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On October 16 2015 02:46 Onegu wrote: The thing I really don't like that you did tictock is halfway through the day you made a big post about setup, and it was this big post about nothing relevant.
I don't recall what post your talking about.
So your probably right, "nothing relevant"
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On October 15 2015 23:55 Koshi wrote: I would like to point out again that decunduo is basically wanting to lynch and murder the innocent Koshi because the innocent Koshi disagreed with a read he is 95% sure about.
No, its nothing to do with my read on Moosy. I'm convinced he's groupie, but I don't expect you to sheep that.
However you called me scum for saying that lynching groupie is bad for town, and you refuse to back down from it. That's why I want to lynch you. Not wanting to lynch Moosy yesterday is a consequence of both the read and the logic, but they are two separate things.
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On October 16 2015 02:58 deconduo wrote:Show nested quote +On October 15 2015 23:55 Koshi wrote: I would like to point out again that decunduo is basically wanting to lynch and murder the innocent Koshi because the innocent Koshi disagreed with a read he is 95% sure about. No, its nothing to do with my read on Moosy. I'm convinced he's groupie, but I don't expect you to sheep that. However you called me scum for saying that lynching groupie is bad for town, and you refuse to back down from it. That's why I want to lynch you. Not wanting to lynch Moosy yesterday is a consequence of both the read and the logic, but they are two separate things. And now you are just plain lying. Just die = thx.
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On October 16 2015 02:01 MoosyDoosy wrote:Show nested quote +On October 15 2015 23:57 Alakaslam wrote:On October 15 2015 22:22 Koshi wrote: You were misslynched last game as well while being right about sicklucker being mafia, maybe you could be town and your only crime is having moments of insanity. NO THIS IS HOW HE SKROOD US READ FIREFLY ##fear CHUPAZI I spared you that game from LYLO unlike SCOTT and FIDEI. Do not make me keep you around for lylo for this game. o-o Sson this is a scum claim
I best be jest
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On October 16 2015 04:50 Alakaslam wrote:Show nested quote +On October 16 2015 02:01 MoosyDoosy wrote:On October 15 2015 23:57 Alakaslam wrote:On October 15 2015 22:22 Koshi wrote: You were misslynched last game as well while being right about sicklucker being mafia, maybe you could be town and your only crime is having moments of insanity. NO THIS IS HOW HE SKROOD US READ FIREFLY ##fear CHUPAZI I spared you that game from LYLO unlike SCOTT and FIDEI. Do not make me keep you around for lylo for this game. o-o Sson this is a scum claim I best be jest *U
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Time to try a little analysis.
Ok so most of the game besides Cake, Onegu, Slam, and myself were on Cake.
CopCake (9): deconduo, gobbledydook, Sylencia, Rels, GlowingBear, Xatalos, MoosyDoosy, Koshi, Superbia
Super's vote and EoD was pretty towny, so I'm not checkin him.
Koshi's vote is on that lv as well for different reasons (mostly just wanting to avoid no-lynch), otherwise he was on Moosy till last min.
I wanted to look at the reasons everyone else voted Cake, just in case I could spot any inconsistencies.
deconduo: He pretty much started the wagon (first to vote, not exactly the first to read Cake as scum) on Cake so thats a bit of a town point in his favor. He also was pretty clear how he got that read from his first real post in the game.
+ Show Spoiler [copcake] +On October 13 2015 13:37 CopCake wrote:Why do you need to write this? Show nested quote +On October 13 2015 10:21 gobbledydook wrote:On October 13 2015 08:52 Superbia wrote: I actually can't rly play atm. Be back later tomorrow probably. Don't like Moosy's reaction to Koshi. It is the first page Courteous greeting for Koshi You think he is scum? Hello anti town people GB is town Alakasamboombam is town Dont stop make it pop tik tok is town. On October 13 2015 13:40 CopCake wrote: Also Moosy naming me, idk how to take it.
##Superbia As Rels pointed out, it's a pretty big leap to make those town reads so early. AND claiming VT and voting based on a brb? Meh, to the bottom of the scumpile you go. Gonna vote for copcake based on the above. ##Vote: copcake[/b
He also posed questions and showed disappointment when Cake didn't respond.
Conclusion - Checks out
gobbledydook: Only made a couple of posts related to Cake before voting.
On October 13 2015 14:13 gobbledydook wrote: CopCake makes no sense he really should give reasons why I'm anti town.
On October 14 2015 08:15 gobbledydook wrote: Aus timezone sucks balls Copcake full of awful reads Guys let's kill him now
##vote: CopCake
Really there's nothing here to even try and get a glimpse at this guy's thought process. I mentioned this before, but it looks like he was suspicious of Cake and jumped on her wagon as soon as it looked like it had decent support. Hard as hell to say for sure though with like 0 thought process to look at.
Conclusion - WTF!?!
Sylencia: Talks about Cake a decent bit, pretty clearly focused on her for most of D1.
Here is your pack of quotes for him. + Show Spoiler +On October 13 2015 14:40 Sylencia wrote: The more haikus made The more I want to kill you JK, good gimmick
Also CopCake, how does that 1 line make Superbia anti-town? On October 13 2015 23:49 Sylencia wrote:
On October 13 2015 23:26 Xatalos wrote: Or overall what's your take on the recent events / main reads?
