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Newbie Mini Mafia LVI - Page 48

Forum Index > TL Mafia
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TheKingOfTheCats
Profile Joined May 2014
United Kingdom160 Posts
June 24 2014 12:49 GMT
#941
On June 24 2014 14:35 Epishade wrote:
Ermm, I was really not expecting Token to get shot, of all people. I expected either myself, Haruhi, or Templar to die tbh, as we've all been townread for the majority of the game by most people. Token could have been a potential case if someone were to call him out, so I have a hard time rationalizing why mafia would shoot Token over someone more townie.

The only way I can see Token's shot being justified is if mafia thought he was on the right track and shot him to get rid of him, because objectively, that looked like a bad shot to me. You usually shoot people that have little chance of getting lynched for reading townie, but there seemed to be enough suspicion on Token (or at least, more than the three people I listed above) for me to think that that wasn't the reason he was shot.

There are a few people that Token scumreads over day 1, and I think that probably played a part in his death.

His scumreads:
JabberZerg (initially, then changed his mind to a townread at 4:00, which wouldn't have given mafia time to change their shot if JabberZerg wanted to keep Token alive for townreading him, assuming that Jabber is mafia)
meatpudding
Teemursu
Cats

His townreads:
Haruhi
Templar
me
Hobbit (only in his post at 4:00)

Fence reads:
Nydus

Dunno reads:
GlowBear
Other peoples

So I think the cases should probably be focused on people in his scum list at this point. I mean, he did say for people to look at me, GlowBear, and Nydus day 2 in his 4:02 post, but I'm not considering these specifically right now because they came too late to be able to influence mafia, and I'm only looking at the reasoning for shooting Token here over someone else.

He also asked me to post my reads on him, Cats, and meatpudding at this point, too, but I woke up too early today and am dead tired. I'll post my reads on everybody I have reads for sometime tomorrow after I wake up.

Night all.

First of all you're assuming that scum shot Tolkien, it's possible that scum got jailed/roleblocked and the vig shot Tolkien.

Tolkien being shot because be suspected the right people makes little sense but lets analyze it a bit. If me or meatpudding are scum it would be pointless to shoot him for suspecting us because half the game does, if either of us were to shoot him it wouldn't change anything for us and it would actually be detrimental for us to do that as scum because Tolkien was looking scummy to a lot of people too and he would've been one of the easier people to push for a mislynch. seeing as him, me and meatpudding were the main lynch candidates today we wouldn't kill one of our most valid chances to escape a lynch. Teemu, well this one's simple. If he was going to shoot someone for being "on" to him it would've been meatpudding because meatpudding's been on him more. Why would he shoot Tolkien over meatpudding? Why would he shoot either of them for that matter? They were both suspicious to a lot of people and he wasn't. As for Jabber...i dunno. He seems to be on a few peoples radars if i remember correctly, it would make more sense to shoot one of them for being "on" to him as opposed to one of the lynch candidates. It really doesn't make sense for scum to shoot him especially for the reason you posted. Personally i think the less likely situation of scum's NK being blocked and a Vig targeting Tolkien is more likely.
On August 13 2014 04:46 kushm4sta wrote: koc with the worst post of all time
TheKingOfTheCats
Profile Joined May 2014
United Kingdom160 Posts
June 24 2014 12:53 GMT
#942
On June 24 2014 21:33 Teemursu wrote:
Eh,

I've played for about three months and get around three games a week on average.

This is my first forum mafia game.

As was said before though, you should probably evaluate my contribution as though I haven't played video mafia before.

I dislike greatly asking from people on video, if they're a new player or not, since people generally will make a lot of wrong reads based on that information.

I only think you playing video mafia is relevant to one thing.

One last question, how long do the games of video mafia you play last and how long are the day/night phases?
On August 13 2014 04:46 kushm4sta wrote: koc with the worst post of all time
Teemursu
Profile Joined June 2014
Finland839 Posts
June 24 2014 13:04 GMT
#943
From an hour to three hours, generally. Day is from 15 to 30 minutes and night is maybe 5 minutes?

