26 2016 02:18 Lunaticman wrote:
He would have had the chance to check 2 people right?

On July 24 2016 06:10 DCWasabi wrote:


I'm changing my vote to Koshi.

I believe in you Skynx.

## unvote
##vote Koshi

I'll be back after the silent night.

On July 26 2016 02:33 Rels wrote:
These votecounts are missing the timing actually. It's hard to deduce anything without that.
I didn't realize both DC and Skynx wasted their votes, it's worth to check why.
EC's hammer is not alignment indicative as said before because his vote didn't matter, but he's pretty townie on his own.
We can see Tumble trying to save himself by switching off me and to Grac.
I thought it was going to be more insightful than that =X

On July 26 2016 02:38 Lunaticman wrote:


If we assume EC is towny, Skynx is really scummy.

Do we think there are 2 mafia on the grac lynch?

If so there should be another mafia between Skynx and SL.

The only reason I'm holding a bit back on SL is because of kruppes statements. It is the same reason I'm trusting you rels.

On July 26 2016 02:35 prplhz wrote:

Tumblewood n1 whoknows n2

role blocked both times so it didn't even matter

On July 26 2016 01:43 Lunaticman wrote:


Let's see if I can think like Tumble. He strikes me like a cautious player, building an early rep by posting in the beginning and then making sure to contribute enough not to get noticed.

I think a player like that would spread the risk rather than try to run the town, a classic case of silent mafia. I also think they chose this strategy when they noticed a lot of the players were very vocal (see Skynx/lunaticman/Koshi). I honestly think most of the people talking are TvT when looking at day one.

I think tumble made sure never to put his vote on the same ticket as his teammates during day one and two unless otherwise directed and to try and spread suspicion on as many players as possible while making tumble look analytical. Of course I have no read on his meta at all but this is what it felt like.

By this reasoning I think there are a couple of names that stick out:

The mafia were unlucky that I started a lynch train on Kosi/Tumble that quickly gained traction (other players too). So they had to take some drastic measures:

They put DC on Rels to break up the obvious train and quick lynch together with Tumble. When Tumble started gaining traction, DC tried to save him by moving the train too Rels with Tumble (see 62# vote thread) When they noticed that Tumble and Rels had 3/3 they removed DC:s vote. Too Koshi to spread more distrust.

Right as the train went to 5, EC removed his vote on Tumble to avoid the auto lynch and DC never once moved his vote at this stage from "random" position (SL was also suspicious from my analysis in this part).

At this stage I gave tumble a life line in Grac when he was at 4 votes again. Here SL looks super scummy too but he also believed in Tumbles defense (remember there were 2 big camps going on).

At the final count, I think EC made a critical error in the group chat and went for the town cred by command of tumble.

In my opinion either EC or SL is scum those two should both be killed.

The last mafia can be anyone but my guess is DC because of the no vote (or he was simply afk but I dunno that doesn't make sense. I think they were following the orders of Tumble not to buss/train).


Either DC/SL or EC should be mafia for sure.

That would make the mafia team look like this:
EC/SL/Tumble
EC/DC/Tumble
DC/SL/Tumble



Out of these configurations I believe that EC and SL are the most probable.

Resons for bussing your own team mate:
This way at least one of them (EC) would gain immense town cred if successfully lynched. Because I think Tumble reasoned that he was going to die next round anyway.

Out of those three names SL was defiantly the one with me to push for the grac lynch hardest so
he feels like the best lynch with EC.

Kruppe however did mention he townread SL and if he is mafia he is sure fooling me.

There is only one thing about grac and koshi that is worrying me and they always vote the same. It's just a very wierd thing. If either of them flips the other should definatly die too. If I am completly wrong I apologize to town. Just so you don't tunnel to much I believe Koshi/Grac are to tight and haze/skynx has been really low activity.

Man have a cookie for reading that.

On July 26 2016 02:44 Lunaticman wrote:


So he assumed tumble was mafia based on being roleblocked?

How did the mafia know kruppe was the jailkeeper?

I mean was there an obvious post somewhere that he was jailkeeper day1?

On July 22 2016 06:01 Lunaticman wrote:
I'm going DC then, I wont lynch a roleclaimer day1.

On July 26 2016 02:42 Rels wrote:

Mafia usually spreads out so I would be surprised if 3 scum were on the Grac lynch. 2 is very possible.
What did Kruppe say about SL ?

On July 26 2016 02:46 prplhz wrote:


I don't know, lets ask this guy.