Reserving judgement based on recent events because I'm still processing it (read: I'm not trying very hard). Main read is CopCake anti-town because their reasoning baffles me (aka there is no reasoning) and I can't understand a train of process that goes:
Suspect A: 1 word brb Suspect B: Crap haiku
Suspect A gets the vote. On October 14 2015 08:41 Sylencia wrote: ##Vote CopCake
Posts post-return sound like they come from a 3rd party who's only worried about mafia team. Unlike a lot of other people who used the word "mafia" during this game, it doesn't have the same implication that it means mafia/3p. Not convinced at all by the reasoning too. On October 14 2015 20:05 Sylencia wrote: Anyways, given the swingy nature of the game I'm going to approach it 1-2 people at a time.
If CopCake doesn't go down for whatever reason, Onegu is next because no matter what role he is, he is a detriment to town. Given the initial disadvantage we have, losing a vote and a voice over a more active townie would be terrible.
The "shes using the word mafia in a way that implies she's 3p" idea seems pretty sketch to me, there is a bit of a read progression showing here though.
The part that jumps out to me as weird in these posts is how Syl calls Onegu "a detriment to town" regardless of alignment, yet writes off gobble as being cool for having a "good gimmick." I'll give gobble credit for actually post some thoughts, but it's hard to argue that his play is significantly different than Onegu's.
Conclusion - Probably ok but mildly suspect
Rels: I don't expect to find any inconsistencies here. Rels is a smart player as any alingment and while he can of course be wrong or get focused on the wrong things it's very unlikely that he will have any odd read changes as either alienment.
Anyways, Rels starts looking at Cake due to her early town reads. (Idk why but I but this post kept messing up when I quoted it here, it's in Rel's case anyways which I put in the next spoiler)
He was also the only person to post a case on Cake, but I'm not able to give town cred to Rels based on that. He's made solid cases as scum before. + Show Spoiler +On October 14 2015 18:09 Rels wrote:
The Copcake is not town compilation case
1. Her initial townreads have no basis Her initial townreads were:
On October 13 2015 13:37 CopCake wrote: GB is town Alakasamboombam is town Dont stop make it pop tik tok is town. The filters of these 3 people at the time were: GB's posts at the time: [spoiler]
On October 13 2015 09:50 GlowingBear wrote: O hai!
I'm thrall
On October 13 2015 10:37 GlowingBear wrote:Show nested quote +On October 13 2015 08:15 Koshi wrote: Town.
Going to go with a plynch all liars through the entire game. Will totally ruin the game because town are lying bitches. But I will do it.
If nobody lies I will use spidersenses.
4 antitown. Way too much anti town kp. First days are a joke.
If there are 9 townies who need to lynch 4 anti townies while these antitownies got 4 kp and are immune to the other antitownies their kp the game is a total joke.
There are also way to many blue roles. Blue roles with completely random effects based on the skill of the player.
So tbh. If I try and lynch anti town D1 I will just get rewarded with a bullet and anti town will start shooting town faster than we can lynch anti town. Doesn't make any fucking sense.
tldr 1: Koshi is going to do absolutely nothing the first days because the game looks like a joke. He might say some random shit about random people. He will appreciate it that when these random people are actually anti town that they won't shoot Koshi.
tldr2: Read tldr 1 You make things easier. ##vote: Koshi
On October 13 2015 10:44 GlowingBear wrote: Wow what a boring start [/spoiler] Slam's posts at the time: [spoiler]
On October 13 2015 09:02 Alakaslam wrote: Good afternoon. Koshi, sson
You gotta remember you even hate on your own balance work
On October 13 2015 09:06 Alakaslam wrote:I found the perfect corny cheese video for what I expect to happen here
On October 13 2015 10:59 Alakaslam wrote:Show nested quote +On October 13 2015 10:56 Tictock wrote:On October 13 2015 09:50 GlowingBear wrote: O hai!
I'm thrall I assume you are referring to ![[image loading]](http://static.giantbomb.com/uploads/original/15/152870/2684749-1410539-thrall.jpg) In which case you used the correct color. But since you didn't capitalize you could also mean one of these... ![[image loading]](https://encrypted-tbn0.gstatic.com/images?q=tbn:ANd9GcRt_PoibxOyNa_BYVAoTAvv_OOeFS5OAMrKFDzN7RFcmP1Lt5bT) Or your telling us you are a slave or surf and have no social standing what-so-ever. In which case I can't be seen talking to you. Spoken with precision
On October 13 2015 11:34 Alakaslam wrote: What a dead thread!
Guess I will go really read and reread Koshi's dramas
On October 13 2015 11:54 Alakaslam wrote:Show nested quote +On October 13 2015 08:15 Koshi wrote: Town.
Going to go with a plynch all liars through the entire game. Will totally ruin the game because town are lying bitches. But I will do it.
If nobody lies I will use spidersenses.
4 antitown. Way too much anti town kp. First days are a joke.
If there are 9 townies who need to lynch 4 anti townies while these antitownies got 4 kp and are immune to the other antitownies their kp the game is a total joke.
There are also way to many blue roles. Blue roles with completely random effects based on the skill of the player.
So tbh. If I try and lynch anti town D1 I will just get rewarded with a bullet and anti town will start shooting town faster than we can lynch anti town. Doesn't make any fucking sense.
tldr 1: Koshi is going to do absolutely nothing the first days because the game looks like a joke. He might say some random shit about random people. He will appreciate it that when these random people are actually anti town that they won't shoot Koshi.
tldr2: Read tldr 1 This dude looks like a cop-out artist here Why What is the true motive for this post? [/spoiler] TT's posts at the time: [spoiler]
On October 13 2015 10:56 Tictock wrote:I assume you are referring to ![[image loading]](http://static.giantbomb.com/uploads/original/15/152870/2684749-1410539-thrall.jpg) In which case you used the correct color. But since you didn't capitalize you could also mean one of these... ![[image loading]](https://encrypted-tbn0.gstatic.com/images?q=tbn:ANd9GcRt_PoibxOyNa_BYVAoTAvv_OOeFS5OAMrKFDzN7RFcmP1Lt5bT) Or your telling us you are a slave or surf and have no social standing what-so-ever. In which case I can't be seen talking to you.