Could you instead post and reference my analysis on day 1?

I'll probably start reading and answering in about three hours.
TheKingOfTheCats
Profile Joined May 2014
United Kingdom160 Posts
June 24 2014 13:12 GMT
#944
On June 24 2014 22:04 Teemursu wrote:
From an hour to three hours, generally. Day is from 15 to 30 minutes and night is maybe 5 minutes?

Could you instead post and reference my analysis on day 1?

I'll probably start reading and answering in about three hours.

Thank you. That means you townreading Templar so quickly isn't scummy.

I'll be looking through your and everyone else's filters a bit later (i started looking through your filter yesterday and that's what made me ask meatpudding all those questions). I just came in to check the thread after waking up, effort will be applied in...lets say 3-4 hours.
On August 13 2014 04:46 kushm4sta wrote: koc with the worst post of all time
GlowingBear
Profile Joined May 2014
Brazil12446 Posts
June 24 2014 14:08 GMT
#945
First of all you're assuming that scum shot Tolkien, it's possible that scum got jailed/roleblocked and the vig shot Tolkien.

Tolkien being shot because be suspected the right people makes little sense but lets analyze it a bit. If me or meatpudding are scum it would be pointless to shoot him for suspecting us because half the game does, if either of us were to shoot him it wouldn't change anything for us and it would actually be detrimental for us to do that as scum because Tolkien was looking scummy to a lot of people too and he would've been one of the easier people to push for a mislynch. seeing as him, me and meatpudding were the main lynch candidates today we wouldn't kill one of our most valid chances to escape a lynch. Teemu, well this one's simple. If he was going to shoot someone for being "on" to him it would've been meatpudding because meatpudding's been on him more. Why would he shoot Tolkien over meatpudding? Why would he shoot either of them for that matter? They were both suspicious to a lot of people and he wasn't. As for Jabber...i dunno. He seems to be on a few peoples radars if i remember correctly, it would make more sense to shoot one of them for being "on" to him as opposed to one of the lynch candidates. It really doesn't make sense for scum to shoot him especially for the reason you posted. Personally i think the less likely situation of scum's NK being blocked and a Vig targeting Tolkien is more likely.


Can you explain this to me? I'm already writing thoughts on Tokien's death, but I think even after reading guides I'm not understanding roles quite well. How does the Nightkiller gets blocked and Vig (what is a Vig?) still manage to have the kill?
I'm adorable.
HaruRH
Profile Blog Joined August 2011
Singapore2780 Posts
June 24 2014 14:18 GMT
#946
On June 24 2014 23:08 GlowingBear wrote:
Show nested quote +
First of all you're assuming that scum shot Tolkien, it's possible that scum got jailed/roleblocked and the vig shot Tolkien.

Tolkien being shot because be suspected the right people makes little sense but lets analyze it a bit. If me or meatpudding are scum it would be pointless to shoot him for suspecting us because half the game does, if either of us were to shoot him it wouldn't change anything for us and it would actually be detrimental for us to do that as scum because Tolkien was looking scummy to a lot of people too and he would've been one of the easier people to push for a mislynch. seeing as him, me and meatpudding were the main lynch candidates today we wouldn't kill one of our most valid chances to escape a lynch. Teemu, well this one's simple. If he was going to shoot someone for being "on" to him it would've been meatpudding because meatpudding's been on him more. Why would he shoot Tolkien over meatpudding? Why would he shoot either of them for that matter? They were both suspicious to a lot of people and he wasn't. As for Jabber...i dunno. He seems to be on a few peoples radars if i remember correctly, it would make more sense to shoot one of them for being "on" to him as opposed to one of the lynch candidates. It really doesn't make sense for scum to shoot him especially for the reason you posted. Personally i think the less likely situation of scum's NK being blocked and a Vig targeting Tolkien is more likely.


Can you explain this to me? I'm already writing thoughts on Tokien's death, but I think even after reading guides I'm not understanding roles quite well. How does the Nightkiller gets blocked and Vig (what is a Vig?) still manage to have the kill?