On October 13 2015 11:17 Tictock wrote:So I was stupid today guys... I agreed to pickup an extra shift at work tomorrow morning  I'll poke in once or twice more before bed, but i gotta try and get to sleep soon. Will have a decent chunk of time to sink in after i get done with that though. [/spoiler]
I and others have asked her to explain these weird reads and her explanation is:
On October 14 2015 06:10 CopCake wrote:Show nested quote +On October 14 2015 06:07 deconduo wrote:On October 14 2015 05:36 CopCake wrote:EXCUSE ME I AM A SOULREADER I look for motivations of why people post what, and sup looked forced, there's no reason for him to say "brb" and lol if that's ENOUGH for you to vote me then you are mafia What was forced about it? What is scummy about gobbledydook? Why are GB, Slam, and TikTok town? I said GB is looking mafia with rels, he looked town before. TIKTOK is so carefree so is slam, their intro tone is good. So "tone reads" AKA no explanation.
2. Her read on GB and I are inconsistent Copcake says GB and I are mafia together:
On October 14 2015 03:45 CopCake wrote: Rels and GB being like I suspect GB but I still answer glowing bear questions.
NO FUCKING WAY, you two are also mafia, take back my GB townread.
On October 14 2015 06:10 CopCake wrote:Show nested quote +On October 14 2015 06:07 deconduo wrote:On October 14 2015 05:36 CopCake wrote:EXCUSE ME I AM A SOULREADER I look for motivations of why people post what, and sup looked forced, there's no reason for him to say "brb" and lol if that's ENOUGH for you to vote me then you are mafia What was forced about it? What is scummy about gobbledydook? Why are GB, Slam, and TikTok town? I said GB is looking mafia with rels, he looked town before. TIKTOK is so carefree so is slam, their intro tone is good. Please look very carefully for her reason to scumread GB. Rels suspects GB => but Rels answers GB's questions => Rels and GB are mafia together
Now. When asked about her reasons for scumreading GB, she said:
On October 14 2015 10:48 CopCake wrote:I already did, your interaction with rels is weird and "a waste of time" lol, really come and fight me, you are asking questions and in addition like you know HOW I AM AS MAFIA yet you MAFIA READ ME because I have TOWN READS. DUDE DO YOU EVEN REMEMBER THAT I DIDNT HAVE TOWN READS LAST GAME and I was like pretending I was pissed (actually I was for mossy) but yeah oh no, you are not even considering my filters too sad, no? So GB's "interactions with Rels" is what makes GB scummy. Makes sense with the above. A little weird she's not voting me instead of GB, but whatever.
Then she says:
On October 14 2015 10:52 CopCake wrote:Show nested quote +On October 14 2015 10:51 GlowingBear wrote:On October 14 2015 03:45 CopCake wrote: Rels and GB being like I suspect GB but I still answer glowing bear questions.
NO FUCKING WAY, you two are also mafia, take back my GB townread.
You're calling me mafia off of an unflipped association. More than that, instead of going after the root of your association, you're going against the consequential read. I can't take this seriously what unflipped association? I don't get it pls elaborate. WTF. She just said GB was scummy because of his "interactions with Rels". But wait. There is more:
On October 14 2015 10:58 CopCake wrote: you think rels is town tho.
that makes you mafia. She thinks I'm town now ???? There is no explanation for that switch. Her original basis for scumreading GB was that both GB and I were scum together. And now she's saying GB is scummy for his interactions with me, which is still her original reason; but she also thinks I'm town.
It doesn't make any kind of sense. There is NO reason for her to scumread GB.
3. She doesn't post much and doesn't answer questions This point doesn't mean shit by itself, by in combinaison to the above, it indicated Copcake is not-town.
Conclusion 1. Townreads with no basis to start the game. 2. No reason for her main scumread. 3. Not very active. Lynch her.
For me it's better to look at why Rels focuses on one person over another. For example he was initially suspect of GB, which didn't last too long, then pushed me fairly hard early on. Cake was his main target for the rest of the day after he stopped scum reading me. So these were his 3 main pushes, while he also subtly agreed on Moosy and Xat possibly being scum.
To me the arguments Rels has with Cake near EoD are pretty clearly showing there is miscommunication going on. There's an awful lot of "he said, she said" sorta stuff going on that looks like it is clearly going nowhere. Like at this point Rels looks semi-tunneled on Cake which I've seen him do as either alignment.
Gah, idk. I see similarities between this push on Cake and pushes Rels has made as both alignments before. He and Rayn pushed and mislynched me as town in one of the newbie games because they didn't understand my thinking/logic. He also did a solid case/push on Dandel in Season of the Witch as scum, managing to pull people away from his afk scummate.
Conclusion - Inconclusive
GlowingBear: GB's read on Cake seems to evolve out pretty naturally.
He starts off questioning her early townreads and tries to engage her to explain them.
At one point GB looks like he goes fairly hard at Moosy but keeps Cake in his sights.
Eventually he switches to Cake and implores everyone to do the same.
On October 14 2015 22:15 GlowingBear wrote: Everyone NOT scum reading cop cake, please explain so.
She scum reads Rels for no good reason, proceeds to scum read me with the basis on an unflipped association with Rels, then forgets Rels and push me instead of, you know, going against her main scum read (which, under her logic, his flip would confirm my alignment, and not the opposite).