In my opinion, there are 3 scenarios as to why Tolkien got shot.

1) Tolkien got shot by scum, as explained by glowingbear.

2) Tolkien got shot by vigilante. Vigilante is probably someone who thought Tolkien felt scummy and decided to shoot him. The mafia who decided to do the shoot action probably got jailed/roleblocked and couldn't shoot.

3) Tolkien got shot by vigilante. Mafia shot someone who they decided was too town to lynch (at this point, it should be templar or nydus since we don't know if they were affected by night actions yet) but got jailed, so they got protected from the shot.

in my opinion, its either option 1) or 3). But this could change depending on who got jailed on n1. If either templar or nydus got jailed, I'm pretty sure its 3). If neither got jailed, 1) is the most probable.
It is fucking D4 and you are still alive as a CONFIRMED FUCKING TOWN. This is how fucking terrible scum thinks you are - Koshi
HaruRH
Profile Blog Joined August 2011
Singapore2780 Posts
June 24 2014 14:20 GMT
#947
EBWOP

Option 3) is when the the mafia target got jailed, and jailed players cannot be killed.
It is fucking D4 and you are still alive as a CONFIRMED FUCKING TOWN. This is how fucking terrible scum thinks you are - Koshi
The_Templar
Profile Blog Joined January 2011
your Country52798 Posts
June 24 2014 14:23 GMT
#948
Woke up, reading through the thread.
On June 24 2014 12:50 meatpudding wrote:
Templar why do you think Tolkien should go after me D2, and not, for example, Cats?
I don't think it would be weird if he decided to go after someone else if he had a good reason.

He stressed how close his decision between you and mystery was. When I wrote that post, I don't recall you doing anything of note that evening (I'm tired, I'll have to check that), so he would have no reason to change his decision.
ModeratorI am still alive, somehow
TL+ Member
HaruRH
Profile Blog Joined August 2011
Singapore2780 Posts
June 24 2014 14:24 GMT
#949
EBWOP

1) is explained by kotc.
It is fucking D4 and you are still alive as a CONFIRMED FUCKING TOWN. This is how fucking terrible scum thinks you are - Koshi
GlowingBear
Profile Joined May 2014
Brazil12446 Posts
June 24 2014 14:24 GMT
#950
On June 24 2014 14:35 Epishade wrote:
Ermm, I was really not expecting Token to get shot, of all people. I expected either myself, Haruhi, or Templar to die tbh, as we've all been townread for the majority of the game by most people. Token could have been a potential case if someone were to call him out, so I have a hard time rationalizing why mafia would shoot Token over someone more townie.

The only way I can see Token's shot being justified is if mafia thought he was on the right track and shot him to get rid of him, because objectively, that looked like a bad shot to me. You usually shoot people that have little chance of getting lynched for reading townie, but there seemed to be enough suspicion on Token (or at least, more than the three people I listed above) for me to think that that wasn't the reason he was shot.

There are a few people that Token scumreads over day 1, and I think that probably played a part in his death.

His scumreads:
JabberZerg (initially, then changed his mind to a townread at 4:00, which wouldn't have given mafia time to change their shot if JabberZerg wanted to keep Token alive for townreading him, assuming that Jabber is mafia)
meatpudding
Teemursu
Cats

His townreads:
Haruhi
Templar
me
Hobbit (only in his post at 4:00)

Fence reads:
Nydus

Dunno reads:
GlowBear
Other peoples

So I think the cases should probably be focused on people in his scum list at this point. I mean, he did say for people to look at me, GlowBear, and Nydus day 2 in his 4:02 post, but I'm not considering these specifically right now because they came too late to be able to influence mafia, and I'm only looking at the reasoning for shooting Token here over someone else.

He also asked me to post my reads on him, Cats, and meatpudding at this point, too, but I woke up too early today and am dead tired. I'll post my reads on everybody I have reads for sometime tomorrow after I wake up.

Night all.


Your post strike me as odd.
It's because the scenario you've brought isn't the only one possible.

Possible scenarios are:

1) Tolkien was on the right track and asking the right questions, so it was better for Mafia to make him shut up. This is too simplistic, it would easily lead townies to lynch the right people. I don't think Mafia would do this.
2) Tolkien wasn't on the right track but being shot would lead town to misread other townies. This one seems more plausible to me.
3) My stupid mistake made them change their top townies change targets to someone who had more scumreads
4) Top townies are actually very good scums and they killed at random (I think this is too much)

As I think (2) is more plausible, your post striked me as odd because you seem to push (1) as the only possible interpretation, leading townies to misreads and, therefore, to mislynchs. I'll keep an eye on you.
I'm adorable.
HaruRH
Profile Blog Joined August 2011
Singapore2780 Posts
June 24 2014 14:32 GMT
#951
Btw, it is best to announce if any night actions occured. Since scum knew them anyway (roleblock actions could be from them), and knowing jailed targets (if jailer exists) can help us consider more scum role options.

Currently, I believe we have a vigi and a scum roleblocker (I got roleblocked and I dont see why town would want to roleblock me).
It is fucking D4 and you are still alive as a CONFIRMED FUCKING TOWN. This is how fucking terrible scum thinks you are - Koshi
Hobbitus
Profile Joined June 2014
222 Posts
June 24 2014 14:51 GMT
#952
Really?? There goes that theory. I guess I'm going to reevaluate my reads from scratch, I was way off :/ ARGH Tolkien seemed so scummy during the whole mm lynch though! Frustrated.
The_Templar
Profile Blog Joined January 2011
your Country52798 Posts
June 24 2014 15:08 GMT
#953
I was jailed last night.

Epishade's post seems to be coming under fire for ignoring some other possibilities that would require a very deceptive mafia.

On June 24 2014 23:24 GlowingBear wrote:
Show nested quote +
On June 24 2014 14:35 Epishade wrote:
Ermm, I was really not expecting Token to get shot, of all people. I expected either myself, Haruhi, or Templar to die tbh, as we've all been townread for the majority of the game by most people. Token could have been a potential case if someone were to call him out, so I have a hard time rationalizing why mafia would shoot Token over someone more townie.

The only way I can see Token's shot being justified is if mafia thought he was on the right track and shot him to get rid of him, because objectively, that looked like a bad shot to me. You usually shoot people that have little chance of getting lynched for reading townie, but there seemed to be enough suspicion on Token (or at least, more than the three people I listed above) for me to think that that wasn't the reason he was shot.

There are a few people that Token scumreads over day 1, and I think that probably played a part in his death.

His scumreads:
JabberZerg (initially, then changed his mind to a townread at 4:00, which wouldn't have given mafia time to change their shot if JabberZerg wanted to keep Token alive for townreading him, assuming that Jabber is mafia)
meatpudding
Teemursu
Cats

His townreads:
Haruhi
Templar
me
Hobbit (only in his post at 4:00)

Fence reads:
Nydus

Dunno reads:
GlowBear
Other peoples

So I think the cases should probably be focused on people in his scum list at this point. I mean, he did say for people to look at me, GlowBear, and Nydus day 2 in his 4:02 post, but I'm not considering these specifically right now because they came too late to be able to influence mafia, and I'm only looking at the reasoning for shooting Token here over someone else.

He also asked me to post my reads on him, Cats, and meatpudding at this point, too, but I woke up too early today and am dead tired. I'll post my reads on everybody I have reads for sometime tomorrow after I wake up.

Night all.


Your post strike me as odd.
It's because the scenario you've brought isn't the only one possible.

Possible scenarios are:

1) Tolkien was on the right track and asking the right questions, so it was better for Mafia to make him shut up. This is too simplistic, it would easily lead townies to lynch the right people. I don't think Mafia would do this.
2) Tolkien wasn't on the right track but being shot would lead town to misread other townies. This one seems more plausible to me.
3) My stupid mistake made them change their top townies change targets to someone who had more scumreads
4) Top townies are actually very good scums and they killed at random (I think this is too much)

As I think (2) is more plausible, your post striked me as odd because you seem to push (1) as the only possible interpretation, leading townies to misreads and, therefore, to mislynchs. I'll keep an eye on you.