I see no townie following this logic
On October 14 2015 21:28 GlowingBear wrote: Moosy can easily be with cake
The only thing that feels a little off is this post
On October 15 2015 05:20 GlowingBear wrote: By the way, I won't be here at deadline, I'll be having classes.
If you guys move your votes off of CopCake I will heartlessly torture baby walruses
Both his scumreads are potential lynches so I'm not sure why he would mind if people switched back over to Moosy. There is possible OMGUS involved though since Cake was pushing GB as scum, kinda feel like that would come from either alignment though. Feels a little weak, but there's some room for tin foil here.
Conclusion - Checks out.
Xatalos: Probably the more interesting case imo. I say that because Xat makes a lot of posts that state this
On October 13 2015 19:37 Xatalos wrote: Hm... Not very sure about those people you mentioned. CopCake is Little Lamb from VS, I think? She was extremely convincing as Mafia last time around.
Here is all of them that I found. + Show Spoiler +On October 13 2015 19:37 Xatalos wrote: Hm... Not very sure about those people you mentioned. CopCake is Little Lamb from VS, I think? She was extremely convincing as Mafia last time around. On October 14 2015 22:19 Xatalos wrote: I've only seen scum CopCake before and she seemed more townie than now that time >.> On October 15 2015 07:51 Xatalos wrote:
On October 15 2015 07:49 Tictock wrote:Show nested quote +On October 15 2015 07:44 Xatalos wrote: For example, right now CopCake could easily get no-lynched if just one switches away. I'd appreciate people ensuring the lynch before the deadline. Thanks.
If you prefer MoosyDoosy, state quickly why? I've explained my reasons a few times. Moosy's only read push has been on Sup and his read was based on shit he berated Rels for being. Cops reads are wierd but thy haev evolved, shes challenged people.
Well yeah MoosyDoosy's reads are terrible, but so are CopCake's.... And I'd expect CopCake to be the better one out of them, all things equal. Granted I've only seen scum!CopCake before and she was better than this even there.
He ends up voting Cake in this long post. His main reason is that her reads don't make sense.
So my issue here is that his read seems to be in conflict with itself, "Cake plays a convincing scum game" while this game "Her reads make no sense, must be scum." Whats even more disturbing to me is that Xat makes this argument multiple times while defending Moosy
Well yeah, at this point MoosyDoosy's inactivity is starting to get irritating. I still get the feeling that anti-town wouldn't blatantly make themselves suspicious like that... Or generally just act without care for their own survival. In my experience people like that are usually town who get easily mislynched by scum. *Rarely* there are cases where scum take that as their strategy and WIFOM themselves out of suspicion... I kind of doubt MoosyDoosy is going for such a high-risk play.
So somehow Xat is convinced that Cake is scum for not making sense, yet he's had experience with her scum game and claims it's "pretty convincing" and at the same time he is defending Moosy because he doesn't think scum would be willing to play in a way to draw attention to themselves.
None of this adds up. I've been saying it all game, Xat is scum.
Conclusion - Lynch with Fire
MoosyDoosy: Moosy's first response to Cake is calling out her post on Superbia good, and while he later includes her in his list of ppl he is suspect of he still says she has good thoughts and is last on his list.
He actually seems fairly unsure, questions Cake's townread on him, tries to get her to focus on Sup with him, multiple occasions where he tries to engage Cake in conversation.
Eventually he votes her here, which can be argued as being partially a survival vote, but it looks somewhat reluctant to me.
[B]On October 15 2015 06:30 MoosyDoosy wrote: Show nested quote +On October 15 2015 06:25 Xatalos wrote: That's just not a reason to scumread anyone. Answering a question means being polite, and you can do it even if you're 100% sure someone is scum. And nobody sure as hell can't be 100% sure on anything during D1...
Please someone else put your vote down on CopCake. A no-lynch would be pretty sad in this situation. At best we lynch anti-town (pretty likely), at worst we move the game forward at our pace rather than having CopCake as a problem tomorrow. ok. ##unvote ##vote: CopCake
Overall there is some evolution here, and tried a few times EoD to push the lynch elsewhere rather than pile on.
Conclusion - Checks out
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Tictock bb, you forgot the part where I actually wasn't reading her posts which is why I didn't actually have a read on her.
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I'm actually rethinking my read on Moosy a little after that analysis and reading his filter again.
Anyways probably not posting much more this Night. Assuming I survive I'll reevaluate tomorrow.
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On October 16 2015 04:57 MoosyDoosy wrote: Tictock bb, you forgot the part where I actually wasn't reading her posts which is why I didn't actually have a read on her.
How is anyone supposed to know that?
It certainly looks like you were reading some of her posts...
On October 14 2015 08:00 MoosyDoosy wrote:Show nested quote +On October 14 2015 03:43 CopCake wrote: Sup is mafia because DUH why the fuck does he need to say "BRB" when the game was SO FUCKING DEAD like seriously that post was like "hey look at me i am paying attention but you fucktards are not participating" totally different when he was town in that game i was mafia with moosy.
This is a good post.
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Not sure I really understand your latest accusation, and it's starting to get a bit annoying. I mean... I never said that CopCake made a ton of sense as scum. She just had that spontaneous/genuine feel about her with her posting style as scum, same as here. So that's pretty inconclusive. What made me lean over to scum on her was how her reads just didn't make any logical sense. I couldn't understand how she could push those as town, and they were even more peculiar compared to her last scumgame, so... In any case, I don't really regret it. She wasn't even a role, and she would have been an anti-town element later on.