I was going to reply something similar to this in response to Epishade's post. We can't assume that the mafia is trying to cover their tracks, as that doesn't cover half the possibilities.

1) If it's too simple, do you think 2 or 3 of JabberZerg, meatpudding, Teemursu, Cats are mafia? And where would you begin with that list?
2) This is, indeed, more likely, but again that doesn't lead us anywhere, except we can assume only one of those four, at most, are mafia. So if we lynch meatpudding and he flips red then it will be likely those other 3 are town.
3) I don't understand this one, can you clarify further?
4) Very unlikely, considering this is a newbie game.
It's also possible that I was targeted by the mafia and Tolkien was killed by a vigilante. But that's somewhat unlikely as well.

On June 24 2014 21:49 TheKingOfTheCats wrote:
Show nested quote +
On June 24 2014 14:35 Epishade wrote:
Ermm, I was really not expecting Token to get shot, of all people. I expected either myself, Haruhi, or Templar to die tbh, as we've all been townread for the majority of the game by most people. Token could have been a potential case if someone were to call him out, so I have a hard time rationalizing why mafia would shoot Token over someone more townie.

The only way I can see Token's shot being justified is if mafia thought he was on the right track and shot him to get rid of him, because objectively, that looked like a bad shot to me. You usually shoot people that have little chance of getting lynched for reading townie, but there seemed to be enough suspicion on Token (or at least, more than the three people I listed above) for me to think that that wasn't the reason he was shot.

There are a few people that Token scumreads over day 1, and I think that probably played a part in his death.

His scumreads:
JabberZerg (initially, then changed his mind to a townread at 4:00, which wouldn't have given mafia time to change their shot if JabberZerg wanted to keep Token alive for townreading him, assuming that Jabber is mafia)
meatpudding
Teemursu
Cats

His townreads:
Haruhi
Templar
me
Hobbit (only in his post at 4:00)

Fence reads:
Nydus

Dunno reads:
GlowBear
Other peoples

So I think the cases should probably be focused on people in his scum list at this point. I mean, he did say for people to look at me, GlowBear, and Nydus day 2 in his 4:02 post, but I'm not considering these specifically right now because they came too late to be able to influence mafia, and I'm only looking at the reasoning for shooting Token here over someone else.

He also asked me to post my reads on him, Cats, and meatpudding at this point, too, but I woke up too early today and am dead tired. I'll post my reads on everybody I have reads for sometime tomorrow after I wake up.

Night all.

First of all you're assuming that scum shot Tolkien, it's possible that scum got jailed/roleblocked and the vig shot Tolkien.

Tolkien being shot because be suspected the right people makes little sense but lets analyze it a bit.
If me or meatpudding are scum it would be pointless to shoot him for suspecting us because half the game does, if either of us were to shoot him it wouldn't change anything for us and it would actually be detrimental for us to do that as scum because Tolkien was looking scummy to a lot of people too and he would've been one of the easier people to push for a mislynch. seeing as him, me and meatpudding were the main lynch candidates today we wouldn't kill one of our most valid chances to escape a lynch. Teemu, well this one's simple. If he was going to shoot someone for being "on" to him it would've been meatpudding because meatpudding's been on him more. Why would he shoot Tolkien over meatpudding? Why would he shoot either of them for that matter? They were both suspicious to a lot of people and he wasn't. As for Jabber...i dunno. He seems to be on a few peoples radars if i remember correctly, it would make more sense to shoot one of them for being "on" to him as opposed to one of the lynch candidates. It really doesn't make sense for scum to shoot him especially for the reason you posted. Personally i think the less likely situation of scum's NK being blocked and a Vig targeting Tolkien is more likely.