Frankly, you just seem to twist anything and everything about me in a negative light. Straight from my very first post. Either you're town in an extreme tunnel or just anti-town. Actually starting to lean a bit more towards anti-town since the tunnel has been so "pre-set" and static. In either case, it's getting harder for me to take you seriously.
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His point is that you said that Copcake has a pretty good scumgame and is very convincing.
While in this game she was a babbling mess using some capslock and being quite clueless. (the reason why I had her as town)
The 2 don't add up and therefore you are mafia.
I don't know if I agree with teh case. I agree with the conclusion though.
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On December 22 2014 11:21 GlowingBear wrote:So, if we talk about town Xatalos, we are mostly talking about an absurd filter length. But more than filter length, Xatalos is a guy who keeps his thoughts in the thread, not in his mind, and is constantly trying to solve the game. I've picked up a game where we played together, it was Guilty Mini Mafia. This is a post he had on his second page of filter: + Show Spoiler +On August 22 2014 19:17 Xatalos wrote: Damdred -1 Pretty forgettable posts so far instead of awkward like last time.... scum(my)?
raynpelikoneet -1 Robik made a funny point about the way how rayn would have stayed up as town (and he even said that he would stay for the deadline too??) haha - started really aggressive after that, nothing really special to say about that, just a bit of an uncomfortable feeling with the not posting at night despite apparently staying up around the deadline... and somehow his reads feel a bit too certain/forced? let's just say null with some concern for now
Hapahauli 0
justanothertownie 0
Onegu 0
VayneAuthority 0
IAmRobik 1 Casually townreading people etc. just feels a bit towny, probably
KelsierSC 1 "tryhardish" opening post that is actually fluff - and the theme continues.... :/ ugh so awkward, but also confrontational, so maybe just awkwardly tryhard? - really eager to lynch "useless" people ugh..? what is this... well continues to antagonize people so prolly town maybe? dunno... well seems so tryhard that I guess town maybe
yamato77 1 said nothing noteworthy yet - well started making some jokey posts so town?
turtlevine 2 obvious smurf... pretty funny/constructive opening post, townish feels I guess
GlowingBear 4 a LOT less awkward than in the Arnie game IMO, so town? yeah seems pretty natural at posting overall, and constructive, so towntown
WaveOfShadow 4 Reveals willingly which players he's confident in reading and responds to Kelsier in a pretty casual/townish(?) way - really casual posting style so town lean for now You see, he is someone who has reads on a lot of people and contributes with discussion by exteriorising them. More than that, he takes original stances on people. Here is another post by Xatalos on day 1: + Show Spoiler +On August 23 2014 00:08 Xatalos wrote:Show nested quote +On August 22 2014 23:58 raynpelikoneet wrote: So far were doing good. We are not lynching me, KSC, JAT or Robik in any case. Because we are town. Hapa and Onge have not postesd yet so there is at least one scum in active players.
I am leaning scum on Wave and Glowingbear, strongly. Is there anyone who thinks they are town? KSC - yeah probably town, really feels like he believes his own ideas and pushes them strongly without care for how he's viewed as a result jat - no idea, how do you townread him so strongly? he had a humongous filter as scum earlier so not activity... and he immediately jumped to discredit me without calling me scum when you called me scum... I just can't feel the strong townread so help me here Robik - not as sure as last game but yeah leaning town for being pretty active and posting stuff you - still not sure, I think you're very capable of doing everything you've done so far as scum so hard to townread you WOS - my earlier townread on him was a bit faulty so I don't really anyhow heavily townread him anymore, why is he scum though? GB - I don't necessarily think he's town anymore, his weird connection read on me+WOS, curiousness about someone townreading him, and overall awkward posts lately don't look good... could be scum I guess You see, he is already giving reads on a lot of people. But more than this: he is contributing without being asked to contribute. Take a look at the nested quote. Rayn isn't directing a question towards Xatalos. Xatalos is posting this because he wanted to contribute, he wanted to discuss his reads. I'll go ahead into later days to show you that he keeps the "solving the game" stance throughout the whole thread: + Show Spoiler +On August 27 2014 01:15 Xatalos wrote: Still weird that he refused to vote for Robik when 1) he claimed to follow jat's lead and jat voted for Robik 2) he didn't have any real opinion of Robik (except "Robik being Robik") and didn't exactly townread me, but agreed with me a lot and didn't seem to at least suspect me. + Show Spoiler +On August 26 2014 02:17 Xatalos wrote: Actually I just had a thought. In the Arnie game Damdred constantly asked me these little questions to share my reads more / make me more readable. Damdred's play here reminds me a lot of that. So yeah, I don't want to lynch Damdred today. + Show Spoiler +On August 26 2014 02:50 Xatalos wrote:Show nested quote +On August 26 2014 02:32 KelsierSC wrote: Xat Could you give me a condensed version of how you read the game right now after the night kills and the VA claim? Here are my "condensed" reads >.> VayneAuthority -2 not really a fan of his posts so far, I think someone said that he's pretty serious as scum and trolly as town? serious so far... seems to focus only on survival + made a rather dubious roleclaim claimed JOAT early on D2 "to survive" Onegu -1 AFK and still catching up :/ - entered the game constructively and tried to figure out the game, probably town... Hapa made good points about him being reckless to push rayn as scum + showing suspicion towards a Mason claim haha - well hasn't done much lately so dropped points - rayn flipping town puts him into worse light especially since he just threw his vote on rayn and disappeared Damdred 1 Pretty forgettable posts so far instead of awkward like last time.... scum(my)? - actually his more recent posts mirror my thoughts so town? - rayn made a decent(ish) point about him perhaps being SK since he's a bit forgettable/passive??? and also looked for bluetells earlier... but still not a D1 lynch - worst D1 deadline vote, not good - actually his little questions to me remind a lot of the Arnie game so rather wait and see than lynch for now, feels like potentially town Hapahauli 2 entered with great posts on rayn & me, quite confident that he's town - then dropped rayn suddenly, weird, possible scum after all? dunno, doesn't feel like a good D1 lynch anyway - went on to lynch Mafia GF which makes him a lot more towny - possible SK still considering rayn NK? KelsierSC 3 "tryhardish" opening post that is actually fluff - and the theme continues.... :/ ugh so awkward, but also confrontational, so maybe just awkwardly tryhard? - really eager to lynch "useless" people ugh..? what is this... well continues to antagonize people so prolly town maybe? dunno... well seems so tryhard that I guess town maybe... yeah I guess so - well he's been defending rayn and pushing me with very forced reasons so not confident about him being town anymore (though he'd be very stupid if he's scum with rayn) - well more likely town still, very fearless if scum WaveOfShadow 3 Reveals willingly which players he's confident in reading and responds to Kelsier in a pretty casual/townish(?) way - really casual posting style so town lean for now - really active/chatty in Championship as scum though so could be scum too - but he's still pretty happily participating in the discussion and felt genuinely frustrated at some point so town after all? - away for a lot of crucial discussion which drops his points by one - well he's come back to the thread and his posts seem pretty good lately - his thoughts resonated with my thoughts around deadline quite a bit which is good yamato77 3 said nothing noteworthy yet - well started making some jokey posts so town? very lurky though which is scummy for him - re-entered the thread with vengeance and has been very townish, I'd say even obvtown level pretty much - Hapa made some good points about him lacking confidence and going on lurking periods though - still (actively?) lurking and posting here and there... gave up exactly like in the PYP game ALERT ALERT - went on to vote & kill Robik though and started actually doing stuff so probably town after all Look at how he has opinion on everybody and shares it with everyone. Look at how he tried to see things from people's perspective. Look at how he has a thought and posts it in the thread to share his opinion with everybody. This is town Xatalos. ************** Mafia Xatalos is determined by suing the necessary, asking questions, and not really having original thoughts and stances. Moreover, he doesn't have an overall view of the game. + Show Spoiler +On December 10 2013 06:49 Xatalos wrote: Kushm4sta, by the way, I hope you're planning to play this game seriously. I've witnessed several games that you've partly ruined by lurking or worse.
If you're scum, you can get policy lynched. That's fine. High level of certainty/aggressiveness, uncommon on his townplay described above. + Show Spoiler +On December 10 2013 07:43 Xatalos wrote:Show nested quote +On December 10 2013 07:36 LSB wrote:On December 10 2013 07:24 Artanis[Xp] wrote:On December 10 2013 07:21 LSB wrote:On December 10 2013 07:19 Artanis[Xp] wrote:On December 10 2013 07:17 LSB wrote: I think we need to calm down. My "townie on townie day 1 shitstorm" sense is tingling.
That speaking, oddly enough it does encourage a Xatalos lynch Whom do you feel are townies from this and why? It hasn't really been one on one. It's been HF and Xatalos against Cora, and myself, Alakaslam and you against Xatalos. If you feel it's townie on townie, then you'd think Xatalos was town. So far I think I am townie, I haven't really thought past that. I just don't think this day 1 attitude is gonna be very productive. The whole entire Xatalos suspicion does require a meta read on Xatalos to see if he is brilliant enough to try for the plan on day 1, or does he just play like this. I just skimmed through the filter he linked and I don't think it looks like the start of this game at all. He's far more aggressive here. What were you trying to say exactly with your initial post if you didn't mean to give anyone a town read but yourself? I'm confused. I don't think a plan other than "starting shit" is required for scum. That's always a good thing. In my opinion natural scum play is to stay low, especially on day 1, the town tends to self destruct anyways day 1. This whole entire "starting shit" strat is actually pretty good, even though it is counterintuitive to the idea of trying to not draw attention. Thus I assumed this strat is not very obvious, especially since I personally never considered it. This is all pure speculation. Something more grounded is that Xatalos is definably acting very different from before, and in my eyes less of a townie Well, that game is special in the sense that it started during night and nights were PM-only within given Houses. I definitely put pressure on gumshoe and Grackaroni during the night, I'd say. And I was relatively aggressive during the first day, as well. Probably not as aggressive as here, I agree. Do you mean that passive = townish and aggressive/proactive = scummy? Or what? I can't really see myself playing like this as scum. It'd have to be pretty carefully crafted at least. Too defensive when inquired, lacking deep reads on people. + Show Spoiler +On December 10 2013 08:09 Xatalos wrote:Show nested quote +On December 10 2013 08:01 Holyflare wrote:On December 10 2013 07:42 Artanis[Xp] wrote:On December 10 2013 07:36 LSB wrote:On December 10 2013 07:24 Artanis[Xp] wrote:On December 10 2013 07:21 LSB wrote:On December 10 2013 07:19 Artanis[Xp] wrote:On December 10 2013 07:17 LSB wrote: I think we need to calm down. My "townie on townie day 1 shitstorm" sense is tingling.