The bolded part is extremely good. A lot of people on that scum list were scummy to a lot of people, and would want to keep tolkien around to make sure he would get attention from his somewhat aggressive MM lynch (I thought this made him more townish to me at the end), which was scummy to a lot of people. So they have no reason to bother killing him.

On June 24 2014 22:12 TheKingOfTheCats wrote:
Show nested quote +
On June 24 2014 22:04 Teemursu wrote:
From an hour to three hours, generally. Day is from 15 to 30 minutes and night is maybe 5 minutes?

Could you instead post and reference my analysis on day 1?

I'll probably start reading and answering in about three hours.

Thank you. That means you townreading Templar so quickly isn't scummy.

I'll be looking through your and everyone else's filters a bit later (i started looking through your filter yesterday and that's what made me ask meatpudding all those questions). I just came in to check the thread after waking up, effort will be applied in...lets say 3-4 hours.

I thought I said at the beginning that video mafia went pretty quickly and making reads this early was normal there.

I'm still tired and will be reading more into these things later, but I am applying for a job this afternoon and won't have a ton of time like I usually do.
ModeratorI am still alive, somehow
TL+ Member
HaruRH
Profile Blog Joined August 2011
Singapore2780 Posts
June 24 2014 15:18 GMT
#954
On June 25 2014 00:08 The_Templar wrote:
I was jailed last night.

Epishade's post seems to be coming under fire for ignoring some other possibilities that would require a very deceptive mafia.

Show nested quote +
On June 24 2014 23:24 GlowingBear wrote:
On June 24 2014 14:35 Epishade wrote:
Ermm, I was really not expecting Token to get shot, of all people. I expected either myself, Haruhi, or Templar to die tbh, as we've all been townread for the majority of the game by most people. Token could have been a potential case if someone were to call him out, so I have a hard time rationalizing why mafia would shoot Token over someone more townie.

The only way I can see Token's shot being justified is if mafia thought he was on the right track and shot him to get rid of him, because objectively, that looked like a bad shot to me. You usually shoot people that have little chance of getting lynched for reading townie, but there seemed to be enough suspicion on Token (or at least, more than the three people I listed above) for me to think that that wasn't the reason he was shot.

There are a few people that Token scumreads over day 1, and I think that probably played a part in his death.

His scumreads:
JabberZerg (initially, then changed his mind to a townread at 4:00, which wouldn't have given mafia time to change their shot if JabberZerg wanted to keep Token alive for townreading him, assuming that Jabber is mafia)
meatpudding
Teemursu
Cats

His townreads:
Haruhi
Templar
me
Hobbit (only in his post at 4:00)

Fence reads:
Nydus

Dunno reads:
GlowBear
Other peoples

So I think the cases should probably be focused on people in his scum list at this point. I mean, he did say for people to look at me, GlowBear, and Nydus day 2 in his 4:02 post, but I'm not considering these specifically right now because they came too late to be able to influence mafia, and I'm only looking at the reasoning for shooting Token here over someone else.

He also asked me to post my reads on him, Cats, and meatpudding at this point, too, but I woke up too early today and am dead tired. I'll post my reads on everybody I have reads for sometime tomorrow after I wake up.

Night all.


Your post strike me as odd.
It's because the scenario you've brought isn't the only one possible.

Possible scenarios are:

1) Tolkien was on the right track and asking the right questions, so it was better for Mafia to make him shut up. This is too simplistic, it would easily lead townies to lynch the right people. I don't think Mafia would do this.
2) Tolkien wasn't on the right track but being shot would lead town to misread other townies. This one seems more plausible to me.
3) My stupid mistake made them change their top townies change targets to someone who had more scumreads
4) Top townies are actually very good scums and they killed at random (I think this is too much)

As I think (2) is more plausible, your post striked me as odd because you seem to push (1) as the only possible interpretation, leading townies to misreads and, therefore, to mislynchs. I'll keep an eye on you.

I was going to reply something similar to this in response to Epishade's post. We can't assume that the mafia is trying to cover their tracks, as that doesn't cover half the possibilities.

1) If it's too simple, do you think 2 or 3 of JabberZerg, meatpudding, Teemursu, Cats are mafia? And where would you begin with that list?
2) This is, indeed, more likely, but again that doesn't lead us anywhere, except we can assume only one of those four, at most, are mafia. So if we lynch meatpudding and he flips red then it will be likely those other 3 are town.
3) I don't understand this one, can you clarify further?
4) Very unlikely, considering this is a newbie game.
It's also possible that I was targeted by the mafia and Tolkien was killed by a vigilante. But that's somewhat unlikely as well.

Show nested quote +
On June 24 2014 21:49 TheKingOfTheCats wrote:
On June 24 2014 14:35 Epishade wrote:
Ermm, I was really not expecting Token to get shot, of all people. I expected either myself, Haruhi, or Templar to die tbh, as we've all been townread for the majority of the game by most people. Token could have been a potential case if someone were to call him out, so I have a hard time rationalizing why mafia would shoot Token over someone more townie.

The only way I can see Token's shot being justified is if mafia thought he was on the right track and shot him to get rid of him, because objectively, that looked like a bad shot to me. You usually shoot people that have little chance of getting lynched for reading townie, but there seemed to be enough suspicion on Token (or at least, more than the three people I listed above) for me to think that that wasn't the reason he was shot.

There are a few people that Token scumreads over day 1, and I think that probably played a part in his death.

His scumreads:
JabberZerg (initially, then changed his mind to a townread at 4:00, which wouldn't have given mafia time to change their shot if JabberZerg wanted to keep Token alive for townreading him, assuming that Jabber is mafia)
meatpudding
Teemursu
Cats

His townreads:
Haruhi
Templar
me
Hobbit (only in his post at 4:00)

Fence reads:
Nydus

Dunno reads:
GlowBear
Other peoples

So I think the cases should probably be focused on people in his scum list at this point. I mean, he did say for people to look at me, GlowBear, and Nydus day 2 in his 4:02 post, but I'm not considering these specifically right now because they came too late to be able to influence mafia, and I'm only looking at the reasoning for shooting Token here over someone else.

He also asked me to post my reads on him, Cats, and meatpudding at this point, too, but I woke up too early today and am dead tired. I'll post my reads on everybody I have reads for sometime tomorrow after I wake up.

Night all.

First of all you're assuming that scum shot Tolkien, it's possible that scum got jailed/roleblocked and the vig shot Tolkien.

Tolkien being shot because be suspected the right people makes little sense but lets analyze it a bit.
If me or meatpudding are scum it would be pointless to shoot him for suspecting us because half the game does, if either of us were to shoot him it wouldn't change anything for us and it would actually be detrimental for us to do that as scum because Tolkien was looking scummy to a lot of people too and he would've been one of the easier people to push for a mislynch. seeing as him, me and meatpudding were the main lynch candidates today we wouldn't kill one of our most valid chances to escape a lynch. Teemu, well this one's simple. If he was going to shoot someone for being "on" to him it would've been meatpudding because meatpudding's been on him more. Why would he shoot Tolkien over meatpudding? Why would he shoot either of them for that matter? They were both suspicious to a lot of people and he wasn't. As for Jabber...i dunno. He seems to be on a few peoples radars if i remember correctly, it would make more sense to shoot one of them for being "on" to him as opposed to one of the lynch candidates. It really doesn't make sense for scum to shoot him especially for the reason you posted. Personally i think the less likely situation of scum's NK being blocked and a Vig targeting Tolkien is more likely.

The bolded part is extremely good. A lot of people on that scum list were scummy to a lot of people, and would want to keep tolkien around to make sure he would get attention from his somewhat aggressive MM lynch (I thought this made him more townish to me at the end), which was scummy to a lot of people. So they have no reason to bother killing him.

Show nested quote +
On June 24 2014 22:12 TheKingOfTheCats wrote:
On June 24 2014 22:04 Teemursu wrote:
From an hour to three hours, generally. Day is from 15 to 30 minutes and night is maybe 5 minutes?