That speaking, oddly enough it does encourage a Xatalos lynch Whom do you feel are townies from this and why? It hasn't really been one on one. It's been HF and Xatalos against Cora, and myself, Alakaslam and you against Xatalos. If you feel it's townie on townie, then you'd think Xatalos was town. So far I think I am townie, I haven't really thought past that. I just don't think this day 1 attitude is gonna be very productive. The whole entire Xatalos suspicion does require a meta read on Xatalos to see if he is brilliant enough to try for the plan on day 1, or does he just play like this. I just skimmed through the filter he linked and I don't think it looks like the start of this game at all. He's far more aggressive here. What were you trying to say exactly with your initial post if you didn't mean to give anyone a town read but yourself? I'm confused. I don't think a plan other than "starting shit" is required for scum. That's always a good thing. In my opinion natural scum play is to stay low, especially on day 1, the town tends to self destruct anyways day 1. This whole entire "starting shit" strat is actually pretty good, even though it is counterintuitive to the idea of trying to not draw attention. Thus I assumed this strat is not very obvious, especially since I personally never considered it. This is all pure speculation. Something more grounded is that Xatalos is definably acting very different from before, and in my eyes less of a townie I don't feel like Xatalos put himself in the spotlight as much as trying to put others in the spotlight. Corazon put himself in the spotlight without any scum gain. When you look at his post from a scum point of view, it doesn't make sense for them to make it. I can see a scum agenda behind Xatalos' posts. That said, I do like his view on my pressure on him in that it was nuanced rather than trying to score town points. The rest of the day should provide more information. On December 10 2013 07:36 Holyflare wrote:Nobody going to discuss cora's mindset or are you going to dismiss it outright for xantos discussion some more? On December 10 2013 06:52 Artanis[Xp] wrote: Holy, I don't feel like his response is that different. I also don't think he'd put himself out there so much at the start of the game. No reason to draw attention to yourself like that as scum. Given you quoted me I take it you'd like a response from me? I don't find Corazon scummy at this point in time because he drew attention to himself without any scum benefit. Is it not also a scum mindset to heavily defend themselves when attacked, unnaturally so? Also while defending themselves to then deflect upon another person? Why are you only looking for the people that are "starting shit"? I only know a few scum that play that way. Have you any scum meta on Xatalos that suggests he plays like he is? I don't like how you're so dismissive over cora without discussion when with Xantos you skim the filters to discuss him further. On December 10 2013 06:52 Artanis[Xp] wrote: Holy, I don't feel like his response is that different. I also don't think he'd put himself out there so much at the start of the game. No reason to draw attention to yourself like that as scum. On December 10 2013 07:24 Artanis[Xp] wrote:On December 10 2013 07:21 LSB wrote:On December 10 2013 07:19 Artanis[Xp] wrote:On December 10 2013 07:17 LSB wrote: I think we need to calm down. My "townie on townie day 1 shitstorm" sense is tingling.
That speaking, oddly enough it does encourage a Xatalos lynch Whom do you feel are townies from this and why? It hasn't really been one on one. It's been HF and Xatalos against Cora, and myself, Alakaslam and you against Xatalos. If you feel it's townie on townie, then you'd think Xatalos was town. So far I think I am townie, I haven't really thought past that. I just don't think this day 1 attitude is gonna be very productive. The whole entire Xatalos suspicion does require a meta read on Xatalos to see if he is brilliant enough to try for the plan on day 1, or does he just play like this. I just skimmed through the filter he linked and I don't think it looks like the start of this game at all. He's far more aggressive here. What were you trying to say exactly with your initial post if you didn't mean to give anyone a town read but yourself? I'm confused. I don't think a plan other than "starting shit" is required for scum. That's always a good thing. Look at the difference between these two points - on the one hand (cora) is dismissed by saying "I don't think scum plays that way" whereas the second (Xatalos) is "I have skimmed it briefly and think it's different because X,Y,Z. Question, question. _____________________________ In regards to the point that you made about cora, I don't think he's "putting himself out there" like you suggest, he said that he couldn't dedicate some time towards the game but would still post actively and got picked up on it and was like OMGNUUWRONGRAWRRR!!!!!! and then didn't discuss why with people further or indicate that he had reads on other people because of what happened. He left the thread and then returned when people started mentioning Xatalos and piggybacked upon that with no new reasoning other than what people had said before. He mentions how people in the thread were piggybacking previously (me, etc.) and had qualms with them but then does the same thing here: On December 10 2013 07:10 Corazon wrote: I do feel like Slam was right as well. If Xatalos was using good logic and pushing me like a townie, I wouldn't have a problem with him. However, he is using faulty logic on purpose and trying to pass it off as correct when in fact his conclusions only come about because he needs to fake pressure on me. This is contradictary with his previous approach of disliking people that piggybacking and is essentially +1ing another players points. Take this in B2B for example, people had a bad read on him and he DISCUSSED why it was bad: On November 21 2013 01:00 Corazon wrote: When did I say that sciberia was bad town? Please find a post where I said he was bad town.
I didn't vote for sciberia because 0% of wagons in the first 2 hours of a game actually get to the deadline? None. What is the point of vote-jumping? It just allows people to skim my cases once they see the bold vote and only really look at it once it's my turn to be under the gun. Voting for people at this stage is pretty useless because it's not going to get a lynch going. I guarantee you that our reads and opinions are going to change before the deadline and it's useless to lock yourself in (or at least making a statement saying you are going to) 2 hours into a game.