Could you instead post and reference my analysis on day 1?

I'll probably start reading and answering in about three hours.

Thank you. That means you townreading Templar so quickly isn't scummy.

I'll be looking through your and everyone else's filters a bit later (i started looking through your filter yesterday and that's what made me ask meatpudding all those questions). I just came in to check the thread after waking up, effort will be applied in...lets say 3-4 hours.

I thought I said at the beginning that video mafia went pretty quickly and making reads this early was normal there.

I'm still tired and will be reading more into these things later, but I am applying for a job this afternoon and won't have a ton of time like I usually do.


Now that we know you were jailed, it is more probable that tolkien got shot by a vigilante and you were the supposed scum target.

The lack of need for scum to shoot tolkien (shooting tolkien had no real use for scumteam) led me to believe a vigilante had to have shot tolkien.

As mentioned by epi, it is surprising that tolkien died instead of me/epi/nydus/templar, who were really townread on d1 and would be hard to mislynch on d2. Thus it is more probable that scum tried to kill templar but failed as he was jailed.
It is fucking D4 and you are still alive as a CONFIRMED FUCKING TOWN. This is how fucking terrible scum thinks you are - Koshi
GlowingBear
Profile Joined May 2014
Brazil12446 Posts
June 24 2014 15:42 GMT
#955
I'll answer you soon, Templar. Before that:

are there any clues on mod posts?
I'm adorable.
The_Templar
Profile Blog Joined January 2011
your Country52798 Posts
June 24 2014 15:49 GMT
#956
On June 25 2014 00:42 GlowingBear wrote:
I'll answer you soon, Templar. Before that:

are there any clues on mod posts?

I highly doubt it, considering it was never mentioned.
ModeratorI am still alive, somehow
TL+ Member
GlowingBear
Profile Joined May 2014
Brazil12446 Posts
June 24 2014 15:53 GMT
#957
On June 25 2014 00:49 The_Templar wrote:
Show nested quote +
On June 25 2014 00:42 GlowingBear wrote:
I'll answer you soon, Templar. Before that:

are there any clues on mod posts?

I highly doubt it, considering it was never mentioned.


Saying Tolkien was devoided of salt instead that he has been shot sounded like a clue of what happened this night...
I'm adorable.
Alakaslam
Profile Blog Joined September 2011
United States17336 Posts
June 24 2014 16:24 GMT
#958
On June 25 2014 00:42 GlowingBear wrote:
I'll answer you soon, Templar. Before that:

are there any clues on mod posts?

No.

This is related to the thing stated earlier, I will quote myself because I particularly like it:

On June 21 2014 06:27 Alakaslam wrote:
Show nested quote +
On June 21 2014 04:01 sqrtofneg1 wrote:
3 or 4 mafia?

There is no cow level. The black sheep wall cannot be removed. The shroud regrows, and the GPS satellite is down as your tech center was destroyed.

Beware


Basically this meant: NO CLUES!

That would be waaaaaay too town favored.

Not to discourage asking!
If you think Elon Musk is a Nazi, it is because YOU radicalized him!
Alakaslam
Profile Blog Joined September 2011
United States17336 Posts
June 24 2014 16:25 GMT
#959
Lol even the quote is blue

Sqrt honorary mod
If you think Elon Musk is a Nazi, it is because YOU radicalized him!
HaruRH
Profile Blog Joined August 2011
Singapore2780 Posts
June 24 2014 16:30 GMT
#960
On June 25 2014 00:53 GlowingBear wrote:
Show nested quote +
On June 25 2014 00:49 The_Templar wrote:
On June 25 2014 00:42 GlowingBear wrote:
I'll answer you soon, Templar. Before that:

are there any clues on mod posts?

I highly doubt it, considering it was never mentioned.


Saying Tolkien was devoided of salt instead that he has been shot sounded like a clue of what happened this night...


That's host WIFOM at this stage lol.
It is fucking D4 and you are still alive as a CONFIRMED FUCKING TOWN. This is how fucking terrible scum thinks you are - Koshi
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