That case was confirmation bias because you took 1-2 decent points about me (which alone are not enough to justify a vote or my lynching) and then supplemented them with saying "Corazon is doing stuff that he always does in every game, he has to be scum for it in this one". He mentions WHY the case was bad etc etc, discusses it and outlines why he thinks it was bad croming from X player. Where is that here? It was a dissmissal of a case from me and a sheep onto townish consesus Xatalos. __________________________________________ I don't like how these things are most definitely brushed off for simplicity that "I don't think scum do this" when there is a body of evidence that suggests a player does not play like this. Vote Cora for best lynch. These are definitely some good points. It's surely premature to declare Corazon as today's lynch, but it would be a good pick in the current situation. I dislike Artanis's dismissal of Corazon's play as well, but I doubt Artanis and Corazon would be scum together. It would seem risky to make a connection like that. That's WIFOM, though. Commenting others ideas without actually bringing his own to the table. Says something wishy washy without risking himself with his reads ********* Xatalos is playing much more like his scum game than his town game here. This is specific and out of context, but illustrates what I'm saying: + Show Spoiler +On December 18 2014 23:31 Xatalos wrote:Show nested quote +On December 18 2014 23:22 rsoultin wrote: Okay -_- So for those of you who don't like wall posts I will make my stance simple. Most of my points on GB could happen as either town or mafia. Town can flip their reads on a gut read (odd that the one it protects is scum, but that doesn't necessarily mean anything) to someone instead of focusing on genuinely scummy behavior. Town can digress into a "town only gives presents to town" WIFOM for no reason. Town can speculate on set-ups and base scum reads on that. Town can tunnel. All of these things together look worse...or at least make the player look like a bad town player...but there are a couple things that are scum-motivated that have no town motivation at all:
- Continually calling for mass claiming in an open set-up where scum has 2-3KSs.Or calling for certain individuals to claim (carolers, those who were roleblocked, vet)
- Attempting to take credit for a lynch when he did not catch the lie, and furthermore did not vote for the player being lynched, when he clearly had enough time to do so. His defense that he was trying to see who would jump onto a third train was never followed through on...he is back on his old soapbox today.
^ There are no reasons that these are town behaviors. Plain and simple. You can ignore everything else and write it off as a pisspoor town player, but there are no reasons for a town player to do these two things.
HF may well be scum, I don't know. But I haven't seen him do scummy things, and I have seen GB do a multitude. Again, if you want to base your lynch decisions on WIFOM, presents, and set-up speculation...be my guest. Don't be surprised if it comes back to bite you in the arse though. Yeah I agree. For both of those the scum motivation is strong and the town motivation is non-existent. I like Templar as scum too, though. But at least he hasn't actively pushed scum agenda. ##Vote GlowingBear This is Xat agreeing with an idea which is not his own, going against a townie, which he had no deep read or strong push. He also doesn't have any list post like I've brought from Guilty Mini Mafia. (Town game: Guilty Mini Mafia Scum game: Titanic II)(
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My mets case on Xatalos on Carol of the Bells, for reference
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The case is pretty easy to understand Xatalos.
How to read the case for dummies: Step 1) Click the spoiler and read all the post you made saying CC has a good scumgame. Even saying her meta is off. Step 2) Understand that there is quite the disconnect between her previous scumgame and this game as stated by you. Step 3) Read the long ass post you made saying CC is making no sense at all and completely doesn't play like her scumgame and then you voting her for that.
Conclude that you could be opportunistic mafia.
That and you constantly asking people why CC is mafia and not providing reasoning why she is mafia was just scummy as fuck.
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GB, is Xatalos mafia due to that well of text? I cba to read it. Too likely i will die.
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On October 16 2015 05:15 Xatalos wrote: Not sure I really understand your latest accusation, and it's starting to get a bit annoying. I mean... I never said that CopCake made a ton of sense as scum. She just had that spontaneous/genuine feel about her with her posting style as scum, same as here. So that's pretty inconclusive. What made me lean over to scum on her was how her reads just didn't make any logical sense. I couldn't understand how she could push those as town, and they were even more peculiar compared to her last scumgame, so... In any case, I don't really regret it. She wasn't even a role, and she would have been an anti-town element later on.
Frankly, you just seem to twist anything and everything about me in a negative light. Straight from my very first post. Either you're town in an extreme tunnel or just anti-town. Actually starting to lean a bit more towards anti-town since the tunnel has been so "pre-set" and static. In either case, it's getting harder for me to take you seriously. I didn't read carefully the case, but the fact that you specifically poped up to defend yourself, not posting anything before or after, is suspicious. Going to sleep now. Didn't have time today to analyze stuff, hell I glossed over these big posts at the end, so that's for tomorrow ... if I'm alive. Hopefully some not town will be flipped!
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I don't know koshi, I haven't analysed Xata's filter.
I will do it later in case I survive
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My thoughts about setup:
Mafia is going to do mafia things. I think they are going to feel pretty damn safe for the first 1-2 days. They essentially cannot lose during the night phase. Mad physician is probably also going to keep healing himself for the entire game (except for every even night - n2, n4, past that doesn't matter). I think this lends itself to somewhat standard mafia play. They have no real reason to really hunt for third party during the day, as they rule the night. One might even argue that the extra kp during the night favors them.
Third party will probably be scrambling to get a PR read and killed during n1 (so they can claim it later). They cannot win against mafia during the night, and the crossfire also does not want to be on the front row in any sort of way (probably). Third party essentially resolves around getting one person (crossfire) not killed and using the day time to get mafia or town (depends which is stronger) killed. Which lends itself to defensive (crossfire) play and mafia/pr-hunting (groupie) play.
Summed up: - Mafia rules the night. Essentially gives 0 shits about 3p especially during n1, n3 and n5 while they are both alive. Extra KP during the night will likely help mafia. - 3p likely PR-hunts for the stealth shot during the night. Then will claim it near mylo-lylo. Or if it's cop/CPR claim it in an emergency/whatever while medic is still alive (else they get killed by mafia). - Uncontested PR claims after n1 are still to be taken with a huge grain of salt and a hefty amount of evaluation.
Haven't (re-)evaluated yet on people. So good luck if I die.
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Well that was dramatic, just noticed we have 30 more minutes. Rofl. Too tired. Z_z
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